Latest / Nonsense with cj little and Jeff Parker / Aliens Part II: Silicon Breath, Biological Grey Goo, & Our Galactic Zoo
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to Nonsense Season 4, Episode 21, our big story on our
- 0:02second show of the week, I'm Jeff Parker.
- 0:04I'm CJ Little. This time we're looking at more
- 0:06marks, fewer mindies. Where are all the aliens up
- 0:08next? That's easy that the clearance
- 0:10section of your local fish market.
- 0:12Why would they be there? Are the aliens actually just
- 0:14stray cats? If you?
- 0:15Think about it, that makes total sense because the one thing I
- 0:17would expect from a higher life form would be the ability to
- 0:20lick their own ass. Great, this is going to be a fun
- 0:23show, isn't it? Right, I mean we're pretty good,
- 0:25but if this was intelligent design I feel like I would be
- 0:27able to lick my own ass and I can't.
- 0:29The best argument for evolution is the fact that we are not
- 0:32flexible enough to. Reach our own ass.
- 0:34Do I have to stay here for the recording of this?
- 0:36Can't I be replaced by an AI today?
- 0:38Weird. OK, if aliens aren't real, how
- 0:40do you explain? Jello smart guy, Here we go.
- 0:42And now everybody knows about my search history.
- 1:00Last time on the nonsense big story, we were discussing aliens
- 1:03and Drake's equation, among other things, which says there
- 1:05is a 97.6% chance that the aliens exist.
- 1:09It's 97.6. It's like this really precise
- 1:12number that we're supposed to believe is some true probability
- 1:15thing because it's an equation. Yeah, if I've learned anything
- 1:17from watching Rain Man is that you want your number to be very
- 1:19specific and exact and people will believe you and leave you
- 1:21alone. OK, before we go into that
- 1:23though, I want to say it. I trash the Black Scholes
- 1:25equation pretty good last time he did because all my finance
- 1:27friends have all, like, gotten on my back going what?
- 1:29What are you talking about? What's wrong with Black Scholes?
- 1:31What's your problem? Sure.
- 1:32First of all, you know, I had to unfriend all of them because
- 1:34really, you believe in Black Scholes 'cause you believe in
- 1:36ghosts? If you do, let me just explain.
- 1:38Very quickly, boy. Very quickly.
- 1:40Yeah, very quickly. The insanity of Black Scholes.
- 1:42Look. I'm a math guy.
- 1:43I like math, yes, but I'm gonna just not out for this one.
- 1:46You just do your thing. I'm gonna just wake me up when.
- 1:48You promise it will be very poke.
- 1:49Me with a stick. Black Scholes assumes the stock
- 1:51prices follow a smooth bell curve and in reality markets do
- 1:54nothing like that. Sure they have fat tails.
- 1:57They have extreme impossible crashes that happen way more
- 2:00than the math predicts. Also, one of the black shells
- 2:02variables is volatility, and I promise you a highly volatile
- 2:05option has a very different value on the nadir of its
- 2:08volatility than on its peak. The value changes massively.
- 2:12Nassim. Talab has entered the chat.
- 2:13OK, so my point is, yeah. And it applies to Drake's
- 2:16equation too is that just because you can mash a bunch of
- 2:18numbers together until it's do some some math on those
- 2:21variables doesn't mean you actually end up with anything of
- 2:23value the the 97.6%. There's so much randomness that
- 2:27goes into getting that number that by the time you get that
- 2:30number it's useless. We could just say it's a non 0
- 2:33probability. OK, but your take away for the
- 2:35finance Bros listening is by crypto, right?
- 2:37That's your take away. I want to make sure I understand
- 2:39it. Yes.
- 2:39I was just confused. I'd I'd nodded out there
- 2:41briefly. I got right back to it though,
- 2:43man literally we got to get back to aliens to be more grounded.
- 2:46That's the world we're in right now.
- 2:48We're so far off the path. Go ready, aliens, Go I.
- 2:51Understand your general point. I feel like you I want the math
- 2:55on the Drake equation to be better and I would generally
- 2:57agree with you. No, I.
- 2:58Want the result to sound less precise.
- 3:00I want to the result to give me something that I can believe in
- 3:03like it's non 0 but do you want? Like a high.
- 3:05I don't want it to give me 97.6 because that sounds like there's
- 3:09some real value to that number and there is not that number is
- 3:12based on like. Would you be vagarities?
- 3:14So would you be, would you be happy if there's like a high
- 3:16water and a low watermark like would that would that because
- 3:19that's pretty easy. If there's a range.
- 3:21Yeah, no, isn't that what you just?
- 3:22Said the range is still non zero.
- 3:23You can't get more precise than that.
- 3:25You can't get more precise than non 0.
- 3:27No, not really. Yeah, no, the difference between
- 3:29.1% and 99.9% is pretty significant.
- 3:33Those are both non 0. Yes, but Drake's equation
- 3:35doesn't give us anything more. Precise than non. 0 Drake's
- 3:38equation is basically saying there are so many, these are the
- 3:41odds of there being aliens. Yeah, just in the Galaxy, but in
- 3:44other places besides. Earth.
- 3:46All of the universe. It's not like you have a finite
- 3:48amount that you are saying. OK, yeah, The, the Milky Way.
- 3:50Yeah. What are the odds?
- 3:51We can, we can sort of see the Milky Way.
- 3:53We can sort of count how many, you know, celestial bodies are
- 3:55in the Milky Way. That part's good.
- 3:57But we don't just stop there with Drake's equation.
- 3:59We're saying all of the galaxies everywhere.
- 4:01Yeah, we we don't even. We can see those things well,
- 4:05how? Do you know we can see them all?
