Latest / The Vault: The Epstein Files / The Expert Witness Report Of Bernard J. Jansen In Support Of Virginia Roberts (Part 2)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: What's up everyone, and welcome back to the Epstein Chronicles.
- 0:04In this episode, we're going to dive right back in
- 0:06to that expert witness testimony that we were talking about
- 0:10in the last episode, So let's get back to it.
- 0:14Part six. Methodology sixteen. I was asked to determine the
- 0:20dissemination of articles containing the statements made against Miss Roberts seventeen.
- 0:25In forming my opinion, I utilized accepted web analytics and
- 0:29related methodologies in developing my assessment eighteen. To that end,
- 0:34I employed various publicly available online analytics services as well
- 0:39as some subscription based services in conducting my research, including Alexa,
- 0:45an online service that provides web traffic data and analysis,
- 0:49Compete an online service that provides web traffic data and analysis.
- 0:54Google Keyword Tool and online service that provides the number
- 0:58of searches for a given set of keywords in a
- 1:00given month on the Google search engine. Google Trends an
- 1:05online service that shows how often a particular term is
- 1:09relatively searched on the Google Search Engine in a given period.
- 1:13Similar web an online service that provides web traffic data
- 1:18and analysis. Spyfu an online service providing search data and analytics,
- 1:23including for both paid IE advertisements and organic IE, natural
- 1:29or algorithmic channels. W three snoop an online service that
- 1:34provides web traffic data and analysis nineteen. These tools offer
- 1:39a variety of data and analysis services, and they are
- 1:42frequently utilized by industry professionals in the search engine optimization,
- 1:47web analytics, and search engine marketing fields for market customer
- 1:52and competitive analysis. Furthermore, where possible, I did my own
- 1:57assessments as outlined below. In order to validate the data
- 2:01and analysis results Number twenty I utilize search engines, primarily Google,
- 2:07ending to assess the dissemination of articles containing the statements
- 2:11made against Miss Roberts twenty one. Whenever possible, I use
- 2:16multiple data sources, which is a data verification technique known
- 2:20as triangulation, where one uses multiple and disparate sources of
- 2:25analysis and then compare the results from the separate analysis.
- 2:29If the results are similar, it reinforces the conclusion that
- 2:33the overall data analysis is valid. Number twenty two. In
- 2:38all of my assessments, I have used the most conservative numbers,
- 2:42meaning that I use the smallest value In arriving at
- 2:45the dissemination of articles containing the statements made against Miss Roberts.
- 2:50If I had employed this conservative estimate, the number of
- 2:53potential dissemination of articles containing the statements made against Miss
- 2:57Roberts would be one hundred and two million, seven hundred
- 3:01and forty thousand, eight hundred and sixteen daily unique visitors
- 3:06number twenty four. My analysis is based on my experience, training, knowledge,
- 3:10and education is formed through the application of that experience, training, knowledge,
- 3:16and education in the principles of web data collection, web analytics,
- 3:21web search, search engines, websites, and related areas number seven.
- 3:26Dissemination of the statements made against Miss Roberts twenty five.
- 3:31My opinion is that the articles containing the statements made
- 3:34against Miss Roberts have been disseminated to at least one
- 3:37hundred and fifteen online media and other sites in one
- 3:41hundred and seventy eight separate stories or articles with a
- 3:44combine sixty six million, nine hundred and nine thousand, nine
- 3:48hundred and sixty five unique daily visitors twenty six. This
- 3:53is a conservative estimate, and it's more likely than not
- 3:56the statements have received wider dissemination due to the actors
- 4:00such as A. I used a set of online websites
- 4:03one hundred and fifteen to calculate the dissemination of the articles,
- 4:07and it's reasonable that I have not located all references
- 4:11to the statements made against Miss Roberts by the time
- 4:14of the submission of this report, so there may be
- 4:17more sites with articles containing the statements made against Miss
- 4:20Roberts that are not included in my calculations. B. My
- 4:25focus of analysis was the online dissemination of the statements
- 4:30made against Miss Roberts. Therefore I examined only online sources
- 4:34and not dissemination of the statements made against Miss Roberts
- 4:38via print or broadcast media. It is reasonable to assume
- 4:42that the statements made against Miss Roberts were disseminated via
- 4:45these other channels. See. I have not attempted to measure
- 4:50face to face dissemination of the statements made against Miss Roberts. Therefore,
- 4:55these sources of dissemination are not included in the account
- 4:58of Daily Unique Visits D. I did not have access
- 5:03to certain online sources where the statements against Miss Roberts
- 5:06may have been disseminated e g. Email messages, social media messages,
- 5:11articles behind firewalls, etc. Therefore, these sources are not included
- 5:16in the account of Daily Unique visitors. E. There may be
- 5:20sites that hosted articles containing the statements made against Miss
- 5:23Roberts where the articles have been removed. Therefore, I did
- 5:27not include these sites in my calculation of the unique
- 5:31daily visitors. F. There are sites where the visitor data
- 5:35is not accessible or where I couldnot reasonably check the
- 5:38number of visitors. In these cases, even though I had
- 5:42confirmed the site had posted one or more articles containing
- 5:45statements made against Miss Roberts, I did not include these
- 5:48sites in my calculation of the unique daily visitors. G.
