Latest / The Mark Simone Show / Ken interviews economist Steve Moore.
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Live from the WOR LifeVac studios, The Mark Simone Show.
- 0:05Speaker 1: Guest hosting for Mark today, Ken Rosato. And so nice
- 0:10Speaker 1: to be with you on a Thursday, the Thursday of
- 0:12Speaker 1: Labor Day weekend. You are listening to The Mark Simone Show.
- 0:15Speaker 1: We like to call it Friday Eve. How about that?
- 0:17Speaker 1: Friday Eve. Ken Rosato filling in for Mark. And, you know,
- 0:20Speaker 1: the economy seemed to be humming along pretty well a
- 0:23Speaker 1: few months ago. Then came the conflict with Iran. It
- 0:26Speaker 1: seemed to stall things. Job creation slowed, gas prices increased,
- 0:31Speaker 1: grocery prices did not decrease, at least not to the
- 0:34Speaker 1: extent that we were promised or expected. All this as
- 0:38Speaker 1: the midterms are creeping up faster and faster. Yesterday, there
- 0:41Speaker 1: was a big sell-off of the bonds. So where is
- 0:44Speaker 1: the economy headed? Well, one of the best economists in
- 0:47Speaker 1: all of America, co-founder of of the Club for Growth
- 0:51Speaker 1: Distinguished Fellow at the Heritage Foundation, former Wall Street Journal
- 0:54Speaker 1: Editorial Board member, who served as Senior Economic Advisor to
- 0:58Speaker 1: President Trump's 2016 campaign. And I do believe he's a
- 1:01Speaker 1: friend of Jesus Christ himself. We say good morning to
- 1:04Speaker 1: Steve Moore.
- 1:06Speaker 2: Good morning thanks so much for the very nice introduction
- 1:10Speaker 2: and uh by the way you call it friday i
- 1:12Speaker 2: call it thursdays a practice friday oh no.
- 1:15Speaker 1: I i'm gonna borrow that i like that i like
- 1:18Speaker 1: that a lot so now you know better than anyone
- 1:21Speaker 1: i mean i'm a novice at this but there was
- 1:23Speaker 1: that big market sell-off uh bond market sell-off yesterday and
- 1:26Speaker 1: that usually what suggests that investors expect higher interest rates
- 1:29Speaker 1: or inflation right yes that's exactly what not a good
- 1:33Speaker 1: thing and.
- 1:34Speaker 2: No, but we have something in our hotline today. By
- 1:37Speaker 2: the way, I hope everyone's getting that newsletter. Just go
- 1:39Speaker 2: to UnleashedPossibility.com and get it for free.
- 1:41Speaker 1: I hope you're getting that, everybody.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Yes, I do. I get it. But anyway, we have
- 1:45Speaker 2: something you may not have gotten yet because it just
- 1:47Speaker 2: got sent out this morning just about an hour ago.
- 1:49Speaker 2: But what I looked at was the current bond rate,
- 1:53Speaker 2: the yield on the 10-year Treasury over the last year,
- 1:57Speaker 2: and it's up a lot. It's gone up from– Let's see,
- 2:00Speaker 2: what are we at now? It's almost, what is it
- 2:04Speaker 2: at now? I forget the number, but it's been rising.
- 2:08Speaker 2: But if you look at the bond rate today on
- 2:10Speaker 2: the 10-year, if you look at over the last 50 years,
- 2:13Speaker 2: it's actually slightly below the average of the last. We're
- 2:16Speaker 2: at 4.8% right now, and we may be headed to 5%,
- 2:20Speaker 2: which is bad. We don't want to see interest rates
- 2:23Speaker 2: rise because that means that the cost of everything from
- 2:26Speaker 2: federal borrowing, and the United States government is the biggest
- 2:28Speaker 2: borrower in the world, taking out a mortgage gets more expensive.
- 2:34Speaker 2: And so I am concerned about that. But overall, I'm
- 2:39Speaker 2: pretty bullish on this U.S. economy. I mean, the latest
- 2:41Speaker 2: indications are that we're seeing a big boost in the
- 2:46Speaker 2: economic output this quarter, both in manufacturing, construction, and investment,
- 2:51Speaker 2: three of the most important things we want in this country.
- 2:53Speaker 2: Our technology industries are doing amazing. We lead the world
- 2:58Speaker 2: in all of the high-tech areas. We have the best
- 3:02Speaker 2: stock market in the world. So, yeah. I mean, look,
- 3:06Speaker 2: I get... By the way, yesterday, we have two cars,
- 3:08Speaker 2: and one of them is an Audi that's a diesel car.
- 3:11Speaker 2: And yesterday, I went to the service station. Now, it's
- 3:13Speaker 2: not exactly the cheapest service station in the world. But
- 3:16Speaker 2: you know what cost me to fill up my tank?
- 3:18Speaker 1: I'm afraid to ask.
- 3:19Speaker 2: A hundred bucks. Oh, jeez. A hundred bucks.
- 3:20Speaker 1: What is it, like $ 6 a gallon now for diesel?
- 3:23Speaker 2: Yes.
