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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 2/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:12
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:15
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
0:30
Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with Wickens, the slump
0:35
Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
0:38
Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
0:43
Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
0:45
Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
0:47
Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:51
Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
0:54
Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man's back with you
0:56
Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have with you,
1:00
Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
1:04
Speaker 1: and two yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
1:08
Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
1:12
Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
1:14
Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slump prase,
1:17
Speaker 1: the slump discontinuus, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
1:25
Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it. All. These losses stay
1:31
Speaker 1: with me, but they fester. Jerry, what's up, everybody? It's
1:36
Speaker 1: sowed back with you. Toad Steel Sports, Tuesday, February third.
1:42
Speaker 1: Not happy about yesterday, man, I am not uh where
1:46
Speaker 1: I mean, where do we begin? I guess we begin
1:48
Speaker 1: with the New Orleans Pelicans, who had a fifteen point
1:51
Speaker 1: lead at halftime, and then they I think they scored
1:55
Speaker 1: thirty plus points in each of the first two quarters,
1:58
Speaker 1: and then they scored thirty four or in the entire
2:01
Speaker 1: second and half, and they pushed on the plus seven,
2:05
Speaker 1: which luckily there was a plus seven out there that
2:07
Speaker 1: I found, but probably a lot of people had six
2:09
Speaker 1: and a half on that. That should not have been
2:11
Speaker 1: a loser. It shouldn't have been a push either. I
2:13
Speaker 1: was a push from the number that I had, but
2:17
Speaker 1: like dude, I'm very angry about that. It was unbelievable.
2:21
Speaker 1: They were still winning the game. Outright with ten minutes
2:24
Speaker 1: left in the game in the fourth quarter, like, okay,
2:26
Speaker 1: they should cover the plus seven absolutely ridiculous. You will
2:31
Speaker 1: not see a worse second half probably ever. Again, that's
2:35
Speaker 1: how bad it was for the Pelicans. Fuck the Pelicans,
2:39
Speaker 1: just what the hell? Then the market, by the way,
2:44
Speaker 1: agreed with me on that one. If you look at
2:45
Speaker 1: the final market percentages on that, the market agreed with
2:49
Speaker 1: me on Southeast and Louisiana as well. And that was
2:51
Speaker 1: just dead never even close, complete loss. I don't know
2:55
Speaker 1: what to tell you about that. Yeah, they lost the game,
2:59
Speaker 1: They did not go close. That was it hockey. We
3:03
Speaker 1: got the win with the Detroit Red Wings. The only
3:05
Speaker 1: win of last night last night for me was one
3:08
Speaker 1: two and one. That was the tally yesterday, So a
3:12
Speaker 1: losing day. The one win was the Detroit Red Wings
3:15
Speaker 1: outright win shutting out the Colorado Avalanche in Colorado, I believe.
3:20
Speaker 1: So Colorado is really starting to falter here. I know
3:25
Speaker 1: they have kind of a difficult schedule here, like the
3:28
Speaker 1: schedule makers haven't done them any favors later in the
3:31
Speaker 1: season here, and they have a lot of situations where
3:35
Speaker 1: they're lacking rest. But I don't know I don't know
3:38
Speaker 1: what else to say about it. And then the Vancouver Canucks,
3:41
Speaker 1: Yeah they suck, they can suck it. The Canucks not
3:47
Speaker 1: even close. Horrible loss. It was one to one a
3:52
Speaker 1: decent way into the game. But then yeah, after that,
3:55
Speaker 1: there was never much of a chance. I don't think
3:57
Speaker 1: the game. I don't know if the game was that
3:59
Speaker 1: close statistic either. It was a bad day. We'll move
4:02
Speaker 1: on to today. I'm trying to be really selective today.
4:04
Speaker 1: Have one play in each sport. Even though there's a
4:07
Speaker 1: decent sized college basketball board. I'll give out some opinions,
4:11
Speaker 1: but I have one play in college basketball, one in hockey,
4:14
Speaker 1: one in NBA. They're what I consider to be the strongest.
4:20
Speaker 1: I don't even know at this point. Man, maybe I'm
4:22
Speaker 1: on tilt. Mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Kyle,
4:26
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Let's bring We've got
4:29
Speaker 1: to bring more people into this man's I don't not, dude,
4:32
Speaker 1: I need to like change my background, make everything look better.
4:36
Speaker 1: I need to not just roll out of bed and
4:37
Speaker 1: do the show because I look like shit. I don't
4:41
Speaker 1: know what like. I'm obviously I'm wearing the same stuff
4:43
Speaker 1: I were last night. Thanks for the people that I
4:45
Speaker 1: hung out for the bracketology show. I don't know. I
4:49
Speaker 1: I definitely need to change what's behind me though, get
4:51
Speaker 1: a different backdrop. I gotta do something different here. We
4:54
Speaker 1: need more people to show up, watch the show, watch
4:57
Speaker 1: me rant and maybe I can give out some winners here. Man,
5:00
Speaker 1: the weekend was good, yesterday was not. Let's get back
5:03
Speaker 1: to it. We got college basketball. Obviously, Miami Ohio is
5:09
Speaker 1: in action in the basically the first game up. There
5:13
Speaker 1: were a few games at six thirty pm. This is
5:15
Speaker 1: one of them, only on ESPN Plus. Though ranked Miami Ohio.
5:21
Speaker 1: You know how I feel about them being ranked yet no,
5:24
Speaker 1: not even close, just because they continue to not lose
5:29
Speaker 1: the rankings makers have put them there even though they're
5:32
Speaker 1: about the ninetieth best team in college basketball. They're on
5:36
Speaker 1: the road at Buffalo here. A couple of problems for
5:40
Speaker 1: Buffalo here in this one. Even though yes, obviously I
5:42
Speaker 1: think Miami Ohio is way overrated, which has been the
5:44
Speaker 1: case for a while, they keep escaping with wins. The
5:47
Speaker 1: problem for Buffalo here, though, is that Buffalo is not
5:49
Speaker 1: as good as their record looks either, and Buffalo already
5:54
Speaker 1: almost beat Miami in Miami, Miami Ohio. So because that happened.
5:59
Speaker 1: They actually took Miami Ohio to overtime in Miami Ohio
6:03
Speaker 1: not that long ago. And because this happened, I think
6:06
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio will show up for this game. Both teams
6:09
Speaker 1: really shot well in this game. It was kind of
6:12
Speaker 1: an insane game. Miami Ohio were ten and a half
6:15
Speaker 1: way favorites in this game and they almost lost, so
6:19
Speaker 1: I think that will focus them in this game. So
6:21
Speaker 1: I don't really like Buffalo in this one man. Miami
6:24
Speaker 1: Ohio is coming off an easy win against Northern Illinois,
6:28
Speaker 1: easy win. They do have the sun Belt MAC Challenges
6:32
Speaker 1: up next, so all these MAC teams that are playing
6:34
Speaker 1: today have a Sunbelt opponent next. Miami Ohio is gonna
6:39
Speaker 1: be drawing Marshall. I was looking over here, I'm like,
6:41
Speaker 1: what am I doing. Marshall's not in the MAC. Marshall
6:44
Speaker 1: is an okay team in the Sun Belt. I don't
6:46
Speaker 1: know if that's really much of a cause for a
6:47
Speaker 1: look ahead, although that is a big event because you
6:50
Speaker 1: want to represent your conference well, but I don't think
6:55
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is gonna overlook Buffalo just because Buffalo gave
6:58
Speaker 1: them a real scare at home. Buffalo will obviously show
7:01
Speaker 1: up as well trying to beat this team, but they're
7:04
Speaker 1: not the better team in this case. Buffalo did just
7:06
Speaker 1: take a home loss to Ohio. They are staying at
7:08
Speaker 1: home here. But yeah, I mean, the money's coming in
7:14
Speaker 1: on Buffalo. I think that I probably disagree, although watch
7:18
Speaker 1: this be Miami Ohio's first loss. Miami Ohio went up
7:22
Speaker 1: from four and a half to five, fifty six percent
7:24
Speaker 1: of the tickets seventy four percent of the cash on Buffalo.
7:26
Speaker 1: I probably lean towards Miami Ohio though, but it's not
7:30
Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me, and it's entirely just because
7:33
Speaker 1: Buffalo gave them a big time scare the other time
7:36
Speaker 1: they played them. So a lot of times when that
7:37
Speaker 1: happens in the second meeting, if the team in the
7:42
Speaker 1: first meeting was a huge favorite, especially a home favorite,
7:45
Speaker 1: and almost lost, they usually played pretty well in the
7:47
Speaker 1: next game. So that's what I'm going on there, Tyson,
7:50
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right? We have
7:56
Speaker 1: more Mac mac action Max Akron at six thirty PM
8:00
Speaker 1: is at Eastern Michigan. What do we do with this game? Well,
8:04
Speaker 1: probably nothing. Akron up from eleven to eleven and a
8:07
Speaker 1: half deservedly, so I mean, they're way better team than
8:11
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan. Acron still, I think is the best team
8:13
Speaker 1: in the MAC. But Akron is coming off three big
8:16
Speaker 1: wins in a row because they beat a bunch of
8:18
Speaker 1: their Ohio rivals, beating Ohio on the road, Toledo, then
8:22
Speaker 1: Kent State. Kent State is in third place in the
8:24
Speaker 1: conference right now, Toledo in Ohio right behind that, So
8:28
Speaker 1: those are all pretty big wins. Man, and now they
8:30
Speaker 1: face Eastern Michigan, who they did already beat at home
8:33
Speaker 1: by twenty one points, so they might overlook Eastern Michigan Man.
8:36
Speaker 1: And Acron does have Troy up next in the Sun
8:40
Speaker 1: Belt MAC Challenge whatever we're calling it. Troy is the
8:43
Speaker 1: best team in the Sun Belt, so Akron, I mean,
8:46
Speaker 1: I'm sure the schedule makers did that on purpose, thinking
8:48
Speaker 1: that both of these teams would be the best teams
8:50
Speaker 1: in their conference, which they are, so that is kind
8:53
Speaker 1: of a big game. So I would have to lean
8:57
Speaker 1: towards Eastern Michigan plus the points in this one. But
9:00
Speaker 1: this one does not make my card or anything, but
9:02
Speaker 1: it does look almost a little bit SANDWICHI for Akron
9:05
Speaker 1: here they're an eleven and a half away favorite. Like
9:07
Speaker 1: I said, I don't see the percentages yet. That game
9:12
Speaker 1: also at six thirty PM. None of these six thirty
9:14
Speaker 1: games are televised. And then we have the Battle of
9:17
Speaker 1: Buffalo Part two, Canesius and Niagara. Canesius actually lost the
9:22
Speaker 1: first game at home, and I think they're probably the
9:26
Speaker 1: better team. So I pretty much like Canesius year because
9:30
Speaker 1: they're in one of those spots where they were the
9:31
Speaker 1: slightly better team. They lost at home. I think they
9:34
Speaker 1: should bounce back after that. They've been playing really poorly.
9:38
Speaker 1: They've lost every game since then, five more games in
9:41
Speaker 1: a row. They're staying in Buffalo. They were just at
9:45
Speaker 1: home lost to Cianna. Sianna is a pretty decent team
9:48
Speaker 1: in this matt Ac Conference. Niagara is terrible. I mean,
9:52
Speaker 1: both of these teams are bad. Niagara is probably the
9:55
Speaker 1: second worst team in the conference to Rideer, which is
9:58
Speaker 1: also what they are in the standings. Niagara has also
10:01
Speaker 1: lost a bunch of games in a row. They've lost
10:02
Speaker 1: five in a row. They're staying at home. They just
10:05
Speaker 1: lost to Marist, not a close game either, So both
10:10
Speaker 1: teams coming off losing to some of the better teams
10:13
Speaker 1: in the conference. It's a very similar setup for both
10:16
Speaker 1: teams coming into this one. But I have to kind
10:18
Speaker 1: of lean towards Canesi just to get the road revenge
10:21
Speaker 1: here and have a little bit more motivation this time.
10:25
Speaker 1: As what I think is are the slight I think
10:27
Speaker 1: they are the slightly better team. Niagara's gone up from
10:29
Speaker 1: two to two and a half here. Oddsmakers are indicating
10:32
Speaker 1: the Canesius is the better team slightly based on that line.
10:37
Speaker 1: Very low total and this is Yeah, it's gonna be
10:39
Speaker 1: a fun game to watch. Total of one hundred and
10:41
Speaker 1: twenty six and a half because it is a huge rivalry.
10:45
Speaker 1: Though I don't believe that Niagara will really look ahead
10:48
Speaker 1: to Quinn at PIAC. I think both teams will show
10:50
Speaker 1: up with focus in that one. But yeah, it's a
10:53
Speaker 1: rivalry between two bad teams. Seven pm the Big Conference
10:58
Speaker 1: action starting on Peacock NBC, NBC Sports Network. Excuse Xavier
11:04
Speaker 1: at number three Yukon al though I keep saying Yukon's
11:06
Speaker 1: not really the third best team in the country. They
11:10
Speaker 1: play on a week conference they are tenth. I think
11:14
Speaker 1: according to Kenbaum, right now there's still gonna be a
11:16
Speaker 1: huge favorite against Xavier, though the Richard Patino Xavier Musketeers
11:21
Speaker 1: they have not been good this year. However, they come
11:23
Speaker 1: into this with a little bit of momentum because they
11:25
Speaker 1: just broke a three game losing streak and those three
11:28
Speaker 1: losses were to teams that are like pretty clearly better
11:32
Speaker 1: than they are creating Saint John's and Saint Hall, so
11:35
Speaker 1: those are kind of expected losses. Now they got to
11:38
Speaker 1: win against De Paul. They got some motivation here, and
11:42
Speaker 1: they did already lose to Yukon horrendously back in Cincinnati
11:47
Speaker 1: at Xavier earlier in the season ninety to sixty seven
11:52
Speaker 1: was the final there. So it is a little bit
11:54
Speaker 1: of a road revenge angle for Xavier, which again it's
11:58
Speaker 1: a bad name for it, but it's a quick way
12:00
Speaker 1: to say it. But really that angle works because a
12:05
Speaker 1: team like Yukon might just look right past Xavier after
12:08
Speaker 1: they know they destroyed them on the road. They know
12:11
Speaker 1: Xavier is not good. Yukon's not exactly in a good spot.
12:14
Speaker 1: They just crushed Creighton on the road, although Creyton is
12:17
Speaker 1: kind of a mediocre team in the conference, but still
12:19
Speaker 1: a pretty big win. Now, Yukon's coming back from Omaha
12:23
Speaker 1: after that huge win, well not a huge win, but
12:25
Speaker 1: a blowout win, or they might feel pretty good about themselves,
12:28
Speaker 1: and they got Saint John's on deck, and Saint John's
12:31
Speaker 1: is really the only threat to Yukon in this conference
12:33
Speaker 1: right now, I would say, because Yukon did already beat
12:36
Speaker 1: Villanova as well, so I don't believe they've played Saint
12:38
Speaker 1: John's yet. So that's a pretty big game there between
12:41
Speaker 1: the top two teams in the conference. So does look
12:44
Speaker 1: like a little bit of a sandwich spot. Plus the
12:47
Speaker 1: road revengej aangle for Xavier, I would have to lean
12:49
Speaker 1: to Xavier in this one. The money seems like it agrees.
12:53
Speaker 1: Yukon's a seventeen and a half point favorite, A lot
12:56
Speaker 1: of points to lay here. The totals not very high
12:58
Speaker 1: in the one forties, seventy six percent of the tickets
13:01
Speaker 1: and eighty two percent of the cash on Xavier. I
13:04
Speaker 1: agree with the Xavier side here. I almost feel like
13:07
Speaker 1: I'm being too selective now because I do like Eastern Michigan.
13:09
Speaker 1: I like Xavier, uh, but you know, I'm staying off
13:13
Speaker 1: of some of these games here. But yes, Yukon is
13:15
Speaker 1: definitely over ranked as well, so they're probably laying a
13:18
Speaker 1: few too many points just based on the based on
13:22
Speaker 1: that fact, and then I guess we have to see
13:24
Speaker 1: which Yeah, so this is in Hartford as well. I
13:27
Speaker 1: wanted to see which arena this was in. So Yukon
13:29
Speaker 1: gets the less rowdy crowd when they play in Hartford.
13:32
Speaker 1: It's a bigger arena. They have the craziest crowd when
13:36
Speaker 1: they're playing on campus, its stores, So this is not
13:40
Speaker 1: one of those games. So that's another indicator that Xavier
13:44
Speaker 1: might be the way to lean in that one. Xavier
13:46
Speaker 1: plus the points seven pm ACC Network BC is at
13:50
Speaker 1: number four. Duke BC is coming up a pretty close
13:54
Speaker 1: call against Virginia. Man. BC played pretty well in that game.
13:57
Speaker 1: They only lost my seven. They were pretty close with
14:00
Speaker 1: Virginia down the stretch in that game. So I don't
14:02
Speaker 1: know if they're gonna be able to put in another
14:05
Speaker 1: big effort like that another game in a row. Is
14:07
Speaker 1: a big underdog. So the spot doesn't look great to
14:10
Speaker 1: me for BC, but it's also not that great for Duke.
14:13
Speaker 1: You know, at least BC should probably get up mentally
14:16
Speaker 1: for the game against Duke. Duke just beat Virginia Tech
14:20
Speaker 1: on the road by double digits, and they have a
14:23
Speaker 1: big game on deck against North Carolina. So that could
14:25
Speaker 1: be a pretty major look ahead spot for Duke because
14:28
Speaker 1: of course that is their main rival there. It'll be
14:30
Speaker 1: a huge game. Even though Duke is the better team.
14:35
Speaker 1: There is the possibility they overlook Boston College here. The
14:38
Speaker 1: money is coming in on BC. For what it's worth,
14:41
Speaker 1: Duke is up to a twenty six and a half
14:42
Speaker 1: point favorite, close to twenty seven. They're getting the public
14:47
Speaker 1: action still sixty two percent of the tickets, sixty six
14:50
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Boston College. Though total has
14:54
Speaker 1: gone way up. It's gone up seven points, which is interesting.
14:59
Speaker 1: I guess it's something to note, although with a total
15:02
Speaker 1: that's still low at one forty and a half, might
15:05
Speaker 1: not be that easy for Duke to cover a huge
15:08
Speaker 1: number like that. Duke also likes to play slow, so
15:11
Speaker 1: the fact that number, that that total is going up
15:14
Speaker 1: is interesting. Boston College, I mean, they also play slow,
15:19
Speaker 1: That's what I thought. So I don't really I don't
15:22
Speaker 1: really see what's going like. I don't know why that
15:24
Speaker 1: total has gone off as much as it has with
15:26
Speaker 1: both teams being slow paced. I don't know. But I
15:28
Speaker 1: guess I'll agree with the market. I'll lean towards BC
15:31
Speaker 1: in that one, just because I think the look ahead
15:33
Speaker 1: for Duke, I think is pretty major, even though a
15:36
Speaker 1: lot of times I think the what the team is
15:39
Speaker 1: coming off of as a bigger factor because it affects
15:42
Speaker 1: you both physically and mentally. BC is coming up that
15:45
Speaker 1: tough game, but I don't. I mean, they're not gonna
15:47
Speaker 1: overlook Duke. It's just a matter of how fatigued do
15:50
Speaker 1: they get, and if Duke is kind of taking their
15:52
Speaker 1: foot off the gas here looking ahead, there is the
15:55
Speaker 1: potential of the back door is open in this one too.
15:58
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, sounds hot all right. ESPN two at seven
16:03
Speaker 1: pm SEC Action ole Miss at Tennessee, who's now ranked
16:08
Speaker 1: again at twenty fifth, And I think rightfully so, I
16:11
Speaker 1: think they've been a little bit underrated so far this season.
16:14
Speaker 1: They're back in the rankings. Ken Bomb I think has
16:16
Speaker 1: them as the eighteenth best team in the country. There's
16:19
Speaker 1: a reason they're laying double digits here. Part of the
16:22
Speaker 1: reasons that Ole Miss isn't good, but part of the
16:24
Speaker 1: reason is that Tennessee is probably better than people think
16:28
Speaker 1: they are right now. Even though yeah, Tennessee's taken a
16:31
Speaker 1: little bit of a step back from the last few years.
16:34
Speaker 1: Ole Miss is on a three game losing streak, and
16:36
Speaker 1: while I don't think they'll overlook Tennessee, this is a
16:39
Speaker 1: very difficult spot for them. It's a third straight road game,
16:43
Speaker 1: it's a fifth road game in the last six games.
16:46
Speaker 1: They have another road game next on Texas. Although they're
16:49
Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Tennessee, but ole Miss just almost upset
16:52
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt in the last game. Man, so they're coming out
16:54
Speaker 1: a huge performance as ten and a half point underdogs
16:58
Speaker 1: against Vandy, which interesting the osbagers are telling you Tennessee
17:02
Speaker 1: is better than Vanderbilt, which I'm not sure if that's true.
17:06
Speaker 1: Ken Bum does not have that being the case, but
17:08
Speaker 1: it's interesting to note that Tennessee is a heavier favorite
17:12
Speaker 1: than Vandy was here. Vandy were ten and a half
17:14
Speaker 1: point favorites in this one on ole Miss played really,
17:18
Speaker 1: really tough in that game. It fell just short. And
17:20
Speaker 1: you know what I always say, when a team played
17:22
Speaker 1: really tough as a huge underdog like that and they
17:24
Speaker 1: fell just short, a lot of times they do come
17:26
Speaker 1: up flat in the next game. It is a pretty
17:28
Speaker 1: difficult scheduling spot for ole Miss. Here, Tennessee did just
17:31
Speaker 1: gonna win over Auburn, decent win, although Auburn's down a
17:35
Speaker 1: bit this year. They do have Kentucky on deck, and
17:37
Speaker 1: that is a potential that potentially is a pretty big
17:40
Speaker 1: look ahead because those teams don't like each other, and
17:42
Speaker 1: Tennessee already lost at home to Kentucky, so they most
17:46
Speaker 1: likely are gonna have that game circled after Kentucky beat
17:49
Speaker 1: them in the wrong place, So that would be my
17:51
Speaker 1: concern with Tennessee here, Although I do lean to Tennessee.
