Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 02 September 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
- 0:05Speaker 1: Early Edition with Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 0:10Speaker 2: Good morning.
- 0:11Speaker 3: Six after five. Great to have your company. The bond markets,
- 0:13Speaker 3: the yields are still going north. We'll talk about that
- 0:15Speaker 3: this morning. It's also OCR Day here in New Zealand.
- 0:18Speaker 3: The new port the Americans and us want to build
- 0:20Speaker 3: in the Cooks. Netball. We'll speak to friend of the show,
- 0:22Speaker 3: Mark Foster. And Global Dairy Trade Auction just come out
- 0:25Speaker 3: for you too. It is Wednesday the 2nd of September,
- 0:30Speaker 3: King of the U-Turn, that's what they're calling him now,
- 0:32Speaker 3: this is Burnham, and back from his summer holes he is,
- 0:35Speaker 3: questions in the House.
- 0:36Speaker 4: I have not had the pleasure of asking him any questions.
- 0:41Speaker 4: So we are all grateful, we are all grateful Mr Speaker,
- 0:46Speaker 4: that he has finally found time to come to Parliament
- 0:49Speaker 4: to answer some questions.
- 0:51Speaker 5: She mentions my summer. I noticed she spent hers travelling
- 0:55Speaker 5: all the way to Rome to be told by the
- 0:57Speaker 5: Italian Prime Minister not to do a deal with reform. Well,
- 1:00Speaker 5: if she'd have called me, I would have told her
- 1:02Speaker 5: that and saved her the trip, Mr Speaker.
- 1:05Speaker 3: Everybody's happy because they've had a good sleep. Kimmy wants
- 1:08Speaker 3: to know about the boats, though.
- 1:09Speaker 4: Boat crossings have not gone down because of anything that
- 1:12Speaker 4: Labour has done.
- 1:13Speaker 6: Boat crossings are.
- 1:14Speaker 4: Down across all of Europe. and have been for much longer.
- 1:19Speaker 5: Yes, we will continue to look at all measures, the
- 1:22Speaker 5: Home Secretary and I. We will be relentless in making
- 1:25Speaker 5: sure we continue to make progress. But it would, I think,
- 1:30Speaker 5: do the party opposite well to recognise that significant progress
- 1:33Speaker 5: has indeed been made.
- 1:35Speaker 3: Early headache for the Prime Minister. Keir Starmer, the former,
- 1:40Speaker 3: has stood down as an MP. This is his electorate,
- 1:43Speaker 3: Holborn and St Pancras, so there's going to be a
- 1:45Speaker 3: by-election there.
- 1:46Speaker 6: He wishes to spend the time working both in an
- 1:49Speaker 6: international role, as yet unspecified, and also working on violence
- 1:55Speaker 6: against women and girls and preventing that, a theme that
- 1:58Speaker 6: he has stuck to for much of his career, even
- 2:02Speaker 6: before he was elected. Prime Minister.
- 2:04Speaker 3: Yeah, guess who might want to run in that seat?
- 2:06Speaker 3: The Green Party co-leader. You know the one who thought
- 2:09Speaker 3: that he could hypnotise women to make their breasts bigger?
- 2:11Speaker 3: That guy? Yeah, he might run there. In other news,
- 2:14Speaker 3: the Germans are blaming the Russians for a drone attack.
- 2:16Speaker 3: This is at Leipzig Airport. We told you about this
- 2:18Speaker 3: when it happened. It was a month ago and it
- 2:20Speaker 3: was near some Ukrainian cargo planes.
- 2:23Speaker 7: August 4th at the Leipzig airport is part of an
- 2:28Speaker 7: already well-known pattern of Russian hybrid actions or operations in Europe.
- 2:34Speaker 8: Information from intelligence proves.
- 2:42Speaker 3: Finally this morning, jurors in the Lindsay Clancy trial deadlocked.
- 2:45Speaker 3: This is the U.S. woman accused of killing her three
- 2:47Speaker 3: kids in Massachusetts in their home. Prosecution says basically she
- 2:51Speaker 3: knew exactly what she was doing and planned it.
- 2:53Speaker 9: I know that this was a long trial. I know
- 2:58Speaker 9: there were over 80 witnesses.
- 3:00Speaker 10: There were over 300 exhibits.
- 3:02Speaker 9: But because of that, I'm going to ask you to
- 3:05Speaker 9: go back out, keeping in mind all the instructions that
- 3:09Speaker 9: I gave you, to go out and to continue your
- 3:13Speaker 9: deliberations at this time.
- 3:16Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in-depth analysis.
- 3:19Speaker 1: Early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business. Technology
- 3:24Speaker 1: that keeps business moving.
- 3:25Speaker 3: Newstalk ZB. 9292, the number to text. Always love to
- 3:28Speaker 3: hear from you. Just gone nine minutes after five now. Interestingly,
- 3:31Speaker 3: just while we're talking about Kimi and we're talking about Burnham,
- 3:34Speaker 3: the Conservatives, there was a poll out overnight. The Conservatives
- 3:37Speaker 3: have jumped ahead just slightly of Reform UK. who are
- 3:41Speaker 3: now down into third place. So Labour, 26. They're down one. Conservative, 23.
- 3:46Speaker 3: They're up one. This is all margin of error stuff,
- 3:48Speaker 3: so take it with a grain of salt, but it's
- 3:50Speaker 3: still interesting. Reform UK, now third on 22. And you
- 3:54Speaker 3: know Restore Britain. They're rivals of reform. They're like, reform
- 3:59Speaker 3: is now establishment, so we're going to break away and
- 4:03Speaker 3: create a new party. Restore Britain is on 4%. There
- 4:07Speaker 3: you go. Now, Shanghai... A cooperation summit is on at
- 4:12Speaker 3: the moment. This is where you get Xi and you
- 4:14Speaker 3: get Putin and you get Modi, three big hitters, all
- 4:18Speaker 3: in the same room at the same time. They've been
- 4:20Speaker 3: shaking hands and smiling for the cameras. Well, sort of
- 4:23Speaker 3: not really smiling. Putin doesn't do much of a smile.