- 3:24Speaker 1: Yep.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Yep. Yep. So, that's what we're at right now. So...
- 3:27Speaker 2: Everybody wants to see gas prices come down. That will happen.
- 3:31Speaker 2: By the way, there's no shortage of oil in the world.
- 3:33Speaker 2: We have massive amounts of oil. It's just the sticky
- 3:36Speaker 2: problem we've got in the Middle East. But overall, I
- 3:40Speaker 2: feel like I actually think this may be the beginning
- 3:44Speaker 2: of a boom stage in the U.S. economy as soon
- 3:47Speaker 2: as we get those oil prices down.
- 3:48Speaker 1: And, of course, we have oil now in the low
- 3:52Speaker 1: 90s per barrel, right?
- 3:54Speaker 2: Don't say that.
- 3:54Speaker 1: I'm sorry.
- 3:55Speaker 2: Sorry.
- 3:56Speaker 1: You just ruined my traffic Friday. I know it had
- 4:00Speaker 1: been 83 up until last week, and it just kind
- 4:03Speaker 1: of crept up. When I saw that, my heart sank.
- 4:05Speaker 2: Yeah. So, you know, you can look at what I do.
- 4:08Speaker 2: This is a little tip for investors and just people
- 4:10Speaker 2: want to know where their economy is headed. Every morning,
- 4:13Speaker 2: and in fact, I'm delinquent, I didn't do it yet
- 4:15Speaker 2: this morning, was to check what's happened to the global
- 4:18Speaker 2: oil price. It was at 82. You're saying it's now
- 4:20Speaker 2: up to 90?
- 4:22Speaker 1: Is that Izzy or at the board, you say it's
- 4:24Speaker 1: up to 92? Yeah, WTI 92. So there you go.
- 4:29Speaker 2: So that means, you know, we're going to see higher
- 4:31Speaker 2: gas prices over the next couple of weeks because when
- 4:33Speaker 2: the oil price goes up, obviously the gas price does.
- 4:35Speaker 2: So that concerns me, no question about it. But thank God,
- 4:38Speaker 2: you know, we've got a president in the White House
- 4:40Speaker 2: who says, drill, baby, drill. I mean, can you imagine
- 4:42Speaker 2: how much the oil price would be if we weren't drilling?
- 4:45Speaker 2: Do you know we're the number one producer of oil
- 4:47Speaker 2: and gas in the world today?
- 4:48Speaker 1: We're exporting, right, more than anybody else? I mean, that's
- 4:51Speaker 1: an amazing thing.
- 4:51Speaker 2: We export.
- 4:52Speaker 1: That's an amazing thing.
- 4:55Speaker 2: We actually produce more oil than we consume.
- 4:58Speaker 1: That's amazing. Now, here's the big question, though. Do you
- 5:01Speaker 1: see the economy correcting in time for the midterms?
- 5:06Speaker 2: It could be.
- 5:07Speaker 1: That doesn't sound very effective.
- 5:09Speaker 2: I would have said absolutely yes if you hadn't told
- 5:11Speaker 2: me we're at $ 92 a barrel on the oil price
- 5:14Speaker 2: right now.
- 5:14Speaker 1: Sorry.
- 5:15Speaker 2: But a lot of it does depend on what happens
- 5:17Speaker 2: in the Middle East. And, you know, what I hope
- 5:20Speaker 2: to see is that– You know, we have to be,
- 5:23Speaker 2: one of the reasons I've been so much in favor of,
- 5:25Speaker 2: you know, total American energy dominance, so we don't have
- 5:30Speaker 2: to be dependent on the Middle East any longer. I mean,
- 5:32Speaker 2: for most of your and my lifetime, you know, the
- 5:35Speaker 2: Middle East has been able to throw the whole world
- 5:37Speaker 2: economy into recession and depression by just, you know, choking
- 5:41Speaker 2: off the oil supply. So I don't want us to
- 5:45Speaker 2: ever be dependent again on Middle East oil.
- 5:48Speaker 1: I hear that. Nor should we ever, ever. And that's
- 5:51Speaker 1: why many in the Middle East are turning to other things,
- 5:53Speaker 1: tech sector and things like that, right? But the one thing,
- 5:55Speaker 1: as much as people may look at our economy as
- 5:58Speaker 1: potentially challenging, and you said, you point out that it's
- 6:01Speaker 1: actually in much better shape than we're thinking, is that
- 6:04Speaker 1: we're still better off than just about any other economy
- 6:07Speaker 1: on Earth, right?
- 6:09Speaker 2: Oh, for sure. I mean, I can't think of any
- 6:11Speaker 2: major economy. There may be some small island economy that's
- 6:14Speaker 2: doing well that I'm not aware of. But if you
- 6:16Speaker 2: look at all, if you look at the European countries,
- 6:18Speaker 2: if you look at China, Japan, the UK, every other
- 6:23Speaker 2: major country in the world, we're beating the pants off them.
