Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Crypto Rally HEATING UP🔥🔥l Tax Bill Advances✅
Transcript
- 0:06Speaker 1: Everybody is asking why is bitcoin flying? Well, part of
- 0:08Speaker 1: this is because there is one big, beautiful bill that
- 0:12Speaker 1: has passed and we'll get into that today. My name
- 0:14Speaker 1: is Paul Barrel. Welcome back into tech Path. Let's get
- 0:16Speaker 1: into of course, our sponsor, and that is Coinbase. This
- 0:19Speaker 1: is a place for you guys to jump in too.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Crypto guys. I know you're out there right now watching
- 0:24Speaker 1: this video and it's your first time. It's your first
- 0:27Speaker 1: time to go out and buy a crypto asset. Well,
- 0:31Speaker 1: join Coinbase. Very easy to set up an account over there.
- 0:34Speaker 1: And the cool thing here is when you set that
- 0:36Speaker 1: account up and you start your trade journey, whether you
- 0:39Speaker 1: buy bitcoin, ethereum, whatever it might be, you're going to
- 0:42Speaker 1: get up to two hundred bucks in.
- 0:43Speaker 2: Crypto just to get started. So check it out.
- 0:46Speaker 1: Use our link down below, and you guys can begin
- 0:49Speaker 1: jumping in on the crypto bandwagon. One thing as a reminder,
- 0:53Speaker 1: if you guys are not aware, we actually have a
- 0:55Speaker 1: merch page over on the YouTube page right here, so
- 0:58Speaker 1: you guys can jump into this.
- 1:00Speaker 2: You can get pretty much anything you want. We have
- 1:02Speaker 2: the new twenty four to three sixty five shirts, which
- 1:05Speaker 2: are I think the cool one, and that is kind
- 1:07Speaker 2: of the.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Theme around the crypto mindset. Crypto for America, hats, cups,
- 1:13Speaker 1: you name it.
- 1:13Speaker 2: We've got it all for you, so you guys check
- 1:15Speaker 2: it out.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Supports the channel that way, if you can, let's get
- 1:18Speaker 1: into it. And of course, a lot of things happening
- 1:20Speaker 1: right now. The biggest is the House of Representatives erupted
- 1:24Speaker 1: in cheers and applause as President's Trump's one big Beautiful
- 1:29Speaker 1: Bill officially passes the House. And this, of course is
- 1:33Speaker 1: a big deal because there's no tax on tips and overtime,
- 1:35Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy five billion for deportations on the wall,
- 1:38Speaker 1: tax really for seniors, twenty seventeen tax cuts are now permanent.
- 1:42Speaker 2: That is a big deal.
- 1:43Speaker 1: And of course I think this is one of the
- 1:45Speaker 1: key things that we are seeing as a push into
- 1:49Speaker 1: a one hundred and twelve thousand dollars bitcoin, So a
- 1:54Speaker 1: lot going into it. Everybody is asking why is this
- 1:57Speaker 1: spending bill good for bitcoin?
- 2:00Speaker 3: Listen in this spending bill, which is massive, and it
- 2:05Speaker 3: doesn't stop the freight train of US spending and the
- 2:10Speaker 3: growth of the deficit relative to US GDP. So in
- 2:14Speaker 3: the background of everything I said earlier, about crypto and
- 2:17Speaker 3: the regulation. The spending bill also makes people concerned to say, geez,
- 2:21Speaker 3: I may want to own assets away from the US dollar.
- 2:24Speaker 3: This is a good competitive asset.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Now, all right, So alternative assets definitely one of the
- 2:31Speaker 1: things I think that is cycling in to the modern
- 2:35Speaker 1: day mantra of how investing is done. The other thing
- 2:38Speaker 1: that I still believe is a critical component that a
- 2:41Speaker 1: lot of people are missing, and that is this dynamic
- 2:44Speaker 1: shift between the demographics. So what I mean by that
- 2:47Speaker 1: is boomers and X generations, which have pretty much controlled
- 2:50Speaker 1: Wall Street and most of the financial markets, are now
- 2:53Speaker 1: starting to hand off a lot of that impression within
- 2:57Speaker 1: the millennial audience and eventually the gen z all of that,
- 3:00Speaker 1: my friend, we'll start to move in the digital asset
- 3:04Speaker 1: investment scape.
