Latest / The Hugh Hewitt Show: Highly Concentrated / Operation Epic Fury: A Progress Report
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things
- 0:03Speaker 1: hillsdalet Hillsdale dot ed or I encourage you to take
- 0:06Speaker 1: advantage of the many free online courses there and of
- 0:08Speaker 1: course a listener to the Hillsdale Dialogues, all of them
- 0:11Speaker 1: at Hugh for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, Apple,
- 0:14Speaker 1: iTunes and Hillsdale. Welcome back and medon hughes Hewett joined
- 0:21Speaker 1: by United States Senator Tom Cotton. He is a Republican
- 0:25Speaker 1: from Arkansas. I when it's primary easily last week. He
- 0:28Speaker 1: is also the chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee and
- 0:31Speaker 1: chair of the House Republican Conference. Senator, thank you for
- 0:34Speaker 1: joining us. Before you were a senator, you were a congressman.
- 0:37Speaker 1: Before you were a congressman, you were a soldier. He
- 0:39Speaker 1: is fought in iraqiught in Afghanistan, and you served with
- 0:42Speaker 1: the Old Guard at Arlington. So the seven US Army
- 0:45Speaker 1: soldiers who've been killed in this combat have I'm sure
- 0:49Speaker 1: near and dear to you. What do you assess the
- 0:52Speaker 1: war as? How is it going? Given the casualties we've
- 0:55Speaker 1: had and expect.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Oh, Hugh and and I join all our kansons and
- 1:02Speaker 2: grieving for those seven heroes who were killed and wishing
- 1:06Speaker 2: our best condolences and sending prayers to their families.
- 1:11Speaker 3: But they have not died in vain.
- 1:14Speaker 4: This is an.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Absolutely vital and necessary war against a revolutionary terror supporting
- 1:22Speaker 2: country that's been killing Americans for forty seven years, to
- 1:27Speaker 2: include maiming and killing thousands of other soldiers who served
- 1:31Speaker 2: in Afghanistan back in the same time.
- 1:34Speaker 5: I did so.
- 1:37Speaker 2: We always grieved the loss of our heroes on the battlefield,
- 1:41Speaker 2: but this war was vitally necessary, and so far our
- 1:45Speaker 2: brave and skillful troops have been met with smashing success.
- 1:49Speaker 2: You saw the briefing that Admiral Cooper dave last week
- 1:51Speaker 2: that gave you the best information you can know about
- 1:54Speaker 2: the successes so far, which is Iranian raids of fire
- 1:57Speaker 2: have collapsed from the first days of the conflict. That
- 2:00Speaker 2: means we've been extraordinarily successful in destroying their missiles, their drones,
- 2:05Speaker 2: and their launchers, which was one of the very top
- 2:08Speaker 2: objectives in this campaign. Obviously, he continues will continue to
- 2:11Speaker 2: target those forces, their navy, their communications, the regime thugs
- 2:17Speaker 2: like the Seas militias, the Cuds force, the Revolutionary Guard
- 2:20Speaker 2: core that spread and foments revolutionary violence and terror and
- 2:24Speaker 2: oppress their own people. There's still more work to be done,
- 2:27Speaker 2: But a week and a half in, I don't think
- 2:30Speaker 2: it could be going better for our brave and skillful troops.
- 2:33Speaker 1: Sarah cottin ten days in. We also now have a
- 2:36Speaker 1: new Supreme leader. How many two point zero or at
- 2:38Speaker 1: least half of how many two point zero is said
- 2:41Speaker 1: that he had been seriously wounded in the attacks thus far.
- 2:44Speaker 1: That is a break with Homini, the founder of the
- 2:47Speaker 1: regime's theology. The fanatics said we should not have hereditary
- 2:51Speaker 1: succession for Supreme leader. I think that causes stresses inside
- 2:55Speaker 1: of the regime.
- 2:57Speaker 2: Yeah, you hear, You're right about that. There's always been
- 2:59Speaker 2: always in the official position that the Supreme leader role
- 3:02Speaker 2: should not be hereditariat be selected by the so called
- 3:05Speaker 2: assembly of experts, who are having tough time assembling right
- 3:08Speaker 2: now in peace and quiet thanks to the United States
- 3:11Speaker 2: and Israel. But I can't help but imagine it does
- 3:14Speaker 2: cause some internal dissension and rivalry within the ranks of
- 3:18Speaker 2: the senior leaders of Iran who oppose out on ideological
- 3:22Speaker 2: grounds or perhaps on personal grounds. And that about you
- 3:25Speaker 2: right now, I don't care how radical and fanatical. And
- 3:27Speaker 2: I tell a lie I was, I'm not sure i'd
- 3:29Speaker 2: want that job title. Well, the US and Iran is
- 3:32Speaker 2: still owning the skies above Iran.
- 3:35Speaker 1: Another the Admiral gave and update on the sinkings last
- 3:38Speaker 1: week that is now out of date because another one
- 3:40Speaker 1: occurred today or two occurred today. Open Source Center. Do
- 3:44Speaker 1: we know anything about their underwater navy? That had five
- 3:47Speaker 1: regular submarines diesels, at least one of which has been sunk,
- 3:51Speaker 1: But they had a lot of submersibles and things like that.
- 3:54Speaker 1: I know we have pH flying out there. What do
- 3:56Speaker 1: you think about that? What can you tell us about that?
- 4:00Speaker 2: Yeah, they do have sizeable naval forces. Now they're what
- 4:04Speaker 2: you and I and most Americans might call more of
- 4:05Speaker 2: a coastguard. A lot of these ships, to include some
- 4:08Speaker 2: of those submersible as you mentioned, are smaller. Some of
- 4:11Speaker 2: them are autonomous. They're not designed to be on the
- 4:13Speaker 2: blue blue water seas, to design for the Persian Gulf
- 4:16Speaker 2: and the Straight of Four Moves, And it's one of
- 4:20Speaker 2: our objectives as well, to think their entire navy. It's
- 4:23Speaker 2: not as urgent objective because they can't project They usually
- 4:26Speaker 2: can't project power against our bases or against our friends
- 4:29Speaker 2: in the Middle East. That's why the missiles and the
- 4:31Speaker 2: drones and the launchers were the first objective, because we
- 4:34Speaker 2: needed to take those out to protect our troops and
- 4:36Speaker 2: to protect our friends in the region. But in the end,
- 4:40Speaker 2: I expect to see Iron's navy at the bottom of
- 4:42Speaker 2: the ocean, so they can't continue to threaten shipping fubustraight
- 4:46Speaker 2: of for Moose.
- 4:47Speaker 1: All right now, Sarah, I want to turn to funding
- 4:49Speaker 1: the combat. It's been expensive, It's going to continue to
- 4:52Speaker 1: be expensive. We had a big plus up in the
- 4:55Speaker 1: defense build, but we need more. And I was asked
- 4:57Speaker 1: by Brian Kilmead last night, what about its elemental I
- 5:00Speaker 1: don't think it gets sixty votes, given that the Democrats
- 5:02Speaker 1: are turning into part of the appeasement, could a second
- 5:05Speaker 1: reconciliation that focused narrowly on the Department of War actually
- 5:10Speaker 1: make it through the House and the Senate always possible?
- 5:14Speaker 2: With you, I wouldn't necessarily rule out a supplemental bill,
- 5:17Speaker 2: although you're right the Democrats amazingly at a time when
- 5:22Speaker 2: no one else in the world is supporting a rime,
- 5:25Speaker 2: not even their former quasi allies like guitar or Oman
- 5:29Speaker 2: or Turkey. The one group left it supporting a rime
- 5:33Speaker 2: in this conflict and rooting for their success. SMS to
- 5:36Speaker 2: be the Democratic Party. But there's no question that after
- 5:39Speaker 2: this war concludes ns operas a Trump statement today that
- 5:43Speaker 2: it may include sooner rather than later, because they're even
- 5:46Speaker 2: ahead of their timetables. There's going to be need to
- 5:50Speaker 2: be some kind of additional defense spending, especially to replace
- 5:53Speaker 2: the very expensive, very high end long range stand on
- 6:00Speaker 2: munitions that we used in the first twenty four to
- 6:02Speaker 2: seventy two hours, things like Patriot and fat missile defense interceptors,
- 6:07Speaker 2: prison missiles, Tomahawk missiles and such things. We need that
- 6:10Speaker 2: not just because of this conflict, but we've always needed
- 6:14Speaker 2: a lot more of it because of the conflict in
- 6:15Speaker 2: Ukraine and the ter China from going for the jug
- 6:18Speaker 2: dealer in Taiwan.
- 6:20Speaker 1: Let me ask you about Cuba center, since it's been
- 6:23Speaker 1: a light with fires and revolt in the last few days,
- 6:26Speaker 1: what do you think is our plan for our island's neighbor.
- 6:33Speaker 2: Sorry, you're breaking up a little bit.
- 6:34Speaker 1: What do you think is the plan for Cuba, which
- 6:37Speaker 1: has had revolution in the streets in the last few nights.
- 6:41Speaker 2: What did Doesident Trump say about it last week? Voluntary
- 6:43Speaker 2: transfer or along those lines easal handover look, Cuba has
- 6:49Speaker 2: never been able to support itself since the Castro Revolution.
- 6:53Speaker 2: For around thirty years, they had supportive Soviet Russia. Soviet
- 6:58Speaker 2: Russia provided them financial ACoM support, They provided the shock
- 7:01Speaker 2: troops for communist insurgencies in Latin America and Africa. They
- 7:05Speaker 2: were on the ropes in the nineteen nineties up to
- 7:07Speaker 2: the collapse of the Soviet Union. But then Hugo shaves
- 7:10Speaker 2: through my lifeline in the late nineteen nineties and ever since,
- 7:14Speaker 2: Venezuela has been propping up the cast Grow regime. In return,
- 7:17Speaker 2: they provided security to the Chavistas in Venezuela, although that
- 7:22Speaker 2: security proved not to be very helpful during the Maduro
- 7:25Speaker 2: raid when a lot of Cubans were up dead. On
- 7:27Speaker 2: the objective, I think without that support from Venezuela, Cubans
- 7:31Speaker 2: government and really to its entire economy just seizes up
- 7:35Speaker 2: in a matter of minds, And I think that's what
- 7:38Speaker 2: the President is talking about, like literally, they can't survive
- 7:41Speaker 2: without that support from Venezuela. So I would imagine that
- 7:45Speaker 2: there are people in Havannah right now, imagine thinking of
- 7:50Speaker 2: themselves as the Velz Rodriguez of Cuba, or wondering if
- 7:54Speaker 2: they can get one way tickets look to join Bachelor
- 7:57Speaker 2: Alasade Costcoal.
- 7:58Speaker 1: I agree. Last question, Colleague Mark Wayne Mullen. I got
- 8:01Speaker 1: to fly on Thursday. I gotta fly on Saturday. We
- 8:04Speaker 1: need DHS up and running. Does he have the votes?
- 8:07Speaker 1: How quickly can he get confirmed?
- 8:11Speaker 2: I assume that's going to be a priority, I think
- 8:12Speaker 2: for the Senate, Hugh. The President said that Secretary No
- 8:17Speaker 2: would stay in the job until March thirty. First, that's
- 8:19Speaker 2: just about the time that will break to be back
- 8:22Speaker 2: home with our people during Easter. So I would imagine
- 8:27Speaker 2: the administration is working over time to get all of
- 8:30Speaker 2: Mark Wayne's papers lined up and up to the Home
- 8:34Speaker 2: on Security Government Fairs Committee, and we'll do everything we
- 8:37Speaker 2: can to profess his nomination expeditiously.
