Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / Championship Weekend Chaos: Betting Picks & Playoff Analysis
Transcript
- 0:02What's up guys, welcome to Conference championship weekend.
- 0:06This is targeting winners 8 college football betting
- 0:08podcast. I am Darren, joined as always by
- 0:11Tim and Pete. Tim, how we doing today?
- 0:14I'm doing good, still licking my wounds from rivalry weekend.
- 0:19Well, you still have a long way to go before you match my 2020.
- 0:22Fewer futility, so I don't feel bad.
- 0:25Pete, how you doing man? Well, you know, after last
- 0:28weekend, which was not not surprising at all, I'm I'm doing
- 0:31OK. So I was just hoping to be
- 0:34searching for a coach ourselves this week and unfortunately we
- 0:37are not. So I with Michigan, we're a
- 0:39little conservative. We have to wait to really suck
- 0:42before we actually fire somebody.
- 0:43So by about mid next season, we'll be lamenting the fact that
- 0:47that Jackass is still here. But until then, here we are.
- 0:50I do see your special teams coach was let go.
- 0:53So I mean, you know, it's. Yeah, great.
- 0:54Yeah, Yeah, he was, he was the problem.
- 0:56He he was definitely the problem, not the fact that we
- 0:58have virtually no talent at the skill position because he can't
- 1:02recruit anybody. That's not the problem at all.
- 1:04That's. All his fault.
- 1:05It's all his special teams fault.
- 1:07All right, guys, we're going to talk about a few things here.
- 1:10First, we're going to clean up a little bit of housekeeping.
- 1:12First of all, we know we have some podcast listeners from
- 1:15Missouri. And if you're a resident of the
- 1:17Show Me State, congratulations. Welcome to sports betting.
- 1:20As of December 1st. You can suffer with the rest of
- 1:23it. There you go.
- 1:25Applause to Missouri. So yeah, if this is your first
- 1:27time joining us, you're looking for some little bit of info on
- 1:30college football. Welcome.
- 1:31If you've been listening to us all, now you can.
- 1:34Now you can blow some money like we do.
- 1:36Second thing, for the third year in a row, we are running a bowl
- 1:40game pick em contest through ESPN.
- 1:42It's their Capital One Bowl Mania pick em contest is set up.
- 1:47We got a couple of you in there already.
- 1:48Basically, you're going to pick every bowl game against the
- 1:50spread. Once that schedule comes out,
- 1:52the lines come out. ESPN does not change them.
- 1:55You just need to make sure you get your pick in before the kick
- 1:58off of each particular game. Probably going to throw at least
- 2:01a couple $100 in there depending on how many people show up and
- 2:05sign up. Usually we just it's winner take
- 2:07all, but if we get enough people, maybe we'll play second,
- 2:09maybe 3rd. I'm going to put the link is up.
- 2:12If you're part of the Facebook group, you can check it there.
- 2:14If you check out our YouTube home page, it is there on the
- 2:16post tab and I will also put a link to the contest in the
- 2:21description. It's private.
- 2:22The password is TW2025I don't think you need that.
- 2:25If you click the link, but sign in, join up, it's free.
- 2:29You get to win Tim's money because you know he's the one
- 2:31with the profitable only fans account.
- 2:33So that's where it all comes from.
- 2:37But yeah, sure. Yeah, I mean, whatever pays the
- 2:41bills, right? All right, so before we get into
- 2:44the nine games, guys, I don't know if you noticed this or not,
- 2:47but there was one or two coaching changes on Sunday, a
- 2:53couple dozen. I mean, some of them within like
- 2:56minutes of each other. We're not going to get into them
- 2:58all here because that's that's another show for for the
- 3:01offseason. And Tim actually put out a video
- 3:04with Mark from coacheshotseat.com where they
- 3:05went over some of those openings.
- 3:08The thought process by and keeping a guy by and firing a
- 3:10guy. Have some video.
- 3:11Check it out if you get a chance.
- 3:13All right, guys, we've gone through them.
- 3:16You know, you've seen them all. Pete, we'll start with you.
- 3:18What is your favorite hire so far and why?
- 3:23Well, I mean, we talked about James Franklin already, which I
- 3:25think was a really good one, but that happened before this
- 3:27weekend. All right.
- 3:28So to me, I think, I think Pat Fitzgerald that Michigan State
- 3:32is really interesting, right? So I, I think the Big 10 is
- 3:36served well by Michigan State being at least serviceable, if
- 3:40not better than serviceable. I mean, the writing was on the
- 3:42wall for a while that Jonathan Smith was going to be out,
- 3:44right. No surprise there.
- 3:46You know, Pat Fitzgerald, a guy that knows the Big 10 did a did
- 3:50a good job at Northwestern. Obviously with the, you know,
- 3:53stuff that happened there, which, you know, in retrospect,
- 3:56with the, you know, with the hazing, the stuff that happened
- 3:58and all that, it turns out in retrospect that he didn't know
- 4:00what was going on. At least he was cleared of
- 4:02knowing what's happening. So it looks like he was in the
- 4:05clear, at least I hope he was. But I think he will do a good
- 4:09job at Michigan State. It's a good place for him to
- 4:11land. It's a good program or can be a
- 4:13good program. And they showed this in the
- 4:14past. So, yeah, I mean, I think he can
- 4:17do well. I mean, it was funny.
- 4:18We were talking about it, Darren.
- 4:20Like that name popped up immediately.
- 4:22I mean, it was like that was ready to go.
- 4:24It's it's it's not a big surprise to me.
- 4:26It it fits the profile of who that team is.
- 4:29So, so yeah, I think it makes a heck of a lot of sense for them.
- 4:33I mean, they didn't give Jonathan Smith a chance.
- 4:35I mean, that was another to me, that was their rich rod at
- 4:38Sparty. It's like they just never gave
- 4:40the guy a chance. I mean, you bring in a guy from
- 4:41outside the conference and it just never, it never had
- 4:45traction. So whatever, that's fine.
- 4:46But yeah, I think I think that could work out well, at least to
- 4:50stabilize things that that program's been a mess for a
- 4:53while now. So if nothing else, I think
- 4:55you'll stabilize the program, get things under control, you
- 4:58know, so I think they're going to start winning nine games
- 4:59anytime soon. I do not, but I but I do think
- 5:02they can be a serviceable program.
- 5:03So for that program, I like that higher.
- 5:07I think it's a good one. Dan, what's your favorite?
- 5:10Well, I mean, it's real easy to, you know, to pick the obvious
- 5:14one that sent shockwaves through the coaching, the coach, the
- 5:18college football world, if you will.
- 5:20I mean, obviously I'm talking about Jim Mora to Colorado
- 5:22State, but I'm not going to talk about that one because there was
- 5:26someone named Norvell fired, but not the one everyone thought
- 5:28that it was. Jay Norvell.
- 5:31My favorite is also a good qualifier is my least favorite
- 5:36because of where he went. But John Sumrall to Florida, I
- 5:39think he was the best group of five coach available to and the
- 5:43fact that he's might actually make Florida good makes me sick
- 5:49to my stomach a little bit. But I really, as I covered in
- 5:53the coaching episode, you can go back and check it on YouTube.
- 5:55Ding So but yeah, it's my favorite.
