Latest / Beyond The Horizon / Mega Edition: The Scientific Report In Support Of Bryan Kohberger's Motion To Change The Venue (8/21/26)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: What's up everyone, and welcome back to the program. In
- 0:03Speaker 1: this episode, we're going to keep on keeping on with
- 0:05Speaker 1: the new information that's hit the docket in the Brian
- 0:08Speaker 1: Kolberger trial. And this time we're taking a look at
- 0:12Speaker 1: the scientific report of the effects of media coverage on
- 0:16Speaker 1: prospective jurors in Leta County. And the author of this
- 0:20Speaker 1: report is Amani L. A. Lailey and this document was
- 0:25Speaker 1: submitted on July seventeenth, twenty twenty four. Report preparation and
- 0:29Speaker 1: information assessment. This report is in regard to a potential
- 0:34Speaker 1: change of venue for the Brian Colberger trial. Specifically, I
- 0:37Speaker 1: was asked to report on the potential psychological effects of
- 0:40Speaker 1: public media attention towards the case on prospective jurors and
- 0:44Speaker 1: determine whether a change of venue would reduce a prejudicial
- 0:47Speaker 1: bias against mister Colberger. My report and final assessment were
- 0:51Speaker 1: based on a review of the following pure reviewed literature
- 0:55Speaker 1: regarding relevant psychological phenomenon the trial, innovations, telephone survey results
- 1:00Speaker 1: prepared by doctor Brian Edelman assessing media exposure to the
- 1:04Speaker 1: case across four counties. Doctor Edelman submitted declaration. The declaration
- 1:09Speaker 1: of Brian Edelman regarding media impact on potential jurors. True
- 1:13Speaker 1: Scope's list of media reports regarding the case and specific
- 1:17Speaker 1: online news stories that include content from authority figures. My
- 1:21Speaker 1: recommendation based on this report supports a change of venue
- 1:24Speaker 1: to a location outside of Leata County and especially outside
- 1:28Speaker 1: of Moscow, Idaho, in order to increase the probability of
- 1:31Speaker 1: a fair trial. The more far removed jurors are from
- 1:34Speaker 1: the case, the less bias there should be in their
- 1:37Speaker 1: judgments about the defendant and the case, both initially and
- 1:40Speaker 1: throughout the trial. It's clear that there has been extensive
- 1:44Speaker 1: media coverage of the murders and the case against mister
- 1:46Speaker 1: Colberger within Leyta County, as well as extensive social media
- 1:50Speaker 1: activity involving informal discussions of the case. As I described
- 1:54Speaker 1: throughout this report, empirical research has shown that when people
- 1:58Speaker 1: are exposed to pre trial and defendant publicity, there are
- 2:01Speaker 1: more likely to render guilty verdicts. Unfortunately, this bias exists
- 2:05Speaker 1: even among those who report being unbiased, and it persists
- 2:09Speaker 1: despite the receipt of trial arguments, evidence, admonitions to disregard
- 2:14Speaker 1: the public information and jury deliberation. It's also clear that
- 2:18Speaker 1: the case has taken a substantial emotional toll on those
- 2:21Speaker 1: in Leayta County and continues to affect many members of
- 2:24Speaker 1: this small, tightly knit community. As discussed in this report,
- 2:28Speaker 1: emotions can reduce impartiality. The elevated exposure to information and
- 2:33Speaker 1: misinformation about the case, the lingering emotions, the closer connections
- 2:37Speaker 1: to those involved, and the strong community cohesiveness would all
- 2:41Speaker 1: be expected to contribute to the potential bias among jurors
- 2:45Speaker 1: recruited from Leyta County based on what we know from
- 2:48Speaker 1: our empirical research about human nature. My background and qualifications.
- 2:54Speaker 1: I have a doctoral degree in Social and personality psychology,
- 2:57Speaker 1: which I earn from Michigan State University in in two
- 3:00Speaker 1: thousand and two. My main area of expertise is social psychology,
- 3:04Speaker 1: which is the scientific study of how social factors influence
- 3:07Speaker 1: people's judgments, perceptions, attitudes, decisions, and behaviors. Currently, I am
- 3:13Speaker 1: tenured full professor and have taught courses in social psychology,
- 3:17Speaker 1: social influence, self perception, bias, prejudice and stereotyping, research methods, statistics,
- 3:23Speaker 1: and general psychology. Most of these courses cover scientific research
- 3:27Speaker 1: on perceptual bias. I have also conducted workshops on bias.
- 3:32Speaker 1: I also have a strong research background in bias judgments.
- 3:35Speaker 1: I have a number of pure reviewed research publications that
- 3:38Speaker 1: have given many formal peer reviewed research presentations at local, regional,
- 3:43Speaker 1: and national conventions in my field. My research interests within
- 3:48Speaker 1: social psychology are varied, but my main focus has been
- 3:51Speaker 1: on social cognition, which is how we process, use, and
- 3:55Speaker 1: interpret social information. My particular research emphasis has been on
- 3:59Speaker 1: bioss perceptions, especially biases in self perceptions, bias perceptions of
- 4:05Speaker 1: groups ie stereotypes, and biased impressions of specific individuals e g.
- 4:10Speaker 1: Relationship partners, strangers, friends, or acquaintances. I have also studied
- 4:16Speaker 1: how biased people are when assessing their own level of bias.
- 4:19Speaker 1: My knowledge of distorted perceptions of self and others allows
- 4:23Speaker 1: me to understand the many factors that influence us below
- 4:26Speaker 1: the radar when judgments of others, as in criminal cases.
- 4:30Speaker 1: My report My report is based on my expertise in
- 4:33Speaker 1: the field and is independent of my affiliation with the
- 4:36Speaker 1: university at which I am employed as a social psychologist.
- 4:40Speaker 1: I can identify a number of ways in which media
- 4:43Speaker 1: exposure regarding the Brian Colberger case or the parties involved
- 4:47Speaker 1: would likely bias the opinions held by the public and
- 4:50Speaker 1: thus perspective jurors in ways that cannot be mitigated easily
- 4:53Speaker 1: or at all. I describe them in this report. In
- 4:57Speaker 1: doing so, I provide only explanations that are found in
- 5:00Speaker 1: peer reviewed scientific research within psychology and related fields, and
- 5:05Speaker 1: provide endnotes to specify the references that were used. These
- 5:09Speaker 1: fields have a rigorous peer review process, resulting in primarily
- 5:13Speaker 1: high quality scientific research based on sound methodology and statistical procedures. Moreover,
- 5:19Speaker 1: the quantitative research used in these field employees strict cutoffs
- 5:23Speaker 1: for statistical significance, so the probability of not detecting a
- 5:27Speaker 1: true effect is generally much higher than the probability of
- 5:30Speaker 1: detecting a false finding that should not have emerged. In
- 5:33Speaker 1: other words, we can be confident that the findings emerging
- 5:36Speaker 1: in published papers are not fluke findings that emerge due
- 5:40Speaker 1: to mere chance from sampling error. There are three main
- 5:43Speaker 1: sections to my report of the relevant research. I first
- 5:47Speaker 1: review research on the effect of pre trial publicity on
- 5:50Speaker 1: judgments of guilt. Afterwards, I discussed numerous underlying reasons for
- 5:54Speaker 1: why such effects occur, with one section on how pre
- 5:57Speaker 1: trial bias is formed and one how bias persists during
- 6:01Speaker 1: a trial. I then discuss research on efforts to mitigate
- 6:04Speaker 1: potential jury bias where relevant. I also discussed some specific
- 6:08Speaker 1: aspects of community involvement and emotionality which could impact potential
- 6:13Speaker 1: jurors if they were to be recruited from Leayta County.
