Latest / The Mark Belling Podcast / Mark Belling Podcast #148: How super is Trump's endorsing power—-there's a big test in northern Wisconsin with a red hot GOP congressional election. And, Richard Nixon (of ALL people) is suddenly a hero to young conservatives. Mark tells them why he's an awful idol. And the left's "Medicare For All" plan is an awful idea that will cost Americans a fortune and wreck healthcare for seniors.
Transcript
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- 0:25Speaker 2: People have debated forever the importance of endorsements in election campaigns.
- 0:36Speaker 2: My own belief is how people react to what I
- 0:40Speaker 2: think on a race. The time that I find that
- 0:43Speaker 2: most people want me to say who they should vote
- 0:47Speaker 2: for is if the race is of a lower profile,
- 0:51Speaker 2: for example, a judicial race in Waukershaw County or a
- 0:59Speaker 2: judicial primary for the state Court of Appeals. People want
- 1:03Speaker 2: to get that vote right, but they often are not
- 1:06Speaker 2: very familiar at all with the individual candidates. On the
- 1:12Speaker 2: other hand, if it's a major, high profile race, what
- 1:17Speaker 2: I have to say maybe interesting, but I don't think
- 1:19Speaker 2: it would sway as many votes. An example of that
- 1:22Speaker 2: would be, say, the last time we had a Republican
- 1:24Speaker 2: primary for governor twenty twenty two, when Tim Michaels ran
- 1:27Speaker 2: against Rebecca Clayfish. I did not endorse either of those candidates,
- 1:31Speaker 2: but had I done so, I think most people knew
- 1:36Speaker 2: enough about both candidates and had a feel for this
- 1:39Speaker 2: that they could make up their own minds on this. Likewise,
- 1:45Speaker 2: other groups and other organizations. It used to be that
- 1:51Speaker 2: in a Democratic primary the endorsement of the State Teachers
- 1:54Speaker 2: Union was huge. It also used to be both of
- 1:59Speaker 2: these are former, that in a Republican primary, the endorsement
- 2:02Speaker 2: of the National Rifle Association was huge. In terms of
- 2:12Speaker 2: individual figures endorsing a candidate, never not so much that
- 2:22Speaker 2: has changed in the current period that we're in. I
- 2:27Speaker 2: can't say that in my lifetime there has ever been
- 2:31Speaker 2: someone who has had greater endorsement power than Donald Trump. Also,
- 2:40Speaker 2: other than say, some of those groups that I described,
- 2:42Speaker 2: the NRA, the Teachers' Union, you know their groups, they're
- 2:46Speaker 2: going to endorse in almost every race. There are very
- 2:49Speaker 2: few political figures who've gone out and issued endorsements in
- 2:55Speaker 2: all manner of other races around the country. And Trump
- 2:59Speaker 2: doesn't limit his endorsement to federal positions like the House,
- 3:02Speaker 2: in the Senate, Hill endorsement, governors races, and so on.
- 3:09Speaker 2: The Trump endorse candidates have not always won, but the
- 3:14Speaker 2: vast majority of them have won. Partly, he often will
- 3:17Speaker 2: pick the one he thinks is going to win, I'll
- 3:20Speaker 2: grant you that, But in many of the races that
- 3:23Speaker 2: are more wide open, the Trump endorsement often can elevate
- 3:28Speaker 2: in a Republican primary as much as twenty to thirty percent.
- 3:31Speaker 2: Now in a statewide in the general election of Trump
- 3:34Speaker 2: endorsement might be negative because swing voters may not like Trump,
- 3:37Speaker 2: but in a Republican primary, it's Van Golden again. His
- 3:41Speaker 2: candidates don't always win, but they always get a boost.
- 3:47Speaker 2: This is being tested right now in Wisconsin, the biggest
- 3:54Speaker 2: Republican primary in the state, and this year there are
- 3:58Speaker 2: I think more Democrat primaries than Republican primaries. There's the
- 4:02Speaker 2: weird Democratic race for governor, some of the legislative races
- 4:06Speaker 2: in southeast of Wisconsin. It seems to me there are
- 4:08Speaker 2: more Democrat primaries than Republican primaries. But the biggest Republican
- 4:14Speaker 2: primary in the state is this wide open race for
- 4:17Speaker 2: Congress in northern Wisconsin. Trump has weighed in on this
- 4:22Speaker 2: and has an endorsement, and I think the whole country
- 4:27Speaker 2: is watching to see whether or not his endorsed candidate
- 4:31Speaker 2: will win or should he win. We're going to dive
- 4:36Speaker 2: into that election in a moment here. When it comes
- 4:39Speaker 2: to shipping packaging, industrial supplies, and equipment, many suppliers offer
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- 5:01Speaker 2: and often used in their own business. Experience the U
- 5:05Speaker 2: line difference today visit u line dot com. Let's talk
- 5:12Speaker 2: about this district. The lines have changed a bit over
- 5:14Speaker 2: the years, but not a lot. This northern Wisconsin seat
- 5:19Speaker 2: in Congress. First of all, it's such an unusual district.
- 5:24Speaker 2: Congressional districts in the United States are all almost the
- 5:28Speaker 2: same in terms of population. That's by law. In Wisconsin,
- 5:32Speaker 2: we are allotted eight districts. We used to have more,
- 5:35Speaker 2: as Wisconsin population growth has not kept up with the
- 5:37Speaker 2: rest of the country. You know, way back in the
- 5:40Speaker 2: sixties we had ten that it was nine. Now it's
- 5:42Speaker 2: down to eight. So the eight congressional districts in the
- 5:46Speaker 2: state are even in population, but they are not even
- 5:49Speaker 2: in size. On the smallest in size, there's the district
- 5:53Speaker 2: when more represents that's centered in. It takes up most
- 5:59Speaker 2: of the Way County, but not the far north or
- 6:02Speaker 2: far south sides or a chunk of the west. It's
- 6:06Speaker 2: a dense because this is the most densely populated area
- 6:10Speaker 2: of the state of Wisconsin. Her area. You're able to
- 6:13Speaker 2: get up to whatever it is about six hundred thousand
- 6:15Speaker 2: population without even leaving Milwaukee County. The other districts are
- 6:23Speaker 2: all larger than that, and the differentiation and the largeness
- 6:27Speaker 2: is how densely populated it is. Almost all of the
- 6:31Speaker 2: districts have one or two at least medium cities of size.
- 6:36Speaker 2: The Northern Wisconsin District doesn't have even a single medium city.
- 6:40Speaker 2: The closest would be I would say medium to small community.
- 6:44Speaker 2: Walsa on Stephen's Point are in there. Otherwise, the northern
- 6:48Speaker 2: district called the seventh District. It sprawls all I mean
- 6:54Speaker 2: Lakes Superior over to the Upper Peninsula and then dropping
- 6:57Speaker 2: way down to Wassaw. For those of you who haven't
- 6:59Speaker 2: looked at a matp Wisaw is way south of the
- 7:03Speaker 2: north of the border of Northern Wisconsin. It is a
- 7:06Speaker 2: spall like massive, huge district and the person elected too
- 7:15Speaker 2: it tends to serve forever for forty years it was
- 7:20Speaker 2: a Democrat district. There is no district in Wisconsin, by
- 7:24Speaker 2: the way, whose politics have changed more than the northern
- 7:26Speaker 2: part of the state of Wisconsin. Rural America is now
- 7:31Speaker 2: overwhelmingly Republican, and Northern Wisconsin was largely rural and small towns,
- 7:37Speaker 2: and rural America used to be Democrat or swing. Northern
- 7:41Speaker 2: Wisconsin was represented in Congress for about forty years by
- 7:44Speaker 2: David Obi. He was a regular, old traditional garden variety liberal.
- 7:50Speaker 2: He was probably more liberal than most then. He would
- 7:53Speaker 2: probably now be more moderate than most. He's always are.
- 7:56Speaker 2: The Budget Writing Committee isn't there for ever, And even
- 8:00Speaker 2: as the district started to move away from being Democratic
- 8:03Speaker 2: to more Republican, you just couldn't give ri of Obi.
- 8:06Speaker 2: He was finally the politics of the time. It started
- 8:09Speaker 2: way back in the eighties with Reagan, but just continuing
- 8:11Speaker 2: to continue to continued. As the Democrats became more leftist,
- 8:17Speaker 2: Northern Wisconsin's voters started to turn away from them, and
- 8:20Speaker 2: Obi didn't run for reelection the year that there was
- 8:24Speaker 2: a very good chance he was going to lose. He
- 8:29Speaker 2: was replaced by Sean Duffy, who instantly became a Republican superstar.
- 8:34Speaker 2: Duffy's background is the kind of background that you usually
- 8:37Speaker 2: see from Democrats. He was more famous from his life
- 8:43Speaker 2: before politics than after. He was on one of the
- 8:48Speaker 2: biggest reality shows of all time. It was an MTV
- 8:52Speaker 2: and I believe it was in the first season he
- 8:56Speaker 2: and his wife around the program together, so he had
- 9:03Speaker 2: extreme name recognition before all of this. Duffy and his wife,
- 9:11Speaker 2: Rachel Campo Stuffy were kind of like huge celebrities even
- 9:15Speaker 2: before they got to Congress. And then when he's elected.
- 9:17Speaker 2: First of all, Sean Duffy immediately stood out the moment
- 9:20Speaker 2: he got to Washington. He's way more eloquent and well
- 9:23Speaker 2: spoken than the overwhelming majority of members of Congress, and
- 9:27Speaker 2: he became somebody who was an activist and a number
- 9:29Speaker 2: of issues, and his wife was an extremely eloquent person
- 9:35Speaker 2: who started popping up on talk shows like Fox. They
- 9:40Speaker 2: have very traditional family values, which is fascinating given the
- 9:42Speaker 2: fact that he came out of the MTV world and
- 9:45Speaker 2: they've been cranking out children right and left. And they
- 9:47Speaker 2: have this huge family, which became the subject of fascination
- 9:49Speaker 2: in DC, where most members of Congress have tiny or
- 9:52Speaker 2: no families at all. Sean could have held that seat
- 9:58Speaker 2: until he died. He gave it up when his youngest child,
- 10:06Speaker 2: his newest baby, had issues. They didn't abort the baby,
- 10:14Speaker 2: even though the issues were known prior, and he said
- 10:17Speaker 2: the great credit that they did not. And Sean has
- 10:21Speaker 2: since gone out and initially started making some money. These
- 10:27Speaker 2: are two people, as I said, they only worked for
- 10:29Speaker 2: the government. They were never rich. Rachel's been doing her
- 10:32Speaker 2: thing occasionally on Fox News, and then Sean now has
- 10:36Speaker 2: become one of the star members of the Trump cabinet.