- 3:05Speaker 2: And I think that is where we're going.
- 3:07Speaker 1: And when you think about bitcoin and why it's flying, well,
- 3:10Speaker 1: this is just the precursor of something bigger to come.
- 3:13Speaker 3: Listen in it is a bipartisan commitment to stable coin legislation,
- 3:18Speaker 3: the Genius Act. I know you love stable and genius.
- 3:21Speaker 3: When those words are paying together, these are whether to
- 3:24Speaker 3: the shoe fits. Listen, It's a bipartisan act and I
- 3:28Speaker 3: think it's putting to bed the idea that we're going
- 3:32Speaker 3: to have a partisan issue around regulation and bitcoin. And
- 3:35Speaker 3: by the way, this is really along the David Sachs
- 3:38Speaker 3: theory where we've got to make bitcoin bipartisan if we're
- 3:42Speaker 3: really going to create a crypto reserve for the United States,
- 3:45Speaker 3: and you guys know this. We have states now that
- 3:47Speaker 3: are passed crypto reserves. Country sovereign wealth funds are buying it,
- 3:52Speaker 3: and so this sort of paves the way for a
- 3:54Speaker 3: bipartisan commitment to bitcoin, but it also opens up pathways
- 3:58Speaker 3: for foundation endowments, institutional investors and so Andrew, I think
- 4:04Speaker 3: this move is bitcoin when you're looking at as a
- 4:07Speaker 3: capital allocator, it's sort of the now of crypto, and
- 4:10Speaker 3: so therefore people are taking a toe hole position. It's
- 4:13Speaker 3: thinly volumed in terms of the amount of supply that's
- 4:16Speaker 3: out there, and that's what's pushing the price up so aggressively.
- 4:20Speaker 1: All Right, So a few things that you have to
- 4:22Speaker 1: address there with what Skaramuchie is talking about, and I
- 4:24Speaker 1: think the biggest one is when you look at the
- 4:27Speaker 1: amount of people that are saying, my god, you know,
- 4:30Speaker 1: bitcoin's that a new all time high.
- 4:32Speaker 2: Is it too late? Look at the institutional.
- 4:35Speaker 1: Capital fringe of what's going on right now that I
- 4:38Speaker 1: think they believe is just the beginning of where this
- 4:42Speaker 1: market is going to go. Most of the crypto ogs believe, Hey,
- 4:46Speaker 1: we've been in here so long, we've been, you know,
- 4:48Speaker 1: trudging away at trying to get people into bitcoin. I
- 4:51Speaker 1: think sometimes we ourselves overlook just how early this really is,
- 4:56Speaker 1: even though a lot of people will say, my gosh,
- 4:57Speaker 1: you know, one hundred and twelve thousand dollars bitcoin are
- 5:00Speaker 1: near the top. That I think is the question mark
- 5:02Speaker 1: that everybody's asking. And of course the biggest thing that
- 5:05Speaker 1: tells me, no, is this right here. Stable coin legislation
- 5:08Speaker 1: is about to pass the Senate. Bitcoin just hit a
- 5:11Speaker 1: new all time high, and we have not even seen
- 5:14Speaker 1: Ethereum move. We have not even seen other digital assets
- 5:18Speaker 1: start to benefit from what is going to become a
- 5:22Speaker 1: much more mainstream narrative going forward around all these digital assets.
- 5:27Speaker 1: Now you have to think about two scenarios that play
- 5:30Speaker 1: out when you think about next generation assets such as
- 5:33Speaker 1: digital assets. The other side of this of the coin
- 5:37Speaker 1: is to talk about AI, because there's almost a lockstep
- 5:40Speaker 1: connection between AI and what's going on in the blockchain space.
- 5:44Speaker 1: I want to go to what David Sachs has to
- 5:46Speaker 1: say about this and why it's important take a look.
