Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 09/01/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 09/01/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:08
Speaker 1: All systems go.
0:10
Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
0:40
Speaker 1: What is going on Shippin Nation YouTube station?
0:43
Speaker 3: Back Tuesday, big boy Millie Maker Slate tonight in Giraffe King.
0:48
Speaker 1: Unfortunately, I don't have any fun coupons to that contest.
0:51
Speaker 3: I'll have to settle for all of the additional contests
0:54
Speaker 3: on Giraffe Kings. Maybe G-Ryzen has some, but I know
0:57
Speaker 3: a lot of our members over here at Shippin Nation
0:59
Speaker 3: has some. I know Rio will probably be in there, Shalhoub, Tambo,
1:03
Speaker 3: a bunch of the squad will be in the streets there.
1:06
Speaker 3: So hopefully we see that Shippin Nation logo with. A
1:09
Speaker 3: million dollars next to their name in the MLB streets
1:12
Speaker 3: here tonight. We got nine games on Giraffe King starting
1:16
Speaker 3: at 640, about 35 minutes later than standard start time
1:20
Speaker 3: with the first game being a pretty important one. We're
1:23
Speaker 3: back in Wrigley after the Cubs just hit, I don't know,
1:26
Speaker 3: 75 home runs. It felt like yesterday there. No Cubs,
1:29
Speaker 3: no cash was the story of yesterday's slate. We'll see
1:32
Speaker 3: how it breaks down today as we talk through it here.
1:36
Speaker 3: I got my guy G rising with me. G. Rosner,
1:38
Speaker 3: I'll bring you in, man.
1:39
Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday. What's going on, brother?
1:41
Speaker 2: Yeah, always fun getting on here, talking some baseball. We're
1:44
Speaker 2: getting down to the nitty-gritty here, Nades. Like, shit, I
1:47
Speaker 2: can't believe how fast this season has gone through. But, hey,
1:52
Speaker 2: after baseball is football. I mean, it's a great consolation prize. So,
1:56
Speaker 2: I'm not mad about it. Looking forward to the season
2:00
Speaker 2: winding down here. Get the exciting times. We've got division
2:03
Speaker 2: races coming up. We've got all kinds of stuff. I mean,
2:05
Speaker 2: you've got season-long games. long sweats that you maybe bet
2:09
Speaker 2: some prop bets. You know, those are coming down to
2:12
Speaker 2: an end. Maybe you're sweating out some of those. So, yeah,
2:15
Speaker 2: it's always fun when we roll in this time of year.
2:17
Speaker 2: I mean, there ain't nothing much better, Nades. And truly,
2:20
Speaker 2: is there anything better than sitting there doing a draft
2:22
Speaker 2: and sweating out some, you know, DFS baseball like through
2:25
Speaker 2: a night? I mean, you can get like three or
2:27
Speaker 2: four drafts in it. I mean, at least rounds of
2:30
Speaker 2: drafts if you want to do multiples at a time. But, yeah,
2:34
Speaker 2: I mean, good times. I mean, shit, here in Michigan, Nades,
2:36
Speaker 2: I don't know about Wisconsin. The sun ain't, like, shining,
2:39
Speaker 2: per se. But it is muggy as a mofo around
2:42
Speaker 2: here today. Like, shit is not even right. Man, your
2:46
Speaker 2: nuts are sticking to your leg and fucking sweating every time.
2:49
Speaker 2: You know, it's just terrible, terrible. But it feels good
2:52
Speaker 2: to be in the basement here in the AAC. That's
2:55
Speaker 2: for damn sure. But, yeah, we got, what, nine games?
2:58
Speaker 2: Don't look like too much weather. But, yeah, looking forward
3:01
Speaker 2: to seeing what we can come up with.
3:03
Speaker 3: Yeah, my guy Stoner knows. Excited for NHL myself. We'll
3:07
Speaker 3: have you covered here. I do head up our NHL
3:10
Speaker 3: content over here. Looking forward to some NHL to kick
3:13
Speaker 3: off the year. Well, the prizes are pretty big for
3:15
Speaker 3: NHL until that one sport comes around where they play
3:18
Speaker 3: hockey on the hardwood and throw the ball through the hoop.
3:21
Speaker 3: So once that comes around, NHL contest sizes get kind
3:24
Speaker 3: of waxed. But yeah, this is pretty much Christmas morning.
3:28
Speaker 3: What are we, eight days, seven days away from the
3:30
Speaker 3: Wednesday night showdown game for the NFL and then obviously
3:34
Speaker 3: the full slate of games that following Sunday there. And yeah,
3:39
Speaker 3: we're right there. But hey, we still got Baseball to grind.
3:42
Speaker 3: We got nine good games here tonight. We got Coors Field.
3:44
Speaker 3: We got Wrigley win game. We got Kauffman Stadium. That's
3:48
Speaker 3: kind of the focal point. We got the Dodgers at
3:49
Speaker 3: home against the Cardinals here. There's a lot to talk
3:52
Speaker 3: about on the slate here.
3:54
Speaker 1: Juice is in here. N.Y.
3:56
Speaker 3: Stiegel, William Burnett, Postone or Sean Solly. Everyone hit that
4:00
Speaker 3: like button. Hit the subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. G.
4:04
Speaker 3: Rise and Broad Slate overview. It's kind of two pitchers
4:06
Speaker 3: headlining the slate and then everybody else. It's McKenzie Gore, surprise, surprise.
4:10
Speaker 3: Another McKenzie Gore chalk slate. Every time we're on the show,
4:13
Speaker 3: it feels like every Tuesday we talk about McKenzie Gore
4:16
Speaker 3: and his 50% ownership. Not going to change here tonight.
4:19
Speaker 3: We just saw what Jacob DeGrom did last night. Absolutely
4:23
Speaker 3: piss pounded this A's triple-A lineup. I mean, I don't
4:25
Speaker 3: even know if I can give it triple-A at this
4:27
Speaker 3: point with all their injuries they have, obviously, right?
4:30
Speaker 1: Lang Lears is out. Kurtz is out. The rest of
4:32
Speaker 1: their whole squad is out.
4:33
Speaker 3: So they're trotting out a bunch of, uh, make them, uh,
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Speaker 3: make a, uh, I guess, create a player right roster
4:41
Speaker 3: out there. So in terms of pitching, let's go ahead
4:44
Speaker 3: and pull our stone 2.0 up on the screen here.
4:49
Speaker 1: Um, and let me go like this pitching. We'll go
4:53
Speaker 1: eight K and above here. G rising.
4:55
Speaker 3: Talk about how you're going to approach McKenzie Gore chalk
4:57
Speaker 3: and then Garrett Cole. That's definitely the cash game pairing
5:00
Speaker 3: those two 9,500, 8,800. However, There is expensive Cubs on
5:05
Speaker 3: the slate. The Brewers are priced up. We have the
5:08
Speaker 3: Baltimore bats that are priced up. We still have the
5:10
Speaker 3: Yankees and the Dodgers on the slate that are priced up.
5:13
Speaker 3: So that's going to allude to a lot of people
5:15
Speaker 3: wanting to go to that Kauffman Stadium game in terms
5:17
Speaker 3: of Miami and Kansas City, mainly on the Miami side
5:21
Speaker 3: there against Dobnik in that woeful Kansas City bullpen because
5:25
Speaker 3: it allows you to spend up at pitcher. There are
5:28
Speaker 3: some cheaper guys I think you can play, but ideally
5:32
Speaker 3: your pitcher pool is going to be Two of these
5:34
Speaker 3: guys here above 8K. Can Erod keep going wizard? I
5:37
Speaker 3: was on Erod in his last start. Went out and
5:39
Speaker 3: posted a 30-burger. Don't know it's the same matchup here
5:42
Speaker 3: against Philly, but he's been really, really good. Can he
5:44
Speaker 3: keep it rolling at 8,200? Sean Burke, I don't know
5:48
Speaker 3: what's happened to Sean Burke. Does he get back right
5:51
Speaker 3: against Houston here on the road? And then Mackenzie Gore,
5:54
Speaker 3: Garrett Cole, and Jesus Lizardo all the way up at top.
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Speaker 1: Any interest?
5:59
Speaker 3: In those pivots off of Cole and Gore, and how
6:01
Speaker 3: are you going to approach Mackenzie Gore and Garrett Cole
6:04
Speaker 3: on tonight's slate?
6:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, definitely interesting, that's for sure. I mean, Cole,
6:12
Speaker 2: I mean, Gore, I'm talking about Cole. Cole is looking good.
6:15
Speaker 2: Gore last late, though, I do remember laughing. I was
6:18
Speaker 2: just wanting to see. He made it 3.2 innings, gave
6:22
Speaker 2: up four earned runs in his His last one out
6:25
Speaker 2: against the White Sox. And I do remember, it does
6:28
Speaker 2: seem like he's been on all the damn slates that
6:30
Speaker 2: we've been on, it seems like recently. And I just
6:33
Speaker 2: remember saying, man, I don't like to mess with the
6:34
Speaker 2: White Sox. So I'll give him a break on that
6:38
Speaker 2: one because the White Sox are a team that I
6:41
Speaker 2: definitely don't like fooling with. But three starts ago, he
6:46
Speaker 2: did have the same athletic team. He didn't look too good.
6:48
Speaker 2: He only had 15 points. He ended up giving up
6:51
Speaker 2: a few runs and having only 5Ks. So, I mean,
6:55
Speaker 2: just kind of looking, knowing he's going to be 40% owned,
6:58
Speaker 2: I think, you know, I'd just be in the mindset
7:02
Speaker 2: just to fade him, truthfully. Of the other guys, Cole,
7:06
Speaker 2: that'd be a little tougher for me, just knowing that
7:09
Speaker 2: the Angels, with all the strikeouts they got against the righties,
7:12
Speaker 2: Cole hasn't been looking bad here in recent times. I
7:16
Speaker 2: just worry about the guy's pitch count. He only had
7:17
Speaker 2: 79 pitches the start before. He had 93, 87, 82.
7:19
Speaker 2: So I do get a little bit concerned about that.
7:27
Speaker 2: And then the guy for me that I think I
7:29
Speaker 2: like the most is Lizardo. I think Lizardo is a
7:33
Speaker 2: guy that I mean, if he's not going to get
7:35
Speaker 2: any ownership, I'm going to be looking at Lizardo. I mean,
7:38
Speaker 2: he's been looking of all of the three. He's probably
7:41
Speaker 2: looked the best in the last month, too. So he's
7:44
Speaker 2: looked he's looked really good, went seven innings, five and
7:47
Speaker 2: a half. 5.2, six innings, seven innings, seven innings, seven.
