Latest / Financial Survival Network / The Book on Repo-Madness -- Mary Ellen Tuthill #5912
Transcript
- 0:00The whole thing with Repo is their facility. They are you know, accessible
- 0:04liquidity, you know cash equivalent almost and it's look super important that that element
- 0:09stay in place or that wouldn't work. So this is just for people to
- 0:13know about stuff that isn't normally written about in the main stream. You're listening
- 0:18to Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable information you just can't
- 0:23find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival
- 0:29Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survival and Network dot com and
- 0:35get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,
- 0:45and welcome. You are listening to watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm your
- 0:49host, Carrie loves you know. September is the month of crashes. September
- 0:55and October there's going to be a crash. It's going to happen then or
- 1:00the runner up is March. For some reason, these three months where most
- 1:04of the crashes of recently have taken place and very well might take place again.
- 1:11You never know. So there's a book that you gotta get. I'm
- 1:17about to interview the author. It's called Repo Madness. And Wall Street's Wicked
- 1:22Ways, which kind of is redundant if you ask me. But she wrote
- 1:26the book and her name is Mary Ellen Tuttle. Mary Ellen, You're been
- 1:32a financial journalist for decades. You basically found yourself out of a job but
- 1:40not too long ago, and you wrote to started writing this book. We're
- 1:44really thrilled to have you on. Hey, so system out of control.
- 1:49It's kind of like imagine you had five engineers running one locomotive and everybody was
- 1:57kind of trying to go their own way. What's going to happen? The
- 2:00train's going to come off the tracks? Right? Yeah, And basically the
- 2:06book is not haimed at people who normally read finance books. One of the
- 2:12one of the takeaways from the recent forum Better Markets did on the anniversary Lehman
- 2:17was that, you know, reforms need to be put in place. Everybody
- 2:21was shaking their head. I was really kind of amazed, and how you
- 2:24know, all these people were experts and they all came to the same conclusion
- 2:30that there's no political will, We're stuck with it and it's unsustainable. So
- 2:35that was really encouraged. So unsustainability, all right, I guess the first
- 2:40thing is to say, we're highly critical as system. Tell us what this
- 2:46system is, how it works, and why it's unsustainable. Well, because
- 2:52we just keep you know, you can't keep doing trillion dollars. Baila.
- 2:54I'm not like I said, I'm not any well, I don't know.
- 2:58I just think that, you know, I don't think it could go on
- 3:01forever. And you know, this this thing ordered it sure is good while
- 3:07it until it stops, everything's fine, right, No, it's not fine
- 3:12obviously. But my book has aimed at looking at even you know, even
- 3:17if it were sustainable, it's completely you know, unjust, an unjust system,
- 3:23an undemocratic system. It's a club you know, a clubby system,
- 3:28and it has and there are studies that show obviously that it has had a
- 3:31huge negative impact on the real economy. And but what I like to put
- 3:37in the reader's mind is that when someone says, you know, we spend
- 3:40eight trillion dollars on forever wars, you know, you can imagine what we're
- 3:44spending that money on weapons and contracts and so on and so forth, But
- 3:49people aren't really aware. I mean, it's sort of like a monolo it,
- 3:53you know, the the shadow banking system and all that people aren't taught
- 3:58about it or and it's not written about the mechanics of it. So what
- 4:01I tried to do in the book is to aim this as a person who
- 4:04doesn't normally read financial books, and when they finished reading my book, they
- 4:09have an idea of how the repo markets started and what the mechanics are.
- 4:15I cover rebo in one chapter, the short term collateralized loans that provide liquidity
- 4:21I like to call liquidity at the altar of arbitrage and securities lending is another
- 4:29arm and the collateral that's a big business, you know, getting collateral for
- 4:31all these rebos and the how they you know, they basically are the lifeblood
- 4:39of the financial system. So they'll have a basic understanding, a rudimentary,
- 4:45I'm sure, because but at least it will open their eyes, you know,
- 4:49how it evolved and how it evolved without any regulation, and that in
- 4:54the nineteen eighties they was a bankruptcy where they seal security when bankrupt. And
- 5:00we don't have a lot of time, so I'm just going to you know,
- 5:03basically, the papers of the day wrote that this would destabilize the entire
- 5:10government securities market because of this bankruptcy, and so they bailed it out.
- 5:15But my point was when this repos started really growing in the eighties, flooding
- 5:20the markets with like again no regulation. So why didn't the regulators when they
- 5:26saw that this was a threat to the freasury markets step up and take a
- 5:29look. But they didn't, and then another bankruptcy occurred in a couple of
- 5:32months later, where repos are. The whole thing with rebo is their facility.
