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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAB Best Bets Friday 11/21/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight, is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what DAT is. I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: The slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's towed back with You've better off dead,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, toadsool sports? Uh Friday, November twenty first, Hold
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: on second here? What is going on here? Man? I
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: keep hearing like noises. I don't know what's happening. Man.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: All right, yesterday losing day? What else is new? Three
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: and four, I think is what it was. We started
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: out all right with Southern Indiana. I mean they had
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: a good first half. They were I don't know, down two,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: three and a half something like that, and then they fell
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: behind by more than the number, got back within the
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: number they covered. Didn't win outright, I'm fine with that. Obviously.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: College of Basketball at Night did not go well. I mean,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: USC they only scored twenty nine points in the entire
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: first half. Like you, you got to be kidding me, dude,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to say, and they got
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: absolutely dominated on the boards. Terrible, terrible performance. I expected
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: USC to be pushing in the pace, running the floor,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: just run Troy out of the gym. I don't know
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: what that was. I think USC won barely in like
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: triple overtime. I don't even know. I stopped paying attention
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: to it because once it goes into overtime, you know
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: they're not going to cover that. I mean, they were
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: never covering. It was a total loser, just like me.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's went off at actually plus ten and a half,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: and I believe they didn't cover any of the numbers.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: They were winning the game outright with like I don't know,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: twelve thirteen minutes left. I was like, all right, this
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: is looking good for Saint Joe's fell apart and I
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: believe they what do they lose by twelve fourteen? I
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean they were in range to get
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: back within that number near the end, and they didn't
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: do it. Hockey was total ass. I don't even know
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: what else to say about him. Montreal looked like they
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: were gonna come back after they were I don't know,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: they were down multiple goals. They came back, they cut
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: it to five to four. I'm like, all right, here
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: we go Montreal is gonna do this. No, they lost
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: eight to four, although I'm assuming there were some empty
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: net goals or something in there. I don't know. I
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: didn't see the end of it. I am not even
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: gonna pay attention to it at that point. Detroit Red
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: Wings absolute abomination. I don't even know what to say.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Both of those games. I thought the situational read was correct.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: You heard my analysis on it. The money looked like
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: it was agreeing with me in the morning, and then
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: late at night the money was disagreeing with me on
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: both games. Like what the fuck, dude, Like, what do
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: people see in those games that I'm not seeing? I
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: don't get it, Like I've been pretty good in hockey
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: for a long time, Like hockey's my second best sport,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Like I think throughout the entire time that I've been
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: doing this. Maybe Major League Baseball NBA obviously first, But
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: I don't get it. Ottawa kind of saved the night
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: in hockey. They got the win, I believe. I think
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: they won with a late goal in regulation to win
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: that game. So we got that one. That was a
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: back and forth game, close game, and then we did
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: get the Houston Texans. Right as me being mister Thursday Night,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: you knew that was going to be a winner. I
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: think it should have been more easy, too, because there
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: was a kickoff return touchdown in the game for Buffalo
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: in the first half after Houston. Houston started out down,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: but they were only down like six to nothing or something,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: and then Houston got into the lead. I believe they
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: were up thirteen to nine, and right after they got
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: that field goal, I guess to go up thirteen to
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: nine kick returns touchdown for Buffalo, I'm like, come on, man.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: But then Houston, pretty importantly, Houston actually got the lead
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: back with a touchdown to close the first half, so
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: they actually had momentum going into the second half, and
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Houston's defense totally clamped down and then that was That
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: was pretty much end of story. I believe Buffalo. I
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: don't even think I ever scored again. I think the
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: last time they scored in the game, I think was
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: the kicker turned touchdown, I think, if I'm not mistaken.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: And then it looked like Buffalo is gonna drive at
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: the end of the game, like if you didn't see that,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Buffalo had the ball down seven, they were facing a
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: fourth and twenty seven, which of you know my betting history,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: my worst beat of all time was the Ray Rice
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: fourth and twenty nine conversion, which he still didn't even convert.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot. It was a bad call.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: That was terrible. The Ravens in a steel sandwich going
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: out to San Diego. That was bullshit, worst beat I've
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: ever taken. And then they you know, after they converted
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: the fourth and twenty nine, they still had to win
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: the game with doing multiple other things to do it.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: But anyway, last night, Buffalo converted a fourth and twenty seven,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: and that one was not a bad spot. They obviously
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: converted it. They got more a yardage than that. I
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: think they picked up about forty yards on the play probably,
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: So I'm like, oh my god, are you serious, Like,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: how do you let a team convert a fourth in
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: twenty seven? Dude, Like you give up the short passes
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: and then just make sure that you don't let them
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: get the extra yards. I don't even know, man. Then
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Buffalo got down into the red zone, You're thinking, oh
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: my god, they're gonna score a touchdown here. Actually I
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: was wrong. Buffalo had scored a field goal prior to that,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: So Buffalo at that point was not going for the tie.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: They were actually going for the win. They were down four,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: but Houston was gonna cover. At that point. It was
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: just a matter of is Buffalo gonna win the game
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: out right with a touchdown or not. I apologize on coughing.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: I have nothing. I have nothing left, man, no sleep.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's cold season now. I don't think
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: I'm sick, but I don't know what's going on. Anyway,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Houston's defense clamped down again and ended the game. Man
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: huge stop for Houston at the end of the game.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Very good defense, which of course was part of that handicap.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: So I am happy with that result. That was in
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: my money splash pool as well as one of my
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: NFL picks, obviously, because I don't like the NFL board
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: at all this week, but I like that one more
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: the most. So that was good. Hopefully people got some
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: winners on that. Jeffrey, what's up, mister Pensey, what's up?
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Dirty sock Nate? What's up everybody? Lamar? Yeah, UCF did
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: they win in basketball? That should have been one of
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: my That should have been I don't know, I mean
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: everything in retrospect, you're like, that should have been on
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: my card. I don't know. That was a lean for me.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: And on UCF Islanders. Yeah they're not good, dude, I'm
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: not I don't care if you but the Islanders in
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: or not. I mean, I obviously I was strongly opinionated
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: against it. I don't think the Texans were obvious. Nothing
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: is obvious, like I mean, people are talking about how
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: it was like a demonic ritual or something, with them
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: wearing the red and Christian Kirk scoring the touchdown to
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: put them up ten to nine, all that stuff. A
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: lot of symbology in the game. Maybe it's true, maybe
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: it isn't. I don't know. I mean, I just go
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: based on the situation, the line whatever, you know, some
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: of the x's and o's there. But yeah, money line
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: on the Texans, Yeah, mister Thursday night. I should just dude,
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: I'm doing really well just picking the entire NFL board
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: this year. Like I'd be winning money if I bet
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: literally every single game. Charleston Classic from Buffalo wil Wings.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out one play in that. I'm pretty
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: sure that's right. No sleep, Bettington, Buzz Killington, whatever. All right,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: let's get into it, man. We got college basketball. We
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: got a lot going on here. I need I need
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: some more drops for my show, Like I gotta get
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: back to getting some of the drops. But we gotta
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: get into this. There's too much college basketball. I am
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: gonna start out with a play in one of these
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: first games here. Actually, the play that I have is
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: in the Virgin Islands, which is where I live. By
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: the way, Green Bay at Yale, this is gonna be
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: a play here. You go, best bets right off the bat.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: I gotta just do it, man, because it's in an
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: early game. I don't think this show is gonna go
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: until twelve thirty, though I better not, because after I
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: have six college basketball plays. It's a huge college basketball board,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: which I'm not used to on these Fridays. It's early
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: season Friday. Mayhem not happy about it. And then I'm
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: gonna give out one NBA play and that's it. I
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: don't like the NBA board. I don't like the NHL board.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: One NBA play I like, and then I don't like
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: the college football games either. Really, all right, we're gonna
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Yale against Green Bay here. This
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: is mostly we're gonna fade Green Bay. I mean, this
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: is an awful green Bay team. But green Bay's coming
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: off going into overtime against Minnesota. Dude. I know it
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: was last Saturday, so they have had time off to
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: kind of disrupt that momentum and travel, but I still
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: think a game like that can linger. Like I don't
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: consider that to be going into that extra rest on
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: a bad note. I mean, they did all they could
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: in this game. They were twenty five and a half
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: point underdogs against one of the big boys, a Big
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: Ten school, Minnesota. Green Bay had the lead in the
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: second half at multiple points, lost the lead, got back
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: in the game, tied it again. They were actually down
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: one I think at one point in the final minute
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: or no, they tied it right, Yeah, they sent it
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: into overtime, and then they just fell flat after they
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: were Yeah, they fell behind it overtime. Just couldn't get
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: back up after that. But I don't think they can
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: get back up off the mat after this, man. I
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: mean it was a close game. Even statistically it was
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: pretty close. Minnesota did win the rebound battle. Huge game
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: for green Bay though. I Mean, I know Yale has
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: been to the tournament a couple of times whatever, but
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: I just don't know how green Bay could come off
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: of that travel to the Virgin Islands and put up
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: a huge performance again here as a big underdog. I
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: know sometimes when you're fading these big underdogs, I mean
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: I've gotten caught doing it a couple of times recently,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: so I'm worried to some extent about it, because sometimes
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: these lesser teams will will show up again somehow. In
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: this case, I just I'm not sure I see it.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I know Yale's coming off their first loss. They lost
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: to Rhode Island, who was an A ten team. Yale
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: was a big favorite in that game though, So that's
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: the thing, man, I think Yale, you can kind of
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: consider this to be more of like an outlier, like
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss. And Rhode Island shot like the lights
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: out of this game fifty one percent from the field,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: forty six percent from three. That's an outlier. I think
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Yale realizes they should have won that game. Rhode Island's
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: a bit down this year. So I think getting away
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: from home after you lose like that, even though yes,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: I do talk about how your first loss can hang
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: you over, sometimes I don't know. I think taking a
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: loss like that is a favorite at home go out
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: change a venue. You're getting a much worse green Bay
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: team here. Yeah, I think Yale should get this done.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: I know Yale doesn't play particularly fast or anything, but
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: they are efficient offensively, so they can still score on
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: their possessions. Green Bay is just bad all around. Green
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Bay also plays slow, I think, slower than even Yale.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Does I know green Bay? Ken Bum has them listed
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: as one of the unluckiest teams right now, but I
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'm going with it anyway. My situation will
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: read puts me on Yale, So that's where we're going here. Wait,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: why do we not even see Yale here? What am
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: I looking at? I'm looking at college football. I think
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I'm an idiot there it is. Yale's already up to eighteen,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: by the way, from sixteen and a half. But the
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming back in against them. Seventy
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, only sixty five percent of the cash,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: so I'm worried about that. But this is the situation again.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Then hopefully we can get a decent number on this.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Hopefully the numbers don't matter that much in this range.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Seventeen is not key in basketball totals down to one
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine though, so it is a low total.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: But I'm hoping that Wisconsin Green Bays is just gonna
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: do very little scoring here because they suck. So Yale
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: is the play there, All right, let's keep going here.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: Utah State Tulane is gonna be in this Charleston thing
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: that's going on. This is another afternoon game. This is
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: on ESPN two. That previous game is on ESPN plus.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Utah stayed off to a four and oh start. I mean,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: they haven't totally been tested yet. Their biggest game was
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: against VCU, which they did win in a neutral site game.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Now they gotta go further east though, because that game
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: was in Texas, I believe. So now they're going to
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone for the first time, which might
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: not be that easy. It's a bit of an easier
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: trip for Tulane. Tulane's also coming up a pretty embarrassing loss,
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: even though I know it was their first loss of
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: the season. You take a loss like that. They lost
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: to in state little brother New Orleans, and I talked
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: about how that was a big win for New Orleans.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Went against New Orleans after that on the show here
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: when they went out to Pepperdine. We got to win
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: on that one. Tulane, I mean, bad loss for them.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: You know, they're a big, pretty big favorite. Eleven and
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: a half in this one. New Orleans shot ridiculously in
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the game. Tulane shot horribly, So this this game was
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: pretty much an outlier, even though New Orleans did dominate
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: them on the rebound side of things. But New Orleans
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: shooting fifty four percent from the field and three Tulane
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: thirty five and eleven percent, respectively. Those are major outliers.
