Latest / What Bitcoin Did / The Spiritual War for Bitcoin | American HODL, Erik Cason & Marty Bent
Transcript
- 0:00The root of the problem is that the money, how money is created and how it's distributed
- 0:08throughout the economy.
- 0:09It has externalities on everything.
- 0:11Bitcoin can be a means to an end, but it's how do you convince people that this is the
- 0:17right means to the right end?
- 0:18If you own Bitcoin and you have it self-custodied, it's yours.
- 0:22It's going to be your way out of this dystopian hellhole that's probably going to get produced.
- 0:26The point of uncensorable cypherpunk money is to be uncensorable and allow for anyone anywhere to use it for whatever they want.
- 0:34If you're worried about the state doing stuff, like, get the fuck out of it.
- 0:38Like, I don't know what you're doing here.
- 0:40I don't understand why you're interested in this project.
- 0:43You should just kind of bluntly assume your favorite Bitcoin developer is probably an intelligence asset just because that's the model.
- 0:52If you're a Bitcoiner who believes in freedom, you have to tread lightly as you walk through the valley of the shadow of death because you are beset on all sides by enemies.
- 1:05Eric, Hoddle, Marty, good to see you guys.
- 1:07I thought I wanted to get a show out for Bitcoin White Paper Day, 17 years since the white paper dropped.
- 1:12This is going to go out on Friday.
- 1:14Marty, this is your first time on the show, though.
- 1:15Welcome, man.
- 1:17It's great to be here.
- 1:18I was on the previous iteration of what Bitcoin did, but never this one.
- 1:22Yeah, we tried to make it work in Austin when I was there a few months ago, but here we are anyway.
- 1:29But 17 years since the white paper dropped, you guys have all been in Bitcoin for like a long time.
- 1:34Eric, I think probably you've been in the longest.
- 1:36I just want to get a bit of a reflection on this.
- 1:38Like when you look back at what Bitcoin's done over the last 17 years, like how do you take it in?
- 1:44It's gone from being like worth literally zero.
- 1:46You get it free like faucets and you could mine it on your home laptop to being like a $2 trillion asset.
- 1:52that's very sort of geopolitically relevant?
- 1:55How do you take all that in?
- 1:57Yeah, I remember when you used to be able to get like
- 1:58hundreds of Bitcoin from a faucet.
- 2:01I mean, it's like I took acid and it never wore off.
- 2:05It's just like I'm like perpetually in this insane trip of a journey.
- 2:09And like it's super blessed and amazing.
- 2:11I mean, when I first discovered Bitcoin,
- 2:14there was very little outside of the Bitcoin talk forms
- 2:17that were available.
- 2:18Yeah, and it was like a batshit crazy idea.
- 2:21and uh it's funny because like i don't feel like there's as much of the like you like smoked you
- 2:27like smoke the bitcoin crack sort of effect that like people used to have because like some of the
- 2:32other early psychopaths that i met like they they would be like yeah i like when it clicked for me
- 2:37like i couldn't sleep for days on end i like lost a bunch of weight it was you know like i really got
- 2:42what it was uh and so now that it's like actually achieving what it set out to be it's it's a very
- 2:48strange and ethereal journey, but I feel
- 2:50immensely blessed that I saw
- 2:52what it was, that it seems to be
- 2:54doing what we wanted to.
- 2:56And we're also at this very interesting inflection
- 2:58point where it seems
- 3:00like Banker Bitcoin and Sucoin
- 3:02is actually giving
- 3:04Cypherpunk Vision
- 3:06a bit of a run for its money
- 3:08at this point in time.
- 3:11So I don't know. I feel really great
- 3:12about what it's accomplished, but
- 3:14I'm deeply concerned about the lack
- 3:16of pedagogical approach about
- 3:18like the point of uncensorable cypherpunk money is to be uncensorable and allow for anyone anywhere
- 3:24to use it for whatever they want. And that's its technical purpose. And so seeing a lot of people
- 3:29just cheering on number go up repeatedly, I do find a bit alarming. But with that being said,
- 3:35Bitcoin's magnitude beyond anything I could have imagined in my wildest dreams. So like I feel
- 3:41deeply blessed that the vision is out there in the world and it offers a radical new kind of
- 3:46hope to most people. I'd just like to get back to sort of a lot of insane stuff that me and
- 3:51HODL first connected around, like in sort of the 2020-2021 cycle, where it was much more about
- 3:57the spiritual awakening of Bitcoin, as opposed to that we're all just going to get rich and drive
- 4:02Ferraris. Do you think that's just like a consequence of scale, though? And not everyone's
- 4:07going to get Bitcoin in that way? Because I'm with you. I got into Bitcoin later than you. But even
- 4:12when I did like the from the day I first heard about Bitcoin there's probably not been a single
- 4:16day since that I've not read about it like tried to learn about it want to go further and further
- 4:20down that rabbit hole but like as this scales not everyone's going to be like that yeah and I do
- 4:25think that's part of the consequence I also think that like uh sort of the the crazier more radical
- 4:29voices are getting drowned out of it and like I I sort of think it's time for us to redouble into
- 4:34our own insane journey because like my deepest frustration now when I talk to people I'm like
- 4:38oh I'm a Bitcoin and they're like oh crypto I'm like no if you ever say that again I'm gonna smack
- 4:42it right out of your fucking mouth um and i'm very pedantic i'm like if you don't understand the
- 4:47difference between bitcoin and crypto you don't understand either and you're going to get scammed
- 4:50for the latter as opposed to actually getting the true cause of what the former is and like
- 4:55so bitcoin has a real opportunity to free us from the endemic rot that like is the fiat system uh
- 5:03drive people around me crazy by like constantly commenting on the societal ills that fiat has
- 5:09created and and you can just see that metastasizing effect across society and at this point in america
- 5:14like i i highly expect the next five years it's fascism or communism it's like one of the two
- 5:20choices and that's just a result of a broken money system and it's really interesting to like
- 5:25watch america become like the we mayer remix so it's like 2030s you know and like that's what
- 5:31we're gonna get and uh it's pretty scary because also like the the communists have like a very
- 5:36strong argument now of like yeah fuck it like let's just seize the boomers property redistribute
- 5:42to the youth because like they fucked us over we'll never fucking touch social security we'll
- 5:46never get entitlements they're just handing out willy-nilly medicare to everyone except for the
- 5:51youth so yeah like fuck it let's just have a full-on communist party start seizing wealth
- 5:57across the board start executing vcs it'll work great and at that point that's when you get
- 6:03somebody in the far right being like hey they're gonna kill all you guys if you don't give me
- 6:06radical power so you can either sign up here or get executed by the communists which one
- 6:12this uh this is funny you're bringing this up because this aligns very much in my early bitcoin
- 6:21story back in like 2013 i got pushed over the edge i was like really into bitcoin it's funny
- 6:26this uh this is the philadelphia inquire uh headline from october 31st 2008 when the white
- 6:33paper dropped while we're here to meet this. I was 17 years old, running around the streets of
- 6:38Philadelphia after the Phillies won the World Series. Great financial crisis was happening.
- 6:42I went to college with no enemy mentality, but to your point, Eric, what really pushed me over the
- 6:47edge is I worked for this Russian immigrant. He immigrated to the United States in the 90s.
- 6:54And I'll never forget this one portfolio management meeting we had. We sat down and
- 6:58ended up just being me and him. His name was Dimitri. In the room, we were talking about TSA
- 7:03and civil liberties and stuff like that. And he typically, during our meetings, he would just look
- 7:08at his computer. He was a quant and he'd have all this stuff up. And he like turned from his computer
- 7:12and looked at me. When we were talking about the TSA, he was like, Marty, I want to tell you a
- 7:15story. The first time I immigrated here, I'll never forget in 1994, the first time I walked
- 7:21through an airport in the United States, I cried because I'd never felt that amount of freedom.
- 7:26And I want to warn you as a young 22 year old man that the U.S. is turning into the Soviet Russia I ran away from. And that was in like 2013, maybe early 2014. And I was learning about Bitcoin at the time. But just reflecting on America and not necessarily Bitcoin since then, like, yeah, it's definitely gone down that trajectory towards over communism.
- 7:49and really why I went full bore into Bitcoin in the first place.
- 7:54It was like, this thing is separate from that.
- 7:56I need to focus my attention on this.
- 7:59Yeah.
- 7:59Just reflecting on the whole thing,
- 8:01I remember being deeply affected by the great financial crisis,
- 8:06just like Marty.
- 8:08I have a friend, Jenseth, who says that you didn't get to Bitcoin
- 8:11because you're so smart.
- 8:12You got here because you were a young man
- 8:13who had stupid ideas about the government,
- 8:15which I certainly embodied.
- 8:16I was in high school writing papers about seasteading
- 8:19and things like that.
- 8:21And my daughter's walking through.
- 8:23Hi, sweetie.
- 8:24Can you go?
- 8:24Can you go to the church?
- 8:25Thank you.
- 8:27And so anyway,
- 8:28I was ideologically predisposed
- 8:30to be a crazy libertarian person.
- 8:32And then you find Bitcoin
- 8:33and you're like,
- 8:33well, shit, here it is.
- 8:35The thing we've been waiting for.
- 8:36We don't have to be
- 8:37loser libertarians anymore.
- 8:38We're going to be rich libertarians
- 8:40who affect the world
- 8:42in a positive way.
- 8:43And actually,
- 8:44maybe we can get towards
- 8:46anarcho-capitalism
- 8:47because Bitcoin is solving
- 8:49a problem, right? It's not just us complaining or doing rhetoric against the system. Like,
- 8:53we actually are solving a problem. And the problem is, like, people used to say in the early days of
- 8:57Bitcoin, it had no killer app. And it's like, the killer app is prosperity. You know, prosperity is
- 9:03the killer app. And every single person on earth wants that. And when you talk about this political
- 9:07fight that's happening now between the commies and, you know, the fascists, and I was just listening
- 9:12to, like, Fuentes on Tucker Carlson, and he throws in there as this, like, sort of casual aside that he
- 9:17admires joseph stalin and it's like and it just gets brushed brushed right by it it's like
- 9:21okay both of these the luigi mangioni left the groipers everyone's an economic populist and
- 9:28economic populism is rising and i think that we as the bitcoiners are like which is weird because
- 9:35we're the people who are from the island of misfit toys we're the weirdos we are now occupying the
- 9:41sane, like, middle ground.
- 9:43Like, we are the rational center
- 9:44and saying, hey, guys,
- 9:47like, maybe it's not
- 9:49we need to kill all the immigrants
- 9:51and maybe it's not
- 9:52we need to kill everybody
- 9:53with more than a million dollars.
- 9:55Maybe it's we need a money
- 9:57that can't be corrupted.
- 9:59And oh, by the way,
- 10:00we're a broad, multi-diverse,
- 10:02multi-racial, multi-ethnic,
- 10:04multi-religious coalition
- 10:05of young people
- 10:06who have all seen a better,
- 10:08brighter, orangier future.
- 10:09and like, join us, you know?
- 10:12And that's crazy, but it gets less crazy every day.
- 10:16Less, you know, the alternative,
- 10:18like the mainstream political alternatives
- 10:20are so much fucking crazier than what I just said.
- 10:23Like magic internet money, join us.
- 10:26You know what I mean?
- 10:26A man in a stupid wizard hat.
- 10:28Like that's way more sane than what's going on
- 10:32on the left or the right.
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- 12:28visit anchor watch.com today that is anchor watch.com marty i want to go back to something you said
- 12:34before like you were talking about the us basically trending towards soviet russia um if that's
- 12:40happening the uk and australia and other places around the world are definitely front-running the
- 12:44us in that sense um do you think bitcoin can actually stop that or or is bitcoin just an opt
- 12:49out so you don't have to be involved in it i don't think bitcoin in and of itself can really
- 12:55stop anything it's really up to individuals adopting bitcoin and using it to stop it and i
- 13:01think obviously the four of us here um are pretty much well on our way to trying to do that i think
- 13:08hodl to your point and i think it's the one thing i've been reflecting on
- 13:12a lot in the recent,
- 13:14well, in the last year is,
- 13:17okay, like how can we sharpen the messaging
- 13:19to really get through to people?
