Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 565 - 8/12/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 565 - 8/12/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
• 0:14
  welcome to. Episode 560.
• 0:17
  Five of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 0:20
  podcast. Powered.
• 0:22
  By rhythm, I'm your. Host Josh.
• 0:25
  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
• 0:31
  Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day, guys.
• 0:34
  That means we are halfway through our work.
• 0:35
  Week we're also nearly. Halfway.
• 0:37
  Through the month of. August Unbelievable.
• 0:40
  Football is right in front of us.
• 0:42
  We've already had the Hall of Fame game.
• 0:43
  Don't remind me on the bad beat. With the Cardinals again, it's
• 0:46
  always funny. You never forget your losses,
• 0:48
  especially the heartbreaking. Ones and sometimes.
• 0:49
  You forget about the wins unless they're like crazy.
• 0:52
  Backdoor covers or something like that, but anyway.
• 0:54
  We do have. More NFL preseason.
• 0:57
  Coming up here tomorrow so one. 234. 56 games lined up, might
• 1:02
  have a best bet on on one or two, so we'll talk about those.
• 1:05
  We have a lot to get to on today's pod because there's a
• 1:07
  little bit of housekeeping. You got to.
• 1:09
  Mention a few things going on today and then also we got to
• 1:12
  get to. Our MLB.
• 1:13
  Games for today, so we're going to get right back to Major
• 1:15
  League Baseball. I have a three pack of sweats
• 1:17
  for you all. Three of them.
• 1:19
  Have some really good rhythm recommendations.
• 1:21
  Also going to talk about odds boosts and.
• 1:24
  Up to early tokens which. Could have, could have helped
• 1:26
  us. The last couple nights it's been
• 1:28
  rough. With these with these blown
• 1:30
  leads here. But all three games some
• 1:32
  favorites, couple short, one a little bit bigger, but.
• 1:35
  Also, if you can take advantage of this odds boost, you can
• 1:38
  knock down the. Price a little bit so as always
• 1:40
  guys 3 pack you hear me say it all the time let's go 2 and. 1
• 1:43
  Eek. Out a winning day.
• 1:45
  That is the goal. Now looking back.
• 1:47
  Toward last night before we get to our housekeeping and our
• 1:49
  plays. Another frustrating night in
• 1:51
  MLB. Again, I don't.
• 1:52
  Know what it is something in the water we've been grinding pretty
• 1:55
  hard and being, you know, pretty consistent here in.
• 1:57
  MLB and then. I feel like the last, you know,
• 1:59
  3-4 days really since Saturday, so Saturday.
• 2:02
  Sunday, Monday, Tuesday a. Four day slide here.
• 2:05
  Where we're making good. Bats for beating closing lines
• 2:08
  and teams. Keep blowing it for.
• 2:10
  Us so last. Night 1 and 2. -1.39.
• 2:14
  Units did have a nice hit with the Rays.
• 2:17
  Man, you can always count on the Rays.
• 2:18
  How? How great are they, especially
• 2:19
  against bad teams? 12 to four win against the.
• 2:22
  A's didn't. Have to sweat that both the
• 2:24
  White Sox and the Diamondbacks blown.
• 2:27
  Leads. Late super annoying.
• 2:29
  White Sox lose 5 to 4 in extras against Cincinnati.
• 2:32
  Why was that frustrating? Because they were up 4 to.
• 2:35
  One going into the. 8th inning they.
• 2:37
  Bring in their you. Know their their bullpen arms.
• 2:39
  Bullpen arms blow it. They have an opportunity to tie
• 2:43
  it bottom of the 10th. Can't get a single run across.
• 2:45
  So always annoying. When you're up 4 to one in the
• 2:47
  eighth. And I.
• 2:49
  Forget what the live line was, I don't know -1000.
• 2:51
  Chicago, of course they blow it for us. 4 to one.
• 2:55
  A41 Loose 5. 4 So frustrating. There and then the Cardinals or
• 2:58
  sorry I'm. Thinking football again, I have
• 3:00
  on my notepad. AZ loses. 3:00 to 2:00 to
• 3:03
  Colorado. That's not the Cardinals, that's
• 3:04
  the Diamondbacks. Unfortunately, they're up two to
• 3:06
  nothing cruising. That lefty brat was throwing a.
• 3:09
  Gem What happens up to to nothing going into the 6th?
• 3:14
  Gives. Up a two run.
• 3:14
  Homer gives up another. Run the next inning and then
• 3:17
  Arizona against. One of the worst bullpens in
• 3:19
  baseball can't. Score one more run to tie it or
• 3:22
  take the lead so White Sox and D backs both up in the 6th.
