Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Who Is Trump’s NEW FED Chair Kevin Warsh and Why Is He BULLISH for Bitcoin?! | Bitcoin Simply
Transcript
- 0:00What day will you be? Announcing your Fed.
- 0:02Care pick next. Week tomorrow morning.
- 0:04Tomorrow morning. That was last night and Trump
- 0:07wasted no time. Earlier this morning, Donald
- 0:10Trump officially selected Kevin Walsh to be the new Fed
- 0:12chairman. Donald Trump is already saying
- 0:14that Kevin is going to go down as one of the greats, but why?
- 0:17Who is Kevin Walsh? What does he stand for?
- 0:20What are his policy beliefs? Today we're going to dig into
- 0:23who Kevin Walsh is. Why him?
- 0:25Scott Besson and Stanley Druckenmiller have been laying
- 0:27out their economic plans and thoughts for the US for the the
- 0:30past decade and what his stances are on Bitcoin and why you're
- 0:33not bullish enough. This is Dante Coke with Bitcoin.
- 0:35Simply let's go are. There things are there things
- 0:42the Chairman can say to you today?
- 0:44That would make you back off. Some of the earlier criticism.
- 0:47Well, I'd love him to lower interest rates.
- 0:50Other than that, what can I tell you?
- 0:52Well, on Wednesday, Jerome Powell didn't lower interest
- 0:55rates. In support of our goals today,
- 0:57the Federal Open Market Committee decided to leave our
- 0:59policy rate unchanged. And Donald Trump was like, say
- 1:03less, you're fired. the Fed is supposedly supposed to be
- 1:06independent from the president in federal policy, but let's
- 1:09face it, they're not. They have a central role in
- 1:12determining the strength and national security of the United
- 1:15States globally. And most importantly, their
- 1:17policies have the biggest impact on interest expense, which is
- 1:20currently $1.2 trillion. And so out with the old and in
- 1:24with the new Kevin Walsh. But who is Kevin Walsh?
- 1:27All right? His background is silver
- 1:29spoonish. Did his undergrad at Stanford,
- 1:31then he got his law degree at Harvard, where he graduated
- 1:34Qumlan while doing other coursework at MIT.
- 1:37After law school, he went to Morgan Stanley, where he was
- 1:39quickly promoted to be the director of mergers and
- 1:42acquisitions for the entire company.
- 1:43At just 30 years old, he was nominated to be a special
- 1:46assistant to the President George Bush on his National
- 1:50Economic Council. His responsibilities included
- 1:52domestic finance, banking and securities regulatory policy and
- 1:56consumer protection. He advised the president and
- 1:58senior administrators on the issues related to U.S. economic
- 2:01policy. And at the same time, he married
- 2:03Jane Lauder, who is the granddaughter of Estee Lauder
- 2:06and the daughter of Ronald Lauder.
- 2:08Estee Lauder is a $40 billion company and Ron is the sole heir
- 2:12to their foundation in all of their assets, and he's worth
- 2:15about $5 billion. He also happens to be one of the
- 2:18biggest Republican donors and has elite connections everywhere
- 2:20across the world. All right, back to Kevin.
- 2:22At 35 years old, George Bush nominated him to be the youngest
- 2:26member to serve on the Federal Reserve Board.
- 2:28He served here from 2006 to 2011.
- 2:31He served during and through the great financial crisis.
- 2:34And this is where we start to understand his beliefs and his
- 2:37policies. Let's take a listen.
- 2:38Quantitative easing is fundamentally different than
- 2:41cutting interest rates and that it appears to be working through
- 2:44fundamentally different transmission channels.
- 2:48No longer. Credit channels and lending
- 2:50channels appear to be the dominant way in which it impacts
- 2:53the economy. It appears much more to be
- 2:55working itself through asset prices, whether you think about
- 2:58housing stocks or financial stocks, I think that is the
- 3:01dominant channel. And as a first approximation, if
- 3:053/4 of our fellow citizens get 96% of their income from labour
- 3:09income, it strikes me we ought not be dismissive and saying oh
- 3:12everybody wins. When I look at the wealth
- 3:15creation across the financial asset world post crisis, I view
- 3:20that wealth creation as being significantly above what my
- 3:25former colleagues predicted. When I look at what they
- 3:28expected in the real economy, I look at the real economic
- 3:31performance as markedly worse than they predicted.
