skinny.

Latest / Excess Returns

Not a Time for Big Bets | Aahan Menon on What 60 Years of Regime Data Says About Today’s Market

Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Research, joins Jack Forehand to explain what systematic macro data says about economic growth, inflation, Federal Reserve policy, oil prices, AI investment and the outlook for stocks and bonds. They examine why nominal GDP remains stable, why traditional recession indicators have failed, how consumer dissaving is boosting corporate profits, and why today's unusually balanced regime probabilities make this a difficult time for large macro bets.

Aahan Menon on X

https://x.com/AahanPrometheus

Prometheus Research

https://www.prometheus-macro.com

Topics covered…

The skinny

The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.