Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Fall. System's going clear.
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: We left on.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody happy Thursday?
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: Man, last time I said a different intro because I
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: know most people don't watch this on Thursday, but you're
• 0:44
  Speaker 3: watching Friday, Saturday. I hope you have a fun week
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: in ahead. It's March Madness season. We got MMA, we
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: still have MBA, next thing you know, MLB will be here,
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: PGA Showdown, NASCAR, NHL. There's no NFL, which obviously reigns
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: superior to most people. But man, so many other sports
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: going on. Weather is warming in most places. Great time
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: of the year, and men may still has great prizes.
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: We have fourteen fights, oh two Arena in London, one
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: pm Eastern.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Hey, that's all music to my ears. Big Marley.
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: I know you have a little plumbing issue, some money
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: out of the pockets and not the best day for
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: you over here, but maybe a ship and you pay.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: For it all. Yeah, we'll see. I can use it
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: on this card. I don't know that it's my favorite card,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: like from a fan standpoint, but fourteen fights, I think
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: it is a tough one for DFS, so maybe we'll
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: end up being a good one. We'll see.
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think it is pretty tough in terms
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: of like ownership will be spread out.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: The upper tier is really good.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: I think the mid tiers kind of week, but you're
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: gonna be forced maybe to land there a little bit.
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: And I don't like the six K range much, but
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be hammering some of these seven K options
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: because I mean, you can see right here, I put
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: these odds up Monday minus twelve hundred to finish minus
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: one thousand, minus six hundred minus six hundred right there,
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: that's a lot of big Boy expect to finish lines
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: and a lot of those are just the biggest favorites
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: on the card. It's really one sided that way. So
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: that's kind of my broad slates right there, Any broad
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: slate for you before we go fight by fight.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: No, I really haven't even thought too deeply of from
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: a DFS perspective yet, so kind of almost the first
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: DFS look right here with me, and I've looked at
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: ownership a little bit, but I haven't even tried to
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: build a lineup, so I have no idea how my
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: line of building process will be yet.
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: All Right, I said mine, let's see it by the
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: end of it. How Big Marley thinks through this card. Again,
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: all we ask for AFE bought subscribe button. It helps
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: us out a tongue. Fourteen fights, we have no time
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: to waste. First fight of the night, the closest line
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: fight and the closest price fight.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Actually, excuse me, it's the closest price fight right now.
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: Is not the closest line fight, but one of the
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: closest minus one thirty Lauana Carolina plus one ten Melissa
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: Mullins the most likely fights go the distance on the
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: card at minus two to sixty Carolina plus three fifty
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: inside the since Mullins plus four point fifty looks like
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: a striker Carolina versus a grappler matchup in Mullins, even
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: though it's the most likely to go the distance. Will
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: you have any in DFS man, I really want to
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: put this as a one star and not have either
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: side of it.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: That's what I'd prefer to do here. But it is
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: our mid range fight a week, and I do think
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: both girls have potential to getting, you know, in the
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: ninety K and the ninety range, which you would take
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: at a K or eight point two K. So right
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: now I have it as a two star. Once I
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: start building lineups, if I end up with none of it,
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: I will move it down to a one star, and
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: you'll see that if you're a member over a ship
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: at nation dot com. But I just think it is
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: for DFS purposes. It's gonna be striker vers grappler matchup
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: where Carolina needs to keep this fight standing for three
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: rounds in order to score well. In Mullins, we need
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: her to not accept a striking match and wrestle as
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: much as she could in order for her to score well.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: But if it's gonna be like the line indicates a
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: back and forth fight, then I don't think we're gonna
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: get a big score on either side here. I would
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: say Mullins is the more well rounded fighter where she
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: she could strike in this fight. I don't think she
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: would win, but she could maybe hang and then she
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: could get a takedown at some point to put her
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: stamp on her rounds. But I don't think that Carolina
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: or Carolina would have anything to off her back if
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: she is taking down, so I don't think she can
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: really grapple with Mullins. So I don't know I could
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: see this one going either way. I picked Carolina as
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: the pick, but that two hundred dollars savings. Maybe that
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: means something to me this weekend. That could put Mullins
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: as my preferred play. But ideally we just don't have
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: to care about this fight and we get seventy from
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: the winner.
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think this is probably one of the
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: lowest owned fights on the card, so fading it's not
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: getting you any different the mid tier. There's three mid
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: tier fights on this card, this one the most likely
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: to go the distance shem Rock Abduel.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: This fight will definitely be more popular.
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: Mason Jones and Sola, which again that fight is supposed
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: to go the distance, probably will be a little more popular.
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: But those are the only three mid tier fights. It's
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: not too too strong of a mid tier it's actually,
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: like I said, relatively weak. We had a completely the
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: line flipped in this one. Carolina opened plus one thirty,
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: Mallins minus one fifty. Now Carolina the favorite at minus
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: one thirty. But that being said, I still do prefer
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: Mullins in dfs, just because if she wins fourteen fights,
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: like I'm hunting some bit of upside, ninety, I would
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: absolutely take. But I think Mullins scores ninety a lot
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: more in wins than Carolina, just because she's gonna be
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: looking for takedowns, and Carolina, I mean she's been taking
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: down at least once in her last eight fights.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Malins averages two takedowns per fifteen.
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: I don't think Carolina is the craziest play if you're
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: playing fifteen plus teams, because Mallins she'll walk over Jill,
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: block punches with their face and kind of push a pace.
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: Plus three fifty inside the distance for Carolina obviously not great,
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: but at ownership not terrible. Plus thir eighty five inside
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: the distance if Mallins can't wrestle, I do think there
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: could be one hundred plus significant strike upside. If you
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: bink late finishing this one and Mallins just can't absorb
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: all the damage, Carolina will be low owned. You can
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: eat a lot of chalk, which I do like chalk
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: on this card around it, So I do prefer molinzough
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: because I think she has more upside and she wants
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: to get it to the mat closely lined fight.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: But I don't think Carolina is the worst play on
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: the slates.
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: If you're only playing like five six teams, I'm probably
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: not playing any Carolina, but I would keep Mullins in
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: my player pool.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: We'll go.
