Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | Memorial Monday | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/25/26

Transcript

Monday BEST BETS | Memorial Monday | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/25/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chase.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt. Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Down, baby, look at me. No, hold on, hold on
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: nothing night not now. Hold on, hold on and met
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: but it don't.
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: Get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's all? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports. Happy Memorial Day. It is Monday, May twenty fifth.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: Hopefully people are, you know, hanging out with family, have
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: some some cookout food whatever. I'm gonna try to do
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: that with my family here in a bit. But uh,
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: the weather is not great up here in the Northeast,
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: so I don't know. It's a little bit cool. I
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: think the rain is over though. We'll see. We went
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: one on one on the show yesterday. It looked like
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: we're really looked like we were going to and now
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: the under was an easy win with Tampa Bay and
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: the Yankees. It was zero zero into the ninth inning,
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: and I'm just like, please don't let this go into
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: extra I mean, even if it went into extra innings,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: it's highly likely it's still going under. Yankees won the
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: game two and a not thing. I think I think
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: they won in the ninth inning. I don't even know.
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: I wasn't paying attention, but easy under there. Colorado Avalanche
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: had a three to nothing lead. They were the better
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: team in the game statistically, so that looked like, yeah,
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: we're well on our way to a win there, and
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: they completely imploded, blew the game and they lost five
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: to three. There was an empty net goal at the end.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: But yeah, they're gonna lose that series. I mean, that
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: is that is crazy. If they had won that game yesterday,
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: did be back in the series. Not anymore. I can't
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: believe that I thought it was the right play today.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: I don't like the board today. I'm gonna give a
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: one baseball play. I got issues with most of the
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: baseball games, so hopefully the baseball game is gonna be good.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: It's another under, and then I have a play in
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: the hockey game as well. This feels like I'm like,
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I'm mimicking yesterday, like it's very, very similar to yesterday's
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: card that I gave out. I don't know, man, it's
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: just the way that I think it leads me right
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: in the same direction. Let's get into it, man. We
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: have a lot of afternoon baseball here, and my play
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: will be in the afternoon. There is some night baseball
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: as well, but it's Memorial Day, so there is afternoon baseball.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: We have new series beginnings, so we have to factor
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: in the situations here. Cubs in Pittsburgh. This is a
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: game that I was considering playing on the cobs. Here.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is returning home from the road, so you know,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: I always talk about when a team returns home from
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: a road trip, it's a negative spot. Generally they have
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: to get back to home life. It's a distraction. But
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know that Pittsburgh is gonna overlook the Hubs.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of my issue here. This is still
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: a big series. Pittsburgh not used to being good, even
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: though they are in last place in this division, but
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: I think they're probably the third best team in this
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: division in reality. So the Cubs have dominated this division
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: for the most part recent well, it's been them and
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: the Brewers. But I think that will keep Pittsburgh focused
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: potentially at least. Cubs haven't been playing well though, so
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: maybe it is possible to overlook them. But I think
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: that's gonna motivate the Cubs. They've lost eight games in
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: a row. Now, they just got swept at home again
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: by the Houston Astros. What is going on here? I
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: think this is a good spot for the Cubs. Just
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: leave home, go out on the road, start a road trip.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Forget about listening to the media. Like usually it's a
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: good thing when things are going badly at home if
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: you just leave go out on the road, because then
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: you don't have to listen to the media and you know,
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: talking about how the White Sox are better than you
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: are and whatever. Go focus on baseball. So it is
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: a better situation for the Cubs. Cubs have the better
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen as well. Cubs use three bullpen arms. Yesterday Pittsburgh
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: used three as well. Cubs are ranked eighth in bullpen.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: This is a ranked range by Whip. Pittsburgh is twentieth.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: Cubs have the better offense as well. The both teams
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: have hit pretty well. Cubs are sixth. Pittsburgh tenth. Pittsburgh
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: does hit better at home generally though, one of the
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: best home hitting teams. But I do prefer Chicago's starter
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: here as well, So most things for me do line
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: up towards the Cubs here, Like I think, if I
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: was gonna add another play, I would go Cubs money
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: line here full game because they have the better bullpen.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: But I do like Ben Brown, who is on the
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: mound here. He's pitching well this year, but remember most
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: of this is pitching out of the bullpen. Two point
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: zero nine e ra point nine to eight whip. He's
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: got a good era on the road as well, one
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: point five to three. He made a start last time
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: out of give out the under on that game, and
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: it went under, but it was close. It kind of
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: started looking a little bit ugly. But Brown was okay
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: in that game against the Brewers. He wasn't great. He
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: was coming off of two four inning performances where he
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: gave up one hit across both of those outings combined.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Now they're ramping up his pitch count a little bit more,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: getting him a full starter's workload here because the Cubs
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: don't really have an option. But I think Brown is good.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: I think he is more talent than the more talented
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: than what his numbers made it look like last year. Overall,
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: he has a high strikeout rate over one per inning.
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: He's allowed way below one hit per inning. His walk
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: rate is not horrible against Pittsburgh, his numbers are pretty good.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: On twenty three at bats to sixty one batting average allowed,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: that's not that great, but six ninety four oh ps,
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: he's only a lot two extra base hits, both doubles
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: from O'Neale cruise. He's got eight strikeouts three walks against him,
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: So I think brown Ken pitchwell here. He will going
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: up against Carmen Mlodzinsky. I guess my other concern here
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: is that Ludzinski does have the potential to be able
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: to pitch decently here. He's been okay for Pittsburgh three
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: point nine to six ERA, one point four whip is
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: not good, though he's been better at home slightly three
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: point eight ERA at home. He is in good form
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: somewhat right now, except his strikeout rate is really low.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: But he's allowed touring runs or fewer in his last
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: three outings, so that's pretty good, although one of them
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: was against San Francisco one was at home against Colorado.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's not that impressive if he did shut
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: out Saint Louis for five innings last time out, though,
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: and they were a more capable offense than those other
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: two teams. Generally, he's been a bit better this month,
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: though his strike out rate looks like it went down,
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: though his strike out rates not really great over the
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: course of the season. He's a lot more than one
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: hit per inning as well. In his walk rates a
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: little bit high. But it does look like you could
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: argue he's in better form right now, except for the
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: fact he only had one wrikeout last time out. Numbers
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs are maybe they're not as bad as
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: I would like them to be. If I want to
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: back the Cubs here, seventy one at bats against him,
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: he's a lot of three ten average to them, so
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: they have hit him pretty well for contact, but it's
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: almost all singles. They have twenty one singles and one
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: extra base hit off them, So the ops is below
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: seven point fifty seven thirty two. Very very strange numbers.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: Fifteen to eight strike out walk ratio. I'm gonna lean
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: Cubs here, not on my card, and we don't have
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: the percentages. Pregame is completely dead, but wager Talks percentages
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: look like they're not up here either. If I refresh, maybe,
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: but I think this page auto refreshes, so can't really
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: do the market read here. But we can tell you
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: that the Cubs are a slight favorite here. They're below
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty at some books out there, so you
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: get them at a pretty decent price, really, so I
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: would lean to the Cubs in that one. I think
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: you're not gonna find the Cubs. They're a good team, man,
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: You're not gonna find the that this cheap of a
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: price that often, so it might be worth the consideration.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: I think they have the situational edge, the bullpen edge,
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: and I think they have the starting pitching edge as well.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay at Baltimore. Baltimore played two games yesterday. They
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: played the doubleheaders, so they could be a little bit
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: fatigued here, so I think they're in a negative spot
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: for that reason. But they actually didn't use that much
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: of their bullpend yesterday. It looks like they only US
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers. I don't know how that's possible, but
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: I guess that's true. They split by the way, Detroit
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: finally won a game, winning the night winning the night
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: game there, I don't know. After Baltimore won the game
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: in the afternoon. Tampa Bay, I think they're in a
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: negative spot too, though Tampa Bay only is one relief pitcher,
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: so that's good for them. They're bullpen's been really up
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: and down. Tampa Bay is wearing fifteenth, Baltimore eighteenth. I
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: think Tampa is the somewhat better bullpen. Tampa has been
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: the better offense as well. They're eighth in offense, Baltimore fifteenth.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: So Tampa is the better team here, but they're favorite
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: on the road Baltimore. Like I said, they are in
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: a negative spot here because they had to play last night.
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: They played the doubleheader, but they're staying at home so
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: Baltimore doesn't have to travel. Tampa Bay could be in
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: a bit of a hangover here, and that's my issue.
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa Bay's in a negative spot here too.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: They'd won five games in a row and then they
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: lost to the Yankees yesterday in dramatic fashion right at
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: the end of the game in that under game that
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: we had there. So I don't really like the spot
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: for Tampa either. Here. I do think Tampa has the
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: better starting pitcher though as well, so I think Tampa
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: does have the edge in all three phases of the game.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Here if you will. Shane McClanahan is pitching for Tampa.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: He's pitching well. Two point eight two ERA, one point
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: zero five whips. Seems like he's pretty much fully back
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: from missing an entire season plus with injury and surgery.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit more on the road though well,
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: kind of significantly worse three point seventy nine roady I railed,
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: though that's still not bad. He's been pretty good this
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: month overall. He had three shutouts in a row prior
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: to his most recent outing where he allowed four runs
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: to Baltimore, So he actually wasn't that good against Baltimore
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: in his last outing, but I think he got a
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: little bit unlucky because he did have six strikeouts and
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: two walks in that outing. That's a pretty good ratio
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: twenty two to four overall this month, and this month
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: he's allowed way fewer than one hit per inning, so
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give him a little bit of a pass
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: for that, and his numbers must have been good against
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Baltimore going into that game. Because they're still pretty good
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: against them forty six at bats, one ninety six average allowed,
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: six forty four ohps. So I think McClanahan can pitch
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: well here. I actually expect him to do a little
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: bit better than what he did last time out, although
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: I know he's a bit worse on the road. That
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a concern. Bradish is pitching
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: for the Orioles here. Kyle Bradish four point one one
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: three ERA not too bad, but one point five to
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: one whip is definitely bad. You can't put one and
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: a half guys on basin inning man. He is better
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: at home, though, so the home road splits are in
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: favor of him here three point one four ERA. At home,
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: he's actually been decent this month. He has well over
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: one strikeout per inning, well below one hit per inning,
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: and his ERA well. His era's four point zero three,
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: which isn't too bad, but his last three outings he's
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: allowed three or four earned runs in all of them,
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: including a shutout for six innings against the Yankees after
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: he struggled the prior outing against the Yankees, but that's
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: still pretty impressive. His walk number has been high though
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: this month. He's walked three or more. And if you
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: go back to last month, really, if you go over
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: the course of the entire season, he's walked three or
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: more in all but two outings. That's not good. Man.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: He did face Tampa last time out as well, give
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: up two earned runs and five and a third innings,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: walk three guys in that outing and had six strikeouts.
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: So both starting pitchers just faced these opposing lineups. I
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: don't know how much that matters. I mean, I talk
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: about like unfamiliarity, but yeah, I think it'll give the
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: hitters a little bit of an advantage, maybe that they
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: just saw these pictures. But these pictures, especially Bradish, are
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: already pretty familiar to the opposing lineups. Bradish has fifty
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: four at bats against Tampa. He's done pretty well against them,
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: two forty one batting average, allowed seven h six ozhops
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: fourteen to six strikeout walk ratio against them. It's a
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: tough call here. The totals low seven and a half.
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: I think, you know, if you consider the fact that
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: both teams might be in negative spots here, and if
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: it affects the team's team wide, that can make the
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: hitting worse potentially on both sides. So, and the fact
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: that the total is low. I think first five under
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: does make some sense here, even though I know I
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: don't really think I trust Bradish with all of his
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: walk issues. Tampa is favored, and probably rightfully so, especially
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: because Baltimore played two games yesterday. Tampa is at about
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty or so here. I don't think I
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: would really disagree with Tampa here. I think I would
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: probably lean that way. First five under does make some sense,
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: though that might be the way that I would lean
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit more strongly here, but I don't want
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: to play the game. You're probably looking at about a
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: three and a half there, but I could see both
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: pitchers doing all right here and the hitters being fatigued.
