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Episode 249 - 4/3/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 249 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone happy
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Thirsty Thursday the 1st week in April is coming to an end.
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We got one more day until a big Friday and then the weekend will
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be here and you know what that means the return of March
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Madness, the final four and guess what guys?
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I hit on a couple of these March Madness games yesterday just
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kind of teasing out my thoughts. I had a live stream on Tuesday.
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Thank you all again who tuned into the rhythm live stream
0:59
every Tuesday on Twitter. You can find it at Josh under
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Score Insights. But I was saying, hey, there's a
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game that I'm looking at and I'm thinking we should probably pull
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the trigger. And then there's another game
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that I'm interested in, but I'm going to continue to monitor.
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I'm going to hold out for a specific number.
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Well end up playing one officially.
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So I'm going to give you a final four bet.
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You're welcome to tail fade, do whatever you like, but I think
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we have a pretty good edge here based upon what Rhythm and Ken
1:23
Palmer are predicting and what the betting market and number
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currently that is being offered. So I have one official bet for
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the final four, another lean. I'm waiting for a good number.
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And then of course, we're going to get right back to Major
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League Baseball with a three pack today.
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Kind of a small slate, only five games overall.
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Couple of them are early, but I got 2 plays on the late games
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and one play on a late afternoon matchup as well.
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So as always, a three pack. Let's try to go 2 in one, eek
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out a winning night. Now, before we dive in our
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sweats for today, looking back toward last night, 2 and 2 -,
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0.79 units. Finally, dear Lord, the
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Cardinals came through after two straight days of blowing leads.
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They actually blew a lead yesterday.
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Sonny Gray had a lead. I think they're up 3:00 to 1:00
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to give up a Grand Slam. But they found a way to claw
2:08
their way back and then absolutely poured it on late,
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winning 12 to 5 S. Cardinals, thank you for finally
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coming through for us. Then the fathers, the Padres,
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man, the Padres just keep coming through.
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I had another winner there. The frustrating losses were the
2:21
Reds. They lost one nothing.
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I think they had two hits. They couldn't do anything
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offensively. So really that was a that was a
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no show on offense. Always tough when you lose a
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game, one nothing. And then the Yankees, the
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Yankees, of course, they let us down here.
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They actually got off to a bad start for nothing.
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They made it interesting in the ninth, Anthony Volpe hit a three
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run Homer, but then of course thing was Dominguez who struck
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out there to end the game. So either way, guys 2 and 2 -,
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0.79 units will find a way hopefully to scratch and claw
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and start our our Thursday here on a winning note.
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So with that being said, let's get right back to MLBI.
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Love sweating MLB on a daily basis.
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I think it's just, I don't know, something about it, something
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about the grind and also like the fact that you get a lot of
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games to choose from each day. You can kind of narrow it down
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and fall toward the games that have good, you know, current
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market movement and then also overlap with a ton of system
3:12
matches. And you guys, before you know
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it, you'll be able to, you know, just, you know, shout out these
3:17
system matches, you know, as as easy and quickly as I can.
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But anyway, let's get right to it, guys.
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Early match up here. 4:10 PM Eastern Time.
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We got the Astros visiting the Houston or the Minnesota Twins.
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So we got Astros Twins. 4:10 PM Eastern Time.
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Let's set the stage, talk some line movement.
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I'll give you my play for this one.
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So going into it, the Stroh's struggling a bit to start the
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year. They're 2:00 and 4:00 just got
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swept by the Giants at home. They lost the series finale
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yesterday six to three as a -, 165 home favorite.
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You know, all the Twins also 2:00 and 4:00.
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But they actually had a pretty good series.
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They just took two or three against the White Sox, took care
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of business as a - 185 win winner yesterday on the road,
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winning 6 to 1. So what are we seeing for this
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match up here? Well, first let's start with the
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pitching match up. Every time you cap an MLB game,
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to me, it starts with the starting pitchers.
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Obviously the match up, it'll be baked into the number, but you
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want to be aware of who's on the bump.
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It's kind of like a starting goalie in hockey or quarterback
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in the NFL. But anyway, this open with the
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Twins, let's say as a very short favorite around -120 at home,
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around Houston, A plus one O 5 road dog.
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And it's pretty clear here sharps are going with the
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Twinkies. So that's where I want to go.
