Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Point View's Petrides: Energy Cos. Should Issue Stock (Audio)
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg
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- 0:34Speaker 1: Stocks are lower, the SMP five hundred index down sixteen
- 0:38Speaker 1: to two thousand eighty, a drop of eight tenths of
- 0:41Speaker 1: one percent, naztack down forty four points, the drop of
- 0:44Speaker 1: nine tenths of one percent. Town industrials down one twenty
- 0:47Speaker 1: a drop of seven tenths of one percent, Gold up
- 0:50Speaker 1: eleven dollars an ounce to twelve eighty six, a gain
- 0:53Speaker 1: of nine tenths of one percent. And crude oil below
- 0:56Speaker 1: forty nine dollars. Apparel now for sixty eight down forty cents,
- 1:00Speaker 1: a drop of eight tenths one percent. I'm Charlie Pelt
- 1:03Speaker 1: and Dat's a Bloomberg business splash. Chipella thanks so much
- 1:07Speaker 1: time now for the t F report brought to you
- 1:08Speaker 1: by Vaneck Vectors ETFs. Expect more from your muni's target
- 1:11Speaker 1: tax exempt income by majority and credit quality AH with
- 1:15Speaker 1: low cost ttfs, visit vanek dot com slash Muni Vanek
- 1:19Speaker 1: access the opportunities for a report on e t F
- 1:22Speaker 1: s our Own Catherine Cowtery, Peru maybe out, Pakistan maybe in,
- 1:30Speaker 1: and China's allocation could more than double. Investors are awaiting
- 1:34Speaker 1: m s c i's annual review and potential changes to
- 1:37Speaker 1: its spense mark in taxes. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric Beltuna
- 1:41Speaker 1: says Pakistan was downgraded to frontier market status in two
- 1:44Speaker 1: thousand eight and their speculation it could be raised to
- 1:47Speaker 1: emerging status again. He adds there is positive momentum in Pakistan.
- 1:51Speaker 1: It's got a infrastructure project with China that's moving forward.
- 1:55Speaker 1: It's got population where half the people are under twenty five.
- 1:58Speaker 1: It's larger than Russia population wise, um, but it's frontier.
- 2:02Speaker 1: It's got a lot of issues as well, but it's
- 2:04Speaker 1: up nine percent this year. There's an e t F
- 2:05Speaker 1: focused on the country, the Global x MSCI Pakistan E
- 2:09Speaker 1: t F take her p A K Valtunist on the
- 2:13Speaker 1: impact of a possible ms C I move. Even if
- 2:15Speaker 1: Pakistan makes it into the MSCI Emerging Markets, it would
- 2:18Speaker 1: be point one waiting, I mean almost invisible. If you
- 2:22Speaker 1: add it up, that's about two point four billion dollars
- 2:24Speaker 1: worth of by orders for Pakistan stocks. P a k
- 2:27Speaker 1: has about six and a half million dollars in total assets.
- 2:31Speaker 1: That's your Bloomberg ETF report. I'm Katherine Cowdery is taking
- 2:37Speaker 1: stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pim Fox on Bloomberg Radio.
- 2:41Speaker 1: Shares of Apple are down about one and a half
- 2:44Speaker 1: percent today as the company begins its annual developers conference
- 2:49Speaker 1: in San Francisco. One of the announcements is that the
- 2:52Speaker 1: Apple will connect Siri, the voice activated application, with other apps,
- 2:59Speaker 1: and also it will be made to work on Mac computers.
- 3:03Speaker 1: The company also ditching its os X brand for Mac
- 3:07Speaker 1: os and the Apple Watch will get a faster operating system.
- 3:12Speaker 1: Find out more. Let's bringing John Petridis. He is Managing
- 3:16Speaker 1: director Portfolio manager, point View Wealth Management based in Summit,
- 3:20Speaker 1: New Jersey. John, thank you for being with us, Thanks
- 3:23Speaker 1: for having me on. So are any of these announcements
- 3:25Speaker 1: today from Apple enough to make you bullish on the
- 3:29Speaker 1: stock or are you still a bear? Still bearish on
- 3:32Speaker 1: the stock? However, I do like that they're emphasizing the
- 3:36Speaker 1: Apple TV. Um. I think that is where Apple needs
- 3:40Speaker 1: to be concentrating all of its efforts. And now that
- 3:45Speaker 1: you can download apps through the Apple TV, uh, you know,
- 3:49Speaker 1: the goal would be for you and I to ultimately
- 3:51Speaker 1: build our own ala card cable model through Apple TV
- 3:56Speaker 1: and pay for the apps for each indidividual show rather
- 3:59Speaker 1: than a Comcast or FiOS or someone like that, you know,
- 4:03Speaker 1: two hundred a month. You know, let's pay it through
- 4:06Speaker 1: Apple TV just for the shows that we want, as
- 4:08Speaker 1: opposed to watching twenty at a five hundred different shows.