7:50
Speaker 2: I mean, almost all his starts, he's been getting quality starts.
7:53
Speaker 2: So on FanDuel, I really like Lozardo here today. He's
7:57
Speaker 2: had nine Ks basically his last three starts, 12 to
8:00
Speaker 2: start before that. So his last four starts, he's looked
8:02
Speaker 2: really good. So, I mean, I get it. I don't
8:05
Speaker 2: normally say that Arizona is a team that I want
8:09
Speaker 2: to normally pick on. But, I mean, you look at
8:11
Speaker 2: their lineup they got here. They do have Pedermo is
8:15
Speaker 2: at 12%, Carroll at 21%. Then the middle of that
8:18
Speaker 2: lineup is all in the teams. And then you got Tawa.
8:21
Speaker 2: He's at 27. Lawler, if he's in there, 25. McCann, 19.
8:25
Speaker 2: So the middle part of that lineup really doesn't have
8:29
Speaker 2: the strikeouts that we'd like to see. But, I mean,
8:32
Speaker 2: just looking at pivots, looking at the recent success here
8:35
Speaker 2: in the last 30 days, which I do talk about, uh,
8:38
Speaker 2: quite a bit here as we run down in the season.
8:41
Speaker 2: Lizardo is at a 46% strikeout rate to the lefties
8:45
Speaker 2: and he's at 32% strikeout rate to righties. So, um, yeah,
8:49
Speaker 2: I just think that Arizona team is kind of like
8:51
Speaker 2: mentally broken. Like that, that kettle Marte story. I mean,
8:54
Speaker 2: I just, I don't think that, uh, locker room is
8:58
Speaker 2: all that happy. I think Lizardo for me is the
9:00
Speaker 2: guy that, that, uh, I do like the most of
9:03
Speaker 2: the top just because of, like I said, especially with
9:06
Speaker 2: the ownership being involved. I think that's where I'd want
9:09
Speaker 2: to go. Uh, Melton with the tigers. I mean, he's,
9:13
Speaker 2: he's pretty expensive over on FanDuel, but man, I just
9:16
Speaker 2: don't like this guy's strikeout upside. I mean, he hasn't
9:18
Speaker 2: been over five strikeouts and, uh, since, uh, what, July 23rd,
9:23
Speaker 2: his last seven, eight starts. So I think there's too
9:27
Speaker 2: much strikeout upside on this slate here today. It's a
9:29
Speaker 2: slate that I think you got to kind of worry
9:31
Speaker 2: about the top three. I think Cole could have a
9:33
Speaker 2: really good game, as we mentioned. Gore could as well. Lozardo.
9:37
Speaker 2: So I think there's some strikeouts, but I do think
9:39
Speaker 2: it takes a little bit of a dip. Now you
9:42
Speaker 2: mentioned Burke. I think Burke's a wild card here. He's
9:45
Speaker 2: the definition of a tournament play. He hasn't looked at
9:47
Speaker 2: his last three starts. We know what he's got under
9:50
Speaker 2: the hood. It just hasn't been performing here well recently.
9:53
Speaker 2: I wouldn't get overly excited on Burke, but if I'm
9:56
Speaker 2: playing a deeper portfolio with more teams, I do think
9:59
Speaker 2: I'd put Burke in. in the mix just because of
10:02
Speaker 2: his strikeout capability. But Nades, for me, really up at
10:05
Speaker 2: the top. I mean... Just knowing the ownership you're going
10:10
Speaker 2: to see on Cole and Gore is going to be
10:12
Speaker 2: fairly high. I think you're going to see those two
10:15
Speaker 2: get in the 40% range. But, man, I just think Lizardo,
10:19
Speaker 2: with being the pivot there, as good as he's looked
10:22
Speaker 2: in recent times, I am a little slightly concerned about
10:26
Speaker 2: the strikeout percentages that D-back's lineup has. But, man, if
10:30
Speaker 2: you're just going to call it a pivot on a
10:31
Speaker 2: guy who's been getting it done over and over and
10:33
Speaker 2: over and over the last month and a half, I mean,
10:36
Speaker 2: I think I prefer Lizardo. I think I'd go Lizardo, Cole,
10:40
Speaker 2: and then I'm going Gore, and then I'd throw in Burke.
10:44
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just, I think that's where I'm sitting.
10:46
Speaker 2: But for me, I think I really like Lizardo a
10:49
Speaker 2: lot more than probably a lot of others do. And
10:51
Speaker 2: I think my stand would be to take a little
10:53
Speaker 2: bit more of a heavier lean on Lizardo tonight and fade.
10:58
Speaker 2: You know, if I got maybe 10 teams, I think
11:00
Speaker 2: half of them, I'm fading one of the two. I'm
11:02
Speaker 2: fading both Gore and and Cole. And I think I'd
11:07
Speaker 2: end up having a little bit more cold and gore.
11:10
Speaker 3: Yeah. I like a lot of what you said there.
11:12
Speaker 3: So I'll start with the Lizardo. This is the clear
11:14
Speaker 3: spend up to be contrarian on the slate. I mean,
11:16
Speaker 3: he's not going to be unknown, but he's going to
11:18
Speaker 3: be probably 30% less owned than guys like Garrett Cole.
11:24
Speaker 3: The reason being is you look at the props on
11:26
Speaker 3: the slate. Garrett Cole does have the best prop on
11:28
Speaker 3: the slate, six and a half strikeout prop juice, the
11:31
Speaker 3: over here. He's also projected for two points higher. at
11:34
Speaker 3: a thousand dollars cheaper than Lizardo. So that just makes
11:36
Speaker 3: it very easy. People are just going to click Garrett
11:38
Speaker 3: Cole over him, um, between Garrett Cole and McKenzie Gore,
11:42
Speaker 3: I much lean Garrett Cole over McKenzie Gore. I just,
11:45
Speaker 3: I don't, I hate when McKenzie Gore's chalk, just because
11:48
Speaker 3: this dude's going.
11:48
Speaker 1: To nibble on the corners.
11:50
Speaker 3: He he's going to rack up his pitch count and
11:53
Speaker 3: it just can go South in a hurry.
11:54
Speaker 1: Right?
11:55
Speaker 3: So give me Garrett Cole over McKenzie Gore. Um, I
11:58
Speaker 3: love Jesus Lozardo with you. I just, I don't think
12:01
Speaker 3: many people play him. And I think his ownership probably
12:03
Speaker 3: even moonwalks back further when people start going in there
12:06
Speaker 3: and building lineups, right? Because they see, Oh, Wrigley wind
12:11
Speaker 3: blown out again, hot and humid, right? They're all expensive.
12:15
Speaker 3: It's pretty tough to click a 10, five, right? Let
12:17
Speaker 3: me just click in McKenzie Gore and let me click
12:20
Speaker 3: in maybe a cheaper guy or Garrett Cole and punt
12:23
Speaker 3: a batter, batter to, to, to make it work.
12:25
Speaker 1: Right.
12:26
Speaker 3: So for me, I rank the top tier, Lozardo number one,
12:29
Speaker 3: Garrett Cole number two, and then it would be Gore three,
12:33
Speaker 3: Burke four, and then Erod five is kind of how
12:37
Speaker 3: I see this top tier. I think Erod's pretty interesting
12:39
Speaker 3: in tournaments, and I wouldn't be shocked to see people,
12:44
Speaker 3: if you wanted to pair those guys up, Lozardo and
12:46
Speaker 3: Erod there. Erod's a contrarian, unknown play off of McKenzie Gore,
12:50
Speaker 3: just like Sean Burke is.
12:53
Speaker 1: Burke has not looked good in his last three stars.
12:55
Speaker 3: This is still just a bet on it's a righty
12:58
Speaker 3: going up against Houston with a bunch of right-handed batters
13:01
Speaker 3: and taking a look, maybe he finds something right where
13:06
Speaker 3: we've seen this guy in the beginning of the year, right?
13:08
Speaker 3: Where he was a 26% strikeout guy. You look over
13:11
Speaker 3: the last month, hasn't been the case, right? He's at
13:13
Speaker 3: about 20% strikeouts. I still going to, I think, I
13:18
Speaker 3: still think it's a pretty interesting slate to take a
13:21
Speaker 3: shot on him at 8,500, $ 300 less than McKenzie Gore
13:23
Speaker 3: at a, fraction of the ownership. I just think it's
13:27
Speaker 3: a good tournament play. So ideally, if you wanted to
13:30
Speaker 3: cut off your pitcher pool at Lizardo, Cole, Gore, and Burke,
13:33
Speaker 3: I think you could certainly do that. Just those four
13:35
Speaker 3: pitchers and then sprinkle off and kind of mix and
13:38
Speaker 3: match these offenses, the Cubs, the Brewers, the Marlins, the Royals, right?
13:43
Speaker 3: We got Texas who's been good, the White Sox and Astros, right?
13:46
Speaker 3: You got obviously Coors Field. You got the Dodgers. There's
13:48
Speaker 3: tons of offenses to go to. So if you really
13:50
Speaker 3: wanted to kind of hone in your pitching slate, I
13:52
Speaker 3: think those four guys are make a lot of sense.
13:55
Speaker 3: I think Erod's interesting just because he's been locked in
13:59
Speaker 3: as of late. He's 8,200 and nobody's going to play
14:01
Speaker 3: him when he's projected for seven points less than Mackenzie Gore.
14:05
Speaker 3: And there's only a $ 600 price difference. I just don't
14:07
Speaker 3: think anybody really clicks that name. So I think in tournaments,
14:10
Speaker 3: he's a pretty interesting play down below 8K. I do
14:13
Speaker 3: want to throw out a couple of guys here. Grayson
14:15
Speaker 3: Rodriguez gets the matchup against the Yankees. Yankees do have
14:18
Speaker 3: a lot of power, but they also have a lot
14:19
Speaker 3: of strikeouts. 7K, pretty decent price point for him. Eric Lauer,
14:24
Speaker 3: I think, is going to get played in a lot
14:26
Speaker 3: of those Cubs and Baltimore stacks just because he's 6,200. Honestly,
14:33
Speaker 3: he's projected right around 13 points, 12.5 points, and he
14:36
Speaker 3: gets a matchup at home against the Cardinals.
14:38
Speaker 1: So talk on this lower tier. Any interest in guys
14:41
Speaker 1: like Eric Lauer, Grayson Rodriguez, Connor Prelip looks a little interesting.
