Latest / SEA of Startups / 🎙EP 20: Singapore did it...again: How the SGX–NASDAQ Dual Listing Bridge Rewrites Southeast Asia’s Exit Game
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_00: Hey, everyone.
- 0:01SPEAKER_00: Welcome back to the Sea of Startups.
- 0:03SPEAKER_00: And I'm Kim.
- 0:04SPEAKER_02: And I am Kevin.
- 0:06SPEAKER_02: What a year it has been.
- 0:08You know that feeling when you're building something and your
- 0:10head's down months.
- 0:12SPEAKER_00: In our context, maybe not years, months.
- 0:14And then you look up and realize the entire landscape all kind
- 0:17of shifted in a way
- 0:19SPEAKER_00: with Lovable and all that.
- 0:20This year,
- 0:21especially,
- 0:21wipe coding is the big thing for me and how AI has moved.
- 0:25SPEAKER_00: And that's where
- 0:26SPEAKER_00: We are right now in Southeast Asia startup ecosystem.
- 0:32SPEAKER_02: We're at a tipping point right now within the startup ecosystem,
- 0:37SPEAKER_02: the transition that AI is bringing.
- 0:40SPEAKER_02: It's been a rough year for the Southeast Asia ecosystem overall.
- 0:46But,
- 0:46you know,
- 0:47it's interesting to just be watching it unfold in real time.
- 0:51SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the seas were rough.
- 0:53SPEAKER_00: South China Sea was rough.
- 0:55SPEAKER_02: Choppy seas.
- 0:56SPEAKER_02: The choppy sea of startup.
- 0:58SPEAKER_00: Yep, too much of chicken chop in some ways.
- 1:01SPEAKER_00: It's called chop chop.
- 1:05So from...
- 1:06Yeah,
- 1:07so we are just doing a small little round out before we break
- 1:12for the holidays.
- 1:13A bit of a full circle moment that connects the dots on some
- 1:16stuff that we've been
- 1:16SPEAKER_00: talking about this year.
- 1:17Yeah,
- 1:18so from our conversations with founders navigating cross-border
- 1:21execution to...
- 1:23Some parts of our conversations of climate tech builders
- 1:25operating in capital
- 1:26intensive environments to that persistent question of every
- 1:29late stage founder that
- 1:31SPEAKER_00: asked,
- 1:32SPEAKER_00: where do we actually exit?
- 1:34SPEAKER_02: One of the things,
- 1:35so there's been a longstanding aim of the Singapore Stock
- 1:40Exchange and by the
- 1:41SPEAKER_02: Singapore government at large that
- 1:45They've been wanting to try and figure out how can they resolve
- 1:50some of the issues
- 1:51SPEAKER_02: of public market access and being a more viable exit pathway,
- 1:58SPEAKER_02: especially for the startup ecosystem.
- 2:01SPEAKER_02: Recently, news story comes out and
- 2:06The SGX is pairing up with Nasdaq to essentially establish a
- 2:12dual listing bridge,
- 2:14SPEAKER_02: which was a recent announcement that came back.
- 2:18SPEAKER_02: Sounds interesting on the surface.
- 2:21I have a handful of doubts underlying that of what the real
- 2:27effectiveness of it will be.
- 2:28SPEAKER_02: But an interesting story nonetheless.
- 2:30SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 2:31one of the things that's been haunting the Southeast Asia
- 2:33ecosystem is everyone
- 2:34SPEAKER_02: complains about exits,
- 2:35SPEAKER_02: exit,
- 2:36SPEAKER_02: exit.
- 2:36SPEAKER_02: So here we have...
- 2:38something which is a news story which on the surface seems
- 2:42positive and singapore
- 2:44just did it again taking the frontier about doing this dual
- 2:48listing within the
- 2:49southeast asia market just as how culturally like for example
- 2:53case in point taylor
- 2:54swift as well dominated singapore for five days i feel there
- 2:58are some parallels
- 2:59SPEAKER_00: right here and
- 3:02SPEAKER_00: I don't know how I drew that,
- 3:03SPEAKER_00: but anyway,
- 3:04this is just another case in point that Singapore is taking the
- 3:06lead on a lot of
- 3:07SPEAKER_00: things.
- 3:07SPEAKER_00: This is one of them.
- 3:08SPEAKER_00: So Kevin got the news and then I started digging.
- 3:11SPEAKER_00: And what I found was that this wasn't happening in isolation.
- 3:15SPEAKER_00: There's this whole other constellation of things going around that,
- 3:18SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 3:19SPEAKER_00: Singapore being Singapore,
- 3:21SPEAKER_00: there's a fintech funding reset,
- 3:22SPEAKER_00: which we will dive into later.
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: Again, Singapore takes the lead.
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: No one has...
- 3:26SPEAKER_00: No beef right there.
- 3:28SPEAKER_00: EQDP, Sovereign Capital Repositioning, all moving in the same direction.
- 3:35SPEAKER_00: So we decided to connect the dots.
- 3:37SPEAKER_00: Kevin found the news and Kim found the patterns.
- 3:42And what emerged is this story about how Singapore is basically
- 3:45building its own
- 3:46SPEAKER_00: version of Silicon Valley's capital stack,
- 3:48SPEAKER_00: but for Southeast Asia.
- 3:50SPEAKER_00: And it's happening right now.
- 4:09So shall we dive in and start talking about the specifics in
- 4:13regards to what's
- 4:13SPEAKER_02: going on with this deal?
- 4:16SPEAKER_02: Let's start with that headline.
