Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Monday 2/9/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:06Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:12Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
- 0:15Speaker 2: I don't even know what.
- 0:16Speaker 1: To tell you about that.
- 0:18Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:23Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Oh four that have not had a good season. Man
- 0:32Speaker 1: with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
- 0:37Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
- 0:41Speaker 1: my browins hat man, I don't know what is going
- 0:43Speaker 1: on with the Bruins. March Hape, is that what it is?
- 0:47Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
- 0:50Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:53Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore.
- 0:55Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 1: could possibly have with you, as I always am until
- 1:02Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
- 1:06Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five the
- 1:10Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
- 1:13Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
- 1:15Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the
- 1:19Speaker 1: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
- 1:24Speaker 1: know what I should do at this point other than
- 1:26Speaker 1: potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back
- 1:35Speaker 1: with you. This is uh toadstal Sports. It is whatever
- 1:40Speaker 1: day it is, Monday, February ninth. These losses stay with me.
- 1:45Speaker 1: They fester. Jerry, Yeah, pretty much. Uh, yesterday was it
- 1:51Speaker 1: was almost a break even, believe it or not, yesterday
- 1:54Speaker 1: because we did get the win with UNC Greensboro. My
- 1:57Speaker 1: college basketball was really good yesterday. And it was one
- 2:01Speaker 1: of those days where I was right about almost everything
- 2:03Speaker 1: in college basketball. I was like, I should have just
- 2:05Speaker 1: played every game. Basically, Maryland won outright UNC Greensboro. The
- 2:08Speaker 1: play that we did have that was an outright winner.
- 2:11Speaker 1: They came close to blowing the game, but I mean,
- 2:14Speaker 1: I wasn't really expecting to win the game outright because
- 2:17Speaker 1: they're a horrible team, but they did. And then the uh,
- 2:21Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I don't know what even what to
- 2:23Speaker 1: tell you, dude, Like the the game was I think
- 2:28Speaker 1: like early on it was a low scoring game early on,
- 2:30Speaker 1: which is exactly what I thought was gonna happen. It
- 2:32Speaker 1: just so happened that the stupid touchback rule put Seattle
- 2:36Speaker 1: at the thirty five right out of the gate, and
- 2:39Speaker 1: then they got a field goal on that first drive
- 2:42Speaker 1: within the first whatever minute, So that ended that bet.
- 2:45Speaker 1: Whereas if I had played even going under a first
- 2:48Speaker 1: quarter under that really really low number that was way
- 2:50Speaker 1: too low in the first quarter, even that would have
- 2:53Speaker 1: been correct. Under first half was correct, second half higher
- 2:56Speaker 1: scoring was correct. So anyw the under in the full
- 2:59Speaker 1: game was correct. So anyway that you played the under
- 3:02Speaker 1: besides mine basically hit. So I'm really fucking pissed about that.
- 3:07Speaker 1: We did get the three straight scores correct pretty early
- 3:10Speaker 1: on because Seattle had three field goals in a row
- 3:14Speaker 1: to start the game, so that one then Yeah, George Hallan,
- 3:19Speaker 1: he got a reception at some point in the second
- 3:22Speaker 1: quarter and then he never had another one. We had
- 3:24Speaker 1: the entire rest of the game one more reception and
- 3:27Speaker 1: he can't do it. It was because some of it
- 3:30Speaker 1: was because the Patriots could not make any adjustments. Their
- 3:34Speaker 1: offensive play calling was absolutely stupid, like vrables should be gone.
- 3:38Speaker 1: He should be fired. McDaniels should absolutely be fired. I mean,
- 3:41Speaker 1: I hate McDaniels anyway, so he should be fucking gone.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Like what are you doing? Like, yeah, the Patriots had
- 3:47Speaker 1: a couple of good rushing plays to start the game.
- 3:50Speaker 1: That doesn't mean it's going to continue to work. Seattle
- 3:53Speaker 1: usually stops the run. You have to go. You have
- 3:56Speaker 1: to attack Seattle's defensive weakness, which is that they play
- 3:59Speaker 1: cover two constantly and they you have some open spots
- 4:05Speaker 1: to kind of get through that, like in the middle
- 4:06Speaker 1: of the field and stuff. That's what you can do
- 4:09Speaker 1: because they just they try to stop anything from going
- 4:13Speaker 1: over the top on them. So yeah, take the underneath throws,
- 4:17Speaker 1: move the football. No, that's not what they were doing.
- 4:19Speaker 1: And I thought we were dead with the Drake May
- 4:22Speaker 1: completions as well, because he had like six in the
- 4:26Speaker 1: entire first half. So it's like, what are we doing here?
- 4:28Speaker 1: Like I thought that was dead. But luckily the other
- 4:31Speaker 1: way of getting that happened, which was that Seattle was
- 4:34Speaker 1: winning pretty much in a blowout and then May was
- 4:36Speaker 1: just able to get a bunch of easy passes at
- 4:39Speaker 1: the end in garbage time to get that thing over.
- 4:42Speaker 1: So we did get that one, but I thought it
- 4:44Speaker 1: was gonna be more like the Patriots are gonna be methodical.
- 4:47Speaker 1: But I don't know what they were doing. They kept
- 4:48Speaker 1: running the football. I'm like, what are you doing? And like, dude,
- 4:53Speaker 1: they were still in that game. They were down six
- 4:55Speaker 1: to nothing, almost right before halftime. You're in the game.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Make the halftime a ustments. Even at halftime you're down
- 5:02Speaker 1: nine to nothing, you're not done. Make the adjustments. Like
- 5:05Speaker 1: their defense was playing fine. I don't know, dude, I
- 5:08Speaker 1: don't know what to tell you. Then they come out
- 5:10Speaker 1: I think it was in the third quarter right where
- 5:12Speaker 1: they had that. They had a second and one near
- 5:16Speaker 1: like midfield, and I'm like, all right, this drive is
- 5:18Speaker 1: going well, and then they never They didn't even get
- 5:20Speaker 1: a first down on that series of downs. What are
- 5:23Speaker 1: you doing? Like they you cannot run the football into
- 5:27Speaker 1: the middle of this defense. It's totally ridiculous. And then
- 5:31Speaker 1: they punt it. I mean, dude, I think they were
- 5:34Speaker 1: down nineteen to seven at that point. They just had
- 5:37Speaker 1: all the momentum. No no, no, wait, it was still
- 5:40Speaker 1: nineteen and nothing. I don't I forget, but it was like,
- 5:43Speaker 1: I don't know, it was a situation where you have
- 5:45Speaker 1: to go for it. It's just like the analytics will
- 5:48Speaker 1: tell you should go for it. I thought that these
- 5:50Speaker 1: coaches in that situation would be going for it, But no,
- 5:53Speaker 1: I Vrabel doesn't even go for it. On fourth down,
- 5:56Speaker 1: they punt the ball away. Then the Patriots still looked
- 5:59Speaker 1: like they were back in that game. And when they
- 6:00Speaker 1: cut it to nineteen to seven, they had the ball
- 6:03Speaker 1: back and they were driving again. I'm like, holy shit,
- 6:05Speaker 1: like they could cut this thing to five right now
- 6:07Speaker 1: and we'll be pushing this number here. No. No, they
- 6:12Speaker 1: throw an interception and then pretty much game over after that.
- 6:16Speaker 1: That one resulted in a field goal, and then May
- 6:18Speaker 1: threw pick six after that, and then that was it.
- 6:21Speaker 1: The game was not exactly what it appeared on the scoreboard, man,
- 6:25Speaker 1: I know there were a lot of garbage time yards
- 6:27Speaker 1: for the Patriots at the end to make the yardage
- 6:29Speaker 1: battle look close. Yeah, obviously Seattle played them, but the
- 6:33Speaker 1: game was not as much of a blowout as it
- 6:35Speaker 1: looks like. Seattle's defense was stalling out all over the place.
- 6:38Speaker 1: Sam Darnold did not have a good game and that's
- 6:41Speaker 1: why he didn't get MVP. I thought they were gonna
- 6:43Speaker 1: give it to him anyway, But he was fifty percent
- 6:45Speaker 1: completion percentage, two hundred yards, one touchdown, and they didn't
- 6:50Speaker 1: have a touchdown at all until the second half. They
- 6:53Speaker 1: had one offensive touchdown in the game. Seattle did the
- 6:56Speaker 1: Patriots had more than that two, dude, I don't know,
- 7:01Speaker 1: but we did have a Kenneth Walker. I was able
- 7:04Speaker 1: to get a lot of rushing yards. So part of that,
- 7:07Speaker 1: again was because the game got out of hand and
- 7:09Speaker 1: they were running the football constantly, which yeah, I don't know.
- 7:14Speaker 1: I was gonna say something else about that too, like, yeah,
- 7:17Speaker 1: I mean because of that, that's why the game had
- 7:19Speaker 1: the game flow had to change for the Patriots and
- 7:21Speaker 1: they couldn't do that methodical offense that I thought they
- 7:24Speaker 1: were gonna do. I don't know what to telling you, man,
- 7:27Speaker 1: but yeah, that's also why Hailani didn't get a second catch,
- 7:30Speaker 1: because Seattle had too big of a lead and they
- 7:32Speaker 1: just ran the football and Kenneth Walker became one of
- 7:36Speaker 1: the rare one hundred yard rushers got the MVP probably rightfully,
- 7:42Speaker 1: although well I don't know, because they just used them
- 7:44Speaker 1: a ton because they were because they're way ahead. But
- 7:48Speaker 1: him being able to do that against a good Patriots
- 7:50Speaker 1: rushing D. I didn't expect that, so that, yeah, I
- 7:53Speaker 1: mean part of the handicaps of the Patriots rushing D
- 7:56Speaker 1: would be good. I don't know, so yeah, all right,
- 8:00Speaker 1: yeah he gets the MVP. You don't have a lot
- 8:02Speaker 1: one hundred yard rushers in the in the Super Bowl now,
- 8:05Speaker 1: So yeah, it was a good performance from him, for sure.
- 8:09Speaker 1: I don't think I have anything else to say about that.
- 8:11Speaker 1: I think that that covered all the plays, right, Yeah, whatever,
- 8:17Speaker 1: not happy, Kyle? What's up, Jeff? What's up? The offensive
- 8:23Speaker 1: line was terrible? Horrible myers for the MVP. Yeah, he
- 8:28Speaker 1: had like five field goals, so that maybe he should
- 8:31Speaker 1: have had. That was never gonna happen, though, probably because
- 8:35Speaker 1: I think most of his field goals were pretty easy
- 8:38Speaker 1: field goals. I don't know, it just never happens. I
- 8:42Speaker 1: guess it was worth a shot. I don't know. I
- 8:44Speaker 1: don't know. I don't I never liked those multi tier
- 8:48Speaker 1: bets like that. But I would not have had the
- 8:51Speaker 1: running back for MVP. You know, I was thinking it
- 8:54Speaker 1: was still gonna be one of the quarterbacks. And I
- 8:56Speaker 1: told you that the Gatoray color was going to be
- 8:58Speaker 1: dependent on the team that won so I know there
- 9:02Speaker 1: were guys that like yellow green, and I think some
- 9:06Speaker 1: of that had to do with the odds that the
- 9:08Speaker 1: Seahawks were gonna win the game, because I thought that
- 9:11Speaker 1: that was the color they were gonna use, that the
- 9:13Speaker 1: Seahawks would use, and they did. I don't know what
- 9:16Speaker 1: the Patriots would have had on their sideline. I don't
- 9:18Speaker 1: know if we could see it during the game. I
- 9:19Speaker 1: thought it would be blue if it was them, which
- 9:22Speaker 1: I thought was worth a shot on the Gatoray color.
- 9:24Speaker 1: But I don't know. And I think I was right
- 9:27Speaker 1: about no hat with Bad Bunny, right, I don't think.
- 9:30Speaker 1: I don't think he was wearing a hat. I didn't
- 9:32Speaker 1: watch it at all. Total crap. Both halftime shows are crap.
- 9:37Speaker 1: You're gonna make me chew, dude. It's like the it's
- 9:40Speaker 1: like the the the Party, the Big Party duopoly. In
- 9:44Speaker 1: halftime show for him, do you want the Democrats one
- 9:47Speaker 1: of the Republicans one? I'm like, oh no, yeah, I'm
- 9:50Speaker 1: just not gonna watch either one. How about that because
- 9:54Speaker 1: I'm not forced to have to watch either one, So
- 9:56Speaker 1: that that's that's the difference. You're forced to have one
- 9:59Speaker 1: of them rule, but you're not forced to watch either
- 10:02Speaker 1: halftime show, so I did not. I wasn't even watching
- 10:07Speaker 1: the game, to be honest, I just I was fucking pissed.
- 10:10Speaker 1: I turned it off. I'm not watching that shit. All right,
- 10:15Speaker 1: let's get into today, Okay, I want to try to
- 10:19Speaker 1: get through this. Man. There's a decent sized NBA board.
- 10:22Speaker 1: I only have one play and it's in college basketball.
- 10:24Speaker 1: I don't like the board today a whole lot. I
- 10:27Speaker 1: do have some leans in college basketball. Four o'clock PM.
