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Bad Idea #35 "THIS is the Future" with David Wallace Wells

Welcome to season three of Saving The World From BAD IDEAS

Bad Idea #35: ‘THIS is the Future’ Why Forecasts Fail – with David Wallace-Wells

In the season three opener of Saving the World from Bad Ideas, Mark Lynas sits down with David Wallace-Wells, New York Times columnist and author of The Uninhabitable Earth, to tackle a deceptively simple bad idea: the belief that we can predict the future with confidence.

David explains how even sophisticated models can be wildly sensitive to small assumptions, drawing on examples from climate economics and the pandemic era, when many expert forecasts…

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