- 6:26Speaker 2: Our stock market is through the roof. Let's not forget,
- 6:29Speaker 2: the stock market is through the roof. In fact, somebody
- 6:30Speaker 2: just sent me a chart this morning. We have more
- 6:33Speaker 2: millionaires in America today than ever before. And these are
- 6:37Speaker 2: people used to be middle class people, but they invested
- 6:40Speaker 2: in the market and now they have assets of worth
- 6:43Speaker 2: more than a million dollars. And it's the numbers are
- 6:45Speaker 2: just surging. So, you know, if you want to get
- 6:48Speaker 2: rich in America, you obviously have to work and earn
- 6:50Speaker 2: a good paycheck. But you have to then save and invest.
- 6:53Speaker 2: And if you do that, you can become a millionaire
- 6:55Speaker 2: in this country. Nowhere else in the world can you
- 6:56Speaker 2: do that.
- 6:57Speaker 1: And we got about a minute left, Steve. I have
- 6:58Speaker 1: to let you touch on. I read your editorial on
- 7:01Speaker 1: the Fox News Web site. about data centers and how
- 7:04Speaker 1: we're being duped in many cases to think that all
- 7:06Speaker 1: week not in my backyard but the dissenters are bring
- 7:09Speaker 1: a bone economically duke to a local economy something.
- 7:13Speaker 2: They they really do it and i uh... there's a
- 7:16Speaker 2: story of this little uh... kind of run down uh...
- 7:19Speaker 2: dilapidated town and um... in the world uh... washington state
- 7:25Speaker 2: and you know everything was going to go in the
- 7:27Speaker 2: wrong direction of these leaving and also made open data
- 7:30Speaker 2: center also the jobs came in the construction Industry started
- 7:33Speaker 2: to come back, and it rebuilt this little community. We
- 7:36Speaker 2: could be doing that throughout America. I don't understand your
- 7:39Speaker 2: governor there, Kathy Hochul, saying we're going to outlaw data centers.
- 7:44Speaker 2: By the way, the state already has 40 data centers.
- 7:47Speaker 2: I mean, data centers are the construction projects of the future.
- 7:50Speaker 2: You know who are the biggest advocates of data centers
- 7:52Speaker 2: right now?
- 7:53Speaker 1: Who's that?
- 7:54Speaker 2: China? China. The unions.
- 7:56Speaker 1: I thought you meant outside of the country.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Where all the jobs are.
- 7:59Speaker 1: Of course.
- 8:00Speaker 2: I visited our data center out in Loudoun County, Virginia,
- 8:03Speaker 2: right outside of Dulles Airport in D.C. I've never seen
- 8:06Speaker 2: so many construction jobs in my life. People say, oh,
- 8:08Speaker 2: we need to bring back blue-collar jobs. There they are.
- 8:11Speaker 1: And I heard that in Loudoun County, if they were
- 8:14Speaker 1: to shut down all the data centers, everybody's property taxes
- 8:17Speaker 1: would go up by, what, $ 6, 200 a year. That's how
- 8:20Speaker 1: much they contribute to the economy.
- 8:22Speaker 2: Yeah. So, you know, my feeling is if a community
- 8:24Speaker 2: doesn't want a data center, they shouldn't build them there.
- 8:26Speaker 2: But there are plenty of thousands of communities in this
- 8:28Speaker 2: country that would love to have the jobs, love to
- 8:30Speaker 2: have the new businesses. And so but we got to
- 8:35Speaker 2: build them because, you know, I wouldn't be talking to
- 8:37Speaker 2: you right now. People say, I don't want data centers.
- 8:39Speaker 2: I'm like, well, do you like the Internet? Do you
- 8:41Speaker 2: like the GPS system you're using? Do you like using
- 8:44Speaker 2: your cell phone? Do you like the fact that we
- 8:46Speaker 2: have a military system that's based on our data? So
- 8:51Speaker 2: we have to have them. It would be like saying, well,
- 8:53Speaker 2: I want my lights to come on, but I don't
- 8:55Speaker 2: want electric power.
- 8:56Speaker 1: See, these are the same people who are against having
- 8:58Speaker 1: cell towers, but yet they all wanted cell phone actors.
- 9:01Speaker 1: Go out to the Hamptons. You will not find a
- 9:02Speaker 1: cell tower, and everybody whines about the fact that there's
- 9:05Speaker 1: no cell signal. Yeah, it's your fault because you refused
- 9:07Speaker 1: to have one built. Steve Moore, economist extraordinaire. I could
- 9:10Speaker 1: talk to you for hours, my friend. I always love
- 9:13Speaker 1: hearing your voice, and now I'm so glad to get
- 9:14Speaker 1: to talk to you. It's great to have you on today.
- 9:16Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 9:16Speaker 2: Have a great weekend, folks. Labor Day weekend.
- 9:19Speaker 1: Amen. Thank you, Steve. Have a great day. Thunderstorms today, though.
- 9:24Speaker 1: Highs in the mid-80s, but nice for the weekend. That's
- 9:27Speaker 1: a good thing. Ray Stajic saying you're going to have
- 9:28Speaker 1: a gorgeous weekend for Labor Day weekend. Taking your calls next,
- 9:32Speaker 1: 800-321-0710 for WOR.