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: That's the most likely fight to go the distance, and
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: this is the second most likely both women's fights. Chanelle
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: die Er minus five hundred thinking of Ravina Olivera plus
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: three seventy five minus two forty for this to go
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: the distance dire plus two forty inside the distance Olivera
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: plus seven hundred. Yeah, I have at a one star two.
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: I mean like dire. If I had to pick up
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: her bridside, I would go dire. Uh, just because I
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: mean she's minus five hundred. Olivera could be really really bad.
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: But with that being said, like you compare Ayre to
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: or Dire to Ewu, you can play Dire to mantas
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: you compare Dyer to Evil Off like all those fighters
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: are pinto are much much better. But ownership will reflect
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: that she DIYer might be eight percent and oliver might
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: be eight percent. Like this is by far the lowest
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: owned fight on the card with fourteen of them. Though
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: I think we can get different in other ways.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: So I'm in agreement. One star. How do you see it?
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd probably not getting to this one. I have
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: it as a one star because I'm picking Dier to
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: get the win. I just think that this will mainly
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: stay on the feet, and she's going to be the
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: better fighter on the better striker. She is a fast striker,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: She's got really nice kicks. She could put up over
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: one hundred significant strikes along the along fifteen minutes. But
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: the worry would be that she's either taken down or
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: that she is knocked out. She was knocked down three
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: times in her Contender Series fight, and I wasn't really
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: impressed with anything about Olivera. But she hits hard, she
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: swings hard anyway, so it wouldn't completely shock me to
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: see her get a knockdown. But I mean, I just
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: don't rely on one hundred and fifteen pound women to
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: get knockouts because that's like long term fad for me.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: So that's why I have it as a one star.
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: I put her as my four and Dire as the
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: two because I was thinking, maybe all of Eric can
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: help you get up to a baron of Winsky or
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: whatever his name is, or all the guys that you named,
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: but maybe the other way to go is the smarter
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: way where you just get Dire as you're pivot away
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: from those people and that makes your whole lineup different
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: rather than squeeze in these popular people and then this
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: one super cheap underdog who likely loses as yours changer.
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, I kind of hate it all around,
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: but you could talk me into moving my two and
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: four on this one.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I don't hate your thought process. We
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: do have a lot of big favorites.
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: If all favorites win, that, like the six K range
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: is weak, I have one fighter in the six K
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: range that'll get to a little later that I'll play.
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: I mean, I'll say Roman delieds and I don't even
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: like him either. Like this fight is expected to go
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: to the distance if it's somewhat competitive. She squeaks out
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: forty points, that could be enough. So I just do think.
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, old air might be really bad minus five
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: hundred diar if she just puts it on her and
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: like the volume is there a late finish. We've seen
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: crazy things happen in the upper tiers, so mainly just
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: the money line, then I'm fine with it, But I
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: definitely don't hope this fight's optimal. The more teams you make,
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: if it's really chalky, like you're playing evil of you're
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: playing another one of those two people you're playing. I
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: don't know Sam Patterson or Chalk Chalk Chalk. I don't
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: hate it, I guess, But yeah, we wasted enough time
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: on this fight. The two most likely fights to go
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: the distance on the card, the only two women's fights
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: on the card. What's up, Big Driggs, Happy to have
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: you joining us, Live Bradley and here mattaouse ysn Colton.
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: We'll get to the favorite dog, I mean, man, my
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: favorite dog. Last week Bruno Silva Highway robbery. Again, that
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: just shows the variance in UFC. I think it was
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: minus twenty thousand if I'm not mistaken when it was
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: closed when Bruno Silva or I think it was locked,
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: but I believe it was minus twenty thousand plus seventy
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: five hundred going into decision, and yeah he lost. That
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: is one of the worst ones in my opinion. But
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: what are you gonna do?
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Again? The variants in UFC. But yeah, we'll get to
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: my favorites. I have one, I guess.
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: But for me, it's a clear like five live dogs
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: that are like lower tier fighters that I'm gonna be
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: jamming and the rest I'm gonna be way underway too.
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: Olivera is one of them that I do not want
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: much of, so this one again. I put these odds
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: up on Monday. It was minus one twenty five plus
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: one oh five Abdul. The Lions flipped, though m Rock
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: is now the small favorite at minus one fifteen, taking
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: them on Abdul, who's minus one oh five plus one
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: hundred for this fight to finish. Rock plus two twenty
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: five inside the distance Alsawadi plus three hundred, So the
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: four hundred dollars cheaper fighter now the very small favorite
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: with the better inside the distance prop. I do think
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: that leads, assuming ownership or the Lion stays here or
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: continues to move in Rocks favor. I do think you
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: see Rock as one of the more popular mid tier fighters,
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: probably the most popular mid tier fighter, values relatively tough
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: on this card. Seventy nine hundred goes a long way,
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: checks a lot of boxes, so I'm.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: Going to play some of him. But again, when you're
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: going shem.
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: Rock, ivlov e Wu and all that like, you gotta
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: get different. And I do think when you're not playing
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: shem Rock, I have some interest in Abduel because he
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: wants to get the fight to the Matt Rosa grappler,
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: So I'm curious if he does still try and wrestle
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: buns wrestle a bunch. Excuse me, but on the feed,
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: I mean a coin flip at worse for Abduel probably
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: the better striker. See, I'm going to be playing both
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: sides of this fight again. In the mid tier, I
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: prefer more than Carolina Mullins.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's close between the Jones Solar fight.
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: I really don't like the mid tier much, but I
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: like this fight, and I do think Rock's going to
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: be relatively high owned that he stays the favorite.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: How do you see it?
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah? I like rocking this one. I picked him to win,
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: but he was the plus side when I picked him,
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: and that did have a little bit to do with it.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: I think that al Sawati is the better, more well
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: rounded fighter, and the longer this fight goes, the more
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: it's gonna play into Alsawatti's favor. But I would worry
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: that he does look to either keep it standing early
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: in the fight or he's stuff in takedowns himself early
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: in his fight because shim Rock is an aggressive grappler.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: In round one and maybe in round early in round
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: two as well, but he will start to fall apart
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: as the fight goes along if it's not working out
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: for him, and that would be the word here and
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: after that happens. I think he would accept takedowns if
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: Al Sawadi wanted to wrestle, or just if Al Sawadi
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: wants to strike for three rounds, I think he could
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: and he would win it that way, but he's not
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: gonna score doing that. So I don't really have a
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: lot of interest in Al Sawati, but I'm fine playing
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: him shim Rock with that aggressive one grappling, I think
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: he could get a back take, maybe get a rear
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: naked at some point. He does have one hundred point
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: upside if he's gonna win, and I think most of
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: his wins are gonna score over eighty five points. So
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: I like Shimrock. He's gonna be an overweight play for me.
