Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 60: Week 4 Betting Preview - Back to 500 for the season
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls at your favorite time
- 0:05Speaker 1: of week, can download the crazieshots. You get you something
- 0:07Speaker 1: cold to drink, something hot to drink from the regged work.
- 0:09Speaker 1: You get you a run going makes a little love
- 0:11Speaker 1: to your wife, Sit in the backyard and joyce and barbecue.
- 0:14Speaker 1: We don't care. We're just glad to hear. I'll mark
- 0:16Speaker 1: and I'm in the podcasting studio. Scotty's back out on
- 0:19Speaker 1: the road, which is his comfort zone, and we've got
- 0:21Speaker 1: a fall week to slate Thursday through Saturday. This week
- 0:25Speaker 1: in college football, brother, how the hell are you man?
- 0:27Speaker 2: I'm good some wild, wild outcomes last week. I cannot
- 0:35Speaker 2: start off the podcast without saying I watched that beat
- 0:39Speaker 2: down by Toledo in person with a customer and former
- 0:44Speaker 2: Toledo player, and that shit was worse than the score.
- 0:51Speaker 2: They dominated from the opening whistle to the closing whistle,
- 0:55Speaker 2: and it was ugly. And State may be the worst
- 0:58Speaker 2: Division one, They're certainly the worst or fourteen of the country.
- 1:01Speaker 3: I don't think they can beat anybody next. I honestly believe.
- 1:10Speaker 2: That that the call was so egregious in the South
- 1:14Speaker 2: Carolina LSU game that they all changed the fucking outcome.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Can we stop and just add replay on some of
- 1:24Speaker 2: these calls. We have the technology to have replay. If
- 1:28Speaker 2: that is roughing the quarterback after he throws a pick
- 1:32Speaker 2: or whatever they called unsportmable like conduct, whatever the hell
- 1:36Speaker 2: they called, then just put a pink jersey on him
- 1:39Speaker 2: and say we can't hit these guys and we're just
- 1:42Speaker 2: gonna play Quasis seventy seven.
- 1:45Speaker 3: Because that was not roughing.
- 1:47Speaker 2: He took two hands and shoves him in the shoulder.
- 1:52Speaker 2: The ref clearly didn't see the call. He just saw
- 1:55Speaker 2: the quarterback laying on the ground and assumed somebody depleting,
- 1:58Speaker 2: which is total bullshit on the outcome of a game.
- 2:02Speaker 2: South Carolina got screwed. They also got screwed. When there's
- 2:06Speaker 2: an overhead view, they go back on the projecting. I'm granted,
- 2:10Speaker 2: I'm sitting in the bar and they go back. They
- 2:12Speaker 2: called them for illegal procedure when they're trying to run
- 2:15Speaker 2: out the clock and literally nobody moves. Nobody moves. LSU
- 2:23Speaker 2: shuffled across. None of those five linemen moved, but I
- 2:27Speaker 2: mean there wasn't a wide receiver, there wasn't anybody that
- 2:29Speaker 2: moved it.
- 2:31Speaker 3: Those calls sucked.
- 2:32Speaker 2: And I know that they had a conference call the
- 2:35Speaker 2: athletic director and a coach with the Southeastern Conference Hall,
- 2:38Speaker 2: but nothing's gonna come of it. Nothing ever comes of it.
- 2:41Speaker 2: When they job these guys, it sucks. And I've been
- 2:44Speaker 2: on that end from state, you know, when it determined.
- 2:48Speaker 2: I mean, hell at Alabama, Alabama playing that State Mullins
- 2:51Speaker 2: last year.
- 2:52Speaker 3: I think it was Ridley just clearly runs out of bounds,
- 2:55Speaker 3: then catches.
- 2:55Speaker 2: The ball, you know, and the ref even through his
- 3:01Speaker 2: but nothing's made. Did he really establish himself? They have
- 3:04Speaker 2: no clarification. They's let him catch it. Boom ball game
- 3:07Speaker 2: they win. I think they kicked Fieldbill to win the game.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Total gibberish, you.
- 3:12Speaker 1: Know, I'll say this. I looked this up after what
- 3:15Speaker 1: because I was at the Texas Tech North Texas game.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Got my first middle ever in life betting. Took the
- 3:21Speaker 1: over at eighty and then took the under at ninety
- 3:24Speaker 1: one and came in nice there. Tuck did a heck
- 3:27Speaker 1: of a job with their new ad onto the stadium.
- 3:29Speaker 1: It was great. So I had to watch a lot
- 3:31Speaker 1: of this stuff on replay on Sunday and Monday. The
- 3:33Speaker 1: officiating across the board this year's not been good now,
- 3:36Speaker 1: and I think there's several calls that have missed it. Now.
- 3:38Speaker 1: I'm only bringing this up because eate can cost you money.
- 3:41Speaker 1: It didn't happen to cost me money in either of
- 3:43Speaker 1: the games I'm talking about now. But I did go
- 3:45Speaker 1: look this up because I was just curious. Just big
- 3:47Speaker 1: a business as college football's becoming. These teams are getting
- 3:51Speaker 1: paid tremendous money to come into it. You've got nil
- 3:54Speaker 1: money coming in, you've got massive donor money coming in
- 3:57Speaker 1: for programs, TV contract everything else. So I had to
- 4:02Speaker 1: go look it up this week because some of the
- 4:04Speaker 1: officiating was so bad. I thought, God, it's going to
- 4:06Speaker 1: get better. The average official on A and A power
- 4:10Speaker 1: forward conference for a game makes between two and three
- 4:14Speaker 1: thousand dollars a game. Is how much money they're making
- 4:17Speaker 1: on those games. Now, put that in retrospect to an
- 4:19Speaker 1: NFL official who's making a quarter million right in that case.
- 4:23Speaker 1: And there's still quote unquote part time officials. Most NFL
- 4:26Speaker 1: officials are, but a lot of them. This is what
- 4:27Speaker 1: they do for a living now. But the point is
- 4:29Speaker 1: is you've got guys that I am sure to take
- 4:32Speaker 1: a lot of pride in their craft. But yes, it's
- 4:34Speaker 1: got to get better from an officiating standpoint, and and
- 4:37Speaker 1: a lot of it too, though, I guarantee you, and
- 4:39Speaker 1: I don't know because I haven't talked to anybody, but
- 4:41Speaker 1: there was a call or an email or something that
- 4:44Speaker 1: went out on Friday after Tua knocked himself out in
- 4:47Speaker 1: that Thursday night game in the NFL game that said, hey,
- 4:50Speaker 1: we're gonna have all eyes on us. We got to
- 4:53Speaker 1: be watching everything. And the titch you're talking about in
- 4:56Speaker 1: the South Carolina game and canst still issue with nest
- 4:58Speaker 1: Meyer is very addictive to that because when I first
- 5:01Speaker 1: saw it in real time and I didn't see the hit,
- 5:03Speaker 1: I just saw that's myer laying there like he got shot.
- 5:06Speaker 2: You know, kudos to because I do believe his reaction
- 5:11Speaker 2: related the penalty because clearly repped and see it.
- 5:14Speaker 3: If he saw it and called it, and then that's
- 5:16Speaker 3: all to be fired. Kneil to never be on a
- 5:17Speaker 3: football field again. And I mean that ship ain't roughly.
- 5:21Speaker 2: I mean, you gotta block the guy, you gotta block
- 5:25Speaker 2: you hell and go make the tackle. I mean it's
- 5:27Speaker 2: just your responsibility to touch everybody. Should you be decleating
- 5:31Speaker 2: the kid. No, but that's that is against the rules.
- 5:34Speaker 2: That was just a just an awful call that determined
- 5:39Speaker 2: the game. That's the that's the bad part. And they
- 5:43Speaker 2: rewarded l s U for essentially losing that ball game.
- 5:47Speaker 2: Hated for South Carolina. You know, I agree with you.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Confusion and the rules between leagues on what they call.
- 5:55Speaker 2: And you've got teams, you know, like when you play
- 5:58Speaker 2: Southeastern Conference, the image generally the visiting team, especially they're
- 6:03Speaker 2: at they're non conference. Obviously, the visiting team brings the officials.
- 6:07Speaker 2: So next year it'll be big twelve officials. When Arizona
- 6:10Speaker 2: State comes to tartball. That was SEC officials in Tippy So,
- 6:15Speaker 2: I mean, that's generally the way the contracts work in
- 6:19Speaker 2: most of the SEC instances. But man, there's differences in
- 6:23Speaker 2: how all these leagues call the game. They've got to
- 6:25Speaker 2: get some uniformity on what's going on. But at the
- 6:29Speaker 2: end of the day, rest gotta quick trying to cost
- 6:31Speaker 2: stuff they don't physically see that they think they saw.
- 6:34Speaker 3: Because that's what happens Saturday.
- 6:36Speaker 2: I'm willing to bet you my whole sports dollar available
- 6:42Speaker 2: book to you further that that is exactly what happened.
