Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 9
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BED three
- 0:12Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.
- 0:15Speaker 1: Live from our Tommy John Holmes Studios. I am Chad
- 0:18Speaker 1: Mohman of the Action Network. Folks, this is our Sunday
- 0:23Speaker 1: night episode for the second week in a row. We're
- 0:24Speaker 1: going live while we are sweating the end of a
- 0:28Speaker 1: game last week was tragic, horrific, created a moment that
- 0:34Speaker 1: I know many of us will remember. I do not,
- 0:38Speaker 1: because I blacked out the rest of this show. While
- 0:41Speaker 1: we sweat the end of this rams Seahawks game Rams
- 0:46Speaker 1: up by seven two minute warning they're about to punt
- 0:50Speaker 1: the ball. We have the RAMS minus one and a half.
- 0:53Speaker 1: We need the RAMS for our lungs. Other than that,
- 0:58Speaker 1: we will review our five favorite pick that we put
- 1:00Speaker 1: into the contest today to sect the games we left out,
- 1:03Speaker 1: preview the early lines we already like for Week ten, Folks,
- 1:08Speaker 1: Week ten, I'm joined as always, buying my co host,
- 1:10Speaker 1: my companion, Mike Capadre, my professional better Simon Hunter or
- 1:15Speaker 1: at Simon.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Hello, Chad? How are we doing?
- 1:18Speaker 1: This is why we do it? This is the fun,
- 1:20Speaker 1: This is the sweat, this is the test. We've liked
- 1:23Speaker 1: the Rams. We liked the Rams all week. We had
- 1:25Speaker 1: a chance to take them out when they were favorites.
- 1:27Speaker 1: We decided to stick with it. We thought they were
- 1:29Speaker 1: better team. This game has been back and forth. We're
- 1:31Speaker 1: going to get into it, but out of the corner
- 1:33Speaker 1: of my eye, we're going to sweat this game. I'm
- 1:36Speaker 1: not going to mush us in any way as they
- 1:38Speaker 1: might have done last week with the Chicago Bears. But
- 1:42Speaker 1: this is the kind of day it's been. Okay Simon
- 1:44Speaker 1: for me, based on Sean Kerner's advice, I'm convinced me
- 1:50Speaker 1: this morning I bet Cody Barton over seven and a
- 1:53Speaker 1: half tackles and assists in the Ravens Broncos games game
- 1:56Speaker 1: to this morning. He had seven and a half tackles
- 1:59Speaker 1: and assists for the entire fourth quarter. He did not cash.
- 2:03Speaker 1: He missed the eighth tackle on a penalty against the
- 2:07Speaker 1: Broncos near the goal line that the Ravens accepted the penalty,
- 2:13Speaker 1: the play didn't count. He never got another He never
- 2:17Speaker 1: got in another play again. It's been a strange, challenging,
- 2:21Speaker 1: difficult day. Let's see if the Rams can get this
- 2:24Speaker 1: punt off, you might be ahead of me. Right now.
- 2:26Speaker 1: But the last time they tried this in this area
- 2:28Speaker 1: didn't work. They did, that's good news. Fair catch by
- 2:32Speaker 1: the Seahawks one fifty four Seahawks coming out of the field.
- 2:36Speaker 1: Catch Every episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. For
- 2:38Speaker 1: those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a
- 2:41Speaker 1: like and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. As
- 2:44Speaker 1: a reminder, The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three
- 2:47Speaker 1: six five and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers
- 2:50Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars in bonus bets when you bet
- 2:52Speaker 1: five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars.
- 2:56Speaker 1: Place a bet for five dollars to get two hundred
- 2:58Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets. A bonus bets can be used
- 3:01Speaker 1: on spreads, told his player, preps, futures, and more, whatever
- 3:03Speaker 1: the moment, It's never ordinary. A Bet three sixty five
- 3:07Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,
- 3:13Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and
- 3:17Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler
- 3:20Speaker 1: one hundred bets off in Iowa terms, conditions, restrictions apply.
- 3:26Speaker 2: Now it's going to be a sweat.
- 3:27Speaker 1: This is going to be exhausting.
- 3:29Speaker 2: Engine is not having the best game.
- 3:30Speaker 3: I mean, other than those insane deep downfield throws right now,
- 3:33Speaker 3: he's not playing that great of a game. So both quarterbacks,
- 3:36Speaker 3: even Stafford. Stafford, how many three and ounces he had
- 3:39Speaker 3: in this game?
- 3:39Speaker 1: So dude, that was in his hands, that interception was
- 3:43Speaker 1: in his hands.
- 3:44Speaker 2: He just ended, we know what it's about. The half of.
- 3:48Speaker 1: Al Right, here's the good news. When we had our
- 3:49Speaker 1: Sunday conversation, we were starting to feel really good about
- 3:54Speaker 1: the Giants at four and a half in the contest,
- 3:57Speaker 1: Cowboys at three and a half in the content test,
- 4:00Speaker 1: and we still like New England at three and a
- 4:02Speaker 1: half in the contest, all of them ugly dogs. Of course,
- 4:05Speaker 1: we also loved the Packers at Packers at three and
- 4:08Speaker 1: a half. We had it locked in Thursday. By Sunday
- 4:11Speaker 1: it was two and a half. We decided not to
- 4:14Speaker 1: change anything because we wanted to keep the Packers line.
- 4:18Speaker 1: And thank god, because our favorites the Buffalo Bills minus six,
- 4:23Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints minus seven and a half, They
- 4:26Speaker 1: should have won both of those games by thirty. It
- 4:29Speaker 1: will be interesting to see what Nick Giffen's expected scores
- 4:35Speaker 1: for those games should have been, because it's tragic they
- 4:39Speaker 1: didn't dominate those games. The Patriots got all the bounces
- 4:45Speaker 1: we hadn't gotten all season, thank god. All right, Geno
- 4:49Speaker 1: just threw a short pass out of bounds because no
- 4:52Speaker 1: one can tackle. Thank god for the Patriots today. I
- 5:01Speaker 1: feel like, because we've got this game sort of, it's
- 5:05Speaker 1: hard to get into the games right now. What you
- 5:11Speaker 1: know what we should do. Let's talk about this game
- 5:13Speaker 1: for a second, because to me, while we're watching this game,
- 5:17Speaker 1: we're going to jump ahead to the Rams.
- 5:20Speaker 3: Fourth a half, fourth and five now, so this might
- 5:22Speaker 3: be over in literally thirty seconds hopefully.
- 5:24Speaker 1: All Right, you're a little bit ahead of me, so great,
- 5:27Speaker 1: but let's talk about this one anyways. To me, like
- 5:30Speaker 1: the key moment was the end of the first half.