- 4:19SPEAKER_02: Let's get into it.
- 4:20SPEAKER_02: Yep.
- 4:22SPEAKER_02: It basically kind of flew under the radar.
- 4:25SGX and NASDAQ essentially announced they're creating this dual
- 4:28listing bridge,
- 4:29SPEAKER_02: as I was saying earlier.
- 4:31SPEAKER_02: While that sounds cool, it is geared towards larger size companies.
- 4:38SPEAKER_02: So it's really only geared, you have to have a $2.5 billion market cap.
- 4:46SPEAKER_02: In order for this to even be applicable to you.
- 4:49So it's not talking about like these smaller listings or these
- 4:52sort of things.
- 4:54SPEAKER_02: It's really geared at somewhat larger size companies to begin with.
- 5:00SPEAKER_02: So first off, size quantum, you have to be on the bigger side of it.
- 5:07SPEAKER_02: But it does solve...
- 5:10some serious concerns because let's talk about some of the pain
- 5:13points to begin
- 5:14SPEAKER_02: with and see whether or not the context of this actually makes sense.
- 5:17Because if you look at most of the Southeast Asian companies
- 5:21that have gone on for
- 5:22SPEAKER_02: listings in NASDAQ in the past,
- 5:24SPEAKER_02: some of them have actually done dual listings,
- 5:27SPEAKER_02: which we can talk about what they had to do in order to do that.
- 5:29But the challenge of going public in NASDAQ is you're on the
- 5:34complete opposite side
- 5:35SPEAKER_02: of the planet and you have to get people to care
- 5:39SPEAKER_02: You have to get people to pay attention.
- 5:42And while it may end up seeming straightforward of like a great
- 5:46business should
- 5:47SPEAKER_02: automatically get it,
- 5:48SPEAKER_02: it doesn't actually.
- 5:50Because while we may end up saying efficient markets,
- 5:55it's not really the reality.
- 5:56SPEAKER_02: What you need is you need to get a lot of analyst coverage.
- 6:00You need to get enough visibility and you need to get enough of
- 6:03a buzz that people
- 6:04SPEAKER_02: will actually pay attention.
- 6:06analyze it and make a market so what happens is you have to
- 6:12look at the level of
- 6:13liquidity how active of a trading market is there for the
- 6:17shares of the company
- 6:18that are listed because if it's thinly traded you're going to
- 6:21end up getting wiped
- 6:22out basically you're not going to have liquidity for your
- 6:26investors you're not
- 6:26going to end up getting good pricing the moment that you try
- 6:29and put some put a
- 6:30SPEAKER_02: block up for sale essentially it's going to end up getting wiped out but
- 6:36SPEAKER_02: In the local market back here in Southeast Asia,
- 6:39SPEAKER_02: if you're a Southeast Asia company that is worth,
- 6:42SPEAKER_02: say,
- 6:42SPEAKER_02: 3 billion,
- 6:44SPEAKER_02: 5 billion,
- 6:45SPEAKER_02: somewhere slightly above that threshold,
- 6:48SPEAKER_02: you've probably got local brand.
- 6:51SPEAKER_02: People know about you.
- 6:52It's hard to be that size in this regional environment and
- 6:56people not know about you.
- 6:59SPEAKER_02: So is a dual listing going to end up capturing that?
- 7:04SPEAKER_02: Well, on the NASDAQ side, probably not.
- 7:08But on the SGX side,
- 7:11the people that would be trading there are going to end up
- 7:13trading.
- 7:15SPEAKER_02: But now let's flip it.
- 7:18SPEAKER_02: What's the difference?
- 7:18SPEAKER_02: If I just do a straight listing on SGX,
- 7:23SPEAKER_02: And I'm expecting that it's going to be the same trading.
- 7:27Is that that much of a difference that those local traders
- 7:32would not trade me if I
- 7:33SPEAKER_02: was not duly listed?
- 7:36SPEAKER_02: And the flip side of it,
- 7:38SPEAKER_02: by having that dual listing,
- 7:39SPEAKER_02: is that going to make any impact on the analyst coverage,
- 7:43SPEAKER_02: the liquidity on the NASDAQ side?
- 7:46So I think it's cool that this is being established because it
- 7:50does solve some pain points.
- 7:52You're solving the legal and regulatory burden because it is a
- 7:56giant pain in the
- 7:57SPEAKER_02: backside to go through two separate processes and
- 8:01SPEAKER_02: Two completely different,
- 8:03SPEAKER_02: complicated registration,
- 8:05SPEAKER_02: like filing for an IPO and getting the whole process.
- 8:10SPEAKER_02: Lawyers make a killing,
- 8:12SPEAKER_02: accountants make a killing,
- 8:14and the founders and the operators of the business just want to
- 8:16kill themselves by
- 8:17SPEAKER_02: the time it's done.
- 8:18SPEAKER_02: It's not a fun thing to go through.
- 8:21SPEAKER_02: It's a big achievement.
- 8:22SPEAKER_02: Don't get me wrong, but it's painstaking and it occupies a lot of time.
- 8:28SPEAKER_02: So it does solve the problem of having to do duplicate effort.
- 8:34My question on this and my hesitation on whether or not this is
- 8:38really the silver
- 8:39bullet that we're hoping for in regards to solving this public
- 8:45market aspect is...
- 8:48SPEAKER_02: liquidity and analyst coverage on the Nasdaq side?
- 8:52And does this actually encourage traders on the regional side
- 8:57to actually make
- 8:58SPEAKER_02: movements more so than they would if it was just directly,
- 9:03SPEAKER_02: solely linked here?
