Latest / The Innovation Show / Who Killed Nokia? How Fear and Emotion Derail Strategy, Innovation, and Truth-Telling.
Transcript
- 0:00Before we start, I want to thank our sponsor Kyndryl, who runs
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- 0:23Today's guests have spent years trying to understand one of the most
- 0:26dramatic collapses in modern business.
- 0:29Nokia's fall from world Leader to also ran in the space of just a few years.
- 0:34Their research goes deep inside the organization at the very moment the
- 0:38smartphone era arrived, and what they found is not a lack of intelligence
- 0:43nor talent, nor even strategy.
- 0:46It was emotion.
- 0:48Top leaders were gripped by fear of apple, Google, and the judgment of shareholders.
- 0:53Middle managers were gripped by fear of something else entirely.
- 0:57The reactions of their bosses and colleagues.
- 1:00That mix of fears distorted what people saw.
- 1:03What they did and what they dared to share.
- 1:07Critical warnings were softened or never spoken.
- 1:10Optimism trumped honesty.
- 1:12The snow was melting at the edges, but the center never felt the heat.
- 1:17The result was a company that could not integrate the information it actually had,
- 1:22could not face the scale of the threat it faced and drifted into short-term fixes
- 1:27while long-term innovation slipped away.
- 1:29It is a remarkable story because it shows how organizations don't
- 1:33just lose to competitors, but sometimes lose to themselves.
- 1:37As they wrote.
- 1:38Who killed Nokia?
- 1:40Well, Nokia did.
- 1:41Today we're joined by the scholars who uncovered this
- 1:43emotional anatomy of decline.
- 1:46Their work helps us understand not only Nokia, but any organization
- 1:51where fear shapes what gets said, what gets heard, and what gets ignored.
- 1:56It's a pleasure to welcome the authors of a 2016 paper called
- 2:00Distributed Attention and Shared Emotions in the Innovation Process,
- 2:04how Nokia lost the Smartphone Battle.
- 2:07Chaired professor of strategy at insead.
- 2:09Quy Huy, welcome to the show
- 2:11Thank you, Aidan, it's pleasure to be on the show
- 2:15and Professor of Strategic Management at Alto University
- 2:19Timo Vuori, welcome to the show.
- 2:21Thanks Aidan great to be here.
- 2:23As an overview of what's to come In part one, we're gonna cover how this
- 2:28thing emotions affects strategy and decision making inside organizations.
- 2:33And in part two, we'll cover the rise and fall of the Telco King Nokia,
- 2:38and then finally in part three, we'll cover Nokia's Phoenician rise from the
- 2:42ashes, which so few people realize.
- 2:45It's a remarkable story.
- 2:47Let's get stuck in.
- 2:48But first, let's understand this idea of emotions and how it impacts
- 2:53strategy in the first place.
- 2:55I found that in private interviews, CEOs are very emotional, but they
- 3:00have to hide it and to show very calm unemotional postures or even
- 3:07passionate when they had to deal with the public of this old employees.
- 3:11So I discovered this, double life so, to speak.
- 3:15But what surprised me is when I interviewed the middle managers,
- 3:19they experienced the same thing.
- 3:21So everybody is, hiding emotions from everybody else and using a
- 3:25facade of technology, finance talk to people as if that's the only thing.
- 3:32And in the end, people were sabotaging each other, so the story which I did in my
- 3:37thesis is not very different thesis that we report to Nokia is almost very common.
- 3:44it's so common that it's puzzling.
- 3:47And even today, when I teach that to, hundreds of executives in
- 3:50the last 15 years, they all told me that they're facing the same
- 3:53thing, which even more surprising.
- 3:55So I think that's how we discover that emotions do matter.
- 3:59Not for your love life or your family, it does matter for strategic performance.
- 4:05And that's what I and Timo started this, project into researching more to
- 4:09discover how and why this could happen.
- 4:12why we very often take actions that are harmful or suboptimal for us, even when
- 4:19we have access to the best information.
- 4:23And in the Nokia case, when I spoke with the CEO, he was saying how
- 4:31people told him things that he wanted to hear and he wanted to believe
- 4:37in those things that they told him.
- 4:40So they ended up making decisions that in retrospect were like very wrong decisions.
- 4:48And on the other hand, people told him things that he wanted to hear
- 4:52because the middle managers, they fear that if I tell him that his idea that
- 4:57will not work, he's gonna punish me.
- 5:00So they created these gaps in information flow and thinking, and
- 5:07this is how I think emotions often come really central to decision making.
- 5:13'cause they make us really like some options and they make us really
- 5:18pay attention to some information and hide other information.
- 5:22What I found so interesting was where in the interviews, and we'll share
- 5:26some of the outputs of those interviews that you did was how the way people
- 5:30reported, how they saw things from where they sat inside the company and Quy.
- 5:35We mentioned before we came on Air, Joe Bower, who's a hero of the
- 5:39show, has been on the show and on his episode he mentioned this thing
- 5:43called Miles' Law, which is where you stand, depends on where you sit.
- 5:47So your perspective of where you are in the company, flavors your
- 5:51decision making, how you see things, your perception of the world.
- 5:54But also what I learned from your paper is, so does your emotions
- 5:57that are, that come from that.
- 6:00So the decision making, the communication channels, et cetera, have a dramatic
- 6:04effect on how you show up and the, and where you put your attention.
- 6:08So I've a little quote here, you said though the generation of structural
- 6:12channels to enable interaction between groups such as top and middle
- 6:16managers might foster comprehensive information sharing between them.
- 6:20The mere existence of such channels may not be sufficient, as people may
- 6:24still avoid bringing up sensitive issues or refuse to listen to others
- 6:29during their interaction episodes.
- 6:31That echoes what Timo just said because you said several case studies have
- 6:37described the challenges of companies using various structural arrangements and
- 6:41have alluded to the persistence of poor mutual understanding, between top and
- 6:46middle managers in the innovation process.