- 10:31Speaker 1: There's this game with Saint Francis at Chicago State in
- 10:35Speaker 1: the Northeast Conference. And my handicap on this is these
- 10:39Speaker 1: two teams already play and in Saint Francis won by
- 10:41Speaker 1: twenty one at home, so there is the potential they
- 10:44Speaker 1: might just overlook Chicago State because Chicago State is awful.
- 10:48Speaker 1: But also San Francis did just go to Lemoyne and
- 10:52Speaker 1: they played really tough against Lemoyne. I think Lemoyne were
- 10:55Speaker 1: actually probably like several point favorites in that game, and
- 10:58Speaker 1: Saint Francis came close to pulling off the upset in
- 11:01Speaker 1: that game, only losing by two. Now they're coming up
- 11:04Speaker 1: of that and playing a third straight road game, so
- 11:07Speaker 1: I don't like how it sets up for Sant Francis.
- 11:09Speaker 2: Man.
- 11:11Speaker 1: I know Chicago State is bad, but believe it or not,
- 11:13Speaker 1: ken Bum actually has Chicago State being the better of
- 11:16Speaker 1: these two teams. Hang on, Yeah, as bad as Chicago
- 11:21Speaker 1: State is, ken Bum actually has them two ranking spots
- 11:25Speaker 1: higher than Sant Francis. Believe it or not, Chicago State
- 11:28Speaker 1: slows the game down, Saint Francis speeds it up. Chicago
- 11:32Speaker 1: State is coming off a win against New Haven, coming
- 11:35Speaker 1: back home, or they did win their last home game,
- 11:38Speaker 1: so I think it sets up better for Chicago State.
- 11:40Speaker 1: That would be my lean in that game. Chicago State wherever,
- 11:44Speaker 1: I don't know whether it's probably on the extra games
- 11:46Speaker 1: because it's such a bad game. They're up from two
- 11:48Speaker 1: to two and a half. I mean, I wouldn't want
- 11:50Speaker 1: to let that get too high. Maybe you can find
- 11:52Speaker 1: a decent money line on it too. I don't know,
- 11:54Speaker 1: but Chicago State would be my opinion in that one.
- 11:58Speaker 1: And then I don't believe Saint Francis has a bigger
- 12:01Speaker 1: game next so though, no, it's just fairly Dickinson so whatever.
- 12:04Speaker 1: But they are a team that's ahead of them in
- 12:05Speaker 1: the standings, which Chicago State is not. CBS Sports has
- 12:11Speaker 1: Navy at Bucknell probably. I don't know if when they
- 12:15Speaker 1: scheduled this they thought buck Nell would be a decent
- 12:17Speaker 1: team in the Patriot League. I mean, nobody's actually decent
- 12:20Speaker 1: in the Patriot League, but you know, as far as
- 12:22Speaker 1: Patriot League is concerned, but Bucknell is having a terrible season. However,
- 12:28Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Navy. They already beat
- 12:30Speaker 1: buck Nell by twenty one at home, another twenty one
- 12:34Speaker 1: point home win that we're talking about here, so they
- 12:37Speaker 1: might overlook buck Nell for that reason. But also they're
- 12:40Speaker 1: coming up a pretty good win of a American who
- 12:42Speaker 1: is sort of in the running for the Patriot League.
- 12:45Speaker 1: He although they have fallen back a little bit, but
- 12:47Speaker 1: that was a good win for Navy against American. It
- 12:49Speaker 1: was also a revenge game, so it was actually pretty
- 12:52Speaker 1: big because American was the only team that beat Navy
- 12:55Speaker 1: in conference played this season, so they got revenge for that.
- 12:59Speaker 1: So now they have no unavenged losses and after this
- 13:02Speaker 1: they gotta play Colegate, who is the staple of this
- 13:05Speaker 1: conference and is the only team that could really catch
- 13:08Speaker 1: them potentially at this point in the Patriot League. So
- 13:10Speaker 1: that's a big game coming up next against Colegate and
- 13:13Speaker 1: the first time they play this year. So Navy is
- 13:16Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot in this one man. And as
- 13:18Speaker 1: far as buck Nell is concerned, they're coming off a
- 13:21Speaker 1: loss to Colgate, but it was a pretty much a
- 13:22Speaker 1: blowout loss. So I would play buck Nell in this
- 13:26Speaker 1: game if I was gonna play it. The line did
- 13:27Speaker 1: move up from six and a half to seven on Navy.
- 13:31Speaker 1: I don't really understand it. Don't have this as a play,
- 13:34Speaker 1: although you know, I'm kind of considering it. I like
- 13:39Speaker 1: buck Nell.
- 13:40Speaker 2: Here.
- 13:41Speaker 1: One hundred and thirty four is the total. It's a
- 13:43Speaker 1: low total. What does ken Bom say about this? I
- 13:46Speaker 1: know buck Nell is really bad though, Yeah, I mean,
- 13:50Speaker 1: they're better defensively than offensively at least, but they're outside
- 13:53Speaker 1: the top three hundred little bit lucky. They play slow.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Navy also plays slow, but a slow based game taking
- 14:01Speaker 1: the points makes sense, and Navy is much more of
- 14:04Speaker 1: a defensive team than an offensive team, so it's not
- 14:06Speaker 1: like their team that could really blow you away as
- 14:09Speaker 1: a road favorite like this. They're also really high in
- 14:12Speaker 1: the Luck Index, actually a forty fifth. Let me see,
- 14:16Speaker 1: I'm gonna see what Ken Bomb has this uh number
- 14:19Speaker 1: at real quick here by ken Bomb. By the way,
- 14:23Speaker 1: it's definitely worth it. He's got this number at seven,
- 14:26Speaker 1: so it's like pretty much right in line with this.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Uh Am, I gonna add a college basketball play here
- 14:33Speaker 1: on the fly. I kind of like it, man, And
- 14:39Speaker 1: it's a TV game for people who want a TV game. Here. Yeah,
- 14:46Speaker 1: let's do it, Buckneil plus seven and a half. Hang on,
- 14:54Speaker 1: maybe we're getting a little bit crazy here, but yes,
- 14:57Speaker 1: let's do it. There you go, first game on the
- 15:00Speaker 1: board that I have for a play buck Now, I
- 15:03Speaker 1: already leaned that way, but looking at it a little
- 15:06Speaker 1: bit further, adding in the fact that that was a
- 15:09Speaker 1: huge revenge game against American, Yeah, we'll go with buck
- 15:12Speaker 1: Now in that one plus the seven and a half.
- 15:15Speaker 1: All right. Fox Sports won six thirty PMS Xavier and
- 15:21Speaker 1: Saint John's number twenty two Saint John's. My first thought
- 15:25Speaker 1: about this game was, well, Saint John's is in a
- 15:27Speaker 1: massive letdown spot and I do think that's true. Uh,
- 15:30Speaker 1: they're coming up beating Yukon, I mean, huge win first
- 15:33Speaker 1: time they played Yukon this season. I told you I
- 15:36Speaker 1: liked Saint John's in that game. I was not right
- 15:38Speaker 1: about the under but Saint John's got the win, huge win.
- 15:42Speaker 1: Now they get Xavier. My problem with this is, yes,
- 15:47Speaker 1: it is a huge letdown spot. That is the main
- 15:50Speaker 1: situational component here. I would still play Xavier here if
- 15:53Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, but I have a few
- 15:54Speaker 1: issues with it. I mean, number one, I would prefer
- 15:57Speaker 1: if Saint John's had a bigger game up next with
- 15:59Speaker 1: a they're playing, well, actually, you know what, Saint John's.
- 16:04Speaker 1: Maybe I will do this, dude, I keep I'm gonna
- 16:07Speaker 1: add a bunch of plays on the fly here. Oh
- 16:09Speaker 1: my god. Now that I look at this more, Saint
- 16:12Speaker 1: John's has Providence next, I'm like, okay, that's not a
- 16:14Speaker 1: big deal. But Saint John's has one conference loss. Who
- 16:18Speaker 1: was that loss to? Oh yeah, it was at home
- 16:20Speaker 1: to Providence, so that game is actually big. Oh no,
- 16:26Speaker 1: oh my god. This is what I get when I
- 16:28Speaker 1: don't pay its engine man, or when I do pay
- 16:30Speaker 1: more it's engine. Then I'm gonna start adding more plays
- 16:33Speaker 1: on the fly here. My problem, the one problem I
- 16:36Speaker 1: do still have with it maybe is that Saint John's
- 16:40Speaker 1: they did beat Xavier on the road, but they didn't
- 16:42Speaker 1: cover so Xavier actually kind of gave them a run
- 16:45Speaker 1: for their money in this game. Man, it was a
- 16:46Speaker 1: close game. Uh, Xavier was actually blowing Saint John's out
- 16:50Speaker 1: in this game, and Saint John's had to come back
- 16:53Speaker 1: and win the game close at the end. So that
- 16:57Speaker 1: game might have Saint John's taking Xavier seriously, but they
- 17:01Speaker 1: did still win. It was at Xavier and they're in
- 17:04Speaker 1: They're actually in a sandwich spot here. Pooh. I mean
- 17:10Speaker 1: they do get to host a TV game, by the way.
- 17:12Speaker 1: That does help buck Nell's case. By the way, getting
- 17:14Speaker 1: to host a TV game, that's a that's a bigger
- 17:17Speaker 1: deal for a home game like that. But it's Monday night,
- 17:23Speaker 1: you know, it's not Friday night or anything like that.
- 17:25Speaker 1: It's not a big deal. I might add a play here. Actually, well,
- 17:30Speaker 1: ken Bom worries me about this though, because Ken Bomb
- 17:33Speaker 1: ass Saint John's winning this game by like seventeen. There
- 17:36Speaker 1: are a fifteen and a half way favorite. Fifty percent
- 17:39Speaker 1: of the tickets in ninety seven percent of the cash
- 17:40Speaker 1: are on Xavier. I'm thinking, I'm thinking, yeah, I like Xavier.
- 17:49Speaker 1: Xavier would be the way I would play this game.
- 17:51Speaker 1: I would take the points Total's pretty high though it
- 17:53Speaker 1: won sixty. Both teams like to play fast, so that's
- 17:56Speaker 1: why that's the case. Saint John's is death with a
- 18:00Speaker 1: better team. Obviously they have the better defense. Of course,
- 18:06Speaker 1: I don't know, man, this one very very close, just
- 18:09Speaker 1: because it is a revenge game coming up for Saint
- 18:12Speaker 1: John's against Providence. But their prior game against Xavier does
- 18:17Speaker 1: worry me a little bit. Yeah, uncovering winners. They better
- 18:22Speaker 1: be winners, man, I don't know. I don't know if
- 18:24Speaker 1: they will be. I'm looking at ken Bom. Let me
- 18:27Speaker 1: look at Ken Pom real quick. On this. Saint John's
- 18:30Speaker 1: is a pretty unlucky team. But I knew that. I
- 18:32Speaker 1: keep telling you Saint John's is actually underrated. Even some
- 18:35Speaker 1: professionals are not buying Saint John's, and I mean ken
- 18:38Speaker 1: Bum is telling you. They're way more balanced team this
- 18:41Speaker 1: year than last. Like they have a better offense this year,
- 18:44Speaker 1: better offensive efficiency numbers, so they're pretty balanced. They're top
- 18:48Speaker 1: twenty five in both Xavier of course is not good,
- 18:53Speaker 1: but they are balanced. At the very least, They're not
- 18:55Speaker 1: lopsided towards offense or defense. They're pretty lucky. Kem Bum's
- 19:00Speaker 1: luck index though, so That's why I think ken Bum
- 19:02Speaker 1: has this number being higher than what the number actually is.
- 19:09Speaker 1: I'll leave it off, but man, that's close. It is close.
- 19:12Speaker 1: I like Xavier in that one plus the points. All right,
- 19:15Speaker 1: I'm gonna skip some of these. We got a lot
- 19:17Speaker 1: of swack action swaction, I don't I mean the swack
- 19:21Speaker 1: doesn't really The swack doesn't get me going, man, unless
- 19:24Speaker 1: I really really can find a spot in the swack
- 19:27Speaker 1: to figure something out. But I don't really see any
- 19:29Speaker 1: angles in it. Today. We do have an ESPN game
- 19:31Speaker 1: at seven pm. That's a good one between NC State
- 19:34Speaker 1: and number twenty four Louisville in the ACC. NC State
- 19:40Speaker 1: playing through here. They beat Virginia Tech last week. I
- 19:42Speaker 1: believe they did not cover, although they came close to covering.
- 19:45Speaker 1: I thought it was kind of a bad spot for
- 19:47Speaker 1: NC State, but they did win. Thought they might be
- 19:49Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game. They will still show up.
- 19:52Speaker 1: It's a game against Louisville. It's a big game, big
- 19:55Speaker 1: game for both teams. Louisville's a pretty unpredictable team, man.
- 20:00Speaker 1: I mean they're high variants because they take a ton
- 20:01Speaker 1: of three pointers. They're coming up kind of a close
- 20:04Speaker 1: call at Wake Wake definitely got up for that game,
- 20:08Speaker 1: played pretty well. In that game. Louisville won by eight.