- 4:06You think you can see them all, but you have no idea if you're
- 4:08seeing them all. Or even better, you don't know
- 4:10if you are seeing them all. Of course, you may be seeing
- 4:13every single one, and the ones you extrapolating that you have
- 4:16that you aren't seeing, those may not exist at all, may only
- 4:19go out so far. And then beyond that, there's
- 4:21nothing. All right.
- 4:21There are no stars. I'm just saying 97.6 is an
- 4:25awfully specific number for something that we don't.
- 4:28It's that that's basically isn't OK or not definite.
- 4:31We don't. Understand, I get it done.
- 4:32You want a round, let's just call it 98%.
- 4:34Is that better? Can we move on just that's?
- 4:36Better. That's the issue.
- 4:36My issue was the 10th of a percent.
- 4:38That's a .6. It was just too accurate.
- 4:40Now we're good. The the take away I would like
- 4:43you to take from from the Drake's equation, yes, is that
- 4:46it is extremely likely that there is other intelligent life
- 4:50in the universe, period, full stop.
- 4:52Like can we get you there or is it still not?
- 4:55Is that not feasible because there's too many?
- 4:57Oh, no, no, I'm, I'm totally down for that.
- 4:58But I'm gonna to get there. I'm gonna say there's a nonzero
- 5:01probability that there is. There are aliens in the universe
- 5:04who are intelligent. Great, because 98% is nonzero,
- 5:07so is 97 point. Six, it happens to be ridiculous
- 5:10that you try to give it that kind of precision from the
- 5:12variables that you put into the equation, which are all like, I
- 5:15think it's more than three. So you're happy at nonzero?
- 5:19Yeah, Yeah. And I'm happy it's something
- 5:20greater than that. OK.
- 5:21Let's just we'll just move, move forward with that because I feel
- 5:23that the math is, is is unequivocally confirmed it's in.
- 5:28I know you think the the math is impenetrable, it's just it's an
- 5:31absolute perfect equation in every way.
- 5:33Yeah, I've been trying for 47 years to penetrate the math and
- 5:35it's just not so wiggles away from you before we talked about
- 5:38the math that you clearly don't enjoy.
- 5:40No, I do enjoy a little bit. It's ridiculous.
- 5:42About the geology, which I thought was fascinating that
- 5:45that there's actually some we believe there to be some
- 5:48constraint. Life love is a function of
- 5:50geology. Which love that.
- 5:51Amazing, yeah. Today I feel like we should talk
- 5:53about a couple other things, Biology of the little green men,
- 5:56because that's something I think a lot of people not necessarily
- 5:58talk about, but just make assumptions about.
- 6:00And I think it's interesting to to tear those apart.
- 6:02If they're green men, is their blood copper based instead of
- 6:05iron based? Is that why they're green?
- 6:06When? They're born.
- 6:07They're like a coppery color. And then as they're exposed to
- 6:09the elements, they turn more green.
- 6:10They. Tarnish.
- 6:11Yeah, that. They tarnish.
- 6:13Wow, that's that's pretty funny actually.
- 6:14Like the other night, my little guy said, Danny, what color is
- 6:17your hair? And I said blonde and he said no
- 6:19it's not, it's blonde and grey. I corrected you I.
- 6:22Just. Looked at it but I was like.
- 6:23Really. And you're also out of the will.
- 6:25Yeah, exactly. Get back in your cage.
- 6:27OK, So the biology, the biology of these guys, we talk, which I
- 6:29think is interesting. We should talk a little bit
- 6:31about the welcoming committee that we have established here on
- 6:34Earth, because that is interesting to think about as a
- 6:36good or bad Carl. Sagan is responsible for all
- 6:39those welcoming flares we've sent.
- 6:40Up. Yeah, well, I mean flare slash
- 6:43luncheon invitation. Exactly the buffet right here on
- 6:46this green planet. Right here it's.
- 6:48All you can. Enjoy this.
- 6:50One and then a little bit of chat.
- 6:52This is a much deeper topic, but if we have time, I think a
- 6:53little bit of conversation about why would why would it some
- 6:56intelligent life from even want to come here.
- 6:58What could be some possibility? Sure, like those are the three.
- 7:00Things, once they see black Shoals, they know don't go
- 7:03there. They don't just let's just skip.
- 7:05That, but the Flon's really good now.
- 7:07Black Shoals just. Got me on the planet that has
- 7:09Flon that doesn't have black Shoals.
- 7:10Just keep going. All right, let's talk about
- 7:12biology. Evolution needn't mimic Earth's
- 7:14blueprints. Alien biology might swap carbon
- 7:16for silicone or water for ammonia.
- 7:18Thrive in crushing pressures or frozen voids or 400° habit
- 7:22trails. Forget little green men.
- 7:24True extraterrestrials likely possess sensory arrays and
- 7:27metabolic pathways. We can't imagine life redefined
- 7:30by laws of a different size. Well.
- 7:32Yeah, I mean, that's what's interesting is the entire, their
- 7:34entire existence would be almost certainly completely different
- 7:39from ours. Do you really think that?
- 7:41Yes, I've seen Star Trek. When you travel billions of
- 7:43miles through space, you end up with somebody who just looks
- 7:45like you. Well, there's that brown guy on
- 7:47there too. One, yeah. 1 It was the 60s.
- 7:49What do you want? I've also seen Star Wars, which
- 7:51is a little more diverse. Yeah.
- 7:53And much more of a range of size and things that I would believe
- 7:55are. Size and shape and things, yeah,
- 7:57if you go to the the base of the biology, we'll talk about size
- 8:00here in a second, right. But I think something that's
- 8:02interesting, it seems most likely that some other
- 8:06intelligent species would not share a common ancestor with us.
