Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS | May 5, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MLB DFS | May 5, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:44
  Speaker 1: What is going on? Everybody? Happy Monday afternoon with the
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: man the myth down below. Big DAIDs on the little
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: heater yesterday was watching some I don't even is Tim
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Radlers is a triple A double A. I'm not sure
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: which one he was watching. Some other base turns out
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: checks a screen. What seventy two bucks in the three
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: thousand something? Plenty of members benefited two. We don't preach like, oh,
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Nate's got his core, just table his cour and you're
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: gonna win all the time. No, but Nates knows this stuff.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Play a couple of lineups, maybe one you do mix
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: in his core. Every single one went deep, absolute great stuff.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Big Nay's congrats to you, grats the multiple winners. Hoop
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: a couple of days ago, sualub last week. Plenty of
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: members in the discord. I'm'll be seating up over here.
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: How you doing, Nates?
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, MLB's been uh, I mean, can't ask for a
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: better start. I know, for about two and a half
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: three weeks there, I was probably pretty brutal and the
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: chat just tilted my face off multiple times. But that's baseball.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, it is just the way it goes, right.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: You got to take that downs with the ups and
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: probably one of the better starts to the season that
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: I can ask for. Yeah, yesterday was pretty nice when
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: you kind of throw in your teams early on a Sunday, Right,
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: we have all the lineups in early, and I head
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: out to the old ballpark, enjoy some seventy degrees and
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: watch two of the best baseball prospects go at it
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: in uh single A. Actually so both teams it is
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: now both teams are affiliated the Timber Ratlers obviously with
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: the Brewers, and then the Tigers were in town. Well,
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: the Tiger ats single a affiliate with Max Clark. I
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: think he's like fifteenth overall prospect in all of MLB
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: absolute certified stud He went over four people were there
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: were some high school kids or college kids in the
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: sands just absolutely chirping him, chanting over overrated and stuff.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: And I mean he hit two laser beams lefty lefty
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: to start to start the game, lined out the short
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: and then lined out the third base like appo and
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: then I mean it was just funny. So it was
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: fun and joined that with the family and nephew and
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: my girlfriend and that at the local ballpark here and
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: It's always nice when you open the old DraftKings app
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: and you see four figures staring at the you and
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: the screen there. So it took second in the one
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: twenty one yesterday had had a run at the top
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: pictures obviously was kind of It's kind of been the
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: theme as of late, right these top end pitchers just
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: haven't been having the ceilings that we've seen from like
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: last year, right where multiple guys, I mean felt like
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: every night last season for the most part, somebody was
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: going out there and getsing you thirty to thirty five
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: and if you didn't have them, you were kind of dead.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: Hasn't been really the case, and I think it's more
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: of the case here tonight that we're going to talk about.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: So maybe that's something we got to look at right
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: early part of the season here. The game's evolved, right,
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: continues to evolve. The torpedo bats, et cetera. I mean,
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they have juice baseballs in there
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: or not. Yesterday, I mean, the Royals hit eighteen home
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: runs all year, and I think they had seven yesterday
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: in the game. I love the breakout spot called it
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: and I was actually pretty shocked at their ownership last
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: night compared to probably what it's going to be here tonight.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: Just recency bias, everything growing into that, and just the
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: nature of the slate at hand tonight. Gonna kind of
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: leave the Royals in general pitching and hitting as kind
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: of the clear cut spot that everybody wants to go to.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: So we'll do our best to kind of navigate through that.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: But yeah, right and high, and it's been amazing over
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: here at the Nation. Multiple winners yesterday in the discord,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: tailing my core and even even amongst that right over
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: the last three weeks hoop Hebrew shaloub. The list goes
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: on and on. The community's been absolutely smashing. So looking
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: to keep the train rolling here.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely. One thing you mentioned a lot about the pitchers,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: man like the pitch count, people like the grom getting
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: pulled early, multiple starts in a row and stuff. That's
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: why I always like this pitch count number from Sabersim
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: over here. Usually it's dragged all the way over. I
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: think it was like almost far right. I drag it
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: all the way right now next to my max exposure.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: I do want and again it is hard to project pitches,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: but I do want at least if I'm paying probably
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: nine K and above eight K and above. For the
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: most part, I'm most lates. I want my guys to
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: at least be around that ninety pitch mark as you.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, back in the day, you go three four
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: years ago, you'd be seeing ninety eight ninety seven for
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: their average pitch count. The Suersers or the Degrams of
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: the world, the Verlanders of the world, I mean, even
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: the bomb Esp twos were at least getting to the
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: low nineties, upper eighties most of the time. The league
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: has definitely changed with all the injuries and such a
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: long year, So the pitch count is definitely something I
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: keep in mind when breaking down pitchers, and it's really
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: tilting to see your guy pulled at sixty five seventy five.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tobias Meyers a couple of nights ago, went
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: like three innings. I don't know if he was like
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: in the forties, and the projected pitchcount was in the eighties.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: So that's that's definitely something go ahead.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: I mean the other night right with Flarity Flerty was
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: just absolutely rolling. He got roughed up a little bit
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: in kind of the first inning, bounced back was just
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: absolutely rolling and they pulled him at seventy three pitches,
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: and I know obviously that was the slate that kind
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: of everybody was chanting kind of lock him in, right.
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, he was seventy percent under or whatever, so
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: it doesn't really kill you, but I mean the dude
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: was just absolutely crouch, cruise and mowing at seventy three pitches.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: Like historically, we're seeing these pitchers go six and seven
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: innings getting into that one hundred and ten outside of
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: organizations like the Dodgers right where now it's pretty much
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: spanned across the entire MLB, So it's definitely I did
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: the same thing in Saber sam our partner with the optimizer,
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: I have the pitches right next to every pitcher's name,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: so I dragged it all the way over to the left.
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: It shows me name, and then it shows me the
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: pitches right there.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: So I take that into account a lot as well,
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: especially when you're kind of splitting hairs at the top end.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: Right when when you're looking at these pitchers and everything
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: else kind of checks out, I'm going to give the
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: slight nod to the guy that at least is anticipated
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: to throw longer and has a longer leash because.
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: That's been the nature of the game. Rio talked about
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: it in the chat.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: Right now is everything's advanced analytics, right you talk about
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: put in NFL right of all the fourth and goals
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: and all the going forward and less field goals. It's
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: all trickling over to to all sports and advanced analytics
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: with the stat cast data.
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: And all of this.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: And I think it's going to take a turn for
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: the worst in the back half of the season, right
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: when all these bullpens are taxed and these guys as
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: arms are falling off, right and you're seat I mean,
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: you're seeing it with the Dodgers right now.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: They went out and just absolutely loaded the wagon.
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I'm pitching, and they're dealing with injuries because their starters
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: historically go four innings, five innings, and then they rely
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: on the bullpen for the remainder of the second half
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: of the game. And that's just not sustainable when you're
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: playing baseball six to seven nights a week, right. So
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be interesting to see second half of the
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: year what happens to a lot of these bullpens. And
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: that's why I've been focused so much on the bullpens,
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: And every time I do a breakdown, I'm always talking
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: about what the bullpens look like, and in terms of
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: ranking wise, because half the game, over half the game
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: right now, in today's state, you're playing against the bullpen,
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: right so I'd much rather, especially when a team can
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: dictate matchups right out of the bullpen, I'd much rather
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: attack weaker bullpens then going and attack the Giants, going
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: to attack the Yankees, the padres, et cetera. In terms
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: of bullpens that rank near the top, we have a
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: big enough sample now to kind of see some of
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: the trends that are starting.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Absolutely, Yeah, Cam talked about it, Dacoda Scoo ball last week.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Just stuff you can't like. There's nothing I would have
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: changed different on that slate, but it's something that I'm
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: going to keep in my mind moving forward with certain
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: pitchers and stuff. But it feels like a lot of
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: guests work because you don't know what managers are going
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: to do yesterday and then we'll get to the slate.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Just the Braves and Dodgers Sunday Night baseball game had
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: it on watching the background. They were debating. Michael Conforida
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: was up. They clear Michael Canfordo has been one of
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: the worst baseball players him and Jock so far this year.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: They threw in the lefty reliever, went to the bullpen
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: to go lefty lefty. Well, obviously the Dodgers counter, they
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: have enough pitch hit bats. They go Migul Rojas instead
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: of Conforida to get the platoon advantage. Migual Rojas goes deep.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: Then they got to pull that guy like the next
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: at bat or two. But they're looking advanced analytics because
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the announcers were talking about a pregame, a spot like
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: this happens, We're doing this well, then they counter with
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: a way better bat and sometimes analytics can bite you
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: in the as now I'm the biggest proponent for analytics.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: Levitan did a great interview with the Florida analytics guy
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: in college basketball talking about free throws when they were
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: down like eight points in the sweet sixteen. I believe
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: it was no Elite eight or Final four, regardless about
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: why they fouled early to give themselves more of a chance.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: Who you follow the front end of one and one
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: just how deep analytics can go. So I like it,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I can definitely hurt your pocket and hurt
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: what you're doing on the occasion as well. So gotta
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: say hi to everyone in chat. Then we'll get right
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: into this like go collect Lyle Pop Stoner, Michael Peterson,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: kyped Max Manny Amazing Asian, I mean hoala, I am Rice,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Kim gold Rio, Ricky Nicks fan. Good luck to you
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Knicks fan today, tough series, Scooter Nate Dee already said,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: already said hi to Cam Jake, what's going on? Kenny?
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: What is going on? Devin Davis appreciate every single one
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: hanging out? How do you change your process if you're
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: doing one lineup per night versus multiple entries. I'm almost
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: always a multiple entry guy. If you're doing one lineup,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: I mean build your build your favorite lineup. But that
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: also takes into consideration ownership the contest. Is it a
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: one point fifty max? Is it a single entry? Is
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: it a twenty max? If you want to add anything
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: to that.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: Overview, yeah, yeah, So I typically most Knights played two
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: to three teams. My main team is always obviously the
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: main corps like yesterday that I dropped in the chat.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: Typically on the main team, a single entry three max
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: stuff for my main contest, I kind of throw it
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: in a bunch of other stuff just to give upside.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: But you're mainly building for kind of your bulk of
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: your entries, right, which is single entry, three max, et cetera.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Assuming that's kind of what the questions were lying about.