- 10:38Speaker 2: There's a lot of criticism with a lot of the
- 10:40Speaker 2: members of the cabint but Sean Duffy in transportation has
- 10:43Speaker 2: simply been a star. But it was during that period
- 10:49Speaker 2: that they chose that Sean was not going to stay
- 10:52Speaker 2: in Congress after they had the baby, and he needed
- 10:55Speaker 2: two parents to take party in dealing with first of all,
- 10:58Speaker 2: all the other kids that are running around and a
- 11:01Speaker 2: child that was going to present some challenges. The child
- 11:03Speaker 2: is older anyway, That was Sean Duffy. When Sean left,
- 11:06Speaker 2: there was a battle to see who would succeed him.
- 11:09Speaker 2: The district is now overwhelmingly Republican. Tom Tiffany won. Tom
- 11:13Speaker 2: was in the state legislature, became a member of Congress,
- 11:16Speaker 2: and as they say, Tom Tiffany could have served there
- 11:17Speaker 2: until he died. As well. As we all know, Tom
- 11:20Speaker 2: Tiffany is running for governor. This is not a swing district.
- 11:29Speaker 2: It is a district where, theoretically the Democrats could win
- 11:33Speaker 2: if this year is a huge Democrat year. Some districts
- 11:37Speaker 2: that are rather safely Republican could swing, but this is
- 11:42Speaker 2: the most Republican district in the state, and I think
- 11:46Speaker 2: it would be far fetched to think that the Democrats
- 11:48Speaker 2: could flip it. So whoever wins the Republican primary is
- 11:52Speaker 2: likely to be the next member of Congress. And as
- 11:54Speaker 2: I say, the history is, if you win that seat,
- 11:57Speaker 2: you can serve until you choose. Will you either die,
- 12:02Speaker 2: run for something else, or simply choose to move on.
- 12:07Speaker 2: There are five Republican candidates running. From the sources I've
- 12:11Speaker 2: spoken to in general and mentioned a wisdom, there are
- 12:15Speaker 2: three that have a chance of winning. Trump has weighed
- 12:20Speaker 2: in with an endorsement in this race. One of the
- 12:26Speaker 2: candidates running is the son in law of Sean and
- 12:29Speaker 2: Rachel Campo Stuffy. Obviously, the Duffies are very close to Trump.
- 12:36Speaker 2: Rachel Campo Stuffy has made comments in support of Trump
- 12:39Speaker 2: during a period on Fox and Trump has said many
- 12:41Speaker 2: times how much he adores her, and Sean Duffy is
- 12:44Speaker 2: a member of his cabinet that Trump's been impressed with.
- 12:48Speaker 2: Is that the single reason that Trump issued the endorsement
- 12:52Speaker 2: of Van's We don't know Trump's issued the endorsement, but
- 12:55Speaker 2: he's not been pounding the table or anything with regard
- 12:59Speaker 2: to it. The thing with Michael Alfonso is he's very young.
- 13:06Speaker 2: He's barely old enough to pass the age limit to
- 13:08Speaker 2: be a member of the House of Representatives. Again, many
- 13:12Speaker 2: people get elected when they're young. Aoc was young, even
- 13:16Speaker 2: going back to Obi, he was rather young. But Alfonso's
- 13:19Speaker 2: young and he doesn't have a lot of experience in politics.
- 13:23Speaker 2: Beyond this, he's starting his political career up, but trying
- 13:25Speaker 2: to be a member of Congress. He has the advantage
- 13:32Speaker 2: of a Trump endorsement. Will that be enough to put
- 13:37Speaker 2: him over the finish line against as they say, as
- 13:40Speaker 2: a five candidate race. Two of the other candidates, however,
- 13:44Speaker 2: have huge political strengths of their own. Kevin Hermaning has
- 13:51Speaker 2: been active in Republican politics in northern Wisconsin, since the seventies.
- 14:04Speaker 2: He first came to public attention when he was a
- 14:06Speaker 2: hostage nearly a half century ago, but since then that
- 14:11Speaker 2: was something that made him somebody the people up there
- 14:14Speaker 2: would know about. But then he stayed involved in politics.
- 14:17Speaker 2: He's run for political office. I think I've talked about
- 14:19Speaker 2: it a couple of times in the past, but he's
- 14:21Speaker 2: now gone all in on this race, and he's got
- 14:24Speaker 2: a huge network of people who know him because, as
- 14:26Speaker 2: they say, he's been involved in politics in northern Wisconsin
- 14:29Speaker 2: and business affairs and so on for decades. Jesse Eban
- 14:40Speaker 2: formerly ran for Congress in a different district. She's very
- 14:46Speaker 2: well known in the area legislative candidate member of the Legislature,
- 14:52Speaker 2: and very well known by many of the act of
- 14:54Speaker 2: his conservative organizations. Many believe that she's the truest conservative
- 15:01Speaker 2: in the race. Hermiting would dispute that now Evans had
- 15:06Speaker 2: something of a voting precor to go off of Kevin
- 15:08Speaker 2: Herman merely has positions that he's put out there, but
- 15:14Speaker 2: a lot of the core conservative groups have endorsed Evan.
- 15:20Speaker 2: Eban BB Turning Point USA has weighed into the race.
- 15:29Speaker 2: Other well known conservative activist groups are backing Jesse Evan,
- 15:33Speaker 2: and I should make a clear Jesse is a female.
- 15:35Speaker 2: Jesse JESSI Jesse Evan. I think it's just that I.
- 15:42Speaker 2: Among the Republican donors, Alfonso has raised the most money. Again,
- 15:49Speaker 2: he starts with the network of Sean Duffy and Rachel
- 15:53Speaker 2: Duffy's family and the Trump endorsement. That in and of
- 15:57Speaker 2: itself is a big way to raise money when you
- 16:00Speaker 2: get a personal appeal from those people, and a lot
- 16:04Speaker 2: of Republican donors want to back the candidate who's gonna
- 16:06Speaker 2: win Hermaning has pumped some of his own money unto
- 16:13Speaker 2: the race. Evan was not in a position to do that,
- 16:16Speaker 2: but she has raised a significant chunk of money from
- 16:20Speaker 2: important conservative donors. Alfonso has been not as public in
- 16:29Speaker 2: campaign appearances, nor has he been as willing to make
- 16:31Speaker 2: joint appearances with the other candidates. Some people believe that
- 16:35Speaker 2: that's because he knows he's ahead and he has nothing
- 16:37Speaker 2: to do but lose if he's in those appearances. Others
- 16:40Speaker 2: believe he's not ready for prime time. He's too young,
- 16:43Speaker 2: he's not been involved in the give and take. He'd
- 16:46Speaker 2: be in over his head. I'm not up in that district.
- 16:52Speaker 2: I therefore have not watched all the campaign ads. And well,
- 16:56Speaker 2: it's not like I don't have anybody who can explain
- 16:58Speaker 2: to me what's going on in Poldia anywhere in the
- 17:00Speaker 2: state of Wisconsin. Obviously, if the race was in southeastern Wisconsin,
- 17:04Speaker 2: I had more people whispering in my ear and have
- 17:06Speaker 2: a greater feel for how the whole thing is playing out,
- 17:12Speaker 2: I think any of the big three. And by the way,
- 17:13Speaker 2: there are two other candidates running. There's a woman named
- 17:15Speaker 2: Nina Baum, who I would describe is a little bit
- 17:17Speaker 2: more moderate, and then there's a guy named Marhala who's
- 17:20Speaker 2: a contractor. He's done little campaigning and hasn't raised much money.
- 17:24Speaker 2: Everyone I've spoken to believes that the winner is going
- 17:26Speaker 2: to be of Alfonso Eban and Hermity. If Alfonso had
- 17:34Speaker 2: not been endorsed by Trump, I would say he wouldn't
- 17:36Speaker 2: have much chance. He'd have a chance, as I say,
- 17:40Speaker 2: he's connected to the Duffies, and the Duffies are political
- 17:44Speaker 2: royalty in northern Wisconsin. But the Trump endorsement simply elevates him,
- 17:51Speaker 2: But does it elevate him enough? My guess is to
- 17:55Speaker 2: win this race. I think the winning candidate will have
- 17:57Speaker 2: a what forty five percent. There's five running, but there's
- 18:00Speaker 2: three big ones. I don't think it's thirty three, thirty three,
- 18:03Speaker 2: thirty three. Probably somebody's going to get forty five, somebody's
- 18:06Speaker 2: going to get around thirty nine, and somebody's going to
- 18:08Speaker 2: get about twenty, which is a guess. We do have
- 18:19Speaker 2: a little bit of precedent here. We had an election
- 18:23Speaker 2: in northeastern Wisconsin. This is the district that runs just
- 18:31Speaker 2: kind of to the south of the up North District
- 18:34Speaker 2: and then close to Lake Michigan Green Bay in the
- 18:36Speaker 2: Fox Valley and then the surrounding region. There. There were
- 18:40Speaker 2: three very strong Republican candidates that ran in that race,
- 18:45Speaker 2: including a couple of very prominent Conservatives. There was a candidate, however,
- 18:52Speaker 2: who had less name recognition, who simply came out of
- 18:55Speaker 2: the business world, Tony Weed. Trump and dorstin Tony Weed
- 18:58Speaker 2: beat those other candidates. The Trump endorsement I think clearly
- 19:03Speaker 2: got him that seat. This is a different race, it's
- 19:08Speaker 2: different candidates, and it's a different year. Also, some might
- 19:11Speaker 2: argue that Trump isn't as popular or influential as he
- 19:14Speaker 2: was a couple of years ago. Summer squatting about the
- 19:16Speaker 2: war with Iran, and Trump is approaching that lame duck
- 19:20Speaker 2: status that we see starts to weaken the political pull
- 19:23Speaker 2: of candidates. Yet this year, most candidates nationally the Trump
- 19:25Speaker 2: has endorsed have won, and his track record in Wisconsin
- 19:29Speaker 2: is almost one hundred percent. Going back to that race
- 19:33Speaker 2: for governor and Wisconsin in twenty twenty two, Becky Clayfish
- 19:38Speaker 2: had been running for four years. She seemed a cinch
- 19:42Speaker 2: to win. There are two wings of the Republican Party
- 19:46Speaker 2: in Wisconsin, and I've described them as this is an
- 19:50Speaker 2: overgeneralation Trump for generalization. It's not as firm as what
- 19:55Speaker 2: I'm saying, but it's just shorthand that I'll give you
- 19:57Speaker 2: the Walker wing and the Tommy Thompson wing. It's broader
- 20:00Speaker 2: than that, and it needs more explanation, but I'll just
- 20:03Speaker 2: go with it. Clayfish came from the Walker wing of
- 20:06Speaker 2: the party. Obviously, she was Lieutenant governor from Scott Walker
- 20:08Speaker 2: at a strong ally and many of Scott's supporters were
- 20:11Speaker 2: backing her, and she was the only candidate running for
- 20:14Speaker 2: the longest time. There were rumblings in the other wing
- 20:17Speaker 2: of the party that they didn't believe that a Clayfish
- 20:19Speaker 2: could win or b that she should win. Tommy Thompson
- 20:22Speaker 2: thought about getting into the race. Tim Michaels thought about
- 20:24Speaker 2: getting into the race. There was an agreement between the
- 20:27Speaker 2: two of them that only one of them would run.