• 3:26
  Multiple runs in the. 8th both completely implode.
• 3:29
  For us, that is. Frustrating and.
• 3:31
  It's annoying because that's two straight nights of.
• 3:34
  Blown leads I. Remember the Brewers coming?
• 3:37
  Up on When was that Monday? They were up two to one in the
• 3:39
  7th. And blew it.
• 3:41
  Angels were up 1, nothing and losing.
• 3:43
  Extras. So that's baseball.
• 3:45
  Again, sometimes, sometimes you feel that you say to.
• 3:47
  Yourself. Why can't I?
• 3:48
  Get some teams. To come back and win.
• 3:50
  Why is it always got to be other teams coming back?
• 3:52
  Against me, but hey, that's the way.
• 3:53
  The cookie. Crumbles, you know, we're, we're
• 3:56
  past the trade. Deadline.
• 3:57
  We're nitty. Gritty here in MLB.
• 3:59
  We just got to keep grinding. So unfortunately 1 and 2 -, 1.39
• 4:03
  units and at one point you're. You're saying to yourself, we
• 4:06
  go. Three and O tonight, so 3 and O
• 4:08
  to a one and two. Pretty, pretty frustrating.
• 4:10
  Pretty. Annoying, but are we going to
• 4:12
  smash our? Computer screen.
• 4:13
  Are we going to, you know, kick our, you know, kick our door
• 4:16
  down or, you know, light something on fire?
• 4:17
  Nope, we're not going to overreact.
• 4:19
  So just going to get right back to it tonight.
• 4:21
  Try to eke out a winning day now for a.
• 4:24
  Little bit of housekeeping first thing I.
• 4:25
  Wanted to mention is the. NFL Survivor contest now.
• 4:29
  You may have gotten an e-mail invite from me.
• 4:32
  Asking you to join the Survivor contest.
• 4:34
  Well, there's a little bit of a mishap, so I apologize for this.
• 4:37
  But when I initially maybe sent you an e-mail or Adm on.
• 4:41
  Twitter or I? Tweeted it out with a link
• 4:43
  actually created incorrectly the.
• 4:46
  Contest and it went through a third party.
• 4:48
  I thought that that was now how Splash was doing it, but no.
• 4:51
  I jumped the gun. It was through.
• 4:53
  Was it called draft something? But it turns out I set up the
• 4:57
  contest incorrectly, so I had to reach out to.
• 5:00
  To my. My contact at Splash, they were
• 5:03
  able to. Hopefully, and then have this
• 5:05
  happen to me because I signed up as well.
• 5:07
  But if you did sign up in that first contest I created.
• 5:11
  Your money. Should have been refunded so.
• 5:14
  If you did 50. Bucks for an entry.
• 5:16
  That money? Should go back to your bank
• 5:17
  account. And now that contest is closed
• 5:20
  so you can't join so. If there's an issue.
• 5:23
  You probably got an. E-mail from this website.
• 5:25
  The e-mail was the. Third party basically saying the
• 5:29
  contest. Has been cancelled.
• 5:30
  And you? Get your money back.
• 5:31
  It's called league safe, so I got.
• 5:33
  One that said. Your entries were refunded.
• 5:35
  Applebaum, NFL. Survivor was cancelled the.
• 5:38
  Entries below have been cancelled and their fees.
• 5:40
  Refunded to your account. So kind of annoying I jumped the
• 5:43
  gun. But the.
• 5:45
  Money should have been. Refunded so if you did enter
• 5:47
  into the contest. You'll get your money back.
• 5:50
  And then I recreated the contest correctly.
• 5:53
  So now. We're good to go.
• 5:54
  So you might see a tweet from me today.
• 5:57
  You might. Get a new invite.
• 5:59
  Via Splash the second. Annual Apple one minute.
• 6:02
  NFL survivor and this one, this one is legit.
• 6:04
  This is the real. 1 so it's. 50 bucks an entry.
• 6:08
  We're up to 18 entries so. Pretty good I read to the
• 6:11
  contest. Last night and overnight. 18
• 6:13
  people joined SO. Thank you so much that that
• 6:15
  that's fantastic. Because all it does.
• 6:17
  Is sweeten the pot and the payout and we have up to a. 1000
• 6:21
  entries you could win. Up to. $45,000.
• 6:24
  So I know, I know, it's not the circa.
• 6:26
  You know the Millie. It's not the the splash boards
• 6:28
  big. Boy 21 million payout.
• 6:31
  But also 50 bucks it's a lot easier to to part.
• 6:34
  Within $1000 because you got to be a bit of a High Roller to
• 6:37
  enter those big. Ones, but I apologize for the
• 6:40
  confusion if. You have any questions?