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of the way I look at that game. Kyle,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Thanks for coming back. Man.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: What is it like to be busy at work? I
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: have no idea. Next game up is Minnesota at the
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: White Sox. White Sox are in a bad spot right
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: off the bat. They're returning home from the Pacific Coast,
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: even though they lost the last two games pretty badly
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: to the Giants, which isn't good. But you know, I
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: talk about this when a team returns home from the road,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: especially crossing time zones. Usually it's not a good situation.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: You have to get back to home life. It could
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: be a bit of a distract. The only thing that
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: might help Chicago here is that they are in a
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: two game losing streak and they are playing a divisional
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: series against a hot Minnesota team. So maybe that will
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: keep the White Sox somewhat focus here. But I think
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: it is a negative spot for them. Minnesota's won four
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: games in a row, They've won six of their last seven.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: They just swept the Red Sox, which is some bullshit.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: The Red Sox had chances really to win all three
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: of those games. The Red Sox should have won the
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: first game, maybe not so much. The other two really
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: really pathetic. But now, yeah, Minnesota, So the situation I
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: think is in favor of Minnesota here, though, I think
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: there's no question about that. Bullpen wise, both of these
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: bullpens are bad. I do not like either one of them.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Minnesota use a lot of their relief arms yesterday, it
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: was a save situation. I'm pretty sure whatever. They use
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: almost their entire bullpen yesterday. The White Sox used a
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: lot as well. They used four, So definitely want to
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: look to fade these bullpens, I would say, and whatever
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: you want to do here or avoid them. The White
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: Sox twenty fifth in bullpen, Minnesota twenty seventh. Pretty bad
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: hitting wise, both teams have been alright. The White Sox
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: are ninth right now in Minnesota thirteenth Zebi map. He
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: was just pitching for Minnesota though, Zebulon. He's pitched well
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: so far and two starts this season. Man, his career
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: might be taking off a little bit. He's got a
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: one point three eighty ra point seven to seven whip.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: He's only pitching at home so far though, he hasn't
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: pitched it on the road yet. But he was really
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: good in both outings. He has an eleven to one
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio, nine hits a lo out in thirteen innings.
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: Those are both home starts against Miami and Houston. Houston's
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: a pretty good offense. Miami maybe not so much, but
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: still pretty impressive stuff. Zebbi is pitching pretty well here
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: and he's been decent against the White Sox except for
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: the power numbers. He's got twenty one at bats in
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: his career against them. They only have five hitters who
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: have faced him. He's selling them to a one to
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: ninety average. But seven eighty five, ops, because Montgomery and Quero,
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: that sounds querio. Oh Caro, I think it's Caro, caroh.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: They both Yo Kierro Taco Bell. They both have a
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: home run off him, is what I was trying to say.
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: So Ops is a little bit high. Seven eighty five.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: But Matthews looks like he's better right now than he
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: ever has been. He's got a three to two strike
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio against him. Do with that information what
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: you want, But I think Matthews is going to pitch
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: well here. He looks like he's in good form right now.
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: The White Sox really don't have that much experience against him.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: White Sox could be in, you know, a distracted hitting
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: spot here as well. As I already mentioned, Anthony Kaye
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: is pitching for the White Sox. He's been better than
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: you would think, but his whip is pretty bad. He's
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: got a four point two seventy ray that's not too bad.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: One point four or five whip is not good though.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: He's better at home though, three point six' eight homeye,
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: iray this is kind of my concern with playing the Playing.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: Minnesota to, hear my concern would really be THE k
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: has actually been pitching okay. Recently he's got a two
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: point one ONE era this. Month he's allowed two or
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs in all of those. Outings granted a
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: couple of starts In San diego In seattle those are
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly, parks but still he's been pretty good nineteen
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: to eight strike out walk ratio this. Month the walk
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: number a little bit high over the course of the.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Season his strikeout rate is pretty low. Though on his
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: walk rate is definitely. High hit rate is fine below
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: one per, inning but, yeah over the course of the,
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: season he's definitely been walk. Heavy But minnesota actually has
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: basically never seen. Him Only Josh bell has ever faced. Him,
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: Well caroten he has listed here as, well but with no,
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: stats SO i don't know what that, means like maybe
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: he hit him with a pitch or something THING i don't.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Know Josh bell Was oh for oh with a walk
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: off him as, well BUT k is pretty unfamiliar To minnesota.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't THINK i really TRUST k, THOUGH i,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: mean his whip is still way too. High he's thirty
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: one years old and a converted. Reliever it's not like
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: all of a sudden at thirty, one with you, know
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: not that much starting, experience you all of a sudden become,
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: good you know WHAT i? Mean SO i do Lean
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: minnesota in this. Game the bullpen is definitely a, Concern
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: so first five innings could make some sense if you
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: want to just isolate the starting pitching matchup here and
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: put your money on. Zebulon they got A they're about
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: a minus one ten favorite or so, here so it's
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: basically just pick the. WINNER i don't know what the
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: price first. Five you might pay a little bit of
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: a bigger price though For minnesota because their bullpen is
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: definitely not considered to be. Good but first Five minnesota
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: makes some sense to. Me good situation AND i think
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: maybe they'll starting pitching edge is, there BUT i don't
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: know if it's strong enough to put that on my
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: card or. Anything there might be some argument for a
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: first five under as, well if you think k can
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: kind of pitch, Okay kay can pitch, okay he might
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: be able. TO i, mean nobody knows who these pitchers, Are,
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: like there's no way the public's gonna be wanting to
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: play an under. Here the totals at eight and a.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: Half first, five you're probably looking at about a four,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: here maybe actually four and a, Half maybe maybe four
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: because the oddsmakers know how bad these bullpends. Are but
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: first five inning under does make some sense in that
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: game as. Well, gerald what's? Up thanks for hanging. Out,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: YEAH i THINK i had the hockey game. RIGHT i haven't.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: LOST i hadn't lost a playoff hockey game in quite a.
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: WHILE i Think i'm like ten to three in the
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: playoff hockey so, far something like. That there might have
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: been a push in there at one point. TOO i don't.
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: Know i'd have to go back and, look BUT i
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: had not lost a hockey play for a. While i'm
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: gonna give one out, today hopefully it. Wins Saint louis At. Milwaukee.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee they're coming up a big series against The, dodgers
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: but they're staying at, home and they did lose the
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: last two, games SO i don't. Know you could make
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: the argument it's a hangover spot for them coming off
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: a big, series but maybe. Not they're playing Against Saint,
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: louis who is right behind them in the. Standings even
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i really don't Think Saint louis is that. Good,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: Still i'm going to continue to say That Saint louis is,
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: rested though they had a weird series Against cincinnati where
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: it was supposed to be a three game series but
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: they only played on one day On. Saturday they played
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: a doubleheader On, Saturday, friday was rained, out two games On,
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: saturday and then yesterday was rained, out very very strange a.
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: Situation But Saint louis rested yesterday and now they're coming Into,
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: milwaukee so they have a little bit of a rest
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: advantage here Over. Milwaukee milwaukee used two relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: milwaukee is still the better bullpen Though Saint louis twenty
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: second in. Bullpen milwaukee is, fourteenth but they do have
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: a pretty good era. There, Offensively Saint louis has been
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: fairly good at. Twelve brewers are. Seventeenth brewers are definitely
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: climbing the ranks THOUGH i think they probably actually are
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: the better hitting. Team Matthew libertare is going For Saint louis.
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: Here he's not that. Good four point seventy ray one
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: point five to five whip is clearly too. High you
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: can't put one and a half guys on basin, inning, Man,
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, say we're more than that in this. Case
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: he's better on the road, though four point zero nine
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: road Ray for whatever, reason even Though Saint louis is
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: kind of a pitcher friendly, park he hasn't been that.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: Good in his last two. Outings he gave up four
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: and runs in each of, them multiple walks in each of.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: Them although this month he has a decent strikeout walk
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: ratio sort of still too many, walks but a high
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate twenty four to nine this month and twenty
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: one and the third. Innings but he's also allowed more
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: than one hit per. Inning some thing's not to like.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: HERE i, mean that's sort of what he's done all.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: Season his strikeout rate is actually lower than that on the.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: Season he's not really that big of a strike up.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: Pitcher his walk rate is too. High he's allowed a
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: decent amount of home runs as, well and more than
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: one hit per. Inning THIS i don't, know, MAN i
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: just don't think we could Trust libertaire. Here his numbers
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: are good Against, milwaukee, though in fifty five at bats
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: to eighteen batting average allowed five eighty eight to OH
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: ps fifteen to five strike out walk. Ratio so this
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: might be a decent matchup for him at the very.
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: Least it fits into his home road, splits and he
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: has a decent matchup history. Here but he's gonna have
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: to Outpitch Jacob, mizierowski which is probably not even. POSSIBLE
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: i mean it's, possible but highly. Unlikely mizierowski, duty you,
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, mean he might. Be he might be a
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: threat to win the Cy young and THE. Nl, dude
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: he's got a one point eight to NINETY ra point
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: eighty eight. Whip he's been. Insane he's a little bit
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: worse at, home but two point zero FOUR era not.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: Exactly he's allowed no runs this entire month in four,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: starts including starts Against, washington The, yankees and The, cubs
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: who all hit pretty. Well thirty seven to five strike
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio and nine hits allowed this month and
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: twenty four to third. Innings you, KNOW i, mean if
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: he's getting his wildness under, control he's completely. Dominant. Dude
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: his numbers this season are. RIDICULOUS i think he has
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: the highest strikeout rate in baseball eighty eight strikeouts and
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: fifty seven innings well below one hit alloud per, inning
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: he's almost. Untouchable his walk number is not really high. Either,
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: yeah there's not a lot to dislike here at. All
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: his numbers Against Saint louis are also good and thirty
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: three at bats to twelve average, allowed six thirty one
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: ops eight four strike out walk ratio is not that good,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: though too many. Walks but he looks like he's getting
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: that under. Wraps but if you want, him you got
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: to pay a huge. Price they're like minus two thirty
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: minus two, twenty and you, Know i'm still not sure
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: about the situation. Here Saint louis is rested. Here totals
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: really low at seven and a, half so the oddsmakers
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: are kind of expecting both pitchers to actually do well.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: HERE i would not Trust Saint louis's, bullpen, though if
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: you want to play into you, know like if the
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: gauge on the game Is mizierowski should do really well
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: here because that's basically what he always. Does libratory has
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: a decent matchup at least you can make the argument
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: for a first five under. HERE i think you're teetering
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: on the edge, though Like libratory could give it up
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: per man BUT i don't want to pay this price
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: For milwaukee. EITHER i just don't really see that much
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: of a way to attack this. Game you, know first
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: five under is potentially a way to do, it but
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: it seems pretty dangerous to. Me and it's probably about
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: a three and a half there if you're doing. That
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: yankees and At Kansas city will be my one play
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: here on the baseball. BOARD i Know i'm going to
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Another yankees game, here And i'm a little bit worried
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: about this because this total is so, high But i'm
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: gonna go first five under four and a half, here
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: which you can find it even. Money the oddsmakers are
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: kind of signaling they think this is gonna be a
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: high scoring, game But i'm looking at this pitching matchup
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: And i'm, LIKE i don't really think, so. Dude we
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: got the undercorrector with The yankees. Yesterday yankees are now
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: on the, road so they're traveling here To Kansas. City
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: although sometimes that's a positive, spot like you're focus to
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: start a road, trip but The yankees could be in
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: somewhat of a letdown spot as. Well they're coming up
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: of a Big Al east series Against Tampa, bay who
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: is like their only threat right now in The American
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: league pretty, much so that was big for The. Yankees
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: yankees hit way better at home than they do on the.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: Road they have the biggest home road offensive splits in,
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Baseball like they score almost two runs lower on the
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: road right. NOW i think part of it is because
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: they're scoring at home is so high, though so it's
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: not like they're a bad offense on the, road but
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: they're definitely worse on the road than they are at.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: HOME i Know Kansas city is no longer a really
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly ballpark because they moved the walls, in but
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: still the total being at nine here just seems crazy to.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: Me looking at the, Bullpens yankees pretty. Rested they rested
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: everybody On saturday BECAUSE i think there was a rain,
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: out and Then sunday, yesterday the only these two relief
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: pitchers because they won the. GAME i think in the
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: bottom of the. Ninth Kansas city doesn't have a very good,
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: bullpen which is Why i'm going first five. Here Kansas
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: city only these three relief pitchers yesterday, though And saturday
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: they didn't use, any SO i considered full game on.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: This if you want to go full game under you
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: could do that getting the under, nine BUT i worry
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: about a Potential Kansas city bullpen implosion, here So i'm
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: focusing on just the starting. Pitching BUT i wouldn't really
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: disagree with the full game either under that key number.
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: Nine But Kansas city's twenty sixth than bullpen that worries.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Me The yankees bullpen does not concern me as. Much
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: they're at. Twelve, offensively The yankees are number. Three obviously
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: they can. Hit royals have not been very good. Recently
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: theyre twentieth right. Now but look at the starting pitching.