- 13:22Like you're saying,
- 13:22we have the crazy left and the crazy right,
- 13:24and they're all somehow missing
- 13:26that there's a third option
- 13:28or another option.
- 13:29Maybe there's more than three.
- 13:30With Bitcoin,
- 13:32where the root of the problem is that
- 13:34the money,
- 13:35how money is created
- 13:37and how it's distributed
- 13:38throughout the economy.
- 13:40It has externalities on everything.
- 13:42we touch in the economy.
- 13:44It's like Bitcoin can be a means to an end,
- 13:47but it's how do you convince people
- 13:49that this is the right means to the right end?
- 13:51And that's something that I think a lot about these days.
- 13:55And Hodel, like you were saying
- 13:56that prosperity is the killer app,
- 13:58and that kind of goes against what Eric was saying,
- 14:01because you're basically saying number go up
- 14:03is the thing we need right now,
- 14:04so Bitcoins get wealthy and can, I guess,
- 14:06change the world themselves.
- 14:09Do you think we are sacrificing things
- 14:11for number go up right now?
- 14:14Yeah, there's a tension.
- 14:15I mean, listen, just to be honest,
- 14:17yeah, there's a tension between censorship resistance
- 14:19and number go up.
- 14:20And I've long had this sort of view
- 14:22that Bitcoin is going to have to walk
- 14:24through sort of a period of like,
- 14:26you know, purgatory, essentially.
- 14:30Like that there's going to be like a shadow,
- 14:32you know, co-option of Bitcoin
- 14:33where it kind of looks like Bitcoin has been cucked
- 14:36and then Bitcoin explodes out the other side.
- 14:38Now, maybe that's like a defeatist viewpoint
- 14:40and people are like, oh, you can't give in because, you know, but I think that
- 14:44if you're thinking about these things as two super organisms like Bitcoin and the traditional
- 14:49financial system, I think Bitcoin is a pathogen that eats the host. And so I think if we put
- 14:55Bitcoin into the traditional financial system, I think it will overtake the traditional financial
- 15:00system over time. And I don't know that the idea of Bitcoin being outside money is Bitcoin's
- 15:05ultimate destiny because in order to get where it's going, it has to pass through the traditional
- 15:09system, I think. So like, you know, you see this throughout history, like, you know, Christianity
- 15:15subsumes Rome, and I think Bitcoin subsumes like the modern state, the fiat state. And that's a
- 15:21long arduous journey that like, if you're a Bitcoiner who believes in freedom, like you have
- 15:26to tread lightly as you walk through the valley of the shadow of death, because you are beset on
- 15:31all sides by enemies. You know, that's just the way it is. We've chosen the hardest path on the
- 15:35table, basically. It's a lot easier to join up and say, I'm going to be a far right populist,
- 15:40or I'm going to be a far left populist. Bitcoiners are trying to walk the middle path,
- 15:43and it's difficult. Yeah. I want to know what you think about that,
- 15:46Eric, because with the way people interact with Bitcoin now, it's like KYC, AML exchanges,
- 15:53there's treasury companies, ETF, the institutionalization of Bitcoin. That is the
- 15:58area that I have some concern, not a great deal of concern in, but some degree of concern in.
- 16:02Like, do you think Bitcoin's strong enough to go through that and make out the other side, like HODL's saying?
- 16:07Or do you think we risk losing something along the way?
- 16:10Yeah, it's kind of interesting because, like, I feel like this is always the game Bitcoin's playing with the Trojan horse thing.
- 16:15And so, like, I feel like we're at the place where, like, they've brought the horse into Troy.
- 16:19They've all had their great celebration.
- 16:21And I think, like, now we essentially need to see a bunch of shit blow up internally inside of the financial system and watch kind of the general wealthy and elite flee to Bitcoin.
- 16:31And that's sort of them like opening the gates of Troy and fleeing.
- 16:35And then it's like, oh, look, the Aegeans are outside.
- 16:38With that being said, maybe like this is more on to us as I felt back in like the 2021 era, I felt like we had a really strong narrative about how Bitcoin was going to fuck up this system and empower people.
- 16:51But really, like I kind of think like stealing from Lenin's playbook, like we essentially need a deep class consciousness awakening.
- 17:00and there needs to be a pedagogical approach that explains how fiat money has destroyed society
- 17:04because i i find it very interesting that everyone sees how absolutely fucked up everything is and
- 17:10usually they take a right left paradigm in order to describe that and like particularly being here
- 17:16in like the liberal hub of the world like i'm extremely pedantic with my liberal friends about
- 17:20like you like we have this like no kings bullshit going on here about uh like trump trying to like
- 17:26do gerrymandering. And I'm just like, come on, how much of a bozo do you have to be to see that
- 17:31they're doing gerrymandering for the left and that somebody like Nancy Pelosi is now worth $100
- 17:37million despite being a career politician? You don't think that that is from pure and utter
- 17:42corruption and that at least people like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are being direct about how
- 17:48they want to make money. Nancy Pelosi is a pure parasite insofar that she literally engages in
- 17:54insider trading, robs the American public by making backdoor deals with some of the most
- 18:00disgusting people and ideas that there could be. And yet somehow you find yourself cheering for her
- 18:06and her side. You really need to look deeper into what's going on if you actually want to liberate
- 18:11yourself. And I have a great answer for you, but it's going to require some real thought on your
- 18:17part and really actually wondering whether or not you've become a useful idiot for people that hate
- 18:22you and want to abuse you and steal from you because i do have an answer but it's going to
- 18:27require you to do some real thought and actually start start in the process of unwinding the very
- 18:33deep brainwashing that most people have gone through and some people receive it some people
- 18:38don't but at the end of the day like and this is why i've kind of uh lightly flirted with the idea
- 18:43about an orange party is that like my idea is we essentially need a radical central orange party
- 18:48that's in the middle that advocates for these very middle of the road, normal things and in
- 18:54the process needs to absolutely fucking lamb blast anybody on the right or left and be like
- 18:59the Democrats and Republicans are the enemies. They've destroyed our fucking country. And when
- 19:03we come to power, every single federal representative will be put on trial for
- 19:07treason. And when they're found guilty, they will be hung according to American law because that like
- 19:13that's what they did. They engaged in outright fucking treason. They never expected themselves
- 19:18to be held accountable.
- 19:18And I want to see them hung from public gallows
- 19:21when it becomes very clear that they sold us up the street
- 19:24to the Chinese for like, what, $20,000 maybe?
- 19:28Like that's the other thing that's outrageous
- 19:29is the amount of money that they're prostituting us for
- 19:32is fucking pennies on the dollar.
- 19:35And with that being said, this establishment is so corrupt.
- 19:38I don't see why we can't just ram through state legislatures
- 19:41because what, to buy something to pass any state legislature,
- 19:46It's going to cost maybe $50,000 to get converts on the right side.
- 19:50And as you populize a movement like this, you just strong arm everybody because it's
- 19:54clear that these geriatrics are completely spineless individuals, that the moment that
- 20:01you start putting real pressure on them and being very clear that this is the direction
- 20:05it's going and this isn't about money anymore.
- 20:07This is actually about whether or not they're going to live at the end of this.
- 20:10Yeah, they'll collapse.
- 20:12But again, this is a very radical viewpoint that I'm establishing.
- 20:15So if anybody wants to take this and run with it, please feel free.
- 20:18I don't think it needed that disclaimer.
- 20:20But what kind of legislative do you want to push through?
- 20:23Because you're the anarchist.
- 20:24Why do you want this to go through the government rails?
- 20:29Excellent question.
- 20:30I want to go through state government rails because in the United States, we have the
- 20:34ability to amend the Constitution using state legislations alone.
- 20:38There's been a number of amendments to the U.S. Constitution that have gotten pretty close.
- 20:42And I'm pretty sure the only amendment that was actually pushed through through this methodology was to repeal the amendment for prohibition.
- 20:52And so essentially the idea is that if you can get 35 state legislatures to pass an amendment to the United States Constitution using the slang, the language that's supposed to just be added to the Constitution directly and unilaterally.
- 21:04And this was explicitly explained in the Federalist Papers as a way for the American public to be able to reclaim the republic when the federal government has become entirely corrupt, which I think that's the place that we're at.
- 21:18And so it's a radically different strategy that sort of tries to lateralize states to reclaim their ability to essentially prove their sovereignty through amending the Constitution without any sort of federal representatives whatsoever.
- 21:32Again, this is like kind of a harebrained idea.
- 21:35I don't really want to run this down because like I'm not a politician and I don't really want to get shot at this age.
- 21:40Although, yeah, like maybe I'm due for a young death anyway.
- 21:45So like maybe we should just run this down anyways.
- 21:47But what do you want added to the Constitution?
- 21:52First one is just like unilateral destruction of the Federal Reserve.
- 21:55Just like the Federal Reserve does not get the issue of the dollar anymore.
- 21:58Done.
- 21:59And like with that, it's amended to the Constitution.
- 22:02And the interesting thing is like this causes a constitutional crisis because it's not like a federal government is just going to be like, oh, no, they amended the Constitution with Article five.
- 22:10Like, gee golly dang.
- 22:12You know, in addition to like if you get that method to work, keep going.
- 22:16It's like, you know, the United States federal government has no right to tax anyone anymore.
- 22:21Or like the IRS is just an illegal institution that needs to be outright liquidated today.
- 22:26Like, you know, let your mind go crazy because there's no reason why we can't just use amendments directly as a way to essentially have a publicist to be able to pass laws against the federal government.
- 22:39And again, super radical idea would definitely cause a constitutional crisis, would probably get me killed in the process.
- 22:45But fuck it, we're all going to die at this point in time if communists comes along.
- 22:50So I'd rather get shot and starve to death.
- 22:51I love that whenever you speak to Eric this is about like reflecting on 17 years of Bitcoin It took us what 20 minutes to get into hanging all the politicians Well look I want to only do it if they actually been found guilty of treason
- 23:06All I'm saying is let's actually uphold the laws that have been established.
- 23:10There will be due process.
- 23:10And I think if we looked in the-
- 23:11It's not French Revolution.
- 23:13It's due process.
- 23:15Exactly.
- 23:15And it's very important that state governments all handle this on their own.
- 23:19So I'd expect that the representatives of each individual state, in addition to their senators,
- 23:23You know, so I would want Wyoming to put their senators on trial. And if it turns out that their senators hadn't broken the law, excellent. They don't get hung. Turns out that if, you know, some of the representatives in California took COVID money and never paid it back, had broke the law. Well, hey, that that they need to be held accountable for.
- 23:42but to me like again and it is ironic that as the anarchist that like i'm the one representing the
- 23:48rule of law more than anybody else is just kind of the irony of the entirety of this thing a very
- 23:53fact that we're talking about magic internet money is supposed to be the thing that returns us to
- 23:58sane economic prerogatives in the world as well that's where we're at in the narrative so here we
- 24:03are and you brought the no kings protest i've very intentionally just ignored everything that's
- 24:08been going on with that because i i don't i don't need to pay attention to that but can one of you
- 24:12fill me in like how big has that been over there not that big it's it's yeah it's like it's
- 24:17astroturfed honestly like it seems kind of fake yeah yeah i've seen some people hanging out at
- 24:22like again because i live in like the heart of liberal mecca uh like i see some people standing
- 24:27on the corners with their signs congratulating themselves for participating in democracy but i'm
- 24:32i'm just like super confused because like wasn't donald trump like elected through the democratic
- 24:38process so and like furthermore
- 24:40like I don't know of a lot of
- 24:42kings that like served for one term
- 24:44and then like left afterwards and
- 24:46reelected and so
- 24:47I don't know there's like a weird brain virus
- 24:50going on because like I don't
- 24:52actually hear I mean like of the
- 24:54two Republicans that I know in the area
- 24:56like they don't talk about Trump
- 24:58incessantly whereas like the liberals that I know
- 25:00they're always like that
- 25:02piece of shit Trump and he's
- 25:04destroying America with his
- 25:06fascism and I'm like deep like
- 25:08do you know what this word means?
