Latest / The President's Daily Brief / November 6th, 2026: Trump Weighs New Iran Strikes & Ukraine Targets Russian Oil

Transcript

November 6th, 2026: Trump Weighs New Iran Strikes & Ukraine Targets Russian Oil · The President's Daily Brief

0:12
It's Friday,
0:13
the 6th of November.
0:14
How about that?
0:15
Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
0:17
I'm Mike Baker,
0:18
your eyes and ears
0:19
on the world stage.
0:20
All right,
0:21
let's get briefed.
0:23
First up,
0:23
President Trump faces a difficult decision on Iran
0:27
following Republican losses in the US midterm elections.
0:31
I'll have the details.
0:33
Later in the show,
0:34
a surprising new intelligence assessment reveals that Iran continues
0:38
to be a potential player in space warfare.
0:41
With capabilities that could threaten American forces,
0:45
plus,
0:45
Ukrainian drones strike a major refinery supplying Moscow
0:49
as Kiev presses its campaign against Russia's energy industry
0:53
despite objections from the White House.
0:56
Well,
0:56
that might be because Putin has not stopped
0:58
his near daily attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure.
1:02
Yeah,
1:02
that might have something to do with it.
1:04
And in today's back of the brief,
1:05
a former FBI counterintelligence agent.
1:08
He is accused of stealing a million dollars from a foreign adversary
1:13
and then turning to Chad GPT for help planning his retirement.
1:17
There you go.
1:18
But first,
1:18
today's PDB spotlight.
1:20
President Trump is facing a difficult decision over Iran,
1:23
and the political cost of the war
1:25
is now impossible for his administration to ignore.
1:28
As you may have heard,
1:30
Republicans suffered major defeats in Tuesday's US midterm elections.
1:34
That's putting it mildly.
1:35
Now countless politicians and pundits,
1:37
including the Vice President,
1:38
have their reasons or thoughts on why the Republicans
1:42
took such a beating.
1:43
In case you're wondering,
1:45
Vice President JD Vance has publicly pointed to the Iran war as a central reason.
1:49
In a statement on social media Wednesday,
1:51
Vance wrote,
1:52
quote,
1:52
The reason we lost is the war,
1:54
end quote.
1:56
And President Trump didn't entirely disagree,
1:59
apparently.
1:59
He acknowledged that the conflict and the
2:01
resulting spike in gasoline prices hurt Republicans.
2:05
Well,
2:05
yeah,
2:06
but he also defended his decision to attack Iran,
2:09
arguing that Tehran
2:10
couldn't be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon.
2:13
Now,
2:14
according to new reporting from Axios,
2:16
the president faces three options
2:18
restart major military operations,
2:20
negotiate a settlement,
2:22
or continue squeezing Iran economically
2:24
while avoiding another large scale attack.
2:27
And of course none of those options
2:29
guarantees the outcome that Washington wants.
2:32
The first option is to resume the bombing campaign.
2:35
American officials tell Axios that the
2:36
military is completing preparations for another round
2:39
of major combat operations,
2:41
including additional deployments to the region.
2:44
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has pushed Trump toward renewed strikes,
2:48
arguing that Tehran can't be trusted to make or honor any agreement.
2:53
But another offensive could obviously drive up energy prices even higher,
2:57
trigger more attacks on American forces and regional partners,
3:00
and deepen a conflict that's already exacted a political price at home.
3:05
There's also no guarantee that another round of
3:08
bombing would resolve the disputes over Iran's nuclear program
3:12
or the Strait of Hormuz.
3:14
The second option is diplomacy.
3:16
Qatari mediators have prepared a draft proposal
3:19
designed to bring the Americans and Iranians back into direct negotiations
3:24
and prevent renewed fighting.
3:26
Vice President Vance has been pushing Trump toward an agreement.
3:29
According to Axios,
3:30
he warned privately for months that the war was deeply unpopular
3:34
and has criticized Netanyahu's approach to Iran.
3:37
Apparently,
3:38
White House envoy Steve Witkoff also favors trying to make a deal.
3:41
Well,
3:42
yeah,
3:42
that is,
3:43
after all,
3:43
what an envoy is supposed to do.
3:45
But diplomacy brings its own problems.
3:47
Iran has resisted American demands,
3:50
and Iranian officials may now believe their bargaining
3:52
position has improved after the Republican defeat.
3:55
And by May,
3:56
I mean that they do definitely believe
3:59
that their bargaining position has improved.
4:02
That's one of the reasons why the regime dragged out potential negotiations.
4:06
Their assumption was that
4:07
extending the conflict would test the patience of Americans.
