Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4186 You Won’t BELIEVE What Fetterman Just ANNOUNCED!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_01]: One of the most unpredictable Democrats in Washington just made a stunning announcement that could throw the entire battle for the Senate in the chaos with his own party already turning against him and Republicans increasingly welcoming him with open arms.
- 0:37[SPEAKER_01]: John Fetterman is suddenly refusing to give Democrats the one promise they desperately need to win back the Senate.
- 0:44[SPEAKER_01]: Stick them in the very end of this video because once you see what's happening in the critical Senate races across the country, you understand why Fetterman may be preparing to make the most consequential decision of his political career.
- 0:59[SPEAKER_01]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, you're a Patre professor, celebrating yet another glorious day in the Trumpian golden age that you made possible back in November of 2024, so if you're on a front or a seat on how you continue to change the world in ways you never even imagine, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe, and also just a quick sign note.
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- 1:40[SPEAKER_01]: All right, gang, let's dive right in here.
- 1:42[SPEAKER_01]: Pents of Anis Center, John Fetterman, just blew the roof off of the Democratic establishment once again.
- 1:50[SPEAKER_01]: Over the weekend, he further distance himself from his own party, saying that he would not commit to serving as the 51st Democrat vote in the Senate, if Democrats win back the Senate.
- 2:03[SPEAKER_01]: in the midterms now we're going to be looking at the democrats dwindling chances of doing just that in a moment, but federalman is simply not committing to being the reliable 51st vote the democrats would need to pass the agenda at least in congress.
- 2:21[SPEAKER_01]: Now he's already shown that he's more than willing to cross the political aisle and key votes such as when he just crossed over and voted with republicans to defeat the
- 2:33[SPEAKER_01]: And of course he made a special appearance by way of video at the Republican mid-terms convention a couple of weeks back where he endorsed his fellow Pennsylvania Senator Dave McCormick, a Republican.
- 2:45[SPEAKER_01]: So Fettiman is clearly not being a faithful team player here as far as the Democrats are concerned and speaking with CBS News correspondent Major Garrett at the Texas Tribune Festival over the weekend.
- 2:57[SPEAKER_01]: He even seemed to let a foretian slip get out.
- 3:01[SPEAKER_01]: And is from Kehindi from Dallas, and they ask, why not become an independent?
- 3:10[SPEAKER_03]: Because I'm a lifelong Republican Democrat.
- 3:14[SPEAKER_03]: Thank you.
- 3:19[SPEAKER_02]: That's a moment right there that's clipable ladies and gentlemen circulate go go go internet spin wildly wildly spin internet
- 3:29[SPEAKER_03]: I guarantee it.
- 3:29[SPEAKER_03]: That's going to break through.
- 3:30[SPEAKER_03]: That'll get clipped.
- 3:32[SPEAKER_03]: Yeah, I'm a lifelong Democrat though.
- 3:35[SPEAKER_03]: Yeah, and it's, you know, and, and that's, and that's.
- 3:39[SPEAKER_01]: Clearly, Fataman is far more comfortable at Republican events than he is at Democrat one.
- 3:45[SPEAKER_01]: And as I noted earlier, he hasn't limited his break with the left to rhetoric.
- 3:49[SPEAKER_01]: He's broken with his party on immigration and funding.
- 3:52[SPEAKER_01]: He's back Trump nominees.
- 3:53[SPEAKER_01]: He's strongly supported Israel.
- 3:55[SPEAKER_01]: He opposed Democrat attempts to constrain President Trump on Iran.
- 3:59[SPEAKER_01]: CQ roll call calculated that in 2025.
- 4:04[SPEAKER_01]: Federman supported Trump's position on 27% of recorded votes by far an unusual record for a Senate Democrat, especially in this radically partisan environment.
- 4:15[SPEAKER_01]: And if he switched that percentage, of course, would only end up going up.
- 4:19[SPEAKER_01]: So the problem for Federman.
- 4:22[SPEAKER_01]: is that while he may still vote mostly with Democrats in Washington, Democrat voters back home, increasingly see him as belonging to the other side.
- 4:33[SPEAKER_01]: And August New York Times, Philadelphia, and Cyanopole found that just 22% of Pennsylvania Democrats viewed federal and favorably.
- 4:44[SPEAKER_01]: 63% viewed them unfavorably.
- 4:47[SPEAKER_01]: Among Republicans, the number was almost the mirror image, 73% favorable, 21% unfavorable.
- 4:55[SPEAKER_01]: And it's gotten even worse.
- 4:56[SPEAKER_01]: A new Penn Live and Bravo group poll found that 77% of Pennsylvania Democrats disapproved of federalmen.
- 5:05[SPEAKER_01]: 77 percent said that if you were facing reelection right now, they would vote for someone else.