- 5:32Speaker 1: Like in the red zone, Stanford nearly throws a pick
- 5:36Speaker 1: the first time in the red zone all game. This
- 5:39Speaker 1: was a red zone liss game until nearly the end
- 5:42Speaker 1: of first half. He nearly throws a pick on one
- 5:45Speaker 1: play a bad incompletion than a fumbled snap.
- 5:49Speaker 2: This ain't over. Unfortunately, this is an ugly game.
- 5:52Speaker 3: This is a true divisional game right here. Let's jump
- 5:54Speaker 3: the other games just code. We might have to come
- 5:56Speaker 3: back to this one.
- 5:56Speaker 1: Anyway, all right, So Miami Buffalo. We'll start back at
- 6:00Speaker 1: the beginning. The Bills driving in the red zone Miami
- 6:04Speaker 1: like it had been a pretty close game. Early in
- 6:07Speaker 1: the second quarter, Josh Allen hits key on Coleman on
- 6:10Speaker 1: a slant two yard line. Coleman bobbles, the ball bounces
- 6:14Speaker 1: into Jalen Ramsey's hands. The Fins then go on a
- 6:17Speaker 1: fifteen play, eight minute drive to score a touchdown, and
- 6:21Speaker 1: that sort of let them find their rhythm, and the
- 6:23Speaker 1: Bills couldn't ever get ahead in the way that they
- 6:27Speaker 1: really needed to cover a six point number. Doesn't help
- 6:30Speaker 1: that they missed an extra point and then nearly missed
- 6:34Speaker 1: another extra point, and when they finally get the lead
- 6:37Speaker 1: of seven points midway through the fourth, they then let
- 6:41Speaker 1: Miami go eleven plays in five minutes and only got
- 6:44Speaker 1: him to third down once on that final drive. What
- 6:49Speaker 1: happened here, it was.
- 6:50Speaker 2: A bunch of stuff. I mean, obviously you just talked about.
- 6:52Speaker 3: Though they came out to slopy offensively, right, they couldn't
- 6:55Speaker 3: really finish drives, put drives together, pick the field goal
- 6:58Speaker 3: to start the game. But I mean we talked a
- 7:01Speaker 3: little before he came on. I just think that penalty
- 7:03Speaker 3: in the first half, they score Josh Allen amazing rushing
- 7:06Speaker 3: touchdown and they call it back on a fantin and
- 7:09Speaker 3: holding call, and that kind of right there. When we bet,
- 7:11Speaker 3: we talk all the time you bet big favorites like
- 7:13Speaker 3: this that four points is gonna matter.
- 7:15Speaker 2: They kicked up a three there instead of getting the four,
- 7:18Speaker 2: and that.
- 7:18Speaker 3: Really did dictate the second half, where you know, that
- 7:21Speaker 3: would have been a different game. If they're up eleven
- 7:23Speaker 3: on that Miami team, they could play that different defensive instead,
- 7:26Speaker 3: like you said, they're only up seven, so Miami could
- 7:29Speaker 3: still run the ball, and that was the key to
- 7:30Speaker 3: them in this game. I mean, h Chan dominated this
- 7:33Speaker 3: game against them, and.
- 7:35Speaker 2: We got lucky.
- 7:35Speaker 3: They gave a couple of touches to most a Moster
- 7:38Speaker 3: got uh you know, stripped, stripped from the ball. I
- 7:41Speaker 3: think someone punched it out and it was like, Okay,
- 7:44Speaker 3: that's what we needed for our Buffalo bet. But yeah,
- 7:47Speaker 3: that they had a chance to win it. I think
- 7:49Speaker 3: I think it was fourth down two on that final
- 7:51Speaker 3: drive by Miami. They picked it up and getting that touchdown.
- 7:54Speaker 3: Like you said, it's it's a dead bet, especially at
- 7:57Speaker 3: the number we bet it. So that's that's life and
- 7:59Speaker 3: your I had these big favorites.
- 8:01Speaker 1: I will say that I still would have bet the Bills.
- 8:05Speaker 1: They were our favorite bet all week. It was.
- 8:07Speaker 2: Yeah, it's tough.
- 8:08Speaker 1: I think we got buggered.
- 8:09Speaker 2: It was it was a bet we usually don't make.
- 8:11Speaker 2: We did.
- 8:12Speaker 3: Did not work out for us, But like you just said,
- 8:14Speaker 3: it's one I'd always make in the future too. It's
- 8:16Speaker 3: I like that number, I like the spot, and that
- 8:19Speaker 3: that didn't work out for me this week. This another game,
- 8:21Speaker 3: we're gonna talk about the minutes. Same thing with Green Bay.
- 8:23Speaker 3: It's like like the number, like the spot, and we
- 8:25Speaker 3: always talked about the bounces, little things didn't go away,
- 8:27Speaker 3: and the same thing happened this Bills game where you
- 8:30Speaker 3: know that Josh Allen pick not his fault, stupid play
- 8:34Speaker 3: penalties didn't go away and uh yeah, great cover by Miami.
- 8:38Speaker 1: New Orleans a Carolina Carolina minus seven and a half.
- 8:41Speaker 1: Remember when I said on Thursday we were leaning towards leaning,
- 8:45Speaker 1: we were leaning towards betting. The worst QB against the
- 8:48Speaker 1: spread in the past twenty years and the worst coach
- 8:50Speaker 1: against the spread in the past twenty years, Why do
- 8:52Speaker 1: we think it was a good idea to bet the Saints.
- 8:55Speaker 3: I can't really hate it. I like the panther strade DATAE. Johnson, like,
- 9:00Speaker 3: they're just they had a bunch of injuries. They still
- 9:02Speaker 3: have a bunch of injuries to their team.
- 9:04Speaker 2: Losing Alive they killed us, like Derek Carr.
- 9:06Speaker 3: Losing the number one, number two receiver because she Sheid
- 9:10Speaker 3: has been out for a couple of weeks. Now, it's
- 9:13Speaker 3: we saw it like it was tough for them to
- 9:14Speaker 3: keep a lead, and then when Alive went out, that
- 9:16Speaker 3: team just seems shook from that whole thing of this
- 9:18Speaker 3: guy getting knocked.
- 9:19Speaker 2: Out of the game.