- 6:46Speaker 2: You'll never get an honest answer out of that guy,
- 6:48Speaker 2: but he did and see the head he saw a
- 6:49Speaker 2: Nu's myre flop. So I'm laying on the ground like
- 6:52Speaker 2: he's just gotten, you know, concussed, and they threw a
- 6:56Speaker 2: flag and it sucks.
- 6:59Speaker 1: No, I agree, h Scotty, Oh, a lot of things
- 7:01Speaker 1: going on before.
- 7:02Speaker 2: We go into the book, because I know we got
- 7:04Speaker 2: a little bit of limited time too. I want to
- 7:07Speaker 2: talk about Sunbelt Billy. Obviously, I think he's over his head.
- 7:12Speaker 2: Anybody listened to this podcast, I said, I didn't think
- 7:14Speaker 2: he was the right guy. You're not smart enough to
- 7:17Speaker 2: take the Old miss job, the Mississippi State job, or
- 7:19Speaker 2: the South Carolina job.
- 7:20Speaker 3: You're holding out for the big job. You're probably not
- 7:22Speaker 3: gonna be successful at the big job. Uh.
- 7:24Speaker 2: I think that's a lot of what's going on. It's
- 7:26Speaker 2: certainly not resources for him. But I got a bigger question.
- 7:30Speaker 3: At Florida.
- 7:31Speaker 2: They've hired now the up and coming hot shot twice
- 7:37Speaker 2: and a guy who built a really bad program into
- 7:40Speaker 2: a national program, and then the guys that followed him
- 7:44Speaker 2: just completely blew it up. In Michael Wayne Napier Well
- 7:49Speaker 2: I'll even add one more must Champ and Dan Mullen
- 7:52Speaker 2: being the guy who built a program. Who the hell
- 7:55Speaker 2: are they supposed to go higher that's gonna fix this program?
- 7:58Speaker 2: Because it is clearly a structural problem. All those guys
- 8:02Speaker 2: didn't forget how to coach when they got to Gainsville. No,
- 8:07Speaker 2: and I just do I think that mccelwayne was probably
- 8:10Speaker 2: a terrible fit.
- 8:12Speaker 3: Yeah, one hundred percent. I just don't think much.
- 8:14Speaker 2: Himp's a very good head coach, is So I think
- 8:17Speaker 2: both of those Okay, man, say which want we make
- 8:20Speaker 2: jokes about Napier? Napier was a good football coach and
- 8:23Speaker 2: doing a good job. He's been under some guys. I've
- 8:26Speaker 2: never been wild about his play calling. I mean, he
- 8:29Speaker 2: did get fired at Clemson because of his play calling.
- 8:32Speaker 2: But damn Mullen knows what he's doing. And I just wonder,
- 8:35Speaker 2: are their structural problems who's to fix? I mean, who
- 8:39Speaker 2: do they go get? You can say, well, we're gonna
- 8:41Speaker 2: go get Lane Kiffen. I don't know if Lane Kiffen's
- 8:44Speaker 2: leaving for that job.
- 8:48Speaker 1: I don't know either. I thought about that a lot
- 8:49Speaker 1: this week because I was trying to figure out who
- 8:51Speaker 1: would fit because to me, and if you haven't been
- 8:54Speaker 1: watching football for a really long time, I kind of
- 8:56Speaker 1: feel like Florida is in a Tennessee death spiral. Now
- 9:00Speaker 1: Tennessee's looks great right now, but if people don't remember
- 9:06Speaker 1: Phil Fellmo go yeah for like twenty years and so
- 9:09Speaker 1: you know, you reboot and it's so hot, it takes
- 9:12Speaker 1: so much time. You got to have so much st
- 9:14Speaker 1: and then if you're lucky enough to get the staff
- 9:17Speaker 1: together for a four year run or three or four
- 9:19Speaker 1: year run where you've got good OC's of DC's, you've
- 9:23Speaker 1: got good position coaches. I mean, I saw it at
- 9:25Speaker 1: Florida with Urban Meyer. They built it to the top.
- 9:28Speaker 1: People started leaving Texas with Mac Brown. Same thing Alabama.
- 9:33Speaker 1: And that's the reason Nick Saban's the goat is he's
- 9:35Speaker 1: the only one that's been able to overcome and have
- 9:38Speaker 1: some current over in the staff but yet play at
- 9:41Speaker 1: a high level throughout and keep winning. And so it's
- 9:44Speaker 1: fascinating to me. I think Clemson right now. I think
- 9:47Speaker 1: Dabo with his maentra on how he doesn't want to
- 9:50Speaker 1: play with the portal. I get it. You make the stance,
- 9:53Speaker 1: he may have to walk it back if he wants
- 9:55Speaker 1: to stay competitive in the game moving forward, but he's
- 9:57Speaker 1: also lost a lot of key you know, coordinators, He's
- 10:01Speaker 1: a key assistant coaches, and it just makes it harder
- 10:04Speaker 1: because you're having to build it all the time. And
- 10:07Speaker 1: I love the opinion, you know, and I think there's
- 10:08Speaker 1: a lot of bad coaches in spots right now. Like
- 10:10Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech people may think this is lappable
- 10:13Speaker 1: because they haven't been relevant since Mike Leach was there,
- 10:15Speaker 1: but they've got a ton of money behind that program.
- 10:18Speaker 1: They've got a beautiful stadium that they've just done, and
- 10:21Speaker 1: they've got a high school football coach that's learning how
- 10:23Speaker 1: to coach for the very first time. He was a
- 10:25Speaker 1: great high school football coach, but he's having to learn
- 10:28Speaker 1: how to coach in college at the top of the
- 10:29Speaker 1: level right now. And I think that's really hard to do.
- 10:32Speaker 3: So I couldn't agree with that assessmital Tech. I totally
- 10:36Speaker 3: agree with you.
- 10:37Speaker 1: And so I think coaching is difficult and there's even
- 10:39Speaker 1: more pressures on it now. And I think if you
- 10:41Speaker 1: look at the game just in the last four or
- 10:43Speaker 1: five years, with the evolution of the portal, I mean,
- 10:47Speaker 1: think about it, like Napier built his program up at ULL.
- 10:51Speaker 1: We rode him like the Wells Fargo wagon when he
- 10:55Speaker 1: was at UL. We loved it. He gets the Florida job,
- 10:58Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, let's hope this. He takes a
- 11:01Speaker 1: mountain of assistance and analysts over there with him. But
- 11:04Speaker 1: at the same time as all this is going on,
- 11:05Speaker 1: you're dealing with the transfer portal went from being kind
- 11:09Speaker 1: of open to now it's like recruit anybody's roster you want.
- 11:12Speaker 1: You've got nil money coming in from different places. I mean, hell,
- 11:15Speaker 1: the kid that's the freshman quarterback DJ Lagway, I mean,
- 11:19Speaker 1: I mean I live down the way from his folks.
- 11:22Speaker 1: I mean, the rumor is his whole nut between Gatorade,
- 11:25Speaker 1: what he's getting paid, sponsorship deals, He's got the opportunity
- 11:29Speaker 1: to make up to five million dollars this year. Oh
- 11:31Speaker 1: and that's crazy when you think about those types of things.
- 11:35Speaker 1: And so I think the evolution of this game is
- 11:38Speaker 1: constantly I mean, it's constantly flowing in a way that
- 11:43Speaker 1: these coaches are really struggling to hang on to it.
- 11:45Speaker 1: So I gotta play this.
- 11:47Speaker 2: Too about the Gators and this I don't this, I
- 11:51Speaker 2: don't care how much money you've got, and Texas saying
- 11:53Speaker 2: them ran into this like there wasn't a go hire.
- 11:57Speaker 2: I don't think hiring Elane Kiffin and paying him ten
- 11:59Speaker 2: or twelve million dollars because look, the next guy's got
- 12:02Speaker 2: to pay Kipton twelve or thirteen million. Yeah, he's making
- 12:06Speaker 2: almost ten million at Ole Miss. And look, those boosters
- 12:09Speaker 2: at Old Miss are ponying up. And for those of
- 12:11Speaker 2: you that aren't familiar with their fan base, the bulk
- 12:15Speaker 2: of their pride is whether they're successful or not in football,
- 12:18Speaker 2: and they like to rub your nose in it.
- 12:20Speaker 3: Those dudes will keep writing checks.
- 12:22Speaker 2: I mean that's a I mean, that's a fact that
- 12:24Speaker 2: their in aisl is not going away, and that really
- 12:26Speaker 2: is true.
- 12:27Speaker 3: They put so much pride on it.
- 12:29Speaker 2: And there you have guys that live in Dallas that
- 12:33Speaker 2: are going against the A and m's the Texas and
- 12:37Speaker 2: they just want so bad to be to pump their
- 12:40Speaker 2: chest out. You'll go in bars in downtown Dallas and
- 12:42Speaker 2: I mean this looks like a bar in Mississippi. There's
- 12:45Speaker 2: so many Old Miss people in there on a Saturday.
- 12:48Speaker 2: I mean, their boosters are going to keep throwing the
- 12:52Speaker 2: money they've got, so again, well, I think the Florida job,
- 12:55Speaker 2: long term and situationally, is clearly a better job than
- 12:59Speaker 2: Old Miss. I don't know if it's a better job
- 13:01Speaker 2: right now, and I mean the hell it ain't a
- 13:03Speaker 2: better job right now. And I don't mean on field results.