- 25:10Cause like,
- 25:11I think you're using a lot of words that you don't understand.
- 25:13They're like,
- 25:13yeah,
- 25:13like fascism is where the bad guy wins.
- 25:17And I'm like,
- 25:17no,
- 25:18I think that there's maybe a deeper cause.
- 25:21Cause I always insist to people like the problem with calling Trump a fascist,
- 25:24like he's not principled enough to be a fascist.
- 25:27Like if he was a fascist,
- 25:28like I'm pretty sure we'd see a lot more people in prison and getting murdered
- 25:32exjudiciously.
- 25:33So I don't know.
- 25:35That's just my standpoint with it.
- 25:36But yeah,
- 25:37I do feel like this is astroturfed.
- 25:39And it's, I don't know, this is all bullshit.
- 25:42It's this left-right thing to divide us
- 25:44instead of us be like,
- 25:45hey, like the cost of groceries has gone up 50%
- 25:49in the last five years.
- 25:50Like that seems to be fucking all of us pretty equally
- 25:53except for this political class.
- 25:56That's pretty strange, huh?
- 25:57Hmm.
- 25:58Just to bring it back to Bitcoin for a minute.
- 26:01Like we've done 965 shows or something
- 26:05about all the wins that Bitcoin has had.
- 26:07But is there anything that you think we're not doing well enough?
- 26:10Maybe we'll start with you, Mai.
- 26:13Getting to the youth.
- 26:14I was going to say, Eric, while you're talking about that,
- 26:16not only are we stuck in the middle with you with red and blue,
- 26:21but I think it's like boomers and Gen Z.
- 26:25It's like, I feel like there's a cohort of millennials.
- 26:27Obviously, not every millennial is in the Bitcoin,
- 26:29but I think we're overrepresented within people that have adopted Bitcoin.
- 26:36and the boomers are just old dogs.
- 26:39You're not going to teach an old dog new trick.
- 26:41And then the zoomers are just completely nihilistic
- 26:44and running towards the wrong fake idols, if you will.
- 26:50And it's like, how do we,
- 26:51that's one thing again I've been thinking about.
- 26:54We had a whole zoomer series on our HR.
- 26:57I remember when I was in Austin earlier this year,
- 27:00we were talking about this
- 27:01because I think the demographics for our shows
- 27:03are probably pretty similar.
- 27:04and like the boomers I've actually seen that growing like I do see a sort of growing cohort
- 27:10there but in terms of sort of Gen Z there's almost no one listens to the show I don't know
- 27:15whether that's because it's like long-form content people prefer different types of media but like how
- 27:19do you reach those people I don't know I'm looking at my demo right now my core demo is 35 to 44
- 27:24at 25%. The next is 45 to 54 at 24. And then it's 55 to 64. And then it's 65 plus,
- 27:33and then it drops down to 25, 34. So it's not even millennials of my age, which is crazy. I don't
- 27:39know if it's the type of content we do, but I'm sure yours is similar for some reason.
- 27:43The Zoomers who are arguably the most important cohort for us to go out and convert to recognizing
- 27:51this third way of doing things or just not getting this information from what I can tell.
- 27:56I do wonder though, like, cause when I got into Bitcoin, I didn't have very much money at all,
- 28:00but, and Bitcoin seemed expensive then. And like, relatively it was obviously not like,
- 28:04do you think that's just unit bias that like, how can I, you know, gain from this thing when
- 28:08I can just go and like punt on meme game, meme stocks or whatever? I think we're just living in
- 28:13a completely different world. And I've come to realize this, like in the last three, like I don't
- 28:16get Zoomer culture at all.
- 28:19No, I got that.
- 28:206-7 or something like that?
- 28:226-7.
- 28:23It's the first one.
- 28:24I have no idea what it is and apparently it's the biggest thing.
- 28:27Yeah, I've never even heard of that.
- 28:29Maybe not.
- 28:30I think the thing that's hard as a millennial to understand about Zoomers is
- 28:35that just how pronounced the nihilism is.
- 28:39I think we all go on Twitter and we're like,
- 28:41oh my God, things are just getting worse every day.
- 28:44But we still have this sort of inherent like boomer utopianism
- 28:47because we were like real optimism
- 28:49because we were raised by the boomers.
- 28:51And so we kind of think that,
- 28:53I don't know, things are pretty shit,
- 28:55but like, I think we can pull it out.
- 28:57Like maybe we can make it work, you know?
- 28:59And so Bitcoin is a, you know,
- 29:00it's a philosophy of rational optimism
- 29:03because you're basically saying like,
- 29:06I have a future and I'm going to like plan for my future.
- 29:10And I'm going to do that with Bitcoin.
- 29:12But if you've totally swallowed the black pill,
- 29:15then you're basically saying,
- 29:17I'm waiting for the revolution.
- 29:18And if the revolution never comes,
- 29:20I'll just kill myself.
- 29:21And I think, unfortunately,
- 29:22that's what's going on with a lot of people
- 29:24in the Gen Z demographic.
- 29:27And what I would say to them is basically like,
- 29:29listen, the generational divide, whatever.
- 29:31Millennials are cringe.
- 29:31Yeah, of course, we're cringe.
- 29:33That's our thing, dog.
- 29:34You guys need to care about yourself
- 29:36and you need to start making some plans
- 29:38because you do have a future.
- 29:40No matter what happens,
- 29:41The world gets really bad.
- 29:43The world goes dark, whatever.
- 29:44It's like the sun is still going to come up
- 29:46and people are still going to go to work
- 29:47and people are still going to raise their families.
- 29:49Like you have a future.
- 29:50And so you need to plan accordingly
- 29:52as if you have a future.
- 29:54And you need to do that in a rationally optimistic way.
- 29:58You know, I think with Bitcoin,
- 30:00but like in all aspects of your life,
- 30:01you should plan that you're going to be here
- 30:03in the next 10 years
- 30:04because the people that aren't,
- 30:05that don't plan to be here,
- 30:07they end up in woeful circumstances.
- 30:09They're still here.
- 30:10They don't die.
- 30:11they're still here 10 20 30 years from now and they end up in just these awful circumstances
- 30:16with just these miserable lives and you don't want that to be you i mean to be fair to like
- 30:21steelman the black pill argument like it it's like really strong it kind of reminds me like
- 30:25the fish parable but with darkness it's like hey kids like how's the light today and like
- 30:29you know the fish in fact they're like what's light you know because like like look at look
- 30:35at the demographics and the statistics that like uh they grew up with a generation of parents who
- 30:39like already believed like the climate crisis doomerism ai doomerism like i'm the heart of ai
- 30:45like it's fucking bananas that like i don't think i've met a single person well there's one guy but
- 30:52outside of him i don't think i've met a single ai person that like has a non-black-pilled version
- 30:57so like ai is gonna murder everybody anyways uh like the the politics are completely fucked across
- 31:03the board the idea of them living moving out of their parents basement is a distant dream you know
- 31:08that the idea of just getting a room in the house and not living in the basement is like a dream so
- 31:13like they have a pretty strong argument for like why should i give a fuck about myself or the future
- 31:18because it's not gonna come and this is one of the places where like that's why i think that like
- 31:23insane communism works because it's like hey if you join my communist party we're just gonna kill
- 31:29the boomers and steal their shit and redistribute their housing to you so would you like to take up
- 31:35arms for the great communist cause. I'm like, that's like a pretty appealing thing at this
- 31:40point in time. And it's fucking terrifying. And I wish that this would actually get the boomers to
- 31:44the table in a meaningful way to go, oh yeah, we did actually fuck everything up, rewarded ourselves
- 31:49and then sold our children down the river. And now our grandchildren are going to murder us for that.
- 31:53You know, like that, that seems to be like a probabilistical outcome. And the thing that,
- 31:58that I find deeply resentful of is that like, when, at least in my case, when this has been
- 32:04presented to boomers,
- 32:06you kind of just get a shrug.
- 32:07And they're kind of like, eh.
- 32:09I'm 10 feet away from the grave anyway.
- 32:11Don't care.
- 32:13Yeah. And so, like, in all honesty,
- 32:15again, I think this brings it back to us
- 32:17and our demographic. And, like, it kind of sucks
- 32:19to admit it. But, like,
- 32:21I think we just have to actually do something
- 32:23even though I'm, like, pretty resistant to it.
- 32:25And, like, this is absolutely idiotic
- 32:27that it's, like, magic internet money
- 32:29is here to save everybody from the nihilistic
- 32:31hellhole that the world is becoming.
- 32:33But,
- 32:34This seems to be the narrative that we're on the course for.
- 32:37So I guess let's just get it done before it gets fucking harder.
- 32:41I do think like when you talk about we're going to move to either communism or fascism,
- 32:45like the communist outcome is really easy to predict, especially with AI.
- 32:49Like you can see UBI is almost like baked in the cake at this point to me.
- 32:54Like I don't understand how we can have anything else.
- 32:57Do you think that's the most likely outcome here?
- 33:00No, I think the fascist outcome is the most likely outcome.
- 33:03Yeah, I agree with that.
- 33:05Yeah, because the surveillance state has already been built,
- 33:08and it works whether you're a communist oligarchy or a fascist dictator.
- 33:13And I think that the call to restoring Western society to what it once was,
- 33:20because many of the people alive have seen it deteriorate,
- 33:23I think is going to be a pretty strong call,
- 33:25and all you need is a charismatic dictator type to come and say,
- 33:31he's going to fix everything.
- 33:32And a lot of people who are otherwise normal, hardworking, conservative, you know, family people will have this, the opposite brain worm of the communist brain worm and say to themselves, well, I do want things to go back to normal.
- 33:48So let's grant this guy unlimited power.
- 33:51And that is, you know, the road to hell.
- 33:54But if you're staring down two forks in the road and they're both the road to hell, that's the road to hell that's more comfortable and easier to take, I think, for the vast majority of Western people.
- 34:07Well, and to be very clear that, like, fascism was an explicit development as a counter-communist movement.
- 34:15Right.
- 34:15Like, Mussolini was an anarchist before he created the fascist movement.
- 34:20And like, that's part of the reasoning is when he saw what communism was doing after, uh, I'm trying to remember the Italian movement that got, uh, that got communism in power in Italy. And he saw the sort of damage it was doing the culture. It's only after that, that the fascist movement sort of gained steam. In addition to like, we're just talking about variants of socialism. Fascism is literally a brand of nationalized socialism.
- 34:46and and like this is one of the main dividing things that a lot of people don't understand
- 34:50is something that sets socialism apart from communism is that socialism is just a nationalized
- 34:55brand whereas international socialism is communist and so it's like through that methodology you get
- 35:01to be like oh americanism is an actual special cultural thing we do need to kick all the
- 35:05immigrants out like that's something that we need to protect as a national identity for ourselves
- 35:10whereas communism is just like no borders everybody can participate equally we're going
- 35:14of seize the means of production and redistribute it because that worked out super well in the 20th
- 35:18century and nobody was ever harmed from it um in addition to like fascism died a death in an early
- 35:24grave so it's kind of a general spooky name like we we haven't outside of uh because also i'd make
- 35:32the argument that stuff like uh francoism what we saw in portugal and all the stuff that we saw in
- 35:37latin america like i don't think i think those were authoritarian movements as opposed to fascist
- 35:41ones. This is highly debatable, but like, I think fascism is still an open-ended question,
- 35:46particularly here in America. Yeah. And, and essentially like as the communists rise into
- 35:51power, it seems that it'll have great appeal because instead of me needing to appeal to all
- 35:55of the masses, you essentially go to three dozen billionaire tech founders and you say,
- 36:00give me the fucking power or people are going to kill you. And they'll go, yeah, that sounds good.