- 20:30Speaker 2: There were meetings that were held at mar Alago. Influential
- 20:34Speaker 2: Republicans were along and part of those meetings, Trump made
- 20:39Speaker 2: the decision to back Michaels. Tommy didn't get in, Michaels
- 20:43Speaker 2: did get in, got in against Clayfish. Michaels was endorsed
- 20:46Speaker 2: by Trump and beat Clayfish, who had been running for
- 20:49Speaker 2: four years. I think Tim, and again that was another
- 20:53Speaker 2: one of those races. He's just tragedy in Wisconsin. Both
- 20:55Speaker 2: of those candidates are nineteen times better than Tony Evers, who,
- 20:59Speaker 2: by the way, is nineteen times better than any of
- 21:01Speaker 2: the Democrats that are not running to succeed him. But
- 21:06Speaker 2: either Clayfish or Michaels would have been tremendous governors. But
- 21:11Speaker 2: the winner of the primary was Tim Michaels, and I
- 21:13Speaker 2: just think that there's no way he would have won
- 21:14Speaker 2: without Trump's endorsement, you know. And Clayfish and her supporters
- 21:18Speaker 2: have been fuming ever since about the whole thing and
- 21:20Speaker 2: how it played out. So this is going to be
- 21:26Speaker 2: tested again. The media every time one of Trump's endorsed
- 21:31Speaker 2: candidates says it what a primary, goes on and on
- 21:33Speaker 2: and on about it. But they're able to do that
- 21:35Speaker 2: because it hardly ever happens. So it's a rather rare occurrence.
- 21:40Speaker 2: I don't know who's going to win this race, and
- 21:43Speaker 2: there are many people that I know that are very
- 21:45Speaker 2: smart and attuned to this. Whof interviewed the candidates have
- 21:47Speaker 2: said Alfonso is not the best candidate and in terms
- 21:53Speaker 2: of getting in there and getting into Congress and a
- 21:55Speaker 2: representing the district and b beginning to make you know
- 21:59Speaker 2: your bones on an a level and get involved in
- 22:01Speaker 2: national issues, that he's not the best one to do so.
- 22:11Speaker 2: But here's the thing. A lot of voters, when they
- 22:13Speaker 2: have candidates, and in the case of all of them,
- 22:15Speaker 2: of course, none of them that I've ever been in
- 22:17Speaker 2: Congress before, and none of them has had a high
- 22:19Speaker 2: profile political position, you just don't know is one of
- 22:23Speaker 2: them going to turn out to be a rhino. And
- 22:25Speaker 2: I think that there's a sense of trust that many
- 22:27Speaker 2: voters have that Trump's not going to back a rhino,
- 22:31Speaker 2: and certainly if he comes out of the Duffy wing,
- 22:33Speaker 2: if we can get somebody else that's just as good
- 22:35Speaker 2: as Sean Duffy. That's the strength that Alfonso brings. I
- 22:39Speaker 2: do not have a prediction here. I simply don't know
- 22:41Speaker 2: who's going to win. It will be very interesting to
- 22:43Speaker 2: see though, how this plays out. As I mentioned on
- 22:50Speaker 2: the podcast yesterday, I'm going to mention it again, you
- 22:53Speaker 2: can't vote in boast primaries. So for those of you
- 22:57Speaker 2: who want to meddle around and vote for against frenchesse
- 23:00Speaker 2: Kahong in the election on the Democratic side for governor,
- 23:06Speaker 2: you wouldn't if you're eleve in Northern Wisconsin be able
- 23:08Speaker 2: to vote for your congressman. There is a Democratic primary
- 23:10Speaker 2: in that district, but as I say, most people think
- 23:12Speaker 2: the Republicans would win. It also means you can't choose
- 23:16Speaker 2: the Republican candidate for Lieutenant governor or Secretary of State.
- 23:19Speaker 2: I've covered these races once before, but I'm going to
- 23:21Speaker 2: do a quick once over again lieutenant governor. They're both
- 23:25Speaker 2: good candidates, Will Martin and David Varnum. I think Varnum
- 23:29Speaker 2: is more conservative. I think Martin brings more politically to
- 23:33Speaker 2: the table. Martin is from Racine, African American, very well spoken,
- 23:39Speaker 2: he's done talk shows, he's been active, he's in the
- 23:41Speaker 2: business community. And in terms of just fit Tom Tiffany
- 23:46Speaker 2: is from northern Wisconsin, rural. Having an African American, more
- 23:50Speaker 2: urban Republican as his running mate is good geographical and
- 23:57Speaker 2: I think charismatic valance him is very much like Tiffany.
- 24:02Speaker 2: He's not from northern Wisconsin, Beasin, small town Wisconcid. He's
- 24:04Speaker 2: from Lancaster, reasmen the mayor. He's a core conservative of
- 24:07Speaker 2: a mega type guy. Trump has not been an endorsement
- 24:09Speaker 2: to my knowledge in this race. Martin is endorsed by
- 24:12Speaker 2: the State Republican Party. And then four candidates for Secretary
- 24:16Speaker 2: of State. The fact of the matter is that it
- 24:21Speaker 2: is a fact. The Democratic candidates are almost all right
- 24:25Speaker 2: now weak. They may all win this year because it
- 24:28Speaker 2: may be a Democratic year. But you either have loud
- 24:33Speaker 2: mouthed Marxist radicals or mainstream Democrat dullards in one form
- 24:40Speaker 2: or another. They're all hang or Crowley. Secretary of State's
- 24:46Speaker 2: not the most important job of the world. But there
- 24:48Speaker 2: are four just tremendous Republicans running here. Cindy Warner is
- 24:53Speaker 2: the Milwaukee African American cheese, got deep Republican bona fides.
- 24:59Speaker 2: She has been, and let's just be honest about this.
- 25:03Speaker 2: To be an African American Republican in Milwaukee requires guts,
- 25:07Speaker 2: the crap that you go back to David Clark, the
- 25:08Speaker 2: crap that you have to put up for with simply
- 25:12Speaker 2: not following the lead of most of your skin color.
- 25:15Speaker 2: And Cindy Warner has been an eloquent, outspoken and hardworking
- 25:18Speaker 2: conservative forever. The position of Secretary of State doesn't have
- 25:21Speaker 2: a lot of duties, so therefore somebody who carries the
- 25:24Speaker 2: position well can use the billy pulpit and maybe use
- 25:26Speaker 2: it as a platform to run for something else. She's
- 25:28Speaker 2: highly qualified for that. Nate Polow was endorsed by the
- 25:31Speaker 2: State Republican Party. Again, there are no knocks in this guy.
- 25:36Speaker 2: I particularly impressed with a guy named Brayden Meyer. He's
- 25:40Speaker 2: a male, but he's backed by Mom's for liberty. He's
- 25:42Speaker 2: just been a core conservative young has worked his tail
- 25:46Speaker 2: end off. And Jay Schroeder is the candidate who won
- 25:49Speaker 2: the Republican nomination four years ago, lost only because the
- 25:54Speaker 2: Democrats pulled that scam in which Lafallette ran for the
- 25:57Speaker 2: ninety fifth time in a row and then right after
- 26:00Speaker 2: he won resigned so that they could give the job
- 26:02Speaker 2: to Sarah Goadlowski. Douglas Phallic can't win an election to
- 26:06Speaker 2: save his life except for secretary of State. He's run
- 26:09Speaker 2: for everything else under the sun. The Democrats not electing
- 26:11Speaker 2: to him. He's been unbeatable for secretary of State. I
- 26:13Speaker 2: think Srey Schroeder might have won that position had it
- 26:16Speaker 2: not been Douglaphalic. So he's going to try again. I'm
- 26:18Speaker 2: not going to endorse any of those candidates, but again,
- 26:20Speaker 2: if you want to do research, they all have websites,
- 26:23Speaker 2: and there are different strengths that the all of them
- 26:25Speaker 2: bring to the table. And again, you can either vote
- 26:29Speaker 2: for Republicans up and down the ballot or Democrats up
- 26:32Speaker 2: and down the ballot. One of the good things about
- 26:35Speaker 2: doing a podcast and not having open phone lines is
- 26:38Speaker 2: every time I bring it up on the radio show,
- 26:40Speaker 2: nine thousand people who call up Paul Off the yearine
- 26:42Speaker 2: demand to know why you can't vote. And as for
- 26:44Speaker 2: it's the law, it's the law in the state of Wisconsin.
- 26:48Speaker 2: Whether you like it or not. It's the law. By
- 26:50Speaker 2: the way, in many states we have a firmer law
- 26:53Speaker 2: you have to be a registered member of the party
- 26:56Speaker 2: to vote in the primary. We do not have that
- 26:58Speaker 2: in Wisconsin. People continually claim I'm a registered Democrat or
- 27:03Speaker 2: a registered Republican. If you live in Wisconsin, you're not
- 27:06Speaker 2: a registered Democrat or registered Republican because you don't register
- 27:08Speaker 2: by political parties. Now Jason's from Illinois, they have kind
- 27:12Speaker 2: of a hybrid. You have to publicly request a ballot
- 27:16Speaker 2: of one party, but you can then just you don't
- 27:19Speaker 2: have to change parties in the next election. Let's imagine
- 27:21Speaker 2: I want to vote the Democratic primary in Well this
- 27:25Speaker 2: year twenty twenty six, and in twenty twenty eight, I
- 27:27Speaker 2: want to vote the Republican primary. I just ask for
- 27:29Speaker 2: the Republican primary the next time around. In some states
- 27:33Speaker 2: you have to change your voter registration in order to
- 27:35Speaker 2: do it, and an independent can't vote at all in
- 27:38Speaker 2: a Democrat or Republican primary. We have neither of that.