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: Like I like it as a bounce back for Tulane here.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: I think the venue is better for them being in
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: the South, in South Carolina. I would take the points
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: with Tulane in this one. I'm not gonna do it
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: as a play, but Utah States down from ten eleven
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half. Money looks
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: like it's agreeing with me on that one, So of
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: course I'm going with one of the games with the
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: market disagrees with me. Man, I'm just going based on
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: the situation. Sixty two percent ticket, seventy five percent of
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: the cash on Tulane, so the money is saying Tulane,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: I do agree with it. There's another dude. These early
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: season tournaments are ridiculous. There is one going on in
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: Colorado Springs, which I believe is being hosted by the
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: Air Force Academy. IU Indy our favorite team, the team
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: that runs the floor really fast and plays no defense.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: It has not gone well for them so far, by
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: the way. The only one win against the Division one team,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: which was against Eastern Michigan, and then we got to
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: win on Eastern Michigan. I think in their next game,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: IU Indy coming up another loss. They've given up over
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: one hundred points in four of their six games. Not good.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: This team is not playing deepfense. Now they're having to
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: go out to Colorado into elevation. Although I mean Alabama
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: State's their opponent here, Alabama State kind of in a
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: similar well, I would say I'm actually wrong about that.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say Alabama States in a similar spot
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: having to go into elevation like this, but they're actually
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: way more adjusted to it now because they already just
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: played in Colorado. Not only did they do that, but
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: they played in at air Force, so they literally just
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: played on this floor on Wednesday. So Alabama State's already
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: adjusted They're already acclimated here. They're already adjusted to the venue,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: to which IU Indy isn't. So I think Alabama State
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: is probably the right side here. I don't think they
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: played particularly slow, but they're probably gonna try to slow
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: it down to some extending against Iupui. Don't see any
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: of the percentages yet IUPUI is up from three and
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: a half to four or IU Indy. I would take
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: the points of Alabama State though, and people might forget,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: I think Alabama State won their conference last year, and
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: they were the representative of the swack in the tournament
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: last year, and I think they won the playing game
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: as well, and then they got blasted by one of
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: the sixteen seeds I think Duke No not Duke Auburn,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: maybe whatever it was. I don't know, but yeah, I
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points of the Alabama Stated.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I think the fact that they're already accustomed to this
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: venue and to the elevation is actually pretty huge. So
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: that's what I would do in that game. Utah State
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: all unders Tulane two and two on the totals. Yeah,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: all right, I don't know. Does does that mean that
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: there's a trend towards the under in that one. I
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, because again I worry about these early trends
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: because these teams will mostly face like cupcakes. So I
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: don't know if there's a whole lot you can take
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: away from some of those games. But I didn't think
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: that Utah State was a team that played particularly slough either.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: They do. No, they're mid tempo, basically because I remember
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: talking about how UCLA was gonna be able to frustrate
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: them by slowing them down in the tournament. All right,
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: speaking of tournaments, we have another one in Sulfur Springs.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: This is another division of the Greenbrier. This is the
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Mountain Division. An interesting game South Carolina and Butler, so
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: it's SEC versus Big East. CBS Sports has this in
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: the afternoon at two pm. I don't have a strong
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: opinion on this one. South Carolina's four and zero to
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: start the season, but they face a really easy schedule.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: So far, they haven't really faced anybody. I think Radford
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: is a bit underrated right now, but South Carolina did
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: just demolish them on Tuesday. Travel to West Virginia not
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: a huge issue. Spot seems to set up fine for
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. Butler's got one loss on the season. It
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: was their most recent game at SMU. SMU is a
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: big favorite. But now Butler is coming off that game
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: where they had to exert themselves in Dallas against SMU
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point underdogs. Butler came pretty close
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: to winning this game, man. So yeah, this is a
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: game where Butler was winning the entire first half. They
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: fell behind fairly significantly in the second half, came all
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: the way back to tie the game in the final minute,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: and then felt just short. So it was a pretty
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: big effort as an underdog for Butler there. Now they
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: have to follow that up by trying to put it
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: in another huge effort here. I think South Carolina is
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be the more like they're gonna be the less
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: fatigued team in my opinion here, So I would sort
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: of look towards South Carolina on this one. Butler is
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: up from three to three and a half. Ots makers
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: telling you they're better than South Carolina. I don't disagree
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: with that. I mean South Carolina is right at the
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: bottom of the SEC basically them in LSU. They're both
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: bad for SEC teams, even though the SEC is good obviously,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: but seventy per ticket, seventy six percent of the casual Butler,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: I do think they're somewhat of a public side, probably,
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: although even though South Carolina is undefeated, but I don't know.
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: I just think having to turn a round off of
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: that SMU performance, it's gonna make it a little bit
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: more difficult for Butler in my opinion. So South Carolina,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I think has they also have the easier trip to make.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: I think as well. Three PM. Virgin Islands continues with
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: U Mass and Charleston. U MASS coming off that game
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: where I'm pissed because they should have covered against Central Connecticut.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: U MASS had a huge lead in the middle of
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: that game, and I don't know what they did, took
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas whatever, I have no idea,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: and they wound up winning and not covering. Now they
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: go out to the Virgin Islands, they got to face Charleston.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Charleston's sitting at two and three. Although is Charleston actually
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: the worst team, I don't think they are, and in fact,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: I guess they flipped from a two point dog to
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite against the public
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: sixty two tickets, only fifty one percent of the casual
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: on you Mass. The public's gonna look at the records. Oh,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Charleston's two and three. U Mass is three and one.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: That means U Mass is the better team, does it? Though?
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: U Mass has faced a really easy schedule, man, I
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: mean their wins are against Albany, Lemoyne, and Central Connecticut.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: I mean really like, there's nothing impressive about that whatsoever.
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: All three of those teams are awful. Charleston definitely more
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: battle tested as they face Liberty, Fau Drake. Those are
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: much more difficult opponents. So you can't really look at
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: just the the schedules, man. I know Charleston is coming
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: off a more difficult game against Drake. U Mass is
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they underperform, so they should
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: have been better. So as far as the specific situation,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: kind of looks like it should set up a little
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: bit better for U Mass. But I wouldn't agree with
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: it because I just think that the the public is
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: gonna get this game wrong because of the records. I
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: think it's a situation. It's a setup r of misleading
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: records here. So I know that's more of a numbers thing,
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: and I usually do more situation, but I think the
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: number read here is strong enough that I think Charleston
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: is indeed the better team. I would go with Charleston
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: in that one of the you have to lay a
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: bit more for it now. Would have been great to
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: get them as an underdog, because I do not think
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: they should be an underdog at all against U mass
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: on a neutral But yeah, Charleston has definitely played the
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule. All right, what else do we have here?
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Speaking of Charleston in Charleston, Charleston. I don't know if
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: this is at Charleston's arena. This might be some other
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: arena in Charleston. But we have some neutral site games
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: being hosted. They are three thirty PMSPN two involving another
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: UMass school or another Massachusetts school. Excusually, Boston College is
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: playing Davidson. Davidson's probably gonna have a little bit of
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: a home crowd there, though, because I believe Davidson is
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: in South Carolina. If I'm not mistaken, right, they're in
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: one of the Carolinas. They're in North Carolina. My mistake,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Davidson North Carolina. But still they're gonna have more of
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: a home crowd here. BC is having to travel down
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: to Davidson. Maybe Davidson will get up for it because
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: it is a game against an acc school. Davidson really
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: has not been tested yet. Their best opponent was Washington
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: State and they got them in North Carolina. That was
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: a weird spot. That was Davidson being in the double
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: coburger spot if you remember my True Crime references there Boston.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: I mean they faced a couple of alright teams in there.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: I guess FAU Temple. They lost to Central Connecticut, which
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: is pretty bad, not being able to put their foot
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: on their throat there because BC had the lead in
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: that game and blew it. Now BC is off of
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: an unimpressive win over Hampton, who's not very good. Yeah,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'd probably go with Davidson in that game.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: I don't have much of a much of an opinion
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: on it, but Davidson has flipped from a two point
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Dodger one to a half point favorite, sixty percent of tickets,
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash Davidson, I mean, you
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: can kind of treat them as almost a semi home
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: team here. Ken Bum has one hundred and twenty second
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: and he's got Boston College where at one hundred and
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: fourth though, so he has BC, which ken Bomb highlights
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: for me because you have to pick your favorite team,
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: and I picked I picked BC, but ken Bum as
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: BC listed as the better team, So I don't know
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: if there's much line value there. But maybe you give
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Davidson a little boost because they're in South Carolina here,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: which is close to where their campus is. Yeah, lean
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: to Davidson in that one, but not strong. And again
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: the number I think is a little bit off, so
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away. Big game on Peacock at four pm,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Big ten versus Big twelve, twenty three Wisconsin and number
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: nine BYU. You know what I keep saying about BYU, man,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: I think they're overrated. Ken Bum's got the seventeenth, he's
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: got Wisconsin actually fifteenth, so he's telling you the rankings
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: makers are way off from what he has, although I
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: know ken Bum's rankings are still moving around a bit,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: so you can't really put a ton of weight to
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: do it early on. But I think that's enough of
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: a disparity to say that the rankings makers don't have
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: these teams gauged quite appropriately. There's one huge reason why
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: I like this game, though. This is one of my
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: best bets. We're gonna take Wisconsin plus the points, although
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: of course I capitalize the I by accident. Here we
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: go Wisconsin plus the points, which I think according to
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Ken Bond, you're getting value on number there obviously because
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: he has Wisconsin is the better team. Money's coming in
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: on BYU, and I don't agree with it. I went
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to five and a half.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: Now it's back down to four and a half. I
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: do think there is line value there. Sixty percent of
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: the tickets on Wisconsin, though fifty three percent of the
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: cash on BYU. But why would the public be on
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: the team it's ranked less? I mean, is it just
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: because BYU has one loss? I mean, I don't know. Man.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: By the way, this is the Bad Boy Mowers Series
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: in Salt Lake City, so this is not actually a
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: home game for BYU. This is a semi home game
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: in Utah. So I know it's Wisconsin having to go
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: to elevation or whatever. But if you guys remember something,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: you might know why I'm on Wisconsin here. I know
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look great because Wisconsin has not been tested
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: at all yet. They've had a really, really easy schedule
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: this is their first true road game. Yes, I worry
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: about those things, but I think the spot sets up
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: better for them because they haven't put in a huge
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: effort to get through these games, whereas BYU they're actually
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: having to do more travel to get to this game
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: because they just went to the East Coast to play Yukon,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: which I believe was in Where was this game? It
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: was in Boston, so BYU had to go all the
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: way to Boston. So they've done a lot of travel.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: They had to go to the East Coast, I believe,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: or no, they went to Arizona, excuse me, to play
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: Villanova that was in Arizona. Then they played at home,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: but then they went all the way to the East Coast,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: and then they played Yukon, number three in the country,
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: and they basically went right to the wire with Yukon.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: BYU was getting obliterated in this game by almost twenty points.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: They came all the way back and made a run
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: at Yukon right near the end, got to within two
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: and fell just short. Crazy game for BYU, man, and
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: now coming up with that massive performance, they got to
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: go back home. I don't like it, man. I think
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a hangover spot for BYU even though
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: you figure, yeah, they should get up for Wisconsin. But
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: I think there's way more of a reason for Wisconsin
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: to show up, which I was just alluding to. If
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: you remember, this is a rare situation where we have
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: a team early in the season facing the team that
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: ended their season last year, and that is Wisconsin versus BYU.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Here BYU knock Wisconsin out of the tournament. I talked
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: about this a couple of days ago. I think when
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: I faded, I faded Wisconsin in their last game, right,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: So Wisconsin, I believe, even though they won easily, I
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: think they didn't cover right against SIU Edwardsville. Yeah, we
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: got to win on this one. I think on SIU
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Edwardsville coming in within that huge number. But yeah, I
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: thought Wisconsin was just gonna get in get out because
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: this game is huge for Wisconsin. Dude, I know they
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: have to readjust to elevation, but they did it in March.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: At least, I know that was a long time ago,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: but at least it's something Wisconsin played well in that game.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: It was a close game. I had BYU in my bracket.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: If you're so I had that all correct. I had
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: BYU getting the Sweet sixteen over Wisconsin, which I got right.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: But it's gonna be a huge revenge spot for Wisconsin. Man.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: If you remember that game was in Denverse, it was
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: essentially a neutral site game, similar to this in Elevation,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: even though it was a little bit further from BYU's campus.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: BYU's crowd was going to show up to that game,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: and the line in that game was like, I think
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin was like a one point favorite in that game.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: I know these teams are a little bit different this year.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: I know the personnel change is a bit, but is
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: there really that much of a reason to go from
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin being a one point favorite in that game last
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: year to BYU being like a four to five, five
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here line seems over adjusted
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: to me. I think there is line value in the
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: revenge spot I think is huge. Take the points with Wisconsin. Yes,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: Sir Charleston Classic. There's a Beatles anthology that came out today.
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: Ooh is that on? Is that online? Interesting? I have
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: all right, I have some ideas. All right, all right,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports five pm. There's too much college basketball, man, Like,
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: come on, Virginia Northwestern. I mean it's a big game
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: acc versus Big ten. Virginia has not really been tested yet,
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: although they're putting up higher point totals than you usually
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: get from Virginia because they're usually an ugly slope a team.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: This is actually not at Northwestern. This is in the
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Greenbrier Tournament in West Virginia, so it is closer to Virginia.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: So the location I think helps Virginia to some extent
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: here Northwestern. They're coming off that really close call against
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: to Paul. Don't you remember I gave out to Paul
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: on the show, to Paul the little brother in the
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Chicago area. They stepped it up, they got the cover,
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: they almost won. Northwestern got a scare from that one man.
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: So in that way, maybe Northwestern is gonna bounce back
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: from that. But I think the venue does favorite Virginia here,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I mean, neither team is really
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: that battle tested. Yeah, I think the spot does set
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for a Northwestern, but the
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: geographic location better for Virginia. That's built into the line
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Virginia up to a three and a
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: half point favorite from two and a half sixty seven
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them, fifty four percent of
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back on Northwestern, So the money is
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: saying Northwestern. I don't really have a strong read on
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: this one, so I mean it's a stay away from me.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: The money does say Northwestern. I mean I agree with
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: it in that they had an ugly performance against DePaul.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: It's a lot of this is going to depend on
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: who can control the pace though, and if Virginia Virginia
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: is the slightly better team I think right now, and
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: if they have the semi home atmosphere here, they'll probably
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: be able to control the pace. Yeah, ken bum is
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: Virginia as the slightly better team of Virginia trying to
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: rise back up man after some seasons there. But if
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: Virginia's able to slow the pace down, I think that's
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: gonna hurt Northwestern. And it is easier to slow the pace,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: And it's easier for the better team and the home
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: team usually to slow the pace down. Even though Virginia's
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: not at home, like I said, it's close to their homes,
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: so there are some reasons why Virginia might be able
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: to have an easier time controlling the pace there. Iona
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: and Akron are playing in the Virgin Islands at five
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: point thirty pm Eastern on ESPN plus IONA decent team,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I think, kind of under the radar. They just beat Princeton,
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: pretty nice win. They're undefeated right now. They haven't faced
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: great teams yet, they haven't faced like entirely weak teams either.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: This is the paradise JM is what this is called.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: By the way, both these teams beat Princeton, although I
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: think Akron beat them by more. Acron destroyed them. Acron's
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: coming up a big performance, though it gets Purdue. I
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: know they weren't ever, you know, in range of winning
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: this game anything like that, although Akron did cover for us,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: but I mean they were losing by margin most of
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: the games, so maybe we got a little bit lucky
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: that they got in the back door there at the end.
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: This Acro team is pretty solid though. I think they're
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: the best team in the MAC in my opinion. I
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: think we're gonna see that play out. I think you're
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: gonna see Achron be right there in the end of
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: when it comes down to it, but in the MAC
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: at least. But Akron is coming off their first loss
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: and it was a big step up game there against Purdue.