- 6:17Speaker 1: The report Part one pre trial publicity effects on judgments
- 6:21Speaker 1: of guilt. According to the Trial Innovation Survey results, jury
- 6:25Speaker 1: eligible residents in Layta County had high exposure to the
- 6:28Speaker 1: case against mister Coberger. Specifically, nearly all jury eligible surveyed
- 6:33Speaker 1: residents in the county were familiar with the case, and
- 6:36Speaker 1: sixty eight percent specifically followed the case. Twenty nine percent
- 6:40Speaker 1: followed it very closely. There were also high percentages of
- 6:43Speaker 1: residents who were familiar with the specific facts and falsehoods
- 6:46Speaker 1: presented in media regarding the case, eg. Details of mister
- 6:50Speaker 1: Coburger's arrest and specific details regarding evidence and theories about
- 6:54Speaker 1: the case. Because all of these percentages were generally higher
- 6:57Speaker 1: in Layta County than in other surveys counties, it appears
- 7:01Speaker 1: not surprisingly that jury eligible residents in Letai County had
- 7:05Speaker 1: more exposure to the publicity about the case overall. Thus,
- 7:09Speaker 1: when considering a change of venue, it's important to consider
- 7:12Speaker 1: how such pre trial publicity can influence judgments of prospective jurors.
- 7:17Speaker 1: Several decades of research have established that pre trial publicity
- 7:21Speaker 1: can influence how potential jurors perceive a defendants criminality and guilt.
- 7:26Speaker 1: A twenty eleven chapter in the Handbook of Trial Consulting
- 7:29Speaker 1: provides a review of this research. A meta analysis conducted
- 7:34Speaker 1: in nineteen ninety nine, which statistically combine the effects of
- 7:37Speaker 1: forty four such studies utilizing a total of five thousand,
- 7:40Speaker 1: seven hundred and fifty five participants, confirm that guilt judgments
- 7:44Speaker 1: of a defendant were statistically significantly more likely to occur
- 7:48Speaker 1: by people who had been exposed to anti defendant pre
- 7:51Speaker 1: trial publicity. Meta analysis are particularly informative because they are
- 7:56Speaker 1: designed to determine the overall effect of a composite of
- 7:59Speaker 1: all or most studies on a specific topic in order
- 8:03Speaker 1: to make general conclusions from the established literature. A similar
- 8:07Speaker 1: twenty twenty two meta analysis published in Law and Human
- 8:10Speaker 1: Behavior combined forty five studies a combination of unpublished and
- 8:14Speaker 1: published studies, eight of which were also included in the
- 8:18Speaker 1: nineteen ninety nine meta analysis and yielded the same result.
- 8:22Speaker 1: The overall finding was a significant effect of pre trial
- 8:24Speaker 1: publicity on guilt judgments, both across the entire set of
- 8:28Speaker 1: studies and for each of the two batches of studies
- 8:31Speaker 1: published and unpublished separately. Most of the studies included in
- 8:35Speaker 1: the twenty twenty two meta analysis had case involving a
- 8:38Speaker 1: violent crime, and the pre trial publicity effect existed for
- 8:42Speaker 1: both college student participants and community participants who were recruited
- 8:47Speaker 1: to better resemble actual jurors. The studies included in the
- 8:51Speaker 1: twenty twenty two meta analysis all involved experimentally manipulating exposure
- 8:56Speaker 1: to pre trial publicity. In other words, participants were assigned
- 8:59Speaker 1: to using random assignment to be exposed to specific pre
- 9:03Speaker 1: trial publicity or not, and then asked to review trial
- 9:06Speaker 1: materials via summaris, transcripts, videotape, mock trials, or recordings of
- 9:11Speaker 1: real trials. Random assignment to the different conditions of an
- 9:15Speaker 1: experiment is used to attempt to create groups of participants
- 9:18Speaker 1: that are similar in all dimensions that might affect their behavior,
- 9:22Speaker 1: although they cannot be used on real jurors. Experimental manipulations,
- 9:26Speaker 1: especially with random assignment are particularly advantageous because they allow
- 9:31Speaker 1: researchers to make stronger conclusions about cause and effect. In
- 9:36Speaker 1: these design similar groups of participants are treated the exact
- 9:39Speaker 1: same way and provided the exact same materials and instructions
- 9:43Speaker 1: other than what is being manipulated, which in this case
- 9:46Speaker 1: is exposure to pre trial publicity information. Thus, different guilt
- 9:51Speaker 1: judgments between groups could be attributed to the pre trial
- 9:54Speaker 1: publicity information. The twenty twenty two meta analysis found that
- 9:59Speaker 1: anti defendant pres trial publicity led to a significant increase
- 10:02Speaker 1: in guilt judgment by individuals and guilty verdicts by groups
- 10:06Speaker 1: mock jurys. Regarding individual judgments, most of the thousands of
- 10:10Speaker 1: mock jurors exposed to negative pre trial publicity voted guilty
- 10:13Speaker 1: fifty five point four percent, whereas fewer than half of
- 10:17Speaker 1: the thousands were not exposed to such publicity voted guilty
- 10:20Speaker 1: forty five point one percent. The anti defendant pre trial
- 10:23Speaker 1: publicity effect was over twice as strong when examining group verdicts.
- 10:28Speaker 1: Among the two hundred and ninety two mock juries included
- 10:31Speaker 1: in the analysis, about half forty nine point seven percent
- 10:34Speaker 1: of those exposed to anti defendant pre trial publicity voted guilty,
- 10:39Speaker 1: whereas only a quarter twenty five point two percent of
- 10:42Speaker 1: those exposed voted guilty. Thus, there may be scenarios in
- 10:46Speaker 1: which innocent people are convicted of a crime due to
- 10:49Speaker 1: negative pre trial publicity. The twenty twenty two meta analysis
- 10:54Speaker 1: also found that pro defendant pre trial publicity significantly biases
- 10:58Speaker 1: participants towards not guilt verdicts. Thus, bias can occur in
- 11:02Speaker 1: either direction when prospective jurors are exposed to media reports
- 11:06Speaker 1: regarding a criminal case. Oftentimes, however, there is much more
- 11:10Speaker 1: anti defendant than pro defendant media coverage, resulting in an
- 11:14Speaker 1: overall prosecutorial slant. For example, in a study examining prechrild
- 11:18Speaker 1: publicity for twenty capital cases, seventy five percent of the
- 11:22Speaker 1: media articles included some type of anti defendant information. Arguably,
- 11:27Speaker 1: even if the media presented equal amounts of pro prosecution
- 11:31Speaker 1: and pro defend information, an anti defendant bias might still emerge,
- 11:35Speaker 1: given that people have been shown to exhibit a negative
- 11:38Speaker 1: negativity bias, paying more attention to negative information about people
- 11:42Speaker 1: than positive information. Based on their findings, the authors of
- 11:46Speaker 1: the twenty twenty two meta analysis concluded that judges attorneys
- 11:51Speaker 1: and policymakers should consider this pre child publicity effect and
- 11:55Speaker 1: the circumstances surrounding pre child publicity when evaluating how to
- 11:59Speaker 1: best protect criminal defendant's rights to a fair trial and
- 12:02Speaker 1: when creating procedural safeguards. Although research studies have been focused
- 12:07Speaker 1: on the effect of media attention given to a case,
- 12:10Speaker 1: this line of research can also speak to the influence
- 12:13Speaker 1: of exposure to informal exposure and discussions as well, given
- 12:17Speaker 1: that the underlying process for emerging and lasting bias should
- 12:21Speaker 1: still occur the same way. This is important given the
- 12:24Speaker 1: Trial Innovation Survey results, which indicated that the vast majority
- 12:28Speaker 1: of surveyed residents in Layta County participated in or observed
- 12:32Speaker 1: discussions of the case in person or online. The rates
- 12:36Speaker 1: for this type of exposure were substantially higher in Latah
- 12:39Speaker 1: County than in other surveyed counties. This is not surprising
- 12:43Speaker 1: given the pervasive fear in the community during the multiple
- 12:46Speaker 1: week search for the suspect. This social discussion was riddled
- 12:50Speaker 1: with misinformation as community members and family members searched desperately
- 12:55Speaker 1: for answers. All right, we're going to wrap up right here,
- 12:57Speaker 1: and in the next episode, We're going to pick up
- 12:59Speaker 1: with part two underlining mechanisms which contribute to bias. All
- 13:04Speaker 1: of the information that goes with this episode can be
- 13:06Speaker 1: found in the description box. What's up everyone, and welcome
- 13:10Speaker 1: back to the program. In this episode, we're going to
- 13:12Speaker 1: pick up where we left off with a scientific report
- 13:16Speaker 1: into the media coverage on prospective jurors in Letai County.