- 27:41Speaker 2: You can vote in whichever one you want, you just
- 27:43Speaker 2: can't vote in both. That was an interesting thing. By
- 27:49Speaker 2: the way, I was a reporter obviously when I worked
- 27:51Speaker 2: in Illinois, there were some reporters that I knew who
- 27:55Speaker 2: didn't vote in the primaries because this is back in
- 27:58Speaker 2: the days in which media members of me, you didn't
- 28:00Speaker 2: want to show their biases, so they wouldn't vote in
- 28:03Speaker 2: the primary. Because you can look up and see which
- 28:04Speaker 2: political party that they're a member of, and I would
- 28:08Speaker 2: say it's more than half the states. And now there
- 28:10Speaker 2: are all these websites that do databases and so on.
- 28:13Speaker 2: In the states in which you register by political party,
- 28:15Speaker 2: you can do a background check and find out which
- 28:17Speaker 2: party someone is registered as a member of in the
- 28:20Speaker 2: state in which you have to register as a member.
- 28:23Speaker 2: And we are not, as I said, one of those states.
- 28:32Speaker 2: You know, in radio, we used to do teases, here's
- 28:34Speaker 2: what's coming up. But it was really important on my
- 28:36Speaker 2: own radio show because the commercial breaks are you know,
- 28:39Speaker 2: I have to put up with this, Jason. My commercial
- 28:41Speaker 2: breaks I think for one hour and forty seven minutes long.
- 28:45Speaker 2: My way of doing the show was different than most.
- 28:47Speaker 2: I backlogged the commercials. When I did the show, I
- 28:51Speaker 2: believed in having long segments and then really long commercial breaks.
- 28:54Speaker 2: Rather than talk for nine minutes four minutes of commercials,
- 28:57Speaker 2: talk for nine minutes permission from the company to be
- 29:01Speaker 2: able to do that, and it was simply a philosophy
- 29:05Speaker 2: about what's the best way to get good ratings and
- 29:08Speaker 2: so on. Here our breaks, our obviously short in podcasts,
- 29:10Speaker 2: will so there's no reason to do a tease, but
- 29:12Speaker 2: I want to do it anyway. I'll let you all
- 29:16Speaker 2: try to guess and figure out who this is. If
- 29:18Speaker 2: you saw the podcast title, you might already know. I'm
- 29:21Speaker 2: going to talk about an American political figure who's dead.
- 29:28Speaker 2: But if the I won't say recent past, contemporary past,
- 29:35Speaker 2: who is suddenly in terms of image, making a comeback,
- 29:41Speaker 2: which I think is hello to crap. We'll talk about
- 29:45Speaker 2: that in a moment on the Mark Belling podcast. This
- 29:50Speaker 2: is the Mark Belling Podcast. There's a thing going on
- 29:54Speaker 2: right now. It seems to be coming from male gen
- 29:59Speaker 2: Z members who are not leftists and gens. You know,
- 30:04Speaker 2: every generation is unusual in that they are different than
- 30:08Speaker 2: anyone before them. Gen Z is impossible to characterize politically.
- 30:14Speaker 2: They seem to be going in completely opposite directions. There
- 30:18Speaker 2: seem to be very few gen Z moderates. There's a
- 30:21Speaker 2: ton of gen Z socialists, and there's also a ton
- 30:25Speaker 2: of gen Z Republicans, Trump carried the college vote in
- 30:31Speaker 2: Wisconsin in twenty twenty four. It's just astonishing to me.
- 30:36Speaker 2: I don't think a Republican has carried the college vote ever.
- 30:41Speaker 2: The youngest of the gen Z's back Trump. Now, part
- 30:45Speaker 2: of it was Commalin made no attempt to appeal the
- 30:47Speaker 2: young voters. And Trump was going on all of these podcasts.
- 30:50Speaker 2: He was on theovon He's Not a Rogo, which appeals
- 30:52Speaker 2: to a little bit old, older audience. But he was
- 30:54Speaker 2: on THEO Bonn, he was on Busted with the Boys,
- 30:56Speaker 2: and he went out and he campaigned for those votes.
- 31:02Speaker 2: This group of gen Zs that are conservative, however, has
- 31:10Speaker 2: started to re embrace Richard Nixon. The dominant Republican figure
- 31:17Speaker 2: of my lifetime was Ronald Reagan. Of my lifetime, which
- 31:22Speaker 2: is a long one, I would say that the three
- 31:25Speaker 2: most dominant Republicans have been in This is stating the
- 31:27Speaker 2: obvious Nixon, Reagan, and Trump. I don't put W. Bush
- 31:34Speaker 2: or H. W. Bush in there. They are both presidents
- 31:39Speaker 2: I think transformative nature Republican politics. Neither of them did that,
- 31:44Speaker 2: but certainly Nixon, and let's face it, Nixon had an
- 31:49Speaker 2: incredibly interesting political career. He was the Eraparan for presidents,
- 31:53Speaker 2: the vice president for eight years. Nineteen sixty he lost
- 31:56Speaker 2: to Kennedy, an election that many and I would say,
- 31:58Speaker 2: the evidence is pretty strong that was stolen. For all
- 32:01Speaker 2: these people that say that they're on vote fraud, almost
- 32:04Speaker 2: nobody disputes that the election results in Illinois and Texas
- 32:08Speaker 2: were simply stolen. But Nixon lost. And then in the
- 32:13Speaker 2: decade in which the country transformed itself from quiet moderation
- 32:19Speaker 2: to conservatism to extreme radicalism. In the midst of radicalism protests,
- 32:26Speaker 2: anti war, civil rights, Nixon goes and gets himself elected
- 32:30Speaker 2: in nineteen sixty eight just running counterculture or all of
- 32:34Speaker 2: those seeming societal trends. Well, we know what happened to
- 32:37Speaker 2: Dixon is forced out after winning a second term carrying
- 32:42Speaker 2: forty nine saints, something Reagan also did. He was forced
- 32:48Speaker 2: to resign. He was going to be impeached and convicted
- 32:50Speaker 2: because of the Watergate scandal. For my lifetime, the transformative
- 32:56Speaker 2: figure was Reagan. Reagan was the first president to govern
- 33:03Speaker 2: as an actual conservative, and everything he did worked. The
- 33:12Speaker 2: Cold War ended, the Soviet Union fell, and communism in
- 33:18Speaker 2: Eastern Europe fell. The economy that he inherited was a nightmare,
- 33:27Speaker 2: and he said in place a boom that really lasted,
- 33:30Speaker 2: I would say for until the dot com bust, which
- 33:34Speaker 2: might have just it might have lasted long beyond that,
- 33:36Speaker 2: because after the dot com bust ended two years later,
- 33:39Speaker 2: we were often roaring again. But it started when Nixon
- 33:42Speaker 2: ended the eighty to ninety percent marginal tax rates that
- 33:47Speaker 2: were taxing income at the highest level. At that level,
- 33:49Speaker 2: meaning that everybody was doing everything that they could to
- 33:51Speaker 2: shell to their income and the economy didn't grow. He
- 33:54Speaker 2: inherited high inflation, high unemployment, at high interest rates and
- 33:58Speaker 2: turned us into a massive pro growth economy many and
- 34:03Speaker 2: was an inspiring figure for many of us. He was
- 34:10Speaker 2: influential in that many people. You know, his era was
- 34:14Speaker 2: the same era as the breakthrough era. Pope John Paul,
- 34:16Speaker 2: whose source was served far longer than Reagan, was president,
- 34:20Speaker 2: but he came into the late seventies and he was
- 34:23Speaker 2: also linked to the fight against the fight in the
- 34:26Speaker 2: Cold War and so on, and Pope John Paul inspired
- 34:28Speaker 2: many young Catholics, and many Conservatives were inspired by Ronald
- 34:31Speaker 2: Reagan because he was the guy who governed as a
- 34:33Speaker 2: conservative and proved the conservatism worked. Time has gone by,
- 34:40Speaker 2: Republican politics morphed into other things after Reagan, the Bush
- 34:46Speaker 2: era and so on, and then Trump turned it on
- 34:49Speaker 2: its head and we now have a form of republicanism,
- 34:53Speaker 2: mega republicanism. It is a different thing. But what's going
- 34:59Speaker 2: on with a lot of young people based on blogs,
- 35:03Speaker 2: they write posts, they make as there's been a rethinking
- 35:07Speaker 2: of Nixon. One of the few issues that we've had
- 35:10Speaker 2: in our society that has united Democrats and Republicans over
- 35:13Speaker 2: the last fifty years is that everybody agreed that Nixon
- 35:16Speaker 2: was a slug. I mean, Republicans of my era thought
- 35:20Speaker 2: that Nixon was a slug. They may have thought that
- 35:22Speaker 2: he got a raw deal in water gave, but they
- 35:23Speaker 2: thought he was a slug, and Democrats thought he was
- 35:26Speaker 2: a slug. Nixon was hated about as much as Reagan
- 35:29Speaker 2: when he was in office, and after he left there
- 35:32Speaker 2: wasn't a Republican that missed him after he was gone,
- 35:34Speaker 2: in part because Reagan was around the corner. There's a term,
- 35:42Speaker 2: and I read about this in a piece in The
- 35:43Speaker 2: Spectator called Nixon maxing. Nixon maxing, in other words, embracing
- 35:50Speaker 2: all things Nixon, the guy who wrote the piece in
- 35:54Speaker 2: The Spectator, said he was the original Nixon, Max Or
- 35:57Speaker 2: He's been doing this for twenty years. And he writes
- 36:03Speaker 2: that the thing that appeals to really young conservatives about Nixon,
- 36:07Speaker 2: as opposed to say Reagan, who is the hero for
- 36:09Speaker 2: many in my generation, or even contemporarily Trump, is that
- 36:15Speaker 2: Nixon was such a throwback. He was the last of
- 36:19Speaker 2: the buttoned down conventional Republicans. And this particular wing of
- 36:29Speaker 2: gen Z, some of whom are I mean, some of
- 36:33Speaker 2: these gen Z guys. They're dressing up all the time.
- 36:36Speaker 2: And I'm not talking about the white nationalist wing like
- 36:39Speaker 2: those Hate Brothers and so on. But they've embraced really
- 36:42Speaker 2: traditional stuff, getting married early, having kids and so on.