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: I don't like that his ownership is going up, but
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: I I'm still gonna be overweight to that new ownership
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Sounds good.
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Shmrock, but I'm definitely gonna play some
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: Abdual and I actually like him. Do him more if
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: Shemrock gets like minus one thirty, just because I do
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: think the ownership would inflate more than it should just
• 13:33
  Speaker 3: for like twenty cents or fifteen cents of a line
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: movement minus one fifteen minus one oh five versus minus
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: one thirty plus one ten.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: I do think people will look at that as a
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: decent bit of.
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: Difference, and yeah, we would take the ownership discount even
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: more and the leverage from Abdul. But I'm playing both
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: sides of this fight. There's wrestling upside, this grappling upside,
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: there's a reversal, top control, all that good stuff. Next
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: fight on the card, one of the best in my opinion,
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: and you have it a five star. It's minus six
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: hundred to finish Brando minus two fifty two sixty now
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: Louis Sutherland plus two twenty again minus six hundred to
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: finish Brando minus two ten inside the distance Sutherland plus
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: three hundred, Brando round one plus two hundred. The nice
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: thing about Brando is e Wu and Montas are clearly
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: the most popular. When you're in the nine case, Ivlov
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: is clearly the most popular eighty nine hundred. So Brando's
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: in between all these guys. That's gonna get ownership. But
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: I think he's gonna be definitely lower on than all
• 14:39
  Speaker 3: three of those guys. And I'm fine, I guess straight
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: up leaving the money from e Wu or Montas down
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: to Brando and a way to get difference. I'm also
• 14:49
  Speaker 3: totally fine just going Brando Evelov. You leave like three
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: hundred bucks and you don't even have the money for
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: those top guys there, but minus two ten to finish,
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: minus six.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Hundred for the fight to finish. Easy click there, and
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: easy easy.
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: Click on the Sutherland side, like, if he wins, he's
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: gonna probably be the highest scoring dog and we need
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: that on this card.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: And I see you have four star Sutherland, two star Brando.
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: So why do you see? Why do you see Sutherland
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: as the better play? Are you picking him to win?
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm picking him to win. I think this is
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: really a lot of recency biased in the line with
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: just their one last fight each where what do we
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: call this guy parasite? He came in in his debut,
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: gets a first round knockout, I believe, over a guy
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: who I didn't know at the time and I don't
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: remember now.
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: And then Sutherland comes in and he fights Walter Walker.
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: That's that's a way tougher matchup. He gets beat in
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: the first round. I mean that's acceptable to me. And
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: then I was thinking of it as more, let's pretend
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: these fights never happened, and let's go back and try
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: and cap this fight. I don't even know that you
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: could pick a favorite. I think it's up you're flipping
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: a coin on this one. So I would much rather
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: have that value on the underdog. I think that Parisitch
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: is gonna be lighter on his feet, the better athlete
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: in general, but Sutherland has more one punch power. This
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: dude's got a back like the size of I mean,
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: this is a big boyd I think it's only going
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: to take one punch from him. Where Ellison or whoever
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: it was that this Parisage guy fought in his last fight,
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: I mean he was hitting them a couple times at
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: the start of that fight, where I feel like he
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: was maybe moving away with his head up or something.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: I was watching these fights on Sunday. I don't remember
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: it very well anymore, but there was something I just
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: didn't like about that fight where I was thinking, man,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: if Sutherland was in there throwing bombs, he might have
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: gone down. So I picked Sutherland. It wasn't that I
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: feel good about him winning. It's that he's plus two
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: thirty and I think this will pick him fight, so
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: I will be way overweight on the Southerland side. I
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: think he can break the slate. But even Parisitch's best performance,
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: let's give him one hundred and five hundred and ten
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: on this card, He's still not a lock for the
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: optimal lineup, whereas Southerland would be.
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'm taking one oh five to one
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: ten all day long, but definitely not a lock the
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: upper tier. Like we keep saying, a lot of heavily
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: juice inside the distance props, and there's Evilov who's the
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: fights expected to go the distance, but he has a
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: lot of takedown upside, so agree with that. But I mean,
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: I'm taking it at ownership in nine k for sure.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: But yeah, more of sutherland wins are optimal than Brando,
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: There's no doubt about that. So playing both sides, Sutherland
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: one of my favorite dogs on this late and again
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: I mentioned this especially because olivera pretty much a fade Tricoli.
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: We're gonna talk about pretty much a fade Franco pretty
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: much a fade. Austin Lane pretty much a fade. So
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: I need people down below, and I don't like or
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: I'm crossing off a lot of other people. He makes
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: a lot of sense to me. I want to say.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: There was.
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean actually yeh. Line movement this one. Whoever
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: opened this line might must have been fired already. Minus
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: one eighty five Sutherland is what they opened it at.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: What was it like?
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: Thirty minutes later it's plus one eighty five. The line
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: completely flipped. And then money has came in on the
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: Brando side. But again DraftKings put these lines or puts
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: the pricing out Monday. The line already moved a lot there,
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: so it's sufficient from what we're looking at. What's up, Nicholas,
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: Great to see you. I hope you're doing well. Next
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: fight on the car very easy for me. Montas minus
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: seven to fifty taken on Antonio Tricoli plus five fifty.
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: This fight is minus one thousand to finish. Montas minus
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: five twenty five inside the distance Tracoli plus six hundred.
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: Montas in round one is minus one seventy five. He
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: opened plus one twenty in round one, so a lot
• 18:40
  Speaker 3: of money came in on his round one prop. I mean,
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: Tracauley's just he's not UFC ready. He's not UFC caliber
• 18:47
  Speaker 3: in my opinion. Probably his last fight, i'd guess. But yeah,
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: I mean I think Montas owns them, probably knocks them out,
• 18:54
  Speaker 3: probably in the first round, and then it's like, all right,
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: is one oh seven enough? Did he get two knocked down?