- 4:26Speaker 3: Xi doesn't do much of a smile either, more of
- 4:28Speaker 3: a sort of a smirk. Modi was smiling. Anyway, Modi
- 4:33Speaker 3: has said to Putin, you've got to end this war, mate,
- 4:37Speaker 3: and you've got to do it now. And that is
- 4:40Speaker 3: not new. He has said before that they should end
- 4:41Speaker 3: the war. He said that publicly, but the incentive now
- 4:45Speaker 3: is greater for him. Half of India's crude comes from Russia.
- 4:49Speaker 3: So Russian exports to India were actually up 60% in
- 4:52Speaker 3: the last year to $ 34 billion. Now, this leaves them
- 4:56Speaker 3: vulnerable to punishment from the Americans because the Americans don't
- 5:01Speaker 3: want any deals being done or trade being done with
- 5:05Speaker 3: the Russians. So in 2025, Trump hit them with a 25%
- 5:10Speaker 3: tariff for doing exactly that. And now you've got the
- 5:12Speaker 3: Graham Bill, named after the late Lindsey Graham, where it
- 5:15Speaker 3: would be a 100% tariff on the top five importers
- 5:20Speaker 3: of Putin's oil, the blood oil, as some call it.
- 5:25Speaker 3: Guess who's in that camp? China and India.
- 5:28Speaker 11: India.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Seven minutes after five. We'll give you the Global Dairy
- 5:32Speaker 3: Trade Auction shortly and we'll get to Marg Foster on
- 5:34Speaker 3: the netball. Newstalk ZB.
- 5:36Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio. Powered by
- 5:40Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB. On your radio and online on iHeartRadio. Early
- 5:47Speaker 1: edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business. Technology that
- 5:51Speaker 1: keeps business moving. Newstalk ZB.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Newstalk ZB. It's 14 minutes after five. The global dairy
- 5:56Speaker 3: trade auction overnight. This is where you sell your milk
- 5:58Speaker 3: on the global market up 0.9%, which is good because
- 6:03Speaker 3: it's not going backwards. And the stuff we really care about,
- 6:06Speaker 3: whole milk powder up 0.1. Sorry, down 0.1. So basically flat.
- 6:11Speaker 3: Skim milk powder up 5.3%. And your cheddar is down 6.6.
- 6:16Speaker 3: Butter down 0.8. Mozzarella up 0.3. Basically, June, July, we
- 6:22Speaker 3: had big falls in the overall number of the auction.
- 6:24Speaker 3: The last four have either been going up or being flat.
- 6:27Speaker 3: It's 14 after. Netball's Domestic League is getting privatised. Anna
- 6:33Speaker 3: Mowbray and Ali Williams taking over. Thank you very much.
- 6:35Speaker 3: But with most of the silver ferns signing on to
- 6:38Speaker 3: overseas contracts, mainly in Australia for 2027, is it too
- 6:41Speaker 3: little too late? That's the question.
- 6:43Speaker 12: What I want them to know is that work is
- 6:45Speaker 12: now commencing on ensuring that the domestic competition that is
- 6:49Speaker 12: up and running for 2027 is something enormously attractive that
- 6:54Speaker 12: will bring them back to New Zealand in the not
- 6:56Speaker 12: too distant future.
- 6:57Speaker 3: Marg Foster, former Silver Fern, is with us this morning. Marg,
- 7:01Speaker 3: good morning.
- 7:02Speaker 13: Good morning.
- 7:03Speaker 3: I know you'll be very happy with this news.
- 7:05Speaker 13: Oh, absolutely.
- 7:07Speaker 8: Jesus.
- 7:08Speaker 14: Like, it was getting a bit scary there for a moment.
- 7:12Speaker 3: Because it did seem for a while, like if they
- 7:14Speaker 3: don't get something done now, the whole thing could collapse.
- 7:17Speaker 3: Everyone leaves the country and starting from scratch again is
- 7:21Speaker 3: very hard.
- 7:22Speaker 14: Yeah, it certainly is. And, you know, like we know
- 7:25Speaker 14: that our product is a great product and it has
- 7:29Speaker 14: been like in the past. We've had some really, I mean,
- 7:33Speaker 14: obviously the participation rate here in New Zealand is huge
- 7:38Speaker 14: for females. So, you know, this is a really good thing. But,
- 7:42Speaker 14: you know, we can't just rely on philanthropy.
- 7:46Speaker 13: You know, it's a whole lot of.
- 7:49Speaker 14: Yeah, lots of things that we need to be able
- 7:53Speaker 14: to get out of this, like making it really commercially
- 7:56Speaker 14: attractive for investors.
- 7:58Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 7:58Speaker 14: So they get a genuine return.
- 8:00Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. You need investors, you need advertisers, and you
- 8:04Speaker 3: need to make sure it's not just a giant money pit. Oh, absolutely.
- 8:08Speaker 14: And look, I know we're growing our product, but the audience, sponsorship, broadcast,
- 8:15Speaker 14: fan experience, commercial partnerships, I mean, it's huge.
- 8:18Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 8:19Speaker 14: So, you know, I really take my hat off to
- 8:22Speaker 14: Anna and Ali stepping up. That's just phenomenal what they're
- 8:29Speaker 14: looking to do. And, you know, real great backing from
- 8:34Speaker 14: all of us. Hopefully we can get on board with
- 8:38Speaker 14: it and get the right investors in each oven.
- 8:41Speaker 3: Marg, tell me about the contracts that some of these
- 8:44Speaker 3: players would have signed over in Australia and elsewhere today.
- 8:47Speaker 3: Are they for next year, and are they normally one-year contracts?
- 8:51Speaker 3: Could you get them back after that, or can you
- 8:53Speaker 3: get them out of existing contracts? What is going to happen?
