Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | It's on Sale | NHL & MLB Divisional Series & NCAA Football | 10/6/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | It's on Sale | NHL & MLB Divisional Series & NCAA Football | 10/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: in your chest Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head Now you stare at the chips like they
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: made you this mad But don't you go quiet, don't
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: you fade from the floor Your name still means something
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: to somebody for sure Put the glass down, baby.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Look at me now.
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: Hold on.
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Hold on.
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: Not tonight.
• 0:55
  Speaker 4: Not now. Hold on.
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: Hold on. Let me pull you out. That fellow fights hard.
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: But he don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: Hold on, hold on, stay with me now.
• 1:28
  Speaker 5: What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you with Toadstool
• 1:31
  Speaker 5: Sports Tuesday, October 6th. We got to turn this around, man.
• 1:35
  Speaker 5: 0-2 on the show yesterday. Yankees, I mean, obviously I'm
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: not going to, cry about the Yankees losing because fuck
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: those guys man that was probably one of the worst
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: fielding performances that you will ever see in baseball especially
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: in the playoffs horrendous fielding horrendous blunders by the Yankees
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: in the series and of course in game one you
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: had the base running mistake by Austin Wells when they
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: finally got a hit off Rasmussen he tries to turn
• 2:04
  Speaker 5: a double into a triple and he gets nailed by
• 2:07
  Speaker 5: a mile on the throw the throw beat him by
• 2:11
  Speaker 5: at least like three steps. That was ridiculous. Last night,
• 2:15
  Speaker 5: the Yankees committed three errors within the first four batters
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: in the bottom of the first inning. Yeah, that's correct.
• 2:23
  Speaker 5: First four batters for Tampa Bay, the Yankees committed three errors,
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: yet somehow Tampa only got one run in that inning.
• 2:29
  Speaker 5: Tampa could have scored a lot more, man, in that game. Yeah,
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: I mean, we had the wrong call. Peralta pitched pretty well.
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: They took him out of the game. Fairly early on,
• 2:41
  Speaker 5: brought in Boozer to face a couple of lefties, which
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: it made sense to go with the lefty-on-lefty matchup. Maybe
• 2:47
  Speaker 5: not Boozer, but Boozer was able to get out of it,
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: although he allowed a deep fly ball, which the Yankees
• 2:53
  Speaker 5: were definitely threatening in that inning. I think it was
• 2:55
  Speaker 5: the fifth inning. And that fly ball, if it was
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: anywhere else in the ballpark, that probably would have been
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: damage from the Yankees. So maybe Boozer got a little lucky.
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: I don't think Boozer's that good. Maybe he got a
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: little lucky. I like his story though. You know, I mean,
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: he was on the Red Sox. They gave him his
• 3:10
  Speaker 5: first shot to pitch in the majors when he was
• 3:14
  Speaker 5: probably 36 or something a couple of years ago. He
• 3:17
  Speaker 5: was a guy that his entire career gotten like derailed
• 3:21
  Speaker 5: by drugs and stuff like that. And he went clean.
• 3:24
  Speaker 5: And then he was, I think he was out of
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: baseball for a while, made one more attempt to do it.
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: And he was able to make the majors. So good story.
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: And he's currently in Tampa's bullpen, but, um, Yeah, maybe,
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: I don't know if he was the right guy there,
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: but he got out of that inning anyway. And Schlittler,
• 3:43
  Speaker 5: I mean, even though the fielding was horrendous behind Schlittler,
• 3:46
  Speaker 5: he wasn't good in the game yesterday. He was done
• 3:50
  Speaker 5: before the end of the fifth inning, but of course
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: his pitch count went up a bit because of all
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: the pitches he had to throw because of the bad fielding.
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: And then there was another error when the Rays scored
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: a bunch of runs in, I think, the fifth, I
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: think is when it was, when they unloaded for like
• 4:06
  Speaker 5: four more runs or whatever. Yeah, I mean, his pitch
• 4:11
  Speaker 5: count was still low enough that they normally, I think,
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: would have left him in, but I think they knew
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: he wasn't really pitching that well, and they had to
• 4:18
  Speaker 5: pull him. He gave up six or seven hits in
• 4:20
  Speaker 5: four and a third innings or whatever, so four and
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: two thirds, maybe, whatever it was. So that's not good, obviously,
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: although the fielding was also bad behind him. Tampa definitely
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: could have done more damage in that game than they did.
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: Yankees hitting pretty much did nothing. Both of their runs
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: were solo home runs from Ben Rice. So, um, yeah,
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: it was the wrong call. Uh, long, my long way
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: of saying it was the wrong call, but it was,
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: it was fun watching the Yankees make a ton of
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: mistakes though. I enjoyed that. And they made a couple
• 4:48
  Speaker 5: other fielding mistakes that just didn't result in errors. But yeah,
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: I mean, uh, total mental lapses there. The Rays need
• 4:56
  Speaker 5: to finish that series off though. Like they still might
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: not win it. Um, And then, yeah, what can we
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: say about Monday night? The Saints. Dude, one thing I
• 5:05
  Speaker 5: forgot to even mention about that game is that was
• 5:07
  Speaker 5: the 20th anniversary of the Hurricane Katrina game, which was
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: a well-known game where the Saints beat the Falcons 20
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: years ago, which I think was when they first came.
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: It was their first game played back in the Superdome
• 5:24
  Speaker 5: after Hurricane Katrina and whatever I believe is what it was.
• 5:26
  Speaker 5: That's what they were celebrating last night. So big emotional
• 5:29
  Speaker 5: game for the Saints there. So I thought that should
• 5:31
  Speaker 5: motivate them even more in that game. And that is
• 5:35
  Speaker 5: not what happened. Dude, once they fell behind, you knew
• 5:39
  Speaker 5: it was going to be a problem because if the
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: Falcons are ahead of you by a couple of scores
• 5:44
  Speaker 5: and you can't stop the run, you know that's what
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: the Falcons are going to be doing. They're going to
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: be running the football because they're ahead. And that, yeah.
• 5:51
  Speaker 5: You can't get behind them by a couple scores and
• 5:53
  Speaker 5: not be able to stop the run. I thought the
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: Saints would be hanging in that. I thought it was
• 5:58
  Speaker 5: going to be a back-and-forth game, so we didn't have
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: to worry about that. I don't know what to tell you, man.
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: It seemed like every time the Saints scored and got
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: back within two scores or whatever, they immediately gave up
• 6:10
  Speaker 5: another score. It was completely ridiculous. Anyway, whatever. Let's get
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: into today. I hate this board today. We have a
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: lot of hockey games today. I'm skipping this entire hockey board.
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: I do not like it. Two days in a row
• 6:22
  Speaker 5: with no hockey plays. Should have played Dallas yesterday. That
• 6:25
  Speaker 5: was one thing I was right about. Dallas and hockey
• 6:28
  Speaker 5: yesterday was correct. That was my strongest hockey lean. That
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: was not a play, though. Carolina at Montreal. I mean,
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: this is a revenge game for Montreal. That's kind of
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: the main thing here is Carolina eliminated Montreal from the
• 6:41
  Speaker 5: playoffs last year. I believe in the Easter Conference Finals,
• 6:44
  Speaker 5: I want to say. Is that right? I'm pretty sure
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: that's true. Let me see. I want to just make sure, man,
• 6:49
  Speaker 5: make sure I'm not misremembering things here. Yes, that is correct.
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: So this is a big revenge game for Montreal, so
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: that has me kind of leaning towards Montreal just because
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: of that. You remember who ended your season, man, and
• 7:03
  Speaker 5: the first time you play them, you're going to get
• 7:05
  Speaker 5: up for that game. Carolina, though, sitting at 1-1-1, you know,
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: I mean, they're still one of the best teams in
• 7:11
  Speaker 5: the league, and it's kind of ridiculous to The one
• 7:14
  Speaker 5: game they won so far was the one game with
• 7:15
  Speaker 5: their backup goalie, Kachetkov, although I think he is pretty experienced.
• 7:20
  Speaker 5: They'll be back to Busse in this game. They have
• 7:23
  Speaker 5: a couple of days off here, though, and since Carolina
• 7:25
  Speaker 5: finally won a game, I don't think it's a bad
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: spot for them, really, because once you finally get that
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: first win, it's like it gives you new momentum, you
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: know what I mean? So I think it's not a
• 7:35
  Speaker 5: horrible spot for either team here. Montreal is coming off
• 7:37
  Speaker 5: an ugly loss. Well, not an ugly loss, an overtime
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: loss to Pittsburgh. I just don't consider Pittsburgh to be
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: that good of a team. Montreal lost to them in overtime.
