Latest / On Course: Navigating Wealth On Your Terms / Ep.1 Have You Saved Enough to Retire? Now What?
Transcript
- 0:00Andrew Tenenbaum: So I recently had a conversation with a buddy
- 0:02of mine who's also a client, and he's done a phenomenal job.
- 0:05He's saved his entire life, he's invested very well, and he's
- 0:08gonna be ready for retirement.
- 0:09He's in his mid-fifties.
- 0:10But it brought up a really interesting conversation and
- 0:13a point while we were talking.
- 0:14What happens when you've saved enough?
- 0:16Is it actually enough, and is it gonna stand up to any kind of
- 0:18stresses that may test your system?
- 0:23Welcome to On Course Navigating Wealth on Your Terms.
- 0:27I'm Andy Tenenbaum, and we're exploring the conversations and decisions that
- 0:31shape how we build and use wealth
- 0:35Andrew Tenenbaum: I decided to start the podcast because I have some really
- 0:37good conversations with clients and other financial professionals that
- 0:40are out there, but too often those conversations stay close hold and they
- 0:44don't get out there to the masses.
- 0:46So the goal here is gonna be pretty straightforward.
- 0:48I'm gonna take conversations that I've had, and I'll have guests on as well at
- 0:50certain points, but I'm gonna take out the questions that the client actually asked
- 0:54as well as questions that I had for them in the hopes that you can learn from other
- 0:57people and what they're actually doing.
- 0:59All right, let's get started.
- 1:01So this client, like I said, he's actually been doing very well for himself
- 1:04He's in his mid-50s.
- 1:06He's an airline pilot.
- 1:07He has a military retirement coming in as well, and he's at a point
- 1:10now where he's transitioning from actually saving to looking at
- 1:13spending and how that's gonna work.
- 1:15So we got to talking, and I have a few questions here, actually more than
- 1:18a few, quite a bit, that we actually discussed, and I think you're gonna
- 1:21take something away from this and see how your own system is and whether or
- 1:24not it's gonna be ready for retirement yourself All right, so let's get into it.
- 1:27First question, uh, and this is from the client.
- 1:30How do I know when I've actually accumulated enough?
- 1:33And this is a great point.
- 1:34A lot of times people will throw a number out there, but what does it actually mean?
- 1:37So I like to look at this through a few different lenses.
- 1:40It's gonna be the needs and then the wants.
- 1:42So what do you actually need to retire?
- 1:45If, no kidding, everything were to go upside down, what do you need monthly,
- 1:48annually figured out to actually survive?
- 1:51And then on top of that,
- 1:52If you've taken the time to save and get to the point where you're ready
- 1:55to retire, you wanna make sure that you can actually do it and not just
- 1:58survive, but you wanna enjoy your life.
- 2:00There's a reason why you've worked so hard And when you do this, if you're talking
- 2:03to somebody, there's gonna be a lot of assumptions that actually go into it.
- 2:06You wanna make sure that you understand what those assumptions are, because if
- 2:09you get them wrong, they can have dire consequences later on as you actually
- 2:13start withdrawing and pulling money out of these retirement funds to live.
- 2:16All right.
- 2:17Next question: If I've already accumulated enough, why would I keep
- 2:21saving and investing the same way?
- 2:23This is really important to think about.
- 2:25So first off, make sure you're not doing it just because it's a habit.
- 2:29Obviously, when you're younger or you're middle-aged, you wanna keep saving to
- 2:32make sure that when you get to those later on years, that you're gonna have
- 2:34enough passive income to survive, and you're not gonna have to go back to work.
- 2:38But you don't wanna become so ingrained in what you're doing that you don't
- 2:42take the time to actually transition and do something where now you can
- 2:46actually start enjoying those years
- 2:48The other part of this is depending on the assumptions, you may assume that
- 2:52there's gonna be growth in a certain manner, and if you start reallocating
- 2:56your assets, well, maybe you don't actually have enough, or maybe you're
- 3:00gonna miss out on some significant gains.
- 3:02If you think about the last few years that we've had, if you're at a point
- 3:05where you're coming up on retirement and you went ahead and reallocated
- 3:09your assets to something a little bit more conservative, you probably
- 3:12missed out on some significant growth.
- 3:14At the same time, if there was a drop, you probably did preserve a lot
- 3:17of your assets So what we're gonna do here is we're gonna look at a few
- 3:20other options so that you don't have to reallocate, and maybe you have something
- 3:23else that's in your portfolio that allows you to ride those ups and downs
- 3:28So what should someone actually evaluate before deciding that they have
- 3:31enough to retire or stop accumulating?