- 8:55Speaker 14: No, like, you know, like a lot of the athletes
- 8:59Speaker 14: have signed for two years and they're also, we're talking
- 9:05Speaker 14: our second tier athletes have gone over to the UK. So,
- 9:09Speaker 14: you know, like we, like there's more athletes in the
- 9:14Speaker 14: 10 that have been signed that are, you know, current
- 9:16Speaker 14: Silver Ferns. And so, you know, we've got to like,
- 9:22Speaker 14: I just don't see, like, I think probably their salary
- 9:25Speaker 14: over in Australia is around about 90,000. Like, that's a lot, like,
- 9:34Speaker 14: you know, for a young athlete. So I think, you know,
- 9:38Speaker 14: we might need to be starting a little bit lower
- 9:40Speaker 14: than that with how we start here in terms of,
- 9:48Speaker 14: you know, that professional side and the salary cap.
- 9:51Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 9:51Speaker 3: Margaret, good to hear.
- 9:52Speaker 14: I don't know how we're going to put it, but
- 9:54Speaker 14: I do honestly feel that New Zealand, that we can,
- 9:59Speaker 14: like we can, can be a competitive market and really,
- 10:04Speaker 14: you know, like, you know, we.
- 10:07Speaker 3: We need to start to lure them back. It's very exciting, Marg.
- 10:10Speaker 3: I can hear it in your voice. We've got to
- 10:12Speaker 3: get the money. We've got to get the money and
- 10:14Speaker 3: we've got to lure them back and it might take
- 10:15Speaker 3: some time. Marg Foster, nice to have you on the
- 10:17Speaker 3: program this morning. Former Silver Fern, it is 18 minutes
- 10:20Speaker 3: after five. ASB's Housing Confidence Survey came out yesterday. Surprise, surprise,
- 10:25Speaker 3: a net 9% of us are expecting increases in our
- 10:28Speaker 3: house prices. That's down from 30% over the summer. So
- 10:31Speaker 3: that is a pretty big drop, significant drop. Nationwide, a
- 10:35Speaker 3: net 20% think it's a good time to buy a house.
- 10:37Speaker 3: Where is it most thought to be a good time
- 10:39Speaker 3: to buy a house?
- 10:40Speaker 7: Auckland.
- 10:41Speaker 3: Newstalk ZB.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Before the news breaks, hear it first. Ryan Bridge on
- 10:53Speaker 1: early edition with Spark for Business, technology that keeps business moving.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 10:59Speaker 3: 5.21, Carney gets a bump in Canada, a bit of
- 11:01Speaker 3: a confidence boost for him. They like his style, they
- 11:04Speaker 3: like the cut of his jib over in Canada, the
- 11:06Speaker 3: way he's taking on Trump, and this is proven by
- 11:09Speaker 3: the Liberal Party sweeping three special elections, one in British Columbia,
- 11:12Speaker 3: one in Quebec, one in Toronto. The Quebec one is
- 11:15Speaker 3: the most interesting one and dramatic one, really. Because this
- 11:18Speaker 3: is a Liberal candidate projected to win over a Conservative.
- 11:23Speaker 3: And the Conservatives have been held that since 2018. This
- 11:28Speaker 3: is home to aluminium producers, dairy, farmers, other industries. And
- 11:32Speaker 3: what have they all got in common? They are caught up.
- 11:35Speaker 3: in the trade war with the United States. So they
- 11:38Speaker 3: are going for Carney, they are going for the Liberals,
- 11:41Speaker 3: and basically sticking it to MAGA and Trump, 21 after.
- 11:44Speaker 3: New Zealand and the Americans are chipping in for a
- 11:47Speaker 3: deep-sea port in the Cooks. This is going to provide
- 11:51Speaker 3: tangible benefits, really, to the people of all three of
- 11:55Speaker 3: our countries.
- 11:55Speaker 10: We're back in the game, looking after our part of
- 11:59Speaker 10: the world, the Blue Convent.
- 12:01Speaker 3: Robert Patman, Otago University International Relations professor with us this morning. Robert,
- 12:04Speaker 3: good morning. Good morning, Ryan. Obviously, everyone's a bit worried
- 12:08Speaker 3: about China. We've got a bunch of leaders not turning
- 12:10Speaker 3: up to PIF. We have responsibility for defence in the Cooks,
- 12:15Speaker 3: don't we? So is this a defence thing from us
- 12:17Speaker 3: and then a minerals thing from the Americans, or is
- 12:19Speaker 3: it a bit of everything, do you reckon?
- 12:22Speaker 13: Well, I think from the Foreign Minister's point of view,
- 12:25Speaker 13: it's both. I think that, yes, the Cook Islands were
- 12:30Speaker 13: in the realm of New Zealand, and it's no secret
- 12:33Speaker 13: that New Zealand was a bit dissatisfied with with the
- 12:36Speaker 13: Cook Islands for signing a strategic partnership agreement with China
- 12:41Speaker 13: over a year ago. But the relationship seems to be
- 12:43Speaker 13: repaired now. And this is one of Mr. Peter's longstanding
- 12:48Speaker 13: goals is to increase U.S. engagement in the Pacific Islands Forum.
- 12:53Speaker 13: And I think this is why he was so clearly
- 12:55Speaker 13: delighted with this agreement for the United States to invest
- 12:59Speaker 13: in the development of the deep-sea port, in the Cook Islands.
- 13:03Speaker 13: And it's quite a substantial investment, more than $ 50 million
- 13:06Speaker 13: by the US. And as you intimated, one of the
- 13:09Speaker 13: motivations for the US is an interest in deep sea
- 13:12Speaker 13: mining in the Cook's large exclusive economic zone where there's
- 13:17Speaker 13: some really important minerals.
- 13:18Speaker 3: Chinese will be paying attention to this. When was the
- 13:20Speaker 3: last time the Americans announced or did something of this
- 13:24Speaker 3: scale in the Pacific?
- 13:27Speaker 13: Well, I think you'd have to go back to the
- 13:29Speaker 13: Biden administration. Carmela Harris was very prominent in administration in
- 13:35Speaker 13: leading the charge for U.S. engagement in the Pacific. I
- 13:39Speaker 13: can't name any one project, but there was a really
- 13:43Speaker 13: substantial economic investment in the Pacific Islands region under the
- 13:48Speaker 13: Biden administration. Biden, for example, invited all the Pacific Islanders.
