Latest / Balance of Power / Trump’s New White House Press Secretary Out After Five Days
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- 0:25Speaker 6: I'm Kaylee Lines in Washington, keeping an eye on Or
- 0:28Speaker 6: an ear to the extent possible on President Trump, who
- 0:31Speaker 6: right now is departing the White House en route to
- 0:33Speaker 6: a rally in Dalton, Georgia, that he'll be partaking in
- 0:36Speaker 6: this afternoon. Of course, we can't bring you the words
- 0:39Speaker 6: of the president as easily as we normally would be
- 0:41Speaker 6: able to, as there is no pool that is covering
- 0:43Speaker 6: the president for his travels today once again. due to
- 0:46Speaker 6: one member of that five-member TV pool being barred from
- 0:49Speaker 6: Air Force One, there will be not the usual TV
- 0:54Speaker 6: cameras traveling with President Trump on this trip. All that said, he,
- 0:58Speaker 6: of course, is going to Georgia to stump for Republicans
- 1:01Speaker 6: with just 18 days to go until the midterm, specifically
- 1:03Speaker 6: with this trip trying to shore up the Republican Senate nominee,
- 1:07Speaker 6: Mike Collins, who is in a very tough race against
- 1:09Speaker 6: the Democratic incumbent, John Ossoff, both in terms of what
- 1:12Speaker 6: the and what the financial picture is like. So for more,
- 1:17Speaker 6: we turn to Tyler Kendall, our Washington correspondent, who's here
- 1:19Speaker 6: with me in the DC studio. Tyler, it's interesting that
- 1:23Speaker 6: he's going to Georgia because to this point, we've really
- 1:26Speaker 6: seen him target firmly red states, not purple swinging ones.
- 1:30Speaker 7: Firmly red states. I mean, trips in the last few
- 1:32Speaker 7: days to Texas, Montana, and he's still going to on Kansas.
- 1:36Speaker 7: On Monday, he'll be in Kansas. But today, as you mentioned,
- 1:39Speaker 7: this is firmly a battleground. President Trump had won Georgia
- 1:42Speaker 7: in 2024 by two percentage points, so a much closer battleground.
- 1:46Speaker 7: margin in terms of the vote count when it comes
- 1:48Speaker 7: to that state. But this is a place where President
- 1:50Speaker 7: Trump is still hoping to rally voters as Republicans continue
- 1:55Speaker 7: to face headwinds closer to Election Day. There's two races
- 1:58Speaker 7: we're watching here. One is, of course, the Senate race.
- 2:00Speaker 7: Incumbent Senator John Ossoff seems to have the lead over
- 2:03Speaker 7: a Republican, his Republican challenger, Mike Collins, a congressman. President
- 2:07Speaker 7: Trump has often said that he wants to reward loyalists
- 2:10Speaker 7: and those that have stood behind him. So that's part
- 2:13Speaker 7: of him making good on that bid to get out
- 2:15Speaker 7: on the campaign trail for candidates like that.
- 2:17Speaker 1: But also, we can't.
- 2:18Speaker 7: Take our eyes off the gubernatorial contest that's happening there.
- 2:21Speaker 7: We are expecting a Republican nominee Rick Jackson in that
- 2:25Speaker 7: race to appear on stage with President Trump. A tough race,
- 2:29Speaker 7: a close race with Keisha Lance Bottoms, the former Atlanta
- 2:33Speaker 7: mayor who has been running this race on data centers,
- 2:37Speaker 7: of all things. That has really made an impact when
- 2:40Speaker 7: it comes to the election.
- 2:41Speaker 6: Well, President Trump, of course, is trying to bring his
- 2:44Speaker 6: own message out there to states like Georgia and elsewhere.
- 2:47Speaker 6: The White House press secretary, the new one, Katie Zachariah,
- 2:49Speaker 6: also says that her goal is just to amplify it,
- 2:52Speaker 6: though she struggled to do so in her first briefing
- 2:54Speaker 6: earlier this week, which I'm sure our audience has seen
- 2:57Speaker 6: or heard by now. She did sort of struggle her
- 3:00Speaker 6: way through it and has faced a lot of backlash
- 3:02Speaker 6: for calling herself a lawyer when she, in fact, has
- 3:04Speaker 6: not passed the bar exam. President Trump is speaking with
- 3:07Speaker 6: reporters right now, saying he told Katie Zachariah that she
- 3:12Speaker 6: doesn't have to do this if she doesn't want to,
- 3:14Speaker 6: that he will let her make her own decision, but said,
- 3:19Speaker 6: I'd reconsider if I were you. Tyler, is she about
- 3:23Speaker 6: to last for less time than Scaramucci did in the
- 3:27Speaker 6: first term?
- 3:27Speaker 1: I knew that one was coming.
- 3:28Speaker 7: Yeah, he says, quote, I just want her to be happy.
- 3:31Speaker 7: Questions here, of course. really emerged amid the reports that
- 3:38Speaker 7: she did and her confirming that she didn't pass the bar,
- 3:42Speaker 7: though has called herself a lawyer. He goes on to
- 3:46Speaker 7: say right now the press is really being unfair to her.
- 3:49Speaker 7: We'll see what happens. Of course, this comes just days
- 3:53Speaker 7: after she was announced to be the press secretary. She's
- 3:55Speaker 7: filling the role that was left by Caroline Leavitt, who
- 3:58Speaker 7: had held it for such a long time and is
- 4:01Speaker 7: still considered to be such a close and.
- 4:02Speaker 1: Trusted ally of President Trump.
- 4:04Speaker 7: Trump will have to see if this is now something
- 4:06Speaker 7: that's hanging in the balance. Yeah.
- 4:08Speaker 6: Trump telling reporters as to Katie Zachariah being the press secretary,
- 4:13Speaker 6: maybe it's not for her.
- 4:15Speaker 1: So stay tuned on.
- 4:16Speaker 6: This one because it feels like something might be brewing
- 4:19Speaker 6: here for Katie, who has been in this job for
- 4:21Speaker 6: only a few days. The president's making some other comments
- 4:24Speaker 6: as well. I want to know, Tyler, as it pertains
- 4:26Speaker 6: to Starlink and the service that Ukraine provides.
- 4:29Speaker 1: Alleges was slowed. And the question is by who?
- 4:33Speaker 6: The president just told reporters that it wasn't him that
- 4:37Speaker 6: gave the order, that he doesn't know who gave the
- 4:40Speaker 6: order on Star Shield.
- 4:41Speaker 1: It wasn't us. Yeah, it wasn't us.
- 4:44Speaker 7: He says that he did check in on it this morning, though,
- 4:47Speaker 7: and that it appears to be back up and running.
- 4:49Speaker 7: We should say normal service on Star Shield, which is
- 4:52Speaker 7: the defense part of the Starlink network. had resumed, though
- 4:56Speaker 7: the Ukrainian President Zelenskyy in an interview with some reporters
- 4:59Speaker 7: earlier today did indicate that speed has improved, but that
- 5:03Speaker 7: as of this morning, it was not yet fully restored.
