Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Barry Diller Offers to Buy Rest of MGM in Deal Valued at Nearly $19 Billion
Transcript
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- 0:23Speaker 2: All right, it is Monday, which means M and A
- 0:26Speaker 2: is in the house right now. And one of the
- 0:28Speaker 2: big ones that we're keeping an eye on here is
- 0:31Speaker 2: people offering to buy MGM Resorts for forty eight dollars
- 0:34Speaker 2: thirty cents a share in cash. And for anyone who's wondering,
- 0:37Speaker 2: people incorporated as a company controlled by Barry Diller. So
- 0:41Speaker 2: let's bring in Jody Lourie. She's our senior credit analyst
- 0:44Speaker 2: for more on this. Jody walk us through what this
- 0:46Speaker 2: looks like, because this is forty eight dollars storty cents
- 0:49Speaker 2: a share in cash.
- 0:50Speaker 3: Is there going to be debt involved?
- 0:52Speaker 4: Oh, there is going to be debt involved, Starlette, I
- 0:55Speaker 4: will not doubt that by any measure.
- 0:58Speaker 3: Now, of course, is the deal going to get done?
- 1:00Speaker 3: That's the bigger question.
- 1:01Speaker 4: But right now, so people owns twenty six point one
- 1:05Speaker 4: percent and they're planning on increasing that by twenty four
- 1:07Speaker 4: percent in terms of total ownership, or twenty four percentage
- 1:11Speaker 4: points in total ownership, and so they want to own
- 1:15Speaker 4: fifty point one percent and have other investors on the
- 1:18Speaker 4: other amount.
- 1:18Speaker 3: Now, if you look.
- 1:19Speaker 4: At the whole package of that seventy four percent that's
- 1:23Speaker 4: getting acquired, we estimate that's about eight billion in debt.
- 1:27Speaker 4: If you exclude the amount of cash that people has
- 1:30Speaker 4: on hand, which is a little over a billion, it's
- 1:32Speaker 4: at one point one billion. So eight billion dollars is
- 1:36Speaker 4: quite a lot. Now, if you only look at what
- 1:38Speaker 4: they're going to buy, it's still you know, it's still
- 1:41Speaker 4: a large amount. It's still four or five billion dollar
- 1:43Speaker 4: in terms of leveraging up the company. So we're talking
- 1:47Speaker 4: leverage going from mid five times to mid seven times
- 1:51Speaker 4: on a lease adjusted basis for MGM. And we view
- 1:54Speaker 4: this less so as an acquisition by equals, more so
- 1:58Speaker 4: as an LBO type structure, So really just leveraging up MGM,
- 2:02Speaker 4: putting all the debt on MGM, and creating a situation
- 2:05Speaker 4: in which MGM's private, in which they have more debt
- 2:08Speaker 4: on the balance sheet and it's going to be at
- 2:11Speaker 4: odds with of course, the large leases that they already have,
- 2:14Speaker 4: which is about you know, three quarters of the debt
- 2:17Speaker 4: that they have on hand.
- 2:19Speaker 5: As a former banker, I don't like this balance sheet.
- 2:21Speaker 5: Start with what's your market telling you, Jody, I mean,
- 2:25Speaker 5: how did these does trade?