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: At one one thirteen? Did he get a first minute bonus?
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: How many other dogs won on this card? We talk
• 19:06
  Speaker 3: about it a lot, like I like him, but when
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: you're that expensive, it's not just what your performance, it's
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: what other people do. It's what other dogs do. So
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: that's why I'm usually fine with a pretty wide range
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: of outcomes.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: On fighters like this.
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: And we have e Wu who's ninety five hundred, one
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: hundred less, who's pretty much the same props right there.
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, I'm gonna force some I don't
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: know how much I'm gonna be able to get, and
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: I do not want Tricoli.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna ask out for Coli. He would need
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: a flash finish in order for a chance to win.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: But he's just no good. I mean, this will be
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: his fifth time in the Octagon never won. Uh so,
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: I don't even know why he's getting this chance. I
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna get sent to full time poker. But
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: it's just I mean, over ninety five hundred dollars is always.
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: I'm fine if it's priced out of my lineups, but
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: I am gonna have Sutherland. That's gonna afford me some
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: some of those nine k guys. So if I get
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of this guy, I'm fine with it. If
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: I get fifteen percent, I'm fine with that as well.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: And then you just hope that e Wu or Fluf
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: whoever it is that you went down to instead outscores them.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: And I think that's absolutely possible. Yeah, give me first
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: round finished by this guy. I think it's gonna be
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: pretty easy.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: Don't think we need to waste much more time there
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: next fight. I mean, kind of cookie cutter, straightforward as well.
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: Biggest favorite Mario Pinto minus nine hundred Fleepe Franco plus
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: six hundred minus six hundred for this fight to finish.
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: Pinto minus four fifty inside the distance Franco plus eight hundred.
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: Pinto in round one plus one oh five open plus
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: one twenty five. I mean the big difference here, I
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: guess is just Pinto's more expensive than Brando than e Wu.
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: He has a worse inside the distance prop, he has
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: a worse round one prop. I do think he's more
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: likely to wrestle than the other guys, though, and I
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: think he's lower owned, So take that for what it's worth.
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: I like the idea of leaving the two hundred or
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: leaving the one hundred more to those guys. But with
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: that being said, that might even be more popular than
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: people plugging in Pinto and leaving zero dollars. I do
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: think he's definitely lower owned than them. So how do
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: you compare? I guess the main question I one star
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: Franco minus nine hundred. I doubt you're playing him. How
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: do you view Pinto versus Montas versus e Wu in
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: the upper tier?
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I really look at him as all the same.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: So I put this as the three star because he's
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: the most expensive. I put Montas as the four star
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: because he's a little bit cheaper. And then I put
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: us the five star fight because ninety five hundred dollars.
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: I think that's the special number. Man. Usually ninety five
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars does end up on the optimal lineup, sometimes
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: ninety six and ninety seven hundred dollars get priced off,
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: so I just always prefer that that savings if I
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: don't really have a big preference in the fighters. And
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: I think Pinto could wrestle here, but I don't know
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: that that would be his best game plan. It should
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: be Franco looking to wrestle in this matchup, but he's
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: the two h five ever coming in to fight at
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: two sixty five, and Pento's looking good. I just don't
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: see how he's gonna have any real success. Maybe he
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: can get a takedown early, but I don't think he
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: can consistently get takedowns throughout the fight. And Pinto looks
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: like he could be a guy who just wants to
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: fight where his opponent is the weakest, and I think
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: that would be him wanting to keep this fight on
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: the feet, where I mean, he probably would get a
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: knockout at some point if if he can keep it standing.
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: But if he's spending the first round on his back
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: and then he gets it in the second round, it's
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: definitely too late. At ninety seven hundred dollars, so same
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: thing as Montas, but even wider range, Like, I'm final
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: ten percent Pinto, and I'm also fine if somehow I
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: got up to fifty percent. I highly doubt I'll be
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: able to afford fifty percent, but if I did, I'd
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: be cool with it.
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I doubt I'll be able to as well. I'd
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: be fine with ten percent, though in a vacuum. He
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: is falls down the list from Iwu and from Montas,
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: And like, I mean, I look at Pinto and Brando
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: pretty similar in the sense of when they get wins, Like,
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: I think the ceiling's pretty close.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're both minus six hundred to finish. I
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: don't plan on leaving.
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: Like seven hundred very much because I can probably upgrade
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: a dog somewhere else. But I think it's clearly Montas
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: e Wu as the like nine k plus guys in
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: their own tier, and Brando Pinto in the other ones.
• 23:19
  Speaker 3: And Pinto's the highest price, so naturally I'll probably have
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: a little less. And yeah, like I said, Pinto's wrestling
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: upside plus three fifty by sub, but he's minus one
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: eighty five by KO, so he's definitely more likely to
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: do that. I just think versus e Wu versus Montas,
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: he's the most likely to get a take down if
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: any of them were to all right. Next fight on
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: the card an absolute banger, as almost every Nathaniel would
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: fight is we have lost on Kata minus two thirty two.
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: Nathaniel would plus one ninety seven minus won fifteen for
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: this fight. To finish Cada plus one twenty five. Inside
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: the distance, Nathaniel would plus five seventy five. You start
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: taking away three stars all the way across the board.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know how I feel about it. I mean,
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: I'm always team Nathaniel Wood. I'm picking Nathaniel Wood to
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: win here. But this kid a kid, He's scary dude.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: He's a dangerous looking dude. He's gonna be coming forward
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: and trying to knock Wood's head off in the first round,
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: and he might do it. Wood does take damage in
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: the first round a lot. He's a slow starter. He
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: just almost got knocked out in the first round of
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: his last fight. But I think this is similar to
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: that where if he weathers that first round storm, I
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: don't even think it'll be as close as it was
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: in the last part. I think he kind of styles
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: on Keda in rounds two and three and could win
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: a unanimous decision here, So I am thinking that Wood
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: is my four and Keda is my two. But at
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: the same time, I think Wood's kind of playing for
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: like a ten x score and ked is playing for
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: one hundred and ten. So I do like kidd as well,
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: even though I'm picking him to lose. He's got a
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: big ceiling and when he is gonna win this fight,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be a first round knockout, so I'm gonna
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: be I think it is more of a four star
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: for me rather than a three star. I just hate
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: putting so much money into both sides of the pot,
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: especially if I'm gonna have like twenty or less lineups,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: which I usually do. Preferred play is gonna be would
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: But if I if I end up with like thirty percent,
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: would thirty I think I'd be cool with that.
