Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / The Very Big Question That The Big Ten Still Hasn't Answered For 2024
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to Buckeyes tomorrow morning for Tuesday, May seventh, I'm your host,
- 0:03tom or the Akron game in one hundred and sixteen days, the game against
- 0:07the Michigan in two hundred and seven days, depending on that, how that
- 0:10Ohio State Michigan game shakes out in two hundred and seven days could have a
- 0:15significant role in determining who plays for the Big Ten championship. Certainly would not
- 0:18be the first time that was the case, but it is the first time
- 0:22that we are at this point of the season and we have no idea how
- 0:26the Big Ten plans to break a tie. Because there are no more divisions
- 0:30this year. This is no longer a twelve team conference or a fourteen conference.
- 0:34Fourteen team conference, eighteen teams this year, no divisions. It feels
- 0:39almost inevitable that someone, you know, two teams are going to lose one
- 0:42conference game each or two conference games each. How are they going to break
- 0:46that tie? Well, as an article from John Wilner of Pac twelve Hotline
- 0:50reported on Monday, the Big Ten, well they haven't quite figured all that
- 0:54out, all those details just yet, but Tony Gernaman, Tony, they've
- 0:58got over two hundred days until the Ohio State Michigan game, and when you
- 1:02would you need to make these decisions on breaking ties? Tony, what's the
- 1:07rush? They've already figured out how how much TV money they're getting. Why
- 1:10do you need to worry about little things like breaking ties for conference championship?
- 1:15Yeah, you don't want to rush into anything. You would to have all
- 1:18of the information possible. Do you want to be able to make the most
- 1:21educated decision on how you're going to move forward. I wouldn't be shocked time
- 1:25if we see the old school Big Ten rule of hey, you made the
- 1:29playoffs last year, you can't go this year. Yeah, we are moving
- 1:36barefully into the future. But the no repeat rule returning probably not, Boy,
- 1:41I don't think that would go over real well if they brought back.
- 1:44And just in case you're wondering what he's talking about, way back in the
- 1:47day, they used to if you went to the Rose Bowl. One year
- 1:49you won the Big Ten, you went to the Rose Bowl. The next
- 1:52year you went to the Rose Bowl, you were not allowed to go to
- 1:55the Rose Bowl the following years. In nineteen sixty eight, Ohisted wins the
- 1:57national championship, they went to the Rose Bowl, beat usc and OJ Simpson.
- 2:04The next year, in nineteen sixty nine, if they had beat Michigan
- 2:07and finished their season with a perfect regular season record, that was it.
- 2:09That would have been the season they would have won the national championship because they
- 2:12were not eligible to go to the rose Ball the next year. That rule
- 2:15has been gone for a while. How are they going to break ties this
- 2:20year? Well, that is an open question. This was a fascinating article
- 2:23to me because it went into all sorts of stuff about all the different stuff
- 2:28they've had to figure out in terms of the schedule, because eighteen teams,
- 2:31you're playing in all sorts of you know, all four time zones, you're
- 2:36all over the place. It said they had two hundred and sixty two different
- 2:40versions of the schedule possible. I guess that is a testament to exactly how
- 2:50careful and detail oriented they are being. It also feels like a little bit
- 2:54of a testament to like, hey, this might be a little overly complicated
- 2:59with eighteen ten teams. Yeah, overly complicated with eighteen teams. No divisions,
- 3:05which makes things easier when you have divisions, because you have some constraints
- 3:08there here, you're kind of setting your own constraints, and you're not trying
- 3:12to make one program have any more difficult schedule than another. You want them
- 3:16all in the same kind of range in terms of difficulty, which is difficult
- 3:22when Ohio State doesn't have to play Ohio State and anybody else would, or
- 3:25Michigan doesn't have to play Michigan. So you've got these certain level of teams
- 3:30that can't play the hardest level of schedules necessarily because they've removed themselves from that.
- 3:36Whereas you've got to Purdue or Indiana and you've got to make things maybe
- 3:39a little bit easier for them and yet still make it similar to all of
- 3:45the other schedules. So all of these different things you've got to take into
- 3:46account, travel rivalries. The two hundred and sixty two things jumped out at
- 3:53me like that. You can't spend too much time on that many because there
- 3:59had to been somewhere. It's just like, we're not, you know,
- 4:01don't even a whole patch of what about this kind of thing that we do
- 4:08here, Like no, we'll just set those aside, but we're still going
- 4:10to count it to make it look like we're very, very thorough. But
- 4:15still this is not an easy thing when you're doing it for the first time
- 4:18and you're kind of setting how things are going to go for the next what
- 4:24five years or something like that. So the first time you're doing this,
- 4:27I think is a really really sizable undertaking. Well, and this is one
- 4:32of these things where with a lot of things in college football, you can
- 4:38kind of go back and look at, hey, if we did it this
- 4:42way, what would the last five years have looked like? And would there
- 4:45have been a really obvious year where it's like, oh boy, that really
- 4:48makes no sense, or oh boy, we would have really disqualified clearly the
- 4:53best team in the league based on tiebreaker priority or whatever. This year,
- 4:58adding four teams Oregon, Washington, USCUCLA to an already large conference, I
- 5:05don't know how you project. Okay, well, if you if those four
- 5:09teams had been playing in the Big Ten, here's definitely what would have happened
- 5:12the last five years. It feels like you're kind of trying to do this
- 5:14and it's gonna be a lot of guesswork. And the reason this is going
- 5:18to be a challenge this year is you have eighteen teams at the conference.