- 3:34And so this is important.
- 3:35I actually have a retirement calculator.
- 3:37I will have people fill out several questions, and then I'll
- 3:40run that through a, series of tests that I've set up myself.
- 3:43And then we'll look at the assets that a person has to actually see what they're
- 3:46trying to accomplish, and then we'll look at worst case scenarios in there.
- 3:50But when you're doing this, in order to actually decide if you have enough, you
- 3:53need to look at your entire portfolio.
- 3:55You wanna look at expected stuff that's coming in versus
- 3:58what you think might come in.
- 3:59So in this case, I'll look at this specific client.
- 4:02He's in his mid-fifties.
- 4:03He's gonna have a military retirement.
- 4:05He may or may not have Social Security.
- 4:06We're gonna plan on it, but I don't actually factor that in because
- 4:10I don't wanna get into that now.
- 4:11But obviously, Social Security, there could be issues with that down the road.
- 4:14He is gonna have a defined benefit and a pension through the airline that he
- 4:16works for, and then he has qualified plans as well as investments outside of that.
- 4:20So looking at these, it's important to know what's one
- 4:23hundred percent the guarantees.
- 4:24Nothing's a hundred percent, but most likely gonna be there.
- 4:27And then on top of that, the stuff that he expects.
- 4:29How does he expect his portfolio to actually perform?
- 4:33Then we can look at the most likely and then potentially the most dangerous.
- 4:36What happens if it doesn't perform as you want?
- 4:38What if we're in a significant downturn like an '08 or a COVID-type setup?
- 4:42How is your portfolio actually gonna perform?
- 4:44What can you actually expect to have coming in, and how
- 4:46is that gonna change things?
- 4:47And then besides just looking at the assets that when you have coming
- 4:50in, you wanna look at other people that are maybe relying on you.
- 4:53So it could be a spouse, it could be children.
- 4:54Whatever the beneficiaries are that are expecting income from you, you wanna make
- 4:59sure that your portfolio can not only support yourself, but them as well So what
- 5:03are some of the biggest things that could derail an otherwise solid retirement plan?
- 5:08One of the big things I like to talk about, and when I was talking to
- 5:10this client, this came up right away, and he actually had not heard of it
- 5:13before, was sequence of returns risk.
- 5:14And essentially here what we're talking about is market volatility.
- 5:17So you have a plan for your portfolio, but what happens as you're
- 5:20approaching retirement or maybe just after retirement if we have
- 5:23a significant dip in the market?
- 5:25Well, if part of your plan was to actually withdraw those funds
- 5:28and take out X percent, a lot of times it'll be around four percent.
- 5:32I don't want to go off on too much of a tangent there, whether that's good or
- 5:34bad, but we'll just keep that for this, uh, argument here or this discussion.
- 5:38If you have a significant dip at the wrong time, that can really impact what
- 5:42you're planning to do in retirement.
- 5:44And so if you have that dip and you still have to draw on those funds, you're not
- 5:48going to have the growth long term like you expected, and you're probably still
- 5:51going to be paying taxes on those as well.
- 5:54So not only are you pulling the funds out, but you're paying taxes on it.
- 5:57And it can be a double whammy at a point where you really may not be
- 5:59able to afford that, especially if you end up living for quite a while and
- 6:02you're planning on using those funds for your long-term financial stability
- 6:07Another one that comes up a lot is your health or long-term care.
- 6:10You may be very healthy right now and think that what you've
- 6:14got right now is completely sound for what you're trying to do.
- 6:18However, you don't know what tomorrow holds, and if you have an unexpected
- 6:22life event that alters your health, you may have to dip into your funds,
- 6:26or maybe your spouse has something that goes on, and that could significantly
- 6:29alter what you're planning for.
- 6:30So once again, when we talk about this, we're looking for hopefully the best-case
- 6:33scenario, but we really need to look at the worst-case scenario and see how
- 6:37your system is gonna perform under these stressors Another thing that pops up
- 6:41is what happens if your spouse dies?
- 6:43So in this case, let's look at this example.
- 6:45We have somebody who has a defined benefit both with the
- 6:48airline and with the military.
- 6:49Depending on how that's structured, when that person passes away, that, capital
- 6:53that's coming in may not be there anymore.
- 6:56So if you don't have anything to replace that, you could be in a
- 6:59world of hurt, or your spouse or your beneficiary could be in a world of hurt.