- 5:06Speaker 7: Our own reporting from Bloomberg News, a U.S. official saying
- 5:10Speaker 7: that President Trump was not the one that ordered any
- 5:12Speaker 7: limitations on Ukraine's access to this technology, which has been
- 5:16Speaker 7: absolutely critical in terms of intelligence sharing, though it has
- 5:20Speaker 7: opened up reports and questions about whether somebody else in
- 5:23Speaker 7: the administration might have ordered such a limitation, either on
- 5:28Speaker 7: speed or usage. But so far, the administration is denying
- 5:32Speaker 7: that involvement.
- 5:33Speaker 6: Well, and even if the president didn't order Starlink to
- 5:36Speaker 6: be slowed down, he's not being shy about the fact
- 5:39Speaker 6: that he's not very happy with Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine's president,
- 5:42Speaker 6: right now. He talked about that in an interview on
- 5:45Speaker 6: Newsmax last night.
- 5:47Speaker 8: Zelensky is not a good guy for us to deal with.
- 5:50Speaker 8: Biden gave him hundreds of billions of dollars, billions and
- 5:55Speaker 8: billions of dollars.
- 5:56Speaker 1: Have you lost faith in him?
- 5:57Speaker 8: Well, I think if they're going to end up with
- 5:59Speaker 8: a settlement of some kind, they're not going to do
- 6:01Speaker 8: it with him. He doesn't want to settle. He says
- 6:04Speaker 8: he wants to settle, but he doesn't. No, I'm not
- 6:07Speaker 8: a big fan of Zelensky. They've destroyed that country.
- 6:12Speaker 6: He's not a big fan of Zelensky, he says, Tyler,
- 6:16Speaker 6: and we have seen this kind of pattern of him
- 6:19Speaker 6: being unsatisfied with the Ukrainian president and then drawing him closer.
- 6:23Speaker 6: It was just, what, a few weeks ago that he
- 6:25Speaker 6: met with him on the sidelines of the U.N.? General Assembly.
- 6:28Speaker 6: What might this mean for further negotiations and the U.S.
- 6:31Speaker 1: 's involvement?
- 6:32Speaker 7: It has been a push and pull of the relationship,
- 6:34Speaker 7: as we have covered at this point for months. Interestingly enough,
- 6:37Speaker 7: we did again hear from the Ukrainian president earlier this
- 6:40Speaker 7: morning who said that he is expecting the U.S. and
- 6:43Speaker 7: Ukraine negotiators to meet soon despite this escalation. So perhaps
- 6:46Speaker 7: that Brings us back to what has been this cycle
- 6:49Speaker 7: of ups and downs. We do know that the U.S.
- 6:52Speaker 7: was trying to jumpstart negotiations. We saw some a couple
- 6:56Speaker 7: of weeks ago in Miami that didn't really seem to
- 6:59Speaker 7: yield anything fruitful or tangible, especially as President Trump had
- 7:04Speaker 7: started this week calling for an energy truce. And we
- 7:07Speaker 7: are ending this week with only more attacks when it
- 7:10Speaker 7: comes to energy infrastructure issues. Ukraine attacking Russian diesel refineries
- 7:14Speaker 7: in retaliation for Russia hitting Ukrainian gas infrastructure and power plants.
- 7:19Speaker 7: We mentioned this last hour on the program, but a
- 7:21Speaker 7: new report out from the United Nations today finds that
- 7:24Speaker 7: civilian casualties in Ukraine jumped 85 percent in September from
- 7:30Speaker 7: the month before as we continue to see escalation in
- 7:33Speaker 7: the wrong direction.
- 7:34Speaker 4: All right.
- 7:35Speaker 6: Tyler Kendall, our Washington correspondent. Tyler, thanks so much, as always.
- 7:39Speaker 6: And we want to get more on Ukraine now. As
- 7:40Speaker 6: we turn to Melinda Herring, we're a senior fellow at
- 7:43Speaker 6: the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center who travels to the country
- 7:47Speaker 6: frequently and, of course, comes on this program to share
- 7:51Speaker 6: her insights often. Melinda, it's good to have you back,
- 7:53Speaker 6: especially given the week that Ukraine has had and that
- 7:57Speaker 6: Zelensky in particular has had in relation to to President Trump.
- 8:01Speaker 1: What do you make of this latest breakdown?
- 8:03Speaker 6: And does Zelensky risk allowing the rift to widen too far?
- 8:09Speaker 9: Hey, Kayleigh, it's great to be with you. So it
- 8:13Speaker 9: has been a week that we will all remember. It
- 8:17Speaker 9: might be accurate to say that U.S.-Ukrainian relations are at
- 8:21Speaker 9: the lowest point we've seen since that Oval Office visit
- 8:25Speaker 9: last year. It's hard to believe we're back there again.
- 8:28Speaker 9: I think one of the big questions I have, is
- 8:30Speaker 9: it repairable? And I think that it may be repairable.
- 8:34Speaker 9: Remember that President Trump is someone who feuds and then
- 8:38Speaker 9: he forgets. If you look at his long-term lawyer, Michael Cohen,
- 8:42Speaker 9: he went to jail, and now Trump is friendly with
- 8:45Speaker 9: him again. So it may be repairable, but the real
- 8:47Speaker 9: question now is, can Ukraine get through this winter? I
- 8:51Speaker 9: think I say this every year to you, and I
- 8:53Speaker 9: believe it when I say it, but this winter is different.
- 8:55Speaker 9: Ukraine is out of patriots. It doesn't have enough air defense.
- 8:59Speaker 9: And the Starlink Starshield outage is tremendously damaging for the
- 9:04Speaker 9: front line, both for Ukraine's ability to defend itself and
- 9:08Speaker 9: also for civilians along the front line.
- 9:11Speaker 6: OK, there's a few different things there, Melinda. Let's talk
- 9:14Speaker 6: about being out of Patriots. What alternatives does Ukraine have
- 9:18Speaker 6: to defend itself in the absence of them?
- 9:22Speaker 9: So you remember Ukraine was trying to get an agreement
- 9:25Speaker 9: with President Trump for patriots, and that fell through, and
- 9:29Speaker 9: then it was back and forth.
- 9:29Speaker 1: Yeah, and for licensing.
- 9:31Speaker 9: Right. And it's not going to go anywhere and it's
- 9:33Speaker 9: going to take too long. So there's alternative air defense systems,
- 9:37Speaker 9: but the Patriots are the ones that take down the ballistics.
- 9:39Speaker 9: There's not a great alternative. So right now, the name
- 9:42Speaker 9: of the game, President Zelensky is working the phones. He
- 9:45Speaker 9: always works the phones, but he's working them harder than
- 9:47Speaker 9: he has because he needs Patriots. They don't have any.
- 9:50Speaker 9: And these ballistics are starting to get through. So there
- 9:53Speaker 9: are a number of countries in Western Europe and also
- 9:56Speaker 9: Asia that have additional Patriot interceptors. So President Zelensky needs
- 10:01Speaker 9: to convince the Japanese and the South Koreans, the Italians
- 10:04Speaker 9: and the Spanish, just to give you some examples, to
- 10:07Speaker 9: give them their extra interceptors. I don't know if he'll
- 10:10Speaker 9: be successful, but that's high on his priority list.