17:55
Speaker 1: It looks like ole Miss is getting some public action here.
17:58
Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of the tickets, those seventy seven percent
18:01
Speaker 1: of the cash. The line hasn't really moved to eleven
18:04
Speaker 1: and a half. But I think I have to lean
18:06
Speaker 1: to Tennessee in this game. Again, just the spot is very,
18:10
Speaker 1: very difficult for ole Miss, So that's the way that
18:14
Speaker 1: I would lean, But this one does not make my card.
18:17
Speaker 1: The total is fairly low one thirty nine, so might
18:20
Speaker 1: make it a little bit more difficult for a team
18:22
Speaker 1: to cover. Is a huge favorite here, but I don't well,
18:28
Speaker 1: I don't know what else I was gonna say I
18:29
Speaker 1: was gonna say that the under kind of makes sense
18:31
Speaker 1: in this game too, though, because both teams play slow.
18:34
Speaker 1: Both teams are pretty sure are more defense oriented, so
18:38
Speaker 1: the under may be worth a look in this game
18:41
Speaker 1: as well. But the well, the thing I would worry
18:43
Speaker 1: about with the Unders that Ole miss might be just
18:45
Speaker 1: kind of running out of gas because they've played so
18:47
Speaker 1: many differ They just they're coming off a difficult game.
18:50
Speaker 1: They played too many road games in a row, you know.
18:53
Speaker 1: But generally, yeah, both defenses are better than the offenses.
18:58
Speaker 1: So that's how what I think about that game. She squealed,
19:02
Speaker 1: what's up man, thanks for hanging out all right? Southern
19:07
Speaker 1: Illinois Illinois State is kind of an interesting one of
19:09
Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley. I continue to say Southern Illinois is
19:12
Speaker 1: pretty undervalued. I think Kenbomb as them as one of
19:15
Speaker 1: the unluckiest teams in the country, which I keep saying
19:19
Speaker 1: they keep underperforming, although it does keep happening. But now
19:23
Speaker 1: they're coming off a loss as a favorite. They lost
19:26
Speaker 1: to u C. Illinois Chicago, and it looks like they
19:30
Speaker 1: wouldn't have been a favorite in that game, but they were.
19:33
Speaker 1: Although maybe you could argue that maybe they'll be in
19:35
Speaker 1: a hangover Spottier because that was kind of a big
19:37
Speaker 1: game because Illinois Chicago is near the top of the
19:40
Speaker 1: Missouri Valley, but Southern Illinois was actually favored in that game.
19:44
Speaker 1: I don't really think they're gonna overlook Illinois State, man.
19:46
Speaker 1: I think really Illinois Chicago probably considers themselves to be
19:49
Speaker 1: a little brother in the state of Illinois to Southern Illinois,
19:53
Speaker 1: and at this point, Southern Illinois probably considers themselves to
19:56
Speaker 1: be the little brother to Illinois State. So I kind
19:58
Speaker 1: of expect them to show up here. They did already
20:00
Speaker 1: lose at home to Illinois State as well, so they're
20:03
Speaker 1: in one of these second meetings where they're an avenging
20:06
Speaker 1: road underdog here, which I do like to look at.
20:09
Speaker 1: So I kind of like Southern Illinois in this game.
20:12
Speaker 1: I like it even a little bit more because Illinois
20:14
Speaker 1: State just played Belmont and then Murray State, and they
20:17
Speaker 1: beat Murray State both of those games on the road.
20:19
Speaker 1: Pretty big win. Although Murray State Ken bam Aslam is
20:23
Speaker 1: somewhat lucky he has them is the third best team
20:27
Speaker 1: in this conference behind Belmont and actually behind Illinois State,
20:31
Speaker 1: and Illinois State did just beat them. Still a big win.
20:34
Speaker 1: Because Murray State was near the top of the conference,
20:37
Speaker 1: so this could be a little bit of a letdown.
20:39
Speaker 1: I wish they had a bigger game up next and
20:41
Speaker 1: which would make it a sandwich, but they don't. Illinois
20:44
Speaker 1: State plays Drake next, and they did already beat Drake
20:47
Speaker 1: on the road. Drake is down this year, So Drake
20:51
Speaker 1: Drake is not as good as they were the last
20:54
Speaker 1: couple of years. Let's just put it that way. They
20:56
Speaker 1: lost most of their talent and their coach from last year,
21:00
Speaker 1: so and the regime from the prior year had moved
21:04
Speaker 1: on to West Virginia last year. I don't even know
21:07
Speaker 1: where those guys are now, the Defrees regime, because they
21:11
Speaker 1: already got replaced in West Virginia. So I don't know
21:15
Speaker 1: what's going on with Drake, man, don't We don't even know.
21:17
Speaker 1: Nobody knows what's going on with Drake. At this point. Boy,
21:21
Speaker 1: I'm really starting to dislike the Drake. I hate the Drake.
21:27
Speaker 1: All right, thank you sir, Thanks all right. So, but yes,
21:34
Speaker 1: in this game, I forgot to finish my thought. Yes,
21:36
Speaker 1: I leaned towards Southern Illinois in this game. Illinois State
21:41
Speaker 1: is up to an eight point favorite. But they are
21:42
Speaker 1: a very public side. Ninety percent of the tickets, only
21:46
Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash. I do think this
21:47
Speaker 1: line is quite high given that I think Southern Illinois
21:50
Speaker 1: is really one of the most underrated teams in college
21:54
Speaker 1: basketball at this point. Ken Bum probably has him a
21:56
Speaker 1: bottom five luck team right now. I mean, they're just
21:59
Speaker 1: they're close games, have lost games that they probably should
22:02
Speaker 1: have won. So that's the way I would lean in
22:05
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois. Plus the points in that one. Oh thank you,
22:08
Speaker 1: Sir Seinfeld. One of the best shows out there. Yeah,
22:13
Speaker 1: I try to bring some of that in every once
22:15
Speaker 1: in a while. I might need some more drops. I'm
22:18
Speaker 1: gonna have so many that I can't even keep track
22:20
Speaker 1: because in streamyard they're all just in like one thing.
22:22
Speaker 1: I'm like, how do I even find the drop that
22:24
Speaker 1: I want? All Right? VCU at Fordham. I don't even
22:29
Speaker 1: know if this game is we're talking about, but VCU
22:31
Speaker 1: had a weird game in their last game against Loyal Chicago.
22:34
Speaker 1: They wound up winning by fourteen, but VCU was actually
22:37
Speaker 1: losing that game twenty four to nine right out of
22:39
Speaker 1: the gate. But they were I think winning the game
22:42
Speaker 1: before halftime. So this loyal Chicago. I mean, they're just
22:46
Speaker 1: really having an awful season. If VCU came out flat
22:49
Speaker 1: and were like, oh whoops, and then they just started
22:52
Speaker 1: playing easily won anyway, the main handicapping factor here, I
22:57
Speaker 1: think is that VCU does have Dayton on deck, which
23:00
Speaker 1: is a pretty big game date and one of the
23:01
Speaker 1: better teams in this conference. So for that reason, and
23:04
Speaker 1: because Fordham is not good, maybe the overlook Fordham. I
23:08
Speaker 1: can't really jump on Fordham here though, because well we've
23:12
Speaker 1: had We took Fordham in the last two games and
23:14
Speaker 1: they barely got us by against Lasal. They did cover.
23:18
Speaker 1: We got lucky on that one though, I think, but
23:20
Speaker 1: then we got a nice easy winner with Fordham as
23:23
Speaker 1: a twelve point dog. They got the outright win for
23:26
Speaker 1: us against George Washington when George Washington I thought was
23:29
Speaker 1: in a horrible spot coming off almost being Saint Louis.
23:33
Speaker 1: So Fordham was able to get that get that one done.
23:36
Speaker 1: But because of that, I can't really play them now.
23:38
Speaker 1: I mean, a team coming off a double digit upset
23:41
Speaker 1: like that, I'm never gonna be on that team. I'm
23:43
Speaker 1: either gonna fade them or I'm just gonna avoid the game.
23:46
Speaker 1: Sure they should get up for a game against VCU.
23:48
Speaker 1: VCU is one of the best teams of this conference,
23:51
Speaker 1: probably the second best to Saint Louis. I'm not gonna
23:55
Speaker 1: do it, though. I can't do it, and in fact,
23:57
Speaker 1: I probably lean towards VCU here, even though they do
24:00
Speaker 1: have the look ahead that might be a factor. But
24:02
Speaker 1: vc was coming up that game where they started out
24:05
Speaker 1: really slow, so I think they realized they didn't play
24:08
Speaker 1: well in that game. Fordham off the huge upset. I
24:10
Speaker 1: leaned VCU here. They look like an anti public side too,
24:15
Speaker 1: which is pretty shocking. Ninety two percent of the tickets,
24:18
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on Fordam. That doesn't even
24:22
Speaker 1: make sense to me. I don't know what public vetter
24:24
Speaker 1: is coming in on Fordham here. Even at a line
24:27
Speaker 1: of eight and a half, that doesn't even seem like
24:28
Speaker 1: it's that big given what these teams records look like.
24:32
Speaker 1: VCU did move up from seven and a half to
24:35
Speaker 1: eight and a half is a favorite there, But yeah,
24:37
Speaker 1: I lean to VCU in that one. I'm glad you
24:41
Speaker 1: enjoy it, sir. All right. I'll try to incorporate more
24:46
Speaker 1: drops maybe, but they gotta be relevant. Speaking of Dayton,
24:50
Speaker 1: Dayton gets a TV game in the seven pm action
24:54
Speaker 1: here on CBS Sports against Saint Bonaventure. To me, I
24:57
Speaker 1: think Saint Bonaventure is in a terrible spot though, if
25:01
Speaker 1: you see what they did in their last game, which
25:03
Speaker 1: this is an interesting game because Saint Bonaventure was hosting
25:05
Speaker 1: George Mason, who has the way better record. But I
25:09
Speaker 1: keep saying George Mason is not actually the second best
25:11
Speaker 1: team in this conference. I think they're either third or
25:14
Speaker 1: fourth behind obviously Saint Louis, behind VCU, and possibly behind Dayton.
25:21
Speaker 1: But it was one of these games where the line
25:24
Speaker 1: just looked really weird, like Saint Bonaventure has really underperformed
25:28
Speaker 1: this year and they were actually like only a one
25:30
Speaker 1: point dog or something in this game, so the line
25:32
Speaker 1: looked really strange. I was like, well, that means you
25:34
Speaker 1: should probably take Saint Bonadventure in this one. If you're
25:36
Speaker 1: gonna take it, I didn't give it out as a
25:38
Speaker 1: play or anything. And Saint Bonaventure what they did in
25:42
Speaker 1: this game, man, I don't see how they get back
25:44
Speaker 1: up off the mat after this. They were winning the
25:46
Speaker 1: entire game, including winning by double digits throughout like the
25:49
Speaker 1: entire second half and then somehow they blew the game
25:53
Speaker 1: and they lost in the end. I think the only
25:55
Speaker 1: point where George Mason was ever leading was the final
25:58
Speaker 1: score basically, so yeah, I think it was literally well
26:03
Speaker 1: after they took the lead and then they got like
26:05
Speaker 1: a couple more points right at the end. So yeah,
26:10
Speaker 1: the only time that George Mason was winning was when
26:12
Speaker 1: they pulled ahead seventy four to seventy three, and then
26:15
Speaker 1: after their final couple of points there. So I don't
26:19
Speaker 1: see how Saint Bonaventure gets back up off the mat
26:22
Speaker 1: after that. Man, they almost pulled off what they probably
26:25
Speaker 1: consider would consider to be a huge upset, even though
26:28
Speaker 1: based on the line it wasn't sure they should get
26:30
Speaker 1: up for a game it's Dayton, but it's gonna be
26:32
Speaker 1: really difficult for them to do that. I think Dayton
26:35
Speaker 1: coming into this game, they did just play Saint Louis
26:37
Speaker 1: and they got absolutely man handled by Saint Louis. Saint
26:40
Speaker 1: Louis is just really, really good. Dayton just could not
26:45
Speaker 1: do much in that game. So now they're coming off
26:47
Speaker 1: a blowout loss. They've lost four games in a row,
26:49
Speaker 1: they're back at home. Three of those losses are on
26:52
Speaker 1: the road. The last time they were at home, they
26:54
Speaker 1: had a bad loss to Rhode Island, so I think
26:56
Speaker 1: that might focus them as well. Here. They've won all
26:59
Speaker 1: of their other conference home games, although against Fordham and
27:02
Speaker 1: Loyal Chicago not very impressive. But they did beat George
27:05
Speaker 1: Washington at home as well, so they have been better
27:08
Speaker 1: at home obviously, as most teams tend to be. I
27:11
Speaker 1: would lean to Dayton in this game, but the money
27:13
Speaker 1: is completely disagreeing. Don't really understand why. I don't see
27:17
Speaker 1: how you could play Saint Bonaventure after the way that
27:20
Speaker 1: last game they played played out, Dayton's down from nine
27:22
Speaker 1: to eight and a half here, eighty seven percent of
27:25
Speaker 1: the tickets on them, seventy one percent of the cash
27:27
Speaker 1: on Saint Bonaventure. You know, it's it's probably just numbers,
27:31
Speaker 1: guys man, that are all just coming in saying, well,
27:34
Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure's underrated, so they're probably getting too many points here. Okay.
27:39
Speaker 1: I mean fine, Like, if you want to go with
27:41
Speaker 1: the numbers, okay, but I think when you're playing just
27:43
Speaker 1: the numbers, I think you're playing blind man. This is
27:45
Speaker 1: why I rely on situations, because the situations are hard
27:49
Speaker 1: to quantify, and these guys are all humans, So that's
27:52
Speaker 1: why I do this, and I think it affects teams.
27:56
Speaker 1: It's like it's the best handicapping technique in my opinion,
27:59
Speaker 1: because it's hard to quantifying to the number. It's like
28:01
Speaker 1: that hidden edge man if if you can get into
28:04
Speaker 1: these guys' mindsets. So there's no way that I would
28:07
Speaker 1: blindly like this is why, like I wouldn't blindly play
28:11
Speaker 1: like a numbers play, because you've got to like take
28:13
Speaker 1: a look at the situation here. So yeah, even those
28:15
Speaker 1: same Bondaventure might be an underrated team. I can't do this,
28:20
Speaker 1: but yes, Dayton does have VCU up next. So some
28:23
Speaker 1: of these guys might be saying, well, situationally, Dayton's in
28:26
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot, right, Well I would say no, because
28:30
Speaker 1: they got crushed by Saint Louis. So if that game
28:33
Speaker 1: was close, I would say yes. But that's the difference
28:36
Speaker 1: between did you play that game close, did you have
28:38
Speaker 1: a close call against a really good team, or did
28:40
Speaker 1: you get absolutely crushed by that team. If you got
28:44
Speaker 1: absolutely crushed, then I'm not gonna say it was a
28:46
Speaker 1: sandwich spot because the game was pretty much over, like
28:49
Speaker 1: right after it started, so you didn't wind up putting
28:51
Speaker 1: in a huge effort, you know what I mean. So
28:54
Speaker 1: it makes it it makes it easier to get over,
28:56
Speaker 1: and it makes it easier to refocus after that. So
28:59
Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that we have a battle
29:02
Speaker 1: of Ohio. It seems like we pretty much always doing
29:05
Speaker 1: the mac is gonna be There's gonna pretty much always
29:07
Speaker 1: be some Ohio battle going on there. Kent State at Toledo.
29:11
Speaker 1: It's a decent game. It's not televised though, but these
29:14
Speaker 1: teams are both in the top four in the standings
29:17
Speaker 1: in the conference. They're both probably amongst the top four
29:21
Speaker 1: or five teams power rating wise in the conference as well.
29:24
Speaker 1: Kent State did just lose to Akron, although the game
29:26
Speaker 1: wasn't close. That was a big game. But because it
29:30
Speaker 1: wasn't close, and because this is a rivalry, I don't
29:33
Speaker 1: think Kent State's gonna overlook Toledo. And these teams are
29:36
Speaker 1: already played at Kent State and Kent State only won
29:39
Speaker 1: by three, so they didn't cover. They were five and
29:41
Speaker 1: a half way favorites. So again that is an angle
29:44
Speaker 1: I looked for when you were a favorite at home
29:46
Speaker 1: and the other team covered against you and gave you
29:48
Speaker 1: a close call that will give you reason to put
29:51
Speaker 1: it in an effort in the next game. So I
29:53
Speaker 1: think Kent State will show up for this one. They
29:55
Speaker 1: are the better team. Yes, it is a second straight
29:58
Speaker 1: road game coming up a big game, but the game
30:01
Speaker 1: against Akron wasn't that close. Toledo should show up as well.
30:05
Speaker 1: They're coming off an easy win over a ball state
30:07
Speaker 1: where I thought they were in a bad spot but
30:09
Speaker 1: still got that win. There. Both teams will show up though,
30:13
Speaker 1: in my opinion, But if that's the case, I would
30:15
Speaker 1: say probably leaning towards Kent State does make sense. They
30:18
Speaker 1: are the better team. They're a little bit of an
30:20
Speaker 1: underdog here because they're on the road. Toledo has dropped
30:24
Speaker 1: from a two point favorite to a one point favorite.
30:26
Speaker 1: Seventy two of the tickets on them, fifty four percent
30:29
Speaker 1: of the cash on Kent State, so the money is
30:32
Speaker 1: indicating on Kent State. I agree with it. That's the
30:35
Speaker 1: way I would lean in there. All right, SEC Networks
30:39
Speaker 1: seven pm. South Carolina is at Texas. This game being
30:43
Speaker 1: televised is like, I mean, I don't think it's gonna
30:48
Speaker 1: be that great of a game. I don't know why
30:49
Speaker 1: it's getting a television spot. But people are gonna look
30:53
Speaker 1: at this line and say, like, how is Texas a
30:55
Speaker 1: twelve and a half point favor here when the record
30:58
Speaker 1: hardly looks better than South Carolina? Is right, But as
31:01
Speaker 1: I said last night in my bracketology show, Texas is
31:05
Speaker 1: way better than the record looks. They're way low in
31:08
Speaker 1: ken Bump's luck Index. He's telling you the way underperform
31:11
Speaker 1: based on what they actually are. Like ken Bump probably
31:13
Speaker 1: has them as like a top forty five team in
31:15
Speaker 1: college basketball, Like they should probably be a team that
31:20
Speaker 1: should make the tournament. They're gonna have to get some
31:22
Speaker 1: wins here. They're gonna have to win this game. Will
31:25
Speaker 1: they win it by margin? I don't know, But I
31:27
Speaker 1: think the public's gonna look at this and wonder why
31:30
Speaker 1: Texas is a big favorite like that. But I'm telling
31:32
Speaker 1: you they're actually way better than South Carolina. Texas is
31:36
Speaker 1: probably the most underrated team in the SEC. Just yeah,
31:40
Speaker 1: because they continue to lose close games. They played some
31:43
Speaker 1: difficult teams pretty competitively. Man. South Carolina is coming off
31:47
Speaker 1: losing it home to LSU. They've lost three games in
31:50
Speaker 1: a row. Probably they'll show up for a game against Texas.
31:53
Speaker 1: But if Texas those also show up. I would expect
31:57
Speaker 1: Texas to uh probably be able to win this one
32:02
Speaker 1: by margin. To be honest, South Carolina did lose that
32:04
Speaker 1: LSU game in overtime, by the way, there were a
32:08
Speaker 1: small underdog, and that when LSU was really kind of
32:10
Speaker 1: trailed off. Since the conference play started, they just haven't
32:13
Speaker 1: been that good. But that game still went into overtime,
32:16
Speaker 1: so maybe you'll see a little bit of fatigue on
32:19
Speaker 1: the part of South Carolina here. They got to go
32:21
Speaker 1: to Austin, Texas for this one. Texas did just win
32:24
Speaker 1: their Red River rivalry game against Oklahoma, although in basketball
32:28
Speaker 1: that matters less than it doesn't football, so I don't
32:30
Speaker 1: know if that's really gonna be a Are they really
32:33
Speaker 1: gonna be in a letdown just because they beat the
32:35
Speaker 1: worst team in the SEC standings wise? Probably not, And
32:40
Speaker 1: Texas needs to keep getting these games, you know, for
32:43
Speaker 1: their tournament resume purposes. They only have Old Miss up next,
32:46
Speaker 1: which isn't exactly a big game either, so I kind
32:51
Speaker 1: of think Texas will show up in this one. And
32:55
Speaker 1: the line, again, the line just looks like way too
32:58
Speaker 1: big to the public eye, and we do see fifty
33:00
Speaker 1: eight percent of the tickets on South Carolina. It's one
33:03
Speaker 1: of those lines that just looks misleading, But the osmakers
33:07
Speaker 1: have put that line up for a reason. The money
33:09
Speaker 1: has already come in on Texas. They're already up from
33:11
Speaker 1: eleven and a half to thirteen, so I'm gonna agree
33:14
Speaker 1: with it. Sixty six percent of the cash on Texas
33:16
Speaker 1: as well. I do agree again, like just for that
33:20
Speaker 1: reason alone, that the line just looks like it's way
33:23
Speaker 1: off based on what the team's records are. But knowing
33:26
Speaker 1: how underrated Texas really is, if they show up, I
33:29
Speaker 1: think they should be able to win that one by
33:31
Speaker 1: double digits and probably cover it. So I would uh
33:34
Speaker 1: lean that way in that one. Again, it's not my
33:37
Speaker 1: play though, on number twenty two Saint John's, who is
33:40
Speaker 1: back in the rank. He's now at De Paul on Peacock. Now,
33:44
Speaker 1: sometimes when these teams become ranked against that like kind
33:48
Speaker 1: of puts a target on their back again, although I
33:50
Speaker 1: think everybody in the Big East already kind of knew
33:52
Speaker 1: Saint John's is one of the best teams in the
33:54
Speaker 1: conference anyway, though, so maybe it doesn't really matter. But
33:58
Speaker 1: they do have that twenty two next to them, and
34:00
Speaker 1: I think they're legitimate. They're a legitimate team. They should
34:03
Speaker 1: be ranked ken bum as the twenty first, so they're
34:06
Speaker 1: pretty much ranked accurately. The spot might not be great
34:10
Speaker 1: for Saint John's. So they're on a huge run. They've
34:12
Speaker 1: won seven games in a row rolling through the Big
34:15
Speaker 1: East here, but they play Yukon next man, and they
34:19
Speaker 1: have not played Yukon yet, So that does set this
34:22
Speaker 1: up as being maybe a look ahead. That game is
34:24
Speaker 1: in a few days. I think that's what is that
34:26
Speaker 1: is that how many how many days do we have?