- 6:48One of the really interesting ones was you mentioned President Obama who said,
- 6:53I would not have launched healthcare.gov if I had known it wasn't going to work.
- 6:58While many managers in his own team seemed to have been long aware that
- 7:02the platform had massive problems.
- 7:05And that just shows you that when I read your work, I was like
- 7:09going, this is still everywhere.
- 7:11This problem that the leadership team that goes, we're all over this.
- 7:15Maybe they're reporting to the board or shareholders, we're all over this
- 7:19Nokia, CEO did, and meanwhile down in the trenches, nothing's been done or
- 7:24it's being done poorly, or people are doing other things because they're
- 7:28being told that by their managers.
- 7:30I'd love you to build on that because that seems to me the crux of so
- 7:34many problems in so many companies, in many relationships, even.
- 7:39I would start with the huge contribution by Joe Bower which I respect a lot
- 7:43as my senior colleague at Harvard.
- 7:45And it's true that what is where you sit and what you pay attention to.
- 7:52So that's the first step.
- 7:54But however, our research point to a second, more addition to that nuance is
- 8:00that depending on what may not be reported truthfully to other people who could have
- 8:07benefited from that what you have seen.
- 8:10Okay?
- 8:11Because of many assumptions.
- 8:12That every information that you'll be sharing, you make assumptions
- 8:15that it may not be appreciated.
- 8:17Because you make assumptions that it will be going against the expectations,
- 8:22aspirations of the higher up of they have more powerful people.
- 8:25It makes it create discomfort among these people.
- 8:29So how you feel about sharing to the right people is a huge
- 8:34challenge in organizations.
- 8:36as a middle manager, you often only see what the supervisor is
- 8:41asking and what colleagues in another department are doing.
- 8:44But you don't see, for instance, customer preferences or what competitors
- 8:51are doing in other companies.
- 8:53So for you, the emotions are just related to surviving the company
- 8:58internal political game and getting ahead in that and satisfying your
- 9:03boss in the middle management.
- 9:05While in top management, you often could see the board press or.
- 9:11Competitors strategies.
- 9:13So you feel very different emotions and feel very different threats.
- 9:18And then because you feel these emotions, you also make those assumptions about what
- 9:24others wanna hear or what you should do.
- 9:26And that creates these mismatches in communication.
- 9:31It's a big one because what, you're saying there as well is say, for example,
- 9:36the show, so mostly when I get sent a book, for example, and I mostly cover
- 9:41books on the show, you also get sent a list of questions to ask the author.
- 9:45And I always think about that's the cheat sheet.
- 9:48And I would go how does, this person know What I think is interesting
- 9:52to me because, and I when you read more and you've read the work of
- 9:57Joe Bower, you've studied that work.
- 9:59It makes every time you do that.
- 10:01It's like a new lens.
- 10:02And I literally see your work differently.
- 10:04'cause I see it through all the lenses of everything I've read before.
- 10:07So their decisions on the questions I should ask are totally different from the
- 10:10questions I do ask at the end of the day.
- 10:13And what was interesting about reading your paper was then, then
- 10:16there's the emotional thing as well because I do understand from being
- 10:20an executive in an organization, the emotions of the challenges of you're
- 10:25constantly bumping into resistance.
- 10:28And I look for little quotes and stories that reflect my
- 10:31own experience of that as well.
- 10:34So it, it really made sense to me and I thought about how, since Frederick
- 10:39Winslow Taylor days, we have broadly considered organizations as machines
- 10:44and the people working in organizations as cogs in the machine, and as a
- 10:48result, work in general is mechanistic.
- 10:51And you were saying this Quy and Timo when you worked as engineers,
- 10:55that's what you were valued for.
- 10:58But you tell us, while some scholars pointed to the importance of the
- 11:01humanistic approach, there lacks a deeper and more holistic understanding of the
- 11:06innovation process, including emotions and hence your investigation into how
- 11:11both emotional reactions and what's called bounded rationality influence
- 11:16the innovation process and its outcomes.
- 11:18I thought that was important to just spell out this idea, the joint into
- 11:23investigation, first of all, into Nokia, but these two things, the emotional
- 11:28reactions and bounded rationality.
- 11:31And I like the comparison to the assembly line and emotional dynamics,
- 11:38in that era, the work descriptions were very strict, so people were unwell and
- 11:44suffering at work, but because their tasks had been mechanically prescribed that
- 11:52didn't harm the performance that much.
- 11:55But I think now in the innovation process where you need to be creative
- 12:00and communicate and you always have some autonomy and expertise, so what you're
- 12:06paid for, the emotions have much more room for influencing what engineers and
- 12:13managers and innovators end up doing.
- 12:17that's why as a leader, when you design the organization and its structures,
- 12:23it would be very useful to think about first and foremost, which kind of
- 12:28emotions and drive and motivation will this process create because That's what
- 12:35drives the people to innovate or not.
- 12:38And if I could elaborate on that, I think most managers and leaders are
- 12:45implicitly aware of the importance of emotions because because after all,
- 12:51we were born with emotions as babies.
- 12:55But over time, people learn to to mask this language.
- 13:01Under a more let's say politically correct language or more socially acceptable
- 13:06language, as identity or culture or leadership or engagement or motivation.
- 13:14The the real substrate the real DNA of all these words.
- 13:19A huge dimension emotion, people do not want to mention this word because it's
- 13:25not politically acceptable, and In our language, in the business language,
- 13:31especially in the business language.
- 13:33I have have heard one of the top chairman of the board of a big bank
- 13:39who told, me because he knew about my my research focus, and he told me
- 13:45a few years ago that professor Quy, whoever on the board mentioned word
- 13:51emotion will be fired immediately.
- 13:55We do not tolerate emotion as a, topic, legitimate topic discussion on the board.
- 14:01We have more important things to worry about.
- 14:04Right?
- 14:05So that, single statement captures a lot of the mindset behind it.
- 14:09So people use the word culture?