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you talk, I mean that'd be overweight
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: on both guys. Like Kita is gonna be somewhat forgotten
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: at eighty seven hundred. Maybe forgotten is the wrong word,
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: but there's h Or Eveloff who's eighty nine hundred, so
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: that two hundred people are gonna try and get there,
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: And then I think the ownership between Campbell and Kaita
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: is gonna be relatively similar, but I do expect Campbell
• 25:45
  Speaker 3: to be higher owned. I don't know, maybe it's really
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: close between those two, but yeah, he's gonna get some ownership.
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: I do think Nathaniel would probably a little more popular
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: than Danny Silva. But these fights are really similar. You
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: prefer the Campbell Silver fight. You have it a four service,
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: this one is.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: A three star.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: I actually just move this to a four star, So.
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: Right, yeah, what's my preferred play because we need value
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: on this late twelve hundred dollars savings. He's just a
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: good fighter, Like when I can get a good, well
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: rounded fighter at seventy five hundred on a car that
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: I'm not loving dogs, It's an easy click that way.
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: But I do think other people kind of see it
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: the same. Maybe Woods like twenty one twenty two percent
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: and then Cada twenty six percent, twenty five. You kind
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: of get that make Wood one of the more popular dogs.
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: You get more leverage that way, and again, a really
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: good inside the distance problem. If this fight finishes, probably
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: on the KTA side of plus one twenty five inside
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: the distance plus three twenty five in round one. Not
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: too bad for the price either with his ownership in check.
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: So yeah, good fight right there. Possible fight of the
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: night in my opinion.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Two star on this next one. All right, I'm excited
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: to hear your take.
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: Mason Jones minus one thirty taking an XL solas or
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: plus one ten plus one forty for this fight to finish,
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: Jones plus two to forty five inside the distance axel
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: plus three point fifty round one props really bad. Plus
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: six to seventy five plus for Mason Jones. If you're
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: just looking at the stone, you will see Sola undefeated
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: at four inch height advantage, but you will see Mason
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: Jones with the five point seven to one significant strikes
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: per minute four point one seven takedowns per fifteen minutes.
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: Those are some pretty appealing numbers. Do you think he
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: has that type of wrestling upside in this matchup?
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: Uh? Kind of. I am on the Jones side. I
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: think that I'm going to try to fade Sola in
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: this one and it'll be Jones or pass for me.
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: I did move it up to a three star though,
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: because man, when Jones wins, he scores well, and I
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: think he can win this fight anyway he wants to.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: Then't worry would be that he doesn't wrestle that much.
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: He can still put up a high pace on the feet,
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: but I don't know that he's going to score enough points.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: Eighty four hundred does a fair price tag, So I
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: do like Jones, but I am going to try to
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: avoid Sola find me on other probably cheaper underdogs instead.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: But it's just more so I'm trying to avoid the
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: mid range, and that's why I had it as a
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: two star originally kind of hoping that Jones wins scores
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: around ten x, but I don't know. I like Jones
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: a lot as a fighter in general and as a
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: DFS player, so I'm sure I get to a little
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: bit more than a two star worth of Jones, so
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: I bumped it up to a three.
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on the Mason Jones side as well, just
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: because he does more. He's like always a fighter I
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: enjoy watching. He wears damage really poorly, but he pumps
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: the jab, he's in your face, he can strike, he
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: can wrestle, top control like he just flows well. At
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: eighty four hundred, I'm getting a good fighter that can
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: push the pace a little bit that can have wrestling upside,
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: but I have an agreement. I don't love this fight,
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: so like, do you prefer you prefer the sham Rock
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: a dual fight to this one?
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Really, it's just completely different for me because I like
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: the underdog and the Shamrock, and I like the favorite.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: In this one, it's kind of gonna be almost all
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: my exposure will be on the Rock side and almost
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: all be on the Jones side. But I would say,
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: I guess as a whole, I do like the other
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: one more because I'd rather play al Sawadi than I
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: would Solo.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: I do prefer that one.
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: If having to choose as well, do you prefer this
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: one or the Carolina Mullens fight this one?
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: For sure?
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: Yep, I agree with both of those. Takes all right,
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: next fight on the card. I love fourteen fight cars.
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: I mean rapid fire takes us longer to talk through
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: all the fights. But for DFS wise, for just entertainment wise,
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: it's always the more fights the better. If the ownership
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: more spread out, the less likelihood for big dupes.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: And that is what we're playing for for sure.
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: Curtis Campbell making his UFC debut at minus two forty,
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: taking on Danny Silva plus two O five plus one
• 29:41
  Speaker 3: forty for this fight to finish, Campbell plus two to
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: fifteen inside of this in Silva plus four fifty. I mean,
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: it's just another fight. I think, very similar to the
• 29:49
  Speaker 3: Cada would fight. I think ownership's pretty similar. People are
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: definitely gonna want Evela for one hundred more than Campbell
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: and Danny Silva is gonna be a dog that people play.
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: It's ownership's going to be in check, as most underdogs
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: are outside of probably Ron Murphy. But six point sixty
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: seven significant strikes per minute, two takedowns per fifteen minutes,
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: that's good.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: If he wins as.
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: A dog, he'll probably score solid. I'm more worried, so
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: Silva is my preferred play for that reason. The fourteen
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: hundred savings. Talk to me about Campbell's upside and how
• 30:18
  Speaker 3: much do you think he wrestles in this fight? Looks
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: like a well rounded prospect at twenty three years old,
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: but how much you think he wrestles in this one.