34:28
Speaker 1: Is that Friday? Or are they actually playing a Friday
34:30
Speaker 1: night game? I think they might be because I was
34:33
Speaker 1: thinking it was Saturday. No, Yeah, it's a Friday night game.
34:36
Speaker 1: So they get a probably in Madison Square Garden and
34:39
Speaker 1: they get a massive TV game against Yukon, So definitely
34:43
Speaker 1: might be caused for look ahead here. They already played
34:46
Speaker 1: to Paul at Saint John's and beat them by thirteen,
34:49
Speaker 1: so they might overlook to Paul Man. So that's the
34:52
Speaker 1: warrior with Saint John's is that there's a pretty big
34:55
Speaker 1: look ahead component to this. DePaul should show up, of course,
34:58
Speaker 1: they can make some adjusta maybe to the fact that
35:01
Speaker 1: they lost that first game to Saint John's. They're on
35:03
Speaker 1: a two game losing streak. They did just have a
35:06
Speaker 1: close game on the road at Xavier, where I assume
35:08
Speaker 1: Xavier was favored. Yeah, four and a half. It wasn't
35:12
Speaker 1: like De Paul almost pulled off a huge upset or
35:14
Speaker 1: anything like that, because Xavier has been bad this year.
35:17
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think DePaul should show up here on
35:20
Speaker 1: a losing streak like this, I would lean to de
35:22
Speaker 1: Paul plus the points in this one. Saint John's is
35:25
Speaker 1: a public side eighty six percent of the tickets and cash.
35:29
Speaker 1: They're up from nine and a half to ten here,
35:31
Speaker 1: But yeah, I would look towards taking the points with DePaul.
35:34
Speaker 1: I think that look ahead spot for Saint John's is
35:36
Speaker 1: pretty crazy. And then we'll see if what the postgame
35:40
Speaker 1: press conferences look like, and maybe they'll look a little
35:42
Speaker 1: bit like this.
35:43
Speaker 2: Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself.
35:47
Speaker 1: We'll see if that will. We'll see if that happens
35:50
Speaker 1: or not. All right, what else do we have going
35:55
Speaker 1: on here for games that I might want to talk about.
35:57
Speaker 1: It's crazy that Illinois Chicago and Murray State my actually
36:00
Speaker 1: be a good game. Man. Illinois Chicago they're eight and
36:04
Speaker 1: four in conference. People are gonna look at this and think, oh,
36:06
Speaker 1: Illino Chicago. Yeah, this team like they're doing well in
36:09
Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley, they must be good, right, and look
36:11
Speaker 1: at what they've done recently. They've won eight games in
36:13
Speaker 1: a row. I think I think they started own four
36:16
Speaker 1: in conference playing. Now they're eight and four, but I
36:20
Speaker 1: think we gotta dial it back a little bit. I
36:22
Speaker 1: don't think they're as good as what they look like.
36:24
Speaker 1: They're playing Murray State here. Murray State is clearly the
36:27
Speaker 1: better team. Still, u C is coming up that win
36:31
Speaker 1: over Southern Illinois, which actually was an upset. Now it's
36:34
Speaker 1: a second straight road game. Now they're not gonna overlook
36:37
Speaker 1: Murray State, and that's kind of the problem. Murray State
36:39
Speaker 1: did actually beat u C at u C already, so
36:43
Speaker 1: maybe Murray State will overlook them. Although Murray State only
36:45
Speaker 1: beat them by four in that game, so they actually
36:47
Speaker 1: did not cover. That's how much better Murray State is
36:50
Speaker 1: than ILLINOI Chicago. They were more than a four point
36:53
Speaker 1: favorite on the road against them, so they'll be a
36:56
Speaker 1: pretty big favorite in this game. Murray State's lost four
36:59
Speaker 1: in a row, so it's like somebody's got to give here, man. Now,
37:03
Speaker 1: I don't know how Murray State's gonna respond, because they
37:05
Speaker 1: did just have a huge game against Belmont, and Belmont
37:07
Speaker 1: pretty much proved that they are the better team in
37:09
Speaker 1: that game, but it was a seventeen point loss when
37:12
Speaker 1: Murray State just they really did not play well defensively.
37:15
Speaker 1: I mean, defense is not really what Murray State does.
37:18
Speaker 1: They're the racers, man. They go fast, they score, they
37:21
Speaker 1: don't play a lot of defense. So I don't know
37:23
Speaker 1: will they respond. I mean the fact they've lost four
37:25
Speaker 1: games in a row, but three of those are on
37:27
Speaker 1: the road. Now they're back at home. They lost their
37:30
Speaker 1: last game at home, and again, as I mentioned a
37:32
Speaker 1: little bit earlier in the show, a lot of times
37:33
Speaker 1: when a team returns back home in college basketball and
37:36
Speaker 1: they're on a losing streak and they lost the last
37:38
Speaker 1: time they were at home, they do show up with focus.
37:43
Speaker 1: I'm gonna kind of lean that way, man, And I
37:45
Speaker 1: think again, the records look a little bit misleading here.
37:47
Speaker 1: I think the public might not really want to lay
37:49
Speaker 1: points with Murray State like this. They're up to a
37:51
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite here, but I would
37:54
Speaker 1: probably lean that way I would probably lay up with
37:56
Speaker 1: Murray State here. I'm not sold on UIC at all.
38:00
Speaker 1: Tickets look like they're fifty to fifty, Murray State ninety
38:02
Speaker 1: percent of the cash, and the fact that Murray State
38:04
Speaker 1: was like a probably at least a five point favorite
38:07
Speaker 1: on the road against u I s like, I understand
38:09
Speaker 1: that you have to adjust the power ratings a little
38:11
Speaker 1: bit because UICE does look better than we thought they
38:14
Speaker 1: were back then. Yeah, they were five and a half
38:18
Speaker 1: point favorite, But I mean, come on, man, Like, do
38:20
Speaker 1: we adjust it so much that Murray State based on
38:23
Speaker 1: them being a five and a half point favorite on
38:24
Speaker 1: the road there, they should probably be like a double
38:27
Speaker 1: digit favorite here? Like, should we really have adjusted the
38:29
Speaker 1: numbers that much to the point where they're a six
38:32
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I don't think so. I
38:34
Speaker 1: think there's line value here on Murray State, man, So
38:36
Speaker 1: I would lay the points in that one, and then
38:40
Speaker 1: you get to watch Murray State other the French freshman,
38:44
Speaker 1: the Frenchman Roman d'mone, although I think he's been coming
38:48
Speaker 1: off the bench, but he's soon enough, man, I think
38:52
Speaker 1: he's gonna be a starter somewhere, and we'll see where
38:54
Speaker 1: he winds up. But if you watch his tape. I
38:57
Speaker 1: mentioned this on my Bracketology special because I enjoyed watching
39:01
Speaker 1: the tape of him man, which shout out to Alex
39:04
Speaker 1: from Punk Rock Libertarians. He sent me the tape on
39:07
Speaker 1: this guy. The guy looks like Larry Bird. Man. I
39:09
Speaker 1: mean that's he's the same height, he's white like, he
39:14
Speaker 1: looks the same like physically pretty much. He has the
39:17
Speaker 1: same like style of play, which I mentioned last night,
39:20
Speaker 1: like the way that he passes the ball, the way
39:21
Speaker 1: that he takes shots. I'm like, whoa. I mean, I'm
39:25
Speaker 1: not saying he's gonna be the next Larry Bird or anything,
39:27
Speaker 1: but it is interesting that his style of play does
39:30
Speaker 1: look very similar, which is pretty crazy. She squealed. Yeah,
39:36
Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out, dude. My shows are really long.
39:38
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Like I'm trying to make this
39:40
Speaker 1: less boring, but I don't know. Maybe it's it's only
39:42
Speaker 1: gonna be interesting if you're like super autistic and you're
39:45
Speaker 1: really into like all the sports betting stuff. So I
39:48
Speaker 1: don't know, but I appreciate it. Man. They were continue
39:51
Speaker 1: continuing to hang out here. What other games that I
39:55
Speaker 1: want to talk about here? Man, I don't know, if
39:57
Speaker 1: you want me to talk about any of these other games,
39:59
Speaker 1: I guess I can. One of these other games didn't
40:01
Speaker 1: really jump out at me as having like big situational
40:06
Speaker 1: angles or anything like that. We still haven't gotten too
40:07
Speaker 1: my one play yet either. I know we have an
40:10
Speaker 1: ACC game at nine pm on a ACC network between
40:13
Speaker 1: Pitt and number eighteen Virginia. Pitt is just not a
40:17
Speaker 1: very good team, man, As I keep saying, they're the Pits.
40:20
Speaker 1: I thought they were in a good position to cover
40:22
Speaker 1: against Clemson, and they did not. They lost pretty badly. Actually,
40:28
Speaker 1: oh man, they almost covered. Actually it depends on the number.
40:31
Speaker 1: I think that if you got a better number, actually
40:33
Speaker 1: they did cover for you. They lost by eleven in
40:36
Speaker 1: a low scoring game. There, If you got the opening number,
40:38
Speaker 1: you actually did get a win on that one. So
40:41
Speaker 1: there you go. So Pitt actually covered even though they
40:44
Speaker 1: lost by double digits. They covered the opening number against
40:47
Speaker 1: Clemson at least second straight road game. Its not gonna
40:50
Speaker 1: be that easy playing these two good teams in a row.
40:52
Speaker 1: But you gotta think Pitt will at least show up
40:54
Speaker 1: with some effort here against Virginia. Here, Virginia is gonna
40:58
Speaker 1: be laying a lot of points Virginia. They do play slow,
41:02
Speaker 1: so that's kind of the issue with Virginia trying to
41:05
Speaker 1: lay points with them, is that they have a slow,
41:07
Speaker 1: ugly style of basketball, though not as slow as they
41:10
Speaker 1: play under Tony Bennett. Virginia might show up in this
41:14
Speaker 1: game too, though, because they did just have a scare
41:16
Speaker 1: at Boston College, which was a weird spot for them
41:19
Speaker 1: because it was a fourth road game in five games.
41:23
Speaker 1: They were coming off a very close call against Notre Dame,
41:25
Speaker 1: but they had to play multiple overtimes to get through
41:28
Speaker 1: that game, so then having to travel to the other
41:31
Speaker 1: Catholic school BC kind of a weird spot for Virginia
41:34
Speaker 1: and they almost got caught in that game. So they
41:37
Speaker 1: might actually show up with more focus here. And now
41:39
Speaker 1: they're back at home. They lost last time they were
41:41
Speaker 1: here as a favorite against North Carolina, so I don't
41:45
Speaker 1: really know that I love Pitt in this one. Man.
41:47
Speaker 1: I might actually have to lean towards Virginia here. If
41:50
Speaker 1: you think they're actually gonna show up, which they might,
41:52
Speaker 1: you do have to lay a decent amount of points.
41:54
Speaker 1: But it is interesting that Clemson was laying twelve and
41:57
Speaker 1: a half on the open although it closed ten and
41:59
Speaker 1: a half Virginia at thirteen and a half. But is
42:02
Speaker 1: Virginia like, how much better is Virginia than Clemson? Though
42:05
Speaker 1: ken Bum as Virginia seventeenth and Clemson thirty seconds, so
42:08
Speaker 1: there is a difference there, Like Virginia should be laying
42:12
Speaker 1: more points than Clemson was, and the opener was like
42:15
Speaker 1: fairly close, so it is possible there actually is a
42:18
Speaker 1: little bit of line value on Virginia, believe it or not.
42:21
Speaker 1: Either that or Clemson was just overrated, which could be
42:24
Speaker 1: the case as well, because they are ranked higher than
42:26
Speaker 1: Kenbam has them. We got eighty eight percent of the
42:28
Speaker 1: tickets on Virginia ninety nine percent of the cash. I
42:32
Speaker 1: don't know if that cash percentage can't be accurate, so
42:34
Speaker 1: I don't know if the money really will come out
42:36
Speaker 1: on Virginia or not. It might Virginia is gonna be
42:39
Speaker 1: the public side most likely, but it might also wind
42:42
Speaker 1: up being a professional side sometimes that does happen. Total
42:47
Speaker 1: pretty low one forty two and a half makes it
42:49
Speaker 1: less tempting to lay the points, but I think I
42:51
Speaker 1: would probably lean towards laying the points in that one.
42:56
Speaker 1: Thank you sir, Yes, I try. That's That's that's what
43:00
Speaker 1: I do, man, And I still have not freed up
43:03
Speaker 1: my funds that I can start betting again. Like back
43:05
Speaker 1: when I was working, I was I was funding the
43:08
Speaker 1: habit and I was using it as a as supplemental
43:11
Speaker 1: income because I have been winning at doing it. But
43:14
Speaker 1: I continue to do the show. And I had to
43:15
Speaker 1: like preface it all by being like, I'm not actually
43:18
Speaker 1: putting money on most of these games right now because
43:20
Speaker 1: I don't have enough liquid funds right now. I got
43:22
Speaker 1: to free it up so I can do it again.
43:25
Speaker 1: That's gonna happen soon. I probably will actually put some
43:27
Speaker 1: money on the super Bowl at the very least, though.
43:29
Speaker 1: You got to. You got to, although I mean I
43:33
Speaker 1: happen to like the side in the Super Bowl though,
43:35
Speaker 1: like I wouldn't force it if I didn't like it.
43:38
Speaker 1: CBS Sports at nine pm are pals at Saint Louis.
43:41
Speaker 1: The Billickins are in action here legit team man. They
43:46
Speaker 1: rank nineteenth now and Kinbom has them like I think
43:48
Speaker 1: somewhere around like the twentieth best team as well. Saint
43:52
Speaker 1: Louis is for real. They're just rolling through the A
43:55
Speaker 1: ten right now. They just crush Dayton but I mean,
43:58
Speaker 1: at some point they're they're gonna have games where there's
44:00
Speaker 1: laying too many points, man Like they have had road
44:05
Speaker 1: games where they haven't covered, like at Duqueinne they did
44:07
Speaker 1: not cover. I don't know. It's tough to predict what
44:11
Speaker 1: Saint Louis is gonna do, man uh, whether they're gonna
44:14
Speaker 1: get blown, whether they're gonna blow a team out, or
44:17
Speaker 1: whether that team is gonna hang with them. So I
44:19
Speaker 1: don't know. But after a blowout of Dayton, which was
44:22
Speaker 1: a good spot for Saint Louis to bounce back, by
44:24
Speaker 1: the way, after they almost lost to George Washington, they
44:27
Speaker 1: showed up with extreme focus and they just pummeled Dayton.
44:30
Speaker 1: But now they're going back out on the road, maybe
44:32
Speaker 1: they won't have full focus in this one. Because that
44:34
Speaker 1: was a big win. Dayton's still one of the better
44:36
Speaker 1: teams in this conference. Can't say the same thing about
44:40
Speaker 1: Davidson here. Really, Davidson just a mediocre team. Easy to
44:44
Speaker 1: overlook them. Dayton just broke a losing street with a
44:47
Speaker 1: win at rich Middle That was a fairly satisfying win.
44:51
Speaker 1: You gotta think against Richmond, Dayton was a small underdog
44:55
Speaker 1: in that game, but nothing huge. I don't think you're
44:57
Speaker 1: gonna be overconfident after beating Richmond though, even if you
45:00
Speaker 1: do beat them on the road. But look at Davidson's
45:03
Speaker 1: prior to games though. Man, they were pretty competitive against
45:06
Speaker 1: VCU and George Mason. So the fact that they were
45:08
Speaker 1: competitive against the other good teams in the conference. I
45:11
Speaker 1: know Saint Louis is better than all those teams, but
45:15
Speaker 1: that does show you that Davidson probably can put together
45:18
Speaker 1: a competitive game here, and Saint Louis, coming off the
45:21
Speaker 1: win that they're coming off of, might actually overlook Davidson
45:24
Speaker 1: a little bit. So I would probably lean to taking
45:26
Speaker 1: the points with Davidson in this one. Seventy eight percent
45:29
Speaker 1: of the tickets are on Saint Louis, fifty two percent
45:32
Speaker 1: of the cash on Davidson. Saint Louis down from ten
45:35
Speaker 1: to nine and a half. Saint Louis is really no
45:37
Speaker 1: longer a secret though for anybody that's following college basketball.
45:40
Speaker 1: Everybody's gonna see that they have one loss on the season,
45:43
Speaker 1: no losses in conference, they're ranked. The public is on
45:46
Speaker 1: to them, you know what I mean. So the books
45:49
Speaker 1: are gonna have to skew the number towards them a
45:51
Speaker 1: little bit, even though a lot of times they keep
45:52
Speaker 1: obliterating that number. But in this game, I actually don't
45:55
Speaker 1: really think so. And it is still odd that Saint
45:58
Speaker 1: Louis is in the Atlantic Tan even though they are
46:01
Speaker 1: in Saint Louis, Missouri. So they have these weird travel spots. Oh,
46:05
Speaker 1: let's go down to Davidson and wherever the hell Davidson
46:08
Speaker 1: is North Carolina, South Carolina, somewhere I forget where it
46:11
Speaker 1: is one of the Carolinas. So it is another kind
46:14
Speaker 1: of weird travel spot for Saint Louis there, which might
46:16
Speaker 1: be not totally beneficial to them. Sometimes the break is beneficial. Well,
46:23
Speaker 1: I'm doing it because I got fired for covering Kanye West.
46:28
Speaker 1: So that's that's the state of America now, man, that's
46:33
Speaker 1: the state that we live in. You can go from
46:36
Speaker 1: a six figure income to absolutely nothing and basically not
46:39
Speaker 1: being able to get a job in that industry just
46:42
Speaker 1: because you play a song on ukulele. So that's awesome.
46:49
Speaker 1: Should we talk about Drake? I mean, I don't know.
46:51
Speaker 1: This game is not a TV game. It is on
46:53
Speaker 1: ESPN two. Drake is just not very good this year. Man.
46:56
Speaker 1: They're playing at Belmont Drake just lost to Bread, which
47:01
Speaker 1: Bradley has gotten their revenge, let's just say, because Drake
47:04
Speaker 1: beat them in the conference final last year. But of
47:06
Speaker 1: course Drake is a much different team this year. They're
47:09
Speaker 1: not as good, not even close. Bradley was able to
47:11
Speaker 1: sweep the season series against them. Drake coming off double
47:15
Speaker 1: digit loss at home to Bradley, they're not going to
47:18
Speaker 1: overlook Belmont. However, Belmont might show up with some focus though,
47:22
Speaker 1: because Drake gave Belmont a run for their money at home.
47:26
Speaker 1: Drake only lost by two, so Belmont might actually show
47:29
Speaker 1: up for this one. Because that's again that's one of
47:32
Speaker 1: the handicapping angles. I look at where what happened in
47:35
Speaker 1: the first meeting, and if the significantly better team almost
47:38
Speaker 1: lost the game, the public might take a look at
47:41
Speaker 1: and think, oh, well, if Drake played them competitively that time,
47:44
Speaker 1: they might be able to do it again, right, although
47:46
Speaker 1: they'll especially think that if they did it on the road.
47:49
Speaker 1: In this case, Drake did it at home and now
47:51
Speaker 1: they're going to be on the road. But even so,
47:53
Speaker 1: I think Belmont might remember that game and think, well,
47:55
Speaker 1: we didn't play well. Although there were only four and
47:58
Speaker 1: a half point favorites, but Drake almost was able to
48:01
Speaker 1: take them out. And now we see Drake just not
48:03
Speaker 1: playing that well. Belmont, we pretty much know, is the
48:06
Speaker 1: best team in this conference, so Belmont has some reasons
48:09
Speaker 1: to maybe refocus and show up in this game. However,
48:13
Speaker 1: Belmont is coming up that very good win against Murray
48:16
Speaker 1: State Man beating one of the best teams in the conference.