- 9:19Speaker 3: And I'm with you, like, normally we're on the other
- 9:22Speaker 3: side of that one. I did feel pretty good though,
- 9:25Speaker 3: once the game started. I was like, thank god we
- 9:27Speaker 3: took the Saints too. They're gonna roll this team. But yeah,
- 9:30Speaker 3: that was that was a bad bet. Saints outdoors Divisional
- 9:34Speaker 3: game usually ru on the other side of that one,
- 9:35Speaker 3: So yeah, I definitely regretted it.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Well, it wasn't even a lot of like it was
- 9:38Speaker 1: the first two drives they couldn't get into the end zone,
- 9:42Speaker 1: you know they were Yeah, they kicked field goals, like
- 9:45Speaker 1: you get in the end zone on those two and
- 9:47Speaker 1: you're having a different conversation. And then Bryce Young didn't
- 9:49Speaker 1: even do a sort of stupid Bryce Young stuff where
- 9:53Speaker 1: he always sort of throws an interception. Yeah, a good game,
- 9:57Speaker 1: Yeah he played all right? U. All right, let's talk
- 10:01Speaker 1: about the last one we've lost, at least officially so
- 10:05Speaker 1: far today, which is Green Bay. Man. This one, this
- 10:12Speaker 1: one hurts a lot. Yeah, because this is the game
- 10:17Speaker 1: that set the tone for our week and the tone
- 10:20Speaker 1: for our day. We were so ready to fade a
- 10:25Speaker 1: peak Lions team outside in terrible weather for the first time,
- 10:31Speaker 1: first game outside all year, and like initially it looked
- 10:37Speaker 1: like the Packers should have been able to run all
- 10:40Speaker 1: over them and the Lions. We've been talking all year
- 10:46Speaker 1: how the reason we're betting the Lions isn't because of
- 10:49Speaker 1: the fireworks of their offensive scheme. It's only because their
- 10:54Speaker 1: offensive line is so freaking good. It's kind of what
- 10:57Speaker 1: we saw today, Like in the rain, in the muck,
- 11:00Speaker 1: in the wind, their offensive Line overpowered the Packers. Their
- 11:04Speaker 1: run game was tremendous. It made the difference the entire game.
- 11:10Speaker 2: Did.
- 11:10Speaker 3: But it was also you know, Jordan Love, I think
- 11:16Speaker 3: we saw in that game, who's the young second year
- 11:20Speaker 3: starting quarterback, right, I think that really shined out Like golf,
- 11:24Speaker 3: that moment did not seem too big for him in
- 11:27Speaker 3: any way.
- 11:28Speaker 2: And now I know that Love had.
- 11:31Speaker 3: An injury coming into this game, and you know he
- 11:33Speaker 3: didn't move great in the pocket or trying.
- 11:34Speaker 1: To get on the coin toss.
- 11:35Speaker 2: By the way, oh geez. Same with.
- 11:40Speaker 3: Sam could be said though about just you know, everyone
- 11:46Speaker 3: coming to that game was going to bet the lines,
- 11:47Speaker 3: and I thought we had a great number where okay,
- 11:49Speaker 3: this number might land on two and two or three,
- 11:53Speaker 3: but there's no way we're not covering the three and
- 11:55Speaker 3: a half. I just thought we had gotten such a
- 11:56Speaker 3: great number, especially with the movement of the number and
- 12:01Speaker 3: you know him dropping wicks dropping that.
- 12:03Speaker 2: Touchdown the end zone.
- 12:04Speaker 3: We both knew it's like, okay for them to get
- 12:05Speaker 3: this backdoor now, that's that chance is pretty much dead now.
- 12:08Speaker 3: And uh yeah that that was a huge game for Lines,
- 12:12Speaker 3: and I wish I could be happy with some of
- 12:13Speaker 3: that bet lines futures, but we talk all the time,
- 12:16Speaker 3: like the futures market, I bet so little compared to
- 12:19Speaker 3: what I have on these games week week, Like the
- 12:21Speaker 3: amount I just lost on Green Bay Nukes the amount
- 12:24Speaker 3: I'd win on the Lions when this division.
- 12:27Speaker 2: So I wish I.
- 12:28Speaker 3: Could be happy about it, because this is a big
- 12:29Speaker 3: win if you were Allan's future bet. But now that
- 12:32Speaker 3: that one's stunk, that was a bad bet. This Lions
- 12:35Speaker 3: team's just a juggernaut and we will catch them eventually, right,
- 12:38Speaker 3: they will eventually have value on the other side. I
- 12:42Speaker 3: don't know what it's gonna be, Chack, because you're just nailed.
- 12:44Speaker 3: This was the spot, bad weather, everything kind of working
- 12:48Speaker 3: against them, and you know they were even playing that
- 12:50Speaker 3: good That picked six by Love flipped the whole thing,
- 12:53Speaker 3: And I wish I could say, well, that was just random,
- 12:55Speaker 3: But he's had a couple of games now with those
- 12:57Speaker 3: type of plays where he just does too much. So
- 12:59Speaker 3: uh yeah, that was a tough loss and a bat bet.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Their run game, there was a key play to me.
- 13:11Speaker 1: The key play was the Packers are driving, They've got
- 13:15Speaker 1: a third and five. It's an out route to Tucker Craft.
- 13:19Speaker 1: He just drops it, and then the very next play
- 13:22Speaker 1: they miss a field goal, and instead of going from
- 13:26Speaker 1: seven to six, the Lions then go down. They're up
- 13:30Speaker 1: ten to three, and then the Packers do what they do,
- 13:33Speaker 1: which is be aggressive, which you'd want them to do.
- 13:35Speaker 1: But that's when the Kirby Joseph picks six happens, and
- 13:40Speaker 1: like they couldn't get back into it, you know, in
- 13:43Speaker 1: fourth and one in the third quarter, Jared Goffe at
- 13:47Speaker 1: this point thirteen of fifteen and they handed to Jamior Gibbs,
- 13:52Speaker 1: you rushes straight up the middle for a touchdown. Like
- 13:56Speaker 1: if you can't bet against this team when they're playing
- 13:59Speaker 1: outside anymore, they just may be the greatest team in
- 14:03Speaker 1: NFL history. That's that's the only thing we can say.
- 14:06Speaker 3: No that I mean, we joked at the beginning of the
- 14:09Speaker 3: year that this team the Saints were like the new
- 14:15Speaker 3: greatest show on turf. We all know that this Lions
- 14:18Speaker 3: team is that team, right. They're this juggernaut offensively and
- 14:22Speaker 3: in a game like today, their defense can now show up.
- 14:25Speaker 2: Right.
- 14:25Speaker 3: That's why we said they aiden Hudchson was such a
- 14:27Speaker 3: big loss because it's like they finally have a pretty
- 14:29Speaker 3: good complete defense, and you know, that was that was
- 14:34Speaker 3: a huge deal to their team. So yeah, I can't
- 14:37Speaker 3: believe it, like that was such a good number. That
- 14:40Speaker 3: guy dropping that touchdown. That's gonna halt me for the
- 14:42Speaker 3: next like night, I'm trying to get I'm gonna hopefully
- 14:44Speaker 3: get over it by Tuesday show.
- 14:45Speaker 2: But that's just those are the.