• 6:42
  Shoot me Adm. On Twitter at.
• 6:44
  Josh under Score Insights but. The first one again.
• 6:47
  Was a mistake. Your money should have been
• 6:49
  refunded. If you joined.
• 6:50
  If you didn't join, this means nothing to you now.
• 6:52
  The correct link is out there. I'll tweet it out, I'll put it
• 6:55
  in the bio description of the pod and I want everyone to come
• 6:58
  on. Down.
• 6:58
  Throw 50 bucks in the ring again.
• 7:00
  It was 25 last year. Wanted to.
• 7:02
  You know, up. The game a little bit this.
• 7:03
  Year make that. That winner?
• 7:05
  Take home some more. Cash and definitely want you
• 7:08
  guys to share this link. With any friends or family
• 7:10
  people you may know who are. Looking to join a.
• 7:12
  Survivor again 50 bucks. Could win you 40. $5000 you know
• 7:16
  a new car. Wouldn't that be nice?
• 7:18
  So come on down and join. Second piece of housekeeping.
• 7:21
  That I wanted to mention. Is that?
• 7:23
  I will not. Do a pod tomorrow unfortunately.
• 7:26
  I had a death in the family which is never fun and this was
• 7:29
  a a person. Who had a terrible accident?
• 7:33
  And. It's really, really sad.
• 7:34
  He's a great guy. But I will be.
• 7:36
  Traveling. I'm leaving my house at like
• 7:38
  4:00 AM tomorrow. I got a 6:00 AM flight.
• 7:40
  Down to Florida. And I will be going to the.
• 7:43
  Funeral and I'll be. Spending tomorrow going to a
• 7:47
  funeral. So that's life.
• 7:49
  And I tell you what guys, when you go O and three, one and two,
• 7:51
  you have a losing night, have a couple bad days of betting and
• 7:55
  then you find out someone died. Who's close to you?
• 7:57
  Who was a? Great, great person.
• 8:00
  Gone way too young. It kind of puts things into
• 8:03
  perspective, so again, I love betting.
• 8:05
  It feels like it's do or die. No pun intended when you're
• 8:08
  sweating the game, but it's money.
• 8:11
  And again, it's a, it's an investment.
• 8:13
  It's a. Hobby.
• 8:14
  It's whatever you want to. Call it, but sometimes you get
• 8:16
  slapped in the face with reality and you know, once I once I
• 8:19
  found the news of this terrible accident.
• 8:22
  It's my my cousin's husband. He was in a boating accident, so
• 8:25
  it's. Really, really terrible.
• 8:27
  And he was an awesome, just an awesome dude.
• 8:29
  I keep saying that and, you know, people die and like, oh.
• 8:31
  What a great guy he was. Maybe he.
• 8:32
  Was maybe he wasn't this guy was was really the best
• 8:35
  one-of-a-kind. So again, not that.
• 8:38
  Losing is OK or I'm condoning it.
• 8:41
  Obviously we're serious about sports betting.
• 8:43
  We want to. Win, but you know when you go.
• 8:46
  One and two and. Two teams blow it for you.
• 8:48
  And then you say to yourself, yeah, but then a.
• 8:50
  Good friend A. Good family member of mine just
• 8:52
  died. It puts thing into puts things
• 8:55
  into perspective and hopefully that perspective allows us to,
• 8:59
  you know, cherish the things that really matter in life,
• 9:01
  which is. Friends, family of course.
• 9:04
  And, and just want to say be careful out there to everybody
• 9:06
  you know, going on a boat, it can be a lot of fun, but things
• 9:10
  out of your control can happen. And the last thing you want is
• 9:13
  someone close to you no longer being there, so.
• 9:17
  With that being said, no pod tomorrow I'll be.
• 9:19
  I'll be in Florida at a funeral. And I'll try to do a.
• 9:22
  Pod on Friday, but we'll see how things go.
• 9:24
  But as. Always I will write.
• 9:26
  My. Visa article on the.
• 9:28
  Airplane tomorrow. And I will be posting the best.
• 9:31
  Bets to Juice Reel. And.
• 9:33
  Last time I was in Florida, ironically for another funeral,
• 9:37
  I. Was able to hook up the Hard
• 9:38
  Rock app so for. The plays will go right to Juice
• 9:40
  Reel without an issue, unlike when I went to Block Island.
• 9:44
  And for whatever reason, the idiot Rhode Island.
• 9:47
  Gaming Commission doesn't allow you to bet games other than in.
• 9:51
  Person which makes no sense even though.
• 9:53
  In in Massachusetts I can. Use the Bally Sports Bet app.
• 9:57
  Which is affiliated. Through Bally in Rhode Island,
• 9:59
  anyway. I don't get it.