- 9:04It sounds to me like it's being,
- 9:07at least in the SGX,
- 9:09it's like a big fish in a small pond.
- 9:11SPEAKER_00: And when it comes to Nasdaq, it's like...
- 9:14small fish in big ponds whereby it gets overshadowed face it
- 9:18right like in in the
- 9:20states the companies are much much bigger the liquidity markets
- 9:24are more fluid in
- 9:25that sense here it's like it's still pretty slow um so i think
- 9:30this sgx well
- 9:31listening the way i'm hearing it is that it benefits more of
- 9:34singaporean local sea
- 9:36SPEAKER_00: companies more than anything else and
- 9:38than the states really because it gets them exposure to the
- 9:43states but then again
- 9:44as to how fast it moves i it is i think it would easily get
- 9:49overshadowed by the
- 9:50bigger companies in on a nasdaq listing like that's kind of the
- 9:55point who's who's
- 9:56paying attention on the nasdaq yeah like are you going to get
- 9:59analysts paying
- 10:00SPEAKER_02: attention so is the dual listing just for like ego
- 10:05Or is it actually going to end up really solving something from
- 10:08a trading side?
- 10:10Is it really creating an additional liquidity that could not
- 10:15have been accomplished otherwise?
- 10:17SPEAKER_02: Don't get me wrong.
- 10:18SPEAKER_02: I'm a fan of this.
- 10:20I'm just hesitant because it's uncertain of whether or not it's
- 10:23going to have
- 10:25SPEAKER_00: meaningful impact on this.
- 10:27I like the marketing buzz that this creates because it shows
- 10:30validity into these markets.
- 10:32SPEAKER_02: And no market in Southeast Asia could have done it other than Singapore.
- 10:38SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 10:39So for example,
- 10:40Grab chose Nasdaq,
- 10:42C chose NYSE,
- 10:43and for years the message was clear.
- 10:46If you want to be taken seriously as a tech company,
- 10:48you don't list it in Singapore.
- 10:50SPEAKER_00: So that's one of it.
- 10:51SPEAKER_00: So does it then put SGX on a higher level?
- 10:54SPEAKER_00: Like you said,
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: ego,
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: because it's like,
- 10:56it kind of elevates your position to a national basis whereby
- 11:00more companies would
- 11:01SPEAKER_00: want to be listed on SGX.
- 11:03SPEAKER_00: Again,
- 11:03it gives more exposure to see companies who come on to at least
- 11:08perform better than
- 11:09SPEAKER_00: their counterparts and to be listed on the dual listing.
- 11:14SPEAKER_00: On the flip side is where do they stand once they get listed on NASDAQ?
- 11:20SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 11:20SPEAKER_00: do they get,
- 11:23SPEAKER_00: what do you call that,
- 11:24SPEAKER_00: dissipate into the oblivion in NASDAQ listing in the States?
- 11:30SPEAKER_00: Or,
- 11:30SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 11:30SPEAKER_00: because they are calling this a landmark collaboration,
- 11:34SPEAKER_00: right,
- 11:34SPEAKER_00: that gives Asian growth companies a
- 11:37SPEAKER_00: a quote-unquote harmonized pathway to tap both U.S.
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: and Asian capital markets simultaneously.
- 11:43SPEAKER_00: So the keyword was simultaneously.
- 11:46And then this connects directly to something we've been
- 11:48exploring all season.
- 11:49Some points to our conversation with Chi Chi about cross-border
- 11:53execution and trust.
- 11:56So one of the key points was that the best regional companies
- 11:59don't try to be
- 12:00SPEAKER_00: American companies operating in Asia.
- 12:02SPEAKER_00: They build with a
- 12:04SPEAKER_00: fundamentally regional DNA while maintaining global standards.
- 12:08So maybe the flip side of it in terms of the pros is that this
- 12:13dual listing
- 12:14SPEAKER_00: framework is literally the capital markets version of that philosophy.
- 12:18SPEAKER_00: You know, you're not abandoning your Asian identity to access US capital.
- 12:24SPEAKER_00: You are literally bridging both worlds.
- 12:25SPEAKER_02: Which is fair.
- 12:27SPEAKER_02: It's just an honor of like, who is actually
- 12:34SPEAKER_02: providing the trading volume.
- 12:38SPEAKER_00: That remains to be seen.
- 12:42It again comes down to somebody has to care enough in order to
- 12:47bother making a
- 12:48SPEAKER_02: market and trading your shares.
- 12:51SPEAKER_02: And is there going to be enough of a market there?
- 12:56SPEAKER_02: And so therein lies the challenge.
- 12:59I think this is mostly pure upside on the SGX side because they
- 13:04get to go around to
- 13:05SPEAKER_02: all these startups in the region and say,
- 13:07SPEAKER_02: hey,
- 13:08SPEAKER_02: we're paired up with NASDAQ.
- 13:10SPEAKER_02: Just do the listing here and you'll automatically be there.
- 13:13SPEAKER_02: And we're a short flight away.
- 13:16So if you need to talk to lawyers or anything on a regular
- 13:19basis,
- 13:20hey,
- 13:21we're right next to you.
- 13:23SPEAKER_02: Just come on over.
- 13:24SPEAKER_02: It's perfectly fine.
- 13:25SPEAKER_02: So pure upside for them.
- 13:27SPEAKER_02: But on the Singapore side as well, like who are the market participants?
- 13:31SPEAKER_02: Who comes to the majority of the trading volume on that exchange?
