Latest / The Climate Translation
The Predictability Desert
Why can meteorologists give you a useful forecast for tomorrow, but struggle to tell you what the weather will be three or four weeks from now?
In this episode of The Climate Translation, Dr. Mac explores the “predictability desert,” the difficult gap between short-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks. He explains how weather models work, why tiny differences in the atmosphere grow over time, how ensemble forecasting helps scientists estimate a range of possible futures, and why longer-range forecasts are usually expressed as probabilities instead of exact day-by-day…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.