- 8:09That seems most like. 97.6% chance no.
- 8:13No, no, no. You're a dog with a bone.
- 8:16Here's the thing it. Seems talk faster.
- 8:19This is just 21 minutes. I know I'm.
- 8:20Trying and you're just digging me holes.
- 8:22Here is what you're doing. It seems most likely that we
- 8:25evolved from matter only within our solar system.
- 8:29That seems most like the things that have crashed here were from
- 8:32billions of years ago. So we've evolved and we've
- 8:34continued to refine on things that were here.
- 8:36Very few things from outside of our solar system even come into
- 8:40our solar system. Yes, it seems most likely like
- 8:42we've evolved from things here and that is what we know of all
- 8:45life on on earth and and arguably anything in the solar
- 8:48system we think would look very similar to us from a a makeup
- 8:51perspective. Sure And we think about things
- 8:52outside of our solar system, extraterrestrial life.
- 8:55There's this thesis. People are like, Oh well, they
- 8:57could bring like some crazy infection like COVID that we've
- 9:00never seen before. Sure.
- 9:01I don't actually think that would be the.
- 9:02Biggest DNA wouldn't line up with our DNA would never yeah
- 9:04exactly infect us exactly so I. I don't.
- 9:06I don't think the danger would be an infection in the
- 9:09traditional sense, but rather complete toxicity or even
- 9:12anaphylaxis that that would be the bigger.
- 9:14Like it wouldn't be the flu that they bring us.
- 9:16It could be that the byproducts of their biology could be
- 9:19catastrophic for for humans or for all life here.
- 9:22Right. I dated anaphylaxis, by the way,
- 9:23in high school. Yeah, I.
- 9:24Remember I met her brother Bruce once the.
- 9:26Whole flaxis family is lovely. There could be a world, I'm not
- 9:28saying this is the case, but there could be a world where
- 9:30alien microbes might just produce, like, as a byproduct of
- 9:34their existence. Cyanide.
- 9:36Sure. That could just be a natural
- 9:37byproduct of their metabolism, which means their presence could
- 9:40be toxic regardless of their intent.
- 9:42Yeah, like they could just show up with like a really nice bundt
- 9:44cake that they want to. Give us we come in peace.
- 9:47Yeah, right. Sure.
- 9:48Sure. And then they exhale and we all
- 9:49die. Sure.
- 9:50Like that's not science fiction. That could be a thing.
- 9:52That could actually be a thing. They.
- 9:53Inhale oxygen, but they exhale cyanide.
- 9:55Oh. OK, You don't know they inhale
- 9:57oxygen. I mean, they could just sweat
- 9:58out cyanide. I don't know.
- 9:59I've been to 24 Hour Fitness. Some of those guys don't smell.
- 10:01Very good. No, sure.
- 10:02So they maybe it's cyanide, I'm not sure.
- 10:04I don't get close enough to find out is my point.
- 10:06Sure. So we don't know in in our
- 10:07immune system, by the way, being exposed only to things that have
- 10:10been on our planet so far could react with some sort of
- 10:13anaphylactic response to just a single spore or cell from one of
- 10:16these things. Like sure, it might even be
- 10:18cyanide. It might just be their makeup,
- 10:19just their cells. Sure could be could be something
- 10:21that are that are are are terrible.
- 10:23Now, by the way, this is the happy outcome.
- 10:25That's the one where I'm like, oh, OK, they just sneeze cyanide
- 10:27and we die. There's this unhappy outcome
- 10:29that is commonly referred to as the biological grey goo.
- 10:32Have you heard about? This, no, but I love that that's
- 10:34the happy outcome is they just exhale.
- 10:36And I'll die. Yeah, no, that's the good one.
- 10:38That's the one that you're like, yeah, that sounds good.
- 10:40There's a possibility where in like an alien microorganism
- 10:45could be capable of breaking down hydrocarbons or glucose
- 10:48without needing any specific receptors, which what that means
- 10:51is they could be like a non selective decomposer, which
- 10:54means just their existence could breakdown human tissue at a
- 10:57fundamental chemical level. Yeah.
- 10:58So your immune system won't even have a chance.
- 11:00It would just be like, and that's why they call it the grey
- 11:02goo. Like you would just you would
- 11:03just dissolve us into some pile of nothingness.
- 11:06And there is now this is really little sci-fi where you guys be
- 11:09like, well, maybe they're just here to harvest raw elements.
- 11:11And that's just what they do. They just come in and they
- 11:13sneeze and then you just melt like the witch in Wizard of Oz.
- 11:16Sure, sure. That could be a real thing.
- 11:18That's the what I would call the unhappy outcome.
- 11:20OK, that could be a thing. Right.
- 11:22They're both pretty unhappy, but OK, I don't know.
- 11:24I'd rather take my shot trying to avoid the cyanide than the
- 11:27magic melting goo that you go near and you just and you just
- 11:30meltdown into nothing. OK, but that's all still carbon
- 11:33based life forms you're talking about.
- 11:34What about maybe what about non carbon based life forms?
- 11:37You've got to have other things that you can put make life out
- 11:39of, right? Well.
- 11:40We don't know. My intuition is yes, yeah.
- 11:43And it's seems like there's, it's not a certain no, it seems
- 11:45like it's a possibility. We suspect if you're not carbon
- 11:49based, the next most likely thing you'd be based on would be
- 11:51silicone. I was going to say aluminum, but
- 11:53silicone is probably better. It's pronounced aluminium first
- 11:55of all. You heathen silicone would be
- 11:57the next most likely. Element on the periodic table.