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: I think he wrestles a ton right away. I like
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: his aggressive wrestling style. I really didn't see a whole
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: lot of his striking in most of what I saw
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: was he didn't have much interest in striking. He looked
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: like he wanted to get to the fight to the ground,
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: and when he did, he just mauled everybody that he
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: was fighting. And I love that style. So I'm big
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: time on the Campbell side of this one. I don't
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna want to strike with Silva, and if
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: that is the case, he's going to put up a
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: big score. So I like Campbell. The worry is that
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: he can't lay in takedowns. I don't know that he
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: can strike Silva, and Silva can put up a high
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: pace on the feet, so I think he could also
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: kind of be one way traffic if it were to
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: be a striking match. I just don't see that being
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: the case. I think I would bet on Campbell getting
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: a takedown in the first two minutes of this fight,
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: if not more than one takedown in that time. I
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: think he'll be going right away. In the first twenty seconds,
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: he'll be shooting. So I'm gonna be heavy on Campbell
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: in this one, and I think that's gonna lead me
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: to no silver.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Wow, no silver. That'll be a relative hot take.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: But depending on how many lineups, the more I get,
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: the more interested I'll be in Silva, but right now
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: I would rather go to Wood. I would rather drop
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: down to Sutherland Shamrock we also talked about, So those
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: are three I'm more interested in already.
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: It is worth noting that the or the individual like
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: how you win the KO, the subprop has definitely closed
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: on the Campbell side. So Campbell open plus three thirty
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: five by KO now plus four or fifty he opened
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: plus eight fifty by sub now plus five hundred.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of going to what you're saying.
• 32:06
  Speaker 3: People thinking he wrestles more too, which you definitely wanted
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: eighty eight hundred.
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: His TKO prep though, won't be that's not striking though.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: I found ground and pound his way into a TKO two,
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: So I wouldn't feel good about him getting a submission.
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: He could definitely flatten out Silva and just be really
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: active with his GMP and get a stoppage that way too.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: So I picked him as inside the distance as my
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: When I send my my picks to sports line, I
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: always give them either TKO submission or ITD. And then
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: when I put my picks over on ship a nation,
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: I narrowed down to an exact round for whatever my
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: finish is, so you can go figure out what it
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: is that way. But I put itd for sports Line
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: because I didn't know which way this guy was gonna
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: end up going. I just think it's gonna be on
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: the ground where he could step finish.
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I means plus four fifty and plus five hundred,
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: So it's pretty much a coin flip each side. Now
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: if you do if you didn't know there was a
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: finish on which way it would go. But yeah, I
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: mean I was already gonna play a little Campbell. You
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: made me like Campbell a decent bit more than Kaya
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: now with how much wrestling you do think he does.
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: And Danny Silva another one of my favorite dogs him
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: Nathaniel would Louis Sutherland like, I want one of these
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: guys to win, because if they do, I think they
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: score relatively good. Five fights left. Another big favorite in
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: this one, Christian Leroy Duncan minus five hundred taken on
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: Roman de Leeds a plus three eighty five minus one
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: forty for this fight to finish, Leroy Duncan plus one
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: hundred inside the distance de Leeds A plus five seventy five.
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: Christian Leroy Duncan plus three hundred inside the distance, so
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: a little money today on CLD finish plus three thirty
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: five at open in round one now bus three hundred
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: and he was plus one ten. I believe inside the
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: distance now plus one hundred. But that being said, it's
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: still tough for me to get there. I prefer Brando
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: and I prefer ev Wall for cheaper. I prefer e Wu,
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: I prefer Montas for more offensive. With all that being said,
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: I think the field will also see that the same,
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: and it's kind of like a dire situation is how
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: I see Duncan.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: We'll be forgotten a little bit.
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: But I do like Duncan more than Dire if having
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: to choose, just because this fight's expected to finish where
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: dire fight isn't and is inside the distance, prop is
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: over two times better. With all that being said, Roman
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: Delize is still my preferred play. He doesn't usually score
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: because he's so passive and just sits on his back
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: foot and relies.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: On power, but he's better on the mat.
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: Like if Christian Lero Duncan does try and go after him,
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: Dealize would be smart to try and new takedowns, maybe
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: try and grab an ankle or do something that way.
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: I don't like the six k rang, so Dalidze will
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: be one I do play, but not a fight I love.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean the line is so wide that I
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: when I was writing it up, originally I was like,
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: you know, what's crew, Let's go to Leeds because I
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: was thinking, if he does take it to the ground, man,
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: I think he could finish this guy, to be honest
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: with you, but he's also never been knocked out. I'm
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: pretty sure. I think he could stand for moments with Duncan,
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: and he could also knock Duncan out. But then I
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: was like, gosh, I just don't think he's gonna wrestle.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: It's probably gonna be a striking match. Maybe he lands
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: one takedown, but I don't think he would consistently wrestle
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: if he didn't get a finish with that takedown. And
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: then if it is gonna be two rounds of striking,
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: I think it is gonna be a clear twenty nine
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: to twenty eight for Duncan. So I did pick Duncan
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: as my pick to win, but at ninety three hundred,
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: I have no real interest at all in dfs with
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: twenty or less I'll x am out of my lineups
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: and go to those other guys you named instead. And
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: I do have delieds a interest in DFS because if
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: he wins, I'd expect him to put up a decent score,
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: and if not a good score, he's cheap enough to
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: where he'll get it close to a ten X and
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: he allows us to get those guys who did get
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: the big score into our lineup. So I'm on the
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: Deleds side of this one. I have it as a
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: three star right now because I'm probably gonna be no
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: CLD and overweight to dealeds A. But if I don't
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: end up up with as much to Leeds as I'm thinking,
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: maybe I will, and I'll bump it down to a
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: two star OVERA.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: I would have it.
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: I look at this more of a two star as well,
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: but Dalis is my preferred side, like yours as well,
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: due to the twenty four hundred dollars savings.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Before we do talk about these last four fights.
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: Just want to show if you're not a member at
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: ship Nation, you haven't seen this is our home page
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: shippination dot com. If you do want to join us,
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: join the nation bottom left. You can get in for
• 36:28
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• 36:31
  Speaker 3: you want the day nine dollars, you get all of
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: our content above, including SABERSIM the better deal five days
• 36:36
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• 36:40
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• 36:43
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• 36:46
  Speaker 3: the Discord. So we do talk some college basketball in there.