- 5:50Speaker 4: I mean, I think it'll be immediate. So we already
- 5:53Speaker 4: have over two or billion dollars in stable coins. It's
- 5:56Speaker 4: just unregulated, and I think that if we provide the
- 5:59Speaker 4: legal thing already illegal framework for this, I think we
- 6:01Speaker 4: could create trillions of dollars of demand for our treasuries
- 6:04Speaker 4: practically overnight, very quickly. So America has to win the
- 6:07Speaker 4: AI race. If we don't, it'll be very bad for
- 6:09Speaker 4: our economy, it'll be very bad for our military. So
- 6:12Speaker 4: I think we're going to do us necessary to win
- 6:14Speaker 4: this race.
- 6:15Speaker 1: All right, So two things going on there, And the
- 6:19Speaker 1: point is is that when you look at stable coin injection,
- 6:22Speaker 1: it reframes what's going on with US treasuries. What I
- 6:26Speaker 1: mean by that is all stable coins for the most
- 6:29Speaker 1: part backed by US treasuries. When you look at nation
- 6:33Speaker 1: states starting to if you've take into consideration just the
- 6:35Speaker 1: Japanese situation with the en and the potential of them
- 6:40Speaker 1: may be trying to say the end by selling US treasuries.
- 6:43Speaker 2: Well, the alternative to.
- 6:44Speaker 1: That is there could be a huge uptick as what
- 6:46Speaker 1: Sax was talking about in terms of inflow into treasuries
- 6:51Speaker 1: because of stable coins, because every stable coin you buy,
- 6:53Speaker 1: a treasury dollar is having to be purchased at the
- 6:55Speaker 1: same time to give validation around what that means, because
- 6:59Speaker 1: it's it's not like banking where you've got you know,
- 7:02Speaker 1: fractional reserve banking. This is a one to one asset
- 7:05Speaker 1: hold that I think is one of the biggest deals
- 7:08Speaker 1: that a lot of people overlook. Now when you look
- 7:11Speaker 1: at bitcoin and where it's going right now, there are
- 7:14Speaker 1: some very interesting signs here. First, golden cross since October
- 7:18Speaker 1: and this is the last one that sent prices going
- 7:22Speaker 1: forty six percent at the time, and that was over
- 7:25Speaker 1: the next two months after we saw that golden cross.
- 7:27Speaker 1: Now this is the next one. So are we in
- 7:29Speaker 1: lou for the next major shift. If you look at
- 7:32Speaker 1: bitcoin's chart right now, obviously the market is up. Let's
- 7:36Speaker 1: go all the way back here back to May of
- 7:39Speaker 1: just this year. Guys, Look how much the market has
- 7:42Speaker 1: moved just in a little bit, and I'll.
- 7:44Speaker 2: Go to the chart here.
- 7:46Speaker 1: We'll go to the local bottom right there, Bitcoin's still
- 7:49Speaker 1: holding up almost nine ten percent for an asset this size,
- 7:54Speaker 1: that is unbelievable. I put out a tweet that kind
- 7:57Speaker 1: of broke this down a little bit because of the
- 7:59Speaker 1: sky rocketing position around the RSI, and it broke seventy
- 8:03Speaker 1: for the first time really since twenty twenty one. It's
- 8:06Speaker 1: re entering kind of this overbought territory. I think that's
- 8:09Speaker 1: one of the things. But remember the last time we
- 8:11Speaker 1: had bitcoin peaking in a cycle in twenty twenty one,
- 8:16Speaker 1: it hit at that time was around ninety in terms
- 8:20Speaker 1: of overall sentiment, and now when you look at where.
- 8:23Speaker 2: We are today, much much lower than that.
- 8:26Speaker 1: And that's where we are in the essence of today
- 8:29Speaker 1: at sixty two point eight. So what that means if
- 8:31Speaker 1: you look at sentiment in general, does bitcoin have a
- 8:34Speaker 1: lot more upside? Here is one fifty in the cards
- 8:37Speaker 1: going forward. Taking a look at overall crypto fear and greed,
- 8:41Speaker 1: of course, we are coming right in line now with
- 8:44Speaker 1: where the market is holding after dipping significantly just back
- 8:49Speaker 1: here in early April and then skyrocketing up to seventy three.