- 13:52Speaker 13: nation leaders to the White House for several summits. So
- 13:56Speaker 13: this seems to be when Mr. Peters says, oh, we're
- 13:59Speaker 13: back in the game. I think he's really referring to
- 14:01Speaker 13: the fact that the U.S. seem to be getting reengaged
- 14:06Speaker 13: with the Pacific for a period in which the Trump administration,
- 14:09Speaker 13: with its much vaunted America first, has not shown a
- 14:12Speaker 13: great deal of interest. But it is interested in countering China.
- 14:16Speaker 13: So that has obviously been an incentive for them to
- 14:20Speaker 13: get back to a much more active policy in the region.
- 14:22Speaker 3: Absolutely. Robert Patman, always good to have you on the show.
- 14:24Speaker 3: That is Otago University International Relations Professor. Time is 24
- 14:28Speaker 3: minutes after five. Some people are just lazy at work.
- 14:32Speaker 3: They avoid work. They don't want to do it. They
- 14:33Speaker 3: turn up, but they're not really there. Lights are on,
- 14:36Speaker 3: but no one's home. There's a South Korean police officer
- 14:41Speaker 3: who fits into this category, and it's not actually funny
- 14:44Speaker 3: what's going on here because the officer has admitted he
- 14:47Speaker 3: closed some missing persons cases without investigating them because he
- 14:52Speaker 3: didn't want to do additional work. How disgraceful. How awful. Anyway,
- 14:59Speaker 3: he's been arrested. He prematurely closed cases on a holiday
- 15:03Speaker 3: island and lied to the families of the missing people. Anyway,
- 15:09Speaker 3: public criticism, as you can imagine. He gets arrested. He's
- 15:12Speaker 3: being investigated. Anyway, the cops then belatedly go do searches
- 15:17Speaker 3: for the missing people. Guess what they found in the
- 15:20Speaker 3: past two weeks? Four bodies. News talks have been. You're
- 15:25Speaker 3: on Newstalk ZB, it's 5.27. IP lawyers will be licking
- 15:29Speaker 3: their lips, salivating with all these AI cases landing on
- 15:32Speaker 3: their desks at the moment, won't they? The latest, we
- 15:34Speaker 3: spoke about this yesterday, Sony and Warner going after Anthropic.
- 15:39Speaker 3: Their argument is basically that Anthropic's AI models, their Claude model,
- 15:43Speaker 3: the ones that we use to get answers to questions,
- 15:46Speaker 3: scrape and bottom trawl the internet for information. That information,
- 15:50Speaker 3: including song lyrics, which is where they enter, is often
- 15:53Speaker 3: IP owned and produced by humans and or companies. So
- 15:57Speaker 3: scraping it and using it to sell as a product
- 16:00Speaker 3: is theft, they say. Media companies in New Zealand take
- 16:04Speaker 3: a similar view to this. If the robot is scraping
- 16:06Speaker 3: content produced at cost by a news business, then how
- 16:11Speaker 3: is that not also theft? But if you think about it,
- 16:14Speaker 3: humans do this all the time. I do it every day.
- 16:18Speaker 3: It's actually what I'm paid to do. You ingest big
- 16:21Speaker 3: chunks of information. And then you use them to inform
- 16:24Speaker 3: interviews and content. Lawyers do it for legal cases. Politicians
- 16:28Speaker 3: do it all the time. Businesses do this on the daily.
- 16:31Speaker 3: We all do it in one way or another. And
- 16:33Speaker 3: we use that information that the internet gives us for
- 16:37Speaker 3: our own purposes, usually to make money. Knowledge is power
- 16:41Speaker 3: and content is king. So the question then becomes, what
- 16:44Speaker 3: is the difference between us doing this and using this
- 16:48Speaker 3: information and an AI model doing exactly the same? Surely
- 16:51Speaker 3: Claude is committing no greater crime than the rest of us.
- 16:54Speaker 3: Of course, how they get this information and their hands
- 16:57Speaker 3: on this information is quite key. If you're ripping it
- 17:00Speaker 3: off a bit torrent, then you might have other problems.
- 17:03Speaker 3: But if you're getting it from a paid subscription, isn't
- 17:05Speaker 3: that what we do? In the news business, you credit
- 17:08Speaker 3: your sources, but not always. There's a point where the
- 17:11Speaker 3: collective weight of the information that you have consumed becomes
- 17:14Speaker 3: your own thoughts and your own IP. Are robots really
- 17:20Speaker 3: any different?
- 17:21Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge.
- 17:22Speaker 3: 9292, the number to text, 29 minutes after 5. Gavin's
- 17:27Speaker 3: in the UK for us. They're using laundry rooms as
- 17:31Speaker 3: prisons over there. Prisons are so full. We'll talk to
- 17:35Speaker 3: Kelly Echold from Westpac. It's OCR Day today, Newstalk ZB.
- 17:39Speaker 13: Picking it up, picking it up.
- 17:41Speaker 3: Loving, I'm living, so we turning up.
- 17:44Speaker 9: Yeah, we turning it up.
- 17:46Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio. Powered by
- 17:51Speaker 1: Newstalk TV. News and views you trust to start your day.
- 17:57Speaker 1: It's Early Edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Technology that keeps business moving. Newstalk ZB.
- 18:04Speaker 3: 24-8 from 6 here on Newstalk ZB. Scott Besant is
- 18:11Speaker 3: at the G20. There's a G20 hui going on in
- 18:13Speaker 3: North Carolina. The bond sell-off continues. People are now talking about,
- 18:17Speaker 3: are we going to repeat the Asian financial crisis? That
- 18:19Speaker 3: was back in 1997. You know, when do you really
- 18:22Speaker 3: start to have to worry about this? Kelly Echol from
- 18:24Speaker 3: Westpac will talk to us about that, plus the OCR,
- 18:26Speaker 3: which is happening today. Gavin's in London for us as well.