4:11
Negatively impact energy prices and ultimately upset US voters.
4:15
And as it turns out,
4:17
well,
4:17
the regime's strategy was
4:19
relatively effective.
4:21
The election results could now encourage Tehran
4:23
to hold out for greater concessions,
4:25
even as the US insists on restrictions designed
4:28
to prevent Iran from rebuilding its nuclear program,
4:32
which brings us to the third option
4:34
keep the economic pressure on
4:35
without engaging in a major renewed military campaign.
4:39
CIA Director John Ratcliffe,
4:41
Treasury Secretary Scott Besset,
4:42
and Secretary of State Marco Rubio
4:45
have reportedly advised Trump to maintain
4:47
the naval blockade and economic sanctions
4:50
rather than rush into another war or accept a deal on unfavorable terms.
4:55
The theory
4:56
is that prolonged economic pressure could push Tehran toward compromise
5:00
or create enough internal strain to weaken the regime.
5:03
Of course,
5:04
the problem is time.
5:06
That approach could take months or longer without any assurance
5:09
that Iran's leaders will change course,
5:12
and it would leave the present confrontation unresolved,
5:15
as we reported yesterday,
5:17
commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf continues to come under attack,
5:20
with Iran using maritime pressure
5:22
to challenge the US and its partners.
5:25
The blockade could remain in place while ships continue to face threats,
5:29
energy markets remain unsettled,
5:31
and the risk of another clash persists.
5:34
Meanwhile,
5:34
Iranian leaders are openly celebrating the American midterm election results.
5:39
Mohsin Rezai,
5:40
the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council and former IRGC head,
5:46
claimed the Iranian people had handed Trump a military defeat in the region
5:50
and a political defeat in Washington.
5:52
The rhetoric reveals a serious danger.
5:55
Iran's leaders may conclude that Trump's weakened political position
5:58
means that he's unwilling to use force again.
6:01
Some analysts warn that misreading the president's domestic
6:05
difficulties could encourage Tehran to overplay its hand,
6:08
raising demands or escalating attacks
6:11
at precisely the moment that Washington is trying to find an exit.
6:14
And Trump faces pressure in the other direction.
6:18
He's already defended the war as necessary.
6:20
Reaching an agreement that appears to reward Iranian defiance would be.
6:25
Politically difficult while ordering more strikes could worsen the
6:28
very problems that hurt his party in the elections.
6:32
So the president is balancing military preparations,
6:35
and diplomatic proposals,
6:36
and a continuing economic blockade,
6:39
all while Iran
6:40
crows over the midterm results.
6:43
All right.
6:44
Coming up next,
6:45
new US intelligence reveals Iran's growing space warfare capabilities,
6:51
and Ukrainian drones strike a major Russian oil refinery,
6:54
despite White House objections.
6:56
I'll be right back.
6:59
Hey,
6:59
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8:18
A new Pentagon intelligence assessment is raising concerns
8:21
about Iran's ability to wage electronic and space warfare
8:25
against American forces despite months of
8:27
US military strikes targeting Tehran's military infrastructure.
8:32
According to Axios,
8:33
the Defense Intelligence Agency,
8:35
well,
8:35
does that have an acronym?
8:36
Of course it does.
8:37
It's DIA,
8:39
still considers Iran an emerging space power
8:42
capable of disrupting American military operations.
8:45
And exploiting satellite technology to improve its ability
8:48
to strike US targets,
8:50
and the findings present an interesting
8:52
contrast with earlier declarations from the Pentagon
8:55
back in March of this year.
8:57
CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper announced that
9:00
American forces had achieved space superiority over Iran
9:04
following strikes against the country's Space
9:06
Command and other military facilities.
9:08
But the latest intelligence assessment indicates that the regime
9:12
retains capabilities that could threaten American operations,
9:15
particularly through electronic warfare.
9:18
One of Iran's primary tools has been GPS jamming.
9:22
These are ground-based systems designed to interfere with
9:25
the satellite navigation signals used by military aircraft,
9:29
drones,
9:29
ships,
9:30
and precision guided weapons.
9:32
By transmitting electronic interference,
9:34
Iranian forces
9:35
have been able to disrupt the signals that military equipment rely heavily on.
9:39
We've already seen the dangers of this technology in the Persian Gulf.
9:43
In September,
9:43
the US Maritime Administration warned of widespread GPS interference
9:48
affecting commercial shipping in and around the Strait of Hormuz.
9:52
Some vessels have experienced navigation disruptions
9:54
while others have encountered GPS spoofing.