- 12:01It's literally one row down. Thank you.
- 12:03We make these assumptions. This is part of what I want to
- 12:05talk about in the biology. We make these assumptions that
- 12:06extraterrestrial life would follow some sort of humanoid
- 12:09body plan. I didn't.
- 12:10Assume that I have no assumption of that.
- 12:12But, but most people do No, you don't.
- 12:13But most people do. Most people make an assumption
- 12:15that like. And if you think about what
- 12:16you've seen in science fiction over the past 203 hundred years,
- 12:19cause. Casting is easier.
- 12:20How many people can you call out and get 5 legged creatures?
- 12:24It's big casting, Big casting got their hand in there and said
- 12:27give them two arms. Meanwhile, they're fighting
- 12:29against big costume. Who wants it the other way?
- 12:32No, but generally speaking, we think of like when, when, when
- 12:34we think about animals, like, oh, they're going to be green
- 12:37and have longer arms, but there's still this sort of
- 12:39anthropocentric bias. We still think you're going to
- 12:42look like us 'cause it's what we know, head, 2 arms, 2 legs.
- 12:44But like that makes no sense. Parallax is pretty useful.
- 12:47Parallax 2 eyes, sure, until you see like a fly's eye and what
- 12:50they can do it and then you're like.
- 12:52Do you see a family like you know it's better the 1000?
- 12:54Eyes. Wow I got gypped.
- 12:56Those eyes are amazing. Earth we've, we've all sort of
- 12:59evolved from a a similar path. So we have similar structures,
- 13:03even an unrelated species, right?
- 13:04Like sure, the eyes of octopi and humans still.
- 13:06Very similar light sensitive cells, Yeah, and they look
- 13:08similar. Because we share sort of a
- 13:10common ancestor and we're all sort of this carbon based life
- 13:12form. So when you think about
- 13:14independent origins or origins that are back billions of years,
- 13:17all bets are off. You're starting over.
- 13:19Yeah. Silicone is the most frequently
- 13:20cited alternative for carbon, as you mentioned earlier, because
- 13:22its ability to form 4 bonds and its abundance in planetary
- 13:25crusts. There's a lot of silicone out
- 13:27there. And as you know, more most
- 13:29recently anything with silicone and it is now 4 times as
- 13:31expensive. So all of the aliens have gotten
- 13:32more expensive too. Wow.
- 13:34That's remarkable. But here's where it gets crazy,
- 13:36because the only thing we've ever known in real life is
- 13:39carbon based life forms. If you think about the physical
- 13:41constraints of silicone based life forms, yeah, they'd be
- 13:44radically different. A primary issue is the oxidation
- 13:47of silicone. So as a carbon life form, right
- 13:48We we inhale oxygen, we exhale CO2 yeah, the gas dissipated
- 13:53easily. No problem happens.
- 13:54We have a cycle easy. Sure.
- 13:55Silicone life utilizing oxygen, I'm not saying that it would,
- 13:58but if silicone life utilized oxygen, it would produce
- 14:00silicone O2 sand, which would be solid ports or sand yeah, sand.
- 14:05Their byproduct would be. Sand, Kevin, you're blowing
- 14:08sand. Get out of my house.
- 14:09It's I can't clean this up. Every day my kids come home from
- 14:12school, their shoes are full of sand from the sandbox.
- 14:14I feel like it would just be that right?
- 14:16Like you invite over your neighbor from the extra Galaxy
- 14:19and they sneeze and it's just sand everywhere on your coffee
- 14:21table. Well, no.
- 14:22It would fill up your house. It would slowly fill up your
- 14:24house. You couldn't live in a cause
- 14:26it's a solid, it's not a gas. It'd be.
- 14:27Like the scene in Real Genius, but instead of popcorn, it's
- 14:30sand. Just sand coming up, blowing out
- 14:31the window. Yeah, right, right.
- 14:32Eventually you'd you'd have no room.
- 14:34It'd be really hard to hide them.
- 14:35How would you hide one of your little aliens?
- 14:36The sands just pouring out everywhere.
- 14:38They'd have to live outside. That's kind of insane to think
- 14:40about it. Again, we have no idea of
- 14:41knowing if that's the case or not, but just the of what we
- 14:44understand of of of chemistry. That's what would happen.
- 14:46What? It likely necessitates is a
- 14:48completely different respiratory system.
- 14:50Like it wouldn't we don't even know like it could utilize high
- 14:53temperature solvents or even molten salt to just keep their
- 14:56metabolic byproducts in a liquid state.
- 14:58Yeah, they could just be like living rocks or crystals.
- 15:01They could just have extremely slow metabolic rates and a total
- 15:04lack of fluid. So no soft tissue like what
- 15:06we're used to that's associated with with sort of the carbon
- 15:09based life forms of this planet and women.
- 15:10That's carbon silicone that I feel like we're we're down crazy
- 15:13path on that. OK, let's just talk about size
- 15:15for a minute. The silicone carbon thing is
- 15:17interesting to me. It's hard for me to to wrap my
- 15:20brain around, yeah, thinking about the size of the aliens,
- 15:23like their actual physical shape and size.
- 15:25Yes, I remember this and remember the scene in Men in
- 15:27Black when they're trying to find like the Galaxy and the
- 15:29whole Galaxy was in the cat's collar.
- 15:31Sure. I always love that because it's
- 15:33such a it's such a fascinating example of of how different our
- 15:36sizes could. Be It's the world that lives on
- 15:38the puffball weed in Horton Hears a Who.
- 15:40Yeah, exactly. We suspect and really our
- 15:43detection methods are tuned to civilizations that operate on
- 15:46the on roughly the same size and time scale as humanity, because
- 15:49again, that's all we really know.