- 8:40Speaker 1: Senator Tom Cotton, No, it's good to talk to you
- 8:41Speaker 1: and get all the info. I appreciate it very much.
- 8:49Speaker 1: Welcome back in America. I'm Hugh Hewett, joined now by
- 8:51Speaker 1: Fox News' own Lucas Tomlinson. He is in the war,
- 8:54Speaker 1: He's in Dubai, Lucas, what is the day like today?
- 8:58Speaker 1: Has the UAE can you had to come under attack
- 9:01Speaker 1: from Iran.
- 9:02Speaker 6: It's been a little quiet in the past twenty four hours, Hue.
- 9:05Speaker 6: That doesn't mean it's been quiet since this war in
- 9:07Speaker 6: Iran began. In fact, Ua has been the main target
- 9:10Speaker 6: for Iran. Iran has fired over fourteen hundred drones at
- 9:14Speaker 6: this country about the size of South Carolina, and has
- 9:17Speaker 6: launched over.
- 9:17Speaker 7: Two hundred and fifty ballistic missiles.
- 9:19Speaker 6: The good news, the Amuradis are intercepting all of Iran's
- 9:23Speaker 6: projectiles to the extent of over ninety two percent have
- 9:27Speaker 6: been shot down. But it has come at a cost,
- 9:28Speaker 6: and it came at a cost. Today an Amaradi helicopter
- 9:32Speaker 6: crashed while intercepting a drone, likely an Apache gunship, because
- 9:36Speaker 6: two soldiers were named as being killed in the crash.
- 9:41Speaker 6: So that is something that Iran promised that if there
- 9:44Speaker 6: would be a war, they would start a regional one.
- 9:47Speaker 6: And what's happened is here in the Gulf States is
- 9:50Speaker 6: every country has come under attack from Iran, but there
- 9:53Speaker 6: the air defense has been very strong this far.
- 9:56Speaker 1: Lucas, Iran fired a missile at Turkey today, Air one
- 10:00Speaker 1: the president of that country express dismay. But that is
- 10:04Speaker 1: an Article five issue, is that it doesn't the rest
- 10:06Speaker 1: of NATO have to come in now.
- 10:08Speaker 6: It sure is if Turkey were to invoke Article five,
- 10:11Speaker 6: and of course goes to a bit of a bureaucratic process, Hugh.
- 10:15Speaker 7: But you're right.
- 10:17Speaker 6: The Turkey is a NATO member and they were attacked,
- 10:20Speaker 6: and they certainly can it's within their right to invoke
- 10:23Speaker 6: Article five. But if you're relying on the British forces,
- 10:25Speaker 6: as you've seen, could be waiting for a little while
- 10:28Speaker 6: because they only have a few service combatants ready to deploy.
- 10:32Speaker 6: In fact, one of their destroyers top twenty three destroyers,
- 10:35Speaker 6: which is only good for air defense. Right now the
- 10:37Speaker 6: Royal Navy, Nelson's rolling over in his grave. We only
- 10:40Speaker 6: have about ten service combatants that they can muster, and
- 10:44Speaker 6: all their destroyers and frigates are only for air defense,
- 10:47Speaker 6: which would come in handy of course in this war,
- 10:49Speaker 6: but cannot fire long range cruise missiles. You see Prime
- 10:51Speaker 6: Minister Kure Starmer there. We heard President Trump say that
- 10:55Speaker 6: he's no Churchill. But the French are deploying their aircraft
- 10:58Speaker 6: carrier to the eastern Mediterranean, which will be strategic because
- 11:02Speaker 6: the Ford aircraft carrier Strike Group has been moved over
- 11:04Speaker 6: the weekend from the Eastern Mediterranean transit of the Suez
- 11:08Speaker 6: Canal is now in the Red Sea in case the
- 11:10Speaker 6: Huthies would get involved. That brings two aircraft carrier strike
- 11:13Speaker 6: groups to this part of the world's the Arabian Peninsula.
- 11:16Speaker 1: So Lukas, one of the people in Dubai tell you
- 11:20Speaker 1: about this war. Are they glad they're finally coming to
- 11:22Speaker 1: blows or is it? Are they still too worried about
- 11:25Speaker 1: the fact that the Islamic Republic has gone Yosemite sam
- 11:29Speaker 1: on everyone.
- 11:30Speaker 6: They're not happy things have come to blows to you.
- 11:32Speaker 6: But officials I've spoken to says this is an attack
- 11:35Speaker 6: on Dubai's way of life, the UAE's way of life.
- 11:38Speaker 6: This is a very open society. Here is one of
- 11:40Speaker 6: the wealthiest cities in the world. In fact, right behind
- 11:43Speaker 6: me you can see the Burgh Khalifa. That's the tallest
- 11:46Speaker 6: building in the world, one hundred and sixty three floors.
- 11:51Speaker 6: Most of the people here, we've seen that Dubai Malas
- 11:53Speaker 6: is behind me as well, are carrying on.
- 11:55Speaker 7: But this is also a hub of tourism and right.
- 11:58Speaker 6: Now the hotels are taking a beating, if not physically
- 12:01Speaker 6: from a couple of those drones.
- 12:03Speaker 7: Really an ox been seeing, Hugh.
- 12:05Speaker 6: The hotel some of the hotels have gone from about
- 12:07Speaker 6: sixty percent occupan seed down to thirty percent. Some hotels
- 12:10Speaker 6: we've heard about have gone down to one percent. And
- 12:12Speaker 6: these are hotels that are normally matched out you know,
- 12:15Speaker 6: ninety eight ninety nine percent. So the people we've talked
- 12:18Speaker 6: to you on the street, if you were walking along,
- 12:20Speaker 6: you wouldn't always think you're you're in war right now
- 12:23Speaker 6: or in the conflict in the crosshairs of Iran.
- 12:25Speaker 7: Again, that meant those stats once again.
- 12:27Speaker 6: Iran has fired over fourteen hundred drones of this country,
- 12:30Speaker 6: over two hundred and fifty blisting missiles. Most have been intercepted,
- 12:33Speaker 6: you hear, I've heard some of those intercepts this morning.
- 12:36Speaker 6: But for the government, they also think there's an attack
- 12:38Speaker 6: on their way of life. It's also proximity, Hugh. At
- 12:41Speaker 6: the closest point, the ua is only forty five miles
- 12:43Speaker 6: from Iran, and as you've seen with the thousands of
- 12:46Speaker 6: drones that have been launched, UAE is a big target.
- 12:49Speaker 6: Of course, the signer of the Abraham accords from President
- 12:52Speaker 6: Trump's first term. Iranian say they're attacking any country where
- 12:57Speaker 6: there are American bases. Of course, you have Aldafra Air
- 12:59Speaker 6: Base for as we kept our fast movers, our fighter jets,
- 13:02Speaker 6: but no strikes against Iran have been launched from the UA.
- 13:05Speaker 6: Of course, all that was moved, and we are seeing
- 13:07Speaker 6: some traffic moving in the region. A lot of US
- 13:09Speaker 6: Air Force tankers are leaving Saudi Arabia after those oil.
- 13:12Speaker 7: Fields came under attack.
- 13:13Speaker 6: You can't talk about the Gulf States right now and
- 13:15Speaker 6: not talk about the price of oil, which at one
- 13:17Speaker 6: point went over one hundred dollars a barrel. That was
- 13:20Speaker 6: a fifty sixty percent rise over pre war prices. The
- 13:23Speaker 6: Suez can have this season, with the straight of Hornor Moves,
- 13:25Speaker 6: has effectively been closed. The Iranians are not mining it,
- 13:28Speaker 6: but they have threatened any vessel to go through. We
- 13:30Speaker 6: heard from the Energy Secretary Chris Right who said he
- 13:32Speaker 6: would like to see US Navy begin escort missions. That's
- 13:36Speaker 6: gonna be very dangerous.
- 13:37Speaker 8: I was.
- 13:37Speaker 7: You can see you right there in the map, Hew.
- 13:39Speaker 6: You know, as closest point, you're only a few miles
- 13:41Speaker 6: from Iranian shores of any kind of Iranian ANPTI ship.
- 13:45Speaker 7: Cruise missile or some of those drones.
- 13:47Speaker 6: You wouldn't have very long to react, So very dangerous undertaking.
- 13:51Speaker 1: So Lucas. Before the war began, I was told by
- 13:54Speaker 1: Iranian navy experts that they had five submarines. I know
- 13:57Speaker 1: they've lost one. They also have a lot of many.
- 14:00Speaker 1: Have you talked to anyone about the threat to our
- 14:03Speaker 1: navy from these underwater vehicles and underwater drums from Iran?
- 14:07Speaker 7: It's something they're looking for you.
- 14:09Speaker 6: In fact, remember when you have the Lincoln Strike Group,
- 14:12Speaker 6: but we don't talk about as much as there's always
- 14:14Speaker 6: a fast attack submarine in the strike group, and of
- 14:17Speaker 6: course Ford will be bringing one as well, so it.
- 14:20Speaker 7: Is a threat they're looking at.
- 14:21Speaker 6: However, we have heard from the Pentagon, from the Secretary
- 14:24Speaker 6: of Warped egg st there that over forty ships have
- 14:27Speaker 6: been taken out, and it seems that that's a very
- 14:30Speaker 6: strategic move to try to free up the straight or
- 14:32Speaker 6: horror moves.
- 14:33Speaker 1: Now.
- 14:33Speaker 7: One thing to consider also cute.
- 14:35Speaker 6: China gets forty percent of our oil from tankers that
- 14:38Speaker 6: pass through the straight or form moves, So you have
- 14:41Speaker 6: to think, while straight is closed right now, at some point,
- 14:46Speaker 6: China will want that reopened and get some of the oil,
- 14:49Speaker 6: in fact, to many countries in Asian, in fact throughout
- 14:51Speaker 6: the world.
- 14:52Speaker 1: So Lukas last question when you leave Dubai, are you
- 14:55Speaker 1: going to go to Cuba or to Israel or where
- 14:57Speaker 1: are you going to go next? Because there's like a
- 14:59Speaker 1: war everywhere.
- 15:00Speaker 6: Right I go where orders you would? Cuba would be
- 15:03Speaker 6: fascinating right now. It certainly seems like a lot is
- 15:05Speaker 6: happening in twenty twenty six.
- 15:07Speaker 7: It's very busy, very noisy.
- 15:09Speaker 1: Luc and thank you for joining me. Everyone follow him
- 15:11Speaker 1: at Lucas Fox News on ex Lucas Fox News on
- 15:15Speaker 1: x sank Welcome back to America. Just talking about the album Thriller.
- 15:21Speaker 1: It is thrilling, sort of to live in Israel every day,
- 15:24Speaker 1: under attack from the north, from Hesblah, under attack from
- 15:27Speaker 1: Iran at intermittent times throughout the night. Nothing yet from mamma.
- 15:31Speaker 1: I'm joined by a former Israeli ambassador to the United States,
- 15:33Speaker 1: doctor Michael Oran. Well played on CNN, Doctor Oran, when
- 15:37Speaker 1: you corrected the anchor, Oh, by the way, we're under
- 15:40Speaker 1: attack here, I thought that was well played.