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: And typically I'm gonna eat more chalk at picture as
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: long as they're good arms.
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: Like yesterday, i just played.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: The chalk pairing and de Gram and I'm drawing a
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: blink on on the other guy.
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: Uh yeah, Crochet.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: So I just played d Gram and Crochet yesterday, and
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: I knew the offenses there was enough good spots where
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: offense is gonna kind of get spread out enough.
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: And I figured the Royals with the hitting environment.
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: I'm a big guy for ballparks and hitting, and the
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: weather was great for hitting there yesterday. Hence you've seen
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: all the solo home runs from both sides of that game.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: I'm more willing to eat the chocolate pitcher in that
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: kind of built and then get different from the bats,
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: because I mean you see these hitters. I mean, yesterday
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Bobby wit until obviously hit the home run. I mean
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: he was like, oh, for three people were tilting him
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: et cetera. So it's a lot easier for hitters to
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: fail than it is for pitching. So when you're stuck
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: and kind of hunkered on one team, I typically take
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: more of the safety approach right in pitchers, obviously in
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: them and me, you're gonna change that, right, You're you're
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be overweight or at least match the field
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: and kind of the quote unquote best plays. But then
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: you can actually leverage against those with other stacks because
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: you have a broader portfolio. In kind of one max team,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: I'm more so honing in on pitching, kind of seeing
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: what the field's doing. As long as I tend to agree,
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: there is obviously where I'm not going to agree. And
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: whoever you follow, right, we talk about it in the discord,
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: talk about it in content, et cetera. On why, Okay,
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: this guy's getting mega chalk and I just don't believe it, right,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: he's got walk issues, et cetera. That doesn't always work out,
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: but that's typically on kind of how I approach approach
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: the slate is I'm gonna kind of hone in more
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: on the pitching and more.
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: Willing to eat kind of the safety chalk.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: If you will.
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: That's hence why they're kind of drawing the ownership there.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Makes a lot of sense. We talk about it a lot.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Baseball is one of the most high variant sports, but
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: a lot of that has to do with bats. The
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: best player in the world can go over for any
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: single day. If you bat three hundred, you're Hall of
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Fame or more times than not. So pitching wise, it's
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: a lot easier to project pitching. I mean, it still
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: takes one bad inning. It takes one Dalton bar Show
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: falling in the outfield and instead of catching that ball,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: he doesn't while you're getting an earned run because he
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: didn't touch it, you don't give him the air on that,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: and then your pitcher gets screwed, has to throw fifteen
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: more pitches when it wasn't his fault. Always very that way,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: but definitely a lot of variance in the hitting. So
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: also what you can do. But I like you Sabersim again,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: and Sabersim. Usually any optimizer out there is very expensive.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Right now. There is literally no better time to try
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: it though, usually ninety nine bucks for all excuse me,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: all of our content. Sabersim and the Discord use the
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: code djen seventy five. You can try all that out
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: for the first month for only twenty four bucks, less
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: than a dollar a day. As you can see right here,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: you'll core package. You'll be able to build two hundred
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: and fifty teams see one hundred and fifty and late swap.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: If you do want Sabersim's projections ownership and contest flashback,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: you can see that in the starter package as well.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: If you want to run the SIMS, Sabersim by far
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: the best build five thousand teams also get the contest flashback,
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: projections ownership from sabersim, and be able to see pitch
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: count et cetera projected pitches that is on the Ultimate plan.
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: If you're playing one hundreds of dollars a week, I
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: think you should give it a try. But right now,
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: anyone out there playing any bit of DFS, just twenty
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: four bucks for your first month using the code djen
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: seventy five and then sabersim when you upload your lineup
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: right here. Sabersim takes into consideration how big the contest
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: is you should be building different if it's one hundred
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: man contest versus a ten thousand man contest. When you
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: sort by saberscore, they will automatically have the contest size.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Play around, see what Sabersim's building. But when you're building
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: one team, it's a virtual handbuild. Oh I know today,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: I want Reagan's and Boyd. Okay, I'll lock Reagan's and Boyd.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: See what else is going on with the stacks, et cetera.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: That way, So I'd recommend that you also more education
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: MLB Education video. I definitely recommend checking that out all
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: the other sports as well, if you play them all right, Nates,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: let me refresh the new projections. Let's take the average
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: of ship a nation and Sabersim sort and picture and
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: the only filter I have up here show pictures with
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: the projection greater than eight and a half. If there's
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: anyone per acted less than eight and a half that
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: you want to play today, you can let me know.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I usually don't like playing pitchers projected for eight and
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: a half or less. Last thing before I throw it
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: to you eight king above pitching weather. Always check it
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: right away. Someone mentioned above with the Yankees. So it
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: was orange yellow from again Kevin Roth on Rhoda Grinders.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: It was orange yellow earlier. He updated it is now
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: yellow orange. So I'm seeing that. Let's see we made
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: clear right around game sign. Let us play through light sprinkles.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing this. I'm gonna pretend right now we're all
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: good to play. So we're gonna talk eight games. Pitching's fine,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: hitting's fine, etc. Maybe it will not be. We always update,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: take the MLB chat in discord if stuff changes. But
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: let's pretend that game goes and we could play in
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Nick Povetta if we did want eight Kane above, one
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: guy stands out in a tier of his own coal
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: wagons in terms of projection and ownership. Take it away.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: What else do you like in this top tier?
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so pitching for me, it's ragons, and then kind
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: of you jump off the nearest cliff and it's everybody
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: else and down at the bottom. Realistically, there is a
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: little bit slight injury concern that's going on with the Reagans.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: We saw it in his last start, his last stark
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: I cut short. I don't think there's anything really to
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: worry about. He's single entry, cash three max.
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: He's a lock for me.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: It's just taken because even if he goes out there
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: and gets us four innings on a slate like this
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: where I'll touch on Piveta and Rodin, who are kind
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: of the main pivots. Off of there, there's an extreme
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: hitters up there in Yankee Stadium.
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: It's you got the rain, you got the weather, et cetera.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: I'm sure it's pretty decent overall for hitting in Yankee
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: Stadium is in general, and then you add that with.
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: The extreme hitters ump and the weather concerns.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, one pop up shower can put that game
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: in delay, and both of those two that's two of
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: the top five bullpens in baseball. They're they're very easily
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: fine going bullpen game there. So without no really clear
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: pivots Reagan's I think you just lock him in single
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: try cash three max stuff in MME. Sure, do i
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: want to go one hundred percent? No, I'm not going
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: one hundred percent in the m ME. I'm gonna run
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: sixty in that five dollars tonight. I'll probably be over
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: the field, but not to the nextent where I'm locking
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: him in. I expect him to come in around in
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: MME format right around fifty to sixty percent. So maybe
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: I have slightly over that roughly seventy ish percent and
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: then some I'll have some stacks against him, mini stacks
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: to kind of leverage that in some of my other portfolio.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: But any teams outside of m ME, I mean, you're
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: just playing Reagans realistically, Piveta and Rodon, like I talked about,
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: I'll start with the Rodnan because he's cheaper.
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: Padres already don't strike out.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: I get it.
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Rodin does have high strike at rate stuff. But with
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: the umpire, I mean the umpire's era behind the dish
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: is sitting over a four on average.
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: I mean it's extreme.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: I don't really take umpire factors too much into account
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: until it gets into the extreme category. Like Bill Miller,
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: right for pitchers, they have an extreme hitters up there,
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: so I'm slightly worried about that. With the weather, So
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: for me personally, I'm not even messing with Paveta and
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: Rodan in MM, they might sprinkle in somewhat.
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: I prefer Paveta to Rodan just with the matchup.
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: There's more strikeouts in the Yankees lineup than there is
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: the Padres lineup, So I prefer Pavetta slightly to Rodan
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: if you're going there. But Singletcher's remax stuff I'm not
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: touching either of those guys. Brady Singer is quote unquote
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: probably the I mean pivot if you want to pivot there.