14:46
Speaker 3: Any of these cheaper guys that you can stomach in–
14:50
Speaker 3: teams where you're trying to get to the Cubs bats,
14:52
Speaker 3: you're trying to get to those Baltimore bats, any interest
14:54
Speaker 3: in some of these value guys?
14:58
Speaker 2: I mean, I was kind of surprised when I was
15:02
Speaker 2: looking around that Bradish was getting some ownership potential here tonight. Like, man,
15:07
Speaker 2: didn't we? I mean, that guy's walk percentage is just terrible.
15:10
Speaker 2: I mean, we talked about him last time out. He
15:12
Speaker 2: looked good in the five innings. All of a sudden,
15:14
Speaker 2: the wheels fell off the cart, and he went to
15:17
Speaker 2: shit real quick, but I can't play somebody like Bradish
15:22
Speaker 2: in cores. I can't do that. Grayson Rodriguez against the Yankees. Man,
15:28
Speaker 2: I– I'd like to believe in Grayson Rodriguez. That guy
15:32
Speaker 2: was a pretty big prospect coming into the season a
15:35
Speaker 2: few years ago. He did have a decent start a
15:40
Speaker 2: couple starts ago against Houston, which really isn't saying much.
15:45
Speaker 2: Grayson Rodriguez just isn't something I really want to put
15:47
Speaker 2: my hat on, especially with the Yankees. I think for me,
15:52
Speaker 2: I'd probably stay away from Rodriguez. I'm not really too
15:55
Speaker 2: big of a fan of that. Lauer against St. Louis,
15:59
Speaker 2: I mean, I could stomach that. I guess if it's
16:02
Speaker 2: going to help me get some bats, I don't mind that.
16:04
Speaker 2: You got the obviously the late pitching hammer there. But St.
16:08
Speaker 2: Louis for me, I mean, he's got what he's going
16:11
Speaker 2: to have to beat Walker Herrera. up at the top
16:14
Speaker 2: who've been pretty good. Jordan Walker is the guy. I mean,
16:17
Speaker 2: this Bayez kid that came up and hit all the
16:20
Speaker 2: homers his first time up, he's got a 418 Woba
16:23
Speaker 2: against lefties too. So, I mean, Lauer for me, I mean,
16:28
Speaker 2: there's a lot of red on his last 30 days.
16:30
Speaker 2: He hasn't looked pretty good. He's down to an 11%
16:33
Speaker 2: strikeout rate against lefties. He's at 19% to righties. I mean,
16:38
Speaker 2: it's just he's been getting barreled up quite a bit.
16:41
Speaker 2: It's just tough. You think his ground balls would be there.
16:44
Speaker 2: He's not getting those. His fly ball percentages are pretty high.
16:47
Speaker 2: So I do worry about Lauer. But for 6,200, if
16:51
Speaker 2: you're going to put in a tournament, I don't necessarily
16:54
Speaker 2: mind that. I saw somebody mention Prelip in the chat.
17:00
Speaker 2: I'm going to assume he's going to be the second
17:03
Speaker 2: guy through after the starter. So he'll be the bulk reliever.
17:07
Speaker 2: Pre-lift for me, the Tigers are getting back Riley Green,
17:10
Speaker 2: so that's another strikeout bat that'll be in that lineup.
17:13
Speaker 2: for the Tigers. And man, they've been so bad here.
17:17
Speaker 2: I don't mind that thought, to be honest with you.
17:20
Speaker 2: I think that's a decent thought process. There is quite
17:24
Speaker 2: a few strikeouts, especially at the bottom of that lineup.
17:26
Speaker 2: Riley Green's, like I said, 26%. Torkelson has been bad.
17:30
Speaker 2: He's at 32%. And then Clark and Lee at the
17:33
Speaker 2: bottom of that lineup are at mid 23.5%. So I
17:38
Speaker 2: don't mind that thought. I think he could definitely roll
17:41
Speaker 2: up maybe six, seven Ks and possibly four innings. I
17:44
Speaker 2: could see that coming through. He's in probably a decent
17:47
Speaker 2: spot to get a win as well. So I don't
17:52
Speaker 2: hate that at all, really. So I think that would
17:55
Speaker 2: be in play for me too. But after that, man,
17:58
Speaker 2: it does get a little bit thin for me. I
18:01
Speaker 2: see what you were saying about the Erod. I know
18:04
Speaker 2: he's above the 8K. I don't mind Erod at all.
18:07
Speaker 2: He's been pitching good, but It just gets really thin
18:10
Speaker 2: down here. I kind of like what you were saying
18:11
Speaker 2: at the top. I just kind of make my pitching
18:13
Speaker 2: pool a little bit thinner with the guys that are
18:16
Speaker 2: up at the top, with the four guys. Maybe we
18:17
Speaker 2: just make the decision, go a little bit heavier on
18:20
Speaker 2: a guy like Lissardo and not be as heavy on
18:23
Speaker 2: Cole and Gore. Maybe we look at that route. But
18:28
Speaker 2: I think there's some enough offense, too, we can get different, too.
18:31
Speaker 2: And we don't need to press the pitching because I
18:32
Speaker 2: do think there's some high-end pitching strikeout arms here today
18:35
Speaker 2: that we don't want to get too cute because it
18:37
Speaker 2: could burn us real quick.
18:40
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think on this slate, there's so many
18:41
Speaker 3: good offensive spots, even outside, even, I mean, some of
18:45
Speaker 3: the best spots in the slate aren't going to get
18:47
Speaker 3: owned as such because of their salaries on the hitters, right?
18:50
Speaker 3: So I think you can spread out enough ways that
18:54
Speaker 3: if you wanted to condense your pitcher pool down, I
18:56
Speaker 3: think that's a very viable way to go. Lizardo, Cole, Gore, Burke.
19:00
Speaker 3: Like I said, you can obviously expand out even further.
19:03
Speaker 3: I think Erod's an interesting play. I like Grayson Rodriguez
19:06
Speaker 3: down here. I like Prelip. And I think Eric Lauer,
19:08
Speaker 3: just if you need the salary, I see some talks
19:10
Speaker 3: about Dobnik in the chat. Marlon's going to be the
19:13
Speaker 3: highest on the stack on the slate. I still can't
19:17
Speaker 3: play Dobnik. He's getting away with smoke and mirrors. His
19:19
Speaker 3: underlying metrics are horrible. He's not a good strikeout arm.
19:23
Speaker 3: I'd just much rather play Conor Prelip for cheaper or
19:27
Speaker 3: Eric Lauer for cheaper with similar, if not more, strikeout upside,
19:31
Speaker 3: or just play Grayson Rodriguez for $ 100 less. Grayson Rodriguez
19:34
Speaker 3: is has a good strikeout prop on the slate. Prelip, 5.5K prop.
19:38
Speaker 3: Grayson Rodriguez, 5.5K prop. They're both cheaper than Dobnik. I
19:41
Speaker 3: just don't think you need to go to Dobnik. Both
19:43
Speaker 3: of those guys are going to be unowned as well
19:45
Speaker 3: on the slate. So I think that my pitcher pool
19:49
Speaker 3: realistically is Lizardo, Cole, Gore, Burke, Grayson, Rodriguez, Prelip are
19:55
Speaker 3: kind of the main six I'm looking at. And then
19:57
Speaker 3: Erod and Lauer would be seventh and eighth is kind
20:00
Speaker 3: of the distant options after that. That's kind of how
20:02
Speaker 3: I see the pitching. You can mix in other guys
20:05
Speaker 3: like you want to. Troy Melton's unowned up at the top.
20:08
Speaker 3: I just don't really want to pick on the Twins,
20:09
Speaker 3: and I don't like– I think he's way overpriced for
20:11
Speaker 3: the matchup. So, realistically, I'm going to kind of focus
20:15
Speaker 3: around those six and mix and match some of these
20:17
Speaker 3: offensive stacks. Any final takes to your eyes and from
20:20
Speaker 3: you from the pitcher aspect?
20:23
Speaker 2: Yeah, Paul Jenstoner mentioned something about how bad the Tigers were.
20:26
Speaker 2: I just looked it up out of curiosity. Holy shit, Nades. Dude,
20:30
Speaker 2: they got a 267 slugging percentage. in the last couple,
20:34
Speaker 2: in the last two weeks. Like, their OPS is, like, 513. It's, like, terrible. Like,
20:40
Speaker 2: come on, man. So, yeah, I think I'd bump Prelip
20:43
Speaker 2: up a little bit as a guy in the, for
20:46
Speaker 2: a cheap pitcher that I'd look at. But, yeah, I mean,
20:50
Speaker 2: you know, it's the time of the year. I mean,
20:52
Speaker 2: we're going to start getting to some call-ups here soon,
20:55
Speaker 2: 40-man rosters. It's going to get pretty fun here coming up. But, Yeah,
20:59
Speaker 2: I mean, this one here, I think I'd stick up
21:01
Speaker 2: at the top with the pitching here tonight. And I
21:04
Speaker 2: think Gore would be the guy I'd probably fade the
21:06
Speaker 2: most between goal and goal. Say that real fast, Cole
21:10
Speaker 2: and Gore, Cole and Gore.
21:11
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.
21:14
Speaker 3: Let's jump over and talk the hitting slate. First game
21:18
Speaker 3: on the docket here is the Twins and the Tigers.
21:21
Speaker 3: Troy Melton going Connor Prelip is going to come in
21:24
Speaker 3: after the opener there, I believe. I forget the guy's name,
21:28
Speaker 3: but he usually goes around 20 pitches or so. So
21:31
Speaker 3: typically they're going to run him out there an inning
21:33
Speaker 3: and then give pre-lip the start in the back half
21:35
Speaker 3: of the Tigers lineup, which does, I think, help the
21:39
Speaker 3: case there. Andrew Morris is going to start pre-lips the
21:43
Speaker 3: long guy.
21:44
Speaker 1: No interest really in the Tigers for me.
21:47
Speaker 3: Not playing a team on a nine-game slate when we're
21:51
Speaker 3: contesting against really good hitting environment spots with a team
21:53
Speaker 3: that has 100 ISO over the last month against left-handed pitching.
21:57
Speaker 3: I'm just not going to do it. Twins got the
22:00
Speaker 3: job done for me last night. I'll continue to say it.