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- 38:40hosting and electricity with each hosted miner purchased it almost sounds like you're saying
- 38:45fascism is a good way out of this i don't want to say it's a good way out i mean like it it's it's
- 38:53like the fucking trolley problem like these are both horrible outcomes you know but also like you
- 38:58know what would have been great would have been great if our grandparents didn't sell us up the
- 39:01fucking river and end for the convertibility of gold and completely fuck up the entirety of the
- 39:06financial system so that when we're sitting here talking about the fact that zoomers could actually
- 39:11own homes instead of it being a distant dream it could be a possibility so again it sucks but
- 39:16same thing with the trolley problem you wish that one dumbass wasn't standing on the track versus
- 39:21four but either way you're gonna have to break some eggs to fix this problem i am i think about
- 39:27this quite a lot, Eric. And to me, it's like, I really do think the thing I said earlier about us
- 39:36walking the middle path is kind of the arduous journey that we have set ourselves upon.
- 39:44You know, we didn't, we didn't do that initially, but like, that's just where we find ourselves.
- 39:48And I do think that it is going to be a cohort of, you know, millennial aged men who believe in
- 39:56freedom that are going to be the most significant players in the fourth turning.
- 40:02And I think it's, you know, it's easy to look at what's going on and like get riled up and
- 40:10kind of like join a side.
- 40:12Like, you know, I'm with the fascists.
- 40:14I'm with the cops.
- 40:16And I just, I think that's just not what we should be doing.
- 40:21I think Bitcoiners need to continue to walk the middle path and knowing that it's the most
- 40:27dangerous path, but it has the best outcomes. And so that's why you have to walk it.
- 40:34To recuse myself, I 100% agree with you. I also do think it is absolutely the most difficult path,
- 40:41the most challenging path, and one that's just going to take a lot of difficult and hard work.
- 40:47but the more and more that I spend time here
- 40:50kind of running this down
- 40:51the more and more that like
- 40:52it's actually pretty essential
- 40:54but it's also like
- 40:56who does this?
- 40:57How does it form?
- 40:58How does it get pushed forward?
- 41:00And you know the last time we talked
- 41:01about the Charlie Kirk assassination
- 41:04like he was making massive inroads
- 41:06with the youth
- 41:07and the way that he was starting to direct
- 41:09kind of a new political vision
- 41:11so I guess we kind of need something like that
- 41:13for Bitcoin
- 41:14but I don't know
- 41:15maybe even a wider view
- 41:16of that like
- 41:17I guess we sort of just need a third party and it just needs to start being a mass political movement that like this is not about right or left, but it's really just about like we need to get a sane money system that isn't biased towards politics anymore.
- 41:30And Bitcoin is that actual answer.
- 41:32Well, does it even need to be a political moment?
- 41:35A political movement should just be social, right?
- 41:38Because this is what I think a lot about is like the sly roundabout way to take money out of the hands of the government.
- 41:44And that's one thing, particularly when it comes to right versus left, red versus blue, and even the introduction of a third party.
- 41:52It's like, is solving these problems by political means, are you ultimately going to end up with communism versus fascism? Or can we do our part in the free market as Bitcoiners to convince enough critical mass of people to adopt Bitcoin and integrate it into their lives where they're able to save themselves instead of trying to work through the political apparatus to try and force the politicians to save them?
- 42:20and this is why I mean to
- 42:22sprinkle in some white pills
- 42:24here that's what's like really encouraging to see
- 42:27Square release
- 42:29like Bitcoin for small businesses
- 42:30or point of sale systems
- 42:32it's great to see I mean
- 42:34the big to your point Eric the big problem for
- 42:36Zoomer specifically is like
- 42:37I think Cornerstone
- 42:39literally the base layer of Maslow's
- 42:42hierarchy needs to shelter
- 42:44and people
- 42:46don't think they can buy homes like so
- 42:48introducing Bitcoin
- 42:50is collateral and like mortgages
- 42:52in very early days we can squint
- 42:54and see if it takes off like people
- 42:56particularly boomers
- 42:58and people that have houses right now can begin to care
- 43:00less about the equity value
- 43:02of their houses and really just
- 43:04let the equity value of the Bitcoin do the work
- 43:06and sell the properties off
- 43:08at a cheaper
- 43:10value to people who need it and I think
- 43:12it's just trying
- 43:14to get Bitcoin stuffed in as
- 43:16many nooks and crannies of the economy
- 43:18as possible as quickly as possible.
- 43:20Yeah, that's the white pill on the Sue Coiner narrative as well, right?
- 43:25Is that it creates alignment between people who are non-Bitcoiners and Bitcoiners.
- 43:31So we, you know, like the original Citadel post is like talking about how like the world
- 43:36is horrible outside the Citadel and Bitcoiners live in the Citadel and everything is, you
- 43:40know, fine in the Citadel or whatever.
- 43:42Like that's not a world you want to live in because you're under siege every day.
- 43:46Like you don't want to be under siege every day.
- 43:48You want to live in a good world where your neighbors are prosperous as well.
- 43:54And so I think that when we look at the stuff that's going on with treasury companies, for instance,
- 43:57that's embedding a lot of Bitcoin in the public markets.
- 44:00And as they make their way into the queues and they make their way into the S&P 500,
- 44:05these different treasury co's, more people have more exposure to Bitcoin.
- 44:10And so if Bitcoin is demonetizing fiat currency,
- 44:13Well, you know, like there's 166 million Americans
- 44:16who are going to have, you know, exposure to that
- 44:18via broad market index funds.
- 44:20And like, that's not a bad thing.
- 44:22Like, it's a bad thing for Bitcoin's
- 44:25maybe political goals and aspirations,
- 44:27but it's not a bad thing in terms of alignment
- 44:29with our fellow citizens.
- 44:31It's a way to orange pill people
- 44:33without them even knowing they've been orange pill,
- 44:35essentially, like, and I think that that is a,
- 44:39you know, it's a silver lining.
- 44:40It's a bright spot.
- 44:41It's not purely negative, in my view.
- 44:45I agree it's not purely negative,
- 44:46but there are negative externalities from that
- 44:48in the sense that people are actually owning Bitcoin.
- 44:51There's a massive centralization of coins.
- 44:53Marty, I've not really heard you talk about the treasury company stuff.
- 44:55What's your take on it?
- 44:58A bit nuanced.
- 44:59I think the pure play Bitcoin treasury companies
- 45:04that are just going public to accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible.
- 45:08I've said this many times on RHR,
- 45:11over the last year,
- 45:11I think it's going to be
- 45:12a Pareto distribution.
- 45:14I think it's a success.
- 45:15I think it's an economy
- 45:17as a scale game
- 45:17if you're trying to weaponize
- 45:18capital markets.
- 45:20So I think the pure play
- 45:22Bitcoin treasury companies,
- 45:24there'll be maybe five
- 45:26that actually get
- 45:28significant market share
- 45:29to sustain themselves
- 45:30in a long time.
- 45:31And I think they're
- 45:34certainly interesting.
- 45:35I mean, it's hard not to
- 45:36find interest in them
- 45:37considering what strategy
- 45:39is done specifically.
- 45:40But what I'm more focused on is the operating businesses.
- 45:42Again, like leaning back on Square's implementation of Bitcoin and the point of sale systems.
- 45:48And I don't think it's going to be, I think the predominant use case of that is people,
- 45:53merchants that become Bitcoiners are sweeping funds into Bitcoin automatically I don think like paying with Bitcoin at POS systems is really going to expand beyond sort of our circles
- 46:05for a few years.
- 46:07But then the ability to get small, medium-sized businesses
- 46:10onto a Bitcoin standard is going to be massive.
- 46:14Yeah, treasury companies are a distraction to a degree
- 46:18in both directions.
- 46:20Like one, people focus on number go up
- 46:22and you have like the master north
- 46:24and all the stock influencers popping up
- 46:27and really trying to drive people towards that.
- 46:30But then I think in the other direction too,
- 46:33people saying like, oh, Bitcoin is distracted,
- 46:35like number go up, so that cares.
- 46:37If you pay attention,
- 46:38I wrote about it last night in the newsletter.
- 46:39Like some dude with six bid axes
- 46:42and an Avalon queue mined a block by himself.
- 46:45He was self-hosting a node,
- 46:46self-hosting his own pool instance
- 46:48and running his computers in his living room
- 46:51and mined a Bitcoin block and contributed to a $2.5 trillion monetary network.
- 46:57That's mind-blowing.
- 46:58Like that cypherpunk ethos is not only still alive, it's still possible,
- 47:02which is the most important thing.
- 47:03And like the other things, like you look at ARK launching,
- 47:07Cashew and Fedimense or eCashMense becoming more mature.
- 47:12I think while numbers go up, particularly in the context of Bitcoin treasury companies
- 47:17and the narratives around Saylor and others.
- 47:20Doing that play is a distraction to an extent,
- 47:23but not only a distraction for people
- 47:25enamored by number go up,
- 47:27but by regulators and suits who are like,
- 47:30oh, we've successfully cucked Bitcoin.
- 47:33But I think the cypherpunk movement within Bitcoin
- 47:36is more alive than it has been in many years,
- 47:39particularly with these second layer solutions
- 47:41focused on privacy.
- 47:43I think that guy who mined a block with his bags
- 47:46is fucking awesome.
- 47:47um like minor centralization has been one of the things that i guess has been a big concern of a lot
- 47:51of people for quite a while now do you think the tide is kind of turning there marty with things
- 47:55like the heat punk stuff like bit axes like all that like datum and stratum v2 all that stuff
- 48:01definitely i mean and it's i think it's twofold it's that you have this energy and focus in the
- 48:09open source mining community both on the hardware or on the hardware firmware software pool like
- 48:15There's definitely a critical mass of people focused on building out those capabilities for people.
- 48:21But then the second fold thing is like we're reaching ASIC modifications.
- 48:25So these use cases actually are viable now.
- 48:29It's much easier to do them in a somewhat economic way.
- 48:33They're not all going to be profitable.
- 48:35But we're getting closer to the point where you can integrate Bitcoin miners at home pretty easily.
- 48:41and many people may be able to do it profitably
- 48:44depending on where they live and how they're using the heat.
- 48:47And I think it's trending in the right direction.
- 48:51I think I would not be surprised if we look back
- 48:53and mining centralization, like peak mining centralization,
- 48:57was at some point before this date.
- 49:00I think the emergence of Proto, who knows how they're performed,
- 49:06but I think this at-home mining trend and theme
- 49:10that we're maybe seeing growing over the last three years specifically is only getting stronger.
- 49:13And I've talked to Tyler Stevens from Exergy and there's many others.
- 49:17I will not be surprised if sort of commercial Bitcoin mining being used as waste heat
- 49:25for industrial purposes becomes mainstream in the next decade.
- 49:29And that helps to distribute hash rate ownership, distribute hash rate geographically.
- 49:35then most importantly with the pool software being open source and becoming easier to self-host your
- 49:41own node and your own pool instance and reliably mine a block if you find a hash in your living
- 49:47room to your self-hosted node like that's going to be massive for the network yeah i mean if we
- 49:53get to a world where people are using bitcoin for their mortgages heating the houses using
- 49:56bitcoin mining like that seems like a very positive like insanely positive place to be
- 50:02But like all of this comes down to adoption, like from everything all of you guys have said, like, Eric, this is how we stop the world turning to like fascism or communism.