- 5:11[SPEAKER_01]: That's not a name 2028 matchup, but it is a five-alarm warning.
- 5:16[SPEAKER_01]: Nearly four and five Democrats already want an alternative.
- 5:20[SPEAKER_01]: Meanwhile, a separate September times in choir and Sienna survey,
- 5:25[SPEAKER_01]: found that 57% of likely Pennsylvania voters now see fatterman as more Republican than Democrat.
- 5:32[SPEAKER_01]: Only 26% see him as more Democrat.
- 5:35[SPEAKER_01]: Nearly three quarters of likely Democrat voters put him on the Republican side of that divide.
- 5:42[SPEAKER_01]: And potential challengers are already circling.
- 5:45[SPEAKER_01]: So you got Congressman Chris delusio.
- 5:48[SPEAKER_01]: He says he's considering
- 5:49[SPEAKER_01]: a 2028 Democrat primary challenge while Pennsylvania Democrats are openly discussing who could indeed replace federalmen whether or not he seeks another term.
- 5:59[SPEAKER_01]: One house Democrat told CNN that he could not envision federalmen becoming a 2028 nominate for their parties.
- 6:06[SPEAKER_01]: So, federalmen now faces an extraordinary reality.
- 6:11[SPEAKER_01]: He's dramatically more popular with Pennsylvania Republicans than he is with Democrats.
- 6:16[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat electorate appears ready to reject him and his Republican colleagues are welcoming him with open arms.
- 6:24[SPEAKER_01]: November made decide not only the Senate, but Federmins political future.
- 6:30[SPEAKER_01]: So speaking of deciding that Senate, what are the prospects that the Democrats could take back the Senate?
- 6:37[SPEAKER_01]: November.
- 6:38[SPEAKER_01]: That's exactly what we're about to find out.
- 6:41[SPEAKER_01]: But first, when we think about war, we picture soldiers and battlefields, but the real damage doesn't stay contained.
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- 9:12[SPEAKER_01]: So, what are the prospects for the Democrats to take back the Senate?
- 9:15[SPEAKER_01]: Well, as we speak, those prospects are increasingly dismal.
- 9:20[SPEAKER_01]: And for a number of reasons, virtually all the seats up for Democrats for the exception of Maine, we're Susan Collins, the seeking reelection, but virtually all the other seats that the Democrats would need to win in order to get a majority in the Senate.
- 9:38[SPEAKER_01]: Those are seats where Trump won in 2024 by double digits.
- 9:43[SPEAKER_01]: So we're talking Texas, Ohio, Alaska, South Carolina.
- 9:48[SPEAKER_01]: And the problem for Democrats is that in order for them to win 51 seats, they have to flip at least three of these double digits states, which rarely happens.
- 9:59[SPEAKER_01]: There've only been a few times historically.
- 10:02[SPEAKER_01]: When a state voted for a president by double digits,
- 10:07[SPEAKER_01]: for the other party in the Senate two years later.
- 10:10[SPEAKER_01]: It's a very, very rare occurrence.
- 10:12[SPEAKER_01]: Let alone something that happened several times in a single election.
- 10:16[SPEAKER_01]: And we're already now getting data to show that it's simply not going to happen.
- 10:23[SPEAKER_01]: Early vote data is coming in.
- 10:25[SPEAKER_01]: It's starting to trickle in, particularly in the state of Ohio.
- 10:29[SPEAKER_01]: And I'm going to show you why Ohio is so key here.
- 10:37[SPEAKER_01]: are frankly turning out to be a disaster for the Democrats.
- 10:43[SPEAKER_01]: And there's really actually no other way of
- 10:46[SPEAKER_01]: calling it out.
- 10:47[SPEAKER_01]: By way of comparison, these are the 10 counties for 2022 and 2024, where the male results were given for those years.
- 10:57[SPEAKER_01]: And as you can see in 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan had amassed a more than 30 point advantage over JD Vance in the Senate race, 67 to 32 and male in voting.
- 11:10[SPEAKER_01]: But of course, Vance went on to win easily by six points.
- 11:14[SPEAKER_01]: same in 2024 with the Democrat shared brown who's running right now.
- 11:19[SPEAKER_01]: He had virtually the same lead over Bernie Moreno, 67 to 32, but Moreno, the Republican went on to win by nearly four points.
- 11:28[SPEAKER_01]: So we've got a pretty strong benchmark for determining how Democrats are fairing
- 11:34[SPEAKER_01]: in the early mail in vote.
- 11:36[SPEAKER_01]: They should be at around 67% of the vote with a 30 point margin.
- 11:43[SPEAKER_01]: That's if they're going to win, they're going to need to duplicate at least that.
- 11:48[SPEAKER_01]: In fact, it's going to have to be larger than that since Republicans came out and won on election day.