22:02
Speaker 3: Walker Jenkins, I think this kid's a stud. I know
22:04
Speaker 3: he hit his home run, like I called yesterday, off
22:07
Speaker 3: a position player in there. I think I forgot McKinstry,
22:11
Speaker 3: I think, was pitching there. Hey, it doesn't matter when
22:14
Speaker 3: you go and cash your ticket. They don't ask who
22:16
Speaker 3: he hit it off of. But I do think the
22:18
Speaker 3: Twins are kind of interesting. More is like fillers. They
22:20
Speaker 3: fit really well with some of these other stacks on
22:22
Speaker 3: the slate because of these positions, right? You got a
22:24
Speaker 3: 3K guy lefty against Troy Melton there.
22:27
Speaker 1: In Jenkins. Culpepper fills a shortstop position. He's 3,300.
22:30
Speaker 3: I think he's interesting. Brooks Lee, Clemens. Clemens has been really,
22:34
Speaker 3: really good. Clemens hit another bomb yesterday. His price continues
22:37
Speaker 3: to drop. I'm not sure what he needs to do.
22:39
Speaker 3: Second base, outfield eligible, 4,700 for him.
22:42
Speaker 1: Brooks Lee, like I said, at third base. I think
22:44
Speaker 1: he's interesting.
22:44
Speaker 3: Keyshaw, don't really love him, but the dude just puts
22:47
Speaker 3: the ball in play and steals bases. So he always
22:49
Speaker 3: has upside. I think the Twins are on my list.
22:52
Speaker 3: They're not one of my top stacks on the board,
22:54
Speaker 3: but I think the Twins are kind of interesting overall here.
22:58
Speaker 3: Tigers burned through a bunch of bullpen arms yesterday as well,
23:02
Speaker 3: which does help the cause too, but not one of
23:06
Speaker 3: the focus games on the slate.
23:07
Speaker 1: How do you see this one though?
23:10
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't like the offense in either one. I'm
23:13
Speaker 2: not picking on Troy Melton. That's for damn sure. That
23:15
Speaker 2: kid's been pretty good. I think he's only given up
23:17
Speaker 2: like three or more earned runs in two of his, like,
23:21
Speaker 2: 15 starts so far this year. He's been really good.
23:23
Speaker 2: So he's just not the DFS pitcher you'd want to see.
23:26
Speaker 2: He's got a really low ERA. He just don't have
23:28
Speaker 2: the strikeout upside that we want to see. But, yeah,
23:33
Speaker 2: he's definitely not a guy I'm going to pick on.
23:35
Speaker 2: And as far as the other side of that, I mean,
23:38
Speaker 2: like you said, Tigers can't seem to hit their way
23:40
Speaker 2: out of a damn paper bag right now. So, I'm
23:44
Speaker 2: all set with that. I mean, I don't care if
23:46
Speaker 2: it's my favorite team or not. I generally will tell you,
23:49
Speaker 2: you know, I clicked the last few weeks, and if
23:51
Speaker 2: one of my teams, the stacks I'm looking at, is
23:53
Speaker 2: at the bottom of slugging and OPS, there's a pretty
23:55
Speaker 2: good chance I might think about going somewhere else. So
23:59
Speaker 2: Tigers for me, no thanks. I ain't going there.
24:02
Speaker 3: Yeah. I know Melton hasn't given up a bunch, but
24:05
Speaker 3: he does give it up to left side if he
24:07
Speaker 3: does give it up. So that's where Jenkins, Lee, Clemens,
24:10
Speaker 3: I think that 9-2-3 little mini stack, think makes a.
24:12
Speaker 1: Lot of sense there. And I had some yesterday.
24:16
Speaker 3: I'll definitely have that little mini stack on one of
24:18
Speaker 3: my teams here tonight for sure. Next spot on the
24:21
Speaker 3: slate is probably all things considered the most important game.
24:26
Speaker 3: At least when I run Optos and the dry run,
24:28
Speaker 3: I get a bunch of this game because of their
24:31
Speaker 3: price points.
24:31
Speaker 1: You look at the price points here, they're all dirt cheap.
24:35
Speaker 3: Royals, Dobnik, like I said, his underlying metrics, his expected ERA,
24:41
Speaker 3: all the underlying stat nerd metrics for pitchers. He's atrocious.
24:46
Speaker 3: He's been getting away with it. He is a ground
24:48
Speaker 3: ball guy. Marlins don't strike out very much, especially over
24:53
Speaker 3: the last month or so against right-handed pitching here. Kansas
24:56
Speaker 3: City's bullpen might be set in records for the worst ever,
24:59
Speaker 3: one of them. So it is a good spot on
25:02
Speaker 3: paper here for the Marlins, but A chalky Marlins offense
25:06
Speaker 3: on a nine-game slate with Wrigley, with Coors Field, with
25:09
Speaker 3: the Dodgers, with the Yankees even.
25:11
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I can definitely see a
25:13
Speaker 1: case there. I just– I don't love it. Personally, I
25:16
Speaker 1: hate stacking against Dobnik.
25:17
Speaker 3: I've tried to stack against this guy every time he's
25:19
Speaker 3: made a start, and the dude goes out there. Yeah,
25:21
Speaker 3: he might walk a guy and then ground ball double play.
25:25
Speaker 3: I just– I'm going to sell on the Marlins here tonight.
25:28
Speaker 1: I get it.
25:29
Speaker 3: They look like a good stack. I just– The Cubs
25:32
Speaker 3: are going to be unowned on this slate. Baltimore is
25:34
Speaker 3: going to be much lower owned because of their salaries.
25:36
Speaker 3: If that means punting off the mini stack or going
25:39
Speaker 3: to the back half of those teams and getting some
25:40
Speaker 3: of those value teams in there over double spending at
25:43
Speaker 3: pitching and going Gore and Cole with the Marlins because
25:46
Speaker 3: it fits, that's kind of how I tend to want
25:49
Speaker 3: to approach this slate personally myself. On the KC side,
25:52
Speaker 3: you want lefties mainly against Phillips here. So Vinny P., Kegley,
25:56
Speaker 3: and Owen Jensen. Those three look pretty good. Obviously, you
25:58
Speaker 3: can always play Bobby Witt. You got two cheap guys
26:01
Speaker 3: in the back half, too, and Isbell and Isaac Collins.
26:07
Speaker 3: But if I had to pick a side, it'd be
26:09
Speaker 3: more on the Royals side. But I just I don't
26:12
Speaker 3: love this game as much as other games on the slate.
26:14
Speaker 3: And this is going to be the chalkiest game on
26:16
Speaker 3: the slate because of their salaries.
26:17
Speaker 1: Talk to me. How do you see this one?
26:21
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not a fan at all. I mean, we
26:23
Speaker 2: saw the Royals. I don't play the Royals at all.
26:26
Speaker 2: I haven't played them all year. I mean, hey, I
26:27
Speaker 2: give kudos to Matt Bellman. I mean, he did ship,
26:31
Speaker 2: I think he came in second on one of the tournaments.
26:33
Speaker 2: He ended up having 20K off the Royals. And then
26:35
Speaker 2: he bounced back with the Indians and smashed 50K. So
26:39
Speaker 2: props to our boy Matt out there as well. But Yeah,
26:43
Speaker 2: I mean, I do like a couple of the players
26:47
Speaker 2: in here. I think Stowers looks pretty good. You got
26:51
Speaker 2: Griffin Conine in there as well against– against Dobnik too,
26:56
Speaker 2: but I mean, you're right against with Dobnik. I mean,
26:59
Speaker 2: this guy just doesn't give beat up. He doesn't consistently
27:01
Speaker 2: give run. There's more zeros and one earn runs in
27:04
Speaker 2: his stat line all the way down the season than
27:07
Speaker 2: there are crooked numbers. So Dobnik just, like you said,
27:11
Speaker 2: ground ball type lean. He's got a 57% ground ball
27:15
Speaker 2: lean to the right side of 52%. I don't know.
27:18
Speaker 2: I've been saying it all year. I don't like stacking
27:20
Speaker 2: my teams against ground ball pitchers. I mean, you may
27:23
Speaker 2: feel differently. I just don't feel like you got the
27:25
Speaker 2: upside you need to get the home runs you need.
27:27
Speaker 2: So for me, it's kind of easy for me to
27:30
Speaker 2: say no thanks on a full stack, but maybe Stowers
27:34
Speaker 2: and Conine, but Conine pinch hit risk. Also, if Dobnik
27:39
Speaker 2: comes out, but I mean, we know that Royals bullpen sucks.
27:42
Speaker 2: I get it. As far as the Royals go, I mean,
27:45
Speaker 2: I haven't been stacking them all that much so far
27:48
Speaker 2: this year. I mean, I feel like you can play
27:49
Speaker 2: Bobby Witt at any time, maybe Caglioni if you wanted
27:54
Speaker 2: to go there, but I don't like that full stack either.
27:56
Speaker 2: I think maybe just a couple of bats for some one-offs,
27:59
Speaker 2: but then if you're telling me they're going to be
28:00
Speaker 2: high on, then I'll just look elsewhere for some one-offs.
28:03
Speaker 2: I think this is another spot. that, uh, I just
28:07
Speaker 2: prefer fading and find some offense in different spots. But, uh,
28:11
Speaker 2: I do like picking on that Royals bullpen though. I just, uh,
28:14
Speaker 2: I just don't really want to do it with the Marlins.
28:17
Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, I think the Marlins Kyle Stowers would
28:19
Speaker 3: be my favorite play, but Conine looks good, but he's
28:22
Speaker 3: at risk for two at bats. Um, he's a pinch
28:25
Speaker 3: hit risk. Marcy, um, is a little pinch hit risk
28:28
Speaker 3: as well. Um, Casey, if Casey gets to start, he's
28:32
Speaker 3: a big pinch hit risk. So the guys you want
28:35
Speaker 3: to play the lefties against Dobnik have a bunch of
28:38
Speaker 3: pinch hit risk outside of Stowers. So that's why I
28:40
Speaker 3: just prefer to play Kyle Stowers. The issue is, is
28:43
Speaker 3: I just don't love playing a super chalky one-off guy
28:46
Speaker 3: that strikes out a ton like Kyle Stowers does. So
28:49
Speaker 3: I just, like I said, I don't love this game
28:51
Speaker 3: as much as the field's going to love it.
28:53
Speaker 1: I'd much rather go in and.
28:55
Speaker 3: Better offensive spots like the Cubs that we're going to
28:58
Speaker 3: talk about, like the.
28:59
Speaker 2: Orioles, the Brewers.
29:00
Speaker 3: And I mean, you're going to get these teams lower
29:02
Speaker 3: owned than, a shittier offense in the Marlins in my case.