- 6:00Could be my least favorite. At the same time, yeah, he might
- 6:04do good things. Or Florida.
- 6:05And that, that upsets me greatly.
- 6:10Well, there there was, there was, there was about 5 or 6 that
- 6:12I actually did like. But I think when I looked at
- 6:14everything together, I think James Franklin is actually still
- 6:17my favorite one just from a recruiting standpoint.
- 6:21He's familiar with that area of the country.
- 6:23I mean, say what you want about him, the guy did win.
- 6:26I mean, you always talk about Penn State being contended for
- 6:29the Big 10 title. You know, they did get to the
- 6:31final four in the initial 12 team playoff.
- 6:35And Tim, I was talking with you on the phone the other night.
- 6:37What's the big knock on him? Well dude, can't beat a top five
- 6:40or a top top ten team. I don't know if anybody's
- 6:41checked the AC. Not a problem in the ACC.
- 6:44He's certainly going to the right conference if he's looking
- 6:47to avoid top ten team because the ACC does not have any.
- 6:51So you can strike that from from the knock against him.
- 6:54Even today, signing day was yesterday.
- 6:57He took a ton of early commits to Penn State and flipped them
- 7:00over to him. I think the portal opens on
- 7:03January 2nd. He's probably going to get some
- 7:05more Penn State players to come and join him and we all know
- 7:08that team's bad as their record was, there's still a lot of
- 7:11talent on that squad. So everything considered, he
- 7:15eeks out some of the other guys I had written down as my
- 7:18favorite. So I'm going to I'm going to
- 7:20stick with with our boy big game.
- 7:22James. Tim, we'll start with you.
- 7:24If you have a different one than Summerall that you hated or
- 7:28don't like for a certain program, what which one is that?
- 7:32Well, I mean, yeah, obviously the one I already said, the one
- 7:36that you were just talking about as well, is that makes Virginia
- 7:38Tech good. That also affects the Florida
- 7:40State a little bit. So I really don't like that too
- 7:42much. But if it does, maybe get some
- 7:44more coaches to come to the ACC and make the conference better
- 7:47as a whole because I don't think any teams going anywhere, just
- 7:53not one. I don't see one that I really
- 7:54just hate. Another one that I kind of like,
- 7:56just addition by subtraction would be Auburn get rid of Hugh
- 8:00Freeze. So we'll see what the goal is
- 8:03Likes does over there in Auburn, but I can't think one that I
- 8:07really hate, you know, 'cause they haven't really done
- 8:11anything yet. But yeah, if I had to pick
- 8:14another one to hate, it would be James Franklin making that good.
- 8:17So that's. Right.
- 8:20If Florida State was good, they could.
- 8:23Really, it's another team that's going to beat Florida State.
- 8:26That's the only. Reason.
- 8:26Yeah. So, you know, I think.
- 8:28What's the one? What's the one you don't like?
- 8:31And before I say that, I mean, you mentioned Jim Mora.
- 8:33I thought that was a pretty good hire for that program as well.
- 8:35I mean, I think he'll he'll stabilize that program.
- 8:37I think he'll do a good job there.
- 8:38So that was a good that was a good hire.
- 8:40The two that I just don't quite think are going to do anything,
- 8:43Stanford, Tavita Pritchard, that guy wasn't getting a coaching
- 8:45job anywhere else. So I don't know what where
- 8:47that's going at all. I mean, that was the only place
- 8:50that guy was going to get a coaching job.
- 8:51So I don't I don't know what that is that that I think is a
- 8:54dud. And then Oregon State going with
- 8:56Jamarcus Shepard. Hell, they could have got
- 8:58Jonathan Smith back. I mean, who did a great job and
- 9:01why not go bring him back? I mean, that doesn't make any
- 9:03sense at all to me when you could have got Jonathan back.
- 9:05So that that one I don't get. But those are the two that I
- 9:08just a bit a bit baffle me, but those are that those two.
- 9:13Yeah, no, I agree with that. The one I didn't like, I wasn't
- 9:16thrilled with the whole way that Arkansas kind of handled
- 9:21everything they did. Like somebody leaked out early
- 9:24last week that they had gotten goalish and then goalish came
- 9:27out last Friday and was like, that didn't come from me or any
- 9:30of my people, you know? Then goalish goes to goes to
- 9:34Auburn. And then I feel like they kind
- 9:36of just settled on Ryan Silverfield from Memphis.
- 9:41I mean, yeah, I mean, you won at Memphis.
- 9:42That's great. But in in all those years there,
- 9:44you never won a conference title.
- 9:46It's not like the American was loaded with high quality teams
- 9:49top to bottom. Then again, Hunter Eurocheck is
- 9:53their AD. If you've watched him on the
- 9:54college football ranking show, you know, he's a complete tool.
- 9:57So I mean, it doesn't really surprise me, but yeah, I I
- 10:01wasn't a fan of that one at all. I don't know who he's going to
- 10:05get to follow him. Taylen Green is supposedly out
- 10:07of eligibility, so I don't know who he's going to, you know,
- 10:10what he's doing at the quarterback position.
- 10:13I mean, obviously between now and the portal opening, a lot
- 10:16can change with these rosters. But yeah, I just think how that
- 10:20was handled I think already kind of sets it up for for kind of
- 10:24felt like he was like the fourth or fifth choice and that's who
- 10:28they got. And I'm not so sure he's going
- 10:30to succeed there, at least not initially.
- 10:33But we didn't even, we didn't mention Lane Kiffin, which was
- 10:37foregone A conclusion for a while, right?
- 10:39So, yeah, yeah. While I was driving, I was
- 10:42listening to Colin Coward and he had Joel Klatt on, I believe
- 10:48who's and he's not like a Skip Bayless, Stephen A Smith type.
- 10:50He kind of like more. He was meant talking about the
- 10:54Penn State opening and he was saying that one of the reasons
- 10:59that they haven't had a coach yet is that that coach is still
- 11:02coaching and he went through the process of elimination.
- 11:06Now here's the scenario he he mentioned, he says he has no
- 11:09proof of this, but I want this to happen is that he thinks that
- 11:14one, one of the coaches Penn State may be going after, we've
- 11:17got Manny Diaz, Caitlin de Boer. So could you see a scenario
- 11:23where Caitlin de Boer takes the Penn State job?
- 11:26Alabama comes open. Lane Kiffin 2 weeks over there
- 11:32to Alabama. I want that to happen so bad.
- 11:35No, not going to rain on your parade, but de Boer already came
- 11:38out today and said he's got no interest in the Penn State job.
- 11:41Nobody's contacted him. His people haven't reached out
- 11:43to them, so I don't think that's going to happen.
- 11:46Did he say he's going? To pray on it like Glenn Kiffin
- 11:49did before. No, we're not praying.
- 11:51Maybe he's some kind of devil worshiper.
- 11:52I have no idea, but maybe he. Cranks up the White Zombie
- 11:55always tell the truth. I mean, maybe he just cranks up
- 11:58the White Zombie and lets the the voices in his head tell him
- 12:01what to. Who knows?
- 12:01Apparently the two odds on favorite are the guy currently
- 12:05coaching them right now, whose name escapes me, and our boy
- 12:10Ray's favorite head coach of all time, Brian Dayball, apparently.