- 20:12Speaker 1: Louisville was the number on this yeh, so Louisville did
- 20:14Speaker 1: not cover the closing number in that one. Coming up
- 20:17Speaker 1: of that, maybe a little bit more of a lackluster
- 20:20Speaker 1: game for Louisville there. NC State maybe having to play
- 20:23Speaker 1: a bit more of a difficult game there because Virginia
- 20:26Speaker 1: Tech is at least fighting to try to make the tournament. Here,
- 20:31Speaker 1: Louisville's up from six to six and a half here.
- 20:33Speaker 1: There is a reason why Louisville's favored by this much.
- 20:35Speaker 1: Even though I think NC State is a strong team, man,
- 20:38Speaker 1: Louisville also is. It's just again their high variants. Ken
- 20:43Speaker 1: Bomb has Louisville five ranking spots higher. He's got both
- 20:47Speaker 1: teams in the top twenty five. Yeah, let me see
- 20:53Speaker 1: both teams better on offensive defense. Louisville's a slight somewhat
- 20:58Speaker 1: more lucky team, but not really crazy there. I'm just
- 21:01Speaker 1: going through it in my head here, man, real quick
- 21:03Speaker 1: at both teams of course play fast. I mean, I
- 21:06Speaker 1: guess I'll need to Louisville and that one. I don't
- 21:08Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on the side though sixty four
- 21:10Speaker 1: percent of ticket sixty nine percent of the cash on Louisville. There,
- 21:15Speaker 1: I probably would not disagree with an over in that one,
- 21:20Speaker 1: just because of the style of play there both. I mean,
- 21:22Speaker 1: there's a reason why it's one sixty two, which is
- 21:24Speaker 1: pretty high, but that's the total. I mean, both teams
- 21:28Speaker 1: play fast and are better on offense than defense. So
- 21:33Speaker 1: I don't know, don't have much else to say about that.
- 21:36Speaker 1: Very very odd that Yale is playing an out of
- 21:39Speaker 1: conference game here against Howard. Howard might be the best
- 21:43Speaker 1: team in the MIAC. But of course Yale is way
- 21:45Speaker 1: way better than Howard. But are they really gonna pay
- 21:47Speaker 1: attention to Howard? I don't know. The problem is Yale
- 21:50Speaker 1: they're coming off an easy one over Brown, and they
- 21:52Speaker 1: only have Dartmouth next, and they already beat Dartmouth, so
- 21:54Speaker 1: I don't know, They're not really in a bad spot here,
- 21:58Speaker 1: but they might overlook Howard as well. But Howard is
- 22:01Speaker 1: beginning to establish themselves in the mediac terrible conference, so
- 22:05Speaker 1: this will be a big game for Howard probably. Though
- 22:08Speaker 1: it's not on TV or anything, it is on ESPN.
- 22:10Speaker 1: Plus it's a weird game and I just noticed it
- 22:12Speaker 1: because I'm like, why is Yale playing an out of
- 22:15Speaker 1: conference game. Yale's up from a nine to nine and
- 22:17Speaker 1: a half point favorite here, I might lean towards taking
- 22:20Speaker 1: the points with Howard. I think for Yale it's just
- 22:23Speaker 1: a game where they might just overlook Howard anyway because
- 22:26Speaker 1: it's like, oh, we're playing this lesser conference team, like whatever.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Howard considers it to be a step up in class
- 22:32Speaker 1: where it's a bigger game for them, I would say,
- 22:34Speaker 1: And Howard's coming up an easy win over a bad
- 22:37Speaker 1: South Carolina State team, so total low in the one forties.
- 22:41Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Howard in that one,
- 22:43Speaker 1: but really no strong opinion on that at all. All right,
- 22:47Speaker 1: let's go to my last of the best bets here,
- 22:57Speaker 1: and we are gonna take the points with another home
- 22:59Speaker 1: underdog here. This one doesn't get a TV billing, but
- 23:02Speaker 1: we're gonna be on North Alabama plus seven in the
- 23:04Speaker 1: Atlantic Sun against a Central Arkansas team it's playing well.
- 23:08Speaker 1: This number is already ticked down from eight to seven.
- 23:11Speaker 1: It's a pretty low total at nine, so I don't
- 23:13Speaker 1: mind that. Although I know kem Bum's numbers don't really
- 23:17Speaker 1: look great here, although I think he has this number
- 23:19Speaker 1: right at seven, so I think I'm okay with that.
- 23:22Speaker 1: Central Arkansas is actually a decent team in the one sixties,
- 23:26Speaker 1: balanced on offensive defense, not very lucky, and a fairly
- 23:31Speaker 1: slow tempo team though, so that's the thing. North Alabama
- 23:35Speaker 1: is also slow, but ken Bum does have them as
- 23:38Speaker 1: a lucky team, and they are a bad defense, so
- 23:40Speaker 1: that does warrant me a bit. They're actually very bad,
- 23:42Speaker 1: like a bottom like twenty five team in the country.
- 23:45Speaker 1: But we're getting a bunch of points at home, and
- 23:47Speaker 1: I'm gonna show you what the spot looks like in
- 23:49Speaker 1: a second, which I think is a bad spot for
- 23:54Speaker 1: a whole bunch of reasons. But the one good thing
- 23:57Speaker 1: that we have going for us is it's a low total,
- 24:00Speaker 1: though that might help this game stay low scoring and
- 24:02Speaker 1: ugly here. I don't know how much I buy Central Arkansas,
- 24:06Speaker 1: though ken Bum does have them moving up in the standings.
- 24:08Speaker 1: He's got them decently competitive right now along with Lipscomb,
- 24:12Speaker 1: Austin Pe possibly better than Queens now if you look
- 24:16Speaker 1: at what Central Arkansas just did. Though they're on this
- 24:19Speaker 1: huge win streak. I know they've won seven games in
- 24:21Speaker 1: a row. They're really really hot right now. But they
- 24:24Speaker 1: just beat Lipscomb. Man, that was a monster win. Lipscomb,
- 24:27Speaker 1: of course, the team that won the conference last year.
- 24:29Speaker 1: They won it, I believe, two of the last three
- 24:31Speaker 1: as well, big big win. And that was even bigger
- 24:35Speaker 1: because Lipscomb was a team in eliminated Central Arkansas last year,
- 24:39Speaker 1: and it was actually triple revenge for Central Arkansas. They
- 24:43Speaker 1: lost Lipscomb all three games last year home and away
- 24:46Speaker 1: during the regular season. The away game was the final
- 24:50Speaker 1: game of the season, and then again on the road
- 24:52Speaker 1: during the tournament in the quarterfinals of the tournament. So
- 24:57Speaker 1: Lipscomb was the team that ended Central Arkansas season last year.
- 25:00Speaker 1: So that was a big win for them against Lipscomb
- 25:03Speaker 1: for a bunch of reasons. Lipscomb also still one of
- 25:05Speaker 1: the better teams in the conference this year as well.
- 25:07Speaker 1: They had one loss in conference I believe until that
- 25:10Speaker 1: are maybe two huge win for Central Arkansas. Now they
- 25:13Speaker 1: get in North Alabama, who they already beat easily. Where
- 25:17Speaker 1: is that game? Oh yeah, it was right before the
- 25:19Speaker 1: Lipscomb game. They beat them by twenty Why is it
- 25:21Speaker 1: always twenty one? What are we playing? Dude? Is this
- 25:24Speaker 1: what is this a game of blackjack. Every one of
- 25:26Speaker 1: these teams that I've looked at had a twenty one
- 25:28Speaker 1: except for Saint John's. But this is three teams that
- 25:33Speaker 1: are playing a team that they already beat by twenty
- 25:35Speaker 1: one in a previous matchup at home. Three Like, what
- 25:39Speaker 1: is going on here? Man, Saint Francis, Central Arkansas and
- 25:44Speaker 1: whatever the other the other one, the other one that
- 25:48Speaker 1: I'm fading not American Navy. Oh my god, yeah, I
- 25:52Speaker 1: don't know, very very strange. That was right before the
- 25:54Speaker 1: Lipscomb game. So obviously this is almost a zigzag spot
- 25:58Speaker 1: because it just happened. They just easily beat North Alabama,
- 26:01Speaker 1: so they could easily overlook North Alabama here. Now they
- 26:04Speaker 1: have Bellerman coming up. But Bellerman, they're bad. But they're
- 26:07Speaker 1: actually in like fifth place in the conference. And I
- 26:11Speaker 1: think the main reason why I would consider this to
- 26:13Speaker 1: be a look ahead is Central Arkansas has two losses
- 26:17Speaker 1: on the season. Okay, whoops, don't want to go to
- 26:19Speaker 1: that video. Not porn. It was a Central Arkansas basketball video.
- 26:23Speaker 1: That's what I jerk off too, though it's my porn. No,
- 26:27Speaker 1: Central Arkansas they had two losses this season in conference.
- 26:31Speaker 1: One of them was in an overtime game to Eastern Kentucky.
- 26:33Speaker 1: They beat Eastern Kentucky right before North Alabama, so they
- 26:36Speaker 1: got the revenge on Eastern Kentucky already. Now they only
- 26:40Speaker 1: have one unavenged loss in conference. Now who is that against?
- 26:44Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it was at Bellerman in a overtime. So
- 26:47Speaker 1: that's the team that they play next. So I think
- 26:50Speaker 1: they may very well look right past North Alabama in
- 26:53Speaker 1: to that game. This game has a lot going for it, man,
- 26:56Speaker 1: I like it. We're gonna be on North Alabama plus
- 26:59Speaker 1: seven in this one. Yeah, I don't think I have
- 27:02Speaker 1: a whole lot else to say about that, but I
- 27:04Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot. It's a good spot to
- 27:06Speaker 1: make this play, man. So that's what we're going with
- 27:09Speaker 1: North Alabama plus the points. Hopefully they get it done
- 27:13Speaker 1: for us, because I know I was wrong about North
- 27:15Speaker 1: Alabama with a lean earlier this year, but it was
- 27:17Speaker 1: not a play for me.
- 27:19Speaker 2: All right.
- 27:19Speaker 1: If you want to talk about any of these other games,
- 27:21Speaker 1: I can, But a lot of these games are very
- 27:23Speaker 1: uninteresting to me. We got some Southland games, some Missouri
- 27:28Speaker 1: Valley games. I like the Missouri Valley, but some of
- 27:30Speaker 1: these games are just ugly. Except for this one, Belmont
- 27:34Speaker 1: and Bradley. This is a big game, and unfortunately the
- 27:38Speaker 1: two good teams in the Southland are playing bad teams,
- 27:42Speaker 1: so they're both massive favorites. Belmont and Bradley is gonna
- 27:45Speaker 1: be a pretty good game though. Belmont first place in
- 27:49Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley. I believe they are the best team
- 27:51Speaker 1: in the Missouri Valley. Bradley's third. Bradley's still a team
- 27:55Speaker 1: to be reckoned with in this conference. These teams did
- 27:59Speaker 1: already play Belmont one at home against Bradley by ten already.
- 28:05Speaker 1: I still think both teams are gonna show up for
- 28:07Speaker 1: this one, though Belmont is kind of on cruise control
- 28:10Speaker 1: right now. They just get a win over Illinois Chicago,
- 28:13Speaker 1: which was a decent win because Illinois Chicago was on
- 28:16Speaker 1: fire and now they've sawed out, but they were playing well,
- 28:19Speaker 1: so that was still a decent win. But I still
- 28:21Speaker 1: don't really think Belmont's gonna overlook Bradley. Of course, Bradley
- 28:25Speaker 1: will not overlook this game either, and they are coming
- 28:26Speaker 1: off a pretty hideous loss to a very good defensive
- 28:30Speaker 1: team in Northern Iowa who is probably better than they look.
- 28:34Speaker 1: Just these defensive teams that don't play offense really look ugly.
- 28:39Speaker 1: Bellmont is up from a two point favorite to a
- 28:40Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite. I would probably lean
- 28:42Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Bradley, though eighty eight percent
- 28:45Speaker 1: of tickets one hundred percent of the cash on Belmont.
- 28:48Speaker 1: I just think the spot might set up a little
- 28:50Speaker 1: bit better for Bradley coming off a disgusting loss where
- 28:53Speaker 1: they didn't even get to fifty against an extremely good defense.
- 28:57Speaker 1: Though Northern Iowa was the best defense in this conference,
- 29:00Speaker 1: it's just their offense reeks. So they're a very imbalanced team.
- 29:05Speaker 1: Belmont much more balanced team. But Bradley might be able
- 29:09Speaker 1: to get that one done at home. Man all right,
- 29:12Speaker 1: and then we have Illinois State and Evansville. I skipped
- 29:15Speaker 1: over that, but it's a little bit interesting. Illinois State
- 29:19Speaker 1: just beat Drake, which is kind of whatever, so they're
- 29:22Speaker 1: rolling into this game against Evansville. But they embarrassed Evansville
- 29:25Speaker 1: already this year seventy three to forty seven at Illinois State,
- 29:29Speaker 1: so they might not take Evansville seriously for that reason.
- 29:32Speaker 1: But this game is only surrounded by Drake and Valpo.