- 13:20Speaker 1: This report was prepared by Amani l Alilee. Part two
- 13:26Speaker 1: Underlying mechanisms which contribute to bias. There are numerous potential
- 13:30Speaker 1: reasons for why jurors might have a greater likelihood of
- 13:33Speaker 1: reaching a guilty verdict after exposure to pre trial publicity
- 13:37Speaker 1: and from hearing having discussions about the case. There are
- 13:40Speaker 1: a number of ways in which the media can shape
- 13:42Speaker 1: impressions of a defendant or a criminal case. There are
- 13:45Speaker 1: also cognitive and motivational reasons that cause these impressions to
- 13:49Speaker 1: be lasting, persisting during trial even in the face of
- 13:53Speaker 1: contradictory evidence. I discussed both categories and reasons below a
- 13:58Speaker 1: reasons for pre trial bias. As mentioned, exposure to more
- 14:02Speaker 1: media can produce more prejudgment against which can increase anti
- 14:07Speaker 1: defendant bias. In a perspective juror. This can occur for
- 14:10Speaker 1: many reasons, one central and peripheral route processing. The elaboration
- 14:15Speaker 1: likelihood model, a widely accepted and supported theory of persuasion,
- 14:19Speaker 1: suggests that sometimes people are persuaded via deep information processing
- 14:24Speaker 1: central systematic route processing, and sometimes they are persuaded by
- 14:28Speaker 1: factors extraneous to the pervasive message, such as peripheral route processing.
- 14:34Speaker 1: Either route can persuade consumers of media stories to form
- 14:37Speaker 1: a particular impression of mister Kolberger. A great deal of
- 14:40Speaker 1: research and social cognition suggests that people rely on peripheral
- 14:44Speaker 1: processing much more frequently. They take easy decision shortcuts due
- 14:48Speaker 1: to many reasons, including a lack of motivation to think
- 14:51Speaker 1: hard about something or an inability to do so e g. Distractions,
- 14:55Speaker 1: limited time, etc. Or experiencing particular emotions that lead to
- 15:00Speaker 1: more superficial information processing. Media stories may provide easy decision
- 15:05Speaker 1: shortcuts that could cause people to make judgments of guilt
- 15:08Speaker 1: regarding mister Cooberger. For example, one available decision shortcut could
- 15:13Speaker 1: be that others believe he's guilty, then he is probably guilty.
- 15:17Speaker 1: Attention getting titles of news stories can also serve as
- 15:20Speaker 1: peripheral cues that guide opinions without any deeper thought. Examples
- 15:24Speaker 1: from the present case taken from the truscopelisting of media
- 15:28Speaker 1: stories include the following titles. Coburger indicted by grand jury,
- 15:32Speaker 1: Warren Show's items sees at murder suspect's family home among
- 15:36Speaker 1: items taken from suspect, knives and gun, blood found on
- 15:39Speaker 1: items on Coburger's Pullman apartment. Prosecutors to pursue death penalty
- 15:43Speaker 1: against Brian Colberger University of Idaho murder suspect does not
- 15:47Speaker 1: provide alibi despite state's demand. People exposed solely to these
- 15:52Speaker 1: little titles could automatically form an impression of mister Colberger
- 15:56Speaker 1: as the killer without further thought or information. If they
- 16:00Speaker 1: are processing peripherally, which is what humans frequently do, they
- 16:04Speaker 1: may not stop and think, for example, about how many
- 16:07Speaker 1: people own knives and guns, and that deceased weapons may
- 16:10Speaker 1: have no connection to the murders. Authority influence media publicity
- 16:15Speaker 1: of criminal cases can be especially impactful because a large
- 16:18Speaker 1: proportion of the coverage includes information sources who hold status
- 16:22Speaker 1: or authority, police or attorneys. Authority status has been studied
- 16:27Speaker 1: a great deal as a peripheral queue that people rely
- 16:30Speaker 1: on automatically when making judgments. People are more likely to
- 16:33Speaker 1: assume that information coming from those with authority status is accurate.
- 16:38Speaker 1: Because people are generally raised to respect and believe those
- 16:41Speaker 1: with authority status, These types of sources can have a
- 16:44Speaker 1: particularly strong influence on people and thus on perspective jurors
- 16:48Speaker 1: pre trial opinions. It makes sense that people would trust
- 16:52Speaker 1: those with authority status more, perhaps especially in a small,
- 16:55Speaker 1: tightly knit community such as Moscow, where they may know
- 16:59Speaker 1: them personally. According to the Trial Innovation Survey results, twenty
- 17:03Speaker 1: two percent of respondents in Leta County were employed or
- 17:06Speaker 1: no someone employed by law enforcement agencies involved in the investigation. However,
- 17:11Speaker 1: those with authority status are subject to the same errors
- 17:14Speaker 1: in bias as others, so unquestioned acceptance of information from
- 17:18Speaker 1: those sources could result in erroneous judgments. For example, some
- 17:23Speaker 1: research finds that law enforcement officers may view evidence as
- 17:26Speaker 1: more reliable if it's consistent with their preconceived notions about
- 17:30Speaker 1: a suspect. If this influences which detail law enforcement officers
- 17:34Speaker 1: agencies provide to the media or causes them to present
- 17:37Speaker 1: details with more confidence than is warranted at the time,
- 17:40Speaker 1: this gets wayh perspective jurors in the wrong direction. Research
- 17:44Speaker 1: has also shown that information presented by the media may
- 17:48Speaker 1: have a stronger prosecutorial slant when it includes commentary by
- 17:51Speaker 1: law enforcement and prosecution. One study evaluating new stories about
- 17:56Speaker 1: crime and criminal defendants found the source of anti defendant
- 17:59Speaker 1: content in news stories was most often law enforcement officers
- 18:03Speaker 1: and prosecution. Moreover, the media may present commentary by those
- 18:07Speaker 1: with authority status as though it were factual information, even
- 18:11Speaker 1: when it's more tentative or speculative. For example, a study
- 18:15Speaker 1: examining twenty six capital cases found that news articles primarily
- 18:19Speaker 1: cited those with authority and did so in a way
- 18:22Speaker 1: that depicted law enforcement commentary as objective facts rather than
- 18:26Speaker 1: details which might be disputed in court. Another problem that
- 18:30Speaker 1: is indicators of authority status, such as titles, uniforms, high
- 18:34Speaker 1: status occupations, can influence people on matters irrelevant to the
- 18:37Speaker 1: authority specific expertise. Moreover, those with authority status have been
- 18:42Speaker 1: shown to influence people to do things that makes no
- 18:45Speaker 1: sense or go against their own morals because they have
- 18:48Speaker 1: faith in the authority figure who is directing them. If
- 18:51Speaker 1: the Leayta County community has been inundated with media regarding
- 18:55Speaker 1: the Coburger case. Then they would also have been more
- 18:59Speaker 1: exposed to information from those with authority status, and thus
- 19:02Speaker 1: would have a greater probability of having developed preconceived notions
- 19:06Speaker 1: about the case and about mister Colberger based on that information.