- 8:53Speaker 1: So one of the highest fear and greed indexes, even
- 8:57Speaker 1: though we have not seen the high that we saw
- 9:00Speaker 1: back here in November and December of last year, which
- 9:04Speaker 1: was holding at bitcoin price right around ninety seven thousand
- 9:07Speaker 1: at the time. So imagine that where we are now
- 9:10Speaker 1: and where we saw the market in November December of
- 9:13Speaker 1: last year. That could mean again a lot more upside
- 9:17Speaker 1: going in. And I still think this is just the
- 9:19Speaker 1: precursor to what really is holding up the market, and
- 9:22Speaker 1: that is the potential for the rest of these digital
- 9:25Speaker 1: assets to run.
- 9:26Speaker 2: Let me go to this next clip because this.
- 9:29Speaker 1: Will get into why the US dollar is starting to
- 9:32Speaker 1: have a downshift and what this might mean for crypto.
- 9:35Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 9:36Speaker 5: Seeing the dollar just plummet here todate, I'm looking at
- 9:40Speaker 5: Bloomberg Dollar Index. It comes from thirteen twenty down to
- 9:42Speaker 5: twelve twenty, so down one hundred points. Does that fuel
- 9:46Speaker 5: you think better revenues for US companies?
- 9:49Speaker 6: It's definitely part of the storyline. I mean, it's one
- 9:50Speaker 6: of the reasons we made this call about six weeks
- 9:52Speaker 6: ago when the dollar was weaker. We said, you know,
- 9:54Speaker 6: US versus rest of world is about to turn up
- 9:56Speaker 6: because it affects revision breath and if we just stay
- 9:59Speaker 6: around these levels, that tail one will persist into the
- 10:01Speaker 6: second half. Our forecast for the dollar, by the way,
- 10:04Speaker 6: in this mid year update, is for another ten percent
- 10:06Speaker 6: to climb, so you think about dollars in dollars, So
- 10:09Speaker 6: if that continues into next year, okay, that's just going
- 10:12Speaker 6: to provide another tail one for twenty twenty six. It's
- 10:15Speaker 6: just another reason why the S and P has a
- 10:17Speaker 6: really hard time. You know, correcting more than ten percent.
- 10:19Speaker 2: Isn't that rough for inflation?
- 10:21Speaker 6: But remember this, Matt. You know stocks do well when
- 10:24Speaker 6: inflation is accelerating. It's a little known fact, okay, because
- 10:27Speaker 6: it drives earnings. In twenty twenty and twenty one is
- 10:30Speaker 6: when inflation really took off. Those are the two best
- 10:33Speaker 6: years for the average stock. So just Nick, don't underestimate.
- 10:36Speaker 6: Kind of like, inflation can be bad for the consumer
- 10:39Speaker 6: at the margin, as long as it doesn't turn into
- 10:41Speaker 6: a recession.
- 10:42Speaker 1: All right, So interesting statements there. Inflation bad for consumers
- 10:47Speaker 1: at the margin, and I think this is something that
- 10:50Speaker 1: we are going to most likely see. The real question
- 10:53Speaker 1: is how much of an effect does this have on
- 10:55Speaker 1: the FED and what is this going to look like
- 10:57Speaker 1: in terms of an alternative asset, Because that's why I
- 10:59Speaker 1: think obviously we've seen the performance around Bitcoin. But you
- 11:03Speaker 1: got to look at all coin season right now, and
- 11:05Speaker 1: if you look at the index right now, very very
- 11:08Speaker 1: low on the all coin season, we haven't even gotten
- 11:11Speaker 1: into a point where we could even consider all coin
- 11:15Speaker 1: season coming back.
- 11:16Speaker 2: So what does that tell you, guys? Right now?