- 5:39They are you know, accessible liquidity, you know cash equivalent almost and
- 5:44it looks super important that that element stay in place or that wouldn't work.
- 5:48So this is just for people to know about stuff that isn't normally written about
- 5:53in the main stream. And this is another bankruptcy might be familiar with Lombard
- 5:58Wall and when that occurred, it was disruptive Juripo because the judge determined that
- 6:04it was a secured loan and that it would be subject to the automatic stay
- 6:11in bankruptcy law, which is really bad because because you got the counterparty risk
- 6:18and these are supposed to be as supposed to risk free as you can get.
- 6:23So a repo is I'm holding securities, I want to get cash for
- 6:28the securities but still earn a return. So I effectively sell it to you
- 6:33for a fixed amount with a fixed return for X number of days. Generally
- 6:39these are really short terms, right overnight, and then and then I agreed
- 6:43to repurchase it from you to buy it back. At the end of that
- 6:46time, you made your return, which is higher than the Fed funds rate,
- 6:50which is why people do these things, because they're at search of yield.
- 6:56So a reverse repo just tell us how's that work? Well? In
- 7:00the reversary volume and securities for cash and the cash is the collateral, and
- 7:08you know that's a reversary call. Right. So one of our favorite people,
- 7:14who was the former governor of the state of New Jersey, Core Design,
- 7:19had a zillion of these. I can't even remember the name of his
- 7:24company now, but I'm sure you do nothing global, Yeah, MFS global,
- 7:29And they had billions and billions and they did. And there's hypothecation.
- 7:34That's where you put the security, and they do. And if that's when
- 7:39you have the collateral and you use the same collateral for different transactions, which
- 7:43is you know hypothecation, yes, yeah, and and and there you know,
- 7:46against studies and observations that you know, when a crash occurs there,
- 7:50like with Lehman, you know, you don't know who has what collateral,
- 7:54where it is. It's not trackable, so that leads to a lot of
- 7:59confusion. And then liquidation of Lehman yielded hundreds of billions of dollars in dividends
- 8:05payouts to the creditors of the company. I'm not even sure that the creditors
- 8:11were net negative at the end of the Lehman liquidation, but it was years
- 8:16and years later. So that uncertainty really undermined the faith in markets. And
- 8:22we started seeing like municipalities where they put tens of millions of dollars on deposit
- 8:28with a bank and they get a letter of credit from a third party bank,
- 8:35believing that these letters of credits are similar to a repo in many respects,
- 8:41letter of credit has no value anymore, and it really completely undermined faith,
- 8:46whatever faith there was prior in the financial system. Right. Yeah,
- 8:52Well, it's interesting that you brought up Lehman because back to the Lombard Wild
- 8:56bankruptcy, so the judge grows the collateral and this caused a human to cry,
- 9:03obviously, and the financial industry prevailed and Congress past a regulation that would
- 9:09exempt collateral in REPO from the automatic stay. But it was fun to book
- 9:16collateral like CDs and conservative so that went on. So they were saved.
- 9:22Repo went on to live another day. By nineteen eighty six, the market
- 9:24was two hundred billion and it was the largest securities market in the world and
- 9:31nobody knows about it. Well, that's another point your base. That's really
- 9:37funny is like, you know, the biggest and the brightest at these banks
- 9:43are not at the repo desk. It's a sleepy or used to be a
- 9:48sleepy backwater where you put the not even the B grade executive, you put
- 9:54the C and D guys running the repo desk because it's basically idiot proof.
- 10:00It's kind of like it's somebody's brother in law. You can't fire this guy,
- 10:05you know, because then your sister going to hate your guts, or
- 10:09it's somebody's sister in law. Your brother in law is going to hate you.
- 10:13So you got to give him a job somewhere. Oh, I know
- 10:16what, We'll stick him at the REPO desk. You can't do any damage
- 10:18there, right. Well, interesting, you brought up Leaman because I found
- 10:22in my research that the attorney who oversaw the Lehman bankruptcy underscored that the exemption
- 10:31from the automatic stay caused massive destruction, in his words, of the unwinding
- 10:37of everything, because in two thousand and five, Congress decided that they would
- 10:43exempt all collateral from the automatic stay. So the scholar who writes about this,
- 10:50Jane Cecicco, said, basically, the US Congress, if they think
- 10:54it's okay to tell the financial services industry that they can exempt any transaction and
- 11:00they want from bankruptcy, it's okay with Congress. And she didn't say that
- 11:03in an approving way, you know. And I can't help but think this
- 11:09exemption from bankruptcy. I'm not an expert on flows and shifts in trading strategies,
- 11:16but it seems not too much of a reach to think that more of
- 11:20the investments would go towards collateralized structure just for that reason alone. So then
- 11:28can cause for a major shift in how the markets behave I gotcha, And
- 11:35well, but the thing is okay, Harry Allen, like, as a
- 11:39recovering attorney myself, I can tell you that these bankruptcy attorneys and judges are
- 11:48not suited really to be running a bank and receivership all right, in conservatorship.