29:06
Speaker 3: And I know the Royals bullpen isn't good, but they
29:08
Speaker 3: still have to get there. And Dobnik tends to kind
29:11
Speaker 3: of just skate his way through because of all of
29:12
Speaker 3: his ground balls, right? You look at, let me look
29:15
Speaker 3: at Dobnik's prop real quick. I want to see what
29:16
Speaker 3: his out prop is. Dobnik, he's got a 15 and
29:20
Speaker 3: a half out prop. So they're expecting five and a half, right?
29:25
Speaker 3: I mean, they're expecting five innings out of him at least, right?
29:27
Speaker 3: So then you're talking arrested Kansas city bullpen, I know
29:30
Speaker 3: it's not good, but then you're talking pin shit, things
29:33
Speaker 3: like that.
29:33
Speaker 1: So, yeah, I mean, Cagney and Owen.
29:36
Speaker 3: Jensen are probably my two favorite plays from the game
29:39
Speaker 3: in general. And then you got a cheap guy in
29:41
Speaker 3: Vinny P, like I said, at 3,900 at first base.
29:44
Speaker 3: I probably play Vinny P over Stowers, given straight up
29:48
Speaker 3: with the extra salary and the lower ownership there.
29:52
Speaker 1: Next spot, Wrigley Wind. This game went nuclear yesterday.
29:56
Speaker 3: It's not going to be as favorable hitting conditions today
29:58
Speaker 3: as it was yesterday. It's still going to play above
30:00
Speaker 3: average here. Any wind matters at Wrigley. You're talking about,
30:03
Speaker 3: I don't know, six to eight mile an hour with
30:06
Speaker 3: gusts at 10 plus here. It is super hot and humid,
30:10
Speaker 3: like you alluded to earlier. I walk outside and instantly
30:13
Speaker 3: start sweating. When you see the window sweating from the inside,
30:17
Speaker 3: from the temperature difference from the AC to the outside,
30:20
Speaker 3: and you've got a bunch of condensation on the windows,
30:23
Speaker 3: You know it's just going to be a steam shower
30:25
Speaker 3: out there when you walk outside. Ball should be flying here.
30:28
Speaker 3: You got two lefties that give up fly balls as well.
30:31
Speaker 3: I love the Cubs. Cubs went off for nine home
30:34
Speaker 3: runs yesterday, and nobody's going to play them again. I mean,
30:37
Speaker 3: this team is going to be sub 5% owned on
30:42
Speaker 3: a nine-game slate with over a five-implied run total against
30:44
Speaker 3: Robert Gasser, who can't get righties out. I mean, Suzuki
30:47
Speaker 3: looks great. Bregman looks great. Tyrone Taylor, I know there's
30:50
Speaker 3: a pinch hit risk there, but there's a good chance
30:51
Speaker 3: he hits a home run. You got Pedro Ramirez should
30:54
Speaker 3: be back in there.
30:55
Speaker 1: He's cheaper.
30:55
Speaker 3: Amaya, Matt Shaw. You can easily afford this Cubs stack.
31:00
Speaker 3: I don't love PCA at 7K, but it's hard to
31:02
Speaker 3: argue with how good he's been as of late. This
31:07
Speaker 3: is one of my favorite games. It's not my favorite
31:08
Speaker 3: game in the slate. I love the Cubs at no ownership.
31:11
Speaker 3: And then the Brewers, I don't like playing the Brewers
31:13
Speaker 3: against ground ball guy. Wasn't on the Brewer super heavy
31:17
Speaker 3: yesterday because of Clay Holmes' ground ball lean. Matthew Boyd
31:20
Speaker 3: just isn't a ground ball guy. He gives up a
31:22
Speaker 3: ton of fly balls, especially to the right side. Churrio
31:25
Speaker 3: looks really good. Sanchez looks really good. Pratt hit a
31:27
Speaker 3: bomb last night. Joey Ortiz against the lefty has been
31:29
Speaker 3: one of the better hitters for the Brewers in general.
31:31
Speaker 3: Contreras is having a hell of a last month and
31:34
Speaker 3: a half. You got Andrew Vaughn. I love this game
31:36
Speaker 3: both sides. These are two of my favorite offenses on
31:39
Speaker 3: the slate, and you're going to get them lower on
31:40
Speaker 3: than teams like the Marlins and the Royals, which I
31:43
Speaker 3: think is a mistake on the slate.
31:45
Speaker 2: Talk to me. Man, I'll tell you what, too. Dude,
31:49
Speaker 2: you look at the Cubbies in the last 30 or
31:51
Speaker 2: 15 days, Nades, they got 30. I know they hit nine,
31:55
Speaker 2: but they got, and PCA didn't hit one. When I
31:57
Speaker 2: saw that nine homers, I'm like, tell me hit three.
32:00
Speaker 2: But anyway, he didn't even hit one. So either way,
32:03
Speaker 2: but I mean, dude, they got 34 damn homers in
32:06
Speaker 2: the last two weeks. That's insane. Like that is unbelievable.
32:11
Speaker 2: I don't think I've seen that big of a gap.
32:13
Speaker 1: 62, 62 in August. They hit 62 home runs in
32:14
Speaker 1: August and.
32:18
Speaker 3: Now you got 85 degrees, wind blown out, Wrigley with
32:21
Speaker 3: a fly ball lefty.
32:23
Speaker 2: Right. I mean, they're the hottest team as far as
32:26
Speaker 2: power slugging goes in baseball. So, yeah, definitely keep riding them.
32:30
Speaker 2: Gasser isn't anybody that I'm definitely worried about. You got
32:34
Speaker 2: the righties with Suzuki in there. You got Bregman, who
32:38
Speaker 2: obviously had a decent game. You got Horner. So, Ramirez,
32:42
Speaker 2: even at the bottom of that lineup, has got a
32:44
Speaker 2: 4-0-2 WOVA against Lefty. So, yeah, I think all the
32:47
Speaker 2: way up and down this game's in play. You know,
32:49
Speaker 2: as you mentioned, the wind's blowing out. Milwaukee, like you said,
32:53
Speaker 2: anytime they're playing a pitcher that's got fly ball capabilities,
32:57
Speaker 2: I think the Brewers definitely got to be in play.
33:00
Speaker 2: I do prefer them against against the righty and prefer
33:03
Speaker 2: their lefties. But I mean, Boyd is definitely a guy
33:06
Speaker 2: that can give up some fly balls, especially to the
33:10
Speaker 2: right side. So I think they're definitely in play. Contreras, Vaughn.
33:13
Speaker 2: Gary Sanchez in the middle of that lineup. I mean,
33:16
Speaker 2: the last 30 days, Boyd's been getting beat up by right.
33:19
Speaker 2: He's got a 376 Woba. His fly ball percentage is up.
33:24
Speaker 2: He's getting barreled at 15%. So, I mean, it's all
33:27
Speaker 2: in line. I mean, you're telling me I'd much rather
33:30
Speaker 2: play these two teams than the Royals and Marlins. Now,
33:33
Speaker 2: I understand that. that there's a salary cap involved. But man,
33:37
Speaker 2: I just think both sides of this are in play
33:40
Speaker 2: for me. I'd have a lean to the Cubs just because,
33:43
Speaker 2: I mean, they're just been the hottest team in baseball
33:45
Speaker 2: as far as power goes. and I'm just going to
33:47
Speaker 2: keep riding that out, especially if you're telling me there's
33:51
Speaker 2: a fly ball pick. If you took the Matthew Boyd
33:53
Speaker 2: name off that and just changed the name but left
33:56
Speaker 2: the same stats that was going on there, I think
33:58
Speaker 2: the Cubbies would be way higher owned than they probably are,
34:02
Speaker 2: and I'm not afraid of Matthew Boyd at all, so
34:05
Speaker 2: for me, give me some of them Cubs. I think
34:07
Speaker 2: the Cubs are definitely one of my favorite teams here today.
34:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love this game. This is one of my
34:12
Speaker 3: favorite games. It's not my favorite game on the slate.
34:15
Speaker 3: Ownership's not going to go there, and I understand the
34:17
Speaker 3: Marlins are cheaper. The Royals are cheaper, but I mean,
34:19
Speaker 3: look at these salaries, Pratt's 3,600, Lara 3,500, Joey Ortiz, 3,500
34:24
Speaker 3: shortstop and third base eligible.
34:26
Speaker 1: Gary Sanchez, four to.
34:27
Speaker 3: Vaughn 3,700 dual position eligibility. William Couture is four or three.
34:32
Speaker 3: This dude just keeps hitting home runs, especially against lefty
34:34
Speaker 3: and Cubs.
34:35
Speaker 1: Yeah.
34:35
Speaker 3: PCA Suzuki and Bregman are expensive, but the rest of
34:38
Speaker 3: them are all free. I mean, I don't really want
34:40
Speaker 3: to play $ 4, 400 Michael Bush lefty lefty anyway. So for me, it's,
34:45
Speaker 3: The back half, I like the back half a ton.
34:47
Speaker 3: I love Ramirez, Amaya, Shaw, if they're in there, Taylor, Suzuki.
34:51
Speaker 3: Those kind of five are my favorite. And then obviously
34:53
Speaker 3: Bregman's fine and PCA is good too. But I like
34:56
Speaker 3: the cheaper guys anyways in these stacks. So I'm loading
34:59
Speaker 3: the wagon on this game. I love both sides of it.
35:02
Speaker 3: And I'm pretty shocked that the ownership's not going to
35:05
Speaker 3: really go there. And I don't see it going to
35:07
Speaker 3: kind of steam up either, leading up to Locke based
35:10
Speaker 3: on what projections are saying. because of that bullpen factor
35:14
Speaker 3: of Kansas City and the Marlins' price points. Next spot,
35:17
Speaker 3: Rangers Athletics. I'm going to be kind of a bullpen
35:20
Speaker 3: game here for the A's. Rangers have been really good
35:23
Speaker 3: as of late. I think they're fine as more mini stacks.
35:27
Speaker 3: Jake Berger, Foscue. Foscue's a big pinch hit risk, but
35:30
Speaker 3: the dude hits lefties really good. Diaz hits lefties really good.
35:34
Speaker 3: Those two guys did pretty solid for me last night.