- 19:10Speaker 1: Regardless of the content of these impressions, the impressions could
- 19:14Speaker 1: impact how the individual might take in information about the
- 19:17Speaker 1: case if they are to serve as jurors. There are
- 19:20Speaker 1: a number of specific high authority status sources which could
- 19:24Speaker 1: have impacted impressions formed by consumers of media. One of
- 19:27Speaker 1: these is Moscow, Idaho Chief of police at the time
- 19:30Speaker 1: of the murders, James Frye, who is now running for sheriff.
- 19:34Speaker 1: He made a number of statements to the press expressing
- 19:36Speaker 1: confidence in mister Colberger's guilt despite a trial not have
- 19:40Speaker 1: taken place. Following the arrest of mister Colberger, Chief Frye
- 19:43Speaker 1: told ABC News, we believe we have our guy and
- 19:46Speaker 1: one that committed these murders, and commented on giving people closure.
- 19:50Speaker 1: He also told the press that he believed mister Colberger
- 19:53Speaker 1: to be the sole perpetrator and said that the community
- 19:56Speaker 1: was now safe. After his arrest, Chief Fry can also
- 19:59Speaker 1: be saying we want to get a conviction during another
- 20:02Speaker 1: interview following the arrest. Moscow Mayor Art Betkey is another
- 20:06Speaker 1: trusted authority figure in the community, according to doctor edelman
- 20:10Speaker 1: submitted declaration. One new story quoted Mayor Betkey as describing
- 20:14Speaker 1: the homicide as a crime of passion, despite the lack
- 20:17Speaker 1: of information about motive. Because of his status, community members
- 20:21Speaker 1: might view this information as accurate even though there was
- 20:24Speaker 1: no evidence for it, and he does not occupy a
- 20:26Speaker 1: position in which this type of assessment would be within
- 20:29Speaker 1: the scope of his expertise. The content in media stories
- 20:34Speaker 1: that contained statements from prosecuting attorneys could also carry extra
- 20:37Speaker 1: way due to perceptions of authority and status. For example,
- 20:41Speaker 1: one new story reported that the prosecution intended to seek
- 20:44Speaker 1: the death penalty due to their consideration of all the
- 20:47Speaker 1: evidence known to the state about the case. In the
- 20:51Speaker 1: same news story, the prosecution was also quoted as stating
- 20:54Speaker 1: the defendant, by his conduct, whether such conduct was before, during,
- 20:58Speaker 1: or after the commission of the murder at hand, has
- 21:01Speaker 1: exhibited a propensity to commit murder, which will probably constitute
- 21:05Speaker 1: a continuing threat to society. The prosecution has also been
- 21:10Speaker 1: cited discussing information from the arrest affid David, which was
- 21:13Speaker 1: not filed under seal and contained information which could influence
- 21:17Speaker 1: opinions of prospective jurors. An unquestioned reader of these media
- 21:21Speaker 1: stories could trust these implications of the defendant's guilt and
- 21:24Speaker 1: the evidence against them. Scott Green, the president of the
- 21:27Speaker 1: University of Idaho, is another person of authority status who
- 21:31Speaker 1: may have perhaps inadvertently influenced opinions of prospective jurors. After
- 21:36Speaker 1: mister Colberger's arrest, he sent out a campus wide communication
- 21:39Speaker 1: expressing relief and implying that the case had been solved.
- 21:42Speaker 1: This communication was also reproduced within a chapter about the
- 21:46Speaker 1: Moscow murders When Evil Visits Your Campus in a book
- 21:49Speaker 1: recently published by mister Green. Three Classical conditioning effects. A
- 21:54Speaker 1: third reason for preconceived notions developing about the defendant is
- 21:58Speaker 1: classical conditioning, which whch occurs when people develop reactions to
- 22:02Speaker 1: previously neutral stimuli simply because of those stimuli have been
- 22:06Speaker 1: paired associated with In the present case, Brian Kolberger's name
- 22:10Speaker 1: or image could evolve from a neutral stimulus to a
- 22:13Speaker 1: negative condition stimulus if presented with anything that may evoke
- 22:17Speaker 1: a negative judgment in terms like murderer or killer, or
- 22:21Speaker 1: with aversive details regarding the murders that took place, could
- 22:25Speaker 1: cause people to develop a negative reaction to his name
- 22:28Speaker 1: or image, even if they do not believe him to
- 22:30Speaker 1: be the killer. Classical conditioning theory was developed over one
- 22:34Speaker 1: hundred years ago, and there are many decades of research
- 22:37Speaker 1: supporting the theory. The relevant studies have shown the neutral
- 22:40Speaker 1: stimuli e g. Words, pictures, etc. That have no initial
- 22:44Speaker 1: effect on us can evoke certain emotional or evaluative reactions
- 22:48Speaker 1: if they have been presented with stimuli that naturally evoke
- 22:51Speaker 1: some response. The conditioning occurs very quickly and automatically. In
- 22:56Speaker 1: such studies, participants view here neutral words or ima images
- 23:00Speaker 1: paired with something that may trigger a reaction eg. Negative
- 23:04Speaker 1: words or images. Later in the study, often just minutes later,
- 23:08Speaker 1: participants judgment of those words or images are no longer neutral.
