Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Crypto PANIC Selling!🔥Market Update🚨
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Panic selling in the market has started, and today will
- 0:03Speaker 1: break it down for you. Where is the market going. Well,
- 0:05Speaker 1: if you take a look at the charts, things are
- 0:08Speaker 1: not looking good for bitcoin right now, as we are
- 0:10Speaker 1: trading at eighty six' four at time of filming after
- 0:14Speaker 1: several multiple days on a downward, trend and current sentiment
- 0:19Speaker 1: right now not looking good On bitcoin or the crypto
- 0:22Speaker 1: markets in. General one thing to consider is whether or
- 0:25Speaker 1: not we're starting to see a crypto contagion with eth
- 0:27Speaker 1: falling below twenty nine. Hundred all, Right so when you
- 0:30Speaker 1: look at one other factor that plays into this is
- 0:32Speaker 1: the digital asset. Treasuries, this of, course is kind of
- 0:35Speaker 1: talking about it right here is where they are. Unwinding
- 0:39Speaker 1: many people are kind of pushing back on. That why
- 0:41Speaker 1: do these dats need to sell or buyback shares When
- 0:43Speaker 1: Michael saylor doesn't have. To he doesn't need to yet
- 0:46Speaker 1: if he gets too, bad he will have. To that's
- 0:48Speaker 1: the real question that everybody's asking because we are looking
- 0:51Speaker 1: at some severe pain within these digital asset. Treasuries one of,
- 0:55Speaker 1: course is the Infamous Tom lee starting to take on
- 0:59Speaker 1: a certain amount of pain right, there and if this
- 1:02Speaker 1: continues for. Ethereum if we do see it continue to
- 1:05Speaker 1: push down and we do enter a true bear, market
- 1:08Speaker 1: how does this portray on strategy at least for how
- 1:12Speaker 1: these dats will start to move. FORWARD i think this
- 1:14Speaker 1: is the factor that everybody needs to consider right. NOW
- 1:17Speaker 1: i would say, that first of, ALL i don't think they're,
- 1:20Speaker 1: ponzis BUT i do think that they need to have
- 1:22Speaker 1: a strategy that has something more than just holding an.
- 1:25Speaker 1: Asset and everybody's talked about. This we've had several on
- 1:28Speaker 1: our show that have talked about, this is that multiple
- 1:30Speaker 1: strategies for income producing within these treasury, companies in many
- 1:34Speaker 1: cases they don't even call them treasury. Companies those are
- 1:37Speaker 1: the ones to be on the lookout if you're going that.
- 1:39Speaker 1: Direction other news you had back loans now on coinbase
- 1:43Speaker 1: starting to move you can now use your eth as
- 1:45Speaker 1: collateral to BAR usdc and a lot of people might be, saying,
- 1:48Speaker 1: Well i'm going to wait for ethereum to get into
- 1:50Speaker 1: a position where it could, bounce and that is a
- 1:53Speaker 1: loan entry. Position if you guys want to do, that of,
- 1:56Speaker 1: course you can jump over to coinbase dot. Com sign
- 1:59Speaker 1: up there our. Link it's just really. Easy click that
- 2:02Speaker 1: down below and let me know what you guys. Think
- 2:04Speaker 1: are you doing any kind of crypto loans as the
- 2:06Speaker 1: market starts to come, down because this as the market
- 2:09Speaker 1: starts to move in a downward, direction is that the
- 2:12Speaker 1: time for you to maybe look long term because a
- 2:15Speaker 1: lot of people have these horizons that are, three, five
- 2:19Speaker 1: seven years. Out do you Think ethereum is going to
- 2:22Speaker 1: be up in three? Years do you Think ethereum is
- 2:24Speaker 1: going to be up in five? YEARS i think you
- 2:25Speaker 1: might agree with.
- 2:26Speaker 2: Me.