- 15:45Speaker 9: They had a seven minute item you about Lebanon all
- 15:49Speaker 9: the destruction that we are waking on Lebanon without mentioning one,
- 15:53Speaker 9: not one of the two hundred and twenty missiles that
- 15:54Speaker 9: they had fired at Israel up to that point. They
- 15:56Speaker 9: fired a lot more today, and it's just it's rotten journalism.
- 16:01Speaker 9: It's basically propaganda, and I wasn't gonna let him get
- 16:03Speaker 9: away with it. It's enough and it's extraordinary. I was
- 16:07Speaker 9: talking in the American news today. Nobody knows what's going
- 16:09Speaker 9: up on North. We're under constant fire from the North.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Let's talk Lebanon first. I have seen open source discussions
- 16:17Speaker 1: that maybe has Belah wants to say no Moss or
- 16:20Speaker 1: maybe Lebanon wants to formally agree with Israel to exterminate
- 16:24Speaker 1: as Belah. What is the situation diplomatically about the northern Front.
- 16:30Speaker 9: Well, it's not quite true that what the message was
- 16:32Speaker 9: tonight that the Lebanese government communicated to Israel through the
- 16:36Speaker 9: United States that they're interested in having ministerial level peace
- 16:39Speaker 9: talks on Cyprus, and that there were actually elements Stace
- 16:44Speaker 9: that educated, there were elements in his beloved say that
- 16:46Speaker 9: they were on board with this.
- 16:47Speaker 5: They wanted to get a.
- 16:48Speaker 9: Ceasefire and the response to the Trump administration was terrific.
- 16:51Speaker 9: Was Listen, you promised to dismantle his brother's arms to
- 16:57Speaker 9: take to to disarm them. Excuse me, and you have
- 16:59Speaker 9: them done it, and they're just going to get have
- 17:01Speaker 9: now a ceasefire. We're going to go back to the
- 17:03Speaker 9: status quo ante that's not that's a no go. So
- 17:07Speaker 9: you start making concrete steps to fulfilling your commitment to
- 17:11Speaker 9: disarm his bulla and we'll talk about it.
- 17:14Speaker 5: And I thought that was an excellent response.
- 17:15Speaker 1: All right, now, let's go to the news. Generally, you
- 17:18Speaker 1: know that there's been a showage spill in the Potomac.
- 17:21Speaker 1: They're not calling it the poo too, Mac because it's
- 17:23Speaker 1: so bad. That's like my feed. I can't tell what's
- 17:26Speaker 1: real and what's not real. I'm looking for hard facts
- 17:29Speaker 1: about how the war is going. How do you think
- 17:31Speaker 1: the war is going based on hard facts?
- 17:35Speaker 9: You want the hard facts. Hamas and Iran a pretty
- 17:39Speaker 9: much the same. In order to win, they have only
- 17:42Speaker 9: not to lose, and they don't care how many ships
- 17:44Speaker 9: they lose. They don't care how many leaders they get assassinated.
- 17:47Speaker 9: They're just as long as they can come out of
- 17:48Speaker 9: the bubble. At the end and go like this, then
- 17:50Speaker 9: they wont and.
- 17:51Speaker 5: So yeah, we've got to this. We are in maybe
- 17:54Speaker 5: just the beginning stages of this. That's me the war
- 17:56Speaker 5: is going to go on indefinitely.
- 17:57Speaker 9: It just means there's going to be a very intense
- 17:59Speaker 9: beginning of the war and then we'll keep it the
- 18:01Speaker 9: pressure on Iran by having a very tight naval blockde
- 18:04Speaker 9: not an oil drop of oil gets out of there.
- 18:07Speaker 9: And you know, Americans, you know, we understand here. The
- 18:09Speaker 9: Americans have the scars of every rack in Afghanistan and
- 18:11Speaker 9: these so called endless wars. But a much better example
- 18:14Speaker 9: would be the Cold War, which took decades and America
- 18:18Speaker 9: kept up the pressure on the Soviet block and eventually
- 18:21Speaker 9: that block fell. And this maybe happened the case here
- 18:23Speaker 9: because we met barring a upheaval, you know, a domestic
- 18:28Speaker 9: revolt or a type of coup within the Iranian leadership itself.
- 18:34Speaker 5: We're in the army. This could go on for a
- 18:36Speaker 5: very long time because they don't care.
- 18:38Speaker 9: All they care about is that they don't lose, and
- 18:41Speaker 9: it can come out of the rubble and make the
- 18:42Speaker 9: v side well.
- 18:43Speaker 1: But now Israel's navy, Israel's navy last night took out
- 18:48Speaker 1: five Iranians of the Koods Force in Beirut, reminding us
- 18:52Speaker 1: that not only does Israel have a navy, so does Iran.
- 18:55Speaker 1: Now we've sunk that. We being in the United States,
- 18:57Speaker 1: have sunk a lot of their navy, but they have
- 19:00Speaker 1: five submarines at the start, at least one has been sunk,
- 19:03Speaker 1: and a lot of mini subs. Will any hard reporting
- 19:06Speaker 1: in Israel about the naval threat underwater from Iran?
- 19:11Speaker 5: None whatsoever?
- 19:12Speaker 9: Zero, Not even about the reports about what the Israeli
- 19:15Speaker 9: navy has done.
- 19:15Speaker 5: They're keeping that under close wrap.
- 19:17Speaker 9: Okay, And I imagine there are many types of military
- 19:20Speaker 9: activities that are going on that we don't know about,
- 19:22Speaker 9: and we shouldn't know about.
- 19:23Speaker 1: One of the things I have been making a point
- 19:25Speaker 1: to say, you said, this could go on a long time.
- 19:28Speaker 1: I just don't want people to think it's going to
- 19:29Speaker 1: be less than two months or three months, because it's
- 19:32Speaker 1: an air war, it's not a ground war. There is
- 19:34Speaker 1: no march to Tehran. There's not going to be a
- 19:36Speaker 1: ground and occurring. Do you think that is a fairly
- 19:40Speaker 1: realistic minimum time set? Two to three months?
- 19:45Speaker 9: It's realistic, and I'm a little bit more optimistic in
- 19:48Speaker 9: you that once we eliminate the Iran's ability to launch
- 19:52Speaker 9: missiles at US at our neighbors, then Iran is basically
- 19:57Speaker 9: that kind of sitting duck. And you can maintain a
- 20:00Speaker 9: much lower level of air activity, but keep up the
- 20:04Speaker 9: naval blockade, keep the pressure on, and eventually they'll break.
- 20:07Speaker 9: And again, the model is not Iraq, it's not Afghanist,
- 20:11Speaker 9: and the model is the Cold War.
- 20:12Speaker 1: Now, Ambassador, and we are on how many two point zero?
- 20:16Speaker 1: We may be on half of how many two point
- 20:19Speaker 1: zero given some of the reports that he's been badly injured.
- 20:22Speaker 1: Does Israel have a checklist that they'll just keep going
- 20:24Speaker 1: down and the assets in place to find and eliminate
- 20:28Speaker 1: all of the Iranian leadership?
- 20:31Speaker 9: Well, depends on who the leadership is and what their
- 20:32Speaker 9: positions are. You know, if mister Mushtaba KHMANI were to
- 20:36Speaker 9: come up and say, okay, I'm willing to you know,
- 20:38Speaker 9: toss on the towel and I'm going to give up
- 20:40Speaker 9: the nuclear dream, I'm going to give up the production
- 20:42Speaker 9: of ballistic missiles, and I'm gonna stop supporting terror around
- 20:45Speaker 9: the world.
- 20:45Speaker 5: Okay, you know, he could be a leap there every ron.
- 20:48Speaker 9: But if he's going to have the exact same policies
- 20:50Speaker 9: as his father and of the founding of the Islamber
- 20:53Speaker 9: Republic Homanne, then then his longevity should be should be
- 20:56Speaker 9: very very short lived.
- 20:59Speaker 1: Do you think it's significant Hamini, the founder, was against
- 21:03Speaker 1: hereditary succession. He thought it was un Islamic, very very
- 21:07Speaker 1: very verbal about that. Does it matter in the propaganda
- 21:11Speaker 1: war that they've basically crowned a king and passed it
- 21:14Speaker 1: on to the prince.
- 21:17Speaker 9: Well, it matters internally domestically, and it has to do
- 21:20Speaker 9: with his legitimacy. So tonight we're treated to these pictures
- 21:22Speaker 9: of you know, tens of thousands of supporters of the
- 21:25Speaker 9: regime going out and you know, chanting a lock bar
- 21:27Speaker 9: and chanting, you know, for swearing fealty to the new
- 21:31Speaker 9: Supreme leader. Of the question is what other Iranians think
- 21:35Speaker 9: and does this chip away further at what little legitimacy
- 21:40Speaker 9: this regime still had.
- 21:42Speaker 1: Last question, Israel Advocacy Group, what you've founded has got
- 21:45Speaker 1: to be busier than ever. Do people understand the depth
- 21:48Speaker 1: of the integration of the US and Israeli military operations?
- 21:53Speaker 9: They do not, And I will tell you at a
- 21:56Speaker 9: personal level, at an historical level, you know, the United
- 21:58Speaker 9: States and is you have always had a.
- 21:59Speaker 5: Totally special relationship.
- 22:00Speaker 9: In the deepest and most multifaceted strategic alliance which the
- 22:04Speaker 9: United States has had with any foreign power in the
- 22:07Speaker 9: post forward two period, does include the United States and
- 22:09Speaker 9: Great Britain.
- 22:10Speaker 5: That's much to say about that.
- 22:11Speaker 9: Now and today, Israel is without question America's only truly
- 22:17Speaker 9: dependable military ally in the world. An ALLI is going
- 22:20Speaker 9: to be there, and a ally that's willing to fight. Now,
- 22:22Speaker 9: that's extraordinary. And I don't recall anything like that of
- 22:26Speaker 9: the United States and Israel a cooperating at the level
- 22:28Speaker 9: they're cooperating and mounting a joint defensific it's a common enemy.
- 22:32Speaker 5: It's quite extraordinary, it is.
- 22:33Speaker 1: And if people understood the tactical integration as well, to
- 22:37Speaker 1: the extent that it's available, I think anyone who's studied
- 22:40Speaker 1: and even reads lightly about war would be as doneged.
- 22:43Speaker 1: Doctor Michael Lauren has a new piece over at Fox
- 22:46Speaker 1: on the fact that we've been at war with They're
- 22:47Speaker 1: on for forty seven years, same sort of thing I
- 22:50Speaker 1: wrote for The Daily Wire today. So go over to
- 22:52Speaker 1: Dr Michael Lauren on X and find it, or you
- 22:54Speaker 1: can find it on my feet. I just reposted it
- 22:57Speaker 1: as well. Thank you ambacheador or and I'll be right back.
- 23:02Speaker 1: Welcome back America. I'm he Hewitt, joined now by Nada Nadav.
- 23:05Speaker 1: Where do we find you today.
- 23:09Speaker 10: Well, I'm right now in New Jersey going to teach
- 23:13Speaker 10: my class tomorrow morning.
- 23:17Speaker 5: Not far from here in New York.
- 23:19Speaker 1: You are at the Columbia School of International and Public Affairs.
- 23:22Speaker 1: What are you going to tell your students about this war?
- 23:25Speaker 10: I'm going to tell them that this is a historic
- 23:28Speaker 10: moment in the history of the Middle East.