- 23:12Speaker 1: For example, in one such study, every time participants were
- 23:15Speaker 1: presented with a particular man's name, they hurt a negative
- 23:19Speaker 1: or a positive word eg. Failure or gift. After a
- 23:22Speaker 1: few dozen five second trials, participants rated the name that
- 23:26Speaker 1: had been paired with the negative words less favorably than
- 23:29Speaker 1: the name that had been paired with positive words. This
- 23:32Speaker 1: can apply in cases where a coburger is presented with
- 23:35Speaker 1: words such as killer or murderer, even when those terms
- 23:38Speaker 1: are not used as specific descriptors of him. Some news
- 23:42Speaker 1: and social media stories about mister Kolberger have compared him
- 23:45Speaker 1: with a well known murderer, a pairing which could certainly
- 23:48Speaker 1: reduce perceived favorability to mister Colberger. Classical conditioning effects even
- 23:53Speaker 1: occur when exposure to word pairings is unconscious. In one study,
- 23:57Speaker 1: pictures of a stranger were presented consciously, but alongside subliminal
- 24:01Speaker 1: presentations of positive or negative images that had nothing to
- 24:05Speaker 1: do with the stranger. Participants who were presented with the
- 24:08Speaker 1: negative subliminal images develop more negative evaluations of the stranger,
- 24:13Speaker 1: including different judgments about the strangers personality traits, than those
- 24:17Speaker 1: who were presented with the positive subliminal images, despite the
- 24:21Speaker 1: photographs being flashed too quickly to be perceived at a
- 24:24Speaker 1: conscious level. Thus, it seems clear that people who have
- 24:27Speaker 1: been exposed to negative media coverage of Brian Kolberger, perhaps
- 24:31Speaker 1: even briefly while scrolling through a social media feed, could
- 24:34Speaker 1: have an automatic negative reaction to his name or appearance,
- 24:38Speaker 1: and perhaps not even know why. Even if the coverage
- 24:41Speaker 1: does not betray mister Colberger negatively or present him as guilty,
- 24:44Speaker 1: but his name and face are presented alongside aversive information, details, images, thoughts,
- 24:50Speaker 1: or words involving murder, The pairing of coburger with negative
- 24:53Speaker 1: stimuli could still result in the same negative conditioning. People
- 24:57Speaker 1: exposed to more media about the case naturally be exposed
- 25:01Speaker 1: to more of these pairings and likely have a stronger
- 25:04Speaker 1: conditioned response to mister Kolberger's name and image. All right,
- 25:08Speaker 1: we're gonna wrap up right here, and in the next episode,
- 25:10Speaker 1: we're gonna pick up with four emotional motivational influences. All
- 25:15Speaker 1: of the information that goes with this episode can be
- 25:17Speaker 1: found in the description box. What's up everyone, and welcome
- 25:21Speaker 1: back to the program. In this episode, we're going to
- 25:23Speaker 1: pick up where we left off with the scientific report
- 25:26Speaker 1: in support of Brian Kohberger and the request to change
- 25:30Speaker 1: the venue four emotional motivational influences. Another reason why jurors
- 25:35Speaker 1: recruited from Latai County may struggle to remain unbiased is
- 25:39Speaker 1: that emotions ran high after the murders took place In
- 25:42Speaker 1: the small, tightly knit community of Moscow, Idaho. This led
- 25:46Speaker 1: to a lot of sharing of communication and likely spread
- 25:49Speaker 1: of emotions throughout social media and other discussions about the incident.
- 25:54Speaker 1: Evidence of emotional impact on Layta County residents can be
- 25:57Speaker 1: gleaned from the Trial Innovation Survey results and doctor edelman
- 26:01Speaker 1: submitted declaration report. These indicated that the University of Idaho's
- 26:05Speaker 1: students were so distraught that they felt that they could
- 26:08Speaker 1: not begin healing until the house where the murders took
- 26:10Speaker 1: place was demolished, which it ultimately was by the order
- 26:15Speaker 1: of the University of Idaho President, even in the face
- 26:18Speaker 1: of objections from the victim's family members. The emotional impact
- 26:21Speaker 1: is also evidenced in the numerous candlelight vigils held for
- 26:25Speaker 1: the victims and their families and the creation of the
- 26:27Speaker 1: Healing Garden at the University of Idaho to memorialize the victims,
- 26:32Speaker 1: which are also mentioned in doctor Edelman's submitted declaration. Along
- 26:37Speaker 1: with sadness, there was also widespread fear during the long
- 26:40Speaker 1: search for a suspect, as seen in the Trial Innovation
- 26:43Speaker 1: Survey results responses from Letah County. People felt a sudden
- 26:47Speaker 1: sense of disruption that they perceived to be a once innocent, peaceful,
- 26:51Speaker 1: and safe community. Survey respondents noted being afraid to go
- 26:55Speaker 1: out alone, running from their cars to buildings, locking their
- 26:59Speaker 1: doors for the first time, increasing their personal or home security.
- 27:03Speaker 1: Fear among University of Idaho students and how some did
- 27:06Speaker 1: not return to campus was also mentioned. Some respondents indicated
- 27:10Speaker 1: that they still feel emotional e g. Fearful, on edge,
- 27:14Speaker 1: unsettled to this day. This is logical considering that community
- 27:18Speaker 1: members were for a long time advised to remain vigilant
- 27:21Speaker 1: and take extra precautions as shown in doctor edelman submitted declaration.
- 27:25Speaker 1: For weeks, the media contained fear inducing messages about a
- 27:29Speaker 1: killer on the loose, increased campus patrols and advice to
- 27:32Speaker 1: be aware of surroundings, and a report suspicious activity. The
- 27:36Speaker 1: Trial Innovation Survey results illustrate that the stress, anxiety, and
- 27:40Speaker 1: fear were a more prevalent in Letah County than other
- 27:43Speaker 1: surveyed counties during the long search for a suspect. Studies
- 27:47Speaker 1: have shown that emotions can bias our perceptions, even making
- 27:51Speaker 1: us more likely to view fictional information as real and informative,
- 27:56Speaker 1: thus lingering emotions during the trial could influence juror's objectivity.
- 28:00Speaker 1: Research is shown that juro motion can influence judgments of
- 28:04Speaker 1: guilt as well as interpretation and consideration of presented facts,
- 28:08Speaker 1: as evidenced in doctor Edelman's submitted declaration and the Trial
- 28:11Speaker 1: Innovation Survey results. Because the community was shaken emotionally Leta
- 28:15Speaker 1: County community, members felt that they could not live free
- 28:18Speaker 1: from fear and could not begin healing until the police
- 28:21Speaker 1: arrested someone for the murders. Thus, the motivation to identify
- 28:25Speaker 1: the killer and feel safe in their community was strong. Thus,
- 28:29Speaker 1: once mister Coburger was arrested, members of the community would
- 28:32Speaker 1: reasonably be motivated to believe that he was the perpetrator
- 28:35Speaker 1: of the crimes so that they could alleviate their emotions
- 28:38Speaker 1: and return to normal life. This could have caused people
- 28:42Speaker 1: to have unquestioned faith in mister Coburger indeed committed the
- 28:45Speaker 1: crimes in their search for relief. B Reasons for ongoing
- 28:49Speaker 1: biased during the trial. Once a person develops impressions about
- 28:53Speaker 1: a defendant's guilt from the media or community, those impressions
- 28:57Speaker 1: can impede the individual's ability to be a fair juror.
- 29:00Speaker 1: As mentioned previously, more participants in Leta County recognize specific
- 29:05Speaker 1: incriminating details about the case against mister Colberger, and exposure
- 29:09Speaker 1: to pre trial anti defendant publicity increases the likelihood of
- 29:13Speaker 1: a guilty verdict. The reasons underlying these effects or a
- 29:16Speaker 1: psychological process, which are well documented in the field of psychology.
- 29:21Speaker 1: One confirmation bias as a filter for new information. People
- 29:25Speaker 1: tend to exhibit a confirmation bias, which involves the unconscious
- 29:29Speaker 1: tendency to seek out in favor evidence that supports their
- 29:32Speaker 1: initial opinions or expectations. In media's stories and or comments
- 29:36Speaker 1: from peers cause people to form an expectation about mister
- 29:40Speaker 1: Colberger's guilt or about specific information that incriminates mister Colberger
- 29:45Speaker 1: or paints them in a negative light. Those beliefs will
- 29:47Speaker 1: likely serve as unconscious filters for new incoming information about
- 29:52Speaker 1: the case, even among well intentioned jurors. Specifically, they would
- 29:57Speaker 1: likely cause individuals to direct their attention towards belief consistent information,
- 30:02Speaker 1: to interpret ambiguous information as more supportive of their expectations
- 30:06Speaker 1: than it actually is, and to dismiss or forget information
- 30:10Speaker 1: that disconfirms their expectations. Well sounds like the who last
- 30:14Speaker 1: political world. At this point, specific beliefs about mister Coburger
- 30:18Speaker 1: and the case should be more pervasive among people living
- 30:21Speaker 1: in Latah County. According to the Trial Innovation Survey results,
- 30:25Speaker 1: a large percentage of surveyed residents in Latah County remembered
- 30:29Speaker 1: multiple media items with incriminating information, including misinformation against mister Colberger.