- 29:35Speaker 1: Those are not big games really, although I believe Illinois
- 29:38Speaker 1: State did actually lose to Valpo. Yeah they did, so
- 29:41Speaker 1: maybe they will actually look ahead to Valpo. They actually
- 29:43Speaker 1: lost at Valpo, so there is the potential they look
- 29:46Speaker 1: ahead to that game. Which this is why I don't
- 29:50Speaker 1: want to play this game. But I also think Evansville
- 29:52Speaker 1: is in a pretty difficult spot. Although yeah, they're doing
- 29:55Speaker 1: so poorly this season, They're probably gonna get up for
- 29:58Speaker 1: every game that they can, but they just had an
- 30:01Speaker 1: in state rivalry game against Valpo. I think Evansville is
- 30:04Speaker 1: gonna get up, especially for all these Indiana teams, and
- 30:07Speaker 1: they played pretty well against Valpo. They were that they
- 30:11Speaker 1: lost by seven, but I think Valpo got some free
- 30:13Speaker 1: throws at the end of that game or something, because
- 30:15Speaker 1: that game was close. Evansville, the Purple Aces almost pulled
- 30:20Speaker 1: off that upset. I think there were about eight and
- 30:23Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, I want to say in that
- 30:24Speaker 1: when they did cover, so they were coming up a
- 30:26Speaker 1: big performance themselves. So I'm not gonna get involved in
- 30:29Speaker 1: this game. Really really don't like the spot for Evansville though,
- 30:34Speaker 1: really coming off of that that performance that they just
- 30:37Speaker 1: had against Valpo. Though against the Valpo Beacons or I
- 30:41Speaker 1: will continue to make fun of that name, because you
- 30:44Speaker 1: can't be the Crusaders anymore. Man, any reference to Christianity, Nope,
- 30:49Speaker 1: you're gone, You're out of there. You can't you can't
- 30:51Speaker 1: do that. Nope, you have to be the Beacons. Oh yeah, okay.
- 31:00Speaker 1: Nichols State versus Texas Rio Grande Valley, Yeah, I could
- 31:05Speaker 1: talk about that. Let me see here this game. I
- 31:10Speaker 1: was just gonna look at the market read real quick.
- 31:12Speaker 1: Illinois State's up to a nine and a half point fit.
- 31:14Speaker 1: While they're sitting at nine and a half. It hasn't moved. Actually,
- 31:17Speaker 1: seventy tickets, eighty three percent of the cash on Illinois State.
- 31:24Speaker 1: It's a tough call in that one. I'd probably lay
- 31:26Speaker 1: it with Illinois State. But I mean that's a very
- 31:29Speaker 1: very weak opinion of mine. Rio Grande Valley and Nichols. Actually,
- 31:33Speaker 1: this one is actually probably the only decent game in
- 31:36Speaker 1: the Southland, to be honest, because yes, Stephen of Boston
- 31:39Speaker 1: and MacNeice are both playing cupcakes, although there is the
- 31:42Speaker 1: potential they could slip up in some game. But you're right,
- 31:45Speaker 1: this is a pretty good game between two of the
- 31:47Speaker 1: teams in the top half of the conference. Rio Grande
- 31:51Speaker 1: Valley lost at home to Nichols already, so I don't
- 31:55Speaker 1: really think they're gonna overlook Nichols because of that. They
- 31:57Speaker 1: already lost them at home. Nichols is right by behind
- 32:00Speaker 1: them in the standings. They're basically tied, so I don't
- 32:02Speaker 1: really see either team overlooking this game. Real Gronde Valley's
- 32:06Speaker 1: on a huge win streak. Eight wins in a row
- 32:08Speaker 1: is what this is, seven whatever it is. They won
- 32:10Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row, seven I think, so, yeah,
- 32:14Speaker 1: they're on a roll right now. It is a second
- 32:16Speaker 1: straight road game, though, and it's a fifth road game
- 32:19Speaker 1: in six games, so that doesn't make it that easy. Correct.
- 32:22Speaker 1: They have Steven have Austin on deck, but because they
- 32:24Speaker 1: did lose at home to Nichols, I don't really see
- 32:28Speaker 1: this as an overlooked spot. But they might be getting
- 32:31Speaker 1: tired out by the end of this. Nichols is coming
- 32:34Speaker 1: off a pretty decent game themselves. They played A and M.
- 32:37Speaker 1: Corpus Christi, Texas. A and M. Corpus Christy, pretty decent
- 32:41Speaker 1: team in this conference. That was a big game. Nichols
- 32:44Speaker 1: lost the game by seven. They were a favorite, though,
- 32:47Speaker 1: so Nichols is actually coming off a home loss as
- 32:50Speaker 1: a favorite. Although it was a pretty big game for them. Yeah,
- 32:54Speaker 1: I have a difficult time trying to read this game,
- 32:57Speaker 1: to be honest, Real Grande Valley is a two point
- 33:01Speaker 1: favorite in this one on the road, let me see.
- 33:07Speaker 1: I mean, based on the records, it looks like they
- 33:08Speaker 1: should be the favorite. So there's no real you know,
- 33:12Speaker 1: it's not like a surprising line or anything like that.
- 33:15Speaker 1: I don't have a good opinion on this one at all,
- 33:17Speaker 1: to be honest, I guess I would very, very slightly
- 33:21Speaker 1: agree with Nichols in that one, just based on how
- 33:23Speaker 1: many road games Real Grande Valley has played recently. I
- 33:26Speaker 1: don't really see them overlooking a team that beat them
- 33:30Speaker 1: in their own house though. That's the thing, so it's
- 33:33Speaker 1: Real Grande Valley isn't a road revenge spot here, which
- 33:36Speaker 1: is usually a positive angle. But I also don't think
- 33:39Speaker 1: Nichols really overlooked them either. So yeah, I mean, very
- 33:43Speaker 1: very difficult reading in that game. And you could definitely
- 33:47Speaker 1: make the argument that if both teams are kind of
- 33:48Speaker 1: in iffy situational spots and whatever, that you could make
- 33:53Speaker 1: the argument that Real Grande Valley should be the right
- 33:58Speaker 1: side here because they're actually the better team and their
- 34:00Speaker 1: favorite on the road and that home loss that they
- 34:04Speaker 1: had based on the factor, are two point favored here.
- 34:06Speaker 1: They must have been a pretty big favorite in this
- 34:08Speaker 1: one and lost the game. Actually, they're only three and
- 34:11Speaker 1: a half, very very strange. These teams don't get a
- 34:13Speaker 1: lot of home court advantage, but I expected to be
- 34:15Speaker 1: more than that. So that's actually a little bit strange.
- 34:19Speaker 1: So the two point line, I don't know if they're
- 34:21Speaker 1: injuries or something, but that two point line actually does
- 34:24Speaker 1: seem like it might be a little bit high. I
- 34:27Speaker 1: don't know, I could see what ken Bom says about this,
- 34:30Speaker 1: but yeah, this game is not gonna be anyone that's
- 34:33Speaker 1: gonna be on my card. He he has Rio Grande
- 34:36Speaker 1: Valley one hundred ranking spots higher than Nickels, and he
- 34:40Speaker 1: has them winning this game by three. So I think
- 34:43Speaker 1: maybe they were pretty undervalued in that first game. So yeah,
- 34:48Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really I'm not very tempted to
- 34:51Speaker 1: fade Rio Grande Valley in this song. They have a
- 34:53Speaker 1: pretty decent offense, close to being top one hundred unlucky.
- 34:57Speaker 1: According to kem Bum, they're in the bottom or so
- 35:01Speaker 1: teams in luck. Both teams somewhat mid tempo, Nichols the
- 35:09Speaker 1: significantly worse defense, and they're the luckier team. So that
- 35:14Speaker 1: would that would worry me about Nichols for sure. Yeah,
- 35:17Speaker 1: I have a lot of concerns about that one. Real
- 35:21Speaker 1: Grande Valley is the better team somewhat substantially according to
- 35:25Speaker 1: Kem Palm. All right, So yeah, I don't even dude,
- 35:29Speaker 1: I don't even know which way I would want to
- 35:30Speaker 1: lean in like Situationally, I think Nichols does have the edge.
- 35:33Speaker 1: The numbers are saying Real Grande Valley. So it's one
- 35:36Speaker 1: of those games where things just don't align for me.
- 35:39Speaker 1: So yeah, I have to stay away from it. It
- 35:41Speaker 1: might be a decent game to watch, though, it'll be
- 35:45Speaker 1: on ESPN plus CBS Sports has a probably a matchup
- 35:50Speaker 1: between well two of at least the top few teams
- 35:53Speaker 1: in the Colonial UNC Wilmington and Charleston. They are sitting
- 35:56Speaker 1: atop the conference tied right now. Hofstra is moving. Man.
- 36:00Speaker 1: I told you Hostra is one of the best teams
- 36:02Speaker 1: in this conference. We'll see what I have with my
- 36:04Speaker 1: bracketology today, because I do it based on power ratings
- 36:07Speaker 1: and stuff for these lower conferences. We'll see you would
- 36:11Speaker 1: see Wilmington is coming off a big game though already
- 36:14Speaker 1: they lost to William and Mary and got swept by
- 36:17Speaker 1: William and Mary, so I think they showed up for
- 36:19Speaker 1: that game just Willim and Mary might match up well
- 36:22Speaker 1: with them. I don't know what that was, but that
- 36:23Speaker 1: was a big game. So they are having to play
- 36:25Speaker 1: two big games in a row. It's gonna be a
- 36:27Speaker 1: fourth road game in five games. So there are some
- 36:30Speaker 1: things I don't like about this for Wilmington. A couple
- 36:34Speaker 1: of big games. It means you have to max out
- 36:36Speaker 1: your effort two games in a row, a lot of
- 36:38Speaker 1: road games here. Maybe the one positive is that they
- 36:41Speaker 1: are technically coming off a home loss as a favorite.
- 36:43Speaker 1: They are about five point favorites in that game, and
- 36:46Speaker 1: sometimes seems will bounce back when that's the case. But
- 36:49Speaker 1: it doesn't look like a very easy setup to me
- 36:51Speaker 1: for Wilmington. Charleston's coming up a very easy win and
- 36:55Speaker 1: staying at home. They just beat NCA and T Who
- 36:58Speaker 1: cares they do have hostraw. They're not going to overlook
- 37:01Speaker 1: you and see Wilmington and these two teams haven't played
- 37:04Speaker 1: yet this season. They play again late in the season.
- 37:08Speaker 1: Charleston has gone up from a one point favorite to
- 37:10Speaker 1: a two point favorite, but they're public eighty percent of
- 37:12Speaker 1: the tickets only sixty eight percent of the cash. It
- 37:14Speaker 1: looks like the market Reid is saying to take Wilmington,
- 37:17Speaker 1: but I don't really agree. I'm kind of leaning Charleston
- 37:20Speaker 1: in that game. I think Wilmington might be a little
- 37:23Speaker 1: bit overrated, to be honest, So I don't know. I
- 37:26Speaker 1: don't know why the market Reid is looking the way
- 37:30Speaker 1: that it's looking, though. Charleston is a very lucky team actually,
- 37:33Speaker 1: according to kempom. They're balanced either sort of mid tier
- 37:37Speaker 1: in both the offense and defense, but they're not really
- 37:39Speaker 1: bad at anything, but they are very lucky. According to kembom,
- 37:43Speaker 1: they do play fast. Wilmington play is really slow, so
- 37:46Speaker 1: if Charleston's gonna be able to speed up the game,
- 37:49Speaker 1: that might throw Wilmington out of the relement. Wilmington is
- 37:52Speaker 1: actually the worst defensive team, believe it or not, even
- 37:54Speaker 1: though they play slow, and they're pretty lucky according to
- 37:58Speaker 1: kempbom too, although not as lucky as Charleston, who's like
- 38:01Speaker 1: a top fifteen luck team. But I don't know. I
- 38:04Speaker 1: would still probably lean Charleston in that one, although actually, yeah,
- 38:10Speaker 1: ken Bum does have Wilmington as the better team overall
- 38:12Speaker 1: though had won fifteen versus one fifty something or whatever.
- 38:18Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know. A difficult game for me
- 38:20Speaker 1: to figure out. Oregon at Indiana Fox Sports won. We
- 38:24Speaker 1: got this big ten game. I first was looking at
- 38:27Speaker 1: this game and I'm like, this is a horrible spot
- 38:29Speaker 1: for Oregon because they're playing these back to back road
- 38:33Speaker 1: games in Indiana. But I think they just had the
- 38:35Speaker 1: big one man against Purdue, and they almost upset Purdue
- 38:39Speaker 1: in Purdue. Purdue not playing particularly well at home this year. Man,
- 38:43Speaker 1: they've been vulnerable at home and usually that's not the
- 38:46Speaker 1: case at all. But Oregon were huge underdogs in this game,
- 38:49Speaker 1: nineteen and a half point underdogs, and they almost upset Perdue.
- 38:53Speaker 1: Oregon was winning this game in the final minutes of
- 38:55Speaker 1: the game. It was a low scoring game. Yeah, Oregon
- 38:58Speaker 1: had the league with a couple of minutes to go
- 39:00Speaker 1: and they fell just short. So you got to think
- 39:02Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a massive flat spot here. The
- 39:05Speaker 1: problem is, I don't love the spot for Indiana either. Here.
- 39:08Speaker 1: Indiana just beat Wisconsin. That's a decent win for Indiana,
- 39:11Speaker 1: and I believe it was an overtime game as well,
- 39:14Speaker 1: and Oregon's just been pitiful, so they're very easy to overlook.