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: He's not going to pick up much ownership. He's gonna
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: be held it pretty in check. We know what this
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: Atlanta team is. There's been a lot of strikeouts that
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: be had. They're starting to hit the baseball better as well.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: Singers look pretty good. I don't mind him at eighty
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: eight hundred, but my favorite sp two in the slate
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: is Matthew Boyd. It's not gonna be contrarian by any means.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: The chalk pairing of tonight in singletur three Max stuff
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: is much like yesterday that we had with Crochet and
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: de Gram. It's gonna be Ragan's at Boyd today in
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: game in Wrigley. Some of the metrics and park factor
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: stuff that I look at there with the current environment
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: that we're gonna expect in Wrigley is a significant, significant
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: downgrade to home runs, which you're kind of really struggled
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: and really worried about there. So I think Matthew boys
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: looks solid. His pitch count should be up over ninety.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: We got him at right around ninety two. Saber has
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: them at and at eighty three hundred, everything kind of
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: checks out for me. The other guys above Ak, Bryce Miller,
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: there's some concerns there with his control and his strikeouts
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: in general. I mean, he's had a bunch of walks
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: in all of his starts. Now he goes out to
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: Oakland in the highest game total of the slate, I
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: don't really want to pay that personally. I think he's
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: fine just due to the slates. I'd be right around
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: the field, maybe slightly over just in MMM stuff. I
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: think he's a fine option. So for me really above Ak,
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: it's Reagans and Boyd. It's not going to be contrarian,
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: but there's times to be contrarian. There's times to kind
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: of just take what the slate's giving you. And I
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: see Reagan's and Boyd as kind of the kind of
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: what's the slate's giving me above eight k personally, with
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: sprinkles of Singer and Miller to round it out.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, by no doubt, Reagan's and Reagan's and Boyd are
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: the chalk. I do think the more the weather if
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: it does clear up and Roth gives it the green
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: light in for the Yankees game, Bavetta is gonna get
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: some ro Don will get some people. They'll eat into
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Reagan's and Boyd a little bit. I definitely like Nick Pavetta.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: I mean he's been so good this year. And the
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: K prop. So we have three people with a K
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: prop of five and a half with juice or better
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: with juice on the over. The best is Reagan six
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: and a half. It's minus one thirty on the over.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Second best is Nick Pavetta six and a half plus
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: one forty on the over, So that'd be five and
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: a half heavy juice on the over if it was
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: one k down. And then the other one is Matthew
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Boyd five and a half minus one sixty on the over.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: The other like Ronelle Blanco's five and a half some
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: juice on the over on the under. Excuse me, Carlos Rodon,
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Actually I take that back. Rodin's five and a half
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: minus one ten on the over. With all that being said,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: I know you xd out Rodin, and I'm good with
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: that right now, but it would clearly be Paveda. Rodin
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: is my pivots, and by far I prefer Paveta to Rodin.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Probably my favorite picture at ownership. If ownership did stay true,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: Like if I knew this was thirteen point seven eight percent,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Paveta would be my favorite picture by far on this slate. Also,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: when we get to bats, like there's enough bats that
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: we can mix and mix and match, but there's also
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I think a couple clear tiers of bats only eight
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: games late, we don't We're not looking at like eighty
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: five degrees across the country in these spots where there's
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: seven teams with the team total above five. As you
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: can see looking here, this Arizona Mets game looks good KC. Seattle.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: And then again you're mixing a match in some mid
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: four's and I like some of those teams. Like I'm
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: not worried about going Boyd Reagan's. I think you can
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: get plenty different at bats, but I don't love going
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Reagan's Boyd. And then like I think five Manning Seattle
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: will be really popular. I don't just necessarily love eating
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: all the chalk today. I think pivot or Pavetta is
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: a very elite pivot. Again, that is, assuming that game
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: does play. Yes, I'm scared of Aaron Judge, for sure,
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: I'm not too worried about the bottom of the lineup,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: though there are some cas that be had so by
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: far Pavetta and yeah, when you were talking about Singer,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: the thing is this k prop's good and he's gonna
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: be super super low four and a half minus one seventy,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: I want to say on the over. Yeah, minus won
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: seventy on the over. That's like the fifth best k
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: prop on the slates. Brady Singer was a solid pitcher
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: for Case for a little while. I don't know, I
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: don't love picking on Atlanta. You liked him a little
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: bit though at six percent. I would keep him in.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: You prefer him over Rodin?
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: You said, right, yeah, so I prefer him kind of
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: straight up over Verdn. To be honest with the with
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: the upside, the if I'm going to that weather game,
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely with you. It's Paveta all day, and if
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: everything's good to go there, I'm still scared by it.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: But I think Paveta is probably the best play in
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: the slate given the ownership.
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: Given the upside the ownership would be if we get
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the green.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: Light, I mean they probably it'll probably still be Reagans
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: as the highest owned guy, but you'll probably see Reagan's
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: come down to about the fortiest range, and Paveta in
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: probably the twenty five ish range.
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: Twenty five to thirty.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: I would say it's it'll come much closer than it
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: is currently because Rodin's gonna pull some of that as well.
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: So between Rodin and Paveta, I would look at roughly
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: fifty percent, probably thirty twenty ish between the two of them,
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: and then Reagan's right around forty ish is kind of
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: what I would look at, and then kind of Boyd
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: would be the next guy. Boyd would probably be in
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: that twenty five ish to thirtiest range. They won't pull
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: much from him. It might be more pulling Reagans down
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: and up up taking.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Pavetta and Rodin.
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: Rodin being the main guy that would get the most steam.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's that's right as well. I would
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: think Pavetta is probably in the twenty five percent mark.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: I still would like them there if we get the
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: green light. Six and a half k prop Again, a
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: lot of juice on the under, but there isn't many
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: good pitchers when you sort by projection on this late
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: like two guys projected for fifteen and a half or more,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: that's not and then look at all this so and
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: again by far the most popular here. One of them
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: have a bad game SPTWO, like people keep saying, is
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: the key to this slate's so let's see. I don't
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: love Bryce Miller by the way too. I probably I
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: would prefer Brady Singer. I would not get too much
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Bryce Miller. And again this is assuming like ten teams
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: or less. I'm not you're playing the five dollars, You're
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: playing sixty teams. I'm pretty much exing nobody to start.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing what Sabersim's thinking, comparing my thoughts with that,
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: and if I have like three percent of a guy
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: who already didn't like, then I keep going xing that
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: way and messing with stuff. But if I'm playing that
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: many teams, I'm not exing anyone out pre build or
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: I am the eight and a half projected and lower,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: those are the guys. IFO I'm exing out, let's go
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: eight Kingen below Again, pretty tough for SP two. I've
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: seen a couple of names throwing out there. AJ Smith.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Someone's asking about is an SP two pivot? Tobias Myers.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: I've seen a couple people talk about the main guy
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: that's standing out. He's is getting ownership is Renel Blanco.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Though I know the Brewers beat the Cubs yesterday. I
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: would even argue they got lucky yesterday. And then Aga
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: pulled his hand me on his way to first base.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: Right after that, bullpen comes in, got right to him,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: scored zero before that. I don't know what's going on
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: with the brew crew. This is the team I am
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: fine picking on right now. Blanco's k prop again pretty
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: solid on this slate, especially for the price five and
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: a half, A lot of juice on the under at
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty, but Blanco by far looks like my favorite.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: Other than that, a couple guys all projected in the
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: same range though, Severino, Raupe, aj Smith, Blanco, Mikolas, any
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: of these guys stand out to you down here? Are
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: you pretty much ate kitin above and you're just hammering
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: the top range?
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: So the issue with Blanco is he's been very, very
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: good against right handed hitters thirty one percent k rate,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: nine percent walk rate, which is a little issue, and
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: pretty much no power sub one hundred iso. But you
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: look at lefties, a sub ten percent k rate, a
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: fifteen percent walk rate in a three or two ISO,
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: and the Brewers are probably going to load their lineup
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: with lefties. They're lefty driven in well with yelich Terrang
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: freyleksas starter Collins will hit from the left side, and
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: then they'll probably add in Jake Bauers will probably get
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: a start here tonight. So I'm expecting at least five
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: lefties for the Brewers, which definitely gives me concern in
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Blanco in general, personally, my favorite SP two in the
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: cheap range is gonna be a j.
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: Schmith Shaver.
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: He's not a great pitcher by any means in my
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: in my.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: Mind, but I just know how often and how wild
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: this Reds team can strike out. When they're striking out,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: they're striking out in a lot right, So with his
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: strike up stuff, he's got about a twenty six percent
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: k rate at home this season in his limited starts
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: the Reds, but right around league average, right around twenty
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: two percent on the road. But they have McLain almost
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: forty percent k rate, Daily Cruz thirty two percent k rate,
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: Gavin Lucks thirty percent k rate, So I think he's
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: fine at seventy five hundred.
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: And I mean again, this is a slate. I'm looking to.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: Get twelve to fifteen out of an SP two because
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: you alluded to it. Right outside of Reagan's, everybody else
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: is sitting around at fifteen fifteen, Mark, I mean, Boyd's
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: sitting at seventeen. But outside of that, I mean you
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: got like eight guys between twelve and fifteen. DraftKings points right.
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of what you're looking at, is who
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: can get me fifteen? And if it's any more than that,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: I mean great, right, that's awesome. So that's kind of
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: where I'm looking at Shava. I think he's good.
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: Toby Myers has pitch count concerns there, but I mean
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: any right handed pitcher that has a pulse against the
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: Astros all see, I'm gonna have some interest in Toby
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: Myers making a start. He's got strikeout stuff, he's his
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: pitch count should be slightly higher. I mean last start
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: was his first start coming off the IR he should
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: have slightly more. And I mean I don't hate him
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: against at fifty seven hundred dollars against a team that
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: strikes out a ton against right handed pitching, if as
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: long as he's smart enough to not throw a meatball
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: down down the middle to Jordan. I mean, I think
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: he can get us enough at fifty seven hundred, so
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: I actually like him.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: Some stuff that I look at is kind of bullish
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: on him. I expect him to write around been ten
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: percent something like that.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: How many pitches do you think because looking at it,
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: so this for Tobias Myers was like eighty two in
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: his last start. Now it's fifty.
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: I would have took the under one hundred percent last start.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: It was his first start, coming off the IR coming
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: off getting surgeon.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I know what you're saying.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: So I expect I mean, I mean I could sixty
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: five seventy pitches.
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: I mean I could see seventy pitches.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: You give them seventy. This projection definitely goes up. So
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Sabers him right here eight point eighty five. If this
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: is seventy pitches, this number is probably like eleven.
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I got the.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: I got four and a half like I.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: Got him projected more around twelve thirteen ish range like
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: twelve and a half ish is where I got him.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: So I think Sabers light on him. I think personally
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: we're a little light on him. I got him, I
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: mean right around twelve to thirteen draftings points, and that's
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: kind of what I'm looking at.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: And I mean it allows me to get up to
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: the Mets. I want to play the Mets. I want
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: to play the d Backs.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: I want to play some of those big hitters in
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: in Casey in Oakland. That allows you to get up
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: there and with a very very shaky sp two on
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: this slate, I mean even Reagans isn't safe. I'm just
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: looking to the guy that can get me what I
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: want right and Toby, he pitched pretty good last year
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: and general I think it's fine. So that's kind of
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: where I'm at. The other guy I will mention is
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Louis Severino.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I was gonna ask you about him. I mean, it's
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: direct leverage off the first or second chalkiest team. K
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: prop is pretty much the same as Bryce Miller, who
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: we excel four and a half minus one ten. Yeah,
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: I mean keep going. I was gonna mention him, and
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: I like it, like it's scary, but looking at ownership
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: and then if Seattle bust, I mean there when we
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: get to hitting there, by far them and Casey looks
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: like by far the chalk, So you get direct leverage
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: if it works. I mean, Hones slate pitching's tough. I
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: was gonna mention that I like it.