- 3:35And so that's what I think raises these questions, makes
- 3:37them absolutely germane to today's discussion.
- 3:39And I very much do worry, as I'm sure many of the people in this
- 3:43room do, that we've created a product, not with bad intent.
- 3:47We've created a product that might, may or may not turn out
- 3:50to be counterproductive. We are in the middle of this
- 3:52experiment as we as we are now, but where the gains have been
- 3:57extracted by the most well to do by the most sophisticated who
- 4:02see that the central banks are to 1° or another trying to get
- 4:07asset prices up to drag up the real economy, they get the joke.
- 4:11They have been willing to play the game.
- 4:13And it does strike me as though we have to think about not just
- 4:16the efficacy of these programs, but really who are the winners
- 4:20and the losers. Kevin Warsh understands that the
- 4:22government experiment of QE has failed, and has failed
- 4:24miserably. Not only has it created economic
- 4:27disparity between the haves and the have nots, it's created a
- 4:30system that doesn't actually work as it's to Fed policy
- 4:33rates. But you can hear he's pro low
- 4:36interest rates and pro American growth.
- 4:38He believes in fiscal responsibility, Government
- 4:40Accountability. And unlike his peers and people
- 4:42that come from his background and his past, people who come
- 4:45from the Stanfords and Mits and Harvard laws of the world that
- 4:48come from rich families. Well, he actually believes in
- 4:50technological innovation. He's actually open minded and he
- 4:53believes that Bitcoin can serve as the foundation for a checks
- 4:57and balances system. On government responsibility,
- 5:00he's pro innovation and pro Bitcoin.
- 5:02You're not bullish enough. You made reference to Bitcoin
- 5:06and I thought I heard a little bit of condescension that people
- 5:09are buying Bitcoin in these things but doesn't.
- 5:12It Charlie Munger, this is two or three years before he died,
- 5:15Charlie Munger attacked Bitcoin. He called it evil in part
- 5:19because it would begin to undermine the Fed's ability to
- 5:22manage the economy. Or it could provide market
- 5:24discipline. Or it could tell the world that
- 5:27things need to be fixed. Bitcoin does not make you
- 5:30nervous. Bitcoin does not make me
- 5:33nervous. I can harken back to a a dinner
- 5:36I had here in 2011 with a someone who is another guest on
- 5:42your show. I won't say his name, OK, I just
- 5:46did Marc Andreessen, who showed me the white paper that was the
- 5:51original white paper. I wish I had understood as
- 5:54clearly as he did how transformative Bitcoin in this
- 5:57new technology would be. Bitcoin doesn't trouble me.
- 6:01I think of it as an important asset that can help inform
- 6:05policy makers when they're doing things right and wrong.
- 6:09It is not a substitute to the dollar.
- 6:11I think it can often be a very good policeman for policy.
- 6:15And if I were to speak more broadly to what did Charlie
- 6:19Munger and others perhaps have in mind, there is a
- 6:23proliferation of securities that go under all sorts of names.
- 6:28Many, if not most of them are not worth what they're might be
- 6:31being traded for. So what did Charlie say?
- 6:35And maybe his his pal Warren say, there's the innovators, the
- 6:38imitators and the incompetence. They're real innovators that are
- 6:42happening in and around that new technology.
- 6:45And what I would try to impart towards businesses and bankers
- 6:51is that the underlying technology that Mark showed me
- 6:53in that white paper or tried to show me in that white paper,
- 6:56it's just software. It's just the newest, coolest
- 6:59software that will provide us an ability to do things that we
- 7:03could never have done before. We're pivoting from an era where
- 7:06value is created through financial engineering, and now
- 7:09we're pivoting to an era where value must be created through
- 7:11new capital formation. New capital flowing into
- 7:14industrial markets, new capital flowing into manufacturing, new
- 7:17capital flowing into the United States soil, new capital flowing
- 7:20into energy, and new capital flowing into an asset that gives
- 7:23the United States a relative advantage over their peers,
- 7:26which is not gold. It's Bitcoin.