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: Both teams have had a couple of days off. Now,
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: it is technically true Montreal is returning home from a
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: road trip here, and I'm getting completely thrown off by
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: the fucking landscaping outside right now. Montreal technically has been
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: on the road for a week, and, you know, I
• 8:00
  Speaker 5: don't like teams returning home from road trips. I think
• 8:02
  Speaker 5: that's a negative. When you've been away for a week,
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: I think you can get distracted. You've got to get
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: back to home life, whatever. I don't think that's going
• 8:09
  Speaker 5: to happen in this game, though. Montreal, this is a
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: huge game for them that they're going to have circled
• 8:15
  Speaker 5: because Carolina, again, ended their season. So I think I
• 8:18
  Speaker 5: would have to lean Montreal in this one. I don't
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: really want to do it, and Carolina's not in a
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: negative spot or anything, so I don't really see a
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: fade angle to go against them here. But if you're
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: going to play this game, I think you'd be playing
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: on the motivational angle for Montreal here. 59% of the
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: tickets are on Carolina, 85% of the cash on Montreal.
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: It looks like the real money is on Montreal. They've
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: driven that line down to a minus 120 Carolina favorite there.
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: That's all I got on that game. Garrett, what's up, man? Yes. Dude.
• 8:54
  Speaker 5: if the Braves win this game, they're still not winning
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: the series. They don't have any other pitchers that can
• 8:59
  Speaker 5: win a game and they're going to have to win
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: a close game here with sale on the mound. I
• 9:03
  Speaker 5: think this is a 50 50 game. And then even
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: if they win this, they're going to have the lesser
• 9:08
  Speaker 5: pitcher in every remaining game in the series. So enjoy that.
• 9:12
  Speaker 5: Good luck with that. Um, in fact, if the Braves
• 9:16
  Speaker 5: win this game, I would bet, uh, I'd probably bet
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers on the series price as a cheaper price
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: to win the series. Um, Nashville at Toronto. Toronto, I mean,
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: they're 1-2 to start the season. I still think Toronto
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: might be a little bit better than... Dude, I don't care.
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: They're going to overuse their bullpen. Yeah, they have a
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: good bullpen. You can't just win with bullpen games every
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: fucking game. It's fucking ridiculous. Dude, just fuck off with
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: that shit. It's ridiculous. It's so fucking stupid. It's not
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: going to happen. Like, you're going to overuse your bullpen arms.
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: Their bullpen arms aren't even that good. Fucking Didier Fuentes,
• 9:56
  Speaker 5: you think he's going to continue doing that as an
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: inexperienced 22-year-old? who's never even really been that good? No,
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: this is a fucking joke. It makes no sense. The
• 10:06
  Speaker 5: Dodgers are just way too deep. Like, you cannot beat
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: them in, you know, a longer format series like this,
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: although I know it's a five-game series. But I'm telling you,
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers are still going to win this series, even
• 10:18
  Speaker 5: if they lose this game. And you might be able
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: to bet on them at a pretty good price here. Toronto,
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: what am I talking about? Hockey. Toronto lost a couple
• 10:30
  Speaker 5: days ago. They're staying at home, but that was a
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: big game. Yeah, as if LA is not going to
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: be able to win one of two in Atlanta. Okay, yeah,
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: you're delusional. Hindi and what's up. LA's the better team.
• 10:44
  Speaker 5: They're going to win one of the two. They might
• 10:47
  Speaker 5: be able to win this game because this game's going
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: to be a complete toss-up. So, dude, let me just
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: fucking handicap this shit. Fuck off. Shut the fuck up
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: in the fucking chat. I don't want this show to
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: be this fucking long. I've talked about one fucking hockey
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: game so far, and that's it. I have a ton
• 11:03
  Speaker 5: of shit to talk about here. toronto is staying at
• 11:06
  Speaker 5: home but they're off a big game against ottawa which
• 11:09
  Speaker 5: is kind of a rivalry game and it was a
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: close game so i don't necessarily want toronto coming off
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: of a game like that nashville though i really don't
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: want them because uh they're coming off beating dallas that
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: was a huge win um that was a huge win
• 11:25
  Speaker 5: for nashville uh So it is a letdown spot for them.
• 11:28
  Speaker 5: I know they're starting a road trip. I talk about
• 11:30
  Speaker 5: how teams starting a road trip tend to be in
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: a focused spot. I don't think so here. I think
• 11:35
  Speaker 5: primarily this is a letdown for Nashville. Got to lean
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: Toronto in this game. That would be my lean here.
• 11:41
  Speaker 5: Toronto's got 84% of the tickets, which I don't like
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: to see. The public does not want Nashville at all here.
• 11:46
  Speaker 5: 92% of the cash on Toronto, though. They're a hefty price,
• 11:51
  Speaker 5: minus 150-something, so... The odds maker's giving a little bit
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: of respect to Toronto here and not a whole lot
• 11:58
  Speaker 5: of respect to Nashville, but there's a reason for that.
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: The odds maker's telling you Toronto's the better team. Catching
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: Nashville in what I think is a letdown spot, yeah,
• 12:07
  Speaker 5: I think Toronto's the right side. You have to lay
• 12:10
  Speaker 5: a minus one puck line on them, like make a
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: minus one puck line, or get the price down by
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: playing Toronto to win in regulation. I would say those
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: are kind of the better options there. Or, you know...
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: I mean, I don't know. Yeah, like, yeah, you could
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: play Moneyline, I guess, because it's kind of in that
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: range around minus 150. So, yes. Yes, correct.
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: Oh, really?
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: Upsets happen? Oh, yeah. You don't say. Well, yeah, whatever.
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: I think the Braves are favored in this game. So, yeah, upsets, no,
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: those never happen. What are you talking about? But favorites
• 12:49
  Speaker 5: tend to win in a long series is what I'm saying.
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: I don't know what I'm doing here. Ottawa at Detroit.
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: Ottawa's coming off that win over Toronto. I think that's
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: a big... Or no, Ottawa played yesterday, too. Ottawa beat
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: my Boston Bruins yesterday, and it was not exactly what
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: it looked like. I mean, it was a 4-1 win.
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: The Bruins were ass in that game, but if you
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: saw what happened in that game, Ottawa scored two shorthanded
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: goals to open the scoring in that game. The Bruins cannot... Like,
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: all the Bruins do is turn the fucking puck over
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: in their own zone. I don't know what the fuck
• 13:26
  Speaker 5: they're even doing. How do you allow two shorthanded goals
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: on a single power play to open the game? What
• 13:32
  Speaker 5: the fuck are you doing? The fucking Bruins. You get
• 13:35
  Speaker 5: a power play, you're supposed to... At worst, you're supposed
• 13:40
  Speaker 5: to not score. The worst possible outcome, basically, is that
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: you don't score on the power play and take the
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: lead early. Instead, what do they do? They give up
• 13:48
  Speaker 5: two fucking goals during their own power play. Fuck you.
• 13:53
  Speaker 5: I fucking hate rooting for this fucking Bruins team. I
• 13:56
  Speaker 5: fucking hate it. This team is so fucking bad. Whatever, man.
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: But that was yesterday. Ottawa's now on a back-to-back. They're
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: playing a third game in four days, all in different cities.
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: And like I said, the first of those two games
• 14:08
  Speaker 5: they played, it was a big win for them over
• 14:10
  Speaker 5: Toronto because I think Ottawa considers themselves to be the
• 14:13
  Speaker 5: little brother in the province of Ontario. So I do
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: not like the spot that much for Ottawa here. I'm
• 14:21
  Speaker 5: not going to say it's necessarily a letdown spot, but
• 14:23
  Speaker 5: they looked too good yesterday. They're on the back-to-back. Detroit's
• 14:27
  Speaker 5: going to be desperate here at 0-2. Detroit has stayed
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: at home for these games so far, and they've lost both.
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: Detroit not looking good at all with losses to the Rangers,
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: although I know they have a good record so far,
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: but that's not a good loss, and neither is the
• 14:41
  Speaker 5: loss to Winnipeg without Hellebuyck. So, yeah, this doesn't look
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: good for Detroit right now. I don't think Detroit's that good,
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: but this is a spot where I think Detroit is
• 14:50
  Speaker 5: the right side here. They're getting all the money. It's
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: a pick-em price. Public is kind of going to be
• 14:56
  Speaker 5: leaning Ottawa here, although it looks like 51% of tickets
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: on Detroit. The real money, I believe, is on Detroit, though,
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: 71% of the cash on them. I agree with that.