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: Matchup this is, not you, know a matchup of name pitchers,
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: here even Though walk and you know he's been around for,
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: forever but he's not like a high heat, pitcher so
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: people don't REALLY i think he's just consistently. Underrated Man Will,
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: WARREN i think just goes under the radar as. Well
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: he's pitching for The. Yankees he's having a good season
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: though three point six ONE, era one point one to Eight.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: Whip he's actually been better on the road this year as,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: well two point eight to One Roady, ray whereas last
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: year he actually was significantly worse on the, road but
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: this year that has not been the, case so he's
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: actually in the better of his home road splits this.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: Year he's been a little bit worse over his last
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: couple of, outings that's, true but still this month he
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: has a two twenty five to six strikeout walk ratio
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: and fewer the one hit all up per. Inning so
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: the fact he has a five point one four this,
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: MONTH i think it's a little bit. Misleading and it
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: was one bad start at home Against texas that's kind
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: of throwing everything off. Here he's bounced back and he's
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: been pretty much fine since, then three or fewer earned
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: runs and the other two starts after. That he did
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: Face Kansas city earlier this year in The, bronx and
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: it was one of his best starts of the. Season
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: he had eleven strikeouts and no walks in that. One
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: went seven innings to horn, runs a lot of five.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: Hits and we don't need him to be quite that
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: good here like we. Did we need him to be
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: around to horn runs allowed, though, yes, obviously but he
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: did that in seven innings last time out of. Here
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: rolling the concern with the first five where he's probably
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: gonna be at his best over the course of the,
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: Season he's got a good strikeout, rate way over one per,
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: inning fewer than one hit per, inning and his walk
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: rates not that. High so he's been. Good and as
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: you probably would, expect he does good numbers against The,
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: royals which include that last, start but it's more than.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: That he's got forty at bats against, them fourteen to
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: one strike out walk. RATIO i know a lot of
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: that was that one, OUTING i, know but he's held
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: him to a two hundred batting average five to seventy.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: Ops so he's pitched well against them in multiple outings
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: where he's faced. THEM i think he could definitely do it.
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: Again he's going up Against Michael walk The battle of The.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: W's walker's ben solid, dude two point SEVENTY, rra one
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: point zero THREE. Whip he's been a little bit better
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: at home two point four to three home E. Ra
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: throughout his, career he's been better at. Home he did
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: just take a home will not take a home. Loss
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: he was not the pitcher of record in the, game
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: but The Red sox won against The royals in his last,
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: start but he only allowed one earned run in six
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: innings in that, start so he was obviously good this.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: Month he's gone six or more innings in every one
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: of his, Outings he's allowed three or fewer earned runs
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: in every one of. Them twenty two to six strike
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio with way below one hit in seventeen
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: hits in twenty six. Innings he's definitely pitching well right.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: Now he's in. Form he's not a huge strikeout. Guy
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is not horribly low er, anything though
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: he's allowed way below one hit per inning on the.
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: Season his walk rate is slightly, high but not. Horrible
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: it looks worse because his strike out rate is lower
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: And waka against The yankees does have good. Numbers in
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty six at, bats he's held in
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: to a one forty. Average that is difficult to. Do,
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: man there are only a couple pitchers in the league
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: that have this big of a sample size against The
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: yankees and numbers that are this. Good it's basically Just
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: waka And Nathany. Yvaldi maybe there are some other Guys i'm,
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: forgetting but, yeah one forty batting average allowed four to
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: sixty six ops allowed forty five to sixteen strike out walk. Regime,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: again that could be, better but his strike out rate
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: tends to be a little bit. Low that's just the
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: way that he. Pitches and he did face The yankees
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: in that series in The bronx earlier this. Season he
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: pitched pretty well in that one as. Well he went six,
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: innings held him to turn runs on three, hits although
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: he walked three guys in the outing six, strikeouts but
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: he still pitched well in that one as. WELL i
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: think he sets up to pitch well. AGAIN i know
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: he pitched over one hundred pitches in his last, outing
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: but the last time he did that earlier this, season
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: he pitched well after. That in, fact both other times
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: he topped one hundred pitches this, season he threw a
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: shutout in the next, game won an eight inning shutout
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: against The White, sox and the other one a seven inning.
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: Shutout oh, no, sorry the other one was no my.
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Mistake the other one was a seven, inning two earned
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: run performance Against, cleveland my. Mistake but still he pitched
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: well after both of those one hundred pitch. Outings we're
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: going under the total in the first five. Year that's
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: my only baseball. Play yankees royals under four and a
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: half first five innings even. Money, AGAIN i am worried,
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: though because the oddsmakers are kind of signaling they think
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be a higher scoring, game BUT i
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: don't really see. It so that's the WAY i want
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: to play the, game all. Right cincinnati at The. Mets
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: mets are returning over from a road, trip but they
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: were on The East coast in all divisional. Games THAT
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: i think mitigates the return home spot a little. Bit
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: but they still are returning home from the. Road they
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: went To washington and then At miami and. Again when
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: a team returns home from the, road a lot of
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: times it is a distraction. Spot you have to get
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: back to home. Life. Whatever they got swept By, miami
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: BUT i still think it is a negative spot generally
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: in the return home, spot SO i will still consider
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: it negative. Here cincinnati was off yesterday because their game
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: got rained out Against Saint, louis So cincinnati has a
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: little bit of a rest edge. Here but their bullpen
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: is also. Bad The mets did use four relief pitchers, yesterday,
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: though so that does kind of negate that a little.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Bit The mets are ninth in bullpen though The reds
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: are ranked dead, last but they're actually. Not they're tied
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: With houston and The angels with the WORST, whip but
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: The reds have the BEST era out of those, three
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: so The reds are third worst but still twenty eighth
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: is not. Good but they're, rested so there's a little
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: bit less of a gap between the bullpens with the
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: current rest. Situation still The mets with a better, bullpen
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: Though mets hitting wise are still dead last, thirtieth really.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: Bad The reds are, fourteenth which is not too. Bad
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: they've been hitting better, recently but they're going to A
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: they're going out on the road here. Man. Now usually
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: when you start a road, trip you are, focused LIKE i,
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: say to start the road. Trip their bats might not
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: do as well in city, field, though whereas they tend
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: to hit pretty well in their home, environment which is
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: hit her. Friendly Nick lodolo is getting the start for The.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: Reds he just came back from injury a couple starts,
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: ago and he has not been very good so. Far
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: seven point TWO, era one point five to THREE. Whip
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: his overall career numbers suggests that he should start pitching
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: better than this at some. Point he's been better on
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: the road so far four point seven to six. Roadyr
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: he's actually made three starts and he is trending in
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: the right direction sort, of and that his. Better like
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: the best of his starts was the last one Against
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: philadelphia on the, road but he also walked five in that,
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: one so that is not. Good and only struck out
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: three eleven to nine overall strikeout walk ratio in fifteen.
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Innings that's not gonna do. It, man plus four home
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: runs allowed fourteen nits isn't that. Bad but the rest
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: of these numbers definitely concerning low ish strikeout, rate high walk,
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: rate a lot of home. Runs he's not in good
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: form right. Now, man, still SO i worry About lodolo
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: for that. Reason LIKE i think just that alone kind
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: of takes fading The mets off the. Table. Here his
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: numbers against The mets are not bad, though in twenty
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: three at bats two seventeen average allowed seven to fifty
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: eight ops eight to one strike out walk. Ratio that's fairly.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Good THE ops is a little bit. High but the
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: other thing that takes them fading The mets off the,
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: TABLE i think Is nolan McLain is pitching for The.
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: Mets he's been good three point five to seven E
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: ra one point zero three whip a little bit better
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: at home three point three Homey. Ra he wasn't good
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: in his last outing, though The nationals really knocked him
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: around a. Bit but that was one bad. Start Like
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: he's pitched really well the rest of the, season so
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: you have to kind of gauge is he actually falling
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: out of form right now or was that just a
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: fluke bad. Start i'm gonna go with the ladder right.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: NOW i think that was more of a fluke because
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: he's allowed three or fewer earned runs and all the
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: rest of his outings this, season his strike out rate
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: is way above one per, inning way below one hit
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: a lout per inning in his walk rates not really
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: that bad, Either So i'm gonna lean towards him pitching
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: well again. Here and The reds only have one hitters
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: faced Him Suarez Eugenio suarez zero for two of the
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: strikeout off of. Him Uh SO i don't really want
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: to fade McLain. Here, man it's a bad situation for
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: The mets with the pitching matchup seems to favor The.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: METS i know their bullpen is not, rested so the
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen situation is not as advantageous as you would think
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: the total seven and a. Half so the oddsmakers are
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: really kind of indicating they think both pitchers are gonna
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: do well. Here i'm not so sure about. That maybe
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: because The mets offense is so, bad Maybe Lodolo ken
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: actually stifle them a little bit. HERE i could see
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: the argument for, it BUT i would go if you're
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: gonna go, Under i'd probably go. First. FIVE i don't
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: want The reds, bullpen even though they are. Arrested mets
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: bullpen unrested right, now maybe not the greatest situation to
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: play their. Bullpen The mets side is about minus one fifty.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: Five given what the situation is the return home, SPOT
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: i don't THINK i would want to lay a price like,
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: that even though they do have a matchup edge with
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching and possibly still the. Bullpen But i'm
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: staying away from. It arizona At San. Francisco San francisco
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: is staying at. Home they just beat The White sox
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: two games in a. Row Arizon zona is starting a
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: road trip off of a couple of wins Against. Colorado
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: So arizona's starting a road trip with. Momentum usually that
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: is a focused. SPOT i think both teams will be
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: focused though it's a divisional. Series you, Know arizona used
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: one relief pitcher, yesterday so their bullpen sets up fairly well.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: Here San francisco used, four so Normally arizona would be
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: the lesser. Bullpen even THOUGH i know they're ranked third
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: in bullpen. WHIP i know their eerra is still not
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: good Though San francisco has a considerably better bullpen erra
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: by almost a, run SO i think they are the better,
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: bullpen but they're less. Rested they're ranked thirteenth in. Bullpen
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: the BULLPENS i think are kind of even in this.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: GAME i would say given all of. That having to
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: consider all of, That arizona's ranked eleventh in. Offense San
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: francisco is bad at twenty, sixth So arizona is the better.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: Offense Merril kelly pitching For arizona. Here he came back
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: from injury. Man he had a really rough start this,
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: season but he is starting to turn it. Around kelly
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: has been pretty decent throughout his, career SO i think
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: he is better than. These overall numbers suggests five point
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: seven to one E, ray one point five to one
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: whip that's not, good but there's a reason why he's
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: sticking in the. Rotation, man he's a veteran who's had
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: a good. Career he's not really like a high velocity
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: type of pitcher, either SO i don't think he's just
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: gonna completely drop off a cliff. Either he's got a
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: decent roady ray all things, considering, well it's not, good
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: but five point three to two is better than his
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: home the ra which kind of makes sense Because dback's
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: home stadium is pretty difficult to pitch In San francisco
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: is much more pitcher. Friendly he's won three starts in a,
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: row so he has started pitching. Better he's alloted three
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: or four earned runs in all of. Them he's got
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: at least six innings in all of. Them he has
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: a thirteen to three strike at walk ratio over that.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: Span Sole kelly has definitely hit his groove. Here he's
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: pitching way better right. Now it was against bad offenses
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: The Mets, colorado but in course, field so that's a good.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: Sign it was a complete game for, him the first
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: of his, career and he didn't really have a letdown after.
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: That the most recent game was Against San, Francisco AND
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: i know he's facing them, now But San francisco is
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: very familiar with them, anyway SO i don't think that really.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: Matters and, yes they are a week, offense but he's
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: facing them again. Today but, YEAH i mean the fact
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: That San francisco just saw, HIM i don't think that's gonna. Matter,
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: LIKE i don't think it's gonna be that much of
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: an advantage to them because they've seen him a lot
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: here Against San. FRANCISCO i have to, keep you, know
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: updating this. YEAR espn doesn't do it on its. Own.
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: Man his numbers are not good Against San francisco, though
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: believe it or, Not even though he pitched well against
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: them in that last, start ninety three at bats against,
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: them two ninety batting, average eight to seventy two oh.
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: Ps even though he has a pretty good twenty to
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: three strikeout walk ratio against, them he's been very hittable against,
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: them so that's not. Good so he might not have
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: the greatest matchup. Here San francisco is going with Landon.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: Roupe he's been pretty good three point two to SEVENTY,
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: ra one point one to five. Whip he's not as
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: good at home, though for whatever, reason even though it's
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly stadium four point two to two home
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: ra he pitched in that series At, arizona he pitched.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: Well he went six, innings loved one and, run three,
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: strikeouts no, walks seven, Strikeouts so he kind of came
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: back into form with that start because he struggled in
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: his previous. Start but it was AGAINST la The, dodgers
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: so maybe give him a pass for. That ralp is
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: having a pretty good season. Overall he's got more than
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: one strikeout per, inning way below one hit ale out per,
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: inning walk rates a little bit high though he throws
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: a lot of breaking pitches that drop down out of the.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: Zone wants guys to kind of chase them in. Whatever
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: ralp Against arizona does not have good, numbers, though even
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: though he just pitched well against. Them thirty nine at,
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: bats three thirty three, average eight seventy nine, ohps six
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: to two H i got walk. Ratio given that both these,
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: PITCHERS i don't think it's that much of advantage and
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: advantage to the hitters, really but given the bold pitchers
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: did just face these, offenses they did just both pitch,
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: well and they both actually have bad matchup numbers, here
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: there is an argument to be made to go over this. Total,
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: here the total seven and a. HALF i don't Trust arizona's.