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so I like Savvy.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: The reason I like it is I think this ballpark
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: in Sacramento, right where oaklet where the A's are playing,
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: is gonna be big time win driven.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: Personally.
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's still not a great I mean it's
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: not a huge park by any means, but you look
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: at the temperatures tonight out there in Sacramento, sixty degrees one.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: It's starting at nineteen miles an hour, gonna be fifteen
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: to twenty nine hour wins. Blowing kind of in from
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: left field the entire duration of the game, maybe pushing
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit out to right field, but it's more
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: so pushing against the right right follow line right into
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: the bleachers. So that's not great for hitting in general.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: I get it this. This Mariners team is kind of
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: flip flopped in terms of strikeoffs. Last year, we picked
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: on them a ton against right handed pitching. This year
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: their bottom ten in the league in strikeout rate against
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: right handed pitching. But it's direct leverage. Sevarinos look good.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: They're showing the ability let this guy go six seven
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: innings because they know how bad the bullpen is behind him,
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: and I mean I think it's I think it's solid,
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: so I don't mind. And looking at his career numbers
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: against the Seattle team, I don't take into count a
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: ton of this stuff, but I mean he's sitting at
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: a thirty one percent k rate and fifty five played
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: appearances against the current the current roster for Seattle, so
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: I don't hate it again. And I mean I think
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: he can go out there and get us fifteen. So
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: that's kind of what I'm looking for. And I don't
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: think anybody's gon to play him because I ran a
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: dry run in Saber and I got zero of him
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: in one point fifty, So I think it's an interesting,
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: interesting play there.
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: I'm with you, any Micholas, any Ryan Nelson, any Shane Smith,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: I'm not playing him.
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: Any Yeah, so the other guys, I mean, I'm not
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: playing Nelson making his first start. Shane Smith.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: I think he's actually as pitcher, but it's more so
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: just to worry about maybe not as much interest in
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: the Royals bats. I'm not going in to play Shane
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: Smith personally, so for me down here, I mean Micholas,
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: Toby Myers at the bottom. I prefer Tobby much more,
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: but Micholas, he's gonna go right around eighty five to
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: ninety pitches. I would say, not the greatest matchup, but
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: it's still the Pirates at the end of the day.
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: I don't mind being on both sides of that matchup.
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: If you need a guy and you want to get
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: off Toby due to the pitch count concerns, Miles is
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: kind of your guy there at sixty two hundred is
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: my favorite guy down here. Then Severino got those guys
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: kind of one A, one B down here. I'm not
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: really interested in Blanco personally, I don't. I don't love it,
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: especially if the if the lefties for the Brewers are
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: there's five or six of them in there. So for me,
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: it's really the two guys at the bottom and the
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: one guy at the top. In Severino, I liked it.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: So this is kind of the pitching pool that we developed.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: Twenty teams or less, ten teams, fifteen teams right around
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: there wanting to make cuts. But Nad's even said if
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: he was playing three teams or less, he would just
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: lock Reagans and from there. When you do that, you
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: obviously playing three four or five teams. You're not getting
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: every single one of these guys like Toby would be
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: just an mm play. But again this pitch count, like
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: his projection will be much better if Saber projected him
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: at seventy pitches, So where you have him is a
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: big thing. Then Nicholas, and then after that there's no
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: one one k like eleven hundred. It's the next pitcher
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: that we have some interest in. And Nates doesn't even
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: like Blanco. This is me that likes Go a bit,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: and it's mainly because of what our guy Josh said
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: somewhere over here. How bad the brewer. Yeah, wors Iso
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: in the league the past two weeks, But like Nate says,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: they're gonna probably throw a lot of lefties there, but
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: he would be my favorite for that reason. And then
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: seven Reno's interesting for the direct leverage and you can
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: definitely eat a lot of chalky bats play. Reagan's next
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: to it, et cetera. Now, one last thing before we
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: go to the Stone talks and bats. So Kenny said,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: how do you know, like what lineup? It's one you
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: use when you upload, so your top one right here,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: So usually you have to upload your lineups, and then
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: by then when you upload your entries, it can read
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: how many people in your contest, what contest is it,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: all of that, but it'll then be when you sour
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: by saber score, it'll be your top one. So this
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: is saying ten off. You see you can see above
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: ten to fifty thousand people in the contest from high
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: to low. So this would be the preferred lineup that
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: it wants you to play without doing anything, though I
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: would go into stack exposure. I focus on five threes,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: five to two's mainly, et cetera. Like if they gave
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: me a four to two is my top one, I
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: just wouldn't play it. But that is what it's telling you,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: the top right here, when you start by saberscore, this
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: is telling you theoretically, if you're just blindly trusting sabers in,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: that is hot what it's telling you right there.
• 35:19
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, you could change that too.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: So it's like a lot of the single country stuff
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: I would switch it to depending on what the single
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: country is. But a lot of those singleuntry stuff is
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: less than a thousand entrants, so I would go to
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: large slate one hundred down one k A meaning a
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: thousand people. If it's bigger than that, I would jump
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: it up to one thousand to ten thousand, because that's.
• 35:40
  Speaker 3: Where you're taking into account.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: Even if you don't have the ultimate package like title
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: in myself, when we're screen share and have that, at
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: least still gives you an idea, right, they.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: Still get all this stuff. Yeah, the saber score, you
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: guys still and it's it's just the water down version. Essentially.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: Contest sins are every play play by play simulations. This
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: is their best metric. There wasn't there used to not
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: be contest sims. Saberscore was what people use at Sabersim.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: So it's definitely back tested heavily. All right, let's talk
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: some bets. Let's flip over to the Stone, one of
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: the best pieces by far of content. Everything you need
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: in one. Again, we have the Stone for all the
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: sports up here, but for MLB. Oh last thing I
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: did want to mention FanDuel. So FanDuel locks we're not
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: going to talk about on this lay right now, but
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: six forty Eastern FanDuel. So they're playing eight games, just
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: like DraftKings, but they're including the Dodgers and the Marlins
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: and the Guardians and the Nats, and then they're not
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: including the A's and the Mariners and the d Backs
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: and the Mets. So instead of these late night two games,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: they're crossing these off and they're starting the slates twenty
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: five minutes earlier at six forty eastern. So if you
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: are playing FanDuel.
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: Well, FANDU, I think is the two pictures. I mean,
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: only two pitchers in your pool, especially unless you're getting
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: into like one to fifty match twenty max stuff.
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: I mean you're looking at Boyd and looking at Ragan's.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: I mean realistically, you're not getting cute. It's one picture sight.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: And then FANDUO changes a little bit, having the Dodgers
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: in the Guardians being able to play huge lean to
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: the to the Dodgers. And that's kind of my synopsis
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: there of FANDUL because it's taken away the d Backs
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: and the Mets. So I'd put the Dodgers of the
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: top stack O run FanDuel personally.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: There you go talk some bats. Eight games on DraftKings,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: the Yankees and the Padres that started off. Neither team
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: couldn't get much ownership. As you can see, thirty one
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: percent combined for the Yanks thirty two percent for the Padres.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: It is Yankee Stadium, though, place we love to play bats.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: Looking at weather in this one, not great hitting weather,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: only sixty degrees win blowing in a little bit, which
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: is why we see the total there. And two pitchers
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: that if we do get the green light like this,
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: ownership for Pavetta will be doubled. For Rodin, I mean
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: he's gonna probably be in the twenties as well. These
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: pitchers will be played. So, assuming everything's good to go,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: can we get a little leverage off at either of
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: these pitchers?
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I don't love it. They're two of
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: the better pitchers on the slate to pick off. I'm
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: sure one offs, etc. I'm just to be honest, I'm
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: approaching the slate outside of maybe Paveta as this game
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: is just not gonna play. Padres have the best bullpen
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: in baseball. Yankees are sitting about sixth in baseball right now.
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: So I just don't love it personally. Sure, can you
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: play Judge yet? Absolutely can play Judge anytime. I don't
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: care if there's thirty forty mile hour wins blown in.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: Judge has enough power to hit it out of anywhere,
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: especially Yankee Stadium. Gold Schmid, the dude just red hot
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: at the plate, never strikes out, always puts the ball
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: in play.
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: Grisham just murders right hand and pitching.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: But I just don't think, especially at these salaries, that
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go here on the padres side. I don't
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: want to pick on Rodin. I mean, for bats, this
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: is a cross off spot. Fifty degrees temperature in the fifties,
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: double digit wind blown in kind of the entire duration,
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: plus shitty weather. I mean, the players can't be despite
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: the matchup right where they would typically be looking forward
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: to it, there's enough games ahead of them and the
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: rest of the series that they're probably not two enthused
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: to go out there and play in fifty degrees in
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: raining throughout the entire duration of the game.
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: So I don't love that personally.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't love it either. You can check out
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: like the pitcher rankings right here as well. Rodin and
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: Nick Pavetta do grade out really well, So pavettam I
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: prefer play if you're doing anything. I mean, the Yankees
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: don't grade out poorly by any means in the stack rankings. Obviously,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: one of the best offenses in baseball, So if you
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: want a mini or something, Pavetta gets some steam. I
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: don't think it's the craziest. Definitely not good hitter rankings
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: on the pod race side, I would ignore that, so Paveta.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: I do have interest in Rodon I think is a
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: solid pivot in that range as well. But I do
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: think if you're playing like sixty teams like Naids, I
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: would definitely have a couple of Yankees. Not necessarily has
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: to be fives, but two three men, and of course
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: you can always play some one offs. They got power,
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: a pop fly to left field, can sneak over the
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: fence right field, et cetera. In this park, so little interest,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: not much. Another two pitchers that great out well in
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: the pitcher rankings that you might not expect, Brady Singer
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: number five, A J. Smith Shau for number seven. We're
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: looking at eight and a half total in this one.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: The last one was seven and a half. Little juice
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: on the over at minus one twelve Braves minus one
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: thirty five favorites, look at their ownership very low with
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: a solid team total. Again, I had some interest in Singer,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: but I mean, if the Braves are completely unknown that
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: you do want to eat Reagan's and boy chalk, Are
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: the Braves a team that you were fine five manning?