- 13:05Speaker 2: I mean what's going on within the program. They got
- 13:08Speaker 2: an ex basketball player at Ole Miss that's athletic director.
- 13:11Speaker 2: They got a guy that's in charge of raising funds
- 13:14Speaker 2: and things like that, that's an ext football player. You
- 13:16Speaker 2: got the Manning family that's very heavily involved, man.
- 13:20Speaker 3: And then you mix in they got some wealthy, wealthy
- 13:22Speaker 3: boostery too.
- 13:23Speaker 2: I mean they got a couple of billionaire alumni, So
- 13:26Speaker 2: I mean that are heavily involved.
- 13:28Speaker 3: Man.
- 13:28Speaker 2: I'm telling you that's they got it on the track
- 13:31Speaker 2: up there. And what I think is amazing about Old
- 13:35Speaker 2: Miss well, and I think the fit with Kiffin had
- 13:38Speaker 2: a fifty to fifty chance. Do you blow up good
- 13:41Speaker 2: or blow up bad. It's blowing up good at Old Miss.
- 13:44Speaker 2: What Florida's got to do. And I think with the
- 13:46Speaker 2: bulk of these teams that are struggling, you got to
- 13:48Speaker 2: go find the right fit. People are forgetting fit. They
- 13:52Speaker 2: just want to go higher and make us splash, go
- 13:54Speaker 2: get a fit, because that's as critical. Understanding that program
- 14:00Speaker 2: and how it operates and what the challenges are is
- 14:03Speaker 2: as critical, almost as putting a staff together and understanding
- 14:10Speaker 2: what they're capable of. In support of the staff and
- 14:14Speaker 2: the players that you get on campus. I think some
- 14:16Speaker 2: of that clearly is lacking at Florida.
- 14:18Speaker 1: So enough of that. Got that's all behind us. Last
- 14:22Speaker 1: week winning Week five and three, Underdog Parlay did not hit,
- 14:26Speaker 1: so we're one and two on the season for Underdog Parlays.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Week four now we are dead even at five hundred
- 14:33Speaker 1: on the season at fourteen and fourteen, which, if you
- 14:36Speaker 1: know anything about gambling, means that's not making you any money.
- 14:39Speaker 1: We are getting better, brother, this is week four. I
- 14:42Speaker 1: feel like I see the board. I'm excited. We got
- 14:45Speaker 1: games Thursday, we got games Friday. We've got a great
- 14:48Speaker 1: slate on Saturday. This is shaping up. I mean, I
- 14:50Speaker 1: know you've got that October twelfth Saturday weekend. It's going
- 14:53Speaker 1: to be gigantic, but this is shaping up to one
- 14:55Speaker 1: of those weekends, and you're starting to get these new
- 14:57Speaker 1: rivalries in the Big ten rolling Man, I'm excited. Got it?
- 15:01Speaker 1: Lit them to recap a couple and then we'll knock
- 15:03Speaker 1: this thing out Thursday night. As we record this thing
- 15:06Speaker 1: Thursday morning, South Alabama Appy State Atty State hadn't quite
- 15:10Speaker 1: figured these guys out yet. They're laying seven and a
- 15:12Speaker 1: half over here sixty three. South Alabama hung up eighty
- 15:15Speaker 1: seven points our Northwestern Alabama through three quarters and then
- 15:19Speaker 1: started shutting it down.
- 15:21Speaker 3: Uh.
- 15:21Speaker 1: Interesting thing about this game. You got two kids with
- 15:23Speaker 1: Spanish last name starting a quarterback. You've got Geo Lopez
- 15:27Speaker 1: in South Alabama and Aguilar and Appalachian State Appleach. I
- 15:31Speaker 1: lean to the over in this one. South Alabama plays
- 15:33Speaker 1: with a shit ton of tempo and I think they're
- 15:36Speaker 1: gonna have to get into a shootout if they want
- 15:37Speaker 1: to win again. Appalachian State appleas States really struggled to
- 15:40Speaker 1: get the run game going so far this season, but
- 15:43Speaker 1: I think it's gonna just turn into a lot of
- 15:44Speaker 1: points in this one. Not a major Applewaite fan, I
- 15:47Speaker 1: kind of hope our Appy State just rolls these guys
- 15:49Speaker 1: up like a donut. Lean to the over, but no
- 15:52Speaker 1: true play as of yet.
- 15:54Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with that.
- 15:55Speaker 2: I do. I do kind of like one of the
- 15:58Speaker 2: one of the one of the Friday games a little
- 16:00Speaker 2: bit better. You know when I I will when I
- 16:04Speaker 2: will get involved in. I'm kind of hoping this number
- 16:06Speaker 2: keeps going up.
- 16:09Speaker 1: Uh. Three of you got Stanford, Syracuse, Illinois, Nebraska, San
- 16:12Speaker 1: Jose State, Washington State.
- 16:15Speaker 2: Yeah, the Illinois line, I kind of cope he keeps
- 16:18Speaker 2: going up.
- 16:19Speaker 3: I think that game is gonna be maybe a little
- 16:20Speaker 3: bit closer. Uh.
- 16:22Speaker 2: I think the Illinois defense may be able to keep
- 16:24Speaker 2: it close, and I know that Nebraska defense is going
- 16:26Speaker 2: to be able to keep them low scoring.
- 16:29Speaker 3: I kind of like San Jose too. I liked it
- 16:31Speaker 3: more when it was bigger.
- 16:32Speaker 2: This is such a letdown spot for Wazoo because they
- 16:35Speaker 2: got a big game next week. That number has dropped.
- 16:38Speaker 2: You'll see a lot of professional gambling sites stuff like
- 16:42Speaker 2: that have have taken this game. Is one of the
- 16:45Speaker 2: reasons the number has dropped. So you got to decide.
- 16:48Speaker 2: I kind of like San Jose. I'm probably still gonna
- 16:50Speaker 2: be involved in San Jose as well.
- 16:52Speaker 1: Yeah. I took a little San Jose State when it
- 16:56Speaker 1: was at fourteen. Somebody must have released it dropped it
- 16:59Speaker 1: down the it's the late game Friday night. I might
- 17:02Speaker 1: take a little money line at plus three fifty because
- 17:05Speaker 1: I could see Washington because Wazoo plays Boise next week,
- 17:13Speaker 1: which is a much bigger game than San Jose State.
- 17:15Speaker 1: If you haven't watched San Jose State play yet, man,
- 17:17Speaker 1: they're pretty fun to watch. Their total Mountain West team.
- 17:20Speaker 1: They've got one receiver that can blow it out, Nash
- 17:24Speaker 1: and that's all you need sometimes in the Mountain West
- 17:26Speaker 1: to get it done. And on the Illinois Nebraska game,
- 17:29Speaker 1: I'm interested to watch. This is a huge game. Both
- 17:32Speaker 1: these teams ranked for the first time playing each other,
- 17:34Speaker 1: and as long as I can remember, Nebraska hasn't been
- 17:38Speaker 1: ranked in goodness gracious forever, it seems like to me.
- 17:41Speaker 1: And you've got a true freshman quarterback in this game,
- 17:45Speaker 1: Friday night main game. That's here. You've got veteran coaches.
- 17:48Speaker 1: I think Burt's but back then could keep that was
- 17:51Speaker 1: kind of funny. I think the Illinois back in could
- 17:53Speaker 1: keep it in check with Burts back in. I listened
- 17:56Speaker 1: to a guy the other day who was talking all
- 17:57Speaker 1: about Illinois. He kept going, wat, I think Illinois is
- 18:01Speaker 1: the play in this game, and I was like, Bro,
- 18:03Speaker 1: you at least got to learn how to pronounce the state.
- 18:07Speaker 1: It's not someone's last name annoying me from American Samoa.
- 18:10Speaker 1: But you can't be rolling out some Illinois has got
- 18:12Speaker 1: a better defense than this one. So no true plays
- 18:15Speaker 1: there in Lean San Jose State. If you can get
- 18:17Speaker 1: you at fourteen, if it moves back that way, great,
- 18:19Speaker 1: I'm going to play a little bit on the plus
- 18:21Speaker 1: three fifty. Just have some pizza money involved and go
- 18:23Speaker 1: from there. Gotty first game I want to hit up
- 18:25Speaker 1: his Saturday. I'm going Charlotte in Indiana. Lione here is
- 18:30Speaker 1: gross minus twenty eight and a half. I might buy
- 18:32Speaker 1: the hook and get it down to twenty eight. Earlier
- 18:34Speaker 1: in the week we saw it as low as twenty
- 18:36Speaker 1: seven and a half. It must have gotten popped and
- 18:38Speaker 1: it moved over there. Charlotte is awful. I don't know
- 18:41Speaker 1: if I love Bill Pogey and how he'll roll out
- 18:44Speaker 1: with his sleeves cut off to coach a game. If
- 18:46Speaker 1: you haven't seen this yet, go google it and check
- 18:48Speaker 1: it out. But Signetti has done a hell of a
- 18:50Speaker 1: job since he took over in Indiana. And he said
- 18:52Speaker 1: he was going to he came in and yeah, and
- 18:56Speaker 1: he came in. When that opening game opening press conference
- 18:59Speaker 1: in Indiana, letting people know he's a winner. I'm here
- 19:02Speaker 1: to win. That's what we're gonna do. I don't know
- 19:05Speaker 1: if you saw him or not, but for the first
- 19:06Speaker 1: home game for Indiana, someone can send me a link.
