Latest / Toadstool Sports / Best Bets Today | Game 7 on Halloween?! | WNBA, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Saturday
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Well, we had a really good day on the show yesterday.
- 0:04Speaker 1: 3-0 with three really easy blowout winners. We had the
- 0:07Speaker 1: Detroit Pistons, really easy win by margin there on the road.
- 0:13Speaker 1: Miami Heat looked really bad in the first quarter. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: think they gave up 40-something points in the first quarter,
- 0:18Speaker 1: but settled down after that, completely swung the game. And
- 0:22Speaker 1: by the third quarter, you knew Miami was going to
- 0:24Speaker 1: cover that one, and they wound up winning in a blowout,
- 0:26Speaker 1: so we got that one right as well.
- 0:27Speaker 2: Miami finally gets us a win.
- 0:29Speaker 1: I believe we're now 9-3, I want to say, on
- 0:32Speaker 1: the show in NBA, so yeah, I'm happy about that.
- 0:36Speaker 1: And then we also won the football game that we
- 0:37Speaker 1: had last night really easily as well with Baylor, so
- 0:41Speaker 1: really nice card that I put out on the show yesterday.
- 0:44Speaker 2: I'm happy about it. College football was last night's show,
- 0:50Speaker 2: so I.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Will talk about it a little bit here just when
- 0:52Speaker 1: I uh show what my plays are for the day
- 0:55Speaker 1: and i'll reiterate those and look at the market again
- 0:57Speaker 1: at the end of this show but if you want
- 0:59Speaker 1: the college football stuff you got to go watch the
- 1:00Speaker 1: college football show uh thanks to people who hung out
- 1:03Speaker 1: uh during that show last night go check it out
- 1:06Speaker 1: a lot of detail in there i got four college
- 1:09Speaker 1: football plays on the card here gave out some additional
- 1:11Speaker 1: pretty strong leans there uh so you can check those
- 1:14Speaker 1: out they're going to be clips for some of them
- 1:16Speaker 1: that are coming out as well but check out the
- 1:18Speaker 1: show and you'll get all my opinions on all the
- 1:20Speaker 1: games you can Pick the chapter, which game you want
- 1:23Speaker 1: to hear me talking about, whatever.
- 1:25Speaker 2: I talked about a lot of them.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Any game you probably want to hear about is in there,
- 1:29Speaker 1: so go check it out. This show, we're going to
- 1:32Speaker 1: talk about the NHL. I don't love the NHL board.
- 1:35Speaker 2: I'm skipping it. I have one NBA play that I'm
- 1:37Speaker 2: going to add here.
- 1:38Speaker 1: Which is the market doesn't agree with it, but I
- 1:42Speaker 1: think it's the right spot, so I'm going to do it,
- 1:44Speaker 1: and I'll talk about the WNBA final. I do have
- 1:47Speaker 1: a lean in that game. I don't think I want
- 1:50Speaker 1: to put it on my card, but I do have
- 1:51Speaker 1: an opinion on it. So all of that coming up
- 1:54Speaker 1: on this morning show here after the break.
- 2:13Speaker 3: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
- 2:16Speaker 3: in your chest.
- 2:17Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt, man.
- 2:20Speaker 3: You look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to dust
- 2:25Speaker 3: in your hand. Now you stare at the chips like
- 2:28Speaker 3: they made you this man. But don't you go quiet,
- 2:32Speaker 3: don't you fade from the floor. Your name still means
- 2:35Speaker 3: something to somebody for sure. Put the glass down, baby.
- 2:42Speaker 2: Look at me.
- 2:43Speaker 4: Now Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
- 2:57Speaker 4: hold on Let me pull you out That fella bites
- 3:05Speaker 4: hard But it don't get the crown Hold on, hold on,
- 3:14Speaker 4: stay with me now.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Alright, what's up everybody?
- 3:25Speaker 1: It's Toad back with you with Toadstool Sports. Saturday, happy
- 3:30Speaker 1: Halloween everybody. Hopefully people are staying safe, having fun out there.
- 3:36Speaker 1: Got some good costumes going on, you know.
- 3:39Speaker 2: I got one.
- 3:41Speaker 1: getting ready for one today. Uh, there'll be some pictures
- 3:43Speaker 1: of it, most likely online. Got to figure out what,
- 3:46Speaker 1: what to do with this stash. If I'm actually going
- 3:48Speaker 1: to incorporate it or figure out a different approach here.
- 3:52Speaker 2: I don't know yet. That's why I look like this. Um,
- 3:55Speaker 2: I don't know. Maybe it looks good. I have no idea.
- 3:57Speaker 4: Uh, Mr.
- 3:58Speaker 1: Pinsey thinks I look like a firefighter. So yeah, uh,
- 4:01Speaker 1: I'm not jacked enough for that. Uh, maybe I should
- 4:04Speaker 1: run into a burning building anyway, though.
- 4:06Speaker 2: I don't know. Um, Yeah, let's get into this, man.
- 4:09Speaker 2: Let's do this.
- 4:10Speaker 1: We have, I think, about 10 NHL games here. There's
- 4:13Speaker 1: some afternoon NHL going on. About half the board is
- 4:16Speaker 1: afternoon hockey. Chicago at my Boston Bruins is the first
- 4:20Speaker 1: game up. My first thought about this is, well, I
- 4:23Speaker 1: don't really think I love the spot for the Bruins
- 4:26Speaker 1: because they're returning home from the road.
- 4:27Speaker 2: Only a two-game road trip.
- 4:30Speaker 1: They had a tough game against Carolina, lost the game,
- 4:32Speaker 1: and then I think they were hung over in the
- 4:33Speaker 1: next game. If you saw my show when I talked
- 4:35Speaker 1: about that game, I liked St. Louis in that game. Unfortunately,
- 4:39Speaker 1: I did not give it out as a play, but yeah,
- 4:40Speaker 1: the Bruins. had the hangover spot, lost that game. Maybe
- 4:44Speaker 1: they do bounce back after a bad performance like that,
- 4:47Speaker 1: but I don't love it in the return home spot.
- 4:49Speaker 1: And they do have Vegas on deck, so it is
- 4:52Speaker 1: still possible they overlook this Chicago team who's not really
- 4:55Speaker 1: that good. Chicago's coming off a pretty bad loss to
- 4:58Speaker 1: start the road trip. Ugly loss at the Red Wings.
- 5:01Speaker 1: That was a loss I gave out on the show,
- 5:03Speaker 1: so that was great. I thought it was a bad
- 5:05Speaker 1: spot for Chicago. or excuse me, I thought it was
- 5:09Speaker 1: a bad spot for Detroit, excuse me. But yeah, Chicago
- 5:12Speaker 1: did not come through there. The Bruins are going to
- 5:15Speaker 1: be a huge favorite here, and the oddsmakers are actually
- 5:18Speaker 1: giving them respect because they started out the season really,
- 5:22Speaker 1: really well. I don't think the Bruins are as good
- 5:24Speaker 1: as their record would have indicated, though, at that point.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Maybe still not as good as what their record makes
- 5:29Speaker 1: them look like. 93% of the tickets are on them,
- 5:31Speaker 1: 91% of the cash. They're like minus 230, basically, in
- 5:35Speaker 1: this game, minus 220. I don't think they should be
- 5:38Speaker 1: favored by this much. Bruins, I mean, preseason, they're supposed
- 5:43Speaker 1: to be one of the worst teams in the league,
- 5:44Speaker 1: and obviously they're not, but they're not as good as
- 5:48Speaker 1: people think they are right now either.
- 5:49Speaker 2: So I think I would take Chicago.
- 5:51Speaker 1: On the puck line or something like that if you're
- 5:53Speaker 1: really going to play this game. You'd be fading the
- 5:55Speaker 1: public by doing it. The real money seems like maybe
- 5:58Speaker 1: it's coming in that way to some extent. The spot
- 6:01Speaker 1: may be a little bit questionable for the Bruins. So, yeah,
- 6:03Speaker 1: I would prefer Chicago there.
- 6:05Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 6:06Speaker 1: Yeah, I think puck line, you might be able to
- 6:07Speaker 1: get a decent price on the plus one and a half. St.
- 6:11Speaker 2: Louis at Detroit.
- 6:13Speaker 1: St. Louis beat the Bruins in the last game, as
- 6:15Speaker 1: I mentioned. Now they're starting a road trip, so it
- 6:17Speaker 1: could be a focus spot for them. By the way,
- 6:20Speaker 1: none of these teams played yesterday. There's only one team
- 6:22Speaker 1: on a back-to-back, and it is Calgary, which I will
- 6:25Speaker 1: get to in a bit.
- 6:26Speaker 2: Detroit's won two games in a row.
- 6:29Speaker 1: They beat the Oilers and then, like I said, this
- 6:31Speaker 1: is pretty much why I faded Detroit. They were returning
- 6:33Speaker 1: home and coming off a huge upset of the Oilers.
- 6:36Speaker 1: I thought it was a horrible spot and it did
- 6:38Speaker 1: not happen. They still won against the Blackhawks. So maybe
- 6:41Speaker 1: there is a little bit of a delayed letdown here
- 6:45Speaker 1: or something like that. Although a lot of times when
- 6:48Speaker 1: a team returns home, the second game back home a
- 6:51Speaker 1: lot of times is a good game for them. But
- 6:53Speaker 1: that's usually if they played bad in the first game
- 6:56Speaker 1: and Detroit didn't. So what do we do with this
- 6:58Speaker 1: game besides pass the game, obviously? The money is coming
- 7:02Speaker 1: in on Detroit. 55% of the tickets are on St.