9:57
That's a technique that feeds receivers false location information.
10:01
In some cases,
10:02
ships can appear on navigation displays miles from their actual positions,
10:07
and that,
10:07
of course,
10:08
is particularly dangerous
10:09
in a narrow and heavily trafficked waterway like the Strait of Hormuz,
10:13
where even
10:14
minor navigation errors can have serious consequences.
10:17
And while the source of every interference incident hasn't been established.
10:21
The broader threat illustrates how electronic warfare can disrupt operations,
10:26
but there's another dimension to Iran's
10:28
space capabilities that's attracting American attention.
10:31
That would be foreign satellite intelligence.
10:33
According to Axios,
10:34
US officials are concerned about Tehran's access to satellite imagery
10:39
that can help Iranian forces identify American military positions,
10:42
monitor troop movements,
10:44
and potentially improve the accuracy of their attacks.
10:47
And this is where
10:49
China enters the picture.
10:50
Earlier this year,
10:51
the Financial Times reported that
10:53
Iran had gained access to a Chinese-built surveillance satellite
10:57
capable of collecting high resolution imagery,
11:00
and that's a report that we covered here on the PDB.
11:02
The US has sanctioned several Chinese
11:05
companies accused of supplying satellite intelligence
11:07
that helped Iran target American forces.
11:11
Russia,
11:11
of course,
11:11
has played a role as well,
11:13
launching Iranian satellites into orbit
11:15
and assisting Tehran's broader space program.
11:18
In addition to their own,
11:20
Iran can potentially rely on foreign
11:21
satellites for reconnaissance and targeting information,
11:25
even when
11:26
their own infrastructure has been damaged.
11:28
Military analysts do note that Iran's
11:31
capabilities still remain relatively limited,
11:33
but those limitations
11:35
don't make the threat irrelevant.
11:37
A country doesn't need to dominate space to interfere with an adversary
11:41
that depends heavily on satellite technology.
11:44
And that's why some defense
11:45
experts are questioning CENTCOM's earlier declaration
11:49
of space superiority.
11:51
The US may possess overwhelming military and technology advantages over Iran,
11:56
but that doesn't necessarily mean that Tehran has lost the ability
11:59
to disrupt American operations.
12:02
The intelligence assessment from the DIA also indicates that Iran is
12:05
working to make its own guidance and navigation systems more resistant
12:09
to electronic interference.
12:11
And with President Trump considering another
12:13
round of military operations against Iran,
12:16
These capabilities could become increasingly relevant.
12:20
All right.
12:21
Turning now to Ukraine,
12:22
where despite objections from the Trump administration,
12:25
and despite another round of peace negotiations possibly on the horizon,
12:29
Kiev is pressing ahead with its campaign against Russia's energy infrastructure,
12:33
arguing that
12:34
despite Ukraine's past willingness to pause such attacks,
12:38
Putin has yet to show any interest
12:40
in stopping the near daily Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure.
12:45
Last night Ukrainian drones struck a major oil refinery
12:48
that supplies Moscow as part of a widening offensive
12:51
aimed at disrupting Russia's fuel production
12:53
and putting additional economic pressure on the Kremlin,
12:56
and this was not an isolated attack.
12:59
In just the past week,
13:00
Ukrainian forces have targeted all three of the major refineries
13:04
responsible for supplying gasoline to the Russian capital.
13:07
According to the Washington Post,
13:09
the latest attack targeted the Ryazan oil refinery located southeast of Moscow,
13:14
along with a nearby logistics facility
13:17
operated by Waldberrys,
13:18
that's Russia's equivalent of Amazon.
13:21
Russian authorities reported fires at industrial facilities,
13:25
damage from falling drone debris,
13:27
and at least one person injured.
13:29
Parts of the surrounding area temporarily lost electricity.
13:32
Moscow claims its air defenses intercepted hundreds
13:35
of Ukrainian drones during the overnight assault.
13:38
Now the extent of the refinery damage remains unclear,
13:41
but Ryazan is a particularly important target.
13:44
The facility can process approximately 340,000 barrels of crude oil per day,
13:50
accounting for nearly 5%
13:52
of Russia's total refining capacity.
13:55
And earlier this week,
13:56
Ukrainian drones also attacked major refineries in N Nizhny Novgorod,
14:01
and Yaroslavl.
14:02
Together those 3 facilities represent a critical source of
14:05
gasoline for Moscow and of course the surrounding region.
14:09
Ukrainian intelligence officials claim the campaign
14:12
is producing significant results.
14:14
According to Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Agency,
14:17
long-range drone strikes have knocked 15 of Russia's 38
14:21
principal oil refineries out of operation since September.