- 18:29Speaker 3: We'll get to him in about 12 minutes' time. Laundry
- 18:32Speaker 3: rooms are becoming prison cells because the prisons are so overcrowded.
- 18:37Speaker 3: anyone who's a victim of any of those criminals probably
- 18:40Speaker 3: won't care, will they? Put them in the cupboard, they'll say. Now,
- 18:44Speaker 3: Ray Gunn, you know the Olympics. Ray Gunn has done
- 18:47Speaker 3: a documentary. I haven't watched the documentary, but I have
- 18:50Speaker 3: seen bits of it, and I've seen the trailer for it,
- 18:53Speaker 3: and I've read a bit about it. And Ray Gunn
- 18:55Speaker 3: has talked about a conversation she had with a therapist
- 18:58Speaker 3: before she went over there, but once she got there,
- 19:01Speaker 3: she was basically just a blubbering mess.
- 19:04Speaker 10: And I'm just like crying and crying.
- 19:06Speaker 3: You know, my knees were shaking.
- 19:07Speaker 14: I could not stop crying.
- 19:08Speaker 3: I was trying to stop and I just couldn't.
- 19:10Speaker 8: I had a panic attack.
- 19:12Speaker 10: What am I doing?
- 19:13Speaker 1: What have I done?
- 19:14Speaker 8: What am I doing here?
- 19:15Speaker 4: Should I be doing this?
- 19:16Speaker 3: Well, that's a very good question. So before she left
- 19:19Speaker 3: for the games, she goes to her therapist and she says,
- 19:23Speaker 3: I'm panicked. What should I do? And the therapist says,
- 19:28Speaker 3: as therapists do, She was like, what's the worst that
- 19:31Speaker 3: can happen? The whole world could laugh at me? The
- 19:35Speaker 3: therapist then asked, do you think that's a reasonable response?
- 19:38Speaker 3: And she said, oh, no, no, of course not. And then,
- 19:40Speaker 3: of course, poor thing, the whole world's laughing, 22 to 6.
- 19:46Speaker 10: And still laughing.
- 19:47Speaker 3: Right, let's go to Jamie Cunningham Dunedin. morning.
- 19:51Speaker 15: Morning, Ryan.
- 19:51Speaker 3: Very old railway station, facelift.
- 19:54Speaker 16: Yes, so it's full steam ahead on Restoration Works for
- 19:58Speaker 16: the historic Matoura Railway Station in Southland near Gore. To
- 20:03Speaker 16: return it to how it looked when it was built
- 20:05Speaker 16: in 1921, Rail Heritage Trust Chief Executive Barry O'Donnell says
- 20:10Speaker 16: most of the exterior work should be finished before Christmas,
- 20:13Speaker 16: ahead of work starting inside. Rail Minister Winston Peters says
- 20:18Speaker 16: locals have been calling for the building to be restored
- 20:20Speaker 16: for 15 years, and it's the first to benefit from
- 20:23Speaker 16: KiwiRail's $ 500, 000 a year contribution to the Rail Heritage Trust.
- 20:29Speaker 3: Very cool. I like the sound of that. How's the
- 20:32Speaker 3: weather in Dunedin? Thank you, Jamie.
- 20:34Speaker 16: Kate Ricard with us, Christchurch.
- 20:35Speaker 5: Kate, good morning.
- 20:36Speaker 3: Morning, Lorraine.
- 20:37Speaker 16: So the Methodist mission wants more affordable housing for old people.
- 20:50Speaker 3: Yes, that's right.
- 20:51Speaker 8: The Mission has gathered a more than 3,000 signature strong
- 20:53Speaker 8: petition asking for more investment in social housing for older people.
- 20:58Speaker 8: It's been handed to Seniors Minister Casey Costello to present
- 21:01Speaker 8: to Parliament. Now people aged 55 and over are the
- 21:04Speaker 8: largest and fastest growing demographic on New Zealand's social housing waitlist.
- 21:08Speaker 8: The Mission's Executive Director, Jill Hawkey, says about 138,000 people
- 21:11Speaker 8: aged over 65 are renting, which is going to triple
- 21:12Speaker 8: in the next 20 to 25 years.
- 21:13Speaker 13: All right.
- 21:14Speaker 8: How's the weather? High cloud increasing in the morning, then
- 21:21Speaker 8: clearing in the evening. Northwest lees becoming gusty in the afternoon.
- 21:25Speaker 3: Brilliant. Kate, thank you very much for that. Let's go
- 21:26Speaker 3: to Max in Wellington. Morning, Max.
- 21:28Speaker 10: Good morning.
- 21:29Speaker 3: Now, this is sad. The first death at a New
- 21:31Speaker 3: Zealand port in four years.
- 21:33Speaker 2: Yes, a worker died at the Wellington waterfront yesterday morning,
- 21:36Speaker 2: an employee at port logistics company C3. We don't have
- 21:40Speaker 2: much detail at this stage. Obviously, it'll go to WorkSafe.
- 21:44Speaker 2: C3 describing it as a fatal injury and a tragic event.
- 21:48Speaker 2: Centreport supporting this stevedores family. Maritime will investigate as well.
- 21:52Speaker 2: The worker, not a member of the Maritime Union, but
- 21:55Speaker 2: it's involved supporting port workers. In 2022, Don Grant was
- 22:00Speaker 2: killed when he was struck and killed by coal, which
- 22:03Speaker 2: was being transported on the deck of a bulk carrier
- 22:06Speaker 2: at Lyttelton. The port company there would plead guilty to
- 22:09Speaker 2: a charge under the Health and Safety at Work Act
- 22:11Speaker 2: and find about half a million bucks. So this is
- 22:13Speaker 2: serious stuff. More to come as it unfolds.
- 22:16Speaker 13: All right.
- 22:16Speaker 3: How's your weather?
- 22:18Speaker 2: Mainly fine with Norwesterlies 15.
- 22:20Speaker 3: Thank you, Max. Neva's in Auckland. Morning, Neva.
- 22:22Speaker 5: Good morning.