- 2:27Speaker 4: Yeah, so, Paul, it's one of those names that really
- 2:30Speaker 4: frustrates me in general, just because a few years ago
- 2:32Speaker 4: they decided to do a sale lease back of all
- 2:34Speaker 4: the US assets. So they got rid of all US
- 2:37Speaker 4: assets and instead went into this sale easepack structure, which
- 2:43Speaker 4: is basically, they pay rent, they pay rent, they pay
- 2:46Speaker 4: they pay taxes, they pay all the upkeeping capex and
- 2:50Speaker 4: operating operating costs on the properties. But they're a tenant
- 2:55Speaker 4: and so you look at that and you say, well,
- 2:57Speaker 4: wait a minute, what's the benefit of that. These are
- 3:00Speaker 4: long term structures with a few parties and you're paying constantly. Now,
- 3:05Speaker 4: it is a little bit cheaper in theory than borrowing
- 3:08Speaker 4: debt all the time, but it is one of those
- 3:11Speaker 4: situations that as a bondholder, you say, okay, if they
- 3:13Speaker 4: only have about five six billion, seven billion in debt outstanding,
- 3:18Speaker 4: but then they have about twenty nine billion or twenty
- 3:21Speaker 4: five billion excuse me, in operating leases, you're not really
- 3:25Speaker 4: a big fan of that. And so this is a
- 3:28Speaker 4: company where from a business perspective, it's really fantastic in
- 3:32Speaker 4: terms of the reach, in terms of the geo structure
- 3:36Speaker 4: that they have. I mean, they have buildings in Osaka,
- 3:39Speaker 4: you know, they have buildings. Obviously, they have MGM China,
- 3:41Speaker 4: which is based in Macaw, they have all throughout the
- 3:44Speaker 4: US and a really big stronghold in Vegas. But then
- 3:47Speaker 4: you just throw on those operating leases and as a
- 3:49Speaker 4: bondholder you can never get comfortable, but even more so
- 3:52Speaker 4: now when it's going to get levered up and so
- 3:54Speaker 4: the bonds are just widening.
- 3:56Speaker 3: Jody, what's going on in the casino sector. We had
- 3:59Speaker 3: you on last week when.
- 4:01Speaker 2: We talked about for Tita Entertainment buying Caesars, and now
- 4:06Speaker 2: you have people's buying the chunk of MGM resource that
- 4:09Speaker 2: doesn't already own what's happening in the casino business fundamentally
- 4:12Speaker 2: that is causing or that is triggering all this M
- 4:14Speaker 2: and A.
- 4:16Speaker 4: So Scarlett, I think we're in a little bit of
- 4:18Speaker 4: a late stage indication from a credit cycle perspective. If
- 4:21Speaker 4: I had to opine on it, just because you only
- 4:25Speaker 4: see these sort of scenarios in these later stages, right
- 4:28Speaker 4: that's when the LBOs happen. We also have the political
- 4:31Speaker 4: situation where things are a little bit more lax at
- 4:33Speaker 4: the DOJ and the SEC, and so that also opens
- 4:36Speaker 4: the door to these acquisitions getting done even being a possibility.
- 4:41Speaker 4: But for gaming in particular, it's sort of interesting because
- 4:43Speaker 4: we also have the prediction markets, which of course have
- 4:45Speaker 4: created all sorts of waves in the industry in terms
- 4:48Speaker 4: of the digital side of things. So that online gaming
- 4:51Speaker 4: sports betting component has been a big sort of avenue
- 4:55Speaker 4: for growth a lot for a lot of these companies
- 4:57Speaker 4: where it's really just you know, other is not really
- 5:00Speaker 4: a very exciting industry, and the prediction markets is definitely
- 5:05Speaker 4: shaking it up a little bit in the US and
- 5:07Speaker 4: causing questions of what's the next growth story. So it's
- 5:10Speaker 4: not really so surprising that these investors are coming in
- 5:14Speaker 4: and saying, hey, I can do a better job, particularly
- 5:16Speaker 4: investors that are already smart in the industry. They've already
- 5:19Speaker 4: been involved in it in some sense, or involved in
- 5:21Speaker 4: related industries in some sense. So we're not surprised as
- 5:25Speaker 4: much as we are intrigued and concerned for creditors.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 5:37Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 5:41Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 5:44Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 5:47Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 5:51Speaker 5: Let's talk about our good friends at Berkshire Hathaway. Matthew
- 5:55Speaker 5: palos Oli. He joints us here from Bloomberg Intelligence. He
- 5:57Speaker 5: covers all the insurance companies, including Berkshire Hathway Ay Berkshire
- 6:00Speaker 5: Hathway in the market again here for a deal. What
- 6:03Speaker 5: is Taylor Marson? And what if somebody is a Berkser
- 6:08Speaker 5: shareolder think about this deal?
- 6:10Speaker 6: So you may or may not recall I was in
- 6:12Speaker 6: here a couple of weeks ago and I had said
- 6:15Speaker 6: what I would like to see Greg Abell do is
- 6:17Speaker 6: hit some doubles and singles. Perhaps I think this is
- 6:21Speaker 6: exactly in line with that. So Taylor is a home builder.