• 10:00
  But again. No pod tomorrow, hopefully a pod
• 10:03
  Friday. But.
• 10:04
  Again, you can get. The best bet?
• 10:06
  Picks on Juice Real and read the Sharp reports.
• 10:08
  For visen.com. Anyway.
• 10:10
  Let's get back to do what we love to do and hopefully.
• 10:13
  No, no teams will blow leads for us tonight.
• 10:15
  Because that's been. A running theme.
• 10:16
  Last couple nights annoyingly. But either way, guys, a three
• 10:19
  pack overall. Let's waste no.
• 10:21
  More time. Let's try to get two of them eek
• 10:23
  out a winning. Day.
• 10:24
  So first bet on the board here, I want to talk about 6. 40 PM
• 10:27
  Eastern Time. We got a match up here couple
• 10:30
  AL. Central teams, The Cleveland
• 10:31
  Guardians visiting the Detroit. Tigers.
• 10:34
  Now let's talk line moves. Bet split.
• 10:36
  System matches I'll. Give you my play for this one.
• 10:38
  So tigers come in 59 and 60 again.
• 10:41
  Traded away scuba and KC Mize but.
• 10:43
  Still. Battling here for a.
• 10:44
  Maybe a wild card birth? They won last night's.
• 10:46
  Series opener against the. Guardian 6 to 4.
• 10:49
  Hung on as a. -140 Home. Favorite tonight's rematch?
• 10:52
  The. Guardians who are 58 and 62,
• 10:54
  they're. Going the other way, they're.
• 10:55
  Sliding a bit, they're going to start the recently.
• 10:57
  Acquired lefty Foster Griffin. Who was great with Washington 12
• 11:01
  and four 3.31 ERA but. Not good in his.
• 11:04
  Debut More on. That in a second.
• 11:07
  Tigers, meanwhile, going to go with the fellow southpaw.
• 11:09
  Framber. Valdez, 7:00 and 7:00. 4.17 ERA
• 11:13
  now what have we? Seen across the market.
• 11:15
  Well, this game opened. With the Tigers listed.
• 11:18
  Around a -, 120 -, 120. Five home favorite Cleveland.
• 11:21
  Cleveland around a plus. One O 5.
• 11:23
  Dog and not. A huge line move, but all
• 11:26
  movement liability. Toward the Tigers here, guys.
• 11:28
  Tigers have gone from. -120 -, 125.
• 11:32
  Some books up to minus. 1:30 I saw one.
• 11:34
  Book at minus. 1:30. Five, I think that was Bally, so
• 11:37
  it's not A. Huge line move here.
• 11:39
  It's not like tigers. Have gone from minus. 115 to
• 11:41
  -150. But really, the line has never
• 11:44
  fallen back. Toward Cleveland, it's only kind
• 11:46
  of stayed the same or inched toward Detroit Building A.
• 11:50
  Further case for the. Detroit, though it's not a huge
• 11:52
  line move play for me, but it is a.
• 11:53
  Split as well as. A rhythm play for me, so more on
• 11:57
  that in a second. But at circa 70. 3% of money
• 12:01
  line bets. 95% of money line. Dollars on Detroit.
• 12:04
  So a really good angle here from the pros.
• 12:06
  In Vegas, who seem to like the Tigers.
• 12:09
  Tigers have correlative betting favorite low total.
• 12:11
  So a total of 8 if your amount of expected runs scored more
• 12:14
  likely to come from quote UN quote that.
• 12:16
  Better team was expected. To win, Tigers also have the
• 12:20
  better bats. On the year, Detroit is hitting
• 12:22
  240. 3500. And 45 runs scored.
• 12:25
  Guardians hitting two 33477 runs scored.
• 12:29
  Also, since the All Star break, Detroit's hitting 280.
• 12:32
  Three. That's the second.
• 12:33
  Best in baseball? Guardians hitting 240.
• 12:35
  Seven. That ranks 12th.
• 12:37
  In particular, couple lefties on the bump.
• 12:39
  We have Detroit. Hitting 236 against lefties.
• 12:42
  Nothing crazy. 20th in the league.
• 12:45
  But guardians are even worse. They're hitting 225.
• 12:47
  That ranks 28th, so hopefully. We have a.
• 12:49
  Better offense, Offensive performance.
• 12:51
  By Detroit who's been slightly better against lefties?
• 12:55
  Valdez hasn't. Been a great, you know, overall
• 12:57
  addition. He was a big.
• 12:58
  Late free agency ad. From the.
• 13:01
  Astros, but he's pitched very well his.
• 13:03
  Last two games he has a 1.29. ERA in his.