- 22:22Speaker 3: Why wet? People know for the water slides and the
- 22:25Speaker 3: water park, it's turning to wellness.
- 22:27Speaker 17: That's right. $ 58 million redevelopment. Now, yes, it's going to
- 22:32Speaker 17: turn this dilapidated water park into a resort with a
- 22:35Speaker 17: target to open in 2028. Now, it's going to have
- 22:39Speaker 17: 28 pools, an indoor spa, 235 seat cafe, sauna, cold plunge.
- 22:46Speaker 17: And this is my favourite. A mist steam walk.
- 22:50Speaker 4: Hmm.
- 22:50Speaker 17: So why wait a thermal spring story? Managing Director, that's
- 22:53Speaker 17: Craig Mitchell, says, yeah, it's definitely going to have a
- 22:56Speaker 17: slightly different vibe to the old site. It's going to
- 23:00Speaker 17: be a place just to take a breath, relax and
- 23:02Speaker 17: connect with nature.
- 23:03Speaker 3: Well, I hope they do well. How's our weather?
- 23:05Speaker 17: Cloudy, isolated showers. Warm though, 17 to high.
- 23:08Speaker 3: Here in Auckland. Thanks, Chief. Good to see you this morning.
- 23:10Speaker 3: As always, 19 minutes away from six. So debt is
- 23:13Speaker 3: coming back to haunt governments around the world. You borrow,
- 23:16Speaker 3: you borrow, you borrow, you COVID, and then COVID finishes
- 23:19Speaker 3: and you keep borrowing, and then you have a bond sell-off,
- 23:22Speaker 3: and your bond yields shoot up. That's how much you
- 23:25Speaker 3: have to pay to borrow the money, and you're in
- 23:29Speaker 3: a spot of bother. Japan's 10-year bond yield hit 3%,
- 23:32Speaker 3: the first time it has hit that level since 1996 overnight.
- 23:35Speaker 3: The UK, 30-year up since the highest since 98. Germany, France,
- 23:40Speaker 3: highest in a decade. Gulf oil prices going up aren't helping.
- 23:44Speaker 3: The more debt you have, the harder you are hit
- 23:47Speaker 3: by this, hence the US being worried. The real worry, though,
- 23:50Speaker 3: is a debt spiral. This is what they're worried about.
- 23:53Speaker 3: Where you need to refinance your existing debt, the yields
- 23:57Speaker 3: are higher, the cost of borrowing is higher, and so
- 24:00Speaker 3: you therefore need to borrow more to pay for it.
- 24:03Speaker 3: And you borrow more to borrow more to borrow more
- 24:05Speaker 3: to borrow more. That is called a spiral. At what
- 24:08Speaker 3: point do we, globally, have to really start worrying about
- 24:12Speaker 3: all this stuff? Or should we have started worrying a
- 24:14Speaker 3: lot long ago? We'll ask Kelly Eccle just in a
- 24:17Speaker 3: few minutes' time. It's 18 to 6, Newstalk ZB. Here's
- 24:21Speaker 3: a question for you. Do KiwiSaver providers actually believe in
- 24:25Speaker 3: what they are doing? At Milford, the answer is pretty clear.
- 24:27Speaker 3: Their active approach to investing means they don't have to
- 24:31Speaker 3: follow any index or hold shares just because something's big
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- 24:37Speaker 3: has boots on the ground investigating the real value of companies,
- 24:40Speaker 3: carefully weighing return against risk. That's what you want. They've
- 24:44Speaker 3: got skin in the game, investing in the same KiwiSaver
- 24:46Speaker 3: funds as their clients. Morningstar's June 2026 report shows that
- 24:51Speaker 3: over the past 10 years, Milford's KiwiSaver plan ranked number
- 24:54Speaker 3: one for returns in both the growth and the balance categories.
- 24:58Speaker 3: Another reason to choose Milford. Find out more at milfordasset.com.
- 25:02Speaker 3: Past performance not a reliable indicator of future performance. Investment
- 25:05Speaker 3: involves risk and returns can be negative as well as positive.
- 25:08Speaker 3: Milford Funds Limited is the issuer of the Milford KiwiSaver plan.
- 25:11Speaker 3: Go to milfordasset.com to read the Milford KiwiSaver plan product
- 25:14Speaker 3: disclosure statement.
- 25:16Speaker 1: International Correspondence with NZI Insurance. Peace of mind for New
- 25:20Speaker 1: Zealand business.
- 25:20Speaker 3: 14 to 6, we'll talk to Kelly Echold on the
- 25:24Speaker 3: OCR in just a second. Gavin Gray, our UK Europe
- 25:26Speaker 3: correspondent with us. Gavin, nice to have you on the show.
- 25:28Speaker 3: So if you're a prisoner, look out, you might be
- 25:30Speaker 3: chucked in the laundry.
- 25:34Speaker 15: Yes, it might not be quite as it appears, however, Ryan. So, yes,
- 25:38Speaker 15: we've been talking about this, haven't we, how our prisons
- 25:40Speaker 15: in England and Wales are almost full to capacity, running
- 25:42Speaker 15: at something like 97% full, said to be less than
- 25:46Speaker 15: 1,300 prison spaces left vacant, which in a population of
- 25:50Speaker 15: nearly 70 million is not a lot. So the previous
- 25:53Speaker 15: government looked at an early release programme. Andy Burnham, the
- 25:57Speaker 15: new prime minister, has amended that after controversial intentional releases,
- 26:03Speaker 15: as it were. coming up for some police killers and
- 26:06Speaker 15: so forth that were obviously deeply unpopular. Now it's also
- 26:09Speaker 15: been revealed that the government is going to try and
- 26:11Speaker 15: find unused space within prisons to convert them into extra cells.
- 26:16Speaker 15: Among those rooms, yes, you got it, laundry rooms.
- 26:19Speaker 6: Hence, of course, your introduction.
- 26:21Speaker 15: Unused office space is another one, or storage space as well. But,
- 26:25Speaker 15: you know, how many extra cells could that sort of
- 26:27Speaker 15: space take? Well, the government's recommending it'll be a few hundred.