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I'm going twins here, guys. Twins open -120 They've now been
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steamed up to -135 -, 140. So good movement.
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One way movement in favor of the Twins.
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Look at the bets. What's here.
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What's notable to me is that the public is actually saying, give
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me Houston. Houston's getting some plus
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money. Hey, they're both two and four.
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Houston's won a bunch of World Series and, you know, over the
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last, I don't know, 5-10 years or so.
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So why not take Houston 22 subpar teams, take the plus
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money. However, even though you're
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getting nearly 60% of money line bets on the Astros at
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DraftKings, the line didn't move toward the Astros, it moved
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further toward the Twins. So it looks to me like a bit of
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a fade. The trendy dog reverse line move
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in favor of Minnesota public's taking Houston and the plus
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money. Yet this line is moving further
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toward Minnesota now at Circa, this really jumped out to me.
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The Twins are only getting 48% of money line bets, but 91% of
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money line dollars. So a huge low bets, higher
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dollar split in favor of Minnesota out in the desert.
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Now we get to our system matches.
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Home favorites this year seems chalky, seems obvious, but proof
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is in the pudding. Home favorites are 40 and 20
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this season, 67% with an 11% ROI.
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We've also seen non division home favorites off a win with
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steam $0.10 or more in their direction, 16 and two to start
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the season, 89% with a 44% ROI. And then we also have a home
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favorite off a win versus an opponent off a loss. 20 and
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seven this year, 74% with a 21% ROI.
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So a lot of matches here on the Twinkies.
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Then lastly, it's a very low total total open at around 7
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1/2. It's now down to seven at most
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shops. You might still find a 7 1/2
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really just under. But the total has fallen and the
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line has moved toward Minnesota. So, you know, theoretically
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that's telling you maybe Minnesota wins a low scoring
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game. We always like a correlative
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favorite low total because the fair amount of expected run
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scored more likely to come from quote UN quote the better team
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who's favored to win. So you add it all up here, guys.
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Publix take in Houston Lions going to Minnesota.
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Good faith. The trendy dog bet split bunch
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of system matches, correlative betting favorite low total.
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I'm starting the day hopefully fingers crossed with a win.
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Let's go Twinkies. I got Minnesota at -138 I
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believe that was a FanDuel next one, 7:05 PM Eastern Time
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tonight, the D backs and the Yankees.
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I'm looking for some revenge here because the Yankees let us
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down last night and sadly we got to sweat Carlos Carrasco.
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But maybe I'll turn back the clock and be the old Carrasco
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for the the Indians back in the day.
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But anyway, let's set the stage. The D backs four and two.
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They've won the first two games of this three-game interleague
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series. They took the opener 7:00 to
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5:00 as a -, 125 road favorite and again broke our hearts
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yesterday. They won four to three as a +
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125 road dog. So pitch match up here.
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I alluded to it. It looks obvious take since take
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Arizona Merrill Kelly one and O 1.69 ERA Yankees with Carlos
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Carrasco O&O 13.5 O ERA. However, this scheme opened at
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basically a pick em minus one O 5 -, 110 both sides.
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And what we've seen is movement not toward Merrill Kelly in the
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red hot Arizona D backs, but movement toward the Yankees
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again, who let us down the last last night and last two nights.
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Have you played in both nights? And then also, you know, have a
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pitcher on the bump on paper looks like the far worst pitcher
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here. However, we've seen the Yankees
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get steamed up -110 remember pick em opener up to now -120 so
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a good $0.10 steam move in favor of the Bronx Bombers.
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The bet split looks pretty good in favor of the Yankees.
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The Yankees 73% of bets over 80% of dollars at DraftKings on New
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York and at Circa, Yankees are getting 70% of money line bets,
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98% of money line dollars. So both books you know, National
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Public, DraftKings and Sharp wise guy Desert book Circo
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showing good low bets, higher dollars pro and Joe in favor of
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the Yankees here. Maybe the public just says hey
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Yankees are due, they lost the 1st 2, avoid the sweep.
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Whereas the wise guys are saying hey, we saw value in the number
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itself. Maybe they had this game close
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to -120 to begin with, which is why when it opened -110 they
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hammered New York 'cause that line move in favor of the Bronx
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Bombers. Now system matches quite a few
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on the Yankees here, number one interleague favorite.
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Again, lack of familiarity benefiting the better team.
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But I call this the fade or avoid the sweep system.