- 6:25Speaker 6: Berkshire owns the biggest off site homebuilder in the country.
- 6:31Speaker 3: And what does off site home builder mean?
- 6:33Speaker 6: So they build the house and then they bring you
- 6:35Speaker 6: the house. So when I was at the annual meeting
- 6:37Speaker 6: in May. They literally had houses inside of the convention center,
- 6:42Speaker 6: and those houses more in the affordable end. This is
- 6:47Speaker 6: a vertically integrated company. Their company, they own Clayton, so
- 6:50Speaker 6: they do it from beginning to end. They sell the house.
- 6:53Speaker 6: The houses are maybe around two hundred thousand dollars. This
- 6:55Speaker 6: company they're buying fits very nicely with it because they're
- 7:00Speaker 6: an on site builder of more higher end homes, so
- 7:04Speaker 6: it's complementary to the business the business that they have.
- 7:07Speaker 6: They're not paying too much. It's eight point five billion,
- 7:09Speaker 6: that's about two percent of their three hundred and seventy
- 7:11Speaker 6: three billion cash as of March thirty first, and the
- 7:16Speaker 6: valuation these stocks have been beat up, as you might
- 7:19Speaker 6: have guessed, so the valuations down. I think I'm not
- 7:22Speaker 6: a home builder analyst, but Taylor was underperforming peers, and
- 7:26Speaker 6: I don't think Berkshire minds that all that much to
- 7:28Speaker 6: get it at probably a discount to its historical valuation.
- 7:31Speaker 2: And one thing that analysts point out is the fact
- 7:35Speaker 2: that greg Abel said that they want to overtime unify
- 7:39Speaker 2: our site built home building operations into a combined platform.
- 7:43Speaker 2: With this new purchase of Taylor Morrison and combine it
- 7:45Speaker 2: with Clayton Holmes. This is a different strategy, isn't it
- 7:49Speaker 2: from Berksher's usual approach of letting acquisitions run on their
- 7:53Speaker 2: own under their own branding.
- 7:54Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 7:54Speaker 6: No, that's a good thing to point out, Scarlett. They
- 7:57Speaker 6: typically Berkshire does not ever talk about synergies or or
- 8:00Speaker 6: or use that as any kind of justification forever buying something,
- 8:03Speaker 6: but greg Abel did specifically not so Clayton. They do
- 8:07Speaker 6: the business where they build a house and they bring you.
- 8:09Speaker 6: They have a smaller business where they do build it
- 8:11Speaker 6: on the site, and they were building building that unintended
- 8:15Speaker 6: over time through acquisitions. So what Able's saying is we're
- 8:19Speaker 6: going to take that business and probably fold it into
- 8:21Speaker 6: the tailor business and it's probably a better run through them. Also,
- 8:26Speaker 6: by the way, Berkshire owns a ton of manufacturing component businesses,
- 8:33Speaker 6: So Paul, you probably have the Benjamin Moore cea foam
- 8:35Speaker 6: pain in your shorehouse. That's a Berkshire Hathaway product.
- 8:39Speaker 7: Right.
- 8:39Speaker 6: They do flooring installations, all kinds of companies, and again
- 8:44Speaker 6: they don't talk about like having synergies here, but there's
- 8:46Speaker 6: definitely some opportunity to.
- 8:48Speaker 3: So they control a lot of the supply chain.
- 8:49Speaker 6: Yeah, and Taylor. While Clayton is vertically integrated, Taylor buys
- 8:55Speaker 6: from suppliers.
- 8:56Speaker 5: What's the cadence of acquisition activity for Berksher Hathaway. They
- 9:00Speaker 5: like to do one a year, two a year one.
- 9:02Speaker 6: We're just opportunistic, you know the answer to that, Paul,
- 9:06Speaker 6: They're going to do it when they see it in
- 9:08Speaker 6: the market.
- 9:08Speaker 5: They don't.
- 9:09Speaker 6: There's no timetable, there's no you know, we have to
- 9:12Speaker 6: do it. We have to deploy cash in any way.