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind. I prefer the brave side of
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: this game for sure. Start with the lefties, Olsen, Verdugo,
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: Albi's Harris. You kind of want the lefties mainly against Singer.
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: But the Reds bullpen, I mean, they ranked pretty good,
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: but right now they're kind of towards the top half
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: of the board in terms of bullpen rankings throughout the
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: course of the season. But I just really don't think
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: the Red's bullpen is that great. In particular, Braves, they're
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: fine as the leverage stack. All these guys are gonna
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: be unowned. I prefer more as a mini stack, just
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: historically with his Braves team, because they do have definitely holes.
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: I will say Eli White has been absolutely ripping the
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: cover off the baseball. He's got stolen base upside as well,
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: So I like, I think Eli White's interrusting down there
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: at thirty two hundred in the outfield, and then you
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: can you can add in Michael Harris and do a
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: little wrap around like a Michael Harris. Eli White, Verdugo
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: is gonna be absolutely unknown, doesn't break the bank. And
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: then obviously Riley Ozuna, Olsen Murphy are are great plays
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: anytime they're on the slate.
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: Regardless of the pitcher. For the most part, as you
• 41:39
  Speaker 3: can see there by, the ISO numbers tons of power.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: So I don't hate the brave side of this game.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: On the red side, Shaver can get wild at times
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: with control, and if you give these Reds free passes,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: they issue that the Reds have is their strikeouts, right,
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: So if they're getting free passes, they're they led the
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: majors I believe last year. And stolen bases, so I
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: don't hate some of the Some of the Reds I
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: perform more as mini stacks, so I actually have interest
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: in somewhat of the Red stacks more just.
• 42:08
  Speaker 3: Picking on you can steal bases on Shava. I know
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: it's a limited sample size.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed for stolen bases in kind of the
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: last two seasons from what we have, but stolen based
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: per innings pitch numbers are towards the top of the
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: board on the slate actually the best to pick on
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: in terms of stolen base per innings pitch and that's
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: what the Reds like to do, so you don't need
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: the baseball to go over the wall with the Reds
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: with how much they run, so stolen based guy's there
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: for the Reds that you're looking at Ellie obviously, Spencer
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: Steer if he's in there, Frehley, Friedo, Marte spin All,
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Gavin Lux will run a little bit. Those are kind
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: of the main guys you're looking at there that has
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: some stolen based upside.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: It's got to be one of the better hitting environments
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: on the slate too. I mean, not necessarily like that.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: It's like deep in summer Truest Park eighty five degrees.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: It's not necessarily that. But the slate in general for
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: hitting weather isn't great across the country, slight, wind blown
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: out temperatures in the mid sixties. It's a he said,
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: decent hitting park in general.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean the power guys for sure, and
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: then adding some stone base upside on the Red side
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: I think is a pretty interesting game. You notice by
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: the total, one of the bigger totals on the board,
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: so I don't hate it for sure.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Third Vegas, I mean it's close to the second
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: with Mariner's a's eight and a half it has just
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: says a little more juice on the over looking at ownership.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, the more I look at it, like this
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: is a spot that Brave Side, I'm fine with some
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: singer at pretty low ownership. I like the Braves though
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: in chalkier teams with chalking and pitching, Shaffer is gonna
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: get ownership as SV two a little bit as well,
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: So if you want a little red minis like you're saying,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I like this game for bets. The more I thought
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: about it, Brave Side definitely the five Man's prefur the Lefties,
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: no doubt about that. But I mean Riley went deep
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday twice, so Zoom has always got pop and you
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: mentioned Eli, White, Harris all these obviously, I mean, yeah,
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: I like this lineup. The more I kept talking about it,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: I did want to say that go collect very fair.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: I have not asked one, so I guess partly on me.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: But if you're out there to us one second. But
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: if you're on your phone and you're watching on the side,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: hit the script full screen, the thumbs up and the
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: subscribe right there. If you're on the computer, you're probably
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: staring at it right now. Helps us out a ton
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: bring you shows for free on this channel every single day.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: So like bun subscribe button does help us out a ton,
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: think you go collect for making my job easier. Next
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: game on the Slates, Nay's new favorite team. Actually I
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: did want to bring up this too. Who's got more
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: fires stash? Hammered DAIDs. Both are nice. I can't grow
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: anything for shit, both of them, grown ass men that
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: can grow. Nad's is nice, but I will say Hams
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: is real, real puffy and really out there.
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: Has definitely this is the first time I actually gave
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: her a go. Ham's definitely got the years of experience.
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: I'll side with Ham, but I'll take I'll take night
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: not being in the sheets at seven thirty at night,
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: going to bed overgrown a nice stash there. It's a
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: little jabbing with boy Ham. But yeah, I gotta.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Say I'm with Ham. I'm in the sheets probably thirty
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: minutes after after that, very early over here on the
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: mountain time. But yeah, shout out Ham. Absolutely the man
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: can definitely grow a nice stash and Nads can as well.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: But back to this, Naid it's probably the chalkiest team
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: on the slates, the team that got you four figures
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: yesterday at Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Looking at a seven and a half total, some juice
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the over at minus one twelve
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: Royals big favorites minus two twenty five. Obviously, Reagan's number
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: one of the picture rankings going to be very chalky.
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: So is there any White Sox bats we can pick off?
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Royal side? You mentioned a little pre show you didn't
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: love it as much. If you're playing them, are you
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: fine playing Reagan's boyd? If you're playing them, how would
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: you play them? Are you playing them at all?
• 45:59
  Speaker 3: Yeah? So I'll start with the Royal side.
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is the best spot on the slate
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: in terms of stacks, but it is only a seven
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: and a half total. Shane Smith is like the best
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: pitcher that Chicago does have. I mean he has the
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: most talent. He's actually an okay pitcher. I mean he's
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: not gonna blow up get a ton of swing and misses.
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: I mean he's sitting about a twenty one percent k rate,
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: but he limits hard contact hitters. In one hundred and
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: eleven played appearances over the last thirty days, hitting for
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: a point oh eight two Iso Casey struggles to hit
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: home runs in general, obviously outside of last night, but
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: it's completely different weather here tonight as well compared to
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: last night, wins kind of blown across the field. Temperatures
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: are are decent right, kind of upper sixties, so it's
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: not the worst.
• 46:47
  Speaker 3: It's still a good park in general.
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: You're more so plain for the bullpen and then they
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: can play the platoons and the splits in that. So
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: I'm much less interested in the Royals here tonight because
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: I do also think they're gonna get much more steam.
• 47:00
  Speaker 3: I mean, recentcy bias is massive.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: We saw the Astros earlier, like two weeks ago or
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: whatever go off I think on a Sunday, right, and
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: we came back the next slate and the Astros were
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: like fifty just because we're blind, blindly on regardless of
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: matchups or anything, facing a right handed pitcher like it
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: was just it was ridiculous. So recently bias I think
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: are going to steam the Royals in general. It is
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: a pretty bad bullpen behind Jane Smith.
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: In general. I mean I would start with the the lefties.
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: Vinny p.
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: Drew Waters, my boy absolutely legends. So I like the lefties,
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: and then obviously add in Bobby Witt Perez. Any Royal
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: stack I would probably include Bobby Witt.
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: It's just hard to.
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: Hard to assume the Royals are going to smash without
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: Bobby Witt doing something hitting in kind of the two
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: spot there in the heart of that order. India is
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: on fire. Mikel Garcia, I will talk about him. Aton
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: reason I was so high on him yesterday is because
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: the stolen base upside. The dude's second on the team
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: and stolen bases behind Bobby Wit. Bobby wits one of
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: the best stolden based guys in the league. Obviously mckel
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Garcia is right there with him on this team, so
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: there's naturally baked in upside there.
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: He's got some power, and it's at a week third
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: base position.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: So Royals for sure great options. But just know you
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: go in there and you play the Royals and the
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: and the Mariners. Mariners minis with Royals five man's because
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: of how cheap they are, and you play you play
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: a Matthew Boyd and the Reagans, well you're holding hands
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: with everybody else. So when I play Royals, I'm probably
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: more likely to go to like a Paveta right, pivot
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: off of Reagans and not stack the Royals with Reagans
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: or pivot my or or maybe I go with Matthew
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: Boyd in a cheap pitcher and then go five Royals
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: and go like three maew.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Eli White Michael Harris like you just talked about or.
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: Something like that, correct something like that, and then go
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: to spend up arms and go like a maybe I
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: can get Aragon's in Paveta with five Royals and then
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: like the back half of the Braves or something like that.
• 48:54
  Speaker 3: Just different roster constructions.
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: When you're playing the Royals, it's clear cut the best
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: spot in the slate projection, they're going to slam it
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: as the best spot in the slate. The dry run
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: gave me when I when I look at stack exposure
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: right in terms of team stacks and five man stacks,
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: starting by projected score, it's twenty seven percent Royal stacks
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: and then twenty seven percent Seattle stacks, So it's basically
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: splitting forty lineups each in one fifty sets between the
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: two of them. When I go overall stacks, it's sixty
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: percent of the lineups with with a higher lean to
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: Seattle because of more of the mini stacks due to
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: the price point. So those are two of the chalky
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: spots in the slate. Royals is a big talking point.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not really worried about the platoon guys and the
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: splits because you're more so when you're stacking the Royals.
• 49:38
  Speaker 3: It's a bad bullpen behind him.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: I think if the Royals do a ton of damage,
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: it's likely more so against the bullpen than it is
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: Shane Smith, you got to pick pick holes in point
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: holes at what kind of slates showing you? And I
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: just a little bit worried on the Royals today because
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: I suspect leading up the lock their ownership. Especially if
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: we get the green light right and we have two
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: more spind up pitchers that people are gonna want to play,
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: you can five man stack this Royals because outside of
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: Bobby Wit, everybody on this lineup is three k r
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: under for the most part. That that phil weak positions
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: like Nassy right at second base. Mi cal Garcia is
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: up four k. You got very cheap outfielders, a cheap
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: catcher in there with Freddy for meen, So I just
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: worried about how much they get steemed on the white
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: Sox side mm me only mini stacks only. I would
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: cap it at three man stacks. But guys like Chase
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: Meadroth at a weak position, gonna put the ball in play,
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: play him at second base twenty seven hundred, he's fine.