- 13:36SPEAKER_02: Public institutions and extremely conservative institutions.
- 13:39SPEAKER_02: And so,
- 13:40SPEAKER_02: I mean,
- 13:41there's a reason why there hasn't historically been a lot of
- 13:45technology companies
- 13:46SPEAKER_02: on these exchanges.
- 13:48SPEAKER_02: So we're not really solving the primary roadblock in regards to
- 13:55SPEAKER_02: public markets being an exit pathway for technology startups.
- 14:00SPEAKER_02: It's a step in the right direction, don't get me wrong.
- 14:05SPEAKER_02: So I don't want to be full neg on this,
- 14:09SPEAKER_02: but I'm not 100% convinced that it's actually tackling the core issues.
- 14:15SPEAKER_00: I don't disagree.
- 14:16SPEAKER_00: But then there was this company that's called Affoin.
- 14:19They just participated in the dual listing back in September
- 14:242025,
- 14:25just a couple of months ago.
- 14:27SPEAKER_00: It was the first company to do this on both exchanges.
- 14:30And it showed that there was real issuer appetite and a working
- 14:34template for more formalized.
- 14:37Looking at a time frame,
- 14:38that could be the catalyst of how this all came about,
- 14:41right?
- 14:43like the exact timing and packaging caught people off guard but
- 14:47the direction of
- 14:47travel closer linkage to us markets and a more credible dual
- 14:51listing path could be
- 14:52you know building for years and i'm not surprised that they did
- 14:56it so again see
- 14:59SPEAKER_00: singapore just like i said they did it again i've been
- 15:03SPEAKER_02: One of the things,
- 15:04and I haven't had enough time to study the entirety of the ins
- 15:09and outs of this,
- 15:10SPEAKER_02: but I may be wrong in what I'm getting ready to say,
- 15:14SPEAKER_02: but
- 15:15SPEAKER_02: Historically,
- 15:16SPEAKER_02: if you're in the US,
- 15:17SPEAKER_02: you usually had what's called American Depository Receipts,
- 15:21SPEAKER_02: which is essentially a share of a foreign share,
- 15:28SPEAKER_02: let's call it.
- 15:30And these are basically like,
- 15:32think of it as like an escrow account,
- 15:34this sort of thing.
- 15:34SPEAKER_02: It's like it's intended to replicate.
- 15:37and that this is the way historically that you could end up
- 15:40having your shares
- 15:42traded on the u.s exchange while listed listed elsewhere this
- 15:47kind of changes the
- 15:48SPEAKER_02: the scope of that because it changes the reconciling mechanisms from my
- 15:52understanding to where it actually ends up it making a pretty
- 15:57substantial leap
- 15:58SPEAKER_02: forward in regards to how the functioning
- 16:02SPEAKER_02: of price setting.
- 16:04So you do have potential benefits of being able to trade in
- 16:09Asian markets during Asian hours.
- 16:13SPEAKER_02: When the U.S.
- 16:14SPEAKER_02: market opens,
- 16:16you have immediate reconciliation with those trading prices to
- 16:20where you have a
- 16:22SPEAKER_02: little bit more
- 16:24dynamism in the way that the price setting ends up happening
- 16:29i'm curious of how the
- 16:30two-way street of that pricing ends up going if the liquidity
- 16:35falls off or how
- 16:36SPEAKER_02: would it end up being but nonetheless is it a step in the right direction
- 16:41SPEAKER_02: absolutely are there potential flaws that'll come out sure but
- 16:48SPEAKER_02: Is it worth trying to make the effort and then fixing it on the fly?
- 16:52SPEAKER_02: Just because this is kind of the first of its kind.
- 16:55SPEAKER_02: We've had history of companies doing dual listings,
- 16:59SPEAKER_02: but doing the more rigid process of independent filings in each location.
- 17:05SPEAKER_02: I'm in the kind of let's wait and see how this falls out.
- 17:09SPEAKER_02: I have some concerns.
- 17:10SPEAKER_02: I'm not necessarily convinced this is panacea for it.
- 17:13There's some benefit of Singapore government backing,
- 17:16et cetera,
- 17:17et cetera.
- 17:18SPEAKER_02: I love the aspect of limiting the amount of bureaucratic red tape,
- 17:23SPEAKER_02: filing lawyer fees,
- 17:25SPEAKER_02: audit fees,
- 17:27all of this nonsense that goes into public listings because
- 17:31it's a giant pain in
- 17:32SPEAKER_02: the backside in order to go through it.
- 17:35We'll see whether or not it actually truly creates a positive
- 17:39impact on liquidity
- 17:42SPEAKER_02: for a startup ecosystem.
- 17:51that's definitely one way to look at it and i mean it only
- 17:53started it only starts
- 17:55next year right so there's still time for them to hash things
- 17:59out or to smoothen
- 18:00their edges and whatnot so i agree with you i'm pretty much on
- 18:04a wait and see
- 18:05approach because again you talk about cost versus benefit
- 18:08analysis whereby how much
- 18:09SPEAKER_00: of an impact you are providing when you're listening
- 18:13or how much of an impact it is for the Singapore company or the
- 18:18C company to be listed on that.
- 18:19SPEAKER_00: I mean, it's 2025.
- 18:21All these things should be hashed out in terms of the paperwork
- 18:24and all that,
- 18:24SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 18:25SPEAKER_00: it should already be done with.
