Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Instant Reaction: Netflix Misses, Reed Hastings Steps Down
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is a breaking
- 0:10Speaker 1: news update from Bloomberg.
- 0:12Speaker 2: Instant reaction and analysis from our three thousand journalists and
- 0:16Speaker 2: analysts around the.
- 0:18Speaker 1: World focuses on Netflix, just out with its latest quarterly results.
- 0:22Speaker 1: The company beating estimates though read hate stings. Of course,
- 0:26Speaker 1: one of the co founders is stepping down from the
- 0:28Speaker 1: board after twenty nine years to pursue philanthropy and personal interests.
- 0:33Speaker 1: But again you should point out in terms of the company,
- 0:36Speaker 1: we can talk about that in just a moment. Did
- 0:38Speaker 1: report revenue that beat analyst estimates in the first quarter,
- 0:40Speaker 1: buoyed by strong subscriber growth, engagement, keeping subscribers there and
- 0:44Speaker 1: bringing them in. That's important.
- 0:46Speaker 2: The guidance, though, is what has people concerned. Second quarter
- 0:49Speaker 2: earnings for sheriff seventy eight cents is what Netflix is
- 0:51Speaker 2: guiding for the estimates for eighty four cents. I want
- 0:54Speaker 2: to bring in Githa Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior media analyst.
- 0:57Speaker 2: She joins us from Bloomberg Intelligence quarters in Princeton. Keith,
- 1:02Speaker 2: are there two elements that we want to talk about here.
- 1:04Speaker 2: One is the light guide that disappointed analysts but also
- 1:07Speaker 2: read Hastings moving away, which one is a bigger way
- 1:10Speaker 2: on the stock in the after hours.
- 1:11Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks so much, Tim, And it's definitely the lighter guidance.
- 1:14Speaker 3: So I think not only were we looking at the
- 1:17Speaker 3: second quarter guidance, which of course is lighter both on
- 1:20Speaker 3: the revenue side as well as on the EPs front,
- 1:23Speaker 3: but we were also anticipating some kind of take up
- 1:28Speaker 3: for the full year revenue guidance. So remember the quarter
- 1:31Speaker 3: before they had set twelve to fourteen percent for the
- 1:34Speaker 3: full year, and they basically just came out this time
- 1:36Speaker 3: and reaffirmed that same number. And I think the street
- 1:40Speaker 3: was really looking for all the recently implemented price hikes
- 1:43Speaker 3: to contribute to maybe at least one hundred basis points
- 1:48Speaker 3: of improvement in revenue growth. The same goes for operating margin.
- 1:52Speaker 3: I mean when the guidance first came out for operating
- 1:54Speaker 3: margin at thirty one point five percent, that was considered
- 1:57Speaker 3: to be pretty muted, and I think the street was
- 2:00Speaker 3: disappointed last time around, and they haven't. They continue to
- 2:03Speaker 3: be pretty I think they're still kind of taking conservative approach,
- 2:06Speaker 3: but definitely the street is going to be pretty disappointed
- 2:08Speaker 3: on this.
- 2:08Speaker 1: So what do we want to do. Does everybody want
- 2:10Speaker 1: to push them on the call with analysts to say, wait,
- 2:14Speaker 1: give us a little bit more color around this. Are
- 2:16Speaker 1: you being conservative? Is it as easy as that, KEITHA.
- 2:19Speaker 3: So, I think there are a couple of different things
- 2:21Speaker 3: here happening, Carol, especially with the second quarter. So the
- 2:24Speaker 3: reason why their revenue guide fell a little short of
- 2:26Speaker 3: analyst expectations was because they did implement a big price
- 2:30Speaker 3: hike in the second quarter of last year, so they're
- 2:32Speaker 3: obviously lapping those increases. So that's one thing to kind
- 2:36Speaker 3: of keep in mind. And then the second thing is
- 2:39Speaker 3: on the on the EPs front, and the reason why
- 2:42Speaker 3: we're seeing a little bit of pressure in terms of
- 2:43Speaker 3: guidance for EPs and operating profit is because they do
- 2:47Speaker 3: expect very very heavy content amortization in the second quarter.