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: So I would kind of lean towards Iona in this
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: game just because of that, even though I know Acron's
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: game wasn't close. Ozergers are telling you Akord is the
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: way better team, which I don't disagree with. Throughout from
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to eleven. I mean, I've been
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: talking about how Akron is good, and if they make
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: the tournament, I think they could be a threat. They
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: made the tournament last year too. I'm pretty sure they've
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: made the tournament a bunch in recent years, and some
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: of those players came back to although I think some
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: of those players must be gone now. But I would
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with Io though in this one,
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: even though it is a very high total seventy five
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Akron though one hundred percent of
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: the cash obviously not accurate. But we'll see how that
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: game plays out. I know taking the points is less
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: appealing when it's a huge total like that. Georgia Southern
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: Florida State. What I will say about this game is
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: I was tempted to lay the points of Florida State here.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: I just have this thing, man, where it's like, whenever
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: I try to lay the points with this big name
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: team playing one of the little guys, because I think
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: the little guy is in a bad spot. The little
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: guy just steps it up again for the game, So
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to avoid it. But Georgia Southern
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: is coming up a big game against in state big
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: brother Georgia Tack. That was a huge game for Georgia Southern, man,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: and they played them to within two points. I mean,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern may have had a chance to potentially even
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: win this game. I mean this game was right there
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: within one to two points down the stretch there. It
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: was a huge performance for Georgia Tack, excuse me, for
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern as ten to a half point underdogs there,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: they almost were able to pull off a win that
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: would have been huge for them. Now they're gonna come
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: off that big performance to try to put in another
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: one against Florida State. Although again Florida State is another
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: one of the big boys, So maybe Georgia Southern is
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to get back up again. I mean,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: at least I think mentally they'll try to be focused
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: on this Florida State. They're coming off kind of an
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: ugly game against U Tam Martin at home Florida State
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: nineteen and a half point favorites. They did not cover
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: this number. It was a fairly easy win, but I
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: think they know they didn't play particularly well in this game.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: There are some things that worry me though about this,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: which is that U Team Martin lost the turnover battle
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: twenty six to six and still came within fourteen of
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Florida State. Like, if you win the turnover battle that
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: ridiculously and your shooting percentages are fairly even, which they were,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: I don't really see how Florida State didn't win this
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: game by more so that's a little bit of a
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: red flag to me. Florida State also losing the rebound
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: battle seven it does worry me a little bit. I
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: would still lay it with Florida State here. This one
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: does not make my car. They're up from seventeen to eighteen.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: Of course they're gonna win by thirty and then I'm
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: just gonna be pissed. It's a high total too, which
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: is more conducive to the favorite covering. I think both
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: teams also like to play a faster pace. If I'm
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: not mistaken, Florida State definitely does. Georgia Southern. Yeah, they
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: play really fast as well, so the pacing is not
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be a contrast, which is why the total is
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: so high. It's gonna be a very fast paced game.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Does make it easier for Florida State to cover. Though
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: that's close to being a play for me. Man, Florida State,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I would still lay it in the Colorado Springs thing
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: that's going on their air Force. The host school is
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: playing against SIU Edwardsville. SIU Edwardsville is coming out that
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: game against Wisconsin and now having to travel into elevation.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: It may not be easy for them to do it. Man,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: I know they weren't that close against Wisconsin, but they
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: did cover air Force ugly start to the season. But
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: they finally won in this tournament thing here, I think
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: against Alabama State. Nice win for air Force there, so
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: that's gonna give them maybe some new momentum. Nobody wants
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: to start out the season on a four game losing streak.
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: Air Force is bad, we know this, but getting that
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: first win that can get that monkey off your back
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: propel you forward a little bit. The venue obviously is
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: way more familiar to air Force because it's their home arena.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: I lean to air Force in this one. Money seems
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: to agree. Siu Edwards zil down from three to two,
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the tickets on sixty three percent
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: of the cash on air force money coming in on
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: air force obviously, Like I said, I agree. Number six
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Louisville at Cincinnati. This is a big game, dude. Cincinnati
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit under the radars. Is six
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern on ESPN two. Louisville number six in
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: the country, so getting a lot of respect from the
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: from the rankings. Make ken Bom has them in the
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: top ten. He has them very good offensively, not so
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: good defensively. High tempo from Louisville. This game is gonna
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: be in Cincinnati, but they also play fast, so this
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: is a game where Cincinnati is a better defensive team though.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: So they're like Saint John's kind of in that they
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: play fast, but they play defense and they don't score
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: as well. So Louisville's the better scoring team. The public's
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: gonna be all over Louisville because they're sixth ranked in
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: the country, Cincinnati unranked. Big game for both teams. It's
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: a game where teams are close geographically. You know, I
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: think Cincinnati maybe a little bit under the radar, though,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points of Cincinnati Louisville up from
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: eight to nine and a half. Here fifty three percent
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: of tickets on them, fifty nine percent of the cash
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: coming in on Cincinnati. What you ar getting with Cincinnati
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: is the better defense getting a bunch of points at home.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: So that's something I talk about more in football than basketball,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: but I think it applies to basketball as well. I
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points with Cincinnati. Isn't really a
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: situational set up here. We went against Louisville in their
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: previous game. Ohio was able to cover against them, even
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: though Louisville scored over one hundred points. Louisville scoring ninety
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: six plus in every game is also gonna have the
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: public looking their way, but again they give up a
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: lot of points. This is called the Hoops Classic, by
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the way, whatever I think this is Cincinnati's home Marina,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: though I'm pretty sure it's in Cincinnati at least. And
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati they haven't been really tested yet. Their biggest game
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: was a win over Dayton, which was a good win.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: But Louisville is more battle tested just because they did
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: beat Kentucky. But again, I think it's too many points
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: to lay on the road there. Total is somewhat high
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: just because the Osburgers have to try to gauge well.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're both fast paced teams, so that's kind
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: of a reason for the total to be higher. But
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: I think Cincinnati might correlates to more of an under
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: because they do play defense and they're able to stop
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: opponents from scoring despite their fast Michigan State number seventeenth
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: in the country is playing Detroit Mercy, which is why
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: I faded Detroit Mercy in their previous game, because that
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: was part of it. They had a big look ahead
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: to Michigan State. Michigan State seventeenth in the country. In
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Michigan State's coming up a big win over Kentucky, and
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: then they have these like neutral site tournament games coming
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: up whatever against East Carolina, then North Carolina, and then
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: they do have Iowa, Duke, Penn States. They have all
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: big games coming up next, so I know East Carolina
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: is the least of all those, so maybe it's not
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: really much of a look ahead, although that's in the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Fort Myers Tournament down there. I think at the very
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: least Michigan State could be in a letdown spot here.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: I mean that win was pretty good against Kentucky. You know,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Detroit Mercy's gonna try to show up here, even though
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: they're a really bad team, coming up that ugly loss
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: to Eastern Michigan, which was a winner for us here
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: on the show, they're at least somewhat battle Testaman. They
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: played Notre Dame Toledo on the road. Those teams aren't
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: that bad. This is gonna be like their biggest game
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: of the year, though, playing Michigan State. It's the only
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: like Power conference team besides Notre Dame that they're playing,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: the only ranked team I think on their entire schedule,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: So it's a big deal to Detroit Mercy, so I
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points with them. Michigan State
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: also plays slow, so laying a lot of points with
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: them is, you know, something that's not as good of
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: an idea as it is with some other teams. This
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: isn't on my card, but Michigan State up from thirty
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: to thirty one totals somewhat low, not too low, but
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: at one point fifty Yeah, I mean I worry a
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: little bit about it because Detroit Mercy is just terrible.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: So it's one of those games where it's almost like
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: name the scorn. I know I've thrown out a bunch
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: of huge underdogs in basketball, but I don't know a
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: lot of times I don't do it. I'm trying to
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: limit myself. I would take the points to Detroit Mercy,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: but it is it is not on my card. Charlotte
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: and App State. This is a play for me. We're
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: gonna lay it with App State here. It was minus
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: two and a half right before I did the show.
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: It's down to one and a half. Money coming against
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: me again on Charlotte. This is what I have to
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: say about the market here. Man. Let's hope we don't
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: lose a ton today because I like these situations. Fifty
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: on Charlotte, we have a really low total here, down
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: to one thirty one, which I don't know what to
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: think about that, but I mean App State plays a
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: really really slow tempo and Charlotte also plays really slow,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: so that's I mean, that's basically why it's gonna be
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: a low tempo game here. But I like App State.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: You could probably actually get one and a half now
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: on this all update that Charlotte. I don't like the
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: spot they're in at all, dude. Charlotte just went to
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech on Sunday, and this is a huge game.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: They played their guts out eighteen and a half points
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: spread in this one. Charlotte played really well against Virginia Tech. Man,
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: I mean they were in this game. The game was
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: like almost tied in the second half. They were down
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: one and then they were down three with under four
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: minutes to go in this game. They were still within
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: one two possessions in the final few minutes of the game.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: Huge performance from Charlotte. They did a rebound Virginia attack.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: There wasn't really an outlier as far as like the
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: stats are concerned. It was actually a close game. But
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: Charlotte again coming off of that game, just playing to
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: that extent against an ACC team. That's one of Charlotte's
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: biggest games on their entire schedule, dude, debatably their biggest
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: because they don't really face any of these other big
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: conference teams. That was huge for them, and they almost
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: were able to pull off an upset. So I don't
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: see how they bounce back from that really. Men. Meanwhile,
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: app state they're returning home, they're two to zero on
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: their own floor. Although they beat a Division two team.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Other other wins against n C Central is not very good.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: They were a little bit battle tests because they did
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: go to Ohio State and they didn't embarrass themselves. They
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: lost by twenty two, which I know doesn't sound good,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: but I don't think that's that bad. They actually covered
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: the spread in that game. But app State now back home,
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: they got to win after that to give them some
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: new momentum against Dartmouth. The return home spots in college
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: aren't like they are in the day to day sports,
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: like because these teams aren't playing like every day. They're
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: only playing like two games a week basically, so and
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: they're not they're not in families, so it's not like
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: they get home and they have stuff to do, you
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, they come back to campus. I mean,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: there are some distractions on campus, but I think it's
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: like less. So, I mean, do you really think these
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: guys are focused on academics? Not really. Charlotte has also
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: lost their only road game so far. It was that
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech game though, so they did play well in it,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: But I like app State in this one. I think
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Charlotte's in a massive hangover spot. I know both these
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: teams are North Carolina. I know Charlotte probably considers themselves
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: to be themselves to be a little bit of a
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: little brother. But I think that Virginia Tech game was
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: more meaningful to them than this. I mean, it's it's
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: not like they're playing North Carolina here or Duke or
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: somebody like that, even though I know this is a
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: much more winnable game, but I don't know. I don't
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: know if they really had their sights set on Appalachian State.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: And I mean app State might want to get up
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: for this game too, because these are two of the
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: lesser schools in North Carolina. So all right, we got
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: West Virginia and Clemson. This is in Charleston, so it's
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: a semi home game for Clemson, I guess if you
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: want to call it that, because Clemson's in South Carolina.
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: But this is not at their home arena. This is
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: in that Charleston event that's going on. I don't know
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: what it is. West Virginia is off to a five
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: and oh start. They face a very easy schedule so far.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Their biggest win against pitt Clemson is gonna be the
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: most difficult team they faced so far. I faded West
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Virginia in their previous game and we got the win
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: with La Fayette covering the huge number there. Now West
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: Virginia is coming off of that. They this is not
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: a true road game, but this is the closest to
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: a true road that West Virginia's played so far. I
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: don't even know if they've left West Virginia yet this year,
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: to be honest, So that makes it a little bit
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: more difficult. It's a semi road game for West Virginia.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: For Clemson, I mean, I just think it sets up
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for them. I guess, debatably, they're
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: a little bit more battle tested because they played Georgetown.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: I know they took a loss that was a true
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: road game for them. Though, Yeah, the spot looks better
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: to me for Clemson. I know people are gonna remember
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Clemson being the better team last couple of years, so
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna be overvalued a bit
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: for that reason. But Clemson down from four and a
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: half to four, but it looks like the money is
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: coming back on them. Fifty of the casual on Clemson,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets evenly split. I don't disagree with
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Clemson in that one, all right, we got I mean,
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: Duke is playing Niagara. This game isn't even lined. It's
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: that dude, even though Niagara is a Division One team.
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: I guess this is considered to be enough of a
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: mismatch that there's not even a line on it, Like
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: put up a line to it. I mean, come on,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Duke plays pretty slow, so like how big of the
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: line really be? Like it would probably be like in
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: the forties, I would guess. I don't know. Merrimack and
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Florida number ten in the nation. Florida Merrimack could have
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: some issues here because Merrimack likes to play a bit slower.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: I think Florida is gonna really try to uptempo this thing.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: But Florida is coming on a nice win over Miami.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's still a big Florida rival, even though
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: I think it means more to Miami than it does
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: to Florida. And they beat Florida State of course in
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: the game before that in a close call. So now
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Florida's coming up beating both of their biggest rivals. They
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: got this awful Merrimack team and then up next they
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: got TCU, then Duke and Yukon, so they have bigger
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: games coming up next man, so Florida, this might be
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: a game where they just get in, they get out.