- 12:13Yeah, I've heard. That.
- 12:15From you. So we'll see how that goes.
- 12:18All right, but enough about that.
- 12:19We're going to have a whole show on that once all these vacancies
- 12:22get filled, probably sometime in February or early March or
- 12:26whatever. But we're all here for one
- 12:28reason. Well, nine reasons actually.
- 12:30So Tim, I'm assuming you have these in chronological order.
- 12:34We've got bets like. I think I have.
- 12:38Well, you've got 8 and then you have BYU to win the conference.
- 12:41That's the only game you didn't bet on.
- 12:43Well. Technically I did, but yeah.
- 12:45That's what I'm saying. Not today.
- 12:47So get it going, man. All right.
- 12:51First one, we got Conference USA, Jacksonville State, the
- 12:55line opened at Jack's 8 -, a point and a half they're
- 12:59actually getting. It's shifted over to the last
- 13:01time I checked on Hard Rock, they were getting 2 1/2.
- 13:04I got them just money line to win this game.
- 13:09They do have a rushing advantage and the turnover favor.
- 13:14This is something we're looking for, the turnovers.
- 13:16This game is actually played in Alabama.
- 13:17This is one of those better record gets.
- 13:20The home field turnover advantage is +9 to a -, 2.
- 13:26So that's going to be, I'm thinking, a couple extra
- 13:28possessions for Jacksonville State.
- 13:31The edge on special teams, I guess are slightly better for
- 13:34Kennesaw, but that's not going to.
- 13:37I'd rather have the turnover differential than the kicking
- 13:40game advantage. I think Kennesaw State will keep
- 13:44it interesting. I think it's going to be a one
- 13:46score game, so I'm looking at it and I think it's going to be
- 13:49something like, you know, 2724 or something.
- 13:51But I think Jacksonville State can actually pull this one out
- 13:54here and so I went with that on the money line.
- 13:57I got plus 115 Jack State to win Conference USA.
- 14:05You got it. Yeah, I like it.
- 14:07I mean, I looked over under 58 1/2.
- 14:09I looked at it. You know, I think the score
- 14:11might be a little more than that, but I like where you're
- 14:13going with that. So, and I was considering the
- 14:15over on this play on this thing. I didn't pull the trigger on it,
- 14:19but I did consider it because I think there's going to be some
- 14:21scoring here. So I do, I do like your bet.
- 14:25I think this is going to be an offensive forward offense
- 14:27forward game. I would not be surprised.
- 14:30It's a bit of a shootout here, so it should be kind of fun.
- 14:32That 58 1/2 is not absurdly high, especially for a game like
- 14:35this. So I think this is a very
- 14:37achievable number. And so that's what I think.
- 14:40So I was leaning on this over said I didn't play it, but I
- 14:43would not be surprised at all this thing went over.
- 14:44So those are my thoughts. I, I, I got a strong lean to the
- 14:47over as well. Kennesaw State, man, they play
- 14:49with some serious tempo. If if you're you're a Mac guy
- 14:52from back in the day when Sean Lewis ran the Kent State Golden
- 14:55Flashes and they ran a play like every second and a half.
- 14:59It's basically Kennesaw State is almost kind of the same thing.
- 15:03Two decent quarterbacks. This could be I, I got a feeling
- 15:07this is this is going to be in the mid 60s, but I didn't bet it
- 15:10either. Totals aren't really my thing,
- 15:12but just looking at pace of play, yeah, Kennesaw State's
- 15:15going to run these boys up and and Jacksonville State's going
- 15:19to have to do everything they can to keep up, and I think they
- 15:21will. But yeah, seriously into the
- 15:24over on this one. Interesting.
- 15:29Well, should we just keep on going?
- 15:30Run right through. Absolutely all.
- 15:32Right. What we got now we got James
- 15:35Madison and Troy. You guys have any thoughts on
- 15:37this game? You just want me to just keep on
- 15:38running. You guys only put in a couple
- 15:40bets. I thought we were betting on all
- 15:41of them. That's why I just went ahead and
- 15:43looked into these for. Yeah, why would we ever force a
- 15:46bet just to have a bet on every game?
- 15:47I hope Troy wins because Pete's got them in the future to win
- 15:50the Sunbelt. So I'm exactly that's what I do.
- 15:54I don't care how much learned on Troy is I'm pulling for Troy,
- 15:57OK? Well, money line, Troy, that's
- 16:00the bet here. Go for it.
- 16:02Come on, Troy. Well, I did not bet on a on a
- 16:05winner here. I did bet.
- 16:07I took a went to the Pete playbook.
- 16:09The over under was 47 and. 1/2. I mean, just by looking at the
- 16:14points per game, I mean James Madison, they're averaging in
- 16:17the 30s and Troy's averaging in the mid to high 20s.
- 16:19So just right there. But I also like the third down
- 16:23efficiency for James Madison or they stay on the field an awful
- 16:28lot. I think Troy's defense bulls, I
- 16:33think it's going to struggle a little bit because James
- 16:36Madison's a little more balanced.
- 16:38I think that Troy can still reach, you know, about 20 to 25
- 16:42points. I think James Madison will take
- 16:44the take it from there. So I like this.
- 16:47I like James Madison probably getting into the 30s by
- 16:50themselves, like 30-5, maybe even 38 on this.
- 16:53So, and I was originally looked at it before I looked at the
- 16:55lines. I was thinking the overrunner
- 16:57would have been like 56 or something.
- 16:58And I thought it was 47. So that's when I really looked
- 17:01into it. And yeah, so I think look at it
- 17:05this way. I'm getting about eight points
- 17:07on this and I probably, if it was still in the 50s, I'd
- 17:10probably still bet the over. So I'm going to bet the over at
- 17:1247 1/2, Aaron. I'm, I'm obviously pulling for
- 17:20you, but I don't know how Troy's going to even score 14 points in
- 17:24this game. I mean, Goose Crowder is
- 17:25supposedly back working his way back from an injury.
- 17:28James Madison's defense is legit, but they could certainly
- 17:31get into the 40s on their own here.
- 17:35But yeah, I just, I I want Troy to win for the sake of Pete's
- 17:38futures bet. But this is going to, this might
- 17:41be the the ugliest game of the weekend.
- 17:43I, I, I fear for Troy. Plus, I mean, James Madison,
- 17:47they need some style points. I mean, if they want to, you
- 17:50know, if they want to get into the into the 12 team, it would
- 17:53not hurt them to to put a whooping on if the opportunity
- 17:57presents itself. But yeah, I wouldn't touch this
- 18:00game vote. Troy.
- 18:03Yeah, exactly. But yeah, in summary, absolutely
- 18:06go Troy. Absolutely.
- 18:08Troy. So any final thoughts, Peter,
- 18:12other than go Troy? No, just go, Troy.
- 18:18OK. All right.
- 18:19The ACT. Anybody else got a bet on this
- 18:23one? Is it just me again going solo?
- 18:24Yeah, I'm going too, but you can go first.
- 18:27Oh, OK. For this one, I got North Texas
- 18:31that are giving up two and a half.
- 18:32They are a scoring machine. I like how both coaches seem to
- 18:36be sticking around for this game.
- 18:38So they're not going to. I guess with the Power 5 going
- 18:41up, it's not a big deal as you know, going to one of your
- 18:43rivals into another different conference.