- 2:51Speaker 3: So you know, they think that that would ease a
- 2:53Speaker 3: little bit in the second half, but in the second
- 2:56Speaker 3: quarter it's going to be pretty heavy, which might be
- 2:57Speaker 3: part of the reason why they're still kind of take
- 3:00Speaker 3: a little bit of a conservative stance. And you know,
- 3:02Speaker 3: we've seen them kind of really invest in a lot
- 3:04Speaker 3: of different pieces of content, most notably sports. Whether you
- 3:08Speaker 3: know it was the MLB opening Day game or the
- 3:10Speaker 3: World Baseball Classic, and you have a couple of boxing
- 3:12Speaker 3: matches coming up, and so I think all of that,
- 3:15Speaker 3: With all of that, they're kind of taking probably a
- 3:17Speaker 3: slightly more measured, cautious stone.
- 3:19Speaker 2: We don't get actual subscriber numbers anymore, unfortunately, but the company,
- 3:23Speaker 2: as you mentioned, boosted its standard plan with that ads
- 3:26Speaker 2: by two dollars to twenty dollars a month. That was
- 3:29Speaker 2: in March. Any indication based on these numbers or doing
- 3:32Speaker 2: some quick back of the envelope math what that did
- 3:35Speaker 2: in terms of churn or maybe pushing people to the
- 3:38Speaker 2: advertising tiers that are less expensive.
- 3:42Speaker 3: Yeah, So historically, Tim, what we've seen is, and we've
- 3:44Speaker 3: seen this in multiple price increases that Netflix has done
- 3:47Speaker 3: over the past four years or so, is that churn
- 3:50Speaker 3: has been pretty low. It is actually for Netflix, it's
- 3:53Speaker 3: actually the lowest across the board. It's about one point
- 3:55Speaker 3: seven percent. You compare that to about six to eight
- 3:58Speaker 3: to nine percent for some of the others services, So
- 4:01Speaker 3: you know, they've historically seen very very low cancelation rates.
- 4:04Speaker 3: Of course, there is the possibility, you know, with the
- 4:07Speaker 3: price increase, that there could be a little bit of
- 4:08Speaker 3: tearing down. As you just pointed, I'm not sure it
- 4:12Speaker 3: necessarily had a huge impact at least for the quarter
- 4:15Speaker 3: that is reported, but maybe they are factoring in some
- 4:19Speaker 3: of that for the second quarter, which is why we're
- 4:21Speaker 3: kind of seeing that lighter than expected guidance in terms
- 4:24Speaker 3: of revenue growth.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Huh okay, I mean listen, I feel like, you know,
- 4:29Speaker 1: when we talked about Netflix right in the last how
- 4:31Speaker 1: many months, of the story that gave and gave and
- 4:33Speaker 1: gave over the past year was Warner Brothers Discovery. I mean,
- 4:36Speaker 1: is there any rethink that that was a mistake or
- 4:38Speaker 1: now that has nothing to do with what we're seeing here.
- 4:42Speaker 3: So you bring up a really interesting point, Carol, And
- 4:44Speaker 3: I think you know, when they announced the deal, people
- 4:47Speaker 3: were kind of, you know, flummox and they were like,
- 4:48Speaker 3: why are you doing the deal? Is it because you
- 4:51Speaker 3: need it or is it just nice to have? Is
- 4:53Speaker 3: it because this is you know, a once in a generation,
- 4:55Speaker 3: once in a lifetime opportunity for you guys to get
- 4:57Speaker 3: hands on an asset that will probably never come to
- 5:00Speaker 3: the market. What is it? And I think you know,
- 5:03Speaker 3: people were kind of looking at this first quarter report,
- 5:06Speaker 3: as you know, providing some more answers to that, but
- 5:09Speaker 3: I think we have more questions than answers at this
- 5:11Speaker 3: point because you know, we're not necessarily seeing a great
- 5:14Speaker 3: acceleration in the revenue numbers, in the operating margin numbers,
- 5:18Speaker 3: which is exactly what they needed to show in order
- 5:21Speaker 3: to you know, basically assuage investors that did not need
- 5:24Speaker 3: Warner Brothers Discovery. So this kind of it's it's it
- 5:28Speaker 3: kind of leaves investors, I think a little bit, you know,
- 5:31Speaker 3: hanging a little bit.