- 26:31Speaker 15: And frankly, any extra is helpful. But they are looking
- 26:35Speaker 15: at a new prison in Lancashire. But that's going to
- 26:37Speaker 15: take several years to come on stream. And also to
- 26:41Speaker 15: really increase and speed up the deportation of foreign national prisoners.
- 26:47Speaker 15: One in eight prisoners is a foreign national here, and
- 26:49Speaker 15: that would free up some 10,000 spaces.
- 26:52Speaker 3: Why can't they do that quickly? That sounds like an
- 26:54Speaker 3: easy solution. Put them on a plane.
- 26:57Speaker 1: Yes, I know.
- 26:58Speaker 15: And let's not forget that originally we were told that
- 27:01Speaker 15: there was nothing this government could do, a quick change
- 27:05Speaker 15: in the law to keep two particular youngsters back, young
- 27:08Speaker 15: men who killed a police officer. And all of a
- 27:10Speaker 15: sudden now we are being told there's something they could do.
- 27:13Speaker 15: There does seem to be this general intransigence. The general said, well,
- 27:17Speaker 15: we can't do anything, appearance a couple of times.
- 27:19Speaker 13: But you're quite right.
- 27:20Speaker 1: Yeah, put on a plane.
- 27:22Speaker 15: The only problem with some of it is some of
- 27:23Speaker 15: the countries involved are refusing to take those nationals back.
- 27:27Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a fly in the ointment. Good to have
- 27:29Speaker 3: you on the show as always. Gavin Gray, our UK
- 27:31Speaker 3: Europe correspondent. It is 12 minutes away from six. OCR
- 27:35Speaker 3: day today. Almost certain it's going to go up. Another
- 27:37Speaker 3: by Christmas, probably. So we'll go from two and a
- 27:39Speaker 3: half to 2.75, maybe 3% by the time we're sitting
- 27:43Speaker 3: down for Christmas ham. Markets pricing in near 100% chance
- 27:47Speaker 3: of a hike today. Kiwi Bank again saying they shouldn't.
- 27:49Speaker 3: Kelly Eccle, Westpac chief economist with me this morning. Kelly,
- 27:52Speaker 3: good morning.
- 27:53Speaker 11: Good morning.
- 27:54Speaker 3: So probably odds on it's going to happen, and there's
- 27:58Speaker 3: not really any surprise about that. Kiwi Bank always seems
- 28:01Speaker 3: to be the one saying, no, they shouldn't.
- 28:05Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean, Gerard's had a consistent view, I think,
- 28:09Speaker 11: that interest rates need to stay where they were at 2.25% most.
- 28:12Speaker 14: Of this year.
- 28:14Speaker 11: The Reserve Bank does disagree. They've made a pretty big
- 28:17Speaker 11: shift in their view from the start of the year.
- 28:19Speaker 11: Thought that they'd maybe be doing one rate hike by
- 28:22Speaker 11: the end of the year, whereas more recently you would
- 28:24Speaker 11: say they're pretty locked into 3%, maybe 3.25% depending on
- 28:29Speaker 11: how the data runs between now and Christmas.
- 28:31Speaker 3: The policy statement obviously is going to be of interest
- 28:34Speaker 3: to people. Where do you think they will land on
- 28:36Speaker 3: the peak for inflation?
- 28:40Speaker 11: On the peak for inflation, they're probably going to be
- 28:43Speaker 11: saying that where we are is pretty much where it
- 28:46Speaker 11: is because I think they'll still assume that oil and
- 28:49Speaker 11: energy prices will fall from here. So, you know, the
- 28:53Speaker 11: last CPI printed just over 4% and the next forecast
- 28:58Speaker 11: for the next quarter will be somewhere down in the
- 29:01Speaker 11: low to mid threes based off what they were suggesting
- 29:03Speaker 11: at the last policy statement. The key question really is
- 29:07Speaker 11: what is your view on core inflation and how high
- 29:11Speaker 11: is it and how quickly is it going to fall
- 29:13Speaker 11: because that will really determine what they do with interest
- 29:15Speaker 11: rates next year.
- 29:17Speaker 3: As always. Kelly, what about the bond markets? I was
- 29:22Speaker 3: reading a piece in the Wall Street Journal this morning
- 29:23Speaker 3: and they mentioned the Asian financial crisis of 1997. How
- 29:27Speaker 3: worried do we need to be about the fact that
- 29:29Speaker 3: the yields are going north?
- 29:33Speaker 11: I don't think we have to worry about the Asian
- 29:35Speaker 11: financial crisis type issues at the moment. There's actually some
- 29:38Speaker 11: fairly strong fundamental reasons. why bond yields are rising around
- 29:42Speaker 11: the world. First thing is that central banks are actually
- 29:45Speaker 11: looking to put interest rates up. You know, you've basically
- 29:49Speaker 11: got the Federal Reserve that probably expected to raise rates
- 29:52Speaker 11: one or two times. This year now, the Australian Reserve
- 29:56Speaker 11: Bank is also expected to potentially raise rates over the
- 30:01Speaker 11: balance of the year as well. And the Japanese have
- 30:04Speaker 11: been raising rates and are expected to continue to do
- 30:07Speaker 11: so as well. It's quite those Japanese 10-year bond yields
- 30:11Speaker 11: back up to where they were in the mid-90s, which
- 30:13Speaker 11: was probably the last time that their Short-term interest rate
- 30:16Speaker 11: was heading to around current levels as well. There's a
- 30:18Speaker 11: lot of competition for global capital out there. That big
- 30:22Speaker 11: AI sector is really sucking in long-term money now into
- 30:26Speaker 11: bond markets.
- 30:27Speaker 13: You've got to.
- 30:27Speaker 11: Fund all the data centres and investments, and there's competition
- 30:30Speaker 11: for capital. So it's really just lots of borrowers, not
- 30:34Speaker 11: very many lenders right now in those long-term markets.