- 39:18Speaker 1: And they have Illinois next. Indiana does that's a big
- 39:21Speaker 1: game in Purdue. After that, they have two huge games
- 39:24Speaker 1: on deck. So I can't get there with Indiana, even
- 39:28Speaker 1: though I probably do lean to Indiana here because I
- 39:30Speaker 1: just don't really see Oregon having anything left after that
- 39:33Speaker 1: game against Purdue. But I don't think the spot's good
- 39:36Speaker 1: enough to lay a bunch of points with Indiana here either, man,
- 39:39Speaker 1: So I can't do it. That game against Wisconsin, by
- 39:43Speaker 1: the way it was, I don't know if you saw
- 39:45Speaker 1: the end of that game, but yeah, there were some
- 39:47Speaker 1: questionable foul calls at the end of that game that
- 39:49Speaker 1: helped Indiana win that game. So I don't know, man,
- 39:53Speaker 1: Indiana is getting the money. It looks like after they
- 39:55Speaker 1: drop from eleven point favorite to a ten ten and
- 39:58Speaker 1: a half point favorite, three percent of tickets eighty seven
- 40:01Speaker 1: percent of the cash in Indiana. I don't disagree with
- 40:04Speaker 1: Indiana in that one, but I think both teams are
- 40:07Speaker 1: in bad spots. But if you force me to give
- 40:09Speaker 1: you a lean, I would lay it with Indiana, but
- 40:11Speaker 1: I'm not gonna get there with it. Oregon might be
- 40:14Speaker 1: able to muddy that thing up enough to cover the
- 40:16Speaker 1: spread on it is a big spread and it's a
- 40:18Speaker 1: low total in the one forties. Indiana does like to
- 40:21Speaker 1: play faster than Oregon does, I believe, but Oregon just
- 40:25Speaker 1: they could muddy up any game really just based on
- 40:28Speaker 1: their style of play, it is easier to slow the
- 40:31Speaker 1: game down. Indiana actually does play fairly slow as well.
- 40:35Speaker 1: I keep forgetting that because I'm used to them being
- 40:37Speaker 1: more of a fast team, but they actually played pretty
- 40:40Speaker 1: slow as well, so that might not be helpful for
- 40:43Speaker 1: them to cover the number ESPN. The second game of
- 40:46Speaker 1: the doubleheader is the biggest game of the night, Number
- 40:49Speaker 1: one Arizona at number eleven Kansas. This is a monster
- 40:52Speaker 1: game in the Big twelve. Arizona is still undefeated. They
- 40:56Speaker 1: looked very very good in crushing Oklahoma State by almost
- 41:00Speaker 1: forty points at Arizona. But Oklahoma State was coming up
- 41:03Speaker 1: that huge win that we had as a winner on
- 41:05Speaker 1: the show over BYU, so they're kind of in a
- 41:08Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot. There wasn't the greatest spot
- 41:10Speaker 1: for Oklahoma State, man, so I think the public is
- 41:14Speaker 1: just too I think They're too ferocious on Arizona right now. Man, Like,
- 41:20Speaker 1: look at Arizona's conference schedule so far, it's actually been
- 41:24Speaker 1: ridiculously easy. They beat Utah, Kansas State, TCU, Arizona State,
- 41:30Speaker 1: U SEE up on the road. Not that easy, but
- 41:32Speaker 1: still Cincinnati West Virginia at BYU was a difficult one.
- 41:36Speaker 1: Arizona State again, Oklahoma State. So like, they haven't played
- 41:41Speaker 1: anybody yet. Basically, now, look at this run of four games.
- 41:44Speaker 1: They have Kansas, Texas Tech BYU Houston, and then they
- 41:49Speaker 1: have Kansas and Iowa State after Baylor. This is a gauntlet. Man,
- 41:53Speaker 1: There's no way Arizona gets through the rest of the
- 41:56Speaker 1: season undefeated. I'm sorry, it's not gonna happen. And this
- 42:01Speaker 1: is a spot where maybe they do get caught. They
- 42:03Speaker 1: look too good. Kansas, I believe is better than BYU,
- 42:06Speaker 1: So I think this might be the best team they
- 42:08Speaker 1: faced in a long time, best in conference play, probably
- 42:14Speaker 1: the best team that they played since I don't know,
- 42:16Speaker 1: I mean Duke, maybe how many teams did they played?
- 42:19Speaker 1: The or Yukon I guess I was gonna say how
- 42:21Speaker 1: many teams have they played? That ken Bomb is better
- 42:23Speaker 1: than Kansas. I think only Yukon. Oh, and I guess Florida,
- 42:27Speaker 1: but that was really early in the season, and that
- 42:31Speaker 1: was a good win for sure. Yeah. So yeah, I
- 42:35Speaker 1: mean they were fairly battle tested out of conference. Duke
- 42:38Speaker 1: there and then Tennessee North Carolina. Those teams aren't as
- 42:41Speaker 1: good as we think they are. They beat Alabama somewhere
- 42:43Speaker 1: in here too, I think. But oh, they did beat
- 42:46Speaker 1: my mistake, they beat Iowa State before official conference play
- 42:50Speaker 1: actually started. I guess so oh no, no, I was just
- 42:53Speaker 1: not looking far back and off. Yeah, they did beat
- 42:55Speaker 1: Iowa State once at home, so that was a good
- 42:58Speaker 1: win as well. But really they have had a conference
- 43:00Speaker 1: schedule and now they're running into a bunch of the
- 43:03Speaker 1: best teams in the conference. Man. Oh, no, way, that
- 43:06Speaker 1: was Kansas. What am I looking at? What the fuck
- 43:08Speaker 1: am I looking at? Yeah? Yeah, Arizona, my mistake, Arizona. Yeah,
- 43:13Speaker 1: Yukon was probably the best team they beat. Yeah. Yeah, dude,
- 43:16Speaker 1: I'm so out of it right now. Yeah. So looking
- 43:19Speaker 1: at the teams that Arizona beat, well, Florida again, like
- 43:22Speaker 1: I said, I did remember that correctly, But basically they
- 43:25Speaker 1: haven't played anybody as good as Kansas since they've played Connecticut,
- 43:30Speaker 1: so they've had a again, I'm right, they've had a
- 43:32Speaker 1: very very very weak schedule. Now they run into Kansas
- 43:35Speaker 1: at Allen Field House. Kansas is a very good defensive team.
- 43:39Speaker 1: Arizona's very good on both sides of the ball. There's
- 43:41Speaker 1: no doubt about it. They're better than Kansas on both
- 43:44Speaker 1: sides of the ball. But Kansas can match them defensively.
- 43:47Speaker 1: They're both top ten defensive teams. Kansas is gonna probably
- 43:51Speaker 1: try to slow this thing down a bit. Arizona wants
- 43:54Speaker 1: to speed it up. Kansas will probably be able to
- 43:56Speaker 1: slow it down because it's easier to do that. And
- 43:58Speaker 1: Arizona is higher than Kansas and luck Candex so they're
- 44:01Speaker 1: both kind of lucky this season. But Kansas has fased
- 44:04Speaker 1: some more difficult schedule. Man, if you look at Arizona
- 44:09Speaker 1: straight the schedule, yeah, it's significantly weaker. Kansas is faced
- 44:12Speaker 1: the third most difficult schedule, which is what I did
- 44:15Speaker 1: just have up. So there are some things that I
- 44:18Speaker 1: like about Kansas here. Man, Arizona looks too good right now.
- 44:22Speaker 1: In Kansas, I mean they have had a more difficult schedule. Man,
- 44:26Speaker 1: that's the schedule I was looking at. They beat Iowa State,
- 44:28Speaker 1: they beat BYU, they beat Texas Tech on the road,
- 44:31Speaker 1: so they've actually faced more of a difficult conference schedule
- 44:33Speaker 1: so far, done well, and they're coming off of a
- 44:35Speaker 1: lackluster game against Utah. But remember I gave Utah out
- 44:39Speaker 1: on Saturdays of play because Kansas was coming up the
- 44:41Speaker 1: hudop set against Texas Tech. They had the big win
- 44:44Speaker 1: over BYU before that, and they had Arizona and Iowa
- 44:47Speaker 1: State looming up next, so it was a sandwich spot
- 44:51Speaker 1: for Kansas. I think Arizona looks too good and they
- 44:54Speaker 1: have not been battle tested in quite a while. I
- 44:56Speaker 1: like Kansas in this one.
- 44:57Speaker 2: Man.
- 44:58Speaker 1: Arizona's up from two to two, and a hal hayar,
- 45:00Speaker 1: you might be able to get three on Kansas. I
- 45:02Speaker 1: think that's pushing it a little bit. I think ken
- 45:05Speaker 1: Bum I think has does have the number around two
- 45:07Speaker 1: or three in this game. But I like Kansas. Eighty
- 45:10Speaker 1: one percent of ticket, seventy seven percent of the cash
- 45:12Speaker 1: on Arizona, so they're a very very public team. I
- 45:17Speaker 1: like it. Man. What might be a you know, a
- 45:20Speaker 1: bit of a slower defensive game, although the totals in
- 45:22Speaker 1: the one fifties Kansas at home and what I think
- 45:26Speaker 1: is probably a better spot. Yeah. I like Kansas plus
- 45:29Speaker 1: the points in that one wouldn't shock me if Arizona
- 45:32Speaker 1: finally takes their first loss in this one. Man Alabama
- 45:39Speaker 1: State at Southern for some reason, we get a swack
- 45:42Speaker 1: game on ESPNU, although it's not the worst swack game.
- 45:45Speaker 1: Southern is one of the better teams in the conference
- 45:47Speaker 1: this year. Alabama State won it. Last year, Alabama State
- 45:51Speaker 1: did just lose to Grambling and only score forty seven points.
- 45:54Speaker 1: They're coming out of an ugly loss. I mean, maybe
- 45:57Speaker 1: this is the potential they were looking ahead because Southern
- 45:59Speaker 1: is one of the top teams in the conference right now.
- 46:03Speaker 1: For Southern, they're coming into this one on a little
- 46:06Speaker 1: bit of a role. They beat Alabama A and M
- 46:08Speaker 1: in the last game. I don't know what I would
- 46:11Speaker 1: do with this game, to be honest, I believe Alabama
- 46:14Speaker 1: State did beat Southern. I don't know if it was
- 46:17Speaker 1: during the regular oh I can look. I don't know
- 46:18Speaker 1: if it was during the regular season or if it
- 46:20Speaker 1: was during the conference tournament last year, but Alabama State
- 46:23Speaker 1: did win the conference tournament last year. They did not
- 46:27Speaker 1: play Southern during the tournament. They played them in the
- 46:29Speaker 1: second to last regular season game and beat them. And
- 46:32Speaker 1: they beat them twice last year, but in really close
- 46:35Speaker 1: games by one point each time. So they played really
- 46:39Speaker 1: close games last year, but Alabama State the game went
- 46:43Speaker 1: their way both times. Maybe Southern will be in a
- 46:46Speaker 1: little bit of a double revenge mode here. There is
- 46:48Speaker 1: a reason why Southern's an eight point favor here, they're
- 46:51Speaker 1: off from seven to eight. I would probably lay it
- 46:54Speaker 1: with Southern in that one. I mean, it looks kind
- 46:56Speaker 1: of ridiculous to lay points like that too in a
- 46:59Speaker 1: bad sweat like this in the public. If they're gonna
- 47:02Speaker 1: play this game because it's a TV game, they're not
- 47:04Speaker 1: really gonna want to lay points with the team it's
- 47:06Speaker 1: below five hundred overall. But ken bum is telling you
- 47:09Speaker 1: there is a decent gap, or not Kemp on the
- 47:12Speaker 1: odds makers probably both telling you there is a decent
- 47:14Speaker 1: gap between these two teams this year. So I would
- 47:17Speaker 1: probably lay it with Southern. And then CBS Sports has
- 47:20Speaker 1: a decent Missouri Valley game late at night, degenerate hours,
- 47:24Speaker 1: and it's not even a Western game, man, so it's
- 47:27Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit out of the ordinary for
- 47:29Speaker 1: teams in the Central time zone here to be playing
- 47:32Speaker 1: a game this late, but they are Northern Iowa at
- 47:36Speaker 1: Murray State. These teams did already play and Northern Iowa
- 47:40Speaker 1: actually won the game at home by five, so maybe
- 47:42Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge motive for Murray State.
- 47:44Speaker 1: Northern Iowa coming up a nice win over Bradley where
- 47:47Speaker 1: they completely beat them down defensively, they got bell them
- 47:50Speaker 1: on a deck. They're not really gonna overlook Murray State,
- 47:52Speaker 1: I don't think though, because Murray State is still right
- 47:54Speaker 1: near the top of the standings. But I think Murray
- 47:57Speaker 1: State sets up better in this game. They're coming up
- 47:59Speaker 1: an easy win over Southern Illinois, don't have anything really
- 48:03Speaker 1: on deck with Indiana State next, and Murray State in
- 48:07Speaker 1: a little bit of maybe a revenge capacity in this one.
- 48:09Speaker 1: So I would prefer Murray State in this game. But
- 48:11Speaker 1: it's not a strong opinion. Money seems like it does agree.