- 14:11Identity, soft stuff all of this one, engagement as a cognitive, they're very
- 14:16cognitive terms, know, but they are but they are logical and professional terms,
- 14:21There's a great line actually Quy, that you write in the paper, and I
- 14:25just thought I'd share it firstly for.
- 14:27So many people who are listeners to the show work in, as entrepreneurs say, trying
- 14:31to drive change with inside organizations or like many of those Nokia engineers,
- 14:35many of the people working there that they were trying to do what they
- 14:38thought was best for the organization, but they constantly met resistance.
- 14:42And that's because everybody has their competing literally agendas or where their
- 14:47emotions are directing their attention.
- 14:50And you wrote that innovators are trying to create things that do not
- 14:53yet exist by leveraging technological components of uncertain market potential.
- 14:59Because of this perspective orientation, future oriented emotions such as hope and
- 15:04fear are particularly likely to arise.
- 15:07Another reason that we might expect fear to be central to innovation
- 15:11is that other past oriented.
- 15:13Negative emotions that people may feel dVuoring the innovation process, such
- 15:17as shame or envy can turn into fear.
- 15:20I thought that was so important to realize because so many people who work
- 15:25in innovation feel it's personal that people are attacking them, but it's
- 15:30based on the emotions that are driving that, that behavior for the person.
- 15:35Yeah.
- 15:35And if you allow me you can, put all those emotions in the
- 15:41current context of ai, right?
- 15:44All the AI about hope and fear and hype and, envy that AI will
- 15:50replace us as a profession.
- 15:54Envy, shame, guilt are all present, right?
- 15:58And all those emotions again facing technical ai and I think that's
- 16:04I part explains, I think, I'm not saying it's everything, but
- 16:08explains in part why the adoption organizations of AI has been so poor.
- 16:13Not I said that.
- 16:14There's a recent research that says that 70% of AI initiatives have generated
- 16:20zero profit, zero, zero profit.
- 16:23And the people have invested money, right?
- 16:26And people say, oh it's the usual resistance to change, so I think
- 16:31we are, I think we are back to the same thing as Nokia with the
- 16:36smartphone and but maybe at the bigger
- 16:39scale.
- 16:39But that's the point.
- 16:41Mark Twain quote, history doesn't repeat, but it often does rhyme.
- 16:44And I think like it's one of the reasons why I think this paper should be
- 16:50certainly resurfaced, if not made very popular in the first place because it
- 16:55has so many e echoes of the past and the future, which is even more important.
- 17:01Timo, were you gonna come in there?
- 17:02Yeah, I think I agree on the AI point that Nokia really faced a huge
- 17:08disruption with digital platforms, and now the same is happening in
- 17:13pretty much every company with ai.
- 17:15And am again, teaching the Nokia case almost every week in different companies,
- 17:23and one of the most important insights.
- 17:27For people is that it, really is a structural technological thing
- 17:33that generates these emotions.
- 17:35So when an individual manager or engineer sees that, hey, it's because of the
- 17:42hierarchical structure of the firm that I pay attention to this elements and
- 17:47then the of at the industry level, why it feels so threatening that I feel
- 17:53these emotions that make me behave in a potential it's optimal way.
- 17:59When they realize that it's not personal, it's not problem in me, but
- 18:04it's a kind of patterned phenomenon.
- 18:06They often are able to talk about it.
- 18:09So actually I've seen now many cases where by discussing the Nokia case
- 18:15and then asking people reflect on their own emotions and situation.
- 18:20This open discussion and modify the emotions.
- 18:25As you were both describing this, I was thinking of the old diffusion of
- 18:29Innovations curve by Everett Rogers, and I was thinking actually you could easily map
- 18:34emotions to that curve to the different type of emotional state of the person.
- 18:39But not that they're fixed.
- 18:40I think that is probably important as well, that you can be, you
- 18:44can show a different emotion in different aspects of your life.
- 18:47So you could be a different person in work than you are in
- 18:49your private life, et cetera.
- 18:51And it also depends on the experiences you have, and I think that's what
- 18:53you're getting at here with the past oriented negative emotions.
- 18:58Say for example, one of the things I read, which maps to what your
- 19:03writing is about is if you experienced your parents losing their job.
- 19:08For example, in 2008, 2009 as a younger child, you're gonna be more
- 19:13risk averse in the jobs that you pick.
- 19:16So you're gonna look for a safer option in the future, and I thought
- 19:19that was important to call out that say for example, you tried an
- 19:23innovation or you tried a project, it didn't work out as you'd planned.
- 19:27The company black marked you in some way, or you felt shame or as
- 19:33you said, or envious of somebody else who succeeded with an idea
- 19:36that you know you should have done.
- 19:39Those things have a dramatic effect then on your decision making and
- 19:42how you show up in an organization.
- 19:44E. Exactly.
- 19:45And then and then if it can build on your point, Aidan, and then
- 19:49emotions, they are, will feel it?
- 19:52But because of social pressures, it's not cool to talk about.
- 19:57It's not, you cannot go.
- 19:58It's you said you just keep it to yourself like a very cool person.
- 20:04It in your side, you, and you never have time to really process it
- 20:08because it's not cool to process it.
- 20:10And you can distract yourself.
- 20:12All the jobs, all the busy life life goes on.
- 20:15But those emotions still stay with you.
- 20:18And they will wake up at the moment where you don't like them to wake up.
- 20:23And then and then you have to fight with your, call, your own shadow
- 20:27of the past, you know, which we all experience it in the sense the
- 20:32The Carl Jung shadow of the organization.
- 20:35But there, there was another interesting one you, talked
- 20:38about, which was your status.
- 20:40So again, I'm asking our audience here, think about yourself.
- 20:44If you working on an organization, the guy's write here, people's status also
- 20:48influences the emotions they experience.
- 20:51In particular, low status people may have a hardwired, evolutionary
- 20:56based fear of high status people because in the past, individuals with
- 21:00higher status would have controlled resources, critical for survival.
