Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / Rob Astorino, WOR and NewsMax host Interview
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Time, Larry and Natalie, for our colleague Rob Astorino. You
- 0:03Speaker 1: can hear him on his own show, Saturdays, 4 to 5,
- 0:06Speaker 1: right here at 7, 10 WR, but right on time.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Rob Astorino, I sat down yesterday and I did the
- 0:13Speaker 1: polls on this Marist poll. And I'm telling you, I'm
- 0:17Speaker 1: feeling a Blakeman surge here. He's winning independence, which, as
- 0:21Speaker 1: you know, generally doesn't happen until the last two weeks.
- 0:25Speaker 1: The unlike abilities for Hochul continue to be there. And
- 0:28Speaker 1: he seems like he's got a tight campaign now. The
- 0:31Speaker 1: commercials are good. He's going to the right places. He's
- 0:33Speaker 1: with Trump in Syracuse today. What's your perception?
- 0:39Speaker 2: Look, I've been saying this, Curtis, consistently. The numbers for
- 0:43Speaker 2: Hochul are not where they need to be. Not at all.
- 0:46Speaker 2: They're soft. She's unlikable. They don't think the state's going
- 0:50Speaker 2: in the right direction. And Blakeman, as you said, I mean,
- 0:53Speaker 2: independency has consistently been winning. OK, so that with regard
- 0:59Speaker 2: to upstate New York still going with with a Republican.
- 1:02Speaker 2: And that's actually people say, oh, they always go Republican.
- 1:05Speaker 2: It hasn't been that way in the last decade. They've
- 1:08Speaker 2: gone Democrat as well. And, you know, a lot of
- 1:10Speaker 2: upstate New Yorkers have left or died. So, you know,
- 1:13Speaker 2: it's changed a little bit. But he's also she's also
- 1:16Speaker 2: not doing well in the suburbs and Long Island's included
- 1:19Speaker 2: in that. So the other key thing in Long Island,
- 1:22Speaker 2: all the town supervisors are up. Most of them are Republican.
- 1:25Speaker 2: So they're going to be pulling out the vote, too.
- 1:27Speaker 2: So there's a lot of things working in Blakeman's direction
- 1:31Speaker 2: this year. I go back to my polling in 2009
- 1:35Speaker 2: when I won my county executive race. I was losing
- 1:38Speaker 2: by seven or eight points in a two to one
- 1:40Speaker 2: Democratic county late in the election. And it was like, oh,
- 1:43Speaker 2: you can't win. You can't win. And I won by 13.
- 1:45Speaker 2: That was a huge swing. Same thing when I was
- 1:49Speaker 2: running for governor. Now, I lost the race by 12
- 1:51Speaker 2: and a half or whatever it was. But the poll
- 1:53Speaker 2: in the public polling had me down by 30 points
- 1:56Speaker 2: going into Election Day. And, you know, we picked up
- 1:59Speaker 2: 20 points because people actually voted. So the point is,
- 2:03Speaker 2: there's a lot happening. Look at the numbers, but don't
- 2:07Speaker 2: rely totally on the numbers. People still have to vote,
- 2:10Speaker 2: and they're in a pissy mood right now for the
- 2:12Speaker 2: right reasons. I don't know if you guys saw the debate.
- 2:15Speaker 2: I didn't want to forget this, but last night, and
- 2:18Speaker 2: of course it was on New York One, because that's
- 2:20Speaker 2: the only thing the Democrats will do. They only want
- 2:23Speaker 2: to do debates on cable to limit people being able
- 2:26Speaker 2: to see it instead of on Channel 4 or 7, whatever.
- 2:29Speaker 2: But that Attorney General debate here in New York, Saritha
- 2:32Speaker 2: Kamatareddy is an unbelievable candidate. She sliced and diced Tish
- 2:40Speaker 2: James last night on everything. It was so embarrassing to
- 2:45Speaker 2: watch Tish James try to hum, you know, hum and
- 2:48Speaker 2: a hum and a hum in her way through this
- 2:50Speaker 2: on the Cornell situation, on ice, on everything. It was
- 2:55Speaker 2: really embarrassing. And I hope people... Take a look at
- 2:58Speaker 2: Sarita Kamatureti for Attorney General, because God knows we need
- 3:01Speaker 2: a change there. She was fantastic.
- 3:03Speaker 3: Yeah, we should talk about more of that on Monday
- 3:06Speaker 3: and pull some of the bites and some of the
- 3:08Speaker 3: sound from that so we can play it for people.
- 3:10Speaker 3: So we'll try to get to that on Monday. Now,
- 3:13Speaker 3: there was so much going on last night, of course.
- 3:16Speaker 3: Things like that get lost, and especially because of the
- 3:19Speaker 3: outlet that's running it. But I wanted to talk to
- 3:22Speaker 3: you about the polls because you talked about them a
- 3:24Speaker 3: moment ago. You talked about your own poll, how it
- 3:26Speaker 3: was wrong in Westchester County. I saw Harry Enten talking
- 3:30Speaker 3: about the polls and how bad they were in the
- 3:32Speaker 3: last election. And every single time it seems to favor Democrats.
- 3:37Speaker 3: So I started to do a deeper dive on in it.
- 3:40Speaker 3: And Real Clear Politics does a great job at looking
- 3:43Speaker 3: at the polls and looking at their potential bias. Listen
- 3:47Speaker 3: to this. They studied 18 polls. over a 10-year period.
- 3:53Speaker 3: And how many of you do you think favored Republicans
- 3:57Speaker 3: of those 18?
- 3:57Speaker 2: I'm going to say zero.