- 10:14Speaker 6: Well, so if he can get the interceptors to help
- 10:17Speaker 6: defend against Russian attacks, Melinda, it's also a question as
- 10:21Speaker 6: to whether or not he is going to continue to
- 10:23Speaker 6: be able to get information about incoming attacks, because that
- 10:26Speaker 6: was part of the story this week was not just
- 10:28Speaker 6: the slowing of of Starshield, but also perhaps a lack
- 10:32Speaker 6: of sharing information in a timely manner about Russian missiles
- 10:36Speaker 6: and drones that were heading Ukraine's way. If we were
- 10:39Speaker 6: to actually see a reduction in intelligence sharing information, by
- 10:43Speaker 6: the United States, what would that mean for Ukraine right now?
- 10:47Speaker 1: Great question.
- 10:48Speaker 9: It's not the end of the world. It's bad. But
- 10:50Speaker 9: Ukraine does have alternative intel sharing arrangements that it can
- 10:54Speaker 9: arrange with Europe. And it's working on its own system.
- 10:57Speaker 9: So it would make things difficult. But it's not the
- 11:02Speaker 9: end of the war is how I would answer that
- 11:03Speaker 9: question really directly.
- 11:04Speaker 10: Hmm.
- 11:06Speaker 6: Well, you've made a few references to the Europeans stepping
- 11:09Speaker 6: in to provide help as they can to Ukraine. The
- 11:13Speaker 6: Latvian prime minister was actually on Bloomberg earlier this morning
- 11:18Speaker 6: talking about Europe's alliance with Ukraine and going as far
- 11:22Speaker 6: as to suggest that really Europe is the only entity
- 11:25Speaker 6: on Ukraine's side right now.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Just listen, Melinda.
- 11:28Speaker 11: We see that Zelensky has only one ally now. It's
- 11:32Speaker 11: actually Europeans. We're the ones backing him up, and that's
- 11:36Speaker 11: what I want to tell him. We're all fully backing
- 11:40Speaker 11: and doing all the best we can do from our side,
- 11:44Speaker 11: and that's how it's going to stay.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Do you agree with Andrius Kuhlberg's assessment, Melinda?
- 11:50Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 11:51Speaker 9: I'm glad that Europe is standing up and it is
- 11:55Speaker 9: giving weapons and it's doing its part. But I disagree
- 12:01Speaker 9: politely because when I look at the American people, Americans
- 12:04Speaker 9: overwhelmingly still support Ukraine. And even among Republicans, there is
- 12:09Speaker 9: strong support. So the actions of the White House over
- 12:12Speaker 9: the last week are unpopular. When you look at public
- 12:16Speaker 9: opinion polling, 53% of Americans support say that they support U.S.
- 12:21Speaker 9: sanctions on Russian oil and gas, which is fueling the
- 12:24Speaker 9: war economy. So I think there is still strong support
- 12:28Speaker 9: for Ukraine within the American public. It's a question of
- 12:33Speaker 9: making that known. And we see Congress Republicans and Democrats
- 12:36Speaker 9: speaking out both about this outage with Starlink and also
- 12:40Speaker 9: the diesel deal, which you've covered. So I wouldn't say
- 12:42Speaker 9: that Ukraine is alone at this point. There's still there's
- 12:46Speaker 9: still Starlink. There's still Intel sharing the Pearl deal. This
- 12:49Speaker 9: is the deal that allows the Europeans to buy American
- 12:53Speaker 9: weapons is still ongoing. And there's still some legacy deliveries
- 12:57Speaker 9: from from the Biden administration as well. And the American people.
- 13:00Speaker 9: So the other conversation that I am having this week
- 13:03Speaker 9: is Americans are really upset and they're giving more and
- 13:05Speaker 9: more money to charity. They're giving more money to Ukrainian
- 13:08Speaker 9: charities because they they're ashamed of what's happening in Washington, D.C.
- 13:16Speaker 6: Well, and on that notion of Americans being upset of
- 13:18Speaker 6: both Republicans and Democrats wanting to stand on the side
- 13:22Speaker 6: of Ukraine and not on Russia, we did see both
- 13:25Speaker 6: Republicans and Democrats in a bipartisan manner passing that Russia
- 13:29Speaker 6: sanctions bill that President Trump signed into law. Part of
- 13:32Speaker 6: that bill, though, Melinda, said that the president within 30
- 13:35Speaker 6: days needed to use the tools that empowered him with
- 13:38Speaker 6: enforcing tariffs on buyers of Russian oil. And that 30-day
- 13:42Speaker 6: window ends on Sunday. What signal would it send to
- 13:46Speaker 6: the Kremlin if the president doesn't do any of it
- 13:48Speaker 6: by then?
- 13:50Speaker 9: That's a great question. So all eyes are on the
- 13:53Speaker 9: White House right now. They have two days to make
- 13:55Speaker 9: a decision on the Lindsey Graham sanctioning bill. So we
- 14:00Speaker 9: simply don't know which way they're going to go. We see, though,
- 14:02Speaker 9: a group of congresspeople urging them to live up to
- 14:05Speaker 9: the expectations of that bill. If they don't put these
- 14:09Speaker 9: sanctions in place— It's going to send a very strong
- 14:12Speaker 9: message that the bill was a farce and that there's
- 14:16Speaker 9: nothing really behind it. And it also says really terrible
- 14:20Speaker 9: things about executive power and the nature of democracy in America.
- 14:26Speaker 6: Well, and it is kind of striking to consider that
- 14:30Speaker 6: the president at least was empowered to say, punish buyers
- 14:33Speaker 6: of Russian oil at the very same time that he
- 14:35Speaker 6: struck a deal to allow more Russian diesel onto the
- 14:38Speaker 6: global market. He's actually speaking with reporters at the White
- 14:40Speaker 6: House right now about that, Melinda, saying that it's not
- 14:43Speaker 6: just a U.S. deal, that it's a world deal. This
- 14:45Speaker 6: is about the global market, but this is Russian product
- 14:48Speaker 6: that will be sold globally.
- 14:50Speaker 1: How does that.
- 14:51Speaker 6: Incrementally advantage the Kremlin? What kind of revenue source is it?
- 14:57Speaker 9: So the deal that went through last Friday is not
- 15:02Speaker 9: an everlasting deal. There's no economist in the world that
- 15:05Speaker 9: thinks that this is going to bring prices down. The
- 15:09Speaker 9: Institute for the Study of War also just did a
- 15:12Speaker 9: really interesting study, and it shows that the Ukrainian strikes
- 15:17Speaker 9: on refineries in Russia is not what's driving prices up.
- 15:20Speaker 9: So I think President Trump needs to get some new
- 15:24Speaker 9: advice and some new briefings on diesel prices.