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: Bullpen San francisco used a lot of their bullpen arms,
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: yesterday so given that the oddsmakers threw that up at
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: seven and a, half there's not a lot of leeway.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: There BUT i know it's the oddsmakers telling you they
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: think this is going to be a pitching, duel, though
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: SO i would worry about. It but there are SOME
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: i see an argument to be had for an over
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: in this game, though and maybe that would even be
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: the way THAT i would actually approach the. Game BUT
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: i don't want to actually make that a. Play, plus
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: you're going against what the odds makers are signaling to,
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: you WHICH i don't really want to, do even THOUGH
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: i KNOW i am kind of doing that in my actual.
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: Play but that's just the way THAT i see. It
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: Man washington At. Cleveland cleveland is returning home from a road.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: Trip they went To detroit And, philadelphia so it's not
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: the worst road trip to return. From but they did
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: really well on the road. Trip they only lost one.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: Game they went six and one on the road. Trip
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: so could be a little bit of a let down here.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: Potentially and it's still a road trip, return so you've
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: been away from, home you got things to do at, Home,
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: like are you really gonna pay that much attention to
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: The Washington? Nationals possibly, not Especially cleveland has a big
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: padding in The Al central right, now they might be
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: feeling pretty good about. Themselves washington's not a very good team,
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: Though washington coming into this game they could be in
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot too, though Because washington just Beat atlanta
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: the last two games of that, series so that was
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: big For washington Beating atlanta twice like. That as a
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: big underdog on the, Road washington could be in a
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: letdown here as. Well SO i think it's a bad
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: spot for both. Teams cleveland does have the better, bullpend
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: but they used four relief pitchers. Yesterday washington and also
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: use four, though And washington's bullpen is clearly. Worse they
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: are twenty Fourth cleveland is, tenth So cleveland definitely does
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen edge. Here washington is the better offense
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: at fourth fourth, overall yes in the, OPS i should,
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: say And cleveland is, eighteenth which isn't that. Bad But
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: washington is the better. Offense on the, surface this looks
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: like a big pitching edge Towards cleveland here Because Zach
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: lttel is pitching For. Washington he has not been good
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: five point eighty THREE, era one point four to FIVE.
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been a little bit worse on the road
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: as well six point one to one ROAD, era but
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: he's been sneakily pitching a little bit better this month
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: with a two point five to FIVE. Era hasn't a
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: lot more than two earned runs and any, outing but
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: he did face The mets last time. Out he Faced,
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: baltimore who isn't exactly a great. Offense neither Is, miami
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: so the only good offense he faced this month Is,
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: milwaukee and he only went three to two thirds innings
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: in that. One most of these starts were. Limited he
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone more than exactly five innings in any of these,
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: outings and he only has seven strikeouts in seventeen or
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: two thirds, innings so he's not fooling. Anybody he's not
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: striking anybody, out although he didn't walk that. Many four
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: walks thirteen hits. Allowed those numbers are pretty good over
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: the course of the. Season though he's allowed more than
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: one hit per, inning which isn't. Good his walk rate
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: is somewhat. High he's allowed fifteen home, runs which is
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: probably the most this entire, like that's probably the most
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: any pitcher is, ALLOWED i would, Imagine so that's pretty,
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: bad and his strikeout rate is. LOW i don't really Trust,
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: lattel ALTHOUGH i think his matchup numbers are actually not
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: bad here Against. Cleveland, cleveland you, KNOW i don't think
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: their offense is that. Good lattel actually is pretty good
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: against them in thirty eight at, bats two to eleven batting,
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: average six eighteen, obs eight to two strikeout walk. Ratio
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: so there is a Chance lattel does pitch well. HERE i,
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: mean he's at least been in better form for him
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: and does have match up. Numbers. Year Tanner biby is
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: getting the start For. Cleveland he's actually pitching, well even
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: though his record looks. Terrible he's going opposite of what
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: he did last. Year like last, year he wasn't really
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: as good like numbers wise last, year but he was
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: getting so much run, supporting Like cleveland was winning every
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: game that he. Pitched this, year he's pitching better than
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: that and he's getting no run, support and they're losing
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: every game that he. Pitches it's, ridiculous but that's not his.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: Fault he's got a three point seventy FIVE, era one
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: point two to five whip pretty. Good he's good at
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: home to two point one home hera way better at
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: home than on the road this. Year this, month he's
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: been pretty. Good three point two EIGHTY ra this. Month
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: last three, outings he's allowed three or four earned, runs
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: and all of them he's got six or more innings
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: than all of. Them twenty to seven strike out walk
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: ratio this month isn't, great but it could be. Worse
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: that's not that. Bad and seventeen hits allout in twenty
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: four to two thirds. Innings low hit rate, there although
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: has not backed him. Up, really they've lost three out
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: of four of those games because they either couldn't hit
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: or their bullpen blew, it which was the case with
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: The cincinnati. GAME i think over the course of the,
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: season though his strikeout rate is kind of, down it's
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: lower than you would want out of by being his
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: walk rate is a bit, high so those numbers are
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: still concerning on the, season but he hasn't allowed that
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: many hits. Either, OVERALL i think he is pretty, decent
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: though he will be Facing washington. Here they are a decent.
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: Offense his numbers are decent against, them though they only
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: have five hitters who have ever faced. Him seventeen hits
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: or seventeen at bats excuse, me four, hits no extra base,
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: hits four, strikeouts no, walks two thirty five average four
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: to seventy one. OHPS biby does match up pretty well.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: Here you, KNOW i don't Want cleveland in a return
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: home spot, though SO i DON'T i think that Takes
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: cleveland off the. Table but it's, like you, KNOW i
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: want to. Fade these teams return to go from road,
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: trips so they're never in a good enough spot to
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: do it. AGAIN i think maybe the one team that
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: you actually want to do it with would be Fading
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: pittsburgh today with The. Cubs that's the one THAT i
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: like the. Best but this, GAME i mean the totals at,
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: eight it's gone down a little bit from eight and a.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: Half it seems like some of the money is signaling
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: under in this. GAME i could see the argument for.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: IT i THINK i would go first five under because
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: the bullpens are kind of unrested, here AND i don't
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: trust watching his bullpen at. All under first five might
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: might actually work in This Washington cleveland. Game cleveland seems
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: to play a lot of low scoring games at. Home
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: biby's in the better of his home road. Splits lattel,
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: sucks but he's been at least a little bit better
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: and does have good matchup numbers, here And biby is
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: in decent form right. Now his matchup numbers are okay as.
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: Well so that's HOW i look at that, Game dirty,
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: sock what's? Up thanks for hanging, out. Dude, yeah it's
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: definitely sucks to have a play that lost the way
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: that That avalanche play. Lost my only saving grace for
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: me is THAT i THAT i picked The Golden knights
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: to win The Western conference in my. Bracket although The
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: President's trophy curse is real, Though, MAN i don't know
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: it's a. Thing all. Right i'm gonna USUALLY i take
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: a break with with about five games, left but there
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: there's one fewer game Because detroit and, uh who is?
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: It detroit And anaheim are both off. Today uh they,
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: don't they. Don't they don't, celebrate or maybe they're the
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: only teams that do Celebrate Memorial, day all, Right i'll
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: Do philadelphia At San. Diego San diego staying at. Home
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: they lost yesterday to The, a's but they had already
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: won the. Series philadelphia is traveling cross, country and you
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: KNOW i warned about. That So philadelphia is starting a
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: road trip and they just played poorly at. Home so
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: that's somewhat of a. Positive, like when you've lost four
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: out of your last five games at, home one of
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: the best things you can do is to go out
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: on the. Road and by the, way the only win
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: they had in that span was the WINNER i gave
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: out On saturday with The Zach wheeler. Game in the first,
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: five they won that. Game but, yeah like, generally leaving
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: home is a good. Thing when you're playing badly at,
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: home go out on the, road focus on. Baseball AND
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: i Think philadelphia is an undervalue team right, now probably
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i think they're better than their record, looks AND
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: i Think San diego is worse than their record. Looks
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: so from that, perspective you might want to be looking
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: for some spots in this series to potentially play The.
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: PHILLIES i don't know if this is going to be, it,
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: though because you, KNOW i warned about traveling across the
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: country like that could still be a. Negative it can
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: affect you're, hitting you're, Timing it throws off your biological.
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: Clock the one good thing For, philly, though is that
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: this is a six Forty eastern, Game so they're not
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: playing one of those late Night West coast. Games you,
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: know they're playing a normal. Night they're playing at a
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: normal time at night for, Them like this is an
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: afternoon game on The pacific, coast you know WHAT i.
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: Mean so from their biological clocks, perspective it's like they're
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: playing a night game back on The East. Coast SO
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: i don't think that's gonna throw them off that. Much
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: so that's, good and THAT'S i think that's the only
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: game where that's kind of the case. Here, yeah there
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: were some weird start times. Today as far as the
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: bullpens are, Concerned San diego has the better. Bullpen they
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: use three relief pitchers, yesterday but basically all their better
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: relievers are available, today Though philadelphia used. Three philadelphia's bullpen
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: is not. Bad they're. Sixteenth they're like a mediocre. Bullpen
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: San diego's ringing. Fifth they are definitely one of the
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: better bullpens, Offensively San diego's really. Struggled they are twenty
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: ninth out of. Thirty philadelphia not much better at twenty,
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: fourth tied with The Red. Sox Red sox moved up
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: offensively and lost all three. Games what the, fuck, Dude
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: it's like The Red sox pitching has been carrying the
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: team to the record that they. Have it's not even.
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: Good then The Red sox hitting starts doing, well and
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: what happens they're pitching doesn't do. Well what the fuck.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: Dude but, Anyway, PHILLY i think their offense is definitely
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: better Than San, diego so they think both teams have
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: room for improvement there starting pitching, Here Jesus. Lozardo, oh
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: The Red sox are actually off today, too so there
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: are actually a couple of fewer games. Here who the
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: fuck are The Red sox playing? TOMORROW i don't even Know,
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: atlanta that's, right The. Braves The braves are also off,
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: today Celebrating Memorial. Day, man all, right, Anyway Jesus lozardo's
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: pitching for The. Phillies he's not got the greatest numbers,
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: here but he's been all over the place, Too like
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: he's been way better on the, road Which i'll talk
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: about in a, Second so this might be a spot
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: where you do expect him to do. Well he's gotten
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: unlucky as well in that he's had starts where basically
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: everybody that got on base against him. Scored SO i
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: think HIS era should be better than the four point
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: eighty five than it, is but his one point three
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: to one whip is still not really that. Good he's
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: been way better on the, road. Though these home road
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: splits are insane one point five to two road ray
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: and his HOME era is above. Seven, like these are
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: some extreme splits, Here so this might be a good
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: position for him to be. In just go pitch on
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: the road in one of the most pitcher friendly stadiums
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: In San, diego you know WHAT i. Mean he did
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: pitch well at home in his last outing Against, cincinnati
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: and he's pitched well in his last two two of
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: his actually four of his last five outings have been,
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: good so he is in better form right. Now twenty
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: five to six strikeout walk razure this, month three point eight.
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: Era he's been a little bit hittable this month, though
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: and over the course of the season that's kind of
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: been his main problem is he's allowed too many, hits
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: more than one hit per, Inning but his overall numbers
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: are they look pretty good to, me like he's well
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: over one strike up per, inning a lot of ground.
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: Balls his walk rate is not that, bad SO i
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: Think lozardo is definitely better than his. Numbers, look he's
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: pitching on the, road which is where he's at his
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: best this. Season good, picture friendly stadium, here But San
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: diego actually is pretty good against him in fifty two
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: at bats two eighty eight batting average, allowed nine to
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: twenty oh, ps seventeen to six strikeout walk. Resume you,
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: know so he does not have the greatest matchup. Here,
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: Man these hitters have been able to hit him in the,
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: past so that does make me concerned about. Luzardom he'll
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: be going up Against Randy, vazquez who does have pretty
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: good numbers this, year though the advanced analytics guys keep
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: saying he's not. Good And i've been saying that over
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: the last like a few seasons because he had like
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: a good ray for a, while but he was walking
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: a ton of. Guys but this season his walk numbers
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: have gone, Down except it looks like he is kind
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: of falling out a form, again Which i'll talk about
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: in a, minute but he does have a two point
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: nine to SIX era one point one to nine whip
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: that's pretty. Good he's been worse at, home which is
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: pretty odd because again it's one of the most picture
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: friendly ballparks In Major League. Baseball but four point two
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: homey ray not. Great we did cash with an under
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: in his last, game was a first five, under but
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: the full game went under as. Well but most of
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: the heavy lifting Was otani doing all of it for
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: us there Because vazquez wasn't really that. Good he was
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: just good enough to get us through With otani dominating
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: on the other. Side maybe we got a little bit
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: lucky in that. One he didn't even make it five.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: Innings in that start At vasquez walked three, guys no,
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and allowed three on. Runs it was against The.