- 18:26SPEAKER_00: But I mean,
- 18:27SPEAKER_00: when it comes to financials,
- 18:29there is some amount of due diligence that is needed to be done
- 18:32because we don't
- 18:33SPEAKER_00: want to have that Silicon Valley Bank crisis again or that,
- 18:37SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 18:38SPEAKER_00: subprime financial crisis again.
- 18:39SPEAKER_00: So...
- 18:40There still needs to be some prudent steps to be taken before
- 18:46everything comes into play.
- 18:48SPEAKER_00: I also want to highlight there's a value parallel as well.
- 18:52SPEAKER_00: When Silicon Valley startups scale, they assume a Nasdaq outcome.
- 18:57SPEAKER_00: So it's not even a question.
- 18:58SPEAKER_00: It's just the default path.
- 19:00Build,
- 19:00scale,
- 19:01IPO on Nasdaq,
- 19:02get acquired,
- 19:02or stay private with secondary liquidity.
- 19:05SPEAKER_00: The infrastructure is pretty much there.
- 19:07SPEAKER_00: And in some ways,
- 19:09maybe Singapore is looking at that direction as well to be the
- 19:13Silicon Valley of
- 19:14SPEAKER_00: Southeast Asia because C hasn't had that until now.
- 19:18SPEAKER_00: I mean, this dual listing changes things, right?
- 19:20SPEAKER_00: Like Singapore is positioning itself as a public market on-ramp.
- 19:24SPEAKER_00: for the region's best growth companies.
- 19:26And if you're a VC writing Series B or Series C,
- 19:29this changed your exit narrative.
- 19:32You can finally tell founders we can take you to global capital
- 19:34without forcing you
- 19:35to leave the region because typically it's either you have to
- 19:39be in Singapore or be
- 19:41SPEAKER_00: in Delaware to get on Nasdaq,
- 19:43SPEAKER_00: right?
- 19:44SPEAKER_00: And yeah, I guess with AvePoint,
- 19:48uh it's more of a template that other growth stage tech firms
- 19:53are watching this
- 19:54closely if you're a founder start thinking about singapore and
- 19:57nasdaq as a combined
- 19:58listing strategy not a far-off fantasy finally something um is
- 20:02coming to light uh
- 20:04especially in a fintech b2b says or infrastructure place where
- 20:07you're building a
- 20:08SPEAKER_00: region but need access to deeper capital pools if we see
- 20:12SPEAKER_00: Your portfolio construction may just get more interesting.
- 20:15Late-stage companies that were previously too regional for US
- 20:18to exit now have a
- 20:21SPEAKER_00: viable dual path.
- 20:22SPEAKER_00: And again,
- 20:23SPEAKER_00: as an investor,
- 20:24SPEAKER_00: that changes how you underwrite follow-on rounds,
- 20:26SPEAKER_00: which brings us to our next shift.
- 20:29SPEAKER_00: And I think this is where things get a bit more interesting,
- 20:32which is related to Singapore in some ways being the region's
- 20:36fintech hub.
- 20:37SPEAKER_00: So the quick question is,
- 20:38when you see a headline like Southeast Asia fintech funding
- 20:42down 39% year on year,
- 20:45SPEAKER_00: what's your first reaction?
- 20:48SPEAKER_01: So I would start worrying if I'm seeing the collapse.
- 20:53SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 20:54Given where Singapore is right now,
- 20:56it's a regional tech hub,
- 20:58a fintech hub as well,
- 20:59right?
- 20:59SPEAKER_00: So,
- 21:00SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 21:01I first saw the transaction data and then the headline is
- 21:05technically true and a
- 21:06SPEAKER_00: bit,
- 21:07I wouldn't say completely misleading at the same time because
- 21:11fintech funding isn't
- 21:12SPEAKER_00: dying in Southeast Asia.
- 21:14SPEAKER_00: It's pretty much being concentrated in one pool.
- 21:17and no surprise who's the winner and the concentration game in
- 21:21a way that's a bit
- 21:23cool because let me give you the numbers because southeast asia
- 21:25fintech startups
- 21:26raised about 829 million in the first nine months of 2025
- 21:30basically a baby who was
- 21:32SPEAKER_00: born out of it it's
- 21:35SPEAKER_00: I mean, okay, I don't know how that related.
- 21:36SPEAKER_00: But anyway, it's down 39% year on year.
- 21:40SPEAKER_00: Yes, but here's what the headline doesn't tell you.
- 21:42SPEAKER_00: Singapore captured about 84% of that funding.
- 21:46SPEAKER_00: Singapore Business Review puts it as high as 88% for certain periods.
- 21:53SPEAKER_00: It's pretty high.
- 21:54SPEAKER_00: That's pretty high.
- 21:55SPEAKER_02: I mean, it...
- 21:59There's a little bit of nuance to it because like everyone has
- 22:03their hold co or top
- 22:04SPEAKER_00: co,
- 22:05SPEAKER_02: depending on which phrasing you prefer in Singapore.
- 22:09SPEAKER_02: So when we see these funding rounds,
- 22:10a lot of it ends up capturing where the top entity that's
- 22:16receiving the funding is.
- 22:18SPEAKER_02: But it is quite telling nonetheless,
- 22:21just because it's a very large percentage that is getting
- 22:26swallowed up by a single
- 22:27SPEAKER_02: country out of the region.
- 22:29SPEAKER_02: That just so happens to be the smallest country.
- 22:31SPEAKER_00: Yes, I was just going to say that.
- 22:35But it's hard to separate the noise out of it because we don't
- 22:40know how much of
- 22:40that percent is actually just companies that have no base of
- 22:45operations in
- 22:46SPEAKER_02: Singapore and are just raising in Singapore.