- 19:09Speaker 1: I'll buy it. They came out with shirts with the
- 19:11Speaker 1: Marlborough logo on them that just said signetti and so,
- 19:14Speaker 1: which is fantastic. So I'm going Siggs outside, baby, I'm
- 19:17Speaker 1: gonna lay it in the first half and I'm gonna
- 19:19Speaker 1: lay the whole total for Indiana. And this one you've
- 19:22Speaker 1: got the transfer for Ohio. Rourke has played a great
- 19:25Speaker 1: season so far, and this Charlotte team is hella awful.
- 19:28Speaker 1: They really banged up. This will be my second or
- 19:32Speaker 1: third time to fade this team. As we get into it,
- 19:34Speaker 1: let's go Hoosiers, cheer for them to be the Indiana
- 19:37Speaker 1: State champs. First game, I'm gonna be laying it downs
- 19:40Speaker 1: minus twenty eight and a half with Indiana with the
- 19:42Speaker 1: lean on the first half as well. Let's get it
- 19:45Speaker 1: both ways. Maybe second game, second games, gott it. I'm
- 19:50Speaker 1: gonna toss this with them all the way over to you.
- 19:52Speaker 1: Let's go to an ACC matchup n C State and
- 19:55Speaker 1: Clemson line here is at minus twenty and a half
- 19:57Speaker 1: for Clemson. Most people, after watching Clemson in that first
- 20:01Speaker 1: game of the season against Georgia, kind of disregarded this team.
- 20:04Speaker 1: Thought they were done, not going to make it to
- 20:06Speaker 1: the College football playoffs, can't win the ACC, so on
- 20:09Speaker 1: and so forth. N C State coming in here. This
- 20:11Speaker 1: has been a team over the years that we've really
- 20:13Speaker 1: ridden hard. They had Grayson McCall transferred down from Coast
- 20:16Speaker 1: to Carolina to play, transfer up and Coast of Carolina
- 20:19Speaker 1: to play the NC State this year. I really thought
- 20:21Speaker 1: this team was going to be electric, but McCall's pop
- 20:24Speaker 1: gun arm and just has not been able to translate
- 20:27Speaker 1: into ACC play very well. So they've actually switched quarterbacks.
- 20:31Speaker 1: They've got a true freshman quarterback and CJ. Bailey it's
- 20:34Speaker 1: going to be starting this game against Clemson on Saturday.
- 20:38Speaker 1: Where are we gonna put our heart earned after tax
- 20:41Speaker 1: dollars when it comes to this game?
- 20:42Speaker 2: Maybe you know what it's they've already made the switch.
- 20:46Speaker 2: McCall got benched. You know where's that stand? As we
- 20:51Speaker 2: go forward, Clemson has really seems like they've gotten in
- 20:54Speaker 2: on the track. It was like that Georgia game was
- 20:56Speaker 2: a wake up call to them and that would that
- 21:01Speaker 2: was a shock to me. But then equally the way
- 21:05Speaker 2: they just as can da blatch and State was a
- 21:08Speaker 2: surprise to me too.
- 21:09Speaker 3: So I kind of like Clemson here.
- 21:11Speaker 2: I think lay in twenty and a half that this
- 21:13Speaker 2: is more about NC State being a mess, and I'm
- 21:16Speaker 2: going to.
- 21:16Speaker 3: Get into what I believe.
- 21:19Speaker 2: The transfer portal is the most fascinating thing because it
- 21:24Speaker 2: really is exposing who can evaluate talent, and there's a
- 21:30Speaker 2: lot of coaches out there that can't evaluate talent. There's
- 21:32Speaker 2: a reason dudes weren't trans weren't translating to three and
- 21:38Speaker 2: four and five stars. If you ever go watch a
- 21:42Speaker 2: five star running back versus a three star running back.
- 21:46Speaker 2: All right, there's three star guys that make All American
- 21:49Speaker 2: every year, you know, but when you watch a five
- 21:52Speaker 2: star guy, it ain't figure hard to figure out why
- 21:54Speaker 2: that dude's a five star.
- 21:56Speaker 3: I mean, they're explosive. I mean, they are just dynamic.
- 22:00Speaker 2: You watch me, like damn, I mean, they take three
- 22:03Speaker 2: and four times in a high school football game, They're
- 22:05Speaker 2: gonna take it sixty eighty yards for a touchdown and
- 22:07Speaker 2: don't make a Damn who gets blocked? Who doesn't? Those
- 22:10Speaker 2: dudes are just the electric and then the three star
- 22:13Speaker 2: guy may be explosive and may be electric, but not
- 22:16Speaker 2: quite the same burst. Well, we're getting a lot of
- 22:19Speaker 2: coaches that are getting exposed. They're watching these guys playing
- 22:22Speaker 2: in Grayson McCall being a prime example of dominates at
- 22:26Speaker 2: the lower level and just looks incredible and you think, man,
- 22:29Speaker 2: he's gonna come up and blow it up. And then
- 22:31Speaker 2: he gets up there with dudes that are bigger, faster,
- 22:33Speaker 2: and stronger and he can't do it. And I think
- 22:35Speaker 2: that's exactly what has happened in this case, at least
- 22:37Speaker 2: that's the way it look to me watching because I
- 22:40Speaker 2: watched a couple of their games. That kid was over
- 22:42Speaker 2: his head against the volunteers, I mean completely over his head.
- 22:46Speaker 2: And I think that's a lot of what's going on
- 22:50Speaker 2: as a result. All Like Clemson, I think they're on
- 22:52Speaker 2: the tracks. I think it's at home. You know, n
- 22:54Speaker 2: C States won this game and derailed Clemson a couple
- 22:58Speaker 2: of times in Clemson, it ain't happening this time. Give
- 23:01Speaker 2: me the Tigers in twenty and a half.
- 23:03Speaker 1: I agree with you. Maybe I think Clemson is gonna
- 23:06Speaker 1: fucking work these dudes. I definitely I like Clemson's defense
- 23:11Speaker 1: a lot, man, and I think Clemson's gonna work these
- 23:13Speaker 1: guys on Saturday. I don't think. I think we close.
- 23:16Speaker 1: Next game, baby, let's go to famous Mitchie Stadium up
- 23:19Speaker 1: in West Point, New York. Army will be hosting Rice.
- 23:23Speaker 1: This game has been taking steam all week long. Nobody
- 23:26Speaker 1: wants to talk about it. Army's pretty good, their offense
- 23:29Speaker 1: looks great. I am excited for the Army Navy game
- 23:31Speaker 1: end of the year. I'll be attending this one. Rice.
- 23:34Speaker 1: On the other hand, I think a lot of people
- 23:36Speaker 1: had high hopes for this team. They benched EJ. Warner
- 23:39Speaker 1: a couple last week as their quarterback in this place.
- 23:41Speaker 1: They've really struggled to find any answers offensively. Just haven't
- 23:45Speaker 1: been able to get it done. I mean, first game
- 23:47Speaker 1: of the season, this team was taking money in some
- 23:49Speaker 1: spots when they played Sam Houston State and just got
- 23:52Speaker 1: dominated physically in this one. Rice is one of the
- 23:55Speaker 1: worst teams in the country. To me, I've downgraded them, really,
- 23:58Speaker 1: I'm way down and Army on the head, I like
- 24:00Speaker 1: them in that group of five spot. How much fun
- 24:03Speaker 1: would it be if Army somehow went undefeated on the
- 24:05Speaker 1: season and ended up being the Group of five qualifier
- 24:10Speaker 1: into the tournament. Oh, I'm talking about that. That would
- 24:13Speaker 1: be so awesome, though.
- 24:16Speaker 2: How about Army and maybe both undefeated here as we
- 24:19Speaker 2: approach the end of September, and I think that probably
- 24:22Speaker 2: ends for Navy this week, but not for Army. I
- 24:25Speaker 2: like them lay in the sixth. I think they're gonna
- 24:27Speaker 2: I just think they're more physical than these guys do too.
- 24:30Speaker 2: I think this team is well. Look, I ain't Monkin's
- 24:33Speaker 2: one of the best coaches in the country, and I look,
- 24:38Speaker 2: there's been some Power Five jobs he's tried to get.
- 24:41Speaker 3: I think he would have been very, very good fits.
- 24:43Speaker 2: I think they people were concerned about would his offense translate.
- 24:48Speaker 3: He keeps saying, I'm not.
- 24:49Speaker 2: Gonna run the triple option, We're gonna run more spread.
- 24:52Speaker 3: I just don't have the skill set to do that.