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: Dodgers they are a good, lineup and he was pitching
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: well before. That but that walk to strike out or
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: straight out to walk ratio is really concerning a ratio of,
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: zero and over the course of the, month his strike
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: out rate is, low you, know which makes his strikeout
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not very. Good, well the course of the.
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: Season his numbers are not really that, bad though he's
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: allowed fewer than one hit per. Inning his walk rates
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: lower than you than it usually is for, him and
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: his strike out rate is pretty. Low San diego has
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: actually won all but two of his, starts although both
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: of those starts came this month against The. Phillies let's,
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: see The phillies hit him pretty. Well it's in twenty at,
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: bats but they've unloaded off. Him they have a five
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: hundred batting average off, him thirteen to ninety FIVE, ops
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: one to two strike out walk. RATIO i do not
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: Trust vasquez. Here he seems to be in the lesser
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: form out of the two pitchers as. Well you, KNOW
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: i probably Lean philly. HERE i could see arguments for
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: the over as. Well phillies at about minus one twenty something.
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: Year they're a road favorite for a. Reason, so LIKE i,
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: said there might be some spots to Play philly here
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: in this, series because why would they be a road
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: favorite against a team that has a better record than they? Do,
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: Right like San diego's neck and neck with The dodgers right,
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: Now phillies below five. Hundred, yeah the odds makers are
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: Favoring philadelphia. Here they're doing that for a, reason you
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i. Mean so the odds makers are kind
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: of signaling to you That philly is the correct side.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't really want to do, it given what
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: we just, saw but if you made me pick a side,
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: HERE i would lean To. Philly there are arguments to
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: be made for an over. Here the total is really,
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: low so the odds makers are kind of telling you
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: they think it's gonna be a low scoring game seven
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: and a. Half but both pitchers have bad matchup, numbers,
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: dude SO i could see runs being scored in this.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: GAME i THINK i said that last night about The
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: San diego, game and it did not go. Over it
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: landed right on seven With Michael king not having good
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers, there And Jacob lopez did come out of
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: the bullpen in that, game AND i guess pitched all,
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: right or maybe they decided to actually make him the.
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: STARTER i don't. KNOW i wasn't paying, attention BUT i
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: don't know whatever this. GAME i think there might be
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: some room to play an over in that, one BUT
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: i generally don't want to go over these lower totals
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: because then you're kind of going against what the odds
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: makers are signaling to, you all, Right i'm gonna be right.
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: Back Then i'll do the rest of this and then
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: talk About there are a couple OF wnba games With
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: matt massive points spreads WHERE i don't like either. Game
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out a play on the hockey game
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: and hopefully it's gonna, hit and THEN i don't want
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: anything to do with THE nba. Game But i'll be right,
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: back all. Right our next game Is houston In, texas
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: The battle Of. Texas, uh these two teams just played each,
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: other didn't. They, yes a couple of series. Ago, yeah
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: And houston won two out of the. Three so Maybe
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: texas is in a little bit of a revenge mode,
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: here trying to get back and. Win texas is returning
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: home from a road, trip which is. Negative they went Into,
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: colorado into elevation and they just got swept In. Anaheim
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: very very. Bad This anaheim team is not, good. DUDE
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: i don't know How texas got swept in that. SERIES
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: i really. Don't very very. Strange texas is definitely the
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: better of those two, teams but you would think that
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: that could mean this is a bounce back. Spot and,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: YEAH i don't think they're gonna be unfocused, here BUT
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: i still don't want to play on a team returning
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip like, this crossing time zones and.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: Whatever it's still a. Negative you have to get back
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: to home, life. Whatever But houston is one of the
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: teams they might actually have focus for because they did
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: lose the last series to. Them they did just have
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: a horrible series Against. Anaheim although, generally even if you
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: have a horrible serious to finish a road, TRIP i
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: do still want to fade that team returning. Home so,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah texas is in a negative spot, here BUT i
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: think they have the better of the match up. Here
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: Though houston just swept The, cubs SO i think they
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: could be in a letdown spot. Here that was a
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: big series for, them sweeping The. Cubs This houston team
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: is not this good. Now they're continuing on the road,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: though so they're a situational. Spot might still be a
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: little bit less, negative but both teams are kind of
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: in bad spots. Here houston used three relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is way worse Than, texas's Though texas used.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: Two we Have houston not ranked dead last according to
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: just sorting BY whip because they're tied With anaheim And,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: cincinnati But HOUSTON'S era is worse than, both So houston
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: is still ranked dead last in bullpen they. Suck texas
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: is sixth and they have the best bullpen Eray, no
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: second best to The. Dodgers, Actually texas has a very good,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: bullpen though better Than houston's significantly huge bullpen edge For. Texas,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: Here houston is fifth in, Offense texas is, nineteenth so
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: they're actually doing a little bit better right. Now, texas
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: we know what they, do though they play a lot
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: of low scoring games at. Home Though texas's offense does
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: better on the, road and now they're back, home SO
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: i would expect their offense to kind of take a dip,
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: here but maybe not because they're getting to Face Tatsuya,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: emi who has not been good at all For houston
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: eight point three to ONE era and one point seven NINE.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: Whip he is not adjusting to playing in The United states.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: Here he's been better on the road at least five
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: point zero six roady ra so he might be able
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: to do okay, here BUT i don't know about. That
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: he's only been able to make it five innings in
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: one start this entire, season he's been, bad. Dude his
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is, good so he is fooling hitters and
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: he hasn't allowed that many. Hits but his walk rate
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: is completely. Insane like if he could figure that out
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: and stop walking, people he might actually do. Okay so
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: that's something he's got to figure. Out texas has never
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: faced him, before so he does have that advantage at
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: least the. Unfamiliarity but he's not in a position like
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: he's not pitching well enough for me to trust him at.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: All right, Now Kumar rocker is pitching for The, rangers
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: so this is the this Is japan Versus, india even
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Though rocker is actually From. Georgia rocker has a three
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: point six Y, ra which is pretty. Good Not john
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: that would be better one point three to eight, whip
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: though he's definitely putting too many guys on. Base rocker
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: has been good at, home which makes sense Because texas
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: has a very pitcher friendly stadium two point eight to
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: one HOMEI. Ra rocker has looked pretty good in his
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: last two. Starts he just he actually came in relief Against.
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: Colorado they put an opener in front of. Him in course,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: field and he came out and went seven to two
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: thirds shutout innings in that, one with seven, strikeouts three,
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: hits but three, Walks and that's kind of the. Concern
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: he's walked three or more in his last three, outings
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: even though the last two were actually. Shutouts he didn't
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: allow a run in five innings Against arizona the start
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: before That colorado. One now it looks like they are
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: gonna Let rocker start. Again they put an opener in
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: front of him that one. TIME i don't know why
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: they might do it, Again so be aware of. That you,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: know if you're gonna try to play this, game you
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: might have to go like action with The rangers if
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: they might put an opener in front of. Him BUT
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: i think we're going to handicap this game as If
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: rocker is going to give you a full starter's workload here,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: though WHICH i think he, will even if they put
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: an opener in front of. Him, rocker over the course
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: of the, season he's not been that hit a ball that's,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: good fewer than one hit per. Inning his strikeout rate
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: is lower than you'd want to see because they think
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: he is kind of a strikeout. Pitcher, supposedly but his
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: strike out rate's kind of low and his walk rate
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: is too, high and that's been the case this month as. Well,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: yeah it's almost like a microcosm of this. Month fifteen
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: to ten strike out walk, ratio seventeen hits, allowed eighteen
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: to third. Innings but he's kept runs off the. Board
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: but still his whip indicates his r race should be
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: higher than it, is so he kind of concerns me a.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: BIT i don't like the spot That texas is in rocker,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: somehow even though he's in use his, division they've never
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: faced him before Except Nick allen is zero for too
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: often with a. Strikeout But, houston, yeah as a, team
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: they haven't faced him before and the rest of their
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: lineup has never seen, him so does have an unfamiliarity
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: at Your in, fact both of these pitchers have that
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: do you dare go under? Here? THOUGH i MEAN i
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: don't THINK i would do, it even first. FIVE i
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: just don't think you'd trust. EMI i think if you
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: do try to go under, here you don't want to
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: go full game with it, though Because houston's bullpen is
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: a complete train, Wreck SO i would not do. That
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: the full game total is. EIGHT i think if you
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: do go under first five inning under is the way to,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: go and it looks like some money has come in that,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: way although we can't see the percentages here because everything
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: is fucked right. Now we're gonna have to Reassess washington
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: slightly here in a. Minute by the, way they just
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: change their starting, pitcher ALTHOUGH i think they put an
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: opener in front of, them and Then texas is a
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: favorite here, rightfully So texas is the better team. Here
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: they'd about minus one. Thirty you, KNOW i THINK i
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: kind of Lean, texas even though they're turning home from the.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: Road rocker is the more like he's definitely the more
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: stable pitcher here Over, Emi texas has the way better
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: bulpend as, well And houston is at least in a letdown,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: spot which kind of counters the negativity of returning over
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: from the. Road And texas might actually still focus because
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: they're playing a divisional series, Here SO i THINK i
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: Leaned texas there. Slightly all. Right washington has changed their
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher, here uh TO Pj Poohlan, Poola SO i
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: don't know if that Means lattel is gonna come out
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: of the bulpen or WHAT i don't know what they're, doing,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: man but, YEAH i mean it's a. GAME i didn't
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: give out a play on, anyway but it looks, like,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah pooland is gonna be coming into this game. HERE
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: i don't even know what to think about. THAT i
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: just want to look at what he's done. RECENTLY i
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna be an, opener though it would be my.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: Guess his numbers aren't even really that. Good one point
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: four to eight whip that's not, good three point three
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: Two eira is. Fine, yeah he's gone like one or
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: fewer innings in all of his. Outings SO i think
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: what you're gonna see is he's gonna open the game
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: and Then Zach lttel is coming in in behind, him.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: Probably but, yeah IF I, WASHINGTON i would just Let
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: lttel make that. Start as you saw WHAT i said about,
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: that Because lttel has good matchup numbers Against, Cleveland so
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: even though he sucks LIKE i THINK i would still
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: just let him. Pitch all, Right miami At. Toronto, Here
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: toronto is staying at. Home they did just lose a wind.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: Streak though they had a four game win streak, going
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: they lost it yesterday in the finale Against, pittsburgh which
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: sometimes that can hang you over a little. Bit miami
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: is coming in off a sweep of The, mets, though
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: uh so maybe they feel a little bit high on
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: themselves about, that even though The mets are not having
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: a good. SEASON i Think miami started out that series
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: behind The mets and the, standings and now they're above them.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: Again it's a big divisional, series like it's a big you.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: KNOW i think it's still pretty big when you sweep
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: a divisional, opponent, Though but now they're starting a road.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: Trip usually you are focused to start the road, trip
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: but they're having to go up through customs up To toronto,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: whatever kind of annoying probably but doing that with momentum at,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: LEAST i. Guess BUT i Think toronto does have the
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: better of the starting pitching matchup. Here toronto used four
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers, Yesterday miami used. Five miami is generally the better,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: bullpen the fourth in bullpen, here but they use a
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: lot of relief. Pitchers But toronto also used almost as,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: many And toronto is where are they? At toronto is
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: eleventh in. Bullpen they're not, bad Though miami probably does
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: have a slight bullpen edge, here they'll give them all.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: That miami is sixteenth in. Offense The Blue jays have
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: actually been really really bad offensively at twenty, eighth So
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: miami actually has been the better hitting, team but they
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: might get silenced in this. Game Jansen junk is pitching For.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: Miami his eras gone way, up, Dude he's he's up
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: to five point oh seven on HIS. Era he was
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: pitching well for a, while and, obviously you know this
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: means that recently he's been pretty. Bad one point two
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: seven whip isn't really that great. Either he's been worse
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: on the road five point nine four. Road he's been
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: really bad in his last two. Starts he got lit
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: up At Tampa bay and then at home Against. ILAND
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: i know both those offense have been pretty, good but
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: he was kind of pitching a little bit worse Against
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: washington the start before that. Too junk is like pretty
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: much out of form right. Now except nineteen to five
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: strike at Walk racier this month is. Good that kind
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: of shows you his command is still. There but the
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: problem is he's been way too. Hittable it looks like
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: what he's doing is putting way too many pitches over
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: the plate thirty hits allout in twenty two innings this.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: Month that is a. Problem he's allowed more than one
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: hit per inning on the. Season. Now his strike out
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: rate is pretty low and his walk rate isn't really that.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: Bad but, Yeah, JUNK i don't trust him right. Now
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: he's not in good. Form he will be going up
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: AGAINST Uh, toronto who hasn't been able to hit, though
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: And junk is pretty unfamiliar to. Them he only has
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: fourteen at bats against, them two fourteen batting average, allowed
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: five hundred, ops one strike, out no. Walks the only
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: extra base hit is double From Jesus. Sanchez it is, Possible.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: JUNK i almost, said, Yunk maybe that is how you pronounce.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: It he might pitch a little bit better. Here he
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: does at least seem to have a decent match up,
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: here but he's not in good. Form Trey Ya savage
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: is pitching For, toronto and that's WHAT i meant By
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: toronto might be able to Stifle miami's. OFFENSE i, mean
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: they're not even really that good of an. Offense and
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: Just savage is pitching pretty well so. Far one point
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: seven E ra one point seven whip HIS ra at