- 15:51It could be that, you know, while physical laws are are
- 15:53universal, we suspect they're universal.
- 15:55You could have this life that's emerged with completely
- 15:58different scale because of the system that they're in.
- 16:01For example, we just talked about the the collar thing,
- 16:03right. On a high gravity world or in
- 16:05environments where resources are atomic, a civilization could
- 16:07exist on the scale of a of a terrestrial microscopic colony.
- 16:10Like the entire interstellar empire could fit in inside a
- 16:13single asteroid, of course, right?
- 16:15The whole thing, like their entire existence could be inside
- 16:18like a single asteroid, which we wouldn't be able to see, right?
- 16:20Nothing in SETI would would give us the ability to see that
- 16:22because we're not looking for something that's that small.
- 16:24Sure, now go the other way. What if you go to like the macro
- 16:27scale organisms like massive size?
- 16:30We have low density environments.
- 16:32It could be that, like in a quote, Organism could move so
- 16:35slowly that a thought takes centuries by our time.
- 16:39I'm getting that way by the way. I know we're all getting there,
- 16:41aren't we? But like it would render their
- 16:42communication indistinguishable from background cosmic noise
- 16:46because a thought, a single thought that you and I could
- 16:49have in minutes or, or you know, seconds or minutes, yeah, hours
- 16:51sometimes could take centuries. So you'd have no way to to, to
- 16:55process that as humans, you you'd have to have SETI running
- 16:58for 1000 years to get the output of their thought.
- 17:00Sure, those are, are not unlikely.
- 17:02Those are, those are possible. We don't really know what's come
- 17:04out. So the size could be all over
- 17:05the place. 97.6% chance all. Right.
- 17:08Dog with a bone. So they could be really big,
- 17:09they could be really small. That's my point.
- 17:11And they're probably not shaped like us.
- 17:12They're probably not the same. Size thinner, better looking,
- 17:14fatter. Worse looking really.
- 17:16I suspect there's roughly a 98% chance that aliens would not
- 17:20look attractive to us. OK, I'm going to call the little
- 17:22equation. Pretty sure the answer to be
- 17:2498%. The rounded version is the
- 17:26little equation. Rounded version.
- 17:30That's funny for two reasons. Exactly.
- 17:32Yes. We are trying desperately,
- 17:34though, to contact whatever is out there.
- 17:36Yes. It's not like we've sat around
- 17:37here quietly. We've literally think that's a
- 17:39good idea. I don't know.
- 17:40We have literally sent spaceships with music and
- 17:42pictures of Earth. We've hawked the place like
- 17:44we're bad real estate agents. Yeah, we have broadcast our DNA
- 17:47and binary. We've etched our anatomy into
- 17:49golden records and we've flung radio waves into the void.
- 17:52We're a species shouting hello across the light years,
- 17:55desperate for an echo. It's our grandest gamble, a
- 17:58cosmic message in a bottle proving we were here and we
- 18:01mattered. Well, I don't know about you,
- 18:02but when I was a kid, I had pen pals, and that was always weird.
- 18:05Like you're just sending a thing off to somebody in a foreign
- 18:07land. You have no idea what you're
- 18:08gonna get back. Yeah.
- 18:09And now we're doing this cosmically.
- 18:11Yeah. I love the idea.
- 18:13I I love the idea of in our lifetime, getting to observe or
- 18:16even meet extraterrestrial life. Love it.
- 18:19Yes, yes, awesome. What are we don't even know the
- 18:21odds of their size or their shape or their color.
- 18:23What are the odds that they're going to be as excited to see us
- 18:26in a friendly manner? What if they just eat the earth
- 18:28like is one piece of little popcorn and they just pop it in
- 18:31their mouth and the whole thing is gone?
- 18:32Well, that's fun. No, you're just in the digestive
- 18:34system. It's fine.
- 18:35I don't know that it's a great idea to send out the message.
- 18:37I guess they're probably going to find you anyway, so maybe it
- 18:39doesn't really matter. I don't know what they would
- 18:41think of the Earth at all. Like what?
- 18:43And what would they want? And this is where I think the
- 18:45welcoming committee is, is mildly concerning.
- 18:47So you're talking about like Voyager, right?
- 18:49I think you were referencing Voyager.
- 18:50Like, that was the this that we sent out.
- 18:51Right. And yeah, I'm not even sure we
- 18:53did a good job on Voyager. So what year was Voyager?
- 18:55Voyager was like the 70s. It was a long time ago.
- 18:57Give us a break. We did the best we could.
- 18:58It had no mention of reality on the TV.
- 19:01For those who don't know, the the Voyager we put out, we made
- 19:03like an album, like on a gold disc, right?
- 19:06Something that we thought. Would be golden record.
- 19:07Yeah, this golden record and we encoded a sample of humanity.
- 19:10And why gold? I think it was the the most
- 19:13likely to survive. I think it was the most durable
- 19:16thing we could put out there. I love the idea that we made an
- 19:18attempt. This is all Sagan, right?
- 19:19I love that we made an attempt to try to encode a sampling of
- 19:22humanity on this disc. Yeah.
- 19:24In hindsight, folks say, well, we were overly rosy, right?
- 19:27We we omitted all the bad stuff and there's talk about wars or
- 19:31diseases or, or the environmental crisis that that
- 19:33sort of defines our species. It was just like all the all the
- 19:36good stuff. 'Cause we're, we're selling the
- 19:38place again, I said. Like we're Hawking bad real
- 19:40estate. I mean, we're, we're just
- 19:42painting the rosy pictures. We're not talking about the bad
- 19:45plumbing. Yes, rosy pictures, but also
- 19:47some of it is like discombobulated, right?