- 7:04Speaker 2: Louis. 60% of the cash on Detroit. Detroit's a home
- 7:07Speaker 2: underdog here.
- 7:08Speaker 1: St. Louis around minus 115. Osbaker's telling you the Blues
- 7:12Speaker 1: are actually the better team here, though. I mean, that's
- 7:15Speaker 1: telling you something, that it does seem a little bit
- 7:17Speaker 1: weird that St. Louis would be favored on the road here.
- 7:20Speaker 1: I think the teams have pretty similar records. But pretty
- 7:24Speaker 1: strong market read on Detroit. I don't really have a
- 7:26Speaker 1: great opinion on this, so I guess I wouldn't really
- 7:29Speaker 1: disagree with what the market is telling you there and
- 7:31Speaker 1: where the actual money is coming in. I guess I
- 7:33Speaker 1: would probably follow it and lean towards Detroit, but I
- 7:36Speaker 1: don't have a good feel for that game at all.
- 7:39Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at Nashville. I don't really have a good
- 7:42Speaker 1: feel for this whole hockey board, really. Tampa Bay just
- 7:44Speaker 1: beat the Jets.
- 7:45Speaker 2: The other day.
- 7:46Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road for a single game
- 7:50Speaker 1: to play Nashville, which a lot of times is a
- 7:51Speaker 1: little bit weird. Sometimes teams don't show up for these
- 7:55Speaker 1: single-game road trips. Depends on how good your opponent is.
- 7:59Speaker 1: I don't know if they're really going to be.
- 8:00Speaker 2: Looking ahead to Detroit, though.
- 8:02Speaker 1: But I don't know that they're necessarily going to put
- 8:04Speaker 1: in a ton of focus for Nashville either. Nashville is
- 8:10Speaker 1: staying at home, and they've lost two games in a row.
- 8:12Speaker 1: But their last game was a tough loss, a one-goal
- 8:14Speaker 1: loss to the Capitals. So I guess there's the question,
- 8:17Speaker 1: will that hang them over a little bit into this game?
- 8:21Speaker 1: I don't really think that it will. I mean, I
- 8:24Speaker 1: think I would lean towards Nashville here. Tampa Bay is
- 8:26Speaker 1: a big road favorite here because they are the better team.
- 8:28Speaker 1: There's no question about that. They're minus 170, though, on
- 8:31Speaker 1: the road. That's a pretty hefty price tag there on
- 8:34Speaker 1: the Lightning. 83% of the tickets are on them and
- 8:38Speaker 1: 79% of the cash. The Republic side, for sure. It
- 8:41Speaker 1: looks like less of the money on them. I don't
- 8:44Speaker 1: have much of a reason to disagree with what the
- 8:45Speaker 1: market is telling you here, so... I mean, what the
- 8:49Speaker 1: market read is saying, basically. So, yeah, I'd lean towards Nashville,
- 8:52Speaker 1: like make a puck line out of it or something,
- 8:55Speaker 1: a plus one puck line, something like that. But not
- 8:58Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me there either. Edmonton is at
- 9:01Speaker 1: the Islanders. Edmonton is coming off beating the Flames, Ford
- 9:05Speaker 1: and nothing. So usually I don't want to be in
- 9:07Speaker 1: a team that just. Had a satisfying blowout win. And
- 9:10Speaker 1: that was against a Flames team that's been hot recently.
- 9:12Speaker 1: And they're one of Edmonton's rivals because they're in the
- 9:15Speaker 1: same province. And now they have to go all the
- 9:17Speaker 1: way east to start a road trip. But they're starting
- 9:19Speaker 1: a road trip with momentum. And I think the spot
- 9:22Speaker 1: for the Islanders is actually really bad. The Islanders, they're
- 9:26Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip. And they finished the
- 9:29Speaker 1: road trip by beating the Wild. It wasn't like the
- 9:31Speaker 1: longest road trip, but it was a tough road trip.
- 9:35Speaker 1: They started the road trip on Sunday. last two games
- 9:39Speaker 1: both went to overtime and shootouts and they beat Minnesota
- 9:42Speaker 1: in overtime to finish the road trip now they come
- 9:44Speaker 1: back home from that and they have a bunch of
- 9:46Speaker 1: days off after this they play Carolina after this but
- 9:49Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to overlook Edmonton that's the
- 9:52Speaker 1: thing I mean they're one of the better teams in
- 9:54Speaker 1: the NHL so you're not really going to overlook them
- 9:57Speaker 1: but it's still a really difficult spot return home plus
- 9:59Speaker 1: they put in a huge effort on thursday to beat
- 10:01Speaker 1: minnesota so i actually like edmonton in this one i
- 10:04Speaker 1: think edmonton is in the better spot starting the road
- 10:07Speaker 1: trip off an easier game the money doesn't agree with
- 10:10Speaker 1: that edmonton's very public 80 of the tickets on them
- 10:13Speaker 1: 63 of the cash on them so the money is
- 10:15Speaker 1: definitely saying to take the islanders as the home dog
- 10:18Speaker 1: but i am Looking at that spot, there's no way
- 10:20Speaker 1: that I would want to do that. I actually lean
- 10:22Speaker 1: Edmonton here, minus 130 or so. Typically, I'm not going
- 10:26Speaker 1: to be disagreeing with a market read like that, although
- 10:29Speaker 1: I'm about to in the NBA. But I see no
- 10:31Speaker 1: reason why the market is doing what it's doing in
- 10:34Speaker 1: the NBA, really.
- 10:36Speaker 2: Other than, again, maybe it's just because of the price.
- 10:38Speaker 1: Maybe it's just the home dogs are just by default
- 10:41Speaker 1: getting this money. But I'm looking at the situation, and
- 10:44Speaker 1: I'm thinking... yeah, it doesn't look like a good spot
- 10:47Speaker 1: for that home dog, so why.
- 10:48Speaker 2: Would I do that?
- 10:50Speaker 1: And that's going to be the case with my NBA
- 10:52Speaker 1: play as well, kind of giving away hints about it there.
- 10:56Speaker 1: Buffalo at the LA Kings. Both teams are coming off
- 11:00Speaker 1: really high-scoring games. I think Buffalo just had a 7-6
- 11:04Speaker 1: win over Anaheim, which looks really good. They're staying in
- 11:07Speaker 1: the LA area now, so not really a huge deal
- 11:09Speaker 1: for them here. Finishing a road trip. The Kings just
- 11:12Speaker 1: had a high-scoring win in a return home spot. which
- 11:15Speaker 1: I thought was going to be bad. They'd been on
- 11:17Speaker 1: the road for a long time out on the East coast.
- 11:19Speaker 1: They returned all the way to the Pacific coast. They
- 11:22Speaker 1: still beat Ottawa somehow six to five and overtime. So
- 11:25Speaker 1: both teams coming up huge, uh, high scoring. Well, not
- 11:28Speaker 1: huge games or high scoring games here. What do we
- 11:32Speaker 1: do with this game? I mean, I guess you could
- 11:34Speaker 1: maybe look at the under when you see two teams
- 11:37Speaker 1: have scoring performances like that. Nobody's going to play it
- 11:39Speaker 1: under in this game.
- 11:41Speaker 2: Do I really want to do that?
- 11:42Speaker 1: No. Um, Let me look at what the market is
- 11:46Speaker 1: saying about this game here.
- 11:47Speaker 2: Where am I looking? Where is it? Buffalo. Here it is.
- 11:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the over is very public, even though
- 11:54Speaker 1: it looks like some of the money is coming in
- 11:55Speaker 1: that way.
- 11:56Speaker 2: The total is not that high, 5.5, 6.
- 11:58Speaker 1: So the odds maker is kind of telling you it's
- 12:00Speaker 1: not going to be that high scoring of a game
- 12:02Speaker 1: in their mind.
- 12:02Speaker 2: And L.A. I think does kind of play some lower
- 12:04Speaker 2: scoring games. Buffalo, not really, though. But, yeah.
- 12:08Speaker 1: After those ridiculous scores that these teams just put up,
- 12:12Speaker 1: fading that sentiment and taking the under makes some sense
- 12:15Speaker 1: to me, where it's just you fade what you saw last,
- 12:18Speaker 1: like the recency bias. As far as the side, Buffalo's public,
- 12:21Speaker 1: 68% of the tickets, 70% of the cash on them,
- 12:25Speaker 1: about minus 120. So that market read to me looks
- 12:28Speaker 1: like maybe L.A. is the side you want to look
- 12:30Speaker 1: at here as the home underdog. They are in that
- 12:32Speaker 1: second game back home. although they played well in the
- 12:35Speaker 1: first game back home. So it's not one of those
- 12:37Speaker 1: spots where they're going to be in a bounce back,
- 12:39Speaker 1: but still second game back at home. Maybe they do
- 12:42Speaker 1: show up with some effort there. Uh, probably would lean
- 12:45Speaker 1: that way towards LA. Um, not a strong opinion though.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Ottawa at San Jose, Ottawa just had that loss to
- 12:52Speaker 1: the Kings in that high scoring battle. Now they're coming
- 12:55Speaker 1: up with that game, having to play San Jose. Most
- 12:58Speaker 1: of these teams have like one or two days off.
- 12:59Speaker 1: So it's not really a huge, um, rest edge to
- 13:03Speaker 1: look at in most of these games here.