• 13:05
  Last two starts. He's only given up two earned
• 13:08
  runs and 14 innings pitched. Both of which were.
• 13:10
  Wins, you know Foster. Griffin again, who feel like we
• 13:13
  played a lot when he was on. Washington and he usually came
• 13:16
  through for us. But in his debut, kind of got
• 13:19
  lit up. Went against the Mets.
• 13:20
  Lost 13 to 6. Gave up five.
• 13:23
  Earned runs and four innings pitched.
• 13:24
  Detroit slightly winning home team 31 and 27.
• 13:28
  Cleveland losing Rd. Team 30 and 30.
• 13:29
  One. So again, a.
• 13:31
  Little bit of movement. Like only about $0.05 toward
• 13:34
  Detroit, but some really good splits.
• 13:37
  We have some. Better offense, hopefully better
• 13:39
  pitching. Home Rd. and then also.
• 13:42
  This was a big rhythm play for me because all three.
• 13:44
  Of my rhythm recommendations. Are on Detroit.
• 13:47
  One of them is. A green star Smart.
• 13:48
  Signal so available here basically.
• 13:51
  From rhythm telling us Detroit's the sharp bet.
• 13:54
  So first one on the board, guys, I got Tigers. -120 at.
• 13:57
  FanDuel and this might be important.
• 13:59
  I hope it isn't. But FanDuel gives you this up to
• 14:02
  early token, which means if a team gets up to O.
• 14:06
  You automatically. Win the bet the bets over you
• 14:08
  won and I used it on the. Tigers because again, D backs,
• 14:12
  White Sox, Brewers. And I guess.
• 14:16
  The Angels. Are only up 1, nothing at one
• 14:17
  point. But those are.
• 14:19
  Those are situations where that that up early token would.
• 14:22
  Have would have cashed so hey they gave it to me I'm.
• 14:24
  Using it, but for everybody. Let's just win the damn game.
• 14:27
  Let's go Detroit. Again, you can get them -120 at
• 14:30
  FanDuel. Next one, let's go out to the
• 14:33
  Bronx, where the New York Yankees.
• 14:36
  Are hosting the Seattle. Mariners 7.
• 14:37
  PM Eastern Time tonight. Now Yankees come in 67 and 52 on
• 14:42
  the year. Took last night's series opener.
• 14:44
  4 to 1 came. Through as a -, 135 home.
• 14:47
  Favorite. Tonight's rematch, the Mariners,
• 14:49
  who are 56 and 64, they're going to go with the ready Bryce
• 14:52
  Miller. He's 4:00 and 6:00.
• 14:54
  With a three-point O 8 era. Meanwhile, Yankees going with
• 14:57
  the fellow ready Will Warren. He's 8:00 and 6:00.
• 14:59
  With a four. .18 era now. What have we seen across the
• 15:02
  market? Will this game open Yankees
• 15:04
  around a -? 120 Home Favorite Seattle +100.
• 15:07
  Row dog and sharps. They're saying you're only
• 15:10
  giving me. Yankees around -1?
• 15:11
  20 at home, that's cheap. Let's play it because.
• 15:13
  We've seen the Yankees. Creep up. -120 to -120.
• 15:17
  Five, I'm seeing some shops now around -1. 30 Good bet.
• 15:21
  Split on New York 83%, Bets 91%. Dollars at Circa.
• 15:25
  So in Vegas, big money here on the Yanks, Good.
• 15:28
  System match here. So just in general.
• 15:30
  A non division. Favorite lack of?
• 15:32
  Familiarity typically benefiting.
• 15:33
  Quote UN quote to better team. But in particular if.
• 15:36
  You're a sweet spot home favorite priced between -125 and
• 15:39
  -140 You made the playoffs and your opponent also made the.
• 15:43
  Playoffs the previous year. Yankees would match that system
• 15:46
  is 61 and 3166. Percent 17% ROI since the start
• 15:51
  of. 2025 so it's been a good system for now two years running
• 15:55
  when the line. Moves in their favor, just very.
• 15:57
  Simply, if the Yankees. Numbers moving in their
• 16:00
  direction. They've been pretty good, 41 and
• 16:02
  2265 percent, 8%. ROI this year?
• 16:05
  That is the 4th. Most profitable quote UN quote.
• 16:08
  Line move team in. Baseball.
• 16:10
  Yankees have the better offense. They scored 535 runs.
• 16:14
  Seattle scored 463. Will Warren's been a little.
• 16:18
  Bit better at home than on the road.
• 16:19
  On the road. 4.45 ERA but at home. 3.88 Meanwhile, Seattle is
• 16:24
  O and five. And Bryce Miller's last five
• 16:26
  starts. He's got a four point O2 ERA on
• 16:29
  the road versus 2 point O 9 at home.