- 11:54[SPEAKER_01]: So where are they right now in Ohio as we speak for these upcoming midterms?
- 12:02[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat Sherrod Brown right now is at just 59% of the vote.
- 12:08[SPEAKER_01]: The Republican, John Houston, he's at 40%.
- 12:13[SPEAKER_01]: So the Democrat is down.
- 12:16[SPEAKER_01]: by nearly 10 points while the Republican is up by eight.
- 12:22[SPEAKER_01]: Now, again, I wanna caution you here.
- 12:25[SPEAKER_01]: It's still early, these percentages can change, but it is worth noting that this massive drop for the Democrat in early mail-in voting isn't localized.
- 12:40[SPEAKER_01]: it's not just happening in a single county here or there.
- 12:42[SPEAKER_01]: It's statewide.
- 12:44[SPEAKER_01]: It's all across to say all over Ohio, which is obviously huge for the Senate race, not to mention the governor's race with Vivek, or I'm a swami, but also races like Ohio's seven.
- 12:55[SPEAKER_01]: We're scandal-plague max millers trying to hold on.
- 12:57[SPEAKER_01]: We need Ohio's seven to hold the house.
- 13:00[SPEAKER_01]: Now, we can keep going here.
- 13:03[SPEAKER_01]: Ohio is a bit of a bell weather.
- 13:07[SPEAKER_01]: If Ohio is going deep red right now, and it looks like it's going deep, deep, deep red.
- 13:15[SPEAKER_01]: That would mean that Iowa and Alaska are also going deep red because Iowa and Alaska always vote to the right of Ohio.
- 13:25[SPEAKER_01]: Certainly Iowa has since 2016.
- 13:30[SPEAKER_01]: Iowa even voted to the right of Alaska in 2024.
- 13:34[SPEAKER_01]: So we don't have to worry about the Senate seat, particularly in Alaska there.
- 13:41[SPEAKER_01]: And
- 13:42[SPEAKER_01]: it would also mean that Texas is going deep deep deep red because Texas always votes to the right of Iowa and Alaska remember the last time that Texas was in play for the Senate was eight years ago back in 2018 when Ted Cruz and Beto O'Rourke were going at it that was just two years after Texas voted for Trump
- 14:07[SPEAKER_01]: by a margin of eight points.
- 14:09[SPEAKER_01]: And there was a six point swing toward the Democrat, beta will rock back in 2018.
- 14:16[SPEAKER_01]: By contrast, Texas voted for Trump in 2024 by a margin of 14 points, almost twice what they voted back in 2016.
- 14:26[SPEAKER_01]: So Texas has been growing significantly more red
- 14:31[SPEAKER_01]: since 2018 when Ted Cruz still beat Beto O'Rourke, I'll be up by just two to three points.
- 14:38[SPEAKER_01]: That means that Texas could literally swing 12 to 13 put double digits to the left and Ken Paxton would still beat Talleriko.
- 14:50[SPEAKER_01]: So these polls showing Talorika winning by like five points or eight points, they are, they're beyond absurd.
- 14:59[SPEAKER_01]: Again, we just don't see states that vote for president, switch to the other party two years later, that dramatically, certainly not by margins like that.
- 15:10[SPEAKER_01]: All of this is to say that things do not look very promising for the Democrats and their hopes to take back the Senate and Susan Collins and Maine looks like she'll be just fine remember she the last time she won it was 2020 that all that chaos in that insanity surrounding the 2020
- 15:27[SPEAKER_01]: Uh, vote.
- 15:27[SPEAKER_01]: She wants you one by comfortably.
- 15:29[SPEAKER_01]: I think by 8.68 points, she'll do that again.
- 15:32[SPEAKER_01]: So that's how I can be promised.
- 15:33[SPEAKER_01]: So if that's the case, then Federman is going to have all the more reason to make the switch here.
- 15:40[SPEAKER_01]: If he stays a Democrat, he risk getting crushed in a primary.
- 15:44[SPEAKER_01]: Uh, if he leaves, he has all the political power he needs to easily hold a seat in Pennsylvania, particularly as a Republican.
- 15:52[SPEAKER_01]: So, Fetterman is not crossed the line yet, but with his latest refusal this week and he just walked right up to it and told the entire country to watch what happens after November.
- 16:04[SPEAKER_01]: So, what do you guys think?
- 16:05[SPEAKER_01]: Is he going to make that switch once the GOP holds the Senate?
- 16:08[SPEAKER_01]: Let me know in the comment section below and as always, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis you're not going to get anywhere else.
- 16:16[SPEAKER_01]: God bless you guys.
- 16:17[SPEAKER_01]: Love you.
- 16:18[SPEAKER_01]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Trolley Talks podcast.
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- 16:34[SPEAKER_01]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.