- 22:51And in some ways,
- 22:52it does tell us that the capital hasn't really disappeared.
- 22:56SPEAKER_00: It's just become really selective.
- 22:58SPEAKER_00: For example, the mega rounds are still happening.
- 23:00SPEAKER_00: Toons raised about $150 million Series D.
- 23:03SPEAKER_00: Airwallet raised about $150 million Series F.
- 23:08SPEAKER_00: And if you are seed stage in Manila or early stage in Jakarta,
- 23:12SPEAKER_00: good luck.
- 23:14SPEAKER_00: Again, it returns to how Singapore is as a nation.
- 23:18It's built so much on the black and white basis whereby even
- 23:21now moving forward,
- 23:23SPEAKER_00: I mean, tech has always been in the play.
- 23:27And given that it's elevating its ranks in terms of being not
- 23:32only the financial
- 23:33SPEAKER_00: hub,
- 23:33SPEAKER_00: but being the fintech hub again in the region.
- 23:37SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 23:38SPEAKER_00: And this is exactly what we've been talking about all season.
- 23:40SPEAKER_00: In our climate tech episode,
- 23:42we discussed about how capital intensive businesses need access
- 23:46to patient
- 23:47SPEAKER_00: long-term capital.
- 23:48SPEAKER_00: This is one of it.
- 23:49SPEAKER_02: It's a tough fundraising environment overall.
- 23:52SPEAKER_02: I mean, the ecosystem in Southeast Asia has been collapsing.
- 23:55SPEAKER_02: Most of that has been collapsing as the bubble in Indonesia has popped.
- 24:01SPEAKER_02: Certainly, if you're there, it's going to be a very challenging time.
- 24:04SPEAKER_02: There's a little bit of a flight to safety, legal jurisdiction, etc.
- 24:08SPEAKER_02: Singapore has been able to hold on.
- 24:12That's part of the reason why you see the larger percent share,
- 24:15just because...
- 24:17SPEAKER_02: Even though some of the other countries may not end up collapsing,
- 24:21SPEAKER_02: it's that a lot of the stuff that was going on in Indonesia just kind of
- 24:24SPEAKER_02: disappeared.
- 24:25SPEAKER_02: And we ended up getting a little bit of a shift in regards to that.
- 24:31SPEAKER_02: Ecosystem has to go through a reset, though.
- 24:33SPEAKER_02: So while we're going through a tough time right now,
- 24:38SPEAKER_02: We are going to end up coming out of it quite different.
- 24:42SPEAKER_02: Singapore inevitably is going to end up holding that sensor role.
- 24:46SPEAKER_02: It is the capital sensor.
- 24:48SPEAKER_02: It is basically the capital of the region.
- 24:50I think a lot of people would end up getting upset with me for
- 24:53saying that,
- 24:53SPEAKER_02: but it is kind of from that perspective.
- 24:57SPEAKER_02: And so inevitably there is a concentration of talent.
- 25:00There's a concentration of capital,
- 25:02you know,
- 25:02like that's it's it's the center of gravity.
- 25:06You can you can dislike that San Francisco is the center of
- 25:11startups in the US.
- 25:12SPEAKER_02: But Austin's pretty cool.
- 25:14SPEAKER_02: Denver is pretty cool.
- 25:16SPEAKER_02: New York, Boston.
- 25:17SPEAKER_02: Miami, there's tons of other places.
- 25:20SPEAKER_02: You could talk about other places.
- 25:23SPEAKER_02: You could talk about like Bangalore in India,
- 25:26SPEAKER_02: but you also have a lot of startup ecosystem going on in Delhi.
- 25:30SPEAKER_02: You've got a startup ecosystem going on in Mumbai.
- 25:33SPEAKER_02: We could say the same thing about China.
- 25:37SPEAKER_02: So yeah.
- 25:39It's an interesting dynamic that's going on in the region,
- 25:46the dominance of Singapore.
- 25:48SPEAKER_02: Inevitably,
- 25:49SPEAKER_02: I think it's messy data,
- 25:50partially because of the holdco slash topco of these startups
- 25:57that are raising.
- 25:59Most of the companies that I invest in are actually legally
- 26:02domiciled in Singapore.
- 26:05SPEAKER_02: And we're doing seed stage.
- 26:07SPEAKER_02: So like...
- 26:10SPEAKER_02: Are those getting captured in the Singapore data?
- 26:12SPEAKER_02: Probably.
- 26:13SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 26:14SPEAKER_00: I'm pretty sure they want it all to a certain extent.
- 26:17SPEAKER_00: I'm not going to be surprised.
- 26:20SPEAKER_00: I think even then, there is some geopolitical dimension here too, right?
- 26:26SPEAKER_00: We won't go in too deep because that's a whole other episode.
- 26:30But this does tie into that Financial Times piece that I read
- 26:36some time ago.
- 26:37SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 26:38SPEAKER_00: Can China win the innovation race?
- 26:40Because one of the core tensions in this article was that China
- 26:43has skill,
- 26:44SPEAKER_00: capital,
- 26:45SPEAKER_00: and ambition,
- 26:45but it's increasingly isolated from global capital flows and
- 26:49talent networks.
- 26:51And on top of that,
- 26:53the US-China tech decoupling is creating this vacuum as well.
- 26:59And then Singapore specifically is positioning itself as the
- 27:04answer to that tension.
- 27:05SPEAKER_00: Open, connected, neutral, but with enough skill and ambition to matter.