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: home so far is. Zero, yeah he's made two starts
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: so far at, home three, starts excuse. Me one of
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: them he didn't make it five. Innings the other two he.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: Did but he's obviously pitching really well. Here he's allowed
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: three total earned runs on the, season allowed way below
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: one hit per, inning more than one strike up per
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: ending in a pretty low walk rate as. Well Pretty
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: much all of his numbers across the board are. Solid
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: he just shut out The yankees for six innings and
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: didn't walk. Anybody that's a pretty good sign because they
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: are a potent, Lineup so that's good news for Your savage.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: Here miami is a much weaker lineup than, that and
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: Only Christopher morell has ever faced them before in that,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: lineup zero for two against, them no, walks no. Strikeouts
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: so You savage is also unfamiliar To miami. HERE i
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: think You savage does have the edge. Here you, KNOW
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: i would probably slightly Lean toronto, here even though you
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: gotta worry a little bit about the. Hangover they're around
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: like minus one sixty five. Here you'd have to lay
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: a run line basically like a minus a split bet
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: minus one and a half and some of it on
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: the money line or find a minus one run line out,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: there probably what you have to. Do but the problem
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: is the total is low seven and a, half so
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are kind of signaling they think this is
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: going to be a lower scoring. GAME i don't think
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: either bullpen has a significant advantage, here although IF i
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: was gonna go, UNDER i THINK i would go first
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: five under here because the bullpens are both pretty unrested,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: here even though they're both generally decent. Bullpens first five
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: under makes some sense to. Me you'd have to bank
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: On younk junk coming back into form, here though he
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: does have good matchup, numbers BUT i don't know IF
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: i would trust him right. NOW i think Y savage
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: is the more Trustworthy. Pittrol that's why you're having to
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: lay of price, There but maybe it's justified in that.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: Case colorado at The. Dodgers colorado actually gave The dodgers
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: some problems the last time they. Played i'm assuming it
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: was At, colorado BUT i might be wrong about. That
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: they split that last. SERIES i remember two, too so
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: maybe The dodgers will pay more attention To colorado. Now
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: colorado was also playing better baseball back then and they're
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: not really right. Now so that combination of things leads
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: me to believe That colorado is probably gonna struggle in this,
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: series if that makes sense, anyway because The dodgers are
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: the better. Team BUT i think the fact that The
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: dodgers didn't play well the last time they Played, colorado
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said the only one two out of the four.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: Games they may be focused, here but The dodgers are
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: not really in a good spot. Here they're returning home
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: from a road trip where they did go To milwaukee
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: that was a big series against The milwaukee team that
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: is probably going to be in the, playoffs and The
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: dodgers beat them the last two. Games so this could
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: be a bit of a letdown spot from that on
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: top of a return home. Spot, maybe you, know in
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: a spot like, this maybe they do still Overlook colorado a.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: Bit With colorado not playing well right now either and
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: being kind of a dormat over the last few years,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: anyway not kind of they have, been and they're probably
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: the worst team in this division as always again right,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: now or as you, know as has been the case,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: RECENTLY i should, say but this is a spot WHERE
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: i don't really want to play The dodgers in a
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: return home spot could be a. DISTRACTION i don't really love,
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: that but The dodgers have a matchup edge everywhere in this.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: Game they only use two relief pitchers Yesterday colorado used.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: Three dodgers have the best BULLPEN era and the rank
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: two in Bullpen. Whip they've been a very good bullpen this,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: year way better than last. Year colorado's bullpen has ranked,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: nineteenth significantly worse than The. Dodgers dodgers are ranked number
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: one in, offense so you Know colorado's following all the
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: way to twenty. Third huge disparity there as, well and
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup is also a big edge to The.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: Dodgers all that factored into the, line though The dodgers
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: are an extremely heavy. Favorite, Here Tanner gordon looks like
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: he's getting the start for The. ROCKIES i don't know
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: who whose turn it was to actually make the start.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: HERE i think it. WAS i think the last time
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: this spot in the rotation came up for The, ROCKIES
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: i think was when they Used zach Agnos anos as
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: the opener or whatever and he was really bad or,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: no it wasn't Anyos it Was Sammy PERRAULT i think
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: might have been who it. Was whatever it, was whoever it,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: was started out the game pretty, poorly and Then Tanner
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: gordon came in and basically The rockies just left him
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: out there to get. Annihilated so he did not pitch well,
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: either but they let him eat up a bunch of.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: Innings So i'm assuming he is going to start this
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: game and just go like a starter's workload here because
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: he is a guy that's been in their starting rotation
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: at multiple points over the last couple of. Years his
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: numbers are bad, though six point five Ninety, ray one
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: point Five whip not. Good he's been better on the road.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: Though this is on the, road, RIGHT i think? So,
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: yeah so he has been way better away from coursefield
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: the three point eight six Roady, ray so maybe he
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: can actually do something here on the. Road LIKE i,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: said that last OUTING i was talking about was Against
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: texas at, home and he actually had decent. Command he
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: had a five to one strike out walk, ratio but
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: he allowed twelve hits and seven ere in runs in
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: six and a third, Innings so that tells me he
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: was just throwing everything right over the, plate which is
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: not what you not what you want to. Do you
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: have to at least fool guys and throw some pitches
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: off the, plate because if you just, look, oh seventeen to,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: two stright got walk ratio this, month that's actually not.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: Bad but he's allowed more than one hit per. Inning
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: he's way too. Hitable although his other outings are actually
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than that. One uh, so maybe
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: he's not that. Bad you look at his overall, numbers
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: thirty to six strike out walk ratio is actually quite.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: Good granted a lot of it was out of the,
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: bullpen but it was all kind of long relief appearance.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: Stuff but it's low pressure when you come into long,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: RELIEF i, think for the most. Part and he's allowed
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: way over one hit per inning, though and again that's the.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: Problem he's just way too. Hittable and against The, dodgers
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: let me, See, yeah he has not been good at
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: all against The. DODGERS i looked at this BEFORE i
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: did the, show BUT i kind of forget thirty nine
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: at bats against, them three point fifty nine batting average,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: allowed eleven thirty seven, ops eight to four strike out walk.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: Ratium none of that is. Good and he's going up
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: Against Emmett, shean who has been, good even though his
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: four point nine to THREE er doesn't look that. Good
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: one point two to seven whip is not too, bad
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: but he's definitely a talented pitcher man for The dodgers,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: year he's been better at home significantly by almost three
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: runs three point seven to six home, era so he's
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: better at. Home he did just struggle a little bit
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: on the road Against San, diego but he was pitching
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: pretty well a couple of starts prior to. That generally
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: he's been pretty good Though he's got well over one
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: strike upper, inning right around one hit per inning at
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: his walk rates not really that, high SO i like
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: his numbers overall pretty much the same this, month although
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: his home run number has been kind of high this,
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: month so that's not very. Good BUT i think he's
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: better than HIS era makes him. Look Against, colorado he
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: does have good numbers in thirty nine at, bats sixteen,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: strikeouts three, walks two h five batting average allowed five
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: to seventy, ops SO i do Expect shean to pitch well.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: Here he actually did pitch incourse field earlier this. Year
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: he went five innings allowed to earn runs on four,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: hits four, strikeouts two. Walks that was a decent outing
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: from him. There so he better at home as. Well
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: and this is not course field this, time SO i
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: think the indicators are that he will pitch well. Here
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: but can you possibly lay minus three p thirty or
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: whatever with The? DODGERS i would, say, no you, cannot
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: even though this is a, big big mismatch. Here it's
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: not a good spot for The dodgers at the very.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: LEAST i don't think there's any situation where you can
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: lay a price like this In Major League. BASEBALL i
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: wouldn't do. It the totals, nine which is pretty, high you,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: know given that you have one good pitcher and one bad.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: Pitcher you, KNOW i think probably the way to approach,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: this you, know the ARGUMENT i think is there for
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: The dodgers to go over their. Team told them you're
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: gonna need them to score a lot of, runs, though
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: AND i think they are a better scoring team on
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: the road, actually or their home road. SPLITS i, think
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: as far as they're, scoring aren't that aren't that? SIGNIFICANT i,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: Think BUT i think they're the highest scoring road team
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: and they're not on the road, here but they do
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: still score at. Home. Too. YEAH i, mean with with
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: it being a high total and The dodgers having a
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: huge mismatch, Here dodgers over their team total does make
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: some sense to. Me but you'll need them to probably
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: score six runs if you want to do. That BUT
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: i think they can do that against this uh pitching staff.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: Here BUT i still think The dodgers are the right side. Though,
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: man it's just like you'd have to lay like a
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: minus two and a half run, Line, LIKE i don't
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: think you could ever do that in, baseball so you,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, MEAN i guess you could moneyline parlay. Them you.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: KNOW i hate parlays, though BUT i DON'T i don't
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: even know IF i would want to do any of
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: that because the spot is not positive for The, Dodgers
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: SO i don't THINK i would do that. EITHER i
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: don't THINK i would do any of those. Things But
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: i'm just saying IF i was gonna play that, game
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: that might be a way that you can attack. It
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: Probably dodgers over their team total would be my favorite approach,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: there BUT i still don't want to do. That might
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: have some distracted hitting. There seattle at The a's is
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: the last game we have to go to this Horrible
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: Sacramento stadium as a returning over from the, road but
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: their entire road trip was within the state Of. California
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: but they are coming back From San. Diego the good
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: thing is they don't have to change time, zones but
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: still they're going from the most picture one of the
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: most picture friendly parks In San diego to the most
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: one of the most hitter friendly in Uh. Sacramento that's
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: not good and it's still a negative returning on from the.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: Road but it is a divisional. Series The a's are
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: actually ahead Of seattle right now in the. Standings The
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: a's are leading The Al west really really. CRAZY i
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: Think seattle is the better team, though and that's kind
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: of WHERE i started looking at this as. Well you
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: have The a's in a bad spot because they're returning,
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: home even though maybe they'll be focused because it's the divisional,
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: series BUT i think you'll get more focused out Of
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: seattle because they're the better team and they're behind The
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: a's in the. Standings But seattle is having to come
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: in From Kansas, city so maybe that's a little bit
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: of a concern That seattle's shifting time zones here and
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: having to play a late night. Game that's not exactly
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: good because you know you have to readjust to the
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: time zone. Change they're changing two time zones. Here that's
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: not that. Good But seattle is favorite on the, road
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: and they're favorite for a. Reason, dude they're the better.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: Team the oddsmakers are telling you they're the better team
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: even though they have the worst. Record just LIKE i
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: said With, philadelphia the oddsmakers are kind of signaling to
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: you what they think about this. Game. Here minus one
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: fifteen or so is the price. Here there are some
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: problems with, it. Though one good thing About seattle is
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is good and they didn't use their better relievers,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: yesterday so their bullpen like definitely has an advantage. Here
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: The a's used five relief pitchers yesterday and their bullpen's not.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: Good seattle is ranked seventeenth in, bullpen but they have
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: one of the best bullpen. Eras they're a good. Bullpen
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: The a's are ranked twenty third over run HIGHER ra so,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah seattle definitely has a bullpen edge. Here a's have
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: the offensive edge though there's seventh in Offense seattle twenty.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: First that's not great For, seattle But seattle should be
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: able to hit a bit better in a stadium like.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: This the problem, IS i don't know if you could
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: Trust Luis castillo. Here, MAN i don't know what has
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: happened to this guy for The. Mariners, like if you
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: look over the course of his, career he's been pretty.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: Consistent he's been pretty good For. Seattle now all of a,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: sudden he's having a horrible. Season and he's not, old
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: he's thirty, Three so, like what the fuck happened? HERE
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: i don't think he got injured or anything. EITHER i
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: think he pitched the full season last year and he
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: was very. Consistent, again like all of his his entire,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: careers numbers have been pretty much the, same and now
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: all of a, sudden like his numbers are just way way.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: WORSE i don't know what the fuck's going. On six
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: point four to ONE, era one point five to Five.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been worse on the, road which makes sense
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: Because seattle's a more, hitter a more pitcher at friendly.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: Ballpark but that gives me less reason to trust him
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: here because he's in a hitter friendly. Park he's worse
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: on the. Road six point eight Five Roady, ray that's not.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: Good he made a bullpen appearance in his last, game
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: SO i don't, Know seattle just trying, to you, know
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: mess with his, SCHEDULE i, guess just to try to
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: get him out of his. FUNK i don't know what
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: the deal is that they had him come out of the.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: Bullpen he wasn't really that great in that out and
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: they lost the game two to, one and he is
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: the one that allowed both runs in two and a third.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Innings so the rest Of seattle's pitching staff shut out
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: The White sox in that, game But castillo allowed two. Runs,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: YEAH i don't know what the deal is, here. Man
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: he's allowed way over one hit per, inning which was not.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: Good his walk rates a little, bit highest strikeout rate
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: is still. There he's still striking out guys at a
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: pretty decent. RATE i don't know what is going on, here.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: MAN i think at some point he should be back
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: close to what he once, Was, like he's not that,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: old and there's no real reason why that wouldn't be the.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: Case but this is not really the start, where you,
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: know this is not really the situation Where i'd want
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: to try to back him to return to, form you
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i? Mean in this, stadium and he doesn't