- 30:35Speaker 1: The report also found that prejudgments of guilt were particularly
- 30:39Speaker 1: high among those who remembered more of these items. If
- 30:42Speaker 1: these residents were to serve as jurors, they could not
- 30:45Speaker 1: be expected to evaluate information objectively during the trial. Confirmation
- 30:50Speaker 1: bias leads to the problem of pre trial predecisional distortion,
- 30:54Speaker 1: which is when early judgments about the accused or the
- 30:57Speaker 1: case caused distortion of new information life learned about the case,
- 31:01Speaker 1: e g. During the trial. The distortion has been discussed
- 31:04Speaker 1: and tested as a reason for why pre trial publicity
- 31:07Speaker 1: can bias potential jurors. For example, in one two thousand
- 31:11Speaker 1: and four study, some participants were giving a short news
- 31:14Speaker 1: article about a defendant describing that he had been arrested
- 31:17Speaker 1: following a shooting incident. The only negative information provided about
- 31:21Speaker 1: him aside from his arrest was what neighbors described him
- 31:24Speaker 1: as a bully. This new story alone caused participants to
- 31:27Speaker 1: be significantly more likely than those in control group to
- 31:31Speaker 1: view the defendant as having a criminal history, resulting in
- 31:34Speaker 1: predecision distortion. After later reading a trial transcript with various
- 31:39Speaker 1: testimonies in which the defendant was charged with murder, the
- 31:42Speaker 1: participants who had previously been exposed to their news articles
- 31:45Speaker 1: about the arrest were more likely to return a guilty
- 31:48Speaker 1: verdict than those who instead had read an article on
- 31:51Speaker 1: an unrelated subject. The authors specifically found that pre trial
- 31:55Speaker 1: distortion from the article led participants to view new evidence
- 31:59Speaker 1: or a god guarding the case filtered through their own expectations,
- 32:03Speaker 1: causing them to favor new testimony that align with their
- 32:06Speaker 1: current leading theory regarding the accused instead of evaluating new
- 32:10Speaker 1: evidence objectively. According to doctor edelman submitted declaration and Truscope's
- 32:15Speaker 1: list of media stories, rumors had spread regarding mister Colberger
- 32:19Speaker 1: having stalked one of the victims, being associated with murders
- 32:22Speaker 1: or murderers irrelevant to this case. Media and social media
- 32:27Speaker 1: were also rife with stories about mister Coberger's apparent academic, social,
- 32:31Speaker 1: and behavioral issue circumstances. If prospective jurors received Mister Coberger
- 32:36Speaker 1: negatively from the onset due to this exposure, then they
- 32:40Speaker 1: are likely to follow the same pattern described in the research,
- 32:43Speaker 1: specifically favoring anti defendant evidence and having a greater probability
- 32:48Speaker 1: of returning a guilty verdict. Certainly, juror's viewpoint regarding a
- 32:52Speaker 1: criminal case should change after becoming fully informed and presented
- 32:56Speaker 1: with all of the evidence regarding the case, but it's
- 32:59Speaker 1: less likely that jurors would reach a conclusion diametrically opposed
- 33:03Speaker 1: to their initial impression then one consistent with it. In
- 33:06Speaker 1: other words, they would be less likely to conclude innocence
- 33:09Speaker 1: if they had even a slight leaning towards assuming guilt,
- 33:12Speaker 1: because they're anchored by their initial judgments. It's noteworthy that
- 33:16Speaker 1: predecisional distortion effects in both civil and criminal mock trials
- 33:20Speaker 1: have been observed even when participants receive formal instructions to
- 33:24Speaker 1: suspend judgment until after all of the evidence was presented.
- 33:29Speaker 1: Two belief perseverance, resulting in more predecisional distortion of information
- 33:36Speaker 1: if potential jurors have more than just a mild suspicion
- 33:39Speaker 1: or expectation and have formed a clear initial opinion about
- 33:42Speaker 1: mister Coberger, their perceptual bias can become even stronger. Belief
- 33:47Speaker 1: preseverance is a phenomenon illustrating that people's beliefs often persist
- 33:53Speaker 1: even when presented with information that completely discredits those beliefs.
- 33:57Speaker 1: The more confident people are in their initial prejudgment, the
- 34:00Speaker 1: more predecisional distortion will result when interpreting subsequent information. Media
- 34:05Speaker 1: consumers may become more confident if they're exposed to more
- 34:09Speaker 1: media coverage about a case, and if the media coverage
- 34:12Speaker 1: presents stronger suggestions of a defendant's guilt e g. Evidence
- 34:17Speaker 1: commentary by authority figures. Confidence of mister Coburger's guilt may
- 34:21Speaker 1: have also arisen from the motivation to feel safe within
- 34:24Speaker 1: the community. The differences in judgment of guilt across communities
- 34:28Speaker 1: in the Trial Innovation Survey results were not as consistent
- 34:32Speaker 1: and apparent as one might expect, but there is no
- 34:35Speaker 1: data on whether those in Letah County have more confidence
- 34:38Speaker 1: in their guilt ratings other than a seemingly greater proportion
- 34:41Speaker 1: believing he is definitely guilty, more emotional involvement in them,
- 34:45Speaker 1: or more motivation to believe mister Coburger is guilty. There
- 34:49Speaker 1: is also no data on other potential prejudicial judgments, such
- 34:53Speaker 1: as personality judgments, likability, or criminality. Moreover, even if differences
- 34:58Speaker 1: in pre existing guilt judge moments across counties were minimal,
- 35:02Speaker 1: exposure to more pre trial publicity in Letah County would
- 35:05Speaker 1: be sufficient in reducing the ability to serve as an
- 35:08Speaker 1: unbiased jur According to what we know from research on
- 35:11Speaker 1: publicity's effects, because of confirmation bias and belief preseverance, the
- 35:16Speaker 1: effects of pre trial publicity can persist throughout the course
- 35:20Speaker 1: of an entire trial and still influenced guilty verdicts after
- 35:23Speaker 1: all trial arguments and evidence are presented. One way in
- 35:27Speaker 1: which was demonstrated in research was using a shadow jury
- 35:31Speaker 1: paradigm in which researchers exposed mock jurors recruited from the
- 35:35Speaker 1: jury eligible community members to ongoing trial information as though
- 35:40Speaker 1: they were active jurors. During a ten week time period.
- 35:43Speaker 1: One sample of mock jur was naturally exposed to pre
- 35:46Speaker 1: trial publicity. The other sample was recruited from different regions
- 35:50Speaker 1: so that exposure to pre trial publicity could be experimentally manipulated.
