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How Sequence Risk Wrecks Even Perfect Retirement Math
Episode 80 of The Financial Freedom Podcast explores sequence-of-returns risk — the one timing trap that can break even a perfectly calculated early retirement. Lucas and Luna walk through the math with a concrete example: two hypothetical retirees with identical average returns, one retiring in a bull market and one in a bear market, and why the second runs out of money decades early. They discuss practical hedges like a cash buffer, flexible spending rules, and bucket strategies. This is not the same as the 4% rule debate — it's about the order your returns arrive, not their average…
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