- 9:15Speaker 6: They preach patients over anything. So I think it's you know,
- 9:19Speaker 6: when we see the deal, we do it. In the
- 9:22Speaker 6: note we put out today, we do have the deals
- 9:24Speaker 6: and capital deployment that they have done over time, and
- 9:27Speaker 6: it is I think more than you'd realize. They spend
- 9:30Speaker 6: twelve billion dollars on Google stock in the first quarter,
- 9:32Speaker 6: which is bigger than this acquisition.
- 9:35Speaker 2: We look at Berkshire Hathway shares and they've kind of underperformed,
- 9:38Speaker 2: down five point six percent this year when the SMP
- 9:40Speaker 2: is up about eleven percent. Does this kind of deal
- 9:44Speaker 2: help persure makeups some that gap?
- 9:47Speaker 7: Probably not.
- 9:49Speaker 6: I don't think so. I think this is probably able
- 9:52Speaker 6: building investor confidence over time. I mean, I think that
- 9:56Speaker 6: the the leaving of warm Buffett really left a whole
- 10:00Speaker 6: in the hearts and minds of people investing in the company,
- 10:03Speaker 6: and I think that needs to be rebuilt. I think,
- 10:06Speaker 6: ironically Berkshire's the kind of proto ANTIAI trade. You know,
- 10:11Speaker 6: they have all hard assets, they have a financial business,
- 10:14Speaker 6: and the insurance should you see the AI trade kind
- 10:18Speaker 6: of sell off be the natural company that I would
- 10:20Speaker 6: think would benefit from that. But even in the times
- 10:22Speaker 6: where that has happened earlier in the year, it hasn't
- 10:24Speaker 6: really over themed.
- 10:28Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 10:33Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 10:37Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 10:40Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 10:43Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 10:48Speaker 2: Video is entering the PC market with this new RTX
- 10:51Speaker 2: spark super chip. It's of course causing repercussions across a
- 10:56Speaker 2: chip space. We see Intel shares AMD shares to line.
- 11:00Speaker 2: Of course they are competitors. Let's bring in Mandeep Seing,
- 11:03Speaker 2: our global tech research head here at Bloomberg Intelligence for
- 11:06Speaker 2: more on this. So mand Jensen Hook made the announcement
- 11:09Speaker 2: in tipaid and Industry conference. How big a deal is
- 11:12Speaker 2: this that in Nvidia is entering the PC market.
- 11:15Speaker 7: Well, PC is a saturated market, you know, when you
- 11:19Speaker 7: think about the PC market, two hundred and fifty million
- 11:21Speaker 7: units a year grows probably low single digit So it's
- 11:26Speaker 7: not that exciting compared to some of the other stuff
- 11:29Speaker 7: that they've been doing on the server side and the
- 11:31Speaker 7: data center side, and the numbers would pay in comparison.
- 11:35Speaker 7: I think where they're going with this is they think
- 11:39Speaker 7: the physical AI would be a much bigger opportunity. Now,
- 11:43Speaker 7: when I say physical AI, it's your robotics, your humanoids
- 11:47Speaker 7: and that kind of stuff, and you're not going to
- 11:49Speaker 7: be able to do that just by focusing on the
- 11:53Speaker 7: server and the data center market. So they really want
- 11:56Speaker 7: to expand into other areas to build that ecosystem where
- 12:00Speaker 7: they have, you know, a PC footprint, and they just
- 12:04Speaker 7: don't want to be the chip provider anymore. That's been
- 12:07Speaker 7: Invidiou's key struality over the past few years is they
- 12:10Speaker 7: will give you all in terms of the Kuda software
- 12:14Speaker 7: stuff on the networking side, rather than just being confined
- 12:18Speaker 7: to being a GPU provider. And that's where they're going
- 12:21Speaker 7: with this is Look, you guys can run agentic AI
- 12:24Speaker 7: on our PCs. Now. Granted, their market share would be,
- 12:29Speaker 7: you know, low single digit. I don't expect it to
- 12:31Speaker 7: really take off and displace Intel our AMD, But what
- 12:35Speaker 7: they're trying to prove is the concept that in theory,
- 12:39Speaker 7: we can have our own PC and that is what
- 12:41Speaker 7: will position us well for that roboty if.