- 24:56Speaker 2: I just people keep hiring the splash instead of hiring
- 25:00Speaker 2: guys that know how to coach football. And I'm point
- 25:04Speaker 2: Kirk Signetti that guy ending up at at Indiana is
- 25:08Speaker 2: a complete joke after his resume, but it's because he
- 25:11Speaker 2: was sixty one or whatever when he's in his early sixties.
- 25:14Speaker 2: That's the reason he didn't get more jobs with all
- 25:16Speaker 2: the jobs that are open. That guy's resume says, I'm
- 25:19Speaker 2: a winner. That guy says, I know how to build
- 25:21Speaker 2: a program. And you're watching all these big schools fail
- 25:25Speaker 2: because they're worried about making a splash, and they're worried
- 25:27Speaker 2: that a sixty one year old guy ain't the splash.
- 25:30Speaker 2: And you got to build a program, you got to
- 25:33Speaker 2: hire a dude. It's just like you got to have
- 25:35Speaker 2: dudes to play good defense, but you got to have
- 25:37Speaker 2: a dude on the sideline too, And that doesn't give
- 25:40Speaker 2: a shit what anybody says on the message board. And
- 25:43Speaker 2: it isn't going to look like a deer in the
- 25:45Speaker 2: heads lights when it doesn't go his way. And I
- 25:48Speaker 2: think that is exactly what Monkin is an army, and
- 25:51Speaker 2: I think he's doing a really really good job with
- 25:53Speaker 2: obviously a team that's significantly below pretty much everybody, Rice
- 25:57Speaker 2: being one of the exceptions.
- 25:59Speaker 3: They'll be on an equal talent scale this weekend.
- 26:02Speaker 1: I love Army in this spot. Probably one of my
- 26:04Speaker 1: favorite plays UH got on early. It's still moved. I
- 26:07Speaker 1: would take anything under a touchdown. I'm still leaning that
- 26:10Speaker 1: you can ride with the army in this one game.
- 26:13Speaker 1: I don't have any opinion on but I kind of
- 26:15Speaker 1: like Twu Lane going on the road to ULL in
- 26:17Speaker 1: this spot. I think two lanees a little bit more
- 26:19Speaker 1: buttoned up than what we've seen from UL so far,
- 26:22Speaker 1: So I would lean Tu Lane and that one. But
- 26:25Speaker 1: that's just the segue Scottie to get to the best
- 26:27Speaker 1: game of the weekend. We're gonna go to start Vegas
- 26:30Speaker 1: and we've got Mississippi State will be hosting the Florida Gators.
- 26:33Speaker 1: Two teams that no one wants to talk about. Unless
- 26:36Speaker 1: you're a parent or a die hard fan, you may
- 26:38Speaker 1: not even watch the game. What are we gonna get
- 26:40Speaker 1: from these two teams?
- 26:41Speaker 2: Uh, let me tell you something I said on the
- 26:43Speaker 2: lead in I think Mississippi State may be the worst
- 26:45Speaker 2: power for a program in the country.
- 26:47Speaker 3: And I'm not kidding. They suck.
- 26:49Speaker 2: They can't block their defenses awful. I mean, their best
- 26:52Speaker 2: players on the third level. He leads the tackle, leads
- 26:55Speaker 2: the team in tackles. They're kind of banged up on
- 26:57Speaker 2: the defensive line, which was already shallow in anyway. The
- 27:01Speaker 2: only good player they got on the defensive line h
- 27:03Speaker 2: double team every play, nobody else is worth the damn
- 27:05Speaker 2: so they can't make a play and that team's bad.
- 27:08Speaker 2: They ran a simple Thelito ran a simple flood play
- 27:13Speaker 2: last week. I mean it's what we're running with seventh
- 27:17Speaker 2: graders in seven on seven. I mean just basic, just
- 27:21Speaker 2: a basic flood play. They had a dude to open
- 27:24Speaker 2: at all three levels, and I don't mean open, I
- 27:27Speaker 2: mean wide ass open. And it was like second series
- 27:30Speaker 2: of the game. I slipped in one of my friends.
- 27:31Speaker 2: I was like, we're about to get the hell beat
- 27:33Speaker 2: out of us. Oh man, this's early. I'm like, nope,
- 27:36Speaker 2: we're about to get killed. You can't cover a junior
- 27:38Speaker 2: high play and you're not any good. That's the bottom line.
- 27:41Speaker 2: This defense is as bad as any team I've seen.
- 27:44Speaker 2: I don't care that Florida is a mess. Mississippi State's
- 27:47Speaker 2: a bigger one. Lay the points with the Gators. This
- 27:49Speaker 2: line's going up for a reason. State sucks. Billy gets
- 27:53Speaker 2: the heat off of him for a week until he
- 27:54Speaker 2: goes gets crushed by Gus Bust next week.
- 28:00Speaker 1: Oh let's go Florida Gators to finally get one cover
- 28:05Speaker 1: in a win. They're taking a lot of money. Seventy
- 28:07Speaker 1: one percent of the money has come in on this team,
- 28:09Speaker 1: and so a lot of folks who are riding along
- 28:11Speaker 1: with you in this one. Let's move along that We've
- 28:14Speaker 1: got a couple of more in here. Buffalo, Northern Illinois
- 28:16Speaker 1: don't have a true play on this one. Northern Illinois
- 28:19Speaker 1: rank for the first time after that win over Notre
- 28:21Speaker 1: Dame lay in fourteen and a half. This lane's actually
- 28:24Speaker 1: crept up a half point. Buffalo is taking all the
- 28:28Speaker 1: money at plus fourteen, and Buffalo is not great. I
- 28:31Speaker 1: don't know if you watch them or not, but this
- 28:33Speaker 1: is Had this game been last week, I would have
- 28:35Speaker 1: for sure, but Buffalo. But because they had a week
- 28:38Speaker 1: off to kind of absorb that win, I'm gonna pass.
- 28:41Speaker 1: But it looks like Buffalo's taking all the sharp money
- 28:44Speaker 1: in this one because it's a thirty eight percent of
- 28:46Speaker 1: the handle and our thirty eight two percent of the
- 28:49Speaker 1: money coming in on DraftKings is all coming in on Buffalo.
- 28:52Speaker 1: You got a mac opinion on this one.
- 28:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm gonna go against the Sharps, but no,
- 28:57Speaker 2: I don't have a full play on this game. The
- 29:01Speaker 2: Mac game that I like a little more than this one.
- 29:03Speaker 2: I would play Northern Hill if I'm going to play,
- 29:05Speaker 2: because I think they're better. They are the best team
- 29:08Speaker 2: in the MAC. That's that's the bottom line. Uh, and
- 29:11Speaker 2: take Notre Dame out of it. Uh, they're the best
- 29:14Speaker 2: team in the MAC. But if I'm will play a
- 29:17Speaker 2: MAC game this weekend, I would lean more towards Ohio
- 29:20Speaker 2: because I think Kentucky's gonna be flat as a pancake.
- 29:23Speaker 2: I mean, they laid it all on the line last week. Yes,
- 29:26Speaker 2: it's at home, they come back home, but man, they
- 29:29Speaker 2: laid it all on the line at Georgia last week.
- 29:32Speaker 2: I'm just laying an egg the previous week against South Carolina.
- 29:36Speaker 2: So I would lean probably a little more towards Ohio.
- 29:40Speaker 1: Rolling along that we've got to smear.
- 29:42Speaker 2: Also like bowling Green at A and M because I
- 29:45Speaker 2: think A and M may be flat too.
- 29:47Speaker 1: I kind of like the game as well, and they
- 29:49Speaker 1: get involved in that one. We'll wait till Saturday to
- 29:51Speaker 1: see Rutgers Virginia Tech. Rutgers getting three and a half,
- 29:55Speaker 1: going on the road to Blacksburg. Virginia Tech's got a
- 29:57Speaker 1: big game on deck next week. Maybe they play Miami
- 30:00Speaker 1: on Friday night. I've all Rutgers here, baby, give me
- 30:03Speaker 1: the fighting Greg Cianos plus three and a half, and
- 30:06Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you in on a little secret thing
- 30:08Speaker 1: might be part of my money one Underdog parklay as
- 30:10Speaker 1: we get ready to roll this thing out. I love
- 30:12Speaker 1: this spot for Rutgers, and I like Virginia Tech. I've
- 30:15Speaker 1: actually downgraded Virginia Tech a little bit this season. I
- 30:18Speaker 1: thought this team was gonna be better. This is not
- 30:21Speaker 1: a this is not a conference game. This is still
- 30:24Speaker 1: a Big Ten ACC matchup from the squad. Rutgers falls
- 30:28Speaker 1: in the category of what I call my running dogs.
- 30:30Speaker 1: I wish they were getting four points here, but they're
- 30:33Speaker 1: out rushing Virginia Tech and they're averaging over two hundred
- 30:36Speaker 1: yards per game on the ground. I like this spot
- 30:38Speaker 1: for Rutgers getting three and a half. Quiet game. Nobody's
- 30:41Speaker 1: really paying attention, give me scarlet nights.