- 19:49I think they encoded something like 55 languages on the thing.
- 19:52Yeah. And I don't think there's really
- 19:53a map. Like I could I could expect
- 19:55someone that listens to this thing, doesn't know anything
- 19:57about humanity. Just be like, what?
- 19:59What's wrong with these people? Like they're yeah.
- 20:00How do you talk? You got 55 non congruent
- 20:03languages. Just sounds like chaos.
- 20:04But also sound effects like tigers roaring and and, you
- 20:08know, oceans and things like totally with no, with no real
- 20:10context, those things could be what what am I hearing?
- 20:13What is what is they're trying to say to me exactly.
- 20:15Be awesome. If the one thing they could
- 20:16understand on the records was whatever the tigers were saying
- 20:19things we don't even understand. And they totally get that.
- 20:22That's the part they get. Oh, he wants a pizza.
- 20:24There's one bit track 63 that was just 1200 baud handshake
- 20:29that they get perfect. Everything else they're just
- 20:31like, Nope, they're like, oh, E 71.
- 20:33Wow, these people talk slowly. Oh, that's us.
- 20:35Yeah. They're cosmic giants.
- 20:36So then we're talking fast. Yeah.
- 20:38What else? There's some other crazy stuff
- 20:39on there. I think we encoded some pictures
- 20:40on there. There's like 100 plus pictures
- 20:42that we encoded on there. Yeah.
- 20:43I don't know what they would make of it, but I think more the
- 20:45point that we sent it out was was more odd, right.
- 20:48Like I, I don't, I don't, I, I think you want to know the
- 20:50stranger that you're about to give your phone number to before
- 20:53you, before you send it to it's. Just a message in the bottle.
- 20:55It's nothing. It's worse.
- 20:57They're casting it out, thinking maybe some civilization and at
- 21:00some point picks this up and can somehow get a little picture of
- 21:02who we were or or maybe even who we are, but more likely who who
- 21:06we were. Well, yeah, but we also gave
- 21:07them a map. We did.
- 21:08We told them where we are. Right.
- 21:10I think we gave the sun relative to like, 14 pulsars so that they
- 21:13could find us. Yeah, I don't think that's
- 21:15great. Like you put your message in the
- 21:16bottle to be like, oh I live at 123 Main St.
- 21:19I leave the back door unlocked to come over anytime.
- 21:21He's under the mat. He's under the mat.
- 21:22Yeah. I sleep on my stomach.
- 21:24Terrible. Like why would we say?
- 21:25This, I don't remember. Carl Sagan could tell you he's
- 21:27passed away, but he's the one. He's the one who?
- 21:29Knew I think the intent was we're we're optimistic about
- 21:32extraterrestrial life, then we want to see them.
- 21:34But like that whole thing could just look like, you know when
- 21:36you go to you know, like you go to the store and you come out
- 21:38and there's like one of those Flyers tucked on your car and
- 21:40it's like a for the the all you can eat Korean BBQ.
- 21:42It's like 1899. All you can create sure like
- 21:44this could be that. This could just be a lunch flyer
- 21:47that we send out into space. Well, of course, of course.
- 21:49That they're gonna look at Yeah, like those guys look delicious.
- 21:51And they're gonna come here and and and eat us or turn us on to
- 21:54grey goo to harvest our carbon atoms.
- 21:56You. Have a very dark view of the
- 21:57aliens. Well, no, I'm just saying we
- 21:59don't know. By the way, if they can get
- 22:01here, then there is certainly no defense we have against them,
- 22:04period, Full stop. OK, Like there's going to be
- 22:06some Mega Warrior out there with their pepper spray and then they
- 22:11just get. Eaten.
- 22:11But it's possible that they have no technology.
- 22:14The only technology they've been able to create is a solar sail.
- 22:18And as their star supernovas. And they, as their last hope,
- 22:21must just project themselves out into space.
- 22:23Yeah, they sailed. They don't have any other
- 22:25technology. This.
- 22:26All they have is a solar sail. Only thing they were able to
- 22:28figure out. Sure.
- 22:29And they come out to Earth. And so now, no, they, they
- 22:30they're not gonna destroy us. They're gonna be like, you know,
- 22:33we need a place to stay. I'm so sorry.
- 22:34Is there a place we can rent? I love you're like, they don't
- 22:36have the metric or imperial systems.
- 22:38All they have is a small nuclear reactor.
- 22:40That's all they have. They haven't mastered any
- 22:41figured. Out, that's all they're just.
- 22:43The solar sail. Somehow they're able to to
- 22:45transit galaxies. Yeah, but no, all they have is a
- 22:48solar sail. That's all they have.
- 22:49That's it. And they're just looking for a
- 22:50cup of sugar because they want to make cookies for their
- 22:52grandmother. They that's it.
- 22:53That's all they want. That's all they want.
- 22:55You do raise indirectly a great question, which is why would
- 22:58they even want to come by? Yeah, why would they bother to
- 23:01come by even if they knew there was life?
- 23:02And once they'd seen the brochure from the Voyager, yeah,
- 23:05you'd think they'd go. You know, there's other places
- 23:07we can probably want to visit first.
- 23:09There's a lot of places we want to go first.
- 23:11We heard the pressure on Venus is quite high.
- 23:13We kind of want to go there. Let's do that.
- 23:14Let's. Do that before we go here.
- 23:16No, I mean, it's fun to postulate why they would want to
- 23:18come here. Certainly nobody knows.
- 23:19It's totally possible they aren't tourists, they're
- 23:21actually historians, and they want to come and learn about
- 23:24this. Yeah, crazy laboratory of
- 23:25biological improv that is the Earth.