- 12:43Speaker 5: We choose to go down that d Yeah, the strategy
- 12:47Speaker 5: guy who advised Jensen Wang to do this, he'll be
- 12:49Speaker 5: out of a job in twelve months. I guarantee you.
- 12:51Speaker 3: This is why this PCs.
- 12:54Speaker 5: That's like some nineteen eighties dude. I mean, I'm an
- 12:57Speaker 5: AI company. I just want the AI or that's all
- 13:00Speaker 5: I want. I don't need to be making anything. I
- 13:04Speaker 5: don't want people touching my product. I just want to
- 13:06Speaker 5: be the AI company. That is what Scott Nvidia to
- 13:09Speaker 5: where it is now. I would argue it.
- 13:10Speaker 7: Has, but look at what they've done on the server side.
- 13:14Speaker 7: Server wasn't a very fast growing market. Suddenly everyone wants
- 13:19Speaker 7: to be in the server market. Why because the nature
- 13:22Speaker 7: of compute has changed with AI workloads, and with Agent TAKEAI,
- 13:27Speaker 7: we're talking about a very different type of compute than
- 13:30Speaker 7: what we are used to seeing on our desktops and laptops.
- 13:33Speaker 7: And so from that perspective, if the new interface for
- 13:37Speaker 7: Agent TAKEAI is conversational and a lot of stuff happens
- 13:41Speaker 7: in the background with an agent, then clearly your old
- 13:45Speaker 7: PC is not good enough for that.
- 13:47Speaker 5: Just doesn't have the technology chops that I do. I
- 13:49Speaker 5: can think way out in advance, and I don't want
- 13:52Speaker 5: to be with you exactly.
- 13:54Speaker 2: Clearly put into context for us another headline we got
- 13:58Speaker 2: on in video, which is it Saysthropic, Open AI and
- 14:01Speaker 2: SpaceX or among the first big users of this upcoming
- 14:03Speaker 2: microprocessor called Verra CPUs in their data centers. What is
- 14:07Speaker 2: this about and how does this fit in with the
- 14:09Speaker 2: broader strategy.
- 14:11Speaker 7: Yeah, so via Rubin, as you know, is their new
- 14:13Speaker 7: architecture after Blackwealth what they currently have, and they talked
- 14:18Speaker 7: about ramping it to full production in fall, and as
- 14:22Speaker 7: part of that they're really toouting you know, the CPU
- 14:26Speaker 7: portion of that Vira system that has got you know,
- 14:30Speaker 7: GPUs networking and everything in terms of an optimized system infrastructure.
- 14:35Speaker 7: So they are saying our CPU, which works very well
- 14:39Speaker 7: in this system. Integrated architecture will help you deploy agent AI.
- 14:45Speaker 7: And the reason why that stress on CPU is because
- 14:48Speaker 7: with Agent Tachai, the shift from chatbots to agent Takai,
- 14:53Speaker 7: the importance of CPU has grown. So they think CPU
- 14:56Speaker 7: is a big market and it's an important part of
- 14:59Speaker 7: that agentic rca detector and hence why this stress on SEA.
- 15:02Speaker 2: So black Claws, the current most advanced AI chip VIA
- 15:05Speaker 2: is the next generation.
- 15:06Speaker 4: That's right.
- 15:07Speaker 2: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 15:15Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 15:18Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Cockplay and Android
- 15:21Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 15:25Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 15:29Speaker 5: We're supposed to be Isabell Lee Last Hour and extend.
- 15:32Speaker 5: They bait and switch me put Eric Malchunis in, which
- 15:34Speaker 5: was a crushing.
- 15:35Speaker 3: That was a downgrade for you.
- 15:36Speaker 5: That was a downgrade for you. But we got Isabella
- 15:38Speaker 5: Lee now cross Asser reporter for Bloomberg News. She's in
- 15:40Speaker 5: our studio.
- 15:42Speaker 3: You guys have a big take story out today.
- 15:44Speaker 5: Lu Wang Bailey, Lipschultz and you, Isabella Lee, this SpaceX ipo.