- 7:29It's the new frontier. It's the new treasury reserve
- 7:31asset that doesn't have other countries and other nations that
- 7:35could be threats or enemies to the United States having a
- 7:37relative advantage or a head start on the United States in
- 7:40general. Plus, it will also force us to
- 7:42actually have to audit Fort Knox, which we haven't done.
- 7:44Bitcoins audited every 10 minutes.
- 7:46And Bitcoin is part of the president's plan, a part of this
- 7:49plan to build new capital formation in the United States.
- 7:53To unleash innovation and savings and financing, I'm also
- 7:56working to ensure America remains the crypto capital of
- 7:59the world. Regardless of what you believe
- 8:01about Donald Trump, he actually does what he says he's going to
- 8:04do, crazy or not. And I believe that this Warsh
- 8:08Besant and Trump trifecta is going to bring new capital flows
- 8:12into the United States. They want America to be the
- 8:15leader in several key markets, defense, industrial,
- 8:18manufacturing, energy and crypto.
- 8:21They've been laying out this thesis, him and Stanley
- 8:23Druckenmiller, for over a decade, and This is why you're
- 8:26not bullish enough on Bitcoin. They're doing the things that
- 8:29they've said that they've wanted to do for the past 10 years, but
- 8:31haven't had the economic or political capital to do so.
- 8:34Before we go any further on this episode and why you're not
- 8:36bullish enough on Bitcoin, let's thank our sponsors.
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- 9:16minutes. Don't sell your Bitcoin and also
- 9:18remove your Bitcoin from exchanges where you will be
- 9:21sovereign over your assets. When the Weimar crisis that
- 9:25we're going to talk about in a little bit actually actually
- 9:27hits, the volatility that we're seeing in markets right now is
- 9:30not something that you should play around with and you need to
- 9:33be ready and secure to remove your assets from that system
- 9:36when the time comes. So set up a note, do it
- 9:38privately, do it safely and securely, and the team from the
- 9:41Bitcoin Way will walk you through exactly how to do that.
- 9:44Schedule a free 30 minute meeting with their team on
- 9:46exactly how to do this. They'll walk you through step by
- 9:49step. Go to
- 9:50thebitcoinway.com/simplybitcoin. It's the beginning of the end of
- 9:56the monetary system as we know it.
- 9:58It's not just the US dollar, it's the Fiat monetary
- 10:02currencies. So the UK, the Euro, Japan,
- 10:07China all have similar debt problems and so on and are
- 10:11dealing with the same interrelationships.
- 10:14I believe what Ray is saying is true.
- 10:15This is the beginning of the end of the monetary system as we
- 10:18know it, and this is true for all Fiat currencies.
- 10:21You see this when you see assets that are supposed to be safe
- 10:24havens like gold erase over 10% and $4 trillion in market cap in
- 10:29less than 24 hours. The same thing for silver, which
- 10:32erased over a trillion dollars in market cap in 24 hours.
- 10:35Bitcoin is no exception, which dove to 82 K as of this
- 10:38recording. And here's a chart from the
- 10:40Weimar mark as compared to gold during the time of the Weimar
- 10:44Republic crisis. And you see massive spikes in
- 10:47volatility. You see eventually gold goes way
- 10:49up and to the right, but not without some calamity, not
- 10:52without a lot of ups and downs in the meantime.
- 10:54And it was because it was trying to cement itself as a new global
- 10:57currency. And that's exactly what's
- 10:59happening with Bitcoin right now.
- 11:01The world is repositioning itself.
- 11:03America is repositioning itself to be a superpower.
- 11:07I'm betting on Besant right now and what's happening in America.
- 11:10These stats are absolutely mind boggling.
- 11:12IEPA power you used on the tariffs, as you said, we've got,
- 11:16we're bringing in 10s of trillions of investments.