35:37
Speaker 3: They did both get pinch hit for us, so there
35:39
Speaker 3: are some risks there. I think the Rangers, Morris Fillers,
35:42
Speaker 3: make some sense here. No A's interest for me. I
35:44
Speaker 3: know Mackenzie Gore is going to be super chalk on
35:46
Speaker 3: this slate. I mean, if you wanted to play a
35:49
Speaker 3: Henry Bolt, Giloff, Jonah Heim, something like that, I don't
35:53
Speaker 3: think it's the worst play in the world. Max Muncy,
35:54
Speaker 3: a righty, he hits lefties pretty good. He's 2,900, so
35:57
Speaker 3: he's cheap. I'd just rather not play Mackenzie Gore than
36:00
Speaker 3: kind of go in and stack the A's. Personally, this
36:02
Speaker 3: team has just been absolutely miserable. But talk to me
36:05
Speaker 3: here in Globe Life. This is one of the best
36:07
Speaker 3: pitching parks in all of baseball.
36:11
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'll tell you, I don't mind the
36:14
Speaker 2: Rangers at all just because of the fact of how
36:17
Speaker 2: bad that bullpen is for the A's. And then you
36:20
Speaker 2: look at the way they got Basso coming out. Basso,
36:24
Speaker 2: I mean, damn, you know how much that guy got
36:26
Speaker 2: teased when he was a kid. Basso, asshole, you know
36:28
Speaker 2: he heard it. So you know he's probably scrappy around
36:31
Speaker 2: the swing set because my man probably heard that shit
36:33
Speaker 2: all the way through till probably high school. But either way,
36:38
Speaker 2: I mean, that lefty coming in, you know, it tells
36:40
Speaker 2: me that a guy like Corey Seager is an elite
36:42
Speaker 2: type play and one off here today because nobody going
36:45
Speaker 2: to play him because they see the lefty starter. And
36:47
Speaker 2: then you're going to get part of this shitty A's
36:49
Speaker 2: bullpen that's going to come through. And man, I think
36:52
Speaker 2: that would be, you know, somebody like even Nemo could
36:56
Speaker 2: could be in play for me here today. So, yeah,
36:59
Speaker 2: I think I wouldn't sleep all the way on him
37:02
Speaker 2: as far as the stack, maybe like a mini stack.
37:05
Speaker 2: But I do like the lefties there, especially that you're
37:08
Speaker 2: going to get a lot of that A's bullpen. So
37:10
Speaker 2: give me some Seager. Give me some Nemo. I don't
37:12
Speaker 2: mind them two at all. And then, I mean, you
37:15
Speaker 2: could always throw in Duran and Lankford if you wanted
37:18
Speaker 2: to have some kind of a mini stack. But, yeah,
37:20
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm just attacking that bullpen. And I know
37:23
Speaker 2: Basso ain't going to last too long. So for me
37:25
Speaker 2: to get some power bats that probably no one's going
37:27
Speaker 2: to play because they see lefty-lefty for, what, maybe one
37:31
Speaker 2: time through the lineup. Big deal. So I think Corey
37:35
Speaker 2: Seager is a great play at shortstop today.
37:39
Speaker 3: Yeah, Foscue, Duren, a lot of these guys, Nimmo, Seager, Freeman,
37:44
Speaker 3: they've all been pretty solid. So I get it. I
37:46
Speaker 3: don't love the full stack just because of the pinch
37:48
Speaker 3: hit risk. Guys like Foscue and Diaz, if a righty
37:52
Speaker 3: comes in after Basso there, I don't know if this
37:56
Speaker 3: Majdic guy or however you pronounce his name is going
37:59
Speaker 3: to be the long guy.
38:00
Speaker 1: I know that's what we have on the stone here.
38:02
Speaker 1: I didn't see it.
38:03
Speaker 3: But if he is, then you got more innings of
38:07
Speaker 3: left handed pitching there for guys like Dern and Berger Freeman.
38:11
Speaker 3: Like I said, Diaz Langford, those guys there. So I
38:15
Speaker 3: do think it's in play. Not one of my top
38:18
Speaker 3: stacks on the slate, but I do probably have the
38:20
Speaker 3: Texas bats kind of in the same categories like the twins.
38:23
Speaker 1: Right.
38:23
Speaker 3: I think they're fine fillers and kind of position as
38:26
Speaker 3: you find your five man stack.
38:28
Speaker 1: You need some position eligibility to make a mini stack.
38:31
Speaker 1: or a one-off.
38:31
Speaker 3: That's kind of how I see Texas on this slate.
38:34
Speaker 3: Next spot on the slate, Ronald Blanco, Sean Burke on
38:38
Speaker 3: the mound. We talked about Sean Burke, but he has
38:40
Speaker 3: not been good over the last month or so. Astros
38:43
Speaker 3: make some sense. I think Jordan is a spend up
38:45
Speaker 3: to be contrarian on the slate. He is one of
38:47
Speaker 3: the best hitters in baseball, but I love the White
38:50
Speaker 3: Sox here tonight. Blanco has been atrocious. White Sox are
38:53
Speaker 3: my favorite overall stack on the slate here. I mean,
38:57
Speaker 3: Blanco has just been so bad.
38:58
Speaker 1: It's unreal.
38:59
Speaker 3: 300 ISO given up on the season, 304 to the
39:03
Speaker 3: left side, fly ball rate of almost 40%. And now
39:06
Speaker 3: he's going to see a bunch of fly ball hitting
39:08
Speaker 3: lefties that hit for power. Tristan Peters looks amazing. Ben Attendee, Murakami.
39:13
Speaker 3: Don't forget him out. Miguel Vargas, Drew Romo, Montgomery, Antonasi.
39:16
Speaker 3: I mean, this whole lineup outside of Medroth, I love Medroth.
39:20
Speaker 3: I don't want to talk too much shit because last
39:21
Speaker 3: time we were on the show and we talked shit
39:22
Speaker 3: about him, he was the only one that did anything.
39:24
Speaker 3: White Sox kind of burned me a little bit last night,
39:27
Speaker 3: but I'm right back on the well here and You
39:29
Speaker 3: look at the... Houston bullpen as well, we know it's
39:31
Speaker 3: not very good. And they used a bunch of their
39:34
Speaker 3: bullpen arms yesterday, Houston did. Four bullpen arms yesterday, 27 pitches,
39:38
Speaker 3: 23 pitches, 16 pitches, 18 pitches. Okert being one of
39:41
Speaker 3: the better arms as well. Probably going to be unavailable.
39:44
Speaker 3: He's throwing back-to-back days. Obviously, Josh Hader is in the
39:47
Speaker 3: back half there, but he's not going to come in
39:49
Speaker 3: if this game's out of hand. I love the White
39:51
Speaker 3: Sox here, my favorite overall stack on the slate, and
39:54
Speaker 3: they're pretty affordable.
39:55
Speaker 1: Talk to me.
39:57
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the White Sox too, especially them lefties.
40:00
Speaker 2: Blanco cannot seem to get his control under control to
40:03
Speaker 2: the lefties. He's been walking quite a few on the season.
40:06
Speaker 2: He's at 16.5% walk percentage overall. He's getting pretty damn
40:11
Speaker 2: close to that 18% strikeout rate he's got against lefties.
40:14
Speaker 2: He is a little better for strikeouts against righties, but... Man,
40:18
Speaker 2: I mean, he's just been bad. Like, you met 471, whoa,
40:21
Speaker 2: by the lefties. Ground ball percentage, 27%. Fly ball percentage, 39%.
40:25
Speaker 2: I mean, that's the last 30 days. He's just not
40:29
Speaker 2: been good. I know he got sent back down. And
40:31
Speaker 2: then what, rosters expand, they bring his ass back up,
40:33
Speaker 2: and they're going to throw him in here? I mean,
40:35
Speaker 2: the dude has not been very good at all. White
40:37
Speaker 2: Sox aren't a team. They're pretty patient, too, so they're
40:39
Speaker 2: going to make him throw some pitches. And I think
40:42
Speaker 2: they definitely can get to him. Murakami, we know he's
40:46
Speaker 2: got– I mean, he's dropped a little bit. I know
40:48
Speaker 2: his Wobbe's been over 400 for most of the season
40:51
Speaker 2: against righties. He's at 393 here at the moment. But, yeah,
40:54
Speaker 2: I think all of the lefties here for the White Sox,
40:58
Speaker 2: for me, are somewhere I'm looking at. I'm not really–
41:03
Speaker 2: wanting to throw some Astros in against Burke. But I mean, obviously, Mr.
41:08
Speaker 2: Superstar himself, Jordan Alvarez, is always in play. If you
41:12
Speaker 2: wanted to swap him out for somebody, I think he'd
41:15
Speaker 2: be a decent one-off to throw in there. He's got
41:17
Speaker 2: some power potential, especially against Burke, who has struggled, as
41:20
Speaker 2: we mentioned. But yeah, give me some White Sox. I'd
41:24
Speaker 2: throw them up there. Man, I'll tell you what, Nades,
41:27
Speaker 2: I don't know. I got both Chicago teams up in
41:30
Speaker 2: the top handful of my of my stacks here today
41:33
Speaker 2: I matter of fact I put them both in my
41:36
Speaker 2: top three today both Chicago teams so yeah definitely an
41:40
Speaker 2: interesting slate I think you know with with with the
41:43
Speaker 2: White Sox bring in and it's fun to play the
41:45
Speaker 2: White Sox I mean I definitely hate playing against them
41:47
Speaker 2: but yeah you're talking about Blanco Blanco is going to
41:51
Speaker 2: get pummeled here tonight.
41:53
Speaker 3: Yeah I'm with you there I love the White Sox
41:55
Speaker 3: on the slate and I'm with you I love the
41:57
Speaker 3: Cubs as well so I'm riding on some Chicago squad,
42:01
Speaker 3: which feels gross, but I like money over fandom.
42:04
Speaker 1: Any day of the week.
42:06
Speaker 3: Let's jump to Coors Field. Obviously, another good spot here.
42:11
Speaker 3: Gabriel Hughes, I think he's a serviceable arm for the
42:18
Speaker 3: Rockies here. Good strikeouts to the right side, not so
42:21
Speaker 3: much to the left side. Gives up some power, especially
42:24
Speaker 3: over the last month. O's fell on their face yesterday.
42:28
Speaker 3: We know that Rockies bullpen is atrocious. It's better hitting
42:31
Speaker 3: environment here today than it was yesterday. And neither of
42:34
Speaker 3: these teams are really going to get the ownership that
42:35
Speaker 3: they should because of their price points.
42:37
Speaker 1: They are expensive.
42:39
Speaker 3: Luis Robert should be back in this lineup for the
42:41
Speaker 3: O's as well. The issue is, is their salaries, right?
42:45
Speaker 3: They are super expensive. I prefer the Cubs because I
42:47
Speaker 3: think the Cubs are cheaper to stack than the O's.