48:19
Speaker 1: That was a huge win for Belmont, So there is
48:22
Speaker 1: still the possibility they're gonna be in a letdown spot
48:24
Speaker 1: here and it makes matters worse. So they have to
48:26
Speaker 1: play Illinois Chicago and then Bradley in the next two games,
48:29
Speaker 1: and those are the other two of the top four
48:31
Speaker 1: teams in the conference standings right now, so that's not
48:34
Speaker 1: great either. So there is definitely an argument this is
48:37
Speaker 1: a bit of a sandwich spot that Belmont is in here.
48:39
Speaker 1: So I don't really love it. Yeah, I mean, I
48:45
Speaker 1: think I have to lean to Drake in this one.
48:48
Speaker 1: Belmont dropped from twelve to ten here, although based on
48:52
Speaker 1: ken Bum's numbers, Belmont is way way better than Drake,
48:55
Speaker 1: so I do think the line is not that high,
48:58
Speaker 1: like there actually might be some line value on Bell
49:00
Speaker 1: out of the line has dropped, But situationally, I do
49:03
Speaker 1: lean towards Drake. Here fifty to fifty on the tickets
49:06
Speaker 1: and then ninety percent of the cash on Drake, so
49:08
Speaker 1: it does look like the real money is coming in
49:10
Speaker 1: on Drake for what it's worth. The the public betters
49:14
Speaker 1: love Drake, Man, I don't even like Drake. You don't
49:17
Speaker 1: like the Drake? Hey, the Drake?
49:19
Speaker 2: Could you not like the Drake?
49:21
Speaker 1: Who's the Drake? Who Drake is good? Excuse me? The
49:27
Speaker 1: professional betters loved Drake. The public loved them in the
49:30
Speaker 1: tournament last year because they had a really pretty record
49:33
Speaker 1: under the the Ben McCollum regime there and then the
49:37
Speaker 1: they were really public side in that tournament, man, and
49:39
Speaker 1: they still pulled off the upset of Missouri because Missouri
49:43
Speaker 1: just wasn't ready for a Drake team that was gonna
49:45
Speaker 1: slow the pace to a crawl. And part of the
49:48
Speaker 1: reason why Drake won that game was also that Drake,
49:50
Speaker 1: even though all their guys and their coach had all
49:53
Speaker 1: moved up from a Division two school, the fact that
49:56
Speaker 1: that team had played together for like three straight years,
49:59
Speaker 1: they had a of chemistry and that's very very rare
50:02
Speaker 1: in the age of like the nil on the transfers now,
50:05
Speaker 1: so you don't really get teams like that very often.
50:07
Speaker 1: So that's pretty much how Drake was able to do that.
50:10
Speaker 1: But now Drake has lost all those guys. McCollum is
50:13
Speaker 1: over at Iowa, you know, as I keep pointing out
50:16
Speaker 1: whatever Drake in the state of Iowa by the way,
50:19
Speaker 1: so they probably are pissed about that. Ben McCollum went
50:22
Speaker 1: to the big boys, the big school in Iowa. One
50:26
Speaker 1: of them, Yeah, you don't like the Drake, And then
50:30
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure in that episode, I don't don't think
50:32
Speaker 1: give they give the Drake a TV as a wedding gift,
50:36
Speaker 1: and then he calls off the wedding and then keeps
50:39
Speaker 1: the TV if I remember correctly, and they all get
50:42
Speaker 1: mad about it. Oh thank you, sir. Yeah, I mean it. Yeah,
50:50
Speaker 1: I mean it opens up different opportunities, I guess, although
50:53
Speaker 1: I need to make money too, though, so that's that's
50:55
Speaker 1: kind of a kind of an issue. You know. Maybe
50:58
Speaker 1: I could do it through betting one once we start
51:00
Speaker 1: like ramping this thing up again. If I decide to
51:03
Speaker 1: do that, I don't know, but we will see. But
51:09
Speaker 1: I don't know. All my life, I've known that I'm
51:10
Speaker 1: not like just personality wise, I'm not built to like
51:15
Speaker 1: work for the man, you know. But I've I did
51:17
Speaker 1: it for like almost twenty years, and I'm considering going
51:20
Speaker 1: back to doing it against that I can make money,
51:22
Speaker 1: because I was making a good amount of money. But
51:25
Speaker 1: I don't know, a lot of these companies don't want
51:27
Speaker 1: me even though I do a software development and I'm
51:30
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I'm pretty good at it. Yes,
51:35
Speaker 1: you don't like to Drake, Yes, correct. I believe that's correct.
51:39
Speaker 1: The TV I should know. I've seen every Seinfeld episode
51:42
Speaker 1: multiple times. So yeah, one of my favorite shows on
51:47
Speaker 1: Nevada at Boise State. We got a good Mountain West
51:49
Speaker 1: matchup here. It's an interesting matchup. These teams are already playing
51:54
Speaker 1: in Nevada. Beat Boise in Nevada in Reno by fifteen boys.
52:00
Speaker 1: He looks like they're the significantly worst team here based
52:02
Speaker 1: on the records, but I've been telling you that power
52:04
Speaker 1: ratings wise, that's not really the case. Boise definitely a
52:08
Speaker 1: bit of an undervalued team right now, just because they
52:11
Speaker 1: haven't played well in conference, but they are starting to
52:14
Speaker 1: play better Boise. I think it's still I know I
52:16
Speaker 1: forgot to mention them in my bracketology last time. I
52:19
Speaker 1: think there's still one of the teams in the mix
52:21
Speaker 1: to potentially win the Mountain West, and once that conference
52:25
Speaker 1: tournament starts, Boise will be dangerous. Nevada is having to
52:29
Speaker 1: go to Boise now, they already beat them in Nevada.
52:33
Speaker 1: Like I said, Nevada is coming off a rivalry game
52:35
Speaker 1: where they beat UNLV. I know you on LV is
52:37
Speaker 1: not that good, but pretty satisfying when you beat down
52:40
Speaker 1: your little brother there. They might maybe not take Boise
52:44
Speaker 1: totally seriously, or Boise likes to play some real ugly
52:47
Speaker 1: games at home, slow the game way down. Boise coming
52:50
Speaker 1: off a loss to Grand Canyon, although that did halt
52:53
Speaker 1: a four game win streak for Boise. A lot of times,
52:56
Speaker 1: I don't like that when a team loses a win streak,
52:58
Speaker 1: sometimes they'll be hung over into the next game. But
53:02
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I'm a little bit I'm concerned
53:05
Speaker 1: about Boise though, because I thought that was a good
53:06
Speaker 1: opportunity for them to get a like a road revenge win,
53:10
Speaker 1: because Grand Canyon caught Boise in a very bad spot
53:13
Speaker 1: when Grand Canyon played them at Boise and It was
53:15
Speaker 1: a play I gave on on the show. Grand Canyon
53:18
Speaker 1: pulled off the upset at Bois, but Boys, he had
53:21
Speaker 1: played like a triple overtime game he at San Diego State.
53:24
Speaker 1: The game before that, they had Utah stay on decks.
53:27
Speaker 1: It was like a massive sandwich spot. So we got
53:30
Speaker 1: a nice win with that one that was explainable. But
53:32
Speaker 1: then going to Grand Canyon, I really thought, Boys, you
53:34
Speaker 1: would be able to get their revenge and that did
53:37
Speaker 1: not happen at all. So I don't know. I don't
53:40
Speaker 1: know what we're gonna get out of Boise this time,
53:42
Speaker 1: and so I do worry about that. And then if
53:43
Speaker 1: you look at their conference record here, they only have
53:48
Speaker 1: one good conference win. They did win at home against
53:50
Speaker 1: New Mexico, but other than that, all the rest of
53:53
Speaker 1: their wins are against the dregs of the conference pretty much.
53:55
Speaker 1: So I don't know. There are some things to worry
53:58
Speaker 1: about about Boise here as far as well. I already
54:02
Speaker 1: talked about Nevada. So I don't know. I don't know
54:04
Speaker 1: what we're gonna get out of this game. Man. The
54:06
Speaker 1: money I believe is coming in on the boys' side.
54:10
Speaker 1: They're six point favorite, which people are also going to
54:12
Speaker 1: look at that and say, how is like, how am
54:14
Speaker 1: I getting six points with Nevada when they have the
54:17
Speaker 1: better record and they already beat Boys about double digits, right,
54:20
Speaker 1: So it does look way too easy to take the
54:22
Speaker 1: points with Nevada. So when I see a line like that,
54:25
Speaker 1: I will want to lean towards the team where, you know,
54:29
Speaker 1: the team where the line makes no sense, right, Like
54:32
Speaker 1: I'll tend to want to fade the public. I want
54:35
Speaker 1: to fade the public in most like basically just by default,
54:39
Speaker 1: I want to do it. But you know, just because
54:42
Speaker 1: that's that's the way that it works. Like the public,
54:45
Speaker 1: I think they will lose more than half the time
54:48
Speaker 1: long term, sixty four percent of that's how the books
54:50
Speaker 1: make their money. Sixty four percent of the tickets are
54:53
Speaker 1: on Nevada, sixty five percent of the cash on Boys.
54:56
Speaker 1: They'll of course, they make their money with the vague,
54:59
Speaker 1: So it doesn't even really like if they can if
55:00
Speaker 1: they can actually split the action fifty to fifty, then
55:04
Speaker 1: they'll win regardless of what of the outcome. But in
55:07
Speaker 1: a lot of cases they'll be accepting like the public
55:09
Speaker 1: action on one side and be okay with it, like
55:13
Speaker 1: in this case, they probably had to know that. Oh,
55:15
Speaker 1: if we set the line at six, you know, the
55:18
Speaker 1: ticket percentage will be on Nevada, although they are getting
55:20
Speaker 1: the professional money on Boise here. So what do we
55:24
Speaker 1: want to do with this? I don't know, man. I mean,
55:25
Speaker 1: I lean towards Boise, but it's a tough call. Ken
55:29
Speaker 1: Bum actually has Nevada slightly better than Boise, so he
55:32
Speaker 1: would definitely be making the line. I would recommend buying
55:35
Speaker 1: ken Bum, as I always say, I tried to not
55:37
Speaker 1: like dive into his Paywalt stuff on the show. Doesn't
55:41
Speaker 1: cost that much to get ken Bum, so again, it's
55:44
Speaker 1: like probably like thirty a year or something thirty bucks.
55:48
Speaker 1: But based on his power ratings alone, you could tell
55:51
Speaker 1: because he has Nevada as the better team. He does
55:53
Speaker 1: not have Boise as a six point favorite here. He
55:55
Speaker 1: probably has them about four maybe less. Boise probably gets
56:00
Speaker 1: about four. For home course, their home court is pretty
56:03
Speaker 1: strong and they are gonna slow it down. Nevada does
56:07
Speaker 1: also slow it down, though, though I think actually surprisingly
56:10
Speaker 1: Boise is less slow than Nevada this year. I'm kind
56:14
Speaker 1: of surprised by that because Boise is usually one of
56:16
Speaker 1: the slowest teams out there gonna be a slow paced game,
56:22
Speaker 1: and maybe an undermakes sense in the game. Totals at
56:25
Speaker 1: one forty six. You got two teams that are decent
56:27
Speaker 1: defensively and play slow. So I don't know, but I'm
56:31
Speaker 1: avoiding the game though. No, don't like working for people. Yeah,
56:38
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm just not mentally built that way.
56:43
Speaker 1: Get ahead start. I was just doing it just to
56:45
Speaker 1: live the way that I wanted to live, Like, Okay,
56:47
Speaker 1: I'm gonna make a good amount of money here, you know.
56:50
Speaker 1: I don't know, just that was what I was doing.
56:54
Speaker 1: ESPN two, we have this ACC game nine pm. NC
56:57
Speaker 1: State at SMU. It's a good game. Both these teams
57:01
Speaker 1: are probably gonna make the tournament. I think NC State
57:04
Speaker 1: probably the slightly better team here. NC State just beat
57:08
Speaker 1: one of their rivals Wake coming off with that, I
57:11
Speaker 1: don't really think they're gonna overlook SMU. But it is
57:13
Speaker 1: a weird travel spot because SMU hasn't been in the
57:16
Speaker 1: ACC for very long, so having to go to Dallas
57:19
Speaker 1: as an ACC team is odd. It is also a
57:22
Speaker 1: lot of road games for nca State. A fourth road
57:24
Speaker 1: game in five games maybe won't be that easy for them.
57:28
Speaker 1: They're actually a road favorite here, by the way, which
57:30
Speaker 1: is interesting. So looking at the line, the public is
57:33
Speaker 1: probably not gonna want to lay the points. Like I know,
57:37
Speaker 1: they probably like the name NC State better than the
57:40
Speaker 1: name SMU, But like, looking at the records, would you
57:43
Speaker 1: really want to lay two and a half with the
57:45
Speaker 1: road team, I'm not so sure. Although the conference record
57:47
Speaker 1: is way better for NC State, but the oswegers are
57:50
Speaker 1: telling you that the significantly better team SMU did just
57:54
Speaker 1: take a blowout loss to Louisville. Not a blowof but
57:56
Speaker 1: they lost by double digits at Louisville kind of expected.
58:00
Speaker 1: Louisville's a solid team SMU coming back home. Now from that,
58:06
Speaker 1: I probably lead towards SMU in this one man n
58:09
Speaker 1: C State up from one to two here sixty's seventy
58:13
Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the money, loose like
58:15
Speaker 1: it is coming in an NC State. But I just
58:17
Speaker 1: think it's kind of a weird scheduling spot for them.
58:20
Speaker 1: I think the spot sets up a little bit better
58:21
Speaker 1: for SMU there coming off a loss which wasn't a
58:25
Speaker 1: closed loss. NC State weird travel spot, too many road
58:29
Speaker 1: games in quick succession, and coming off a win in
58:33
Speaker 1: a rival, well rivalry game, although I know they're the
58:36
Speaker 1: bigger brother on that rival, so the game doesn't matter
58:38
Speaker 1: as much to them. But that's how I look at
58:40
Speaker 1: that air Force at Grand Canyon. Really, the one thing
58:43
Speaker 1: to look at in this game is Grand Canyon just
58:45
Speaker 1: got their season sweep of Boise, another pretty big win
58:48
Speaker 1: over Boise there, so simply it could be a letdown
58:52
Speaker 1: spot for them against air Force. Air Force is miserable,
58:56
Speaker 1: although you know you're probably gonna get effort out of
58:58
Speaker 1: air Force because they're a military accounty. That means they're disciplined.
59:01
Speaker 1: They're still trying to get their first winning conference play.
59:06
Speaker 1: Probably gonna get effort, but they are bad man. But
59:08
Speaker 1: we'll see what happens here. They haven't played Grand Canyon
59:11
Speaker 1: yet this year, but it's an unfamiliar venue, so that
59:14
Speaker 1: might be part of the reason why Boise lost at
59:16
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. Though, is that Grand Canyons new to the
59:19
Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference, so these teams are not as familiar
59:21
Speaker 1: with going to their venue. But in this game, Grand
59:24
Speaker 1: Canyon is gonna be laying too many points. I think
59:26
Speaker 1: they're up to a twenty six point favorite. Air Force
59:29
Speaker 1: is awful, that is true, but total pretty low. One
59:33
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six. I would lean towards taking the
59:36
Speaker 1: points in that one, with Grand Canyon being in a
59:39
Speaker 1: potential let down. Rutgers at UCLA. Rutgers coming off now
59:45
Speaker 1: playing two pretty big games that they played close as underdogs.
59:50
Speaker 1: Rutgers took Michigan State into overtime at home two games ago,
59:55
Speaker 1: so I thought Rutgers was gonna be in a bad
59:57
Speaker 1: spot off of that, having to go all the way
59:59
Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast play USC unfamiliar environment. But I
1:00:03
Speaker 1: didn't love USC in the game either, because USC, I
1:00:05
Speaker 1: think was coming off a big game themselves, and Rutgers
1:00:08
Speaker 1: actually covered again and almost won the game as a
1:00:11
Speaker 1: pretty big underdog at USC. So now they're coming off
1:00:13
Speaker 1: two games in a row where they played really well
1:00:16
Speaker 1: as a big underdog. Now will they fall flat against UCLA?
1:00:19
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean it is a game that
1:00:20
Speaker 1: they should get up for because it's UCLA, big name.
1:00:24
Speaker 1: They are, of course ahead of Rutgers in the conference
1:00:26
Speaker 1: standings by quite a bit. They're adjusted to the time
1:00:30
Speaker 1: zone now at least, But I don't know what Rutgers
1:00:32
Speaker 1: is gonna have left in the tank. Man. They do
1:00:34
Speaker 1: have Nebraska on deck which is a huge game. Don't
1:00:37
Speaker 1: really necessarily think they'll overlook you at Ucla here though,
1:00:42
Speaker 1: Ucla though, well, Ucla is coming off losing at home
1:00:45
Speaker 1: to Indiana. I don't know if you consider that to
1:00:48
Speaker 1: be a big game, if you're UCLA or not. I
1:00:50
Speaker 1: mean Indiana. They do have a lot of name, a
1:00:52
Speaker 1: lot of weight behind their name, excuseually, a lot of
1:00:54
Speaker 1: name recognition. But Ucla was a home favored and lost
1:00:57
Speaker 1: that game, and now they're just staying at home and
1:01:00
Speaker 1: it's still an unfamiliar venue for Rutgers here. Ucla moved
1:01:04
Speaker 1: up from a thirteen a half point favorites of fourteen
1:01:06
Speaker 1: here doesn't make the money is coming in on Rutgers though,
1:01:09
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty on the tickets, sixty three percent of
1:01:11
Speaker 1: the cash on Rutgers. Ucla does play slow, and they
1:01:15
Speaker 1: don't really blow teams out that easily. The totals low
1:01:18
Speaker 1: of course, at one forty and a half. Both these
1:01:20
Speaker 1: teams play slow, ugly games. I don't know. I kind
1:01:24
Speaker 1: of just laying the points in that one though with Ucla,
1:01:28
Speaker 1: just because I don't I don't know what Rutgers is
1:01:29
Speaker 1: gonna have left in the tank as that game continues
1:01:32
Speaker 1: to progress. That's on Big ten Network nine to thirty
1:01:36
Speaker 1: pm Eastern. And then I said, I have a play. Well,
1:01:38
Speaker 1: we're gonna we're about to get to it right now,
1:01:41
Speaker 1: the one best bet that I have in college basketball.
1:01:44
Speaker 1: Here best bets, let's do it. We're gonna take USC
1:01:51
Speaker 1: plus one here against Indiana. It looks like the money
1:01:56
Speaker 1: is all over this. It looks like USC is now
1:01:58
Speaker 1: a favorite. So if you're gonna play it, I would say,
1:02:01
Speaker 1: play USC on the money line, or look at the
1:02:04
Speaker 1: spread market and see what you can get on the
1:02:07
Speaker 1: pickham price. So right now, it looks like it's around
1:02:09
Speaker 1: to pick them at minus one fifteen. But if you
1:02:11
Speaker 1: see that and then you see a money line, because
1:02:13
Speaker 1: it's a different market. If you see a money line
1:02:15
Speaker 1: at minus one ten, play that instead of playing the
1:02:17
Speaker 1: pick them minus one fifteen. You know what I mean.
1:02:20
Speaker 1: This is also why it's good to have a bunch
1:02:22
Speaker 1: of different books, because you can shop around find the
1:02:24
Speaker 1: best number on this. But it looks like it's gonna
1:02:26
Speaker 1: be USC money line now. But if you see a
1:02:28
Speaker 1: plus one out there, you can grab that as well.
1:02:31
Speaker 1: Indiana looks like the public side fifty eight percent of
1:02:34
Speaker 1: the tickets on them seventy one percent of the cash, though,
1:02:37
Speaker 1: looks like the real money is on USC, and I'm
1:02:39
Speaker 1: gonna agree. I will agree with this. Look at ken
1:02:43
Speaker 1: Baum's rankings here, he does have Indiana as the better team,
1:02:46
Speaker 1: which of course the osmakers are telling you they are.
1:02:50
Speaker 1: He's got Indiana thirty third, He's got USC down at fiftieth.
1:02:54
Speaker 1: Not a huge difference there. USC is lucky according to him,
1:02:58
Speaker 1: twenty second, which does worry me a little bit. Indiana
1:03:00
Speaker 1: is actually pretty unlucky according to ken Bum at two
1:03:04
Speaker 1: forty nine, So a lot of times I don't like
1:03:05
Speaker 1: to fade that luck disparity because that means that Indiana
1:03:08
Speaker 1: has underperformed based on their stats, and USC is overperformed.
1:03:14
Speaker 1: But looking at their other numbers here, the ken Bomb
1:03:16
Speaker 1: as they're not like like, these teams are not that
1:03:19
Speaker 1: far off from each other. Indiana is the better offense,
1:03:22
Speaker 1: USC is actually the better defense, and I do like
1:03:25
Speaker 1: to look towards the better defense, which does seem odd
1:03:28
Speaker 1: because USC does speed the game up and Indiana's actually
1:03:31
Speaker 1: slowing it down a bit this year, So weird to
1:03:34
Speaker 1: see the fast paced team being the better defense. But
1:03:37
Speaker 1: that is the case with USC, and I do like
1:03:39
Speaker 1: to lean towards the better defense in games that are
1:03:42
Speaker 1: close calls, and especially when they're an underdog, although in
1:03:45
Speaker 1: this case they're not gonna be an underdog, but I
1:03:49
Speaker 1: do like that. In the fact that USC might be
1:03:50
Speaker 1: able to speed this game up, I think I like
1:03:53
Speaker 1: that too because it could throw Indiana out of what
1:03:55
Speaker 1: they want to do, where they want to play slow
1:03:57
Speaker 1: and find good shots, slowing the game down. This game's
1:04:00
Speaker 1: on Peacock at ten pm, by the way, ten pm Eastern.