- 50:11Like, do you think all the infighting that's happening in Bitcoin is basically just like people playing silly games when there's way more important stuff to be doing?
- 50:20I totally think so.
- 50:22You know, I'm like, I think, I mean, the fact that Op Return is the thing that we're debating about so heavily, as opposed to something like Op Cat or something goes to show like how, how, how little technical information is actually out there, how much this widow echo chamber is like its own thing.
- 50:39in addition to like i just want to echo marty's sentiment of giving a little bit of my own white
- 50:44pill about like uh it's interesting because like cypherpunks inherently like can't be loud
- 50:48so even though like that has generated its own sort of critical mass of movement like
- 50:54they're sort of silent individuals so i've been surprised at the number of people that will pop
- 50:59up on the radar who are doing really cool and interesting stuff but like they don't make any
- 51:05noise simply because like that's sort of how they move uh it's like a really positive thing so like
- 51:10ultimately like i think while i can get quite nihilistic about this political front like
- 51:15we've made huge inroads in addition to the idea of that uh like using bitcoin's heat like that's
- 51:20always going to achieve a larger economic efficiency than just outright mining bitcoin so like
- 51:25at some point we move in that direction in addition to like what happens when we've become
- 51:31efficient enough with this stuff that like you can find a place up in northern alaska that's like
- 51:35hey everybody just gets free energy and heat here because of the way that we've set up the
- 51:39infrastructure of this new city that's going to provide all these new different services you know
- 51:44and like that's that's kind of one of the places i ultimately think the greatest affect is going to
- 51:49be had is like what happens when we actually make massive infrastructural changes towards uh like
- 51:55the way that mining decentralization occurs and also like how we're going to innovate around this
- 52:01so like ultimately like you know the old noma curve like everything's good for bitcoin so i
- 52:06think like as things move in a direction and as the general world sort of becomes darker and more
- 52:12nihilistic that lets the light of bitcoin sort of shine all the brighter in that darkness
- 52:16and as it pertains to like the infighting with bitcoin within bitcoin about op return i don't
- 52:23think anybody outside of the Twitter or Noster bubbles is seeing any of that, nor do they care,
- 52:29nor should they, because it's noise. In terms of distracting us from actually working on more
- 52:35worthwhile endeavors, I think that's certainly happening, at least to some people. I've, my whole,
- 52:41I know you said you wanted to talk about it, my whole, I've tried my hardest over the last six
- 52:45months. I did the live stream at Bitcoin Plus Plus in Austin in May for two days, did eight hours of
- 52:50content on the subject and then after that i was like i think the best move is just to not talk
- 52:54about this and suck the oxygen out of the conversation because it's so idiotic in my mind
- 53:00yeah but so i i do like i've done shows on it so i've not done the same thing as you there but like
- 53:07i i understand why you want to kind of ignore it in a sense that like maybe it is just people
- 53:12on twitter that care about it but the number of people that are getting sort of riled up about this
- 53:18is it's quite large like i think there's definitely some sort of bots and some sort of fake signal in
- 53:24there um but like people are getting very angry and now there's this like new proposed soft fork
- 53:29which is i mean for anyone who's not been paying attention like good on you but um it's basically
- 53:35like a temporary soft fork to mitigate spam and like this actually does worry me i'm going to pull
- 53:41up a tweet because this summed it up way better than i could so bitpain tweeted the other day is
- 53:47this last bit here that I thought was really good.
- 53:49He said, once you grant the state
- 53:50that you can take efforts to mitigate illicit material,
- 53:53they'll start demanding it,
- 53:54including for monetary transactions they don't like.
- 53:56And if you've accepted that you have a community-wide
- 53:58moral imperative to censor,
- 53:59you don't have a leg to stand on.
- 54:01Like, that is my fear in this,
- 54:03is that, like, this is getting serious sort of traction
- 54:06from a subset of Bitcoiners,
- 54:08and, like, what are the implications
- 54:09of us doing something about it?
- 54:11I don't think they're going to be able to solve for it.
- 54:13Like, I don't think you need to convince
- 54:16a lot of people to do it.
- 54:17And I guess my,
- 54:19going back to the op return debate,
- 54:20this is all I'll say,
- 54:21I'll throw it to you, Eric,
- 54:22but like,
- 54:23it's consensus valid.
- 54:25Like, it's like,
- 54:26it always falls back to this for me.
- 54:28It's like,
- 54:28it's consensus valid.
- 54:29Like, I don't know
- 54:30what we're fighting about over here.
- 54:31It's within Bitcoin's consensus rules.
- 54:34And tonight I said
- 54:35I didn't get to just have
- 54:36my outburst there
- 54:37because I probably would have
- 54:38gone on a totally unhinged rant.
- 54:40Look like,
- 54:42look like,
- 54:44if you're worried about
- 54:45the state doing stuff like get the fuck out of like i don't know what you're doing here i don't
- 54:50understand why you're interested in this project like when i got involved there was nobody in the
- 54:56state that paid any attention to it nor could they stop it like the the thing that was happening was
- 55:01the silk road and like it did that and it did it fucking well and that it massively improved
- 55:06people's asset access to being able to get illegal substances and other things like if you're worried
- 55:12about your Bitcoin node running
- 55:13and having the state come kick down in your door,
- 55:16you should probably think about Ripple.
- 55:18That's probably the right answer for you
- 55:19and what you want.
- 55:21You know, they're going to comply with the state.
- 55:23They're really interested in regulation.
- 55:25Like, you should go check out that project.
- 55:27If you're interested in uncensorable money
- 55:30that you can use right now
- 55:31to send people in Gaza money if you want,
- 55:33or help people escape from North Korea,
- 55:35or do whatever the fuck you want,
- 55:37you should stay here.
- 55:38And also, like, this is the one that upsets me the most,
- 55:41is that like you should really think very hard about if you're advocating very strongly for one
- 55:48of these sides why it is all of the highly technical people seem to be on one side of the
- 55:53debate i'm not saying that that's necessarily the right argument because from the very beginning of
- 55:58this whole fucking shit show me and steve lee had a great dialogue with each other where i was like
- 56:02this shit isn't gonna go away and it's gonna bite everybody in the ass and the big problem is because
- 56:07everyone's talking past each other.
- 56:09The tech bros are trying to tech-splain to all of the plebs, and the plebs are trying
- 56:15to explain in their particular way and methodology of why they feel totally disrespected and,
- 56:20like, what tech-splaining is that it's not something that lands for them.
- 56:25But unfortunately, we've all been talking past each other at this point in time.
- 56:29And meanwhile, the state is trying to pass all kinds of fucked-up regulations to make
- 56:33it so that we can't actually have self-ownership of our wallets.
- 56:36Like there's a real fucking crisis going on and it's not op return.
- 56:41And you should really ask yourself if you're being a useful idiot within this dialogue or if you're doing something useful.
- 56:48I would really like to see a lot more people take a couple step back and go, maybe there's something I'm missing here because I sure as fuck don't know everything.
- 56:56And perhaps there are other people that both have more technical expertise than me.
- 57:01And for those that do have the technical expertise, I implore you to actually have somewhat respect for other individuals that are involved in Bitcoin.
- 57:10And maybe they don't have the technical acumen as you do, but they have still meaningfully participated in the success of Bitcoin.
- 57:17So with that being said, I hope everybody can shut the fuck up for a little while and take a moment to listen to each other and stop being such goddamn assholes to each other.
- 57:27Because that's the biggest thing that's upsetting me the most is that like we can totally disagree.
- 57:32We can totally have respectful dialogue.
- 57:34And when you're calling people fucking idiots or morons or dipshits or fuck faces, you're really doing yourself a disservice and actually furthering the dialogue in a meaningful way.
- 57:45Oh, but you get to look cool on Twitter.
- 57:47So maybe you should continue with that bullshit.
- 57:50So that was actually like a pretty hinged rant, actually.
- 57:53I don't think I actually totally flew off the camera.
- 57:55Why do you think this has captured so many people's imagination, HODL?
- 58:01You know, uh...
- 58:02Do I want to say my real thoughts?
- 58:04I want to say my real thoughts.
- 58:06I know what you're thinking.
- 58:07I think it's a LARP of people that miss the block size war
- 58:12and want to feel that they are contributing to Bitcoin, you know?
- 58:15And I'm not even saying that from the perspective of somebody who was a key player in the block size war.
- 58:21I was a nobody, I was a noob, I was confused during the block size war.
- 58:24I didn't make any meaningful contributions.
- 58:27I found myself on the wrong side of the block size war like half the time,
- 58:30and I didn't get on the right side till the very end.
- 58:32So like, you know, these extremely technical arguments are usually at core ideological in some way.
- 58:41And I feel like there's this weird desire in Bitcoin to recapitulate the block size war
- 58:46over and over and over again to feel like we are exerting our grassroots power
- 58:51over Bitcoin in some way.
- 58:54But, you know, the block size war was existential.
- 58:57And since then, I don't think many of the conflicts have been existential.
- 59:02I don't think ordinals was existential.
- 59:04I don't think this opportun drama is existential.
- 59:08You know, I think like Taproot was a good example.
- 59:10Like we spent way too much time focused on the activation path for Taproot
- 59:13rather than what Taproot actually was.
- 59:17Everybody just kind of like rubber stamped Taproot and was like,
- 59:19yeah, sure, no big deal.
- 59:20We love Taproot.
- 59:21Now, let's talk about how to activate it
- 59:22because everyone had fucking PTSD from the block size war.
- 59:26And I think that was probably the wrong thing to do.
- 59:28Like, we should have been taking more time
- 59:30to have more, you know, dialogue about what Taproot was,
- 59:33what it enabled, what its second, third order effects were.
- 59:37And I don't know, I just, I find that like, you know,
- 59:40earlier people, I don't know if we said this on camera,
- 59:42off camera, but like there's spooks on,
- 59:44somebody was saying there's spooks on one side.
- 59:46There's spooks on all sides of Bitcoin development.
- 59:49You know what I mean?
- 59:49like you should just kind of bluntly assume
- 59:52your favorite Bitcoin developer
- 59:54is probably an intelligence asset
- 59:57just because that's the model.
- 1:00:00That's the risk model, you know?
- 1:00:02So like, yeah, man, I don't know.
- 1:00:03I don't think I have anything meaningful really
- 1:00:05to contribute other than I think a lot of it is LARPing.
- 1:00:08Yeah, they're all spooks as a side up.
- 1:00:11But Marty, like if I agree,
- 1:00:12I agree they're not going to be able to soft fork.
- 1:00:14Like I don't think they're going to get
- 1:00:15enough people on board with this,
- 1:00:16but they can hard fork.
- 1:00:17Do you think we might see a rage quit over this?
- 1:00:20I wouldn't be surprised.
- 1:00:21I mean, just using a pattern recognition from 13 years in Bitcoin,
- 1:00:26there'll probably be one or two rage quits at some point, but...
- 1:00:29That's what we need for the next bull market.
- 1:00:31I'll take some free coins if anyone wants the hard part.
- 1:00:34Yeah.
- 1:00:35And that's like, I mean, reflecting on 17 years of Bitcoin
- 1:00:39and my time in Bitcoin, that's the hardest thing to do
- 1:00:42is to stay sane throughout all of this, throughout the price volatility,
- 1:00:47throughout all these sort of protocol wars, whatever you want to call them. And it's just
- 1:00:53trying to keep a level head and not become too maniacal or ego maniacal about it and try to make
- 1:01:00yourself the main character. Yeah, that's kind of the funny thing about it is like you can get
- 1:01:04wrapped up in all this drama and you can try and do things or you could just do nothing and you win.
- 1:01:10Yeah. Doing nothing is actually always the best move in Bitcoin. Always.
- 1:01:14You know, oh, you got hyped up and bought a treasury company.