- 21:04And I thought their Quy of Joe Bower's resource allocation process that,
- 21:09that's where this shows up is because higher status people can make decisions
- 21:13'cause they have actually resources to, to allocate in the first place.
- 21:18Yes I think your point is very relevant and I like to connect it
- 21:22to a very common phenomena that affects the most senior leaders.
- 21:28And, I call this the trap of power.
- 21:31The trap of power that links to to, resources.
- 21:34And so how this define power is that power is somebody who has resources
- 21:39that other people wish to have either status, money fame, whatever you call it.
- 21:46Something that you wish to have, but the other person can give it to you.
- 21:50that's what the other person has power.
- 21:52Now.
- 21:53So how does it link to emotions usually, when you do a major change?
- 21:58The high status people, meaning the higher up, are very good, at paying
- 22:03attention to the emotions of people who have more resources than they are.
- 22:07Meaning higher power, right?
- 22:09Meaning that the CEO would pay attention to the prime minister,
- 22:12to the minister to to the key board members, to key investors.
- 22:17Because they have power, they have resources, right?
- 22:20So, so they're very emotionally intelligent.
- 22:24Now super emotional, intelligent in behaving, in dealing with
- 22:28those higher power people because they can give them resources.
- 22:31But But the same CEO can be very dismissive and autocratic and maybe
- 22:37brutal inhuman with people who are lower than they are because they
- 22:42believe that they have less status and therefore less power and less resources.
- 22:45Why should I pay attention to the emotions of people who have who
- 22:49have who are, weaker than I am?
- 22:52So that's what I say emotional intelligence is not an issue.
- 22:55It it's issue of when a person decides to pay attention to emotions or the
- 23:00people to achieve a certain goals or not.
- 23:03I call that the trap of power but that is a, again, it could be a false assumption
- 23:09because most of leaders who implement change do not pay much attention to the
- 23:14emotional people who are below them.
- 23:16And usually they got the surprise, unpleasant surprise.
- 23:19They thought they were not important, but in the end were
- 23:22more important than they thought.
- 23:24On the other hand, great leadership examples are of leaders who
- 23:29really inspired their followers.
- 23:32So even if emotions on average are not maybe appreciated that much among
- 23:39current leaders there are these positive exceptions who really inspire and
- 23:45use the emotional intelligence to, to trigger those emotions that drive action.
- 23:51And I always say that emotional skills it's not about making people feel
- 24:00good, but , you use emotional skills to really drive action and innovation.
- 24:05So you want to generate benefits or instrument emotions among the
- 24:10organization members, and that's just as hard or even manipulative as
- 24:16any other kind of incentive scheme.
- 24:19When I was reading your work serendipitously, I was doing a
- 24:23workshop for a senior leadership team on vision, mission, purpose,
- 24:28and when I read about this I was like on, because there's a key line here.
- 24:31You write just as group members may share similar mental models, they
- 24:35may also share similar emotions.
- 24:38And I went, actually what part of the whole idea of creating
- 24:42a vision, mission, purpose.
- 24:44Mission statement for a team is also that evokes an emotion and
- 24:49that they share that emotion.
- 24:50So it's like a brand, when you look at a brand that brand might evoke a
- 24:55certain way you feel or a story in your head about the brand and you don't
- 24:58even think about it because that's good marketing or good advertising.
- 25:02But this was really important that's what you're trying to
- 25:06actually ultimately get in a team.
- 25:07But as an organization gets bigger, like Nokia did, different product
- 25:12units or different middle managers versus top managers all have different
- 25:16emotions, depending again on that Miles' Law, depending on where they sit.
- 25:20And it's important that often leaders know that they need to generate inspiring
- 25:25emotions and they need to generate mission and vision and manage the culture,
- 25:31they, where they fail is that they don't recognize also the formal processes
- 25:37and product decisions and resource allocations decisions and communications
- 25:42channels generate emotions, and often it's the unintended side effects of
- 25:48their other decisions that generate harmful emotions while they at the same
- 25:53time try to inspire people with vision and mission and in, and I think where
- 26:00our first paper about attention based view, the key insight really is that
- 26:05you can think about the whole structure as a mechanism that generates emotions.
- 26:12And when you understand that can optimize the structure to generate
- 26:18beneficial emotions, but then as a leader, you cannot delegate emotion
- 26:24management to HR in some other building.
- 26:27But you have to think about it yourself when you think about the
- 26:31full heart substance of the strategy.
- 26:33I like I to elaborate on Timo's important point and there's a English statement that
- 26:40says, actions speak louder than words.
- 26:44And then that means that it's not about you making nice speeches about passion,
- 26:48vision, and how inspiring we should be, or how aspirational we should be, that
- 26:53people will really believe in it because there's too many good speakers these days.
- 26:59And then people would like to really and another, the, this statement say, put
- 27:03your money where your mouth is, right.
- 27:05Meaning, you know that it is in the real actions where actions
- 27:09really cost you something,
- 27:10Such as putting money in research development when the company cannot
- 27:14afford it or could barely afford it.
- 27:16But you can still believe that in,
- 27:18for the least 400, you should keep the percentage r and d high
- 27:24despite, let's say maybe less profit margin those first words, people
- 27:29said what's emotional about it?
- 27:31But in fact, it's very emotional, right?
- 27:34Because people said you are really making a sacrifice.
- 27:36So w hen push come to shove, when the sacrifice be made you make decision
- 27:41that is painful to you because you'll be losing your, maybe your, bonus.
- 27:46No, because you will not get your profit.
- 27:49But I said I'm doing that because I believe in it for the long term.
- 27:52I would think like 65% of my budget r and d, even though we could only offer 1%.
- 27:57So I think those type actions, which looks on the surface, very left brain,
- 28:03rational, in fact has a huge, collective emotional impact people appreciate that.
- 28:08And then that's an example that the language, that the structure attention,
- 28:12what you pay attention to or put your money where your mouth is, right.