1:04:04
Speaker 1: But also the spot is not good for Indiana here man.
1:04:07
Speaker 1: Indiana came up that big upset of Purdue in an
1:04:11
Speaker 1: Indiana rivalry game in Indiana and Purdue big time rivalry.
1:04:16
Speaker 1: I think Indiana considered themselves to be the little brother
1:04:19
Speaker 1: in the state of Indiana. To produce that was a
1:04:21
Speaker 1: monster win. Then they had to go out to the
1:04:23
Speaker 1: Pacific Coast for a third road game in four games,
1:04:26
Speaker 1: and they still pulled off the upset over UCLA. And
1:04:29
Speaker 1: this was like three days ago, and it went into
1:04:31
Speaker 1: double overtime, and it ended, by the way that UCLA
1:04:34
Speaker 1: had won fourteen games in a row at home, by
1:04:37
Speaker 1: the way, So maybe another indicator on Ucla tonight. You
1:04:41
Speaker 1: need them to win by a huge margin, though not
1:04:43
Speaker 1: just win if you like Ucla. But anyway, that was
1:04:47
Speaker 1: a huge win for Indiana. Man. Again, two big wins
1:04:49
Speaker 1: in a row, going to Ucla off of the Purdue upset.
1:04:53
Speaker 1: They go to Ucla and play them double ot and
1:04:55
Speaker 1: beat them and upset them to in a back and
1:04:58
Speaker 1: forth game, crazy game. Ucla actually shot terribly in the game,
1:05:02
Speaker 1: so that's another thing I like to look at, Like
1:05:04
Speaker 1: what actually happened in this game. Well, Ucla had ten
1:05:08
Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in the game, but they shot
1:05:10
Speaker 1: thirty nine percent from the field and that's part of
1:05:13
Speaker 1: the reason they wound up losing the game. Man, So
1:05:15
Speaker 1: that indicates Ucla was doing better than Indiana in like
1:05:19
Speaker 1: the possession battle. Ucla outrebounded them, So that's not a
1:05:22
Speaker 1: good sign as far as looking for Indiana. I'm moving
1:05:26
Speaker 1: forward here in like in this game, Ucla actually did
1:05:30
Speaker 1: outplay them in the game, so the final score was
1:05:33
Speaker 1: a bit misleading. Now Indiana's coming up those two upsets.
1:05:36
Speaker 1: They got usc which is now fourth road game in
1:05:39
Speaker 1: five games and another unfamiliar venue for them, even though yeah,
1:05:42
Speaker 1: they're adjusted to the time zone, now, but I think
1:05:45
Speaker 1: it's a bad spot, man, any of Wisconsin on deck,
1:05:48
Speaker 1: and Wisconsin is obviously one of the staples of the
1:05:52
Speaker 1: Big Ten, and they're up above Indiana and the standings,
1:05:55
Speaker 1: whereas USC is behind them in the conference standings. So
1:06:00
Speaker 1: for that reason, they might overlook USC as well. Ucla
1:06:02
Speaker 1: by the ways ahead of Indiana in the standing. So
1:06:05
Speaker 1: this looks like kind of a sandwich spot, to be honest,
1:06:09
Speaker 1: even though USC has a decent record, And then looking
1:06:11
Speaker 1: at USC, USC just barely escaped against Rutgers and they're
1:06:15
Speaker 1: just staying at home here. And I talked about that USC.
1:06:18
Speaker 1: They were in a bad spot in that game though.
1:06:20
Speaker 1: That's what I thought. The USC had gone on the
1:06:23
Speaker 1: road and upset Wisconsin and then they almost came back
1:06:26
Speaker 1: and upset Iowa, which I'm not happy about because I
1:06:28
Speaker 1: gave out of Iowa in that game, minus the points
1:06:31
Speaker 1: that Iowa blew a huge lead in the second half.
1:06:33
Speaker 1: In that game, USC put in a huge effort, didn't
1:06:36
Speaker 1: go away. So I think they were flat coming off
1:06:38
Speaker 1: of those two games. Coming back home they almost lost
1:06:41
Speaker 1: to Rutgers. Now that they're back home for a second
1:06:43
Speaker 1: game off of bad performance against a very bad Rutgers team.
1:06:47
Speaker 1: I think that's gonna refocus USC coming into this one.
1:06:50
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like USC in that one. I think
1:06:53
Speaker 1: it's the best situational spot. The line is flipped again,
1:06:56
Speaker 1: by the way, so you may very well be able
1:06:57
Speaker 1: to get USC as an underdog here. I think the
1:07:00
Speaker 1: actual money is coming in on the USC side, So
1:07:03
Speaker 1: that's what we're doing there. USC is my one college
1:07:06
Speaker 1: basketball play. Fox Sports one has Mountain West, Action, UNLV,
1:07:10
Speaker 1: and Fresno. It's gonna be a long video here today, man,
1:07:14
Speaker 1: because we have to talk about hockey still. And although
1:07:18
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a ton of hockey today and
1:07:21
Speaker 1: NBA there's like ten or eleven games, so unfortunately, might
1:07:24
Speaker 1: have to take a quick break after I finished college basketball.
1:07:29
Speaker 1: I was hoping to have this video be like an
1:07:31
Speaker 1: hour and a half the stream. I may, but we'll
1:07:33
Speaker 1: say UNLV has lost three games in a row. They
1:07:36
Speaker 1: did just take that loss to their rival Nevada, but
1:07:40
Speaker 1: they lost by double digits, so I don't know they
1:07:42
Speaker 1: may bounce back off of that, but they do have
1:07:45
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon on deck. I don't know. They're playing Fresno,
1:07:47
Speaker 1: who isn't really a team that's gonna draw much of
1:07:49
Speaker 1: your focus, although UNLV is not playing well, so they
1:07:52
Speaker 1: might not really overlook anybody at this point. Fresno just
1:07:56
Speaker 1: beat air Force, not a big deal coming back home here,
1:07:59
Speaker 1: So this game I think both teams probably do show
1:08:02
Speaker 1: up here. Fresno initially did move from a pick them
1:08:04
Speaker 1: to a one point favorite, but it looks like the
1:08:06
Speaker 1: money is coming back on the UNLV side, with fifty
1:08:09
Speaker 1: to fifty on the tickets seventy five percent of the
1:08:11
Speaker 1: cash on UNLV. I don't have a good read on
1:08:14
Speaker 1: this game at all, and as you know, I pretty
1:08:16
Speaker 1: much entirely do sides in everything except for baseball. I
1:08:20
Speaker 1: guess I'll lean with the market on that one towards NLV.
1:08:23
Speaker 1: But I don't have a good opinion on this at all.
1:08:26
Speaker 1: There's no real scheduling advantage I don't think from one
1:08:29
Speaker 1: between one team or the other. And then the last
1:08:32
Speaker 1: game of the night in the degenerate hours here another
1:08:36
Speaker 1: Mountain West game CBS Sports. These last two games are
1:08:39
Speaker 1: at the same time, Wyoming at San Diego State. It's
1:08:43
Speaker 1: not that interesting of a game, but there might be
1:08:45
Speaker 1: some situational angle here. Wyoming. They've been on not a
1:08:50
Speaker 1: good stre not a good run here. Let's say they
1:08:52
Speaker 1: already lost by the way at home to the San
1:08:54
Speaker 1: Diego State team by seventeen, so they're gonna be in
1:08:58
Speaker 1: a road revenge spot here, and San Diego State might
1:09:01
Speaker 1: overlook them for that reason. Wyoming, they're gonna show up
1:09:05
Speaker 1: for the game. Most likely san Diego State sitting I
1:09:08
Speaker 1: think atop the conference now. They do have Utah State next.
1:09:12
Speaker 1: Wyoming does, but they're not gonna overlook san Diego State.
1:09:14
Speaker 1: San Diego State beat them in their house. If any
1:09:17
Speaker 1: team's gonna overlook this game, it's gonna be San Diego State.
1:09:20
Speaker 1: Wyoming did right the ship with a win against Colorado State,
1:09:23
Speaker 1: so they're coming into this game with a little bit
1:09:24
Speaker 1: of momentum of a win that's not like a huge
1:09:27
Speaker 1: win or anything. So I like that. Even though Colorado
1:09:31
Speaker 1: State won the conference tournament last year, they're not doing
1:09:34
Speaker 1: well this year. So Wyoming the spot's fine for them.
1:09:38
Speaker 1: It's actually a positive spot for them, I would say.
1:09:40
Speaker 1: But for San Diego State, they're coming off a close
1:09:42
Speaker 1: loss at Utah State. That was a huge game man,
1:09:46
Speaker 1: san Diego State. That was the first time they played
1:09:49
Speaker 1: them this season. I think Utah State is probably still
1:09:52
Speaker 1: the best team in the conference. They're actually ahead of
1:09:53
Speaker 1: San Diego State again because of that win. They're tied
1:09:57
Speaker 1: in the conference record, but ahead of them with the
1:10:00
Speaker 1: high breaker, so that was a huge game in San
1:10:02
Speaker 1: Diego's deep State fell just short on the road at
1:10:05
Speaker 1: Utah State, so I think they might be in a
1:10:07
Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot off of that, so I
1:10:09
Speaker 1: would lean towards Wyoming in this game. Plus the points
1:10:12
Speaker 1: San Diego State did move up from eleven and a
1:10:14
Speaker 1: half to thirteen here, and in a game where I
1:10:17
Speaker 1: think at least San Diego State is probably gonna be
1:10:20
Speaker 1: trying to slow the game down, although I think Wyoming
1:10:22
Speaker 1: plays slow as well makes points more at a premium here,
1:10:26
Speaker 1: the total is pretty low at one forty one one
1:10:29
Speaker 1: forty one and a half. Yeah, and San Diego State
1:10:32
Speaker 1: being in what I think is a hangover spot, I
1:10:34
Speaker 1: would lean towards Wyoming in this one here. Miyoming is
1:10:37
Speaker 1: not a horrible team. I mean, they're almost in again
1:10:39
Speaker 1: Bump's top one hundred, so they're not quite as bad
1:10:41
Speaker 1: as the record might make them look. San Diego State's
1:10:44
Speaker 1: not that good offensively, by the way, They're much better defensively,
1:10:48
Speaker 1: they actually play faster than I thought. Interestingly enough, they're
1:10:51
Speaker 1: actually a faster team this year, but they're not that
1:10:53
Speaker 1: good offensively. They still play low scoring games. They played defense,
1:10:57
Speaker 1: so that makes it more difficult for them to cover
1:10:59
Speaker 1: a huge number that so I lean towards Wyoming in
1:11:02
Speaker 1: that game plus the points. All right, NHL up next year.
1:11:07
Speaker 1: Not a ton of NHL to talk about here. I'm
1:11:11
Speaker 1: gonna take a quick break. I will be right back.
1:11:13
Speaker 1: I will then talk NHL and n b A and
1:11:19
Speaker 1: I don't know should I show the board? I don't.
1:11:20
Speaker 1: I don't really have much. I'll give you a little
1:11:23
Speaker 1: bit of an intermission on music here while I do this.
1:11:25
Speaker 1: Hang on all right, Yes, I have many renditions of
1:12:27
Speaker 1: the seventy six Ers theme song there. I don't even
1:12:31
Speaker 1: like the Sixers. I don't even like Philadelphia. I just
1:12:33
Speaker 1: like that song. I am a Boston fan. What's up, man,
1:12:39
Speaker 1: she squealed, Thanks for hanging out man, long show here. Alright, hockey,
1:12:43
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have one play in hockey here. First game
1:12:47
Speaker 1: up as Columbus, that New Jersey Columbus. They're on a
1:12:51
Speaker 1: bit of a wind streak here. They're playing well, actually, recently,
1:12:54
Speaker 1: they've won five games in a row, but they've had
1:12:57
Speaker 1: some time off, and I think that's a bad thing.
1:13:00
Speaker 1: They haven't played since Saturday, and sometimes when you have
1:13:03
Speaker 1: multiple days off, it could disrupt your momentum. That's not
1:13:06
Speaker 1: really good when you're on a wind streak. So I
1:13:07
Speaker 1: don't know if that's really a positive. They're not gonna
1:13:11
Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Chicago, who they just beat on
1:13:13
Speaker 1: the road, though, so maybe they will still show with
1:13:16
Speaker 1: focus on New Jersey. Here. Columbus is coming off beating
1:13:19
Speaker 1: Saint Louis, so that's not a very impressive win there.
1:13:23
Speaker 1: New Jersey did just take an ugly loss to Ottawa,
1:13:26
Speaker 1: which was also on Saturday, so they've had time off
1:13:29
Speaker 1: as well. But I think that's more of a positive
1:13:31
Speaker 1: for them because having an extra time off can disrupt
1:13:35
Speaker 1: that losing momentum as well. So I think it sets
1:13:39
Speaker 1: up better for the Devils in this one. So we
1:13:41
Speaker 1: will I'm not gonna give it out as a player
1:13:43
Speaker 1: or anything, but I lean to New Jersey in this one.
1:13:45
Speaker 1: Columbus is flipped from plus one hundred to minus one
1:13:48
Speaker 1: to fifteen on the money line, but it looks like
1:13:49
Speaker 1: they're getting the public action public just likes what they
1:13:53
Speaker 1: see recently. Man, Oh, Columbus is hot, you know, close game.
1:13:57
Speaker 1: Let's play them seventy seven percent of the tickets. But
1:14:00
Speaker 1: the real money looks like it is on the devils.
1:14:03
Speaker 1: Sixty of the cash on the devils. So not a play.
1:14:07
Speaker 1: But I lean to the devils in that one. Go
1:14:12
Speaker 1: rest the.
1:14:12
Speaker 2: Devil, buddy or number one? You mean anybody or the
1:14:15
Speaker 2: devil the devil.
1:14:28
Speaker 1: Yes, I've probably too many Seinfeld drops, but it's also
1:14:32
Speaker 1: not enough at the same time. All right, next game up,
1:14:35
Speaker 1: I think is my play? Yeah, exactly, Next game up
1:14:41
Speaker 1: is my play. Let's do it. Best bets for hockey here,
1:14:45
Speaker 1: it's just this one. I believe the market is agreeing
1:14:48
Speaker 1: with me. It was earlier. At least we're gonna go
1:14:51
Speaker 1: money line Philip Philadelphia. We're gonna go with the Flyers,
1:14:56
Speaker 1: not the Sixers. Here. Washington is at Philadelphia here. I
1:15:01
Speaker 1: like how this one sets up for the Flyers. Man,
1:15:03
Speaker 1: I think Washington could be in a bit of a
1:15:04
Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Here. Washington's on a three game win streak,
1:15:08
Speaker 1: beating Detroit in a shootout on the road, big win.
1:15:11
Speaker 1: Detroit's been playing well. Then they beat Caroline who was
1:15:15
Speaker 1: maybe still the best team in the Eastern Conference, probably
1:15:18
Speaker 1: between them and Tampa Bay or whatever. Really at this point,
1:15:21
Speaker 1: that was a huge win. That was overtime as well.
1:15:23
Speaker 1: That was Thursday and then Saturday, and that was also
1:15:26
Speaker 1: a return home spot for Washington. I always talk about
1:15:30
Speaker 1: how return home spots are bad because teams can get
1:15:34
Speaker 1: distracted by having to get back to family life and whatever.
1:15:37
Speaker 1: But they still got that win over Carolina. That was
1:15:39
Speaker 1: a huge win. And then they didn't have a letdown
1:15:41
Speaker 1: off of that either. They crushed the Islanders yesterday four
1:15:44
Speaker 1: to one. So I just don't think this is a
1:15:47
Speaker 1: good spot now for Washington. They have to make a
1:15:49
Speaker 1: trip to Philadelphia. I know it's a quick trip, but
1:15:52
Speaker 1: single game, it's not a road trip. And a lot
1:15:54
Speaker 1: of times with the road trip the first game, you'll
1:15:56
Speaker 1: be like focused to start the road trip. But when
1:15:59
Speaker 1: it's a single road game like this with no time
1:16:01
Speaker 1: off after pulling off these three big wins in a row,
1:16:04
Speaker 1: its teams that that have better records than Philadelphia does.
1:16:08
Speaker 1: I don't like it. Man. I said it was a sandwich.
1:16:10
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a sandwich. I think it
1:16:12
Speaker 1: is a letdown spot. Though for Washington, it is a
1:16:14
Speaker 1: bad spot here, so I don't know if they're really
1:16:16
Speaker 1: gonna have that effort again in this game against Philadelphia. Man,
1:16:21
Speaker 1: So they're gonna have to switch goalies again. It looks
1:16:23
Speaker 1: like they've been alternating goalies. I don't know if it
1:16:25
Speaker 1: really matters. I don't know who they will use as
1:16:28
Speaker 1: they're goaling in this game, but I don't think it
1:16:30
Speaker 1: matters that much, to be honest, because Washington was playing
1:16:33
Speaker 1: a pretty poor lace then they switched up goalies, and
1:16:37
Speaker 1: I don't know if that was really gonna last. Although
1:16:39
Speaker 1: maybe they will actually look ahead to Nashville as well,
1:16:41
Speaker 1: by the way, because they did lose at Nashville back
1:16:44
Speaker 1: on January eleventh, So maybe I just think Philadelphia right
1:16:50
Speaker 1: now they're kind of easy to overlook because they haven't
1:16:52
Speaker 1: played well. But this spot sets up way better for Philadelphia.
1:16:57
Speaker 1: They've been playing some awful hockey over the last month, man,
1:17:00
Speaker 1: so I don't think teams are gonna take them seriously
1:17:02
Speaker 1: at this point. And now they've lost four games in
1:17:04
Speaker 1: a row, but they've been off since Saturday, so they
1:17:07
Speaker 1: have a massive rest advantage here. I think the rest
1:17:10
Speaker 1: is gonna help because they went into that rest on
1:17:12
Speaker 1: a four game losing streak, so I was talking about it,
1:17:15
Speaker 1: that rest, it can definitely help you when you're on
1:17:17
Speaker 1: a losing streak, break that losing momentum. Man, So I
1:17:20
Speaker 1: think that might be what that will do here, That
1:17:24
Speaker 1: rest should serve them. Well, they have multiple days rest
1:17:27
Speaker 1: advantage here. I know that it's gonna be factored into
1:17:29
Speaker 1: the line, but I'm not sure it's factored in enough.
1:17:31
Speaker 1: And actually, it looks like we can get better than
1:17:33
Speaker 1: minus one thirty on this now Philadelphia down from minus
1:17:36
Speaker 1: one thirty to minus one twenty. Now sixty seven percent
1:17:39
Speaker 1: of tickets around Washington, but fifty two percent of the
1:17:42
Speaker 1: cash on the Flyers. So it looks like the real
1:17:44
Speaker 1: money is agreeing with me on the Flyers. That is
1:17:47
Speaker 1: my one play in hockey today. And yeah, the Flyers
1:17:51
Speaker 1: their last loss was to the Kings, so not even
1:17:54
Speaker 1: It's not like they had a big performance that gets
1:17:56
Speaker 1: a good team. Nope, that wasn't the case. They just
1:17:58
Speaker 1: they lost at home. I believe to a team, it's
1:18:01
Speaker 1: mediocre and the Kings are good on the road though,
1:18:05
Speaker 1: so I will give them that. That is my one
1:18:07
Speaker 1: hockey play though, all right, Ottawa at Carolina. Ottawa, they're
1:18:13
Speaker 1: on a nice run. Man. They're playing well with oh
1:18:15
Speaker 1: Mark back as well. He has played their last two
1:18:18
Speaker 1: games and they won both of them. Although he's not
1:18:20
Speaker 1: gonna be in net tonight though, so that is gonna
1:18:23
Speaker 1: be a downgrade for Ottawa because he's clearly their best goalie.
1:18:26
Speaker 1: They're on a back to back, so they're not gonna
1:18:28
Speaker 1: use them tonight. They're playing a third game in four
1:18:30
Speaker 1: days as well, all in different cities. That's gonna make
1:18:33
Speaker 1: it a little bit difficult for Ottawa here. They're going
1:18:36
Speaker 1: down from Pittsburgh to Carolina here. Now, they're not gonna
1:18:39
Speaker 1: overlook Carolina. Carolina might in fact overlook Ottawa because Carolina
1:18:43
Speaker 1: just beat Ottawa in Ottawa back on January twenty fourth,
1:18:47
Speaker 1: So focus wise, yeah, Ottawa should be focused here. But
1:18:50
Speaker 1: I just worry about the travel spot for them and
1:18:54
Speaker 1: having to play on a back to back. But yeah,
1:18:56
Speaker 1: for Carolina, they definitely might overlook Ottawa because they do
1:18:59
Speaker 1: just again beat them on the road not that long ago.
1:19:03
Speaker 1: They're coming off of a close game over the winning
1:19:06
Speaker 1: over the La Kings, though Carolina they did have yesterday off.
1:19:09
Speaker 1: They are staying at home that wasn't a big win
1:19:12
Speaker 1: against the Kings, and their game up next against the
1:19:14
Speaker 1: Rangers at this point, that's not a huge game because
1:19:16
Speaker 1: the Rangers haven't been very good. Carolina has to go
1:19:20
Speaker 1: up to Madison Square Garden for that one game, though,
1:19:23
Speaker 1: which is very weird. Although that's their last game before
1:19:26
Speaker 1: the Olympic break though, which I'm not gonna I'm not
1:19:30
Speaker 1: gonna be doing anything with the Olympics. I don't think so.
