Latest / Elon Musk Podcast / NASA messed up big time and cost taxpayers 90+ Billion dollars
Transcript
- 0:00NASA and SpaceX have been working together for a while
- 0:03now. Ferrying people from the Earth
- 0:07to the International. Space Station via Falcon, 9
- 0:11block, 5 and crew dragon crafts, and NASA has awarded three New
- 0:17Missions to space. Exploration Technologies
- 0:21corporation that SpaceX of Hawthorne, California for crew,
- 0:25transportation services to the International Space Station as
- 0:28part of its commercial. Crew Transportation capability,
- 0:31contract to CCT cap contract the CC TCAP modification following
- 0:39the agency's notice of intent to procure.
- 0:41The fights in December of twenty, Twenty-One brings the
- 0:44total missions for SpaceX 29. It allows NASA to maintain and
- 0:49uninterrupted u.s. capability for human access to the
- 0:52International Space Station. Now, this is a firm fixed price.
- 0:56Indefinite delivery indefinite quantity, contract modified for
- 1:01the crew, seven crew weight and crew 9 missions, very important
- 1:04and bringing the total contract value to about 3.5 billion
- 1:09dollars. And the period of performance
- 1:11runs through March 31st 20:28, the current sole source
- 1:17modification does not preclude as from seeking additional
- 1:20contract modifications in the future for additional
- 1:23transportation services. Needing.
- 1:25So basically, they're saying if they need more transport, if
- 1:28they need more people to go to the International Space Station,
- 1:31they can call on SpaceX to do more missions for NASA and for
- 1:38these commercial crew, transportations contracts.
- 1:44So in 2014 NASA awarded the CCT cap contracts to Boeing and
- 1:49SpaceX through a public-private partnership as part of the
- 1:54agency's commercial. Herschel crew program under CCT
- 1:57cap. NASA has certified that a
- 2:01provider space transportation system.
- 2:03Meets the agency's requirements prior to Flying missions with
- 2:06astronauts and we know SpaceX is great at building rockets and
- 2:11they're great at building space suits now.
- 2:13Now they're also great at building crew capsules.
- 2:17So This is why SpaceX and NASA work together because Space X
- 2:24can be counted on by NASA to do the right thing and build the
- 2:27right stuff for people to go to the ISS SpaceX was certified by
- 2:32NASA for crew transportation in November, 20, 20, and currently
- 2:36its third crew rotation mission. For the agency is in Orbit is
- 2:40part of the mission. SpaceX is crew Dragon spacecraft
- 2:43and Falcon 9 rocket transport about four astronauts along with
- 2:46critical cargo to the space station.
- 2:49Sell SpaceX can hold up to 4 people in these crew.
- 2:54Capsules there's enough room for, you know, all the crew and
- 2:59little bit of cargo in there because there's a trunk as well.
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- 5:06Ilan backblaze.com, Ilan, backblaze.com, Ilan.
- 5:14And, you know, there's a, there's a little bit of other
- 5:16stuff going on with NASA to that.
- 5:18I want to touch on this kind of fits in with the Elon Musk and
- 5:22SpaceX stuff Elon Musk. And SpaceX are building Starship
- 5:28right down the road from me and Boca, Chica Texas.
- 5:30I'm in Brownsville Texas. And NASA is building the SLS,
- 5:36their gigantic Rockin it's about, it's smaller than the
- 5:41Starship, but it is also a gigantic rocket the rolling.
- 5:45It out here in a little bit in a month or two So, NASA's, massive
- 5:51Moon rocket will cost taxpayers billion more at least a billion
- 5:56more possible, billions more than projected, that's what an
- 6:01auditor has warned Congress. So taxpayers could be footing
- 6:06the bill for this gigantic rocket or this, there's a team
- 6:10of these Rockets to so they have a bunch of them that they're
- 6:13working on at the same time. And no using old rocket engines.
- 6:18The same rocket engines that they used for the space shuttle
- 6:22in the 80s. Remember those things?
- 6:24They were awesome but it's an older technology but it still
- 6:27works, you know. So NASA was, they were trying to
- 6:32cut Corners. They're trying not to develop
- 6:34new engines and they have an engine that works so good for
- 6:37them to try to save some money there.
- 6:39But everybody else that's working on this thing.