- 27:09SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 27:09SPEAKER_00: I'm not against Singapore,
- 27:11but I'm just saying that Singapore is smart to be able to
- 27:14leverage on whatever
- 27:15SPEAKER_00: that's happening right now to its advantage.
- 27:18Because you're seeing biotech investments shift from China into
- 27:21Singapore.
- 27:22SPEAKER_00: And according to Bain's APEC biotech report,
- 27:25SPEAKER_00: Although China still dominates 75% of regional biotech flows since 2019,
- 27:31SPEAKER_00: the trade war,
- 27:33SPEAKER_00: the tensions are diversifying capital into Singapore and South Korea.
- 27:38SPEAKER_00: And given Singapore being a structurally strong country,
- 27:41SPEAKER_00: political neutrality,
- 27:43SPEAKER_00: strong IP protection,
- 27:45SPEAKER_00: legal transparency,
- 27:46SPEAKER_00: regulatory alignment,
- 27:49The government's $28 billion SGD research innovation enterprise
- 27:532025 plan supports
- 27:54SPEAKER_00: deep tech and biomedical advancement.
- 27:57SPEAKER_00: There you go.
- 27:57So flagship pioneering set up a regional hub with ASTAR and
- 28:01co-committed $100
- 28:02SPEAKER_00: million to advance biotech and health tech innovation in ASTAR.
- 28:06SPEAKER_00: See, Singapore is doing so much.
- 28:08SPEAKER_00: She's doing so much.
- 28:12SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 28:13SPEAKER_01: Yeah, 100%. 100%.
- 28:18SPEAKER_00: If I ever guessed it by the numbers already, I guess so.
- 28:24SPEAKER_00: I'm just going to leave it as that.
- 28:25SPEAKER_00: I'm not going to talk too much about Singapore now, but...
- 28:30SPEAKER_00: If you are a fintech founder outside Singapore,
- 28:33SPEAKER_00: you need a Singapore strategy,
- 28:35SPEAKER_00: not someday when we hit series B.
- 28:37SPEAKER_00: You got to do it now.
- 28:39SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 28:39SPEAKER_00: like entity structure and all that,
- 28:42SPEAKER_00: whatever that you need to set up,
- 28:44start building that foundation early because by the time you
- 28:46need to raise a series
- 28:47SPEAKER_00: round,
- 28:49SPEAKER_00: it might be a bit too late to retrofit.
- 28:52SPEAKER_00: And if you're a seed stage investor, your job just got harder.
- 28:56You need to identify about 10 to 15% of companies that will
- 28:59make it to late stage
- 29:00SPEAKER_00: and help them build towards Singapore from day one.
- 29:03SPEAKER_00: And that's tough.
- 29:03SPEAKER_00: Moving on to the next last one.
- 29:05SPEAKER_00: It's a question that I've been a bit, not obsessed, but curious more of.
- 29:10What does it actually take for a regional ecosystem to go from
- 29:14imaging to mature?
- 29:15SPEAKER_00: Man, 10 o'clock doesn't do you well.
- 29:19SPEAKER_01: Yeah, sorry, I'm not jumping all over.
- 29:25SPEAKER_02: From emerging to mature,
- 29:26SPEAKER_02: we basically need to complete the capital stack,
- 29:33SPEAKER_02: which means having capital at each layer from seed to series A,
- 29:40SPEAKER_02: all the way through the growth stages,
- 29:42SPEAKER_02: pre-IPO,
- 29:43SPEAKER_02: and then having exit pathways
- 29:47SPEAKER_02: and actual realizations happening, which is the public markets.
- 29:54SPEAKER_02: Hopefully this dual listing actually makes an impact of it.
- 29:58SPEAKER_02: to be determined.
- 29:59SPEAKER_02: But we also have M&A activity,
- 30:01SPEAKER_02: which unfortunately is trending down a little bit,
- 30:04SPEAKER_02: but still some positive signs going on there.
- 30:08So where all of this kind of ties together is that we're
- 30:12starting to see more of a
- 30:14SPEAKER_02: positive side.
- 30:15SPEAKER_02: We had this influx of capital.
- 30:18SPEAKER_02: We had this bubble.
- 30:19SPEAKER_02: It came at first.
- 30:21SPEAKER_02: We're now reconciling ourselves with some of the indiscretions,
- 30:25SPEAKER_02: some of the challenges of the past,
- 30:28SPEAKER_02: Hopefully,
- 30:28some of these moves on adjusting and improving Singapore as an
- 30:36IPO market and the
- 30:37SPEAKER_02: dual listing and some of these other steps.
- 30:39SPEAKER_02: Hopefully, all of this makes a move.
- 30:41We need stronger steps so that it acts as a signaling impact so
- 30:46that international
- 30:47SPEAKER_02: capital starts coming back in.
- 30:49SPEAKER_02: and starts filling out the ranks of the rest of the capital stock,
- 30:53SPEAKER_02: which it was starting to do before,
- 30:55but got scared off because of some of the challenges that many
- 31:00other markets had
- 31:00SPEAKER_02: faced as well,
- 31:01SPEAKER_02: but were particularly pronounced in Southeast Asia.
- 31:05So some positive signs,
- 31:08still a long way to go in regards to moving from emerging to
- 31:11mature.
- 31:11SPEAKER_02: We're still in the emerging stage presently.
- 31:15SPEAKER_00: Let's zoom out for a second.