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: They don't really care about pushing the pace, so the
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: spot is pretty bad for Florida. Merrimack got a couple
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: of wins under their belt. They have gone down to
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: the South already to Auburn and Tarlatan State. Even though
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: they lost both games. Auburn was a good bounce back
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: spot though. If you remember, I gave out Auburn on
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: the show because Merrimack, excuse me, Auburn had I think
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: Merrimack was coming off an ugly game prior to that too,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: yeh against well against South Dakota State. I don't know,
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: but Auburn was coming up that Actually, Merrimack, I said,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: they put up a good performance against South Dakota State.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: That's what it was, which is why I thought they
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: would fall flat in the next game. But really the
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: crux of that handicap was that Auburn was coming off
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: a horrible performance against Bethune Cookman. So we got the
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: cover with Auburn and that one Merrimack. Now they're going
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: back down on the road. But I don't think they're
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be intimidated because they did already play on the
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: road at Auburn, so they were a bit battle testing,
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: So that's at least good. I would take the points
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: in Merrimack if I was gonna do it, but huge
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: mismatch Florida up from thirty six and after thirty eight.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, they could basically name the score if they
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: really wanted to. I don't want to get involved a
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: Loyal and Maryland against Kentucky number twelve in the country Kentucky.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: Kentucky taking loss in both of their step up games
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: against Louisville and Michigan State, which was their most recent game,
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: could set up maybe a little bit of a hangover
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: spot here. All Loyal and Maryland though bad on the
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: road ozho and two. I mean, coming off somewhat of
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: a difficult game against Ducaine, who's been pretty good recently.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: Loyal and Maryland lost that game by fourteen third straight
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: road game. I mean, I do think the spot's a
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: little bit worse for Kentucky, but I don't want to
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: get involved in this. Kentucky's up from thirty three and
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: a half to thirty five and a half. Yeah, I
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: don't know what else I have to say about that.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: But Kentucky is I believe, undefeated at home so far
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: too this Kansas City tournaments, we're moving into these seven
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: pm games here, finally taking too long to do the
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: college basketball as usual. I hate Dude Friday. I'm used
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: to having light college basketball, but not early in the season.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. We have this round robin thing, and this
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: is the loser bracket. Mississippi State and New Mexico both
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: lost yesterday. Mississippi State lost by twenty one to Kansas State.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: But of course the venue does help Kansas State here
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: because it's in Kansas City. Mississippi State coming up of that,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're as bad as they really looked
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: in that game. They're better than New Mexico. This is
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: the consolation game. I call it the loser bracket. New
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: Mexico they lost in Nebraska yesterday. Again, Nebraska has more
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: of an advantage in this location in Kansas Kansas City.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: New Mexico maybe looked a little bit better because they
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: lost by twelve, came closer. I would probably lean towards
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: I mean New Mexico. I think they're a little bit
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: down this year from what they have been the last
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: couple of years because they did have Richard Patino, and
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: I think he was Richard Patino was their coach, right,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: and he moved on to to Xavier, I think, so
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. They got a new program there. Mississippi State,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I know they might be a little bit down this
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: year too, but they're still the better team the SEC team.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: They're up from seven to seven and a half here.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean Mississippi State to cover
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: in that one. Not a huge opinion for me though.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: All Right, South Carolina Upstate and West Georgia is kind
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: of a weird one because these teams both played the
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: same opponent in Tennessee Tech, and Western West Georgia went
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: into Tennessee Tech and won as four and a half
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: point underdogs they won outright, whereas South Carolina Upstate just
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: lost at home to that same Tennessee Tech team. So
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: it almost looks too easily. Well, you got to play
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: Western Georgia here, right, because they won on the road
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: against Tennessee Tech, who won on the road at USC Upstate.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: So of course Western Georgia should beat South Carolina Upstate here, right,
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: And while I agree South Carolina Upstate is the lesser
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: of these two teams this year, that's just not the
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: way that it works, man. So I think that's gonna
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: kind of be one of those transitive things that misleads
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: some people into thinking about the game the wrong way.
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: West Georgia is a three and a half point favorite.
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: USC Upstate is still the more established Division I school,
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: though West Georgia pretty new to Division one. West Georgia,
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: I mean they are fairly battle tested, though, I mean
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: they did have to go out to UCLA and to
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: Nebraska earlier this year, so I'm not saying that the
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: worst team. I don't think they are. The osmakers are
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: kind of telling you that the slightly better team. I
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with that, and the more battle tested. The
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: best game for USC Upstate was I guess the road
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: game against Fresno. The Fresnel's not very good either. USC
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: Upstate did win that game, but yeah, I would probably
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: take the points with USC Upstate though, just because of
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: the common opponent thing there that's gonna mislead some people.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at seven pm the Baja mar Tournament in
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: the NASA in the Bahamas in NASA continues with wake
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Forest and Memphis in the loser bracket. Here. Both teams
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: lost yesterday, but both teams played well, so I think
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: this is normally I would want to fade teams after
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: what they just did. Like wake Forest just took Texas
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: Tech to the limit yesterday. Man, Wake Forest, they were
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: in this game like the whole way, very very close
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: game to the wire, nine and a half point underdogs,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech being ranked wake Forest, Yeah, went almost like
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: all the way man with they went all the way
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: sexy with Texas Tech. Texas Tech lost the turnover battle
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of an outlier there, so that
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: was part of the reason that why wake Forest I
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: think was close in the game, but all the other
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: stats were pretty even in the game. Good game for
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: wake Forest and falling just short. I think it is
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: a flat spot coming off that huge performance. So the
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: Memphis normally, I would say they're in a flat spot
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: after what they did yesterday too, because they played pretty
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: well against Purdue yesterday. Memphis covered they were fourteen half underdogs.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: I think I gave out a lean, wasn't a play,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: but I think my opinion was Memphis to cover in
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: that one because they were off that ugly game against
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: UNLV that God doesn't win on the show. Memphis, I
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: mean they were in this game. They were winning the game,
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: like deep into the second half of six and a
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: half minutes left, they had the lead, and then they
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: fell short. Although once they fell behind, you know, the
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: game was a little bit out of reach at the end.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: So Texas Tech went right to the wire. So I
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: do think the spot is a little bit or excuse
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Wake Forests, So I do think the spot's a little
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: bit worse for wake Forest here. They're up from two
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: to two and a half. I would probably take the
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: points with Memphis, but and Memphis looks really ugly at
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: one in three, so it almost looks easy to lay
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: the points with the ACC team wake Forest, even though
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: I know, on the other hand, Memphis has been the
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: bigger name recently because they keep making the tournament in
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: wake Forest hasn't done anything for years. But yeah, overall,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: I think Memphis might be the way to lead in
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: that one. UN see Wilmington and Radford. Radford in Virginia,
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: UN see Wilmington obviously in North Carolina. This is kind
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: of a big game I think for both these teams,
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: and I think Radford's a little bit under the radar.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: They've underperformed quite a bit so far. You would see Wilmington.
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: The one time they got really battle tested was on
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: the road at Kent State and they did not win.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: They played all right, they lost my nine. Kent State
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams than the mac for sure. Radford, though,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: I think they're way under the radar right now because
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: they lost multiple games as big favorites in that tournament
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Coming out of that, they played really
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: poorly again though at South Carolina. That does worry me
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: because I thought Radford would kind of bounce back and
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: put in a more focused performance there, and they got
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: crushed by South Carolina. But I think that means nobody's
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: really gonna want to touch Radford here. I know it
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: looks like kind of an ugly spot because they do
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: have SMU up next and they are coming off the
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: South Carolina game, But when you're on a bad loss
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: streak like that and you just got crushed again, I
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: do think you have reason to show up in your
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: next game. And this is the first time they've been
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: at home since early in the season, where They got
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: two home wins at the very beginning of the season,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: but unimpressive home wins only by five against a bad
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Western Illinois team and against West Virginia Wesleyan, who is
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: a non Division one team. So ment I mean again,
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: I guess you could argue that maybe Radford we just
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: the market just hasn't caught up to them yet, But
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know. To me, I'm in Radford. The way
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: the market has been lying. Radford has underperformed massively this
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: year so far, and I think they would be expected
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: to progress a little bit. Unc Wilmington is the favorite
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: down for four and a half to four. Looks like
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: the money is starting to come in on Radford. You're
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: getting them as an underdog this time too, So I
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: know they got blasted as an underdog last time, but
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: that's the way I would lean towards Radford. All Right,
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: This next game, this is gonna be like one of
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: the ugliest ones that I'm ever gonna have. Man, We're
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: gonna lay the points with Canies just minus three. This
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: is I know how bad this is, and I know
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: you canna get two and a half now actually, so
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: maybe a better number on them now. The money looks
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: like it might come in on them. This game is
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: so ugly that the total is one twenty six. This
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: may be the lowest total on the board, but you're
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: basically just taking Canesi just to win the game. If
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: you want to go money line, you could do that too.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: I think this is a terrible spot for Maryland eestern Shore.
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are awful. Ken bum As Canesius is
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: the worst of the two, I know, but these two
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: teams are both like bottom ten I think in all
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: of college basketball, all of D one. I mean Canesi
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: just I know they were really bad last year. But
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: the spot for Maryland destern Shores is awful. I know
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: they're very battle tested, so that might be a little
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: bit of a worry. Because they played Georgia Tech really
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: close in their open or whichever. We all remember that.
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: And then but then I went against Maryland destern Shore
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: because I thought that was a major outlier where they
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: put in a huge performance and they just got obliterated
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: by Georgia. On the next game, Georgia beat them in
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: embarrassing fashion by sixty five ninety four to twenty nine.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: Maryland destern Shore also had to play at Nebraska at Creighton.
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: They played decently at Nebraska, losing by nineteen, got run
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: out of the building by eight, and losing by thirty nine.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: But now what do they do after that? They played
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: a third straight road game. So look at all this
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: travel they've done, dude, Maryland Dstern Shore. I mean they
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: went down south to start this year or whatever, but
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: then they went to the Midwest and Nebraska to based
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: Nebraska and Creighton. Then they came all the way back
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: east and they went to Longwood, which I believe is
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: in Virginia. And there were huge underdogs in this game,
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point underdogs. And what did Marilyn
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Dstern Shore doing this one? They won the game outright,
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I mean crazy, ridiculous. I know this game might go
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: under the radar for people not realizing that this is
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: a huge opset. I mean, Longwood is one of the
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: better teams in their conference, in the Big South or whatever.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: Longwood had a really bad shooting game, uh twenty four
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: percent from three, really really ugly. Both teams that it's
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: on a turnovers. I know Maryland Eastern Shore lost a
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: turnover battle and won the rebounding battle. So those things
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: do worry me a little bit, but I think this
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: is a bit of an outlier of a game, and
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore was they were winning the game by
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: a lot, like I think Longwood maybe just came out
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: of the gate cold took them for granted, and then
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: long Would had to come back and they were able
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: to but for whatever reason, they weren't able to put
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: it away. But man, that was on Tuesday, double overtime,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: massive upset, and now Maryland Eastern Shore has to do
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: more travel all the way up to Buffalo, which is
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: where Canesius is. I don't like it. Man, fourth straight
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: road game in last eleven days. I don't love it
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: at all. Canesius, I know they're bad. I know they're
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: not battle testing. Their best opponent was probably either Dayton
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: or high Point, I don't know, and they lost both
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: those games badly on the road. Cannes just has one
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: extra day off though they were down at high Point.