- 23:32Speaker 5: It's a watershed moment.
- 23:33Speaker 4: It's the first.
- 23:34Speaker 10: Time that Iran has been in a direct confrontation with
- 23:41Speaker 10: the United States and Israel. Since its inception, the Islamic
- 23:44Speaker 10: Republic has spoken, has prophesied about a judgment day in
- 23:51Speaker 10: which there would be a confrontation between itself and the West.
- 23:56Speaker 10: And that day has come, and it is very much
- 23:58Speaker 10: related due to the actions of the Islamic Republic in
- 24:02Speaker 10: those recent decades and the way that it has based
- 24:06Speaker 10: its national narrative, its creed on the ideas of death
- 24:11Speaker 10: to America and death to Israel and I'm also going
- 24:15Speaker 10: to discuss with students who want to discuss the complexity
- 24:19Speaker 10: of this problem.
- 24:21Speaker 1: Will there be a.
- 24:22Speaker 10: Change within the regime, Will there be a regime change
- 24:27Speaker 10: the sort of a democratic revolution that the West would
- 24:29Speaker 10: want to see. These matters are really very complex and nuanced,
- 24:35Speaker 10: and I think this is how.
- 24:37Speaker 1: We should approach them. Nada, I have a piece in
- 24:39Speaker 1: the Daily Wire today about watching the original Iranian Revolution
- 24:43Speaker 1: in the fall of seventy eight in January seventy nine
- 24:45Speaker 1: with former President Nixon and Ray Price and San Clementy.
- 24:48Speaker 1: I had just gotten out of college, the same age
- 24:50Speaker 1: of your students should be talking to today, And how
- 24:52Speaker 1: many came down the steps on February one, after the
- 24:55Speaker 1: show had left a ten days earlier, twelve days earlier,
- 24:58Speaker 1: and no one in the West had a idea what
- 25:00Speaker 1: har Many was about. They thought it was like a
- 25:02Speaker 1: green red revolution and everything would be flip flowered. His
- 25:07Speaker 1: theology is so radical. Two questions, Do your students know
- 25:12Speaker 1: what his theological worldview is and what we think how
- 25:15Speaker 1: many two point zeros worldview is and do they know
- 25:17Speaker 1: that how many two point zero hereditary succession is completely
- 25:21Speaker 1: contradictory to what harmony himself preached.
- 25:26Speaker 10: Yeah, these are excellent questions, and I'm not sure it
- 25:30Speaker 10: really depends on what kind of classes they're taking you.
- 25:33Speaker 10: But I think that it was an Israel back in
- 25:36Speaker 10: nineteen seventy nine, nineteen eighty, and I've seen the articles
- 25:40Speaker 10: to prove this.
- 25:41Speaker 5: I can send you one.
- 25:42Speaker 10: Just after the show, people were saying, this is going
- 25:45Speaker 10: to be a disaster. This is Hominy is a hardliner,
- 25:49Speaker 10: an extremist. He's going to take this country, the entire country.
- 25:53Speaker 10: He's going to seize control. And that coalition that you
- 25:56Speaker 10: spoke about, the Red and Green coalition, is just going
- 25:59Speaker 10: to become green. It's just going to become Islamic. And
- 26:04Speaker 10: what we're seeing now that you just mentioned the hereditary
- 26:07Speaker 10: nature of the regime by electing much Daba Hami Nai
- 26:12Speaker 10: as the leader, the son of Ali Haminna'i, this is
- 26:16Speaker 10: maybe the final betrayal of the Islamic Republic with the
- 26:20Speaker 10: idea that it tried to replace the hereditary rule, the
- 26:25Speaker 10: idea of monarchy that has ruled Irand for thousands of years.
- 26:29Speaker 10: They came and said no more, we are a republic.
- 26:34Speaker 10: This is how they describe themselves. And yet the Council
- 26:37Speaker 10: of experts elected the day before yesterday the son of
- 26:40Speaker 10: the former leader to lead the country. And that tells
- 26:43Speaker 10: you a lot about what has happened to the Islamic
- 26:46Speaker 10: Republic and the difference between the promise of the Islamic Republic,
- 26:50Speaker 10: which was we are going to be a free country
- 26:53Speaker 10: and an Islamist country, and that promise almost immediately evaporated
- 26:59Speaker 10: towards authority.
- 27:01Speaker 1: Dob I listened with you and a mate and Dan Senor,
- 27:04Speaker 1: and he shouldn't be the moderate guy in Israel. So
- 27:07Speaker 1: I'm going to ask you that I wanted the audience
- 27:09Speaker 1: to know this. Republicans are fully support of this war
- 27:12Speaker 1: almost ninety percent, Democrats almost ninety five percent against it,
- 27:17Speaker 1: Independent sort of three quarters against it. It doesn't matter
- 27:21Speaker 1: right now. I mean to see how it ends. What's
- 27:23Speaker 1: the feeling in Israel about this war, and how it
- 27:26Speaker 1: has to end.
- 27:29Speaker 10: The feeling in Israel, and that's almost the consensus in Israel,
- 27:33Speaker 10: more than eighty percent, is that it needs to end
- 27:36Speaker 10: with the resounding defeat of the Islamic Republic. It's sort
- 27:41Speaker 10: of a change within the regime or a change of
- 27:44Speaker 10: the regime.
- 27:45Speaker 1: President Trump, I think said it best.
- 27:48Speaker 10: It's not about trying to install someone else specifically there.
- 27:53Speaker 10: It's about the Islamic republic answering some basic conditions, for instance,
- 27:58Speaker 10: not supporting terror across the region. This is how Israelis
- 28:01Speaker 10: feel about this. And if you look at Israeli opposition,
- 28:05Speaker 10: the chairman of the opposition, the chairman of the opposition
- 28:08Speaker 10: is the one who's now recommending the government to bomb
- 28:11Speaker 10: Hog Island, where the entire oil installations and gas installations
- 28:16Speaker 10: of the Islamic Republic are located. This is is Lapede
- 28:19Speaker 10: who is saying that a sworn political rival of Prime
- 28:23Speaker 10: Minister NATANIAO. So this gives you an idea the extent
- 28:27Speaker 10: of a unity in Israel in reference to the war.
- 28:31Speaker 10: Having said that, I don't want to sugarcoat this. This
- 28:33Speaker 10: is a difficult war for Israeli Habalas joined the war.
- 28:37Speaker 10: People are running for the shelters sometimes every few minutes,
- 28:42Speaker 10: and they are traumatized because of three years of war
- 28:45Speaker 10: that began with the mass massacre on our southern border
- 28:49Speaker 10: on October seven.
- 28:50Speaker 1: So they want this over.
- 28:51Speaker 10: And as we can see on the screen and we
- 28:53Speaker 10: just saw, there are also damages and this is significant.
- 28:59Speaker 10: And because of that, people are saying We're willing to
- 29:02Speaker 10: suffer now if this means that Iran will be taking
- 29:08Speaker 10: off as a thread for the next two decades. But
- 29:11Speaker 10: we definitely want this to end with something that is meaningful.
- 29:15Speaker 10: Whether or not this could be achieved, the jury is
- 29:18Speaker 10: still out about that now.
- 29:19Speaker 1: I lost on it. For Israelis you meet doctor orn
- 29:23Speaker 1: and Abe and you all have different, very different nuanced
- 29:27Speaker 1: takes on questions. But this one I want to ask
- 29:30Speaker 1: all of you. Hezbolla appears to be offering a shepherd piece.
- 29:34Speaker 1: They're getting that crap kicked out of it, and they
- 29:37Speaker 1: may be breaking with Lebanon, and they may be breaking
- 29:40Speaker 1: with Iran. Would you accept the shepherd piece? Is a
- 29:43Speaker 1: good idea with Hesbala right.
- 29:45Speaker 10: Now, with hisbel itself, of course not, But with the
- 29:48Speaker 10: state of Flebanon, that could be a very good idea
- 29:52Speaker 10: if the state of Flebon can actually disarm Hballah. The
- 29:56Speaker 10: idea in Lebanon, the consensus in Lebanon, the UN Security
- 30:00Speaker 10: Counsel of the Decisions is that after the idea we
- 30:03Speaker 10: drew from Lebanon in the year two thousand, there is
- 30:05Speaker 10: no reason for his Bala to exist as an armed militia.
- 30:10Speaker 1: It's not only an armed militia.
- 30:11Speaker 10: It's the most heavily funded and founded military group terror
- 30:16Speaker 10: group in the entire world. And what the Lebanese are
- 30:19Speaker 10: now saying that I think you're referring to is that
- 30:21Speaker 10: let's let's negotiate directly with this world first time in history.
- 30:25Speaker 10: Let's even maybe sort of have an agreement there. I
- 30:28Speaker 10: think that's an excellent idea if we can get that done.
- 30:31Speaker 1: Nadada, I always go to talk to you, continue to play,
- 30:34Speaker 1: doing more and more and more insider over at ram
- 30:37Speaker 1: scene or his place. Call me back, get the inside
- 30:40Speaker 1: edition so you don't mention a minute of nadav or
- 30:42Speaker 1: a may thank you, Nadad. I'll be right back to
- 30:44Speaker 1: America VIII. Arter back in America. I'm yet solely as Vito,
- 30:51Speaker 1: as calmness of the world. She writes for the Washington Post,
- 30:54Speaker 1: for the Pittsburgh Post Gazette, for the New York Post,
- 30:56Speaker 1: for the Washington Examiners, probably writes Frather things I don't
- 30:59Speaker 1: know about, Selena. How are you?
- 31:03Speaker 7: Oh, just live in the dream.
- 31:04Speaker 11: The sun is out, which is very rare, so I'm
- 31:07Speaker 11: enjoying it.
- 31:08Speaker 1: It's Pittsburgh. You can't get your hopes done has the
- 31:10Speaker 1: President called you recently? He was talking to Brian kill
- 31:12Speaker 1: Me last night, right before the show, so I think
- 31:14Speaker 1: he likes to call people right before their shows.
- 31:18Speaker 3: Well, I don't have a show.
- 31:20Speaker 11: I talked to him a week ago, but we've talked
- 31:25Speaker 11: about East Palestine and the ten million dollars that he
- 31:28Speaker 11: got for economic development in the downtown area and infrastructure,
- 31:33Speaker 11: but not the war.
- 31:36Speaker 1: No, not the war, all right, so just give me.
- 31:40Speaker 1: You haven't been spun by the president then, yet? What
- 31:42Speaker 1: do you think of the battle with Iran?
- 31:46Speaker 11: Well, so I'm going to I have to base it
- 31:48Speaker 11: on the interviews I've been doing with people, and you know,
- 31:53Speaker 11: there's overwhelming support.
- 31:55Speaker 7: You know, you and I have talked about this before.
- 31:58Speaker 11: It's two different worlds you straddle when you are when
- 32:02Speaker 11: you are a reporter. There's the one that you live
- 32:06Speaker 11: in and you report from, in particular if you're coming
- 32:09Speaker 11: for places like I do right Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin.
- 32:13Speaker 11: And then there's no online world, which is very very
- 32:18Speaker 11: different and people have very very different motivations outside of
- 32:22Speaker 11: their honest feelings about something to how they form their opinion.
- 32:28Speaker 11: That's a long way of me saying people are very
- 32:31Speaker 11: supportive of this.
- 32:32Speaker 1: They understood. Let me play you a little clip of
- 32:35Speaker 1: Harry Anton on CNN and get your reaction to it.