- 14:47Speaker 3: Ones that just you know, they're just brutal because you
- 14:49Speaker 3: bet heavy on a number and you have a great
- 14:51Speaker 3: number and you're feeling confident in all week, and it's like,
- 14:53Speaker 3: you know, you see the plays in your mind that
- 14:55Speaker 3: can make the difference, and they didn't happen. And that's
- 14:57Speaker 3: unfortunately part of sports betting.
- 15:01Speaker 1: For better is like these are the nuances that matter.
- 15:04Speaker 1: By the way, Seahawks just gained another first down, back
- 15:07Speaker 1: to back touchdowns in the afternoon games, we needed the
- 15:11Speaker 1: Rams and the Packers with less than a minute left
- 15:14Speaker 1: in the first half. That was excruciating. Unlike Fluke plays,
- 15:20Speaker 1: those are those are the moments you don't forget that
- 15:23Speaker 1: just haunt you. I just want to remind you the
- 15:28Speaker 1: Rams dropped an interception that could have ended this game. Yep,
- 15:33Speaker 1: it was in his hands and he dropped it, and now.
- 15:39Speaker 2: They were dominating this whole game.
- 15:40Speaker 3: I just can't get over the fact they give the
- 15:42Speaker 3: thirteen points in that last minute of the first half.
- 15:44Speaker 3: It's just it's on the coach and you want to
- 15:47Speaker 3: blame the players. That's just that's that's on the coaching
- 15:50Speaker 3: like that that to make those kind of mistakes defensively
- 15:52Speaker 3: is just brutal.
- 15:53Speaker 1: Are listen the game that may have saved our season
- 15:59Speaker 1: today not to be a dramatic New England Patriots at
- 16:04Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans, a day saving miracle from a rookie QB
- 16:11Speaker 1: coming off of a concussion on the road. Yeah, this
- 16:15Speaker 1: is when betting makes the least sense. We had New
- 16:17Speaker 1: England plus three and a half at Tennessee and the
- 16:21Speaker 1: first half was like full of all the missed opportunities
- 16:24Speaker 1: that usually goal dooing bad teams like we had the
- 16:27Speaker 1: miss field goal, they got to pick in their end
- 16:29Speaker 1: zone in the Titans in in their end zone, couldn't
- 16:32Speaker 1: convert it into a touchdown. They actually fumbled on the
- 16:36Speaker 1: first play of the second half but recovered it and
- 16:39Speaker 1: then they went on a sixteen play drive to take
- 16:41Speaker 1: the lead. Looked amazing. The Titans tied it Drake me
- 16:45Speaker 1: fumbles deep in his end zone.
- 16:48Speaker 2: No Titans, just I think he was on his own
- 16:49Speaker 2: twenty five.
- 16:50Speaker 1: I mean deep in his deep it like deep in
- 16:52Speaker 1: his uh, in his territory, and Jesus this game, uh you.
- 17:00Speaker 3: Know, Oh my god, Well they stopped him. So it's
- 17:05Speaker 3: fourth and one, so we'll see.
- 17:07Speaker 1: Oh dude, you're so far ahead of me. Yeah, hold on, well,
- 17:13Speaker 1: hold on, let's watch what happens here.
- 17:14Speaker 2: Well, I already told you they're fourth and one, and
- 17:16Speaker 2: I'll tell you a second.
- 17:17Speaker 3: I to kick a field goal and oh oh from
- 17:19Speaker 3: that far ahead of you, got it. So we're not
- 17:23Speaker 3: dead yet.
- 17:23Speaker 2: That wouldn't if they tied, then we do lose this
- 17:26Speaker 2: back because of a tie.
- 17:27Speaker 1: Uh, Drake May fumbles the ball in his own twenty four,
- 17:31Speaker 1: the Titans score toshdown, then it's Drake May time. Simon. Yeah,
- 17:38Speaker 1: like he canvert in that final drive.
- 17:42Speaker 2: How do you not be excited if you're a Newland Patriots?
- 17:45Speaker 1: Well, because he played like like he played like a
- 17:47Speaker 1: real quarterback. He ran when he had to run, He
- 17:49Speaker 1: made great throws down field.
- 17:51Speaker 3: He takes on contact like an idiot, though there's a
- 17:53Speaker 3: couple of times he runs in the Guys, you're like dude,
- 17:56Speaker 3: please protect your body, Like, come.
- 17:59Speaker 1: On, okay, the Rams just call the time out.
- 18:01Speaker 2: On fourth and one.
- 18:02Speaker 1: The Seahawks were going for it in this window with
- 18:06Speaker 1: the minute forty five left. I'm sure everybody saw it.
- 18:09Speaker 1: He converted two third downs, a fourth down, scrambled fifteen seconds,
- 18:14Speaker 1: gets it. He's going down. Lofts a miracle into the
- 18:17Speaker 1: end zone to remindre Stevenson touchdown. How do they not
- 18:22Speaker 1: go for two?
- 18:25Speaker 2: I don't know you.
- 18:26Speaker 3: I was screaming, like I was like a lily cursing
- 18:28Speaker 3: that guy's name. I was like, Mayo is the worst.
- 18:30Speaker 2: Coach on football. How do you not go for two?
- 18:33Speaker 1: How do you not go for two?
- 18:34Speaker 3: You got a tired defense, you have all the momentum.
- 18:37Speaker 3: It doesn't make sense why he did that. I mean,
- 18:40Speaker 3: that's just an issue of he doesn't have like an
- 18:42Speaker 3: analytics guy in the sideline with him to talk to him.
- 18:44Speaker 3: Just tell them the numbers where it's like, mathematically, that's the spot.
- 18:47Speaker 3: You're a team with nothing to lose, try to steal
- 18:50Speaker 3: the game right there. Over time, it never works out
- 18:53Speaker 3: for you. Oh my god, lad, we're not dead yet.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Oh my god, dead? Yeah?
- 18:58Speaker 1: Oh my god, Oh my god. Oh my god, don't
- 19:00Speaker 1: tell me. Don't tell me, crazy, tell me, don't tell me,
- 19:03Speaker 1: don't tell me. How am I so far behind you?
- 19:05Speaker 1: This is ridiculous. Oh my god, you didn't get it.
- 19:08Speaker 2: I'll send my guy up to you next weekend. I'll
- 19:11Speaker 2: get you on that new cable.
- 19:15Speaker 1: Wow.
- 19:16Speaker 3: Yeah, this, I mean, this is gonna be painful because
- 19:19Speaker 3: I'm already back and now it's like, okay, Stafford, just
- 19:21Speaker 3: get us the field goal. But man, we've we've lost
- 19:24Speaker 3: and won this game about twenty times, and I like, legit,
- 19:30Speaker 3: need this or I'm gonna have a rough day.