- 30:44Speaker 2: Let me tell you something, my buddy John is not
- 30:46Speaker 2: gonna appreciate this. I got a couple of Virginia Tech
- 30:48Speaker 2: friends in the neighborhood. I aint Rutgers wins this game,
- 30:52Speaker 2: straight up. I don't think three and a half matters.
- 30:54Speaker 2: I don't think four matters. I ain't your better football team.
- 30:57Speaker 2: Aink Ciano is going to come in. I think they're
- 30:59Speaker 2: going to really control the line of scrimmage on both
- 31:03Speaker 2: sides of the football. Greg John is really, really, really
- 31:06Speaker 2: good football coach. He may be a total layhole, but
- 31:09Speaker 2: that dude can coach football. He's old school, and I
- 31:12Speaker 2: think again it takes him in the right fit because
- 31:15Speaker 2: he is old school. But man, I like the job
- 31:19Speaker 2: he's doing for the second time in New Jersey.
- 31:23Speaker 3: I think they get straight up. I love getting the
- 31:26Speaker 3: points here. One of my favorite plays of the week.
- 31:28Speaker 1: Ob writers. Next one, I want to go to Arizona State.
- 31:31Speaker 1: Texas Tech line here is three over under? Was it
- 31:34Speaker 1: fifty eight and hats creeped up to around sixty. I'm
- 31:37Speaker 1: dead over here. Texas Tech defense is still buttonneck in
- 31:40Speaker 1: the back end, and they've got injuries all over the
- 31:43Speaker 1: place in that back in the back of that defense,
- 31:46Speaker 1: and last week Baron Morton finally got the timing right
- 31:49Speaker 1: with the offense. I think it looked good. I like
- 31:51Speaker 1: the fact that they're coming home a getting to play
- 31:53Speaker 1: this week Arizona State. Last week I felt like my
- 31:56Speaker 1: handicap was dead right. Texas State should have won that game,
- 31:59Speaker 1: but they did what teams that have more talent do.
- 32:01Speaker 1: They came out in the second half, made some adjustments
- 32:04Speaker 1: and were able to slow down Texas State's offense and
- 32:08Speaker 1: go from there. But the one thing I was really
- 32:09Speaker 1: surprised about camp Scataboo was he was invisible in that game.
- 32:13Speaker 1: He only had like fifty six yard rushing in that game.
- 32:15Speaker 1: That's there, But I think you get a bigger performance
- 32:18Speaker 1: here from Arizona State. Traveling into levin I don't think
- 32:20Speaker 1: that it's gonna be hot. I don't think that's gonna matter.
- 32:23Speaker 1: When looks to be around ten eleven miles an hour
- 32:25Speaker 1: or anything over fifteen, I kind of start leaning more
- 32:28Speaker 1: towards the under. I'll pass on that one, but I
- 32:30Speaker 1: think you're gonna get some fireworks in this one. Give
- 32:32Speaker 1: me the over at fifty eight and a half to sixty.
- 32:34Speaker 1: I wouldn't take it anything over sixty one.
- 32:37Speaker 2: But it looked like Arizona State have a better defensive
- 32:40Speaker 2: line those first two weeks of the year at the Mississippi
- 32:42Speaker 2: State and then and then our first three weeks of
- 32:45Speaker 2: the year and then against Texas State. But now at
- 32:49Speaker 2: to watching State live it's just their offensive line is awful.
- 32:52Speaker 2: I mean it's awful.
- 32:53Speaker 3: I mean.
- 32:56Speaker 2: I don't know that this Arizona State defense is any
- 32:58Speaker 2: good either. Now, they did slow down in Texas State,
- 33:00Speaker 2: but it's not just a talent differential. Probably so, and
- 33:05Speaker 2: I think that is kind of what the defense is.
- 33:07Speaker 3: I agree here.
- 33:08Speaker 2: But for them to score points, Kataboo's got to get
- 33:11Speaker 2: loose because their quarterback's not accurate with the football. But
- 33:14Speaker 2: I do think that Tech defense is so bad he's
- 33:16Speaker 2: gonna be able to do it. I think it's gonna
- 33:18Speaker 2: be high scoring, and I just don't think Tech defense
- 33:22Speaker 2: is good enough to keep Arizona State from scoring. And
- 33:26Speaker 2: I think the Texas Tech offense is going to score
- 33:30Speaker 2: some points.
- 33:31Speaker 1: Yeah. I agree, They've got to keep going every ian
- 33:35Speaker 1: because they don't have the defense to hold this thing out.
- 33:36Speaker 1: So they're gonna have to put numbers up. USC Michigan
- 33:39Speaker 1: five and a half. This is an interesting game. Kind
- 33:41Speaker 1: of reminds me of Rose Bowl sitting at Arbor. This
- 33:44Speaker 1: Michigan team, to me, though, when I look at this
- 33:46Speaker 1: Michigan team, I'm kind of smelling little eight and four,
- 33:49Speaker 1: seven and five. I lean USC to cover this one
- 33:52Speaker 1: and win. But where I liked it was the over
- 33:54Speaker 1: of the under. I played it at forty six and
- 33:56Speaker 1: a half on Tuesday. It's gotten hit since you and
- 33:59Speaker 1: I started recording. It was forty four and a half
- 34:01Speaker 1: when we started. It's all the way down to forty four.
- 34:04Speaker 1: Alex Orgy is going to be playing quarterback for Michigan.
- 34:06Speaker 1: I went back and looked this up. This is impressive.
- 34:09Speaker 1: In high school, he didn't complete over fifty five percent
- 34:12Speaker 1: of his passes, and so I'm just letting you know
- 34:15Speaker 1: you were going to get a lot of run in
- 34:17Speaker 1: this game against Michigan. Here. I like the USC defense.
- 34:21Speaker 1: I think it's better. I think it's being better coached.
- 34:23Speaker 1: I like what the Downtown Lynn is done. They looked
- 34:26Speaker 1: good against LSU in the spot, so I leaned to
- 34:28Speaker 1: the USC defense. Is the reason I put this play
- 34:30Speaker 1: in here. And I wouldn't anticipate Michigan throws the ball
- 34:33Speaker 1: more than fifteen times in this one. I also think
- 34:36Speaker 1: that there's a massive downgrade in coaching between Searan Moore
- 34:41Speaker 1: and Jim Harbaugh. You're seeing some uncharacteristic things from Michigan,
- 34:44Speaker 1: some seven or eight penalties a game that they wouldn't
- 34:46Speaker 1: have had last year. Just don't look buttoned up to me,
- 34:49Speaker 1: lean to the under, but look forward to watching the game.
- 34:51Speaker 3: No doubt about that.
- 34:52Speaker 2: There's a coaching down grade, and that's not anything offensive
- 34:57Speaker 2: to Serian Moore. It's the whole reason first year coach
- 35:00Speaker 2: man take the under on their win totals.
- 35:03Speaker 3: I mean a lot of them struggle.
- 35:04Speaker 2: I mean, there just aren't many guys that are just
- 35:08Speaker 2: gonna roll right in and be awesome right out of
- 35:11Speaker 2: the gate. And there's not many Kirby's smarts. But I
- 35:14Speaker 2: mean George wasn't Georgia for a couple of years either,
- 35:16Speaker 2: So sure it took him two years. I think the
- 35:18Speaker 2: really what it was that second year when he was
- 35:21Speaker 2: playing Bama when the second year was the third year. Anyway, Uh,
- 35:25Speaker 2: there's just not many Kirby smarts. But he also walked
- 35:27Speaker 2: into one of the best programs in America. Uh, there's
- 35:31Speaker 2: a big difference. So I mean, look, let's let's look
- 35:34Speaker 2: at Texas. I mean, how many jobs did their coach
- 35:39Speaker 2: have before he became a great head coach? So there's
- 35:42Speaker 2: a big There's a big difference in coaching on the fly.
- 35:45Speaker 2: I think more is just learning on the job and
- 35:49Speaker 2: that's a tough, tough place, especially the year. If I
- 35:51Speaker 2: win and a natty to learn on the job, I
- 35:53Speaker 2: still think the under is the play here. If you're
- 35:55Speaker 2: gonna play it, this just does. They have got to
- 36:00Speaker 2: run the ball at Michigan, which is going to eat
- 36:02Speaker 2: a lot of clock. While I think USC has some explosion,
- 36:06Speaker 2: I question how much are they going to be able
- 36:11Speaker 2: to stop the run against this big, physical team. And
- 36:14Speaker 2: I do think that defense of Michigan is still really
- 36:17Speaker 2: really good. It's a hell of a lot better than
- 36:20Speaker 2: the defense they played to LSU. So I think this
- 36:23Speaker 2: is going to be a low scoring affair.
- 36:26Speaker 1: Next one, I've got Scotty. Let's go to Baton Rouge. Saturday.