- 32:38Speaker 1: Cut number two.
- 32:40Speaker 12: Overall public and those who are either currently or have
- 32:43Speaker 12: served in the military. Take a look at this Fox
- 32:45Speaker 12: newspap that came out during the past week net approval
- 32:48Speaker 12: rating of the current US military action against Ron. Look
- 32:51Speaker 12: at that overall Fox News shows a dead even split,
- 32:54Speaker 12: But look at those who served in the military significantly
- 32:57Speaker 12: higher support for the US military action currently going on
- 33:00Speaker 12: in Iran at plus twenty points.
- 33:02Speaker 1: Selena, veterans know who we're fighting. My son, my son
- 33:07Speaker 1: in law, my nephew, they've all been attacked by Iran
- 33:10Speaker 1: when they were in uniform. Well, there's no doubt among
- 33:13Speaker 1: the veterans. I mean there might be a few, there
- 33:14Speaker 1: are all the few, but it's over They know the
- 33:17Speaker 1: enemy and I think that makes a huge difference here.
- 33:21Speaker 11: Yeah, it's really it's really interesting. And you know, even
- 33:25Speaker 11: Paul Skins, the cy Young Award, a winning pitcher.
- 33:30Speaker 7: For the Pirates, right. I don't know if you've seen him.
- 33:33Speaker 7: He's absolutely amazing.
- 33:35Speaker 3: I have a really great piece with him this today.
- 33:38Speaker 11: But his support for the military and for the country
- 33:42Speaker 11: as he's getting ready to pitch tonight in the World
- 33:46Speaker 11: Baseball Series. I think just exemplifies how military men and
- 33:52Speaker 11: women feel about Iran, because no other country has killed
- 33:56Speaker 11: more in this in this century of measure than Iran.
- 34:01Speaker 1: Well said, I was a little bit surprised because I
- 34:04Speaker 1: wasn't aware that Pittsburgh had a professional ball club anymore.
- 34:08Speaker 1: Tell me soddenly, I'm sorry. I know you love your
- 34:11Speaker 1: party is amazing.
- 34:13Speaker 11: He's absolutely amazing.
- 34:15Speaker 3: And his love of country.
- 34:16Speaker 7: You know, people don't know he's served. He was in
- 34:18Speaker 7: the Air Force Academy.
- 34:19Speaker 1: I didn't know that. Where tell us his name and
- 34:22Speaker 1: he's a National League player. I don't follow him because
- 34:24Speaker 1: he doesn't get to the postseason, because he's with the Pirates.
- 34:28Speaker 7: All Skins.
- 34:30Speaker 11: He's pitching tonight. Take a look at my story at
- 34:34Speaker 11: Zito Selena, just about his level of country, love of military,
- 34:38Speaker 11: how proud he is to be playing tonight.
- 34:40Speaker 7: He's pitching tonight.
- 34:41Speaker 11: The United States has just been crushing it in this series,
- 34:45Speaker 11: and if people haven't been watching it, I highly recommend
- 34:48Speaker 11: that you do. It is such an expression of patriotism
- 34:52Speaker 11: and passion for our country among these players it's really amazing.
- 34:56Speaker 1: Okay, so you've got the one Democrat in Pennsylvania supports
- 35:00Speaker 1: the troops and the war. John Fetterman, what happened to
- 35:03Speaker 1: the Democrats that we grew up with? Selena As I'm
- 35:06Speaker 1: with Brian kill me last night. I just said, this
- 35:08Speaker 1: is not Fdr Truman, Kennedy, LBJ, not even Bill Clinton.
- 35:12Speaker 1: They're all against this combat and they won't fund it.
- 35:17Speaker 11: You know who stuns me the most is Mark Warner.
- 35:21Speaker 11: He really has done a complete change, right. He's really
- 35:28Speaker 11: become sort of strident. If Republican or Trump, it's not
- 35:33Speaker 11: just Trump anymore. If a Republican is attached to it,
- 35:37Speaker 11: he is stridently against it. He could be against school
- 35:40Speaker 11: crossing crossing guards. If Donald Trump said let's all support
- 35:45Speaker 11: school crossing guards and give them, give them a draise,
- 35:48Speaker 11: he'd be against it.
- 35:49Speaker 1: It's the Democratic Party disease. Mark Warner is a very
- 35:52Speaker 1: smart man. I've met him a few times, very smart guy.
- 35:55Speaker 1: But the Virginia Democratic Party has gone way left, and
- 35:58Speaker 1: so you have to worry about that if you're an
- 36:00Speaker 1: incumbent center I don't know if they'll ever vote for
- 36:03Speaker 1: a Democratic for supplemental for the war. I hope you
- 36:07Speaker 1: follow that story and Zito Selena dot com reader story
- 36:11Speaker 1: on the world series and that Buck who is planning
- 36:13Speaker 1: for it whatever his name is, or just follower at
- 36:17Speaker 1: Zito Selena on x or go to Selenazito dot com
- 36:21Speaker 1: for everything that you write. Welcome back to America. I'm
- 36:24Speaker 1: Hewett Leland vittert rejoins us. He was last on when
- 36:28Speaker 1: his wonderful book Born Lucky came out. Continues to sell
- 36:31Speaker 1: like hotcake or to touch an extraordinary look into the
- 36:34Speaker 1: lifetime in childhood, especially of children who are born somewhere
- 36:38Speaker 1: on the spectrum. Leland is a though on today because
- 36:42Speaker 1: he's a war correspondence, war course bonding. He's in the
- 36:44Speaker 1: studio now with Unbalance every night over at NewsNation. But
- 36:48Speaker 1: I want to talk to him about covering this war. Leland,
- 36:50Speaker 1: how are you well?
- 36:52Speaker 8: Once a war coorse find is always a war corse
- 36:54Speaker 8: bonder hughes. So sometimes, as you know, the arrows and
- 36:58Speaker 8: knives of a Washington news are worse than that. Actually
- 37:01Speaker 8: in war I.
- 37:03Speaker 1: Don't know that because I've never had to work in
- 37:04Speaker 1: a newsroom in DC. The newsroom I had was PBS
- 37:07Speaker 1: INLA and that was pretty bad. But that's okay, Leland.
- 37:11Speaker 1: I want to ask you Number one, there's so much
- 37:14Speaker 1: available on the web that it is difficult to distinguish
- 37:18Speaker 1: between AI generated disinformation and hard facts. What filters are
- 37:23Speaker 1: you putting up to make sure you only learn what's true?
- 37:28Speaker 8: Well, trying my very best to cross reference everything I
- 37:31Speaker 8: hear number one. Number two, cross referencing not only sort
- 37:36Speaker 8: of what you're hearing in seeing online, but with real
- 37:40Speaker 8: people who are either in the region or involved in
- 37:44Speaker 8: the government in other places where they are in a
- 37:46Speaker 8: position to independently verify so much of this. But you're
- 37:50Speaker 8: right that AI has created a fog of war, and
- 37:54Speaker 8: you could say call it a fog of journalism, which
- 37:57Speaker 8: is far greater than anything we ever had to deal
- 38:00Speaker 8: with before.
- 38:00Speaker 1: I agree with that. Now, what I'm trying to do
- 38:02Speaker 1: is find facts. When someone like the IDF puts out
- 38:06Speaker 1: the number of attacks that decreased by ninety percent, We've
- 38:10Speaker 1: destroyed eighty percent of their launchers, but those percent of
- 38:13Speaker 1: drones are getting through, or the UAE post their daily
- 38:16Speaker 1: Defense Ministry stats. I rely on that, And when we
- 38:20Speaker 1: sink ships in the Iranian Navy, I rely on that.
- 38:22Speaker 1: And we always tell people our casualties, but how do
- 38:25Speaker 1: we What else do you look for other than the IDF,
- 38:28Speaker 1: the scentcom feed, the UAE feed. What else are you
- 38:31Speaker 1: relying on?
- 38:35Speaker 8: Relying a lot on trying to see what's happening on
- 38:40Speaker 8: the ground. And I think the one thing to be
- 38:43Speaker 8: watching for right now is whether or not there are
- 38:47Speaker 8: protests on the ground in Iran.
- 38:50Speaker 3: We have not seen a lot of video of that.
- 38:52Speaker 3: That's something I'm watching for.
- 38:55Speaker 8: I'm watching the price of oil because I think that
- 38:57Speaker 8: is sort of signifying howc usful the Iranians are and causing.
- 39:02Speaker 3: The one pain point they have left.
- 39:05Speaker 8: I'm watching for what the Iranian drones have been able
- 39:08Speaker 8: to destroy in terms of US military hardware, not only
- 39:13Speaker 8: the casualties, but the very high end US military hardware.
- 39:18Speaker 8: I'm also watching for what's not being said. Sometimes and
- 39:21Speaker 8: often what's not being said, which in this case is
- 39:24Speaker 8: a specific goal by the administration of what they view
- 39:28Speaker 8: as the end of this war may be the most
- 39:31Speaker 8: important things leland.
- 39:33Speaker 1: Which war tell of the audience who may not be
- 39:35Speaker 1: familiar with how many years you spent war zone, where
- 39:39Speaker 1: you went, when you went, what you saw.
- 39:42Speaker 3: Four years in the Middle East.
- 39:44Speaker 8: So a couple of Gaza Wars, the Libyan Revolution, the
- 39:49Speaker 8: Egyptian Revolution, covered the Syrian Revolution, some time in the Gulf,
- 39:54Speaker 8: a little bit of the uprising in Turkey, and then
- 39:58Speaker 8: spent the last month my overseas tour in Ukraine's the
- 40:02Speaker 8: first Russian invasion in twenty fourteen.
- 40:04Speaker 1: So that's the perfect setup. In the ten years that
- 40:07Speaker 1: have elapsed since the twelve years since you were in Ukraine,
- 40:10Speaker 1: war has changed. I've been in this game for since
- 40:14Speaker 1: nineteen eighty nine in broadcast, and I've been studying Iran
- 40:18Speaker 1: since nineteen seventy eight with Richard Nixon. It's completely different.
- 40:22Speaker 1: The drones is completely different. Do you think the American
- 40:27Speaker 1: consuming audience understands how different war has become?
- 40:32Speaker 8: Well, they may not, but they will once they watch
- 40:34Speaker 8: on Balance at nine pm tonight on News Nation, or
- 40:37Speaker 8: they listen to this interview on the Uhwite Show, because
- 40:39Speaker 8: that's what we're talking about tonight.
- 40:42Speaker 10: It is.
- 40:44Speaker 8: Beyond incompetence from the US military that they did not
- 40:48Speaker 8: plan better for the low end military threat.
- 40:52Speaker 1: Right.
- 40:52Speaker 8: The US is just extraordinary at the high end of
- 40:55Speaker 8: being able to intercept ballistic missiles and shoot down.
- 41:00Speaker 3: Incoming fighter jets, in the light.
- 41:02Speaker 8: What they're not good at, and what the past week
- 41:05Speaker 8: has proved that they have a very hard time doing
- 41:08Speaker 8: is intercepting massive amounts of Iranian drones coming in in swarms.
- 41:14Speaker 8: And what is stunning to meet, Hugh, and I think
- 41:16Speaker 8: what you're getting at is that this was so predictable
- 41:19Speaker 8: because it's exactly what the Russians have been doing to
- 41:21Speaker 8: the Ukrainians with Iranian drones, and the US military seem
- 41:26Speaker 8: just not to plant that.