- 13:05Speaker 2: San Jose just.
- 13:06Speaker 1: Beat Vancouver barely three to two. So San Jose might
- 13:09Speaker 1: be a little bit more refocused after that. Cause they
- 13:12Speaker 1: ended a losing streak and beating Vancouver, not impressive. I mean,
- 13:16Speaker 1: they're one of the worst teams in hockey and barely
- 13:18Speaker 1: beating them. You know, you might show up with some
- 13:23Speaker 1: renewed confidence, but also you're going to be shocked back
- 13:25Speaker 1: into focus. Cause you almost lost to that bad team.
- 13:28Speaker 1: So I think I'd probably prefer the sharks.
- 13:30Speaker 2: In this one. Um, Let me see here.
- 13:33Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the money looks like it definitely agrees
- 13:36Speaker 1: with that. Ottawa, 54% of tickets on them. San Jose,
- 13:39Speaker 1: 76% of the cash. Ottawa's like a minus 130 favorite.
- 13:43Speaker 1: I think the Sharks are a little bit undervalued right now.
- 13:46Speaker 1: I mean, I started the season thinking the Sharks would
- 13:48Speaker 1: take another step forward this year and potentially make the playoffs.
- 13:52Speaker 1: I don't know if that's going to happen, but I
- 13:54Speaker 1: think as an underdog of this price in a spot
- 13:56Speaker 1: like this, yeah, I prefer taking the Sharks here as
- 14:00Speaker 1: the money line dog. Pittsburgh is at Montreal. I looked
- 14:05Speaker 1: at this one a little bit more closely. This one
- 14:08Speaker 1: I think I have a little bit stronger of an
- 14:09Speaker 1: opinion on than most of the games. I think Montreal's
- 14:12Speaker 1: in a bad spot. They're returning home from a road trip.
- 14:15Speaker 1: So you know, as I point out, that's negative because
- 14:17Speaker 1: you've been away for a while.
- 14:19Speaker 2: You get home.
- 14:20Speaker 1: It can become a distraction. You've got stuff to do
- 14:22Speaker 1: back at home, so that's not good. And they finished
- 14:24Speaker 1: that road trip by beating Dallas 5-2, beating one of
- 14:27Speaker 1: the better teams in hockey by a score like that.
- 14:31Speaker 1: I think that's going to set them up for a
- 14:32Speaker 1: bit of a letdown here. I only have a couple
- 14:35Speaker 1: of reservations about this. One is that Montreal did lose
- 14:39Speaker 1: at Pittsburgh earlier this year, but they might not care
- 14:42Speaker 1: about that that much. So I'm still going to be
- 14:44Speaker 1: leaning Pittsburgh here, but that's one reservation I have with them.
- 14:47Speaker 1: Montreal only plays Winnipeg next, and they just beat Winnipeg.
- 14:50Speaker 1: So I don't think they're really going to be looking
- 14:52Speaker 1: ahead to that. Pittsburgh is coming up an overtime game
- 14:55Speaker 1: against Utah, so that's the other kind of issue I
- 14:58Speaker 1: have with this. Utah's a pretty solid team, and Pittsburgh
- 15:00Speaker 1: put up a big effort in that game. So it
- 15:03Speaker 1: would worry me a little bit. They have this weird
- 15:05Speaker 1: single-game road trip up to Montreal. I still like Pittsburgh here.
- 15:10Speaker 1: I think the spot is better for them, but I
- 15:13Speaker 1: still think it's not the greatest spot to play them,
- 15:15Speaker 1: although the spot is definitely worse for Montreal, in my opinion.
- 15:19Speaker 1: Montreal is the better team, though, but they're only about
- 15:21Speaker 1: minus 140-something here, so they're not priced that heavily here.
- 15:25Speaker 1: The public is on Montreal, 81% of the tickets, only
- 15:28Speaker 1: 72% of the cash, so the market read is indicating
- 15:33Speaker 1: towards the direction that I like here, which is Pittsburgh.
- 15:36Speaker 1: I think that might be the best play on the
- 15:38Speaker 1: hockey board today. I'm not going to put it on
- 15:39Speaker 1: my card, though.
- 15:40Speaker 2: It was close. I mean, if you want my strongest
- 15:43Speaker 2: hockey lane, I think this is it.
- 15:44Speaker 1: I would take the Penguins on the money line in
- 15:47Speaker 1: this one if I was going to do really anything
- 15:49Speaker 1: in hockey. And then I do have one other game
- 15:51Speaker 1: that I feel a little bit strongly about. We have
- 15:55Speaker 1: Toronto at Vancouver. This game I don't feel that strongly about.
- 15:59Speaker 1: Vancouver is returning home from a quick road trip. They
- 16:02Speaker 1: played two games in California today. Now they're returning home
- 16:04Speaker 1: from that. Is that a negative spot?
- 16:06Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. Probably not really. I mean,
- 16:09Speaker 2: it was a quick road trip, so I don't think
- 16:11Speaker 2: it's that bad for them.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Toronto just had a high-scoring game against the Kraken and
- 16:16Speaker 1: lost that game.
- 16:16Speaker 2: That was kind of a tough game.
- 16:18Speaker 1: Seattle, teams are putting in effort against them because they
- 16:21Speaker 1: have a good record right now.
- 16:22Speaker 2: I don't really think they're that good. So, I don't know.
- 16:25Speaker 2: This looks like it could be a little bit more
- 16:27Speaker 2: of a bounce-back spot.
- 16:29Speaker 1: For the Vancouver side here, maybe Toronto coming off a
- 16:31Speaker 1: little bit of a tougher effort there.
- 16:33Speaker 2: Toronto's very public here.
- 16:34Speaker 1: 89% of the tickets, 82% of the cash on them.
- 16:38Speaker 1: They're about minus 150-something on the road. So obviously Vancouver
- 16:42Speaker 1: getting no respect here pretty much. I think I'd probably
- 16:46Speaker 1: lean towards taking Vancouver on a plus-one puck line or
- 16:49Speaker 1: something like that at home, but don't have a strong
- 16:53Speaker 1: opinion on that.
- 16:54Speaker 2: You'd be fading the public at least. Charles, what's up? Yes,
- 16:57Speaker 2: 3-0 yesterday. Thank you, sir. All right, and then Columbus
- 17:02Speaker 2: at Dallas.
- 17:03Speaker 1: This would be my second strongest opinion here in hockey,
- 17:06Speaker 1: and I don't like the spot Columbus is in because
- 17:08Speaker 1: they're coming off a close loss to the Hurricanes where
- 17:11Speaker 1: they were actually losing 3-0, and they cut it to
- 17:14Speaker 1: 3-2 like halfway through the third period, so they played
- 17:18Speaker 1: like 10 minutes of hockey down one goal to Carolina
- 17:21Speaker 1: and couldn't get it done in a physical game it
- 17:24Speaker 1: was a close game statistically uh coming off of that
- 17:27Speaker 1: you know Columbus is not going to overlook Dallas but
- 17:30Speaker 1: the question is how much do they really have left
- 17:32Speaker 1: in the tank after that I think the Carolina game
- 17:34Speaker 1: meant a little bit more that was a conference matchup
- 17:36Speaker 1: whereas Dallas isn't whatever so I think Columbus might just
- 17:40Speaker 1: run out of steam by the end of this so
- 17:42Speaker 1: I actually do like Dallas in this one even though
- 17:44Speaker 1: they're going to be a public side most like I
- 17:46Speaker 1: think Dallas is probably better than the record looks They're
- 17:49Speaker 1: a very strong team still, and they're coming off two
- 17:51Speaker 1: pretty ugly losses at home by a combined 10-3 score.
- 17:56Speaker 1: I think one of those games they did not have
- 17:58Speaker 1: Ottinger in net for it, who's their main goalie here.
- 18:02Speaker 1: I believe he will be playing today with a day
- 18:05Speaker 1: or two off here. I think it looks like a
- 18:07Speaker 1: bounce-back spot for Dallas and a difficult spot for Columbus,
- 18:10Speaker 1: having to play multiple huge games in a row today. Yeah,
- 18:14Speaker 1: difficult spot for Columbus. I mean, so I would play
- 18:16Speaker 1: Dallas in this game if I was going to play it.
- 18:18Speaker 1: But the money does not agree. Dallas, 89% of the
- 18:21Speaker 1: tickets on them and only 67% of the money. I
- 18:24Speaker 1: think a lot of it is because Dallas is just
- 18:27Speaker 1: always a public side and the price looks high at
- 18:29Speaker 1: minus 180 something.
- 18:31Speaker 2: But if you're going to play this game, yeah, I
- 18:34Speaker 2: would play Dallas.
- 18:34Speaker 1: I would play them to win in regulation probably or
- 18:38Speaker 1: take a minus one puck line or something. But Dallas,
- 18:41Speaker 1: you know, they don't score that often. that much like
- 18:44Speaker 1: they're kind of a lower scoring team they focus more
- 18:47Speaker 1: on defense and goaltending and stuff which I know it
- 18:49Speaker 1: doesn't look that way the last couple of games um
- 18:52Speaker 1: but yeah Dallas to win in regulation seems like it
- 18:54Speaker 1: seems like a decent way to play this one I
- 18:56Speaker 1: think they could they can get that done uh so
- 18:58Speaker 1: I think that's how I'd play that and then we
- 19:00Speaker 1: have Calgary at Colorado I definitely want no part of
- 19:03Speaker 1: Calgary here is they just had a nice six to
- 19:05Speaker 1: two win yesterday in double revenge, I guess, against Seattle,
- 19:09Speaker 1: because Seattle had embarrassed Calgary 6-1 both times they played
- 19:13Speaker 1: them earlier this year.