- 35:54Speaker 1: Guilt ratings were assessed at several points in time during
- 35:57Speaker 1: the trial. Despite admonitions to refrain from using pre trial
- 36:01Speaker 1: publicity information and their decision making similar to instructions given
- 36:05Speaker 1: to actual jurors, mock jurors continued to be influenced by
- 36:08Speaker 1: pre trial publicity all the way through their post trial verdicts.
- 36:12Speaker 1: Their initial impression likely served as a filter for how
- 36:15Speaker 1: they receive subsequent trial evidence and arguments consistent with confirmation
- 36:20Speaker 1: bias and belief preseverance tendencies, causing their bias to persist
- 36:25Speaker 1: even after all the evidence was presented. All right, we're
- 36:28Speaker 1: going to wrap up right here, and in the next episode,
- 36:30Speaker 1: we're going to pick up with three cognitive dissonance effects.
- 36:33Speaker 1: All of the information that goes with this episode can
- 36:35Speaker 1: be found in the description box. What's up everyone, and
- 36:38Speaker 1: welcome back to the program. In this episode, we're getting
- 36:41Speaker 1: right back to the scientific report in support of Brian
- 36:45Speaker 1: Kolberger's motion to change venues three cognitive dissonance effects. Another
- 36:51Speaker 1: potential obstacle for impartiality among prospective jurors recruited from Letah
- 36:56Speaker 1: County is their connection to their community. The small community
- 37:00Speaker 1: together after the murders, holding vigils and supporting one another.
- 37:03Speaker 1: According to the Trial Innovation Survey results, most lived in
- 37:07Speaker 1: Moscow or knew someone who lived there at the time
- 37:10Speaker 1: of the murders, twenty five percent where students or employees
- 37:13Speaker 1: or were related to students' employees of the university, and
- 37:16Speaker 1: twenty two percent were affiliated with someone working for a
- 37:19Speaker 1: law enforcement agency involved in the investigation. This emotional connectedness
- 37:24Speaker 1: could cause someone to lean towards a conviction. It would
- 37:27Speaker 1: be difficult to return to that tightly knit community as
- 37:30Speaker 1: a former juror who did not decide to convict mister Coburger.
- 37:33Speaker 1: As evidenced within the Trial Innovation Survey, participants from Leta
- 37:37Speaker 1: County indicated that a conviction would help people heal and
- 37:41Speaker 1: recover the sense of safety that was lost, whereas an
- 37:44Speaker 1: acquittal would result in fear, pain, and outrage. Jurors are
- 37:48Speaker 1: likely to know this and that could influence their judgments.
- 37:51Speaker 1: According to well established theory of cognitive dissonance and many
- 37:55Speaker 1: decades of research supporting the theory, people often distort reality
- 38:00Speaker 1: in order to avoid feeling an inner sense of hypocrisy
- 38:03Speaker 1: or conflict. Because of this, I think it's highly probable
- 38:07Speaker 1: that a jurve from Latak County would be more likely
- 38:09Speaker 1: to unintentionally favor information that supports a conviction than would
- 38:14Speaker 1: adjur from another area. If a jurve from Latah County,
- 38:17Speaker 1: particularly Moscow, Idaho, began to support a view of mister
- 38:21Speaker 1: Coberger's innocence, they would likely feel cognitive dissonance due to
- 38:25Speaker 1: the conflict between that view and the loyalty that they
- 38:28Speaker 1: have for their community. Additionally, they may fear backlash from
- 38:31Speaker 1: their community, which could also influence their information processing and judgments.
- 38:37Speaker 1: Research is shown that members of cohesive, tightly knit groups,
- 38:40Speaker 1: such as a small community, are more likely to conform
- 38:44Speaker 1: to the group three attempts to mitigate jur bias. Due
- 38:48Speaker 1: to all the reasons noted in this report, it would
- 38:50Speaker 1: be best to recruit jurors from an area where there
- 38:53Speaker 1: has been less emotional investment and less publicity exposure regarding
- 38:56Speaker 1: the case. Research has yet to determine a reliable method
- 39:00Speaker 1: for eliminating pre trial publicity bias effects after exposure has occurred,
- 39:05Speaker 1: suggesting that limiting potential jurors exposure in the first place
- 39:09Speaker 1: would be the best avenue in the pursuit of a
- 39:11Speaker 1: fair trial. This is why change of venue and a
- 39:14Speaker 1: non dissemination order have such importance a screening jurors. Although
- 39:20Speaker 1: this research is limited, some work finds that even extended
- 39:24Speaker 1: vordere by seasoned attorneys does not specifically mitigate pre trial
- 39:28Speaker 1: publicity effects, despite its other potential benefits one selecting jurors
- 39:33Speaker 1: based on prior exposure. There are a number of psychological
- 39:37Speaker 1: reasons why it would be difficult to identify jurors who
- 39:40Speaker 1: are not exposed to pre trial publicity. First, perspective, jurors
- 39:44Speaker 1: may not consciously recollect their exposure. Some of our memories
- 39:48Speaker 1: are unconscious. We do not know the memories are there,
- 39:51Speaker 1: but they can still affect us. For example, someone may
- 39:54Speaker 1: not remember that they learn something negative about someone, but
- 39:57Speaker 1: they still have a negative impression of that person at
- 40:00Speaker 1: a conscious or unconscious level. Several decades of research have
- 40:04Speaker 1: shown that our judgments can be influenced by information in
- 40:08Speaker 1: our unconscious mind. Moreover, weaker or unconscious memories may resurface
- 40:14Speaker 1: if something triggers them during trial. Thus, a juror may
- 40:17Speaker 1: report not having been exposed to pre trial publicity, but
- 40:20Speaker 1: then later remembers some specific publicity exposure after something during
- 40:24Speaker 1: trial reminds them of the memory. This process is called
- 40:28Speaker 1: priming due to the presence of retrieval cues cues that
- 40:31Speaker 1: prompt us to recollect something. This is consistent with the
- 40:34Speaker 1: Trial Innovation Survey results in which the vast majority of
- 40:38Speaker 1: Letah County participants recognized additional facts regarding the case beyond
- 40:43Speaker 1: what they were able to recall from memory without any
- 40:45Speaker 1: retrieval cues. Research on retrieval cues has been shown to
- 40:49Speaker 1: explain why eyewitnesses sometimes recall more information during subsequent interviews.
- 40:55Speaker 1: A second problem is that prospective jurors may not be
- 40:58Speaker 1: honest about their exposure, perhaps due to social desirability, concerns,
- 41:03Speaker 1: wanting to appear favorable to others, or conformity observed in
- 41:07Speaker 1: many different scenarios has been shown to contribute to dishonest responding.
- 41:11Speaker 1: During Vorder two, selecting jurors based on ability to remain impartial,
- 41:16Speaker 1: the ability to identify unbiased jurors would pose even more
- 41:20Speaker 1: of a challenge. One problem with the approach of asking
- 41:23Speaker 1: jurors if they are able to remain unbiased is that
- 41:26Speaker 1: although they may take due process seriously, people may be
- 41:29Speaker 1: unaware of their bias and thus unable to correct for them. Most,
- 41:33Speaker 1: if not all, of the effects discussed in this report
- 41:36Speaker 1: occur automatically and beyond people's level of awareness. For example,
- 41:39Speaker 1: when people's opinions are biased by pre trial publicity information,
- 41:43Speaker 1: they tend to deny any such influence. In order to
- 41:47Speaker 1: control our own bias, we must at a minimum have
- 41:49Speaker 1: awareness that the bias are there and the motivation to
- 41:53Speaker 1: overcome them. However, even when warned about the potential for bias,
- 41:57Speaker 1: jurors are often incapable of ignoring any prior judgments or
- 42:01Speaker 1: preconceptions when evaluating evidence from a trial. Additionally, some people
- 42:06Speaker 1: may think they are incapable of unfair bias and may
- 42:10Speaker 1: not put effort forth to offset them. There's a tendency
- 42:13Speaker 1: to recognize bias more in others than in oneself, which
- 42:16Speaker 1: is known as bias blind spot. This is unsurprising given
- 42:20Speaker 1: that people generally tend to overestimate their abilities and underestimate
- 42:24Speaker 1: their weaknesses, a phenomenon called the self enhancement bias, which
- 42:28Speaker 1: has been documented time and time again in peer reviewed research.