- 5:31Speaker 2: What about the ben Affleck acquisition.
- 5:34Speaker 3: That is a great acquisition, so, you know, and I
- 5:36Speaker 3: think we can we will continue to see more of
- 5:38Speaker 3: this going forward. So that is you know, I think
- 5:42Speaker 3: as we kind of ponder about whether AI is going
- 5:45Speaker 3: to be a positive or a negative for some of
- 5:48Speaker 3: these media companies, I think we're definitely going to see
- 5:50Speaker 3: Netflix kind of flip the script and be more of
- 5:52Speaker 3: an AI winner, and that you know, the ben Affleck
- 5:55Speaker 3: company Interpositive acquisition, which was basically for six hundred million dollars,
- 5:59Speaker 3: I think it's a really smart discipline move, which again
- 6:02Speaker 3: helps them really kind of hone in on AI and
- 6:05Speaker 3: make it, you know, make it a positive gap.
- 6:07Speaker 2: But there's this balance and maybe the Ben Affleck element
- 6:10Speaker 2: helps because he is a creator. He's a Hollywood creative
- 6:14Speaker 2: more more so than an executive. But the scary thing is,
- 6:17Speaker 2: I think for a lot of people in Hollywood is like,
- 6:20Speaker 2: what does it mean for their own jobs? And is
- 6:22Speaker 2: it existential if AI can do what they're doing?
- 6:26Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think you know, Netflix has said this
- 6:28Speaker 3: many times and just the fact that you know, Ben
- 6:30Speaker 3: Affleck is obviously he represents Hollywood and the creative community.
- 6:35Speaker 3: I think the company itself is really more about offering
- 6:38Speaker 3: creators better tools for storytelling. So I don't think it's
- 6:42Speaker 3: necessarily replacing them. And that's the same story that that
- 6:46Speaker 3: Netflix obviously has been saying to This is just to
- 6:48Speaker 3: help them do their jobs better. This is not necessarily
- 6:51Speaker 3: to replace them. So we'll see how it all. You know,
- 6:53Speaker 3: it's still early days to tim and we'll see how
- 6:55Speaker 3: it plays out. But you know, so far, they're you know,
- 6:58Speaker 3: saying the right things.
- 6:59Speaker 1: I guess seconds the company's going to be okay with
- 7:01Speaker 1: read Hastings off.
- 7:02Speaker 3: The board, I think, so. I think he's kind of
- 7:05Speaker 3: been in the background now for a while. It's really
- 7:08Speaker 3: just been tet Sorrando's and Greg Peters running the show,
- 7:11Speaker 3: and I think they will be fine.
- 7:14Speaker 1: All right, cool, Steph.
- 7:15Speaker 2: I want to bring in Eric Clark. He's Accuvest Global
- 7:18Speaker 2: Advisor's CIO. He's also the portfolio manager of the logo ETF,
- 7:24Speaker 2: which has Netflix as its second biggest holding. He joins
- 7:28Speaker 2: us from inside for some reason, even though he's in
- 7:31Speaker 2: beautiful San Diego, California. Eric, thanks for going into the
- 7:35Speaker 2: office today to actually talk to us. Do appreciate that
- 7:39Speaker 2: we want to just get your quick reaction on Netflix
- 7:42Speaker 2: down nine percent right now? Carol mentioned some of the
- 7:44Speaker 2: headlines The light guide certainly has investors a little concerned
- 7:48Speaker 2: read Hastings stepping away a big deal, but maybe not
- 7:50Speaker 2: as concerning to investors. What's your quick reaction?
- 7:54Speaker 4: Well, Carol said it earlier, the stocks up forty percent.