- 19:14Speaker 2: Calgary was able to get that win.
- 19:17Speaker 1: Now they have to go on the road into elevation
- 19:19Speaker 1: to play the Avalanche, with no time off, by the way.
- 19:22Speaker 2: Calgary did use Wolfe as their goalie yesterday, so.
- 19:24Speaker 1: It will be Cooley again in net here, and now
- 19:27Speaker 1: they're starting goalie because he was the hot hand, so.
- 19:32Speaker 2: He is their better goalie right now.
- 19:34Speaker 1: Cooley is, and he will be in net here, but
- 19:36Speaker 1: this still is a difficult spot for Calgary. Coming off
- 19:39Speaker 1: a nice blowout win and having to turn around, go
- 19:42Speaker 1: into elevation with no time off. Colorado has a rest edge.
- 19:45Speaker 1: They're coming up with a blowout win over the Devils
- 19:47Speaker 1: the other day. But Colorado, I think, has multiple days
- 19:50Speaker 1: of rest. But you know that's going to be factored
- 19:52Speaker 1: into the line. And, oh, yeah, it definitely is. The
- 19:55Speaker 1: oddsmakers are still telling you Calgary is one of the
- 19:58Speaker 1: worst teams in the league, despite what their record looks like.
- 20:01Speaker 1: They're still telling you Colorado's one of the best teams
- 20:03Speaker 1: in the league, plus Colorado with the rest edge.
- 20:06Speaker 2: Look at this price, dude.
- 20:07Speaker 1: It's up to minus 425 in some places, minus 450
- 20:12Speaker 1: I'm seeing in some places.
- 20:13Speaker 2: This is insane.
- 20:14Speaker 1: I think this is the biggest money line you're going
- 20:17Speaker 1: to see in hockey. It might be the biggest one
- 20:19Speaker 1: I've ever seen in the NHL. I mean, that is
- 20:21Speaker 1: a monster price on Colorado. There's no way you can
- 20:24Speaker 1: lay a price like that. You cannot do it in hockey,
- 20:27Speaker 1: in a low-scoring sport. And then if you want to
- 20:30Speaker 1: play the puck line, you probably are asking him to
- 20:33Speaker 1: cover like a 2.5 puck line the way that this
- 20:36Speaker 1: price is.
- 20:36Speaker 2: I mean, there's no way.
- 20:37Speaker 1: You can't do that in hockey. Yeah, I mean, it's
- 20:41Speaker 1: just unplayable on the Colorado side. And the money is
- 20:44Speaker 1: saying not to anyway, probably for similar reasons. 92% of
- 20:48Speaker 1: the tickets are on them, 51% of the cash.
- 20:51Speaker 2: So even though there is the rest edge here.
- 20:53Speaker 1: The money is definitely indicating on Calgary, probably because this
- 20:56Speaker 1: price is just so insane here.
- 20:59Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not going to really disagree.
- 21:01Speaker 1: I mean, if you want to play this game, I
- 21:03Speaker 1: would probably take Calgary on some massive puck line there.
- 21:06Speaker 1: And if they can come within two, you might be
- 21:08Speaker 1: able to win that bet, which they might get blown out.
- 21:11Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't be shocked if they did, but
- 21:14Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to be on this game,
- 21:16Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean, the price is just completely unplayable
- 21:18Speaker 1: and insane. on Colorado like if you're gonna play Colorado
- 21:22Speaker 1: in any way in that game at all the only
- 21:24Speaker 1: way that you could do it is to play them
- 21:26Speaker 1: over their team total uh the money is coming in
- 21:29Speaker 1: on the under uh six and a half high total
- 21:31Speaker 1: there um you could play them over their team total
- 21:35Speaker 1: and if they do that they probably are gonna cover
- 21:37Speaker 1: but you know you know you never know but yeah.
- 21:41Speaker 2: You're probably asking them to score four plus.
- 21:43Speaker 1: Goals if you do it that way which is you
- 21:45Speaker 1: know I mean they could definitely do it um So yeah.
- 21:49Speaker 2: That's all I got there.
- 21:50Speaker 1: I'm thinking, I'm like, should I hydration break already? I'm
- 21:56Speaker 1: thinking I might, and then I'll finish the show off.
- 21:58Speaker 1: We got like six NBA games here.
- 22:00Speaker 2: Skip it.
- 22:01Speaker 1: I have one NBA play, and then there's WNBA as well,
- 22:06Speaker 1: which is... The title of the show, I had to
- 22:10Speaker 1: do it, man, because it's WNBA Finals Game 7. I
- 22:13Speaker 1: wanted the shock, well, not the shock value, but the
- 22:15Speaker 1: interest value. People are going to be looking at that.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Game 7? What series is in Game 7? That's what
- 22:21Speaker 1: I want the reaction to be, and then I have
- 22:23Speaker 1: to watch the show to figure it out.
- 22:24Speaker 2: Yeah, sorry, guys.
- 22:25Speaker 1: I'm talking about the WNBA. Dude, it is scary, you know?
- 22:31Speaker 1: It's Halloween, and you get the WNBA Finals, and you
- 22:33Speaker 1: have to look at Angel Reese. That is pretty terrifying.
- 22:37Speaker 1: So let's not get this show nuked. I'll be right
- 22:40Speaker 1: back in a second.
- 24:00Speaker 4: Thank you.
- 24:43Speaker 1: All right.
- 24:45Speaker 2: Yeah, the stash.
- 24:47Speaker 1: I mean, I'm transitioning to Halloween mode, but the stash
- 24:54Speaker 1: is not going to stay.
- 24:57Speaker 2: Yes, correct. All right, NBA. First game up is where
- 25:02Speaker 2: my play is.
- 25:02Speaker 1: It's in the afternoon, and the money does not agree
- 25:06Speaker 1: with this one, but I agree with myself. So, yeah,
- 25:09Speaker 1: this is going to be a play.
- 25:11Speaker 2: You want to know what I'm betting?
- 25:16Speaker 1: And we're going to do what we did yesterday. I'm
- 25:18Speaker 1: going to lay another favorite here on the road. Portland
- 25:22Speaker 1: minus 6.5 against the Utah Jazz. I see mostly 7.5
- 25:27Speaker 1: out there now, but multiple books had a 6.5, so
- 25:30Speaker 1: I grabbed it. I would still play the 7.5, but
- 25:33Speaker 1: of course, I mean, at least this isn't football, but
- 25:36Speaker 1: 7 is a key-ish number in basketball because teams stop
- 25:40Speaker 1: intentionally fouling at that point. But either way, I like
- 25:42Speaker 1: Portland here, and it's mostly because I think Utah's in
- 25:44Speaker 1: a terrible spot I just don't understand why the market
- 25:48Speaker 1: read is going against this. Maybe it's just because, you know, oh,
- 25:52Speaker 1: the team's records are misleading and whatever. Portland's a one
- 25:55Speaker 1: loss team or whatever. Utah's a one win team. So
- 25:58Speaker 1: you've got to play the one win team as an
- 26:00Speaker 1: underdog at home.
- 26:02Speaker 2: No, you don't.
- 26:03Speaker 1: Not when Utah's coming off an overtime game against San
- 26:06Speaker 1: Antonio the other day. And, yes, they've had a couple
- 26:08Speaker 1: of days off, but still, that was a huge performance.
- 26:12Speaker 1: Taking the Spurs into overtime as 13-and-a-half-point underdogs. Yeah, I
- 26:16Speaker 1: think they're going to be flat coming off a game
- 26:18Speaker 1: like that. They almost pulled off a monumental upset. This
- 26:22Speaker 1: up-and-coming Utah team here that's still young– I don't think
- 26:26Speaker 1: they're going to be in a great spot coming off
- 26:28Speaker 1: of that. And it's worse because look who they play next.
- 26:31Speaker 1: They play the San Antonio Spurs again next. So they're
- 26:34Speaker 1: in a San Antonio sandwich here. I don't know what
- 26:37Speaker 1: sandwiches they eat in San Antonio, but do they eat
- 26:41Speaker 1: tortas there probably? That's what Portland is in here. Excuse me,
- 26:46Speaker 1: that's what Utah is in here.
- 26:48Speaker 2: They're in a torta. Yeah, this is a bad spot, dude.
- 26:52Speaker 2: I don't know anywhere around it. Horrible spot.
- 26:54Speaker 1: And I believe Utah has a bunch of injuries too.
- 26:57Speaker 1: I mean, I know that's being factored into the line,
- 26:59Speaker 1: but this is not the healthiest team right now. Marking
- 27:02Speaker 1: in his day-to-day, it looks like he might play. Jaron
- 27:04Speaker 1: Jackson's already out. Nurkic looks like he's out already.
- 27:09Speaker 2: Trey Alexander. So, yeah, there are some problems here.