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: There's tennis, even though we do not charge for it.
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: Access to the Discord is a very big piece of
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: our content if you're just wanting to play MMA projections, ownership, slate, plan, tier, rank,
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: Core Report. Again, access to the Discord where usually I
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: take in line movement updates in that you can get
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: in the year obviously cheaper than the month. If you
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: want saber SIM you can find that out as well.
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: But we would love to have you at the Nation
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: against single sport options, all access options, trials, whatever fits
• 37:19
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• 37:22
  Speaker 3: a try if you have not tried us out already.
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: Let's go back to this share this boom all right,
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: next fight on the card. Keep talking about one of
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: the biggest favorites, E Wu minus six hundred, taking on
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: Austin Lane plus four to twenty five minus twelve hundred
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: for this fight to finish the most likely on the
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: card e Wu minus six hundred inside the distance lane
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: plus six twenty five. I WU in round one minus
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: one seventy five. I mean e Wu by murder e
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: WO open minus one twenty five and round one, by
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: the way, so has taken fifty cents.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 37:55
  Speaker 3: I agree with Nicholas. Austin Lane is going to get slept.
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: That is the hot or that's the chalk take. I'm
• 38:02
  Speaker 3: on the chalk side, no Lane. I'll play as much
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: Ewu as I can get. If I had twenty percent,
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: I think I'm good with it. But I mean, he's
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: going to be popular. So if you're playing him for
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: playing Evil Off, if you're playing Murphy, if you're playing
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: shem Rock, if you're playing Montas like, if you're playing Chalk,
• 38:18
  Speaker 3: you better get different somewhere with him.
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, uh exing out laying here. I just don't think
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: he has any business in the UFC. He would need
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: a flash knockout in order for him to win the fight.
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: But I think that e Wu knocks him out. I
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: think e Wu would be the minute winner if it
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: were to be a striking match, but whenever he wants
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: to go for that takedown, he's just going to dominate
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: the fight on the mat en route to a submission
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: or ground to pound finish. I think it's easier to
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: quit to a submission. So I'm gonna pick rear naked
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: choke for EWU, and Lane's gonna be looking for that
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: tap real.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: Early, all right.
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: I Wu by sub plus four fifty versus KO minus
• 38:59
  Speaker 3: two six, Ko open minus one seventy now minus two sixty.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: EWU by sub open plus three thirty five now plus
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: four to fifty. So little contrarian route for our man,
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: Big Marley if you want to check out that. And
• 39:11
  Speaker 3: always always price shop in all sports, but MMA especially.
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: We're gonna get to a fight. Actually maybe it was
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: this one EWU minus six hundred inside. Actually they corrected
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: it now earlier this fight was minus six hundred money
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: line for EWU and minus six fifty inside the distance
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: for EWU, which obviously makes no sense, but occasionally books
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: do something.
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: Random like that.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean makes no sense. All right, three fights left.
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: Next fight on the car to Michael Page minus one
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: eighty Sam Patterson plus one fifty five minus one seventy
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: for this fight to finish, Page plus one sixty inside
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: the distance Patterson plus two to ten. I'm definitely on
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: the Patterson side. I keep riding them. He's made some
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: money for me as an underdog. He also lost as
• 39:56
  Speaker 3: a big favorite to start his career.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: But he's just well rounded.
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: He's big, he has tall man defense and the questionable chin,
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: which is his big as concerns. But he has power,
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: he can grapple, he can wrestle, he has cardio. Michael
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: Page is not a fun fighter to fight against, though
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: not a fun fighter for dfs most of the time either.
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: All of his fights go to decision, but this one's
• 40:17
  Speaker 3: minus one seventy to finish after opening minus one sixties,
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: So I'm pretty torn on what to do with the
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: Page side. I'm definitely playing Patterson grappling upside, submission upside.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, most Page fights go the distance,
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: this one expected to finish. Why do you think that
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: is the case and how do you see it going?
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I'd say that's the case because I don't even remember
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: the guy's name, but that one guy who's a nobody
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: who knocked out Patterson, Page has a whole lot more
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: power than him. He's an awkward striker, kind of hard
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: to figure out early. I think Page knocking him out
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: in round one is possible, but that's the only way
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: Page scores. I can't standwatching Michael Page if you're playing DFS,
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: like he's just the first exit every single time he fights.
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: For me. He's got three UFC wins averages less than
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: fifty points. And if you give him a win and
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: his other one, if you say he won the decision,
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: still less than fifty points in that win, like, that's
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: that's pathetic. So I'm completely out on Page. When he
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: gets his round one wins, I won't be winning those nights,
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: But that's just a long term fad for me. Give
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: me Patterson to win, give me Patterson to be the
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: better grappler for sure. I think more dangerous submission grappler. Also,
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: I think he could be the minute winner on the feet.
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: He's gonna have more volume, and I mean Page is
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: getting up there in age as well. Wouldn't completely shock
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: me to see Patterson knock him out. So I think
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: Patterson's the value side, and he's my DFS side as well,
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: I'll be overright for sure.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 41:52
  Speaker 3: On the Patterson side, I don't know. I'm debating what
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: to do with Page just because people have that same
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: thought of him. He's plus four seventy five and round
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: one plus one sixty inside the distance after your opening,
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: plus one seventy the props and everything's there. But man,
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: he is so boring. He is just such a counterpuncher.
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: With that being said, he kits like a truck. If
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: Patterson does over extend, Patron flat line him for sure.
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: But I think Patterson more ways to win. When he
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: does win, I think he does score much better for
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: his price. At seventy six hundred two fights left comine
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: event time, Luke Riley minus one ninety taking a Mat
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: Michael Aswell plus one sixty five plus one oh five
• 42:29
  Speaker 3: for this fight to finish, Riley plus one seventy five
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: inside the distance as well plus four twenty five and
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: take it away.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Who was your preferred side? How do you see it going?
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Riley is my preferred side, my
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: pick to win. But as well, I wouldn't say he's
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: not in play. Seventy one hundred dollars is cheap, and
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: he can put up volume and this should be a
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: striking match. So if you like asswell, play him here.