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So if it's it's a three-game set, you lost the first two
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games and your favorite in the third game.
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That system is 144 and 82 this year, 64 or sorry, this is since
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2022. Big sample size, 144 and 8264
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percent, 7% ROI. Favorites, awful loss, 22 and 12
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this year, 65 percent, 10% ROI. Interleague, home favorites who
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made the playoffs the previous year, 13 and five this year, 72
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percent, 20% ROI. Since the start of last year,
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that system is 144 and 8463% with a 4% ROI.
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So all those systems lighting up on the Yankees.
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Now, I did see a lot of people hit this over at open 9 1/2.
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It's now been bet up to 10. Kind of missed the 9 1/2 value.
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Might be, you know, a little bit gone here, but at DraftKings
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over is 58% bets, 87% dollars and the wind is blowing out at
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Yankee Stadium 70° eight to 10 mile per hour winds blowing out
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to left center. So that would be a windy over
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system match. But I'm going to go down the
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ship here again. I will call this like the
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Cardinals play member. Cardinals let us down play them
9:54
again to bounce back. They came through well, Yankees
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let us down last night. Hopefully they can show up
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today. Maybe Carrasco can limit the
10:01
damage or maybe the bats can come alive.
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The torpedo bats for New York. What happened with the torpedo
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bats? You, you launch 9 bombs and
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torpedo bats are the Taco MLB. Where?
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Where were the bats last night? We needed them.
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Well, hopefully they show up today.
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Give me the Yankees. I got New York at -120 last bat
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of the night. Cincinnati Red Legs and the
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Milwaukee Brew Crew, 7:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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The Reds come in two and four. Drop two or three against the
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Rangers. Let us down yesterday, losing 1.
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Nothing as around a -, 135 home favorite.
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You know the Brew Crew two and four as well.
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They just took two or three against the Royals.
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They won an extras three to two yesterday as a -, 125 home
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favorite. So what have you seen across the
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board? Well, first starting pitcher
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matchup looks obvious to take the Reds.
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They got lefty Nick Lodolo on the bump.
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One O 1 and O ERA of three Brewers going with Nestor
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Cortez. Get ready for this O and 1 ERA
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of 36. Remember he was the one who
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coughed up all those homers with a torpedo bats and the Yankees.
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So obvious take, you know Ladolo over Cortez, right?
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However, just like the Yankee game, this game opened at a pick
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em basically -110 both sides public doesn't know what to do.
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Both teams have the same record. You know Brewers are at home,
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but yet they're starting a pitcher who's got a terrible
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ERA. So public doesn't know what to
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do 5050. What do we always talk about
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when it comes to 5050 bet splits?
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You can throw away contrarian value.
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There's no public bias to bet against.
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But theoretically, 5050 line shouldn't move at all yet.
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If you see a move, you know, I'm going to go with the team
11:33
getting the move because again, you probably shouldn't have to
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move it if the action split, you know, theoretically, and that's
11:38
what we've seen here, 5050 split at DraftKings and Circle Public
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doesn't know what to do. But the sign has crept up toward
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the Brew Crew opening around -110 like the Yankees, they're
11:47
up to around -120 so if you like the Yankees, you like Milwaukee
11:52
or vice versa. Both open at a pick, both $0.10
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of steam toward the home team. Now some system matches here for
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the Brew Crew home favorites, as you mentioned, they are 40 and
12:02
20 this year, 67 percent, 11% ROI home favorites off a win
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playing an opponent off a loss 20 and 774% with a 21% ROI.
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We also have a bit of a favorite low total correlative betting
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play as this is a very low total of 8, not quite the seven in the
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Minnesota game, but Milwaukee Sensi total of eight favorite is
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Milwaukee. Again, correlative betting,
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fewer amount of expected runs scored, more likely to come from
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quote UN quote that better team. So we got a pick em game.
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We've steamed up toward Milwaukee.
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It's fishy, but I'm going to buy low on Cortez, sell high and
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Ladolo. Give me the brew crew.
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Let's brew some beer tonight. I got Milwaukee at -120 so 3
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relatively short favorites. Can we go 2 and 1?
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He got a winning day. Twins -138, Yankees -120
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Milwaukee -120. Now, one more thing that I
12:53
wanted to mention is I played a futures bet in Major League
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Baseball. A player prop future last night
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as I was watching the Red Sox game and it happened to be a
13:04
play on the AL Rookie of the Year.