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: I mean, the more I talk about that, I almost
• 15:09
  Speaker 5: want to make that play. I'm not going to do it,
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: but that would be my lean in that game. Tommy,
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: what's up, man? I was just on Tommy's show, by
• 15:16
  Speaker 5: the way. Everybody can check that out, which is, what's
• 15:19
  Speaker 5: the name of the show again? America Floats or something? something,
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: root beer float, what, I don't know, um, I, I
• 15:27
  Speaker 5: have no idea, I forget, but yes, thank you for
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: having me on, man, it was a fun time, you
• 15:31
  Speaker 5: guys can go find that show, uh, somewhere, you like Detroit,
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: who the fuck likes Detroit, um, they have, they have
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: a good style of pizza, except for that, you know,
• 15:42
  Speaker 5: like skid mark of tomato sauce they put on top
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: of it for no fucking reason, uh, but I like
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: the crispy edges from the, uh, The oil pan that
• 15:51
  Speaker 5: they use or whatever. It's a solid style of pizza, man.
• 15:54
  Speaker 5: The Detroit style. It's probably the only good thing about Detroit. Yes,
• 16:01
  Speaker 5: America floats. We're a float show. Stack, what's up? Chad
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: is bumping this morning. I can't talk right now either.
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: My voice is terrible. I'm ornery. I'm yelling at everyone.
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: I've lost five bets in a row on this fucking show.
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: I'm going to jump out of a window. I don't
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: know what else to tell you. Utah at New Jersey.
• 16:22
  Speaker 5: Still talking about hockey. New Jersey's coming up with a
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: 6-0 loss at the Islanders. They could be in a
• 16:27
  Speaker 5: bounce back after that. That's an ugly, ugly loss. 6-0
• 16:31
  Speaker 5: to a not very good Islander team. That's not good, obviously.
• 16:35
  Speaker 5: I think the Islanders kind of play with a chip
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: on their shoulder against the other New York area teams
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: because they're kind of the lesser of all of them.
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: Devils back home. They've had a couple of days off here.
• 16:46
  Speaker 5: Having to travel back from New York is whatever. I mean,
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: New Jersey's right there in the New York area. Utah
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: did just take a pretty ugly loss, too, at the Rangers.
• 16:57
  Speaker 5: Off to a 3-1 start. I'm not buying it, at
• 17:00
  Speaker 5: least not yet. But still, this is a tough spot
• 17:03
  Speaker 5: for Utah. It's the third game in four days, all
• 17:05
  Speaker 5: in different cities. Although, yes, they're staying in the New
• 17:10
  Speaker 5: York area for this one, so that makes it a
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: little bit easier. But they just took their first loss,
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: which sometimes will hang you over, although that is worse.
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: The deeper into the season it is, the worse it is.
• 17:20
  Speaker 5: But still, I think the lead is probably New Jersey
• 17:24
  Speaker 5: in this one. Again, not going to have... I'm not
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: going to recommend a play on this, but New Jersey,
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: 58% of tickets, 63% of the cash on them at
• 17:33
  Speaker 5: about minus 130. I think the best out of these
• 17:36
  Speaker 5: games so far is probably Detroit taking the 0-2 team
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: that nobody's going to want, but I'll lean New Jersey
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: in that game against Utah, but both teams I think
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: are good. potentially in somewhat of a bounce-back spot there.
• 17:51
  Speaker 5: Minnesota at Buffalo. Minnesota is the better of these two teams.
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: That's why they're favored on the road, even though I
• 17:57
  Speaker 5: know Buffalo won their division last year. I think Buffalo's
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: not totally for real. I think Minnesota is. Buffalo's coming
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: off a win over Chicago. Not impressive. Chicago, one of
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: the worst teams in the league, but still, they got
• 18:10
  Speaker 5: their first win, which is good. staying at home. Don't
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: really think they're going to overlook a team like Minnesota,
• 18:15
  Speaker 5: who is good, obviously. Minnesota 2-0 to start the season.
• 18:20
  Speaker 5: They have not beaten anybody of note yet. They beat
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: Nashville and Boston, not good teams. This is going to
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: be the most difficult game they face so far at Buffalo.
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: To me, it looks like both teams kind of going
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: to show up for this. Minnesota starting a road trip.
• 18:35
  Speaker 5: Usually you do get focused to start the road trip.
• 18:38
  Speaker 5: This is a hard game to predict. I got pretty
• 18:40
  Speaker 5: much nothing on this. Minnesota is the public side, though.
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: The public, you know, they go based on what they
• 18:46
  Speaker 5: saw last and what the team's current records are. And
• 18:49
  Speaker 5: even though Buffalo made the playoffs last year, I think
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: the public still likes what they saw out of Minnesota better.
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: And they're right. Minnesota is the better team. The oddsmakers
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: are telling you that by lining them as a favorite
• 18:59
  Speaker 5: on the road here. It's close to a pick-em price, though.
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: 71% of tickets, 69% of the cash on Minnesota, so.
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: Minnesota is the public side with less of the money
• 19:08
  Speaker 5: on them. So if you go by the market read,
• 19:11
  Speaker 5: the market read is indicating towards Buffalo in that game.
• 19:14
  Speaker 5: I have basically no read on that game, though. Then
• 19:17
  Speaker 5: we have an ESPN doubleheader starting at 7.30 p.m. with
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: New York, New York. Does anybody really want to watch
• 19:25
  Speaker 5: this game between the Islanders and the Rangers? Until further notice,
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: I don't think either of these teams are good. The
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: Rangers are a pretty heavy favorite here, though, so the
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: oddsmakers are... really telling you that the Islanders are not
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: very good. And the Islanders are coming off a 6-0
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: win over the Devils, which I haven't looked at the
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: box score, but you've got to think that was pretty misleading.
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: Any 6-0 win in hockey is going to be misleading. Yeah,
• 19:50
  Speaker 5: I mean, the Devils outshot them, although the Islanders did
• 19:53
  Speaker 5: win the physicality battle, winning the hits and the face-offs.
• 19:57
  Speaker 5: So Islanders had one shorthanded goal in that game. So
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: I'm not going to say the Islanders deserve to lose
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: that game or anything like that. I don't really think so,
• 20:05
  Speaker 5: but the game was closer than the score makes it
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: look at least. The Rangers, are they for real at
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: 3-1 right now? I don't know. I mean, their track
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: record is kind of ridiculous right now. They lost to
• 20:15
  Speaker 5: the worst team they played, which is the Bruins, and
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: then they beat the Lightning and the Mammoth, who are
• 20:20
  Speaker 5: both solid teams. They were both in the playoffs last year,
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: and then they also beat Detroit, who probably isn't good.
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: So kind of a weird run for the Rangers. The
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: Rangers are 2-0 at home. Who would have thought? Rangers
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: were unbelievably bad at home last year. Maybe that's not
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: the case this time. Coming off a big win over Utah, though.
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: The Islanders, they're coming off a big win themselves, though,
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: over the Devils. So what do we do with this game? Honestly,
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: I don't know. You could argue both teams are in
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: letdown spots. I think the Islanders tend to get up
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: for this game a little bit more because they're kind
• 20:54
  Speaker 5: of like the bastard child in the New York area.
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: Like I said, they're the littlest brother out of the
• 20:58
  Speaker 5: New York area teams, the Islanders. I think primarily the
• 21:02
  Speaker 5: New York fan base is rooting for the Rangers, I believe.
• 21:06
  Speaker 5: So the Islanders have to play second fiddle, and I
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: guess they have some of the, I don't know, they
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: get some fandom from the Queens area and shit, but whatever. Yeah,
• 21:18
  Speaker 5: I don't know what to do with this game. The
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: money's coming in on the Islanders, so maybe it is
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: the little brother phenomenon that wins out here. You might
• 21:26
  Speaker 5: be able to make the argument that there's no way
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: the Rangers should be favored like this, like against anybody
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: right now, even though I know they're off to a
• 21:32
  Speaker 5: hot start. But the Rangers were expected to be a
• 21:35
  Speaker 5: bad team again this year, one of the worst in
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: the conference, actually. And them sitting at minus 150-something, again,
• 21:42
  Speaker 5: against anybody, that is kind of a heavy price. Like,
• 21:45
  Speaker 5: home ice only gives you about 20 cents on the line,
• 21:48
  Speaker 5: I think, and it might be less for New York,
• 21:50
  Speaker 5: New York, because the Islanders will have some fans show
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: up for a game tomorrow. In New York, you know
• 21:55
  Speaker 5: what I mean? Obviously. Even though it's a road game, technically.
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: 76% of tickets are on the Rangers. 74% of the
• 22:02
  Speaker 5: cash on the Islanders. At Madison Square Garden here. Yeah,
• 22:06
  Speaker 5: the money is saying the Islanders. I don't have much
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: of a reason to disagree with that. So I'll probably
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: slightly agree with that. But yeah, do I want to
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: play it?