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: But I see that the way I see it going
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: down is Riley. He is a slow starter, so Aswell
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: maybe beats him in the first round based on volume alone.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: But then once Riley starts going, I just think he's
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: going to be on a different level than as Well,
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: and he picks him apart in the second of the
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: third round if not getting a finish in one of
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: those two rounds. But if he's going to drop the first,
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: we probably need him to get the finish in the
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: second of the third round. So that's why I have
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: this as a two star. I don't have a ton
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: of interest in Riley because he's ninety one hundred dollars
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: and he's not going to look to wrestle. He is
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: a striker and a slow starter, so he's probably not
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: got a great chance at the round one t KO,
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: So I'd rather go to all those other guys. I'd
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: rather save two hundred dollars and go to Evloweb like
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: everybody else will as well. So overall it's a two
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: star because I'm picking the favorite to win a striking match.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: I prefer the underdog.
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: Part of it is, if you look on Monday, Riley
• 43:50
  Speaker 3: was minus three hundred now Riley's minus one ninety. A
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: lot of money on the ass Well side as well,
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: as you can see significant strikes per a minute nine
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: point five to six.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: He's a Joshua Van guy. He'll throw a lot of volume.
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: Not the most power by any means, but this fight
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: also open minus one fifteen to go the distance now
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: plus one oh five if this fight does go the
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: distance as well, if he wins, a lot more likely
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: to be optimal than Riley, two thousand cheaper. Riley's just
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: competing again with Evlov, with Brando, with Ewu, with Montage.
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: There's a lot of better fighters or higher upside fighters,
• 44:24
  Speaker 3: it seems in the upper tier as well. Seventy one
• 44:26
  Speaker 3: hundred not competing with too much. Maybe sixty nine is
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: enough if he gets that in the decision wins, so
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: definitely on the Assphole side, myself will not have too
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: much Luke Riley. Main event time Masvar Evilov minus two
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: twenty five Laurent Murphy plus one ninety plus two twenty
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: five for this fight to finish, Evil plus three hundred
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: inside the distance Murphy plus six point fifty.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: I'm on Evilov all day.
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: I debated fading Murphy, but at the end of the day,
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: with fourteen fights, if he does win, he's probab probably
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: gonna score because he has five rounds to work. I
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: do think he comes in over own when it's all
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: said and done, though Evil is gonna be might be
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: the most popular, even if he is fifty percent like
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: I can get overweight that he's just a takedown machine.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: He has twenty five minutes to work.
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: And yeah, I mean, as long as this cardio holds up,
• 45:18
  Speaker 3: Murphy can get taken down.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: Somebody's oh has to go.
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: Even though I do think Daniel Santos beat Laron Murphy
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: years back, and I think the judges, I mean, Laron
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: Murphy was in home territory and he's in home territory again,
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: but I thought that was a robbery for Santos as well.
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: But yeah, Evil off for sure for me as my
• 45:35
  Speaker 3: preferred play, what about you?
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah Evil all day. Santos took Murphy down five times
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: in that fight. Tuck Kugov took Murphy down six times
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: when they fought amer Kani took him down five times.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Like these guys aren't. They're not even in the UFC anymore.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: Josh Immett, a striker, took him down four times. I
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: think Evil takes him down at least ten here. And
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: he's gonna score a big DraftKings score. He's gonna score
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: more than everybody else by twenty, I would think on
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: this card. So he is my favorite play on the card.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be like a fifty to forty
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: four type of score. I'm gonna pick him to win
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: every single round here. Maybe not the most exciting, like
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: don't invite your boys over because this is main advance.
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: Is gonna be a banger, but it's gonna be a
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: good DraftKings score for the winner. And I think that
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: winner is Evluf, So he'll be my core play. And
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: I just moved into a five star floev one star
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: Murphy with ten or less lineups. I'm just either all
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: in or evlouev or like going to another favorite to
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: get different rather than going to Murphy, because Murphy will
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: have enough ownership where I'm not even gonna try and
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: match that. I don't even know what half of it.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: So I'm just gonna x Murphy out and hope that
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: I'm right.
• 46:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's kind of where I was leaning initially.
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: Ten teams, I would still have no Murphy if I'm
• 46:52
  Speaker 3: playing thirty plus and something a ten percent Murphy fifteen,
• 46:57
  Speaker 3: Like you're really making a tough stand otherwise. But I agree,
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: if I'm making ten teams, I have ten Evil off
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: or I have eight or nine and then the other
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: ones that fade. I do think Murphy will be over owned.
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: I mean Evil is just a really tough matchup for
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: him with his takedown defense. When it's all said and man, yeah,
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: we've seen Raul Rosaus Junior and then oral By back
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: to back, just wrestlers putting on big boy scores there,
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: so maybe Evilov can do the same.
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: That's fourteen fights. Uh yeah, Why has Evil been out
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: so long?
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: I mean he's been around, like what, He's been battling
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: some injuries, he's talking about it.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: He does a million push ups.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: Might a lot, to be honest, but I don't know.
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: Might be on the jewe cycling. Definitely getting ducked a lot.
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't know. Nothing has came out there.
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: Probably bad, a little injuries, maybe the juice thing. Definitely
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: getting ducked a lot. People do not want this fight,
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: There's no doubt about that. So prohaps the Liro Murphy
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: for taking it. And honestly, the line's a little closer
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: than I did expect. But that's all fourteen fights. Fingers crossed.
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: Everyone makes Weight one pm Eastern on Saturday at the
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: O two Arena. Big Boy Prize is very excited for
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: this one. Final thoughts for you, Big Marley.
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: Now, yeah, the line is a little closer than I
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: thought would be. I think it's almost playable here for
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: m Luef, so maybe I'll end up having a bet
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: on him as well. I think it could be just
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: really one way traffic in this one, but hopefully it's
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: a good DFS night. Good luck to you title, good
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: luck to everybody listening.
• 48:21
  Speaker 3: Let's ship it, good luck everybody appreciate the support like
• 48:25
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• 48:27
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• 48:31
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• 48:38
  Speaker 3: For Big Marley, I'm titled town good luck this week
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: and be safe, enjoy it.
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: And let step and never step have made me steep
• 49:13
  Speaker 3: And still