- 5:23They're playing nine conference games, you're playing more conference games than the SEC is,
- 5:27for example, so that's certainly gonna help, but that means there are
- 5:30eight teams in the conference that you're not playing every year, So you could
- 5:34very easily have a two or three way tie for second place, and there's
- 5:40no head to head between any of those teams to eliminate someone. So then
- 5:44you get into the okay, common opponents, Okay, you know, maybe
- 5:48it's teams above five hundred, And the whole point is they don't know what
- 5:51they're gonna use to break those ties yet. And so not only is that
- 5:56a big issue for the conference title game, because again there are no divisions
- 6:00this year, so there it is no longer going to be Ohio State or
- 6:04Michigan versus whatever sad sack team manages to scrape up nine wins out of you
- 6:10know, the Iowa, Minnesota, Purdue kind of group. It could potentially
- 6:15be Ohio State and Oregon and Michigan and Penn State all having one loss in
- 6:20the conference, and then how do you break that tie? And those are
- 6:24teams with significant national championship implications. The other piece of this tony is it's
- 6:30not just for the top two teams the conference standings and where teams rank in
- 6:35the conference could have a lot to do with college football playoff rankings and where
- 6:41you know, which teams make the playoff and does does a team have an
- 6:45opportunity to get that babeled extra data point for the committee to earn a spot
- 6:49in the field, or are you going to end up, you know,
- 6:53hurting your teams and having someone get left out because you screwed up your your
- 6:57tie breakers. Yeah, I'm interested to see how much the college Football Playoff,
- 7:03how much leeway they give themselves in these standings, because you know,
- 7:09I went through and and in preparation for this time, I went ahead and
- 7:14just picked all of the games for the Big Ten this year to see where
- 7:16teams would finish, just as an exercise. And say you have a nine
- 7:23to three Michigan that has a win over Texas, so they've got a really
- 7:29good quality win, but they have like a loss at Washington, lost to
- 7:31Oregon, lost to Ohio State, and somehow, in this scenario I went
- 7:36in, Nebraska goes ten to two. Now those two teams don't play each
- 7:41other, but Nebraska with losses to Ohio State and to USC and their best
- 7:46win would be like Colorado, Wisconsin or Iowa. You know, Nebraska is
- 7:54going to be head of Michigan in the Big Ten standings, But I don't
- 7:58know that the College Football Playoff Committe would see Michigan's win over Texas and the
- 8:03Michigan defending national title and champions and think, well, you know they're behind
- 8:09Nebraska. Our hands are kind of tired. We've got it. We'd have
- 8:11to go with Nebraska. So I'm interested to see how much they look at
- 8:16that. In terms of the tie breaker. I kind of assume that the
- 8:22Big Ten will just act as if they do with the when they'd have a
- 8:26three way tie. You go and like, okay, what's the record against
- 8:31everybody in a division? And now there are no divisions, so it's like
- 8:33you've got a tie, but two teams. You just treat it as a
- 8:37threeway tie. What's the record against the top five teams in the conference,
- 8:39you know, something like that, and maybe go from there all the way
- 8:45down to what's their record against this scenario to you finally get to the coin
- 8:48flip. But kind of think that the easiest way would just be to treat
- 8:52that head to head as a three way tie. And you just get down
- 8:56to the first scenario that actually makes sense because it starts out with like divisions,
- 9:01and there are no divisions, so now you've got to get down to
- 9:03like the other division is like that. No, just break it down to
- 9:07the they say the top six or the top five conference teams or the top
- 9:11seven or whatever far enough to where you think you get a pretty good chance
- 9:15of eliminating kind of that that record. But the thing is it's one loss,
- 9:22so it's like you might you might be able to break it with that
- 9:28tie based on that record. But again, that's why there's like six levels
- 9:31to this thing. So I you could just at some point just go with
- 9:37the easy answer. We're gonna let the CFP decide, you know, where
- 9:43things stand. And we've seen that with the with the Big Twelve doing that
- 9:46a few years back, where it's like, yeah, we'd rather you'd rather
- 9:52not stick our nose in there. We'll just let somebody else tell us who
- 9:54won. I do like the fact that your scenario is what happens if Michigan
- 10:01and Nebraska are really close, Tony, they just split. They just share
- 10:03the College Football Playoff breath. We've seen it. There's President to college football
- 10:07history. I'm sure it can happen again. The fun thing about this and
- 10:13I'm using fun, and I'm honestly not sure if I really mean it is
- 10:16like actual fun or just kind of like, well, this is going to