1:19:32
Speaker 1: I never do. Although hockey might be a little bit
1:19:35
Speaker 1: interesting in the Olympics. But it's gonna be a nice
1:19:39
Speaker 1: break for me because we have so much college basketball
1:19:42
Speaker 1: going on. It'll be a nice break to not have
1:19:44
Speaker 1: to handicap hockey for like three weeks. So that'll be good.
1:19:49
Speaker 1: One thing to like about the Olympics. But anyway, what
1:19:52
Speaker 1: do we want to do with this game? I don't
1:19:53
Speaker 1: even know, man, let me see all the money's coming. Well, actually,
1:19:59
Speaker 1: Carolina dropped all the way from minus two twenty to
1:20:01
Speaker 1: minus one fifty nine, so I don't know. I don't
1:20:04
Speaker 1: know how or why the line would drop that much
1:20:07
Speaker 1: when I'm assuming Auto was not using all mark and nets.
1:20:10
Speaker 1: So they're gonna be downgrading their goalie by switching back
1:20:14
Speaker 1: to one of the other goalies. Carolina does have seventy
1:20:17
Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash
1:20:19
Speaker 1: on them, so it looks like after the line drop,
1:20:21
Speaker 1: the money is now coming in on the Carolina side.
1:20:24
Speaker 1: I don't get it. I don't understand why that line
1:20:26
Speaker 1: moved like that. And Auto was on the back to
1:20:29
Speaker 1: back again, like I said so, and it was a
1:20:33
Speaker 1: close game for them against a Pittsburgh team. It's hot too,
1:20:36
Speaker 1: That's that's what they did yesterday. They got the win
1:20:38
Speaker 1: over Pittsburgh. So I kind of prefer Carolina in this game. Man.
1:20:42
Speaker 1: It would be either money line or make your own
1:20:45
Speaker 1: minus one puck line or something on that. But I
1:20:47
Speaker 1: don't really have a great read on that game at all.
1:20:49
Speaker 1: And I don't understand why the line is moved like that. Garrett,
1:20:55
Speaker 1: what's up? Man? What are we talking about? They were
1:21:01
Speaker 1: up thirty two with nine minutes left, one by ten
1:21:04
Speaker 1: and the line was ten and a half. Oh UNC
1:21:08
Speaker 1: against Syracuse, I think is what you're talking about, right. Yeah,
1:21:12
Speaker 1: I didn't see much of that game, so I don't know.
1:21:14
Speaker 1: But was wait, the line was ten and a half.
1:21:18
Speaker 1: I thought it was higher than that. Really, I don't know.
1:21:21
Speaker 1: I closed Uh, I already closed it. Man, let me see. Oh,
1:21:26
Speaker 1: actually the game was right there. Oh let me see.
1:21:31
Speaker 1: Wait was this was this last night I'm doing I'm
1:21:34
Speaker 1: all messed up. Yeah, this says the line was eleven
1:21:37
Speaker 1: and a half at close. It looks like it was
1:21:40
Speaker 1: eleven and a half. But yeah, pretty much. Yeah, I
1:21:43
Speaker 1: don't know. This stuff could be rigged. Man. Uh yeah,
1:21:46
Speaker 1: you would see. Yeah, they were up. Yeah, there you are.
1:21:48
Speaker 1: They're up thirty two with less than ten minutes ago.
1:21:51
Speaker 1: That's insane, dude, and Syracuse cut it to seven with
1:21:58
Speaker 1: like a minute ago. That's why I did not see that.
1:22:01
Speaker 1: That's the way that game played out. That is crazy.
1:22:06
Speaker 1: You're gonna bet on the Olympics. I mean, I think
1:22:07
Speaker 1: a lot of the same strategies apply, like in the
1:22:10
Speaker 1: team sports, you know, like fading teams that potentially fading
1:22:14
Speaker 1: teams coming off huge wins, jumping on teams that looked
1:22:19
Speaker 1: really bad in the previous game, potentially stuff like that. Yeah,
1:22:24
Speaker 1: go to the Carrier Dome, man, you could have watched
1:22:26
Speaker 1: one of the wins I gave out on the show
1:22:28
Speaker 1: I gave out Syracuse over the weekend when they had
1:22:31
Speaker 1: Notre Dame coming in. Notre Dame was in a terrible spot.
1:22:34
Speaker 1: We got the win with Syracuse in that one. All right,
1:22:38
Speaker 1: Buffalo at Tampa Bay, I don't even think I want
1:22:41
Speaker 1: to talk about Tampa Bay. Hulu is where this game's at.
1:22:45
Speaker 1: Buffalo is hot right now. Man, Buffalo just be Florida yesterday,
1:22:50
Speaker 1: So they're on the Florida back to back here now.
1:22:52
Speaker 1: They did a rest before that, though, so maybe they'll
1:22:55
Speaker 1: be okay playing the back to back here because they
1:22:58
Speaker 1: had two days off prior to that. It's a big
1:23:00
Speaker 1: win over Florida, though this is again Florida's the returney champs,
1:23:03
Speaker 1: two time returning champs. Still a little bit difficult to
1:23:07
Speaker 1: have to travel with no time off. They're going to
1:23:10
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, but Tampa Bay's coming off. I mean, I
1:23:12
Speaker 1: think you could take this game two ways. They beat
1:23:15
Speaker 1: the Bruins, which I'm really really pissed about, because the
1:23:18
Speaker 1: Bruins are winning that game five to one. In the
1:23:21
Speaker 1: second period, they lost the game. They'd pretty much blown
1:23:25
Speaker 1: the entire lead by the end of the second period,
1:23:27
Speaker 1: which is insane, and I'm blaming Jeremy Swayman for that
1:23:31
Speaker 1: fucking loss. Too, because he was in net and he
1:23:34
Speaker 1: decided to leave net and fight Vasselevsky. He lost the fight,
1:23:39
Speaker 1: and then he fucking sucked for the rest of the game.
1:23:43
Speaker 1: Like what are you doing, dude, I'm so pissed about
1:23:46
Speaker 1: that game. But you could take it two ways. Now,
1:23:49
Speaker 1: So one you could say, well, Tampa had to put
1:23:51
Speaker 1: in a huge effort, it was a huge game because
1:23:53
Speaker 1: it was one of those weird spectacles. It was an
1:23:56
Speaker 1: outdoor game in Raymond James Stadium, so they won a
1:24:01
Speaker 1: big game. So you could take it that way, or
1:24:03
Speaker 1: you could take it the other way. Well, Tampa was
1:24:05
Speaker 1: actually a big favorite in that game, and they barely
1:24:08
Speaker 1: got by that game, so they didn't play well, had
1:24:11
Speaker 1: to win in a shootout, So you could take it
1:24:13
Speaker 1: both of those ways. But you could also point out
1:24:16
Speaker 1: the fact that what they had to play an overtime
1:24:17
Speaker 1: period although I think in hockey it's only like five
1:24:20
Speaker 1: minutes or whatever, and then they played in a shoot
1:24:23
Speaker 1: maybe it's ten and then they played the shootout, so
1:24:26
Speaker 1: they did have to play extra hockey. So how do
1:24:28
Speaker 1: we figure out what to do with this game? Like
1:24:30
Speaker 1: which one is it gonna be? Are they gonna bounce back?
1:24:32
Speaker 1: Off a bad performance as a favorite, or do they
1:24:34
Speaker 1: put in so much effort in that game that they're
1:24:37
Speaker 1: gonna be flat here. But then again, also, I don't
1:24:40
Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook Buffalo because Buffalo's hot. Tampa Bay
1:24:44
Speaker 1: does have Florida on deck, which is a big game,
1:24:46
Speaker 1: but both these games are big. Buffalo's not gonna overlook them.
1:24:50
Speaker 1: Buffalo's on a back to back, so this game is
1:24:52
Speaker 1: so hard to figure out, man, I think an over
1:24:56
Speaker 1: might be the way I would look at this game.
1:24:57
Speaker 1: The total is high for a reason, to six and
1:25:00
Speaker 1: a half. I don't trust Buffalo's goaltending. I don't know
1:25:03
Speaker 1: what they're doing with it on the back to back.
1:25:06
Speaker 1: I know Tampa's coming off a very high scoring game,
1:25:08
Speaker 1: so it almost looks too easy to go over. But
1:25:11
Speaker 1: based on the fact that both teams are kind of
1:25:13
Speaker 1: in bad spots here, I think that's the way that
1:25:15
Speaker 1: I would look in this one. Tampa Bay down for
1:25:19
Speaker 1: minus two thirty five to minus one seventy seven on
1:25:21
Speaker 1: the money line, I don't know what's going on with
1:25:23
Speaker 1: that money line move there. Uh, fifty eight percent of
1:25:26
Speaker 1: the tickets is seventy two percent of the cash on Tampa.
1:25:28
Speaker 1: So it looks like the actual money is on the
1:25:31
Speaker 1: Tampa side for now. I'm not going to disagree with it.
1:25:35
Speaker 1: I mean, they are staying at home, they do have
1:25:37
Speaker 1: a day of rest at least. Uh. Again, you can
1:25:39
Speaker 1: make the argument that they should have won that game
1:25:41
Speaker 1: more easily against the Bruins and just played horribly until
1:25:45
Speaker 1: the fighting started. So I don't know, man, what do
1:25:51
Speaker 1: you what do you mean? Good calls? What? All? Right?
1:25:56
Speaker 1: Then we have another TV game. There's a double hender
1:25:58
Speaker 1: on TNTN HBO. The first game is at seven thirty
1:26:02
Speaker 1: and it's a decent one. Pittsburgh at the New York Islanders.
1:26:06
Speaker 1: Although I think the Islanders are the better team here Pittsburgh,
1:26:10
Speaker 1: I don't trust them still, and they have a lot
1:26:12
Speaker 1: of ot losses. So, like I said, they're a little
1:26:14
Speaker 1: bit overrated because they're winning a lot of close games.
1:26:18
Speaker 1: They just lost a seven game win streak losing to
1:26:21
Speaker 1: Ottawa yesterday at home. And I usually point out when
1:26:25
Speaker 1: a team loses a huge win streak like that, a
1:26:27
Speaker 1: lot of times they'll lose the same game twice and
1:26:30
Speaker 1: be hung over after that loss. So maybe that'll be
1:26:33
Speaker 1: the case here. They might lose that game twice, even
1:26:35
Speaker 1: though that was not a great loss to Ottawa, although
1:26:39
Speaker 1: it is audible with Ohmark back, that was a home
1:26:41
Speaker 1: loss where Pittsburgh was the favorite, I'm pretty sure, although
1:26:44
Speaker 1: it was a small favorite. Now, I'm not that impressed
1:26:47
Speaker 1: by Pittsburgh's win streak that they had going on there
1:26:49
Speaker 1: because really most of those games were against very unimpressive teams.
1:26:53
Speaker 1: They pulled off a lot of road ups that road wins,
1:26:56
Speaker 1: excuse me. Really, the only great win that was in
1:26:58
Speaker 1: there was the one against Edmundson, though, so I'm still
1:27:01
Speaker 1: not sold on Pittsburgh. They're having to travel to New
1:27:04
Speaker 1: York now with no time off, playing a third game
1:27:06
Speaker 1: in four days, traveling between yesterday and today, could be
1:27:10
Speaker 1: hung over after losing the win streak, so I don't
1:27:12
Speaker 1: love the spot for Pittsburgh. For the Islanders here, they
1:27:16
Speaker 1: also played yesterday, but they lost four to one. So yes,
1:27:20
Speaker 1: they're having to travel back from Washington, which isn't that
1:27:23
Speaker 1: great either. But I think they're actually the better team here,
1:27:27
Speaker 1: and people might think this is like a close matchup
1:27:31
Speaker 1: between two good teams, but I do think the Islanders
1:27:33
Speaker 1: are the better team. I think the fact that they're
1:27:35
Speaker 1: coming off a worse game yesterday, and it wasn't a
1:27:38
Speaker 1: game that ended up win streak for them or anything
1:27:40
Speaker 1: like that, losing at Washington. They're also playing a third
1:27:44
Speaker 1: game in four days with travel between these two games.
1:27:46
Speaker 1: But I prefer the Islanders in this spot. I think
1:27:49
Speaker 1: it's a better bounce back spot for them, So I
1:27:52
Speaker 1: would go with the Islanders in this game if I was
1:27:54
Speaker 1: gonna play. The money seems like it's a green and
1:27:56
Speaker 1: we have fifty two percent of the tickets on the Penguins,
1:27:59
Speaker 1: but the cash on the Islanders, so money looks like
1:28:03
Speaker 1: it is on the Islanders. And they actually dropped from
1:28:05
Speaker 1: minus one thirty to minus one toweight, which is weird
1:28:08
Speaker 1: because so Racan did not play for the Islanders in
1:28:12
Speaker 1: net yesterday, and I think he's their better goalie, so
1:28:14
Speaker 1: I would imagine he's playing tonight, So I don't know
1:28:17
Speaker 1: why the line dropped like this, although I believe Pittsburgh
1:28:20
Speaker 1: did not use Skinner last night, so they'll use him tonight,
1:28:23
Speaker 1: so both teams will have their better goaliean net. But
1:28:26
Speaker 1: I don't like. I don't think Skinner's that good man.
1:28:29
Speaker 1: I think Sorocan is better, so I don't know there's
1:28:31
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff going on in this game. Don't
1:28:33
Speaker 1: know why the line would have dropped on the Islanders
1:28:35
Speaker 1: like this, because again I think they're the better of
1:28:37
Speaker 1: the two teams, and they're getting less than home ice now,
1:28:40
Speaker 1: even though the line opened higher than that, the line
1:28:44
Speaker 1: basically was indicating they were the better team. So I
1:28:46
Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with that money line move.
1:28:50
Speaker 1: But yes, I like the Islanders in the game. Oh
1:28:57
Speaker 1: after Syracuse, I don't know, yeah, I mean things might
1:28:59
Speaker 1: be rigged, man, I don't know a message delay, Yeah,
1:29:06
Speaker 1: I don't know. Hopefully my internet is doing all right.
1:29:11
Speaker 1: Toronto at Edmonton in a Battle of Canada. Toronto's just
1:29:17
Speaker 1: not playing that well though, although they've won two games
1:29:19
Speaker 1: in a row against very bad teams basically Vancouver Calgary.
1:29:23
Speaker 1: Vancouver is very bad. Calgary is not great. H Toronto's
1:29:28
Speaker 1: now on a back to back. They're playing a third
1:29:29
Speaker 1: game in four days, fourth game in six days, in
1:29:32
Speaker 1: a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities,
1:29:34
Speaker 1: which is not great. So having a lot of travel,
1:29:39
Speaker 1: having to play a lot of games in quick succession,
1:29:41
Speaker 1: that's not great. They should not overlook Edmonton. But and
1:29:46
Speaker 1: this is their last game before the Olympic break, by
1:29:49
Speaker 1: the way, But yeah, I mean, just the rest spot
1:29:55
Speaker 1: is not very good. The rest advantage is huge for
1:29:57
Speaker 1: Edmonton here. It's very a very very bad rest spot
1:30:01
Speaker 1: for Toronto. But for Edmonton. They just got crushed seven
1:30:04
Speaker 1: to three at home against Minnesota and they haven't played
1:30:06
Speaker 1: since then. They've been off since Saturday and they're just
1:30:09
Speaker 1: staying at home. So the spot is just way better
1:30:11
Speaker 1: for Edmonton here to bounce back from that, although you
1:30:14
Speaker 1: know it's gonna be factored into the line to some extent,
1:30:17
Speaker 1: But the money looks like it's still on Edmonton and
1:30:19
Speaker 1: they actually drop from minus two point five to minus
1:30:22
Speaker 1: one to seventy seven. So I don't know what's going
1:30:23
Speaker 1: on with the with that market movee either. I don't
1:30:26
Speaker 1: get it. Seventy one percent tickets, ninety six percent of
1:30:30
Speaker 1: the cash on Edmonton. Money is on Edmonton. I mean, yeah,
1:30:35
Speaker 1: I mean somebodys you do have to gauge, like if
1:30:36
Speaker 1: teams have like big name players that are gonna be
1:30:38
Speaker 1: in the Olympics, like are they gonna is that gonna
1:30:41
Speaker 1: be an added distraction for any of these teams. I
1:30:43
Speaker 1: don't know. I'm just kind of ignoring that part of
1:30:46
Speaker 1: the handicap for the most part. But yeah, I mean
1:30:49
Speaker 1: I would lead towards Edmonton in this game as well.
1:30:51
Speaker 1: I don't know why the line dropped like this, and
1:30:53
Speaker 1: the money looks like it does agree on that one.
1:30:56
Speaker 1: And then the final game is the other tnt HBO
1:30:59
Speaker 1: Max game, which is not a great one. Seattle at Anaheim.
1:31:03
Speaker 1: Seattle is not a very good team. Anaheim not that
1:31:06
Speaker 1: good either. I think both teams are pretty overrated, to
1:31:08
Speaker 1: be honest. Seattle's won four games in a row and
1:31:12
Speaker 1: they just beat Vegas. But now they've had two days off,
1:31:16
Speaker 1: and again I'm gonna talk about this because again, having
1:31:19
Speaker 1: multiple days off could disrupt your momentum man break that
1:31:23
Speaker 1: win stream for you. So that's not great and it
1:31:25
Speaker 1: could be a letdown spot. Because they beat Vegas. That
1:31:28
Speaker 1: was the first game of the road trip, so they
1:31:30
Speaker 1: were definitely very focused. Now they might not overlook Anaheim
1:31:33
Speaker 1: because Anaheim did just beat Seattle in Seattle on January
1:31:36
Speaker 1: twenty third, So there is a little bit of a
1:31:38
Speaker 1: quick road revenge angle here. So Seattle may show up
1:31:42
Speaker 1: focused for that reason, and or Anaheim might overlook them
1:31:46
Speaker 1: for that reason. Anaheim also just beat Vegas on Sunday.
1:31:50
Speaker 1: They're staying at home, they have one fewer day off.
1:31:52
Speaker 1: Both teams could be in the let down off of
1:31:54
Speaker 1: playing Vegas. Anaheim does have a big game up next
1:31:57
Speaker 1: against Edmonton, though, although well that's not until after the
1:32:00
Speaker 1: break though, so I don't know. I don't know if
1:32:02
Speaker 1: we care about that that much, but so the look
1:32:06
Speaker 1: ahead spots might be a little bit mitigated when we
1:32:08
Speaker 1: when we're dealing with these last games before the Olympic break.
1:32:13
Speaker 1: The money is coming in on it on Anaheim, even
1:32:15
Speaker 1: though they dropped for minus one fifty one twenty seven,
1:32:18
Speaker 1: so a big drop on Anaheim. But we see sixty
1:32:21
Speaker 1: two percent of tickets on Seattle. The public wants to
1:32:24
Speaker 1: support Seattle here because they've looked hot recently, even though
1:32:27
Speaker 1: they're not as good as they look Anaheim eighty one
1:32:30
Speaker 1: percent of the cash. The money coming in on Anaheim.
1:32:34
Speaker 1: I'll probably agree with it, because I think the extra
1:32:36
Speaker 1: rest actually hurts Seattle, and both teams are in a
1:32:39
Speaker 1: letdown spot off of being Vegas. It is that road
1:32:42
Speaker 1: revenge angle for Seattle though, or maybe Anaheim won't take
1:32:45
Speaker 1: them seriously. But because it is Anaheim's last game before
1:32:48
Speaker 1: the break, maybe they will actually show up for it.
1:32:51
Speaker 1: So not a strong opinion for me on that one,
1:32:55
Speaker 1: but that's what I think about it. It's to NBA
1:32:57
Speaker 1: and then I'll get out of here. We have a
1:32:58
Speaker 1: lot of NBA games here. I've got one play in
1:33:02
Speaker 1: the NBA. Denver at Detroit is a pretty good game.
1:33:05
Speaker 1: First game up seven PM. A few games are at
1:33:08
Speaker 1: seven pm, but this is the first one on the schedule. Yeah, breaks,
1:33:16
Speaker 1: they'll basically break whatever. That's what I talk about, Like
1:33:19
Speaker 1: with like football buys, they'll basically break whatever your momentum is.
1:33:23
Speaker 1: So if you're playing poorly, it will help you, and
1:33:25
Speaker 1: if you're playing well, you don't want that break and
1:33:27
Speaker 1: the break might hurt you generally. Denver coming into this game,
1:33:32
Speaker 1: I've a losing it home to Oklahoma City. That was
1:33:34
Speaker 1: a big game, but it was wasn't really that close
1:33:37
Speaker 1: down the stretch. So I don't think they're gonna overlook Detroit.
1:33:39
Speaker 1: You know, it's the first game of a road trip.
1:33:43
Speaker 1: You're not gonna You're not gonna overlook. Plus, this is
1:33:45
Speaker 1: a Detroit team that just beat Denver in Denver back
1:33:48
Speaker 1: on January twenty seventh, So this is the chance at
1:33:51
Speaker 1: road revenge here for Detroit. So I don't really think
1:33:53
Speaker 1: they're gonna for Denver. Excuse me, So I don't think
1:33:56
Speaker 1: they're really gonna overlook Detroit here. Man, Yo Kiches back
1:34:00
Speaker 1: now as well, and he was not playing in that
1:34:01
Speaker 1: game or they lost to Detroit a little while ago,
1:34:04
Speaker 1: so but of course that's gonna factor into the line
1:34:07
Speaker 1: as well. Now the spot for Detroit. They just annihilated
1:34:11
Speaker 1: Brooklyn on Sunday. They're staying at home. But when you
1:34:14
Speaker 1: beat a team that bad, I mean that that's an
1:34:16
Speaker 1: insane score, like what is that one? Thirty to seventy seven.