42:49
Speaker 3: I prefer the White Sox. I prefer the Brewers even
42:52
Speaker 3: because I think they're cheaper to stack. The O's have
42:55
Speaker 3: to have a lot of interest in them here. Again,
42:57
Speaker 3: flop leg spot, you're going to get them sub, I mean,
43:00
Speaker 3: probably 50% of the ownership that they had yesterday. You're
43:03
Speaker 3: going to get them much lower owned today. Rockies, not
43:06
Speaker 3: as much interest, but Braddish has been up and down.
43:09
Speaker 3: The lefties are what you want. Rumfield, McCarthy, Castro, Kerrig,
43:13
Speaker 3: some of those guys make some sense. Moniak, if he's
43:17
Speaker 3: hitting eighth at 5,200, he's going to be 0% owned
43:19
Speaker 3: on the slate. So he's always got a ton of upside.
43:22
Speaker 3: Talk to me here, Coors Field. to start off the
43:25
Speaker 3: night window.
43:27
Speaker 2: Yeah, Gabriel Hughes, I mean, he just hasn't, has not
43:31
Speaker 2: been all that good. As you mentioned, his K percentage
43:33
Speaker 2: to the left side is really low. It's almost like
43:35
Speaker 2: literally half what he's got to the right side. He
43:39
Speaker 2: is a fly ball lean type pitcher, so that is
43:41
Speaker 2: definitely concerning. He does get a little bit more ground
43:44
Speaker 2: balls to the left side, but he hasn't been getting
43:48
Speaker 2: them as much to the right side at 29%. He's
43:51
Speaker 2: at 45% to the left side. He's got a 35%
43:54
Speaker 2: fly ball rate to the right side. So, you know,
43:59
Speaker 2: Pete Alonzo, I think he would be a guy that
44:03
Speaker 2: I'd definitely be looking at. But even some of these lefties,
44:06
Speaker 2: Beavers would be in play. But Salo, you know, I
44:09
Speaker 2: could have made a Beaver joke, but I just let
44:11
Speaker 2: it go. Gunnar Henderson, Holiday, blah, blah, blah. I think
44:15
Speaker 2: they're definitely all in play here in Coors. So definitely
44:19
Speaker 2: like that as far as, you know, comparing them to, like,
44:23
Speaker 2: the Cubbies and the White Sox. I think I'd have
44:26
Speaker 2: them the step below. I don't have them in my
44:30
Speaker 2: top three today, but Colorado against Braddish and all those
44:32
Speaker 2: walk issues. I think I would just be doing some
44:36
Speaker 2: power hunting. A guy like Goodman, I think would be
44:39
Speaker 2: in play for me. Maybe Moniak. You could look at Kerrig,
44:43
Speaker 2: I think would be interesting. So Maybe Bradish could get
44:46
Speaker 2: a few guys on. I mean, he's got a pretty
44:50
Speaker 2: heavy ground ball percentage, especially his last month to the
44:52
Speaker 2: right side. He's at almost 50%, 53% to the right side.
44:58
Speaker 2: So his fly ball percentage has been a little lower,
45:00
Speaker 2: but it has bumped up to the left side. So,
45:03
Speaker 2: like I said, I think like Moniak would be someone
45:06
Speaker 2: I'd look at. Like I said, he was cruising last game.
45:09
Speaker 2: What was he, through five? And all of a sudden
45:11
Speaker 2: the damn wheels fall off the cart there. So, but yeah,
45:15
Speaker 2: that bad bullpen with Colorado, Baltimore, I do prefer that
45:18
Speaker 2: side of the game. But I think Pete Alonzo would
45:21
Speaker 2: be a guy that, I mean, you're not going to
45:23
Speaker 2: get great home run odds, but I'm thinking that dude's
45:26
Speaker 2: going yard today.
45:28
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I definitely get it. And we like some
45:30
Speaker 1: of the cheaper pitchers, right?
45:31
Speaker 3: We talked about Grayson Rodriguez a little bit with his
45:33
Speaker 3: strikeout upside pre-lip. And that's kind of how you unlock
45:37
Speaker 3: the Baltimore stack. So I think it makes some sense
45:38
Speaker 3: in those type of builds. And yeah, I mean, I
45:42
Speaker 3: think if you play one of those guys and maybe
45:45
Speaker 3: like a Burke or something like that, I think it's
45:47
Speaker 3: kind of interesting or go like a Lizardo and one
45:51
Speaker 3: of those cheap guys and somehow fit in some of
45:53
Speaker 3: these O's.
45:54
Speaker 1: I think that's an interesting way to go. Do want
45:56
Speaker 1: to keep an eye out for the lineup.
45:58
Speaker 3: We should get we might get Zach Veen back in
46:00
Speaker 3: the lineup for the Rockies.
46:02
Speaker 1: Big, big time prospect for them. Huge power.
46:06
Speaker 3: He what he got injured after he was up for
46:08
Speaker 3: a little bit. But if he's back in there, I
46:10
Speaker 3: think he's a really good play. He should hit in
46:12
Speaker 3: the back half of the lineup. I think he'd be
46:14
Speaker 3: an interesting. He's kind of all or nothing, at least
46:17
Speaker 3: from what we've seen so far in the majors. But
46:19
Speaker 3: when he hits it, it's probably going to go and
46:22
Speaker 3: leave the yard there. And Bradish does give up a
46:23
Speaker 3: bunch of power. to the left side there. So lefties
46:27
Speaker 3: you want on the Rockies. Orioles, if you can make
46:30
Speaker 3: them work, they are a good spot here for sure.
46:34
Speaker 3: I do have the Cubs and the White Sox ahead
46:35
Speaker 3: of the Orioles, though, personally myself and another team we're
46:38
Speaker 3: going to talk about in a little bit. Yankees, Angels,
46:41
Speaker 3: Grayson Rodriguez, Garrett Cole. This is a pitching slot for
46:44
Speaker 3: me here. I'm not really messing with it. I mean, Angels,
46:47
Speaker 3: if you wanted to use the leverage word against Garrett Cole,
46:50
Speaker 3: sure you can. Not for me on a nine game slate.
46:52
Speaker 3: There's much other offenses that I'm going to. The Yankees,
46:55
Speaker 3: it is still Grayson Rodriguez. He can get wild, and
46:58
Speaker 3: he's not a great arm. He's going to see eight
47:00
Speaker 3: lefties in the lineup probably as well. The Yankees have
47:04
Speaker 3: enough power to beat any slate that they're on. Angels, obviously,
47:08
Speaker 3: bullpen is not very good. I'd much rather just play
47:11
Speaker 3: the pitchers in this one. I do want to say, though,
47:14
Speaker 3: Grayson Rodriguez has been much better over the last month
47:16
Speaker 3: against the left side, but if he falls back to
47:18
Speaker 3: where he was beginning of the year that we've seen
47:21
Speaker 3: him to lefties, you could see the Yankees break out.
47:24
Speaker 3: It's probably more of like a night slate play than
47:26
Speaker 3: a main slate play, personally myself, for that four-game night slate.
47:30
Speaker 3: But talk to me here in Anaheim, Yankees, Angels.
47:35
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm kind of with you there. I don't really
47:38
Speaker 2: want to try to push too much here against these
47:40
Speaker 2: two pitchers. But if I was going to look at anything,
47:43
Speaker 2: I think the Yankees, as you said, I mean, they're
47:45
Speaker 2: going to throw, what, eight lefties at Rodriguez. I mean,
47:49
Speaker 2: so far in the season, I mean, if you look
47:50
Speaker 2: at his overall numbers, as you mentioned, he's been way
47:52
Speaker 2: better the last 30 days. But, dude, like his Wobo's
47:55
Speaker 2: 401 ground ball percentage is crazy.
47:57
Speaker 1: We're at 34%.
47:58
Speaker 2: Fly ball, 30%. I mean, he was getting barreled up.
48:02
Speaker 2: I mean, he just hasn't been good. His walk percentage
48:05
Speaker 2: was high. So, I mean, and that's over 183 at-bats
48:09
Speaker 2: throughout the season. He did have 140 plate appearances against
48:13
Speaker 2: the right side. But, I mean, his last 30 days,
48:16
Speaker 2: he's only had 68. So, just kind of doing quick math,
48:19
Speaker 2: I mean, it's almost like a third of of what
48:23
Speaker 2: he's been through so far in the last month. So,
48:26
Speaker 2: but yeah, I mean, like you said, he could definitely
48:28
Speaker 2: resort to how bad he's been at the beginning half
48:29
Speaker 2: of the season against, against the lefties. And if it's
48:33
Speaker 2: going to happen against the team, I mean, the Yankees
48:35
Speaker 2: definitely got the lefty power to get it done. I mean,
48:38
Speaker 2: even adding the Bellinger back here. So, yeah, I think
48:41
Speaker 2: the Yankees are in play. I'd call them like a
48:43
Speaker 2: sneakier type stack. But the problem is, Nades, you're going
48:46
Speaker 2: to have to pay up for the Yankees. And, you know,
48:49
Speaker 2: I think then it's just would you rather play a
48:51
Speaker 2: team like the Orioles or the Cubbies or someone else?
48:54
Speaker 2: So I think to me, they'd just be like a
48:56
Speaker 2: pivot off one of them top teams that you're going
48:58
Speaker 2: to have to pay up for. And I wouldn't get
49:00
Speaker 2: overly excited about it, but I definitely think you can
49:03
Speaker 2: get to Grayson Rodriguez.
49:05
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.
49:06
Speaker 3: I mean, Grayson Rodriguez has been much better against the
49:08
Speaker 3: lefties to over the last month. He's actually been really
49:10
Speaker 3: good against lefties, 28% striker rate against left-hander pitcher or
49:14
Speaker 3: left-hander hitters over the last month, in like 60 some
49:18
Speaker 3: plate appearances there. So that's kind of why you see
49:21
Speaker 3: Vegas hanging a five and a half K prop on him.
49:23
Speaker 3: But yeah, in like, like I said, that night slate,
49:25
Speaker 3: I think the Yankees make a lot more sense than
49:27
Speaker 3: they do on the full nine games.
49:29
Speaker 1: Won't be shocked.