- 6:41It's taken a lot of time to build this.
- 6:44And with time, Comes people's time with every single person
- 6:48that's built this system. You have to pay those people.
- 6:52You have to pay the contractors and everybody else.
- 6:55So NASA's auditor didn't mince words.
- 6:58When he told lawmakers that the space agency is lunar program,
- 7:04that's the space launch system, and the Artemis program is going
- 7:09to cost a ton more permission than initial projections
- 7:13suggested about a decade ago. So About 10 years ago, sort of
- 7:17Lucky Lon. You know, when Ilan says yeah
- 7:20we're going to be done with full self-driving of Tesla cars in a
- 7:24bit about a year. Then we're like okay you know
- 7:27like when we first announced that he was like yeah this is
- 7:29not a big deal it'll be here in a year or two we're like oh
- 7:32cool. Okay full self-driving, they'll
- 7:34figure it out, but it might take a little while to get it there.
- 7:38That's what this is. It's happening with this rocket
- 7:41is taking a while for them to get there. not of the same sort
- 7:45of spectrum is that, but it's similar But this cost, billions
- 7:49of dollars, more of the taxpayers money Tesla's a
- 7:52private company, NASA is owned by the people.
- 7:57So that auditor said, we found that the first four arguments
- 8:00missions will each cost 4.1 billion dollars per launch a
- 8:06price tag. That strikes us as
- 8:08unsustainable. That's from NASA Inspector
- 8:11General Paul Martin. And like I said before, Artemis
- 8:16is the name of NASA's lunar. Program and the artists missions
- 8:21are very, very cool. They'll be putting people back
- 8:25on the moon in the future and will also be bringing things
- 8:29back from the Moon Back Down to Earth.
- 8:31So we can study it here. They're going to be making a
- 8:34base on the moon, they're going to be going around the moon and
- 8:36coming back to Earth. They're going to be docking with
- 8:40a space station, that's in lunar orbit.
- 8:43So there's going to be a space station.
- 8:45That's orbiting the moon and the Artemis missions will dock with
- 8:51that and then a SpaceX Starship. We'll take the astronauts from
- 8:56that all the way down to the surface of the Moon.
- 9:00And I believe the Starship is going to be way bigger than the
- 9:02space station, which is hilarious because just think
- 9:05about this, if you could launch a rocket To the to a lunar
- 9:12orbit, without people in it and then you pick up those people
- 9:16because the people will get to that space station via an
- 9:20Artemis rocket. The SLS, why wouldn't they just
- 9:24go there in a Starship. Cut out the middleman, right?
- 9:26It makes sense, but also, they need a place to do Mission,
- 9:31critical science and Observatory kind of missions.
- 9:37So that's why the lunar Outpost is there.
- 9:41So the NASA General Inspector General Parma, Paul Martin said
- 9:45it's going to cost a bunch more money.
- 9:47So when this was announced they thought that this was going to
- 9:52cost only 500 million dollars per launch.
- 9:57Each Mission would cost five hundred million dollars.
- 10:00Ilan thinks the Starship can get down to about a million dollars
- 10:02per launch eventually and with the rocket targeting a 20-17
- 10:06debut. That's when they thought the SLS
- 10:09was going to launch. It's about eight fold now, 4.1
- 10:13billion, dollar estimate is only for Productions and ground
- 10:16operation. It does not include development
- 10:18costs required to get the Artemis program to this point in
- 10:21time. That's what the inspector said.
- 10:24It's a challenging development process, of course, but we did
- 10:27see, very poor contractor performance on Boeing's.
- 10:30Part Boeing is slipping up man, poor planning and poor
- 10:34execution. We saw that the cost-plus
- 10:35contracts that NASA had been using to develop that combined,
- 10:39SLS and Orion And system work to the contracts rather than to
- 10:42NASA's Advantage. So, they're giving all the stuff
- 10:48right to Boeing. The giving all the attention to
- 10:50Boeing and saying, Boeing, do this for us?
- 10:52We love you but they're not thinking about what's going to
- 10:56benefit NASA and what's going to benefit the taxpayers.
- 10:58This is our program in the u.s. here.
- 11:00This is not Boeing's program. This is the us as program.