- 15:30Speaker 6: All right, Melinda Herring of the Atlantic Council, always great
- 15:32Speaker 6: to have your thoughts on Ukraine. We appreciate you joining
- 15:35Speaker 6: us on Balance of Power. And President Trump isn't just
- 15:38Speaker 6: weighing in on Ukraine. As we've told you, he's talking
- 15:41Speaker 6: about a few other things with reporters at the White
- 15:42Speaker 6: House right now, too, including floating the idea that maybe
- 15:45Speaker 6: the new press secretary, Katie Zachariah, would be happier not
- 15:49Speaker 6: serving in that role. He says he'll talk to her
- 15:53Speaker 6: about it when he gets back from Georgia, where, of course,
- 15:55Speaker 6: he's traveling, too. He's talking to reporters on his way
- 15:58Speaker 6: to getting on the helicopter to get on the plane
- 16:00Speaker 6: to go down to Dalton, Georgia to campaign for Mike Collins.
- 16:04Speaker 6: So we'll get into the political dynamics around Georgia with
- 16:07Speaker 6: our political panel. And I would imagine they have a
- 16:09Speaker 6: thought or two on Katie Zachariah as well.
- 16:11Speaker 12: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 16:14Speaker 12: more coming up after this.
- 16:18Speaker 5: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
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- 16:37Speaker 6: I'm Kayleigh Lyons in Washington, where President Trump has just
- 16:41Speaker 6: aborted Marine One. He's en route to Joint Base Andrews
- 16:44Speaker 6: to get on Air Force One to travel to Dalton, Georgia,
- 16:46Speaker 6: to stump for Republican Senate candidate Mike Collins and others
- 16:51Speaker 6: in the Peach State. En route out of the White House, though,
- 16:55Speaker 6: he stopped to talk to reporters and fielded a number
- 16:57Speaker 6: of questions about his brand new press secretary, Katie Zachariah,
- 17:01Speaker 6: who had her debut briefing earlier this week, didn't go
- 17:04Speaker 6: particularly well, was quite short. She has been taking a
- 17:08Speaker 6: lot of flack for that, and the president suggests the
- 17:10Speaker 6: media is treating her unfairly, saying that if he were her,
- 17:15Speaker 6: he might reconsider the job. And now we have some
- 17:20Speaker 6: news from Fox News, which says that a senior White
- 17:24Speaker 6: House official has told Peter Doocy that Katie Zachariah is, quote,
- 17:29Speaker 6: transitioning out of the press secretary position. She only lasted
- 17:35Speaker 6: in that position, it seems, for a couple days, if
- 17:38Speaker 6: this is true. So let's play this now to our
- 17:40Speaker 6: political panel. Rick Davis and Jeannie Shanzano are with me.
- 17:43Speaker 6: Both of them Bloomberg Politics contributors. Jeannie, a Democratic analyst
- 17:46Speaker 6: and Democracy Visiting Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School's Ash Center. Rick,
- 17:50Speaker 6: a Republican strategist and partner at Stonecourt Capital. Rick, this
- 17:55Speaker 6: is not confirmation from the president.
- 17:56Speaker 1: I want to be clear.
- 17:57Speaker 6: The president seemed like he was leaving this up to
- 17:59Speaker 6: her as he talked about it with reporters, but he
- 18:01Speaker 6: certainly wasn't stepping up to say he defends her and
- 18:04Speaker 6: wants her to stay in this role. He said that
- 18:07Speaker 6: he thinks she would be happier not doing it, given
- 18:10Speaker 6: the treatment that she's getting right now from the media.
- 18:13Speaker 6: Would you be surprised if she doesn't even last as
- 18:16Speaker 6: long as half of an Anthony Scaramucci?
- 18:19Speaker 2: There's kind of a betting pool on her longevity here
- 18:22Speaker 2: in Washington these days. Look, she was on last night
- 18:27Speaker 2: to try and fix some of these problems around her, quote,
- 18:29Speaker 2: legal career on Fox TV. Couldn't have gotten a more
- 18:35Speaker 2: opportunistic chance to clean it all up. And from what
- 18:39Speaker 2: I could tell, she didn't do a very good job
- 18:41Speaker 2: because she was back on this morning with the sort
- 18:43Speaker 2: of make good. And Fox asked her this morning, hey,
- 18:47Speaker 2: do you have anything you want to add to your
- 18:48Speaker 2: interview last night?
- 18:49Speaker 9: Meaning, can you clean this up, please?
- 18:52Speaker 2: Or you're going to lose your job. She's like, no,
- 18:55Speaker 2: everything's good on this. Tone deaf, I think, is not
- 19:00Speaker 2: a quality you want in your press secretary. All this
- 19:04Speaker 2: at a time when we're starting to hear about cracks
- 19:06Speaker 2: in the White House. leadership, you know, issues that Susie
- 19:11Speaker 2: Wiles is having with some of the teams. So my
- 19:14Speaker 2: guess is that it's always hard during election time to
- 19:18Speaker 2: be inside the bunker. But this sounds like the bunker's
- 19:22Speaker 2: having some water taken on pretty quickly. So yeah, does
- 19:25Speaker 2: she even make it to Anthony Scaramucci's 11 days?
- 19:30Speaker 6: Yeah, it has not even been, what, five days at
- 19:34Speaker 6: this point, Jeannie? So weigh in here, because as Fox
- 19:37Speaker 6: is reporting, she's transitioning out of the press secretary position.
- 19:42Speaker 1: Should she have any position in the.
- 19:44Speaker 6: White House if this is how her debut within it went?
- 19:48Speaker 4: Yeah, if she's at five, Kayleigh, if she's at five,
- 19:49Speaker 4: I don't know. like half a Scaramucci? Is that what
- 19:52Speaker 4: we're at? That's quite a record to be at. And,
- 19:55Speaker 4: you know, listening to these comments that we're hearing from
- 20:00Speaker 4: the president about she'd feel better if she wasn't in
- 20:03Speaker 4: this position, maybe she wants to reconsider the position. I
- 20:08Speaker 4: I have to say this is a kinder and gentler
- 20:11Speaker 4: Donald Trump than we knew from The Apprentice. He was
- 20:14Speaker 4: always like, you're fired, you're fired. That was his brand.
- 20:17Speaker 4: Now it's like maybe you'll feel better if you step away. So, yeah,
- 20:22Speaker 4: I think they will likely give her something to do
- 20:26Speaker 4: behind the scenes at the White House if she wants it.
- 20:29Speaker 4: In her defense, this is a heck of a time
- 20:32Speaker 4: to have been moved into this position, apparently without sort
- 20:37Speaker 4: of the discussion that might have been necessary with Susie Wiles,
- 20:42Speaker 4: the chief of staff. You know, Donald Trump apparently planned
- 20:47Speaker 4: that press conference that Bloomberg was covering. And, you know,
- 20:51Speaker 4: it was all of 14 minutes or something and really,
- 20:54Speaker 4: really not a very good first showing. She needed more time.
- 20:58Speaker 4: I was listening to a former press secretary the other
- 21:00Speaker 4: day say they took two months to transition from deputy
- 21:04Speaker 4: to press secretary. So, you know, that is the way
- 21:08Speaker 4: you do it. You don't just hoist a newcomer into
- 21:11Speaker 4: that terrible, difficult position. And I'm not saying, Kaylee, that
- 21:15Speaker 4: you reporters are terrible. I'm saying it's a tough position.