- 19:32Speaker 1: Bet Simon. This is exhilarating. This is why we do it.
- 19:37Speaker 1: It's why our whole community is here with us right
- 19:42Speaker 1: now to enjoy the roller coaster of emotions that we
- 19:46Speaker 1: are sharing with everybody in this moment as we try
- 19:50Speaker 1: to will the Rams to not tie this freaking game.
- 19:55Speaker 2: Enjoy. Because I rarely sweat. This is a true sweat, though,
- 19:57Speaker 2: because I need this one for today. I had some.
- 20:01Speaker 1: It was an ugly one. It was it was a
- 20:03Speaker 1: hard day. It wasn't great.
- 20:06Speaker 2: Boom Stafford, baby.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Oh goodness, listen, just do the play by play because
- 20:12Speaker 1: you're so far ahead of me.
- 20:15Speaker 2: No, I can't relive that what you did that did.
- 20:17Speaker 1: Not just happen. He did not just throw it into
- 20:20Speaker 1: triple coverage to one guy, one guy who could come
- 20:25Speaker 1: out with it. Oh my god, that was insane. Listen,
- 20:33Speaker 1: the last thing we're I do want to say, the
- 20:36Speaker 1: last thing we're going to say about the Patriots. He
- 20:38Speaker 1: should have gone for two. Yeah, Like, we may have
- 20:41Speaker 1: already gotten our miracle today because the Titans had a
- 20:46Speaker 1: twelve page drive, twelve play drive. It took seven minutes,
- 20:48Speaker 1: eight rushes. They are beating up on a defense that
- 20:51Speaker 1: you just noticed is tired. On third and two from
- 20:53Speaker 1: the seven, they're clearly going to run it in likely
- 20:56Speaker 1: get the first down. Mason Rudolph Bumble's a snap, they
- 20:59Speaker 1: could field goal. We get a win on the board.
- 21:03Speaker 1: Come on, Matthew, Oh my god.
- 21:07Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 21:07Speaker 3: And the Patriots, I will say that number. We talked
- 21:11Speaker 3: about it though, Like, in what world should Tennessee been
- 21:14Speaker 3: three and a half favorites against anybody? I don't care
- 21:16Speaker 3: if the Patriot of the worst team of football. Like,
- 21:18Speaker 3: I'm so glad we didn't get scared off because that
- 21:20Speaker 3: was probably the biggest public dog of the week. I
- 21:22Speaker 3: mean everybody. Then Denver. You know what Denver might have.
- 21:25Speaker 3: I think Denver on our app had more bets or
- 21:27Speaker 3: more tickets. Yeah, but that was a game, honestly, I
- 21:33Speaker 3: love and I bet it. You could have talked me
- 21:36Speaker 3: out of it this morning because I just saw before
- 21:39Speaker 3: we hopped on a call. I was like, Wow, all
- 21:40Speaker 3: the money is coming so heavy on this Patriots team.
- 21:42Speaker 3: It's still three and a half. So we definitely got
- 21:46Speaker 3: lucky on the May play. But that was also a
- 21:47Speaker 3: bad read by the sports book hanging that three and
- 21:49Speaker 3: a half.
- 21:52Speaker 1: We got very lucky. I never really thought about talking
- 21:55Speaker 1: you out of it. I will tell you. As we're
- 21:57Speaker 1: still waiting for this Rams and Seahawks game to end,
- 22:03Speaker 1: the one game I want to pick a knit is
- 22:07Speaker 1: the Chargers. I felt like the Chargers might have been
- 22:13Speaker 1: one of my best handicaps of the season. I had
- 22:16Speaker 1: this team nailed, and when we talked about it during
- 22:19Speaker 1: the week, betting is riding the wave and betting is
- 22:22Speaker 1: getting off the wave, and we were together, I thought
- 22:26Speaker 1: in getting off the jamis wave, like we didn't believe.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Oh my god, Matthew Stafford going for it. That's past interference.
- 22:31Speaker 1: Anatas Staffs.
- 22:37Speaker 2: Wow, that was a good handicap. Thank god we needed that.
- 22:41Speaker 3: Oh my god, oh man.
- 22:48Speaker 1: Snatching victory from the jaws of defeat. That was in
- 22:55Speaker 1: It's both insane and it never should have come down
- 22:59Speaker 1: to this play.
- 23:00Speaker 2: No, but it was fun ride. It's now that we won.
- 23:02Speaker 2: That was a fun ride.
- 23:04Speaker 1: That was a great ride.
- 23:06Speaker 3: And I know how much you pissed off, Matt, Matt
- 23:08Speaker 3: because just because that was terrible podcasting.
- 23:10Speaker 2: But god damn that I love it.
- 23:12Speaker 1: I know, Matt, you can tell us in the chat
- 23:14Speaker 1: how terrible podcasting that was. But yes, the one game
- 23:19Speaker 1: I want to pick a knit on is that Chargers game.
- 23:21Speaker 3: Yeah, you and like the Winston thing, everything you said
- 23:25Speaker 3: was true.
- 23:27Speaker 2: No, they're legit.
- 23:28Speaker 3: I gotta give credit to that Chargers team. I mean,
- 23:30Speaker 3: that's that's a playoff team. Win They they went in
- 23:33Speaker 3: there and posed their will. They dominated them. Yeah, they're
- 23:37Speaker 3: a better team. I thought they're gonna be this year, honestly,
- 23:39Speaker 3: and that that was. You know, as much as I
- 23:41Speaker 3: want to give ship to uh Jamis and the Browns,
- 23:44Speaker 3: that they just played a team that just seemed better
- 23:46Speaker 3: and more prepared, right, And you know, like you said,
- 23:49Speaker 3: that was a good call by you that would be
- 23:52Speaker 3: a letdown spot, but it's yeah, it's a game that
- 23:55Speaker 3: I I honestly, I had a little bit bet on
- 23:57Speaker 3: the Browns. I threw them on our money line around
- 23:59Speaker 3: Robin part and yeah, I definitely missed the mark on
- 24:02Speaker 3: that one.
- 24:03Speaker 1: Just think if we had taken the Saints out instead
- 24:07Speaker 1: of the Chargers, we'd be sitting here at three and
- 24:09Speaker 1: two on the day instead of two and three.
- 24:13Speaker 2: No, A, yeah, No, there's a couple of bad ones.
- 24:15Speaker 3: I mean the one that really sticks stuck out was
- 24:18Speaker 3: like I don't know how we both got sucked back
- 24:19Speaker 3: into Dallas Like I was on Atlanta, I know, been
- 24:22Speaker 3: Atlanta minus two and a half, and then once I
- 24:24Speaker 3: got to three and a half Dallas, it was like, Okay,
- 24:27Speaker 3: this is too much.