- 11:18Speaker 1: If you are looking at ethereum, which is only pacing
- 11:21Speaker 1: it around twenty five hundred to twenty eight hundred, you've
- 11:24Speaker 1: got Bitcoin now cracking through all times high, all time high,
- 11:27Speaker 1: and it's not just moving through it, it's blasting through it.
- 11:30Speaker 1: What does that mean in terms of dominance? Could we
- 11:33Speaker 1: start to see this start to peak out? Maybe I
- 11:36Speaker 1: feel that that one twenty mark is maybe our first
- 11:39Speaker 1: real stabilization.
- 11:40Speaker 2: Point in the market. All right, let's take a look
- 11:43Speaker 2: at this right here.
- 11:43Speaker 1: This is the last twenty four hours, about three half
- 11:46Speaker 1: a billion in liquidations. Single largest was around six point three.
- 11:50Speaker 1: So point being is that if you're trying to short
- 11:53Speaker 1: the market right bitcoin specifically right now, you're probably just
- 11:57Speaker 1: never going.
- 11:58Speaker 2: To hit it.
- 11:59Speaker 1: Is it a better opportunity to just dollar cost average?
- 12:02Speaker 1: As we get small.
- 12:03Speaker 2: Pullbox just like we had yesterday? We had a small
- 12:05Speaker 2: pullback yesterday.
- 12:07Speaker 1: Was that the kind of pullback that potentially could come
- 12:10Speaker 1: if you look at.
- 12:11Speaker 2: Just the chart.
- 12:12Speaker 1: We'll go over here to the bitcoin chart real quick.
- 12:14Speaker 1: That little pullback right there was essentially what we're talking about.
- 12:18Speaker 1: And now, of course bitcoin trading at one hundred and eleven,
- 12:21Speaker 1: so really is there an opportunity for us to see
- 12:23Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a dip? Is that your
- 12:25Speaker 1: chance to get into bitcoin if you haven't ever been
- 12:28Speaker 1: exposed to it? Now you got quite a few other
- 12:31Speaker 1: things happening within crypto. Avalanche has got some news as
- 12:34Speaker 1: well as Solana.
- 12:35Speaker 2: One of the big.
- 12:36Speaker 1: News pieces right here was FIFA now signs a partnership
- 12:39Speaker 1: with Avalanche to build its own blockchain on an L one.
- 12:42Speaker 1: We kind of knew this was coming, We anticipated it,
- 12:45Speaker 1: we talked about this before on the show, and it
- 12:47Speaker 1: is now happening. So Vifa collect has migrated to the
- 12:51Speaker 1: new FIFA blockchain. This of course is now running on avax,
- 12:55Speaker 1: which is probably why you're starting to see Avalanche move
- 12:58Speaker 1: quite a bit just here in the last couple of days.
- 13:00Speaker 1: Not necessarily this alone, many other things with van k
- 13:03Speaker 1: and that fun in terms of development, which I think
- 13:05Speaker 1: the ecosystem is a big deal to develop on Avalanche
- 13:10Speaker 1: and that I think will help Avalanche stabilize and truly
- 13:13Speaker 1: become one of the big ones for this run.
- 13:15Speaker 2: The other thing you got to look at right.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Now, well, there's some big news right here with Europe,
- 13:19Speaker 1: and this of course means the first MIKA compliant eurostable
- 13:23Speaker 1: coin integrated on the XARP ledger is now in play.
- 13:28Speaker 1: So XRP could be giving us some indicators on what
- 13:33Speaker 1: is to come here in the United States or in
- 13:35Speaker 1: places around the world, so be on the lookout for
- 13:37Speaker 1: XRP as well. Solana, of course just announced this week
- 13:41Speaker 1: at Accelerate that Kraken is also launching stocks on Solana,
- 13:46Speaker 1: so this will allows Solana users to trade token is
- 13:48Speaker 1: stocks like Apple, Taesla and others. All this is going
- 13:51Speaker 1: to be done and of course operated on xtox dot com,
- 13:55Speaker 1: so you guys can learn a little bit more.
- 13:56Speaker 2: About it there.