- 7:58Speaker 4: I mean, you know, it went down forty per from
- 8:00Speaker 4: the highs in September, and then it went up forty
- 8:03Speaker 4: percent or forty two percent since the lows. It's seventy
- 8:06Speaker 4: five bucks. So you know, short term, any stock that
- 8:09Speaker 4: runs forty percent into an earnings print better be an
- 8:12Speaker 4: absolutely perfect print. And but we don't care that, you know,
- 8:17Speaker 4: short term noise in a quarter has never bothered us.
- 8:21Speaker 4: It's as long as the dominant theme of any company
- 8:25Speaker 4: is still intact. You ride through some of the noise
- 8:28Speaker 4: quarter to quarter and you take advantage of that. And
- 8:31Speaker 4: we certainly the stock was down forty percent and we
- 8:34Speaker 4: added to it a number of times to beef the
- 8:36Speaker 4: position up pretty meaningfully because we do believe in this
- 8:39Speaker 4: long term and we've been getting paid to do that.
- 8:42Speaker 4: So sometimes you just have to be willing to look
- 8:44Speaker 4: through short term noise, and we did come hot into
- 8:47Speaker 4: the print.
- 8:48Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I think based on was it the end
- 8:51Speaker 1: of last year, this looks like it's the number two
- 8:53Speaker 1: holding in your ETF the logo ETF roughly five point
- 8:59Speaker 1: eight percent. But you can correct me. You're going to
- 9:01Speaker 1: add to that position or is you know, is this
- 9:04Speaker 1: kind of near the top of how much you want
- 9:06Speaker 1: in the portfolio?
- 9:08Speaker 4: Well, we by flexibility, we can go higher. I don't
- 9:11Speaker 4: know that, you know, on a small print, on a
- 9:12Speaker 4: small pullback like this, I don't know that there's a
- 9:14Speaker 4: reason to add to it. I think, you know, the
- 9:19Speaker 4: goal is that there's been a lot of names that
- 9:21Speaker 4: have come down. There's been a lot of turbulence under
- 9:24Speaker 4: the surface, so We have a pretty full position in Netflix.
- 9:28Speaker 4: Sometimes we trade around it. So you know, if I
- 9:30Speaker 4: got the opportunity to do that, I could certainly do that.
- 9:33Speaker 4: But you know, our goal is to find what are
- 9:35Speaker 4: the next trillion dollar brands? Who else joins the trillion
- 9:38Speaker 4: dollar club? Walmart joined not long ago, And you know
- 9:43Speaker 4: Netflix only has to to do about thirteen percent revenue
- 9:47Speaker 4: ongoing and generate good free cash flow. We even cap
- 9:52Speaker 4: the margin assumption at thirty five percent. We cap the
- 9:55Speaker 4: content spend at twenty billion, driving some more share ibas,
- 10:00Speaker 4: and you get to a trillion in market cap in
- 10:03Speaker 4: twenty thirty two. So big picture, there's a lot more
- 10:07Speaker 4: upside to go. You just have to go through different,
- 10:10Speaker 4: you know, noisy quarters in a market that can be volatile.
- 10:12Speaker 2: That's a more than doubling of the market cap in
- 10:14Speaker 2: the next six years. Do you think that happens? I
- 10:16Speaker 2: do I do without without Warner Brothers Discovery? I don't know.
- 10:22Speaker 4: I completely agree. I think it would have been great
- 10:25Speaker 4: to have that big content library, But you know, again,
- 10:28Speaker 4: at what costs they've They've just saddled paramount with a
- 10:32Speaker 4: pretty significant debt load so that they can do lots
- 10:35Speaker 4: of other things on the content spend. They're going to
- 10:38Speaker 4: clearly do more on sports. You know, the gaming is
- 10:42Speaker 4: probably more of a free call option. I think going forward,
- 10:45Speaker 4: it's a little hard to know, excuse me, how that's
- 10:48Speaker 4: going to go. But if they just do what they've
- 10:51Speaker 4: continued to do, ratchet up margins a bit, use AI
- 10:55Speaker 4: to enhance the business, draw viewership in, and you know,
- 11:00Speaker 4: Netflix is still the benefit of It's the place we
- 11:04Speaker 4: go first for content search, and then we go out
- 11:07Speaker 4: from there. Well there's nothing new on Netflix, Okay, now
- 11:10Speaker 4: I'll go to HBO and okay, now I'll go to
- 11:12Speaker 4: Amazon or Apple. So there, you know, and at twenty
- 11:16Speaker 4: seven bucks a month, it's still an incredible value to
- 11:19Speaker 4: the average consumer for all the entertainment that you get.