- 28:15The hard decisions and then also kind of concrete practices.
- 28:21One thing that didn't make it to the publication, but what many of the
- 28:25Nokia middle managers told was that they weren't allowed to use iPhones
- 28:31when they were working at Nokia, where it was strongly discouraged and the r
- 28:35and d was in Finland mainly, but you couldn't use an iPhone in Finland in
- 28:40the first years, so they didn't have concrete experience of using the iPhone,
- 28:45and they were under the IUs on that.
- 28:48Nokia phones are just as good as the iPhone the store goes to that Samsung,
- 28:53the 100 most important managers were forced to use the iPhone so that
- 28:59they would really learn and feel it.
- 29:02I've taken this also as a kind of my standard advice in emotion management
- 29:07that make your employees or the whole organization use the competitors'
- 29:12products daily so that they constantly feel the kind of pressure and wanna
- 29:18innovate better in say, in a food company that I worked with, they had
- 29:24in their headquarters cafeteria, they were serving only their own products.
- 29:29of course the employees were saying, we have make the best food.
- 29:33But then I wanted them to, no, you should start serving the
- 29:36competitors like the products.
- 29:39And then they immediately started understanding that, hey, we
- 29:42need to constantly innovate better to up and go further.
- 29:46But no one had to say anything about emotion or give any speech as you
- 29:52just change the practices to create.
- 29:55Structure that channels attention to the information that creates
- 30:00the most optimal emotion.
- 30:02And from emotional perspective, I guess we all know, you know what
- 30:07are the underpinning emotions.
- 30:09In that sense fear?
- 30:11And envy be very constructive in that, in, in that just example that you just
- 30:17Fear of your competitors superiority or advance progress and envy
- 30:22that they would do so well,
- 30:24yeah
- 30:24Those negative emotions.
- 30:26We, we don't want to talk about negative emotions, but negative
- 30:28emotions managed and channeled can become forced for good, quote unquote.
- 30:34indeed.
- 30:35And like we say in the paper actually in Nokia, the problem wasn't fear per
- 30:40se, but rather that the fear that was generated by Apple was channeled the
- 30:49top managers to the middle managers and the middle managers ended up fearing
- 30:54the top management rather than Apple.
- 30:57So that's why for middle managers it was okay that I will lie to
- 31:01the top manager, then I'm fine.
- 31:03But of course then they lost to Apple cos they didn't address the true cause.
- 31:08Yeah.
- 31:09And to elaborate on this point, and maybe the point, it may be
- 31:12clear, but sometimes it's subtle.
- 31:14The paper is that it's not fear itself.
- 31:16That is bad, right?
- 31:18It is because fear can be good under certain circumstances,
- 31:22as we just discussed.
- 31:23In the case of Nokia, it was the misaligned fear was the root cause
- 31:29because top managers were fearful of the target with the iPhone and apple.
- 31:34While middle managers are not afraid of the iPhone apple, but are
- 31:38afraid of the top managers, this is the misaligned target of fear.
- 31:42That is the root cause of this whole, this, the whole catastrophe, not fear
- 31:46itself, that is a very subtle point, but I think it's a very important
- 31:49point.
- 31:49Timo, what you said reminded me of that saying that you have
- 31:52to eat your own cooking, but don't only eat your own cooking.
- 31:56You eat other people's cooking and don't, drink your own Kool-Aid.
- 31:59Only drink other people's Kool-Aid.
- 32:01But
- 32:02Exactly.
- 32:03a saying by Jack Welsh, and I know people have mixed feelings about Jack Welsh as
- 32:07a leader, but he said, if the rate of change on the outside exceeds the rate
- 32:11of change on the inside, the end is near.
- 32:13And that quote constantly came to mind because I worked in a very
- 32:17archaic organization for a while, and I saw this where the speed
- 32:23of change was internally focused.
- 32:26By most people.
- 32:27And then you had some people who had an eye on the outside world
- 32:30and were going uh-oh, We're like, we are way off the pace here.
- 32:34And when they shared that back into the internal organization, people
- 32:38didn't want to hear it, but also attacked or resisted that message
- 32:43and made excuses the whole time.
- 32:45And I saw this dynamic play out with this paper when with the different
- 32:49interviews, and again, that Miles' Law where you stood depending on
- 32:54where you sat in the organization.
- 32:56And I thought we'd share a little bit about that because that is
- 32:59a dynamic that is everywhere.
- 33:01So in fact, I want to share with you that we have been still teaching two
- 33:04cohorts of senior executives a year on strategy execution for innovation.
- 33:10even after 15 years, I still use the Nokia teach and the
- 33:13people could fully relate to it.
- 33:16They said people always said that Professor Quy what was of Nokia was
- 33:21exactly as our company is today.
- 33:24And the same admission was done widely from Chinese executives to European
- 33:30executives, to American executives.
- 33:31There's no, so no cultural differences in regard to that issue and and then
- 33:38so, I think it's a very much this is a problem, but this problem is quite
- 33:43classic meaning that it's universal and it's still very much current.
- 33:48Yeah, it's a huge challenge.
- 33:50And you allow for a kind of analogy, when you read about the Russian invasion of
- 33:58Ukraine, one of the reasons behind seems to be that no one has dared to tell the
- 34:06President Putin about kind of Russian military limitations in the beginning.
- 34:13at least it can be interpret he had a similar illusion of
- 34:18capability and greatness as Nokia leaders had to towards Apple.
- 34:24and the story said it, it's.
- 34:26In many companies that we speak that you have the same thing.
- 34:31And I think that's why psychological safety has become
- 34:35such an important concept.
- 34:36'cause people recognize this constant hindrances in informational flow.
- 34:44But where our paper differs is indeed this structural element that the emotions
- 34:50are not just because your leader is not behaving in the right way, but
- 34:55it's also because where you stand makes you see the world in a different way.
- 35:01And what is important for top management that might not be visible to you at all.
- 35:06And he hence you just don't understand why they are upset about something.