- 27:12Speaker 1: Portland, it looks like John Morant is going to be
- 27:15Speaker 1: out for them, but I don't give a shit because
- 27:17Speaker 1: I don't care. Dude, I think Morant, when he's out,
- 27:21Speaker 1: I think it's addition by subtraction. I think he's a
- 27:23Speaker 1: chemistry problem, so I honestly don't care about that. Portland,
- 27:28Speaker 1: they've been playing solid, and they just took a real
- 27:31Speaker 1: ugly loss at home. They were 7.5-point favorites, and they
- 27:34Speaker 1: lost to Memphis by 21. on Thursday, and yes, they
- 27:37Speaker 1: have one fewer day off, and I realize they do
- 27:39Speaker 1: have Denver on deck, but you've got to think they're
- 27:41Speaker 1: going to want to bounce back after that horrific effort
- 27:44Speaker 1: against Memphis.
- 27:47Speaker 2: This is a spot that I look for all the time.
- 27:49Speaker 1: You have Utah coming off a great performance as an
- 27:52Speaker 1: underdog and falling just short. Portland coming off a horrible
- 27:55Speaker 1: performance as a favorite. So, yeah, I want to be
- 27:58Speaker 1: on that favorite, the better team to bounce back here,
- 28:00Speaker 1: and yes, they're going into elevation.
- 28:02Speaker 2: I get it. Whatever. I like Portland here. Yeah, I
- 28:06Speaker 2: think it's a bounce-back spot for them.
- 28:09Speaker 1: I know Portland's resume is not great yet, but you
- 28:11Speaker 1: could also explain what happened in that Memphis game. I
- 28:14Speaker 1: liked Memphis in that game, too, because I thought Portland
- 28:16Speaker 1: was in a letdown spot coming off beating the Lakers
- 28:19Speaker 1: on the road. Always a big deal when you beat
- 28:21Speaker 1: the Lakers, man. So, yeah, and the Osweggers are telling
- 28:25Speaker 1: you basically what you need to know. They're telling you
- 28:27Speaker 1: Portland's the way better team here. The money's not agreeing.
- 28:30Speaker 1: 53% of the tickets are on Portland, 58% of the
- 28:32Speaker 1: cash on Utah. We'll see if that market kind of
- 28:37Speaker 1: moves around by the time the game tips off.
- 28:40Speaker 2: But yeah, I like Portland.
- 28:41Speaker 1: It looks like this number's already up to 8.5, by
- 28:44Speaker 1: the way. The number's all over the place. I found
- 28:47Speaker 1: it at 6.5. Yeah, I mean, I still like it.
- 28:50Speaker 1: So if you want to play it for less money
- 28:52Speaker 1: or whatever, there are probably still 7.5s out there at
- 28:54Speaker 1: the very least. But like I said, I saw multiple
- 28:56Speaker 1: books at 6.5. like an hour ago. One was the
- 29:00Speaker 1: scoreboard book that purchased the ESPN one. And then the
- 29:04Speaker 1: other one was, I don't remember what the other book,
- 29:07Speaker 1: the other one was the F book that sells horrible merchandise.
- 29:12Speaker 1: Both of them had a six and a half. So
- 29:14Speaker 1: I was like, okay, why not? So at least I
- 29:17Speaker 1: beat the number, but I would still lay it with Portland.
- 29:20Speaker 1: I think Portland's the right side. That's what we're going
- 29:22Speaker 1: to do there.
- 29:25Speaker 2: No, maybe I should be.
- 29:27Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 29:28Speaker 1: I'm not tall enough to be Peyton Tolley. I mean,
- 29:32Speaker 1: I have his jersey, and I have Red Sox hats,
- 29:34Speaker 1: so I actually could. All I'd have to do is
- 29:36Speaker 1: throw that on, and then I'd be Tully, but no,
- 29:38Speaker 1: that's not what I'm doing. My costume is more elaborate
- 29:42Speaker 1: than that.
- 29:43Speaker 2: I usually go a little bit all out. Um, all right.
- 29:47Speaker 1: Uh, next game is Philadelphia and Charlotte on NBA TV.
- 29:52Speaker 1: Philadelphia is on a back to back and they just
- 29:54Speaker 1: beat the Knicks again yesterday. So I think just simply,
- 29:56Speaker 1: this is a letdown spot for Philadelphia here. Um, that
- 29:59Speaker 1: was a low scoring game, tough defensive battle. Uh, Jalen
- 30:03Speaker 1: Brown was out for that game. I don't know if
- 30:04Speaker 1: he's going to be back or not, but regardless of
- 30:06Speaker 1: whether he's back or not, I would only play Charlotte
- 30:09Speaker 1: in this one. I think it's a tough spot for
- 30:11Speaker 1: Philly coming off that big win. Um, Yeah, I mean,
- 30:15Speaker 1: we could look to see if Brown is supposed to
- 30:17Speaker 1: play or not here.
- 30:18Speaker 2: Let me see.
- 30:20Speaker 1: It looks like he's a game-time decision, but it is
- 30:23Speaker 1: really interesting. Well, first, let's look at Charlotte's scheduling spot,
- 30:27Speaker 1: I guess. Charlotte, they're coming off an ugly loss yesterday.
- 30:30Speaker 1: The Wizards, remember, I talked about that. I don't know
- 30:33Speaker 1: why the money liked Charlotte in that game yesterday. I
- 30:35Speaker 1: liked the Wizards in that one yesterday, and I was
- 30:37Speaker 1: correct there. Charlotte was coming up that pretty big game
- 30:40Speaker 1: against the Pistons where they played pretty close. They had
- 30:43Speaker 1: just beaten the Wizards the game before that, and they
- 30:46Speaker 1: had the Sixers on deck. So yeah, that spot definitely
- 30:49Speaker 1: looked like a Wizard spot to me. Didn't put it
- 30:52Speaker 1: on my card, but yeah. I'd be more pissed if
- 30:54Speaker 1: I put the Celtics on my card yesterday because they
- 30:57Speaker 1: were winning by 30 points.
- 30:59Speaker 2: Somewhere around halftime.
- 31:00Speaker 1: Then the Celtics just basically stopped playing, and I think
- 31:03Speaker 1: they wound up not covering. I think they won by
- 31:05Speaker 1: 14 with a 14.5 point spread. when it looked like
- 31:09Speaker 1: they were going to easily cover.
- 31:10Speaker 2: Oh, boy.
- 31:12Speaker 1: And that was one of my leans, but whatever. We're
- 31:14Speaker 1: talking about Charlotte. They had an ugly loss yesterday to
- 31:16Speaker 1: the Wizards. It was a bad spot for them. I
- 31:18Speaker 1: think they bounced back here. Both teams on the back-to-back here,
- 31:22Speaker 1: but spots better for Charlotte.
- 31:24Speaker 2: It also looks way too easy to play Philadelphia.
- 31:26Speaker 1: They're a one, one-and-a-half-point favorite here, and it looks like
- 31:31Speaker 1: that would indicate that probably Brown is not going to
- 31:33Speaker 1: play here.
- 31:34Speaker 2: On the back-to-back.
- 31:36Speaker 1: But still, either way you look at it, it looks
- 31:38Speaker 1: way too easy to play the Sixers. At like a
- 31:40Speaker 1: pick-the-winner price, like who's going to not want that? So yeah, me,
- 31:45Speaker 1: I would fade that. Philadelphia, 81% of the tickets on
- 31:48Speaker 1: them and only 67% of the cash. So the money
- 31:51Speaker 1: looks like it's fading Philly. They're definitely a public side here.
- 31:54Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to play them. I just
- 31:56Speaker 1: told you the spot is better for Charlotte. Yeah, I
- 31:58Speaker 1: like Charlotte in that one. That's not my least strong
- 32:02Speaker 1: opinion by any means. So yeah, Lean Charlotte there. Atlanta
- 32:07Speaker 1: at New Orleans. Atlanta just won against Cleveland, so this
- 32:12Speaker 1: could be a letdown spot off of that. They ended
- 32:14Speaker 1: a long losing streak, or a three-game losing streak, so
- 32:17Speaker 1: sometimes that will give you some new momentum, but I
- 32:20Speaker 1: don't know, man. I mean, beating Cleveland is a pretty
- 32:22Speaker 1: good win, so could be a letdown here. Now going
- 32:25Speaker 1: on the road to face the Pelicans. Pelicans just won.
- 32:29Speaker 1: First win of the season beating Cleveland. the Kings were
- 32:32Speaker 1: probably the worst team in the league, but I think
- 32:34Speaker 1: that's good for the Pelicans because, and I told you
- 32:36Speaker 1: they would cover in that one and they did. That's
- 32:40Speaker 1: good for the Pelicans because it's a win.
- 32:42Speaker 2: It ends their losing streak. It gets that monkey off
- 32:44Speaker 2: their back.
- 32:45Speaker 1: They can play a little bit looser now and they
- 32:47Speaker 1: have some new momentum now and they won't be overconfident
- 32:51Speaker 1: because that was a win against a really bad team.
- 32:53Speaker 1: So the spot sets up better, in my opinion, for
- 32:56Speaker 1: the Pelicans in this game.
- 32:57Speaker 2: So that's the way I would lean here. Atlanta looks
- 33:00Speaker 2: like they're.
- 33:00Speaker 1: Public, 66% of the tickets, 70% of the cash on them,
- 33:04Speaker 1: but not a huge discrepancy there.
- 33:07Speaker 2: Four and a half, or disparity, I guess I should say.
- 33:09Speaker 1: Four and a half is the number there. I would
- 33:12Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with New Orleans in that one.
- 33:15Speaker 2: Meedy, what's up, man?
- 33:17Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Good morning to everybody. I'm on
- 33:20Speaker 1: no sleep here. I did my late-night college football show,
- 33:23Speaker 1: and then I watched the new Dexter season premiere last
- 33:26Speaker 1: night as well.