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: have great numbers against The a's. Either they have one
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: hundred and six at bats against him a two sixty
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: four average eight, hundreds so they have hit him pretty.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: Well although he has a twenty nine to four strikeout
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: walk ratio against, them so that's. Good he's had good
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: command against, them but he's a, lot a lot of
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: hard hits against. Them Aaron savale is pitching for The.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: A'S i don't trust him at. All he's got a
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: three point three ONE. ERA i know that's, good but
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: one point three to nine whip indicates HIS rra should
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: definitely be higher than. This he's allowed six home runs this,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: month five in the last two, outings and only one
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: of those was here at. Home he got knocked around
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: a bit in his last outing Against. ANAHEIM i don't
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: think he's, good. Dude he's got a thirteen to eight
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio this month as, well and over
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: one hit a looud per. Inning twenty four hits and
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: twenty one. Innings none of that is good over the
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: course of the. Season pretty much the same over one
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: hit a looud per inning kind of a lot of
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: home runs, allowed walk rate isn't too. Bad but the
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: strike ut rate is also pretty. Low he's pretty untrustworthy.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: Dude Against, seattle he's not goody six at bats eleven to,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: six strike out walk ratio to eighty six batting average
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: allowed eight forty nine. Ohps SO i think the way
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: to go in this game is probably. Over but it's
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: already up to ten and a. Half it opened nine
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: and a. HALF i know it didn't cross through a
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: key number at, least but, YEAH i think it over
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: makes sense here looking at you, know a very hitter friendly.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: Stadium castillo doesn't have good matchup. Numbers he's just not
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: pitching well right. Now they're trying to shake up his.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: Schedule savali is definthly worse than his era. Looks you,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: know this is probably one of my stronger opinions on
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: the board. Here over makes a lot of sense to
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: me in this, one AND i do still agree With.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: Seattle if you really want to play the, SIDE i
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: THINK i would Lean. Seattle they do have a bullpen,
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: edge so as long as the game is kind of
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: close going into the later parts of the, GAME i
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: think they should get away with the win. There BUT
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: i don't. KNOW i think the over is the better
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: way to play that, game, THOUGH i could see runs being,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: scored and then If castillo pitches, poorly then that Means
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: seattle is gonna be going into their bullpen. Earlier their
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: better arms probably won't come into the, game you know
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: WHAT i. Mean, like it's just kind of a domino effect.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: There so that makes the most sense to me in that,
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: game all, Right i'm tempted to do. It. Man SO
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: i think that and The cubs money line are probably
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: my two favorite plays THAT i don't have on my.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: Card my only play was the first five under In
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: Yankees royals being really selective, here, Man hopefully we can
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: get it done BECAUSE i JUST i just Think castillo
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: could at some point start pitching. Better you, know let's
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: talk ABOUT. WNBA i, mean these games are really. Uninteresting
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: The liberty are Hosting portland. Here The FIRE i think
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: is their, name the expansion. Team this is the third
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: time these teams are playing already this. Season this is
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: On peacock AND Nbc Sports New york played, yesterday so
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: they're in a back to, back which isn't exactly. Great
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: they Played thursday as, well so the rest scenario is
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: not very. Good but they lost pretty badly at home,
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: yesterday is a big favorite Against. Dallas kind of surprised by,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: that so they could be in a bounce back spot
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: potentially after a bad game. There This liberty team is
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: not as bad as their three and three record makes them.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: Look but they've faced a pretty easy schedule so, far
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: and the best two teams they, Played Golden state In,
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: dallas both beat them in their own, Place so maybe
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: The liberty are actually not as good as we. Think
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: they did Play portland twice, already both on the, road
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: and they actually got caught and lost the first, game
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: BUT i think that was because that was their first
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: game on you, know in The, west in The pacific time.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: Zone this year they're having to go to a new,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: venue you know WHAT i. Mean SO i think they got.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Caught THEN i actually gave out a play on The
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: liberty in the next game in the zig zag spot
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: and they won and covered in the other. Game but
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: now does the zigzag back and Does portland make adjustments
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: off of? THAT i kind of don't think. So The
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: liberty are still a good enough. Team they're laying double digits,
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: here AND i think people are gonna look at this and,
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: see oh, Oh, god both teams are three and. Three
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: how can you lay double digits here when these two
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: teams split the two games they played so, Far you
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i. Mean portland's coming off of a win Over,
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: toronto a decent win in the battle of the two
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: expansion teams. THERE i don't know if that's gonna put
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: them in a letdown, spot but they played two days,
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: ago so the rest is not that much better For.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: Portland here they're playing a third road game in a. Row.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: HERE i THINK i would lean towards the liberty bouncing
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: back and covering. THIS i THINK i would lay the
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: twelve twelve and a half IF i was gonna play.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: It BUT i definitely don't want. To AND i don't
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: really love that they're on a back to back, either
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: or that they have not played well when stepping up in.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: Class but they have played fine against bad, teams And
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: portland is a bad. Team connecticut At Golden state is
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: the other. Game this is a, mismatch although the line
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: is about the same as it is in the other.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: Game this line's twelve and a half. Thirteen this, game
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: on the, surface just looks like more of a. MISMATCH
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: i Think connecticut's the worst team in the higher. League
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: Golden state is a top half. TEAM i would, say,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: WELL i think The liberty are still the better team
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Over Golden state, though even THOUGH i Think Golden state
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: beat them on the. Road, yeah they Did Golden. STATE
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: i don't know IF i love this spot. Here they're
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: returning home from the road though it was only a
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: two game road, trip so they've only been on the
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: road Since, thursday so that didn't really give them time
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: to you, know like let stuff pile up to have
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: to do at home. Whatever plus they're not. Men but
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: also on that road, trip they upset The, liberty LIKE i,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: said and then they had a close loss To indiana
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: that was another big game as A i think a
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: decent sized underdog. There so they're coming off two big
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: performances as an underdog and returning home to play the
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: worst team in the. League and they have a revenge
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: game Against indiana next and then they Have vegas after.
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: That so this does look like a sandwich. Spot they're
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: in a fever sandwich here For. CONNECTICUT i don't know
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: IF i necessarily love this spot that they're in. Here
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: they're at least already on The West, coast although they
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: are playing a third game in six, days a fourth
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: game in eight, days which is a lot FOR, wnba
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: and they're finishing this road trip. Here fourth game on
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: the road. Trip oh, no they're finishing it next Against.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: Portland my, mistake but this is their fourth game on
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: the road. Trip they lost badly To seattle in the last.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: GAME i gave out a winner On connecticut in their
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: only win of the season the game before, that but
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: Then seattle was able to zigzag against them in the next,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: game WHICH i actually didn't think that would. Happen seattle's,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: bad but that was a pretty ugly, loss losing to
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: a bad team Like. Seattle Although connecticut is also kind
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: of a bad. Team but they have Played vegas twice
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: and The liberty, once so their schedule hasn't been that.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: Easy but they Played seattle three times as. Well, YEAH
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: i MEAN i lean To connecticut. HERE i would Take
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: connecticut as the underdog in this. ONE i think the
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: spot For Golden state's not very. GOOD i think it
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: is a sandwich spot. ISH i don't really want TO
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: i don't want to play the. Game Golden state is
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: a pretty public. Side ninety four percent of the tickets
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: and cash if you buy into, this if you buy
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: into these percentages here at, Least but the public IS
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: i don't think the public is really coming in on
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: a ten Pm EASTERN wnba game On Memorial day. Though but,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: yeah the line's about twelve and a half. THERE i
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: THINK i would take the points in that. One all, Right,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: HOCKEY i will give out a play. Here you KNOW
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: i was back and forth with this, one BUT i
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: will do. IT i told you this card is really
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: similar to. Yesterday we're gonna Take carolina money line minus
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: one thirty. FIVE i Know carolina's had some major struggles
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: in recent years in The Eastern conference, finals but here's the.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: Thing they've been worse at, home and they're not at home,
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: here and in, fact they're four and oh on the
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: road so far in the playoffs this, year so they've
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: been good on the road in the. Playoffs, montreal by the,
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: way has been worse at. HOME i think they're two
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: and four at home during the. Postseasons And montreal has
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: been better on the road than at home during the,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: postseason So carolina has some edges. There carolina is the
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: more experienced, team WHICH i think is gonna get them
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: through the series, actually even THOUGH i know how bad
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: they've been in this at this level of the. Playoffs
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: but the other couple of things that make this better For.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: Carolina Number, one they're not having to face The Florida panthers.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: Year Florida panthers just always had the matchup edge against,
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: them And florida was a very experienced, team Which montreal is.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: Not the other thing Is carolina just got a. Win
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: it was a really close, game but they won the
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: game at. Home SO i think that's like they get
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: over that, hurdle you know WHAT i, mean because it
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: was this old. Thing, Oh carolina's lost like ten home
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: games in a row at you, know in The Eastern
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: conference finals. Whatever now they've finally got that win and
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: they get to go on the road, Here SO i
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: think that's way way. Better we're not at home anymore
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: where it's like we're. Cursed but it's almost like they
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: broke that curse by finally getting that win In game.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: Two so that's WHY i like. This now they're the better,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: TEAM i, think in a good spot, here AND i
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: think that that is kind of a blow To, montreal
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: Like montreal could have had a two to zero series lead,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: there and that was a game that they they would
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: have stolen the game if they won this game Because
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: carolina was the way better team in this. Game carolina
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: Outshot montreal by more than. Double montreal only had twelve
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: shots in the. Game carolina completely dominated them and took
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: their offensive possessions completely. Away carolina had thirty more hits
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: in the game as, well so even though they had
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: to go to overtime to win the, game this game
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: was dominated By carolina Do so that's the other THING
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: i like about. This And carolina didn't win the face off,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: BATTLE i, know but it was, close but all the
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: other stats were domination From carolina. Here they should have
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: won the game more. Easily, Also montreal had no goal
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: from their entire team Besides Josh. Anderson he's the Only
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: Montreal canadian who scored in that. Game great, name by
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: the way for that. Guy, yeah So. CAROLIN i Know
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: carolina only had two guys that scored as, well because
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: ailers or eelers have ever pronounced his, name scored two
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: of their, three but. WHATEVER i think that's a really
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: really difficult loss though For montreal to bounce back. From
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: Because montreal was in that, game even Though montreal never
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: led by the Way carolina led one nothing and two
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: to one and won the game three to. Two but
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: it was close the whole, way. Dude it was back and,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: forth one goal, lead, tide one goal, lead, tide and
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: then it goes into. Overtime montreal could have had a
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: two to zero, lead could have stolen both games on the,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: road didn't do. It and you, KNOW i think this
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: is actually really similar To well it's. NOT i don't
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: think it's quite similar to. THAT i was gonna. SAY
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: i think the way that this series kind of opened
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: was a little similar to That Knicks calves. SERIES i
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: know The knicks Won game three whatever where well The
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: knicks Won game, three but we're also playing the road team,
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: here so. Interesting BUT i liked The calves in that.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: Game The calves probably should have won that, game and
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: UNFORTUNATELY i have to talk about that series in a
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: second AFTER i talk about. This BUT i think what
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: was similar about it is the reason WHY i gave
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: Out montreal In game one of this series Was carolina
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: was coming off an unprecedented eleven, game eleven day rest.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: Period BUT i think it was, precedented AND i think
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: The bruins had twelve days off going to The Stanley
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: Cup finals in twenty, nineteen WHICH i, said but The
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: bruins actually Won game one and should have won that.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: Series they were the better team in that. Series i'm
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: still pissed about, it but, yeah SO i Think carolina was,
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: very very. Rusty they had a horrible first period In game,
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: one and since then they played a lot. Better obviously
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: they've turned it around to the better team and NOW
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: i think this is gonna be a confidence. Boost And
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: carolina got a bit of a scare because they were
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite And game to The spot lined up
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: well for. Them AND i almost gave out a play On,
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: carolina and it would have pushed BECAUSE i would have
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: given out a puck line money line split bet. There
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: So i'm kind of GLAD i. Didn't but they got
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: the job. Done they got a, scare WHICH i think
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: is gonna totally focus them. Here like, AGAIN i, mean
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be focused anyway because it's a one to one,
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: series BUT i Think montreal they had a chance to
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: pull off another upset there and fell just short in
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: a very close. GAME i think that's gonna Put mandreal
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: on a hangover spot, here AND i think you're gonna
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: see the better, team the more experienced, team start to
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: get the edge. Here AND i Think carolina will win this.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: Series AND i think they will win this game. Tonight
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: for all those. Reasons carolina also has had good goaltending
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: except for that one bad. Game LIKE i, SAID i
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: think it was the rust factor in. Whatever Frederick, anderson
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: the Other anderson has been really good in the playoffs,
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: otherwise and he bounced back and he was good In game,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: two although again he didn't have to face very many
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: shots that, game So carolina's defense helped him out as.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: Well but That's i'm fine with. That carolina's defense has
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: been good as. Well that'll Give, anderson you, know his confidence.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: Back plus they also left him, in by the way
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: In game, one like sometimes the team, will you, know
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: will make like a rash decision a lot of, times
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: like a coach will be, like oh my, god my
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: goalie is getting killed out there in the first, period
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: and they'll switch. Goalies Brenda More carolina's coach was very.