- 11:22Speaker 4: And obviously I do agree eight we have a ten
- 11:25Speaker 4: We have an eight billion dollar revenue estimate from the
- 11:28Speaker 4: AD tier in twenty thirty two, and I think your
- 11:31Speaker 4: prior guest was talking about somebody having ten billions. So
- 11:34Speaker 4: I think there's just a lot of things that you
- 11:36Speaker 4: can a lot of levers to pull for Netflix on
- 11:40Speaker 4: the free cash flow, on the margin, on the AI side,
- 11:42Speaker 4: which is still a little bit of an unknown so
- 11:45Speaker 4: I think Dipster are to be bought here.
- 11:47Speaker 2: Yeah, go go.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Ahead, go ahead.
- 11:48Speaker 2: Well, Read Hastings, he has Powder Mountain in Utah. He's
- 11:51Speaker 2: off skiing and creating this. David Weston got to go
- 11:55Speaker 2: to Powder Mountain last year and talk to Read Hastings.
- 11:58Speaker 2: I would like to do some skiing at Powder MOUNTA.
- 12:00Speaker 2: I bet you would an issue at all for this
- 12:03Speaker 2: company that Read actings. And look, he hasn't been CEO
- 12:07Speaker 2: or co CEO for a time at this point. Not
- 12:09Speaker 2: an issue to you. That he's exiting the board when
- 12:12Speaker 2: his term is over.
- 12:13Speaker 4: Not an issue at all. And he still has two
- 12:15Speaker 4: billion dollars worth of stock. So he's pretty vested in
- 12:18Speaker 4: keeping up with Netflix and being comfortable enough to walk
- 12:23Speaker 4: away while still having you know, last I checked twenty
- 12:27Speaker 4: one million shares. He's committed to Netflix success, similar to
- 12:31Speaker 4: Balmer with Microsoft success. And look how it's worked out
- 12:34Speaker 4: for Steve Balmer with all the things that he's done
- 12:36Speaker 4: with with Microsoft stock.
- 12:38Speaker 2: I should note I do believe Read Hastings is a
- 12:41Speaker 2: board member of Bloomberg LP, the parent company he is
- 12:44Speaker 2: of Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg Television. So full disclosure there.
- 12:49Speaker 1: Yeah, no, we like to do that. Having said that,
- 12:52Speaker 1: all right, so let's talk about the folks that are
- 12:54Speaker 1: behind the helm, and let's just remind everybody. First of all,
- 12:57Speaker 1: we're talking to Eric Clark Akives Global Advisor CIO, so
- 13:00Speaker 1: he's also a portfolio manager of the logo ETF. Netflix
- 13:04Speaker 1: is the second largest position in that ETF. Right now,
- 13:07Speaker 1: we're looking at Netflix shares continuing to trade near their
- 13:11Speaker 1: lows in the aftermarket, down about nine percent. This is
- 13:15Speaker 1: after the company's revenue did beat estimates. We did have
- 13:20Speaker 1: that in the first quarter, but revenue did go up
- 13:22Speaker 1: sixteen percent in the first three months of the year
- 13:24Speaker 1: to twelve point three billion. That was a slight beat.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Earnings per share about twenty three compared with estimates of
- 13:30Speaker 1: seventy six cents in the current quarter, though the company
- 13:34Speaker 1: forecasting earnings per share of seventy eight cents a share.
- 13:37Speaker 1: That's less than the eighty four cents predicted by Wall
- 13:39Speaker 1: Street analysts. So that is the backdrop for those earnings.
- 13:43Speaker 1: We're headed off to the analyst and investor call in
- 13:46Speaker 1: a little while, Eric, what do you want to listen
- 13:48Speaker 1: out for? What would you want to be asking on
- 13:50Speaker 1: that call? You are an investor in the name, what
- 13:53Speaker 1: would you be asking of the co CEOs and their
- 13:56Speaker 1: C suite team.