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So if you've been, you know, new to this market, obviously, you
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know, markets in general when we look at futures, player prop
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futures or, you know, division winners or win totals, I'm
13:17
obviously looking at what the betting market is doing.
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You know what the data is telling me.
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I constantly get these emails from my good buddy John Ewing at
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Bet MGM who can give me the bets in dollars for all the different
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major categories. So I, I look at that and then I
13:30
also kind of try to, you know, put a little bit of my own
13:34
anticipation in terms of a play of, of, of a value bet where
13:37
we're getting a good number. Like, for example, Stefan Castle
13:40
for the Rookie of the year in the NBA.
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We played that at, I think I got plus 175.
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I think he's now like -700 so it's not just the data, but it's
13:48
also, you know, trying to pick off a good number before it
13:51
moves too much. And I was watching the Red Sox
13:53
game and the Red Sox earlier in the day yesterday signed a long
13:57
term extension with Christian Campbell.
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If you never heard of this guy, he really has blazed through the
14:03
minor league system. He made the team, he's off to a
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great start, already hit a Homer.
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He had a hit or a couple hits last night and he looks like the
14:10
real deal. And they just signed him to a
14:12
big extension. I think it was eight years, 60
14:14
million, which kind of seems low.
14:17
Seems like a pretty good, you know, a pretty good, you know,
14:20
kind of, you know, contract for the team versus the player.
14:24
There's talk of if, you know, Scott Boris is Christian
14:26
Campbell's guy. He's probably not signing that
14:28
deal. He's just going to, you know,
14:29
you know, play it out and probably make more money.
14:32
But anyway, they locked him up and he had a couple hits and
14:35
he's playing second base and he looks really good.
14:38
And I'm saying to myself, hey, you know, what's what are his
14:41
rookie of the year odds. So shout out to Juice Reel, who
14:44
there's a great tab on Juice Trail.
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If you go to futures, it gives you all the different markets
14:48
and gives you the best numbers. And I noticed that Christian
14:51
Campbell is now the favorite to win Rookie of the Year.
14:54
But there's one book in particular that is holding a
14:57
very good number on Christian Campbell.
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So Christian Campbell currently at Caesar's is still +400.
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Now, if you look at some of these other books across the
15:08
market, and I'll pull them up right now on my Juice Trail app,
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you can just go to the your main page where it says today's
15:14
games. Just scroll to the side.
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You can click view all or go to futures and you go to futures
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and you find the Rookie of the year results and you go to
15:24
American League Rookie of the Year.
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So I'm doing it right now as we're speaking and Christian
15:29
Campbell +400. Now why is that important?
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Because if you look at all the current odds, let's just look
15:35
around the market. ESPN bet has Christian Campbell
15:37
plus 210 FanDuel has in plus 195 Bedham Jim has in plus 180
15:43
Caesars and Will Hill also has it at +400.
15:48
So this is a player that I'm high on.
15:50
You know, they've talked to, they've hyped this kid up and
15:51
he's lived up to the hype. He's looking pretty good.
15:54
I was looking at this was from about a week ago.
15:57
I don't have the up to date data, but at the time Campbell
15:59
open at plus 1100, he was getting 8% bets, 10% dollars.
16:04
So the only player getting more money was Jacob Wilson, but he
16:08
hasn't been that impressive to start the year.
16:10
So anyway, I said, you know what, we'll take a shot on
16:12
Christian Campbell. I'm getting a pretty pretty good
16:13
number +400. Other books are like half of
16:16
that. Why not take a shot on a player
16:19
who looks really good and then again plays through the minor
16:21
leagues and looks at home in the major leagues.
16:24
So if you want to take a shot on Christian Campbell, plus 400 is
16:28
the number I got and I put that into the juice drill app if you
16:31
want to follow it. So just wanted to mention that
16:33
now over to some college hoops because we have the final four
16:38
coming up here on Saturday. Both games are Saturday late
16:42
afternoon, 6 O clock for Florida Auburn, 849 for Houston Duke.