- 36:49Speaker 2: And they've given Nixon a new look. And the reporter
- 36:51Speaker 2: for the Spectator Columns for the Spectator, goes on and
- 36:54Speaker 2: writes a long piece about this and suggests that it
- 36:58Speaker 2: was that type of Nixon, that style that has turned
- 37:02Speaker 2: young people onto him. And secondly, after seeing the witch
- 37:06Speaker 2: hunting that has been done of Trump, they are now
- 37:10Speaker 2: totally open to the notion that Nixon was run out
- 37:12Speaker 2: of office by a corrupt media because they've seen that
- 37:18Speaker 2: Trump was run out of office by a corrupt media.
- 37:20Speaker 2: And Trump Petty has come back because he was able
- 37:22Speaker 2: to overcome this because they overplayed their heads. But Nixon
- 37:26Speaker 2: was run out office by a corrupt media and a
- 37:28Speaker 2: criminal justice system that had been co opted. And they
- 37:30Speaker 2: look back and they think, well, Nixon was the first
- 37:32Speaker 2: guy that this happened to you. And then they've been
- 37:35Speaker 2: evaluating what happened during Watergate and they don't see anything
- 37:39Speaker 2: all that bad. And I'll grant you, by the standards
- 37:43Speaker 2: of today, Watergate wasn't all that bad. But and there's
- 37:48Speaker 2: a butt Watergate wasn't just the Watergate break in. Nixon
- 37:57Speaker 2: raised money in a campaign. When I say Nixon, the
- 37:59Speaker 2: Nixon campaign raised money in a campaign fund. By the way,
- 38:03Speaker 2: there were not the same disclosures that we have now.
- 38:06Speaker 2: The campaign finance disclosure laws were far looser than and
- 38:10Speaker 2: a lot of donations could be collected anonymously. You only
- 38:14Speaker 2: had to declare the really really large ones. Those were
- 38:17Speaker 2: still declared, but it was looser. Nonetheless, they raised the
- 38:20Speaker 2: campaign fund and a huge portion of it was used
- 38:24Speaker 2: to engage in non political, non governmental operations. It was
- 38:30Speaker 2: called dirty Tricks. The organization was called the plumbers that
- 38:34Speaker 2: would go out and try to find out who was
- 38:38Speaker 2: leaking government documents, sometimes themselves leak others and engage in
- 38:43Speaker 2: dirty tricks and then the cover up. Nixon clearly talked
- 38:49Speaker 2: about paying hush money to the Watergate burglars. And we
- 38:52Speaker 2: know this because Nixon was stupid enough to tape his
- 38:55Speaker 2: conversations in the white hose and then, by the way,
- 38:58Speaker 2: idiotically try to wear RaSE some of the tapes before
- 39:01Speaker 2: turning them over to the government, and was so clumsy.
- 39:03Speaker 2: I mean seventeen the famous seventeen and a half minute gap,
- 39:06Speaker 2: which is right where the incriminating evidence was, and they
- 39:08Speaker 2: gave the explanation the secretary somehow bent over and hit
- 39:12Speaker 2: the wrong button on the dick to phone, and they're
- 39:14Speaker 2: just The thing with Nixon is he was a tremendous politician,
- 39:19Speaker 2: but a terrible liar. You know, as a kid watching
- 39:21Speaker 2: this and I was really into politics, and that was
- 39:23Speaker 2: when we only had, you know, three TV stations plus
- 39:26Speaker 2: public TV. Nixon, I'm just telling you, I've always been
- 39:30Speaker 2: very good at sensing what I'm being lied to. I'm
- 39:33Speaker 2: not foolproof. I do, however, learn from my mistakes. There's
- 39:37Speaker 2: a reason I'm a cynic. I'll tell this story again.
- 39:41Speaker 2: I've told a million times. When I was about twenty three,
- 39:46Speaker 2: like as white as one could be, not only in
- 39:48Speaker 2: terms of skin color, but in terms of backroad. I
- 39:51Speaker 2: was in Milwaukee and I went to Bradford Beach with
- 39:53Speaker 2: some guys. I was hustled on three card MONI something
- 39:58Speaker 2: just terrible. I lost at the time more money than
- 40:01Speaker 2: I even had, which they didn't need to have to
- 40:03Speaker 2: be much because I didn't have any. I mean, those
- 40:06Speaker 2: guys are probably still done. They're playing the same thing.
- 40:11Speaker 2: It's never happened to be again. I see anybody doing
- 40:14Speaker 2: the shell game or anything like, I just assume they
- 40:16Speaker 2: know exactly what they're doing and they're cheating. But I
- 40:18Speaker 2: didn't know that then naive. But even with that level
- 40:21Speaker 2: of naivete, I've always been pretty good at telling when
- 40:24Speaker 2: someone was lying. I'm just Nixon was up there on
- 40:26Speaker 2: water get actory, I could tell he was lying. I
- 40:29Speaker 2: had family that were divided on him. I had a
- 40:33Speaker 2: grandmother who couldn't stand him. The other side, grandmother and Graham,
- 40:38Speaker 2: they are pro Nixon. Most young people hated Nixon because
- 40:44Speaker 2: they hated the war, and Nixon didn't end the war.
- 40:47Speaker 2: But I could just tell he was lying about Watergate.
- 40:49Speaker 2: The thing that the revisionists are now pointing out is, Okay,
- 40:52Speaker 2: let's imagine he did it. They were gonna pay hush
- 40:55Speaker 2: money after a break in of the DNC that was caught.
- 40:58Speaker 2: They didn't even steal anything. Whooptee do. This doesn't anything
- 41:07Speaker 2: at all like what Biden got away with or Obama.
- 41:14Speaker 2: And they're coming around and saying that Nixon should be
- 41:16Speaker 2: given far more pre credit. A. He ended the war
- 41:19Speaker 2: with Vietnam. B he ended America's insular position forward Russia
- 41:28Speaker 2: and China. The reason I'm bringing up this topic is
- 41:33Speaker 2: anybody who is a young person in gen Z who
- 41:36Speaker 2: wants to buy into this, I at least want to
- 41:37Speaker 2: expose you to the other side of the story, because
- 41:40Speaker 2: Nixon was a terrible president. Now I wasn't a conservative
- 41:46Speaker 2: back when Nixon was the president. I am now I
- 41:49Speaker 2: am viewing this Nixon through the lens of the views
- 41:52Speaker 2: that I have now. Nixon did far more damage to
- 41:57Speaker 2: this country than the two the Democrats who preceded him,
- 42:02Speaker 2: Kennedy and Johnson, and he was a worse president than
- 42:06Speaker 2: the both Johnson sunk also, But I would say Nixon
- 42:11Speaker 2: was worse. He wasn't worse than Jimmy Carter, because other
- 42:14Speaker 2: than Joe Biden, no one could be worse than him.
- 42:17Speaker 2: But historically Nixon's policies were ineffective and morally depraved Vietnam.
- 42:28Speaker 2: He didn't start the Vietnam War, he inherited it from Johnson.
- 42:31Speaker 2: One of the most idiotic and terribly fought wars in
- 42:34Speaker 2: our history. We were fighting a war between two countries
- 42:38Speaker 2: with the same name. One had North before it, the
- 42:40Speaker 2: other head South. The Communist controlled North Vietnam, and unfortunately
- 42:45Speaker 2: many people who lived in South Vietnam were Communists too,
- 42:47Speaker 2: and they wanted the North to win. Were involved in
- 42:51Speaker 2: both a ground war and a bombing war in which
- 42:53Speaker 2: both were just done half assed. So we kept trying
- 42:57Speaker 2: to escalate and escalate and escalate in escalate. Militarily we
- 43:01Speaker 2: were winning, we weren't winning enough to get the other
- 43:05Speaker 2: side to surrender, and we couldn't get to Hanoy and
- 43:07Speaker 2: take over the capitol because there wasn't enough of a
- 43:11Speaker 2: ground surge. But in the meantime, nearly fifty thousand Americans
- 43:14Speaker 2: were killed. There was a draft going on. Unlike the
- 43:20Speaker 2: current wars in which everybody who's in the military has
- 43:22Speaker 2: chosen to go in. Vietnam was fought almost entirely with
- 43:26Speaker 2: people who didn't want to be in the military and
- 43:28Speaker 2: didn't want to go to this war and didn't want
- 43:29Speaker 2: to die. And nobody could figure out what the vital
- 43:32Speaker 2: American interest was. It said, Nixon didn't start it. This idea, Well,
- 43:37Speaker 2: that was the domino theory. They do, well, if we
- 43:39Speaker 2: allow South Vietnam to fall, then Thailand will fall, and
- 43:41Speaker 2: then allows the fall, and then India will fall, in
- 43:43Speaker 2: the whole world to fall. Vietnam did ultimately fall, and
- 43:48Speaker 2: nothing else ever did. It was just crap. Anyway, Nixon
- 43:54Speaker 2: inherited this when he ran for president. He had a
- 43:58Speaker 2: secret plan to end the war. You could never get
- 44:00Speaker 2: away with saying I have a plan, but I'm not
- 44:02Speaker 2: going to tell you what it is. But that's what
- 44:03Speaker 2: he did. And he got in and his plan was this.
- 44:06Speaker 2: Every few months he drew down the number of troops
- 44:10Speaker 2: until eventually he pulled out. He pulled out with a
- 44:13Speaker 2: peace deal thinner than anything that Trump was held up
- 44:15Speaker 2: in his hands of I ran it was a peace
- 44:17Speaker 2: deal that just meant we're going to quit. Everybody knew
- 44:20Speaker 2: the moment we left North Vietnam would break it, and
- 44:23Speaker 2: they did. Here's my problem with this. Nixon pulled out
- 44:28Speaker 2: and we lost, and it took him four years to
- 44:31Speaker 2: do it. He could have pulled out in nineteen sixty
- 44:34Speaker 2: nine and half the casualties who died in Vietnam would
- 44:37Speaker 2: not have died. We had tens of thousands come back
- 44:43Speaker 2: maimed and wounded and even more psychologically screwed up by
- 44:47Speaker 2: that hellhole of a war, and about fifteen to twenty
- 44:50Speaker 2: thousand who died in his watch because he wouldn't simply
- 44:54Speaker 2: end the war for the moment that he came in.
- 44:56Speaker 2: By pulling out, he kept the war going on, accomplished
- 45:01Speaker 2: nothing by doing so. That's one. Two. The reopening of
- 45:07Speaker 2: relations with China was an historic disaster still playing out.
- 45:13Speaker 2: If Nixon didn't reopen, there was no trade with China.