- 13:58Speaker 4: Well, I think and they're I mean, they're obviously not
- 14:02Speaker 4: going to give you a ton of clarity or granularity
- 14:06Speaker 4: on sports because they don't want to tip their hand.
- 14:08Speaker 4: But it's clear that sports has been a very big
- 14:10Speaker 4: win for them. So I expect them to talk more
- 14:14Speaker 4: about double downing on those kinds of differentiated opportunities and
- 14:20Speaker 4: just you know, trying to be as mindful about their
- 14:24Speaker 4: spend and the quality of the spend. Is really what
- 14:27Speaker 4: I would ask is you know, let's face it, for
- 14:29Speaker 4: a while there they were in fill the library up
- 14:31Speaker 4: mode and people kind of critiqued some of the quality
- 14:35Speaker 4: content that they created. Now they have the ability, they
- 14:38Speaker 4: have a large library. Now they have the ability to
- 14:41Speaker 4: really focus on quality content, which certainly drives a lot
- 14:46Speaker 4: more viewership and engagement. So again, I at twenty seven
- 14:50Speaker 4: bucks a month, there are very few other services that
- 14:54Speaker 4: give people more delight and more entertainment, and so there's
- 14:57Speaker 4: just and the business is so predictable and can system
- 15:00Speaker 4: if you you know, in the last couple of months,
- 15:02Speaker 4: every day the market was down with some of the
- 15:04Speaker 4: Iran headlines. Netflix and Spotify were usually up on the
- 15:07Speaker 4: day because of the stability of the business model. So
- 15:11Speaker 4: it isn't just the growth that we are making it
- 15:14Speaker 4: such a big waiting. It's the stability of the model
- 15:17Speaker 4: that that is important too. You know, you're just going
- 15:20Speaker 4: to have some of this volatility on the earnings.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Yeah, But what's interesting is we're in an environment. When
- 15:25Speaker 1: I think about the model. YouTube dominant global video program
- 15:30Speaker 1: roughly two points seventy four billion monthly active users as
- 15:34Speaker 1: of early twenty twenty six, leading US TV streaming with
- 15:38Speaker 1: over twelve percent of TV viewing time, driven heavily by
- 15:41Speaker 1: users over fifty dale. Viewership can include seventy billion shorts views,
- 15:47Speaker 1: top creators. You know, we can get into that, but
- 15:49Speaker 1: this is from Nielsen. But people are watching YouTube, and
- 15:52Speaker 1: I realize it's an older or skewed older, but I
- 15:55Speaker 1: just wonder, you know, do the streaming models do they
- 15:58Speaker 1: have it right? And to be fair, they have a
- 16:00Speaker 1: lot of people watching. I watch them, but I just wonder, like,
- 16:04Speaker 1: what is the model of how people There's so much
- 16:06Speaker 1: coming at individuals. They have a lot of choices out
- 16:10Speaker 1: there or they could just you know, turn off their laptop,
- 16:14Speaker 1: turn off their TV or whatever, and put down their phone.
- 16:17Speaker 4: Well, I think, you know, we have this short termism
- 16:22Speaker 4: in a variety of our lives, this dopamine hit. And
- 16:25Speaker 4: you know, YouTube does provide that short term you know,
- 16:29Speaker 4: I just want a four minute clip, and so it
- 16:32Speaker 4: wouldn't surprise me if if YouTube started or Netflix started
- 16:36Speaker 4: to kind of experiment with some of those you know,
- 16:41Speaker 4: short type of content as well.
- 16:44Speaker 1: Yeah, isn't that fun?
- 16:45Speaker 2: That's so wild?
- 16:46Speaker 1: But you just think about, right, because you click on
- 16:49Speaker 1: those short videos. I mean, listen, I have someone at
- 16:51Speaker 1: home that's really into it. And yeah he's above fifty,
- 16:54Speaker 1: but I mean, like the amount of stuff in velocity.