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: No.
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: Although if you want to play the Islanders, you might
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: be able to. You'll be able to get them at
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: a pretty decent money line price, though. St. Louis at Chicago.
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: Chicago off to a bad start. Again, their own three.
• 22:26
  Speaker 5: They're still looking for their first win of the season.
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: They're still kind of in rebuild mode. I don't know
• 22:31
  Speaker 5: exactly what's going on with them, although their goaltending tandem
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: really isn't that bad, but they've given up four-plus goals
• 22:38
  Speaker 5: in every game, which isn't good, although the three teams
• 22:40
  Speaker 5: they've faced so far all made the playoffs. So Chicago,
• 22:44
  Speaker 5: this will be their easiest game so far, if you
• 22:47
  Speaker 5: want to call it that, against St. Louis. Because I
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: think St. Louis is not as good as Vegas, Utah,
• 22:51
  Speaker 5: or Buffalo. I could be proven wrong about that. But
• 22:54
  Speaker 5: those are the teams Chicago has lost to so far. However,
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: it is true that Chicago is returning home from a
• 22:59
  Speaker 5: road trip. They played three games on the road to
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: start the season, starting last Tuesday. And, you know, I
• 23:05
  Speaker 5: talk about this. When you've been on the road for
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: a week, you return home. A lot of times it's
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: not a good spot, and you've got to get back
• 23:11
  Speaker 5: to home life, and you get distracted. It's even worse
• 23:14
  Speaker 5: for Chicago because they've got to go right back out
• 23:16
  Speaker 5: on the road, and they have to go back and
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: play in New York. Next, against the Islanders, which is
• 23:21
  Speaker 5: kind of ridiculous. A lot of times when these teams
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: have this return home spot sandwiched in between two road trips,
• 23:28
  Speaker 5: that tends to be a fade spot as well. So
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: I do like fading teams in a spot like that. However,
• 23:35
  Speaker 5: I think Chicago and St. Louis have somewhat of a
• 23:37
  Speaker 5: rivalry here. So I don't think Chicago is going to
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: really overlook them. You can't really overlook anybody when you're 0-3.
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: So I don't really want Chicago here. I mean, I
• 23:47
  Speaker 5: don't really want to fade Chicago here, I mean, even
• 23:49
  Speaker 5: though normally I'd be looking to fade a team returning
• 23:51
  Speaker 5: home from a road trip. St. Louis is coming off
• 23:54
  Speaker 5: two difficult games, though, against the Stars and the Avs.
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: I mean, those are possibly the top two teams in
• 23:59
  Speaker 5: the Western Conference, or they're probably two of the top
• 24:02
  Speaker 5: four at the very least. St. Louis beat the Stars,
• 24:06
  Speaker 5: and they lost badly to the Avs. They're coming up
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: an ugly loss to the Avs, although it was kind
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: of an expected loss, but you never really expect to
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: lose that badly to anybody. Could be a bounce-back spot
• 24:18
  Speaker 5: for St. Louis here. I think both teams have reason
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: to show up in this game. The money is slightly
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: indicating towards St.
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: Louis.
• 24:25
  Speaker 5: 65% of tickets, 66% of the cash on them. Minus
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: 130-something is the price on them. Actually, it's gone up
• 24:32
  Speaker 5: to minus 140-something, so the money line has gone in
• 24:36
  Speaker 5: the direction of St. Louis a little bit there. I
• 24:40
  Speaker 5: don't have a whole lot on that one either, man.
• 24:43
  Speaker 5: I might leave St. Louis just because I, you know me,
• 24:47
  Speaker 5: I tend to fade teams returning home from road trips
• 24:49
  Speaker 5: unless I have a real, like, even if I have
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: a good reason not to, I tend to just stay
• 24:55
  Speaker 5: off the game.
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: I think I would lean towards St. Louis in that one.
• 24:59
  Speaker 5: All right. Then we have Vegas and Seattle. Um, Seattle
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: beat me the other day by beating Calgary again. Seattle,
• 25:08
  Speaker 5: they're 2-1, but their only wins are against Calgary. Calgary
• 25:12
  Speaker 5: is one of the only teams in the league that's
• 25:14
  Speaker 5: worse than Seattle. Seattle, one time they played a good team, Edmonton,
• 25:19
  Speaker 5: they lost. I'm not expecting Seattle to win this game,
• 25:24
  Speaker 5: but maybe they'll step up for it. They're playing Vegas.
• 25:27
  Speaker 5: Vegas won the conference last year, so you're not going
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: to not get up for that game.
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: You know what I mean?
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: You will get up for a game against Vegas. Then
• 25:35
  Speaker 5: the question becomes, is Vegas going to be focused here?
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: I think maybe, because they're coming off kind of an
• 25:41
  Speaker 5: ugly game against Vancouver, and they only beat Vancouver by
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: one goal. It was a tied game. Vegas scored... late
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: in the second period to win the game, but then
• 25:50
  Speaker 5: it was a one-goal game for the entirety of the
• 25:52
  Speaker 5: third period. Vegas, you know, didn't exactly play that well
• 25:55
  Speaker 5: in that game against a pretty bad Vancouver team, I think.
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: So Vegas might still be in a focus spot here, too,
• 26:01
  Speaker 5: after a bad effort like that. The money is indicating
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: pretty heavily towards Seattle, though. 88% of tickets, 56% of
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: the cash on Vegas at about a minus 180 price.
• 26:13
  Speaker 5: You know Vegas is going to be Probably overvalued in
• 26:16
  Speaker 5: the market because everybody saw what Vegas did last year.
• 26:18
  Speaker 5: They made that run to the Stanley Cup Finals, which
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: I had correct in my bracket. Going into the playoffs,
• 26:25
  Speaker 5: people did not expect that, although I put it in
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: my bracket because I thought there was value on it.
• 26:30
  Speaker 5: Game theory value in that case. The money coming in
• 26:34
  Speaker 5: towards Seattle, though, so pretty strongly. So act accordingly. You
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: might be able to take a puck line or something
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: with Seattle there and make it a plus one puck line.
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: Get the price down if you really want to do that.
• 26:45
  Speaker 5: I'm not going to disagree with Seattle in that game.
• 26:48
  Speaker 5: I just don't see that great of a reason to
• 26:52
  Speaker 5: fade Vegas either there, other than the fact that they're
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: probably overpriced in the market. Stacks, thank you, sir. Thank
• 26:58
  Speaker 5: you for the super chat. I appreciate it, man. Finally
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: got my AdSense thing verified, so... I can get some
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: money here for the Super Chats, although YouTube takes a
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: huge cut, though. All right, and then we have Florida
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: and L.A. as Florida continues their Pacific Coast road trip here. L.A.
• 27:17
  Speaker 5: is off to an 0-2 start. This will be their
• 27:19
  Speaker 5: first home game of the season. Although last year L.A.
• 27:22
  Speaker 5: was a terrible home team, but maybe they'll flip that
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: around like the Rangers seem to be doing. LA is
• 27:28
  Speaker 5: technically in a return home spot here. They played in
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: Colorado and then in San Jose and their defense was
• 27:34
  Speaker 5: awful in both games. They've given up 13 goals so
• 27:37
  Speaker 5: far in two games. Uh, is that good? Uh, probably not. Um,
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: Both offenses they face are pretty good, though. Now LA
• 27:44
  Speaker 5: has a few days off here, a couple days off.
• 27:47
  Speaker 5: But a return home spot, I never really love it.
• 27:49
  Speaker 5: You've been away for almost a week. You've got to
• 27:52
  Speaker 5: get back to home life, whatever. And LA has to
• 27:54
  Speaker 5: swing right back around and play Vegas and Edmonton right
• 27:57
  Speaker 5: after this. Those are two huge divisional matchups coming up
• 28:01
  Speaker 5: right after this. So there is the possibility LA takes
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: this a little bit less seriously. However... their home team
• 28:07
  Speaker 5: on ESPN, man, and so are the Rangers, by the way,
• 28:10
  Speaker 5: so a lot of times teams will step up for
• 28:12
  Speaker 5: that reason if they know that, you know, the big
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: TV networks are in the arena, whatever, they're playing on
• 28:20
  Speaker 5: national TV, they don't want to get embarrassed, whatever, so
• 28:24
  Speaker 5: maybe LA won't overlook this, but I don't know, man, Florida,
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: I think there's still going to be an overlooked team
• 28:29
  Speaker 5: early in the season because they're 1-0-2 right now, but
• 28:33
  Speaker 5: they haven't really played poorly at all, you know, like,
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: All their games have gone into overtime so far, so
• 28:39
  Speaker 5: they've been really competitive so far. They played two days ago,
• 28:43
  Speaker 5: but they're only going up the road from Anaheim to L.A.