16:47
Now one play that I I put in yesterday in the app, which I
16:51
said, you know what, I think this might be the best number
16:53
and we have a pretty good edge. It is the Houston Cougars plus 5
16:58
1/2. Now there's a lot of shops at
16:59
5:00. There's a lot of five and a
17:01
half. Most of them are 5 1/2 -, 120
17:03
toward Houston. So part of my reasoning to play
17:06
Houston plus 5 1/2 on a, you know, yesterday was a Wednesday
17:09
few days before the game, is that I want to make sure if they
17:12
lose by 5, I get the hook. I, I would hate to miss the
17:14
hook. It closes 5 or maybe even 4 1/2
17:17
comes back down toward Houston and I didn't get the best
17:20
number. So part of this play is getting
17:21
the best number. I got 5 1/2 + 5 1/2 at -115 I
17:26
believe, I think it was Bet MGM. But again, others are -120 and
17:29
others are even down to 5. So I'm not going to call Houston
17:33
a sharp bet because this line has moved toward Duke.
17:35
Duke open -4 1/2. We bet up to 5 1/2.
17:38
But again, they're starting to crawl back down to five.
17:41
But here's what intrigues me about Houston.
17:42
Number one is the fact that they are a really big contrarian
17:46
play. No one wants to play Houston.
17:48
Everyone's all over the dookies. This is a, this is a basically
17:51
almost a championship game. You know, consider this NFL like
17:54
AFCNFC championship game, your final four.
17:56
So it's going to be very heavily bet, and we're in a really good
18:00
contrarian spot to fade Duke and play Houston.
18:03
At DraftKings, Houston's only getting 31% of spread bets.
18:06
At Serco, they're only getting 39% of spread bets, but nearly
18:09
half the money. So just from the standpoint of
18:12
inflated line value play, open 4 1/2, we can get 5 1/2 and we're
18:16
against the public. Again, not sharp, but a value
18:19
play. This is where you get even a
18:21
little bit more excited. Ken Palm has Houston only losing
18:25
by two points, 68 to 66. So if we're getting 5 1/2,
18:29
pretty good edge. Our friends at Rhythm, I have 3
18:32
models on this game. I have Houston plus 4, Houston
18:35
plus 4.3 and Houston plus 3.7. So if we average those out to
18:40
four, Ken Palms got a 2 point game.
18:43
Rhythm has a four point game. We're against the public and
18:46
getting a 5 1/2 with a Houston team that again is is just
18:50
junkyard dogs playing great defense and pretty good offense
18:54
efficiency as well. That's a relatively low total.
18:57
It has fallen 137 down to 136 and a half 136.
19:01
Think I even see a 135 1/2 right now.
19:04
I said, you know what, that's enough for me.
19:06
Ken Palms got a 2 point game. Rhythms got a four point game.
19:09
We're against the public and we're getting 5 1/2 and that may
19:11
be the best number, but if it falls to 5:00.
19:14
So I put in Houston Cougars plus 5 1/2.
19:18
The other one I'm monitoring is Auburn, but I'm holding out for
19:21
Auburn +3 Now. Similarly, everyone's on
19:25
Florida. If you look at Auburn, they're
19:27
only getting 30% of bets at Circa and 35% of bets at
19:31
DraftKings. So once again, just to fade all
19:34
the drunk guys at the bar public play for the Final four.
19:38
But if you look at Circa, only 30% bets on Auburn, but 64% of
19:44
the dollars. So good bet split.
19:46
There's also been a bit of a line freeze.
19:47
You open Florida -2 1/2 and they really have not moved off 2 1/2.
19:51
So if everyone's playing Florida, why aren't they up to
19:54
three? 3 1/2?
19:55
They are juicing it up a little bit toward Florida -2 1/2 -,
19:58
115. But they don't want to go to
20:00
three despite getting this huge preponderance of Gators money.
20:04
That tells me they're more concerned about the contrarian
20:06
Auburn side. So I'm going to, I'm going to
20:09
wait. You know, if this was plus 2 1/2
20:11
-, 115 Florida, I'd say grab it now.
20:13
It might fall to two, but I'm going to give it another day,
20:16
see if it gets to three. We do have Ken Palm predicting
20:19
just a one point loss. He's got Florida winning 81 to
20:22
80. And my three rhythm models are
20:24
+2. Plus 2.2 and plus 1.8.
20:28
So that to me, speaks speaks toward a value play here on
20:32
Auburn. But again, I'm going to hold
20:34
out. I'm going to be a little bit
20:35
careful here. Walk the tightrope, try to get a
20:36
three. If not, I'll take 2 1/2.