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: Andrew Vaughan, I guess, Luis Robert, I mean.
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: It's pretty gross. Ben and Tenn He's been swinging a
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: decent bat this year. But lefty, lefty, I mean it's
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: really M and me only, and even then I don't
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: love it. It's more so leveraging Reagans with some some
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: white Sox minis or one offs.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean we just looked at so obviously if
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: you add up all the ownership, fifteen percent for the socks,
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: not even double. We just talked about the Braves like
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: we actually like the Braves a little bit. I know,
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: the direct leverage, et cetera. It's an eight game slate.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: I think there's enough ways to get different. I'd rather
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: play a J. Smith, Shaver and Nick Pavetta together and
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: fade Boyd and Reagan's. Then I would probably play three
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: white socks on my squad, So I think that part's easy. Royals.
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: I have Royals three we're gonna get to that Mets
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: Dbacks game. I really like that when talking ownership compared.
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: But I do prefer Royals to Seattle if having to pick,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: And those are the two chalkists on the slate. What
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: do you how do you see Royals in Seattle when comparing.
• 51:37
  Speaker 3: The tale I'm definitely way. I mean, I'm with you there.
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: My favorite offense is the game we're gonna talk about
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: in Chase Field, both sides of that game.
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: But Royals checking number three for me as.
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: Well, and Seattle, to be honest at their ownership, I
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: think that's definitely a sell spot on me personally for me, especially.
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: At the ownership. I mean, I would much rather prefer
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: the Royals.
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: And again I say it all the time, Drew Waters
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: yesterday was two percent owned. I mean the back half
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: of this lineup, Drew Water has actually been playing good
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: for Freddy Furman. When you most guys are gonna play
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: Salvy Perez right punting and going to the back half
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: of that's a lot of lineup with Cole Osbell.
• 52:13
  Speaker 3: Who hey, this dude's been hitting home runs somehow.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: I mean twenty four hundred and twenty three hundred play
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: those guys at the back half and then grabbing the
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: top guys don't go in and play one through five.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: I would make sure to include at least one of
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: the seven eight to nine hitters in my royal stacks,
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: and naturally you're going to be more unique than than
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: guys that don't.
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: Create that rule or actually pay attention to it.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: So in handbuilds it's a little bit easier, but I
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: wouldn't be opposed to doing it in an optimizer. Creating
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: a rule to include at least one of Water's furman
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: is bell and in five man royal stacks, because naturally
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: you're just gonna be different.
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Makes a lot of sense. I think I'd be more
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: inclined to do that in a forty five dollars flag
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: shit than the one twenty one with four fifty people. Like,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day, you just got to
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: make like a pivot in two spots where they're in
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: like four spots out of forty thousand people. Pretty hard
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: to do first place out of four hundred. Still hard,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: but not nearly nearly as hard. So what you're playing
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: think about stuff like that as well. All right, next game,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: Brewers and the astros, we talked about Tobias Myers and
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Renel Blanco a little bit eight and a half total
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: some juice on the under at minus one fifteen Brewers
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: minus one eighteen favorites. You prefer lefties for sure when
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: targeting Blanco. You prefer lefties a little bit too, especially
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: on the k stuff. Meyers a lot more strikeouts on
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: the right side of the plate against the left. We'll say,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: though the Astros projected lineup only one lefty in there.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: That is your Dong. I mean, yeah, your dong probably
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: does go deep today. Don't hate him as a one
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: off at all. The price take on FanDuel has been
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: absolutely silly all year. He's been thirty two hundred pretty
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: much every single year. He's been in the cash corps
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: almost every single day. Just too cheap, more appropriately priced
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: on DK. I definitely like it as a one off
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: a mini stack. Astros are great out well in the
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: hitter rankings. I don't know if they can get to
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Toby early. You're not going to get the best brewers'
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: bullpen arms guaranteed ninth in the get bats. I assume
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: the roof will be closed at Antham. But if I
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: had to pick a side, I would definitely be Stros
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: over Brewers. I know Blanco struggles with lefties. I got
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: to see these Brewers hit anything. It's been bad as
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: of late, but there's definitely better games on the slate
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: as you can see. That's why ownership. I mean, man,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: it's a little higher than I expected. But yeah, Stro
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: side for me, if I had to pick, what about you?
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: So yeah, so there's no yord On in the lineup yesterday,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: get hurt? Yeah yeah, So well then this lineups garbage.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: I don't want. I don't want these.
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: Guys, so it's pain is leading off Altuve, Parades, Walker, Diez, Denzo, Myers,
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: Smith and Duban. So I mean I'm full fading the Astros.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: It makes me like Toby even more, even with the
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: pitch count concerns. I mean, you take their best bat
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: out of the lineup and add in more strikeout happy bats.
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: I'm happy to play a fifty seven hundred OUR pitcher
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: on this slate. No Astros for me on the Brewers side,
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: lefties in particular, but even then, I mean, Blanco has
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: control issues. Double digital walk rate when you look at
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: last season, obviously that's driven heavily this year and when
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: you look at this season numbers by the lefties, I'm
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: sitting above right around fifteen percent. Walk rate to lefties
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: sixteen percent. When you look at full season last year,
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: he was about ten percent to both sides of the plate. Though,
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: Brewers are a patient offense, right They're not hitting for
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: a ton of power, but what do they have? They
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: do have speed. It'd be nice to see them actually
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: use their speed for once this season. But I think
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: things can go south. Not just because I'm a Brewers
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: fan in general. I'm just looking at the slate. Brewers
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: are going to be unowned mini stacks. I don't want
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: a five man stack them, but offense on this slate.
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I mean outside of the Seattle and Royals,
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: I mean everybody else is pretty similar in terms of ownership,
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: and nobody really knows what to do besides those two spots.
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: I've played this game long enough for multiple years. I
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: know when the slates seems to be that easy, that's
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: typically not the case. So I don't mind a team
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: that does have upside In my eyes in the Brewers,
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: I would look at the lefties, train and Yellich staples
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: in your stacks, but I expect Bowers to be in there.
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: Collins is gonna hit from the left side, and then
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: you got some low strikeout bats from the righties, guys
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: like Cherio. All right, Contreres doesn't strike out against righty's. Overall,
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: this team sitting on the season nineteen percent k rate
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: against righty's and double digital walk rate. All of these
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: guys on the team, outside of Durban and Cherio have
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: walk rates in north pushing fifteen percent, which is good
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: for hitters, so their patient offense, I think things can
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: go bad for blocoing. That's enough for me to consider
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: this Brewis team as a stack. Probably not main team category,
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: but in M and me, I'm definitely gonna be over
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: on Brewers stacks.
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: I'll tell you that for sure.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: I ain't gonna argue that so right, I just was
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: self fluster with the astro so the alrightyes, all nine
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: of them. If Toby Myers can throw seven five pitches
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: today at five point seven K I like that a lot.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: The more I keep looking at Toby, the more I
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: like it. It's what is what's his pitch count? That's
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: pretty much what you're guessing at what you're hoping to get, right,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: But I mean he's fifty seven hundred.
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: I'll take the chance. Look at how many of these
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: hitters on the slate. I mean, the entire Cubs roster
• 57:19
  Speaker 3: basically is more expensive than him, right, and.
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: He's got guys at the back half that are thirty
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: percent k raid or higher against right hand pitching, guys
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: like Denzel Right, Christian Walker, who is brutal, Diaz.
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: All these guys have been struggling.
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: Brendan Rodgers forty pushing forty percent k rate on the
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: road this year against righties. He's got good strike up stuff,
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: and I think again it's the second start if there.
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: If he's pitching solid, I mean our bullpen has been
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: beat up all year, I don't see it. So I mean,
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: if he can get me seventy seventy five pitches against
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: this lineup, I like it a lot.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I definitely like it, obviously. I mean, no, Jordong
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: is an absolute massive hit for that lineup.
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: I missed that. I missed that too. That just shows
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: you how little I've played the Astros. I haven't played
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: the Astros at all all year. So well, even yourdon
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, people always chase Jordon, I just any any
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: pitcher with a pulse, and any organization with a pulse
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: this year, he's gonna pitch around Jordon, right, So if
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: you want to go in there and play Jordon at
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: fifty three hundred and get you two walks and maybe
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: one guy is stupid enough to throw him a pitch
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: and he hits it out, I mean sure, but more
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: times than not, he's not gonna be I like other
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: guys upside more personally.
• 58:22
  Speaker 3: So that's kind of why I haven't really noticed.
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: He was on the IL and this he has been
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: out since Friday. I played Friday, and I.
• 58:29
  Speaker 3: Played yesterday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. I didn't even notice
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: because I don't. I mean, I click on the slate
• 58:35
  Speaker 3: look at the astros, and I'm more so worried about
• 58:37
  Speaker 3: the who I'm going to pitch against that head lineup
• 58:40
  Speaker 3: than play the hitters.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, losing Kyle Tucker right in front of Yordong definitely,
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: or right after Yordoon definitely did not help him at all.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: But let's get to the Cubs and the Giants. You
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: mentioned pretty good pitching weather in Wrigley, some wind blowing in.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: We are looking at a seven and a half total
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: juice on the under at minus one twenty five minus
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: seventy five favorites. Are the Cubs definitely not playing the Giants.