- 15:48Speaker 5: This is kind of setting new rules and new norms
- 15:50Speaker 5: for the IPO market, is it.
- 15:52Speaker 8: Yes, it's just so consequential. It's reorganizing a lot of
- 15:55Speaker 8: the parts of the markets, and one of those that
- 15:57Speaker 8: it's reorganizing is the stead quiet world of passive investing.
- 16:01Speaker 8: So because a lot of the companies behind the massive
- 16:05Speaker 8: indexes you can think of the company behind SMP five hundred,
- 16:08Speaker 8: NASAK one hundred, Russell, they're changing and have changed their
- 16:12Speaker 8: rules to accommodate megacap IPOs like SpaceX. They don't really
- 16:17Speaker 8: say it's for SpaceX, it's just SpaceX, because when companies
- 16:20Speaker 8: go public these days, it's they're mega companies as opposed
- 16:24Speaker 8: to in the past when they're just you know, a company. Now,
- 16:26Speaker 8: you scale privately, you raise funds privately, and when you
- 16:29Speaker 8: go public, you're the super giant company.
- 16:31Speaker 1: So for the.
- 16:32Speaker 8: NASAC, I think the seasoning period, which you can think
- 16:34Speaker 8: of it as a wait time before they add you
- 16:36Speaker 8: to the NASAK one hundred. It used to be three months.
- 16:39Speaker 8: They've narrowed it down to fifteen days. For foot T
- 16:41Speaker 8: one hundred, it's five days. SMP is still in consultation,
- 16:44Speaker 8: but from twelve months six.
- 16:46Speaker 2: Months, right, I mean it feels like they have to
- 16:48Speaker 2: go down that pass if everyone else did. Is this
- 16:50Speaker 2: a one time thing where they're changing for SpaceX or
- 16:53Speaker 2: is this from here on out?
- 16:54Speaker 3: Because if the SpaceX IPO goes off.
- 16:56Speaker 2: Without a hitch, then we're also going to see Anthropic
- 16:59Speaker 2: and open AI list as well, and they too could
- 17:01Speaker 2: then potentially join the NAS like one hundred after fifteen
- 17:04Speaker 2: trading days.
- 17:04Speaker 8: Yes, they never say it's for SpaceX, it's for megacap companies,
- 17:08Speaker 8: so one good thing. It's likely also for anthropic and
- 17:11Speaker 8: open AI. And this isn't unprecedented in the past, they've
- 17:13Speaker 8: also tried to change your rules to accommodate META if
- 17:15Speaker 8: I'm not mistaken in twenty twelve, but Annals estimate that
- 17:19Speaker 8: for SpaceX, if the rules apply, index funds would have
- 17:22Speaker 8: to buy twenty billion dollars worth of SpaceX shares, which
- 17:26Speaker 8: is a lot, and that could really move the markets.
- 17:28Speaker 8: And that's not even considering where it will be. Is
- 17:31Speaker 8: it going to be communication, Is it going to be industrial, Is.
- 17:33Speaker 3: It going to be what? Is it going to be
- 17:34Speaker 3: classic classication?
- 17:36Speaker 7: Yes?
- 17:36Speaker 8: Is it going to be a tech firm. So yeah,
- 17:38Speaker 8: no one knows, but it's.
- 17:39Speaker 5: Interesting you mentioned that because I was wondering, like what analysts,
- 17:42Speaker 5: which analysts on Wall Street will be covering the yes,
- 17:45Speaker 5: and so what I want to understand is a lot
- 17:47Speaker 5: of the aerospace and defense.
- 17:49Speaker 8: Rockets usually are industrials. But then if you look at
- 17:51Speaker 8: the revenue generating I mean, it has cloud services, deals
- 17:54Speaker 8: with anthropic that's communication.
- 17:56Speaker 3: Sorry, no, that's tech.
- 17:58Speaker 8: But then they Nicolas Colas of Data Trick awesome, he
- 18:03Speaker 8: said it might be communications because of the sales, and
- 18:06Speaker 8: guess we're alphabet and meta is communications.