- 11:56The bankruptcy systems not designed to ensure the smooth functioning of the financial system.
- 12:07Its purpose, purportedly, and granted it's corrupted like everything else. I
- 12:11have personal experience, is to gather up the assets of the bankrupt a state
- 12:18as they call it, and gather up the liabilities the money owed, figure
- 12:26out what gets paid within the framework of bankruptcy and what gets discarded, and
- 12:33then the balance will go to freditors first, and then if there's anything left
- 12:39over, the shareholders get it. So that system is really poorly adapted to
- 12:46mass financial calamities that potentially could disrupt the system. But we're in a position
- 12:54where these things happen more and more and we got like one person running the
- 13:01show. That's not a good thing either. We need a system for unwinding
- 13:05these things without bringing the whole system down right, Well, I would disagree
- 13:11and say we just need a whole new system, period. And there are
- 13:13there are footprints out there blueprints I shouldn't say footprints blueprints, but people that
- 13:20whole better markets for them. Like I said before, didn't have one reformer
- 13:24on the panel. Yeah, it was like the idea. And I found
- 13:28out in my research that anyone who who writes about these reforms, you know,
- 13:33in a sincere way to supplant the entire system and make it work,
- 13:39like you know, putting glass, stiegeling stuff like that, they are they
- 13:43are silenced by their peers, Academics disinvite them to conferences, They're not allowed
- 13:50to get their word out. So I have a new blueprint and I just
- 13:54discover that I'm very enthusiastic about. So I would like to share my emails
- 13:58do it. It's author M. E. Toud Hill at gmail dot com,
- 14:05and anyone interested in reading it can email me and I'll send that.
- 14:11And I have another paper on financialization in the economy which is very quick.
- 14:15It's not too complicated, but it makes really good points. So I'd be
- 14:18happy to mix. But but you know, and this has come to me
- 14:24kind of recently. I mean, I was shocked at that at that forum,
- 14:28and it stuck with me because I thought, all these people are,
- 14:33you know, plugging a leaky boat. If it doesn't if it's sustainable,
- 14:37like you saying we can keep doing the bailouts, it's not sustainable. From
- 14:41from a sociological point of view that still some point people are going to just
- 14:48say enough. But my book's aim is to open the door to people who
- 14:52do not read finance books. It's only one hundred and forty nine pages.
- 14:56It really just you know, goes in. It's it's basically a relation of
- 15:00fifteen years of me working as a financial writer, and when I'd come across
- 15:05interesting quotes and stuff, I put him in boxes. And then after I
- 15:07put my job, I went through all the boxes and pulled the most compelling
- 15:11quotes. So I have great testimony in the second half of the book Professor
- 15:18Edward Kine, he recently passed away, a well respected fellow. His testimony
- 15:24before the Senate Committee in twenty sixteen is unequivocal and not disputable in any way,
- 15:30and it's so cogent and clear that it's wonderful, I think, for
- 15:33people to see it because he outlines very specifically, it's brilliant, you know,
- 15:37all of the flaws and the unfairness of the program of the of the
- 15:43financial system. But he does it, you know, and it's not a
- 15:46lung chat. You know, I take excerpts obviously, but you know,
- 15:50it's I want people to see this because I want them to know that this
- 15:54pro this financial system is insane. You know, it's nuts, and that
- 15:58if you think it's nuts, you're not the crazy one. And once you
- 16:03read my book, you'll know that you're not the crazy one. And people
- 16:06with a lot of esteem economists agree with you and me. They're just not
- 16:12their voices just aren't heard. I mean, Kane is the one. Luigi's
- 16:17and Galis from the University of Chicago wrote a paper then I stumbled on,
- 16:22called does finance benefit society? And he basically said, there is no evidence
- 16:29that it has for the last fourteen years. What are we doing with it
- 16:32if it doesn't benefit society? I mean that's the bottom line, all right,
- 16:37So and totally agree with you on that financialization is a net negative,
- 16:45gross negative, because he got people pushing around paper, both figuratively and literally,
- 16:52who really contribute zero to society. And and you know, if you
- 17:00ever saw that movie Margin call right, you got a guy who figures out
- 17:04all the mortgage backed securities are worthless ergo where your repos are kind of worthless.