- 48:14Speaker 1: They're up from four and a half to five year,
- 48:17Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets eighty two percent of the
- 48:19Speaker 1: cash on Murray State totals in the one forties, so
- 48:23Speaker 1: the cash is on the Murray State side down. Murray
- 48:25Speaker 1: State likes to play really fast, though, and Northern Illinois
- 48:28Speaker 1: wants to go really really slow. Murray State is atrocious defensively,
- 48:33Speaker 1: and Northern I was very good defensively. So these are
- 48:37Speaker 1: opposite end of spectrum type of teams man kind of
- 48:40Speaker 1: the typical matchup you have. Northern I was a slow
- 48:42Speaker 1: down defensive team that can't score, and Murray State's a
- 48:46Speaker 1: fast paced team the Racers who score and they can't defend.
- 48:50Speaker 1: So it's like, which one is gonna win out in
- 48:52Speaker 1: this game? Is the question? Murray State probably will because
- 48:56Speaker 1: it is they are the better team they are at home,
- 48:59Speaker 1: but I again a slow the team that has the
- 49:02Speaker 1: better defense that significantly getting points though, is usually worth
- 49:07Speaker 1: consideration at the very least. So this is not a
- 49:09Speaker 1: game that I want to have anything to do with,
- 49:11Speaker 1: although I do slightly lean towards laying it with Murray State.
- 49:15Speaker 1: All right, I will be right back, and then I'm
- 49:17Speaker 1: gonna look at the NBA real quick. I don't have
- 49:19Speaker 1: a play in the NBA today though I don't love
- 49:21Speaker 1: the board unfortunately. One second, whoops, I'll bring up the
- 49:28Speaker 1: hold on, I'll bring up the NBA. Yeah, there we go.
- 49:35Speaker 1: That's most of the games in the very least one
- 49:37Speaker 1: second yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on
- 49:53Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 49:56Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's on the
- 49:59Speaker 1: st off, this show horrible Sunday one and five.
- 50:02Speaker 2: I don't even know what.
- 50:03Speaker 1: To tell you about that.
- 50:05Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 50:07Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 50:11Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 50:15Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man
- 50:20Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
- 50:25Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn.
- 50:29Speaker 2: My browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
- 50:31Speaker 2: on with the Bruins.
- 50:33Speaker 1: March epe, is that what it is? I don't even
- 50:35Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
- 50:39Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 50:40Speaker 2: What day is anymore. I don't even know what day
- 50:42Speaker 2: it is anymore.
- 50:42Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 50:46Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
- 50:50Speaker 1: until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 50:54Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
- 50:57Speaker 1: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
- 51:00Speaker 1: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
- 51:02Speaker 1: you about this anymore. Slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
- 51:08Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 51:11Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 51:13Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody? All right,
- 51:23Speaker 1: we're back, dirty sock. What's up?
- 51:25Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out?
- 51:26Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to NBA here and then I
- 51:29Speaker 1: will then I'll be done for the day, all right.
- 51:35Speaker 1: Detroit at Charlotte, This is a game where I think
- 51:38Speaker 1: Detroit is in a letdown spot here. I think Charlotte
- 51:40Speaker 1: may be able to continue their run in this one.
- 51:43Speaker 1: Detroit is coming off absolutely embarrassing the Knicks in Detroit
- 51:48Speaker 1: by thirty eight points. And Detroit of course got eliminated
- 51:51Speaker 1: by the Knicks from the playoffs last year as well,
- 51:53Speaker 1: so that was a monster when I think they have
- 51:55Speaker 1: already beaten the Knicks at least once this year, but
- 51:57Speaker 1: that was a monster win. They starting a road trip,
- 52:01Speaker 1: and I know teams starting a road trip usually do
- 52:03Speaker 1: show up focus in that first game, and maybe they
- 52:05Speaker 1: will because Charlotte's been really hot, but this looks like
- 52:09Speaker 1: a letdown spot for me, and they got Toronto and
- 52:12Speaker 1: then the Knicks again on deck, and those are teams
- 52:14Speaker 1: that are definitely headed to the playoffs, So playoffs, I
- 52:19Speaker 1: would have to lean towards Charlotte in this one, but
- 52:21Speaker 1: the money is not agreeing with me. Charlotte, by the way,
- 52:25Speaker 1: they did just meet Atlanta, which I thought was gonna
- 52:28Speaker 1: be a bad spot for them. Man, that was a
- 52:30Speaker 1: loss for me on the show because they were coming
- 52:31Speaker 1: up that huge Houston game. They had Detroit on deck,
- 52:34Speaker 1: but they still beat Atlanta. They escaped against Atlanta, Atlanta
- 52:39Speaker 1: a couple point underdogs, and that one could not get
- 52:41Speaker 1: it done. I would lean to Charlotte here in this one.
- 52:45Speaker 1: The way this thing sets up, though, money not agreeing though.
- 52:48Speaker 1: Like I said, Piston's up from two and a half
- 52:49Speaker 1: to two and a half with juice sixty seven percent
- 52:52Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on
- 52:54Speaker 1: the Pistons, I do not agree with that. The Hornets
- 52:58Speaker 1: actually might be my strongest lead in the NBA today,
- 53:00Speaker 1: to be honest, that's how bad the NBA board is today.
- 53:04Speaker 1: I would take the Hornets plus the points in that one.
- 53:07Speaker 1: Chicago at Brooklyn. I believe Chicago is still without Josh
- 53:10Speaker 1: giddy again. He has not been playing for the last
- 53:13Speaker 1: couple of games. Chicago's on a four game losing streak.
- 53:17Speaker 1: They're on a bad skid right now. They're pretty much
- 53:19Speaker 1: just unloaded at the trade deadline. They got rid of
- 53:22Speaker 1: White and whatever, so they seem to be kind of
- 53:25Speaker 1: in a rebuilding mode here. Now. When you're losing all
- 53:28Speaker 1: these games, I don't think you're gonna like show up unfocused.
- 53:30Speaker 1: But they do have the Celtics next, which is a
- 53:32Speaker 1: bigger game. Although they did beat the Celtics at home
- 53:35Speaker 1: right like before the trade deadline, so I don't know
- 53:39Speaker 1: if they're gonna be looking ahead or not. But it's
- 53:42Speaker 1: easy to overlook Brooklyn, man, although when you're losing every game,
- 53:44Speaker 1: maybe will show up and be like, Okay, we can
- 53:47Speaker 1: win this game. Let's win it. Brooklyn just ended a
- 53:51Speaker 1: losing streak though, the win over Washington, where Brooklyn is
- 53:54Speaker 1: actually like a six point favorite in that game, and
- 53:58Speaker 1: they caught Washington off of that huge upset that Washington
- 54:01Speaker 1: pulled against Detroit, I believe, which was a win here
- 54:06Speaker 1: on the show, by the way, So Brooklyn did end
- 54:08Speaker 1: some more losing momentum. Maybe give them some new momentum
- 54:12Speaker 1: coming into this one. The last time they did that,
- 54:14Speaker 1: they got absolutely destroyed the last time they did that,
- 54:17Speaker 1: but it was against Detroit on the road and it
- 54:19Speaker 1: was ending road trips, so I don't know a little
- 54:23Speaker 1: bit of a different scenario there. I think this I
- 54:26Speaker 1: think this spot does set up a little bit better
- 54:28Speaker 1: for the nets. In this one. Bulls are up from
- 54:31Speaker 1: two and a half to three and a half with
- 54:32Speaker 1: juice ninety six percent of tickets on them one hundred
- 54:35Speaker 1: percent of the cash. Likely not accurate. I would I
- 54:38Speaker 1: guess lean towards taking the points of the nets, but
- 54:40Speaker 1: I'm not gonna net whisper on that one.
- 54:42Speaker 2: Man.
- 54:42Speaker 1: There's no way that game is just awful. Utah at Miami.
- 54:49Speaker 1: Utah is coming off almost pulling off an upset at
- 54:52Speaker 1: Orlando in this Florida part of their journey. Here, they're
- 54:56Speaker 1: ending a road trip with this game, and sometimes you
- 54:58Speaker 1: get a little bit tired out at the end of
- 54:59Speaker 1: the road trouble. Then they might want to try to
- 55:01Speaker 1: salvage the last game here of a losing road trip
- 55:04Speaker 1: where they're one and three on the road trip. But
- 55:07Speaker 1: they were pretty big underdogs against Orlando and they almost
- 55:09Speaker 1: pulled it off, only losing by three. And you know,
- 55:12Speaker 1: I talk about when a team was a big underdog
- 55:14Speaker 1: like that and they almost pulled it off, they usually
- 55:16Speaker 1: come up flat in the next game, but maybe in
- 55:19Speaker 1: this case they won't because Miami did just completely embarrass
- 55:22Speaker 1: them back on January twenty fourth in Utah by thirty one.
- 55:27Speaker 1: That was Utah without market And I'm pretty sure because
- 55:29Speaker 1: he just came back more recently, and I believe he's
- 55:31Speaker 1: still there for them right now, so maybe Utah will
- 55:35Speaker 1: show up for that reason. So there are definitely conflicting
- 55:39Speaker 1: factors in this one. I don't want to deal with
- 55:40Speaker 1: this game at all. Utah is really atrocious on the
- 55:43Speaker 1: road though. Six and twenty on the road is just
- 55:47Speaker 1: awful straight up. Though if you play them, you only
- 55:50Speaker 1: need to need them to cover in this one. Miami
- 55:52Speaker 1: is decent at home. It's sixteen and ten straight up.
- 55:56Speaker 1: But again, obviously, if you're playing Utah here or taking
- 55:58Speaker 1: the points with them, Tyler Hero might come back, so
- 56:04Speaker 1: that's another thing to look at here. Man he did
- 56:08Speaker 1: not travel with them for their trip, but he may
- 56:10Speaker 1: come back in this one. He hasn't played for almost
- 56:12Speaker 1: a month now, so that's another thing to be aware of. Man,
- 56:15Speaker 1: if Hero is gonna come back in this game, he
- 56:17Speaker 1: might not be a Hero right away. And it's tough
- 56:20Speaker 1: when you have that guy coming back who kind of
- 56:22Speaker 1: runs the offense. He's got to get used to it again.
- 56:24Speaker 1: Maybe they would work him back in more slowly. I
- 56:26Speaker 1: don't know, but the line has to adjust if he's
- 56:29Speaker 1: coming back. So if he does come back, it could
- 56:32Speaker 1: be a bit of a reverse injured player theory for Miami.
- 56:34Speaker 1: So that is something to be aware of and to
- 56:36Speaker 1: be looking out for if Hero is gonna come back
- 56:38Speaker 1: in this game or not. The heaterre down from nine
- 56:41Speaker 1: and a half to seven and a half, so it
- 56:42Speaker 1: looks like maybe he's not going to play in this one.
- 56:45Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets fifty seven percent of the
- 56:47Speaker 1: cash on the Heat, so the money is indicating on
- 56:50Speaker 1: the Jazz. I will, I guess agree with that, but
- 56:54Speaker 1: it's not. It's not something I want to have anything
- 56:57Speaker 1: to do with it. The Heat just crushed Wall Washington,
- 57:00Speaker 1: not a big deal and they only have New Orleans
- 57:03Speaker 1: on decks, so this game is not surrounded by anything
- 57:05Speaker 1: big for the Heat. So no real good opinion for
- 57:10Speaker 1: me on that one. Milwaukee at Orlando. This game is
- 57:14Speaker 1: on Peacock part of the Peacock doubleheader, where the second
- 57:17Speaker 1: game is a better game, or it would be if
- 57:20Speaker 1: if players weren't injured. Milwaukee just beat Indiana. They're on
- 57:26Speaker 1: a three game win stream, believe it or not. Without
- 57:28Speaker 1: Yanis there. Maybe getting through the trade deadline might have
- 57:32Speaker 1: helped Milwaukee's mindset because now there's no question mark like
- 57:36Speaker 1: what's gonna happen with Yannis. Now they know we're keeping
- 57:39Speaker 1: him and we're gonna try to rebuild like a team
- 57:41Speaker 1: around him here. So that might be good that just
- 57:44Speaker 1: it gives them some stability. They're starting a road trip.