1:34:21
Speaker 1: So they beat them by fifty three? Is that math right?
1:34:26
Speaker 1: I mean, whenever you beat a team by fifty three,
1:34:28
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be feeling really really good about yourselves. Man.
1:34:31
Speaker 1: I mean, they're not gonna overlook Denver. But they did
1:34:34
Speaker 1: beat Denver on the road, although again it was without
1:34:36
Speaker 1: jokicch But yeah, to me, I probably have to prefer
1:34:40
Speaker 1: the Denver side in this one. And the money is agreeing.
1:34:43
Speaker 1: It looks like Pistons dropped from six and a half
1:34:45
Speaker 1: to four here, so some market movement against the Pistons
1:34:49
Speaker 1: here I don't know if they have somebody resting, or
1:34:52
Speaker 1: maybe the Nuggets have some injured player coming back. Although
1:34:54
Speaker 1: we know Jokic is already back, Nuggets have been dealing
1:34:57
Speaker 1: with some injuries. Though sixty two percent of the t
1:35:00
Speaker 1: gets an eighty one percent of the cash on the Nuggets,
1:35:02
Speaker 1: I agree with that cash disparity, and with that move,
1:35:05
Speaker 1: I would lean towards the Nuggets in that game, even
1:35:08
Speaker 1: though they are coming off playing a bigger game in
1:35:10
Speaker 1: their previous game, I think the spot does still set
1:35:14
Speaker 1: up better for them. The Nuggets have actually been better
1:35:15
Speaker 1: on the road than at home, believe it or not.
1:35:18
Speaker 1: So even though the Pistons are very good at home
1:35:21
Speaker 1: nineteen and five, the Nuggets are nineteen and seven on
1:35:23
Speaker 1: the road, so they've been a good road team, So
1:35:27
Speaker 1: getting points with them does seem like a decent way
1:35:30
Speaker 1: to look in that one, and then looking at the
1:35:34
Speaker 1: personnel real quick, looks like the Nuggets, Yeah, Aaron Gordon,
1:35:38
Speaker 1: we know he's still out, so that's not affecting the line.
1:35:40
Speaker 1: It was like Jamal Murray is not on the injury report,
1:35:42
Speaker 1: so he is probably playing, and we know Yoki is
1:35:45
Speaker 1: just playing, so there's nothing else really that important about
1:35:47
Speaker 1: that Utah and Indiana. This is a pretty ugly one.
1:35:51
Speaker 1: Utah is on a losing streak. What else is new?
1:35:53
Speaker 1: They've lost six games in a row. They did just
1:35:56
Speaker 1: have a somewhat close game at Toronto, losing only by seven.
1:36:00
Speaker 1: But when you're on a losing streak like this, I
1:36:02
Speaker 1: don't think you're gonna overlook anybody. And they got marketed
1:36:04
Speaker 1: back for that game, I'm pretty sure. So I think
1:36:06
Speaker 1: that was actually the reverse injured player spot that I
1:36:10
Speaker 1: talk about, where when your best player comes back, the
1:36:13
Speaker 1: line has to adjust for it, and a lot of
1:36:15
Speaker 1: times the team won't be up to speed there, like
1:36:19
Speaker 1: they won't play as hard knowing that that star player
1:36:22
Speaker 1: comes back, you know what I mean. So I think
1:36:24
Speaker 1: it was maybe that made it a bit of a
1:36:26
Speaker 1: negative spot for Utah, although they probably covered in this one. Yeah,
1:36:29
Speaker 1: they were ten to a half point dogs, so they
1:36:31
Speaker 1: did actually cover. But Utah, if market in his back
1:36:34
Speaker 1: and he's playing, that will obviously help them. And I
1:36:37
Speaker 1: think because they're on a losing streak, I don't see
1:36:39
Speaker 1: them overlooking anybody here. Let's see here, Yeah, market and
1:36:45
Speaker 1: not on the injury reports, so he will I assume
1:36:47
Speaker 1: be playing here, although it looks like Nurkic is resting,
1:36:50
Speaker 1: so there's some stuff going on for for Utah here.
1:36:55
Speaker 1: But I think the spot here is worse for the Pacers.
1:36:58
Speaker 1: Pacers just had a close call against Houston yesterday, so
1:37:03
Speaker 1: the Pacers, they're staying at home, but they're playing a
1:37:05
Speaker 1: back to back coming off a big game against Houston,
1:37:08
Speaker 1: so I think they could be in a bit of
1:37:10
Speaker 1: a hangover spot here, man, So I would be leaning
1:37:12
Speaker 1: towards the Jazz in this one. It looks like the
1:37:15
Speaker 1: money does agree with this. The Pacers down from four
1:37:17
Speaker 1: and a half to three and a half here, sixty
1:37:19
Speaker 1: five percent of tickets on the Pacers, but sixty percent
1:37:21
Speaker 1: of the cash on the Jazz. So I agree with
1:37:24
Speaker 1: the Jazz. It's not a play for me. I don't
1:37:26
Speaker 1: think it's that strong, But you know, we'll, I don't know,
1:37:30
Speaker 1: we'll root for my analysis to be right. Eve though,
1:37:33
Speaker 1: I kind of get angry when I see all my
1:37:35
Speaker 1: leans being correct and I, you know, haven't given them
1:37:38
Speaker 1: out as plays. But at least that means my gauge
1:37:41
Speaker 1: on the game was right. So go Utah. I guess
1:37:45
Speaker 1: who do? I wrote for one am I two Rook
1:37:48
Speaker 1: for Utah, Ja Root for Utah. All right, as I
1:37:55
Speaker 1: have some of my Celtic pride drops here. Underrated movie man, stupid,
1:38:01
Speaker 1: stupid comedy. But it's fun and I'm in it as
1:38:04
Speaker 1: an extra, So there you go as an eleven year old.
1:38:10
Speaker 1: Actually a pretty funny movie actually, to me honest, in
1:38:13
Speaker 1: my opinion, critics hate it because it's absolutely dumb. Jud
1:38:17
Speaker 1: app its how I think it was like a producer
1:38:19
Speaker 1: on it or something. It's got Dan Akhred and Daniel
1:38:22
Speaker 1: Stern and Damon Wayans, two craze Celtics fans basically wind
1:38:27
Speaker 1: up in a situation where they sort of accidentally kidnapped
1:38:30
Speaker 1: the star player for the Utah Jazz during the NBA
1:38:33
Speaker 1: Finals between the Celtics and the Jazz. So there you go.
1:38:37
Speaker 1: Although that drop is kind of a spoiler, but whatever.
1:38:41
Speaker 1: All right, Best bet time, last best bet of the day.
1:38:46
Speaker 1: The one in the NBA is coming up here. It's
1:38:49
Speaker 1: an ugly one, man, But you know me, I take
1:38:51
Speaker 1: some ugly dogs. Sometimes. We're gonna take the Washington Wizards
1:38:55
Speaker 1: plus thirteen and a half against the Knicks. Oh boy,
1:39:00
Speaker 1: I know, I know. But first of all, the Knicks,
1:39:03
Speaker 1: this is a road game, and the Knicks are not
1:39:05
Speaker 1: good on the road. The Knicks are ten and twelve
1:39:07
Speaker 1: straight up on the road. You're asking them to lay
1:39:10
Speaker 1: double digits. I mean, okay, I know we're talking about
1:39:13
Speaker 1: the Wizards here, but the Knicks, they have a huge
1:39:15
Speaker 1: home road split and they're way better at home than
1:39:17
Speaker 1: on the road. So that's not a good sign. And
1:39:20
Speaker 1: we don't need Washington to win this game out right,
1:39:22
Speaker 1: of course, they only need to cover Washington has been
1:39:25
Speaker 1: better at home than on the road at least. I mean,
1:39:27
Speaker 1: they're just not good in general, but nine of the
1:39:29
Speaker 1: thirteen wins have come at home, so they are better
1:39:32
Speaker 1: at home, which is not surprising. Really, both these teams
1:39:36
Speaker 1: better at home. The Knicks are also, I don't think
1:39:38
Speaker 1: they're in a good spot. The Knicks just beat the Lakers,
1:39:41
Speaker 1: which I think was a pretty big TV game if
1:39:44
Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken. Yeah, but it was an NBC game.
1:39:47
Speaker 1: They beat the Lakers. I know the Knicks were a favorites,
1:39:49
Speaker 1: they were expected to win. But that's pretty satisfying when
1:39:52
Speaker 1: you go on TV and you beat Luca, you beat Lebron,
1:39:55
Speaker 1: you know, you beat the fucking Lakers. One of the
1:39:58
Speaker 1: teams with the most wins and in history. Big win
1:40:01
Speaker 1: for the Knicks. Man Now they have a single game
1:40:04
Speaker 1: road trip to Washington, Like, are they really gonna care
1:40:07
Speaker 1: about this Washington game? I don't think so. And look
1:40:10
Speaker 1: at their games coming up tomorrow. They have an ESPN
1:40:12
Speaker 1: game against Denver, huge game back at home. Then they
1:40:16
Speaker 1: go on the road and they played Detroit and Boston.
1:40:19
Speaker 1: Those are all much much bigger games. This is to me,
1:40:22
Speaker 1: this is pretty clearly a sandwich spot. I think they
1:40:24
Speaker 1: might just completely overlook the Wizards here. The Wizards have
1:40:29
Speaker 1: been sneakily playing a little bit better, although they're still
1:40:32
Speaker 1: easy to overlook. But they've won three of their last
1:40:34
Speaker 1: four games. Although I don't think people are gonna really
1:40:37
Speaker 1: give them credit for beating Portland Milwaukee. I think without
1:40:40
Speaker 1: Yannis and then Sacramento in their last game, Sacramento has
1:40:44
Speaker 1: been awful. But still, I mean, I don't know, give
1:40:48
Speaker 1: Washington some credit for playing all right here on this
1:40:50
Speaker 1: home stand and getting some wins. The Portland win is
1:40:52
Speaker 1: actually better than you think it was. That was an
1:40:54
Speaker 1: upset win. Portland's not that bad. But then people are
1:40:58
Speaker 1: also gonna look at see, oh, Washington got obliterated by
1:41:01
Speaker 1: the Lakers in there though, and you're talking about, Yeah,
1:41:03
Speaker 1: the Knicks just just beat the Lakers by double digits,
1:41:06
Speaker 1: and the Lakers beat Washington by thirty one. So this
1:41:10
Speaker 1: is so obvious, right, Like the only thing you could
1:41:13
Speaker 1: do here is to lay the points with the Lakers.
1:41:15
Speaker 1: With the Knicks excusely they should kill Washington based on that, right, Well, again, no,
1:41:20
Speaker 1: that's not the way to look at it, man. You
1:41:22
Speaker 1: gotta look at the individual situation, and the situation is
1:41:26
Speaker 1: way worse I think for the Knicks here. I think
1:41:28
Speaker 1: Washington will at least get up for this game. They
1:41:30
Speaker 1: got a little bit of momentum coming into this, a
1:41:32
Speaker 1: little bit more confidence, playing a little bit better. This
1:41:35
Speaker 1: Washington team might be on the rise a little bit. Here.
1:41:38
Speaker 1: We're gonna do it Washington plus the points the Knicks.
1:41:42
Speaker 1: It looks like the money is coming on the Knicks early.
1:41:44
Speaker 1: But I don't know if this is really what the
1:41:45
Speaker 1: market read is gonna wind up looking like, because I
1:41:47
Speaker 1: think the spot's awful. Hopefully the market comes into line
1:41:51
Speaker 1: with my thinking on this, but either way, you're gonna
1:41:53
Speaker 1: be fading a public side here, which I like the
1:41:56
Speaker 1: Knicks seventy eight percent of the tickets eighty five percent
1:41:58
Speaker 1: of the cash on the Knick. I know it's ugly,
1:42:01
Speaker 1: but you can't avoid ugly dogs, man. It's whatever you
1:42:04
Speaker 1: think is the best situation. Go with the process. This
1:42:08
Speaker 1: has worked for me for years and years and years, man,
1:42:11
Speaker 1: for almost two decades doing stuff like this. So we'll
1:42:14
Speaker 1: roll with the ugly dog in this one. Wizards plus
1:42:17
Speaker 1: the points. JC, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
1:42:22
Speaker 1: JC is everywhere? All right? What do we got left here?
1:42:27
Speaker 1: A few more games here? We have La Lakers at
1:42:30
Speaker 1: Brooklyn Lakers coming into this. They're staying in New York,
1:42:36
Speaker 1: so that's at least something for the Lakers, so not
1:42:39
Speaker 1: a huge travel spot for them, but they are coming
1:42:41
Speaker 1: out of a big TV game against the Knicks, and
1:42:43
Speaker 1: they do have Philadelphia, Golden State, Oklahoma City, San Antonio
1:42:47
Speaker 1: all coming up next and then Dallas the Luca Battle
1:42:51
Speaker 1: Part whatever four or five at this point, but those
1:42:54
Speaker 1: are all bigger games in this game against Brooklyn. So
1:42:57
Speaker 1: even though the travel spot is pretty decent for the Lakers,
1:43:00
Speaker 1: I don't know, because they might still just overlook the
1:43:02
Speaker 1: nets because the nets suck and the nets serve. Of course,
1:43:05
Speaker 1: coming off that ridiculous loss to Detroit, losing by fifty three.
1:43:10
Speaker 1: I think if any team loses by fifty three, you
1:43:12
Speaker 1: gotta think they're gonna be focused in their next game.
1:43:15
Speaker 1: But the problem with that is Brooklyn's are turning over
1:43:18
Speaker 1: from a road trip. And I always talk about this
1:43:21
Speaker 1: when a team has a long road trip, which is
1:43:23
Speaker 1: the case here. Brooklyn had to go all the way
1:43:24
Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast, then they went into elevation, then
1:43:28
Speaker 1: they finished the road trip in Detroit. Long road trip.
1:43:30
Speaker 1: They've been on the road since January twenty fifth, and
1:43:33
Speaker 1: they have to go right back out on the road
1:43:35
Speaker 1: again to play Orlando on Thursday. Although that's not a
1:43:38
Speaker 1: road trip, it's just a single road game. But I
1:43:41
Speaker 1: think it's bad. I mean, first of all, when a
1:43:43
Speaker 1: team returns home from a road trip, that's bad enough
1:43:45
Speaker 1: because you have to get back to home life, stuff
1:43:47
Speaker 1: can distract you, whatever, But then if you have to
1:43:50
Speaker 1: go right back out on the road again, you just
1:43:52
Speaker 1: don't have that much time to do stuff at home.
1:43:54
Speaker 1: So the spot for Brooklyn is actually pretty bad. Even
1:43:57
Speaker 1: though generally, like I would say, yeah, they can't really
1:44:00
Speaker 1: overlook the Lakers really like you're you're not gonna be
1:44:02
Speaker 1: unfocused really when the Lakers come in. But that distraction
1:44:05
Speaker 1: spot returning home, it is bad, dude, That's just the
1:44:10
Speaker 1: way that it is. So the fact that the Lakers
1:44:12
Speaker 1: are actually staying in New York, you know, that actually
1:44:16
Speaker 1: does help the Lakers quite a bit in this game.
1:44:18
Speaker 1: Now the market Reid is still saying to take the
1:44:20
Speaker 1: points with the Nets. Lakers are up to an eight
1:44:23
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite nine almost ninety percent of
1:44:26
Speaker 1: ticket seventy eight percent of the cash on them, so
1:44:28
Speaker 1: they'll be obviously the public side Lakers, no question about that.
1:44:32
Speaker 1: Only seventy eight percent of the cash on them. It's
1:44:35
Speaker 1: a difficult game. And I mean I pretty much will
1:44:37
Speaker 1: never lean to the teams returning on from a road trip.
1:44:43
Speaker 1: I know the Lakers are kind of in a sandwich spot,
1:44:45
Speaker 1: but that game wasn't that close. At the end of
1:44:47
Speaker 1: that game against the Knicks. I would probably actually lean
1:44:51
Speaker 1: towards the Lakers in that game, very very slightly. But
1:44:55
Speaker 1: I don't love it. I mean, of course I don't
1:44:56
Speaker 1: love it. I don't like it. Yeah, obviously I'm staying
1:45:00
Speaker 1: away Atlanta at Miami. I mean, I'm not giving it
1:45:03
Speaker 1: out as a play. I should say, either Atlanta is
1:45:06
Speaker 1: coming off losing to Indiana, not a great loss there.
1:45:09
Speaker 1: They've had a few days off or a couple of
1:45:11
Speaker 1: days off, so that might help break this two game
1:45:14
Speaker 1: losing streak that they're on. So they probably will have
1:45:16
Speaker 1: momentum or maybe have new momentum, excuse me, coming into
1:45:20
Speaker 1: this game against Miami, they'll have at least broken their
1:45:23
Speaker 1: losing momentum, maybe with a couple of days off. Miami
1:45:27
Speaker 1: is coming off playing three straight games against Chicago because
1:45:30
Speaker 1: one of those games got postponed. But that sets up
1:45:33
Speaker 1: a very very odd spot scheduling wise for Miami, which
1:45:36
Speaker 1: I forgot to mention in that last game they played.
1:45:39
Speaker 1: Although I was right about Miami zig zagging against Chicago,
1:45:43
Speaker 1: the zigzag was in full effect there, with the result
1:45:46
Speaker 1: in each one of those games wound up being the
1:45:48
Speaker 1: opposite of the result in the prior game, which makes
1:45:52
Speaker 1: sense because the team like adjusts to what happened in
1:45:54
Speaker 1: the previous game and fixes things. Now, what I did
1:45:57
Speaker 1: not mention in that game, even though I did like Miami,
1:46:02
Speaker 1: which was correct, but Miami was those teams were playing
1:46:05
Speaker 1: a back to back, but if you look, because of
1:46:07
Speaker 1: that game got rescheduled Miami was playing air. They were
1:46:11
Speaker 1: playing their third back to back since since January twenty fourth.
1:46:16
Speaker 1: That's insane, dude, because they weren't supposed to have a
1:46:20
Speaker 1: back to back on the twenty eighth and twenty ninth,
1:46:22
Speaker 1: but that game got rescheduled to that day. So Miami's
1:46:26
Speaker 1: in a very very weird spot where they played a
1:46:28
Speaker 1: lot of games in quick succession year and they also
1:46:31
Speaker 1: had a back to back on the nineteenth and the twentieth.
1:46:34
Speaker 1: I mean, that's absolutely insane. This is gonna be their
1:46:40
Speaker 1: tenth game since the nineteenth I think, yeah, I think
1:46:47
Speaker 1: it's ten games. Yeah, So that's just ridiculous. And they're
1:46:50
Speaker 1: playing whatever this is. I think it's a fifth game
1:46:52
Speaker 1: in seven days. It's a sixth game in eight days.
1:46:56
Speaker 1: I I'm doing that math right, I don't know if
1:46:58
Speaker 1: I am. But and then it would be like a
1:47:01
Speaker 1: ninth game in fourteen days or thirteen days or something.
1:47:05
Speaker 1: I mean, this has been point is, this has been
1:47:07
Speaker 1: just a jam schedule for Miami. So I think it's
1:47:11
Speaker 1: a tough spot for them. Man, the rest advantage definitely
1:47:13
Speaker 1: lies with the Hawks in this game. Miami does start
1:47:16
Speaker 1: a roa trip and they do have to go to
1:47:18
Speaker 1: Boston next. They might overlook this Hawks team. It's been
1:47:21
Speaker 1: struggling a bit man and Miami might look ahead to Boston.
1:47:23
Speaker 1: So I would only lean towards Atlanta in this one.
1:47:27
Speaker 1: They are getting the money as well. The Heat have
1:47:29
Speaker 1: already dropped from a five and a half point favorite
1:47:30
Speaker 1: to a three point favorite. Getting points of the Hawks
1:47:33
Speaker 1: in a game like this, Yeah, I mean it does
1:47:35
Speaker 1: look like the way to go, and they're getting a
1:47:37
Speaker 1: little bit less value on it. I would lean to
1:47:39
Speaker 1: the Hawks. Uh, fifty percent of the tickets on the Hawks,
1:47:42
Speaker 1: So fifty to fifty on the tickets, but ninety percent
1:47:45
Speaker 1: of the cash on the Hawks. I agree with that.
1:47:47
Speaker 1: I would lean towards the Hawks. All right, my Boston
1:47:52
Speaker 1: Celtics are at Dallas. Celtics coming off crushing Milwaukee tho
1:47:56
Speaker 1: it was without Yannis whatever, Celtics now starting a road trip.
1:48:00
Speaker 1: This is a TV game NBC and Peacock. But the
1:48:03
Speaker 1: Celtics there is the potential they're looking ahead because they
1:48:06
Speaker 1: have Houston tomorrow and that is a bigger game than
1:48:09
Speaker 1: playing Dallas. Dallas has just been struggling all seasons, so
1:48:12
Speaker 1: the Celtics might not come into this game fully focused
1:48:15
Speaker 1: Celtics coming off too pretty much blowout wins against the
1:48:19
Speaker 1: Kings in the box, not great teams there. Celtics are
1:48:22
Speaker 1: still a pretty legit team though, believe it or not,
1:48:24
Speaker 1: playing surprisingly well without Jason Tatum this season. Well coached team,
1:48:30
Speaker 1: but this spot maybe not great for them. But the
1:48:32
Speaker 1: spot for Dallas may not be that great either. Now,
1:48:36
Speaker 1: some of it is okay for Dallas because they've lost
1:48:39
Speaker 1: four games in a row and now they've had two
1:48:41
Speaker 1: days off, so that's good. That might help break the
1:48:43
Speaker 1: losing momentum. That's good. But they are coming off a
1:48:46
Speaker 1: huge game against Houston, which was a Texas rivalry game.