- 18:46So yeah, I think Tulane's going to struggle to keep up with the
- 18:52offense a little bit. I think 2 1/2, if it was 3 1/2,
- 18:55I might have a difference. But yeah, I'm expecting some
- 18:58big, big plays, fast scoring and even on the road, I think North
- 19:02Texas can cover this. They are 10 and two against the
- 19:04spread this year. I just like the way it's
- 19:06thinking. And yeah, over under is pretty
- 19:09enticing as well. Be I'm I'm guessing you bet on
- 19:12that. So let me have it.
- 19:14What you got? Indeed I did.
- 19:16I agree with you what you said. There's going to be some scoring
- 19:18total of 66 1/2 that I got. You got 67 1/2 on a slide, but I
- 19:21got 66 1/2. Yeah, there's going to be some
- 19:24scoring for sure. North Texas is going to light it
- 19:26up. I think Tulane is going to try
- 19:27to light it up along with them. I think you can get a bit of a
- 19:30shootout here, which happens in these championships games quite
- 19:33a bit other than the SEC and such.
- 19:35So we'll talk about that later. But yeah, I expect there's going
- 19:39to be some scoring and especially in a game like this,
- 19:42some late game aggression if it's close.
- 19:43So they're going to be flinging a ball around.
- 19:46I think it's going to, I think we're going to see a lot of a
- 19:48lot of touchdowns here. So explosive plays on both sides
- 19:51could be fun to watch. The total is high, but it's not
- 19:53ridiculous. I mean, easily, I mean, I can
- 19:56see 30s on both sides. I could easily see this thing
- 19:58going over. So once again, it could be a fun
- 20:01game to watch. It's in obviously it's in New
- 20:02Orleans. The weather is not a factor.
- 20:04I mean, so it's it's set up to be a shootout.
- 20:07You got one team that's definitely going to score North
- 20:09Texas. So and Tulane can I've watched
- 20:12them do it this year. So I expect that they will try
- 20:14to do so as well. So could be a fun game and I am
- 20:18going on the over here of 66 1/2.
- 20:21So those are my thoughts. I agree with everything you guys
- 20:25said. Nothing to add over then enjoy
- 20:27Drew Mestermeyer before he goes to Oklahoma State with Eric
- 20:30Morris and leads them to a three and nine season next year.
- 20:35I like the North Texas play. Yeah.
- 20:36I don't know. Tulane can score.
- 20:38I don't know if they can keep up, man.
- 20:40I mean they're. Going to try.
- 20:42Like on a different level, it seems you never thought I'd be
- 20:44saying that about anybody in the in the American.
- 20:47But yeah, I like North Texas to win and cover here.
- 20:52OK oh and you guys with me on this one.
- 20:56I got the Mountain West. I am not on that one.
- 21:00All right, well. You are but not into Go UNLV
- 21:06another one of futures bets for. Pete.
- 21:09To win this game. Yes, All right, well, Boise
- 21:12State, take it on UNLV. It's going to be cold and rainy
- 21:15conditions at home. It's going to be city rain
- 21:17throughout the night. The passing edge for UNLV is
- 21:21going to be diminished a little bit by by that.
- 21:24I think boys are taking control of the clock.
- 21:26They got to the good ground game.
- 21:28It'll be fewer big plays. There's still be a couple, but
- 21:31there's not going to be a lot more.
- 21:32If it were a clear, you know, bombing 40° or something like
- 21:36that, this is going to be probably about 33° with steady
- 21:39rain at kickoff. I did double check what the
- 21:44weather is like in Nevada since we were there in the winter time
- 21:47before a few years ago, Pete. And yeah, it was kind of cold
- 21:51there. It's all 60s all week, so it's
- 21:53like a 30° difference with the slick rain and everything.
- 21:57I think that will play a factor in this instead of betting on
- 22:03the line. I got the under of 58 1/2,
- 22:06opened up at 57 1/2, went to 58, so I took the extra point.
- 22:09I'm taking the under of 58 1/2. This would be a muck up game.
- 22:14Lower Swaring. Yeah, interesting.
- 22:18I mean, first of all, go UNLV. But outside of that, yeah, I
- 22:22mean, I, I would if the weather was going to be good, if this
- 22:25were like, you know, in a Dome somewhere, whatever, I would go
- 22:28over. But that that weather is
- 22:30definitely a factor, right. And I think if it is going to be
- 22:33like that, I like that play. I mean, definitely leading that
- 22:36under if it's going to be a steady rain.
- 22:38And that's kind of what I tried to do with the Michigan, Ohio
- 22:41State thing last year. I was expecting the snow to
- 22:42start earlier and the snow would have helped and it would have
- 22:44been, you know, it would have helped my play.
- 22:47So, yeah, if it's going to rain, I like your under bet so good.
- 22:50Good bet. Otherwise, I don't care what the
- 22:52hell it does go. You went.
- 22:53I'll be. Yeah.
- 22:54It did say steady rain and a high was 38, so I believe by the
- 22:57end of the game it's probably going to be down, you know,
- 22:59later. Right now it'd be 3332 losing
- 23:01rain. Cold, slick ball.
- 23:03Yeah, that would lead to an under, right?
- 23:06Yeah, a lot less third down conversion.
- 23:08I'm thinking a lot of punting. Hopefully they don't pull.
- 23:11What was that punter for the Giants at one time?
- 23:14He just went to punt the ball on the ball, just like.
- 23:16Rift on the ball. Yeah, hopefully none of that
- 23:19happens at least so any quick scores, but I'm taking Yeah, I
- 23:22like the under here tear us apart.
- 23:24I I effed up this open at 3 1/2, and I should have taken Boise at
- 23:28the time because now it's 4 1/2 and I don't want any part of
- 23:31that again. Pulling for UNLV for the sake of
- 23:34Pete. Yeah.
- 23:35I mean, they've never won in Boise.
- 23:37They've been playing a little bit better since the start of
- 23:40the season. Maddox Madison is supposed to be
- 23:43back for Boise State here, which might have something to do with
- 23:47the line going up. But yeah, I missed the 3 1/2, so
- 23:51shame on me. I want UNLV but I think Boise is
- 23:56going to get this done here. Probably the case.
- 24:01Moving on, oh America's conference, the Mac, Well, it's
- 24:09a rematch, so we got the Western Michigan's taking revenge for
- 24:12their only Mac loss opened up at Western Michigan -3 1/2 over
- 24:17under 43 1/2. Either of you guys got a bet on
- 24:20this one? I do not.
- 24:22Oh, Darren chimes in. Yeah, this line drop, I don't
- 24:27really understand. I took Western Michigan -1 1/2
- 24:31here. Maybe I'm biased because I
- 24:33watched a few Western Michigan games in November.
- 24:36Didn't really check out Miami. Statistically, a lot of
- 24:39similarities here. But you have to remember Miami,
- 24:41Ohio offensive numbers that they had.
- 24:43Most of that I was with Daquan Finn as the quarterback.
- 24:47He quit because apparently he needs to prep for the next
- 24:51level. Bro, I know you're not
- 24:53listening, but if you are, you spent seven years in college.