- 5:53I did not consider the dissemination via social media platforms
- 5:57of articles containing the statements against Miss robert H. Many
- 6:01sites publish multiple articles on multiple days that contain or
- 6:05reference the statements made against Miss Roberts. However, I did
- 6:09not use these multiple articles from the same site with
- 6:13different publication dates in my calculations. In determining the number
- 6:17of Daily Unique visitors who have been exposed to the
- 6:20articles containing the statements made against Miss Roberts, I I
- 6:25did not include articles that link to one or more
- 6:28of the articles containing the statements made against Miss Roberts,
- 6:32unless the article directly referenced the statements made against Miss Roberts.
- 6:36I did not include it in my analysis. Jay. Finally,
- 6:40I did not include people who may have been searching
- 6:43and may have seen the statements made against Miss Roberts
- 6:46in the search results without needing to visit the actual
- 6:49articles posted on the websites. Number eight Methodology to determine
- 6:54the dissemination of the statements made against Miss Roberts twenty seven.
- 6:59I have been in that the statements made against Miss
- 7:02Roberts were originally contained in an email message from Ross
- 7:05GAO of Acuity Reputation, acting on behalf of Miss Maxwell,
- 7:10that was sent on January TEWOD twenty fifteen at eight
- 7:14thirty eight pm to based on the email addresses people
- 7:18at The Mail Online, The Independent, The Mirror, The Times
- 7:22and the BBC, the email message from mister gu contained
- 7:26the statements made against Miss Roberts. A screenshot of the
- 7:29email message is shown in Figure one twenty eight. Figure
- 7:34one email message from Ross Gal containing the statements made
- 7:38against Miss Roberts. Thirty Additionally, on January eighth, twenty fifteen,
- 7:44agents reportedly acting on behalf of Miss Maxwell made statements
- 7:48that the allegations against her were a web of lies
- 7:51and deceit which are similar to the statements made against
- 7:54Miss Roberts in the message from mister Goo thirty one. Similarly,
- 8:00on February first, twenty fifteen, agents reportedly acting on behalf
- 8:05of Miss Maxwell made statements that the allegations against her
- 8:08were a web of lies and deceit, which are similar
- 8:11to the statements made against Miss Roberts in the message
- 8:14from mister Gal thirty one. Similarly, on February first, twenty fifteen,
- 8:20like statements were quoted as these allegations are untrue and defamatory,
- 8:25which are similar to the statements made against Miss Roberts
- 8:28in the message from mister Gal thirty two. Based on
- 8:33my investigation and research, news stories, articles and postings containing
- 8:37direct reference to or quotes from the statements made against
- 8:41Miss Roberts appeared the same day, January two, twenty fifteen
- 8:46as the email from mister Go, with several news organizations
- 8:50and other sites publishing other articles containing direct reference to
- 8:54or quotes from the statements made against Miss Roberts in
- 8:58the immediate following days. News articles containing direct reference to
- 9:03or quotes of the statements made against Miss Roberts have
- 9:06continued to appear in news articles and other postings nearly
- 9:10up to the date that I submitted this report Number
- 9:13thirty three. A timeline of events relating to the dissemination
- 9:17of the statements made against Miss Roberts is shown in Fig.
- 9:20Two thirty four. Fig. Two Timeline of events relating to
- 9:25the dissemination of the statements made against Miss Roberts from
- 9:29January two, twenty fifteen onwards. Number thirty five concerning the
- 9:34procedure employed in determining the dissemination of the statements made
- 9:37against Miss Roberts. Nearly every major news site that I investigated,
- 9:42along with other specific news sites in the United States,
- 9:45the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia, as well as other countries,
- 9:49have carried some aspects of the overall story related to
- 9:52Miss Roberts and door Maxwell or other parties that are
- 9:56involved thirty six. In fact, there are tens of dooulls
- 10:00and news articles and postings concerning the general story from
- 10:03news outlets worldwide, with combined potential viewership in the multimillions
- 10:08as searches on the major search engines such as Google
- 10:12and Bing's show thirty seven. However, I was not interested
- 10:16in news articles that just discussed the story in general.