- 41:27Speaker 3: You're showing videos of Tomahawk.
- 41:28Speaker 8: Missiles that cost two and three million dollars apiece, and
- 41:31Speaker 8: the interceptors that go up can be four or five
- 41:34Speaker 8: million dollars apiece, and we're spending those using those trying
- 41:40Speaker 8: to shoot down twenty thousand dollars drones.
- 41:42Speaker 3: It is not a good investment here.
- 41:44Speaker 1: There are two things that I haven't seen, Leland, maybe
- 41:46Speaker 1: you have. I saw a brief bit of open intel
- 41:50Speaker 1: that the growler, which dispatches from the carriers. Although there
- 41:53Speaker 1: is an expeditionary squadron of growlers that can fly from
- 41:56Speaker 1: Air Force bases, but they're on carre they can bring
- 41:59Speaker 1: down drones in dramatic number. I don't know how many
- 42:02Speaker 1: growlers we have and how often they're deployed. The second
- 42:06Speaker 1: thing is that our pights, which are sub hundreds. The
- 42:09Speaker 1: Iranian Navy had five subs at the beginning, five real
- 42:12Speaker 1: big subs. One has been sunk, but they had a
- 42:14Speaker 1: lot of mini subs. Have you sent any open source
- 42:17Speaker 1: stuff on that.
- 42:19Speaker 8: I have not, But I think what you're seeing in
- 42:22Speaker 8: terms of a direction, and we'll have a little bit
- 42:24Speaker 8: more on this tonight, is the fact that the US
- 42:27Speaker 8: Navy is not transiting the sort of straight of war
- 42:29Speaker 8: moves and providing tanker escorts that we know of right
- 42:32Speaker 8: now tell you. I think that Central Command does not
- 42:35Speaker 8: yet confidently understand what the Iranian capabilities are, what's survived
- 42:41Speaker 8: from an Iranian capability standpoint in the straight of war
- 42:44Speaker 8: moves in the very close in coastal waterways around Iraq,
- 42:51Speaker 8: And that to me is once we start seeing that,
- 42:54Speaker 8: that will tell us that the United States Central Command
- 42:58Speaker 8: is much more confident about that.
- 43:00Speaker 3: It's no surprise right that President Trump.
- 43:02Speaker 8: In his opening statement about the Iranian attack, Ranian war, whatever.
- 43:07Speaker 3: You want to call it.
- 43:08Speaker 8: Instead, we've gone after Iran's navy, and that's because everyone
- 43:12Speaker 8: knew that the straight of hor.
- 43:14Speaker 3: Moves was the checkpoint.
- 43:15Speaker 8: This was Iran's blackmail, and I think it speaks volumes
- 43:21Speaker 8: to why this war has been necessary, that the Iranians
- 43:24Speaker 8: have handled themselves and done what they have done to
- 43:27Speaker 8: try to economically blackmail the world.
- 43:30Speaker 1: Last question, Leland I turned down on Mark Montgomery. Of course,
- 43:33Speaker 1: Senator Cotton's on a little bit later. People who have
- 43:36Speaker 1: access to open source and closed source, and they're careful,
- 43:39Speaker 1: who's your goad to guy? You haven't got Jack King,
- 43:42Speaker 1: mister war on Fox. I don't either. Who's your go
- 43:45Speaker 1: to people for military expertise?
- 43:50Speaker 8: There a couple of people who will both be on tonight.
- 43:52Speaker 8: One is Kirk Lippold, who was the commander of the
- 43:55Speaker 8: USS Cole but who understands these waters. He's been in
- 43:58Speaker 8: the straight of hor Moves time and time again. I
- 44:00Speaker 8: think he has something like forty crossings right now, so
- 44:04Speaker 8: he understands those waters, and to your point, can not
- 44:07Speaker 8: only look at the open source intel, but look at
- 44:09Speaker 8: what's happening and then tell us why it's happening, to
- 44:12Speaker 8: extrapolate out what the reality on the ground is.
- 44:15Speaker 3: And then we've also found a great guest.
- 44:18Speaker 8: I know he's available to come on your show is
- 44:20Speaker 8: a guy named John Tikert who was an F twenty
- 44:22Speaker 8: two pilot and a commander of the Edwards Air Force
- 44:26Speaker 8: Base Test Squadron that did all of the Air Force
- 44:30Speaker 8: testing in terms for aircraft air defenses, on and on
- 44:33Speaker 8: and on and lastly, he finished up his career as
- 44:37Speaker 8: a one star general as the US military acts Shay
- 44:39Speaker 8: to a rock, so he understands the region on top
- 44:42Speaker 8: of all that in terms of air powers invaluable.
- 44:46Speaker 1: F twenty two the apex predator really of all military systems.
- 44:50Speaker 1: Leyland Vetter. Clean water is not complicated, but it is essential.
- 44:55Speaker 1: Without it, public health suffer, education, declined, economic stability. It
- 45:00Speaker 1: weekends if it doesn't collapse. Across Latin America and the Caribbean,
- 45:04Speaker 1: families are facing that reality of unclean water. Every day.
- 45:08Speaker 1: Mothers walk miles for clean water. Children are exposed to
- 45:11Speaker 1: preventable diseases because they haven't got it. Communities are held
- 45:14Speaker 1: back by the absence of basic clean water access. But
- 45:18Speaker 1: strategic compassion changes outcomes. Through food for the poor, Your
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- 45:27Speaker 1: and supporting gospeled centered transformation through trusted local partnerships. This
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- 45:35Speaker 1: fifty dollars ensures two people have safe and living water,
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- 45:41Speaker 1: be transformed for a year. I hope you act.
- 45:44Speaker 13: Text Hewett Hgwitt. That's Hewett, Hgwitt to five to one
- 45:50Speaker 13: five fifty five. That's Hewett to fifty one five five five,
- 45:55Speaker 13: or visit Hhewitt dot com right now and click on
- 45:57Speaker 13: the blue giving living Water banner at the top to
- 46:01Speaker 13: provide living water today and thank you.
- 46:04Speaker 1: I interrupt my war coverage to bring to you a
- 46:06Speaker 1: very special guest, doctor Ross Green. He is one of
- 46:09Speaker 1: the leading educators in America is the author of the
- 46:11Speaker 1: brand new book The Kids who Aren't Okay. The Kids
- 46:15Speaker 1: who Aren't Okay came out last week just as the
- 46:18Speaker 1: war broke out, so I did not get the attention
- 46:20Speaker 1: it deserved. But I want to make sure that the
- 46:23Speaker 1: parents and teachers of America's fifty million K through twelve
- 46:26Speaker 1: kids know about the kids who Aren't Okay. So doctor
- 46:30Speaker 1: Ross Green agreed degree joined me today. Doctor Green, how
- 46:33Speaker 1: are you and where are you?
- 46:35Speaker 4: I'm in Freeport Maine, a territory you know well, and
- 46:39Speaker 4: I'm probably a little colder than you.
- 46:41Speaker 1: Are ll being still open, I'm sure, doctor Green. I
- 46:44Speaker 1: want to ask you, would you tell people at the
- 46:48Speaker 1: beginning of this your long intervention in American education, especially
- 46:54Speaker 1: in the restrained industrial system, as a way of trying
- 46:57Speaker 1: to set up why you wrote the kids who aren't okay?
- 47:02Speaker 4: I wrote the kids who aren't okay because we are
- 47:04Speaker 4: still manhandling a lot of kids who aren't okay. It's
- 47:08Speaker 4: called the restraint industry. We keep teaching our educators what
- 47:12Speaker 4: to do when it's already too late, and there are
- 47:16Speaker 4: a lot of kids who aren't doing very well right now,
- 47:19Speaker 4: and we have to open our eyes to that.
- 47:21Speaker 1: In my grandkids school district, a child died from restraint
- 47:25Speaker 1: in December, and of course they're facing an enormous lawsuit.
- 47:29Speaker 1: How often does that happen in America?
- 47:34Speaker 4: Restraint happens more often than we think. It's about seventy
- 47:37Speaker 4: to one hundred thousand times a year, depending on whose
- 47:40Speaker 4: statistics you believe. Death, which is the most extreme outcome,
- 47:46Speaker 4: we average about two or three deaths per year, based
- 47:50Speaker 4: on the most recent research that I'm aware of.
- 47:53Speaker 1: All right now, doctor, you wrote this book, and I
- 47:56Speaker 1: say it often because Franklin's taught me. Unless you say
- 47:58Speaker 1: in the title of a book seven times times, people
- 48:00Speaker 1: won't remember the kids who Aren't Okay. So I will
- 48:03Speaker 1: say the kids who Aren't Okay at least seven times
- 48:05Speaker 1: in every segment. I'm overwhelmed by it. When I got
- 48:08Speaker 1: the page one seventy four, evidence based Treatment, I was
- 48:11Speaker 1: sitting there thinking to myself, my God, how do we
- 48:15Speaker 1: solve these problems? Do you run into that a lot?
- 48:18Speaker 1: Because there are it's overwhelming.
- 48:23Speaker 4: It's it's thick. I'll say that schools definitely implement a
- 48:29Speaker 4: lot of programs that are not evidence based. The model
- 48:33Speaker 4: contained in The Kids who Aren't Okay is evidence based.
- 48:37Speaker 4: I spent a lot of my career doing research on
- 48:41Speaker 4: the model. It works, but we do have to sort
- 48:45Speaker 4: of plow through all of these structures that are in place,
- 48:48Speaker 4: all of these programs that we already do. Once we
- 48:52Speaker 4: can get comfortable enough to take a look at our
- 48:55Speaker 4: practices and whether they're actually working, it's not that hard
- 48:59Speaker 4: to start doing the right thing.
- 49:01Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about the right thing in a moment,
- 49:03Speaker 1: but I think the summary quote that I want to
- 49:05Speaker 1: take aways on page seventy five when you dip into
- 49:07Speaker 1: your Shakespeare knowledge and quote the Bard saying better three
- 49:11Speaker 1: hours too soon than a minute too late, And that
- 49:15Speaker 1: is a summary of the whole book. Intervene early, figure
- 49:19Speaker 1: out what's going on with a kid who acts up
- 49:23Speaker 1: and has troubles facing the problems that they're dealing with.
- 49:26Speaker 1: They can't solve problem better to intervene early. Is that
- 49:29Speaker 1: a fair summary? Doctor?
- 49:32Speaker 4: It is certainly my favorite point of the book, and
- 49:36Speaker 4: that is that so much of what we're teaching educators
- 49:40Speaker 4: to do is about crisis management. It's not that hard
- 49:45Speaker 4: to start being crisis prevention oriented. We can be early
- 49:50Speaker 4: instead of late. But there's a lot of training and
- 49:53Speaker 4: a lot of structures in schools that point us toward
- 49:57Speaker 4: being late, to the detriment of both both the kids
- 50:00Speaker 4: who aren't okay and the people who are trying to
- 50:03Speaker 4: help them out in schools.
- 50:04Speaker 1: Now, I feel for teachers after reading this book, because
- 50:08Speaker 1: there's a bell curve in every school system. They're going
- 50:11Speaker 1: to have children who don't problem solve very well and
- 50:14Speaker 1: who act out in different ways. And the illustrations you
- 50:17Speaker 1: provide throughout the book are jarring. Really really jarring. I
- 50:21Speaker 1: don't know how teachers do it. When did this to
- 50:24Speaker 1: begin to be noticed by you as a recurring pattern
- 50:29Speaker 1: of modern American education as well as the wrong solutions
- 50:32Speaker 1: to it.