• 16:31
  He's. Been pretty good at home?
• 16:32
  Not so. Good on the road.
• 16:34
  Yankees winning home team 30 and 26.
• 16:36
  They're good. Under the lights.
• 16:37
  At night 44 and 33. Meanwhile, Mariners. 23 and 30.
• 16:42
  5 on the road. 32 and 40. 4IN night games.
• 16:45
  So a little. Bit of movement here toward the
• 16:46
  Yanks, some good. System matches, better offense,
• 16:50
  hopefully better pitching. Home Rd. versus under the
• 16:52
  lights. Both lean Yankees here.
• 16:55
  So I laid it with New York. I got the Yankees -124 at.
• 16:59
  FanDuel, shop around. Some books -125 minus. 1:30.
• 17:03
  But oh, by the. Way that we have two rhythm.
• 17:05
  Recommendations both lighting up on the Yankees as well.
• 17:08
  So I'm a Sox fan. My socks are kind of sliding
• 17:11
  right now after they've been so, so good.
• 17:13
  Unexpectedly, but tonight I'm putting on the pinstripes.
• 17:17
  Let's go, Yanks -124 FanDuel. Last bit of the night, let's go
• 17:21
  down to Hot Lana 7. 15 PM Eastern Time.
• 17:24
  Where the Atlanta Braves are. Hosting the New York.
• 17:26
  Mets now? This is the rubber match of a
• 17:28
  three-game set. Mets, who are 53 and 68 on the
• 17:32
  year they won the opener. Eight to five came through as a
• 17:34
  + 130 road dog. Then we.
• 17:36
  Saw the Braves, who are 72 and 48, come back with a four
• 17:40
  nothing win yesterday. Came through as a -. 125 home
• 17:43
  favorite. So.
• 17:44
  Tonight's series finale, Mets are going with the lefty Zach
• 17:48
  Thornton. He is 3 and two with a 2.52 ERA.
• 17:52
  Meanwhile, Braves are going. With the recently.
• 17:54
  Acquired Tyler. Meili he is 3 and 9 with a four
• 17:57
  point. 83 ERA what? Have we seen across the market?
• 18:01
  This game open Braves around a -, 150.
• 18:03
  Five home favorite New York. A + 1. 35 row dog and sharps
• 18:07
  have gotten. Down hard.
• 18:09
  On the Atlanta Braves, big steam move this is.
• 18:11
  Kind of the clearest bed. Of the date for me.
• 18:15
  Don't love it when again the line moves. $0.20 but.
• 18:18
  You know, it's more expensive. Tells me a lot of big money has
• 18:20
  come. In.
• 18:21
  Because we've seen this. Line go from Braves -155 to now.
• 18:24
  Braves -170. 5 S big big Steam move in their favor overload of
• 18:29
  smart money. Across the the market hitting
• 18:31
  them circa. 63% bets, nearly 70% money.
• 18:36
  On the Braves, so good low bets, higher dollar split.
• 18:39
  When the Braves are favored and they're at home and they're
• 18:42
  getting at least $0.10 of steam in their direction.
• 18:45
  Atlanta is. 16 and 770. Percent 10% ROI this year.
• 18:50
  Braves have the better offense hitting two. 48585 runs scored.
• 18:54
  Mets hitting 2:30. 5500 and seven runs scored.
• 18:57
  Atlanta's also got the 6th best. Batting average at home 259
• 19:03
  Yankees. Or, sorry, the Mets.
• 19:05
  Are 19th on the road, hitting 238.
• 19:07
  Tyler Mailee was actually. Pretty good in his Braves.
• 19:10
  Debut This is a. Second, start here tonight.
• 19:13
  But in his debut. Lost three to two in extras to
• 19:16
  the Yankees, but he went six innings.
• 19:18
  Gave up, no runs so. Pitch pretty good.
• 19:21
  Atlanta, by the way. 40 and 21 at home.
• 19:23
  On the best. Home teams in baseball 52 and 32
• 19:26
  in night games. New York is a losing team on the
• 19:29
  road, 28 and 34, and they're 29 and 42 in night.
• 19:32
  Games. So it was a big.
• 19:34
  Big line move and even though it's a little bit more.
• 19:37
  Expensive. Pretty clear sharps.
• 19:39
  Have hammered the Atlanta Braves and I.
• 19:40
  Want to be. With the smart money, so I found
• 19:43
  Braves -1. 72 at FanDuel. And I did have.
• 19:47
  A odds boost available. To me so.
• 19:49
  Use that odds boost. On the Atlanta Braves.
• 19:52
  I got them down. To -1. 37 so my.