- 2:26Speaker 1: Yes other things that are going on right, NOW i
- 2:29Speaker 1: want to go to this headline real quick because this
- 2:31Speaker 1: gets into some kind of the macro side of what's
- 2:34Speaker 1: going on within the. Administration The Education department is, restructuring
- 2:38Speaker 1: but it doesn't involve student, debt and this is a
- 2:41Speaker 1: problem because if you look at one of the things
- 2:43Speaker 1: that they're focusing on in this, article they're attempting to
- 2:46Speaker 1: hollow out THE Us department Of, education and a couple
- 2:50Speaker 1: of points within this student loan borrowers have faced even
- 2:53Speaker 1: more problems in the private. Market so if they end
- 2:56Speaker 1: up taking that student loan debt and doing something in
- 2:59Speaker 1: the private, market this could be a big problem going,
- 3:02Speaker 1: forward not only for the. Administration BUT i think from
- 3:04Speaker 1: an economic, standpoint a big hit overall Because borrows saw
- 3:09Speaker 1: their complete debt balloon with no end in sight due
- 3:13Speaker 1: to a lot of loan. Mismanagement so not a good
- 3:16Speaker 1: sign right now when it comes to student loans and
- 3:19Speaker 1: The department Of. Education with that, happening one thing that
- 3:23Speaker 1: you kind of have to consider is that what caused
- 3:26Speaker 1: THE S andp to take a massive rally Down this
- 3:29Speaker 1: two and a half percent in eighty, minutes, guys not
- 3:33Speaker 1: normal for THE s AND p five. Hundred if we
- 3:36Speaker 1: have that occurring with what's going on in The department
- 3:38Speaker 1: Of education and the restructuring of some of these major government,
- 3:41Speaker 1: facilities what happens when we start to float around the
- 3:45Speaker 1: issue of, healthcare because that's one of the biggest issues
- 3:47Speaker 1: THAT i think is facing our administration right. Now and
- 3:50Speaker 1: remember that healthcare was kind of dangled out there By
- 3:53Speaker 1: Mike johnson during the closure of the government and they
- 3:57Speaker 1: still have another closure coming up very soon that's going
- 4:01Speaker 1: to have to handle a. Reopening and That republicans were
- 4:03Speaker 1: the ones that say we have a, plan or we
- 4:06Speaker 1: have the ability to talk about a. PLAN i don't
- 4:08Speaker 1: think any of that has actually. Occurred so, again just
- 4:10Speaker 1: to kicking the can down the, road this is not
- 4:13Speaker 1: bullish for any of the, markets AND i think they're
- 4:15Speaker 1: starting to show. That one thing that is bullish, though
- 4:18Speaker 1: is in video reports fifty seven billion in. Revenue this
- 4:21Speaker 1: is higher than expectations kind of had. It this was
- 4:23Speaker 1: a great meme right. There and that's WHAT i feel
- 4:25Speaker 1: like is that right Now jensen is definitely protecting the
- 4:28Speaker 1: entire economy because it is one that is starting to
- 4:31Speaker 1: get a little bit edgy in the overall. Markets big
- 4:34Speaker 1: tech firms rise after In vidia's results ease fears of
- 4:37Speaker 1: THEIR ai. Bubble AND i don't, know do you guys
- 4:39Speaker 1: believe or which side do you fall? On do you
- 4:42Speaker 1: fall on THE ai bubble camp that this is, overbought over,
- 4:45Speaker 1: sold or do you rely on That, no this is
- 4:49Speaker 1: an up only. Trajectory there's a lot of analysts out
- 4:53Speaker 1: there right now and a lot of INVESTORS i know
- 4:55Speaker 1: that are very very pro. Now granted their time horizon is, three,
- 4:59Speaker 1: five seven. Years and if that is the, case if
- 5:02Speaker 1: you're thinking whether It's, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, apple all of
- 5:06Speaker 1: those starting to move, up if that's the, case then
- 5:09Speaker 1: maybe this is the trade for. You, Guys nvidia earnings
- 5:13Speaker 1: takeaways was really a concern because a lot of people
- 5:16Speaker 1: were concerned about not only the issue With, china but
- 5:20Speaker 1: also this kind of circular motion of where one company
- 5:25Speaker 1: gives loans to another to buy their. Product this has
- 5:28Speaker 1: been done before in, industry but it's kind of interesting
- 5:31Speaker 1: because it does hit a little bit closer to. Home
- 5:34Speaker 1: there's been a lot of talk about the. Bubble wong,
- 5:36Speaker 1: said from our, vantage we see something very, different and
- 5:40Speaker 1: he should say that this, is of, Course bernstein saying
- 5:42Speaker 1: that perhaps THE ai trade is not dead yet other
- 5:45Speaker 1: things that are being looked at right. Now the company
- 5:47Speaker 1: has orders of five hundred billion IN ai chips for
- 5:50Speaker 1: twenty five and, six so, again this may take some
- 5:53Speaker 1: time to unwind a lot of these data centers that
- 5:56Speaker 1: we're going to continue to contribute to the, economy a
- 5:59Speaker 1: lot of these orders that have already been somewhat paid
- 6:02Speaker 1: for at least booked in terms of, revenue AND i
- 6:05Speaker 1: think this will be the thing to watch as we
- 6:08Speaker 1: start to see all of this go into twenty twenty. Six,
- 6:11Speaker 1: Now Ray dalio, says maybe there's a different angle on.