- 24:57The only thing you need to prep for is putting the fries in the
- 24:59bag. If you were going to the NFL,
- 25:03you wouldn't have spent your last four years in college.
- 25:05But I digress. You know, I mean they got a 2
- 25:08headed monster running Brock Lowry at QB, Jaden Buckley
- 25:12running back. I mean both these defenses are
- 25:15excellent. I mean, obviously with a total
- 25:16of 43 1/2, but all these teams are going to try and hang out
- 25:19the ball as long as humanly possible.
- 25:22But I love the Lowry, Buckley combination.
- 25:25Western Michigan statistically does have a little bit better
- 25:27defense or second on the back. Miami of Ohio was third.
- 25:31Yeah, the quarterback, they tried this Hessen, whatever he
- 25:33was asked, they brought in Thomas Gostkowski, I believe is
- 25:37how you pronounce his last name. He's had a couple of good games,
- 25:394 TDs, no picks. But that's Buffalo and Ball
- 25:42States. I mean, the three of us can get
- 25:448 viewers and probably put up 4 touchdowns and no picks on
- 25:47Buffalo or Ball State. So you do have to consider the
- 25:50the opposition there. Yeah.
- 25:53I don't know why this line went down.
- 25:55Obviously, people smarter than me know what they're doing.
- 25:57But I took Western Michigan minus the 1/2 to avenge their
- 26:00loss and be your 2025 Mac winners.
- 26:03OK. Well, I want a different route
- 26:06one with the the Pete were here and I took the the over under
- 26:09bet here. Well they got the back and
- 26:12quarterback as we as we mentioned earlier, but they can
- 26:15still generate yards. So I think both teams have
- 26:19positive turnover margins and you know, I think there's going
- 26:24to be a few and that creates a short field.
- 26:26So the over underline was 43 1/2.
- 26:29That seemed a little bit low to me.
- 26:31So I am betting the over of 43 1/2.
- 26:35I think the the rushing attack, especially in the red zone is
- 26:37going to help Western Michigan out a lot.
- 26:40So despite the backup QB, these two are going to light up the
- 26:44scoreboard a little bit. I think the score gets into the
- 26:4650s. I don't know if that's
- 26:48technical. It's not North Texas by any
- 26:50means, but I'm seeing a final score, you know, you know, 3121,
- 26:56something like that. So.
- 26:58I'm gonna do one more stat that I that I didn't read because I
- 27:02was going from memory. Shows you how good that works
- 27:04out. You know, guys, I love me some
- 27:053rd and 4th down success rate Miami offensively on 3rd and 4th
- 27:10down, they're 113th in the country in offensive success
- 27:14rate, defensively, 3rd and 4th down success rate, they're 110th
- 27:18in the country. So they're not good at
- 27:19converting. They're not good at stopping
- 27:21other teams from converting, which was another reason I'm
- 27:24rolling with Western Michigan here.
- 27:28Iris. Yeah, screw you, Jaquan Finn put
- 27:34the fries in the bag. That's I don't know, sorry.
- 27:42You got any thoughts on this? And do you want fries?
- 27:45Yeah, I'd like some fries with that, please.
- 27:46Thank you. Very.
- 27:47Much. We'll get them all in the bag
- 27:48for you. Yeah, Tim, I like, I like your
- 27:51bet. Usually with a game like this, I
- 27:52would lean under. However, right there is
- 27:55something weird about Mac championship games at Ford Field
- 27:59where they just tend to score more than they usually do.
- 28:02There's just something about that place.
- 28:05I've gone to a few of those games because obviously I live
- 28:07in Michigan. It's something weird about it.
- 28:09I don't know what it is. They just tend to score more
- 28:11even if they don't normally score, does not.
- 28:13So it would not surprise me if this thing total ended up around
- 28:1750 or something a little north of there.
- 28:19Not surprised me at all. So love that bet.
- 28:22So yeah, I would go over just because of where it is and that
- 28:26it's a match championship. Yes, you do not have to worry
- 28:28about the weather. It's indoors.
- 28:29I'm. Saying it's dry in there,
- 28:30there's no Blizzard or hurricane or typhoon or all three going on
- 28:34at the same time. So yeah.
- 28:35Right. So all right, where's the truck?
- 28:38Oh, here we go I did not place a bet on this game, but I do
- 28:45technically have a money line bet on BYU.
- 28:49So go Cougars. Here we go.
- 28:52You know, coach is staying. He was also in line for the Penn
- 28:56State job. He's the crumble cookie company.
- 29:00Billionaire said no, you're not going anywhere.
- 29:02So I guess they send them a whole bunch of money and free
- 29:04cookies for life, I guess. Texas Tech 11 and one against
- 29:08the spray. That is scary.
- 29:11But yeah, I'll be, if for no other reason if BYU wins, you
- 29:14know, I hit my bets and it'll put the final nail in the coffin
- 29:18for Miami. They will not be in the playoff.
- 29:20And that'll make me double happy.
- 29:22Considering what happened to me last week, I think I deserve
- 29:24some happiness this week. So I'm hoping BYU delivers, give
- 29:28me my future bed, knock Miami out once and for all, and that's
- 29:33all I got to say about that. What do you guys think?
- 29:35I'll go even a little quicker than that again for you.
- 29:38Go BYU if I give the other games.
- 29:42I don't know man, they got smoked by Texas Tech last time
- 29:46and it wasn't even as close as the final score was like 29 to 6
- 29:50or something horrible like that. 27 to 9 I think I want.
- 29:53To was it? Maybe it was, it was ugly,
- 29:55whatever it was. But you know what they they know
- 29:57what's at stake. So I would expect a better
- 29:59effort. But man, Texas Tech, good for
- 30:03you guys. You went in all in on the
- 30:05portal. It's paying benefits.
- 30:06You guys are legit. If and I I haven't looked to see
- 30:10what the futures are You like usually about making a national
- 30:12championship bet at this point because I didn't have one at the
- 30:15start of the season. When the bracket comes out, I am
- 30:18going to look at Texas Tech's odds.
- 30:21Why not? Yeah, I mean, they they
- 30:24certainly are good enough to to at least get to the final four
- 30:27and present a little hedge opportunity.
- 30:30God, that defense is ridiculous. But pulling for BYU?
- 30:36Go Cubs for Tim. Go #47 Bear, Brockmire
- 30:45Quarterback Edwards #47 How do you not love that?
- 30:49Probably his iqi have no idea. Yeah, how many fries Dequan
- 30:53Whitney's to put in a bag. 42nd Get ready for the next level,
- 30:59Dequan. What do you think about the over
- 31:01here Pete? Out of four, my my concern, 49
- 31:041/2 is what I saw as the total. Yeah, Texas Tech is going to
- 31:08score. I just don't know what BYU is
- 31:10going to do. That's why I didn't touch it,
- 31:12right? Like if BYU does something like
- 31:15like they can do, then the over is in play.
- 31:17But I don't trust BYU. Texas Tech could come out here
- 31:20and just blow them out. I don't, I don't know.
- 31:21So I did not touch it for that reason.
- 31:24I just don't know what BYU is going to do.
- 31:27Right, we're getting down to the nitty gritty here.
- 31:30Oh, it just means more. Here we go, George and Alabama.
- 31:36Any of you guys got anything on this one?