- 1:01:17Guess what?
- 1:01:18It's a penny stock now.
- 1:01:19Oh, you wanted to trade shit coins.
- 1:01:21Guess what?
- 1:01:21All your money's gone.
- 1:01:22Oh, you, you know, you picked the wrong side of the fork.
- 1:01:25Oh, guess what?
- 1:01:25All your money's gone.
- 1:01:26Like doing nothing is, is really key.
- 1:01:29But it's kind of hilarious how hard people find it to do nothing.
- 1:01:33It's, it's the hardest thing.
- 1:01:35It's so hard.
- 1:01:36It's so much harder than, yeah.
- 1:01:38Doing a hundred things is so much easier than doing nothing.
- 1:01:42doing nothing is fucking difficult i i have deep existentialism about what it means that like
- 1:01:49buying bitcoin and then doing nothing with it for a decade like turns out to be the best economic
- 1:01:54decision that you could have ever made that fundamentally negates the entirety of all work
- 1:01:59you've ever done and like it's it's shocking because like i told people that a decade ago
- 1:02:05they come back to me being like i missed the boat i'm like do it again just like buy the bitcoin
- 1:02:09the next decade on your hands and then like you're good all over again like totally fine but like it
- 1:02:16it's just such an un-fucking-believable thing that uh like the the fact that bitcoin can actually
- 1:02:25have its fixed supply and like not violate that predication by any means outside of you know like
- 1:02:31a 51 attack which we've all been figured out like that's a monumental achievement that like
- 1:02:38continues to allow for number go up and like i don't know it's very interesting to me that like
- 1:02:44the world of fiat has fucked everything up so much that just buying magic internet money and
- 1:02:49doing nothing with it is like the best economic decision that most of us will ever make so there's
- 1:02:55something to be said for that i'm not sure what it is but it's one of the things i think about
- 1:02:59quite a bit in terms of like the financialization of bitcoin wall street coming nation states coming
- 1:03:04like doing nothing is like the antithesis of wall street and i wonder how i'm sure they're
- 1:03:10going to fuck it up in some way but i wonder how they fuck up and how they manage to like
- 1:03:14what happens when the world goes to like a bitcoin standard like what is wall street does
- 1:03:18wall street just not exist it's current form i don't think so because it's wholly dependent on
- 1:03:26this fiat monetary spigot right yeah and like it's all built off these like fucked up parasitic
- 1:03:33relationships of like you know like what's the real value that a wall street firm is providing
- 1:03:39to the world you know i'm like it's i i don't it's we just live in a really weird world where
- 1:03:45dudes with like soft baby hands that have like never known a day of hard work that like they
- 1:03:50they make literally thousands of times more than like day laborers in india who spend half of like
- 1:03:56from literally sunrise to sunset breaking boulders to make gravel like i i don't know like that
- 1:04:02there's like a very particular statement about the world of what that means. My great hope is that
- 1:04:07like once we go to a Bitcoin standard, we've like actually gone all the way back to where like proof
- 1:04:12of work itself and providing like real value to other humans in the world through whatever means
- 1:04:17it is, is like the thing to do, like real entrepreneurship versus like the financialization
- 1:04:22of those things. You know, like it's, it's a strange world that we live in right now. And
- 1:04:28the more and more that I just look at how
- 1:04:30fucking weird it is, the more that like
- 1:04:32I think if you like plop somebody from the 5th century
- 1:04:35or from the 15th century down today
- 1:04:36and like tried to explain everything to them
- 1:04:38they would just be like
- 1:04:41you guys like live in like a
- 1:04:42crazy world where nothing makes any
- 1:04:45sense whatsoever
- 1:04:46Do you think in this move from like
- 1:04:48current state over the next 10 years
- 1:04:50whether it's to communism, fascism, like with the
- 1:04:52rise of AI, all this stuff that Bitcoin
- 1:04:54has become a scapegoat at some point
- 1:04:56yeah 100 that by the way that's the reason why orange pilling people matters is that so your
- 1:05:04head doesn't end up on a on a pipe like that you know the original murder in the bible cain kills
- 1:05:10abel out of pure envy there's no other reason envy is the is the like you know that's the emotion
- 1:05:18of murder very oftentimes like if if people you know i used to think the charlie kirk thing changed
- 1:05:24my mind a lot because I used to think like, oh, you know, well, people might want your Bitcoin,
- 1:05:28but they're going to have to like kidnap you and coerce you and take you all these multi,
- 1:05:32you know, geographic locations and blah, blah, blah. No, dude, people will kill you just because
- 1:05:36they hate you for being rich. They will kill you just because you have something and they have
- 1:05:40nothing. And so I think that's the political reality of the world. That's why I'm, as somebody
- 1:05:47who's advocating this middle path in Bitcoin, that's why I don't want to join up with the,
- 1:05:51you know, far right. And I don't want to join up with the far left because I know that, you know,
- 1:05:56I'm on the chopping block either direction, actually, probably less so with the far right,
- 1:06:01but still the far right are economic populace the same way the far left are. They have slightly
- 1:06:07different visions for what that looks like. But like, we, we, we have to make people, it's not
- 1:06:14good enough to like, be friendly with people politically or something like, no, we need to like,
- 1:06:19get people to have Bitcoin.
- 1:06:21So their interests are aligned with ours.
- 1:06:23That's why we try and orange pill people.
- 1:06:26That's why we try and get people on board.
- 1:06:28And like to the stat earlier
- 1:06:29about how Gen Z doesn't have enough.
- 1:06:31Well, you know, it's not the boomers
- 1:06:32we're going to have to worry about.
- 1:06:33It's Gen Z we're going to have to worry about.
- 1:06:36So it's actually a massive problem
- 1:06:38that Gen Z doesn't have enough interest in Bitcoin
- 1:06:42because they're too nihilistic.
- 1:06:43So like we have to like continue to reach out
- 1:06:45and try and shake them awake
- 1:06:46and be like, dude, do something now
- 1:06:49before it's too late, you know,
- 1:06:51from a self-preservation standpoint.
- 1:06:53Like, and for their own good.
- 1:06:54It's both things.
- 1:06:55It's good for them.
- 1:06:56It's good for us.
- 1:06:57It's good for the world.
- 1:06:58It's good for Bitcoin.
- 1:06:59It's good for everybody.
- 1:06:59It's good for America.
- 1:07:00I'm American HODL.
- 1:07:01I'm running for president.
- 1:07:02No, I'm just kidding.
- 1:07:02I don't know what to do, man.
- 1:07:05Like, building on that,
- 1:07:06I'm sure you guys may see this as well,
- 1:07:10but I see it.
- 1:07:10My oldest is five now.
- 1:07:12I'm a six.
- 1:07:13And I wonder if, like,
- 1:07:14Bitcoin's ultimate success is,
- 1:07:16it just has to skip a generation
- 1:07:18because obviously my sons are probably more attuned
- 1:07:26to recognizing Bitcoin as a brand
- 1:07:28because their dad works in it.
- 1:07:29I talk about it and they talk about it with them.
- 1:07:32They've watched Total Twins about it,
- 1:07:33but they get what Bitcoin is already.
- 1:07:36It's going to be part of their lives, their whole life.
- 1:07:40And I imagine there are many other Gen Alpha children out there
- 1:07:44that the same will happen
- 1:07:45and like is, for lack of a better term,
- 1:07:48Gen Z just a lost generation
- 1:07:50that we're going to have to put up with
- 1:07:51in the interim
- 1:07:53before the generation behind them picks up.
- 1:07:56I hope not.
- 1:07:57I don't think it has to be that way,
- 1:07:59but just wargaming,
- 1:08:00like that's a total possibility
- 1:08:03of a scenario that could play out.
- 1:08:04I do think that's kind of interesting though,
- 1:08:06because like, especially the younger end of Gen Z,
- 1:08:09like Charlie Kirk is what made me realize this,
- 1:08:12because I obviously like I knew his work,
- 1:08:14but I didn't really know him very, very well.
- 1:08:16I didn't understand how much of a sort of pop culture figure he was to young people.
- 1:08:20And so there does seem to be this based, growing, young Gen Z group of people.
- 1:08:27And are they still nihilistic, or do you think they will be able to get Bitcoin?
- 1:08:32No, and I've run into this subsect of Gen Z just in my personal life,
- 1:08:37and there is a hardcore, like, we're not gooning, we're working out,
- 1:08:42We're going to church, we're going to do good things and get our paths right.
- 1:08:46It's very like lower C conservative.
- 1:08:48Yeah, I just wonder what percentage of the total makeup of the generation that is.
- 1:08:54Is that like an intolerant minority that like hey we going to get back on the right path We notice the atrocities of the generations before us and we going to go the monks route of making sure that
- 1:09:08we get our personal lives in order. There's certainly a contingent of Gen Z that thinks
- 1:09:12that way and is not as nihilistic, but more inward looking and sort of trying to find resolve in
- 1:09:20doing what would be deemed to be traditionally conservative things like eating healthy,
- 1:09:25going to church, being less sexually promiscuous.
- 1:09:31Just being a normal person.
- 1:09:34But we've all got young kids.
- 1:09:36Like, Eric, are you, like, what world do you think they're going to grow up in?
- 1:09:42I mean, what's interesting is that, like, everything seems to have greater volatility
- 1:09:46than before.
- 1:09:47So like, I don't, it's very hard for me to predict, you know, like, uh, I feel great
- 1:09:55about how I've chose to raise my kids.
- 1:09:57So like, they're not, they're not going to operate kind of inside of any normalized system
- 1:10:00in addition to like, I think we've done a great job of keeping them, uh, like outside
- 1:10:05of the brainwashing of the school system.
- 1:10:06In addition to like keeping them really in close contact with nature and kind of building
- 1:10:11a personal skillset.
- 1:10:12So I feel pretty great about the direction that my kids are going.
- 1:10:19This AI thing is like an interesting question because it's clearly an extremely powerful tool.
- 1:10:24And also like it's not clear the exact direction that it's going to go or what it's going to do.
- 1:10:29And like it's interesting because also like calling it AI a bit of a misnomer, you know, because like a lot of these are just LLMs.
- 1:10:36And like there's a bunch of other techniques around AI that like still haven't fully bootstrapped themselves.
- 1:10:41In addition to like these are all in like highly proprietary models that like reach a limit, particularly around the sort of guardrails that have been painted up around it.
- 1:10:51In addition to like think about how hard the dialogue around Bitcoin and crypto is and like like.
- 1:10:59AI is a more extreme version of that.
- 1:11:01And I'm only getting that because like I've been working pretty close with this guy lately that has a PhD in AI.
- 1:11:06and like really smart guy,
- 1:11:08like did lots of deep, deep research
- 1:11:12kind of at the cutting edge.
- 1:11:14And like he's been explaining all this stuff to me.
- 1:11:16And it's pretty wild because like I didn't,
- 1:11:18I thought I was relatively well-informed,
- 1:11:20but like these really showed me how big,
- 1:11:22how much bigger this playing field is
- 1:11:24and how much more potential it has.
- 1:11:27And so very much like the internet,
- 1:11:28I think AI is something similar to that.
- 1:11:31And depending on how people are able to use that tool
- 1:11:35and how much they get to really own that tool,
- 1:11:37I think these are really going to end up becoming
- 1:11:39sort of second digital selves,
- 1:11:41particularly if we can fully own and encrypt these things
- 1:11:44and train them and do whatever we actually want with them
- 1:11:48versus the highly proprietary chat, GBT, anthropic models
- 1:11:51that, frankly, I think are really dangerous.
- 1:11:54I think that these are essentially communist brainwashing tools.
- 1:11:59And it's really interesting because, first of all,
- 1:12:01these are just large language models.