- 6:14Speaker 1: This listen to this.
- 6:15Speaker 3: CLIP i think the real issue is who owns the?
- 6:20Speaker 3: Stock is it in strong? Hands not just one? Stock
- 6:25Speaker 3: isn't it?
- 6:26Speaker 4: Amazing we're talking about one stock for the stock market,
- 6:29Speaker 4: bubble and we're talking about for the economy. Bubble so
- 6:33Speaker 4: you have such a small percentage of the, economy such
- 6:37Speaker 4: a small percentage of The american population in terms of
- 6:41Speaker 4: wealth and so, on, concentrated so, concentrated and everybody in,
- 6:47Speaker 4: it and in a leveraged, way in various, ways it has.
- 6:51Speaker 5: Leveraged what are strong? Hands how would you define?
- 6:55Speaker 3: That weekends would be the?
- 6:57Speaker 5: Public so retail investors are weekend right strong hands the
- 7:02Speaker 5: owners of these companies.
- 7:03Speaker 4: The right in other, words strong hands is that they
- 7:07Speaker 4: primarily invest their own.
- 7:09Speaker 3: Money, there you don't have public.
- 7:12Speaker 4: Right the weekends is largely let's, say a leveraged public
- 7:17Speaker 4: and all united about.
- 7:18Speaker 3: That that's one of the key ingredients of a. Bubble
- 7:22Speaker 3: so it's not just.
- 7:23Speaker 4: Pricing wealth can't be spent in order to in order
- 7:28Speaker 4: to get.
- 7:29Speaker 3: Money you have to sell wealth in.
- 7:32Speaker 4: Order to get cash to get the money to buy,
- 7:35Speaker 4: things and so when that, happens bubbles. Burst so bubble
- 7:39Speaker 4: bursting means let's, say a tightening a monetary policy is,
- 7:43Speaker 4: classic but also something like wealth taxes can, happen.
- 7:48Speaker 1: All, Right So dalio hitting on a few points, THERE
- 7:50Speaker 1: i think he is. Right is that With nvidia right,
- 7:54Speaker 1: now which is dictating the, market the real question is
- 7:58Speaker 1: the stock in the right hands in terms of long
- 8:01Speaker 1: term of the Analyst i'm talking, to everybody is still
- 8:05Speaker 1: very PRO ai seeing this as a long term, trade
- 8:08Speaker 1: AND i think the real question is is what is
- 8:10Speaker 1: that Split if we see more retail and we are
- 8:13Speaker 1: starting to see a little bit more of a crack
- 8:15Speaker 1: in the, economy could we see retail finally in a
- 8:18Speaker 1: position where they might, say, hey, Listen i'm gonna unwind this.
- 8:21Speaker 1: Trade THAT i think gets into this whole issue around THE,
- 8:24Speaker 1: fed because this is another factor that plays into. It
- 8:27Speaker 1: here's A bloomberg analysts take a look.
- 8:29Speaker 6: That the temporary pullback in stocks is not the bursting
- 8:32Speaker 6: of THE ali. Bubble we expect THE ai bubble to
- 8:34Speaker 6: inflate significantly further into twenty twenty. Six we don't know
- 8:37Speaker 6: the exact timeline of when it's going to, burst but
- 8:39Speaker 6: it does not appear we're close to bursting. Yet if
- 8:43Speaker 6: we don't get A fed cut In, december is that a?
- 8:45Speaker 3: PROBLEM i don't think.
- 8:46Speaker 6: It's a, problem first of, all because they Won't they
- 8:50Speaker 6: won't cut.
- 8:52Speaker 3: Unless you know it's clear to the.