- 31:38I do. All right, well, total is 47
- 31:441/2. So Georgia Bama screams all day
- 31:48to be a blood gore, choke each other out kind of fast, right?
- 31:52This is like an MMA kind of game.
- 31:55That's the way I see these things.
- 31:56That's the way these things quite often turn out, right?
- 31:58Elite defensive talent on both sides of the ball.
- 32:01That's the way these games tend to play themselves out.
- 32:04They're going to pound the hell out of each other.
- 32:05So every yard is a bloodbath. This is like, you know, it's SEC
- 32:08now. It's like old school Big 10 kind
- 32:10of thing. That's what I expect to see in
- 32:12these games. So you know, these games can get
- 32:14weird. I I wouldn't be surprised.
- 32:16It was like 17 or 7 or something weird, Who knows, right.
- 32:19So to me that 47 1/2 is high like like high, high.
- 32:25So I mean, this to me is an under all day long.
- 32:27Now, of course I say that and somebody will come out and score
- 32:3140 points or something ridiculous the way this season
- 32:34is going because you can't read anything this year.
- 32:36But to me that number is really high with a game like this.
- 32:38I mean, they're going to play conservative, run the ball, play
- 32:41great defense is what I expect to see.
- 32:45Yeah. I mean, that that's this type of
- 32:47game. So I would expect nothing other
- 32:49than that it should be an excellent game if you like
- 32:52defensive football. So yeah, it's be fun to watch in
- 32:55that respect. But yeah, to me this is an under
- 32:58all day long. So under 47 1/2, Darren.
- 33:03I bet Georgia all day long twice on Saturdays.
- 33:07Oddly enough is the day this game is being played.
- 33:10So just a couple things to take from the first game.
- 33:12We know Alabama went into Georgia 124 to 21.
- 33:16Wonderful. Good for them.
- 33:17If y'all remember 2023 Michigan, and I'm Pete, I'm sure you do,
- 33:21One of the things they were really good at was making
- 33:24halftime adjustments. They only allowed like 7 points
- 33:27a game or in the half. In the second-half.
- 33:29I mean whatever they were doing at halftime, they were just
- 33:32dominating teams in the second-half.
- 33:35Well George has kind of done the same thing.
- 33:37Alabama is 24 points in that first game all came in the first
- 33:40half and then they got shut out after that and George is
- 33:42actually only allowing 7.1 points in the second-half of
- 33:46games this year. So we've been ripping their
- 33:48defense and rightfully so because you know, God forbid
- 33:51they don't have 60 sacks already on the year.
- 33:54But I mean, they lose so much NFL talent every year.
- 33:56At some point it was going to have to catch up to them.
- 33:58But Georgia excellent at those half time adjustments.
- 34:01Now you look at Alabama that that first game, you know, they
- 34:06had, they had their full offensive line this game, two of
- 34:09their offensive tackles have already been ruled out.
- 34:11Georgia, that first game, they had two of their tackles that
- 34:14were injured as well. They're both back now.
- 34:16They are losing their center, the offense coordinators kid.
- 34:19He, he is out here. So that may hurt a little bit.
- 34:21But Alabama has not been able to run the ball all year long.
- 34:24Their leading rusher doesn't even have 500 yards, Jim Miller,
- 34:27and he's questionable. So even if he plays, he's
- 34:29probably not going to be 100%. I think Alabama comes into this
- 34:33kind of 1 dimensional and even though Georgia can't, you know,
- 34:37they're having some trouble getting sacks, they're still
- 34:40excellent at stopping the run. They're like second in the in
- 34:42the conference that run defense. So they'll be able to play their
- 34:45normal defense, maybe have an extra safety in there to help
- 34:48with the pass. But you know, I have been super
- 34:51impressed with Alabama. I mean that Iron Bowl, you know,
- 34:54they got out to 17 nothing lead and that which apparently was
- 34:56really impressive to the committee, but not impressive
- 35:00that they ended up tied 1717 before finally winning that
- 35:03game. But I think Georgia has been
- 35:05playing better ball the last month.
- 35:06Alabama, not so much. And I know Kirby Smart can't
- 35:09beat Alabama. He's like 1 of 11 or whatever
- 35:12the hell he is. But in a game like this where
- 35:14the spread is under 3, now kind of take a peek at special teams
- 35:19now. Alabama's field goal kicker, 13
- 35:20of 20, that's 65%. Georgia's field goal kicker, 15
- 35:26of 16. And that includes eight of nine
- 35:28for 40 yards or more. So in a game with a spread of 2
- 35:311/2, a field goal could be huge here.
- 35:34So give me Georgia, give me Kirby to finally, you know, beat
- 35:39his demons and beat Alabama here.
- 35:42I laid 2 1/2. Obviously I didn't get didn't
- 35:44get the 1 1/2 because I bet a little bit late, but.
- 35:47Give me Georgia that as well. Love it, love it, love that bet.
- 35:50By the way, every score you just mentioned, every scenario you
- 35:53just mentioned screams under, right?
- 35:55It's. Under, yeah.
- 35:58Yeah, yeah, I too. I also took Georgia -2 1/2, the
- 36:02same thing. I started looking at all these
- 36:04games. I did them pretty much in order.
- 36:06So it opened up at 1 1/2, and by the time I got done with
- 36:08Conference USA and all the ones we already did, it went up to 2
- 36:111/2. So I still don't mind, you know,
- 36:14laying the 2 1/2. Alabama does, I believe, have
- 36:18the better quarterback. But you know, where there's
- 36:20smoke, there's fire, and where there's Kirby Smart, there's a
- 36:22pass rush, and Georgia's got a good one.
- 36:25I think they can get to him a lot during this game.
- 36:29They can defend the run on the way to the quarterback.
- 36:33So I like Georgia here. Not to mention with all the
- 36:35things that you said, they're also 73% on 4th down.
- 36:38So if it gets to that point where they have to start getting
- 36:41a four down territory, they're confident enough to convert on
- 36:46that. So I like Georgia laying the 2
- 36:481/2 as well. I'm starting to get nervous.
- 36:52We agree. I don't like that.
- 36:53So am I. Yeah, we're oh boy, is this a Oh
- 37:03no, this one, the one that everybody's talking about.
- 37:10I, I think if Duke wins, I think that also keeps Miami out.
- 37:15So I I think is that is that right?
- 37:17I don't know if you put an ACC team in if Duke wins.
- 37:20I mean, seriously, I'd be OK with that as long as Miami's not
- 37:23in. I'm not one of those conference
- 37:24Hawks like all the in the Big 10 in the SEC.
- 37:27Like I don't care if any of these teams get in.
- 37:30So maybe we'll root for Virginia 'cause then they don't, you
- 37:34know, they don't want to, you know, give two ACC teams.
- 37:39So. But I like how Duke gets here
- 37:40with a five way tiebreaker. Because college football, that's
- 37:45why. This conference is ass, that's
- 37:48why. So well, as much as a Virginia
- 37:52victory would keep Miami out, I'm thinking I did bet on this.