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: So both these teams actually traveling back up from the south,
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: high Point a little bit further south. But Canez just
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: coming back home. They're two and zero at home. Although
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: I know they only beat Alleghan, who was not a
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Division one team, and Mercyhurst, who's barely a Division one
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: team and knew to Division one, and Canese just only
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: won that game by three. Yes, I know they suck,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: but Bold these seems suck. The spot's worse for Maryland
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: Eastern Shore. We're gonna lay it with Canes just in
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: that game, Stacks. What's up, man, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah,
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: hopefully my Reid is good on these today. Man, I
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: mean the market is not loving some of these. That
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: one the market might wind up agreeing for Jeffrey. Here
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: we do have this Philadelphia round robin thing going on here.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Penn is going to Drexel. Penn just pulled off a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: nice upset of Saint Joe's. Now they're going out on
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: the road again where they're under they're windless on the road,
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: pennsil Penn is including at American, which where's American? Is
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: that in d C? I don't know, I forget or
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: is that in Philadelphia as well? I don't even know,
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: uh DC, That's what I thought. And then losing to Providence.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna knock them for that big
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: upset over Saint Joe's. They could be in a little
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown. Though, and they haven't played as
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: well the road. Drexel has a bit under the radar
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: right now, as I pointed out in their last game,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: and that was an easy cover. So I think, Jeffrey,
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: I think you had that one. I agreed with it.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: I wish I'd put it on my card because Drexel
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: obliterated nj I T by like thirty points. So both
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna come into this game off of satisfying wins,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: although I think Drexel is a bit more under the radar.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: People are gonna look and see Drexel lost to Saint
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: Joe's or his Penn beat them. That was a bigger
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: I think game for Penn State though, because again that
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: was one of those in State Little Brothers situations where
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: Penn pulled off the upset. So I like Drexel in
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: this game, although the money's coming in against me in
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: this one. What else is new? Fifty tickets eighty four
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Pen Drexel down from five
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: to four. Yeah, I would lean towards Drexel though, all right,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: what else do we have? We have a South del
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Obama and UAB is a very very weird one because
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: southl Obama is six and oh. Record is bad, so
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: I think people are gonna look at this and the
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: spread is crazy, even though I know UAB at least
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: has a name, like the name recognition. They've been in
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: the tournament recently at least southl Obama six and oh
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: and undefeated on the road to UAB three and two,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: So it's like, why is UAB laying six and a
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: half here While the oddsmakers are telling you UAB is
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: the better team, and I agree, South Alabama they face
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: a very easy schedule so far. Their best win was
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: the opener on the road against Toledo. They're coming up
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: another road whenever Jacksonville State, I don't think is that
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: good right now, and that's another Alabama game. Jacksonville State
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: is actually in Alabama, not Jacksonville, Florida. Jacksonville the Dolphins
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: are in Jacksonville, Florida. But South Albama. Yeah, now they
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: gotta go to UA being UAB has faced the more
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. I mean, the face NC State. They beat
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: High Point pretty easily, which is a big win. A
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: lost to Alabama State doesn't look that good. Although Alabama State,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: again they're not horrible. For swack teams. At least UAB
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: got another win in their last game to kind of
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: just give them momentum against a non Division one team.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: I would lean to laying it with UAB, just because
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: the line looks out of control. The problem is that,
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: of course seuth Alabama definitely considers themselves to be a
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: little brother in the state of Alabama against UAB. So
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: that's the issue that I have with it. The money
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: is actually disagreeing with UAB down for May, and I
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: have to six and a half sixty two percent of
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: the tickets fifty five percent of the cash on UAB,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: which is looking like a public side, which surprises me,
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: although I don't know if the public's really looking at
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: these games at all. I think that's another thing. You
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: have to look at these markets here. It's mostly professionals
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: getting involved in these games, so you have to kind
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: of figure out, like, well that what does this ticket
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: percentage and cash percentage really mean? So sometimes fading the
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: market read with these early market percentages is fine because
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: I just don't think that they mean a whole lot
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: early in the morning, like you get a better market
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: read closer game time, which I have to do these things,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: and I do the show in the morning. It is
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: what it is. But I rely on situations, so hopefully
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: the market comes to me in these college basketball games.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would probably lay it just because it
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: looks very strange to I mean, you would think the
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: public would be wanting to take the points with South Alabama,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: an undefeated team, getting points. So I don't know, we'll see.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Jackson State are friends who did not cover for us
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: in their last game against Auburn. Now they're going to
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: play another road game against Arkansas. I've talked about how
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: ridiculous their schedule is. Men, they're very battle tests. They
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: face on the road, Illinois, Louisville, Auburn, Louisiana Tech as well.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: That's not a big school like these other ones are
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: in Arkansas now, So this Jackson State team, they continue
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: to just battle test themselves thoroughly. Obviously, Arkansas is the
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: way better team. Arkansas is coming off a big time scare. Actually,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: in two games in a row, Arkansas had a close
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: call against Samford and then in their last game at
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: home is twenty three and a half away favorites, they
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: almost lost to Winthrop. So you gotta think that, like
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: John cal Perry is gonna like Grill his team after this, man,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: I mean this was crazy. Like Winthrop had the lead
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: in this game by five with two minutes left. I mean,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: that is an absolute scare. I think Arkansas once they
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: started building the lead in the middle of the game,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: they got complacent. They were never able to push the lead,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: extend the lead further. And Winthrop was in this game
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: right until the end. Really really crazy. So you got
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: to think that off of those performances, Arkansas will be
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: more focused here because of that. So I don't want
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: to fade Arkansas here. Winthrop. By the way, we'll face
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: Jackson State coming up soon, so both teams are gonna
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: be off of games against Arkansas. So for our purposes,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: hopefully Jackson State gets blown blown out of the building
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: here by Arkansas, because I would look towards Jackson State
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: in their next game after what Winthrop just did there.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: So and it's gonna be one of those things. People
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at what both teams did against that
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: team and probably undervalue Jackson State. I mean, I doubt
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: Jackson State does as well as Winthrop did there. Winthrop
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: is also better than Jackson State. Arkansas down from thirty
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: to twenty nine and a half here, but I would
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: actually probably lay the points with Arkansas just because I
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: think they've They've been through two scares in a row.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: It's like they got to bounce back from that and
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: play better. The problem is they do play Duke next
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: in Louisville, so yeah, I mean, those are big games,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: so you could argue to look ahead for Arkansas too,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: so you can see why I don't want anything to
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: do with that game. All right, Austin p and Tulsa,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: both these teams are coming off big performances, so I
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: would want to be looking to I'd be looking to
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: fade both of these teams in these spots. Man, Austin PE,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: they just played pretty close against Old Miss. They took
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Old Miss to within seven is twenty and a half
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. It wasn't that close really, but they closed.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: They actually closed the gap and tie the game with
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: six twenty three left, even though they had fallen back
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: down by double digits with a couple of minutes left
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: in the game. But still a big performance from Austin
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: p fifth straight road game looks like a spot where
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: you'd want to fade Austin P. The problem is Tulsa
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: just took their first loss of the season, which can
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: hang you over a little bit. And that was a
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: game where I was Tulsa whispering, man, because I gave
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: out Oral Roberts against them in the game before the
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: last game, and Oral Roberts almost got the outright win
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: for us. They got the cover easily as the little
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: Tulsa brother there. And then off of that, I thought
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: Tulsa would play much better because I thought they were
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: already looking ahead to Kansas State, and they did and
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: they almost upset Kansas State. That was another win for
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: us on the show, Tulsa with the cover, and Tulsa
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: was winning the game almost right at the wire. They're
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: winning by four with like a minute and a half
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: left or something. So Tulsa's in a very bad spot
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: as well here debatably even in a worse spot, and
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: they're laying eight. I mean, I don't want anything to
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: do with it, though I would probably, I mean, I
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, the total drop from one fifty one
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: and a half down to one forty six and a half.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, maybe an over makes sense in
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: that game, because when both teams are in bad spots,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: That's kind of where I start going. But I don't know, man,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: all right, what else did I even want to talk
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: about here? Evansville and Oregon State is kind of a
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: weird one. Oregon State just took their first loss of
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: the season. Sometimes I talk about how that will hang
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: you over into the next game because you're not loose
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: to using yet and it was not used to losing yet.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: It was a step up game for them. Man. They
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: went to their big brother Oregon and they played Okay,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: they lost my twelve. They covered the number, weren't really
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: close to winning the game. But coming off of that
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a bad spot for
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Oregon State. For Evansville. This is also in the Bahamas
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: though by or Virgin Islands. Where is this Virgin Islands?
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, this is one of those Virgin Islands games.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: I forgot about that. So the spot also is worse
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: for Oregon State because they have to travel from the
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: Pacific coasts all the way out to the Caribbean. Man,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: So that's not good either for Evansville. They're in Indiana,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: so they have a little bit less travel here and
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: they're probably in a better situation where they just get
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: to get out of home after losing twice at home,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: they can refocus on basketball. So I actually prefer Evansville
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: in this one for all those reasons. Oregon State's up
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to eight and a half.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Evansville. I'm not
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, though. Next up, I will lay the
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: points with Texas A and M. And I know Texas
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: A and M has been an ugly offensive team. I
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: get it. This year they seem to have a different
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: style though. If you look at what ken Bom has
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: them doing, he's got them eighty seventh and tempo and seventieth.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: He hasn't better offensively than the defensively seventieth in offense.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: So he's got Texas A and M kind of a
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: different style this year, man, so I don't mind that
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: as much. So I think they might be able to
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: actually speed this thing up. They're playing in Manhattan. Manhattan's
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: very bad two eighty eighth in kem BOM's rankings. They
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: do play somewhat of a fast time as well. The
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: more mid tempo ken Bum has them tenth in luck
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: so far, so even though they're three and two, Kenbum
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: is still saying that they're worse than that even looks
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: in their bottom ten basically in kent Obomba defense. So
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: I think that also helps out the fact that we
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: need Texas A and M to cover a large number here.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: They play a little bit faster than we're used to,
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: their offense is actually not as bad as we're used to,
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: and Manhattan's terrible defensively, so that's where we started here.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: Manhattan's also coming back from Hawaii, so the travel spot
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: is not good. Man. I know they've had almost a
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: week to do it, but still they were just out
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: in Hawaii. Yeah, normally i'd say this is gonna be
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: a step up game for them because they're playing an
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: SEC team, so this is actually the biggest opponent they
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: face all year. So normally I would want to look
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points, but in this case, I don't
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: want to with a travel spot like that, And I
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get a lot of focus from Texas
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: A and M off what they did in their last game,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: which is almost losing to Montana on Tuesday and getting
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: the win, and it will still give them a litt
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: little bit of momentum here. They have no travel because
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home less time off. But at seventeen
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs, they got kind of embarrassed in
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: this game. I think they're gonna show up with more
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: focus here. Man and Montana shot fifty six percent from
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: the field, fifty two percent from three, and that's basically
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: the reason why they were in this game. That three
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: point percentage was crazy high. Texas A and M was
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: only thirty percent of though they're not known as a
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: three point shooting team. A and M was good from
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: the field though fifty four percent. They do take a
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: lot of high percentage shots, like they take a lot
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: of two pointers, so they're more of a predictable offense.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: I think they still do that, so that's good. Uh.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: A and M did win the rebound battle and the
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: turnover well, the fact they won the turnover battle is
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: great because they when you win the turnover battle, you
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: shouldn't lose. You shouldn't almost lose like this. Winning the
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: rebounding battle obviously is good because that's something that's more
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: of a predictable stat But Texas A and M, I mean,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: this game wasn't really what it looked like either. Texas
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: A and M was winning this game by like almost
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: twenty points in the middle of the game, including with
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: six minutes left they were winning by sixteen, so and
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: actually winning by nineteen with six and a half. I
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: think they just took their foot off the gas and
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, Montana was right there in
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: the final minute and Texas A and M had to
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: like ward them off. So I think that's gonna refocus
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Here. I like A and M.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay it. That's my one big favorite here.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: They're up from twenty two and after twenty three. That
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: plus the Hawaii travel spot for Manhattan, I don't like it.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: It's an unfamiliar venue for Manhattan as well, going into
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: A and M. We're laying it with A and M.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: All right, that is in College Station, so it is
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: a home game for them. What else do we want
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: to talk about here? I don't know. We're a whole
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: lot of other games. Denver at Colorado State Colorado State.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: Of course, Denver's gonna consider this to be a little brother,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: big brother situation. Colorado State did just go into Loyola
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago and pull off an upset. Loyola Chicago keeps getting
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: respect from the market, even though they don't look very
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: good this year. So Colorado State got that upset win.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home to face Denver, who I
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: don't think they really care about much. And after this
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: they got Virginia Tech and then Colorado. Those are much
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: bigger games. So I could see Colorado State overlooking Denver here,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: whereas Denver they're the little brother here in this state.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a loss at home as actually a
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: favorite against UTSA, so Denver is just staying in the
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: state of Colorado. They do play Arizona next one, I
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna look ahead to that because this
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: is a big game against Colorado State. I would take
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: the points with Denver here. It's not on my car,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: but the money agrees Colorado State down from twenty to
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: eighteen and a half fifty percent of tickets eighty one
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Denver. I just
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's enough of like a letdown spot
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: for Colorado State off of that Loyola game. It is
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: most likely to look ahead spot at the very least, though,
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: But yes, I would take the points there. Samford and
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State. Samford is coming off losing pretty ugly
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: to Florida Gulf Coast. Sanmford was a favorite here at home.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coast played really well against him. But here's
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: the thing, man, I mean, Sanford won the turnover battle
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: and the fact that they lost by fifteen despite winning
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle, that's bad. And they lost the rebound battle,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: so that worries me as well. But they did shoot
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: terribly thirty four percent from the field, twenty seven percent
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: from three Golf Coast was forty four percent from three
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: to three City. I guess now for Florida Golf Coast.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: So Samford is coming off still a game that had
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: a lot of outliers in it, so I think they
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: should bounce back, but they are having to go to
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State and New Mexico. These teams in New
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: Mexico playing like high elevation too, so I do worry
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: about that. Even though Sanford has played a number of
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: road games this year, should be a bit of a
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: bounce back after an ugly performance at home, but the
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: venue kind of worries me. New Mexico State's only played
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: three games so far, but they just played one of
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: their biggest games of the year. They beat New Mexico
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: in an upset. I think they consider them to be
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: their bigger brother, New Mexico because they're the University of
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. New Mexico is a small road favorite in
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: the game. I think three and a half or so,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: so that's a big win for New Mexico. State could
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: set up a bit of a letdown. They're up from
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: seven to eight and a half though, But if I
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it, I would take the points with Samford.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: It's a lower total to one hundred and forty four
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: and a half. But the travel that they have to do,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: the unfamiliarity to the venue, that stuff does worry me.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: So I can't. I can't do it. I mean, I'm
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: gonna stay away. One of their games that I have
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: in mind here, well, we have Georgia and Xavier. I mean,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: this is an interesting one between an SEC team and
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: a big East and this is in that Charleston, South
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: Carolina Arena there at nine pm Eastern spot. I mean,
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: the venue probably helps Georgia because they're closer to it.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: Georgia off to a nice five and oh start, but
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: they haven't really been battle tested at all. Their biggest
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: opponent was Georgia Tech. They barely beat them, although you know,
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech got up for that game. Georgia has just
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: been coasting otherwise, beating bad teams. This is gonna be
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: their first game I think outside of their home venue too,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: which is maybe a little bit worrisome. But they're only
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: having to go to South Carolina, so that's not too bad. Xavier.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: I mean under their new coaching regime there, which you
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: think is Richard Patino there, he is right there, Richard Patina.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: What yeah, inside, I want to kill myself. Not Rick Patino,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: but still his son. We need to get some quotes
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: from him. Xavier. I mean they've had they've been more