20:38
Let's see if maybe a lot of public money flows in and they
20:41
have to go to three because it's such overwhelming liability.
20:44
But I'm officially in pocket Houston plus 5 1/2 and I'm
20:48
holding out for Auburn +3 and that total did fall too.
20:51
That was 161 down to 160. I even see some 159 1/2's out
20:55
there. But those are some early final
20:58
four plays and thoughts. So that about does it for
21:01
episode 249 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast on a
21:04
big Thursday. I want to remind you guys, if
21:07
you are around or have Sirius, XMI will be on VSN Live tonight
21:12
with my buddy Dustin Swedelsen and my guy Patrick Maher.
21:15
So you can TuneIn to the V Sin channel on SiriusXM.
21:19
That'll be at 8:30 We go on or 8:00 I think.
21:22
Yeah, I believe it's 8:00. Hope to see you guys there.
21:25
But of course, as we wrap up the pod, first thing I always want
21:28
to say is thank you. You know, win, lose or draw, you
21:30
guys, TuneIn you listen. And it means a lot to me that
21:32
we've created this community. Tail fade, pick, choose,
21:35
whatever. The fact that you tune in, you
21:37
value the insights means the world to me.
21:39
So thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
21:42
busy lives, pulling up a chair to the virtual bar.
21:44
So and some sharp contrarian breakdowns.
21:46
If you do enjoy the pod, if you value the insights, could you
21:49
please do me a solid give it a five star review only takes a
21:52
second or two. If you're in Spotify or iTunes,
21:55
go to rate and review five stars.
21:57
If you want to leave a nice comment or click the follow
21:59
button or recommend the pod to a friend.
22:01
That would all be very much appreciated.
22:04
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
22:07
sharp contrarian betting, you know, staring at the odds page,
22:10
looking at the splits, seeing how the market is reacting,
22:13
trying to uncover where the smart money's at based on line
22:16
movement and system matches. If this style of betting appeals
22:19
to you and you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
22:22
or you have a friend or colleague or cousin or someone
22:25
you know who is in a newly legalized, you know, sports
22:28
gambling state or wants to get in on it and says I want to bet,
22:31
but I have no freaking clue how to place a bet, Well, guess
22:34
what? There are a couple books that I
22:36
would love for you guys to purchase.
22:38
Go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
22:41
Betting. It's the first book I ever
22:42
wrote. Very proud of it came out in
22:44
2019. That baby is now almost six
22:47
years old. Crazy, but still holds true.
22:49
I think provides a blueprint how to bet on sports, your options,
22:53
how to go contrarian, how to read line movement, how to
22:55
locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
22:58
how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
23:00
management plan. So if you want to pick one up
23:03
from from Amazon.com and have Bezos drop it off of your at
23:06
your front porch with a drone, that would mean a lot to me.
23:09
Also, if you want to help me continue to generate buzz around
23:13
my new book, it comes out August 12th, go pre-order a copy from
23:17
Amazon of the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:20
It's got I don't want to give away too much because I want it
23:22
to be a little bit of a surprise, but it's really
23:25
something I've been working on for over three years at this
23:27
point. And I actually got all the pages
23:31
sent to me. It's it's getting ready to get
23:32
printed out. So we're working on the final,
23:35
you know, dot in the T's, dot in the IS and crossing the T's, but
23:38
I cannot wait for you guys to read it.
23:39
It's all about how to bet the NFL from a data-driven
23:42
perspective. So if you want to pre-order it
23:44
from Amazon.com or purchase the everything guide to sports
23:46
betting, you know, bring the book or your pre-order receipt
23:50
to to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
23:52
I'll buy you beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
23:54
together. Next, if you haven't done it
23:56
yet, go download juice reel and rhythm, my two favorite sports
23:59
betting apps, Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions
24:02
for game bets and player props. We got MLB live in the app right
24:06
now. We got NBA college basketball of
24:08
course, and then also juice rail where you can find the all
24:12
systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week again, get some
24:16
closing line value hopefully, but I always mention this the
24:19
pod is free cost you nothing to listen to this pod If you enjoy
24:22
and value the insights. I would hope and and think and
24:26
I'm pretty confident that they're worth $4.99 a week.