- 24:28Speaker 2: The value shifted a three and a half of this
- 24:29Speaker 2: Dallas team and it's like, no, that was properly numbered.
- 24:33Speaker 2: That was that was a bad read.
- 24:34Speaker 3: So yeah, this week I feel luckier in our senior
- 24:37Speaker 3: two and three because it could have been easily zero
- 24:39Speaker 3: and five. But I told you before the show, I'm
- 24:42Speaker 3: I'm selfish. I feel like we should have been four
- 24:44Speaker 3: and one. Sou of all the games that the worst
- 24:47Speaker 3: bet to me was that, like you just said, that Saints.
- 24:49Speaker 1: Game was Look, I feel like this is the most
- 24:52Speaker 1: exciting two and three. When is the last time we
- 24:55Speaker 1: had a two and three that landed on a h
- 25:00Speaker 1: a one handed catch in overtime to win the game
- 25:04Speaker 1: and a fifteen second scramble to tie the game and
- 25:08Speaker 1: then getting a fumble to and forcing the field goal
- 25:14Speaker 1: so we cover by the hook. This might have been
- 25:17Speaker 1: the day where we ate up a lot of the
- 25:20Speaker 1: good will, so we were owed.
- 25:22Speaker 3: I told you it was going to go the other
- 25:24Speaker 3: way eventually, like we just even today, we still had
- 25:27Speaker 3: a lot of bullshit go the other way.
- 25:28Speaker 2: But that's just betting.
- 25:29Speaker 3: But no, I can't wait to break down these upcoming
- 25:32Speaker 3: lines the next week because it feels like there's a
- 25:34Speaker 3: lot of a lot of teams that, like you just said,
- 25:36Speaker 3: we're gonna get value on just because they were gonna
- 25:39Speaker 3: they were so unlucky, and then the luck rankings are
- 25:40Speaker 3: going to reflect that this upcoming week.
- 25:42Speaker 1: Favorites were twelve and one straight up this week.
- 25:46Speaker 3: Yeah, terrible day for the money liner on Robin.
- 25:50Speaker 1: All right, So some early lines and some early lines
- 25:53Speaker 1: to me, one that stood out right away Tennessee Titans
- 25:59Speaker 1: are nine and a half point underdogs to the Los
- 26:01Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers. That Titans defense is just good. I know
- 26:06Speaker 1: they're on the road.
- 26:07Speaker 2: S already down to seven and a half.
- 26:09Speaker 1: All right, well there you go. I guess I was right,
- 26:13Speaker 1: very sharp. All right, Well that was run one. I
- 26:17Speaker 1: think we'll still talk about it. Seven and a half
- 26:20Speaker 1: still feels really high to me. You're still getting the
- 26:22Speaker 1: hook at the seven. What did you think of Denver
- 26:30Speaker 1: nine and a half of Kansas City.
- 26:34Speaker 3: I don't I don't hate it, like I don't mind
- 26:36Speaker 3: bending it right now if you want to. But I
- 26:41Speaker 3: think we saw a little bit of what this Denver
- 26:43Speaker 3: team can be right today against this Ravens team. That
- 26:46Speaker 3: they are young, they are in experience, they have been
- 26:48Speaker 3: playing some bad teams, and it seems like what.
- 26:50Speaker 2: Things are going good. They're able to beat up on
- 26:53Speaker 2: these bad teams.
- 26:54Speaker 3: But I wouldn't rush the better because if if, if
- 26:59Speaker 3: the Chiefs roll, if they absolutely roll the Bucks tomorrow,
- 27:02Speaker 3: you might be able to get ten.
- 27:04Speaker 2: Like there's no no, there's no one other.
- 27:06Speaker 3: Than us coming back on this this Buccaneers team, right,
- 27:09Speaker 3: I mean, the public is going to be totally off
- 27:10Speaker 3: of them after this, after last week.
- 27:12Speaker 2: So that's a number.
- 27:13Speaker 3: I don't think you need a rush to gain, but
- 27:15Speaker 3: I do like your heads out where it's like, you know,
- 27:17Speaker 3: if this number gets that high in this divisional game,
- 27:20Speaker 3: that's that's gonna reach a point of value for this
- 27:23Speaker 3: Denver team.
- 27:24Speaker 1: Pittsburgh two and a half point underdogs against the Washington Commanders.
- 27:35Speaker 1: That's it. That feels either like the absolute right play
- 27:41Speaker 1: to get a mock Mike Tomlin ra ra as a
- 27:45Speaker 1: dog to take on this young whipper snapper quarterback like
- 27:52Speaker 1: that is the perfect smash spot for this Steelers defense.
- 27:58Speaker 2: It is.
- 27:59Speaker 3: But like I get if you were gonna be pisseding
- 28:01Speaker 3: me because I was so high on the Giants team
- 28:03Speaker 3: because it was the same thing last year where it
- 28:04Speaker 3: was like a good spot.
- 28:05Speaker 2: But you're exactly right, like this Pittsburgh.
- 28:08Speaker 3: Team is much better than that Giants team, and defensively
- 28:12Speaker 3: there are ways they can attack this Washing team that's
- 28:15Speaker 3: gonna give them problems. But I'm not gonna lie to
- 28:18Speaker 3: Chad Jaden Daniels a scary man, Like I thought today
- 28:21Speaker 3: he wouldn't play that well and he just had a
- 28:24Speaker 3: couple of moments that are just so it's just so
- 28:26Speaker 3: incredible that we're, like you just said, we're into week
- 28:29Speaker 3: nine here and he's still playing at this veteran high level,
- 28:33Speaker 3: Like he hasn't hit that rookie wall like you saw.
- 28:35Speaker 3: You watch a lot of the bear say of Kayler Williams.
- 28:38Speaker 3: He's incredibly talented kid, but there's moments where he looks
- 28:41Speaker 3: like a rookie that is normal, that should be happening
- 28:45Speaker 3: to a rookie, and the kid Jane Daniels doesn't have
- 28:47Speaker 3: these moments like he breaks a lot of the rules.
- 28:50Speaker 3: I'll be honest, and I know that I wouldn't be
- 28:52Speaker 3: praising him as hard as I would be if we
- 28:54Speaker 3: got that two pointer and got the cover. But they're
- 28:57Speaker 3: about to walk in for another touchdown end of that game.
- 29:00Speaker 3: This easy come in a double digital blowout by Washington
- 29:02Speaker 3: if they had chose so.
- 29:03Speaker 2: So I'm with you. I'll be on Pittsburgh.
- 29:07Speaker 3: But this is another line that it's two and a
- 29:09Speaker 3: half right now. Doesn't the Joe public come in heavy
- 29:11Speaker 3: on Washington here? I mean, you get the three.