- 11:05So the Cost Plus contracts. The NASA had been using to
- 11:09develop the combined SLS in Ryan system work to the contractors
- 11:13rather than NASA. Think about that for a second.
- 11:17And for NASA's part, we saw poor project management and contract
- 11:20oversight. So for NASA, they didn't do the
- 11:23right thing. They didn't say, hey, this isn't
- 11:26working out for us. We got to shift gears here, we
- 11:29got to work for the people. Now for Boeing, when adjusted
- 11:34for inflation, NASA has developed SLS for a quarter of
- 11:36the cost of the Saturn 5, which is great and half the To the
- 11:40Space Shuttle, which is great. For less than average annual
- 11:45spending of space shuttle operations.
- 11:49Okay, so those are those are positive things and the core
- 11:51National Transportation has elements of the artist programs
- 11:54have been developed for a fraction of the cost of the
- 11:56comparable Apollo program systems and that was in the 60s
- 12:00and 70s. You know, but that's old
- 12:03technology, we know how to do this stuff now, right?
- 12:07So the SLS cost is huge. Starship SpaceX is Starship, is
- 12:14fully reusable. So when they only send one up,
- 12:16they can bring it back down and they can reuse it and that saves
- 12:21them a bunch of money. So he Lon recently estimate, the
- 12:27Starships development costs would be 5% to 10% of the Apollo
- 12:30era starter set. Five rocket which ended
- 12:34inflation adjustment is about 50 billion dollars and that puts
- 12:38Starships development cost at 2.5 billion. 25 billion two
- 12:44point five two five billion dollars For just just to get
- 12:51Starship going and everyone after that is cheaper and
- 12:55cheaper and cheaper. So he wants to get it down to
- 12:57about a million dollars. So Starship, it's part of the
- 13:02program, they won the 2.9 billion dollar contract from
- 13:06NASA to develop a moon specific version of Starship to serve as
- 13:10the crew lunar lander. And while SpaceX is not stopped
- 13:14at Starship development since beginning in 2019, I see it
- 13:18every day. I'm down here in Boca Chica and
- 13:20I see the Starship being built - absolutely amazing NASA.
- 13:23Lost, seven months of time to work with SpaceX.
- 13:26Do do a protest and lawsuit by Jeff Bezos.
- 13:30Rose from Blue origin. So they lost a bunch of time,
- 13:35lost it but some money SpaceX continue building, it continued
- 13:39working and Ilan was doing the right thing.
- 13:43NASA representatives are continuing to present SLS and
- 13:47Orion as crucial equipment to a sustainable approach to
- 13:52re-establishing, humans, living and working on the moon and I'm
- 13:57all for this. I want people to live and work
- 13:59on the moon. I think it's been a dream of
- 14:01humanity, since we could look up and we could see the moon above
- 14:04us, that someday, somebody will reach that in.
- 14:08Somebody will be living there. There has been fairy tales about
- 14:10it. There's been stories.
- 14:11There's been movies about people living.
- 14:13Up there and moon people, and all sorts of aliens.
- 14:18But now we do have a chance. We have this, this opportunity
- 14:23to build a rocket that will get people to the moon.
- 14:26So we can live on our closest neighbor and it's going to cost
- 14:31us a lot of money to do it. The costs continue to mount
- 14:35Inspector General, recent audit of Artemis found, forty billion
- 14:38dollars has already been spent on the program, 40 billion with
- 14:42NASA projected to spend. And 93 billion on the Artemis
- 14:46effort through 2025. 93 billion dollars for a rocket that SpaceX
- 14:55is building for, you know, somewhere around five billion.
- 15:00That's a big difference. That's almost 90 billion,
- 15:04dollars of a difference. SpaceX is doing it all on their
- 15:08own to. They don't need other
- 15:10contractors. I mean, they do use other
- 15:11contractors, don't get me wrong, but they don't use them for the,
- 15:16for the big Parts. You know, they use all
- 15:19proprietary. Dietary technology.
- 15:21The doing it themselves. You can see the building.
- 15:22They're off Highway for. It's absolutely amazing down
- 15:26there. So I want to say thanks to
- 15:28everybody who's been listening to the show.
- 15:30Thanks for following. Thanks for subscribing to it.
- 15:32I appreciate you. Hey, have a good day and I'll
- 15:36see you next time. Elon Musk pod, take care.