- 16:58Speaker 2: He will go through, you know, like the Instagram YouTube
- 17:02Speaker 2: TikTok Snap, those short forms are everywhere.
- 17:04Speaker 1: Yeah, right, but what do you but he's not on that.
- 17:07Speaker 1: But I just think about those short things and you
- 17:08Speaker 1: can have ads if you want.
- 17:10Speaker 2: Like the YouTube copied YouTube now is YouTube shorts and
- 17:13Speaker 2: they copied the you know, I think Snap, it's fair
- 17:15Speaker 2: to say, kind of pioneered this and then Instagram copied it.
- 17:18Speaker 2: It's all over Facebook now LinkedIn has this all?
- 17:21Speaker 1: I know, Yeah, it's everywhere. I know, I know, I
- 17:23Speaker 1: just think about, you know, how much YouTube is on
- 17:25Speaker 1: in our household. It's pretty remarkable, you know. So all right, yeah,
- 17:32Speaker 1: you're not worried, but you're not necessarily buying more here.
- 17:35Speaker 4: No, if we were at two or three percent weight,
- 17:38Speaker 4: then I would absolutely be buying. But we have a
- 17:40Speaker 4: full We have a full weight now, and if it
- 17:42Speaker 4: pulled back a little bit further again, we love to
- 17:44Speaker 4: trade around names. If we can get the opportunity, I'd
- 17:48Speaker 4: certainly consider that as an opportunity. But I don't see
- 17:51Speaker 4: us changing the core weight at five percent or so
- 17:54Speaker 4: anytime soon, particularly with the assumptions that we feel pretty
- 17:58Speaker 4: good about by twenty thirty two, with being you know,
- 18:02Speaker 4: kind of joining the trillion dollar club, because that is
- 18:04Speaker 4: a big part of what we're doing at Logo, trying
- 18:06Speaker 4: to find the names who are the next firms to
- 18:09Speaker 4: join the trillion dollar club, and that you know, there's
- 18:12Speaker 4: a few on our list that look pretty attractive.
- 18:14Speaker 2: I want to go back to the AI question. We
- 18:16Speaker 2: touched on this with keitha a little bit as well.
- 18:20Speaker 2: The ben Affleck Company are interpositive that Netflix announced it
- 18:25Speaker 2: was buying back in March. Is Netflix doing the right thing?
- 18:29Speaker 2: With AI, I.
- 18:31Speaker 4: Think they are. I mean, you know, AI is still
- 18:34Speaker 4: I think an unknown to most of the world, so
- 18:38Speaker 4: you never I think there's a lot of experimentation that
- 18:41Speaker 4: has to occur. And if you are one of the
- 18:44Speaker 4: lucky kind of companies that have a bunch of free
- 18:46Speaker 4: cash that you can experiment with different things to try
- 18:50Speaker 4: to see what resonates and then do a lot more
- 18:53Speaker 4: of it once you have some good data that that
- 18:56Speaker 4: just kind of distances you your firm from all the peers.
- 19:00Speaker 4: So I do think AI is going to continue to
- 19:02Speaker 4: be a part of this to be a part of
- 19:04Speaker 4: this industry. And you know, Netflix is in the cat
- 19:08Speaker 4: bird seat to be able to use their balance sheet
- 19:11Speaker 4: to be able to figure out how to do it.
- 19:13Speaker 4: And you know, we do expect good share buyback activity
- 19:17Speaker 4: with A They can do all the content they need
- 19:20Speaker 4: with twenty billion or less a year, which means that
- 19:22Speaker 4: the more they grow subs, the more they can buy
- 19:25Speaker 4: back shares and reduce the float, and that helps earnings
- 19:27Speaker 4: for share growth. And there's just a lot to like
- 19:30Speaker 4: about the core business and a few things that could
- 19:34Speaker 4: be you know, big optionality around the core.
- 19:37Speaker 1: Eric really appreciated Eric Clark he's Acuves Global Advisor CIO
- 19:40Speaker 1: Logo ETF Portfolio Manager, joining us once again from San Diego.
- 19:44Speaker 1: As we've mentioned, Netflix his second biggest holding in that
- 19:48Speaker 1: Logo ETF