- 31:16SPEAKER_00: We have talked about this few shifts,
- 31:19SPEAKER_00: about the SGX,
- 31:21SPEAKER_00: NASDAQ,
- 31:21SPEAKER_00: dual listing bridge,
- 31:23SPEAKER_00: giving late-stage companies a real exit path,
- 31:26SPEAKER_00: fintech funding consolidating into Singapore,
- 31:29SPEAKER_00: concentrating power in one hub,
- 31:31and then emerging to mature markets and what it takes to get to
- 31:37mature markets.
- 31:37So when you put those three pieces together,
- 31:40you get something that looks a lot
- 31:42in a way uh like silicon valley's playbook adapted for
- 31:46southeast asia for years
- 31:47we've been asking can southeast asia produce the next google
- 31:51the next facebook i
- 31:52think we've been asking the wrong question because the right
- 31:57question could
- 31:58potentially be can southeast asia build the systems that
- 32:02reliably produce category
- 32:04SPEAKER_00: defining companies and i think
- 32:07SPEAKER_00: Maybe.
- 32:08SPEAKER_02: So to anyone listening,
- 32:09SPEAKER_02: if you're building something right now,
- 32:11SPEAKER_02: whether you're pre-seed,
- 32:12SPEAKER_02: seed,
- 32:13SPEAKER_02: series A,
- 32:14SPEAKER_02: staring down the late stage rounds,
- 32:17SPEAKER_02: just remember game is changing.
- 32:19SPEAKER_02: Infrastructure is improving.
- 32:21SPEAKER_02: The capital stock is improving.
- 32:23SPEAKER_02: The market is improving.
- 32:25SPEAKER_02: All we need is you.
- 32:28SPEAKER_00: Ooh, that's motivating.
- 32:31SPEAKER_00: So that's one way to wrap it up.
- 32:35SPEAKER_00: So it's your job to add it in more.
- 32:39SPEAKER_00: Your job is to build something real,
- 32:41SPEAKER_00: something durable,
- 32:42SPEAKER_00: something that solves a problem people actually have.
- 32:45SPEAKER_00: And then Kim and Kevin can come out and talk about it.
- 32:47SPEAKER_00: You give us a purpose to talk about it.
- 32:49SPEAKER_02: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 32:49SPEAKER_02: Let these talking heads do what we're trying to do here.
- 32:53SPEAKER_02: Like, you guys go out and do the work.
- 32:55SPEAKER_02: We'll sit behind mics and start talking about it.
- 32:58SPEAKER_02: How about that?
- 32:58SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean, think about it.
- 33:00SPEAKER_00: Think about the opportunities,
- 33:01SPEAKER_00: biotech migrating from China,
- 33:02SPEAKER_00: space infrastructure,
- 33:04SPEAKER_00: ground stations,
- 33:04SPEAKER_00: climate tech,
- 33:05SPEAKER_00: AI compute.
- 33:06SPEAKER_00: These are all pretty big 100 billion plus opportunities for the region.
- 33:10SPEAKER_00: So think about it.
- 33:11SPEAKER_00: Start doing the work.
- 33:12SPEAKER_00: It's a game changer.
- 33:14SPEAKER_00: And just remember,
- 33:16SPEAKER_00: while you're working hard,
- 33:18SPEAKER_00: you kind of need to be in touch with the region as well.
- 33:21SPEAKER_00: So keep listening to us.
- 33:23SPEAKER_00: Keep listening to the talk case talking about you.
- 33:26And if you enjoyed this episode,
- 33:29share with the founder who needs to hear it.
- 33:32SPEAKER_00: Leave us a review.
- 33:33SPEAKER_00: Tell your friends.
- 33:34SPEAKER_00: We are on all...
- 33:36SPEAKER_00: the podcast platform, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, whatever you name it.
- 33:41SPEAKER_00: It's the sea.
- 33:43SPEAKER_00: We are in the sea.
- 33:44SPEAKER_00: Listen to the sea.
- 33:45SPEAKER_00: Chop, chop.
- 33:46SPEAKER_02: The sea of startups.
- 33:48SPEAKER_02: Exactly, exactly.
- 33:49SPEAKER_02: Likes, you're sharing, all of that.
- 33:52SPEAKER_02: Pass it on to another founder that you know of.
- 33:55SPEAKER_02: All of this helps us just bring more episodes out to you.
- 33:59SPEAKER_02: Smash that like button wherever you are.
- 34:02SPEAKER_02: Add a comment.
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- 34:04SPEAKER_02: Do what you can.
- 34:05SPEAKER_02: We'll bring you more episodes in the coming year.
- 34:09SPEAKER_02: And have a good windup.
- 34:12Hopefully everyone keeps on grinding or at least get some
- 34:16resets of the mental space.
- 34:19SPEAKER_00: I take a break too, you know, can't always be going on.
- 34:22SPEAKER_02: Exactly, exactly.
- 34:25SPEAKER_02: The calm before the storm of 26 in the sea of startups.
- 34:31SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 34:32SPEAKER_00: And just one more thing.
- 34:33SPEAKER_00: Got to stay curious, ambitious and keep building.
- 34:37SPEAKER_00: And last one.
- 34:39SPEAKER_00: To keep in touch,
- 34:40head over to our Substack at theceofstartups.substack.com to
- 34:44get all the full
- 34:45SPEAKER_00: transcripts,
- 34:46SPEAKER_00: show notes,
- 34:46SPEAKER_00: and all the citations.
- 34:48SPEAKER_00: Just to stay afloat, to keep on going, that's where we are at.
- 34:52SPEAKER_00: So we got to wrap up and Merry Christmas and have a happy New Year.