- 35:11And I, like to, elaborate on Timo 's point about psychological safety because it
- 35:16has been used now for almost all issues.
- 35:19But the fact that we have not been able to implement psychological safety after
- 35:2440 years of research, says something about it's not that easy to do point number one.
- 35:30And, point number two I said today it may be necessary but not sufficient
- 35:34for the following reasons when I interview VP middle managers across
- 35:40all the countries they said that professor, is not enough for me to feel
- 35:44psychologically safe to say things.
- 35:48What I say I feel very safe, but what I say does not really matter.
- 35:53The CEO and top leadership team already made a decision.
- 35:55So they went through this the ritual exercise says Bob, what do you think?
- 35:59So I say things, okay, say Nice.
- 36:01Okay, check.
- 36:02Okay.
- 36:03So Timo, what do you think?
- 36:04Alright so Timo can express his things.
- 36:06Okay, thank you.
- 36:07Check!
- 36:08Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for sharing your opinion.
- 36:11This is our decision,
- 36:13so people said my point, I can feel safe, but my point does not matter.
- 36:18It doesn't matter at all, so next time I will not go into that kind of ritual
- 36:23exercise because it's a waste of time.
- 36:25so to my point, that you feel safe is necessary, but you have to feel valued.
- 36:31You have to feel valued expressing your opinion.
- 36:34Because more and more people say psychologically safe, you can say
- 36:37anything you want, but it does not matter
- 36:39that, That's what they say.
- 36:41And as a leader then you need to.
- 36:44Like really be open to learn about how the reality really is.
- 36:49here we again come back to partly to emotion that leaders when they generate
- 36:56their vision or decisions, and then they do this mandatory involvement of people.
- 37:01But if they have already fallen in love with their own idea, they can
- 37:05listen to ideas and then ignore them and just keep pushing the And I
- 37:11think, I guess they ignore the ideas when they don't feel threatening.
- 37:16if the idea is some that is truly threatening, like the iPhone against
- 37:21Nokia then it triggers defensive emotional reaction in the leader and
- 37:26they react in a hostile way toward the person who shares the information.
- 37:31Like in our paper, the Nokia top managers told how Verbally abused
- 37:38the McKinsey consultants who first told them about the iPhone threat.
- 37:43So they hired McKinsey to tell them the truth, and then when they told
- 37:49them the truth, they kicked their ass.
- 37:51I can't remember who this, saying was by, it's like, if I want your
- 37:54opinion, I'll give it to you.
- 37:58But there's so much in this where Quy, when you were saying about the
- 38:02psychological safety being a panacea, there's also Timo you said about you,
- 38:08you tell the leader, so you have a forum.
- 38:11Your view is welcome, even if it's not what we want to hear.
- 38:15You share that.
- 38:17And even worse than being aggressively or visibly being reprimanded or seeing a
- 38:24resistance to, my suggestion is when, and I've seen this where a leader will walk
- 38:29outta the room and go, yeah, I thought Timo was very negative in that meeting.
- 38:33Did you think?
- 38:35And starts to label you subtly.
- 38:38And then of course you don't have people who are gonna stand up and go, no, I think
- 38:42he was very right there actually boss.
- 38:45Because they're afraid of the power and then they subtly poison that person and
- 38:50then that person is excluded or ostracized or eventually removed from meetings, finds
- 38:56themselves in a position where they're not doing as much productive work as they
- 39:00used to, and they leave the organization.
- 39:02That's a subtle version of the same thing that's probably very common.
- 39:07Yeah.
- 39:07This is very common because when I talk to senior executives there is a belief
- 39:13that they compare a strategy, execution, innovation as a war game that you are in
- 39:20war at war everybody has to be united.
- 39:24You cannot express any doubt so people who express any doubt is perceived as
- 39:29being somewhat uncommitted or disloyal.
- 39:34Yeah.
- 39:35Okay.
- 39:35I tell you, we need a very strong team and we have to we have to
- 39:39push through it no matter what.
- 39:41And and that has been more and more of the mindset to these days because of
- 39:45so much uncertainty and so much doubt.
- 39:48So dissent is not appreciated.
- 39:50And it's what Nokia CEO said, even in the paper, that when he himself doubted
- 39:57the Nokia strategy, he couldn't say that aloud and he compared himself to
- 40:03a general going into a battle that you cannot say that we have lost this battle.
- 40:07You just cheer your troops forward and hope for the best.
- 40:11But yeah, there is this kind of, when you're in a battle,
- 40:15you need to focus on winning.
- 40:18I guess in some situations you need this unified action, but in business often.
- 40:26It's not so urgent that you wouldn't have time for a brief reflection.
- 40:32So I think this false sense of urgency that we must all act all
- 40:36the time in a United Way prevents many organizations actually to fine
- 40:42tune the strategy implementation to its optimal level and this way
- 40:48of undermining the critical voices.
- 40:52In the paper, Nokia had that as well.
- 40:55One initiative was called Cancer that is spreading inside Nokia.
- 40:59And one software manager, vice president, was labeled as a lunatic
- 41:05and when they challenge the management.
- 41:07But what I really think it's that goes to ambition level in the end.
- 41:12So if you have a leader who is highly ambitious in Strategy execution in
- 41:17the sense that they wanna implement the strategy in the best possible way.
- 41:22That kind of leader would probably welcome every suggestion that,
- 41:25Hey, we can make this even better if we take this into account.
- 41:30And, I also elaborate on, now my current research and this has
- 41:35been quite a common phenomenon.
- 41:38In the last few years is that both the top and middle managers was now playing
- 41:45a, what they call a, poker face game.
- 41:48Exactly.
- 41:48The point.
- 41:49Poker face game that you know, that the, top managers is trying to fake
- 41:53conviction, enthusiasm about the strategy that, you know, we, if we work hard,
- 41:57we sacrifice we cut costs we cut costs, we work faster, then we'll succeed.
- 42:02Okay?