• 19:56
  Thought here is like if you're on a dog.
• 19:57
  I'll take the plus money if I'm on a short.
• 19:59
  Favorite maybe like. -130 -, 140 or less, I'll just play it.
• 20:03
  But if there's a good sharp move, that's like. -160 -, 170.
• 20:07
  OK, I want to use that odds boost, knock them down, make
• 20:10
  them a little cheaper, so I do. That with the Braves at FanDuel.
• 20:14
  -137. So Tigers, Yankees, Braves, see
• 20:19
  if we can get 2 out of 3. Eek.
• 20:20
  Out a winning night. So that about does it for
• 20:23
  episode 560. Five of the all.
• 20:26
  Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 20:29
  This is the part of the pot where we wrap things up.
• 20:31
  And I always start first by. Saying thank you, thank you for
• 20:34
  listening, thank you for. Tuning in.
• 20:36
  Thank you. For grinding in the arena with
• 20:37
  me. Now you got a lot going on, but
• 20:39
  you. You find a way to TuneIn.
• 20:41
  And and sweat some sharp moves with me.
• 20:43
  And that means a lot. Even when teams are blowing for
• 20:45
  us with late leads. And in the 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th
• 20:48
  inning and we're feeling OK, here's a win.
• 20:50
  And then boom, they, they implode.
• 20:52
  So that's, that's never fun. But we're making sharp bets,
• 20:55
  making good bets that just got a little bit unlucky last couple
• 20:58
  days. But if you do enjoy this pod,
• 21:01
  it's. Become hopefully a part of your
• 21:02
  you know, gambling routine and you want to learn more.
• 21:06
  About data-driven betting, but. First, you want to help me grow
• 21:08
  this? Podcast I would love for you to
• 21:10
  give it a five star view on Spotify or iTunes.
• 21:13
  Recommend the. Pod to a friend.
• 21:14
  Retweet. Or like the pod when I put.
• 21:16
  It out on Twitter. Leave a comment.
• 21:18
  On iTunes or Spotify that would. Mean a lot to me as well, but
• 21:22
  any or all? Those things.
• 21:23
  Would be very much. Appreciated next if you enjoy
• 21:26
  this style of sports betting. Data-driven sharp contrarian
• 21:29
  betting focusing on line movement bets, but system
• 21:32
  matches taking a contrarian approach.
• 21:34
  If this style. Betting has appealed to you you.
• 21:36
  Want to learn more? About data-driven betting.
• 21:38
  Or maybe you got someone in your life you know, a cousin, a Co
• 21:40
  worker, a friend. They want to get into betting,
• 21:43
  but you know, you ask him, hey, what's the difference between a
• 21:45
  money line? And a teaser.
• 21:47
  They can't tell you. What's the difference between?
• 21:50
  I don't know a live line and a pregame odds they can't tell
• 21:54
  you. Or maybe they want to learn
• 21:56
  about betting, but they might need a leg up.
• 21:58
  That's where a couple of my books come in.
• 22:00
  I'd love. For you guys to.
• 22:01
  Recommend my books. You can just go to Amazon.com,
• 22:04
  type in the. Everything Guide to sports.
• 22:06
  Betting or the NFL? Sharp betting playbook.
• 22:08
  Grab one or both. Of my books, bring them the.
• 22:10
  Sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 22:11
  I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
• 22:13
  Or maybe a shot or two. After the last couple nights and
• 22:16
  we'll sweat some games together next.
• 22:19
  Have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice.
• 22:20
  Reel yet my two favorite sports betting apps.
• 22:22
  Rhythm for their AI. Backed models and predictions
• 22:24
  for game bets and. Player Props.
• 22:26
  Juice Reel. So many great features you can
• 22:28
  get the. Robo Jackson best bet picks the
• 22:30
  sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 22:33
  the best sign features. You can also.
• 22:34
  Tip your podcast host if you enjoy the pod.
• 22:38
  And you again the. Pods free, it cost you nothing.
• 22:40
  I've helped you to. Become a bit of a sharper
• 22:42
  better, I hope. Then you know what you should
• 22:44
  do? Sign.
• 22:45
  Up to get a week of the best bet picks the ASG best.
• 22:47
  Bet picks the best bets that I make.
• 22:49
  Get them right from. Juice Rail $9.99.
• 22:52
  Cents for a week of plays. $24.99 for a month again, 10
• 22:57
  bucks a week. 25 bucks a month as soon as I make a bet it.
• 23:00
  Goes right to juice rail. You can tail fade, do whatever.
• 23:02
  You like, but again, it's a way to support the pod.
• 23:05
  So that would mean a lot to me if you want to do that as well.