- 10:18be interesting and possibly a disaster. Is all of these things are changing this
- 10:22year, Like sure, yeah they don't know what the tiebreaker is, and
- 10:26yeah, it's going to potentially play a role in the college football Playoff,
- 10:31and yeah it's going to be a new college football playoff, and yeah,
- 10:33there's no longer as many power conference teams as there are power conferences as used
- 10:37to be, and all of this stuff is all changing at once, and
- 10:43the SEC has its own I'm sure issues. I have not seen an SEC
- 10:46tiebreaker scenario yet. I'm not sure if they have one or not. Maybe
- 10:50they will, maybe they won't. But you've got all these new teams in
- 10:52the SEC. You've got all these new teams in the Big Ten, the
- 10:56Big twelve, usadded people callen Stanford or in the ACC for some reason,
- 11:01and you got this new expanded playoff. This is just gonna be a wild
- 11:07year. I feel like you kind of go into a lot of college football
- 11:09seasons feeling like, you know, sometimes you're right something that's wrong, but
- 11:13it's like, these are gonna be the four teams in the playoff, and
- 11:15this is how it's gonna go, and you kind of yeah, yeah,
- 11:16I sort of know what's gonna I have no idea what to expect this year,
- 11:20because yeah, you know, certain teams are gonna be good, but
- 11:24there are so many different things that we've never seen before, and all these
- 11:28things are changing at once. I think I think I really mean the word
- 11:33fun in the traditional sense of fun when I say this is gonna be fun
- 11:37this year. I'm pretty sure I mean it. But this is gonna be
- 11:39fun this year. Fun if you're the kind of person that likes to keep
- 11:43score a baseball game. That kind of fun. Because I feel like when
- 11:48we get the Phil Steel magazine, you're gonna be looking like where is this
- 11:52team now? Like forget the players, that's another topic, like where is
- 11:56this team that SMU and here? And I didn't even realize all of these
- 12:00teams were in the ACC. But I mean, you could have another show
- 12:03entirely on like guess where the quarterback is now? And see how how you
- 12:07do, And you're going to have to make that a game show, a
- 12:09weekly game show in terms of a now where is this quarterback? Like the
- 12:13Kwan Finn at Baylor? Now, like a lot of that stuff is going
- 12:20to be really fun to watch at that point it and it's kind of disappointing
- 12:24times to see like it's Alito lose a very good player. But then it's
- 12:28like, yeah, but now he's he's gonna be in a a bigger opportunity.
- 12:33Uh, new face isn't as I always say, that's the best thing
- 12:37about college football, the new faces every year. Now, not necessarily the
- 12:41same face on new teams every year, but you know, you know,
- 12:46you only get the same team in college football once. It's oh it's different
- 12:52every single year now more than ever. Yes, go ahead and grab a
- 12:56scorecard, keep score at home, because it's the you know, you get
- 13:00a program wherever you go, and you can look at it like I remember
- 13:03this guy on Michigan State last year, and now I'm watching him play or
- 13:05Ohio State or for Nebraska wherever. And remember the player that you're booing tomorrow
- 13:11you could be cheering for the next day. It is a wild time with
- 13:15players and teams and college football playoff scenarios and all that kind of stuff changing
- 13:20seemingly every time you do look. Someone's in a different spot, someone's playing
- 13:24somewhere different, some team is playing in a different league. Yeah, former
- 13:28Toledo quarterback to Kwan Finn will end up playing I assume Arizona State and Utah
- 13:33and sure, why not in the Big twelve? Absolutely? Why not?
- 13:35Sure? Welcome to twenty twenty four where the rules are made up and the
- 13:41points don't matter. That is college football this year. It is going to
- 13:43be a whole heck of a lot of fun. Will be following all that
- 13:46for you at Buckeheadle dot com. This is a great week. We are
- 13:50running that annual membership sale right now. This is a great week. If
- 13:54you have not jumped on that deal already, this is the time to do
- 13:56it. Kevin and Mark are doing their Southern swing right now. They just
- 14:01met with David Sanders, five star offensive lineman, top offensive lineman in the
- 14:05class of twenty twenty five. He just made a surprise visit to Ohio State
- 14:09over the weekend, and Mark and Kevin made a visit with him on Monday.
- 14:13Really really good interest interview. There lots of information inside information for you
- 14:18at bucke huddle dot com on that and what is certainly heating up as one
- 14:22of the potential biggest targets for Ohio State in the class of twenty twenty five.
- 14:26Great insight, great analysis in those guys on the huddle board, presented
- 14:30by Jeff Rubys Steakhouse all at bucke huddle dot com. We hope to see
- 14:33you there. That'll do it for today. Thank you guys all for joining
- 14:35us. Have a great day. We'll talk Jit tomorrow.