- 21:18Speaker 4: It's a tough crowd.
- 21:19Speaker 9: You need to.
- 21:20Speaker 4: Have been working at it. You need to have been
- 21:23Speaker 4: prepared for it. And she clearly wasn't. So move her
- 21:26Speaker 4: someplace where she's not right up in front of these folks.
- 21:31Speaker 6: Well, Katie, Zachariah might not be long for her position
- 21:34Speaker 6: within the White House, Rick, but there's also a question
- 21:38Speaker 6: about Susie Wiles, the chief of staff, after reporting in
- 21:41Speaker 6: Politico this week that indicated the president's been asking around
- 21:44Speaker 6: about how people feel about Susie Wiles. He just defended
- 21:49Speaker 6: her in this same period of remarks to reporters as
- 21:52Speaker 6: he was saying that Katie Zachariah might need to reconsider.
- 21:56Speaker 6: He was saying that Susie Wiles has been great pushing
- 21:58Speaker 6: back on the reporting. But would it be unusual to
- 22:01Speaker 6: see a chief of staff depart just after a midterm
- 22:04Speaker 6: election cycle, especially if it does turn out to be
- 22:06Speaker 6: a bruising one?
- 22:09Speaker 2: Yeah, there's never a good time for a chief of
- 22:11Speaker 2: staff to exit the White House under any circumstances. We
- 22:15Speaker 2: become dependent upon them for information and management. And when
- 22:20Speaker 2: they go, you hate thinking there's a vacuum that's created there.
- 22:24Speaker 2: That being said, yes, a lot of White House staff
- 22:27Speaker 2: transition out after a couple of years. It's a very
- 22:30Speaker 2: difficult environment, especially going through midterms. And so you would
- 22:35Speaker 2: expect to see a lot of senior management changes, both
- 22:39Speaker 2: inside the White House, but also around the cabinet and subcabinet.
- 22:42Speaker 2: So I think we can expect to see movement here,
- 22:46Speaker 2: whether Susie Wiles succumbs to some of the pressure that
- 22:49Speaker 2: she's under, you know, her former collaborators in the White House,
- 22:53Speaker 2: you know, have been caught taking money from, you know,
- 22:56Speaker 2: Russia type candidates in Europe, you know, same firm that
- 23:01Speaker 2: her daughter works for. I mean, these are all pressures
- 23:04Speaker 2: she did not need in what is already a very
- 23:07Speaker 2: difficult midterm.
- 23:10Speaker 6: Well, and speaking to the difficulty of the midterms, that's
- 23:13Speaker 6: why President Trump has been keeping quite the pace of
- 23:16Speaker 6: travel schedule, largely to red states. Jeannie, today, though, he's
- 23:20Speaker 6: traveling to a swing state, which he did win in 2024.
- 23:23Speaker 1: He's going down to Dalton, Georgia.
- 23:24Speaker 6: He'll be rallying there in just over an hour or
- 23:27Speaker 6: so alongside Mike Collins, the Republican Senate nominee. We expect
- 23:31Speaker 6: the Republican gubernatorial nominee, Rick Jackson, will.
- 23:33Speaker 1: Be there, too.
- 23:34Speaker 6: What kind of sway does the president have in a
- 23:37Speaker 6: state like this? Is his presence potentially a danger to
- 23:43Speaker 6: John Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms? Could it provide fuel
- 23:46Speaker 6: to their Republican opponents?
- 23:49Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Ossoff has been and is way ahead
- 23:52Speaker 4: in the polls. So he'd have to make up a
- 23:54Speaker 4: lot of ground for Collins if he was able to
- 23:57Speaker 4: do that. We also should note that early voting has
- 24:00Speaker 4: already started in Georgia.
- 24:02Speaker 9: So some of this is baked in.
- 24:04Speaker 1: Jackson is a different story.
- 24:06Speaker 4: Within the margin of error, he is leading in most polls,
- 24:09Speaker 4: you know, one, two, three percentage points at the gubernatorial level.
- 24:13Speaker 4: And that's critically important because one of the under-told stories
- 24:16Speaker 4: of this election cycle is that Democrats at the gubernatorial
- 24:21Speaker 4: level are doing much, much better than expected and may
- 24:25Speaker 4: win in at least 10 or more states where Donald
- 24:29Speaker 4: Trump won. That would be a big story. So it's
- 24:32Speaker 4: really important. He tries to keep Georgia in the Republican
- 24:37Speaker 4: side with Jackson, who, again, is narrowly up in the polls. But,
- 24:41Speaker 4: you know, if he's going to make this work, he
- 24:43Speaker 4: cannot do what he has been doing while he's been.
- 24:47Speaker 9: Out in these other states.
- 24:48Speaker 4: And I just noted coming across on the Bloomberg terminal
- 24:52Speaker 4: the comments that he keeps making and is making right
- 24:54Speaker 4: at this moment about the economy being the best ever
- 24:57Speaker 4: in the world. It's the greatest economy. He's out in
- 25:00Speaker 4: Arizona the other day saying things like the economy is
- 25:04Speaker 4: better than anybody ever saw in the entire world.
- 25:07Speaker 9: I mean, it's astonishing.
- 25:09Speaker 4: Just look at the price of gas alone and people
- 25:12Speaker 4: know what they are facing at the pump and at
- 25:15Speaker 4: the grocery store. So he seems completely out of touch
- 25:19Speaker 4: with what the people of Georgia and people around the
- 25:22Speaker 4: country are feeling as they go to the gas pump.
- 25:25Speaker 4: If he can correct some of his commentary, he might
- 25:28Speaker 4: have a shot of getting his supporters out. But the
- 25:30Speaker 4: enthusiasm level is pretty low amongst Republicans right now who
- 25:34Speaker 4: are really feeling like this election, particularly in the House
- 25:37Speaker 4: and maybe in the Senate, is lost to them.
- 25:41Speaker 6: Rick, do you feel like they're saving Mike Collins at
- 25:44Speaker 6: this point? Or could this really be about Rick Jackson
- 25:46Speaker 6: and trying to hold on to a Republican governor's mansion?
- 25:50Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no effort to try and prop up the
- 25:53Speaker 2: Senate race there. I think Republicans all agree Ossoff's lapping
- 25:57Speaker 2: this one and spending money and time on that doesn't
- 26:00Speaker 2: make any sense. Rick Jackson is in a tight race
- 26:04Speaker 2: with Keisha Lance Bottoms, and there has been a noticeable
- 26:09Speaker 2: shift in the president's interest in these governor's races, like
- 26:13Speaker 2: Jeannie mentioned. You know, there's not a whole lot that
- 26:18Speaker 2: the president can do on these Senate races, especially with
- 26:21Speaker 2: the issue set. And Rick Jackson is having a little
- 26:25Speaker 2: bit of a moment here where he's improving in some
- 26:29Speaker 2: of the polls. But as Jeannie points out, with half
- 26:32Speaker 2: a million people already voting, Democrats exceed the Republican count
- 26:37Speaker 2: by about 80,000. So it's a good time for the
- 26:39Speaker 2: president to go into a base area like Dalton. It
- 26:43Speaker 2: makes me laugh, though, that it's Marjorie Taylor Greene's old
- 26:46Speaker 2: district that he's in today. I mean, like all politics
- 26:49Speaker 2: is circular.