- 11:19The 10s of trillions of investments turns into
- 11:22factories, construction, which turns into factory jobs, which
- 11:25turns into consumer spending. You've right sized the the
- 11:29government. So government employment is
- 11:31down, private sector is up, growth was a stunning 4.74 point
- 11:378% in the past two quarters, biggest back-to-back gains in a
- 11:41decade. And we are doing that with
- 11:44government finances improving. So that will bring down the
- 11:47borrowing cost. The calendar year budget for
- 11:502020. Four, 7% deficit to GDP, highest
- 11:54when we weren't at war, not in a recession, all the way down to
- 11:585.4% and getting better. Biggest decline since 2014.
- 12:04Generational gains in productivity, soaring
- 12:07productivity. We're going to lift workers pay
- 12:10record high prices, record high profits and stock prices are are
- 12:15soaring. You got a manufacturing
- 12:17renaissance and all the key inflation metrics are trending
- 12:21lower over the past three months.
- 12:23The consumer price index is just 2.1 and core prices are even
- 12:27lower at 1.6. And I think that that could
- 12:30trend below 1, given energy, as you talked about the
- 12:34pharmaceutical discounts and rents.
- 12:39So we're expecting a great year in 2026, Mr. President.
- 12:43I'm betting that homes will not be a new source of wealth for
- 12:46new people trying to build wealth, and that it's going to
- 12:49create more gaps for people that don't hold assets like Bitcoin.
- 12:52President Trump is saying the quiet part out loud.
- 12:54You're not going to be able to get wealthy off of affording a
- 12:57home if you don't already have one.
- 13:00Existing housing, people that own their homes, we're going to
- 13:03keep them wealthy, we're going to keep those prices up.
- 13:07We're not going to destroy the value of their homes so that
- 13:10somebody that didn't work very hard can buy a home.
- 13:13We're going to get, we're going to make it easier to buy.
- 13:15We're going to get interest rates down.
- 13:17But I want to protect the people that for the first time in their
- 13:20lives feel good about themselves.
- 13:21They feel like they've, you know, that they're wealthy
- 13:24people. And I want them to understand
- 13:26it. You know, there's so much talk
- 13:27about, oh, we're going to drive housing prices down.
- 13:30I don't want to drive housing prices down.
- 13:32I want to drive housing prices up for people that own their
- 13:35homes. And they can be assured that's
- 13:37what's going to happen. I'm betting that the United
- 13:40States is going to capitalize itself on a new gold standard, a
- 13:43standard outside of the existing system that gives the United
- 13:46States a relative advantage over their peers.
- 13:48And that's not in gold, that's in Bitcoin.
- 13:50We own the exchanges, we own the markets, we own the capital
- 13:53flows, and we are going to be the leader in this market.
- 13:56So although this is what the crypto market has looked like,
- 13:59it's going to turn to this real fast.
- 14:01And Kevin Walsh is a signpost of a new economic era, an economic
- 14:05era where people are going to be rewarded for energy, effort,
- 14:08stored savings, accountability, fiscal responsibility.
- 14:12And that asset that allows you to have the most upside in all
- 14:15of these scenarios is still Bitcoin.
- 14:17What do you think? I think that Bitcoin does make
- 14:20sense as part of a portfolio in this environment where you have
- 14:26the most fundamental shift, for example, in monetary policy
- 14:29since Paul Volcker. This is a big shift that we're
- 14:32seeing under the Powell Fed, rightly or wrongly.
- 14:34So I'm not surprised in a period of dollar weakness where
- 14:37bitcoins doing what it's doing. And I'd also suggest that part
- 14:41of the move in Bitcoin is taking some of the bit away from gold.
- 14:45I think if Bitcoin never existed, gold would be rallying
- 14:48even more right now. But I guess guess if you're
- 14:51under 40, Bitcoin is your new gold.
- 14:53Do you believe in Bitcoin? In the Bitcoin thesis, one of
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- 14:58just buying it straight from an exchange.
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- 15:28Simply and if you get value from shows and episodes like this,
- 15:31please do subscribe to the channel Happy Stacking.