- 45:16Speaker 2: They were walled off. If Nixon didn't open the door
- 45:20Speaker 2: to China, we would not be facing the problems with
- 45:23Speaker 2: China now. He began a relationship that through its entire
- 45:27Speaker 2: period was one sided. China got way more about out
- 45:30Speaker 2: of it than the United States did. What the United
- 45:33Speaker 2: States did was American corporations were able to outsource their
- 45:37Speaker 2: labor where it could be made more cheaply in China.
- 45:41Speaker 2: But by contrasts, companies would then set up shop in
- 45:43Speaker 2: China and dump products in the United States, destroying our
- 45:46Speaker 2: manufacturing base and in the meantime building up the Chinese economy.
- 45:52Speaker 2: When Mao Saytong left and Joe and Lai came in place,
- 45:57Speaker 2: China began the process of purging itself from Mao Si
- 46:00Speaker 2: style communism kind of Haun style communism, the old actual communism,
- 46:05Speaker 2: to what they have now. The Chinese approach to communism
- 46:09Speaker 2: was still state control, but they allowed private ownership. They
- 46:13Speaker 2: didn't allow individual freedoms and rights, but they put in
- 46:15Speaker 2: place their version of capitalism where individuals could become extremely
- 46:20Speaker 2: wealthy with very little limits on their wealth. They had
- 46:22Speaker 2: a playball with the government, and they couldn't be a dissident,
- 46:24Speaker 2: and they weren't a free speech or anything. But they
- 46:27Speaker 2: embraced a level of not fully open market, but certainly capitalism,
- 46:32Speaker 2: and with the United States allowing them to trample all
- 46:35Speaker 2: over us on trade, they grew and grew and grew
- 46:39Speaker 2: and grew. The only beneficiaries of this were a handful
- 46:43Speaker 2: of American companies that were able to cut their labor
- 46:45Speaker 2: costs by making stuff overseas in China and help kill
- 46:48Speaker 2: off the American middle class. This is Nixxon who did it.
- 46:53Speaker 2: Russia Nixon was a nightmare. Nixon went and tried to
- 47:01Speaker 2: thaw the Cold War. Brezhnev was the leader of Russia
- 47:06Speaker 2: during Nixon. This thawing of the Cold War emboldened Russia
- 47:14Speaker 2: to be more despotic than ever. The thawing of the
- 47:18Speaker 2: Cold War occurred shortly after Russia went in and crushed
- 47:22Speaker 2: the people of Czechoslovakia. There was over a depression of
- 47:27Speaker 2: nations that had been independent in Eastern Europe. The United
- 47:31Speaker 2: States had a massive defense build up, but we couldn't
- 47:34Speaker 2: keep up with the Russians, at part because we had
- 47:35Speaker 2: been farting all this money away from Vietnam. In Vietnam
- 47:40Speaker 2: and Nixon opened the door to trade with Russia and
- 47:42Speaker 2: warmed relationships with Russia at the very time they were
- 47:45Speaker 2: behaving the worst. It was the exact opposite of Reagan.
- 47:49Speaker 2: Only a few years later, Reagan came in and declared
- 47:52Speaker 2: Russia the evil Empire and said We're not having a
- 47:57Speaker 2: thaw on the Cold War. We're gonna win the damn thing,
- 48:00Speaker 2: and he did. Nixon developed a military initiative, a missile
- 48:06Speaker 2: defense system dubbed star Wars that the Russians couldn't match.
- 48:11Speaker 2: The Russians knew that they faced the potential of them
- 48:13Speaker 2: not being able to nucas, but we could nuke them.
- 48:17Speaker 2: They couldn't keep up in this and decided to back
- 48:20Speaker 2: off the Cold War themselves. In the meantime, with their
- 48:22Speaker 2: economy shrinking, Nixon put on tremendous pressure on them. Communism fell,
- 48:29Speaker 2: the Eastern Block fell, All of Eastern Europe was liberated.
- 48:33Speaker 2: Some of those countries in Eastern Europe are now the
- 48:35Speaker 2: freest places in the world. The individual states of the
- 48:40Speaker 2: USSR all of them allowed to break free, some far
- 48:42Speaker 2: better off. Others hellholes now because of Reagan. Nixon was wrong.
- 48:49Speaker 2: Reagan was right. The economy, I don't use the term
- 48:54Speaker 2: more on all the time. I apply a tool lot
- 48:56Speaker 2: of leftists. Nixon was a mora economically. The economy that
- 49:03Speaker 2: Nixon inherited was very strong. In a weird way. The
- 49:06Speaker 2: war helped the economy because you had all of the
- 49:09Speaker 2: war machine and the means of production from the war,
- 49:11Speaker 2: and we had very low unemployment because we were sending
- 49:14Speaker 2: so many young people that have to fight the Vietnam War.
- 49:18Speaker 2: But inflation took hold under Nixon and he imposed wage
- 49:22Speaker 2: and price controls. Perhaps the most idiotic economic policy there
- 49:26Speaker 2: is putting a cap on wages and prices. Simply, it's
- 49:30Speaker 2: the same thing Mamdani's trying to do with housing in
- 49:32Speaker 2: New York. It means everything goes to hell. If landlords
- 49:35Speaker 2: can't raise their rent in New York, that means they're
- 49:37Speaker 2: not going to fix the damn thing. They're not going
- 49:39Speaker 2: to for the furnished apartments. There's no new furniture going
- 49:41Speaker 2: to come in. They're not going to do anything because
- 49:44Speaker 2: the revenue that they have coming in is going to
- 49:46Speaker 2: stop growing. Likewise, when you put in place price controls
- 49:49Speaker 2: in the United States, company simply stopped selling stuff because
- 49:51Speaker 2: you're not going to sell something you can't make a
- 49:53Speaker 2: profit of. You put in place caps on wages. The
- 49:59Speaker 2: thing that the Left foot of hated. You kill any
- 50:02Speaker 2: instead of an American worker to get ahead was a disaster.
- 50:06Speaker 2: They were dropped years later. And then let's add and
- 50:09Speaker 2: the fact that he was corrupt. I grant you, he
- 50:12Speaker 2: probably was less corrupt than the Kennedys. He certainly was
- 50:16Speaker 2: not as corrupt as Johnson. He never stole any elections.
- 50:20Speaker 2: He merely tried to the great tragedy of Watergate was
- 50:24Speaker 2: he was trying to rig an election that he went
- 50:25Speaker 2: on to win by forty nine states. Anyway, the Democrats
- 50:27Speaker 2: nominated half of marxistem in McGovern, which the country wasn't
- 50:31Speaker 2: ready for. Then you didn't need to do any of
- 50:33Speaker 2: those things. My only point is that Nixon was a
- 50:35Speaker 2: terrible president. There was nothing conservative a bought him. And
- 50:37Speaker 2: now let's get to the Supreme Court. Nixon's Supreme Court
- 50:44Speaker 2: justices he put in that court. A couple turned out
- 50:46Speaker 2: to be conservative. Warren Berger was somewhere in between. He
- 50:49Speaker 2: put on several lefties. I mean, there were Nixon appointees
- 50:55Speaker 2: on that court. When Roe versus Wade past. There was
- 50:59Speaker 2: an expansion of big government throughout that Supreme Court, and
- 51:01Speaker 2: many of Nixon's appointees were at best moderates and at
- 51:05Speaker 2: worst as bad as anything the Clinton put on the court.
- 51:12Speaker 2: Nixon was a terrible president, and he was terrible from
- 51:16Speaker 2: a conservative perspective. The fact that he was run out
- 51:18Speaker 2: of office. I'll tell you who was a great president,
- 51:22Speaker 2: and that was Kennedy. Kennedy was a hawk on the
- 51:26Speaker 2: Soviet Union. He tried to build up our defenses. No
- 51:31Speaker 2: one knows if he would have escalated the Vietnam War,
- 51:35Speaker 2: No doubt he started. He sent the first handful of
- 51:37Speaker 2: troops and advisors over there, but he might have had
- 51:39Speaker 2: the sense not to continue it. Kennedy started the Civil
- 51:42Speaker 2: Rights Legislation, all of which it's a good idea. And
- 51:47Speaker 2: Kennedy passed one of the largest tax cuts in American history. Kennedy,
- 51:52Speaker 2: even it was inept, tried to stop the Castro government.
- 51:55Speaker 2: The Bay of Pigs was a terrible operation. He was
- 52:00Speaker 2: a better president, so the Conservatives to day one admires.
- 52:03Speaker 2: One thing you could say about Nixt. You know, Kennedy
- 52:05Speaker 2: was just a sewer, a sewer rat out there. He
- 52:07Speaker 2: was screwing every woman incited like every other Kennedy known
- 52:11Speaker 2: to man, including I think even RFK Junior. There's just
- 52:15Speaker 2: something in the Kennedy bloodlines that makes them incapable of
- 52:20Speaker 2: not philandering. Anyway. Nixon was a tremendous family man, two kids,
- 52:25Speaker 2: very loyal to his wife pat and lived his personal
- 52:29Speaker 2: life in a very moral and upstanding fashion. I'm just
- 52:31Speaker 2: saying to the people that are trying to reinvent and
- 52:34Speaker 2: re embrace Nixon, you're creating a myth here the actual Nixon.
- 52:44Speaker 2: It's somebody who ought to remain consigned to the ash
- 52:47Speaker 2: heep of bad president history. Interesting peace in the Wall
- 52:51Speaker 2: Street Journal by Alicia Finley, who's taking out one of
- 52:54Speaker 2: the mantras that that leftist candidates are running on this
- 52:57Speaker 2: wall is Medicare for all. See you know the reason
- 53:01Speaker 2: that they're on this Medicare for all is without saying
- 53:04Speaker 2: that they're acknowledging that Obamacare has been a nightmare. Like
- 53:10Speaker 2: everything else, we can saytives are always being proven, always
- 53:12Speaker 2: proven correct. Health premiums under Obamacare and on the exchanges
- 53:17Speaker 2: have exploded. The premiums for the people not in Obamacare
- 53:23Speaker 2: have exploded because of the cost passing on that has
- 53:28Speaker 2: to occur with individuals who are on healthcare because of
- 53:32Speaker 2: the mandates under Obamacare. Obamacare was set up never to
- 53:37Speaker 2: be able to fund itself. The government subsidies of Obamacare
- 53:41Speaker 2: are massive, and the quality of healthcare into Obamacare is terrible.
- 53:46Speaker 2: Plans change the doctors and their networks every year. People
- 53:49Speaker 2: switch their doctors right and left, there's no quality of care.