- 8:53Speaker 6: Nature i'm not convinced that it's obvious they need to
- 8:55Speaker 6: at some. Point, obviously when THE us economy slows down,
- 8:59Speaker 6: hard they're going to cut super. AGGRESSIVELY i don't think
- 9:01Speaker 6: they need to be going for a preemptive cut, now
- 9:03Speaker 6: AND i don't think THE us economy is careening off
- 9:06Speaker 6: a cliff edge just, yet so THEREFORE i.
- 9:08Speaker 3: Don't think they should be cut and. CUTTING i don't
- 9:10Speaker 3: think it's a.
- 9:10Speaker 6: Problem one of the things that fueling valuations is that
- 9:14Speaker 6: we are always Under trump administration going to get fed
- 9:18Speaker 6: policy which is too easy for the economic fundamentals based
- 9:21Speaker 6: on orthodox economic, policy and that it helps asset.
- 9:24Speaker 3: Prices but THE ai bubble.
- 9:26Speaker 6: Is its own theme and it's more, dominant and we're
- 9:29Speaker 6: at the inflation stage of incredible kapex, spending which benefits
- 9:32Speaker 6: some of the big names out.
- 9:34Speaker 1: There all, Right so there you, go. Guys this is
- 9:37Speaker 1: getting very dicey BECAUSE i think you look at what
- 9:40Speaker 1: THE ai bubble could comprise of is a lot of
- 9:44Speaker 1: major companies that apply into this and this EVEN i
- 9:48Speaker 1: think bleed over into stocks Like. Tasla, obviously what's happening
- 9:51Speaker 1: With meta and of course Even google And alphabet to
- 9:55Speaker 1: a certain. Extent the other things you have to kind
- 9:57Speaker 1: of consider is how is the economy? Doing are usually
- 10:00Speaker 1: the number one indicator for. THAT Us Department later Finally
- 10:04Speaker 1: labor finally published Their september jobs, data and this was
- 10:07Speaker 1: a little bit surprising because it's up and this uptick
- 10:10Speaker 1: of one hundred nineteen thousand non farm payroll, jobs this
- 10:13Speaker 1: was adding fifty thousand above, expectations was a good. Indicator
- 10:18Speaker 1: the real question is is will this lighten the load
- 10:20Speaker 1: for THE fed on them be able to do a
- 10:23Speaker 1: cut In, december if in fact that they do do
- 10:26Speaker 1: a cut In, December and, THAT i think is the
- 10:27Speaker 1: real question that everybody's. Asking i'll show you a poly
- 10:30Speaker 1: market on that. Here in a, Second Charlie blello basically
- 10:33Speaker 1: said total number of jobs on THE us increased by
- 10:35Speaker 1: point eight over the past, year slowest growth since twenty,
- 10:38Speaker 1: one but in the past fifty. Years this is the
- 10:41Speaker 1: type of weakness in the jobs market that has preceded
- 10:44Speaker 1: recessions and a spike in the unemployment rate one hundred
- 10:48Speaker 1: percent at the Time this is the problem that we
- 10:51Speaker 1: are looking at right, now is unemployment if we continue
- 10:53Speaker 1: to see, this because this might be one of those
- 10:55Speaker 1: things where you just get a small move and we
- 10:57Speaker 1: still have a downward. Trend remember we had not collecting
- 11:00Speaker 1: data for almost fifty, days so all of that playing
- 11:04Speaker 1: into where we are. NOW i want to go over
- 11:06Speaker 1: to another one because this is whether or not we
- 11:09Speaker 1: need a rate cut despite this kind of good data
- 11:13Speaker 1: coming out of THE. Bls take a.
- 11:15Speaker 2: Look is it strong enough that it doesn't need assistance
- 11:19Speaker 2: from The? Fed, WELL i think The president has been
- 11:23Speaker 2: pretty clear on this. Issue we did see the two rate.