- 36:29Speaker 1: LSU will be at home hosting UCLA. I'm reading practice
- 36:33Speaker 1: reports at this ucl and we thought this UCLA team
- 36:35Speaker 1: was going to be bad. We talked about him being
- 36:37Speaker 1: a fade all season. They're having to travel across the
- 36:39Speaker 1: country to Baton Rouge to play this game. LSU just
- 36:42Speaker 1: came off of that win when they had to come
- 36:44Speaker 1: back from being down seventeen points against South Carolina. It
- 36:48Speaker 1: looks like they may have found a little bit of
- 36:50Speaker 1: a running game with the freshman Kden Durham. It looks
- 36:53Speaker 1: like a bowling ball out there. Man, if we had
- 36:54Speaker 1: to play last year in high school. He's tough. But
- 36:57Speaker 1: they're getting ninety one percent of the money on this
- 36:58Speaker 1: one at minus twenty four. Roll in LSU, man, I
- 37:01Speaker 1: think UCLA is a tire fire. Give me you give
- 37:03Speaker 1: me LSU minus twenty four. It's gonna be so fucking
- 37:06Speaker 1: hot and humid at this game on Saturday that these
- 37:09Speaker 1: kids from LA. I think they're just gonna be out
- 37:12Speaker 1: of it by the second half. But I don't think
- 37:14Speaker 1: this team's got a lot of I read the report
- 37:16Speaker 1: this week that they had to start practice twice just
- 37:19Speaker 1: because there wasn't enough energy in practice, And I think
- 37:22Speaker 1: this team is already kind of starting to realize, man,
- 37:24Speaker 1: we're not very good, kind of start evaluating what our
- 37:27Speaker 1: options are if we're gonna transfer out of here. Give
- 37:29Speaker 1: me LSU minus twenty four, baby, That's all I got
- 37:31Speaker 1: on that one mark they're in La.
- 37:36Speaker 2: Man, anybody can see this coaching train wreck coming, and
- 37:40Speaker 2: it didn't. It didn't take Nostra Damas to figure it out.
- 37:44Speaker 2: To figure it out, Ucla is a mess. I mean,
- 37:47Speaker 2: they just got gas can I mean drill by an
- 37:53Speaker 2: Indiana team with the first year coaching, the transfer quarterback.
- 37:56Speaker 2: It's not like that's the picture of continuity up there.
- 38:00Speaker 2: I mean, and they just got hammer time at home.
- 38:03Speaker 2: I think they're about to get at home. And of course,
- 38:06Speaker 2: now there might have been eight people in the Rose Bowl,
- 38:09Speaker 2: let's let's talk about that is what there seriously may
- 38:12Speaker 2: have been as many Indiana fans as there were as
- 38:16Speaker 2: there were UCLA fans, but doesn't matter. They're going to
- 38:22Speaker 2: really get pounded. And I don't even think LSU is
- 38:24Speaker 2: any good. I mean, they're any good. And I'm fixing
- 38:28Speaker 2: the late twenty four. This is all about how bad
- 38:31Speaker 2: I think UCLA is. And let me tell you something.
- 38:33Speaker 2: You're gonna hear the same story again when they fly
- 38:36Speaker 2: back across the country in two weeks. I think they're
- 38:38Speaker 2: going to Penn State in two weeks.
- 38:41Speaker 4: It's gonna be gross Utah, Ucla Utah being Utah. Last night,
- 38:47Speaker 4: Kyle Whittingham may announcement that Cam Rising's finger may or
- 38:50Speaker 4: may not be hurt and he's kind of half on
- 38:53Speaker 4: the injury report they did this last year with the
- 38:55Speaker 4: ACL thing.
- 38:55Speaker 1: We never thought he was gonna play. I lean Oklahoma
- 38:58Speaker 1: State minus two and a half. No official play for me,
- 39:01Speaker 1: But the more I dug into this game, I lean
- 39:04Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. You're gonna hear all week and going into
- 39:06Speaker 1: the game. How old these quarterbacks are. I think Cam
- 39:09Speaker 1: Rising may have dated my wife when they were in
- 39:11Speaker 1: college because so old. But anyway, I lean Oklahoma State here,
- 39:15Speaker 1: But no official play, Olie Gordon due that guy's on
- 39:18Speaker 1: a milk cart?
- 39:18Speaker 2: Where has he been all season? He has average seventy
- 39:22Speaker 2: yards a game? Just just right at seventy yards a game.
- 39:26Speaker 2: I agree with you on I agree with you on
- 39:29Speaker 2: on Oley Gordon. Where's he go? This is the week
- 39:31Speaker 2: last year that he blew up? Does he do it again?
- 39:34Speaker 2: I don't think so. I think it's that that offensive
- 39:36Speaker 2: line is terrible. Here's the deal. I think top to bottom,
- 39:41Speaker 2: Utah is a better football team, more equipped to handle
- 39:45Speaker 2: some of these games. Cam Rising has been special when
- 39:49Speaker 2: he plays. I'm gonna disagree with you. I like Utah here,
- 39:52Speaker 2: but again, I will not play this game, mainly because
- 39:56Speaker 2: Utah has not performed well on the road.
- 39:59Speaker 3: In the games wins.
- 40:02Speaker 2: Have been at home, and that's a really tough place
- 40:05Speaker 2: to play. So that doesn't that doesn't surprise me, but
- 40:08Speaker 2: they have not performed well against it. I just man,
- 40:11Speaker 2: this Oklahoma State team just I'm not a big bowling fan. Candidly,
- 40:17Speaker 2: I think he makes some bad decisions. Just because he's
- 40:20Speaker 2: old doesn't make him a good quarterback. I think the
- 40:23Speaker 2: difference is rising is explosive and was a really really
- 40:27Speaker 2: highly rated guy coming out of high school.
- 40:29Speaker 3: I mean, I think he started at Texas, didn't he
- 40:33Speaker 3: He did.
- 40:33Speaker 1: He started his career at Texas and transferred out.
- 40:36Speaker 2: So so anyway, the uh. I think he's a talented kid.
- 40:40Speaker 2: At bottom line, I love both these coaches. They are
- 40:42Speaker 2: two of my favorite guys. Gundhy is a treasure. I
- 40:48Speaker 2: hope he coaches until he's one hundred and eighty. I mean,
- 40:51Speaker 2: this week, he stops his press conference because there's an
- 40:54Speaker 2: air conditioning humming in the background, the guy of the refrigerator, sorry,
- 41:00Speaker 2: it's just a walking comedy machine. And he just is honest,
- 41:06Speaker 2: and then the media takes things he says, It's like,
- 41:08Speaker 2: what do you mean by this? He's just telling you
- 41:11Speaker 2: what he thinks, and he's saying it like a just
- 41:13Speaker 2: like an Oklahoma dude.
- 41:14Speaker 3: You know.
- 41:14Speaker 2: I love Gundhy, but I love the coaching staff, you know,
- 41:18Speaker 2: I mean, how do you not like everything? I mean,
- 41:21Speaker 2: like we talked about last year, riding in on Harley's
- 41:24Speaker 2: on game day, So I mean, I love I love
- 41:27Speaker 2: everything about the Utah program too. So I love both
- 41:31Speaker 2: these teams, love about these programs. But my gut tells
- 41:34Speaker 2: me Utah is a better team.
- 41:37Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna roll. I got no play here. I'd
- 41:39Speaker 1: roll up on the State, but I'm just gonna hard
- 41:41Speaker 1: pass couple of games, Scott, because we under a time constraint.
- 41:43Speaker 1: We gotta get this thing out of here. Presno State's
- 41:45Speaker 1: traveling to Albuquerque. They're laying fourteen. This is a getback
- 41:49Speaker 1: game for this team. Last year Presdo State lost to
- 41:51Speaker 1: New Mexico. This is not the same New Mexico team.
- 41:55Speaker 1: Papa is gone, all those guys have moved on, got
- 41:57Speaker 1: a new coaching. Everything's different in this spot. Give me
- 42:00Speaker 1: Fresno State on this one, laying fourteen here.
- 42:03Speaker 3: I like it a lot, well Brough.
- 42:04Speaker 2: First off, the get back I like, and I like
- 42:07Speaker 2: Bronco mindon Hall, and I actually think, boy, you know,
- 42:10Speaker 2: buy a gun and it ain't got any bullets, buddy.
- 42:13Speaker 3: That's it.
- 42:14Speaker 2: And this is I think a really good, really good
- 42:18Speaker 2: setup for Fresno State. I think they're going to go
- 42:22Speaker 2: down and just outclass these guys. I ain't fourteen, not
- 42:25Speaker 2: nearly nearly enough.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I just think I agree with you here President, students,
- 42:32Speaker 1: Let's go to Colorado, Baby Pride. Everything Prime does is
- 42:36Speaker 1: a little bit more exciting playing Baylor. Uh, Baylor's team interesting.
- 42:40Speaker 1: They bench da Kwon Finn, transferred to a quarterback over
- 42:42Speaker 1: from Toledo. They've gone to Say Robertson, who transferred over
- 42:45Speaker 1: from Mississippi State, which is interesting because Baylor's Mississippi State's
- 42:49Speaker 1: quarterback is a quarterback to transferred over from Baylor that
- 42:51Speaker 1: I didn't think was any good. So here we are
- 42:53Speaker 1: just playing alphabet soup with our rosters. But I like
- 42:56Speaker 1: what David Randa has done so far. And I'm not
- 42:58Speaker 1: high on Baylor, but Aranda, he's coaching for his job
- 43:02Speaker 1: head coach, first time at Baylor. This is your four.