- 23:28Sure, in a sterile post scarcity cosmos, our messy cocktail of
- 23:31ambition, art, self destruction, it's the ultimate novelty.
- 23:35So they're interested in it from that perspective.
- 23:37It's totally possible. Instead of just people who like
- 23:39need some place to go, they're like curious about what's this
- 23:42weird thing happening third rock from the sun.
- 23:44Whatever is happening out there that that's the weird one, go to
- 23:47that one. So they could be interested in
- 23:48coming to witness like the spark of a species that builds
- 23:51cathedrals while still learning to share.
- 23:53That's the odd combination that makes us interesting.
- 23:56Yeah, we're still we're still learning to share.
- 23:58That's, that's, I mean, we, we suspect it's they're probably
- 24:01not here for resources. That seems unlikely to me,
- 24:04because why would you come here for resources?
- 24:07An awful lot of other planets would have, but all yet more
- 24:09interesting. Resources.
- 24:10We're also a giant gravity pit. We're a big heavy planet.
- 24:14If you if you need water and precious metals, you're better
- 24:16off going to the asteroid belt. Yeah, it's much easier to
- 24:18collect that there. So I don't think they would come
- 24:20here for that, at least not for the raw materials.
- 24:22I think it's interesting though, you're talking about like the
- 24:25the the nature of what we've built it.
- 24:27It could be that something like, and I think this is the
- 24:30physicist, what's his name, Paul Davies had suggested that it
- 24:32could be culture itself, like the information, the culture of
- 24:35the self understanding could be the rarest commodity in the
- 24:38universe and then might be coming.
- 24:39You're trying to understand that from us.
- 24:41Who knows? Or not.
- 24:42We could be the least culture. Yeah, civilization in the
- 24:44universe too, but isn't. It a crazy thing about if we
- 24:46were the most cultured civilization in the universe,
- 24:48we're like, oh, we're doing pretty good I guess.
- 24:50Except my hunch is if you are able to manage intergalactic
- 24:54travel, you probably have evolved much more culture than
- 24:57we have. The two kind of have to happen
- 24:59hand in hand. You would think, yeah, don't
- 25:01know, but we also might be way far behind, right?
- 25:03To your point, if they are, if they have developed farther and
- 25:06they are many, many, many iterations beyond where we are,
- 25:09they might want to come back to look at a primitive species.
- 25:11Kind of like going to the zoo, Sure.
- 25:12And just see how we interpret the cosmos.
- 25:14So much like going to a zoo, I think.
- 25:16That's the more likely answer is that we are like the galactic
- 25:19zoo that they just want to observe, which they might be
- 25:21doing now, who knows? We admit all this stuff.
- 25:24It's not like the light doesn't not bounce off us.
- 25:26Yeah. I mean, there is the like the
- 25:27presumption. This is the sci-fi presumption
- 25:30notion that everyone I think always makes or ends up coming
- 25:32to is like, oh, it's all just a giant Trojan horse.
- 25:34We've seen this pattern before there.
- 25:35It's the Mars Attacks, right? They're going to come here and
- 25:37be like, oh, hey, we're your friends.
- 25:39We come in peace. But really, they're just here to
- 25:41to harvest whatever. Our pearls, Sure.
- 25:44I still think not just because of the Drake equation, I still
- 25:47think it's, it is not extremely likely.
- 25:48I think it's certainty that there's other intelligent life
- 25:51out there. I just don't know one, if it's
- 25:53alive currently or not. And two, I highly suspect we
- 25:56will never ever be able to see it or contact it.
- 25:58That's my, that's my, that's my. I take away from this.
- 26:00All right, we have to get out of here quickly.
- 26:02Before we do, have you seen or read anything good this last
- 26:04week? As we mentioned earlier in this
- 26:06in this episode, 1977's Voyager 2 space probe carried a
- 26:10phonographic disk with messages of peace inviting alien
- 26:13civilizations to Earth. Did we?
- 26:14Keep a copy of that record here. Is there some way we can hear or
- 26:17go play with what what? Whatever's on that.
- 26:19Not only do we know what's on it, I own a remake of it.
- 26:22They remade it, a group raised some money about 10 years ago to
- 26:26remake them, and I actually own it sitting on my desk right
- 26:28here. Oh, that's cool.
- 26:29One of the coolest things. Can you play it back?
- 26:30What is it? Well, they give you all the
- 26:31digital content, so I have all the content on it digitally and
- 26:34then you have the actual encoding of the disk itself in
- 26:36like a 33 form. It's kind of.
- 26:38Cool. Was it encoded digitally?
- 26:39Was it an analog encoding on the disk?
- 26:41I'm. Pretty sure it's a digital
- 26:41encoding. Interesting.
- 26:42That's a good question. I don't know the answer to that.
- 26:44Anyway, in this version of the future, a probe is intercepted
- 26:46by an alien ship traveling through space, which then sends
- 26:49a scout vessel to establish first contact with Earth.
- 26:52Yeah. Instead of greeting the vessel,
- 26:53though, the US government. Big surprise.
- 26:55Yes, that's what we do. And shoots it down.
- 26:58Crashes in Wisconsin. Course it does.
- 26:59The low own alien occupant, looking like a floating ball of
- 27:02energy, finds the home of a recent widow.
- 27:04An alien uses a lock of hair from her deceased husband to
- 27:07clone a body for himself, from which he performs miraculous.
- 27:10Feats fantastic he. Sends a message to his people
- 27:12stating that Earth is hostile and his spacecraft was
- 27:14destroyed. He arranges to rendezvous with
- 27:16him in three days time, coercing the widow of the body he's taken
- 27:19over into, taking him to Arizona, to Rhonda's view with
- 27:21his with his. People, he just is just
- 27:23gibberish. Are you?