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: They're 0-2 on this road trip, finishing the road trip here.
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: So I do expect Florida to be motivated here to
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: try to get a win to finish the road trip.
• 28:53
  Speaker 5: I think I would lean towards Florida in this one.
• 28:55
  Speaker 5: 72% of tickets, 76% of the cash on them. They
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: are a bit of a public side here. Minus 120
• 29:02
  Speaker 5: or so is the price here. I don't like that
• 29:05
  Speaker 5: they look public, although maybe some of the money's slightly
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: indicating towards them, too. Really don't love it. So, another
• 29:11
  Speaker 5: game I'm staying away from. That's your hockey breakdown, man.
• 29:14
  Speaker 5: I do not like this hockey board at all. Like
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: I said, I think my strongest opinion is probably on
• 29:19
  Speaker 5: the Red Wings. I don't even... I don't know, man.
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: I mean, that doesn't even seem to be the strongest situation, though.
• 29:25
  Speaker 5: The market read looks good, and the... I don't know.
• 29:28
  Speaker 5: The setup for that game looks okay to me, though.
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: All right. Um... What do I want to do here?
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: It's half hour in. That'll be about the halfway point
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: for the show. I'm gonna take a break see if
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: I could fix my voice slightly I'll be right back
• 29:42
  Speaker 5: and then I'll do baseball and college football resumes Tuesday
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: play and there's no WNBA two straight days with no
• 29:52
  Speaker 5: WNBA that's why I haven't talked about that recently WNBA
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: resumes tomorrow as the teams are shifting venues and And traveling.
• 30:00
  Speaker 5: I'll be right back. Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself.
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: We are on an 0-7 run over the last two days.
• 30:11
  Speaker 5: After tonight, it was just complete bullshit. So that's how
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: I'm going to start off this show.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday.
• 30:18
  Speaker 4: 1-5.
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: never seen anything like this before. The slump continuing. Two
• 30:29
  Speaker 5: straight losses. Not a good day at all. 0-4. I
• 30:31
  Speaker 5: just have not had a good season, man, with weekends. Slump.
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: Then I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 30:42
  Speaker 5: new peak, actually. I'm going to burn my Bruins hat, man.
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: March 8th? Is that what it is? I don't even know.
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: It's March 9th, I think. Who even knows, man? I
• 30:55
  Speaker 5: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: know what day it is anymore, man. Back with you
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: after the worst day that I could possibly have. Back
• 31:03
  Speaker 5: with you as I always am. Until I die.
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: At least.
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: 0-2 yesterday. And yesterday did not go well for me. 0-5.
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: The worst month that I've ever had in my 18
• 31:16
  Speaker 5: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: you about this anymore. The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 31:27
  Speaker 5: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 31:29
  Speaker 5: point other than potentially end it all. Okay. Baseball is next.
• 31:43
  Speaker 5: Only three more games to talk about, so that's not
• 31:45
  Speaker 5: too bad. We have the first game up, 6 p.m. Eastern.
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: I have a play in this game, and it seems obvious,
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: but we're going to make this play anyway. The line,
• 31:54
  Speaker 5: you know, it is what it is, but like I said...
• 31:57
  Speaker 5: Playoffs tend to be lower scoring. Long-term, if you play
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: under 6.5 in baseball, you win slightly long-term. This game,
• 32:06
  Speaker 5: just everything about this looks like an under to me,
• 32:09
  Speaker 5: so that's what we're doing here. That's my only play.
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: Dodgers-Braves under the 6.5. It is a little bit juiced.
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: The total, this starting pitching matchup is basically elite, and
• 32:18
  Speaker 5: you're looking at a 6 at a lot of places
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: right now. You know, I mean, there's not a huge
• 32:23
  Speaker 5: difference between six and six and a half, at least,
• 32:25
  Speaker 5: because seven is the key number. But, you know, I'm
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: going to get every half run I can get here.
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: Although runs are supposed to be at a huge premium
• 32:34
  Speaker 5: here for obvious reasons. These teams have had rest and
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: they're traveling from west from west coast to east coast here,
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: traveling cross country. I think that can affect the offense negatively,
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: you know. You have to adjust to the new time zone.
• 32:46
  Speaker 5: If you throw off, you're hitting a little bit. So
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: I think that's going to help this case as well.
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: The fact that the bullpens are both rested. Atlanta's got
• 32:55
  Speaker 5: a good bullpen. The Dodgers' bullpen is okay. So that
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: all helps. All the bullpen arms are pretty much going
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: to be available in this game. Offenses having a day
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: off can kind of cool off a little bit as well.
• 33:07
  Speaker 5: So all of that makes this look like an under.
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: And then obviously the starting pitching. is a huge factor
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: as well. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is pitching for the Dodgers. We
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: know He's got playoff experience now. He's a World Series winner.
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: He won World Series MVP last year. He's got a 2.53
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: ERA this year and a very low. 87 whip. That's
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: all really good. He's been excellent on the road, 1.77
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: road ERA. So he's in the better of his own
• 33:34
  Speaker 5: road splits. He's even better on the road. He just
• 33:36
  Speaker 5: pitched here in Atlanta in late August, and he pitched
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: really well in that game. So I think he can
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: continue to do that. he's also a grinder like he's
• 33:44
  Speaker 5: the guy in la's rotation that tends to go the
• 33:46
  Speaker 5: deepest consistently into his outings because he's i don't know
• 33:50
  Speaker 5: he's not that old although he's not a big dude
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: at all but he's not that old and generally he
• 33:55
  Speaker 5: does well against the braves they only have a 196
• 33:57
  Speaker 5: batting average against him 653 ops they have had a
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: few extra base hits off him but still those are
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: pretty weak offensive numbers especially the average 51 at bats
• 34:08
  Speaker 5: um For that sample size there. 18 strikeouts. 6 walks.
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: Those numbers are good across the board for Yamamoto. So
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: I expect him to pitch well here. And obviously Chris
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: Sale is on the other side. Inside young contention. 2.16
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: ERA in the season for him. Both pitchers in this
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: matchup had a sub 1 whip. Which is really good.
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: Sale 0.98. Sale was also better at home. 1.66 home ERA.
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: So both pitchers in this matchup. Had an ERA in
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: the 1's.
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: In.
• 34:38
  Speaker 5: this particular of their home road split here, which is
• 34:42
  Speaker 5: probably part of the reason why they're both going in
• 34:44
  Speaker 5: this game. Sale has pitched a couple times in the
• 34:47
  Speaker 5: playoffs already. They've given him rest now, though. He pitched
• 34:50
  Speaker 5: out of the bullpen on the first against the Phillies,
• 34:52
  Speaker 5: and he has not appeared in this series yet. Getting
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: him ready for a start where he can make a
• 34:57
  Speaker 5: full start, that's what's going to happen here. His numbers
• 35:00
  Speaker 5: against L.A. are good, and 140 at-bats, really good. 41-5
• 35:04
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio, 200 batting average allowed, 588 OPS average.
• 35:10
  Speaker 5: Those are really good numbers. I mean, like I said,
• 35:13
  Speaker 5: it seems really obvious, but maybe the public will shy
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: away from this because they do think of these two
• 35:18
  Speaker 5: teams as having good offenses, and they do, but good
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: pitching can beat good hitting, man. This is the playoffs.
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: Everything to me makes this game look like a definitive
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: under to me. We have 66% of the tickets on
• 35:31
  Speaker 5: the over, so the public seeing this low number and
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: seeing offenses like this, they're shying away from it, even
• 35:38
  Speaker 5: though I think they know They're shying away from, like,
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: they're never going to play an under, basically, is what
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: I'm saying, even though they know this is an ace
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: pitching matchup here, but the real money is saying under.
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: 56% of the cash on the under. I am also
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: saying it. I'd rather have a seven, but I knew
• 35:54
  Speaker 5: we weren't going to get a seven on this. I
• 35:56
  Speaker 5: saw that that was going to be the pitching matchup,
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: and I'm like, this total might be five and a half.
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: I'm like, this is ridiculous, dude. But no, it's six,
• 36:04
  Speaker 5: six and a half. I mean, you a baseball total
• 36:08
  Speaker 5: of six is like the lowest you're ever going to
• 36:10
  Speaker 5: see pretty much so if these were worse offenses then
• 36:13
  Speaker 5: maybe you'd see like a five and a half um
• 36:16
  Speaker 5: for the first time maybe that I could ever remember
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: but yeah I mean this everything about this game to
• 36:22
  Speaker 5: me points towards an under so that's what we're doing
• 36:25
  Speaker 5: there I know there's not a lot of leeway with
• 36:27
  Speaker 5: that number but I think it could definitely get there.