- 7:02Now, you can do certain things and look, well, maybe this person only needs
- 7:05fifty percent of what we were getting before, but it's important to take these
- 7:08under consideration and not assume.
- 7:10That's really what I'm getting at here.
- 7:12And then finally, the big thing with the sequence of return risk, I'm
- 7:14circling back on this one right now.
- 7:17It's not an issue if you don't have to pull in those funds.
- 7:19The biggest issue with sequence of return risk and market volatility is if you are
- 7:23forced to sell when the market is down.
- 7:25If you have another source of income or another way to ride that out, then you
- 7:30will be okay as you let that recover.
- 7:32The real issue is when people have to sell at an unfavorable time.
- 7:36And the other thing to think about here, yes, you can cut back and you can
- 7:39just go to the essential stuff that you need, but at this point in your life,
- 7:42you probably don't want to do that.
- 7:43You still probably want to enjoy yourself.
- 7:44So let's figure out a way that you can still enjoy yourself, but not tap
- 7:47into the assets that you have that are going to affect the long-term
- 7:51outcome of your financial plan
- 7:53All right, I'm gonna read these next two questions here, one after the other,
- 7:56'cause they kind of go together, and I touched on it a little bit, but I
- 7:58wanna elaborate on it a little bit more.
- 8:01So why does the timing of market returns matter so much
- 8:04when someone starts retirement?
- 8:05And I just touched on that.
- 8:07But the follow-up question is a way to actually mitigate it.
- 8:09And it's if someone already owns whole life insurance, how might that
- 8:12change their retirement planning?
- 8:14So if you've been set up and you have whole life, you have something
- 8:17that is not market correlated.
- 8:19And if you have enough cash value in there, and that's gonna vary as
- 8:23far as what enough is for everybody, you could actually use policy loans
- 8:27for a significant amount of time to offset what's going on in the market
- 8:30and let your portfolio recover.
- 8:32So this example is kind of interesting.
- 8:33This guy here, he has a defined benefit, so he has both the airline
- 8:37and the military income coming in.
- 8:39And so with that, we can actually look at his portfolio and go, okay,
- 8:42we know that this is gonna keep coming in, and it may go up with
- 8:45inflation as well, the way it works.
- 8:47Is it gonna be enough or not?
- 8:48That's another discussion, but he will have funds that are coming in.
- 8:52So we have to look at, actually, in this scenario, looking at his
- 8:55portfolio, is how much of his portfolio was he actually relying on to live
- 8:59the lifestyle that he wants to live?
- 9:01Then we can look at that delta there and use that to figure out, well,
- 9:04how much cash value would he need every single year in order to keep
- 9:08living the same lifestyle, and we can adjust that for inflation as well.
- 9:12And once we look at that, we can go, well, based on what you're
- 9:14looking at, do you want one, two, three, five years, you name it.
- 9:17How many years do you want as far as a buffer goes, so that you have something
- 9:21in your portfolio that can actually help mitigate these downturns in the market?
- 9:26All right, this next question was-- I like this because it talks about not
- 9:30just being prepared for stuff and the market when it doesn't cooperate, but
- 9:36a lot of times there's a transition mentally for people where they've been
- 9:39saving for so long, it's difficult for them to get into the mindset where
- 9:42now they're ready to actually spend.
- 9:44So the question here is: Does having a death benefit change
- 9:47how much of your retirement money you can comfortably spend?
- 9:50So what I'm getting at here is sometimes people wanna leave
- 9:53something for beneficiaries.
- 9:54I'm using that term for life insurance, but maybe you have
- 9:57others in your life that when you pass away, you wanna make sure that
- 10:00there's some kind of inheritance.
- 10:02If you have a whole life policy in place and you have a death benefit there, it
- 10:07actually gives you permission to spend down your retirement a little bit more
- 10:10'cause you're not so worried about that portion or those portions of your
- 10:14portfolio going to the next generation or your beneficiaries, whoever they are.
- 10:19You can actually spend those down a little bit more aggressively and then
- 10:22have it so that when you do pass away, now you have this massive death benefit
- 10:26coming in that is income tax-free, going to who- whoever your beneficiaries are.
- 10:30They can be your spouse, they can be your children, they
- 10:32can be a charity, you name it.
- 10:34It's really up to you as the policy owner and where you want those to go.
- 10:37Now, I do want to be clear here with the death benefit, it's not a blank check.
- 10:42You can't just go through your assets.
- 10:43You have to do that intelligently.