- 10:19Or other aspects of the story. Also, I was not
- 10:22interested in those articles where Miss Maxwell or those acting
- 10:26on her behalf such as mister Gao, would just generally
- 10:29deny the allegations in the complaint. I was specifically interested
- 10:33in only those articles that reference directly or quoted the
- 10:37statements made against Miss Roberts in the January TEWOD twenty
- 10:41fifteen email message from mister Goo to Miss Maxwell's subsequent
- 10:45confirmation of the statements, or similar statements as those in
- 10:50the message from mister Gal. Naturally, this narrow focus is
- 10:54a smaller subset of news articles than are the articles
- 10:58addressing the overall story number thirty eight. To isolate these
- 11:03articles of interest, I generated a series of ten queries
- 11:06that specifically targeted news articles from the case that addressed
- 11:10the statements made against Miss Maxwell e g. Glenn Maxwell's
- 11:14obvious lies. To retrieve a set of articles that directly
- 11:17related to the statements made against Miss Roberts, I employed
- 11:21a modified snowball technique, starting with one seed query, adding
- 11:25and modifying terms until I was not receiving new results.
- 11:29I also located some articles via navigating from the set
- 11:33of retrieved articles thirty nine. I set the search rage
- 11:37down from January second, twenty fifteen onward, so articles prior
- 11:42to that date were not included in the search results.
- 11:45For each article used in my analysis, I also verified
- 11:48the date that the article was published to ensure it
- 11:51was published on or after January second, twenty fifteen, and
- 11:55that the articles directly referenced in some way the statements
- 11:59made against Miss Roberts forty An example of search engine
- 12:03results in response to one of those queries is shown
- 12:07in Fig. Three forty one. Figure three Google News search
- 12:12results for the search Glenn Maxwell's obvious lies with the
- 12:15date delimiter beginning on January two, twenty fifteen. Forty two.
- 12:21I then personally verified that each article by reviewing each
- 12:24article used in my analysis directly referenced in some way
- 12:28the statements made against Miss Roberts forty three, So articles
- 12:33relating to the overall story that did not mention Miss
- 12:36Maxwell's statements made against Miss Roberts were not included in
- 12:40the analysis. Articles relating to the overall story that referred
- 12:44to Miss Maxwell simply denying the charges were not included
- 12:48forty four. I also personally performed a site search of
- 12:52the top fifteen online media sites worldwide of articles related
- 12:57to the case, and I reviewed the results to identifi
- 13:00if any of these articles referred to the statements against
- 13:03Miss Roberts. I also did the same for many countries,
- 13:07specific news sites in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada,
- 13:11and Australia forty five. In the end, I had a
- 13:14set of one hundred and seventy eight online news and
- 13:17other articles from January twod twenty fifteen to the date
- 13:22that I filed the report that specifically referenced the statements
- 13:26made against Miss Roberts. To conduct my analysis, as outlined below,
- 13:31each of these one hundred and seventy eight online articles
- 13:34was posted online. The one hundred and seventy eight online
- 13:38articles were distributed among one hundred and fifteen unique domain
- 13:42websites i e. Some websites posted multiple articles that contained
- 13:46the statements made against Miss Roberts forty seven. As seen
- 13:50from the list of domains that have published articles or
- 13:53stories containing references to the statement made against Miss Roberts,
- 13:57many of these domains are those of major news organizations
- 14:01or sources, including AOL News, BBC, Hutington Boast, International, Business Time,
- 14:07Irish Times, MSN News, National Inquirer, New York Daily News,
- 14:11New Zealand Herald, Page six, Radar Online, Reuters, The Daily Beast,
- 14:16The Daily Mail, The Express, The Guardian, The Mirror, The Sun,
- 14:20The Telegraph, Yahoo News, etc. Forty eight. I then used
- 14:25a variety of web analytics, traffic services, and other sources
- 14:29to get the unique daily visitor traffic for each of
- 14:32these domains. I use multiple services when available to verify
- 14:36the unique daily visitor traffic for each of these domains,
- 14:40as the traffic services may use different techniques to arrive
- 14:44at their traffic numbers. Forty nine. In some cases conflicting
- 14:48unique daily visitor traffic numbers, I utilize the most conservative,
- 14:52ie smallest number fifty. In cases where I determined I
- 14:56cannot get unique daily visitor traffic numbers or the unique
- 14:59day daily visitor traffic was not reliable in my opinion,
- 15:03I did not include the unique daily visitor traffic numbers
- 15:06for that domain in the numbers. This usually occurred for
- 15:10the sites with a smaller number of daily visitors or
- 15:14sites with an extremely large number of daily visitors. Fifty one.
- 15:18Unique daily visitors measures as an industry standard web analytic
- 15:23metric for measuring people that visit a website in a
- 15:26given period such as a week, a month, as there
- 15:29are normal daily fluctuations. Fifty two Table I shows the
- 15:35unique visitors traffic for the listed domains that posted articles
- 15:38or stories referencing the statements made against Miss Roberts, and
- 15:42the associated unique daily visitor traffic for each of those domains,
- 15:47along with a number of articles containing the statements made
- 15:50against Miss Roberts posted on that site. All right, folks,
- 15:54we're going to wrap up this episode here and in
- 15:56the next episode we're gonna pick up where we left off.
- 16:00All of the information that goes with this episode can
- 16:02be found in the description box.