- 29:14Speaker 1: Yeah. So sometimes when we're having this conversation, it's not
- 29:17Speaker 1: so much are we going to bet it right now?
- 29:19Speaker 1: It's sort of which way are we leaning?
- 29:21Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah? What would be the.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Indicators to make us say, hey we want to hold,
- 29:27Speaker 1: Hey we want to get this right now.
- 29:30Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 29:31Speaker 3: I would hold because I actually like I like Pittsburgh
- 29:33Speaker 3: and I want to take them here.
- 29:34Speaker 2: But it's like.
- 29:36Speaker 3: This jumps out is going to be eighty percent of
- 29:39Speaker 3: the money eight percent. Tickets are going to come in
- 29:41Speaker 3: here on Washington, like at two and a half. That's
- 29:43Speaker 3: going to be a really huge public play this upcoming week.
- 29:46Speaker 1: Yeah, but the second it gets to three, it's going
- 29:47Speaker 1: to be there for thirty seconds and be gone.
- 29:51Speaker 2: That's what I mean. You shine though, put you're alerts
- 29:53Speaker 2: on getting the action.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Everyone, get into the Action Network app, turn on your
- 29:58Speaker 1: line alerts for the Steelers US three. Just be ready,
- 30:01Speaker 1: and you gotta be awake. You gotta have eight phones
- 30:04Speaker 1: that will wake you up. The second it goes, it happens,
- 30:07Speaker 1: because it's going to happen at about two thirty am tonight,
- 30:10Speaker 1: that's when it's gonna happen. I got two other games
- 30:13Speaker 1: and then I want you to tell me years before
- 30:14Speaker 1: we get out of here.
- 30:15Speaker 2: Jack game mind. I can't wait.
- 30:17Speaker 1: Jags plus five and a half Minnesota.
- 30:19Speaker 3: Uhh that's a big that's a big number. So yeah,
- 30:23Speaker 3: I looked the Jags up off I guess right away.
- 30:26Speaker 3: I like the Jags, but it's another game where tonight
- 30:30Speaker 3: Vikings roll, we'll get a six.
- 30:32Speaker 2: Yep.
- 30:33Speaker 3: So like I liked that the books are hanging these
- 30:35Speaker 3: these numbers where they know they know which way the
- 30:39Speaker 3: like they're hanging these known which way the pulk's gonna
- 30:40Speaker 3: come early on here, and that's this is definitely an
- 30:42Speaker 3: enticing number. I mean, this is going to be an
- 30:45Speaker 3: easily a tease down number. Why would you not tease
- 30:47Speaker 3: the Vikings down? They're the better team. Jaguars do not
- 30:50Speaker 3: know to close out games like they should have won
- 30:52Speaker 3: today against the Eagles. Trevor Lawrence at all the momentum,
- 30:56Speaker 3: Eagles defenses on their heels, they were exhausted, and he
- 30:58Speaker 3: threw a gift of an inner. We talk all the
- 31:02Speaker 3: time about these high draft picks, like some of the
- 31:03Speaker 3: guys just have it and some guys don't.
- 31:05Speaker 2: And it's clear he does not have it.
- 31:08Speaker 1: He doesn't have the game winning drive gene. No, he's
- 31:13Speaker 1: got the good garbage time gene.
- 31:15Speaker 3: That's why again, the Drake maything was so exciting it's like,
- 31:19Speaker 3: who cares if his whole season's terrible. You just saw
- 31:22Speaker 3: him run a two minute drill, guys in his face,
- 31:25Speaker 3: back foot throwing a dime in the corner of the
- 31:28Speaker 3: end zone. Like that's not coachable. That's God given talent
- 31:31Speaker 3: and living up to the moment. And Trevor Lawrence is
- 31:34Speaker 3: with the opposite of that.
- 31:36Speaker 2: He just has not lived up to the moment in
- 31:37Speaker 2: any sense of the word.
- 31:38Speaker 1: In some weird, arcane world of the of the internet,
- 31:44Speaker 1: somebody needs to reassess that Jaggs come back win against
- 31:47Speaker 1: the Chargers in the playoffs and see how much of
- 31:49Speaker 1: it was Brandon Staley being a terrible coach and not
- 31:53Speaker 1: knowing how to hold a lead and Jacksonville playing great
- 31:57Speaker 1: and doing miraculous things and Trevor Lawrence showing for a
- 32:00Speaker 1: moment he might have it. Because that game is sort
- 32:03Speaker 1: of the example that everyone uses when they say what
- 32:06Speaker 1: about that game? And so that game should be reassessed
- 32:09Speaker 1: if you're going to be thinking about what Trevor Lawrence
- 32:12Speaker 1: is for the rest of his career. The last game
- 32:14Speaker 1: on my list, Yes, sir Houston plus three and a half, Detroit.
- 32:19Speaker 2: Already up to four and a half.
- 32:23Speaker 3: Yeah, but we're gonna have to talk about because I
- 32:27Speaker 3: feel like we can't do it. I mean, we just
- 32:30Speaker 3: saw last Thursday. He's gotten no receivers in Houston right
- 32:35Speaker 3: now and his offensive line can't block anybody. Like I
- 32:39Speaker 3: don't know if this is enough movement for this Houston side,
- 32:42Speaker 3: but I want to be on Houston. So yeah, give
- 32:44Speaker 3: me the six and a half and I feel like
- 32:45Speaker 3: I'm all in. But at this timer, I'm still tempted, honest.
- 32:48Speaker 2: To go Detroit.
- 32:49Speaker 1: All right, tell me what you got, all right?
- 32:51Speaker 2: First one.
- 32:52Speaker 3: I mean it's just I know you're gonna hate it,
- 32:54Speaker 3: but I feel like we have to do it. Saints
- 32:56Speaker 3: plus three at home against Atlanta.
- 33:00Speaker 2: I looked at that, and how do we not sell
- 33:02Speaker 2: on Atlanta?
- 33:03Speaker 1: I looked at that.
- 33:05Speaker 3: I know I'm not gonna rush to take it because
- 33:08Speaker 3: I want to see you if Olave is going to
- 33:09Speaker 3: be able to be back this week.
- 33:11Speaker 1: If it meant so much to have a Lave not
- 33:13Speaker 1: be in the game against the Panthers, it's going to
- 33:16Speaker 1: mean more to not have him in the game against
- 33:18Speaker 1: the Falcons. I know you'll be able to scheme all
- 33:20Speaker 1: week because he won't be in. But they don't have
- 33:23Speaker 1: any weapons, and.
- 33:25Speaker 3: Drake Lennon might be out of this game as well
- 33:26Speaker 3: for Atlanta, so that could cancer shother out. But that
- 33:28Speaker 3: that's just a very enticing number, that number at plus three.