- 57:47Speaker 1: Usually team's gonna focus when they're starting a road trip,
- 57:49Speaker 1: so they might be focused with momentum here. Orlando is
- 57:53Speaker 1: coming off a close call against Utah, though, and staying
- 57:56Speaker 1: at home, and a lot of times in a big
- 57:57Speaker 1: favorite doesn't play that well. They'll show up with more
- 58:01Speaker 1: intensity in the next game as well. For Orlando. Of course,
- 58:04Speaker 1: this is the case with the NBA all over the place. Man,
- 58:07Speaker 1: we have to be aware of what's going on with
- 58:09Speaker 1: the injury status, and in this case it would be
- 58:12Speaker 1: with Franz Wagner, who is now questionable. I don't know
- 58:16Speaker 1: if he's gonna come back or not, but he has
- 58:17Speaker 1: not played since almost a month ago. So if Wagner
- 58:22Speaker 1: comes back, that would be maybe a little bit of
- 58:24Speaker 1: a wrench being thrown into Orlando's chemistry just briefly while
- 58:28Speaker 1: they have to get him used to the game again. Whatever,
- 58:30Speaker 1: He's not really their best play. He's probably like their
- 58:32Speaker 1: second best player though, and it looks like he probably
- 58:35Speaker 1: is actually going to play based on where this line
- 58:37Speaker 1: is right now, but it's hard to gauge, Like how
- 58:41Speaker 1: much the oddsmakers downgrade the Bucks for not having Giannis
- 58:46Speaker 1: Magic up from nine and a half to ten and
- 58:47Speaker 1: a half year, fifty seven percent of tickets, eighty six
- 58:50Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the magic, so the money
- 58:52Speaker 1: is coming in on the Magic. I don't really know
- 58:54Speaker 1: if I would agree with that though, Like if Wagner
- 58:57Speaker 1: comes back and it becomes sort of a reverse injured
- 59:00Speaker 1: player spot in the Magic and they're laying a couple
- 59:02Speaker 1: too many points because of it, maybe the chemistry is
- 59:05Speaker 1: not quite there yet, He's not quite up to speed
- 59:07Speaker 1: again yet. I don't know, I might kind of have
- 59:10Speaker 1: to lean through taking the points with the Bucks even though.
- 59:14Speaker 1: The Magic are coming off barely winning as a favorite.
- 59:17Speaker 1: But I don't have a good opinion on that game either.
- 59:19Speaker 1: This is what I was telling you. This board is
- 59:21Speaker 1: awful for the way that I do things. Atlanta at Minnesota.
- 59:26Speaker 1: Atlanta is coming off that loss to Charlotte. Charlotte's been hot,
- 59:30Speaker 1: but it's still not a great loss. Atlanta's starting a
- 59:33Speaker 1: road trip. Maybe focus to start the road trip. Either way,
- 59:36Speaker 1: you look at it like you're either starting the road
- 59:38Speaker 1: trip with some winning momentum or you're trying to bust
- 59:41Speaker 1: out of losing momentum and start the road trip. So
- 59:44Speaker 1: I think the start of a road trip is just
- 59:46Speaker 1: generally a focused spot. Minnesota is coming off a really
- 59:50Speaker 1: ugly home loss of the Clippers, though, but that was yesterday.
- 59:54Speaker 1: But they lost, They got pretty embarrassed. They lost by
- 59:56Speaker 1: almost twenty points. So that the Clippers are better than
- 59:58Speaker 1: people think they are based on a very bad start
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: of the season. The Tawls are getting the money. They're
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: up from six to six and a half, seventy seven
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty four percent of the cash on them.
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: I don't really know if I would agree with that either.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: To be honest, I like the team and starting a
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: road trip with a little bit of extra rest. I
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: think I don't really want Minnesota on the back to back,
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: although they're probably being downgraded because anytime the team is
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: on a back to back, I think the owsmakers do
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: knock the line down a little bit on them. So, yeah,
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: that's another game that I want nothing to do with. Oh,
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: it looks like the money is slightly coming in towards
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: the Tea Wolves right now. Sacramento at New Orleans. Sacramento
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: is coming out a really tough game against the Calves,
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: or they almost beat the Calves, and the Calves I believe,
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: Actually I don't know. Yeah, that might have been the
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: first game that Harden played for Cleveland's that might have
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: thrown Cleveland off a little bit as well, because I'm
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: pretty sure he didn't play against the Clippers after the
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: Clippers traded him. I think Harden played a little bit
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: in that game and it might have skewed the line
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: a little bit, but it might make Cleveland a little
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: bit overconfident. Whatever it was, maybe it was the spot,
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: but Sacramento put in a really good effort as big underdogs,
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: double digit underdogs, and they almost pulled off the upset
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: against Cleveland, and you know, I always say when a
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: team does that, a lot of times they're flat in
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: the next game because they're coming off such a big performance.
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: But they are starting a road trip, so maybe they'll
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: be focused on it. It is just New Orleans Utah on
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: the road trip. Neither game is very enticing, really, so
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: it does still look like kind of a hangover spot
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: for whoever I was is the King whoever I was
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: just talking about. But for the Pelicans, it's also a
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: bad spot. Even though they did just end a losing streak.
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: They just upset Minnesota on the road. Man, that's a
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: monster upset for the Pelicans. It wasn't the greatest spot
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: for Minnesota, I don'tbelieve. And the Pelicans are returning home
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: from a road trip, so this is an ugly spot
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: for the Pelicans. And you know I talked about when
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: a team returns on from a road trip and they've
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: been on the road for more than a week in
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: this case, a lot of times they will not have
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: focus in that first game, even though they have two
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: days off. A lot of times they're back in the
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: swing of things at home, getting distracted, they get stuff
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: to do at home. They have a bigger game up
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: next really against Miami. So I don't like the spot
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: for the Pelicans really, really a bad spot. Actually it's
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: a bad spot for both teams that I think the
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: spot might favor Sacramento to me a little bit. Here
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: you're getting a lot of points with Sacramento. I don't
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: know if New Orleans really deserves to be favored by
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: this much, although some of it is probably because of injuries,
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: as it always is. As Zach Levine is definitely gonna
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: miss this game. He got injured in the game against
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: a Clippers, so that might set up an injured player spot. Man,
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: you know, I always talking about that too. When a
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: star player goes down, sometimes the team will step up
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: their game in his absence, and the line will be
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: skewed against that team right because that player is out,
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: and a lot of times it will overreact. We also
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: don't know what Si Bonus is going to do. Sabonis
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: has actually missed two games, which I haven't even really
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: talked about that I keep missing all these these injuries
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: in the NBA. Man, Sabonis, we don't know if he's
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: gonna play or not. So if he comes back, then
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: that could be a reverse in your player spot and
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: an injured player spot coming in together on the Sacramento side.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: I don't know what that would even do, really, because
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: if it's the reverse in your player spot, then the
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: line has to adjust for that a little bit too
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: towards the Kings, and it might overreact for that reason.
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: To me, it looks like at the we know what
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: the very least Levigne is not playing, but because the
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: Pelicans are an eight point favorite now up from five
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: and a half, maybe Simonis isn't playing. But either way,
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: I think this is kind of an overreaction.
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: Man.
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: I just don't think the Pelicans should be this heavy
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: of a favorite against really anybody. Eighty three percent of tickets,
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash on the Pelicans, and
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: again in a return home spot as well off a
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: huge upset, I don't like it. I just can't quite
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: get there. With the Kings, with their roster being in
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: flux a bit and coming off a huge game themselves,
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points with the Kings
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: in that one, though, and we know it'll be fading
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: the public at the very least Cleveland at Denver, this
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: is going to be one of the better games of
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: the night. Cleveland is coming up that game where they
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: almost got upset by the Kings, so I think they
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: should be focused here. Although they are finishing a road trip,
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: but they've had some decent amount of rest. They've had
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: a decent amount of rest during this road trip, so
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to be tired or anything
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: like that. Really, it was a bad game for them
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: against Sacramento that they barely got by. Maybe they were
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: looking ahead already, Maybe they were feeling high on themselves
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: after killing the Clippers right after they made that trade.
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: Whatever it was, I think it was kind of a
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: bad spot. I think they will show up for this
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: game against the Nuggets. Denver coming into this game off
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: of beating Chicago doesn't really matter. But they were turning
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: over from a road trip. It wasn't a full it
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: wasn't like a long road trip, but they were on
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: the road for almost a week. So they returning home
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: from that, which makes it not the greatest spot for
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: Denver here. The return home spot. Again, I will point
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: out it could be a distracted spot. You have to
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: get back to doing stuff around the home whatever. But
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: they don't have a bigger game on deck against Memphis,
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: so they may still pay attention to Cleveland in this
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: one because Cleveland is really really playing well right now.
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: This is bad for the Celtics because the Celtics just
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: got killed by the Knicks. The Celtics were they had
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: a pretty much a They had a pretty decent stranglehold
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: on the on the number two seed in the East,
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: and now they do not. With the Knicks and Cleveland
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: both right there, it's not good. Man. Celtics need to
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: at least make sure they get a home series. Man.
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: But anyway, the Nuggets have flipped from one and a
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: half way favorite one and a half point underdog excuseually
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: to a pick them here. The money is coming in
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: on the Nuggets, but I don't agree with that. Sixty
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: tickets seventy seven percent of the cash on the Nuggets.
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: I don't see an argument for it, man, I do not.
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: Cleveland is coming off. I do not, why am I?
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: My mind is just like skipping. I'm like, wait, what,
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: I forget? What is it? Oh? That's uh yeah, the room,
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: I think is what I'm thinking of, right, something like
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: oh high Mark, Yeah, I don't know. I think there
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: was some line where he says, I do not, That's
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: what I was thinking of. Anyway, Nuggets return home spot
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: Cleveland coming off a bad performance so they almost lost.
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: As a huge favorite, that would have me on the
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: side of the Calves in that game. I can't quite
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: get there with that one, but I would honestly say
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: that's probably my second strongest opinion in the NBA besides Charlotte.
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: I think so, but I can't get there with it.
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: Memphis at Golden State. Memphis is playing some bad basketball.
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: I mean they've unloaded their players, Like I said, their
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: other players are injured as well, so they're a shell
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: of a team right now. They might get up for
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: a game against Golden State after they got swept two
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: games in Portland. You know it's Golden State. Maybe you
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: do get up for Golden State. Golden State is dealing
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: with some injuries. We got to see what's going on
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: with that. Golden State's coming up a pretty nice performance
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: at the Lakers where they only lost my six, and
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: they have a few huge games on deck ESPN against
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: San Antonio. Then they have a break and then they
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: get Boston Denver, Boston on Amazon Prime and then Denver
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: on TV as well. On ABC. So this does look
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: like pretty much a sandwich spot for the Warriors here, man,
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: And they're technically returning over from a road trail, although
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: they only went Thursday Saturday and only went to Phoenix
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: in LA. But still this game is sandwiched in between much,
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: much bigger games from Memphis. Well, we already looked at Memphis.
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: They're I think at least probably gonna try to show
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: up for this game. Now we have to see if
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: Curry is coming back in this game. Let me see here,
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: Seth Curry is still out, so he is missing this game.
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: Porzingis has not even played yet for the Warriors since
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: they got him. We know Butler's for the season. LJ. Cryer,
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: the man from Houston, I believe University of Houston. He's
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: out as well. So this is a very very depleted
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: Golden State team.
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: Here.
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: They're laying eight points sixty seven percent of tickets and
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: cash on Golden State. Actually, this is definitely up there
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: among the better basketball leans of the day. Man, Grizzlies,
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: plus the points would have to be the way I
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: would lean in this one. Now, I don't even know
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: who's playing for the Grizzlies, but that's probably gonna affect
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: the line a little bit. Walter Clayton Junior might play.
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: We know that Mirandon EDI's still out. We know they
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: traded Jackson or whatever they got Clayton Junior over from
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: the Jazz. I think he did play one game for
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: Memphis already, so he actually played their most recent game,
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: I guess, or did he? I don't know, because both
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: teams are playing Portland at the same time the trade happened.
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: I don't know. Very very strange, so I don't know
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: if he's playing or not. But at least he has
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: one game under his belt. I'm almost tempted to do
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: it with the Grizzlies, to be honest, because it is
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: a Sandwich spot. But I don't know. How did this
- 1:09:13Speaker 1: game go against the Lakers, is what I want to say,
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: Like how close was it? Eh? I don't know. I
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: mean Golden State was down double digits in the closing
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: minutes of the game. I'll stay away, but I like
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: Memphis plus the points in that one. That one is
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: very close to being a play for me as well.
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: Thunder at the Lakers on Peacock Thunder coming off a
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: tough loss at home to Houston, but the Thunder did
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: lose as a home favorite. So a lot of times
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: when a home when my favorite loses, a lot of
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: times they will show up for the next game. But
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: that was a big game against Houston. They had a
- 1:09:48Speaker 1: big game prior to that against San Antonio. Lost both games.
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: Maybe they will show up for a game against the Lakers.
- 1:09:56Speaker 1: But we have injury concerns in this game too. The
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: Lakers are coming off beating Golden State, you know, an
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: injury depeated, depleted Golden State team. I don't know how
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: much that game matters to Lakers. I guess it was
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: a decent win. Nonetheless, Lakers are without They're without Luka
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: Doncic in this game, so it's gonna be again. This
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: is one of these games with the star players gone
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: for both teams. Man, So the fact that this is
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: one of the games on Peacock, they're they're getting pretty
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: unlucky with the schedule here because you get two good
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: teams here, but you get Sga not playing for Okay,
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: seeing Luca not playing for the Lakers. So great game here,
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: Josh Denny, what's up? Man? Is this the real Josh Denny?
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: I like kandas Zones. Yeah, yeah, she's a baddie. Why
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: do I have to go on record saying that. I'm
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: already on record basically saying that on Twitter. So yeah,
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: she's willing to call out the bullshit man. Everybody. When
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: everybody's going after somebody and calling them a conspiracy theorist
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: and trying to discredit them and call them crazy, that's
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: when you want to pay attention to what that person
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: is saying. Even if she might not get every single
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: thing right, you know what I mean. I think she's
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: right more often than she isn't. So Josh Denny, thanks
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: for hanging out, man. If that's you, Hell yeah, I
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: haven't seen you in a while. What's up man, Thanks
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: for hanging out, Thanks for checking out the show. This
- 1:11:15Speaker 1: is all I got now with Tower Gang gone, man,
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: everybody can go check out the old Tower Gang episodes.