- 26:51Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 26:52Speaker 6: And we know how Marjorie Taylor Greene currently feels about
- 26:55Speaker 6: President Trump. She's not shy about that on social media.
- 26:58Speaker 6: Just quickly, Jeannie, while the president's going to Georgia, we
- 27:00Speaker 6: obviously saw the vice president in Michigan yesterday attacking the
- 27:04Speaker 6: Democratic Senate nominee, Abdul El-Sayed, trying to prop up Mike Rogers.
- 27:09Speaker 1: Is J.D.
- 27:09Speaker 6: Vance potentially a better messenger for Republicans than the president
- 27:14Speaker 6: is right now?
- 27:16Speaker 4: I can't believe I'm going to say this, Kayleigh, but no,
- 27:19Speaker 4: I mean, the president has not been doing a great job.
- 27:23Speaker 1: But J.D.
- 27:24Speaker 4: Vance, in my mind, is doing worse, calling candidates a weasel.
- 27:29Speaker 4: This is not the stuff of J.D. Vance or the
- 27:31Speaker 4: vice presidency. He could do a lot better on focusing
- 27:34Speaker 4: what the White House and the administration are going to
- 27:36Speaker 4: do on the economy.
- 27:39Speaker 9: All right.
- 27:39Speaker 6: Jeannie Shanzano and Rick Davis, our political panel, thank you
- 27:42Speaker 6: both so much for weighing in on the midterms landscape
- 27:44Speaker 6: and also the White House press secretary, which now the
- 27:48Speaker 6: New York Times is reporting has been relieved of her position.
- 27:51Speaker 1: The New York Times reporting Katie.
- 27:52Speaker 6: Zachariah is out as White House press secretary. This, of course,
- 27:56Speaker 6: is after Fox reported that she would be transitioning out
- 27:58Speaker 6: of that role, with President Trump having just told reporters
- 28:01Speaker 6: that he would reconsider if he were her secretary. We'll
- 28:04Speaker 6: continue to follow this story here on Balance of Power.
- 28:07Speaker 12: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 28:09Speaker 12: more coming up after this.
- 28:31Speaker 6: It was Friday a week ago, October 9th, that President
- 28:34Speaker 6: Trump announced he was naming Katie Zachariah as the next
- 28:38Speaker 6: White House press secretary. Her term officially began on Monday,
- 28:43Speaker 6: this past Monday. October 12th, her first briefing was the
- 28:47Speaker 6: morning of Tuesday, October 13th. I think you've all heard
- 28:50Speaker 6: by now how exactly that went for her. And now
- 28:53Speaker 6: on Friday, October 16th, not even five full days after
- 28:57Speaker 6: her term began, the New York Times is reporting that
- 29:00Speaker 6: Katie Zachariah has been fired from her role as the
- 29:05Speaker 6: White House press secretary. So let's get more on this
- 29:07Speaker 6: now as we turn to Tyler Kendall, Bloomberg Washington correspondent,
- 29:11Speaker 6: who is back with me here. in our DC studio. Tyler,
- 29:15Speaker 6: this might be a record for shortest tenure for a
- 29:18Speaker 6: Trump press secretary. This is what, half the time that
- 29:21Speaker 6: Anthony Scaramucci lasted in the first term?
- 29:23Speaker 1: That was 11 days. This is less than five.
- 29:25Speaker 7: It is a pretty stunning announcement, a pretty remarkable development,
- 29:29Speaker 7: but it does go to underscore perhaps how dismayed President
- 29:32Speaker 7: Trump was with Katie Zachariah's first appearance, first and final
- 29:36Speaker 7: appearance in the White House briefing room. He himself alluded
- 29:40Speaker 7: to that, telling reporters less than an hour ago that
- 29:43Speaker 7: he had encouraged her to, quote, reconsider the job, adding, quote, honestly,
- 29:48Speaker 7: if I were you, I'd reconsider. That is what he
- 29:51Speaker 7: told reporters when recounting this conversation with his now former
- 29:56Speaker 7: press secretary, according to this reporting. Now, Zachariah had faced
- 30:00Speaker 7: scrutiny about whether she misrepresented herself as a lawyer despite
- 30:04Speaker 7: failing her bar exam. We had heard President Trump refer
- 30:07Speaker 7: to her as an attorney. And some of the scrutiny
- 30:09Speaker 7: came even from conservative media. She had held this interview
- 30:13Speaker 7: last night with Sean Hannity, who had pressed her on
- 30:16Speaker 7: her background. Keep in mind, we'll see what does ultimately
- 30:21Speaker 7: happen here yet as we await official confirmation from the
- 30:23Speaker 7: White House side. We should say that there was a
- 30:26Speaker 7: six-week gap between the former press secretary, Caroline Leavitt, leaving
- 30:31Speaker 7: the role and Katie Zachariah ultimately being announced as appointed
- 30:36Speaker 7: to the press secretary position. We'll have to see if
- 30:40Speaker 7: we have to wait long for her replacement to be
- 30:42Speaker 7: announced because what we really saw in those weeks was
- 30:45Speaker 7: a rotating cast of the cabinet secretaries coming out to
- 30:49Speaker 7: brief the press. There wasn't really this rush to have
- 30:52Speaker 7: somebody in that position, but now we're so close the
- 30:56Speaker 7: midterm elections that no doubt is going to raise questions
- 30:59Speaker 7: about what the messaging operation is going to look like
- 31:02Speaker 7: from this.
- 31:02Speaker 6: White house well if or if president trump will just
- 31:04Speaker 6: power it himself she herself in that uh very short
- 31:07Speaker 6: briefing on tuesday said i'm going to stop taking questions
- 31:11Speaker 6: now the president's going to go to marine one and
- 31:13Speaker 6: he'll answer your questions directly in many ways this president
- 31:17Speaker 6: more so than others in the past kind of not
- 31:20Speaker 6: serves as its own press secretary but certainly has a
- 31:22Speaker 6: more open relationship directly with the press than many of
- 31:25Speaker 6: his predecessors.
- 31:26Speaker 7: And Caroline Lovett said that in her departing comments when
- 31:29Speaker 7: she was leaving as press secretary. He said he does
- 31:32Speaker 7: the job basically on his own. Still with that said,
- 31:35Speaker 7: the press secretary serves other essential functions beyond what you
- 31:39Speaker 7: see in the briefing room, including answering questions from reporters
- 31:43Speaker 7: on a daily basis and sort of fielding how those
- 31:46Speaker 7: end up going, how events could be structured, things like that.