- 37:57I did bet on Duke. I took the money line on this
- 38:01one. The opening line was Virginia
- 38:03giving 2 1/2. You know, I think with the
- 38:07quarterback play, they do have some explosive plays over there
- 38:10at Duke. He'll have the defense playing
- 38:12well. For what it's worth, I think
- 38:16Duke's played a tougher schedule this year than Virginia, so
- 38:20we'll put say, whatever that is. But they're going to have more
- 38:23explosive plays. They're very efficient in the
- 38:27passing game. The quarterback plays really
- 38:29well. They have twice as many
- 38:33touchdowns as passing touchdowns as Virginia does, so on 1st down
- 38:38they're also very effective. So I like the explosive
- 38:41playability and I like Duke here just to win this game outright
- 38:45and confirm the ACCSL laughing stock everyone thinks it is.
- 38:50So go Duke. Oh Duke.
- 38:55I picked up plus 1:40 on that, so that's a nice, nice little
- 39:00price. Pick this out I think.
- 39:05You want to go first because I'm going to respectfully.
- 39:08I couldn't have less interest in a game this weekend.
- 39:10Every other game is more interested, including the Mac,
- 39:12than this thing. I I will not watch this game.
- 39:16Yeah, well, that's because there's another, there's an
- 39:17actual promising game Saturday at 8:00 that I think most people
- 39:21will be watching. Yeah, I, Tim, I'm bowling for
- 39:23you. But Duke's defense is asked this
- 39:25year. This this is not 2024, Duke.
- 39:27I mean, they're giving up 400 yards a game.
- 39:29Virginia usually has no defense, only giving up like 300 yards a
- 39:33game. I love Chandler Morris.
- 39:35I may love Darian Mensa too. If anything, I would go over
- 39:38here because neither of these teams scream the 85 Bears.
- 39:43But yeah, I I would I would lean the other way just because
- 39:47Duke's defense isn't what I feel.
- 39:49That's weird because Manny Diaz is usually like a defensive guy.
- 39:52And last year their defense was really, really good.
- 39:56I'm not sure what have they lose a bunch of people, the
- 39:58graduation or the portal, I don't know.
- 40:00But this is not the Duke, the Duke defense from from 2024,
- 40:04but. That's just my thought, but they
- 40:09bought themselves a nice quarterback, so they certainly
- 40:11do have a chance. But yeah, their defense is
- 40:15asked. Any final thoughts where it just
- 40:18means more Pete and the ACC boy? Yeah, OK, I guess we'll just
- 40:27kick. That's horrible.
- 40:29They got final. Conference, any other conference
- 40:32so. Well, I think people will be
- 40:36watching this game number one against #2 Indiana seven and
- 40:42five against the spread. Ohio State ten, 1:00 and 1:00.
- 40:49Wow, kind of like North Texas fives here.
- 40:52Do you guys got any play on this or is it just me again?
- 40:55No, I got one, but you can go first.
- 40:57All right. Well, the over under is 48 1/2.
- 41:00I actually got it at 47 1/2. I bet the over both of these
- 41:06offenses, great quarterback play, great receivers.
- 41:09They're both pretty balanced. This came to be, you know, don't
- 41:15overthink this one. So Indiana scores and everybody,
- 41:18Ohio State scores and everybody. Neither of these defenses seem
- 41:22built to slow either one of these offenses down, so I'm not
- 41:25going to overthink it too much. 47 1/2, I love that number.
- 41:30I thought it would be up, you know, 5859, somewhere around
- 41:33there given the quarterback play and the receivers and the
- 41:35offense and all that. You know, 56% on 3rd down.
- 41:40Both teams are 56% on 3rd down. They're going to stay on the
- 41:42field a lot. I thought this game would be a
- 41:45lot higher. Swearing this game is indoors.
- 41:49Indianapolis. We've been there.
- 41:50They don't think they've taken the roof off of Lucas Arau
- 41:52Stadium, have they? Have your Colts done anything to
- 41:55the stadium? No.
- 41:57Well, they could. Open it, but they're not going
- 41:58through this time of. Year well they better not open
- 42:00it that would that would really put us so that.
- 42:03'D be fun. I'd like to see that.
- 42:05But yeah, I like 47 1/2. I like the over here.
- 42:08I almost spent 2 units on this one, but I'm like 1 and four and
- 42:10two unit plays this year, so I'm going to stop doing that.
- 42:13But yeah, this is my strongest confidence one which is doomed
- 42:17to sink it. So over 47 1/2 in this game.
- 42:22Let's hear it, Darren. The line draw.
- 42:25I was going to leave this game alone, but DraftKings yesterday
- 42:27morning dropped Ohio State -4 and I, I hopped on the Buckeyes
- 42:31here. Again, looking at the stats,
- 42:34there's nothing that you can differentiate these two teams
- 42:36with. They're both really good
- 42:37offensively. They're like top two in the
- 42:39country defensively. So there really isn't any stat
- 42:42that would lead me to favor one team or the other here.
- 42:46But I did take Ohio State for a couple reasons.
- 42:48You remember last year we kind of banged on their offensive
- 42:51line and it turned out to be kind of like unfairly soaked.
- 42:54They actually played really well.
- 42:56They only ended up giving up 17 sacks last year.
- 42:59Well, if you've watched any Ohio State games and watched the
- 43:03networks interview Julian saying after and you're like, wow, did
- 43:06he just change his jersey? No, he's been sacked 6 times in
- 43:1012 games. That why that dude looks
- 43:12Immaculate at the end of the fourth quarter.
- 43:14He's never getting hit. Oh, Jackson, not the Bo Jackson,
- 43:19but the other Bo Jackson currently runs for Ohio State.
- 43:23He's kind of established himself as the go to guy in that
- 43:25backfield. So I'm going to give an
- 43:27offensive line edge here to the Buckeyes.
- 43:30And also I heard some reports saying that like, well, you
- 43:34know, Ohio State kind of went through this last year.
- 43:37They played all these playoff games.
- 43:38They kind of know what it takes. They want to be healthy.
- 43:41They haven't really been showing everything every week.
- 43:44I don't really believe that. But I also heard, well, they
- 43:48finally beat Michigan. You know, they hadn't done that
- 43:51in four years, Man. There's going to be a little bit
- 43:53of a let down. You know what else they haven't
- 43:56done in four years? Win the freaking Big 10.
- 43:59So don't tell me that there's going to be a let down here.
- 44:01Ryan Day will have these guys focused and ready to go.
- 44:04Now, on the flip side, does the loser really get hurt here?
- 44:07No, they're probably still getting a bye week regardless of
- 44:10what happens, but the the three best players on the field,
- 44:15Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate and Caleb Downs, they're all on the
- 44:19same team. So you know what?
- 44:21Call it a a hunch. I don't know, man.
- 44:24It dropped a four. That's a nice number for me.
- 44:26I'm going to expect this to go back up if it's four where you
- 44:29play Snagit because I think it's going to win by 7 or more here.
- 44:36I could see that. Any thoughts Pete on your?
- 44:39Yeah, Pete's the Big 10 guy. That's why we were wrap it up
- 44:41with with him because. I'd I'd like to disagree.
- 44:44I really, really like to disagree.
- 44:47I mean, we're. Doing that a lot on this show.
- 44:50I, I, I'd like to see Indiana do something and, and they could
- 44:53right, really good team. I'd like to see what they can do
- 44:55here. Yeah, I wasn't all that
- 44:57impressive. Ohio State, Michigan's largely
- 44:59inept at this point. They're A1 dimensional team, no
- 45:01pass rush. I don't think Ohio State looked
- 45:03all that good against Michigan and Michigan.