- 4:12Speaker 1: So how important is this? Is this like, oh, it's
- 4:15Speaker 1: another cool step, you know, just add on a little bit,
- 4:19Speaker 1: or is this something that is potentially the you know,
- 4:22Speaker 1: the big move that Apple needs. No, we're not there yet. Um,
- 4:26Speaker 1: That's why I said this isn't This is going in
- 4:28Speaker 1: the right direction, but you're far from where Apple needs
- 4:30Speaker 1: to be. You know, there are rumors a few weeks
- 4:33Speaker 1: ago that Apple was thinking about buying Time Warner and
- 4:35Speaker 1: taking over HBO and taking on some other content. That's
- 4:38Speaker 1: what Apple needs to do. They need to get away
- 4:41Speaker 1: from being a pure hardware company and relying on iPhone
- 4:45Speaker 1: sales and iPhone upgrades every two years. Uh, to be
- 4:49Speaker 1: the driver of the company. They need to get their
- 4:51Speaker 1: business model to where you and I are paying Apple
- 4:53Speaker 1: a hundred dollars a month for services um. And if
- 4:57Speaker 1: they don't hurry up on the content side, the meat
- 5:00Speaker 1: be a content side, which is why I think they
- 5:01Speaker 1: need to be They're gonna fall far behind because Google
- 5:04Speaker 1: has YouTube, Facebook has Facebook Video, Amazon and building at
- 5:08Speaker 1: its own content, Netflix has its own content. I mean,
- 5:11Speaker 1: the world is changing an Apple and Tim Cooke's vision
- 5:14Speaker 1: right now is still focused on getting an iPhone in
- 5:17Speaker 1: everyone's hand when they should be working on the media.
- 5:20Speaker 1: Tell us about Alexa from Amazon and how Apple needs
- 5:24Speaker 1: to compete in that arena. Well, they are so. Alexa
- 5:27Speaker 1: is a cute little toy that you could have in
- 5:30Speaker 1: your house that you can be voice activated in Apple is.
- 5:34Speaker 1: There have been rumors that Apple gonna come out with
- 5:35Speaker 1: their own version of an Alexa. However, I don't know
- 5:39Speaker 1: about you if you have an iPhone, but Siri has
- 5:41Speaker 1: been a letdown experience for me personally, so you know,
- 5:45Speaker 1: I find myself yelling at the device more than now.
- 5:47Speaker 1: It's in and it still can't understand what I'm saying.
- 5:49Speaker 1: So the fact that they're focusing on Siri um onto
- 5:53Speaker 1: other devices, I think you need to work on series
- 5:55Speaker 1: application itself and U you know that would be the
- 5:59Speaker 1: benefit off if they can compete versus in Alexa. How
- 6:02Speaker 1: would you compare Siri to the voice activated function on
- 6:07Speaker 1: say the Samsung Note M. You know, I haven't played
- 6:12Speaker 1: with the Note well enough to compare one versus the other.
- 6:15Speaker 1: All I know is that for me. You know herey,
- 6:17Speaker 1: we're now going on to iPhone seven that will be
- 6:20Speaker 1: introduced in September. You know here he came out of
- 6:23Speaker 1: the four s, which is what four years ago, and
- 6:26Speaker 1: I still think that application is subpar at best. Now, John,
- 6:31Speaker 1: I want to turn your attention away from technology when
- 6:34Speaker 1: it comes to mobile phones and computers and turn your
- 6:38Speaker 1: attention to energy and high yield bonds. What do you
- 6:42Speaker 1: recommend individuals do and are their bonds or even stocks
- 6:48Speaker 1: that are in the energy industry that you think are compelling?
- 6:50Speaker 1: Vis right, So I would have continue to avoid the
- 6:54Speaker 1: energy high yield bond space for now. Go back to
- 6:59Speaker 1: January and say Bruary, when the world seemingly was falling
- 7:02Speaker 1: apart and yields blew out on the high yield bonds.
- 7:05Speaker 1: They particularly for energy companies when the price of oil
- 7:08Speaker 1: is now was at twenty five bucks you know barrel.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Now we're at fifty dollars at barrel. We've nearly doubled.