- 33:33Speaker 3: The next one is, I mean the Eagles are minus
- 33:36Speaker 3: seven on the road in Dallas.
- 33:38Speaker 1: Yeah, but we don't know if dak is going to play.
- 33:44Speaker 2: Left the game with it.
- 33:45Speaker 1: He left, then the Eagles are.
- 33:47Speaker 3: Going to be out with aj Aj Brown. So Sakuan
- 33:49Speaker 3: got a little banged up in this game. Like it's yeah,
- 33:52Speaker 3: there's a lot to love with that Dallas number and
- 33:55Speaker 3: just how big it is a game I didn't bet.
- 33:57Speaker 3: I just want to get your your opinion on Monday
- 34:01Speaker 3: night or the Rams are minus two and a half
- 34:03Speaker 3: against on Miami team.
- 34:04Speaker 2: Yeah, we grab that now.
- 34:06Speaker 1: I saw that and like honestly.
- 34:08Speaker 3: I know we just feel like we got away with
- 34:09Speaker 3: one there. But like, yeah, we talked that we two
- 34:14Speaker 3: is not good against good teams and this ye, this
- 34:17Speaker 3: Rams team, as much you want to give them ship
- 34:18Speaker 3: for this was a complete team win today. Like that
- 34:21Speaker 3: was That's what good teams do. They win games they
- 34:23Speaker 3: shouldn't win.
- 34:24Speaker 1: So there were two reasons why I didn't bring it up.
- 34:28Speaker 1: One was I already saw us looking at Houston, and
- 34:32Speaker 1: so I was nervous about bringing up two back to
- 34:34Speaker 1: back primetime games Sunday night Monday night, and I was
- 34:38Speaker 1: waiting on to see what happened with the end of
- 34:40Speaker 1: the Seahawks game.
- 34:41Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to grab it. Just got I
- 34:43Speaker 3: think that number goes up to three. So I just
- 34:44Speaker 3: want to grab the two and a half.
- 34:46Speaker 2: Now.
- 34:46Speaker 1: Look, this NFC West is fascinating right now. The Cardinals
- 34:51Speaker 1: are five and four, looking better every game. I mean
- 34:54Speaker 1: the Bears are tragic, like what happened to them today,
- 34:59Speaker 1: just a missi mash of continued undisciplined play and today
- 35:04Speaker 1: it was all.
- 35:05Speaker 2: They just we talked about.
- 35:05Speaker 3: Though they're a young team, that's a lot to overcome
- 35:08Speaker 3: in a week. I mean, even you joked it's hard
- 35:10Speaker 3: for you to get it off your mind, and you're
- 35:11Speaker 3: a grown ass man. Imagine being a twenty something kid.
- 35:14Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's tough to move past that. You
- 35:16Speaker 3: really do need to be a veteran team.
- 35:18Speaker 1: Yeah, but I've been with the Bears longer, so it
- 35:20Speaker 1: should take me longer get over it. Like these guys,
- 35:23Speaker 1: they just got there. They might not even be their
- 35:25Speaker 1: next year. I can guarantee you the coach isn't going
- 35:28Speaker 1: to be there next year. So I'm surprised the coach
- 35:31Speaker 1: got on the freaking plane because the reason they lost
- 35:34Speaker 1: this game is because of the defense. The defense was
- 35:36Speaker 1: truly terrible. The defense against run was awful. By the way,
- 35:40Speaker 1: what did Kyler Murray end up at?
- 35:42Speaker 2: A way under? Way? Under?
- 35:43Speaker 1: Way under? So it was like you nailed that. You
- 35:46Speaker 1: were on convinced me today. You said take Kyler under
- 35:49Speaker 1: two fifteen and a half. He ended up at one
- 35:52Speaker 1: sixty or whatever. He had sixty five in the first half.
- 35:54Speaker 1: Great call by Simon on Kyler Murray under. So I
- 36:00Speaker 1: don't feel like we have consensus on anything tonight, which
- 36:03Speaker 1: is fine. We don't have to make bets.
- 36:04Speaker 2: Really, you don't love that rams bet.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Oh no, we have the rams bet. That's it. I
- 36:09Speaker 1: think that's the only one. I kind of like. I
- 36:13Speaker 1: think I like Tennessee more than you do because I
- 36:18Speaker 1: don't think the Chargers are going to play the kind
- 36:20Speaker 1: of game where it's an automatic blowout some of the things.
- 36:26Speaker 3: That's fair, But I told you the key the Chargers, though,
- 36:28Speaker 3: is they make you make the mistake Mason Ruolph will
- 36:33Speaker 3: LEVI us they love to make mistakes, so like that,
- 36:35Speaker 3: that's just my hesitation with that big number because this
- 36:37Speaker 3: plays into what the Chargers want teams to do. It's
- 36:39Speaker 3: like they just wear these guys out and they just
- 36:42Speaker 3: wait for it, and once you make the mistake, the
- 36:43Speaker 3: game's over, right. They every time they win, they win
- 36:46Speaker 3: the turnover battle. That's the type of team they've been
- 36:48Speaker 3: this season.
- 36:49Speaker 1: Ye all, are we missing anything else? No?
- 36:52Speaker 3: I mean I have two more games I want to
- 36:54Speaker 3: talk about, but then I don't want to run through
- 36:55Speaker 3: every game. We got to make sure that people come
- 36:56Speaker 3: and check us out Tuesday. So I'm excited to talk.
- 37:00Speaker 2: More about it.
- 37:01Speaker 3: But like that Ravens, they're minus six right now against
- 37:03Speaker 3: Cincinnati Bengals. I'm gonna take the plus six like Joe
- 37:07Speaker 3: Burrow against that defense. If you want to grab that
- 37:10Speaker 3: number early with me, I'll grab that now because I
- 37:11Speaker 3: think that number goes down as well. That's just too
- 37:13Speaker 3: many points for a guy like him that should have
- 37:16Speaker 3: t Higgins back against a defense that can't really stop
- 37:19Speaker 3: good passing offenses.
- 37:22Speaker 1: Simon, I feel like this was the entire circle of
- 37:27Speaker 1: life today on this show, we were down, we were up.
- 37:31Speaker 1: We overcame obstacles, we triumphed in the end. We made
- 37:38Speaker 1: good decisions, we made bad decisions. We got through it together.
- 37:43Speaker 1: We were partners, we were BFFs, we were compadres. This
- 37:47Speaker 1: is what it's all about. This is why we bet together.
- 37:50Speaker 1: This is why we all bet generally, the yeps, the downs,
- 37:54Speaker 1: the good, the bad, the thrill, tragedy life as a
- 37:58Speaker 1: reminder of the Favorites podcast presented by Bet three sixty
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