- 45:05'S not all that good, period. Right.
- 45:06I mean, we don't have any skill players.
- 45:08I mean, I don't think we're all that good.
- 45:10So. But then it's a rivalry game.
- 45:12You got to throw that out, right?
- 45:13So it's always going to be close no matter what.
- 45:17I mean, I remain not overly impressed with Ohio State, but
- 45:21then again, you know, they keep winning and they're going to
- 45:24keep winning until somebody actually, you know, holds them
- 45:28down and beats them. And I'm not sure Indiana's
- 45:31A-Team to do that. Now, do I think they're going to
- 45:33roll through the playoffs this year?
- 45:35No, I don't. I think somebody will beat them,
- 45:36but it's probably not going to be Indiana.
- 45:39So I think, you know, I think this could be a pretty high
- 45:43scoring game though, which would be a little bit odd for the Big
- 45:4710, but it's the right place for it.
- 45:49So yeah, it could be an interesting game.
- 45:51I look forward to it. I'd love to see Ohio State lose,
- 45:54but the problem with that is that'll just piss them off.
- 45:57Then they'll probably win the national championship again.
- 45:59So I'd rather see them win here and then losing a playoff
- 46:02honestly. So that would be the ideal
- 46:04scenario. So just win the damn game, go to
- 46:07the playoff and lose somebody else.
- 46:08I'm good with that so. I'm just going to say this.
- 46:12We know Ohio State's defense is legit, but how legit do they
- 46:15have to be for Matt Patricia not to come in and screw them up
- 46:18You. Know.
- 46:20If Patricia can't screw this up, this might be the best.
- 46:23This defense might be better than last year's.
- 46:25Yeah, this defense is killer. They have those players in that
- 46:28team. I mean, that defense is killer.
- 46:29I mean, they're really, really good.
- 46:32You know, So what, Michigan will get another crack at Ohio State.
- 46:36What, 300 and 360? Dollars.
- 46:39Oh, it's going to be worse. They're going.
- 46:40To get $360.00, they got to go to the. 2 next year.
- 46:43If any of those Blues think they have a chance next year, that's
- 46:45already a loss. These morons don't know what the
- 46:48hell they're thinking. They're going to get
- 46:49slaughtered. Does Sharon Moore coach that
- 46:51game next year? No, he won't.
- 46:53He'll be gone. Well, actually Michigan doesn't
- 46:55fire coaches in the middle of the season, so he'll coach, I
- 46:57think. He does coach that game next
- 46:58year. Yeah, they don't fire coaches in
- 47:00the middle of the season, but he'll be gone right after it.
- 47:02The day after, he'll be gone. It was nice to see him guard
- 47:05their their 50 yard line. At least they played some
- 47:07defense at some point. Yeah, I mean, that was beautiful
- 47:09coaching. That wasn't him.
- 47:11I mean, that was Wayne KU. You leave so the best player in
- 47:15the field you single cover him on 1/12.
- 47:18Yard line. Brilliant although that was.
- 47:20That was also a touchback. But besides that.
- 47:23It was. It was a.
- 47:24Touchback. Yes, I saw that after work.
- 47:27Yeah, that was touchback. Yeah, let's single cut.
- 47:30I would have triple covered it. I would have, I would have
- 47:32bumped them in a line. And if somebody often have
- 47:33somebody in the back like there's no way I let him beat me
- 47:35there, no way. But whatever.
- 47:38You can have adjustments. Ohio State makes them too, just
- 47:41like Georgia. You look at their their close
- 47:43games. I mean, somewhat close against
- 47:44Michigan, shut Michigan down the second-half. close game against
- 47:48Penn State in the first half, shut Penn State down the
- 47:51second-half. I'm telling you, man, but
- 47:53Michigan was better. Don't get me wrong, Indiana is a
- 47:55lot better, and I have a soft spot in my heart for Indiana as
- 47:58they cash by over 8 1/2 nine games into the season.
- 48:01But I think Ohio State's better, too.
- 48:04Yeah, they're better. They're better.
- 48:05But Michigan, Michigan has inferior coaching and they're
- 48:07one-dimensional, so they don't count because we can't.
- 48:09We have no, we have no receivers.
- 48:10What are you going to do? We have no tight end.
- 48:11Who are you going to throw to? You can't throw the ball.
- 48:14So yeah. Whatever.
- 48:15No time to get on the phone to Larry Ellison's wife again and
- 48:18see if we can find a couple of receivers for you.
- 48:19Yeah, we. Need some money We need We need
- 48:21a check we got to go get. Some guys, Oh, this is terrible.
- 48:24Well, college football's be coming.
- 48:25It's just. So.
- 48:29Any final thoughts on that? Should we wrap this up?
- 48:31We'll go to our review, wrap it. Do we have to?
- 48:35Yeah, sadly. God damn.
- 48:38Look at all those bets. All right, you want to go first
- 48:44since I got the the main. Yeah, we're, we'll go 1st and
- 48:49then sign off and you just finish in like 30 minutes and
- 48:51we'll send me the video when it's done downloading.
- 48:55Let me just do my 2:00 so that way I can take a nap while
- 48:58you're talking. So so yeah, North Texas 2 lane
- 49:02over 66 and a half one unit. And then Georgia and Alabama
- 49:07under 47 1/2 one units. Those are my 2 plays this week.
- 49:12I only have three. I got Western Michigan land a
- 49:14point to have over Miami. I've got Georgia land 2 1/2 over
- 49:18Bama and Ohio State land 4 over Indiana.
- 49:23All right, the Hindenburg landing went more smoothly than
- 49:26my champion. My rivalry week last week was
- 49:29horrible. Oh my God, I'm going to do this
- 49:32quick for I have to look at this.
- 49:32So we got the Jacksonville State money line over Kennesaw State.
- 49:37I have Duke also money line over Virginia, UNLV, Boise State
- 49:42under 58 1/2. I have North Texas -2 1/2 over
- 49:47Tulane, Ohio State and Indiana over 47 1/2, Georgia -2 1/2 over
- 49:54Alabama and Troy, James Madison over 47 1/2 and last but not
- 49:59least Miami, Western Michigan over 43 1/2.
- 50:07Any final thoughts General wrap this up?
- 50:09Go BYUUNOV and Troy. Troy UNLV Yeah.
- 50:18All right. Well, that's what I brought you
- 50:19to. Thank you all for listening.
- 50:22Don't forget to like and subscribe to our channel.
- 50:24It helps us out and it's easy and it's free.
- 50:27And also you can find us on Spotify and on Apple, where we
- 50:31get your podcast. Please, like us, review us,
- 50:35leave a couple comments, let us know who you're betting on, and
- 50:38we hope you enjoy it. We'll be back.
- 50:39We'll begin next week, We'll wrap this up and we'll look into
- 50:42the offseason and into the playoffs.
- 50:44So don't forget to sign up for our Bowl Bracket challenge.
- 50:48What's it called again, Darren? Capital One Bowl Mania Bowl.
- 50:53Mania. Targeting winners if the link
- 50:55doesn't work. That's right.
- 50:57Thanks again for listening and we'll see you next week.