- 53:53Speaker 2: If you have a different doctor every year. To go
- 53:56Speaker 2: to your new doctor has to research your history. There's
- 53:59Speaker 2: not a sense of annuity. It's crap, and the left
- 54:04Speaker 2: wont acknowledge this. But the fact that they're now pushing
- 54:06Speaker 2: a totally different thing. Just take Medicare, which is healthcare
- 54:09Speaker 2: for senior citizens and that's what the whole country will be,
- 54:12Speaker 2: is an acknowledgment that Obamacare didn't work. Let me tell
- 54:18Speaker 2: you something about Medicare. Sad to say, I'm on it,
- 54:22Speaker 2: I am of that age. Medicare is great. It's better
- 54:28Speaker 2: coverage than I ever had under private insurance, and it's
- 54:32Speaker 2: actually administered fairly well, which is just amazing to me.
- 54:35Speaker 2: It's about the only thing I can think of that
- 54:36Speaker 2: the government does. The Medicare website actually explains things well,
- 54:45Speaker 2: and I think most people that are on Medicare kind
- 54:48Speaker 2: of like it, especially if you get a Medicare supplement
- 54:53Speaker 2: or take Medicare advantage, which covers some of the things
- 54:56Speaker 2: that Medicare doesn't cover. Here's the problem with Medicare that
- 55:00Speaker 2: the leftists that are pushing Medicare for all don't tell
- 55:02Speaker 2: you Medicare is not free. It's very expensive, and if
- 55:07Speaker 2: you still have an income, such as I do, and
- 55:09Speaker 2: your income is pretty good, your surcharges that you face
- 55:12Speaker 2: for Medicare for the premium are extremely high. In addition
- 55:16Speaker 2: to that, if you don't buy a supplement, and I
- 55:21Speaker 2: have a supplement, it costs a pareawaut of money. Your
- 55:24Speaker 2: out of pocket costs are massive. It takes forever to
- 55:29Speaker 2: get to your annual cap, and your co payments are incredible.
- 55:34Speaker 2: You also have to go out and buy a separate
- 55:36Speaker 2: drug plan in order to cover your prescriptions. You can
- 55:41Speaker 2: do Medicare advantage, which helps cover some of these costs,
- 55:44Speaker 2: but then you face the same problem as Obamacare. Not
- 55:46Speaker 2: all of your doctors are in market, it's harder to
- 55:49Speaker 2: get the same coverage when you're out of state, and
- 55:51Speaker 2: so on. It's not transportable. Medicare works for people who
- 55:57Speaker 2: are likely to have health problems. Who's likely to have
- 56:01Speaker 2: health problems older people. I should count the number of
- 56:06Speaker 2: doctor appointments I've had the last several weeks. I had
- 56:09Speaker 2: a cardiac ablation a few weeks ago. KAT even imagine
- 56:12Speaker 2: I went Medicare covered it. I don't have to do anything.
- 56:18Speaker 2: It makes sense and certainly, it also makes sense that
- 56:22Speaker 2: you have to pay a chunk out of pocket for
- 56:24Speaker 2: it or pay premiers because you're using the program. But
- 56:32Speaker 2: one of the reasons that it works is there's a
- 56:34Speaker 2: finite group of people that are in it, senior citizens.
- 56:41Speaker 2: You will destroy Medicare if everybody is on it, because
- 56:48Speaker 2: the program will now be overwhelmed with users. In addition
- 56:53Speaker 2: to that, Medicare's numbers are kind of set up for
- 56:59Speaker 2: dealing with than with a client base that is life
- 57:02Speaker 2: going to be sick, than one that is not. To
- 57:06Speaker 2: expand Medicare for all of you who truly did it
- 57:08Speaker 2: to everyone would explode the healthcare costs of younger people
- 57:13Speaker 2: who don't get sick as much, while watering down and
- 57:18Speaker 2: destroying the entire program. We create Medicare, which has a
- 57:24Speaker 2: government subsidy because we came to the recognition that older
- 57:30Speaker 2: people should not sit around and die with no way
- 57:33Speaker 2: to pay for their health care bills. So we've taxed
- 57:36Speaker 2: people during our working lives. Medicare is tax is a
- 57:38Speaker 2: payroll tax. Social Security and Medicare are a tax. Is
- 57:50Speaker 2: a cap on Social Security. There's not a tax on Medicare,
- 57:53Speaker 2: and that goes in and this funds this thing, and
- 57:56Speaker 2: the tax is not paid primarily by older people, most
- 57:58Speaker 2: of whom I'm not, but most of home are retired,
- 58:02Speaker 2: because we made the collector decision to subsidize this program
- 58:05Speaker 2: and still put a big Copey cost on the part
- 58:08Speaker 2: of the seniors, because we don't think that our older
- 58:10Speaker 2: people who've lived in this country forever and ever should
- 58:12Speaker 2: have to fend for themselves. To expand this to everyone
- 58:18Speaker 2: would mean that you would have to raise the Medicare
- 58:20Speaker 2: tax to the extreme, hitting all sorts of young people
- 58:25Speaker 2: who will then still have to pay the premiums for Medicare,
- 58:28Speaker 2: which are very very high, and their taxes will go
- 58:31Speaker 2: way way up for a population that as a group
- 58:34Speaker 2: doesn't have to go to the doctor anywhere near as much,
- 58:37Speaker 2: not does they have as many healthcare needs. And by
- 58:41Speaker 2: putting everyone under government coverage, it will wreck the current
- 58:47Speaker 2: level of Medicare and the current system that we have.
- 58:51Speaker 2: Nobody who is on Medicare should support this because it
- 58:55Speaker 2: will kill the Medicare that you have. And secondly, nobody
- 58:58Speaker 2: who isn't on Medicare because the younger should want to
- 59:00Speaker 2: go on it, because, as I say, in Medicare is
- 59:04Speaker 2: very very costly, particularly to get full coverage, and particularly
- 59:10Speaker 2: if you have any degree of income, because the surcharges
- 59:15Speaker 2: that they put on place with regard to income are
- 59:21Speaker 2: very high. And now this story. I stumbled upon this
- 59:26Speaker 2: one in the Wall Street Journal for those of you
- 59:29Speaker 2: who don't get around Milwaukee much. For the last several years,
- 59:33Speaker 2: Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson has been embarking in this program
- 59:37Speaker 2: of ripping up all of the downtown streets. And he's
- 59:39Speaker 2: now moving into streets on the south side of the city,
- 59:44Speaker 2: near north side of the city, and even a couple
- 59:47Speaker 2: of suburbs Glendale shares a portion of Silver Spring with
- 59:50Speaker 2: Milwaukee and into Glendale and so on, where the streets
- 59:54Speaker 2: are being ripped up, and there are attempts to really
- 59:58Speaker 2: slow down the traffic. And they do this by making
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: the streets extremely convoluted, with concrete curbs in the middle
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: of the road, big bumpers in the turns that require
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: you to make big, wide turns, and every block that
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: you go the lanes chained so you have to constantly
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: change lanes and never more than one lane in each
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: direction was sometimes a turning lane in place. In inition
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: to that, they have the cars park in the middle
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: of the street in what was a traffic lane, behind
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: these plastic cones that are up, and then further to
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: the curb there is a specific dedicated bike line bike lane.
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: So you take up all of this area that was road,
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: creates some level of parking behind these little plastic sticks
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: that are up in the air, and then you have
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: a dedicated bike lane. Now, obviously, if you're a biker,
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: this is a great thing. You don't have to go
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: on traffic. The people who drive the electric scooters, they're
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: running around in that thing as well, which, by the way,
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: the bicyclists hide because the bicycles often, unless you have
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: an e bike, don't go as fast as the scooters.
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: So that's what we're doing and it's total mess. But
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: none of the lefties are belly aching about it, because
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: that would mean that they would have belly ache about
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: something that the leftist did to themselves. There is, however,
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: a massive backlash to this where it's going on in
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: another part of the country, and I think it's just amazing.
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: This is where it's coming from the Wall Street Journal.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: There is a huge backlash in Chicago where they are
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: doing the same thing they're doing it mostly on main
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: drags in neighborhoods. In other words, the main drags that
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: aren't downtown, but the main drags that are in the
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: pockets of the city limits outside of downtown. This particular
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: story deals with you're from sort of around there. Do
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: you know where Archer Avenue is, Jason? Do you know
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: where Archer Avenue is? Chicago? He does. Well, they're putting
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: it in there because the streets in Chicago aren't that wide.
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: But putting in the dedicated bike lanes, they're simple taking
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: away the parking, and in Milwaukee the street parking. Even
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: with these cones up, they're usually only a few parking
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: places per street because they've had to switch out portions
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: of the lane for the turns that have occurred by
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: taking away so much of the street by the dedicated
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: bike lane headline. In Chicago, a bike lane battle spills
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: into the streets. There is anger from businesses in Chicago
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: that have lost all of the street parking for their clientele,
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: which of course has also happened in Milwaukee. If you've
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: got a place in downtown Milwaukee, if you want to
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: park in front of the place, you better hope you
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: get one of the few places that are there because
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: many of the places are gone because the bike lanes
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: have taken away the ability to have parking. My guess
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: is in twenty years all this stuff of Milwaukee would
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: be ripped out, just as I predicted, the adventure of
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: the trolley will be ripped out. But the opposition now
- 1:02:51Speaker 2: has started. I mean, Milwaukee was one of the first
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: cities to do this. This was our wingnut idioty idiocy
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: that we were sort of a forerunner on. It was
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: some of this money that came out during COVID Milwaukee.
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: Milwaukee used someone to start ripping up all of these streets,
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: and other cities have now copied. You may wonder why
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: they do it. Doing this makes a lot of people happy.
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: Road the road construction companies make a fortune a ripping
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: all of these streets to the ground and then resurfacing them,
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: laying the new basein, and then putting in all the
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: curbs in the bike lanes. These are massive contracts to
- 1:03:25Speaker 2: be able to do so. The big losers, of course,
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: are the businesses that have lost their parking or whose
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: streets are so impossible to drive on that people choose
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: to drive on different streets than the ones that have
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: been wrecked by the city. So in Chicago, where they
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: have apparently decided to accept rampant crime, one Marxist mayor
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: after another total dysfunction, public schools that are just as
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: bad as Milwaukee, they have at least seen the light
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: on one thing they're against, the dedicated bike lanes. You're
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: listening to the Mark Belling podcast. This is the Mark
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: Belling Podcast. Time for the first of the year to
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: do something what it is? Time for my first Packers preview.