49:30
Speaker 3: Yankees have broken plenty of slates, but I'd put the
49:33
Speaker 3: other teams at similar salaries, Cubs, Brewers, White Sox, the
49:38
Speaker 3: Baltimore side over the the Yankees here tonight myself. Phillies, D-backs, Erod, Lozardo,
49:46
Speaker 3: two lefties on the mound. Lozardo, one of our favorite pitchers,
49:49
Speaker 3: if not UNI's favorite pitcher on the slate. No D-backs
49:51
Speaker 3: really for me. Moreno does hit lefties well. Kettle Marte
49:55
Speaker 3: obviously hits lefties well. But I don't really want to
49:58
Speaker 3: pick on Lozardo. He's been really good. He just really
50:01
Speaker 3: doesn't get beat up too much. He's had a couple
50:04
Speaker 3: bad starts or one atrocious start. D-backs don't strike out
50:09
Speaker 3: against lefties, so you can make that case. I just–
50:11
Speaker 3: I don't love it on this slate. Same thing on
50:14
Speaker 3: the Phillies. I know Erod's kind of getting away with
50:17
Speaker 3: what his ERA is, like two-point something. His underlying metrics
50:21
Speaker 3: are not good, but he just continues to go out
50:23
Speaker 3: there and just get through it somehow. Sure, Schwarber, Harper
50:27
Speaker 3: can always do it. Real Muto, Sosa are the two
50:30
Speaker 3: power bats mainly against left-handed pitching here. Derek Hale too,
50:34
Speaker 3: but he's a big pinch hit risk. I don't love
50:36
Speaker 3: this game for offense here. How do you see this one? Yeah,
50:40
Speaker 3: I don't really care for it either.
50:42
Speaker 2: Game total sitting at seven and a half. I think
50:44
Speaker 2: there's enough offense today for me not to try to
50:48
Speaker 2: push it too hard with these. I don't even really
50:50
Speaker 2: like any many kind of stacks out of either one
50:52
Speaker 2: of these, especially like, you know, fooling around with E-Rod.
50:56
Speaker 2: He's been, he's just been so good and we much
50:59
Speaker 2: prefer the fills seeing a right-hander, especially with that power
51:03
Speaker 2: Schwarber Harper arise. But, I mean, don't sleep on Schwarber.
51:08
Speaker 2: I mean, that dude still hits lefties. He's a three
51:10
Speaker 2: 89 Woba against lefties two 50 ISO. So, uh, I mean,
51:14
Speaker 2: Schwarber can basically hit anybody, but I just, I don't
51:18
Speaker 2: think that this is necessarily the slate for that. Lizardo.
51:21
Speaker 2: I'm not picking on Lizardo either. As you mentioned, he's
51:24
Speaker 2: one of our favorite pitchers today, but yeah, I just,
51:26
Speaker 2: this game here isn't for me for offense.
51:28
Speaker 1: Now the next one, this one, I agree. The next one,
51:32
Speaker 1: let's take it to us.
51:33
Speaker 3: This is, uh, Probably right up there next to the
51:36
Speaker 3: Cubs and the White Sox is my favorite offense on
51:38
Speaker 3: the slate here, McGreevy. I love lefties against McGreevy. This
51:42
Speaker 3: is one of my favorite guys to stack against here.
51:44
Speaker 3: Cardinals bullpen, not very good either. I love the Dodgers
51:48
Speaker 3: on this slate, and you're going to get the Dodgers
51:50
Speaker 3: much lower on than you normally would in the same
51:53
Speaker 3: kind of matchup on this slate because there is so
51:55
Speaker 3: many good offensive spots. We got the win game at Wrigley.
51:57
Speaker 3: We got Coors Field with Baltimore with a huge implied
52:00
Speaker 3: run total. I love the Dodgers here. I want all
52:02
Speaker 3: the lefties and then mix in the righties with position
52:07
Speaker 3: eligibility that you need.
52:08
Speaker 1: Make a ton of sense.
52:09
Speaker 3: I think some of the Cardinals righties, Herrera, Walker, Baez,
52:12
Speaker 3: some of those guys I think make some sense against
52:14
Speaker 3: Lauer for sure. Locked in for nine here in this one.
52:18
Speaker 3: Pretty good place to hit here tonight as well in
52:20
Speaker 3: Dodger Stadium.
52:22
Speaker 1: Sign me up.
52:23
Speaker 3: I mean, you got some wind blowing out, temperatures in
52:25
Speaker 3: the 70s, pretty typical weather in September here in L.A.,
52:30
Speaker 3: I love this spot for the Dodgers.
52:32
Speaker 1: Talk to me. How do you see this one?
52:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, Dodgers will be up there, as you mentioned, with
52:37
Speaker 2: them Chicago teams here today. McGreevy, I mean, he's looked
52:42
Speaker 2: a little bit better as far as strikeout rate to
52:45
Speaker 2: the left side. He has the last 30 days, but
52:48
Speaker 2: he's been getting hit a hell of a lot harder
52:49
Speaker 2: the last 30 days, too. ISO up to 229, WOBA 379.
52:54
Speaker 2: His ground ball percentage and his fly ball percentages are
52:57
Speaker 2: pretty close to the same, which that's not too good
53:01
Speaker 2: for Mr. McGreevy, especially against the lefty. So, I mean,
53:05
Speaker 2: just looking at that lineup they're going to throw out there,
53:07
Speaker 2: I mean, all the way down, up and down, I think,
53:10
Speaker 2: you can play all of these Dodgers, especially down at
53:14
Speaker 2: the bottom, of course, with my man Kiki. Do you
53:17
Speaker 2: love me? Down there at the bottom. So I wouldn't
53:19
Speaker 2: discount Mr. Hernandez either. But, yeah, I mean, obviously, Otani, Freeman, Muncie,
53:26
Speaker 2: even Tommy Edmund, I think, was in play. I think
53:28
Speaker 2: the only one I'd probably be tougher for me to
53:31
Speaker 2: play is Kyle Tucker just because he just doesn't seem
53:34
Speaker 2: to have his shit together so far at this point
53:36
Speaker 2: in the time. But, yeah, I think basically all them
53:39
Speaker 2: Dodgers for me are in play. I'd definitely put them
53:42
Speaker 2: in my top three with them two Chicago teams. But, yeah,
53:46
Speaker 2: I think Kiki, as a wraparound, it wouldn't be bad
53:50
Speaker 2: to pair up with them top lefties up at the
53:52
Speaker 2: top of that lineup.
53:54
Speaker 3: Yeah, you might see Alec Thomas get the start, though,
53:57
Speaker 3: over Kiki just to throw another lefty.
54:00
Speaker 1: He does have power. He is 2,400.
54:03
Speaker 3: So if he's in there, I actually like him. I
54:05
Speaker 3: know he's a big pinch hit risk, but. he does
54:07
Speaker 3: have a lot of power historically against right-handed pitching and
54:10
Speaker 3: the dude is basically free on DraftKings. So even if
54:12
Speaker 3: you are looking at two at bats and he gets
54:14
Speaker 3: you a walk or something or a run score to
54:17
Speaker 3: get you two to five points, doesn't kill you.
54:19
Speaker 1: If he hits a home run, you're kind of swimming.
54:21
Speaker 3: So I do think he's interesting and I would be
54:24
Speaker 3: shocked if he doesn't kind of get the start here
54:26
Speaker 3: against McGreevy. So I didn't want to call that out.
54:28
Speaker 3: I just, typically they start Kiki against the lefty. I
54:32
Speaker 3: don't think they're going to start him against the righty here,
54:34
Speaker 3: but I could be wrong. So, Edmund, Tucker, Thomas, Rapparando,
54:39
Speaker 3: Tani Freeman, that looks really good to me, Muncie as well.
54:43
Speaker 3: Will Smith should be back, which does help their stack overall.
54:46
Speaker 3: He's 3,800, underpriced for him, a catcher. So, yeah, all
54:49
Speaker 3: things point to the Dodgers. They're one of my favorite
54:51
Speaker 3: stacks on the slate. I put them right up there
54:53
Speaker 3: next to the Cubs, next to the White Sox on
54:55
Speaker 3: this slate. G. Rising, that's all nine games.
54:58
Speaker 1: Your favorite, your top three pitchers, your top three stacks,
55:01
Speaker 1: and a home run call if you have one.
55:04
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Lizardo for me, my favorite. Then I'd
55:07
Speaker 2: go Cole. And then I think I'd probably go Burke.
55:11
Speaker 2: And then, like I said, I have more fun fading
55:14
Speaker 2: Gore than not. The top three stacks, I'm going to go.
55:18
Speaker 2: I'm going Cubs one, White Sox two, Dodgers three. And
55:23
Speaker 2: as far as a home run call goes, I saw
55:26
Speaker 2: we got a little bit of some love there in
55:27
Speaker 2: the chat needs that the last time I think we
55:30
Speaker 2: were on, we pulled off. A nice little double banger
55:34
Speaker 2: for everybody. So for today, I am going to that
55:38
Speaker 2: Wrigley Field game. And I am actually going to the
55:41
Speaker 2: Brewers side. And I am going with William Contreras. We'll
55:47
Speaker 2: hit a home run.
55:49
Speaker 1: All right. I like that.
55:51
Speaker 3: For me, my pitchers, I'm going Lizardo. Garrett Cole, and
55:56
Speaker 3: then I will say Connor Prelip is kind of the
55:59
Speaker 3: unowned guy down in the value tier range. That's going
56:02
Speaker 3: to be a little lower owned than a guy like
56:04
Speaker 3: Grayson Rodriguez, but I do like him as well. Offense
56:07
Speaker 3: for me, I'm going White Sox number one. Cubs number two,
56:11
Speaker 3: Dodgers three, Brewers four. Those kind of four teams I'm
56:15
Speaker 3: looking at. Mainly my home run call, I'm going to
56:18
Speaker 3: the White Sox. I'm not going to the top of
56:20
Speaker 3: the order, although I do think Vargas is a good play.
56:23
Speaker 3: I'm going to the back half of the lineup. I'm
56:24
Speaker 3: going to do the 8-hole hitter. It was the 9-hole
56:27
Speaker 3: hitter yesterday for the Twins. It's the 8-hole hitter, Tristan Peters,
56:30
Speaker 3: 3K flat. Another value lefty. This dude's had an incredible
56:34
Speaker 3: last month. Murders right-handed pitching. Tons of fly balls given
56:37
Speaker 3: up by Blanco.
56:38
Speaker 1: Tons of power. Give me a 3K Tristan Peters to
56:41
Speaker 1: go deep here tonight to round out the show. For G. Rosin,
56:45
Speaker 1: I'm Nades.
56:45
Speaker 3: Good luck tonight in those contests, especially those in the 3-3-3-3.
56:51
Speaker 3: Hopefully you take home that million dollar top prize. Like
56:54
Speaker 3: I said, for G Rosin, I'm Nades. We'll be back tomorrow.
56:58
Speaker 1: Good luck tonight.
56:59
Speaker 2: Peace.