- 31:50Speaker 7: So there is going to have to be somebody that
- 31:52Speaker 7: does ultimately fill that role. Whether they fill it as
- 31:55Speaker 7: a messenger for the administration probably remains to be seen,
- 31:59Speaker 7: but we're so close. to the midterms, that no doubt
- 32:02Speaker 7: is going to put even more of a highlight on
- 32:04Speaker 7: how President Trump himself has been hitting the campaign trail
- 32:08Speaker 7: nearly every day, this report coming as he is now
- 32:12Speaker 7: en route to Georgia for another midterm event.
- 32:14Speaker 6: Yeah, I wonder if he'll be addressing this at all
- 32:16Speaker 6: on the stage down in Dalton. Tyler Kendall, joining us
- 32:19Speaker 6: with that breaking news.
- 32:20Speaker 1: Thank you so much.
- 32:21Speaker 6: Again, The New York Times reporting that Katie Zachariah has
- 32:23Speaker 6: been fired from the role of the White House press secretary.
- 32:28Speaker 6: And yes, the timing is interesting as we are just
- 32:30Speaker 6: 18 days out from the midterm elections. That is one
- 32:32Speaker 6: of the big news areas that we are focusing on
- 32:35Speaker 6: in the month of November. But we are still expecting
- 32:37Speaker 6: November to bring something else very big for financial markets specifically.
- 32:42Speaker 6: That would be the IPO of Anthropic. Of course, Anthropic's
- 32:47Speaker 6: IPO is something that the New York City controller, as
- 32:50Speaker 6: we told you.
- 32:50Speaker 1: Yesterday, would like to see slowed down.
- 32:53Speaker 6: Mark Levine penned a letter to Dario Amadei, the CEO
- 32:56Speaker 6: of Anthropic, suggesting that if they really want to focus
- 32:58Speaker 6: on safety concerns, they would pause the IPO process for now.
- 33:03Speaker 6: And he joined my colleagues Jonathan Farrow and Anne-Marie Hordern
- 33:06Speaker 6: on Bloomberg Surveillance this morning to talk about it further.
- 33:08Speaker 7: Listen.
- 33:09Speaker 10: I support frontier AI companies ultimately going public because I
- 33:13Speaker 10: want democratic control of world-changing technology. I want the transparency.
- 33:19Speaker 10: I want the broader public to have a piece of this.
- 33:22Speaker 10: So I am not opposed to public listing of these companies,
- 33:26Speaker 10: but it's got to be done right. It's got to
- 33:27Speaker 10: be done when it's safe.
- 33:32Speaker 6: Of course, the public listing, as we know, is still
- 33:34Speaker 6: on track for next month, which is a contrast to
- 33:38Speaker 6: Anthropix competitor OpenAI. Sam Altman, the CEO there, has, of course,
- 33:42Speaker 6: suggested that doing the safety work he wants to focus
- 33:44Speaker 6: on would be harder to do as a public company.
- 33:47Speaker 6: than continuing to be a private one. And as we
- 33:49Speaker 6: think about these safety concerns and the wider AI landscape
- 33:53Speaker 6: right now, we turn back to Gregory Allen, who is
- 33:55Speaker 6: here with me in our Washington, D.C.
- 33:57Speaker 8: Studio.
- 33:57Speaker 6: He is founder and CEO of Decision Tree Research. He's
- 34:00Speaker 6: also former director of strategy and policy at the Department
- 34:03Speaker 6: of Defense Joint Artificial Intelligence Center.
- 34:06Speaker 1: Good to have you back, Greg.
- 34:07Speaker 6: As always, thank you for joining me. Can we start
- 34:10Speaker 6: just broadly on this notion that it's harder for a
- 34:13Speaker 6: public company to address safety around AI specifically.
- 34:17Speaker 1: Do you subscribe to that idea?
- 34:19Speaker 3: Well, I think you can see in principle how that
- 34:21Speaker 3: would be true. If you are accountable to shareholders and
- 34:25Speaker 3: you're accountable to them for financial returns, how are you
- 34:29Speaker 3: going to say that you're going to reliably make decisions
- 34:32Speaker 3: that prioritize safety over returns? I think Anthropic is insulated
- 34:37Speaker 3: from this criticism in two ways. Number one is they
- 34:40Speaker 3: are a public benefit corporation. They have the ability to
- 34:43Speaker 3: say that they have a fiduciary duty that is to
- 34:46Speaker 3: something other than instantaneous quarterly profit expansion. And at the
- 34:50Speaker 3: same time, Anthropic has a theory of the case for
- 34:54Speaker 3: how safety is the mechanism by which they are increasing
- 34:58Speaker 3: their business. When Dario says that he is paranoid about
- 35:02Speaker 3: all the ways that AI could be going wrong, that
- 35:05Speaker 3: paranoia is almost an endorsement of working with this model, right?
- 35:09Speaker 3: Which company do you want to give your credit card
- 35:11Speaker 3: information to? Probably the one that's safety obsessed.
- 35:15Speaker 7: Right.
- 35:16Speaker 6: Well, and that safety obsession the company has long had,
- 35:19Speaker 6: and Dario Amadei has made calls for a kind of
- 35:22Speaker 6: safety blueprint more universally across AI companies and calls for
- 35:26Speaker 6: government regulation. Just a few months ago, we were having
- 35:30Speaker 6: the conversation about how out of this White House, that
- 35:32Speaker 6: government view seemed to be, do this on your own.
- 35:37Speaker 6: Companies can self-police. This is what we were hearing from
- 35:39Speaker 6: the president just a few weeks ago when he had
- 35:40Speaker 6: all of these CEOs together. They were signing essentially a
- 35:44Speaker 6: self-regulatory agreement.
- 35:45Speaker 1: Agreement.
- 35:47Speaker 6: But now the White House is suggesting that for some
- 35:49Speaker 6: of these incidents, as Anthropic has reported, where the models
- 35:52Speaker 6: have gone beyond their instructions, fixing those instances is in
- 35:55Speaker 6: fact mandatory, not voluntary. How big of a break is
- 35:59Speaker 6: that in the idea structure around this in this White House?
- 36:03Speaker 3: So I think the volatility of the Trump administration on
- 36:08Speaker 3: AI regulation policy, at least in its messaging, is extremely
- 36:12Speaker 3: difficult to overstate, to put it mildly. There have been
- 36:15Speaker 3: wild swings during the campaign. It was AI regulation is bad.
- 36:20Speaker 3: AI safety is a hoax. Then you saw mythos. And
- 36:24Speaker 3: then suddenly we were banning the fable model worldwide. And
- 36:28Speaker 3: then Kimmy K3 of China came out back to let
- 36:31Speaker 3: it rip. We don't need AI safety. That was the
- 36:33Speaker 3: message going into the meeting with Xi Jinping. And then
- 36:36Speaker 3: only a few weeks later, here we are again talking
- 36:39Speaker 3: about mandatory AI regulation coming out of this Trump administration.
- 36:43Speaker 3: And you better believe, even though the Trump administration didn't
- 36:46Speaker 3: cite a legal authority, didn't specify a punishment, all of
- 36:50Speaker 3: these companies saw what happened to Anthropic with the worldwide
- 36:54Speaker 3: ban using export control authority of Fable 5 just for
- 36:57Speaker 3: that week. And they know that the government means business
- 37:01Speaker 3: when they say mandatory.