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: battle testers because they did face Santa Clara, who's actually
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: pretty good, and Iowa obviously is quite good on the road,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: no less, but Xavier, they look like they're down this year. Man.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what to think about the Xavier team.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: They came off that Iowa loss and they bounced back
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: with a blowout win of Old Dominion. Don't know really
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: what to put into that either. Really. Now they're going
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: down to South Carolina here, we're gonna get up for
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: the game because it is against Georgia. The money is
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: saying to take the points. With Xavier Georgia down for
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to ten, seventy eight percent of
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty three percent of the cash on them.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good read on this one, so
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: I guess I would agree with the market read on
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: that one, with taking the points, but I don't really
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on that one at all. I mean,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: I don't like Xavier this year at all, but they
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: are at least more battle tested. Perhaps the biggest game
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: it's on CBS Sports at nine to thirty pm in
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: the Bahamas. The winners bracket number fifteen Texas Tech and
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: number one Perdue. Big game, man, both these teams, they're
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for it, man, because both these teams
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: had scares, especially Texas Tech with wake Forrest, as I mentioned,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: taking them to the absolute wire there. Texas Tech, you know,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: they they were probably maybe even already looking ahead to Purdue.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, but I don't think they
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: knew absolutely that they're gonna be facing Purdue. But it
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: was pretty likely that we're gonna get Texas Tech and
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: Purdue in this final here because they are the two
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: best teams out of these four. Purdue had a bit
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: of a scare against Memphis as well, so I expect
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: both teams to come into this game focus. Both teams
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: play slow, so I think what you're gonna get is
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: defense in this game. So I think the under does
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: make sense in this one. The totals down from one
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: to fifty six to fifty three and a half. Purdue
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: dropped a little bit from four to three and a half.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, I might actually slightly lean towards taking the
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: points with Texas Tech here, just because they had a
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: bigger scare yesterday. But it's tough. Ken bumb has both
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: teams ranged pretty high, both in the top twenty perdue
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: of course in the top five. He's got both teams
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: actually better offensively than defensively. They both like to play slow,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: as Purdue higher in the Luck Index so far though,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, maybe Texas Tech's being a little
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: bit underrated right now. I mean, I guess I would
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points if you forced an
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: opinion on the side there, But I think the under
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: makes more sense in that game. But we've lost a
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: little bit of value on him and then the winner bracket.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: I believe in the Kansas City tournament that's going on
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: is Kansas State and Nebraska. Both teams are undefeated at
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: five and zero. Kansas State, of course, their best win
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: so far is the one in this tournament yesterday against
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State. Big win. They'll show up again for a
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: game against Nebraska, though, so I mean, I think both
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna show up here. Nebraska had a less
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: impressive win, though I guess I would say against New Mexico.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: I think people will put more weight into Kansas State
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: beating an SEC team, so I think the lead in
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: this game would be towards Nebraska. I actually think Nebraska
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: is the better team, and the oddsmakers agree, as they're
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: up from a one to one and a half point
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: favorite here and what is a neutral site game, even
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: though I guess you could argue it's a little bit
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: better for Kansas State, but ken Bum, I think we'll
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: tell you Nebraska is the better team as well. Let
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: me see, Yeah, Nebraska, he has at fortieth and he
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: has Kansas State forty eighth. I guess both teams fairly
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: fast tempo. Both teams better offensively than deep, so similar
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: styles here, but I will agree with them. What looks
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: like the early market read there slight lean for me
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: towards Nebraska. All right, last college of basketball play, We're
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: gonna lay it with San Jose State. Are Palas who
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: covered for US as an underdog against Michigan State a
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: while back. But this is gonna be a fade of Southern.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: I do not like the spot for Southern at all here. Man.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: Southern just came off a double overtime game on Tuesday
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: at Washington, which I mean, you're gonna get off playing
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: a team that's now in the Big Ten like Washington.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: They're twenty three and a half point underdogs, and Southern
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: gave Washington all they could handle and played them into
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: double overtime. Southern was winning throughout the middle of this
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: game by a decent margin. Washington came all the way back,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: Southern came back again, bouncing back and forth in overtime,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: and then Southern just I think ran out of gas. Yeah,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: and that was the end of it. Washington didn't shoot
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: particularly well twenty nine percent from three. Washington did win
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: the rebound battle, though, so they were basically the better
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: team here. Against Southern and won the turnover battle, but
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: it was very slight. But after that game, I just
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: don't see how Southern gets back up after that in
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: place san Jose State, I just don't see how it happens. Man,
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: even though they don't have anything big up next, that
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: was the game of the year type of thing for
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: Southern man and they fell just short. I know they
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: did face Arkansas Marquette earlier this year, but Washington another
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: one of their bigger opponents. They do face Baylor in
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: Illinois later, but still, that was a huge game for them. Man,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: and for San Jose State, I think they're in a
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: much better spot because they finally got their first win
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: of the season. It was only against Bethesda, who I
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: assume is in Bethesda, Maryland. It had to go all
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: the way up to California, and they're a non Division
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: one team. So I don't think we should be impressed
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: by this win for San Jose State. But they did
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: win very easily, and what that is gonna do is
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: propel San Jose State forward because they finally got their
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: first win. So that's gonna give them momentum now and
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: their games. They didn't start off the season easy man,
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: They've had to play at Utah, at UC Santa Barbara,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: and at Michigan State, and I believe they actually covered
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: all three games. I know they almost covered against Santa Barbara.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: My mistake. They missed by like two points against Santa Barbara.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: They covered the other two numbers, so they actually played
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: well in those games on the road for the most part.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: So the San Jose State team maybe a little bit
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: under the radar, sitting at one and three. They're also
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: undefeated at home, although like I said, it was just
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: against that non D one team. But Southern is also
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: winless on the road, although again, they played all much
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: better opponents than San Jose State on the road, so
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: something has got to give. But I think what's got
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: to give is Southern is gonna be in a bad
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: spot off of that game. I think the money is
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me on this one. San Jose State's up
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: from four to five here. Yeah, I would lay it.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: Even though ken Bumm I think has this number a
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: little bit less than that. I still like it. San
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: Jose State. I know they play slow, so it's a
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: little bit ugly to lay points. We're not laying a
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: ton of points, and he does have them as a
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: pretty efficient offense of team, so that's not bad. He
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: actually does have Southern pretty ranked pretty highly though. I
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: think he actually has them above San Jose State, which
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: I don't love that, but I think we're getting some
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: of them. The number is factoring in the spot and
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: the venue as well, though, but I still think I
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: just like the spot. I still think it's not being
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: totally accounted for her. To be honest. He does have
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: Southern as a fast tempo team too, so San Jose
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: State is gonna probably be able to frustrate them by
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: slowing the game way down. And Southern is not a
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: very good offense. So even though normally, yeah, getting getting
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: points with the better depfense, which is Southern usually the
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: way you want to look, but not in this spot
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. Man, uh so that's the last play
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: for me. I don't think I have a whole lot
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: to say about the rest of these games. So, I mean,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: the late night the bailout special games here are not
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: very interesting at all. UCLA is playing late against Presbyterian,
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: who's making the rounds out there against all these California teams.
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: But whatever, All right, let's go to NHL. This is
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: such a long show, dude, I still have to finish this.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: Get the stuff up, get my Instagram video up for
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: the early game here all right, hockey, we don't have
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: a whole lot. I don't love the board at all,
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: so this is gonna be quick, hopefully A Chicago at Buffalo.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: Chicago took a loss yesterday to Seattle, but now they're
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, having to travel to Buffalo
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: for one game, which is very weird, Like did they
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: really get up for a game against Buffalo? Where up
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: next they gotta play Colorado on Sunday. I just don't
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: really see it. Man on a back to back with
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: travel like this against an opponent that's got an ugly
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: record that I don't think is really gonna dry your focus.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: I'll kind of lean to Buffalo in this one. It's
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: not that strong. Although Buffalo did just get obliterated at
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: home by Calgary. But remember Buffalo was off losing to Edmonton,
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: so or excuse me, beating edmundon five to one, what
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: am I saying? Beating Detroit the game before that, and
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: they beat Edmonton in a return home spot was a
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: huge win for Buffalo, so you expected a bit of
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: a bad performance out of them after the Edmonton game. Also,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at the fact that Chicago just
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: beat Calgary twice and Buffalo just lost to Calgary in
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: their most recent game six to two. So people are
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: gonna do that transitive thing. Dude, Am I talking to
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: myself into a Buffalo play here? I might be. I mean,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean it doesn't look great. I
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: mean I think I'll stay off of it. But it's close.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's coming in in Chicago, which
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: I don't understand. Maybe it'll change, But because I know
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: the market reads that I give out yesterday, two of
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: those three change. The only one that wound up on
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: my side was the one that won Ottawa and we
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: refinally beat the docks. Buffalo is up for minus one
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: eighty to minus one eighty one. That's the oddsmaker's telling
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: you something too, though, like how could you possibly have
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: this Buffalo team? It's seven nine to four laying a
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: huge favorite price against a ten to six and four
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago team. The oddsmakers are still telling you Chicago's not
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: this good. So something to keep in mind there, Buffalo
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: is better at home six' four and. Two chicago's been
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: mediocre on the road five three and. TWO i still
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: Like buffalo in this. One obviously fifty nine percent of
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: tickets though On buffalo sixty four percent of cash coming
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: back in On, CHICAGO i would Play, BUFFALO i, mean
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: because of the. Price if you want to do, it
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: you got to go Either buffalo And, regulational though that
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: seems dangerous because both these teams have gone into overtime
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: a lot or a decent. Amount you could do like
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: the lay your own minus one puck line as, well
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: and then if they win by, one you know they'll
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: push for. You so something like that is WHAT i
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: would do in this. Game Poster, knocker you're gonna play his.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: PROP i don't know about the do. FACTOR i just
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: don't really think is a. Thing but if he hasn't
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: scored a goal in a, while maybe there is a
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: little bit of value on him scoring a. Goal BUT
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: i also don't like that prop in, general BECAUSE i
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: think you never get good enough odds on like an
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: anytime goals, scorer kind of like in anytime touchdown, score
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: because will love to play those and root for a
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: particular guy to. Score SO i don't know but, yeah
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: that spot doesn't look good For, chicago So buffalo would
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: be my lean in that. One minnesota At. Pittsburgh minnesota's
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: coming off a nice win at, home Beating carolina and,
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: overtime after Beating vegas and overtime the game before. That
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: they are going on on the road to start a road.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: Trip SO i know USUALLY i talk about how starting
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: a road trip you are, focused BUT i think really
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused after Beating vegas And carolina and. Overtime
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i Know pittsburgh has a winning, record BUT
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: i think it looks like a letdown spot for. Me
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: and The minnesota Is winnipeg after. This In, winnipeg that's
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: a bigger game for them BECAUSE i think they're in
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: the same. Division pittsburgh's not even in the same. Conference.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: Now the only ISSUE i have With pittsburgh. HERE i
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: like The pittsburgh, side BUT i have two issues with. It,
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: well one is a good. Thing pittsburgh just broke a
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: lost streak with a win On, sunday so they're gonna
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: have some new found. Momentum the problem is they're coming
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: back From. Sweden, man So, pittsburgh those games were big
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: in and now with all that travel coming back From
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: sweden could be kind of a little bit of A
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: it's a spot that these teams are not very used
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: to doing coming back all the way from across the.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: Ocean SO i don't, know, MAN i can't quite get
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: there with that With, pittsburgh BUT i would slightly lean that. Way,
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: yeah And, PITTSBURGH i still don't think they're anywhere near
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: as good as their record. Looks that's the other PROBLEM
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: i have with. It pittsburgh also looks, public even though
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: they flip from plus one end to minus one twenty
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: two on the money line. HERE i don't know what
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: caused that. Move because we see sixty seven percent of
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: the tickets and only fifty percent of the cash On
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh's they look like a public. Side BUT i, mean
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: my opinion would be to lean Towards, pittsburgh but, AGAIN
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: i don't want to do it when they're coming back
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: From sweden And. NASHVILLE i think we'll be in that spot,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: tomorrow And pittsburgh has to play again tomorrow. Too the
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: Huge saturday. Board, dude my work is gonna be awful
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: like tomorrow IF i have to do all the college
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: basketball tomorrow, morning WHICH i THINK i will BECAUSE i
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: have to do the football show. TONIGHT i don't really
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: want to do back to back shows. Tonight So carolina
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: is At. Winnipeg this is a big. Game this is
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: a nice. Game carolina coming off losing on the road To.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: MINNESOTA i guess maybe you could debate they're gonna be
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: in a bit of a bounce back. SPOT i kind
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: of expect them to show up Because winnipeg's generally been pretty.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: GOOD i Expect winnipeg to show up, too, though because
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: we Know carolina is one of the best teams in.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: Hockey winnipeg return home from a long road trip and
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: they still got the win Against. Columbus now they've had some,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: rest they will Have Hello book back in. Net he
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: was not in net for that, game so in a
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: bad spot with their backup, goalie they still Beat. Columbus.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: Ridiculous columbus might have been in a bad spot in
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: that one, too, though BECAUSE i don't THINK i gave
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: that out as a. Play, Yeah columbus had Beaten. MONTREAL
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: i don't know they were starting a road trip, though
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: so that looked like one of those ones Where i'd
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: be Considering columbus, Though But winnipeg got the job. Done
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: they're staying at. Home they're gonna show up for a
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: game Against, carolina, THOUGH i, mean it is a big,
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: deal even Though winnipeg does have that game Against minnesota up,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: next which is a divisional, GAME i, guess But minnesota
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: they already did beat them on the, road, which by the,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: way that's another reason THAT i think maybe you would
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: want to look Against minnesota is that they lost at
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: home To winnipeg in their last game and that's their next.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: Opponent but, anyway this, game it's difficult to gauge WHAT
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: i think about this. Game carolina is up from minus
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: one twenty five to minus one forty. Five though they're
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: actually an anti public road favorite, Here winnipeg is one
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: of the. Rare you don't see these a lot of.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: THEM i know we've seen a few, recently But. WINNIPEG i,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: mean we've seen them mostly with The Anaheim. Ducks But
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: winnipeg is a public home underdog right, now which usually
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: you want to fade those. Teams sixty two percent of,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty one percent of the cash On. Winnipeg
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: So i'll agree with the market in this one because
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: they don't really have a strong read on this. One Probably,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: carolina like money line would be the way to look
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: at that, game but not a strong. Opinion Sidney crosby
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: tear up The. Olympics Winter olympics are coming? Up is that.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: True i'm not a fan Of Sidney. Crosby i'll never have.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't. KNOW i think he's a. DOUCHE i
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: don't like The Pittsburgh. Penguins not a, fan not a
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: fan at. All all, right and then My Boston bruins
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: are at The La. Kings bruins they were on a
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: nice hot streak for a, while but now they're kind
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: of coming back down to. Earth all they lost to
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: some pretty good, Teams carolina And. Anaheim bruins played well
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: in that game Against, anaheim, though SO i don't know
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna be able to bounce back again after.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: THAT i, mean that was a close. Game it was
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: tied late in the game after The bruins came. Back
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: it was a game where they Had Corpus salo and net,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: though So bruins better Goalie. Swayman we'll be back in
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: net for this, ONE i. Assume so that's at least
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: somewhat of an advantage for The, bruins but kind of
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: a tough spot to bounce back from that. Game and
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: la they're in a bad spot. Though. Man they were
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: turning over from a road. Trip and the thing, is it's.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: WEIRD i talked about this yes because they played. Yesterday
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: they were turned back to The pacific coast, yesterday but
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: they were in Northern california to Play San, jose and
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: they lost the game To San jose With forresburg and
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Net probably they were Saving kemper for this game on
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: the back to, back so we'll have both teams better
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: goalies in Net, Here. Kings that was an ugly loss
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: though At San. Jose maybe that kind of function like
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: the return home, spot But i'm not really sure that it,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: did because they were way up in Northern, california so
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: they still were not at, home you know WHAT i,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: Mean so they still have to come back and like
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: return to family life and. Whatever now they're on a
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: back to. BACK i don't, know, MAN i think the
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: spot is worse FOR la, here even though both teams
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: were already in the in The pacific time. Zone plus The,
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: BRUINS i, mean, yeah they're on a back to back
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: with The bruins were just In, anaheim so they literally
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: just have to travel up the road To. La so
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: the travel spot is a lot better for The. Bruins
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: So i'll lean to The bruins in this. One you're
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: getting a huge underdog price if you want. IT la
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: up for minus once seventy five to the mint is
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: one ninety. Four for some, reason money looks like it's On.