- 33:27Speaker 2: Kind of enjoyed it.
- 33:28Speaker 1: Um, really crazy cameo in the, uh, in the opening
- 33:32Speaker 1: minutes of that episode, by the way.
- 33:35Speaker 2: Um, didn't expect that at all. I was like, whoa,
- 33:38Speaker 2: holy shit. Uh, all right. Uh, yeah. So people are
- 33:43Speaker 2: liking the stash. I don't know, man.
- 33:45Speaker 1: It's, it's going away because it's, uh, it's part of
- 33:47Speaker 1: the Halloween, um, activities here, but I look better with
- 33:52Speaker 1: any amount of facial hair over no facial hair though.
- 33:55Speaker 1: And there's going to be a period of time where
- 33:56Speaker 1: I don't really have facial hair and I'm going to
- 33:57Speaker 1: look stupid. But that's just the way that it is, man,
- 34:00Speaker 1: when I do some of these costumes here.
- 34:03Speaker 2: All right.
- 34:05Speaker 1: Sacramento at Memphis. Sacramento, I mean, I would actually take
- 34:12Speaker 1: Sacramento in this one. They're 0-5. Nobody's going to want them.
- 34:16Speaker 1: You know they're going to at least be trying to
- 34:18Speaker 1: get their first win here, and I'm not saying they're
- 34:20Speaker 1: going to do that here.
- 34:21Speaker 2: I don't think they will, but Memphis is in a
- 34:22Speaker 2: really difficult spot.
- 34:23Speaker 1: By the way, you have a 5-0 team against an
- 34:26Speaker 1: 0-5 team here, and you know what I say with
- 34:30Speaker 1: situations like that. Pretty much all the time, the value
- 34:33Speaker 1: is going to be on the winless team against the
- 34:36Speaker 1: undefeated team.
- 34:36Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 34:37Speaker 1: And this is Memphis. I mean, Memphis is not one
- 34:40Speaker 1: of the top teams in the NBA, okay? They're fine,
- 34:43Speaker 1: but they've had a really easy schedule. And they beat
- 34:46Speaker 1: the Kings on the road already by 11 points. So
- 34:49Speaker 1: this is going to be a little bit of a
- 34:50Speaker 1: quick revenge spot for the Kings. Or I think the
- 34:53Speaker 1: way you could look at it is Memphis just will
- 34:54Speaker 1: not pay attention to them.
- 34:56Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 34:56Speaker 1: Like, why would they when they already beat them on
- 34:58Speaker 1: the road by double digits? And the spot is bad
- 35:01Speaker 1: for Memphis because they're returning home from a road trip,
- 35:03Speaker 1: so that's a negative. When they've been on the road
- 35:06Speaker 1: for a while, I think it's been about a week
- 35:08Speaker 1: that they've been on the road, maybe more than that.
- 35:10Speaker 1: Coming home from all that and facing a team they're
- 35:12Speaker 1: probably going to not pay any attention to, this is
- 35:14Speaker 1: a bad spot for Memphis, man. So, yeah, I would
- 35:18Speaker 1: fade Memphis here. I wish they had a look ahead,
- 35:21Speaker 1: which they don't. They only have New Orleans on deck,
- 35:23Speaker 1: so I don't think I actually want to put this
- 35:25Speaker 1: on the card. Maybe I'm being too selective. Sacramento coming
- 35:29Speaker 1: off an ugly loss to the Pelicans, like I said.
- 35:32Speaker 1: So Sacramento actually has less travel here because they're only
- 35:34Speaker 1: going from New Orleans to Memphis here. I like Sacramento
- 35:38Speaker 1: in this one. That's the way I would play it.
- 35:41Speaker 1: The line already dropped. Memphis was an 11-point favorite, and
- 35:43Speaker 1: now it's like 9.5.
- 35:45Speaker 2: I would still lean that way. I would take the
- 35:47Speaker 2: points of Sacramento.
- 35:48Speaker 1: 53% of the tickets and 58% of the cash on them.
- 35:51Speaker 1: And I believe Sacramento has not even covered a spread yet,
- 35:54Speaker 1: but I would still take them to cover the spread
- 35:57Speaker 1: in this one. Um, yeah, yeah, I think, I think
- 36:01Speaker 1: they fell one, like one point or a half point
- 36:04Speaker 1: shy of covering against the Blazers and then they definitely
- 36:06Speaker 1: didn't cover any of the other spreads. So, um, I'm
- 36:09Speaker 1: pretty sure they did not at least. So yeah, I
- 36:11Speaker 1: would lean towards Sacramento in that one though.
- 36:13Speaker 2: Plus the points. I will stay off of it.
- 36:17Speaker 1: I just don't know how bad Sacramento really is. They're bad,
- 36:25Speaker 1: and it just kind of remains to be seen, so
- 36:27Speaker 1: I'll just stay off of it. But that's, I think,
- 36:30Speaker 1: one of the stronger opinions for me here. That one
- 36:33Speaker 1: and Charlotte, I do like both of those. Cleveland at Milwaukee.
- 36:37Speaker 1: Cleveland just took that loss against the Hawks. I'm assuming
- 36:40Speaker 1: Cleveland was a favorite in this one. Actually, they were
- 36:43Speaker 1: a small underdog in this one, actually.
- 36:45Speaker 2: Interesting. So Cleveland's coming off of that.
- 36:48Speaker 1: Now they're playing Milwaukee, but I think it's pretty easy
- 36:50Speaker 1: to overlook Milwaukee here. Cleveland's got Oklahoma City on deck,
- 36:55Speaker 1: by the way, and I know it's a very injured
- 36:57Speaker 1: Oklahoma City team now, but that's still going to be
- 36:59Speaker 1: a potential look ahead. I don't think Milwaukee's really going
- 37:02Speaker 1: to be a team that's going to draw your focus,
- 37:04Speaker 1: so I'm going to lean towards the Bucs in this one.
- 37:07Speaker 1: Bucs just got annihilated by the Rockets, so... Could be
- 37:11Speaker 1: a bounce-back spot for the Bucs here. And by the way,
- 37:14Speaker 1: I think the only teams that I've mentioned that are
- 37:16Speaker 1: on back-to-backs so far are Philly and Charlotte. I don't
- 37:19Speaker 1: think any of these other teams I've talked about are
- 37:20Speaker 1: on back-to-backs. I think those are the only back-to-backs. Actually,
- 37:24Speaker 1: Houston is going to be on one, which I'll talk
- 37:25Speaker 1: about in a minute. But I think those are the
- 37:29Speaker 1: only three teams that are, I believe. No, and Minnesota
- 37:32Speaker 1: is too, my mistake.
- 37:33Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 37:34Speaker 1: Anyway, I'll talk about those in a second. But yeah,
- 37:36Speaker 1: I lean to the Bucs in this one. Cleveland, 63%
- 37:39Speaker 1: of tickets, 66% of the cash on them. So they're
- 37:42Speaker 1: a little bit public, I guess. They're somewhere between an 8.5
- 37:46Speaker 1: and a 10.5 point favorite here. The number seems to
- 37:49Speaker 1: vary quite a bit. But yeah, I would grab Milwaukee
- 37:51Speaker 1: plus the points if I was going to play that one.
- 37:55Speaker 2: Is that actually true? I have no idea. John Morant
- 37:58Speaker 2: pulling a hammy in the strip club. Maybe he did.
- 38:00Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 38:01Speaker 2: We know he's had some weird things happen. Well, not weird.
- 38:05Speaker 1: I mean, probably expected things or he's been in trouble for,
- 38:08Speaker 1: you know, pulling a gun on a teenager, you know,
- 38:13Speaker 1: on a playground and things of that nature. You know,
- 38:16Speaker 1: just that was in Memphis. That's Memphis culture. That's what
- 38:22Speaker 1: that is. You know what I mean?
- 38:24Speaker 2: All right. Let me see.
- 38:27Speaker 1: Minnesota and San Antonio. Now, my first thing that I
- 38:30Speaker 1: thought about here was, well, this is a huge revenge
- 38:32Speaker 1: spot for Minnesota because San Antonio is the team that
- 38:35Speaker 1: eliminated them from the playoffs last year. But then I
- 38:38Speaker 1: looked at this game, and everything else about this game
- 38:41Speaker 1: made me think, yeah, I actually don't like Minnesota here.
- 38:45Speaker 1: Minnesota's on the back-to-back. They just blew out the Clippers yesterday.
- 38:50Speaker 1: Now having to go to San Antonio. But the thing
- 38:52Speaker 1: that I like more for the San Antonio side here, though,
- 38:56Speaker 1: because I wouldn't really care that Minnesota blew somebody out
- 39:00Speaker 1: that's not good, whatever. But remember, Minnesota's without Anthony Edwards
- 39:03Speaker 1: right now, so they are down their best player, and
- 39:05Speaker 1: this is not the injured player theory spot either, which
- 39:08Speaker 1: we lost on on the show. This is going to be,
- 39:11Speaker 1: I think, their third game without him, so that's when
- 39:14Speaker 1: it starts to kind of take effect, and the team's
- 39:17Speaker 1: just not as good without him. San Antonio, though, like
- 39:20Speaker 1: I mentioned, they just went into Utah, and they almost
- 39:22Speaker 1: got caught and almost lost that game. So I think
- 39:25Speaker 1: San Antonio is in a bounce-back spot here. I think
- 39:27Speaker 1: they will show up for this.