- 4:00Speaker 3: Oh, it's four. It's four. So 14 to four. But
- 4:05Speaker 3: listen to some of the Democratic bias. For instance, let's
- 4:07Speaker 3: pick out Monmouth University right down the road. 84% of
- 4:13Speaker 3: the errors they made favored Democrats.
- 4:15Speaker 2: 84%.
- 4:18Speaker 3: And so the problem is, as you well know, people
- 4:21Speaker 3: see polls and sometimes it suppresses the votes. You got
- 4:25Speaker 3: to ignore the polls. You have to, I know it's
- 4:28Speaker 3: a necessary evil, but I think that you would counsel people,
- 4:32Speaker 3: you know, vote with your heart, not with the polls.
- 4:35Speaker 2: Oh, a hundred percent. I also wish if I had
- 4:37Speaker 2: my way, I would ban polling to be public because
- 4:40Speaker 2: it has so skewed the debates and the elections and
- 4:44Speaker 2: people like, Like you said, they're like, I'm not going
- 4:47Speaker 2: out because my candidate is winning big or my candidate
- 4:50Speaker 2: is going to get clobbered or whatever. And so people
- 4:52Speaker 2: don't go out or they follow the leader. They want
- 4:55Speaker 2: to be with the winner. So they vote for who
- 4:57Speaker 2: they think the polls are telling them they're going to win.
- 5:00Speaker 2: And I would love if I could snap a finger
- 5:03Speaker 2: and do one thing, it would be to ban public polling.
- 5:06Speaker 2: Just stop it. People make up your own freaking minds.
- 5:11Speaker 2: But having said that, I've seen this all the time. Now, look,
- 5:16Speaker 2: they're not always wrong. And generally speaking, they're within reason.
- 5:21Speaker 2: But in the end, you have a lot of things
- 5:23Speaker 2: brewing at once and people have to vote and things
- 5:29Speaker 2: get skewed in these numbers. And there's such an overemphasis
- 5:33Speaker 2: on this, like it is a horse race with not
- 5:36Speaker 2: actual people being involved in it. So hopefully, I honestly
- 5:41Speaker 2: believe the timing is right. And think about how crazy
- 5:44Speaker 2: this is, guys. You've got Republican states that are struggling, right?
- 5:50Speaker 2: Democrats are doing much better, at least in the polls,
- 5:54Speaker 2: in these red states. And in purple and blue states,
- 5:57Speaker 2: you've got Republicans doing better. Republicans can actually win in Oregon.
- 6:01Speaker 2: They're winning in Oregon.
- 6:03Speaker 3: Minneapolis.
- 6:05Speaker 2: In Minnesota, she's winning to FOIA. So it's a crazy year.
- 6:10Speaker 1: One last thing on the polls, though. They are very consistent. Affordability,
- 6:15Speaker 1: cost of living, war in Iran, almost every poll you
- 6:19Speaker 1: look at, how do the Republicans overcome that?
- 6:23Speaker 2: Well, one other thing, though, about the polling, and it's
- 6:25Speaker 2: been very consistent, and the pollsters admit this, it is
- 6:30Speaker 2: very difficult to get accurate responses from certainly people in
- 6:35Speaker 2: rural areas and people who have been voting for Trump.
- 6:39Speaker 2: That's a question that if they do not ask in
- 6:41Speaker 2: a poll... It is skewed. Who did you vote for
- 6:45Speaker 2: in 2024 for president? Because that is that is much
- 6:48Speaker 2: more reliable than not having that question asked. And that's
- 6:52Speaker 2: one thing I look in polling right away, whether they
- 6:54Speaker 2: ask that question or not. But, yeah, I mean, look,
- 6:58Speaker 2: affordability is no question. I mean, some of the states
- 7:00Speaker 2: I was just in Nebraska, which is very red. And,
- 7:03Speaker 2: you know, they're struggling in the polling. They're going to win,
- 7:06Speaker 2: I think. But, yeah, the affordability issue is a big
- 7:08Speaker 2: it's a big issue. There's no question about it. The
- 7:11Speaker 2: question is whether people want to put a long-term solution
- 7:14Speaker 2: by giving the Democrats power or not.
- 7:17Speaker 3: What were you doing in Nebraska?
- 7:19Speaker 2: Pete Ricketts, the senator there, I was with him for Newsmax,
- 7:22Speaker 2: so we were together for Monday. And, you know, look, again,
- 7:29Speaker 2: Nebraska will come home. At the end of the day,
- 7:31Speaker 2: Pete Ricketts is going to win, but it's tighter than
- 7:34Speaker 2: it should be, at least in the polling. And the
- 7:36Speaker 2: bad part about this is, national republicans have to divert
- 7:40Speaker 2: money so they're pulling the plug in north carolina looks
- 7:42Speaker 2: like they're pulling the plug in georgia and they're sending
- 7:45Speaker 2: that money to other states like texas and michigan and
- 7:48Speaker 2: even kansas which wasn't they haven't voted for a democrat
- 7:51Speaker 2: for senate since the 1930s literally but they're sending money
- 7:55Speaker 2: there to prop up their candidate.
- 7:56Speaker 3: So people can see that out on monday what time.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Do you know i don't i don't know when it's
- 8:00Speaker 2: going to air oh you're bad.
- 8:01Speaker 3: You're really bad at promoting things newsmax is going to
- 8:04Speaker 3: be upset with you rob astorino Host of the Rob
- 8:07Speaker 3: Bastarino Show on WOR, Saturdays, 4 to 5 p.m., and
- 8:11Speaker 3: host of Saturday Agenda, 1 to 3 p.m. on Newsmax.
- 8:14Speaker 3: Go ahead.
- 8:15Speaker 2: It will air tomorrow on my show on Newsmax.
- 8:19Speaker 3: Okay, perfect. Former Westchester County executive.
- 8:21Speaker 2: Thanks, Rob.