- 11:26Speaker 2: CUTS i think The fed does need to go ahead
- 11:28Speaker 2: and cut. Again you, know WHEN i travel around the
- 11:31Speaker 2: country talking to, businesses WHICH i have hit thirty six
- 11:34Speaker 2: out of fifty states on my fifty state tour before
- 11:37Speaker 2: you know The democratic shutdown, happened those business owners are
- 11:40Speaker 2: wanting to borrow more money at a cheaper rate to
- 11:43Speaker 2: invest in their. Workforce that is what they're, asking and
- 11:46Speaker 2: SO i think another rate cut is exactly what we
- 11:49Speaker 2: need to really grow this. WORKFORCE i, mean we SEE
- 11:53Speaker 2: gdp is up four point two. PERCENT i think that
- 11:56Speaker 2: that's positive growth and we want to see more private
- 11:59Speaker 2: sector jobs to come. Online out of the one hundred
- 12:02Speaker 2: and nineteen thousand jobs we, saw ninety seven thousand of
- 12:05Speaker 2: those jobs have been in the private, sector which is
- 12:08Speaker 2: way different than The biden administration when we saw they
- 12:10Speaker 2: were all government. Jobs SO i think we're on the right,
- 12:12Speaker 2: track all.
- 12:13Speaker 1: RIGHT i think this is a very critical, time. Guys
- 12:16Speaker 1: we are dealing with a unique position in a market
- 12:19Speaker 1: that has been somewhat depressed, overall inflation continuing to, rise
- 12:24Speaker 1: AND i would agree with The department of or The
- 12:27Speaker 1: department Of business, there and that is around how businesses
- 12:30Speaker 1: are looking at growing and most of them are in
- 12:33Speaker 1: most cases looking at try to add. Capital and the
- 12:35Speaker 1: way you add capital typically it's taking, loans but you
- 12:38Speaker 1: want to do it when loan rates are much. Lower
- 12:41Speaker 1: and that's what we're. Seeing it's What i'm seeing out
- 12:43Speaker 1: there within a lot of the people that we're having
- 12:46Speaker 1: discussions with all the, time is these small businesses want
- 12:49Speaker 1: this to be able to, grow and this is a
- 12:51Speaker 1: factor that plays out. Here you, go let's take a
- 12:54Speaker 1: look At. Polymarket polymarket of course drove way up here
- 12:58Speaker 1: to a no change at seventy six percent and then
- 13:02Speaker 1: had a bit of a, reversal possibly due to this job's,
- 13:05Speaker 1: data maybe down to sixty. Three the real question is
- 13:09Speaker 1: is do we get the quarter coming? Up because there's
- 13:12Speaker 1: the quarter coming up to thirty six percent after dropping
- 13:15Speaker 1: down to twenty. Two so getting very erratic right, now
- 13:19Speaker 1: as many of the market makers do not really understand
- 13:22Speaker 1: where this is. Going Anthony, pompiano we're in a generational
- 13:26Speaker 1: bull market because our central bank and politicians can never
- 13:29Speaker 1: stop printing. Money and this is eventually going to be
- 13:31Speaker 1: the case again WITH. Qe it is, coming. GUYS fiat
- 13:36Speaker 1: is definitely not necessarily the angle. Here you know what
- 13:39Speaker 1: to do in terms of how do you protect against?
- 13:42Speaker 1: This other points THAT i want to kind of hit
- 13:44Speaker 1: on is how does this play out into the retail?
- 13:48Speaker 1: Holiday because there's two things that will give the economy
- 13:52Speaker 1: at least a feeling as though the market is starting
- 13:55Speaker 1: to turn around or at least the inflation numbers and
- 13:57Speaker 1: the economy is starting to turn, around and that is
- 13:59Speaker 1: the holiday. Period usually it's going to be in retail
- 14:02Speaker 1: sales or it's just in consumer. Sentiment take a look
- 14:05Speaker 1: at this.
- 14:05Speaker 7: Clip, now the do wo have a different expectation Than
- 14:08Speaker 7: lawrence about when consumers will shop specifically fifteen times Between
- 14:14Speaker 7: november And. January and this is based on a survey
- 14:17Speaker 7: That cole's did last year about the average number of
- 14:20Speaker 7: store trips that shoppers took during the holiday season trips
- 14:23Speaker 7: not just buying, online not just buying on life source on.
- 14:27Speaker 5: Average my, guess based on what you just told, us
- 14:30Speaker 5: is that this holiday season is going to be a
- 14:31Speaker 5: pretty good season for the shoppers because they're not worried about.
- 14:35Speaker 5: Inventory they have a lot of, it and they are reading. That,
- 14:39Speaker 5: oh shoppers are responding to, bargains which basically means shoppers
- 14:42Speaker 5: are training them into putting sales back.