- 39:29Speaker 2: That was a horrible.
- 39:29Speaker 1: performance from them as a huge favorite where they almost lost.
- 39:33Speaker 1: So I like San Antonio in this one. But you
- 39:35Speaker 1: will have to lay a little bit more of a
- 39:36Speaker 1: price because the oddsmakers are skewing the number because San
- 39:42Speaker 1: Antonio has a rest edge here.
- 39:43Speaker 2: But this number.
- 39:45Speaker 1: Even without that, San Antonio would probably still be like
- 39:47Speaker 1: a 10-point favorite here at their 12.5, which looks crazy
- 39:51Speaker 1: for a San Antonio-Minnesota game. And I think that's why
- 39:54Speaker 1: the public is on Minnesota here. 64% of the tickets
- 39:57Speaker 1: on Minnesota. I don't know if the public is unaware
- 40:00Speaker 1: that Edwards is injured, but I think they're going to
- 40:01Speaker 1: look at this and think, how could this line be
- 40:04Speaker 1: this big between two of the best teams.
- 40:07Speaker 2: In the Western Conference, right?
- 40:08Speaker 1: But... As I've said before, there's a huge gap between Thunder, Spurs,
- 40:13Speaker 1: and then everybody else. And I think the Spurs are
- 40:15Speaker 1: probably the best team in the league right now because
- 40:18Speaker 1: the Thunder are just way too injured.
- 40:20Speaker 2: So you have that going on here.
- 40:22Speaker 1: I think there is definitely a sizable gap between San
- 40:24Speaker 1: Antonio and Minnesota. Minnesota's without Anthony Edwards and San Antonio
- 40:28Speaker 1: has rest on top of that. So yes, that's all
- 40:30Speaker 1: being factored into the line and all that being considered,
- 40:34Speaker 1: even though the line might be a little bit too
- 40:36Speaker 1: big and too skewed in that direction because the spot
- 40:39Speaker 1: I think is better for San Antonio. I would still
- 40:42Speaker 1: lay the points with San Antonio if I was going
- 40:44Speaker 1: to do anything with this game. So those are my
- 40:47Speaker 1: thoughts on that one. Yeah, Memphis culture, yes. You can
- 40:52Speaker 1: use that one. And the last game is the Oklahoma
- 40:55Speaker 1: City Thunder at Houston. This Thunder team, they're kind of fucked, dude.
- 40:59Speaker 1: They really are. Jalen Williams might miss the entire season.
- 41:02Speaker 1: Chet Holmgren, it's now announced that he's going to have
- 41:05Speaker 1: some sort of surgery, so he's out for the majority
- 41:08Speaker 1: of the season. So they're down two starters right out
- 41:12Speaker 1: of the gate because of that. Caruso is still hurt.
- 41:15Speaker 1: I don't know when he's coming back. And they lost
- 41:18Speaker 1: Cason Wallace, I think, also for the entire season.
- 41:20Speaker 2: He's more of a role player.
- 41:22Speaker 1: But still, this Oklahoma City team, this early in the season,
- 41:26Speaker 1: they're absolutely fucked up.
- 41:28Speaker 2: Like, it's ridiculous. Dude, the amount of injuries that we
- 41:31Speaker 2: see in um in.
- 41:33Speaker 1: Professional sports now is insane i've never seen anything like
- 41:36Speaker 1: this before i think people are in worse health just
- 41:40Speaker 1: generally i think health is just on the decline generally
- 41:44Speaker 1: yeah and people's bodies just aren't as good now like
- 41:48Speaker 1: i don't know how else to put it like i
- 41:49Speaker 1: think yeah something to do with yeah the medical establishment
- 41:53Speaker 1: um you know and or You know, I've talked about
- 41:56Speaker 1: the substation, electric substation in San Francisco. Maybe there's some
- 42:00Speaker 1: vibrational thing going on here. I don't want to get
- 42:02Speaker 1: too conspiratorial here, but still, there's something going on. And
- 42:06Speaker 1: then the food, of course, I think has a lot
- 42:08Speaker 1: to do with it as well. Something crazy going on.
- 42:11Speaker 1: It's just an insane amount of injuries. Oklahoma City is
- 42:16Speaker 1: at Houston here. This is the other NBA TV game.
- 42:19Speaker 1: This is probably the best game on the board, actually.
- 42:21Speaker 1: I mean, these are two really good teams. Oklahoma City's
- 42:24Speaker 1: a bit injured, so Houston definitely has a chance here.
- 42:27Speaker 1: Houston could be in a bounce back because they just lost.
- 42:31Speaker 1: ugly uh to the Mavs uh but the Mavs have
- 42:33Speaker 1: been playing pretty well and that is a Texas rivalry
- 42:37Speaker 1: and it was Houston's first loss so I actually think
- 42:39Speaker 1: it does kind of set up as maybe a possible
- 42:41Speaker 1: negative for Houston here as far as the fact that
- 42:43Speaker 1: they took their first loss which can be a hangover
- 42:46Speaker 1: that can have a hangover effect here um it was
- 42:49Speaker 1: kind of a big game because the Mavs have been
- 42:52Speaker 1: playing well and uh both teams are are from Texas
- 42:56Speaker 1: and on the other side Oklahoma City uh Yes, they
- 42:59Speaker 1: just took their first loss, too, which could be a
- 43:00Speaker 1: hangover spot, and it was also to the Mavs. But
- 43:03Speaker 1: they got embarrassed completely by them, losing by almost 30.
- 43:07Speaker 1: And they have extra time off. So Houston's on a back-to-back,
- 43:10Speaker 1: as I mentioned. Houston played yesterday, whereas Oklahoma City did not.
- 43:14Speaker 1: So I think I prefer the Thunder in this one.
- 43:16Speaker 1: They're coming off the more embarrassing loss. Houston has less
- 43:19Speaker 1: time to get over it. Even though Oklahoma City is
- 43:23Speaker 1: really battered and injured, the money is coming in on Houston.
- 43:27Speaker 1: 58% of the tickets, 73% of the cash on them.
- 43:29Speaker 1: They're about a two and a half point favor. It
- 43:31Speaker 1: looks like they opened four. I don't know what that
- 43:33Speaker 1: was about. Money is saying Houston, but I think I
- 43:36Speaker 1: would lean towards the Thunder in this one, plus the points.
- 43:40Speaker 1: Maybe it looks a little bit too easy because everybody
- 43:42Speaker 1: still sees the Thunder as one of the top teams
- 43:45Speaker 1: in the NBA, and they are, but.
- 43:48Speaker 1: I think they've fallen kind of back to like a
- 43:51Speaker 1: normal one of the best teams in the league and
- 43:53Speaker 1: not like an elite team anymore with all these injuries. Houston,
- 43:57Speaker 1: I mean, I like Houston this year. As I said
- 44:00Speaker 1: in my season preview, Houston's definitely a strong team.
- 44:04Speaker 2: So we will see.
- 44:05Speaker 1: But yeah, those are my thoughts on that game. My
- 44:08Speaker 1: slight lean is towards the Thunder there. Then we have
- 44:10Speaker 1: the WNBA as these teams, this is the deciding game,
- 44:15Speaker 1: game seven, going back to Golden State for this. So
- 44:18Speaker 1: both teams have to readjust to the Pacific time zone here.
- 44:21Speaker 2: But I think that will help Golden State a little bit.
- 44:23Speaker 1: They'll have a little bit of a home advantage here.
- 44:26Speaker 1: They're more used to making this type of time zone shift.
- 44:29Speaker 1: So I think that will help Golden State. And I
- 44:31Speaker 1: think the other thing that will help Golden State is
- 44:33Speaker 1: they have the bigger outlier from the last game. I
- 44:35Speaker 1: gave it a winner on the show with the dream
- 44:37Speaker 1: in that one. And by the way, that game did
- 44:38Speaker 1: go over. So two of the six games have now
- 44:42Speaker 1: gone over the total.
- 44:43Speaker 2: It's been a very under series though.
- 44:45Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in this game, Golden
- 44:48Speaker 1: State shot terribly yet again.
- 44:50Speaker 2: And Atlanta actually shot well.
- 44:52Speaker 1: And Atlanta hit 43% of their threes. And that was
- 44:55Speaker 1: the big outlier here. So maybe we got a little
- 44:58Speaker 1: bit lucky with our Atlanta play in that one. But
- 45:00Speaker 1: Atlanta was plus 18 from three-point range in the game.
- 45:03Speaker 2: So that's the big outlier here. I expect that to
- 45:06Speaker 2: regress a little bit. This is the WNBA.
- 45:08Speaker 1: Teams do not shoot well. 43% from three regularly. And
- 45:13Speaker 1: Golden State shot 26%, which is, I think, below the
- 45:16Speaker 1: league average. So I think Golden State has a little
- 45:19Speaker 1: bit of room to improve their shooting here. And their
- 45:22Speaker 1: shooting from the field was horrific. 31%. You gotta think
- 45:26Speaker 1: Golden State's gonna shoot better than that here, even though
- 45:28Speaker 1: both teams have had a real tough.
- 45:29Speaker 2: Time shooting in this series.