- 42:32Speaker 1: Because people tend to view themselves as less biased and
- 42:35Speaker 1: less prejudiced than others, they may feel it necessary to
- 42:38Speaker 1: be attuned to and correct for the potential flaws in
- 42:42Speaker 1: their judgment. People also have an overconfidence bias, wherein they
- 42:46Speaker 1: overestimate their confidence regarding their judgments, perceptions, and decisions. For example,
- 42:52Speaker 1: one study found that when people say they're one hundred
- 42:55Speaker 1: percent certain of something, they are incorrect on average twenty
- 42:58Speaker 1: percent of the time. These areas of research suggest that
- 43:02Speaker 1: one can simply ask jurors if they are capable of
- 43:06Speaker 1: being bias free when evaluating a case, and then choose
- 43:09Speaker 1: those who say yes. In fact, those who say yes
- 43:12Speaker 1: or that they are biased free may underestimate their level
- 43:15Speaker 1: of bias the most. This is consistent with the research
- 43:18Speaker 1: showing that people who have the highest level of sexism
- 43:21Speaker 1: racism are the most inaccurate when estimating their level of
- 43:25Speaker 1: sexism or racism. Unfortunately, people are typically unable to make
- 43:29Speaker 1: determinations regarding their current level of bias, their inclination to
- 43:33Speaker 1: be biased when evaluating new information, and their ability to
- 43:36Speaker 1: control their bias in cognitive tasks. B instructions and deliberation
- 43:42Speaker 1: one judicial instructions disregard information. Asking jurors to be on
- 43:46Speaker 1: biased during a trial is also problematic. Several decades of
- 43:51Speaker 1: research have investigated whether instructions to disregard evidence are successful,
- 43:56Speaker 1: finding that such instructions typically do not work and can
- 43:59Speaker 1: even backfire. Two thousand and six meta analysis examine the
- 44:02Speaker 1: effects of instructions given to jurors to disregard inadmissible evidence
- 44:07Speaker 1: across forty eight studies, concluding that when evidence is presented,
- 44:11Speaker 1: verdicts become more aligned with that evidence, even when jurors
- 44:15Speaker 1: are asked to disregard it. This was also true when
- 44:18Speaker 1: examining as a whole the subset of studies which specifically
- 44:21Speaker 1: involved instructions to disregard pre trial publicity information. Other research
- 44:26Speaker 1: found such instructions to be ineffective in offsetting the influence
- 44:30Speaker 1: of both factual pre trial publicity, incriminating evidence, and emotional
- 44:34Speaker 1: pre trial publicity that was not evidence based. Studies have
- 44:38Speaker 1: shown that getting jurors to pledge impartiality and degree to
- 44:42Speaker 1: refrain from using prior knowledge does not eliminate bias from
- 44:45Speaker 1: pre trial publicity. Two. Jury deliberation. Just as the presentation
- 44:50Speaker 1: of trial evidence and arguments does not eliminate pre trial
- 44:53Speaker 1: publicity effects, neither does jury deliberation, as observed in mock
- 44:57Speaker 1: trial studies. In fact, deliberation and may increase the effects
- 45:01Speaker 1: of pre trial publicity. Recall from the twenty twenty two
- 45:04Speaker 1: meta analysis that the effects of pre trial publicity were
- 45:08Speaker 1: stronger when examining group verdicts versus individual verdicts. Although most
- 45:13Speaker 1: studies examining post deliberation verdicts in groups have typically exposed
- 45:17Speaker 1: all jurors to the negative pre trial publicity information in
- 45:21Speaker 1: the experimental condition, which might be a rare occurrence in
- 45:24Speaker 1: real world situations, some have examined mixed juries where only
- 45:29Speaker 1: some members were exposed. A twenty seventeen mock jury study
- 45:33Speaker 1: showed that in mixed juries, the bias among those exposed
- 45:37Speaker 1: to pre trial publicity can spread to other jurors during deliberations.
- 45:42Speaker 1: Subsequent experimental research in twenty twenty one yielded the same result,
- 45:47Speaker 1: showing that if some jurors are exposed to pre trial
- 45:49Speaker 1: publicity information, that information can steer the discussion in the
- 45:53Speaker 1: same direction e g. Anti defendant during jury deliberation with
- 45:57Speaker 1: jurors who had not yet been exposed. Moreover, group discussion
- 46:02Speaker 1: tends to cause a group's initial leanings to become stronger
- 46:05Speaker 1: more polarized after group discussions, a widely research phenomenon known
- 46:10Speaker 1: as group polarization. Thus, if some jurors have initial leanings
- 46:14Speaker 1: that are anti defendant, that could be enough to influence
- 46:16Speaker 1: the overall group's initial leaning, ultimately resulting in even more
- 46:20Speaker 1: anti defendant views post deliberation. Group polarization effects have been
- 46:25Speaker 1: confirmed to exist in mock juries conclusions. My conclusion from
- 46:31Speaker 1: the review of the research is that pre trial publicity
- 46:33Speaker 1: effects on judgments tend to affect judgments of guilt and
- 46:36Speaker 1: are pervasive, lasting through trial, and hard to reduce. As such,
- 46:41Speaker 1: the best way to prevent them, based on our current
- 46:43Speaker 1: knowledge base, would be to utilized jurors who have not
- 46:46Speaker 1: been exposed to such coverage. Moreover, the probability of a
- 46:50Speaker 1: fair trial should be greater if jurors are less emotionally
- 46:53Speaker 1: invested and connected with the case. For the reasons noted
- 46:56Speaker 1: in this report. Research suggests that preventing limit emotions among
- 47:01Speaker 1: jurors in the first place is more effective path to
- 47:04Speaker 1: objectivity than trying to reduce the effects of emotions on
- 47:07Speaker 1: legal decisions. Because of the difficulties with asking jurors about
- 47:12Speaker 1: their exposure and bias, it would be best to recruit
- 47:15Speaker 1: jurors from a location which there has been less media
- 47:18Speaker 1: exposure to information, less discussion regarding the case, and less
- 47:22Speaker 1: personal and emotional investment in the case. Although this case
- 47:26Speaker 1: has received widespread national attention, residents within Leayta appear to
- 47:31Speaker 1: have more exposure to the case and have been more
- 47:33Speaker 1: personally and emotionally invested in it. Thus my recommendation for
- 47:37Speaker 1: a change of venue to a location outside of Leatah County.
- 47:41Speaker 1: This document was signed by Amani L. Aliley. All Right, folks,
- 47:46Speaker 1: that's going to do it for the scientific report in
- 47:49Speaker 1: support of Brian Kohberger's motion to change the venue. All
- 47:53Speaker 1: of the information that goes with this episode can be
- 47:56Speaker 1: found in the description box.