- 50:35Speaker 4: Well, I started working with behaviorally challenging kids in graduate school,
- 50:42Speaker 4: started working with them in schools as a natural progression.
- 50:45Speaker 4: If you're working with kids with behavioral challenges, you're working
- 50:48Speaker 4: with them in schools, not just with them in families.
- 50:53Speaker 4: And that's when it became apparent to me that it
- 50:55Speaker 4: was the same kids, ten or fifteen in every school,
- 50:58Speaker 4: depending on the size of the school, who are accounting
- 51:01Speaker 4: for seventy to eighty percent of the discipline referrals in
- 51:03Speaker 4: that school and seventy to eighty percent of the punitive,
- 51:08Speaker 4: exclusionary disciplinary practices that were being administered in that school.
- 51:13Speaker 4: And I noticed that we just kept doing this stuff
- 51:17Speaker 4: over and over again, even though it clearly wasn't working.
- 51:22Speaker 4: And that is still true today. We have a lot
- 51:26Speaker 4: of reliance on behavior modification. But and this is a
- 51:31Speaker 4: key to the book. As you know, focusing on behavior
- 51:35Speaker 4: is not where the action's at. I get why we're
- 51:37Speaker 4: focused on behavior. It's the part that is most disruptive
- 51:41Speaker 4: to the classroom most dangerous. But behind every concerning behavior
- 51:47Speaker 4: is a problem that's causing it. Those problems can be
- 51:51Speaker 4: identified proactively, they can be solved proactively. If we stay
- 51:58Speaker 4: focused on behavior, we're going to be late every single time.
- 52:02Speaker 1: Now, on page sixty one, you use that term. Ten
- 52:05Speaker 1: to fifteen percent of children in school account for seventy
- 52:08Speaker 1: to eighty percent of the discipline referrals. So that does
- 52:13Speaker 1: it telegraphs to me that the AUSP ought to be
- 52:15Speaker 1: developed very quickly for the ten to fifteen percent. That's
- 52:18Speaker 1: the term of art that I want people to take
- 52:21Speaker 1: away the AUSP. Would you tell people what it is?
- 52:25Speaker 1: And as well, what the CPS is. Those are the
- 52:27Speaker 1: two most common acronyms in the book, and so let's
- 52:31Speaker 1: lay it out.
- 52:31Speaker 4: For him ASUP is the assessment of skills and unsolved problems.
- 52:38Speaker 4: It helps us move in thirty to forty five minutes
- 52:43Speaker 4: from focusing on a kid's concerning behavior, which is just
- 52:47Speaker 4: their frustration response. I use those terms interchangeably to the
- 52:52Speaker 4: problems that are causing those behaviors that often have never
- 52:56Speaker 4: even been identified, let alone solved. Every year, those problems,
- 53:01Speaker 4: I call them unsolved problems, just get punted from one
- 53:06Speaker 4: teacher the next. Year after year after a while, we
- 53:10Speaker 4: have a student who has this massive pile of unsolved problems.
- 53:16Speaker 4: We've been punishing them like there's no tomorrow. We've been
- 53:19Speaker 4: giving them stickers and rewarding them in other ways. Their
- 53:22Speaker 4: concerning behavior is continuing because the problems that are causing
- 53:26Speaker 4: those behaviors are still unsolved. The Assessment of Skills and
- 53:31Speaker 4: Unsolved problem, what I call ASIP, helps us fix that.
- 53:35Speaker 4: I do not have a proprietary interest in it. It's
- 53:38Speaker 4: free on the website of the nonprofit I've founded, Lives
- 53:42Speaker 4: in the Balance. CPS stands for collaborative and proactive Solutions.
- 53:48Speaker 4: Once you identify those problems proactively, you can solve them proactively.
- 53:56Speaker 4: But not only proactively collaboratively.
- 54:00Speaker 1: Go ahead, Well, I was gonna say, lives Inthebalance dot org.
- 54:05Speaker 1: I want people to make sure they know the website
- 54:07Speaker 1: as well as the title of the book, Lives Inthebalance
- 54:09Speaker 1: dot org. But go ahead proactively.
- 54:11Speaker 4: Means proactively means don't wait till the heat in the
- 54:16Speaker 4: moment to try to solve this highly predictable, unsolved problem.
- 54:20Speaker 4: This is not the first time Timmy has had difficulty
- 54:24Speaker 4: completing the double digit division problems on the worksheet in math,
- 54:27Speaker 4: it's the ninety seventh time. Why are we stuck in
- 54:30Speaker 4: the heat of the moment yet again dealing with Timmy's
- 54:35Speaker 4: frustration response and sending Timmy to this cool disciplinarian so
- 54:40Speaker 4: that someone can give consequences for Timmy's frustration response. We'd
- 54:46Speaker 4: be saving a ton of time if we're identifying those
- 54:49Speaker 4: problems proactively and solving the proactively. But the other keyword
- 54:53Speaker 4: is collaboratively. Timmy has to be an integral, indispensable part
- 55:00Speaker 4: of the problem solving process. Otherwise, US adults who tend
- 55:04Speaker 4: to divine what's getting in Timmy's way and tend to
- 55:09Speaker 4: divine solutions will keep doing that and somebody very important
- 55:14Speaker 4: is then going to be out of the loop. Timmy.
- 55:17Speaker 1: Well, I like that you just used the word punt,
- 55:19Speaker 1: doctor Green, because in my notes you never use it.
- 55:22Speaker 1: In the book, you see, it's method C, method A
- 55:26Speaker 1: for dealing with unsolved problems A B and C. Method
- 55:29Speaker 1: C is to punt. By the way, it's okay to
- 55:31Speaker 1: punt on some problems, you just can't punt on them all.
- 55:35Speaker 1: Is that a fair summary as well?
- 55:38Speaker 4: You're punting temporarily. I called it putting the problem on hold.
- 55:43Speaker 4: When I say punting, I mean kicking the can down
- 55:45Speaker 4: the road. But these kids, these kids who have a
- 55:49Speaker 4: lot of unsolved problems, you're not going to be able
- 55:52Speaker 4: to solve them all at once once they're identified. So
- 55:54Speaker 4: you're going to have to put some of them on
- 55:56Speaker 4: hold for a while until you can get to them,
- 55:59Speaker 4: or until you feel like the kid is actually able
- 56:01Speaker 4: to meet the expectation. We've been causing a lot of
- 56:05Speaker 4: concerning behavior in our schools by putting expectations on kids
- 56:10Speaker 4: we already know they can't meet. Who should you ask
- 56:14Speaker 4: about that? They're teachers.
- 56:16Speaker 1: I'll be right back with doctor Ross Green, author of
- 56:19Speaker 1: the brand new book The Kids who Aren't Okay. And
- 56:22Speaker 1: if you're the parent, teacher, and grandparent, friend of one
- 56:24Speaker 1: of the kids who Aren't Okay, that's ten to fifteen percent.
- 56:27Speaker 1: You want to get this book and you want to
- 56:29Speaker 1: go and find Lives in the Balance dot org. Stay ten.
- 56:37Speaker 1: Walking back in America, I'm Hugh Herett with doctor Ross Green,
- 56:40Speaker 1: and we're talking about the ten to fifteen percent of
- 56:42Speaker 1: America is fifty million, roughly K through twelve students who
- 56:46Speaker 1: have unsolved problems and therefore become discipline issues and sometimes
- 56:51Speaker 1: lead to crisis in the classroom. Everybody loses. It doesn't
- 56:54Speaker 1: have to be that way, but the complex, this military
- 56:59Speaker 1: industry complex of education, has been spinning out the same
- 57:03Speaker 1: solution for decades and it's not working, Doctor Green over
- 57:06Speaker 1: on page fifty five. Yeah, the closer look, where does
- 57:10Speaker 1: the National Education Association stand on restraint and seclusion? Which
- 57:15Speaker 1: is the typical approach.
- 57:16Speaker 14: And there follows four of the densest pages of gobbledegook
- 57:20Speaker 14: because the NEA doesn't really want to tell people what
- 57:24Speaker 14: to do. I'm very glad you approached it that way
- 57:27Speaker 14: because I wanted to see they really just don't want
- 57:30Speaker 14: to say anything, do they.
- 57:33Speaker 4: I think that it's been hard for them to take
- 57:35Speaker 4: a strong stand, and that might be in fact, I
- 57:42Speaker 4: suspect this is the case because they are hearing from
- 57:45Speaker 4: their constituents that they still need these obsolete practices. Restraining
- 57:52Speaker 4: meaning pinning a kid to the ground, usually by three
- 57:55Speaker 4: to four adults. Seclusion meaning throwing the kid into a
- 58:00Speaker 4: locked or blocked closet sized seclusion room. There's a lot
- 58:06Speaker 4: of educators who still believe that those practices are necessary
- 58:10Speaker 4: and point to how difficult some of their students are
- 58:14Speaker 4: as evidence of that. The students are still difficult because
- 58:20Speaker 4: of the other obsolete practices that we continue to apply
- 58:24Speaker 4: to them. If they don't do better, you're going to
- 58:27Speaker 4: get them into a frustration response. You are going to
- 58:31Speaker 4: do what seems like a necessary practice, pin into the ground,
- 58:36Speaker 4: throw them into a closet sized room. When educators implement
- 58:42Speaker 4: the CPS model, those practices pretty much disappear because they're
- 58:48Speaker 4: not necessary anymore.
- 58:50Speaker 1: Now, doctor Green, I want to stress this. When people
- 58:52Speaker 1: do the AUSP, the assessment as student as you know,
- 58:58Speaker 1: I'm terrible as up. Yeah, assessment AUSP of skills and
- 59:05Speaker 1: problem assessment of unsolved problems. When they do the AUSP,
- 59:09Speaker 1: they are going to get a long list, and you
- 59:12Speaker 1: encourage them. Don't hesitate to split the problem into its
- 59:17Speaker 1: composite parts. That by the way, an engineering solution. Don't
- 59:20Speaker 1: try and solve everything in one long assessment of the
- 59:23Speaker 1: but take the time to list the component parts. That's
- 59:27Speaker 1: hard for people because when they write something down, they
- 59:31Speaker 1: know they're going to have to confront it. Can you
- 59:33Speaker 1: get that message through? Break it down? Break it It's
- 59:36Speaker 1: like diagramming a sentence diagram the problems.
- 59:41Speaker 4: So just as a concrete example, and maybe this goes
- 59:44Speaker 4: back to engineering, I'm not sure. We're not going to
- 59:46Speaker 4: write down We're not going to try to talk with
- 59:48Speaker 4: the kid about the unsolved problem of difficulty doing math.
- 59:51Speaker 4: It's too broad, right, And in this model, there's three steps.