14:25
That's nearly 40% if my math
14:28
serves me well.
14:29
The Washington Post could not independently verify that figure,
14:32
and it does not mean all those facilities remain shut down.
14:36
Still,
14:36
the attacks have contributed to fuel shortages,
14:39
rising prices,
14:40
and restrictions on Russian gasoline exports.
14:43
And that is creating friction with Washington.
14:47
President Trump has repeatedly urged both Russia and
14:49
Ukraine to stop attacking each other's energy infrastructure.
14:53
Last month,
14:54
he unilaterally announced what he described as an
14:56
energy ceasefire intended to prevent further damage,
15:00
while American negotiators pursued a broader peace agreement.
15:04
But
15:04
neither Moscow nor Kiev formally agreed to such an arrangement.
15:08
Ukraine
15:09
did suspend its strikes before then resuming the campaign,
15:12
arguing that Russia had continued bombing
15:15
Ukrainian power plants and electrical infrastructure.
15:18
And Kiev believes its attacks on Russian
15:20
refineries provide important leverage ahead of negotiations.
15:24
Ukrainian officials argue that damaging Russia's energy industry
15:28
is one of the very few ways they
15:30
can impose a substantial economic costs on Moscow
15:33
without launching major ground offensives.
15:35
The latest attack also came just hours before
15:37
an unusual diplomatic gathering at the White House.
15:41
First Lady Melania Trump hosted representatives from
15:43
both Russia and Ukraine on Thursday.
15:45
Recognizing a limited temporary humanitarian ceasefire
15:49
that allowed civilian evacuations and aid deliveries
15:52
to one town in Russian occupied territory,
15:55
among those participating was Kirill Dmitriyev,
15:58
a senior envoy to Vladimir Putin.
16:00
The gathering came ahead of USbrokered
16:02
peace negotiations that are reportedly scheduled
16:05
for November 10th and 11th in Abu Dhabi.
16:08
The continued attacks though illustrate the
16:11
enormous gap between the potential diplomatic discussions
16:15
and the reality on the battlefield.
16:17
And while Washington is pressuring Ukraine to stop striking Russian refineries,
16:21
Moscow continues targeting Ukraine's own energy infrastructure.
16:25
Russian missile and drone attacks have
16:27
damaged electrical facilities across the country,
16:29
forcing scheduled blackouts and leaving communities struggling
16:33
with electricity and heating as winter approaches.
16:37
For Kiev,
16:37
that is the fundamental problem with Trump's proposed energy ceasefire.
16:42
Ukrainian officials are reluctant to surrender one of
16:44
their most effective means of pressuring Russia,
16:47
while the Kremlin continues attacking the infrastructure
16:50
that keeps Ukrainian homes and businesses running.
16:54
Alright,
16:54
coming up in the back of the brief,
16:55
a former FBI agent is accused of stealing nearly a million dollars
17:00
from one of America's adversaries,
17:02
and then asking Chad GPT
17:04
for retirement advice.
17:06
More on that
17:07
when we come back.
17:10
Hey,
17:11
Mike Baker here
17:11
with another holiday shopping tip,
17:14
because,
17:14
well,
17:15
the holidays are right around the corner.
17:17
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17:19
right?
17:19
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17:23
Now,
17:23
for me,
17:24
thinking about my family,
17:25
especially as we get older.
17:26
Made me realize that the best thing I
17:28
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17:31
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17:32
better health and peace of mind.
17:34
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Hey,
18:29
Mike Baker here.
18:30
Let me take just a minute to talk to you about an incredibly important subject.
18:33
It's the absolute key to your health.
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Of course,
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I'm talking about
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Well,
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I don't know,
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and then,
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well,
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CPAP users know,
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right?
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the hose is tugging at you every time you roll over,
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In a closet.
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20:14
In today's Back of the Brief,
20:16
a former FBI counterintelligence agent is accused
20:18
of stealing nearly a million dollars in cryptocurrency
20:22
from a foreign adversary,
20:23
and then turning to Chat GPT
20:25
for advice on how to spend his ill-gotten fortune.
20:29
Apparently,
20:29
the plan involved retiring to a vineyard in Portugal.
20:32
Well,
20:33
that sounds lovely.
20:34
According to the Washington Post,
20:35
37 year old Patrick Yarra was a supervisor
20:38
in the FBI's Counterintelligence and Espionage division,
20:41
where he had access to some of the government's most sensitive investigations.
20:45
Prosecutors say Yo began accessing classified files involving
20:50
cases that he was not assigned to.