- 10:45But it is another asset that you have that, uh, it gives you more options in
- 10:50your overall portfolio, and it's going to be important to talk to somebody
- 10:53to figure out how it actually fits in.
- 10:55This is more, these conversations are just more about getting you
- 10:57to think about certain things that maybe you haven't thought of before
- 11:00So this was pretty interesting as I was talking to my buddy, and I'm paraphrasing
- 11:04here a little bit, but he actually brought this up, and it's why is it
- 11:07so difficult for disciplined savers to start spending money they've accumulated?
- 11:12And I think it comes down to two things.
- 11:14Number one is fear.
- 11:15I think people are very worried that they are gonna run out of money.
- 11:19We do a very good job accumulating assets if you're a saver and investing.
- 11:24I don't think we do the best job figuring out how to actually spend them, and that's
- 11:28a, a, a downfall that is easy to fix.
- 11:31We just need to have the right variables and the right ways to calculate it.
- 11:34But if you've only thought about accumulating, that fear
- 11:36can definitely take over.
- 11:37And the other part of it, and I alluded to it earlier, it's just these habits.
- 11:40We are so ingrained… It's so ingrained in us that we need to
- 11:43save and be ready for the future.
- 11:46But when the future gets here, it can be very difficult mentally to make that
- 11:49switch and actually spend and change your habits over time because you've been doing
- 11:53it for thirty, forty, fifty years maybe.
- 11:55And finally, my last question: how do you give yourself permission
- 11:58to spend without worrying that you're jeopardizing your future?
- 12:03And really it comes down to understanding what you have and how it's gonna perform
- 12:07and having the right assumptions in there.
- 12:09If you can set that up and understand what's going on, it
- 12:12can really set you up for success.
- 12:14But if you're only focused on accumulating and you're not actually
- 12:17stress testing what you have, it could actually lead to some downfalls there.
- 12:21And so with all this, I want to be very clear, I'm not a hundred percent all
- 12:25your assets need to be in whole life.
- 12:27I am not a hundred percent you need your investments elsewhere.
- 12:29I think you just need the right combination.
- 12:31That's really what this is all about.
- 12:33If you can have things that balance out your portfolio appropriately without doing
- 12:37something where you're hurting the growth of that portfolio, and I think whole
- 12:41life really allows you to do that because you can stay aggressive in the market.
- 12:44You don't have to pull back so much.
- 12:45You don't have to miss out on these big upticks that we're having.
- 12:49But at the same time, you have something in your portfolio that
- 12:51can mitigate that volatility.
- 12:53It puts you in a unique position that you can be aggressive while at
- 12:57the same time being conservative.
- 12:58It's getting the right balance and truly understanding what your objectives are.
- 13:02What do you plan on spending in retirement?
- 13:04And something I didn't really touch on before, but this is
- 13:06gonna change as you age as well.
- 13:08Typically, early on in your retirement, you're gonna be spending more than when
- 13:11you're older and you aren't gonna be able to probably move around as much.
- 13:14Now, that's an assumption that you can or cannot make.
- 13:17Every situation is gonna be a little bit different.
- 13:18You need to look at your own health and what you plan on doing.
- 13:21But through all of this, it's really important to have a realistic
- 13:24understanding of what you're planning on doing, and then the worst case scenarios,
- 13:29and can your system, your assets actually survive that and give you a comfortable
- 13:33lifestyle all the way until the end, while at the same time making sure that your
- 13:36beneficiaries and whoever it is that's depending on you is gonna be set as well.
- 13:41So really what I'm getting at here in all of this is you've done the hard work.
- 13:45You've gotten to the point where you've accumulated enough assets, you've
- 13:48invested wisely, and you have enough to actually enjoy your retirement.
- 13:52Now I want you to think about how do you actually spend this and use
- 13:56your assets, your entire portfolio intelligently to finish out your life,
- 14:00live those last years the way you wanna live them, while at the same
- 14:04time making sure that those who are
- 14:05relying on you are gonna be adequately taken care of
- 14:08when you're not here anymore.
- 14:10All right, I hope you enjoyed this, and I hope to see you again on the next one
- 14:13Thank you for joining me on On Course.
- 14:16My goal of this podcast is to share real conversations, explore
- 14:19different perspectives, and help you think more intentionally about
- 14:22the financial decisions you make.
- 14:24If you found this conversation valuable, consider subscribing and leaving a review.
- 14:28And if you'd like to learn more about infinite banking and how it might
- 14:31fit in your own financial picture, head over to blueskiesic.com and
- 14:36check out my Start Here series.
- 14:38Thanks for listening.