24:29
If I can help you win one bet, hopefully that's worth the the 5
24:31
bucks, but I'd love for you guys to, you know, throw a throw a
24:35
$5.00 bill in the tip jar and sign up to get those all systems
24:38
go best bet picks. You can just go to the juice
24:41
reel app, the social tab and search ASG under score podcast,
24:45
or you can always click that link.
24:46
I tweet out late afternoon at Josh under score insights.
24:50
But aside from the all systems go best bets, you're going to
24:53
get the juice Reel Robo Jackson best bet picks each day that
24:58
come out at noon. You also get the sharp mush
25:00
indicators, the shop for the best line futures, where I
25:02
quickly found Caesar's having the best number on Christian
25:05
Campbell. And then you'll also get all of
25:08
the betting breakdowns, bets and dollars from everyone who synced
25:11
up their sports books to juice real.
25:13
And also one thing I like about juice real, I tweet this out
25:15
every now and again is it gives you like a sweat meter when
25:18
you're sweating a game, you know, it'll show you in in red
25:21
or green, like how well you're doing and you can kind of track
25:23
the progress of the sweat. It's a pretty cool feature.
25:26
It just kind of shows you the roller coaster ride you take on
25:28
every sports bet that you make. So download rhythm, download
25:30
Juice reel go give him a five star review in the App Store
25:34
next. If you don't have a live odds
25:36
page, man, I feel for you. I don't know how you're betting
25:39
on sports without knowing all the games available to you each
25:41
day, all the opening numbers, all the current numbers,
25:44
shopping for the best line, pulling up the line history in
25:47
between each game. I don't know how you how you can
25:49
do it. You're flying blind if you don't
25:50
have it. So I think you need a live odds
25:53
page. I actually know you need a live
25:54
odds page and if you don't have one, or maybe you're paying for
25:57
one that's kind of expensive, you should give Odds Logic a
26:00
shot. I have a link.
26:02
You should go to itsoddslogic.com/josh 123.
26:07
That's Odds logic.com/josh 123. And if you go there, you'll get
26:12
a 7 day free trial. So you can test it out, see if
26:14
you like it. And then you're going to get 50%
26:16
off your first month, which it's typically 99 bucks a month.
26:20
Again, I always say this, it sounds like a lot, but in
26:22
comparison, there are live odds pages out there for 200, three,
26:25
105 hundred, 600 bucks a month. So it's a great value play.
26:29
And if you're listening to my voice, I assume you love betting
26:31
and you bet everyday. You got to have a live odds
26:33
page. So again, go to
26:34
oddslogic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
26:38
today's pod on a big thirsty Thursday.
26:40
See if we can get some winners here.
26:42
Also shout out to Boof my guy, my cousin, my cousin in law now,
26:47
Michael Boofner, The Yankees let us down last night, but you know
26:49
what, buddy? They're going to come through
26:51
for us tonight. Hope married life is treating
26:52
you right. And I'm very, very, very honored
26:55
and proud that you married my cousin Carly got a winner and
26:58
and so did you. But anyway, as always, leave you
27:01
with this, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City,
27:04
Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods
27:07
or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the Encore in
27:09
Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the
27:13
Nash in National New Hampshire. In my neck of the woods.
27:15
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
27:18
down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the
27:20
lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and
27:23
sharp Contrane plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when
27:26
he cashed a big ticket at Circa. Wherever it may be.
27:28
You're going to walk up to me. You show me a beautiful finally,
27:32
a Cardinals ticket, a winner. They came through for us.
27:34
Or a Padres ticket. No Reds, no Yankees.
27:37
They let us down, but guess what?
27:39
First one's on me, next one's on you.
27:40
We're going to get some food, couple drinks, sweat, some games
27:43
together at the book, as always, Two and two, four and OO and
27:47
four, three and one, one and three.
27:49
Again, the blueprint, the model never changes.
27:52
We continue to grind our way, making sharp bets with our head
27:55
and not our heart. And if we can find games that
27:57
fit that model against the public, with the house, with the
27:59
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
28:03
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports vetters.
28:06
So have a great Thursday, everybody.
28:08
I will see you if you are around tonight, 8:00 on SiriusXM.
28:14
Well, we're all be on V some live, but if not, guys, we'll be
28:16
right back at it tomorrow on a big Friday.
28:19
That'll be episode 250 of the all systems go sports betting
28:22
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody, and have a
28:26
great Thirsty Thursday.