• 36:31
  Speaker 5: You could play the first five if you want to
• 36:33
  Speaker 5: as well. You might be able to find like a three,
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: I guess. First five under makes some sense to me
• 36:38
  Speaker 5: as well. But both of these pitchers might go pretty
• 36:40
  Speaker 5: deep here, man. And the bullpens are fully available. So
• 36:44
  Speaker 5: I think that's good. This other game, Milwaukee and San Diego,
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: this pitching matchup does not look anywhere near as good.
• 36:53
  Speaker 5: These teams are both having to travel out to the
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: West Coast now for a late-night game, and I talk
• 36:57
  Speaker 5: about how it's difficult to adjust your biological clocks for that.
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: So I think that could affect the offenses in this game.
• 37:03
  Speaker 5: So looking at the pitching matchup, you're going to see
• 37:06
  Speaker 5: I kind of like the over in this game, but
• 37:08
  Speaker 5: I don't think I want to do it because, again,
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: the hitting might suffer a little bit from having a
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: day off and having to go all the way cross-country
• 37:17
  Speaker 5: and adjust to the late-night time. That's even worse. then
• 37:20
  Speaker 5: having to adjust to the East Coast time, like I said,
• 37:23
  Speaker 5: because you're going to be playing really late on your
• 37:25
  Speaker 5: biological clocks. That's not good. They're only going from Central
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: to West, but still a two-hour time difference. It's almost
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: the same thing. Milwaukee is leading the series 2-0, by
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: the way, whereas Dodgers and Atlanta are tied 1-1. Milwaukee, obviously,
• 37:40
  Speaker 5: they're highly likely to win this series. They only need
• 37:42
  Speaker 5: one more game here. Will it come in this game? Well,
• 37:46
  Speaker 5: I don't know. Looking at the starting pitching matchup, it
• 37:48
  Speaker 5: looks like the pitching matchup favors San Diego, but when
• 37:51
  Speaker 5: you dig into it a little bit, that's not really
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: the case. Both of these bullpens are good, even though
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: you might be able to argue San Diego's is a
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: bit better. Mason Miller had some issues the other day, though, man.
• 38:02
  Speaker 5: These bullpens are both really good. I think it's close,
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: but you can make an argument for either bullpen here.
• 38:08
  Speaker 5: Dustin May is getting the start for Milwaukee, because I
• 38:11
  Speaker 5: guess after Milwaukee's top two pitchers there. They have a
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: bit of a drop-off to the rest of their pitchers.
• 38:18
  Speaker 5: I think part of the reason May is in the
• 38:20
  Speaker 5: rotation is because he's experienced. He does have decent playoff experience.
• 38:24
  Speaker 5: He's pitched against San Diego before. He's familiar with the
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: stadium because he was on L.A. for a while. And
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: as you'll see in a minute, he actually has good
• 38:31
  Speaker 5: numbers against San Diego as well. May on the season
• 38:34
  Speaker 5: wasn't that good, though. 4.7 ERA, 1.32 whip. He's also
• 38:39
  Speaker 5: not good on the road. 5.88 road ERA with a
• 38:42
  Speaker 5: 290 opponent batting average. That's all pretty bad. Towards the
• 38:47
  Speaker 5: end of the season... His command numbers were good in September,
• 38:50
  Speaker 5: but they kind of winded him down and they had
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: him throwing fewer pitches towards the end of the season.
• 38:55
  Speaker 5: I think that was to get him ready for the playoffs.
• 38:57
  Speaker 5: I think they're going to let him go like a
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: starter's workload here if he can handle it. As long
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: as he's pitching well, I would say they'll probably let
• 39:04
  Speaker 5: him do that. Although, he hasn't exactly been that good
• 39:08
  Speaker 5: since Milwaukee got him from St.
• 39:10
  Speaker 4: Louis.
• 39:10
  Speaker 5: However... This does appear to be a good matchup for him.
• 39:13
  Speaker 5: We get a pitcher-friendly ballpark here, which might be able
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: to help with the fact that May has not been
• 39:18
  Speaker 5: good on the road. This might be an exception because
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: this is such a pitcher-friendly ballpark here. And San Diego
• 39:24
  Speaker 5: has a lot of at-bats against them, 152, like I said,
• 39:27
  Speaker 5: because May was in their division for a long time.
• 39:30
  Speaker 4: Time.
• 39:30
  Speaker 5: 34-12 strikeout walk ratio, that's not that impressive, but he
• 39:33
  Speaker 5: has held them to a 217 batting average and 643 OPS.
• 39:38
  Speaker 5: So May actually does match up okay against San Diego there.
• 39:43
  Speaker 5: On the other side, Nick Pavetta is getting the start
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: for San Diego. He is definitely the better pitcher in general.
• 39:48
  Speaker 5: And he's also an experienced pitcher. I mean, I believe
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: he was on the Red Sox for one of their
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: playoff runs. Pavetta's good. He's been in the league for
• 39:56
  Speaker 5: a while. 2.86 ERA, 1.01 width this year. It was
• 40:00
  Speaker 5: a very shortened season for him, though. He spent most
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: of the season on the injured list. But he's been
• 40:05
  Speaker 5: good since coming back. He had a three ERA at home.
• 40:09
  Speaker 5: There's not a lot you can read into with that
• 40:11
  Speaker 5: just because it's just not that big of a sample size.
• 40:14
  Speaker 5: But his opponent batting average at home is really low
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: at 182. So that's really good. He came back in September.
• 40:21
  Speaker 5: He made four starts. And it seemed like they were
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: kind of limiting his pitches a bit. They ramped him
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: up a bit. And then they kind of limited him again.
• 40:29
  Speaker 5: He pitched in the Cubs series, in the wild card
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: series here. And they somewhat limited him, although he struggled
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: a little bit in that game. But they still won
• 40:36
  Speaker 5: the game. And he held a pretty talented Cub lineup
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: to only one earned run there. So Pavetta, you know,
• 40:43
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's in fine form, I would say. Throughout
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: the entire time he's been pitching for San Diego, this
• 40:50
  Speaker 5: year at least, since he came back from the injured list,
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: I should say, his command numbers have been good, although
• 40:56
  Speaker 5: he did walk two guys in that Cub start there.
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: But he only walked two guys in his four regular
• 41:01
  Speaker 5: season starts, though. And perhaps more importantly, San Diego's one
• 41:06
  Speaker 5: All five of his starts since coming back off the
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: injured list, including the playoff one. Pavetta, though, against Milwaukee,
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: he does not do well against the Brewers. They have
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: 69 at-bats against them. 20-11 strikeout walk ratio, that's not good.
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: 304 batting average allowed, that's not good. 907 OPS allowed,
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: that's not good. So Pavetta does not have good matchup
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: numbers here. Between that and not really trusting May and
• 41:34
  Speaker 5: not thinking he's that good on the road... I kind
• 41:37
  Speaker 5: of like the over here. Like I said, the line
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: has moved up a little bit from a 7 to
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: a 7.5, so it's kind of gone off of that
• 41:43
  Speaker 5: key number there, which I'd much rather have the over 7, right,
• 41:47
  Speaker 5: because 7 is a key number. You have to break
• 41:48
  Speaker 5: a 3-3 tie. All the odd numbers are key because,
• 41:53
  Speaker 5: you know, obviously a baseball game cannot land on 3-3, 4-4, whatever.
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: Some team has to win, right? So it's more likely
• 42:02
  Speaker 5: for a baseball game to end on an odd number
• 42:04
  Speaker 5: than an even number for the total. So having to
• 42:06
  Speaker 5: lay over seven and a half is definitely worse than
• 42:10
  Speaker 5: having to go over seven, but I still think that
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: might be the right lean here, and maybe you could
• 42:15
  Speaker 5: still get over seven with some juice there. 79% of
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: the tickets are on the over, 95% of the cash
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: on the over. Money seems to agree with me on this.
• 42:23
  Speaker 5: I think that is probably the better way to play
• 42:25
  Speaker 5: this is the over, but obviously I have my reservations
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: with it. It is a pitcher-friendly park. Pavetta is generally
• 42:32
  Speaker 5: good at least, and May has good matchup numbers, and
• 42:35
  Speaker 5: the hitting might be thrown off from all the travel
• 42:38
  Speaker 5: and the day off and whatever, and that does help
• 42:40
  Speaker 5: the bullpens as well, so I don't really want to
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: do it, but I think that is the best lean
• 42:44
  Speaker 5: that I have in this game. As far as the side,
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: San Diego's around minus 130-something. They're obviously in desperation mode.