• 23:07
  And thank you to. Those of you who.
• 23:09
  Do sign up for the best bets. I see you.
• 23:11
  I appreciate you but download rhythm, download juice rail,
• 23:14
  give them both A5. Star Review in the App Store.
• 23:16
  Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
• 23:19
  If you don't have one. You need one.
• 23:20
  You really are flying. Blind if you don't have an odds
• 23:22
  page, I'm not talking people say like odds page.
• 23:25
  I think it just shows you the odds.
• 23:27
  No, it it's a fluid thing. It it's moving.
• 23:29
  In real time. It updates as soon as the odds
• 23:31
  change. That's why they call it live
• 23:33
  odds. But it shows the opening.
• 23:34
  Column for every. Game.
• 23:35
  That's a static. That's a starting point.
• 23:37
  Then to the right you got all the.
• 23:38
  Current odds across the marketplace.
• 23:40
  All the major sports books. A lot of odds pages don't give
• 23:43
  you like you know, pinnacle or kind of what's called primary
• 23:47
  market. On odds Logic or Circa or Chris
• 23:51
  or bet online. But odds logic gives you that
• 23:54
  gives you the opening. Line the current odds updates in
• 23:56
  real time, gets lit up in red. As soon as change odds change,
• 24:00
  get your live lines. Shop for the best line again.
• 24:03
  If you're a serious sports better or even.
• 24:05
  If you just, you know, want to get better at that.
• 24:07
  Sports betting. Having that live odds page, it
• 24:09
  makes a world of difference. So if you.
• 24:11
  Want to give? It a shot I'll recommend odds.
• 24:14
  Logic always and forever. And you?
• 24:16
  Can get a 7 day free trial and 50.
• 24:17
  Percent off your. First month if you use this
• 24:19
  promo code. Or this link I should say.
• 24:21
  Oddslogic.com slash. Josh, 123.
• 24:26
  So that about does it for episode 565 of the ASG pod, as
• 24:30
  always, whether I. See you at the.
• 24:32
  Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin River in Rhode Island
• 24:34
  the. Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 24:36
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut.
• 24:38
  At the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge park Casino MGM
• 24:41
  Springfield. Or the Nash in my neck of the
• 24:43
  woods on the border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
• 24:46
  Or out in the desert where the true grinders.
• 24:47
  Get Down or Billy Walters sends. His number runners where the
• 24:50
  lowest juice possible. Is found at the South point or
• 24:53
  sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium.
• 24:55
  Swimming pool when you. Cash a big ticket at Circo
• 24:57
  You're. Going to walk up to me, show me
• 24:59
  a. Nice race ticket.
• 25:00
  Race came through, but. White Sox, Arizona blowing.
• 25:03
  Late. Leads that is so.
• 25:05
  Annoying guys again if. You're a baseball better.
• 25:07
  You hate that. Hopefully that just means that
• 25:10
  you know next couple times. Maybe we're down 4 to one in the
• 25:14
  eighth, or we're down to nothing in the 6th.
• 25:16
  And we come back and win. Hopefully that's the way it
• 25:18
  evens out. But first one's on me next.
• 25:20
  One's on you. We'll post about the book.
• 25:22
  Sweatsharp Contrarian. Plays all night long.
• 25:24
  So after a one and two night or two and.
• 25:26
  One O and three. Three and O whether we're hot or
• 25:29
  cold, somewhere in the middle we just got.
• 25:31
  To stay even keeled. We can't be too reactionary.
• 25:33
  Great night. We can't, can't feel.
• 25:35
  Like we're invincible. Bad night.
• 25:37
  We can't. Feel like it's impossible?
• 25:38
  To win, we're always somewhere in the middle and we just.
• 25:40
  Got to keep grinding. Playing those system matches,
• 25:43
  games that are. Against the public, with the
• 25:44
  house, with the pros. Flat bet.
• 25:46
  Avoid parlays and get that COV. If we can do that, we're going
• 25:49
  to be. Successful sports betters.
• 25:51
  So everyone has a great Wednesday night reminder.
• 25:53
  No pod tomorrow. Hopefully I'll have one for you
• 25:56
  Friday, if not certainly back on Monday.
• 25:59
  But reminder to of. Course join the NFL.
• 26:02
  Survivor Contest. I apologize first one.
• 26:04
  Hadn't had an issue. This new one is good to go, so
• 26:08
  sign up. You might get an e-mail from me
• 26:10
  or or you might just see a tweet but come on down 50 bucks could
• 26:14
  win you up to $45,000. Wouldn't that be nice?
• 26:17
  But good luck everybody, have a great Wednesday.
• 26:20
  And I'll see you soon. Good luck.