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: Experienced he did not do. That i'm pretty sure he
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: Left anderson. IN i like that because you do not
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: want to take your, goalie that's your guy in the.
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: Playoffs you do not want to take him out and
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: like crush his, confidence you know WHAT i. MEAN i
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: think you want to leave him in and let him
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: get his confidence. Back AND i think that's what he's
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: done since, then because after that bad first, period he
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: only allowed one goal after that in the. Game the
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: final goal was an empty net. Goal So anderson went
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: two periods in that first game allowing one. Goal and
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: then in the last, Game, yeah he allowed to not
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: on that many, shots which isn't that, great but, STILL i,
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think he's still gonna be. IN i think
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: in more confident for him. HERE i, think you, know
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: after he shed the, RUST i think he's been. Good
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: SO i like. That the money's agreeing with. Me eighty
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: four percent of, tickets ninety one percent of the cash On.
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: CAROLINA i know it's a little bit, juicy but we're
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: doing it similar to last. NIGHT i think we should
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: have won the game last. Night let's get back on
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: track with. Hockey. Man the. Playoff hockey has been good for,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: me so let's keep it. Going and then we have
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: this STUPID nba. Game that hockey GAME i think is
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: ON TNT, tbs, WHATEVER, Hbo, max ESPN's got This Nicks calves.
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 2: GAME i don't want any part of this. Game calves
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: probably should have been at least closer than they. Were, so,
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: like if you want to just handicap the fact that
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: this looks like it could be a, zigzag you Got
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: calves coming off a misleading loss as a home team,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: here you know WHAT i. Mean like it was misleading
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: because The knicks went to the free throw line way
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: more than The, cavs and The knicks shot, really really.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: Well they shot over fifty percent from the. Field so,
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: YEAH i think from a zigzag, perspective that is an
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: argument For cleveland. Here BUT i got some problems with.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 4: It.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: Man, Uh cleveland's down three to zero, three and a
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: lot of times when teams are down three because they
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: know no team has ever come back from, it especially
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: when you're the underdog in the, series a lot of
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 2: times the team will just pack it in and that's.
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: It SO i worry That, cleveland especially if they're down
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: in this, game that they're just gonna stop. Playing that's
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: always the worry. Here and that also factors into the,
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: total Which i'll talk about in a. Minute but the
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: other thing about The knicks is that The knicks over
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: the course OF i think it was what was, It
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: i'm looking at the calves, here but The knicks had
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: a span of like five games between the first two
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: series of the playoff where they shot over fifty percent
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: five games in a, row WHICH i think was a
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: NEW nba record OR i think maybe a tied or
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: record that was set by The lakers and like the.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: Eighties so The knicks were shooting really really well over that. Span, well,
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: YEAH i don't think The knicks are that good of
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: a shooting. TEAM i think there was gonna be regression.
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: There but What i'm saying is that the fact that
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: The knicks shot over fifty percent in this last game
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: and The cavs defense is, bad it's obviously possible The
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: knicks do it again. Here so that's my problem with.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: That BUT i think the free, throw you, know regression is.
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: Real like you could see the free throws kind of
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: even out, here and that would be an indicator that
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: you should look Towards. Cleveland BUT i can't do, it,
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: man there's no, Way like they know they're not coming.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: BACK i know The knicks haven't been good on the,
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: road during the regular season. Whatever but The knicks they
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 2: got a road when they had not won At cleveland this,
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: year but they did in the last. Game The knicks
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: have won all but one game Against cleveland this, year
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: so you, KNOW i know that one game was a
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: regular season game In, cleveland and it was the only
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: game during the regular season That James harden. Played But, harden,
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: DUDE i, mean he's, old he's losing. It he's never
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: gonna win a. Championship his defense is not up to,
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: par he cannot keep up With Joen. Brunson, YEAH i
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: mean it's over For, cleveland. Dude so that's my concern.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't Want. Cleveland and the oddsmakers are kind
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: of telling you something with the fact that if you,
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: Remember cleveland was a two to two and a half
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: point favorite In game, Three, well now The knicks are
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: a two and a half point favorite, here and you could, argue,
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: well that's an over, adjustment, Right like that means there's
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: line value On cleveland, here AND i wouldn't disagree. That,
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean that's. True the odsbeggers probably have over adjusted,
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: That but what they know is that when a team
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: falls down, three they tend to just pack it in
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: like that's a phenomenon in THE, Nba but the oddsbreggers
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: have been doing that in hockey, Too and THEN i
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: don't think that happens in hockey that, much LIKE i
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: think it's more of AN nba thing because in, hockey
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: four teams have actually overcome. That in THE, nba it's never,
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: happened and The celtics came really close to doing, it
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: but they were a huge favorite in that. Series, yeah
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: it's not gonna happen in this. Series and, again the
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: reason why The knicks are favored here is because the
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: team down zero three a lot of, times we'll just
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: pack it in and. Leave So i'm not gonna there's
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: no WAY i would want to be On cleveland. HERE
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: i don't really want to, lay you, know points with
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: The knicks WHERE i don't think that there's line value
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: there either, Though so Obviously i'm passing on that eighty
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: seven percent of, tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: on The, Knicks so the money is kind of indicating
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: on The, knicks even though the public is on them as,
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 2: well and there's heavy market signaling on the under uh
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the tickets on the over seventy
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the. Under the totals
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: at to eighteen and a. HALF i believe the total
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: was a little bit lower in the last. Game let me,
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: see was? It cleveland plays higher scoring games at. Home
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: by the, way the last game went way over the,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: total so you know it landed whatever that was one twenty?
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: Nine uh or, sorry two twenty. NINE i, mean let me, say,
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: yeah the total was two sixteen and a. Half so
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: the total now after that high scoring, game has gone
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: up to eighteen and a. HALF i THINK i do
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: agree with an under here, though even THOUGH i know
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: the teams are not really that, rested so that does
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: affect the deepfense. Negatively but here's the. THING i think
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: if this game is gonna be higher, scoring it's gonna
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 2: happen earlier on in the game where both teams are
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: actually you, know maybe like the fatigue factor is actually
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: coming into play more when the teams are actually trying.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: Hard BUT i think what might happen is the chance
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: of an under is better for the full, game in my,
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: opinion because if The knicks have that lead and the
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: game is, over they're just gonna slow the game down
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 2: and you're gonna see bench players come in and. Whatever
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: SO i think it could be an under because of.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: That when you have a team down three and they
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: pack it in early a lot of, times that means
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: the scoring just kind of falls off and the pace
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: slows way down at the, end you know WHAT i.
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 2: Mean so that would be the way that the under
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: might actually hit here that. End if The knicks play
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: a good, game you, know they're. Depfense they're the better defensive.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: Teams so The knicks winning is kind of correlated to
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: it being an under game as, well if you think
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: both teams are gonna be trying for some majority of
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: the game. Whatever but, YEAH i think it's over For
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: cleveland and then The knicks are gonna have a long
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: layoff here BECAUSE i think That Western conference series might go,
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: seven BUT i don't, know we'll. See. MAN i might
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: have a play on the on That Western conference game,
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: tomorrow and you probably already know what it is if
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: you know HOW i handicap. Games BUT i THINK i
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: may be giving out a play on that. Game that'll
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: be a preview for. Tomorrow that's gonna do it up for.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: TODAY i can close some of these tabs, here, WELL
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: i can just close the whole. Thing the only place
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 2: today THAT i have are first five under the four
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: and a half In, Yankees Kansas. City i'm worried that
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: it's a high total and the oddsmakers are signaling. Something
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: BUT i like the pitching matchup, there so we're doing
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: that one and Then Carolina. Hurricanes money line and Stream
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: yards not behaving for, me but hopefully we can get it.
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: Done Happy Memorial, day, everybody have a good. Day hopefully people,
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: can you, know spend it with the, family, friends, Whatever
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: have some good, food have some, beers you, know in my,
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: honor BECAUSE i don't drink them. Anymore you, KNOW i
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: have my non alcoholic, ones so Maybe i'll do some of.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: That that's gonna do. It learn a tone On, Twitter
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: learn it tone On. Instagram you know the. Deal you
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: can support me through The twitter one if you want like,
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: it subscribe to the channel. Here of course you'll get
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: notified WHEN i go. Live tell people about. It we
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: can get some more subscribers. Here we've still been, hot
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: even though you, know the absolute heater has come to an.
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: End but the other day we had another really good.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: Day so being selective Here i'd like to go to
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: And oh, today but we'll see if we can do.
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: That you, know if we win the hockey game and
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: lose the other, game we'll we'll have an even day
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: where we just go absolutely, zero totally break. Even so
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: that's a possibility as. WELL i don't want. That the
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 2: goal is to go to And oh when you have two,
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: plays but we'll. Say. Yeah we're on audio as. Well
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: i'm distracted BECAUSE i hear a fucking truck backing up,
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: outside very. Annoying we're on, Audio, Apple, Spotify, spreaker go
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: check it out. There that helps as. Well covered in
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 2: you because MY yuk channel on YouTube ukulele. Covers you
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: can check that, Out, patreon dot, com slash learn it.
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: Tot you want to support me that, way you get
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: a bonus ukulele feed and some requests WHICH i KNOW
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: i have to get back to all That i'm not
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: good at keeping up with. IT i. Apologize The Loser
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: casts podcast will be. BACK i think we'll be back tomorrow,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: night But lighton has to get back To alaska from
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: the shit show that was The Libertarian convention In. MICHIGAN
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: i don't know if he. Won is at large spot or.
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: Not BUT i would not even want to be on
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: THAT llnc. Board, Man there's no. Way it is an absolute.
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: Disaster what a joke that party. Is it's a good.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: Thing i'm even Though i'm a lifetime. MEMBER I am
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: not going to any more of those, Events no, way
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: UNLESS i want to go to troll. People but even
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: that's not enough of a reason to do. It, plus
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: So i'll save some money by not doing. It fuck all.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: That what else is? There? Oh in The giants G spot,
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: PODCAST i was talking To ben about. That we probably
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: will do some sort of season preview plus go over
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: what happened with the, draft go over the schedule for The.
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 2: Giants sometime this. WEEK i think we'll do, It so
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: keep on the lookout for. That it's all in my link.
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: Tree that's gonna do. It, Peace but don't you go.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: Quiet don't you fade from the flow your, name steal
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: me something to somebody for.
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: Show put the glass, down, baby.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 3: Look at.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 4: Me no.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: Hold, on hold on, nothing.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 3: No hold, on hold.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 4: On let me for. You that bites, hard but it
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 4: don't get the. Crown hold, on hold on
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: And stay with me, now