- 7:15Speaker 1: And you know what I think energy companies should be
- 7:17Speaker 1: doing today is actually issuing stock. You know, there were companies,
- 7:21Speaker 1: the energy companies that were issuing stock back in January,
- 7:24Speaker 1: figure in early March, really in the in the in
- 7:27Speaker 1: the eye of the storm. Well, now with the price
- 7:29Speaker 1: of oil doubling and in certain cases of energy stocks up,
- 7:32Speaker 1: you know a hundred hundred fifty since then, now is
- 7:36Speaker 1: the time companies should be issuing stock and focusing on
- 7:38Speaker 1: their balance sheets because there is no uh, you know,
- 7:41Speaker 1: the supply demand situation is although improving because drowing has
- 7:45Speaker 1: really falling off a cliff in the US. You know,
- 7:48Speaker 1: these companies need to start pumping out oil, and now
- 7:50Speaker 1: is the time when they should be shoring up. They're
- 7:52Speaker 1: like their balance sheets. So I think now is the
- 7:55Speaker 1: time energy companies should be issuing stock to to focus
- 7:58Speaker 1: in bringing up liquidity so basically then you're saying you
- 8:01Speaker 1: would buy some energy stocks. What about Master Master Limited Partnerships. Yeah,
- 8:07Speaker 1: I think that's where you're finding the area of the
- 8:10Speaker 1: energy space that should be issuing the most in terms
- 8:13Speaker 1: of stock. Because m LPs are usually the oil and
- 8:16Speaker 1: gas pipelines, right they transport oil from point A to
- 8:19Speaker 1: point B, and building out and maintaining those pipelines is
- 8:22Speaker 1: very very expensive to do, and you need access to
- 8:25Speaker 1: the credit markets, and right now, the credit markets are
- 8:27Speaker 1: issuing bonds at very high interest rates because they're very
- 8:30Speaker 1: concerned about the price of the commodity. So in order
- 8:33Speaker 1: to UH to N m LPs pay out a big
- 8:37Speaker 1: portion of the cash flow in the form of a dividend.
- 8:40Speaker 1: So I think investors would actually feel comforted if MLP
- 8:43Speaker 1: companies on the back of this stock rally issued shares
- 8:47Speaker 1: freed up liquidity. That would that would UH secure the
- 8:51Speaker 1: dividend because many income oriented investors, those that are in
- 8:54Speaker 1: retirement are focusing on MLPs because they need that source
- 8:58Speaker 1: of income, and that would actually help the space a lot.
- 9:00Speaker 1: I mean, how often do you have someone on talking
- 9:02Speaker 1: about companies that should be issuing stock. It's usually the
- 9:05Speaker 1: opposite right, Usually the reward companies who buy back their shares.
- 9:09Speaker 1: But here in the energy space, now is the time
- 9:11Speaker 1: where company should be doing In the opposite, John, is
- 9:13Speaker 1: now the time to invest in a company such as
- 9:15Speaker 1: Chevron paying a dividend of a little bit more than
- 9:18Speaker 1: four Yeah, Well, we believe in diversification and despite the
- 9:23Speaker 1: rally in oil, you never know where the commodity is
- 9:25Speaker 1: going to be, So a Chevron, an exn Mobile, a
- 9:30Speaker 1: British Petroleum, you know, those big cat super major that
- 9:34Speaker 1: are integrated, that have the upstream, that have the mid
- 9:37Speaker 1: stream and a downstream on the energy are the right
- 9:39Speaker 1: places that investors should be in because you can weather
- 9:42Speaker 1: the downturn um if the price of oil was to
- 9:45Speaker 1: go down, and you have a diverse business model and
- 9:48Speaker 1: you'll benefit on the upside. So you know, it's it's
- 9:52Speaker 1: it's unless you should be diversified across the different sectors,
- 9:55Speaker 1: and we would recommend that you hide in the supermajors.
- 9:58Speaker 1: Final comment on final question, could you wagh In on
- 10:03Speaker 1: Microsoft acquiring LinkedIn? Sure? I think that this was a
- 10:07Speaker 1: very interesting acquisition on Microsoft side, but I think it
- 10:11Speaker 1: was very defensive in nature, and what I mean by
- 10:13Speaker 1: that is Microsoft paid a forty nine percent premium for
- 10:17Speaker 1: linked In nearly eight or over eight times sales. And
- 10:21Speaker 1: if you're a shareholder of Microsoft, which which our clients
- 10:23Speaker 1: do own, it's not a creative or it will be
- 10:26Speaker 1: dilutive until two thousand and nineteen. And that's on a
- 10:30Speaker 1: non gap basis. So what does that mean. That means
- 10:32Speaker 1: you will not see a hit to the bottom line
- 10:34Speaker 1: to the positive side for Microsoft cheryld's two thousand nineteen.
- 10:39Speaker 1: And that excludes option dilution. And you know that there's
- 10:43Speaker 1: massive option dilution within for LinkedIn shareholders. So and the
- 10:46Speaker 1: reason why I think this is defensive is Microsoft described
- 10:49Speaker 1: themselves as a platform and productivity company, and I think
- 10:52Speaker 1: this acquisition they buy it ahead of someone like a
- 10:55Speaker 1: Facebook or Apple or some other laws or Google. John
- 11:00Speaker 1: but Tradeing, thank you so much for joining us, Managing Director,
- 11:02Speaker 1: Portfolio Manager, point View Wealth Management. The Microsoft LinkedIn deal
- 11:07Speaker 1: defensive on Microsoft's part, Still bearish on Apple. This is
- 11:11Speaker 1: taking stock boom Brig Radio