• 42:51
  Speaker 5: I mean, they're facing elimination here. 57% of tickets, 57%
• 42:55
  Speaker 5: of the cash on San Diego. Normally, I would say, yeah,
• 42:58
  Speaker 5: that might be the way to look because Pavetta is
• 43:01
  Speaker 5: better than May, but You look at the matchup numbers, man,
• 43:04
  Speaker 5: it does not really support it. So I kind of
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: lean Milwaukee. I think Milwaukee might actually complete the sweep here.
• 43:11
  Speaker 5: I think it's definitely possible. San Diego's going to be,
• 43:15
  Speaker 5: you know, just pulling out all the stops, though, to
• 43:17
  Speaker 5: try to stave off elimination, though. So I don't really
• 43:21
  Speaker 5: want to fade a totally desperate team like San Diego.
• 43:23
  Speaker 5: But because they're in desperation mode, you're having to lay
• 43:26
  Speaker 5: a price with them. You know what I mean? And
• 43:28
  Speaker 5: the price is also factoring in that Pavetta is better
• 43:31
  Speaker 5: than May. So I think you might actually be getting
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: some value playing Milwaukee here. Just sneakily, Milwaukee is a
• 43:37
  Speaker 5: pretty sizable underdog here. May actually have the better starter
• 43:43
  Speaker 5: in this particular matchup. You know what I mean? And
• 43:45
  Speaker 5: you're getting maybe the better... I think these teams are
• 43:47
  Speaker 5: closely matched, though, to be honest. San Diego's offense wasn't
• 43:51
  Speaker 5: better than Milwaukee's over the course of the season, but
• 43:54
  Speaker 5: they have a more power-hitting offense than Milwaukee does, and...
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: Their offense has been better over the second half, so
• 44:01
  Speaker 5: their offense can compete against Milwaukee's, let's say. So, yeah,
• 44:07
  Speaker 5: it's an interesting game. And then to finish this off,
• 44:10
  Speaker 5: we do have a college football game as Tuesday college
• 44:12
  Speaker 5: football resumes here, and it is not with the MAAC yet.
• 44:16
  Speaker 5: We're not in the MAACtion, Tuesday MAACtion portion of the
• 44:19
  Speaker 5: season yet. This is going to be a Sunbelt game here. So, yeah,
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: MAACtion Tuesday night has not started yet. Southern Miss and
• 44:27
  Speaker 5: Troy are both playing here. They both played last Saturday,
• 44:31
  Speaker 5: so they both have the same amount of rest here.
• 44:32
  Speaker 5: They both have a little bit of extra rest here.
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: Southern Miss is 1-3, but, I mean, they played Auburn.
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: They weren't expected to win that game. Not really great
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: that they got hammered by a probably not-so-good UConn team
• 44:45
  Speaker 5: this year. Last time out, though, this is really where
• 44:48
  Speaker 5: kind of my handicap lies in this game. Southern Miss
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: is coming off a huge game against Tulane where I
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: think they consider Tulane to kind of be a bigger-ish
• 44:57
  Speaker 5: brother kind of in that Gulf Coast area there. And
• 45:00
  Speaker 5: Southern Miss almost pulled off this upset. There were 17.5-point
• 45:04
  Speaker 5: underdogs here at Tulane. They only lost by three. And
• 45:07
  Speaker 5: this was– Southern Miss was winning this game in the
• 45:09
  Speaker 5: fourth quarter. So, you know, I talk about how difficult
• 45:12
  Speaker 5: that is. Southern Miss was up– yeah, they were winning
• 45:16
  Speaker 5: for the majority of the fourth quarter, basically, and they
• 45:18
  Speaker 5: were up– seven going into it and you know I
• 45:21
  Speaker 5: talk about this when a huge underdog almost pulls off
• 45:24
  Speaker 5: an upset like this I think they tend to come
• 45:26
  Speaker 5: up flat in the next game so I do not
• 45:28
  Speaker 5: like Southern Miss coming off of this game they did
• 45:32
  Speaker 5: play well though like statistically they played this game pretty
• 45:34
  Speaker 5: close as well so it wasn't like a misleading final
• 45:37
  Speaker 5: really but it was still a huge effort for Southern
• 45:39
  Speaker 5: Miss I don't really love them coming into this game,
• 45:42
  Speaker 5: even though this will be their conference opener. This is
• 45:44
  Speaker 5: the conference opener for both teams, I believe. Yeah, neither
• 45:48
  Speaker 5: team has played a Sunbelt matchup yet, so this will
• 45:50
  Speaker 5: be big for both teams as far as that's concerned.
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: For Troy, Troy is in Alabama, by the way, for
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: those that don't know. Troy's 2-2. They had to play Missouri,
• 46:02
  Speaker 5: but they looked a lot better in that game against Missouri, right?
• 46:05
  Speaker 5: They played a an SEC team that's fairly strong, and
• 46:08
  Speaker 5: they went into Missouri and only lost by 10. And
• 46:11
  Speaker 5: now I think Missouri, you know, Missouri probably looked past
• 46:15
  Speaker 5: Troy in that game. But that was still a good
• 46:17
  Speaker 5: performance from Troy. And then we faded Troy in the
• 46:20
  Speaker 5: game after that against Utah State. And Utah State got
• 46:23
  Speaker 5: us the win there. It was a weird spot, right?
• 46:26
  Speaker 5: Troy coming up that huge game against Missouri. Huge effort.
• 46:29
  Speaker 5: Then they had to go out into elevation. I did
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: not like the spot for them. And I thought Utah
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: State was undervalued at however bad their record was. Because
• 46:36
  Speaker 5: Utah State had faced a difficult schedule leading into that.
• 46:39
  Speaker 5: We got the win there. Now Troy's coming back home here.
• 46:42
  Speaker 5: I don't think it's like a typical, you know, the
• 46:43
  Speaker 5: return home spot isn't really a thing in college, right?
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: Because these guys don't have families yet, and I don't
• 46:49
  Speaker 5: think they get distracted by schoolwork. Although maybe you get
• 46:52
  Speaker 5: distracted by parties and chicks and whatever, but still. I
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: think they're going to be focused on this game, and
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: like I say, it's a home game. It's the only
• 47:00
  Speaker 5: football game on tonight. It's at home on ESPN2. So
• 47:05
  Speaker 5: teams usually get up for a game like this at home, right?
• 47:07
  Speaker 5: The atmosphere usually gets a little crazy. The students spend
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: the whole day drinking. It's an excuse to drink. Tuesday,
• 47:15
  Speaker 5: booze day, and ESPN2 will be there. Home game at night.
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: The crowd's probably going to be a bit... loud let's
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: say at least as far as Sunbelt crowds go this
• 47:25
  Speaker 5: might be one of the louder games you'll get here
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: yeah I mean I think I like Troy in this
• 47:31
  Speaker 5: game I think they have the better looking resume so
• 47:33
  Speaker 5: far just in the way that they hand well didn't
• 47:37
  Speaker 5: handle they played Missouri pretty tough whereas uh The comparable
• 47:41
  Speaker 5: matchup for Southern Miss was against Auburn, and Southern Miss
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: got blown out in that game. So I don't know.
• 47:46
  Speaker 5: I think Troy has the more solid resume. But Troy's
• 47:49
  Speaker 5: obviously the better team, though. That's the thing. Like, if
• 47:51
  Speaker 5: you want Troy, you've got to lay a huge amount
• 47:53
  Speaker 5: of points here, and that's the problem. Minus 10.5. I'm
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: not willing to do that. And it's a low total, 48.5, 49.
• 48:02
  Speaker 5: A little bit of money's coming in on the over.
• 48:04
  Speaker 5: So it looks like some of the money is coming
• 48:05
  Speaker 5: in on the over, and the money is coming in
• 48:07
  Speaker 5: on Southern Miss in this game as well. I kind
• 48:10
  Speaker 5: of lean Troy here, though. I do not want Southern
• 48:12
  Speaker 5: Miss off of that huge performance against Tulane as a
• 48:17
  Speaker 5: big underdog. I just don't want to do it. Whereas
• 48:19
  Speaker 5: Troy's coming off a lesser performance in Utah State, like
• 48:22
  Speaker 5: I said. But that was in a bad spot for
• 48:25
  Speaker 5: Troy there. So you would think the public wouldn't be
• 48:28
  Speaker 5: on Troy here to this extent. Like laying double digits
• 48:32
  Speaker 5: here with Troy only putting up 10 points last week.