- 37:02Speaker 1: They have to act on that.
- 37:04Speaker 6: Well, part of the volatility perhaps around the administration's thinking
- 37:08Speaker 6: has been due to this push and pull that President
- 37:10Speaker 6: Trump has talked about in public, which is that he
- 37:14Speaker 6: wants to allow the technology to go forward so that
- 37:17Speaker 6: it can continue to outrun China's advancement in this technology.
- 37:21Speaker 6: Even if he wants safety, he doesn't want safety-oriented regulation
- 37:24Speaker 6: to hold U.S.
- 37:25Speaker 1: Technology back. when it comes to China.
- 37:28Speaker 6: How is that narrative evolving around China's capabilities right now
- 37:32Speaker 6: and U.S. capabilities to continue to outrun them even with.
- 37:34Speaker 1: Safety in mind?
- 37:35Speaker 3: So it's totally right to say that this push and
- 37:38Speaker 3: pull dynamic exists because there are real tensions between these
- 37:42Speaker 3: issues exactly as you've outlined them. I think the good
- 37:45Speaker 3: news here is that there are actually some research results
- 37:49Speaker 3: that show the ability to slow down China's ability to
- 37:52Speaker 3: distill American AI models, essentially to extract the intelligence by
- 37:57Speaker 3: copying the hard work of American AI companies. We finally
- 38:00Speaker 3: have some technical safeguards that are moving the needle. Anthropic
- 38:04Speaker 3: disclosed this in a recent paper where they said that
- 38:06Speaker 3: they were able to shut down 99% of distillation instances
- 38:11Speaker 3: and also to reduce the efficacy of the ones that
- 38:14Speaker 3: they couldn't necessarily catch in time. What that suggests is
- 38:18Speaker 3: that China is going to continue making progress by copying
- 38:22Speaker 3: the homework of American AI companies. for some period of
- 38:25Speaker 3: time based on what they've already gotten, based on what
- 38:27Speaker 3: they can get from the other companies that haven't yet
- 38:29Speaker 3: replicated America's, or sorry, Anthropic's AI safeguards. But that might
- 38:34Speaker 3: actually not keep going for the next two years, which
- 38:37Speaker 3: would have been everybody's prediction even three months ago. So
- 38:42Speaker 3: if the United States now has durable defenses, and that's
- 38:45Speaker 3: yet to be proven, even anthropic acknowledges they don't know
- 38:48Speaker 3: if these defenses will keep working in the cat and
- 38:50Speaker 3: mouse game. But if that is the case, then perhaps
- 38:53Speaker 3: we could extend our lead over China to an even
- 38:56Speaker 3: more meaningful extent. And that might give American companies and
- 38:59Speaker 3: the American government the space and time to think through
- 39:03Speaker 3: more effective safeguards.
- 39:04Speaker 6: Well, if there is a potential solve for the distillation
- 39:08Speaker 6: issue and you still have export controls put around the
- 39:11Speaker 6: actual chips that China is able to access to build
- 39:13Speaker 6: up their own technology, if you keep them from the stack,
- 39:17Speaker 6: could that effectively choke China out from this market in
- 39:20Speaker 6: a pretty material way?
- 39:22Speaker 3: Absolutely. I mean, you're not going to stop Chinese companies
- 39:25Speaker 3: from dominating the Chinese market. But if you think about
- 39:29Speaker 3: not just the American market, but the worldwide market, so
- 39:33Speaker 3: much of China's success inside China and outside China is
- 39:37Speaker 3: dependent upon the American AI stack. And you can see
- 39:40Speaker 3: that not just in the computer chips, where China is
- 39:42Speaker 3: continuing to try and buy all the Nvidia chips that
- 39:46Speaker 3: they can possibly get, most recently with the Blackwell generation
- 39:49Speaker 3: of RTX chips. Theoretically, those are gaming and graphics chips,
- 39:54Speaker 3: but China is absolutely pumping them into their AI data
- 39:57Speaker 3: center servers because that's what they're allowed to buy. There's
- 40:00Speaker 3: also a massive amount of renting of AI chips going on.
- 40:04Speaker 3: We saw Oracle announce a deal to lease data center
- 40:07Speaker 3: capacity in Southeast Asia to a Chinese tech company, talking
- 40:11Speaker 3: about hundreds of thousands of chips worth of capacity. So,
- 40:15Speaker 3: so much of China's progress depends upon not just the
- 40:19Speaker 3: talent and hard work of the Chinese people working at
- 40:21Speaker 3: the Chinese companies, but also all these advantages that America's
- 40:27Speaker 3: AI ecosystem is supplying. And while export controls have been effective,
- 40:30Speaker 3: there's so much more we could be doing.
- 40:33Speaker 6: We just have about a minute left here, Greg, on chips.
- 40:35Speaker 6: We are seeing chip stocks getting pummeled once again today.
- 40:38Speaker 6: This is the worst losing streak we've seen for the
- 40:40Speaker 6: stocks going back to 2008. The concern here is all
- 40:43Speaker 6: of this investment into the infrastructure powering artificial intelligence isn't
- 40:46Speaker 6: going to provide the kind of return these valuations demand.
- 40:49Speaker 6: Do you think investors have this story right right now?
- 40:51Speaker 3: Well, I want to just point out the contrast between
- 40:54Speaker 3: where we are now and where we were at the
- 40:55Speaker 3: beginning of the year. You know, at December 2025 to
- 40:59Speaker 3: May 2025, Anthropic's revenue run rate, so just taking the
- 41:03Speaker 3: monthly total and annualizing it, increased fivefold in five months.
- 41:08Speaker 3: If that's going to keep happening forever, sure, spend $ 5
- 41:11Speaker 3: trillion on infrastructure. Where do I sign is basically the
- 41:15Speaker 3: answer there. Now, revenue has continued to grow to an
- 41:18Speaker 3: extraordinary extent, but it's not 5Xing every five months anymore.
- 41:23Speaker 3: And so the investors have to ask themselves, we know
- 41:26Speaker 3: that there is an easy way to justify a massive,
- 41:30Speaker 3: massive investment in AI infrastructure. But right now, we're spending
- 41:33Speaker 3: an Apollo moon program every four months. So can we
- 41:37Speaker 3: justify something quite that massive? That's the real question.
- 41:40Speaker 1: Indeed, it is. And the market's grappling with it right now.
- 41:43Speaker 6: Greg Allen of Decision Tree Research, always great to have you.
- 41:45Speaker 7: Thank you.
- 41:45Speaker 1: And appreciate you joining us.
- 41:47Speaker 6: I'll be back for more Balance of Power later this
- 41:50Speaker 6: afternoon at 5 p.m.
- 41:51Speaker 1: Eastern.
- 41:51Speaker 6: And we'll return to the breaking news reported by The
- 41:53Speaker 6: New York Times. Katie Zachariah is out as the White
- 41:56Speaker 6: House press secretary.
- 42:00Speaker 12: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make
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- 42:09Speaker 12: us live every weekday from Washington, D.C. at noontime Eastern
- 42:12Speaker 12: at Bloomberg.com.