- 45:31Speaker 1: This has been, like I said, an under-series with a
- 45:34Speaker 1: lot of bad shooting, and I guess you could call
- 45:37Speaker 1: it good defense, but It's the WNBA, man, so a
- 45:40Speaker 1: lot of bad shooting. But on the other side, Atlanta
- 45:42Speaker 1: might not shoot as well this time. They're definitely not
- 45:45Speaker 1: going to shoot as well from three, but they also
- 45:48Speaker 1: shot way better from the field. Atlanta hit more field
- 45:51Speaker 1: goals than Golden State did, even though Golden State had
- 45:53Speaker 1: eight more attempts. So Golden State actually won the possession
- 45:56Speaker 1: battle in this game. still lost by 11 points which
- 46:01Speaker 1: i think again it's misleading because again atlanta was plus
- 46:04Speaker 1: 18 from three point range i think that's the biggest
- 46:07Speaker 1: outlier that we saw here golden state actually did win
- 46:09Speaker 1: the rebound battle uh by a little bit and atlanta
- 46:13Speaker 1: was winning in a blowout basically the whole game uh
- 46:17Speaker 1: and uh winning for 98 of it but again i
- 46:19Speaker 1: think it's a little bit misleading so i think you
- 46:21Speaker 1: gotta lean golden state here i'm rooting for them because
- 46:24Speaker 1: i don't like angel reese so But I do think
- 46:27Speaker 1: that the situation does set up for it. I'm not
- 46:29Speaker 1: actually going to do it, but that would be the
- 46:31Speaker 1: way I would play this. I would play Golden State
- 46:33Speaker 1: in this one. And the number's about the same as
- 46:35Speaker 1: it has been for their home games. They're a one,
- 46:37Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. We don't see the
- 46:39Speaker 1: money here on it, but... Yeah, you could play the
- 46:42Speaker 1: money line on them, too, if you wanted to. But yeah,
- 46:43Speaker 1: I would play Golden State to win it if I
- 46:46Speaker 1: was going to do it. The total's also really low, 143, 142.5.
- 46:51Speaker 1: So Game 7s, usually you get a lot of deep
- 46:54Speaker 1: vents in Game 7. Usually it becomes really intense. Teams
- 46:58Speaker 1: get really focused on deep vents. That's just a typical thing.
- 47:01Speaker 2: But the oddsmakers know that.
- 47:03Speaker 1: They know that Game 7s have a tendency to go
- 47:05Speaker 1: under in NBA, WNBA games. Really just basketball for the
- 47:11Speaker 1: most part. And I guess maybe hockey. Baseball, it's more
- 47:16Speaker 1: pitcher dependent. But the odds makers know this, so obviously
- 47:20Speaker 1: they skewed this line. way low this is the lowest
- 47:24Speaker 1: total we've seen I think the previous game was like
- 47:26Speaker 1: 145 and that was the lowest and that game went
- 47:29Speaker 1: way over and still this game the line has shifted
- 47:33Speaker 1: more towards the under here and normally I would like
- 47:36Speaker 1: you used to be able to kind of blindly play
- 47:38Speaker 1: unders in game sevens and win the majority of them
- 47:41Speaker 1: but you can't do that anymore because the odds makers
- 47:43Speaker 1: have caught up to that so you got to evolve
- 47:46Speaker 1: with the market and I actually think it's an overreaction
- 47:49Speaker 1: I actually think maybe the over is the better way
- 47:52Speaker 1: to play the total here just because that line I
- 47:54Speaker 1: think has gone too it's too low at this point
- 47:57Speaker 1: um and we're looking at a line that's like 10
- 48:00Speaker 1: points lower than it was at the beginning of the
- 48:01Speaker 1: series I think that's too much of an overreaction um
- 48:05Speaker 1: so those are my thoughts I wouldn't want to do
- 48:07Speaker 1: it though I don't really want to play it over
- 48:09Speaker 1: in a game seven so I think the better way
- 48:11Speaker 1: to play this game is to play the, I almost
- 48:13Speaker 1: said the Warriors, the Valkyries is the better way to
- 48:16Speaker 1: play that game.
- 48:17Speaker 2: Golden State would be how I would lean there. All right.
- 48:21Speaker 2: And that's going to do it, man.
- 48:22Speaker 1: I will look at my final market read here for
- 48:24Speaker 1: college football here. Not a fan of Reese, correct. So
- 48:28Speaker 1: we have some college football plays here. You can watch
- 48:31Speaker 1: my show from last night to get the analysis. We're
- 48:33Speaker 1: going to be on Maryland plus two and a half. Although,
- 48:36Speaker 1: if Maryland is at three, it looks like they're still not,
- 48:40Speaker 1: but if you can find a three, I would take that, obviously,
- 48:42Speaker 1: but not a whole lot of time left. The money
- 48:44Speaker 1: does look like it strongly agrees with Maryland, so I
- 48:46Speaker 1: think we're good on that one. I would still be
- 48:48Speaker 1: taking it at two and a half if the three
- 48:50Speaker 1: doesn't show up. We're on Rutgers plus 16 and a half.
- 48:54Speaker 1: Michigan looks like they are getting some of the cash
- 48:56Speaker 1: percentage there. Michigan looks like they are getting the money there,
- 48:59Speaker 1: but I just don't agree. I like Rutgers plus the
- 49:03Speaker 1: points there. That one I thought there was no way
- 49:06Speaker 1: you'd be able to get 17 on that, and I
- 49:08Speaker 1: still don't think so, but I guess it might be possible.
- 49:11Speaker 1: But we're still going to be on Rutgers even at 16.5.
- 49:14Speaker 1: We're on Temple plus 4.5.
- 49:15Speaker 2: Let me see.
- 49:17Speaker 1: And the money's definitely agreeing with that and fading the puck.
- 49:20Speaker 1: East Carolina side there. So, yes, we're on Temple plus
- 49:24Speaker 1: the points. And we're also laying the points with Georgia Southern.
- 49:28Speaker 1: Which that's getting the money as well.
- 49:31Speaker 2: They're not really an.
- 49:31Speaker 1: Anti-public side, but this is really just a game where
- 49:34Speaker 1: I think only the professionals are really playing it. So
- 49:37Speaker 1: this number is not going to go back down. So
- 49:39Speaker 1: you have to lay six now. Obviously, don't let it
- 49:42Speaker 1: get to seven, although I don't think it will. But,
- 49:44Speaker 1: you know, those are the college football plays. And then
- 49:47Speaker 1: we have one more play I added here. NBA, we're
- 49:49Speaker 1: laying the points with Portland, although this line looks like
- 49:52Speaker 1: it's already up to 8.5.
- 49:52Speaker 2: I apologize.
- 49:55Speaker 1: I thought it was going to be at worst 7.5,
- 49:57Speaker 1: but there's not much of a difference between 7.5 and 8.5.
- 50:00Speaker 1: I found the 6.5, but you might be able to
- 50:02Speaker 1: find it because the books seem like they're all over
- 50:04Speaker 1: the place there, but I would still lay it with
- 50:07Speaker 1: the Trailblazers there. That's going to do it. The Jailblazers.
- 50:10Speaker 1: They're not the Jailblazers right now because Morant is out.
- 50:14Speaker 1: Learn to Tote on Twitter. Learn to Tote on Instagram. TikTok,
- 50:18Speaker 1: sort of. Like, subscribe to the channel here. Follow me
- 50:22Speaker 1: on everything, all that. Boost this channel. Give me good comments, etc.
- 50:26Speaker 1: Let's take this thing higher, man.
- 50:28Speaker 2: Let's do it. Tell people about it. Listen on audio
- 50:31Speaker 2: as well. We're on all the platforms. Apple, Spotify, Spreaker.
- 50:36Speaker 1: All the good things. I have a ukulele channel covered
- 50:39Speaker 1: in uke on YouTube. Patreon.com slash LearnToTote if you want
- 50:42Speaker 1: to support me there and get some uke stuff.
- 50:45Speaker 4: And.
- 50:45Speaker 1: Loser cast every Tuesday. That's going to do it. Got
- 50:50Speaker 1: to get out of here shortly as well. Have a
- 50:52Speaker 1: good day, everybody. Have fun celebrating Halloween. You know, do
- 50:58Speaker 1: what you're going to do. Trick-or-treating, party, get your costumes
- 51:02Speaker 1: going on.
- 51:03Speaker 2: Be safe, you know.
- 51:06Speaker 1: Don't drink and drive, you know, all that stuff.
- 51:10Speaker 2: PSA from Toadstool Sports. There you go.
- 51:14Speaker 1: And, you know, Do something scary as well. Watch some
- 51:17Speaker 1: horror movies. That's what I like to do. I don't
- 51:20Speaker 1: know what I'm going to watch, but I might be
- 51:22Speaker 1: doing some of that. I've been watching some during the month, though,
- 51:25Speaker 1: as well. So that's going to do it. Read hard
- 51:29Speaker 1: and what's up, man? The show's about to end, sir,
- 51:31Speaker 1: but what's up? That's going to do it.
- 51:34Speaker 2: Peace.
- 51:38Speaker 3: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone. Let
- 51:42Speaker 3: somebody answer, let somebody know.
- 51:46Speaker 4: You do not have to lose this round alone. Hold on,
- 51:57Speaker 4: hold on, not tonight. Not now Hold on, hold.
- 52:07Speaker 2: On Let me.
- 52:08Speaker 4: Pull you out That bad luck fights hard But it don't.
- 52:18Speaker 3: Get the crown Hold on, hold.
- 52:23Speaker 4: On Stay with me now Hold on, hold
- 52:32Speaker 3: On You're still here now guitar solo