- 42:03And middle managers, the vp, the vice president, senior vice president
- 42:07they knew deep down is not possible, they had to play the poker face game,
- 42:12said, yes, boss you are very right.
- 42:14We are all with
- 42:14you.
- 42:16We are very enthusiastic.
- 42:18So this is from emotional perspective a a, bubble emotional faking game.
- 42:23Both are playing extremely well because both the positions both
- 42:27are select very skillful actors.
- 42:31From an emotional perspective.
- 42:32They're very skillful emotional actors, both of them so, they engage, discuss the
- 42:37game to, to try to deceive each other.
- 42:40They're not even sure what the other guys, what kind of cards the other guys have.
- 42:44You see?
- 42:44And in the end, that leads to the Nokia situation.
- 42:47In the Nokia case, it was so extreme that it's a kind of relief to hear that.
- 42:53So when you are in your own firm that hey, this is happening to us as well.
- 42:57And Quy example reminded me of how Olli-Pekka the CEO thought when he was
- 43:03in this panel in 2008, so two years before he was fired, and Google, CEO
- 43:11said something like, in a couple of years time, these displays and he was
- 43:16holding a phone, will add no value, that all the value will be in the cloud.
- 43:20And privately Olli-Pekka was thinking that, Oh shit, like Nokia is doomed.
- 43:26He, the Google strategy will destroy us.
- 43:30because he was in a public panel, he had to maintain the poker face.
- 43:34So he was saying like, something that this is gonna be a great value adding internet
- 43:39economy and we will all drive together.
- 43:42And then the employees had to play along as well.
- 43:46But you could actually see evidence that it was really a poker game for everyone.
- 43:51'cause when McKinsey did the organization health survey among
- 43:56the top and middle management and Nokia, they got the worst result they
- 44:01have ever measured in any company.
- 44:04So it was really the kind of culture and trust in the future of the company,
- 44:10or confidence in the future of the company was super low even though
- 44:14everyone was speaking confidently.
- 44:17what you were talking about there, about the acting putting on this poker face, and
- 44:21I thought about the Greek word persona.
- 44:23So it comes from the Greek word of for a mask, and it was the time
- 44:27where people wore a mask as they were one actor, and then they change
- 44:30masks to change different roles.
- 44:31So that's the origin of persona, but I often think about that for.
- 44:36Say somebody who is neurodivergent maybe autism for example, that they sometimes
- 44:42have to mask and it uses a huge amount of personal energy of life force.
- 44:47And I thought about that, where
- 44:49Yeah.
- 44:49if you're doing that, if you're playing that game, it has a dramatic
- 44:53effect literally on your health.
- 44:54Not just the organizational health as a, metric, but personally, you carry so
- 45:00much weight with that and you cannot be innovative when you're using all your
- 45:03energy just to get through the day.
- 45:05Yeah.
- 45:06And I think you're right about this one Aidan.
- 45:08I think one of the puzzle these days, as you can see in much of the developed
- 45:14work, but also in, in, China and in South Korea today, there's a, is massive
- 45:20number, like up to 30% of people in the age working group who are professionals.
- 45:26I'm talking about low level work professionals, managers between 25 to
- 45:3040 years old who, can no longer work who said they, they cannot get out of
- 45:36bed because they have some kind cannot bring themselves to work because they
- 45:39feel completely de-energized, right?
- 45:43And maybe a, a hypothesis could be very much due to that emotion masking
- 45:47that had been going for so long.
- 45:48And I think the young generation can say, how long can we play this faking game?
- 45:53And what's the point of it?
- 45:54And I think the recent discussions about Toxic positivity's really
- 46:00related to this phenomenon.
- 46:02So what I hate most when teaching about emotions is that managers
- 46:09believe that emotion management is about making everyone feel happy and
- 46:13show happiness and positive emotion.
- 46:15But that's completely wrong.
- 46:18That's like the, and I say it's the kind of positivity in the North
- 46:22Korean style if that's allowed here.
- 46:27so mental health issues, plus also because it's consuming cognitive capacity,
- 46:36you don't have energy for innovation.
- 46:39So it's not only that you get ill over time, but you also can't do your best work
- 46:45Yeah.
- 46:45Because if you feel deep in yourself you, are a fake, you are a fake
- 46:49person, and and he said, what's the point of being a fake person?
- 46:54Why I'm doing this?
- 46:56For money or for career.
- 46:58And then that thing start to lose meaning over time.
- 47:01And maybe that explains in part why there's such a increasing percentage
- 47:06of professional managers, educated highly from universities now who feel
- 47:12de-energized they could not even go to
- 47:14work.
- 47:15I thought when I was reading this about the, conformity studies by Solomon
- 47:19Asch in the 1950s and he studied , the phenomenon of conformity in groups.
- 47:24So what they did was they had a group of 10 people, nine of them were
- 47:28confederates, they were in on the study.. had to look at a set of lines
- 47:33and say, what line does this the size of this line conform to on the left here?
- 47:38And it would be A, B, or C. And people purposely, 'cause they were
- 47:41actors, would choose the wrong line.
- 47:44And they were studying one person in this group.
- 47:46And the person would, in a majority of cases, say a line
- 47:50that they knew was wrong.
- 47:52Like they knew the answer was wrong.
- 47:54And interestingly then they interviewed them afterwards and
- 47:56they go, why did you do that?
- 47:57And they were like I didn't want to be the person who rocked the boat, or I didn't
- 48:02want to be the person who went against the grain, or I just assumed they knew
- 48:07better than me and I just saw it wrong.
- 48:09And I saw that in your paper many times where people knew that the information
- 48:15they were sharing was wrong up the pipe to people, but they did it anyway.
- 48:19And I thought that was an important thing to just call out this, like
- 48:23the many reasons and the many emotions that led to those decisions.
- 48:26So, I would build on on, on that one as well.
- 48:29And sometimes when I teach the case of Nokia to many executives.
- 48:33The conclusion is that what you guys describing is what
- 48:37happens in organization.