• 48:36
  Speaker 5: I don't know, man. But 76% of the tickets are
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: on Troy. 88% of the cash on Southern Miss. I
• 48:43
  Speaker 5: lean Troy, like I said, but I don't want to
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: lay double digits with a low total like this. I
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: definitely do not want to do that. I think Troy
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: does win the game. I think the situational setup is
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: better for them in this game. And yeah, I mean,
• 48:57
  Speaker 5: for me, a lot of it has to do with
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: the number and the number in the market reader definitely
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: keeping me off of that. I mean, I don't think
• 49:04
  Speaker 5: I would play it anyway. I mean, I don't think
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: Southern Miss coming out that game against Tulane is really
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: enough for me to say, yeah, I want to fire
• 49:10
  Speaker 5: on this. Plus, you know, both teams should still get
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: up for this because this is their conference opener for
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: both teams there. so but I do think the home
• 49:18
  Speaker 5: team gets a slight edge in a game like this
• 49:20
  Speaker 5: an isolated TV game like this home team usually does
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: a little bit better but that might be getting factored
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: into the line a little bit there I didn't expect
• 49:28
  Speaker 5: that line to be quite as high as it is
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: so but that's another reason why I'm surprised the public
• 49:33
  Speaker 5: is laying that number like they're going to look at
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: a game like this and you wouldn't expect them to
• 49:36
  Speaker 5: lay double digits in a game like that so I
• 49:39
  Speaker 5: don't know Yeah, that's it. That's what we got for today, man.
• 49:43
  Speaker 5: We have one play on the board today. I'm skipping
• 49:45
  Speaker 5: the hockey board. I thought I'd have a hockey play
• 49:47
  Speaker 5: with nine hockey games, but I just don't see anything
• 49:50
  Speaker 5: I really like at all. We're taking the under in
• 49:52
  Speaker 5: Dodgers and Atlanta here, man. That's the only play today.
• 49:57
  Speaker 5: One of the rare occasions where I'll go under six
• 49:58
  Speaker 5: and a half. You know, it's playoffs, man. It's one
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: of the situations where I think it can happen, even
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: though I don't think it's going to be cool in Atlanta, though.
• 50:06
  Speaker 5: I like the cooler games to go under. I'm assuming
• 50:10
  Speaker 5: that's not what this is going to be because Atlanta,
• 50:12
  Speaker 5: you know, it's probably still going to be a hot out,
• 50:13
  Speaker 5: but let me see. Yeah, it's going to be 76,
• 50:18
  Speaker 5: but whatever. I mean, it's still, you know, an evening game,
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: an October game. It is what it is. To me,
• 50:24
  Speaker 5: it looks like it's definitely an under to me. So
• 50:26
  Speaker 5: that's what we're going to do. We got to get
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: back on track, man. And we're going to try to
• 50:29
  Speaker 5: do it by being on the wrong side of a
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: key number. How about that? That's going to do it.
• 50:35
  Speaker 5: Learn to tell it on Twitter and learn to tell
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: it on Instagram. Like, subscribe to the channel here. And
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: we're one and two in the MLB playoffs right now.
• 50:41
  Speaker 5: We've got to fucking turn that around, man. I don't
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: like this. Got to turn this around. Usually I do
• 50:47
  Speaker 5: all right in MLB playoffs. So I think we were
• 50:50
  Speaker 5: up last year. But, yes, learn to tone on Twitter
• 50:52
  Speaker 5: and Instagram. Like, subscribe to the channel here. You'll get
• 50:56
  Speaker 5: the football content that's coming up, obviously. I'm going to do,
• 50:59
  Speaker 5: I guess, an NBA preview and a college basketball preview
• 51:02
  Speaker 5: coming up at some point. That'll be within the next
• 51:05
  Speaker 5: couple of weeks. I don't have to worry yet. NBA
• 51:08
  Speaker 5: preseason has started, but the season doesn't start, I don't think,
• 51:11
  Speaker 5: until the end of this month. And then college basketball
• 51:14
  Speaker 5: shortly after that. I might try to do an episode
• 51:16
  Speaker 5: of Bald with Clint to talk about the NBA, although
• 51:20
  Speaker 5: he is a Laker fan. Boo. But we're going to
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: form an alliance and both hate the Philadelphia 76ers. How
• 51:31
  Speaker 5: about that? as I am a Celtics fan, as you
• 51:34
  Speaker 5: guys know. Yeah, might hate the Sixers more than the
• 51:39
  Speaker 5: Lakers at this point. Wherever LeBron goes, fuck that guy. No,
• 51:43
  Speaker 5: but yeah, fuck what the Sixers are trying to do
• 51:45
  Speaker 5: with this super team bullshit. I'm done with that shit. Anyway,
• 51:49
  Speaker 5: I'm going to talk about it during the NBA preview.
• 51:51
  Speaker 5: That's why you got to subscribe here. The show's also
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: on audio. Apple, Spotify, Spreaker, go check it out. Covered
• 51:57
  Speaker 5: in Uke is my ukulele channel on YouTube. I still
• 51:59
  Speaker 5: have to upload the last couple of videos I did.
• 52:02
  Speaker 5: Got to get that going. Patreon.com slash learn to tote
• 52:06
  Speaker 5: if you want to support me over there. And what else?
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: Loser cast is tonight. Of course, Hindian's in the chat
• 52:13
  Speaker 5: right now. Loser cast tonight, 10 p.m. Eastern. I have
• 52:17
  Speaker 5: to whittle down my list of losers, and we'll see.
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: There are multiple very deserving losers this week. I got
• 52:23
  Speaker 5: to figure out which one I think is really the funniest,
• 52:25
  Speaker 5: to be honest. I don't know. I'll determine that. Maybe
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: one of my co-hosts wants to take one of the
• 52:32
  Speaker 5: other ones, so I don't know. We will see. Or
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: maybe one of mine will wind up being an honorary.
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: And I believe that is it. Like I said, Tommy,
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: who was in the chat here, I was on his show.
• 52:44
  Speaker 5: Tommy Borum, America Floats, I believe. You can go check
• 52:48
  Speaker 5: that out, find it. Probably you could search for it, which...
• 52:52
  Speaker 5: It's on YouTube, I guess, and I'm assuming Rumble and
• 52:54
  Speaker 5: whatever because it's probably not going to last on YouTube,
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: but you never know. We talked about a bunch of stuff, man.
• 53:00
  Speaker 5: I got a bunch of stuff that I talk about.
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: I talk about sports betting. I talk about software. I
• 53:05
  Speaker 5: talk about true crime. I talk about politics. Yeah, all
• 53:09
  Speaker 5: that shit, man. I'm a man of many things, a
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: renaissance man, if you will. Yeah, I think that's it.
• 53:19
  Speaker 5: It's going to do it. Everybody, thanks for hanging out
• 53:21
  Speaker 5: this morning. Tommy, Stacks, Indian, Garrett, even though we're butting
• 53:26
  Speaker 5: heads here. Dude, I hate the Dodgers. I don't necessarily
• 53:32
  Speaker 5: want the Dodgers to win. What I want is, I mean,
• 53:35
  Speaker 5: I don't want them to win, but what I want
• 53:37
  Speaker 5: is the Yankees to lose. So if the Dodgers stay
• 53:41
  Speaker 5: in this thing and get to the World Series, I
• 53:43
  Speaker 5: think that is helpful to that cause. Let's just put
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: it that way. I want the Yankees to have to
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: face the most difficult matchup possible. Although I don't have
• 53:52
  Speaker 5: to worry. I want to not even worry about it.
• 53:54
  Speaker 5: I want the Rays to just win this series here.
• 53:58
  Speaker 5: I'm still not convinced they're going to do it. But
• 54:00
  Speaker 5: we'll talk about that tomorrow, I believe, will be when
• 54:03
  Speaker 5: that series resumes. I don't know, man. I don't have
• 54:06
  Speaker 5: a good feeling about it for the Rays, even though
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: they're up 2-0. And the Yankees have only come back
• 54:11
  Speaker 5: twice ever from down 0-2. But we'll say that's going
• 54:16
  Speaker 5: to do it. Yeah. Thanks, everybody. Peace.
• 54:23
  Speaker 4: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: Let somebody answer.
• 54:29
  Speaker 4: Let somebody know you do not have to lose.
• 54:35
  Speaker 3: This round alone.
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: Hold on.
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: Hold on. Not tonight.
• 54:46
  Speaker 4: Not now Hold on, hold on Let me pull you
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: out That bad luck fights hard But it don't get
• 55:03
  Speaker 4: the crown Hold on.
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: Hold on Stay with me now.
• 55:14
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on. You're still here now.