- 18:09Speaker 2: No matter what, it's going to be the gigantic company
- 18:12Speaker 2: in that sector, especially if it's something like communications, which
- 18:14Speaker 2: doesn't have as many names as the tech sector.
- 18:16Speaker 8: One hundred percent. But it's just so unprecedented, to be honest,
- 18:19Speaker 8: and it will also pave the way for the mega
- 18:21Speaker 8: IPOs we're going to see at the end of this year.
- 18:24Speaker 5: And what I like about the Big Takes stories AI,
- 18:26Speaker 5: they're just really interesting stories, and they're deeply resourced and
- 18:30Speaker 5: deeply sourced all that kind of cool stuff. Even nice pretty.
- 18:32Speaker 3: Pictures likes always.
- 18:35Speaker 5: Help, And they've got a pretty picture about how SpaceX
- 18:38Speaker 5: IPO stacks ups in terms of offer size, the biggest
- 18:42Speaker 5: in terms of market cap one point eight trillion, second
- 18:45Speaker 5: only to a round.
- 18:45Speaker 8: I think can just compare on it.
- 18:47Speaker 5: It's just extraordinary. So it's way way off the grid here,
- 18:52Speaker 5: I guess, you know, do we expect this thing to
- 18:55Speaker 5: just do a normal road show? Are they going to
- 18:56Speaker 5: go to do we I haven't even seen a road
- 18:58Speaker 5: show schedule. Are they going to do in New York?
- 19:00Speaker 5: At they in London? And day that?
- 19:01Speaker 3: I'm not sure.
- 19:02Speaker 8: I think it's going to be mid June. But I
- 19:03Speaker 8: want to bring up one important point. Also, they're going
- 19:05Speaker 8: to allot thirty percent of retail traders, and just this
- 19:08Speaker 8: morning newsbrook that five percent will be allotted to employees,
- 19:11Speaker 8: which I think is more normal.
- 19:12Speaker 3: Why is that unusual? That's a huge.
- 19:14Speaker 8: Size because in the old playbook, it's institutional money that
- 19:17Speaker 8: gets a lot of this and retailers are just left
- 19:19Speaker 8: with leftovers. But now it's really putting the retail investors
- 19:23Speaker 8: to a pedestal and recognizing them to be an important part.
- 19:26Speaker 8: I mean, it's thirty percent, which is still minority compared
- 19:29Speaker 8: to seventy percent, but that's bigger than anything.
- 19:32Speaker 5: Well, my deals. If retail, that means this a bad deal.
- 19:35Speaker 5: I couldn't get to the institution.
- 19:37Speaker 3: But this is different. This is Elon, and I think
- 19:39Speaker 3: is it.
- 19:39Speaker 2: Different because does that mean there's gonna be enough demand
- 19:42Speaker 2: after the stock lists? And is a publicly traded company,
- 19:45Speaker 2: is it going to have that swell of demand that
- 19:47Speaker 2: usually boosts the share price.
- 19:48Speaker 8: I think that's what everyone's going to be worried about.
- 19:51Speaker 8: And then if you go through Reddit, the best source
- 19:53Speaker 8: on Earth.
- 19:54Speaker 5: I know I've got it on my phone, but I
- 19:55Speaker 5: just don't find it useful.
- 19:57Speaker 2: To talk about we're getting you, We're going to your
- 20:00Speaker 2: It's going to be convers people.
- 20:01Speaker 8: Where like why will I even buy? They think it's
- 20:03Speaker 8: a scam. We all know some people think that, but
- 20:05Speaker 8: others are like, why will I even try buying when
- 20:07Speaker 8: it's going to be in my index fund aka my
- 20:09Speaker 8: brache account soon, which again because of the seasoning shortened.
- 20:14Speaker 5: And then another little derivative trade is do I sell
- 20:17Speaker 5: my Tesla because I can get Ela on by just
- 20:20Speaker 5: owning SpaceX.
- 20:21Speaker 2: Too much concentration risk if you have both Tesla and SpaceX,
- 20:24Speaker 2: So if you.
- 20:24Speaker 8: Have an index fund, you've basically have SpaceX in a
- 20:26Speaker 8: few months.
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