- 48:39The only things difference is the outcome is not as extreme.
- 48:43That's not the only difference.
- 48:45That's it but if it's the same.
- 48:49So that's point 1.
- 48:50Point.2 is that the I try to relate that this case is much
- 48:54more generalizable than you think.
- 48:56So I use the case of Boeing 737 max the explosion.
- 49:00Boeing seven has a much more, let's say, from the casualties, much more
- 49:05serious than Nokia and if you read the US Congress report about what happens,
- 49:10Boeing has been knowing exactly the same thing as Nokia for the last 10 years.
- 49:14But nothing was being done until we had to sacrifice a few hundred
- 49:19people finally to get that.
- 49:21So that is a tragic, but it's, but exactly the same kind of emotional mechanism.
- 49:27at play against in, Boeing, if you read the case, right?
- 49:31Same thing with with Samsung explosion of Note part four.
- 49:34You remember at that time some explosion, Note part four did the battery exploded
- 49:39and people, but the airport people say, please do not carry your Note
- 49:42part four on the airplane because you could have, the whole plane can
- 49:47explode and then, so that was something.
- 49:50And if you study why same simple situation as Nokia.
- 49:54Okay?
- 49:55And the last point I have to use just to show that happens in all countries
- 50:00is not because of any kind of special situation was the what they call
- 50:05the German Volkswagen Dieselgate, you remember Dieselgate where German
- 50:09engineers cheated the system, the emission engine and fought for 10 years,
- 50:14put the same cheating system to the us.
- 50:16went to us, discovered that one 10 years later, and they had to pay a
- 50:19huge fine and they had to go to jail.
- 50:22Investigation, similar phenomenon of emotion happening there, fear of
- 50:27pressure then we cheat and not to count the countless fraud in banks
- 50:33pressure to make money and no I'm not going to go into banks because
- 50:37there's so many examples of that.
- 50:39May maybe, what we should finish on is we'll tee people up for the next episode.
- 50:45'cause we said we'd share emotions, then we'll get into the rise and fall.
- 50:48And then the rise again is part three.
- 50:50when you teach these cases, what you're really trying to do is teach
- 50:53these executives and what is maybe one question that you leave them
- 50:58with to try and get them to go.
- 50:59Now over to you.
- 51:01How do you make sure you are not in encouraging this wrong
- 51:06culture or a culture where people don't feel they can speak up?
- 51:10For me , I said that in my teaching.
- 51:12There are two sections.
- 51:14This one session is called Bad news like we Do Today.
- 51:18That know, because some executives have still asking me to challenge
- 51:22me that how much I how much would cost, us if the potential emotion.
- 51:28Can you quantify?
- 51:30you quantify a business case?
- 51:31You know that how much would I lose if I don't pay attention to emotion?
- 51:35So that's the said.
- 51:37The case of Nokia assets only $100 billion.
- 51:40I dunno, it's big enough or small enough for you so it's only 100 billion euros
- 51:46today would be worth 500 million euros.
- 51:47I don't know whether it's good Quantification is enough that's my no,
- 51:52this is my chi maybe cheeky answer,
- 51:54Good.
- 51:55But I said but more seriously, said that's, today is a bad today
- 52:02it's a bad news session and next time I will give you the solution.
- 52:06You can, things can be very different.
- 52:08actually introduced emotions when I did strategic decision
- 52:14making or stretch implementation.
- 52:17I actually show the executives how you can reflect on and recognize
- 52:23emotions in different parts of the decision making process.
- 52:28So we would do like an environmental scanning, what are the major
- 52:32shifts in the environment, how they impact us, and then third
- 52:36question, how does that make me feel?
- 52:39then they start reflecting on them and often they find that super helpful.
- 52:47And when they share them out loud, they are surprised that others have.
- 52:52Same emotions.
- 52:53So it's, I secretly lure them into emotions and then they find it very
- 52:58beneficial then they start using it.
- 53:02I just want to share something that's similar to Timo.
- 53:05I, teach I teach very long session to, to C level on strategy execution so in
- 53:11the sense we got trick them that way.
- 53:14Said, we are going to go in for execution.
- 53:16So they said yes we go to, and we, expect to read about the structure KPI alignment.
- 53:24And we just do that.
- 53:25And then the day two, you talk about emotions and Nokia and we didn't expect
- 53:30that, but in the end we like it but that's not something we expected.
- 53:34It asked a course on strategy execution.
- 53:37We expect strategy, structure, incentives, KPI, all of this project management
- 53:42and I think that's why I was attracted to this work is that I can see that,
- 53:46and it's not what many people think.
- 53:49So when they think about strategy, they don't think about this stuff.
- 53:52But this is almost like the foundation.
- 53:54to build a strategy on top of.
- 53:56You have to have a solid, emotional, and psychologically safe environment for
- 54:01people to be able to perform at their best and be strategic in the first place.
- 54:04Guys, for people who want to reach you, where's the best place to find you?
- 54:08Quy.
- 54:09I think I could be reachable easily on the, INSEAD website so just type
- 54:13in my name INSEAD faculty strategy.
- 54:16And there's a lot of information about me or just Google, me, . Just
- 54:20Google my name INSEAD and there's a lot on written about me and my work.
- 54:25And I will share links also to some of the articles and how I found
- 54:29you in the first place as well.
- 54:30And Timo for people who wanna find you.
- 54:32I'm very active on LinkedIn, so Professor Timo Vuori LinkedIn.
- 54:39I share videos almost weekly.
- 54:41And then I have also my own website, adaptive volcano.com, which
- 54:47comes partly from my last name, which in Finnish means mountain.
- 54:52Professor of strategy at INSEAD Quy Huy, thank you for joining us and Professor of
- 54:57Strategic Management at Aalto University, Timo Vuori Thank, you for joining us.
- 55:02Thanks Aidan, it has been great,
- 55:04Thank you,
- 55:04Aden.
- 55:05It's a
- 55:05pleasure.
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