- 17:11And he's an aerospace engineer who should be designing airplanes. But the Muddy
- 17:18was on Wall streets and he finds himself on Wall Street and he unleashes all
- 17:25this and then supposedly this was if you had to pick a bank that it
- 17:30was, it was Goldman. They discover it before anyone else, They sell
- 17:33out all their position, they take their hits, and then the crash results
- 17:38from it. I don't know how much of it was fictional and how much
- 17:41of it was real, but it definitely struck a note with me. Yeah,
- 17:47I like that movie. That's what I also would like to point out.
- 17:52The brain drain is really sad. I mean when you think of all
- 17:56the smart people who were in finance. I mean I read a recent I
- 18:00can't remember, maybe it was mid two thousands or earlier, but the average
- 18:03salary for someone in financial services was six thousand a week. And at the
- 18:10time the average salary for the average American was eight hundred and eighty four dollars,
- 18:15and in New York it was sixteen thousand a week. So there's another
- 18:18that's another aspect of it, the brain drain. I mean, I wrote
- 18:22about money market funds for a long time, and I did a lot of
- 18:26research. Again, most of my book comes from those years. But what
- 18:30I what I also was very familiarized with are the ancillary companies that are out
- 18:34there just service you know, collateral collateralization optimization companies. Yeah, algorithms doing
- 18:45all oh yeah, yeah, the collateral Highway. And there's a there's a
- 18:49really kind of funny segment in the book where I just lived. I stumbled
- 18:55on this meeting among financial institution fellow with software fellow I can't remember, but
- 19:02it was like four or five people, and they were all different roles,
- 19:04and they were talking about collateralization and the challenges and I just excerpted at the
- 19:11end of the collateral chapter and just throw it on the pages because it's funny.
- 19:15I mean, it's so ridiculous the way they're talking you can't even understand
- 19:18it. And the massive education and people are going to need for this,
- 19:22and it's really complicated, and the dialogue amogenum is just kind of hilarious because
- 19:27it just shows you how completely nuts this whole thing is. Yeah, totally
- 19:33all right, So all of you out there, the book is Repo Badness,
- 19:37A Simpleton's Guide to the Street's Wicked Ways. Do I have time for
- 19:42a quote or are we're running out? Yeah? We got one more quote,
- 19:45sure, okay, this is what I really like. It's by economist
- 19:48John Kay, and he writes, we need a finance sector to manage our
- 19:53payments, finance our housing stock, restore our infrastructure, fun retirement, and
- 20:00support new business. But very little of the expertise that exists in the finance
- 20:06industry today relates to the facilitation of payments, the provision of housing, the
- 20:11management of large construction projects, the needs of the elderly, or the nurturing
- 20:15of small businesses. The process of financial intermediation has become an end in itself.
- 20:23Okay, So if I can sum up and interpret what that says,
- 20:29Once upon a time, the financial sector's purpose was allocation of capital, and
- 20:36they were an They were a middleman, and they got capital from deposits from
- 20:41banks and all. And then they found worthy borrowers who who could take that
- 20:48money and help the economy grow. And now it's just a giant sino and
- 20:56the only ones benefiting from it, or the interested parties. Hence why they're
- 21:02probably if there's two lobbyists, two industries that lobby the most, it's big
- 21:07pharmat and big wall sting, And the public needs to get involved because that
- 21:14was the takeaway from better markets. Until the public is more knowledgeable and active
- 21:21in fighting this and so you know, I'll send you this new blueprint for
- 21:26a complete up change, pulling the tree from the roots, and you can
- 21:30send it to your congressman and congresswoman. You know. Hey, do you
- 21:36have a website Mariel Hotel, but I want to wreak involved one. But
- 21:41I've got you. We're on LinkedIn of course. Yeah, your LinkedIn.
- 21:45We'll throw your LinkedIn. We'll throw the Amazon link so you can buy the
- 21:52book. And hey, if you've got a question for Mariel and you can
- 21:56just or from myself for that matter, just send me an email kl at
- 22:02carry Lutz dot com. We'll get you an answer on the site. To
- 22:07show notes this interview on Financial Survival Network dot com. Just click through the
- 22:11Amazon link is there, the LinkedIn link is there, and send us any
- 22:15questions while you're there. Sign up for your free newsletter. Mary Ellen.
- 22:19Had been an absolute pleasure. Great luck you. Thank you very much for
- 22:23having me. I appreciate it. Thanks for listening to carry Lutz's Financial Survival
- 22:27Network your solution to today's trying times. For the latest go to Financial Survival
- 22:34Network dot com Financial Survival Network now more than ever,