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: I'm in on Matthew Boyd now with the Cubs. When
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: iever I see the Cubs this low owned, this lineup
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: is just too good to be this low owned. They
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: got zero yesterday, Brewer shut them out, but man, two
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: games right before that, they put up a crooked number
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: had eight in the second inning. I brother said, he
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: showed up and he left literally in the second inning
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: to that game. The prices are expensive, but again you
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: can go Toby with Cole Wagans and five man the
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: Cubs and be totally fine. At this ownership. The Cubs
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: are number four, right behind the Royals. For me, I'm
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: in on the Cubs. The line that's just so good.
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: Anytime they're this owned, this low owned, I should say
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: I have interest What are you doing with the Cubs?
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: I definitely don't have interests in the Giants, but take
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: it away.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: So the Cubs, right, Cubs are in a stack category
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: every night in today's state of the game, especially when
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: they're going to be unowned.
• 59:58
  Speaker 3: Do I love it? Absolutely not?
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: I mean what I look at multiple sites for weather,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: temperatures in the fifties, wind blown straight in. I mean
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: I got it as negative thirty percent or higher boosts
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: or decrease for runs and even higher than that for
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: home runs. Is that everything? No, absolutely not. It's only
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: the other thing too. I mean, I don't love landa
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: Root by any means. He's pitching over his head and
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: he's kind of regressing. But the Giants bullpen is second
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: in baseball, behind the Padres right behind right behind him,
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: So if things go bad, they're gonna throw it right
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: to the bullpen.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 3: Then I don't ever love it.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: I think Cubs are probably fifth or sixth on the
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: slate for me, and I prefer more as mini stacks,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: especially at these salaries. And then when you factor in
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: the bullpen and the weather, that's kind of two strikes
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: two strikes against them to lower them. But me, I mean,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: you're never gonna go wrong, at least for the time being,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: to get overweight on Cub stacks. Because even earlier in
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: the year, right that was like thirty degrees and snowing
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: in Wrigley, the Cubs went off for like fifteen runs,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: So they can do it. I just play game of probabilities.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: I just think they're probabilities of having another team I'll
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: score them is significantly higher. But again, they're all gonna
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: be unowned, and it's not gonna take much to get overweight.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: So in my sixty in the five dollars, I'll probably
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: have overweight on cup stacks just naturally because that's just
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: the way I play, and it's not gonna take much
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: to get over I mean, if you have ten percent
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: cup stacks, your way over the field and you still
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: don't have to go crazy with it.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean just say the wind was boiling out
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: and it was nice. I mean that's a five point six.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: And like the weather is always baked into this as well,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: so it totally makes usually a home run, Like that's
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: just getting over the fence now is a warning track
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: fly ball, and that definitely stings. But again, ownership run
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: total all that's accounted for with that weather. That's the
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: game on the slates, Saint Louis Cardinals Pittsburgh player. It's
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: looking at an eight and a half total minus one
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: fifteen on the under. Looking at the pitcher rankings here,
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: either greats out too well. You mentioned earlier, Mikolas is
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: someone you can play for very cheap, but also stack
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: against a little bit the Cardinals. I know, gee Rysen
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: always hates on the Cardinals, but ownership in check run
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: total fine. I don't know what are you doing this?
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: This seems like a sneaky game. I could get some
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: offense in that that not many are in chalk your teams.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this game both sides. I think the
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: I wrote it in the slate plan. I put the
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: Pirates in there because they're literally I mean number one
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: Cardinals bullpen is just absolutely horrendous. Behind Miklis, who I
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: don't think is very good by any means. He's not
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: gonna go out there strike out a ton of guys.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's a blow average strike on arm. He
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: doesn't allow a ton of power. But again, I mean
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: O'Neil Cruz, Brian Reynolds, McCutcheon, Valdez. I mean, I think
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: a lot of these guys you can definitely play. I
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: like the Pirates quite a bit here tonight, actually, and
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 3: Think many people are gonna play him. I don't think
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: it's in twenty two. I was gonna be Tellton the.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Pirates on on an MLB show, but just the nature.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: If this was a bigger slate with better hitting environments
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: across the board, I would have zero interest in the Pirates.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: But again, when I mean teams like the Mariners are
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: gonna be mega mega chalk just because of the slate,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: I mean I think the Pirates are fine.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 3: Personally.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: I prefer McCutcheon, O'Neal, Cruz, Brian Reynolds. Reynolds and Cruise
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: are by far the two best bats. Don't sleep on
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: Valdez right at thirty three hundred, hit and fifth play
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: first base.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 3: That's a cheap price point there.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: And then you guys got guys like Adam Fraser at
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: the back half that you can play that just put
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: the ball in play at a week second base position.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: So I actually like the Pirates. And then on the
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: Cardinals side, I don't mind them either. I mean I
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: like both sides of this game. Large new bar By
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: far my favorite bat, and then uh probably Nolan Gorman
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: at thirty four hundred.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 3: They're just a power guy second base, third base.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: To the worst positions on the board for players wise,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: especially at tonight's slate. So I like both sides. I
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: prefer the Pirates slightly more. I think in tournaments. But
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: the Cardinals are dirt cheap as well, and I think
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: at similar salaries, that's your pivot off of the Royals
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: at I mean, because their salaries are pretty much equal,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: even at the top end.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 3: So I don't hate it prefer the Pirates side more.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: Cardinals are interesting as well, just because Cardinals bullpen is
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: assd So that's why I give.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 3: The slight and lean to the Pirates side.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Makes a lot of sense, and I always like when
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: it's really close from here. For me, the guaranteed ninth
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: inning at bats always go a long way. Even though
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: they got nine up. You can easily get a couple
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: more in the ninth where you lose that at bats
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: as the home team if you are winning all right,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: next game two games left. This one has the highest
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: total on the slate d Backs, and that's nine and
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: a half. Little juice on the other at minus one
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: twelve minus one twenty favorites are the d Backs. My
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: two favorite stacks. I go one d Becks two Mets
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: and Corby and Carroll is my favorite beat on the slates.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: It's not even close. I mean, the dude is just
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: next level power speed combo at the top of this order,
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: Griffin Canning is not good by any means to right
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: E's to left these below average and strikeouts. Ryan Nelson
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: isn't good against really either anyway, lefties a little better
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: than righty's. But you can stack these guys one through
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: nine on both sides. I think what I like, Like,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: I'm always fine playing Alec Thomas, Gabriel Moreno Suarez one
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: through nine of the d Becks. I like it the Mets.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I'm fine playing a Kunya at a
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: second base week second base position. Same thing with Jeff McNeil.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: He'd be my least favorite. If I had to pick.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: Francisco has got power, nim like, you can play these
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: guys one through nine, and that's outside of one through
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: three are not expensive. D Becks outside of one, Marte
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: and Carrol not expensive. So yeah, I mean it's all
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: in on this game. Looking at ownership, I mean this
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: has to come up a little bit, especially on the
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: D back side maybe, but regardless, people are gonna go
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: Mari Nerds, people are gonna go Royals, So yeah, d
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Back's my favorite. MAT's number two. What do you got?
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm with you, lockstep d BAC's my favorite
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: stack on the slate by far.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: They're starting to.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: Hit the ball as well. They hit well yesterday. It
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: was good hitting weather there in Philly. The roof's gonna
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: be open here tonight. Best hitting weather by far on
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: the slates. Have to assume it's pretty warm. You obviously
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: live out there.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: Chili compared to what it usually is, but relative to
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: everywhere else in the country. It was raining. It just
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: sunning up and getting good hit and hitting weather. So yeah,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: it'll it'll be a beautiful day.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, compared to the slates, this is some of the
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: best hitting environment on the slates, not necessarily for home runs,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 3: but just runs in general overall. And I mean I
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: like it a lot.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: I'd focus on the fly ball guys to start for
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: the d Backs against the Mets.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: What you're looking at.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: Suarez, Corbyn, Carrol Perdomo, Marte Girriel. Obviously they have stolen
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: base upside as well in there with guys like Carol
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: and Perdomo. So I really really like the rap around stack.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, you got my boy, my hero Alec Thomas
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: projected in there. I don't know if he's gonna be
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: in there Moreno as a cheap catcher that can hit
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: the ball in the air. I love this entire lineup
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: one through nine again Folcus on those flyball guys, and
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: then on the Mets side, you want the lefties first,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: lind Or Soto, two of the best players in the slate,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: Jesse Winker All you BVP guys out there, if you
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: want to look it up, Winkers destroyed Nelson two. I
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: always love to throw that tidbit out there because BVP
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: is always a love hate relationship in the in the
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: baseball space, whether you believe in it or not.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Always like to hear it. Yeah, though I'm on the
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: side if I don't look at it too much.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'd always like to hear it. It's not
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: a decision making point for me. But I just always
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: look at it, just because I mean looking at it.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: He's three for eight, two home runs, three seventy five average. Actually,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: this entire Mets team is just destroyed Nelson, in particular,
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: when I look at the entire roster overall against Nelson,
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: Nelson's got a fifteen p K rate, slugging of six
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: sixty four in an expected batting average of three to
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: eleven against this Mets roster. So I love both sides
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: of this game. Prefer the d Backs side because I
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna be lower own than the Mets. Start
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: with the lefties for the Mets, but I would definitely
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: definitely include Peede Alonso in your stack as a staple.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, the dude's hitting the cover off the baseball
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: right now, fifty seven hundred, He's gonna be pretty unknown
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: the left He's is gonna soak up most of the ownership.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: And then guys at the back half like a Kunya
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: who has stolen based upside as well at second base
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: week position in general puts the ball in play. I
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: love this game. Definitely a game stack viable. Highest total
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: on the board, Vegas has just pick them, and uh yeah,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: I think it's a great spot.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing the d Backs lineup is out. I'm not
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: seeing the Mets because someone said winkers out. Oh yeah,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: you're done with now. I'm seeing you're done an hour,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: go one to the io. I'm not seeing the Mets
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: lineup out. Someone said winkers out very well or maybe
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: got hurt yesterday. That's what they're saying. Because I'm looking