- 13:57Speaker 1: This is a big deal because it does again get
- 14:00Speaker 1: back into the demographic I mentioned earlier, and that is
- 14:03Speaker 1: the millennials and gen z who are changing the way
- 14:06Speaker 1: they invest, and I think more and more of this
- 14:08Speaker 1: is just showing up on blockchain.
- 14:09Speaker 2: Now.
- 14:09Speaker 1: The bad news of this week, if there is any,
- 14:12Speaker 1: was this announcement right here by cetas, and that was
- 14:16Speaker 1: that there was an incident detected on our protocol. Smart
- 14:19Speaker 1: contracts has been paused temporarily for safety. Team is investigating.
- 14:24Speaker 1: This is all, of course, within the Sweet blockchain network.
- 14:27Speaker 1: And you look at some statements here right here Sweet CPO.
- 14:31Speaker 1: He talks about reports of the estimated around two hundred
- 14:33Speaker 1: and twenty million to two hundred and thirty million stolen,
- 14:36Speaker 1: Around one hundred and fifty keywords here one hundred and
- 14:39Speaker 1: fifty to one sixty have been frozen and will be
- 14:43Speaker 1: restored to cetus pools soon. Now this surprised me and
- 14:48Speaker 1: created a bit of a pause. And the pause is
- 14:51Speaker 1: this right here, and that is if, in fact we
- 14:54Speaker 1: have a decentralized Sweet blockchain, how is that possible for
- 14:59Speaker 1: the these things to happen? And that, I think is
- 15:02Speaker 1: the question that everybody is asking. Now, this has happened
- 15:05Speaker 1: on other blockchains as well. I'm beginning to see some
- 15:10Speaker 1: patterns here that I'm not necessarily in favor of, But
- 15:13Speaker 1: the point being is that it does change maybe one's
- 15:18Speaker 1: thinking of how decentralization works.
- 15:21Speaker 2: So let's just frame that up.
- 15:23Speaker 1: I know it's kind of getting into a more conspiratorial theory,
- 15:27Speaker 1: but pay attention to what you're doing out there in
- 15:29Speaker 1: a lot of these other blockchains. One last thing, of course,
- 15:32Speaker 1: is that Donald Trump is holding his.
- 15:34Speaker 2: Trump Mean Coin dinner.
- 15:36Speaker 1: That's happening tonight, and of course that's going to be
- 15:39Speaker 1: at the National Golf Club in DC. This is for
- 15:41Speaker 1: all the leaders that participated in the Trump Coin and
- 15:44Speaker 1: they're getting benefits.
- 15:45Speaker 2: This is where meme coins pay off with true utility.
- 15:50Speaker 1: Now, of course, when you think about true utility, you
- 15:53Speaker 1: got to go on the other side of things, and
- 15:55Speaker 1: that is that Maxine Waters is going head to head
- 15:59Speaker 1: after an anti corruption bill for Trump's dinner. And now,
- 16:03Speaker 1: remember most politicians do these things anyway, they hold dinners.
- 16:07Speaker 1: His is just a little different in the sense it's
- 16:09Speaker 1: got a new kind of you know, whatever you want
- 16:13Speaker 1: to call it, of them to be able to raise money.
- 16:16Speaker 1: And of course I think this is the thing that
- 16:18Speaker 1: politicians are going to get their head around one day.
- 16:21Speaker 1: I would not be surprised if we start to see
- 16:23Speaker 1: a lot more politicians launching their own meme tokens coming soon.
- 16:28Speaker 1: So stay around right here on PBN. You guys can
- 16:31Speaker 1: get of course, the download on a lot of our videos.
- 16:34Speaker 1: If you guys have not dived into our library. Get
- 16:37Speaker 1: into a lot of that. Pick a token any of them,
- 16:40Speaker 1: jump over to the channel, and you guys can learn
- 16:43Speaker 1: pretty much anything you want around every aspect of the
- 16:47Speaker 1: market out there. Get into the Diamond circle. It's absolutely free.
- 16:51Speaker 1: Follow me on X at Paul Barn We'll catch you
- 16:54Speaker 1: next time right here on tech Path