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: They're all somewhere. Ought to see Rumble whatever. Josh Denny
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: was on the show multiple times. Excellent comedy in Josh
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: Denny people, people should go check out his his shit.
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: Go check it out. It's not shit, it's the shit.
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: Uh I did. Maybe it's because I liked one of
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: Josh's tweets earlier in the morning. I was in a
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: daze though. I don't even know what I was liking,
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: but I was like, that's funny, Like it was a
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: funny reply. I forget what it was though. All right, Josh,
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: he was on one of my favorite episodes that we
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: ever did of Tower Game, by the way, the first
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: episode that we had Josh on. That was just me,
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: Cole and Josh and the shit we we talked. We compared,
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: we compare the the pusseas of different races to different
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: meats on that episode. Uh, that one's probably on Odyssey somewhere.
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: People could maybe go find that episode. I thought that
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: was one of the funniest episodes. Man. I was dying
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: laughing during that episode. All right, this yeah, Laker Thunder
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: game here that I got one more game to talk
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: about after this. The Thunder are actually a large favor here,
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: up from four and a half to seven maybe justifiably so.
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: the cash on the Thunder. I mean, it looks like
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: a really huge line here, man. I think the public's
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: gonna look at this game and tend to want to
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: take the points of the Lakers here, thinking this is
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: gonna be a competitive game, Like, how are you getting
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: this many points of the Lakers? Both star players are out,
- 1:12:50Speaker 1: but the Thunder have a lot more depth and the
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: Lakers are actually a really atrocious defensive team. So I
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, I could see the Thunder
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: showing up in this one. Even though they are coming
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: off some difficult games. Lakers are coming up a pretty
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: satisfying win as well, So I wouldn't really disagree with
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: laying the points of the Thunder in that one. But
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: the numbers getting a little bit high for my liking
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: in that one. I mean, it's definitely not a game
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: I would want to have money on. Mike. Wait, who's
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: Mike David? Wait? Do I know who that is? Uh?
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: You're you're out. You've outlived everybody who's died so far.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: Man's That's that is definitely something. Yeah, I'm us saw
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: us fat guys. Dude. Whenever we outlive somebody, it feels
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: pretty good. Jeff, what's going on? Man? We're gonna talk
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: about port Yeah, I'm gonna talk about Portland. You're right,
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: I do agree with you on Portland and that one.
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: Oh he's a troll, red bar. I'm not really familiar
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: with it. Man, there are a lot of things I
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: don't know, Like I'll find like, dude, it's all the time.
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: There'll be somebody who's some online PERSONA dude, you've never
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: heard of this guy? They have like a million followers
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: or whatever. I'm like, no, I've never heard of this person. Like,
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: there are so many people with a million followers. Now
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: I don't know, and I don't have anywhere near that,
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: so nobody's heard of me. But like, if I haven't
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: heard of these people that have a million followers, I
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: have no chance. Man. Maybe I'm just too old and
- 1:14:19Speaker 1: I'm just not I don't know, I'm not hip to
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: all these new internet celebrities or whatever. I don't know.
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: Seventy six ers at Trailblazers. The sixers are up from
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: two to three here, Jeff, the money is agreement with
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: you on this. Fifty five percent of the tickets are
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: on the Philly side, sixty eight percent of the cash
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: on Portland. I agree with you on this one. And
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: this is also I forgot about this game. This is
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: also one of the better leans of the day. I
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: do like this one. Philly is coming off a mild
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: upset on the road of Phoenix. Phoenix a good team
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: if you look at this run that Philly has had, though.
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: They basically blew out the Clippers on the road on
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: a back to back. They then beat Golden State in
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: a beat, although I think that was Golden State without
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: Butler and Curry. They lost to the Lakers in a
- 1:15:05Speaker 1: close game, which I think might have been before Luca
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: went down, or maybe he did go down in that game,
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: I don't remember. Philly. Actually that was a brutal loss
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: for Philly too. They were actually blowing the Lakers out
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: in that game. The Lakers were in a bad spot
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: as well in the return home spot, and the Lakers
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: somehow wound up winning the game. I think Luca might
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: have already been out in that game. I don't have
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: That might have been the Luca injured player theory spot.
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: Actually I don't remember. But then, yeah, Philly beat Phoenix.
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: Now they have Portland probably the weakest team in this
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: entire road trip, and then they come home and they
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: got the Knicks on ESPN. So I think you're right,
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot here where they may very
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: well overlook Portland. Portland's just kind of I think got
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: some momentum right now. They just had a couple of
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: easy wins against a rebuilding Memphis team that just shipped
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: off their team. Now, Portland does have Minnesota next when
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: they start a road trip here, but I don't think
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: they overlooked Phil. I think you're right about this. You
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: know what, this one might actually be the best NBA play.
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: I retract my earlier statements because I do like Charlotte.
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: I do like what were the other ones, Cleveland and Memphis.
- 1:16:16Speaker 1: I do like those three as well. But you know what,
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: this one might actually be the best one. You know what,
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: Let's let's get a little bit, Let's get a little
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: bit ballsy today. Let's do it. What's the best number
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: we can get on this. We might be able to
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: get a.
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: Three on this.
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: Let's let's add Portland to the mix. I feel like
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: pain today, man, after yesterday felt like it was way
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: worse than it actually was because you and see Greensboro
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: kind of saved the day yesterday. This is gonna be
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: a plus three on Portland. Let's do it. So we
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: do it, we won't skip the NBA. I love one
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: NBA play. I'll make it official if Streamyard stops being
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: a slow piece of shit here there it is Portland
- 1:17:04Speaker 1: plus three. There you go, Thank you, Jeff May. I
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: don't know, dude. A lot of times I'll like just
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: vehemently disagree with somebody in the chat, and that will
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: put me over the edge. I'll like just put my
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: money where my mouth just be like, no, I'm gonna
- 1:17:18Speaker 1: do this. I'm gonna play this game. I still haven't
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: freed up my funds though, by the way, even though
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: I unfortunately the only bet that I actually did make
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: yesterday was on the super Bowl itself, and that was
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: the one big loser that I gave out yesterday, So
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: isn't that just awesome for me? But my money will
- 1:17:34Speaker 1: be freed up soon. It'll be the end of the
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: month though, and then maybe we're going full time with
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: the with the betting here. Man, you're down bad, Oh
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: no you got I don't know, like, dude, dude. They
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: steal everything, man, even even girlfriends. Man, they can't help
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: but thieve. I don't want to get this this channel
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: nuked though I try not to get you know, tower
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: ging a tower Gang level of extreme on this one. Josh,
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: you should just dude, you're famous. You can just go
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: find you know some pussy out there, you know, I mean,
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: worst case scenario, you can just pay for it, probably right,
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: you know you'll you'll be able to find or do
- 1:18:21Speaker 1: you mean you actually want, like you want another real girlfriend?
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: That that's a little bit of a different ask. Yeah,
- 1:18:26Speaker 1: that that might take some time. But you know, what
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: do I know about it? You think I'm an expert.
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: Don't listen to me about about women or anything. Really,
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: don't even listen to me about sports betting. What do
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: I know? Anyway? The plays today are we have a
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: three plays now and I thought it was gonna be one.
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: Two college basketball plays are Bucknell plus the points looks
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: like I think it's about seven and a half in
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: North Alabama plus the seven out there. Though you gotta
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: shop around a lot of the books are trying to
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: screw you on this line by giving you only the
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: options of six and a half at reduced juice and
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: seven and a half in paying too much juice, where
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: I hate when the books do that. Seven kind of
- 1:19:08Speaker 1: a key number in basketball where teams stop intentionally fouling
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: at the three possession threshold. But either way, hopefully North
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: Alabama just gets it done and then the Portland Trailblazers
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: plus the points. Those are the three plays today. I
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: have to delete all the banners from yesterday. Yesterday's bad day.
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: There we go. I thought that said brothers at first,
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: you're frequenting brothers like to get back at them. You're
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: fucking all of them to get back at them for
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: stealing your chicks. Brothels. Yeah, all right, Well that's that's
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's an option. That's one thing that
- 1:19:45Speaker 1: you can do. I'll go into the brothels. All right,
- 1:19:49Speaker 1: I'm gonna get out of here. Man. Learn to tone
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: on Twitter. You can subscribe to me there. Learn to
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: tone on Instagram and I'll put out the short videos
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: for that shortly, like subscribe, give me a good comments
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: on this channel. Man, we're gonna boost this thing up.
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: Hopefully we can do that. We've been it's been a
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: slow slog man. So I don't know, I'm a I'm
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: a slow slog, A slow slog. I don't know. I
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: just talked too much on the show. Very very long
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: form betting content here. You can also listen on audio.
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: You can give me a good review on audio Spotify, Apple.
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: That helps me out as well. Uh. Covered in Yuke. Uh.
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: Covering Yuke is my Yuke channel on YouTube. You can
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: check that out as well Patreon dot com and learn
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: to toad. You can get some bonus Yuke content there
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: and just throw me some support if you want to
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: uh and uh, which will probably just fund my habit.
- 1:20:40Speaker 1: But dude, betting, you know, I treated it as an
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: investment like I do. Treat it seriously. This isn't just
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: some total degenerousy here, even if it sounds like it
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: trying to pick pick the best spots or you think
- 1:20:51Speaker 1: we actually have an edge. And then Loser Casts will
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: be back tomorrow night with a new episode. That's that's
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: the new comedy podcast. It's probably not going anywhere because
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: they're all a bunch of losers, and I have to
- 1:21:03Speaker 1: figure out my next loser to nominate. I'm not gonna
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: nominate Josh, even though he did lose his girlfriend. That's
- 1:21:09Speaker 1: not gonna that won't happen. I gotta find somebody to
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: nominate though. For tomorrow. You can go check that out
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: as well. That's after Legion with Skanks. That's gonna do
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: it man and beat his question. Well, yeah, I just
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: ignore that. I mean, that's he's questionable. For the entire season. Man,
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: whether he plays or he doesn't. I don't even know
- 1:21:28Speaker 1: if it's gonna matter that much in that game. I don't, dude,
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: do I even? I don't even know who Patrick Milton is.
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: I don't know who any of these people are. Who
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: is he? I'm gonna look him up? Who is this guy? Oh?
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: He's a movie dude, a screenwriter. Oh he did The Collector,
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: that movie. That movie is okay? I mean, I don't know.
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: Should I be disavowing him? What has he done? I
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know anything about him except I've
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: seen The Collector. I think that's the only thing that
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: I know about him. Oh wait, he did he had
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: something something to do with Sauce six, not the not
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: the Greatest Saw movie. I don't know. I don't know
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: what his involvement was in Sauce six. Uh. But yes,
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: oh your old co host? Wrong? Oh there were multiple
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: Patric Melton's all right, I have no idea. Yes, yes
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: I did. If he if he was your call dude,
- 1:22:32Speaker 1: I don't know if if if he did a show
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: with you, then yeah, I got I gotta disavow him
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: for that, right? Why would he do that? Uh? Yeah,
- 1:22:38Speaker 1: I did. I disavow him. Onions. I don't know. I
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: like onions personally, uh in in the right situation, and
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: not just onions on their own. I mean that's crazy.
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: That's like psychopath shit, like eating an onion like an
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: apple or something that's crazy. No, not like that, but
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: like onions on like a burger or in some dish
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: where it makes sense. Then yeah, then I'll go for
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: some onions. Dude. My grandfather his thing was onion pizza.
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: He would eat pizza with just onion on it. And
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: I have to say, it's actually pretty good. Like the
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: onion gets all it's like diced onion, diced white onion
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: that gets all caramelized on it. It feels like it's
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: missing a little bit of something, but it does taste
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: pretty good. I like it. Oh yeah, it's been ugly, dude.
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: There are plays that my college plays are ugly than
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: Portland tonight. Yes, nobody likes onions. That's a title of
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: a show. Nobody's gonna watch that. That's not an attractive title, man, Like, yeah,
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: is that really gonna attract an audience. It's not like
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: Toadstool Sports, which gets people like Josh Denny to watch it. Alright, alright, man,
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: I got I gotta get out of here. Josh. I
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: appreciate you man. Everybody in the chat, I appreciate it.
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: Jeff dirty sock, Kyle. I think that was it today, man,
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: very very light today. Kyle. Where's the rest of your crew? Man?
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: Where's a Garrett and uh and uh Tyson Chicken and
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: those guys. I don't know he's Chicken to watch the
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: show today? After that loss in the super Bowl yesterday.
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Everybody a super chat. I'm not
- 1:24:21Speaker 1: monetized yet though. That's that's another problem we get. We've
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: gotta boost this thing up so I can get monetized. Man.
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: That's that's what we need to do here. Are you
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: gonna Are you gonna send a super chat to uh
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: to to Melton? Don't do that. Don't waste your money
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: on that guy on onions or whatever. That's gonna do it.
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: I appreciate everybody. Let's get some wins on these basketball
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: players today. Have a good Monday and peace.