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: Boston fifty four percent of, tickets ninety five percent of
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: the cash on The. Bruins. YEAH i, mean IF i
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: was gonna play, IT i would probably make a plus
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: one puck line or something to take The bruins. There
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: that's probably WHAT i would. Do USUALLY i will actually
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: come in and fade the team that's in the return home,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: spot LIKE la is. There BUT i don't, know, man
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: it's just the fact that they already acclimated back to
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: The pacific times when The bruins did have a big,
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: game which was last night as. Well, right The bruins
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: on a back to, BACK i believe so? Right, no,
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: WAIT la is on a back to. Back The bruins
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: didn't play. Yesterday oh, oh, MAN i do like The
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: bruins in that. Game should we do? It? Man and
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: What's LA's home, record because they actually haven't been good
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: at home this, year, Right, yeah they're only one four
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: and two at, home they only have one win at.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: Home bruins have been not great on the, road but
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: four six and. ZERO i mean The, kings they're, like
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: they're like the should we take advantage of? This The
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: kings are like The, rangers The rangers of The. West
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: basically Which rangers should be out west of The Texas
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: rangers makes way more. Sense what the fuck are The
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: New York? Rangers? Like where did they get that? NAME
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: i don't even know where that name came from. Anyway,
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean The. Kings they play so much better
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: on the road than at. Home it's. Crazy and they're
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: laying this price in a spot like, this WHICH i,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: KNOW i think the public is probably gonna expect The
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: kings to bounce back after you, know they had that
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: ugly loss To San jose last. Night but you know,
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: what let's do. It let's take The. Bruins hopefully they
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: don't let me down. Here we can get a pretty
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: good price on this. Too you, know, ME i left
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: taking these underdogs THAT i think are in better. Spots
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: Bruins i'm gonna do a split bet on this. ONE
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: i think if you want to go straight up money
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: line like plus one sixty five or, whatever you can do.
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: That i'll figure out the money in a little. Bit
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: but this is gonna be minus one fifty is the
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: price on the, spread and then the money line is
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: plus one sixty. Five it looks like so all, Right
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: i'm just making a note of. That all, Right SO
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: i will add The, bruins so ONE nhl play, Here,
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: Boston i'll split. Bet hopefully we don't get screwed on
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: what DID i? Say it was minus one fifty plus
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: one sixty. Five i'll updated in the description IF i
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: fucked that. Up but there it, is all, Right boston split.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: Beat there you. Go that's the. Play. There let's GET
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: nba done BECAUSE i gotta get this whole thing, done
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: and then we do have college football. TOO, nba like
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: half of the games is a day are double digit.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: SPREADS i JUST i really don't like, it, MAN i do,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: not even THOUGH i Know i've given out some double
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: digit spread plays in THE nba so far with mixed.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: Results and of course pregame is not letting me switch
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: to THE nba board all, right first game up Is
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: indiana At. CLEVELAND i mean this. GAME i, mean of,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: Course cleveland's gonna be a huge, favorite you. KNOW i
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: mean they're coming off a DECENT i mean they're coming
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: off a couple of games against big. Opponents let's say
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: they Beat milwaukee and then they lost at home To
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: houston by, ten WHICH i called. THAT i THINK i
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: didn't give it out as a, play BUT i MENTIONED
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: i Liked houston in that. Game i'm pretty. Sure Now
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: cleveland's coming off all. That, now the question is are
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: they gonna be in any sort of hangover spot? Here
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: are they gonna be focused On? Indiana AND i guess
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: the other question is Because cleveland's had a lot of
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: personnel in and out of the, Lineup Jared allen And
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: Darris garland are both game time. Decisions that's somebody to
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: keep in. Mind take a look and see what their injuries,
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: are as you always have to pretty much with THE.
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: Nba alan has a finger. ISSUE i MEAN i would
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: kind of expect him to, play And garland is a toe.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: ISSUE i, mean come, on how long can you be
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: out with a toe? Issue? Really, Anyway, indiana this is
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: AN Nba cup. Game, too which AGAIN i totally ignore
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: that BECAUSE i don't. Care indiana is still Without nestsmith.
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: Here most of their other guys are, back except of
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: course they don't Have haliburton and they don't Have. Top
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: and now For, indiana sure they're gonna get up for
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: a game Against, cleveland you. KNOW i, Mean indiana's gonna
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: try to focus in every. Game they're coming off a second.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: Win they just broke another long lost, streak the longest
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: lot losing streak of the season for. Them they broke
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: it with a win Over, charlotte so that's probably a good.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: Thing Then i'll actually have some momentum coming into this
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: game Against. Cleveland the problem, is this is playoff revenge
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: man For. Cleveland so that might be the one reason
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: Why cleveland gets up for this, game because we Know.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: Cleveland they had a bunch of injuries in the playoffs
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: last year In indiana knocked them out of the, playoffs
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: and this is the first Time cleveland has faced them since,
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: then SO i think that is a big. DEAL i
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: Think cleveland does have this game circled for that. Reason
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: now the money is coming in against The, calves WHICH
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: i understand BECAUSE i don't want to lay fourteen with
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: The calves either ninety three percent of the tickets ninety
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on. Them they're unbelievably public
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: up from thirteen to. FOURTEEN i would still probably actually
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with The pacers BECAUSE i
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: think the spot sets up better for, Them but it
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: is that revenge spot For, cleveland, Man so definitely something
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind. There brooklyn is going is coming
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: into My Boston celtics after The celtics just Obliterated brooklyn
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: In brooklyn On tuesday one hundred and thirteen to ninety.
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: Nine so you could argue this to be a bit
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: of a zig zag spot. Here The celtics ARE i
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: think an eleven and a half point favorite in that.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Game now in this game they're, fifteen which is about,
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i guess based on what they were in that other.
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: GAME i kind of think it's a zigzag. SPOT i,
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: mean The celtics they had an easy win in that,
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: game and you, know when when things are, working you
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: just don't focus like this is also so Classic celtics
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: Under Joe mizzoula, too and they just beat a team really.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: EASILY a lot of. Times The celtics don't show up
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: for the next, game so that might be the case
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: here back at, home they might think they'll have an
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: easy time of it, Again celtics do a bigger games
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: up next, man they Have, Orlando, detroit In, Minnesota, cleveland The.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: Knicks so, YEAH i mean to, me it looks like
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for The celtics pretty, much AND
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: i Expect brooklyn to try to fix some things after that.
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: Loss you, know they're gonna be focused because they just
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: got killed at home by The celtics team and now
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: they're going out on the road to face. Them SO
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: i lean To brooklyn in this. One the money is
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: saying to lay it with The. Celtics it doesn't even make.
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: Sense how could The nets possibly be a public side
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets only fifty percent of the
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: cash on. THEM i don't like. IT i would take
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: the fifteen points With brooklyn in that. ONE i do
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: think it's a look ahead spot for The celtics in
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: addition to the zig zag. Spot not gonna quite be
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: able to get there with that when the market red
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: looks strange to. Me but that's those are my. Thoughts
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: then we have another double digit spread here In washington And. Toronto,
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: unbelievable how many double digit spreads there. Are Man, washington
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: they have the worst record in basketball because they lost To.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn actually, yeah both these. TEAMS i Know brooklyn has
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: two wins, now, yeah So brooklyn And indiana both the two.
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: Wins washington has. One washington coming of another loss At.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: Minnesota but you, KNOW i mean they're gonna at least,
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: TRY i think in these, games because when you're just
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: losing every, game you still gotta you show, up you
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: play for. Pride you, know you're playing against a really
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: Hot toronto. Team it's been maybe too Hot toronto coming
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: off a nice win Over philadelphia the other, night WHICH
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: i THINK i got that game correct as, well not
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: as a play but as a. Leam toronto coming back
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: from that maybe a little bit of a letdown. Spot
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: but they only Play brooklyn, next SO i don't know
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: if it's a you, know it's not a sandwich. Spot,
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: REALLY i would slightly lean to taking the points in
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: this game, too BUT i don't want any. Part The
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: raptors are fourteen point favorite with juice now ninety two
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets ninety three percent of the cash On,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: toronto but they're, very very. Public miami At, chicago as
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: we pointed, out this is a pretty big game For
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: chicago in that it's playoff revenge Because miami is the
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: team that Eliminated chicago from the play in last. Year
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: now From, miami they could be in a letdown spot,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: too because they did just beat The knicks and Then
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: Golden state blowing Out Golden state at. Home big game from.
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: Them now they're going on the. ROAD i usually talk
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: about how going out on the road usually you usually
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: do focus in your first road, game, though but maybe
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a letdown spot off of
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: that big winn Against Golden. State With chicago not playing well.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: Recently miami Plays philly. NEXT i don't know if they
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: will look ahead to that or. NOT i think the
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: game does mean more To, chicago, uh Because miami eliminated
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: them from the. Playoffs the PROBLEM i have With chicago
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: is they're returning over from a road, trip SO i
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: just don't THINK i could get there with. It, man
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: they've been on the road Since, Wednesday november. Twelve they
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: went out Into elevation and then all the way out
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: to The Pacific. Coast now they're returning home from. That
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't be unfocused because they have very weak opponents
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: for the next four. Games so out of all those,
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: games this is the game that matters the, most especially
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: because they just playoff. Revenge BUT i just can't bring
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: myself to get on a team it's returning over from
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: a road. Trip, MAN i can't do, it even though
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: the money is saying to do. It seventy seven percent
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: of the tickets only seventy three percent of the cash
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: on the. Heat the total is crazy high at two
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: point fifty The bulls down from three to two and
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: a half, Here but the money is The heat are very, public,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: man so the money is definitely saying to fade the
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: public here with less of the cash on The. Heat.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: Now the only other question is these heat injuries, Here,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: like what's going on with the injury situation for the
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: heat we? Got so The heat Have wiggins is listed
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: is out And HEROES i guess kind of the other
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: main guy who's, out but that means out Of bio's.
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: BACK i think he already came, back. Right let me,
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: see was out Of bio in their last? Game let me, See,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: yes he was so this is not a reverse injured
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: player spot because a lot of times when that star comes,
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: BACK i want to look to fade that. Team if
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: he was coming back in this, ONE i might actually
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: decide to actually maybe give out a play on The.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: Bulls hero is not coming back, yet he's still. Out so,
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: yeah it's a stay, away But i'll slightly lean to The.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: Bulls but that return home spot just it worries. Me.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: Man New orleans At. Dallas this is an awful. GAME i,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: MEAN i think Maybe zi on his back For New,
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: orleans although he's never back for that. Long it Seems
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: New orleans played decently Against denver On, wednesday coming to within.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: Seven Patrick queen Or Derek, Queen, Right Patrick, QUEEN i
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: think he's in THE. Nfl Derrek queen From, MARYLAND i
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: think is his name. There he's starting to play pretty
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: well For New. Orleans, Man So New orleans had a
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: good game Against, denver and now think the single road
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: trip Today dallas coming off a few really big games
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: in a row Against La Golden. State, okay See. Denver
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: he has to step down in class For New. Orleans
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: but they also might just not pay attention in this.
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't. Know dallas is coming off of a big
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: game too, though at home against The. Knicks dallas almost
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: pulled off the, upset And brunson did play in that.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: Game brunson was back for The, knicks which maybe that
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: threw a wrench into The knicks lineup, though because their
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: star player came. BACK i don't, know But dallas took
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: them to the. Wire so now we're looking at two
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: teams that are both in bad. Spots dallas is up
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: from three and a half to, four seventy eight percent
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty six percent of the cash, money indicating On.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: DALLAS i just DON'T i don't have a strong field
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: for this game at. ALL i mean the market read for,
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: now Says. DALLAS i don't know WHAT i would want
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: to do with this, game definitely leaving it. Alone minnesota At. Phoenix,
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: now one thing THAT i found interesting About, minnesota even though,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: yeah they're a good, team but if you look at their,
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: schedule they're ten to five their own five against teams winning. Records,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: dude they lost to The lakers, Twice, denver The knicks
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: And denver twice, actually and those are the only games
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: that they've played all. Year against teams with winning, records
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: and they lost all, five So minnesota's faced a really easy. Schedule,
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: now of course they're Facing, phoenix who does have a winning,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: record so definitely something to keep in. Mind although this
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: is the start of a road trip For, minnesota teams
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: will focus typically on the start of a road. Trip
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: minnesota coming off easy wins to end their home stand
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: Against dallas And, washington so the spot isn't bad For.
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: Minnesota For, phoenix they're coming back from winning In, portland
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: coming back. Home it was only a single game road. Trip,
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: though you, KNOW i think it's a fine, like it's
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: not a horrible spot for. THEM i still think they
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: will show up Against. Minnesota looks Like phoenix has turned
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: into a very public road underdog though eighty percent of the,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: tickets only seventy six percent of the. Cash and you,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: KNOW i warned against. That these public road underdogs, here
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: they're not not SOMETHING i want to really have anything
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: to do. With i'm gonna look to fade them. TYPICALLY
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: i Mean i'll either fade them or leave it. Alone,
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: basically t wolves are up from four to four with.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: Juice it's just can you really lay four on the
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: road with the Tee. WOLVES i know the spot's better for.