- 43:05Speaker 1: I think I don't think this team's very good. I
- 43:08Speaker 1: don't think the roster's great, but Aranda has done it.
- 43:12Speaker 1: Is a hell of a defensive coordinator and he is
- 43:14Speaker 1: a great strategist. In this game, they're getting two points
- 43:18Speaker 1: at Colorado. Colorado's offense is explosive, but it's also slow.
- 43:24Speaker 1: I mean, ever since they changed out from last year
- 43:26Speaker 1: with Sean Lewis, they rely on big time explosive plays,
- 43:30Speaker 1: and I think Baylor can limit the explosive plays in
- 43:32Speaker 1: this one and somehow muddle it up enough to get
- 43:36Speaker 1: the win. I like Baylor on the road to get
- 43:38Speaker 1: the win at Colorado in this one.
- 43:40Speaker 2: To this part of what I would call my underdog
- 43:42Speaker 2: parlay look good. We talked about several underdogs, so it's
- 43:45Speaker 2: not it ain't real hard to figure out, but I
- 43:48Speaker 2: like some misses the other half of the underdog parlay.
- 43:51Speaker 3: And yeah, that's as ugly as it sounds.
- 43:53Speaker 1: The team is hot garbage and they're.
- 43:56Speaker 3: Well, I think Jacksonville State's hotter garbage, no offense.
- 43:59Speaker 2: That it's right, But I think Baylor's gonna get to
- 44:03Speaker 2: win here too, So I like, yeah, I like this
- 44:05Speaker 2: get plus six Southern mess plus two Baylor. That's minor
- 44:09Speaker 2: dog parlay this week. But you know you could sprinkle
- 44:11Speaker 2: in you some ruggers too, because I already talked about
- 44:13Speaker 2: how much I like and I like that game too.
- 44:17Speaker 3: There's I mean, there's.
- 44:17Speaker 2: Even another underdog that I think's got is a live dog.
- 44:20Speaker 2: I mean, Floorida State's a mess. Can Cow do it
- 44:23Speaker 2: two out of three weeks coming down.
- 44:26Speaker 3: Another win.
- 44:27Speaker 2: That's the only reason that game's not on my board
- 44:30Speaker 2: is that they're coming back across the country again. I mean,
- 44:32Speaker 2: I think Cal's a better team. So, I mean there's
- 44:35Speaker 2: some underdogs. You got some dogs, depending on what you
- 44:37Speaker 2: want to do, that are live this week.
- 44:40Speaker 1: Yeah, I totally agree with you, man. I like Bowling
- 44:43Speaker 1: Green getting twenty three, Marcel Reed getting his first start
- 44:45Speaker 1: in Texas, A and M I think kind of Wegman
- 44:47Speaker 1: story may be a little bit over. Tennessee Oklahoma, I
- 44:50Speaker 1: think is a fascinating game. Tennessee is getting all the
- 44:52Speaker 1: money at minus seven. You're going into an Oklahoma. Tennessee
- 44:56Speaker 1: Oklahoma has not been an underdog of this number at
- 44:59Speaker 1: Holmes and John Blake coached. I guarantee you half the
- 45:02Speaker 1: people this is podcast don't even know who he is.
- 45:05Speaker 1: It's been so long.
- 45:06Speaker 2: Let me tell you that Tennessee Oklahoma. I think the
- 45:10Speaker 2: under is the play in that game. Let me tell
- 45:12Speaker 2: you something, Vegas, you just said it. All the money's
- 45:16Speaker 2: going to Tennessee. That line's dropped from seven and a
- 45:18Speaker 2: half to seven. Vegas getting ready to break it off
- 45:21Speaker 2: in some people, that's what that line tells me when
- 45:24Speaker 2: it starts, when they're going the opposite way of the
- 45:27Speaker 2: money for verse line. Yeah, I mean that just that
- 45:32Speaker 2: something smells fishy. At the end of the day, Oklahoma's
- 45:35Speaker 2: a proud program. Their defense is better, and Tennessee's going
- 45:39Speaker 2: on the road for the first time, and that is
- 45:41Speaker 2: a tough place to play. I understand a lot of
- 45:43Speaker 2: SEC environments are tough places to play, but Oklahoma's not
- 45:46Speaker 2: going to vary from that, and out there in the SEC,
- 45:49Speaker 2: that's a tough place to play. That's a proud program
- 45:51Speaker 2: with a better defense. I think his game gets a
- 45:54Speaker 2: little more fight in the phone boothy than people think.
- 45:56Speaker 2: It's what Tennessee can do to that offense of whether
- 46:00Speaker 2: they're gonna cover or not. In my opinion, but I
- 46:02Speaker 2: think this is gonna be significantly lower scoring than people
- 46:05Speaker 2: are expecting.
- 46:06Speaker 1: I'll go under with you. You want to put that
- 46:08Speaker 1: one on the board, Yeah, I.
- 46:10Speaker 3: Wouldn't do that.
- 46:12Speaker 1: Yeah, under fifty seven. All right, we're in there, baby. Hey,
- 46:15Speaker 1: that's the week's guy. It let me roll this thing
- 46:17Speaker 1: for you. I got one more.
- 46:18Speaker 2: I got one more for you give it tonight. You
- 46:20Speaker 2: got to give me the Old Miss Rebels. Oh minus
- 46:23Speaker 2: minus twenty one on the first half. I'm taking Old
- 46:26Speaker 2: Miss in the first half every time they're playing somebody shitty.
- 46:28Speaker 3: I'm telling you, kiffing those the lines. I mean he
- 46:32Speaker 3: called time out.
- 46:34Speaker 1: Was it two weeks ago?
- 46:36Speaker 2: I think it was two weeks ago to keep the
- 46:38Speaker 2: team from being able to score before halftime rally. I'm
- 46:41Speaker 2: telling you he knows the lines. There's zeroed out in
- 46:44Speaker 2: my mind. He knows the lines, and that he wants
- 46:46Speaker 2: his fan base to cover. They're gonna hammer Georgia Southern
- 46:51Speaker 2: Southern place fast. They may score some points and covered
- 46:54Speaker 2: this number late in the game, they are not gonna
- 46:57Speaker 2: cover it in the first half. I ain't Old Miss
- 46:59Speaker 2: fans are gonna show up where they didn't against Middle
- 47:01Speaker 2: Tennessee because I think they're getting eager to support this team.
- 47:06Speaker 2: And yeah, I'll miss that and play anybody if this
- 47:08Speaker 2: ain't anybody either. Give me the revs. That Rep defense
- 47:11Speaker 2: is better, lot better than it's been. They're better at
- 47:13Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage than they've been, and I think
- 47:16Speaker 2: they are legitimate. Hell I'm gonna be stunned if they
- 47:19Speaker 2: don't make the playoffs. Candidly, unless somebody gets hurt, I
- 47:22Speaker 2: think they're a lot for the playoffs.
- 47:25Speaker 1: Let's roll it, baby, Ole Miss first half minus twenty one,
- 47:29Speaker 1: Army minus six and a half. I've got Indy on
- 47:32Speaker 1: a two way fifteen in the first half in twenty
- 47:34Speaker 1: eight and a half of the game, LSU minus twenty four,
- 47:37Speaker 1: Rutgers plus three and a half. Sprinkle it on the
- 47:40Speaker 1: money line tech Asu over fifty eight. Give me Baylor
- 47:43Speaker 1: plus two, Presido minus fourteen as they travel to Albuquerque.
- 47:48Speaker 1: Clemson minus twenty one at home against n C State
- 47:52Speaker 1: Florida getting it done laying six on the road in start,
- 47:55Speaker 1: Vegas will go under in the ou Tennessee game against
- 48:00Speaker 1: what everybody's gonna think is gonna be a shootout to
- 48:02Speaker 1: get that one done. Money line underdog parlay of the week.
- 48:05Speaker 1: Let's just round robin at Scotty. Let's throw in Baylor,
- 48:08Speaker 1: Let's throw in Rutgers and the and the mustard buzzers.
- 48:14Speaker 1: Southern Miss against Jackson State, one of my favorite players.
- 48:17Speaker 1: I've actually already bet that game, so we'll do a
- 48:19Speaker 1: round robin money line underdog parlay that's got three legs.
- 48:23Speaker 1: If you've never done a round robin, it's like a wheel.
- 48:25Speaker 1: You're gonna end up with multiple parlays too. There that
- 48:28Speaker 1: actually could pay out pretty good. I hadn't put the
- 48:30Speaker 1: numbers to it, but I'll put those in the notes
- 48:31Speaker 1: of the cast. Folks who's been fun, hit us up
- 48:34Speaker 1: on Twitter, put us at covious, couple of reviews. We're
- 48:36Speaker 1: gonna get back way about the Mendoza line, Scotty. I
- 48:39Speaker 1: feel like it's good. Next week we'll be in full
- 48:41Speaker 1: conference play. That being said, everybody, put a few dollars
- 48:44Speaker 1: in your pocket, have a good time, enjoy the weekend.
- 48:46Speaker 1: We'll talk to you soon.