- 59:56Speaker 4: The first step is that we're gathering information from the kid,
- 1:00:00Speaker 4: who's our number one source of information on what's making
- 1:00:03Speaker 4: it hard for them to meet a particular expectation. People
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: are often skeptical about that part. They often ask me,
- 1:00:10Speaker 4: what makes you think the kid knows? And my answer
- 1:00:13Speaker 4: is thirty five years of asking. But if we ask
- 1:00:17Speaker 4: the kid what's making it hard for you to do
- 1:00:19Speaker 4: the math, you're going to get out on no, because
- 1:00:21Speaker 4: it's too broad. We've got to get more specific. We've
- 1:00:24Speaker 4: got to get more micro. What's making it hard for
- 1:00:26Speaker 4: you to complete the double digit division problems on the
- 1:00:29Speaker 4: worksheet in math. I'm always telling caregivers be prepared for
- 1:00:33Speaker 4: surprises when you ask, because you are likely to learn
- 1:00:37Speaker 4: that what you thought was getting in the kid's way
- 1:00:39Speaker 4: is not what's getting in the kid's way. This is
- 1:00:43Speaker 4: how we partner with kids on solving problems you.
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: Also recommend very early in the school year, if not
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: before it begins triage, And by that you do not
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: mean tracking or tearing, You do not mean segregation. What
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: do you mean by triage.
- 1:01:01Speaker 4: Knowing what's walking in the door before it walks in
- 1:01:03Speaker 4: the door. We should have much better communication from one
- 1:01:08Speaker 4: year to the next. Every educator would agree with that.
- 1:01:11Speaker 4: But if all we're communicating about from one year to
- 1:01:14Speaker 4: the next is the kid's frustration response their behavior, then
- 1:01:19Speaker 4: next year's teacher has absolutely no idea what expectations this
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: kid is having difficulty needing, how some of those problems
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: got solved the year before. They are pretty much going
- 1:01:31Speaker 4: in with blinders on. That's not continuity of care. That's
- 1:01:37Speaker 4: not good care. And schools are providing care for a
- 1:01:41Speaker 4: lot of our kids who aren't doing very well. The
- 1:01:44Speaker 4: care that schools provide could be better than it is
- 1:01:48Speaker 4: if we could just get out of our own way.
- 1:01:51Speaker 4: You mentioned tears. Tears refers to this organizational method called
- 1:01:57Speaker 4: multi tiered systems of support, which many people love, but
- 1:02:01Speaker 4: I find I'm neutral. I find that we end up
- 1:02:04Speaker 4: talking more about tears, which is what level of support
- 1:02:08Speaker 4: this is going kid is going to need? Than we
- 1:02:10Speaker 4: do about kids, and that's past Awkwards.
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: I compliment your use of the need to judge children,
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: assess children based on their level of acuity, because that's
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: a very accordion term. You're trying throughout this book to
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: dispense with the traditional stuff. And by the way, doctor
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: Green does not dismiss the problems of cell phones. He
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: doesn't dismiss the problem of porn, he doesn't dismiss bullying,
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: he doesn't dismiss anything. He just puts them all into
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: the stew that is causing these unsolved problems. And the
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: unsolved problems he divides into lucky ones. Okay, that's a
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: funny word to term, but crying, with drawing, sulking, whining,
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: things that elicit sympathy an unlucky one, screaming, hitting, spitting,
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: destroying that get punitive things going, and it's neither lucky
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: nor unlike. You're just trying not to exclude any unsolved problem.
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: Am I right about that?
- 1:03:06Speaker 4: That is correct every kid, And this is why this
- 1:03:09Speaker 4: model is good even for the kids who aren't exhibiting
- 1:03:13Speaker 4: concerning behavior, because as you noticed, I'm sure my definition
- 1:03:17Speaker 4: of good teaching is meeting every kid where they're at.
- 1:03:21Speaker 4: That's for kids whose frustration responses are more mild. That's
- 1:03:24Speaker 4: for kids whose frustration responses are bigger a frustration. No
- 1:03:29Speaker 4: matter what the frustration response, it's still communicating the exact
- 1:03:33Speaker 4: same thing. There's an expectation this student is having difficulty
- 1:03:37Speaker 4: reliably meeting. Once we get to the level of what
- 1:03:42Speaker 4: are the expectations a student is having difficulty meeting, they
- 1:03:46Speaker 4: can be identified proactively, they can be solved proactively. We
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: can get out of the heat of the moment where
- 1:03:53Speaker 4: I promise you nothing productive is going on. Though. That's
- 1:03:59Speaker 4: the biggest chane we need to make moving from our
- 1:04:02Speaker 4: focus on behavior where we've been forever, to our focus
- 1:04:06Speaker 4: on the problems that are causing them. That is massive now.
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: Doctor Green. As I was reading The Kids Who Aren't Okay,
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: it occurred to me you are, in fact teaching, especially
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: the teachers. When I got about halfway through the book,
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: page ninety five, the start of chapter six, putting the
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: horse back in front of the cart, you review everything
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: on page ninety five and the top of page ninety
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: six that you've written thus far, because and actually it
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: goes all the way to page ninety six. Repetition is
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: the essence of learning, right, So you're teaching the teachers
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: to do this again and again. Is it taking hold?
- 1:04:42Speaker 4: You know, in the schools that are aware of this model,
- 1:04:45Speaker 4: it is taking hold in a big way. Lives in
- 1:04:49Speaker 4: the Balance has never been busier because, quite frankly, there's
- 1:04:53Speaker 4: a lot of leaders in education who know that what
- 1:04:55Speaker 4: we're doing right now isn't working very well, especially for
- 1:05:00Speaker 4: kids who are sluggling the most.
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: I'm coming back for one more segment with doctor Green.
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: The book is The Kids who Aren't Okay. It's at Amazon,
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: It's at Barnes and Noble, It's at Lives in the
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: Balance as well. But all you want to do is
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: go to my at page. You'll find a link here.
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: But Kids who Aren't Okay Doctor Green will be right back.
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: Welcome back to America. I'm Hugh Hewittt. Now Doctor Green
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: and I have met a few times, and my journeying
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: through Maine, I mentioned Lban at the top. Doctor Green
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: is very well known for his book Lost at School,
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: very well known for The Explosive Child, very well known
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: for everything in the world of education. If a superintendent
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: or a classroom teacher who is or the head of
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: the union or a group of concerned parents wanted to
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: bring this to the attention of their district and get
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: it to actually be absorbed. How do you recommend they
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: go about that? Doctor Green, Go to.
- 1:05:58Speaker 4: The Lives and the Balance website Lives lavees in the
- 1:06:01Speaker 4: Balance dot o RG tell us what you need through
- 1:06:05Speaker 4: the contact form. We are ready to work together with
- 1:06:09Speaker 4: any school system, any individual who's looking to change things
- 1:06:12Speaker 4: for the better, especially the for the kids who are
- 1:06:15Speaker 4: struggling the most.
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: Now, for the school districts that decide to go so.
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: And by the way, everyone I know that President Trump
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: is starting is a press conference. I'm sure Larry Elder
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: will have all of it, but it takes a while
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: for him to warm up. For the school districts that
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: want to embrace this, I would guess this summer they
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: could have everybody read it and get the teachers to
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: commit to doing the work early, the ausps early so
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: that they did not enter the school. Is that the
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: best way to sort of roll out system wide a
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: change from restraint and seclusion.
- 1:06:51Speaker 4: A book study is a very good place to start.
- 1:06:55Speaker 4: I don't want people waiting till summer. That's a that's
- 1:06:58Speaker 4: another three months of kids and educators suffering through current practices.
- 1:07:07Speaker 4: Start right away. You can get this book read in
- 1:07:10Speaker 4: one to two weeks. Oh easy, start playing, easy easily exactly, Yeah,
- 1:07:17Speaker 4: you could start playing. This is an easy read. I
- 1:07:21Speaker 4: like to think I write that way. I also like
- 1:07:23Speaker 4: to think it's a very practical book. Despite some of
- 1:07:26Speaker 4: the idealism in the book, this is not that hard
- 1:07:31Speaker 4: of a change to make. With commitment, with intentionality, this
- 1:07:36Speaker 4: can be done. If you want to wait till summer,
- 1:07:39Speaker 4: that's great. I just don't want to see people suffer
- 1:07:42Speaker 4: any longer than they have to now.
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: If you get to the again, let's say ten to
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: twenty percent, I'll even give it. Let's say twenty percent
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: have unsolved problem. If you can reduce the number of
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: unsolved problems in half of those children to a manageable level,
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: the productivity of the entire classroom will increase, probably by
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: fifty percent. Really, I can't imagine some of these things
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: in the Catholic schools of my youth. It didn't happen,
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: probably because they were restraint models that people didn't even
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: know about. But nowadays I hear about it a lot,
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: and we don't want that to happen. What a resource suck.
- 1:08:17Speaker 4: This is the fascinating part. One of the biggest impediments
- 1:08:21Speaker 4: when people first hear about this model is they feel
- 1:08:25Speaker 4: that they don't have time to do it. They are
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: spending mammoth amounts of time on behavior. They would be
- 1:08:33Speaker 4: spending a fraction of the time solving the problems that
- 1:08:37Speaker 4: are causing that behavior. Yes, intentionality and commitment do take time,
- 1:08:43Speaker 4: but the schools that implement this model are saving a
- 1:08:46Speaker 4: boatload of time because they are not running around like
- 1:08:49Speaker 4: chickens with their heads cut off anymore, dealing with behavior.
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: Crisis from chrisis. Again. The book is The Kids who
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: Aren't Okay, The Kids who Aren't Okay. Doctor Green is
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: gran and you can find it Ross Green on Amazon.
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: So Doctor Rayne's Big Picture time. Are you an optimist
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: about American education getting this fixed? I am.
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: I think there are some outstanding educators out there. I
- 1:09:18Speaker 4: think the very vast majority of educators want the best
- 1:09:22Speaker 4: for their kids and love seeing them thrive. Sometimes it
- 1:09:27Speaker 4: is their training getting in the way, Sometimes it is
- 1:09:29Speaker 4: the system getting in the way. These things can be changed,
- 1:09:34Speaker 4: and by golly, I'm will get as much of that
- 1:09:37Speaker 4: change done in my lifetime as I possibly can, right
- 1:09:39Speaker 4: here from Freeport, Maine.
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: Do you know why I'm an optimist. It's because I
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: don't know if they're in Freeport, Maine or Portland. But
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: there are trial lawyers all over the United States who
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: are going to figure out that it is not best
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: practices to restrain a child. Of course that will happen
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: in wrongful death case, but in any case, they're going
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: to start suing school districts if they're not you using
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: your approach. That's that's why I'm an opt The trial
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: lawyers know there's a duty of to these children, the
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: ten to twenty percent, and if the duty is being
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: breached with damage resulting, it's a mass tort. Have anyone
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: told you that before?
- 1:10:16Speaker 4: Oh they are. It's already happening. And I am an
- 1:10:19Speaker 4: occasional participant in those lawsuits. I don't take any money
- 1:10:24Speaker 4: for it because I don't want to feel like I'm
- 1:10:26Speaker 4: a hired gun. I just want to make sure that
- 1:10:29Speaker 4: we're treating kids the right way, making sure kids and
- 1:10:31Speaker 4: educators aren't getting hurt, and make sure that schools that
- 1:10:36Speaker 4: are still using these obsolete practices are held to account.
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: I hope we are helping them do that once again.
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: The book is The Kids who Aren't Okay. It just
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: came out last week, just when the war got started,
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: so you may not have seen the regular book chore,
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: you know, the CBS Morning News or anything like that,
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: but you should. The Kids who Aren't Okay needs to
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: be in every teacher, guest, in every superintendent's best and
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: every parent with a child who is being assessed with
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: a difficult child. Go and get the Kids who Aren't
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: Okay by doctor Ross Green, doctor Ring. Good to talk
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: to you. Thank you America, be right back, say