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: Them the money is saying to do, it you, know
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: like playing an anti public road favorite is usually. Good
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: BUT i can't right. NOW i can't get over the
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: fact that the Tea wolves are own five against teams
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: with winning. Records it's just, weird. Man so they just
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: have not stepped up well in. Class SO i worry about.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: It so it'll be a stay away for. Now T
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: wolves have been good on the road five and. Two
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: this is one of these STUPID Nba cup. Games phoenix
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: is six and two at. Home they've been good at.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: Home we'll see man and then we do Have denver At.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: Houston this is another big Game. Denver both these teams
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: have been really. Good denver eleven and, Three houston eleven and.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: TWO i Think denver is the better, team, though you,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: Know houston is still kind of the newcomer. Here denver coming.
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: On you, know a very lackluster game against The pelicans
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: in their last. GAME i think Did jokic not play
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: in this game because he's not on the stat sheet.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: THERE i don't, Know, no he. Did he just got
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: outstatted in the. Game But denver's coming up that. Game
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a great game for them At New. Orleans
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: now they Got. HOUSTON i Think denver will step up
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: for this game Because houston's been playing. Well, HOUSTON i,
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: mean they're gonna show up as, well but they're they're
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: returning home off of Beating, cleveland which was a nice
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: road win For, houston WHICH i THINK i got that
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: game correct as a lean as. Well With houston winning that.
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: Game Now houston's coming back home from that spot sets
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better For denver in my, opinion
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: Because houston is gonna have to put in a max
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: effort two games in a. Row denver's coming off a lackluster,
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: effort SO i think they're gonna be more. Focused rockets
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: are down from three to two and a half, here
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: they're very public eighty four percent of, tickets only fifty
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: two percent of the, cash so the money is saying
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: to take the points with The Denver, nuggets who are
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: the more established team as being one of the better,
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: teams even Though houston is also really. GOOD i, mean right,
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: NOW i actually Think, okay, See denver And houston are
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: the best three teams in THE, nba and they're all
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: in The. West so that's crazy to think, about BUT
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: i think that might be the. Case so, yeah just
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: another thing to keep in mind. THERE i would lean
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: to taking the points With. Denver Oklahoma city is At.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: Utah this is another double digit spread, game because of
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: course it. IS okac only has one, loss WHICH i
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: give out as a, lean BUT i did not play
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: it At. Portland okay se coming of another easy blowout
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: win Against. Sacramento now they have to go into elevation
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: though for a single game Against, utah but not really
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: anything on the. HORIZON i, mean they Got, portland then
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: they have AN espn game Against. MINNESOTA i, mean it
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a very out of focus spot FOR,
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: okac SO i don't want anything to do with. It
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: they're probably still laying way too many points for a road,
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: team though The jazz have actually played pretty decently despite you,
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: know Losing. Kessler nurkic just stepped in nicely and The
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: jazz have been all. Right they just lost IN la
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: in a blowout against The. Lakers now they're coming back
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: over from that only a single game road, trip though
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: you know they'll come out coming in with some. Focus
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: For okay see at the very least ok, see is
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: of course very public eighty percent of, tickets only seventy
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash up from fourteen to sixteen
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: and a. Half, HERE i do think it's too many.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: Points so IF i was gonna play, IT i would
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: fade the public. There SO i would actually take the
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: underdog in every one of these games with the double digit.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: Spreads But i'm not really interested in. It the game
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: That i'm interested in is taking the points of The
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: portland Trail. Blazers we're going With portland, again, MAN i
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: mean The portland has been good to. ME i think
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: we won on them as they got that cover at the.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: End they were you know that game Against chicago that
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: was their most recent, game AND i know it was
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: a back and forth. Game it was a pretty big
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: game For. PORTLAND i get, It. PORTLAND i mean this
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: was this game was all over the. Place did as
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: you can see, Here portland off to a really nice
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: start in the. Game they fell behind by a huge.
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: Margin once we got into the third. Quarter they were, losing,
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: yeah by like, Eighteen, no they were losing by twenty
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: one with nine minutes, ago and they came all the way,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: back took the, lead AND i thought they were gonna
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: get the outright winning and they fell just. Short but
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: it was against The, bulls you, know kind of a mediocre,
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: team you. GOT i Think portland's gonna be showing up
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: for a game Against Golden. STATE i mean It's Golden,
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: state all, Right So, PORTLAND i know they're coming off
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: a big, effort but now they're starting a road. TRIP
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: i know it's a third game in four, DAYS i get.
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: It but the previous tour at home and they lost
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: both games on the home. STAND i know it's been
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: a packed schedule for them, too but going out of
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: the road is a good, thing, man because you're losing at,
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: home you get to start the road trip. Refocus and
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: the problem With Golden, state you know what this, Is
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: Golden state's returning home from a road, TRIP a long
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: road trip they've been on Since, Tuesday november, eleventh where
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: they went TO, okc down Into, Texas New, orleans then
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: all the way down Into, Florida orlando And. Miami and
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: now they're coming all the way back and they're playing
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: a third game in four to. As so it's not
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: like the rest spot is really any better for. Them
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: and they're doing it in all different cities returning back.
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: HOME i think it's a bad, spot even THOUGH i
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: know they Have utah, next but after that they do Of.
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: HOUSTON i would like it better if This HOUSTON espn
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: game was immediately. Next but and that game is gonna
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: be bigger For, HOUSTON i think because they Think Golden
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: state Knocks houston out of the play did not, wait
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: Did Golden state Knock houston out of the? Playoffs was
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: it the other way? AROUND i don't. Know i'll talk
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: about it when we get to. It but it's a bad. Spot.
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: Man we have a team returning home from a long
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: road trip against the team starting a road. Trip you,
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: know that's always gonna get my. Interests and The warriors
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: are a very public. Side ninety two percent of, tickets
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: only eighty percent of the. Cash warriors up to an
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: eight point favorite almost, here seven and a. Half, yeah
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take the points of The Portland trailblazers. Year
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: and that's the ONLY nba play for me. Today all,
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: Right college football and then we'll get out of. HERE
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: espn eight PM acc matchup Between Florida state and N C.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: State both these, TEAMS i, mean what they have left
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: to play for Is bowl, eligibility WHICH i think means
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: more To Florida state because we Know Florida state had
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: That Florida state first of. All two seasons, ago they
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: were in a huge bowl and their entire team, left
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: so they basically didn't even participate in the. BOWL i
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: think their backups played and got wrecked By georgia. Embarrassingly
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: then last, Year Florida state had a horrible. Season it
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: didn't even make a. Bowl SO i think For Florida,
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: state making a bowl does. Matter SO i think it
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: is a big. Deal so they're gonna be looking to
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: try to win this, game even though, yes they do
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: Have florida, next AND i know that's a big. Rivalry
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: they Consider florida to be their bigger. Brother that is
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: a huge. Game but it's more likely That Florida state's
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to win this game AGAINST Nc state
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: if they want to Become bowl, eligible AND i do
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: think that is a goal for, Them SO i do
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up. Here they're coming on an
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: easy win Over Virginia tech. Whatever, yes there is that
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: potential look, ahead BUT i don't know that that's gonna.
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: Happen they're on a short week playing On they played On.
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: Saturday both teams, did THOUGH Nc state got wrecked By.
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: Miami that was one of my plays On, saturday AND
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: i think it's explainable BECAUSE Nc state had Beaten Georgia.
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: Tech they were the only team to Beat Georgia, tech
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: a huge win for Ency, state and they went into a.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: BYE i thought they were gonna be really bad coming
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: out of that buy because they went into the bye
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: on such a high and they came out really flat In,
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: miami just totally annihilated The miami still with something to
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: play for, too potentially trying to get into the. Playoffs
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: so that was my handicap in that. One we got
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: a nice easy win With miami laying the double digits.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: There so, yes it could be a bounced back spot
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: FOR Ensis. State they do Up North carolina next and
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: that's of course a big rivalry as. Well next week
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: is Rivalry. Week is that a look? Ahead? THOUGH i don't.
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: KNOW i Mean Florida state hosting AN espn game here
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: On friday, night you know they. Haven't they actually have
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: not hosted a primetime GAME i think Since, Thursday august twenty,
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: eighth and that was Against, carolina which was a GAME
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: i lost on this show way back. THEN i gave
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: up laying the points of THE Nc state because it
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: Was bowl revenge and it looked like they were gonna
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: get there at various points and they. Didn't they wanted didn't.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: Cover but, yeah for this, ONE i, mean just because
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: it is prime time and you KNOW Nc, STATE i
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: guess they still would like to Get bowl. ELIGIBLE i,
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: mean that still is one of their, goals even though
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: it seems like they're always in A, bowl but they
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: did lose A bowl last. Year, YEAH i MEAN i
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: see reason for both teams to show. UP i MEAN
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: i kind of see more of a reason For Florida state,
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: Though and the money is coming Into Florida state AND
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: Nc state is again it's, rare but we've seen like
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: three of them. Today a public home underdog IN Nc.
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: State it's sixty percent of, tickets only fifty four percent
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: of the. CASH i would agree with laying the points
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: Of Florida. STATE i Think Florida state a little bit
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: under the radar here man the fact that these teams
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: have very similar, records But Florida state is laying points
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: on the road should definitely tell you. Something the oddsmakers
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: are telling you what to think in this, game AND
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: i think the motivation is there and getting to a
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: bowl means more To Florida. State SO i would lay
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: the points With Florida. STATE i was gonna do. It
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: i'm not really jumping out of my seat to lay
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: points with them as a road. FAVORITE i don't love,
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: it BUT i think that's the WAY i would lean
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: IF i played that. Game. Yeah, so and again it's
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: a very misleading spread where the public is just, like
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: oh my, God i'm getting points with the team at
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: the same record with AN Nc state team that Beat Georgia.
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: Tech it looks way too easy to take those. Points
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: and then we Have HAWAII unlv in the night game
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: ten to thirty Pm eastern On Fox Sports. One both
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: these teams could still make Them Mountain West. Championships so
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: for that, REASON i do think both teams will show up.
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: Focus BUT i do think it's a pretty difficult spot
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: For HAWAII. Unlv oh my, god AM i gonna lean TO,
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: unlv even THOUGH i think they're a, fraud basically very
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: overrated in this. SPOT i THINK i do either' off
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: from two and a half to three they are a
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: little bit. PUBLIC i guess fifty six percent of, tickets
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the cash coming back in On.
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: Hawaii BUT i don't want anything to do With hawaii, here,
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: MAN i mean both. Teams, yes they can get into
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: The Mountain West. Championship hawaii needs a lot of help,
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: though which AGAIN i know when teams need, help you,
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: know when they play out the. Stretch there are reasons
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: for them to still show. Op this is a primetime,
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: game But hawaii's having to travel over to the mainland From.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: Hawaii they do have a bye to do, it but
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: they went into that buy in a really high. Note
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: they Destroyed San Diego. State, DUDE i Think San Diego
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: state was looking ahead to their game Against, boising which
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: was a huge. Game but that was a huge upset
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: win For. Hawaii San Diego state, also you, know having
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: to fly out To, hawaii it just it looked like
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: a weird. SPOT i gave Out hawaii as a lean
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: in that. One the money seemed to disagree with me
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: in that, game BUT i think sob our friend got
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: to win on that. One good for. HIM i MEAN
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: i did agree with. IT i liked. It didn't make
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: my card that. Week but Now hawaii going into the
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: bye off of that massive win Over San Diego, STATE
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: i think it's a bad spot for. Them, man coming
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: out of that, BY i think that buy might hurt
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: their momentum a little. BIT i KNOW unlv doesn't have
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: as much rest because they played On saturday and played double,
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: Overtime SO i do worry about the rest scenario FOR.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: Unlv they did win Against Utah. State they have an
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: easier path to make the to make The Mountain West championship,
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: though and they're staying at, home so that is definitely
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: better IF. Unlv that game last week was at, home
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: and so was this. Game and it's their final home,
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 1: game so It's Senior night FOR, unlv so you know
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: that means a little bit. More and you're hosting it in,
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: Primetime SO i do expect motivation FROM unlv. Here and of,
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: COURSE i mean they could potentially make This Mountain West. Championship,
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: Man SO i Mean San Diego state's probably gonna be
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: in it because they're one loss in. Conference they have
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: the inside. Track fresno is really not that, Good SO
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: i don't, know, MAN i See fresno potentially maybe getting
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: bounced out of. That and then you, KNOW i still
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: THINK Unlv, BOISE i still think it's. THERE i, mean,
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: boys he could definitely still get into. It SO i
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: do Think. Boises, oh The bois lost their. QUARTERBACK i,
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't, know, Man And i'm just not that
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: impressed With New mexico And fresno so AND. UNLV i, mean,
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: YEAH i call them fraud on all the. TIME i
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: still think they're, okay but whatever in this, spot, YEAH
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: i THINK unlv would be my lean in the, game
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: but it's not a strong. Opinion and that's it for. Today,
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: Man two hours. Show first game is kicking off in
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: a half. Hour let's get it. Done let's get some.
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: Wins college, basketball we Have yale minus the, Points wisconsin
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: plus the, points App state minus the, Points canesius minus the,
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: Points TEXAS a AND m minus the. Points San Jose
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: state minus the. POINTS i, know it's a lot of.
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: Favorites so that's just the way that it turned. Out
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: and then in THE nba there's an underdog for, You
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: portland and in The portland plus the, points and THEN
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: nhl split Bet. Bruins make your own puck line there
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: with The. Bruins that's gonna do. It learn a tone On,
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 1: twitter learn a tone On. Instagram, YEAH i mean, like
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. Here it all helps me. Out
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: listen on an, audio give me a good review On, Spotify.
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: Apple that all helps me. Out covered in yuke my
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube And patreon dot. Com learn to
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: toad and you can get bonus u content Of spotify
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: feed and, requests WHICH i KNOW i gotta pay more
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: attention to. IT i apologize to the. Supporters thank, You.
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: CHARLES i do appreciate. It that's gonna do it for.
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: Now i'll be back tonight at the very least with
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: The College Football show for the final full weekend of
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: college football Full, saturday because next Week's Rivalry, week SO
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: i might still do A friday night show For Rivalry,
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: week but it's less intense there are fewer games that.
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: Week so that's gonna do. It thanks guys for hanging,
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: out And i'll be back. TONIGHT i guess peace for,
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: now