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: at somewhere else. That he's not in the projected lineup.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, yeah, I mean if he's out.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: Regardless someone the projected lineup, I'm looking as Tyrone Taylor
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: and there at the bottom.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't like.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: But still, I mean the Mets are still great in
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: terms of bullpens. Let me just look real quick.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Back d Becks have the same lineup by the way,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: well like Suarez is hitting fifth Moreno. Six, Gary El seven,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: but the same projective of the nine we have are
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: the same in there. But yeah, it's Winkers not going
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: to be in the lineup. The official lineup's not out yet,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: but he must be on the io.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 3: So the Mets have the better matchup in terms of
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 3: bullpens and the uncertainty of Nelson and how good they've
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: hit Nelson. So slight lean to the Mats. That's going
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 3: to be the Chalker side. But again, ownership is not
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 3: gonna matter in general, at least rejected wise in either
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 3: of these teams. For the most part. Again, the Chalk
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 3: is Seattle and Kansas City.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: The Optimizer dry run showed you that, I mean, one
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: hundred and one hundred and fifty percent of the total
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: Stack ownership was soaked up between those two teams, so
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: Matt's definitely have the better matchup in general, guaranteed nine
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: at bats. Looking at Arizona pen, four point five e
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: r a one point three to one whip, which is
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: not great. Eighth worst bullpen in baseball as it ranks
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: right now. Matts do have a good bullpen in general,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: but still three point three point oh seven e r
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: a one point one seven.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 3: Whip, which is still above the league average. There So
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 3: love this game in general.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: McNeil or Marte from our from our guy Philly Phantom. Also,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: I gotta, I gotta get this the il thing figured
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: out on the stone. It's gonna drive me nuts all year.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, i'd lean to McNeil just because you can play
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: them at second base, and second base sucks.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 3: In general, and I lean to the lefties, So give me,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 3: give me a McNeil.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he was on it seventeen hours ago. I mean
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: the jord On I can he was put on an
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: hour ago. I didn't expect that to be updated. But
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: all right, we're gonna get that figured out. Moving forward.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: There's a million things going like I play, I'm a NBA,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: I play I'm in man, I play PGA. There's MLB
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: Like I had all the notifications, but by no means
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: am I a baseball savant that knows every single thing
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: about every single guy. So I'm not gonna pretend I
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: do all right. Last game of the Slates, appreciate everyone
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: hanging out to get like Bun subscribe, but helped us
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: out A ton Oakland Athletics Seattle Mariners eight and a
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: half total minus one eighteen on the over minus one
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: fifteen are the Mariners in this one. Severino, Bryce Miller
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: on the mound, we talked about it's huge, huge ownership
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: going to the Mariners. I mean they're very cheap. Only
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: one bad above five. K cal Raley absolutely been out
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: of this world. Bottom of the order isn't too scary
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: for me. And we talked about sever Reno like I
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: like a little bit of Severino, mainly for the direct leverage.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: Kprop was fine. You mentioned the weather and the wind
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: earlier that you don't think it's great hitting weather by
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: any means. A's I don't know what about them. They're
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: low other side of the chalky spot. Pricing very fair,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: They're low owned. We don't have Terse and Bryce Miller
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: much yeah, I'm curious to hear your thoughts on the A's.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: I like the A's more than Mariners. That ownership for sure.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I don't like the Mariners at all, looking
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: at the slate, looking at some stuff that I look
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: at in terms of ballpark pale, and that sevar Reino's
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: got the second best prop on the slate to earn
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: a quality start. So that also increased my interest. Right
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: when we were talking about pitching and the leverage built
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: in there. The guys I would focus on if you're
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: playing the Mariners as the lefties, Polanco cal Raleigh being
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: the main two. If you're stacking the Mariners, do not
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: leave those two guys out of your stack. Those are
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: the two best plays from the Mariners. Rowley tells at
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: twenty four hundred as a pont the dude's been absolutely crushing.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened to him this year, and
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: he's still dirt cheap. So I would focus on the lefties.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: I hate JP Crawford, but he hits from the left side,
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: so if you want to throw him in, and then
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: rookie Ryland Thomas, if he's in there, it is a
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: solid bat.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: I'd focus on the lefties, I don't love it. I'm
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 3: fading the Mariners.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: Personally, I'll be underweight in them and me I'm not
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: full fading them because I'm probably gonna play majority almost
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: everyone in terms of stacks in my me set, but
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: in single entry three max, I'm fading the Mariners actually,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: like sever Reino. On the athletics side, uh, the lefties, Butler, Soderstrom,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: Bladet are kind of the main guys. I'm looking at
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: Nick Kurtz if you if you need a value at
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: first base and then you can always play shaling Leers,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: Jacob Wilson, that dude puts the ball in play always,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: and then Brent Rooker obviously. So this A's team actually
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: has a good lineup in general, even the back half
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: put the ball in play outside of Nick Kurtz, right,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: you look at the total strikeouts last year, this was
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: the team we picked on constantly because they were in
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: towards thirty percent k rate against right hand and pitching
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: not the case this year. And Soderstrom being my favorite
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: bat Siderstroum, Butler, Bladet are kind of the three main
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: guys you're looking at their Adam Rooker, Adam langlears, don't
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: have to worry about ownership in general. Decent park in
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: general to play in. But again, the weather wise fifteen
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: to twenty nine hour wins kind of blowing in from
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: left foul pole to kind of right folpole, right field
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: follow line, kind of temperatures in the sixties, so not
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: the greatest hitting environment. And I do think weather is
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: going to drive this park in general over the course
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: of the season.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I more I look at it. I like the
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: Cardinals Pirates more than I would like the A's, so
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: they fall down the list. But yeah, the five dollars
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: out there, I've been focused on NBA pretty heavy. Probably
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: gonna throw some of that five dollars. And I agree
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: with you. Great thing about contest flashback with Sabersim again
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: the best right now, the best deal. If you haven't
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: used this djen seventy five, get to the core package
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: usually ninety nine bucks, follow the content all the way
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: down to twenty four. But if you do use your
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: first month with that and realize you really like Sabersim
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: for only thirty dollars more is the starter package and
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: you get this contest flashback. You can see what pros do,
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: what Neids does, what Rio does, what whoever you deem Sharp, Chipotle, Attic, Popagates,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: whoever you think that you want to study. In all
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: the different tournaments they play in all the different sports,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: you can see their ownerships, their exposures, all of that.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: When I noticed in MLB it is very spread out,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: it is very diversified. Why is that. We're already talking
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: about the one of the most high variant sports out there.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: If you're building a lot of teams and making a
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: lot of teams, the reason you're doing that is so
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: when people are playing five teams, it's harder on them.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: You want more combinations, You want to spread different things out.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: Especially in baseball, it takes one team. Hoop absolutely boat
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: raced last week in the early slate. If you saw, though,
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: he had a lot less bubbles in the money than
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: he did out of the money. And that's what happens
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: with baseball because it's a stacking sport five to two
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: to ones, five threes. You diversify and stuff with those stacks,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: and it only takes one, especially nowadays with how top
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: heavy tournaments are nowadays, fifty k first, fifteen second, couple
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: hundred bucks to like tenth you need first place if
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: you're playing long term enough so you don't want to
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: cannibalize your lineups as much. Like, yeah, I'm have eighty
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: percent d back stacks today they have two runs pretty
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: much drawing stone debt. That's I'm not, in my opinion,
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: the right way to build baseball lineups pretty much all sports.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: Making a portfolio, diversifying the more teams you play is important.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: But yeah, my favorite sacks, d Backs, Mets, Royals, and
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: then I probably would go to that Cardinals pick game
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: if I had to choose any final thoughts from you
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: before we wrap it up our fifteen talkings of baseball.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, some of the best players in the world. Giant
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: Squid rings a bell number one right there as one
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: of the best, and I studied him a lot. I mean,
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: he very rarely goes over fifteen percent stack wise in
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: baseball in his one hundred and fifty max Again, and
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: this is a slate where I'm more willing to it out.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: More So, even in my sixty teams right where I'm
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: up against one to fifty maxers, I still have more
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: than majority of the field has. In that contest, I'm
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: likely going to be stacking majority of these guys, because
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: I mean a lot of these teams five percent stacks,
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: which is what I'm bad at math, But it's not
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: that many lineups.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 3: You're still over the field, right, So if that team does.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: Go off, I mean it's you're over the fields, over
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: the field, regardless what it is, over the field. If
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: they're one Buddyhield was eight percent yesterday, I know it's
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: a different sport. Eight percent. You had twelve percent. You're
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: over the field relative to everyone else. Not a guy
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: that you absolutely need, so whatever that is. Yeah, So
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: I like that.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: My my takes Matts and d backs number one, number two, one, A,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: one B, however you want to you put it. Pirates
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: are are pretty sneaky for me. Braves are pretty sneaky
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: for me as well. Those are kind of two of
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: the teams that I'm looking at there. Pitching is pretty
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: cut and dry in my single Untrey three Max stuff.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: I'm going Boyd and Reagan's at least on my main
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: team for the most part unless I see something else.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 3: My favorite pivot would be Piveta.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: There seems like you agree with that, and definitely underweight
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: on the Mariners is kind of how I sum up
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: this slate.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Awesome stuff ma Aids and again his MLB slate plan,
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: Aids is on that today. You can get his favorite
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: stacks pitching, the whole breakdown and a couple of cores
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: from Cash. Cores are also in the slate plans. Stack rankings,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: hitter rankings, pitcher rankings, all awesome stuff. A lot of
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: that you can see on the Stone Projections Ownership also
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: updated throughout Aids. Awesome stuff is always love talking about
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: baseball with you. Stay hot. One time I need to
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: see another screenshot from you. Everyone else out there appreciate
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: y'all hanging out just today alone, NBA Big Boy Prizes,
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: MLB Big Prize as well. It's the beauty of shippin'ation
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: dot com. Low price for all the sports less than
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: well now twenty four bucks, less than a dollar a day,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: which is absolutely insane for your first month. Otherwise less
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: than one hundred bucks for the best discord community say
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: a versim and all the content absolutely cannot beat that,
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: but we'd love to have you get in the discord
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: if you do join. Good luck today, Nates, good luck
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: everybody out there. For Nates. I'm titled Town Be Safe