20:52
Oh well,
20:53
sometimes we would consider that to be a red flag,
20:55
memorizing pass phrases that allowed him to unlock cryptocurrency wallets
21:00
belonging to an adversarial foreign government,
21:03
and you ask yourself,
21:04
well,
21:04
which government,
21:05
uh,
21:06
authorities have yet to say.
21:08
But apparently Yarre was frustrated,
21:10
or at least so he says,
21:11
that the FBI wasn't doing more to seize the money.
21:14
That said,
21:15
he was just being a good Samaritan.
21:18
He allegedly decided to take matters into his own hands,
21:20
transferring approximately $1 million in cryptocurrency
21:24
into his personal account,
21:26
and that's when his retirement planning began,
21:28
oddly enough.
21:29
According to court documents,
21:31
Jerome opened Chat GPT
21:33
and posed a rather interesting hypothetical.
21:35
He asked if you had about a million dollars
21:38
and wanted to leave the US to become a
21:39
resident or citizen of a European Union country,
21:42
where would you go?
21:43
And Chat GPT
21:45
recommended Portugal,
21:47
and Euro apparently thought,
21:48
well,
21:48
that sounds pretty good.
21:50
In May,
21:50
he traveled to Portugal without notifying the federal government,
21:54
hired Portuguese lawyers,
21:55
and began exploring the possibility
21:57
of purchasing a vineyard.
21:59
A beautiful estate in the Portuguese countryside.
22:01
Why not?
22:02
A few acres of grapes,
22:03
some homemade wine in the evenings,
22:06
all financed allegedly by a cryptocurrency belonging
22:08
to one of America's foreign adversaries.
22:11
There was just one problem.
22:12
Eel never actually got around to spending the money,
22:15
and before he could begin his new career as a Portuguese winemaker,
22:18
he was arrested.
22:20
But here's perhaps the strangest part of the entire story.
22:22
According to his attorney,
22:23
the FBI didn't actually catch Euro stealing the money.
22:27
Instead,
22:28
he supposedly confessed.
22:30
His lawyer says he was overcome with remorse and
22:33
voluntarily reported his activities to authorities.
22:36
Prosecutor,
22:37
what a guy.
22:38
Prosecutors meanwhile aren't particularly impressed
22:40
with the suggestion that Uro was
22:41
some kind of patriotic Robin Hood stealing from America's enemies.
22:45
They argue the evidence shows he intended to enrich himself.
22:49
Ero was scheduled to plead guilty Thursday
22:51
in federal court in Virginia.
22:53
Now I don't know this for a fact,
22:55
but I suspect the wine choices in prison
22:57
are somewhat limited.
22:59
Perhaps a nice full burgundy to pair with that
23:02
metal tray of mystery meat and powdered potatoes.
23:05
And that my friends,
23:06
is the president's daily brief for Friday,
23:08
the 6th of November.
23:10
Now,
23:10
if you have any questions or comments,
23:11
please reach out to me at PDB@hefirsttv.com.
23:15
And of course,
23:16
as you just heard me say,
23:18
today is Friday.
23:19
PDB stalwarts know that every Friday we launch
23:22
a brand new episode of our weekend show,
23:24
the PDB Situation Report.
23:26
And as always,
23:26
it's filmed in living color and
23:28
features stereophonic surround sound.
23:30
It's really something.
23:31
This week's excellent guests include David Daoud from
23:34
the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.
23:36
David provides insight into the recent Israeli elections,
23:39
what the US midterm election results mean for the future of U.S.Israel relations,
23:44
and,
23:44
and also,
23:45
so we look at the termination of military financial aid to Jerusalem.
23:49
Also on this weekend's show,
23:50
Rick de la Torre,
23:51
he's a former senior CIA official.
23:54
Rick was the station chief in Caracas,
23:56
and so we look at the return
23:58
of opposition leader Maria Corina Machado to Venezuela.
24:01
And the potential for free and fair elections at some point in the future.
24:06
As always,
24:07
you can catch this latest episode of The Situation Report at 10:00 p.m. tonight
24:11
on the first TV
24:12
and of course on our YouTube channel.
24:15
I hope you'll check that out.
24:16
Just
24:17
wander on over to YouTube and search up at President's Daily Brief.
24:20
And of course,
24:21
you can find the Situation Report,
24:23
past and
24:24
current episodes
24:25
on podcast platforms wherever
24:28
you get your podcast stuff.
24:30
I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today with the PDB
24:33
afternoon bulletin.
24:34
Until then,
24:35
stay informed,
24:36
stay safe,
24:38
stay cool.