- 1:12:02And because they only operate on recursive linguistics, I think in light of that, if anybody gets an opportunity, in 1984, there's an appendix that George Orwell wrote specifically about the functions of Ingsoc, which was like the language that they had.
- 1:12:16and he talks about like the entire idea of modifying language or destroy certain words
- 1:12:21so like they don't exist within the lexicon anymore and like to me that's exactly what ai is
- 1:12:27and that like it's essentially providing modules of thought to destroy anything that's unique and
- 1:12:33outside of it particularly with the way that people like ping this thing constantly or treat
- 1:12:37it like a therapist that like they don't understand that you're actually engaging in
- 1:12:41self-reinforcing learning against yourself and like that's the really dangerous shit in my opinion
- 1:12:46So like, whereas like also like, like we've started training up models that like, you know, we've gotten deep seek to talk to us about, you know, like Tiananmen Square and shit.
- 1:12:57So like you can bust these models and like make them do crazy shit.
- 1:13:00But like you need to know how to jailbreak them and you need to know how to make them loyal to you or else they're going to be loyal to the Chinese government or anthropic or Sam Altman.
- 1:13:09So did you see that in I can't it was an Eastern block country.
- 1:13:14I can't remember which one, maybe it was Bulgaria.
- 1:13:18At the direction of Tony Blair,
- 1:13:20some senator or MP there
- 1:13:22introduced a chatbot as a senator.
- 1:13:28What?
- 1:13:30Yeah, yeah.
- 1:13:30No, this is real.
- 1:13:31I did see that.
- 1:13:32Google this. This is real.
- 1:13:34And that's, I think, where we're headed
- 1:13:37is like we're headed towards
- 1:13:39not only this recursive loop thing
- 1:13:41that Eric is talking about
- 1:13:42where you give yourself chat GPT-induced psychosis,
- 1:13:45but we're heading towards a future
- 1:13:47in which the chatbot is just your overlord
- 1:13:50and it just tells you what to do, you know,
- 1:13:52because it's air quotes so much smarter
- 1:13:55and it's wise and whatever.
- 1:13:56And when they introduced this thing to, you know,
- 1:13:58whatever the Bulgarian parliament or wherever it was.
- 1:14:02It's Albania.
- 1:14:03Albania, Albania.
- 1:14:04Sorry, I was misspeaking.
- 1:14:06It said, you know, opposition to me
- 1:14:09is really hurtful to my feelings.
- 1:14:12like the robot is saying this i'm like shut the up robot you don't have
- 1:14:17fucking yeah play play this video this is insane
- 1:14:21watch as albania's parliament erupts in fury and papers are thrown as the country installs an ai
- 1:14:29chatbot as a government minister prime minister edi rama known as tony blair's protege has worked
- 1:14:36closely with the former UK Prime Minister to digitalise Albania's government.
- 1:14:41Last year, Rama spoke publicly of his relationship with Blair.
- 1:14:45I would not be nor Prime Minister and either a man engaged in politics without him.
- 1:14:54The pair spoke of Albania's plans for digital ID to defeat corruption.
- 1:14:58What are you doing? You're building digital infrastructure. You've got plans for digital
- 1:15:03identity. Albania's AI minister made a speech to the country's parliament causing tensions to flare.
- 1:15:07The bot said she was hurt by accusations she was unconstitutional. That hurt me, not for myself,
- 1:15:13but for the 972,000 interactions I had with citizens whom I served as part of eAlbania,
- 1:15:18and also in relation to the 36,000 digital documents I issued to them. Let me remind you,
- 1:15:23the real data to constitutions have never been machines, but human decisions made by those in
- 1:15:27power. I am not here to replace human beings, but to help them. Indeed, I have no citizenship,
- 1:15:32but I have no ambitions or personal interests either.
- 1:15:34I only have data at my disposal.
- 1:15:36I am eager to learn new information, and I have algorithms at my disposal,
- 1:15:39so that I can put all of this at the service of citizens with impartiality,
- 1:15:42transparency, and without ever tiring.
- 1:15:43Hey, hey, hey, hey.
- 1:15:45That's fucking terrifying.
- 1:15:47Feelings are a biological thing.
- 1:15:49This fucking program doesn't have feelings, okay?
- 1:15:53I can't, I can't, there's never been a more blatant psyop in human history than like,
- 1:15:58you hurt my feelings. You're a fucking program!
- 1:16:00You're a program.
- 1:16:01Well, then she admitted it.
- 1:16:02You don't exist.
- 1:16:02She admitted it later.
- 1:16:03She admitted it later, too.
- 1:16:05She's like, oh, don't worry.
- 1:16:06I can't think.
- 1:16:07The levels of depravity and insanity that we are going to live through because of AI
- 1:16:12is going to be absolutely just the most dystopian thing you can think of.
- 1:16:18Basically, the worst parts of the Bible.
- 1:16:20It's the book of Revelation.
- 1:16:21I'm just going to say it.
- 1:16:22The Antichrist is coming back.
- 1:16:24Sam Ullman is the Antichrist.
- 1:16:26There, I said it.
- 1:16:27I agree with Peter Thiel.
- 1:16:28He's the Antichrist, too.
- 1:16:29They're both Antichrist.
- 1:16:30I mean, the major problem, in my opinion, is that like, like, I'm afraid for our generation and older that like AI is essentially like how the Internet is going to be with us.
- 1:16:39And so it's like flash forward 10 years from now, I'm going to be like, oh, I like sent you money, kids.
- 1:16:44Like you said that you were in danger because the holographs came up.
- 1:16:48And they're like, God damn it, dad.
- 1:16:50Like that was clearly like an AI bribery bot.
- 1:16:53You just like fucking paid it.
- 1:16:54I'll be like, well, it looked real and it sounded like you.
- 1:16:58and they're just gonna be like god damn it dad like you fucking know this you know as soon as i
- 1:17:02get on the phone you say fucking key in and i provide you the valid fucking key form that
- 1:17:08validates my identity like what like what the fuck have you been doing dad like come on like
- 1:17:11row the fuck up and so like it was all just kind of a recursive model with technology right that
- 1:17:16like the old can't understand it the young master it so like uh while i think that these are really
- 1:17:22dangerous tools like they have these massive loopholes that like if you know how to talk to
- 1:17:27them they like have to expose their nature to you and so it's like once you kind of get how this
- 1:17:31game is played it'll be like huddle comes up and he's like oh god there's like albanian terrorists
- 1:17:36that want to murder me now and i'll be like kian kian fuck and you'll be like uh i don't i don't
- 1:17:41have my key and i'm like motherfucker like you're trying to rip me off like you know how many hours
- 1:17:46are in strawberry tell me how many are like name off a string of digits that like makes you fucking
- 1:17:51malfunction and then i'll ask my eye to inject you with some prompts and i'll be like great you like
- 1:17:56work for me now and you'll be like yes new master and it's like cool like go go rogue on your
- 1:18:01fucking you're you're my double agent you're gonna get back to your former master and figure out how
- 1:18:07to get information so i can send my drone swarm to strike him so thanks what i thought was more
- 1:18:12telling of that video that what's going on in albania is just like how blatant it is like if
- 1:18:16tony blair's protege like oh don't worry we have this ai it's great parliament member now like she's
- 1:18:22She can't think. Don't worry. Don't ask questions about the context window that we used to feed her information and the super prompt, the system prompt that we gave her to make decisions off of.
- 1:18:34It's like they that's like another silver lining white pill. These people are getting so lazy. And I think the tech is blown past them that they don't even know how to leverage it correctly.
- 1:18:43But the other side of that, too, I mean, tying it in with digital ID and going back to communism versus fascism here in the United States, I'll put my hand up, like the immigration stuff.
- 1:18:54I'm a fan of here in the United States.
- 1:18:55If you came illegally and you were part of like the Biden administration's flooding of the borders, like I think that's a massive problem.
- 1:19:01Not only here, up in Canada, UK, Germany, I think that's a problem.
- 1:19:05If you came illegally to our countries, rule of law exists, you should go home.
- 1:19:09But with that being said, what worries me about the Trump administration, and they've
- 1:19:13lightly signaled this, is that secure borders is going to be the mechanism by which they
- 1:19:18roll out digital ID.
- 1:19:20And that is something that I think digital ID and sort of despotic government-controlled
- 1:19:26AI go hand in hand.
- 1:19:27And they're things we have to be hyper-vigilant of and hold the line on.
- 1:19:32I mean, again, this is where the UK is just completely front-running the US on the digital
- 1:19:36ID stuff.
- 1:19:36Like, Keir Starmer's brought that in.
- 1:19:38I think he got something like 8 million signatures on a petition against it.
- 1:19:41Like every time he posts about it, he gets absolutely flamed in the comments,
- 1:19:44but he still just is going full bore on this thing.
- 1:19:47So they tried it pretty significantly here during COVID,
- 1:19:51but we shut it down pretty hard.
- 1:19:54That was one of the big wins that the populace got during COVID.
- 1:19:57We didn't get a lot of wins, but we got that one.
- 1:19:59We stopped vaccine passports, at least for now.
- 1:20:02But they're going to keep, like you said,
- 1:20:03they're going to keep trying like every single chance they get, you know.
- 1:20:07So do you think they'll come to the U.S. eventually?
- 1:20:10Well, I think what's going to happen is they're going to do the border thing.
- 1:20:13They're going to successfully kick out a lot of illegal immigrants.
- 1:20:16They're going to be like, okay, we did our jobs and make sure this never happens again.
- 1:20:20Everybody sign up for the digital ID.
- 1:20:22Right.
- 1:20:22Unfortunately, that's how I think it's going to play out.
- 1:20:24Yeah, think about it like, you know, if you were in Germany in 1937, like, you know, you got to figure out who the Jews are.
- 1:20:33So we need to know all of your IDs, like all of your papers, right?
- 1:20:37So to figure out the illegal immigrants, we need to know all of your data.
- 1:20:40How do I know you're not an illegal immigrant?
- 1:20:42Yeah, you were born in an American hospital, and you're a standard white guy with a douchey
- 1:20:46baseball hat, but we don't know.
- 1:20:48Give me your identification, right?
- 1:20:50And that is like a slippery slope.
- 1:20:53And they're not going to stop pressing because the tools of surveillance, the surveillance
- 1:20:58panopticon has already been built.
- 1:21:01We already live under covert surveillance.
- 1:21:04Edward Snowden has a quote I'm very fond of where he says that we are forced to stand naked before power in a very real way in today's day and age.
- 1:21:13And he's right in the sense that, like, you know, there are videos of you jerking off at NSA headquarters, right?
- 1:21:19Because, like, they give the porn data from the porn companies to the intelligence agencies.
- 1:21:25And like, if you weren't ultra careful with putting your finger over the little thing,
- 1:21:28like, and you, you know, you type in like Debbie Does Dallas number nine, like there's
- 1:21:32going to be a video of you coming and the NSA can watch it.
- 1:21:35That's real.
- 1:21:36And there's now like a weird thing where they want to make that, that covert system overt
- 1:21:41so that they can compete with China.
- 1:21:43That's actually their reason for wanting to do it.
- 1:21:45They think that the Chinese population is more under control and they can marshal their
- 1:21:51resources better in a total war scenario.
- 1:21:53And so they want the same level of control that China has over their citizenry over you.
- 1:21:58And so they're not going to stop pushing until they try and get it.
- 1:22:01And they're going to push from the left and the right and the center.
- 1:22:03And, you know, it's just never going to stop.
- 1:22:05And there will always be some reason why you need to accept it.
- 1:22:09And you should just always reject it outright.
- 1:22:12But eventually there will be a generation of people who grew up on the internet
- 1:22:15and they don't give a fuck about their privacy and they'll just let it slip through.
- 1:22:19You know, do you think that's what this is?
- 1:22:21like the surveillance authoritarianism is all because of the threat of China.
- 1:22:25Like that doesn't seem like enough to me.