- 14:45Speaker 7: On he, said if we were on the same promotion
- 14:48Speaker 7: this year that we ran last, year we're getting a
- 14:50Speaker 7: higher take. Rate is that maybe they'll run that, promotion
- 14:53Speaker 7: but maybe it'll be for four days instead of ten,
- 14:55Speaker 7: days or maybe it'll be on a specific item in
- 14:59Speaker 7: a brand but not the entire brand.
- 15:01Speaker 1: Itself, YEAH i don't know about that data Because I'm
- 15:06Speaker 1: i'm talking to a lot of CEOs with national chains
- 15:09Speaker 1: and they're telling me that the number of foot traffic
- 15:13Speaker 1: visits they're getting is dropped off dramatically over the past ninety,
- 15:16Speaker 1: days and this is starting to become a waterfall effect
- 15:20Speaker 1: into the end of the. Year is the real. Question
- 15:22Speaker 1: if you look at some of the publicly traded restaurant
- 15:25Speaker 1: brands and chains out, there you've seen a massive fall
- 15:27Speaker 1: off in places Like chipotle and many others as almost
- 15:31Speaker 1: looks as bad as the crypto market in terms of
- 15:33Speaker 1: how these stocks are. Performing and you look at that,
- 15:36Speaker 1: indicator which usually is an indicator to, RETAIL i think
- 15:40Speaker 1: retail is going to have to get very aggressive on
- 15:43Speaker 1: pricing to be able to lure buyers in and that
- 15:46Speaker 1: is going to translate into lower numbers for these publicly traded,
- 15:50Speaker 1: companies MEANING q one performance is not going to look
- 15:54Speaker 1: good as well AS q four performance in terms of.
- 15:57Speaker 1: Profits so be on the lookout for that because, that
- 15:59Speaker 1: of course translates to a lot of the investments on
- 16:01Speaker 1: the traditional, market which translates into how they play that
- 16:06Speaker 1: into risk. Markets bitcoin hits its most bearish levels in
- 16:09Speaker 1: the bull cycle and has it, ended, Guys let me
- 16:13Speaker 1: know if what you guys. Think treasury companies have basically
- 16:15Speaker 1: stopped buying some have actually even sold part of their.
- 16:19Speaker 1: Holdings this is something that will be a usually an
- 16:22Speaker 1: indicator that we have pretty much hit the end of the.
- 16:25Speaker 1: Cycle what would be a catalyst strong enough to accelerate
- 16:28Speaker 1: bitcoin in the demand major developments seem off the. Cards
- 16:31Speaker 1: you can see this with The Strategic, Reserve Clarity act
- 16:35Speaker 1: has been moved. Back and remember we did a whole
- 16:37Speaker 1: video on this that WAS i think there was like
- 16:40Speaker 1: ten to twelve catalysts that had to occur for it
- 16:44Speaker 1: to move the market. Upwards here was the. Video this
- 16:47Speaker 1: was our time codes on, it And i'll kind of
- 16:50Speaker 1: hit on some of these. Catalysts for the bull, run shut, down,
- 16:53Speaker 1: uncertainty it had to be able to end at a certain.
- 16:55Speaker 1: Time it. Didn't we also had to get at least
- 16:59Speaker 1: a win by The, dems and of course that was
- 17:03Speaker 1: a question. Mark then of course you've dealt with the healthcare,
- 17:05Speaker 1: crisis which still has not been. Resolved then we get
- 17:08Speaker 1: into the situation around The Clarity. Act you also look
- 17:11Speaker 1: at consumers under, pressure no real relief in, sight and
- 17:15Speaker 1: then of course you've got tariff deal catalysts would that?
- 17:18Speaker 1: Happen no real news on. That then you're dealing with quantitative.
- 17:22Speaker 1: Easing we've seen at least quantitative tightening indicated as when
- 17:26Speaker 1: it's going to, start but we haven't seen any word
- 17:28Speaker 1: of how easing THE fed balance is going to. Change
- 17:31Speaker 1: and then of course you're dealing with things Like Clarity,
- 17:33Speaker 1: act which has clearly been moved now into twenty twenty.