1:48:50
Speaker 1: Of course, Houston one of the bigger brothers to Dallas.
1:48:53
Speaker 1: Right now, Dallas only lost to them on the road
1:48:56
Speaker 1: by four, So Dallas played a really good game in
1:48:58
Speaker 1: that game, almost beat Houston, and they got San Antonio next. Now,
1:49:03
Speaker 1: I don't think Dallas will overlook the Celtics, but if
1:49:07
Speaker 1: they're ever gonna overlook the Celtics, it might be in
1:49:09
Speaker 1: a spot like this where it's surrounded by Texas rivals
1:49:13
Speaker 1: here huge games because San Antonio and Eustid are both
1:49:15
Speaker 1: good too, So I don't love the spot for Dallas.
1:49:18
Speaker 1: Here not a good spot for either team. Really. Celtics
1:49:22
Speaker 1: are public, of course, they will be sixty seven percent
1:49:25
Speaker 1: to ticket, sixty six percent of the cash. They did
1:49:28
Speaker 1: drop a little bit from a seven and a half
1:49:29
Speaker 1: point favorite to a seven point favorite. So the marguerite
1:49:32
Speaker 1: is saying to take the points with Dallas. I will
1:49:36
Speaker 1: slightly agree with that and hope that, you know, I mean, well,
1:49:40
Speaker 1: I hope that my gauge on the Celtics is actually
1:49:42
Speaker 1: wrong because I'm a fan of the Celtics and I
1:49:44
Speaker 1: want them to win. But I do have a gauge
1:49:47
Speaker 1: that's pretty good on the Celtics, and I did give
1:49:50
Speaker 1: out a play on them and that bounce back spot
1:49:52
Speaker 1: against the Kings. But this spot, you know, I mean,
1:49:55
Speaker 1: it looks like one of those spots where they might
1:49:56
Speaker 1: get caught. So I wouldn't mean to taking the points
1:49:59
Speaker 1: with Dallas, but I don't I don't love the spot.
1:50:01
Speaker 1: Chicago at Milwaukee. Now, Chicago's also having to play a
1:50:06
Speaker 1: lot of games in quick succession, just like Miami because
1:50:09
Speaker 1: they had that stupid postponed game. So Chicago is now
1:50:12
Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities,
1:50:16
Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, all in different cities. In
1:50:18
Speaker 1: a fifth game in seven days, all in different cities,
1:50:21
Speaker 1: they're playing a what is what are we looking at here? Yeah?
1:50:25
Speaker 1: I mean that's basically the extend of it. I mean
1:50:26
Speaker 1: they actually they've had fewer back to backs than Miami did,
1:50:31
Speaker 1: but that's still a lot of games to be playing. Recently,
1:50:34
Speaker 1: they had the rare fifth game in seven days for
1:50:38
Speaker 1: Chicago here, and in their case, they've been traveling. Actually
1:50:41
Speaker 1: it's not all in different cities, because the last two
1:50:43
Speaker 1: were both in Miami if they were traveling between some
1:50:46
Speaker 1: of these games. So it's not a great spot for
1:50:48
Speaker 1: Chicago rest wise. But they are coming off a blowout loss,
1:50:51
Speaker 1: so sometimes teams will bounce back after a blowout loss.
1:50:55
Speaker 1: But I don't know if I trust the Bulls just
1:50:57
Speaker 1: having played so many games recently, and of course they're
1:51:00
Speaker 1: playing the Bucks, and the Bucks are also coming off
1:51:02
Speaker 1: a blowout loss. But the Bucks are returning over from
1:51:06
Speaker 1: a road trip, which was only a three game road trip,
1:51:09
Speaker 1: but they have been gone for a week. So when
1:51:12
Speaker 1: a team is on the road for a week, they
1:51:13
Speaker 1: went to Philadelphia, Washington, and Boston. When a team has
1:51:17
Speaker 1: gone for a week, sometimes they will still be will
1:51:19
Speaker 1: not hundle over but be distracted coming back home. You know,
1:51:22
Speaker 1: you get it back to home life, you have stuff
1:51:24
Speaker 1: to do, So that still might be an issue from
1:51:27
Speaker 1: Milwaukee here. So I really don't like the spot for
1:51:29
Speaker 1: either team coming into this. One could be an unfocused
1:51:32
Speaker 1: spot maybe for the Bucks. Could be a bad rest
1:51:36
Speaker 1: spot for the Bulls. Now the money is coming in
1:51:38
Speaker 1: on the Bulls. It looks like they're two and a
1:51:39
Speaker 1: half point favorite because Giannis is out. Of course, seventy
1:51:42
Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash
1:51:44
Speaker 1: on the Bulls. Money is indicating on the side of
1:51:48
Speaker 1: the Bulls. I won't disagree with it, just because I
1:51:51
Speaker 1: do tend to fade the team returning over the road trip.
1:51:54
Speaker 1: I think that is basically the worst spot that you
1:51:56
Speaker 1: can be in. So I will slightly lean to the
1:51:59
Speaker 1: Bulls there, but I really really worry about the lack
1:52:01
Speaker 1: of rest that they have there. Okay, Orlando at Oklahoma City.
1:52:06
Speaker 1: First thing I noticed about this is the Thunder only
1:52:09
Speaker 1: a seven point favorite here, which seems very very low.
1:52:12
Speaker 1: Usually the Thunder are gonna be double digits against pretty
1:52:15
Speaker 1: much anybody at home. The Thunder do still win by
1:52:18
Speaker 1: an average of well into the double digits at home here.
1:52:21
Speaker 1: The public are, of course, is going to be laying
1:52:23
Speaker 1: it with the thunder here eighty six percent of the tickets,
1:52:26
Speaker 1: only seventy five percent of the cash. So what's going
1:52:29
Speaker 1: on here? Because that line does look like it's too low.
1:52:31
Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to lay the points with
1:52:33
Speaker 1: the thunder. And I know the Magic are probably a
1:52:35
Speaker 1: little bit underrated here, but we're still talking about Franz
1:52:39
Speaker 1: Wagner being out for Orlando, So Orlando's still not a
1:52:42
Speaker 1: fully intact team here. So why is Oklahoma City only
1:52:46
Speaker 1: laying seven and a half? Well, I took a look,
1:52:48
Speaker 1: and it looks like they might be resting some guys here.
1:52:51
Speaker 1: Jalen Williams is still out what you already knew, not
1:52:54
Speaker 1: to be confused with the other Jalen Williams is less important. Sorry,
1:52:58
Speaker 1: but it looks like heart and Steen and Holme might
1:53:00
Speaker 1: both actually not play in this game. They're both listening
1:53:04
Speaker 1: on the injury report as day to day, but they
1:53:06
Speaker 1: might rest for injury management. So this looks like one
1:53:09
Speaker 1: of these games where maybe the thunder or just kind
1:53:11
Speaker 1: of just not showing up fully for the game. Although
1:53:15
Speaker 1: sometimes in those games. The backups play well, and Oklahoma
1:53:19
Speaker 1: City does have a strong like second string, Like Oklahoma
1:53:23
Speaker 1: City is one of the deepest teams out there. But mentally,
1:53:27
Speaker 1: when you're like resting your starters like that, sometimes it
1:53:29
Speaker 1: is indicative of the fact that the team just might
1:53:32
Speaker 1: not be putting their full focus into the game, you
1:53:35
Speaker 1: know what I mean. Although it does factor into the
1:53:37
Speaker 1: lines that worries. That would worry me a little bit
1:53:41
Speaker 1: as far as playing Orlando here, because I do lead
1:53:44
Speaker 1: to Orlando. I'm just not sure that the line value
1:53:46
Speaker 1: was there because the line had to be knocked down
1:53:48
Speaker 1: because it looks like the Thunder or resting a couple
1:53:50
Speaker 1: other guys here. Now, the Magic, they're coming off losing
1:53:53
Speaker 1: to San Antonio, and that was a game where it
1:53:56
Speaker 1: wasn't that close towards the end of it. The Magic
1:53:59
Speaker 1: we're hanging around for half the game. It was a
1:54:01
Speaker 1: big game.
1:54:02
Speaker 2: Though.
1:54:02
Speaker 1: They're playing a fourth road game in five games, which
1:54:05
Speaker 1: I don't love really either. That's since Monday the twenty six,
1:54:10
Speaker 1: so I don't exactly love how the spot sets up
1:54:12
Speaker 1: for Orlando. Although I don't think the spot is good
1:54:15
Speaker 1: for the Thunder. The Thunder just beat Denver that was
1:54:18
Speaker 1: a big win. They returning home, although only from a
1:54:20
Speaker 1: two game road trip only since Thursday, so it's not
1:54:23
Speaker 1: really that full road trip return where that spot really
1:54:27
Speaker 1: comes into full effect. But still they are coming up
1:54:29
Speaker 1: beating Denver with Jokich back, big game because Denver's gonna
1:54:33
Speaker 1: be one of the teams in the mix to potentially
1:54:37
Speaker 1: win the West. Denver and one of those other teams
1:54:39
Speaker 1: and the team that's been really Oklahoma City's nemesis. That's
1:54:43
Speaker 1: who Oklahoma City plays next tomorrow on ESPN. They played
1:54:47
Speaker 1: the San Antonio Spurs, who Oklahoma City did finally beat
1:54:51
Speaker 1: them once, but there's still like one in four against
1:54:53
Speaker 1: them or something this year. So that is a big
1:54:57
Speaker 1: game to be looking ahead to man and they got
1:54:58
Speaker 1: Houston and then the Lake after that. Houston also a
1:55:02
Speaker 1: TV game, so it is basically a sandwich spot that
1:55:05
Speaker 1: the Thunder or in. So I would go with I
1:55:07
Speaker 1: would go with the Magic in this one. Excuse me,
1:55:09
Speaker 1: I would take the points with the Magic. I just
1:55:12
Speaker 1: worried that the line value was maybe a little bit
1:55:14
Speaker 1: questionable and not totally there because the Thunder arresting a
1:55:18
Speaker 1: couple of their big names. So that would be my
1:55:21
Speaker 1: concern with it, but I lean to the magic in
1:55:23
Speaker 1: that one. Philadelphia at Golden State. Philadelphia is already out
1:55:29
Speaker 1: in the Pacific time zone. They beat the Clippers, They're
1:55:33
Speaker 1: on a four game win streak. Philadelphia playing alright recently
1:55:37
Speaker 1: here coming into this game with momentum, but they're on
1:55:39
Speaker 1: a back to back that does worry me. And they
1:55:42
Speaker 1: do have the Lakers next. So do they overlook Golden
1:55:44
Speaker 1: State towards the Lakers. I don't know, because Golden State
1:55:48
Speaker 1: still has a lot of name recognition behind them. They
1:55:50
Speaker 1: got a lot of big name players still, so maybe
1:55:52
Speaker 1: you don't overlook Golden State. Golden State did just return
1:55:56
Speaker 1: home from a road trip and they lost to Detroit
1:55:59
Speaker 1: big game. But we're turning over from a road trip
1:56:01
Speaker 1: is a bad spot, as I always say, in a
1:56:03
Speaker 1: lot of times, when you lose that game, you play
1:56:05
Speaker 1: better in the next game. And Golden State is in
1:56:07
Speaker 1: that spot now, so it is more of a positive spot,
1:56:10
Speaker 1: I think. And they haven't played since Friday, so they've
1:56:13
Speaker 1: had a lot of time off to break up that
1:56:15
Speaker 1: losing momentum, So I think the spot is better for
1:56:18
Speaker 1: the Warriors in this game. It looks like they are
1:56:21
Speaker 1: the side that's being indicated by the market here. The
1:56:25
Speaker 1: Sixers are a little bit public fifty six percent of tickets,
1:56:27
Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash on them. Warriors
1:56:30
Speaker 1: have gone up from one and a half to three.
1:56:32
Speaker 1: Of course, you know, the oddsmakers do have to factor
1:56:34
Speaker 1: in the rest advantage a little bit into this line.
1:56:37
Speaker 1: But the public is probably thinking, oh, I'm getting points
1:56:39
Speaker 1: with the team that has the better record here at
1:56:41
Speaker 1: the Sixers looks tempting against this old Warriors team that
1:56:45
Speaker 1: hasn't been playing that well. But I would have to
1:56:47
Speaker 1: lean to the Warriors here. The rest should help them out,
1:56:49
Speaker 1: especially given how old the Warriors are. Also, remember Paul
1:56:54
Speaker 1: George is suspended for the Sixers, so he's not playing.
1:56:58
Speaker 1: He's missed a couple of games since that. And then
1:57:01
Speaker 1: we have the final game in the NBC Peacock doublehead
1:57:04
Speaker 1: or the first game is my Celtics at Dallas. Not
1:57:07
Speaker 1: a great game. I don't know why it's the NBC game,
1:57:12
Speaker 1: although none of these games are really that excellent, although
1:57:14
Speaker 1: Denver and Detroit is the best game of the night though.
1:57:18
Speaker 1: And then Phoenix at Portland is this last game that's
1:57:21
Speaker 1: the second game of the doubleheader. Here. This game is
1:57:23
Speaker 1: actually not that bad. Portland has been surprisingly competitive this year.
1:57:29
Speaker 1: Phoenix is coming off getting pretty much blown out at
1:57:31
Speaker 1: home by the Clippers, so going out of the road
1:57:33
Speaker 1: for a game, I'd help them out. I'll just refocus
1:57:36
Speaker 1: on basketball. Although they do play Golden State next, but
1:57:39
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook a TV game like this.
1:57:42
Speaker 1: Although I don't know because Portland is a losing record,
1:57:45
Speaker 1: but Portland is better than the record appears. Portland's lost
1:57:48
Speaker 1: five games in a row, but most of them are
1:57:51
Speaker 1: on the road, and all of them, except for the
1:57:53
Speaker 1: Washington game, were against winning teams. And that Washington game
1:57:56
Speaker 1: was kind of a sandwich spot. I think I might
1:57:58
Speaker 1: have had Washington. Maybe I didn't, but I think I
1:58:01
Speaker 1: at least leaned to Washington in that game. Maybe it
1:58:02
Speaker 1: wasn't a play for me. But Portland, now that they're
1:58:06
Speaker 1: back in home, they returned from that road trip, they
1:58:08
Speaker 1: got pretty much blown out in that game by Cleveland,
1:58:11
Speaker 1: they should be in a more positive spot here too,
1:58:14
Speaker 1: have to bounce back a though Portland does have those
1:58:17
Speaker 1: distractions going around with av g av g how do
1:58:22
Speaker 1: you pronounce his name? The Israeli dude that's just getting
1:58:25
Speaker 1: all this shit because he's not admitting that is that well.
1:58:29
Speaker 1: I can't say it on I'll get nuked on YouTube
1:58:32
Speaker 1: if I say anything. But he is promoting the bad
1:58:36
Speaker 1: things that his country is doing, let's just say. And
1:58:40
Speaker 1: it's becoming a bit of a distraction for Portland. I think,
1:58:43
Speaker 1: So what do we do with this game? I don't know.
1:58:45
Speaker 1: The Sons are the better team still, but the money
1:58:47
Speaker 1: is coming in on the Blazers. Suns sixty percent of tickets,
1:58:51
Speaker 1: Portland to have eighty five percent of the cash. That's
1:58:53
Speaker 1: a huge market disparity. So I guess I will agree
1:58:56
Speaker 1: with the Blazers in the game. Spot doesn't look horrible
1:59:01
Speaker 1: for either team. But Blazers might be a little bit
1:59:06
Speaker 1: underrated right now. I mean, the record just doesn't really
1:59:09
Speaker 1: indicate what they really are, and they've had some injuries
1:59:12
Speaker 1: they've dealt with this year or two to Drew Holiday
1:59:14
Speaker 1: and Jeremy Grant, although I think Holiday might be out again.
1:59:19
Speaker 1: But yeah, Holiday's game time decision and let's see. Although
1:59:23
Speaker 1: so is of d JA, that's how you pronounce his name, Igains.
1:59:28
Speaker 1: I don't know. Holiday is questionable, but his issue is personal,
1:59:32
Speaker 1: so I don't know, so maybe he will play. And
1:59:35
Speaker 1: then I don't know if a Gia I can't pronounce
1:59:38
Speaker 1: his name whatever is real guy, he's doubtful, so he's
1:59:42
Speaker 1: not playing in the game. But that might actually help
1:59:44
Speaker 1: Portland because it might remove that distraction for the time being.
1:59:48
Speaker 1: And I don't know if Jeremy Grant is back or not,
1:59:51
Speaker 1: but he was one of the better players who was
1:59:53
Speaker 1: injured for a bit of the season. That's gonna do
1:59:55
Speaker 1: it man, two hour show once again. My plays today,
1:59:59
Speaker 1: just replay is one in each sport. We're gonna be
2:00:01
Speaker 1: on usc plus one in college basketball and hockey, Philadelphia Flyers,
2:00:07
Speaker 1: money Line, NBA, Washington plus the Points. That's gonna do
2:00:12
Speaker 1: it man. That ugly play on the Wizards. Learn it
2:00:15
Speaker 1: tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram. I appreciate
2:00:18
Speaker 1: it everybody. Thanks for hanging out. You can subscribe to
2:00:20
Speaker 1: me on Twitter or too if you want to help
2:00:21
Speaker 1: me out, and then of course, like subscribe to the
2:00:25
Speaker 1: channel here, you know, give me good comments here. We
2:00:28
Speaker 1: want to boost this channel mail. Let's get some some
2:00:31
Speaker 1: more new viewers here. Want to blow this thing up
2:00:33
Speaker 1: and start monetizing it and get some money streams going
2:00:37
Speaker 1: in any way that we can. This show is on
2:00:39
Speaker 1: audio too. Some reviews over there and listening help me
2:00:42
Speaker 1: out because it is monetized but doesn't bring in very
2:00:44
Speaker 1: much Spotify and Apple. I feel like I'm begging, but
2:00:48
Speaker 1: this is a you know how I'm getting any money
2:00:50
Speaker 1: for the time being. So check all that out covered
2:00:54
Speaker 1: in you Because my ukulele channel on YouTube, separate channel.
2:00:58
Speaker 1: Maybe I've been thinking maybe I should combe id it
2:01:00
Speaker 1: all into one, just monetize everything. I don't know, man,
2:01:04
Speaker 1: but that's my other YouTube channel do ukulele covers and
2:01:09
Speaker 1: whatever over there. You can also support me through Patreon, Patreon,
2:01:13
Speaker 1: dot com, slash and learn to toad and there's some
2:01:14
Speaker 1: bonus content there as well because I play ukulele and
2:01:19
Speaker 1: do bad ukulele covers. And check out Loser Casts, the
2:01:24
Speaker 1: comedy podcast that I do, which is a new show.
2:01:28
Speaker 1: We'll be doing episode twelve tonight at ten pm after
2:01:31
Speaker 1: Legion to Skanks. You can, you know, have that little
2:01:34
Speaker 1: after party with us where I have a couple of
2:01:37
Speaker 1: ideas of who I want to nominate for my losers
2:01:39
Speaker 1: and I but that's what we do. We nominate the
2:01:41
Speaker 1: week's biggest losers and then we battle each other as
2:01:44
Speaker 1: far as you know, do we think that that's that
2:01:47
Speaker 1: that's a good pick, do we not? Are we really
2:01:51
Speaker 1: the losers, whatever, et cetera. So you can check that
2:01:54
Speaker 1: out tonight as well. That's gonna do it. Thanks guys again,
2:01:56
Speaker 1: I appreciate it. I'll be back tomorrow morning. I think
2:02:00
Speaker 1: will be the next show. I'm gonna figure out when
2:02:02
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do the bracketologies that I might start doing
2:02:04
Speaker 1: like twice a week before. I don't know what I'm
2:02:07
Speaker 1: gonna do for the final bracketology though, because the the
2:02:10
Speaker 1: final one is like like I put out a final
2:02:14
Speaker 1: one like right after the games like finished basically, so
2:02:18
Speaker 1: that that's like I can't really I don't know if
2:02:20
Speaker 1: I could really do a stream at that point of though,
2:02:23
Speaker 1: I guess I don't know. Maybe I could live stream
2:02:25
Speaker 1: that while we watched the brackets get announce. If you
2:02:27
Speaker 1: think maybe I should do that, maybe I will do that.
2:02:29
Speaker 1: Actually I've never done that before because I have my
2:02:32
Speaker 1: routine where you usually I get burger king and I
2:02:35
Speaker 1: and I eat that. While that's I don't know, I
2:02:37
Speaker 1: don't know why I started doing that, but that's what
2:02:39
Speaker 1: I do, even though it's not even the greatest fast
2:02:41
Speaker 1: food at all, and fast food in general sucks, but uh,
2:02:44
Speaker 1: that's usually what I'm eating while I watch the bracket
2:02:47
Speaker 1: brackets be revealed. So I don't know. We'll see. Last
2:02:50
Speaker 1: last year, I did a reaction to it like that
2:02:53
Speaker 1: night after they came out, my initial thoughts. So maybe
2:02:56
Speaker 1: I'll still do it that way. I don't know, but
2:02:57
Speaker 1: we'll see. That's gonna do it for now, though, Please
2:03:00
Speaker 1: everybody