- 30:37Speaker 3: And what about oil? As the price of oil goes up,
- 30:40Speaker 3: do investors demand higher returns because of inflation?
- 30:45Speaker 11: Yeah, so that has been one of the realisations as
- 30:48Speaker 11: we've gone through the year is that this problem in
- 30:50Speaker 11: the Middle East is not going to go away. This
- 30:52Speaker 11: morning we've got the Americans shooting again, bring cruders back
- 30:57Speaker 11: in the mid-90s. All of the jet fuel and diesel
- 31:00Speaker 11: and petrol prices are not far off the highs that
- 31:03Speaker 11: they were back in April. It basically says that even
- 31:06Speaker 11: though sales of the Reserve Bank may assume that energy
- 31:11Speaker 11: prices will come off, It may be a long time coming,
- 31:15Speaker 11: and as a result, inflation could get stuck in the
- 31:17Speaker 11: threes for a good long while. And if you've got
- 31:21Speaker 11: interest rates in the threes, in the case of New Zealand,
- 31:23Speaker 11: you can't have interest rates. Sorry, if you've got inflation
- 31:25Speaker 11: in the threes, you can't have interest rates in the twos.
- 31:28Speaker 11: You probably need to have interest rates in the threes,
- 31:31Speaker 11: and in some countries, maybe in the fours.
- 31:33Speaker 3: Kelly, you're called Westpac Chief Economist. Time is eight minutes
- 31:36Speaker 3: away from six.
- 31:37Speaker 13: Ryan Bridge.
- 31:38Speaker 3: Kelly mentioned it briefly, but two tankers carrying Saudi oil,
- 31:41Speaker 3: they were hit by rockets overnight trying to get through
- 31:43Speaker 3: the strait. Trying to get through the strait on the
- 31:45Speaker 3: side that the Americans said was safe to cross on.
- 31:47Speaker 3: This is the southern end because the US waits till
- 31:50Speaker 3: the night time. You turn off your transponder and then
- 31:52Speaker 3: you get shepherded through by some US Navy frigates. Well,
- 31:56Speaker 3: didn't work for two of them.
- 31:57Speaker 8: 7-2.
- 31:59Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge on Early Edition with Spark for Business. Technology
- 32:04Speaker 1: that keeps business moving. Newstalk ZB.
- 32:07Speaker 3: News Talk ZB, five minutes away from six. Mike's in
- 32:09Speaker 3: the studio. Morning, Mike. G'day, mate. We've been having a
- 32:12Speaker 3: big debate at our house about how high up the
- 32:14Speaker 3: wall in the living room to hang the TV. Yeah,
- 32:18Speaker 3: good call.
- 32:18Speaker 10: No one's a better expert. I'm having one hung this weekend.
- 32:21Speaker 11: Are you? Yes.
- 32:22Speaker 3: Oh, great. Are you hanging it?
- 32:24Speaker 10: Of course not.
- 32:25Speaker 3: I hung my own.
- 32:26Speaker 10: No, that's a classic error.
- 32:28Speaker 3: Getting the actual connection, the thing to put in the wall,
- 32:32Speaker 3: is quite a mission.
- 32:34Speaker 10: Couldn't agree more.
- 32:34Speaker 18: That's why I get professionals to do it. So are
- 32:37Speaker 18: you on an arm or you are into the wall itself?
- 32:40Speaker 3: On an arm.
- 32:41Speaker 11: Right.
- 32:41Speaker 18: So if you're on an arm, then you've got engineering
- 32:44Speaker 18: issues initially. We go in the wall and hiding everything
- 32:47Speaker 18: in the wall, therefore you have no cords.
- 32:49Speaker 3: Oh, sorry, no, you go through the wall and you
- 32:52Speaker 3: come out the bottom, so there's no cords visible.
- 32:54Speaker 10: Good, but you are on an arm so your television
- 32:56Speaker 10: can move.
- 32:57Speaker 3: Well, no, no, no, hang on, no. Yes, you can
- 33:00Speaker 3: move it, but I don't move it.
- 33:02Speaker 10: That's right. But are you on an arm or are
- 33:03Speaker 10: you connected to the wall?
- 33:05Speaker 3: On an arm.
- 33:05Speaker 10: Okay. A big call on your part. Aesthetically an interesting call.
- 33:09Speaker 3: Well, it doesn't stick out that much.
- 33:10Speaker 10: Well, yeah, but it does a little bit.
- 33:11Speaker 18: Whereas we've got one that's like flush to the wall
- 33:14Speaker 18: and it looks like a piece of art. And that's
- 33:16Speaker 18: the way to go. And once you get a professional,
- 33:18Speaker 18: it's like hanging pictures. Do you get people to hang
- 33:20Speaker 18: your pictures?
- 33:21Speaker 3: Well, we did. And then my husband started doing it
- 33:23Speaker 3: himself because.
- 33:24Speaker 10: It cost too much.
- 33:25Speaker 3: Hey, so hang on. How high up the wall?
- 33:27Speaker 10: Well, it depends what sort of room you're in.
- 33:29Speaker 3: You're sitting down on a couch.
- 33:30Speaker 18: Well, it depends on how far away you are from
- 33:32Speaker 18: the screen. So it's all scientific. Lower the better is
- 33:36Speaker 18: my argument.
- 33:37Speaker 10: Possibly, and it depends on how big the screen is.
- 33:40Speaker 3: You go into people's houses and they've got a fireplace,
- 33:42Speaker 3: and then they've got a TV above it on the ceiling.
- 33:47Speaker 10: Critical error.
- 33:48Speaker 3: Get out.
- 33:49Speaker 14: Absolutely.
- 33:50Speaker 3: In the bin.
- 33:50Speaker 18: No, that's an aesthetic. That's not for the professional television watcher.
- 33:56Speaker 10: Goodness sake. We're covering none of this this morning. We're
- 33:58Speaker 10: doing the RB.
- 34:00Speaker 3: Yeah, great.
- 34:00Speaker 10: Obviously.
- 34:02Speaker 3: Mike's next. You're on Newstalk ZB.