- 17:36Speaker 1: Six the One i'm watching right now is we cannot
- 17:39Speaker 1: have a delay on The eth. Upgrade if we have
- 17:41Speaker 1: a delay on The ether upgrade moving Into, december that
- 17:45Speaker 1: could be bad for ethereum in. General so, FAR ai
- 17:50Speaker 1: And nvidia has been the only thing that has been
- 17:52Speaker 1: holding this market. Up and even to that, effect we
- 17:55Speaker 1: still had a two hund half PERCENT s AND p
- 17:58Speaker 1: five hundred sell off in a very short period of.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Time so times are looking pretty interesting right. Now this
- 18:05Speaker 1: was a pull we did over on x and the
- 18:08Speaker 1: question was if bitcoin rallies back to one hundred, K
- 18:11Speaker 1: i will do, This And i'm holding a bitcoin. Bag
- 18:13Speaker 1: EITHER i would dump my, bag dump half my, bag
- 18:16Speaker 1: or wait for an all time. High that's what basically
- 18:18Speaker 1: the audience is, saying is that they're waiting for an
- 18:20Speaker 1: all time. High if you compare this to the twenty
- 18:24Speaker 1: one fall off after the all time, high that was
- 18:27Speaker 1: a fifty two percent down trend to the bottom of
- 18:31Speaker 1: that little bit of a. Loop and this occurred right
- 18:34Speaker 1: there In february of twenty.
- 18:35Speaker 3: Two, okay and if.
- 18:37Speaker 1: You, say all, right, well that is the relief rally
- 18:39Speaker 1: potential coming out of that if you were able to
- 18:42Speaker 1: hold that. Long if you did and you bought that
- 18:44Speaker 1: bottom or held through, it that was your percentage right,
- 18:48Speaker 1: there forty one percent in the short relief rally before
- 18:52Speaker 1: we started to go into the bear. Market let's take
- 18:54Speaker 1: a quick look at other tokens that could be in
- 18:56Speaker 1: that same, boat and, this of course Is salona during
- 18:59Speaker 1: that range eighty four percent on the relief rally before
- 19:02Speaker 1: it started to move. Down obviously that was a more
- 19:04Speaker 1: of AN ftx, scare but EVEN xrp which is now
- 19:07Speaker 1: trading below two dollars for the first time in a long,
- 19:10Speaker 1: time well since last. Year and if you look back
- 19:13Speaker 1: on that period of, time you saw the bump that
- 19:16Speaker 1: we saw In april of twenty twenty, one that going
- 19:19Speaker 1: down to the bottom In july of twenty twenty, one
- 19:21Speaker 1: which was preceding The bitcoin all time, high and then
- 19:25Speaker 1: a skyrocket in its relief rally to the, high which
- 19:28Speaker 1: was one hundred and twenty five. Percent so these are
- 19:32Speaker 1: similar times AND i think that would be a. Comparison
- 19:35Speaker 1: if you do have a handful of, tokens the real
- 19:39Speaker 1: question is do you weather through this storm and hold
- 19:43Speaker 1: them or do you take? Profits BECAUSE i think a
- 19:46Speaker 1: lot of people are in that position right. Now or
- 19:49Speaker 1: maybe you're in a position where you've had a lot
- 19:50Speaker 1: of gains on one token like a bitcoin or an
- 19:53Speaker 1: ethereum or AN, xrp and you already have taken profits
- 19:57Speaker 1: and now you're trying to figure out whether or not
- 19:59Speaker 1: you position in to a tax position of maybe dealing
- 20:03Speaker 1: with tax losses and tax harvesting. Strategies so there's a
- 20:06Speaker 1: lot of things that you could go with between now
- 20:09Speaker 1: and the end of the. Year of, course all of this.
- 20:12Speaker 1: DEPENDS i think the big catalysts will come On december the,
- 20:15Speaker 1: tenth and that is whether or not we get A
- 20:17Speaker 1: fed rate, Cut so you, guys make sure and watch for.
- 20:20Speaker 1: That we will probably be doing that live for. You
- 20:22Speaker 1: make sure that you're in the diamond. Circle very easy
- 20:24Speaker 1: to get additional content from, us click the link down.
- 20:26Speaker 1: Below it's absolutely. Free hit me out there on x
- 20:30Speaker 1: At Paul. Baron we'll catch you next time right here
- 20:32Speaker 1: On The Paul Baron. Show