- 27:24Have you lost your mind? You know the film I'm speaking.
- 27:26Of that's it. I knew.
- 27:27I knew there was some puzzle that you you were laying.
- 27:30You know it. For me, Do you remember?
- 27:31It's a film I haven't seen, I haven't seen, and you know, I
- 27:34haven't seen it really like that.
- 27:35You give me clues to a film you know I haven't seen it.
- 27:38I don't. Know you haven't seen it?
- 27:38Have you really not seen? It I've never seen Starman.
- 27:40Wow, this is Starman. This is 1984's.
- 27:43They call it like a science fiction romance drama starring
- 27:45Jeff Bridges. I can't believe you haven't seen
- 27:47Starman. I've told you 100 times I
- 27:49haven't seen it. What's your name?
- 27:50You're Jeff. Right.
- 27:50Yeah, this week. I don't remember that.
- 27:53I really kind of love this film. I haven't seen it in years, but
- 27:56it's just so bizarre. And I make references to Starman
- 27:58all the time because he has someone incredible lines in
- 28:00there that I think are fascinating.
- 28:01Yes, of course I. Didn't know you haven't seen.
- 28:03It I've seen clips from it but I try not to see it cause one day
- 28:05I'm going to sit down and watch it from start to finish and
- 28:08probably really enjoy it. I will do it with you.
- 28:10It's not a very long film. I don't know.
- 28:11I think it's pretty good. I don't know if it holds up.
- 28:12I'll either watch it with you separately.
- 28:14But yeah, my recommendation is 1984's Star Man.
- 28:16Really fun. Love Jeff Bridges.
- 28:18Of course. It's a fun film.
- 28:19It's a little crazy, but it's a fun film.
- 28:21One of the other ones I like of his is Against All Odds.
- 28:23I think that one's good too. Haven't seen it really, no.
- 28:25Oh, we're gonna have a movie now.
- 28:26Let's do. It I'm down for both of.
- 28:28Those that sounds amazing. Listen, my wreck is Project Hail
- 28:30Mary. Yeah, Ryland Grace wakes up
- 28:32millions of miles from home with two dead crewmates and 0 memory.
- 28:36As his past slowly returns, so does a terrifying reality.
- 28:39A sun eating parasite called Astrophages dimming the solar
- 28:43system, triggering a terminal. I say.
- 28:45This doesn't sound happy. A disgraced scientist turned
- 28:48middle school teacher, Grace is humanity's accidental last hope.
- 28:51The mission shifts from a solo suicide run into a cosmic
- 28:55partnership when he encounters Rocky, A5 legged alien facing
- 28:58the same extinction level old crisis from his planet.
- 29:01Wow, I guess when you're a common foe you.
- 29:03Have a common cause? Sure, yeah, sure.
- 29:04The duo uses math and music to help bridge the gap between
- 29:07their species. Grace soon discovers that saving
- 29:102 worlds requires more than a high IQ.
- 29:12It requires the ultimate sacrifice for a friend.
- 29:15I'm telling you in advance, you need to turn a blind eye to some
- 29:18of the science, but the film is an absolute delight.
- 29:20Project Hail Mary in theaters. Now, is there some Aerosmith
- 29:23that plays over the top of this? No.
- 29:24But it's good, good, good. Think more ET.
- 29:27Oh, OK. And the science is a little ET
- 29:29too. I mean, if you can believe that
- 29:30the record player with the saw blade sure is communicating to
- 29:34ETS friends, that's not quite that bad.
- 29:36Modern science is sort of a character in the film.
- 29:38They needed some consultants on the film, That's all I'll say.
- 29:41There's a moment where they put in a centrifuge 2 tubes so they
- 29:44can spin them around in the in the centrifuge as you do with
- 29:46centrifuges. Yeah, tap the space bar.
- 29:48They do not put them on opposing sides of the centrifuge because
- 29:51you have to balance. Sure.
- 29:52And for some reason it manages to still work even though the
- 29:55film makers don't seem to really understand how a centrifuge
- 29:57works. Sounds like an homage to Stuxnet
- 29:59when we blew up the Iranian centrifuge system 20 years ago.
- 30:02Forget all that, just go in and I'll enjoy the ride.
- 30:05It's great fun, I'll watch it. All right, Project Hail Mary,
- 30:07I'm in. That is the episode.
- 30:08Thank you for joining us for all this nonsense.
- 30:10It's really terrible podcast from our awful company.
- 30:12This is on the web at Nonsense dot Productions.
- 30:14I'm CJ. Little I'm Jeff Parker IF.
- 30:16You like this program? Please follow demo, subscribe
- 30:17and like it. Apple Podcast, YouTube Music,
- 30:19Amazon Music, Antenna Pod, iHeartRadio, Spotify, My
- 30:22favorite Overcast. Wherever you may get your
- 30:23podcast. From Nonsense uses 7 zip, a high
- 30:26compression file archiver. Open source and completely free
- 30:29for personal, commercial special use with no hidden fees or
- 30:31expiring trials. A simple interface let's you get
- 30:33things done fast and secure your data with its strong AES 256
- 30:37encryption available on every modern and not so modern
- 30:40platform. 7 zip check it out you.
- 30:42Nerd every Tuesday and Thursday morning.
- 30:44For more nonsense, please join us.
- 30:58What are they going to be the most impressed?
- 31:00By are equations for the probability of their existence.
- 31:03Pretty sure that's going to. Be it right?
- 31:04Like you're off by 2.4% you idiots.
- 31:07The fact that they're here means it's 100%.