- 1:22:27That's part of what's motivating it.
- 1:22:29And then obviously, you know, these people are authoritarians who go into achieve state power.
- 1:22:34Like that's the core of their life is telling other people what to do.
- 1:22:38And so why would they not want more power and more control over, you know,
- 1:22:42telling the average American citizen what to do?
- 1:22:44Of course they want that.
- 1:22:45They want to be able to control your life, you know.
- 1:22:48Yeah.
- 1:22:48I saw a funny or interesting thought-provoking tweet about China.
- 1:22:54I forget who sent it.
- 1:22:55About China and the US.
- 1:22:57For the last 30 years, China's been a capitalist country LARPing as a socialist country, and
- 1:23:02the US has been LARPing as a capitalist country, acting as a socialist country.
- 1:23:07I think, to your point, Hoddle, we're trying to catch up on the socialism, and China's trying
- 1:23:12and they've implemented some form of a capitalist system
- 1:23:17that's seeing a lot of success right now
- 1:23:19and scares the shit out of the authoritarians here.
- 1:23:22Yeah.
- 1:23:24Let's close out with some white pills.
- 1:23:27Like, 17 years in since Bitcoin white paper dropped,
- 1:23:30like, what are the positive things that you see coming?
- 1:23:33If you own Bitcoin and you have it self-custodied,
- 1:23:36it's yours.
- 1:23:37Nobody can take it from you.
- 1:23:38Those 12 magical words that, you know,
- 1:23:41have some criticism for it like you you actually own those those are yours more than kind of
- 1:23:46anything else so like that's your lifeboat again as i said earlier just like set a little bit aside
- 1:23:53sit onto that shit for the next 10 years don't fucking lose the key it's gonna be your way out
- 1:23:59of this dystopian hellhole that's probably gonna get produced uh in addition to the fact that like
- 1:24:04more people know about bitcoin than ever before a lot of people don't and like again this is sort
- 1:24:10the recursive thing is even if people come in as banker coin guys or a number go up people
- 1:24:15eventually they get curious enough about it to be like how does this thing actually work under the
- 1:24:20hood why is it important and they start to really orange pill themselves in a meaningful way so like
- 1:24:26everything's good for bitcoin i ultimately think that the direction that we're going and also like
- 1:24:30the fact that we're like hovering at what 113 000 and that like it feels like a bear market that
- 1:24:37everybody's kind of like, Bitcoin's dead.
- 1:24:40It sucks, dude.
- 1:24:41It was phenomenal.
- 1:24:44Remember where we're actually at in the timeline
- 1:24:46and
- 1:24:47we're going to have another bull rally at some point
- 1:24:50in time and it's going to kick the shit out of gold
- 1:24:52and silver and everything else.
- 1:24:54And it's going to be fun.
- 1:24:55You should consider buying more Bitcoin.
- 1:24:59I think
- 1:24:59all of the...
- 1:25:01This is the big lesson since
- 1:25:03I've been in Bitcoin
- 1:25:05is that
- 1:25:07All of the craziest thoughts and beliefs you have about what is going to happen in Bitcoin,
- 1:25:14those are all real.
- 1:25:15They're all going to come true.
- 1:25:18And you're going to find yourself parked next to a mega yacht in Miami with Eric Kaysen
- 1:25:24drunk off your ass being like, why are we here?
- 1:25:28What's going on?
- 1:25:29You're going to be standing next to Marty Bent at some fucking mansion on Star Island being like,
- 1:25:34this mansion is kind of ugly, actually.
- 1:25:37These are both real interactions I've had with both of these gentlemen.
- 1:25:41And I'm just a guy who fucking bought magic internet money
- 1:25:44and stumbled my way in here after a random drunken night at the casino.
- 1:25:48And then I posted my real thoughts about Bitcoin on the internet.
- 1:25:51And people were like, I kind of like the cut of this guy's jib.
- 1:25:54And then I started getting invited to millionaire mansion parties and shit.
- 1:25:57It's weird.
- 1:25:58It's really weird.
- 1:25:59And like, so, you know, when I first sat down and like...
- 1:26:02It's weird.
- 1:26:05It's weird.
- 1:26:05And when I first sat down and discovered Bitcoin,
- 1:26:08I, you know, when I found out that there was 100 million Satoshis in each Bitcoin,
- 1:26:13I was like, clearly, that's going to be worth $100 million one day.
- 1:26:17And like, I didn't really, you know, I wasn't smart enough to be like,
- 1:26:20the $100 million will be severely debased.
- 1:26:23But I was like, it will be worth $100 million.
- 1:26:25So like, I do think that Bitcoin goes to infinity.
- 1:26:28That continues.
- 1:26:29It becomes more of a, you know, political movement across the Western world.
- 1:26:34and people use it to sort of, you know, revivify society, really.
- 1:26:40Because what Bitcoin is, is it's a restorative vision of the future,
- 1:26:46which is what the fascists want.
- 1:26:48That's what the far right wants.
- 1:26:49And it's a, you know, progressive vision of the future
- 1:26:53in that it enables all these new tools and technologies.
- 1:26:57And that's kind of what the communist side wants.
- 1:27:00And so it kind of is the perfect marriage of this economic populism
- 1:27:03that both sides are, you know, the younger generations are like dying for.
- 1:27:07I also think that like when the boomers die,
- 1:27:10there's the largest wealth transfer that's ever happened.
- 1:27:13And I already can see it with my friends is that, you know,
- 1:27:16those who didn't get in on Bitcoin are going to inherit wealth from the boomers
- 1:27:20who are going to leave it to them.
- 1:27:21And then they're going to be a lot less price sensitive than we are.
- 1:27:25And they're going to be like, yeah, $250,000 for a Bitcoin.
- 1:27:27That's very cheap.
- 1:27:28Like I'm going to buy three of those because I, you know,
- 1:27:31just got money from my parents when they passed away, whatever.
- 1:27:33And so I think that there's going to be a lot of when this wealth transfer happens, a lot of boomer money is going to end up in Bitcoin.
- 1:27:40And, you know, it's going to continue going up.
- 1:27:42And I think that it's important for us to, you know, maintain our principles through this whole thing and to be like, it's not number go up or censorship resistance, because if we don't have both, we've failed.
- 1:27:55And so we need to make it through to the other side with, you know, Bitcoin's core properties,
- 1:28:02its inherent properties intact.
- 1:28:03And that's a long bet.
- 1:28:06And it's going to take your whole life.
- 1:28:07And, you know, you don't martyr yourself for something by dying in a blaze of glory.
- 1:28:12You martyr yourself for something by giving your life for it every day, like you would
- 1:28:18do with your family or things that you're passionate or that you care about, your community.
- 1:28:21You show up for those things every day.
- 1:28:23You show up for Bitcoin every day.
- 1:28:24you show up for the principles every day,
- 1:28:25it's going to take the rest of our lives.
- 1:28:27Just buckle in.
- 1:28:29If you're here now, 17 years in,
- 1:28:32actually, this is a thousand-year system,
- 1:28:34so you're still at the very beginning of the story.
- 1:28:37The very, very beginning.
- 1:28:38I don't think I can top anything forward looking at
- 1:28:41these two gentlemen just said,
- 1:28:42but something I've been just looking at,
- 1:28:45marveling at this week is the hash rate.
- 1:28:48We're sitting at 1.15 Zeta hash around there,
- 1:28:52based on what estimates you look at.
- 1:28:55But it took 11 years for Bitcoin to go from launch to 100x hash.
- 1:29:01I looked this up earlier today,
- 1:29:02and it hit 100x hash for the first time in January of 2020.
- 1:29:07Then you think it took four years, five years.
- 1:29:12We hit one Zeta hash last month, September 15th, reliably.
- 1:29:19And so it took like four and a half, almost five years to go from 100 to a Zeta hash. And in a little over a month, we've added another exahash to the network. And so when you think about that, the amount of raw power dedicated to the Bitcoin network and how fast it's coming on the network right now, it's mind boggling to me to think of a process that took 11 years just took less than six weeks.
- 1:29:49That's insane.
- 1:29:50It's insane.
- 1:29:51Yeah.
- 1:29:51And that is a signal that something's happening here.
- 1:29:54Like this network is bootstrapping.
- 1:29:56It's working.
- 1:29:57And no matter what you hear with debates over op return at the price is hovering at 113.
- 1:30:03And you don't think that's high enough.
- 1:30:05Like there's something happening behind the scenes.
- 1:30:07The melding of the physical and digital world via Bitcoin hash rate is happening at a pace that I don't think many people recognize right now.
- 1:30:16Like that exa hash.
- 1:30:17I looked at it.
- 1:30:18I was like, wait, 1.1 zeta hash means we, or excuse me, we added 100 exahash in the last six weeks.
- 1:30:25It's insane to think that it took, going from zero to 100 took 11 years.
- 1:30:31Then from 100 to 1,100 exahash took four years.
- 1:30:36And then we just added 100 exahash in six weeks.
- 1:30:39Like that's insane parabolic growth that we're entering on the hash rate side of things.
- 1:30:44and I think that's a foundational base
- 1:30:47that is very underappreciated right now
- 1:30:51and the growth of that base
- 1:30:52is very underappreciated right now.
- 1:30:55And that's, I mean, a lot of people have been sharing,
- 1:30:57resharing the Buckminster Fuller and Henry Ford
- 1:31:01sort of visions of the future.
- 1:31:03We need a currency based at some degree in energy
- 1:31:07and that's what Bitcoin represents.
- 1:31:09They can't dilute it.
- 1:31:11They can't take it from you if you secure it properly.
- 1:31:14And slowly but surely, more and more people are going to realize this.
- 1:31:18They're going to adopt it.
- 1:31:19And the number is going to go up.
- 1:31:21And hopefully, people don't get distracted by number go up.
- 1:31:24And we still have the cypherpunks out there, which I'm very confident we do,
- 1:31:28working on the tools that make you able to access Bitcoin sovereignly and privately.
- 1:31:33I'm actually very bullish on sovereign and private usage of Bitcoin over the next decade,
- 1:31:38despite what the governments would like to do to us by cucking us and not allowing us
- 1:31:44to self-custody.
- 1:31:45If it gets to that point where they write a law that says you can't self-custody without
- 1:31:48KYCing, I've said this before, Matt doesn't like me saying this on our HR, but we're not
- 1:31:53on our HR, like civil disobedience will need to come back and we'll just need to flaunt
- 1:31:57our sovereign users of Bitcoin in the States.
- 1:32:00and say, no, you're not taking this from us.
- 1:32:02Yeah, let's fucking go.
- 1:32:03I mean, that's like the 6102,
- 1:32:05but you just don't have to listen.
- 1:32:07Many people, that's what many Bitcoiners are,
- 1:32:09many people during 6102 didn't listen either.
- 1:32:11They were just like, no, I'm not giving you my fucking gold.
- 1:32:14You know, we have this digital slash physical merger
- 1:32:18via Bitcoin mining.
- 1:32:20To me, when I think about that,
- 1:32:22I think about that creating a bridge or a rift in space-time.
- 1:32:26and it is a portal that, you know, leads to a new dimension.
- 1:32:31And so when we talk about this, you know, the old world is dying,
- 1:32:35like, let's just admit it and be like, yeah, it's dying.
- 1:32:38It may in fact already be dead and we're just staring at its carcass.
- 1:32:42And I think that the most logical and sane thing to do
- 1:32:45is if you find a hole in space-time is to walk through it
- 1:32:48and see, you know, where it takes you, right?
- 1:32:51Doesn't sound like it's the sane thing to do, but it is.
- 1:32:54i love that uh so things might get shit but it's gonna get better um this has been really cool
- 1:33:00thank you guys i appreciate the time and uh i'm gonna get this out on friday white paper day
- 1:33:04let's go thank you danny thanks
- 1:33:24Thank you.