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: We're approaching the first preseason game of the year, training
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: campus underway. I am here to share with you my
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: insights early as it is on the Packers and the
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: outlook for the coming season. We'll have a more in
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: depth one as we approach the beginning of the season
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: and we go to our weekly football preview and analysis,
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: which we will be doing again this year. That won't
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: be starting until the beginning of the college football season,
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: which is still several weeks away. My first thought on
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: the Packers is I don't think they did much of
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: anything in the off season to improve themselves, and everybody's
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: analysis is the same thing. There was no transformative free
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: agent signing. We don't know how the draft is going
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: to turn out. There wasn't a significant trade. The Packers
- 1:05:08Speaker 2: team doesn't seem to be much different than the one
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: last year, So to say that the Packers' outlook looks
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: brighter than it did last year would be based on
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: really nothing, because there's nothing I think that the Packers
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: have done that you can say off the bat is
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: an obvious immediate improvement. However, every football team exists within
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: a division, and as we've seen over the years, some
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: divisions think meaning you don't have to be very good
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: to win the division. And if you win your division
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: and get into the playoffs, so for that matter, even
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: get into the playoffs, you have a chance to win
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. Let's size up the other three teams
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: in the Packers Division, and the NFC North has been
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: over the last couple of years, I think the best
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: division in football. The NFC West has been pretty good
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: as well. Jason won't like this, but I have a
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: prediction that the Bears are going to be worse this
- 1:06:14Speaker 2: year than they were last year. And that's simply based
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: on the fact that the Bears won so many close games.
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: At the end of the game last year they had
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: so many breaks, they had such a positive turnover margin.
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: Those things tend to even out. Also, it's just a
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: natural thing in sports. The teams that are hungry after
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: they find a degree of success seem to be less hungry.
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: If the Bears can tend for a Super Bowl, I
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: think it is likely to be next year than this year.
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: They made their major step forward last year. I think
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: given the fact that they haven't changed their team all
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: that much either, they're likely to step back. I do
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: think that the team that will significantly improve is Detroit.
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: Detroit is exactly like the Bears, only earlier. The Bears. Rather,
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: Detroit's major step forward was the two years prior to
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: last year. In particular, two seasons ago twenty four. The
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: Lions stepped back last year with a lot of injuries.
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: There was the Green Bay held its own. There was
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: the emergence of the Bears. The Lions had lost both
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: of their coordinators in offense and defense, They had ended
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: the twenty four season terrible playoff loss, and they seem
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: to have lost their will men him. I think that
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: this is the year that Detroit comes back the Vikings
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: on its face, I think the Vikings will be improved
- 1:07:40Speaker 2: because the Vikings had a terrible quarterback last year at
- 1:07:43Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy. They've gone and they signed Arizona. They picked
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: up Arizona's quarterback, Kyler Murray. There's a battle in training camp,
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: and some people think McCarthy will win that job. If
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: McCarthy wins that job, that means that Kyler Murray has
- 1:07:56Speaker 2: washed up. Because JJ McCarthy he's never going to be
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: anything more than a backup. He never should have been
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: picked early in the first round such as the Vikings did.
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: I thought he was the weakness on the team last year.
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: He's not that good and in NFL, team that doesn't
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: have a good quarterback is not going to be good. Now.
- 1:08:12Speaker 2: If Murray's their quarterback, who's got strengths and weaknesses to
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: his game, he's kind of I think a poor man's
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: Caleb Williams, the Bear quarterback, very very mobile, but he's
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: been so mobile over the years that he's now got
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: a lot of miles on him and he's taken on
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: a lot of injuries. That's the problem with a mobile quarterback.
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: You can get hurt. I don't think he's as good
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: as he was when he was in Arizona, but I
- 1:08:32Speaker 2: do think he's better than McCarthy, meaning I think that
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: the Vikings could be a little bit better. So in
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: that context, I think the Packers have one team in
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: the division, the Bears, that are not going to be
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: a super team. I think the Bears are over five hundred,
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: but I think the Bears are likely to be something
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: like nine and eight than something silly like fourteen to three.
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: With regard to the Packers, the Packers had a spectacular
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: defensive coordinator in Jeff Hafley. Their defense over the last
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: couple of years is just outstanding. He's gone, and every
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: time you change coordinators, things change and the new guy
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: that's coming yet is not going to run anywhere near
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: the same scheme, whether it be college football or pro football.
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: I think actually it's easier to change schemes now in
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: college football because college teams can turn over their roster
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: every year. Now with nil and transfers in the NFL,
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: your rosters pretty much during you know most of the
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: guys who started the year before are going to start
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: the following year. The Packers, however, did get in Jonathan Gannon,
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: a very high level defensive coordinator. He won a super
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: Bowl with the Eagles. He's got head coaching experience. It's
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: not like Gannon, I think is less qualified than Halflee.
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: But anytime there's a change, best case scenario, Gannon's defense
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: will be as good as half Lee. I don't think
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: there's any way it's going to be better. On the offense.
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: The key to me is always the offensive line keeping
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: Jordan Love healthy. The Packers now at least finally have
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: a competent backup quarterback. He's about as old as Zion,
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: but they do have a backup quarterback who has NFL
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: playing experience. I think that's that's a plus. The Malik
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: Willis saying he was an outstanding backup quarterback but they
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: kind of lucked into him and that he was in experience.
- 1:10:15Speaker 2: They have now a veteran backup quarterback that you can
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: plug in with confidence. However, let's be honest, Willis was
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: a brilliant backup quarterback. The running game. The Josh Jacobs
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: thing is still twisting in the ear. And by the way,
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: it is time for Brown County's district attorney to decide
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: if he's going to be charged or not. This is
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: a case of domestic violence. You either have a case
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: or you don't, And it sounds to me like the
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: witness is not cooperating the woman who is the alleged victim,
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: because if she was, he would have been charged by now.
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: If she isn't cooperating, which often you know the woman
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: doesn't want the guy to go to prison, or some
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: sort of settlement financial has been agreed to. They need
- 1:10:56Speaker 2: to either charge Jacobs or in this But in the
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: meantime he's sitting around facing a potential NFL suspension. He
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: has said he hasn't he didn't do it, and right
- 1:11:05Speaker 2: now he has not been charged with anything. But there
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: is a question of limbo. With regard to the Packers
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: and the running back situation. The receivers are very good
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: last year. There's no reason to think that they're not
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: going to be better this year. One or two guys
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: have left the team. Matthew Golden's going to be a
- 1:11:24Speaker 2: little bit better. I see the Packers as being talent wise,
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: very very similar to what they were last year, and
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: I think they will contend to win the NFC North.
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: I can't say that that the favor to win it
- 1:11:38Speaker 2: if I had to predict right now, And these preseason
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: predictions are so silly. It makes much more sense to
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: predict after there's been four weeks in the regular season
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: where you can see something. But I would say that
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: the likeliest team to win the division would be Detroit,
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: who I think bounce back from a disappointing year last year.
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: You agree or just with all of this, you're gonna
- 1:12:01Speaker 2: want to just comment on my thing on the Bears,
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: But you've got to admit that the Bears said everything
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: go right for them last year, and usually usually a
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: team doesn't have everything go right two years in a row.
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: The left tackles out for the year, and the left
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: tackle is the second most important position on an offense,
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: I think, and the Packers saw that during the period
- 1:12:19Speaker 2: of time after they lost back to YERI it just
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: team wasn't as good. The left tackle is the guy
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: who is He's a good portion in your passing offense
- 1:12:27Speaker 2: given that he's one of the protectors for the quarterback.
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: I just think that the Bears are like I didn't
- 1:12:32Speaker 2: think it would be bad. I think they're going to be.
- 1:12:35Speaker 2: As I said, if I had a guest nine and
- 1:12:37Speaker 2: eight or ten and seven, Jason said, everybody's on Decroit,
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: including me. Well, if I didn't even know everybody's on Detroit.
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: I'm not listening to these people. If they're all saying
- 1:12:49Speaker 2: the same thing as me, then I'm never comfortable with that.
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: Because when everybody says something in sports, have they ever
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: been right? Ever? Never. It's like the sock market, They've
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: never been right. When everybody said to buy all the
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: AI socks, that was right at the time. You knew
- 1:13:03Speaker 2: that there to be a correction. The time to look
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: at the AI socks is going to be after this plateauing,
- 1:13:08Speaker 2: after this bottom yard occurs, which may may have already happened.
- 1:13:13Speaker 2: I do have one other football comment. I do believe
- 1:13:18Speaker 2: I don't know if I want to say the biggest bust,
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: but the biggest disappointment in the NFL this year is
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: going to be Malik Willis and the Dolphins. I don't
- 1:13:28Speaker 2: think he's going to succeed there. Malik Willis, I mean,
- 1:13:34Speaker 2: was a backup to the point of being cut in Tennessee,
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: a terrible team, and you could say, well, he was
- 1:13:40Speaker 2: on a terrible team, but he's now going to a
- 1:13:43Speaker 2: terrible team. Everybody knows the drill on the Dolphins. The
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: Dolphins were in denial for several years. They had Hairdoo
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: as their coach, and in his first year they had
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: a pretty good year, and the owner, Stephen Ross, thought
- 1:13:56Speaker 2: that he somehow had something, and they were doubling down
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: and overplaying players that were over the hill. They suffered
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: a number of bad injuries, including Tyreek Hill, and they
- 1:14:05Speaker 2: finally gutted the team and they trying to rebuild. Jeff Halfley,
- 1:14:08Speaker 2: the Packers' defensive coordinator, is there. The good thing for
- 1:14:11Speaker 2: him is everybody knows they're gonna stink, So I don't
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: think he's somebody that's going to be fired late in
- 1:14:16Speaker 2: the season if, for example, they start three to nine
- 1:14:19Speaker 2: or three and ten. But Willis is going to be
- 1:14:21Speaker 2: going to I think a terrible team. He's now expected
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: to be the leader on the team with far less
- 1:14:26Speaker 2: talllent on the offensive line, running back at wide receiver position.
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: Then he faced here and he's not proven that he
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: can be a starter in the NFL. But I just
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: think that the backdrop on the team is that there's
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: any team that's clearly in a rebuilding mode. I mean,
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: Tennessee's always seeming to be in a rebuilding mode, but
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: Cleveland's always in a rebuilding mode. I think that this
- 1:14:46Speaker 2: is that for Miami. You know, Willis went there because
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: he probably had the best offer and a guarantee that
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: he was going to be able to get the starting position.
- 1:14:55Speaker 2: But he's moving to a situation that I think is
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: very bad. All Right, we're getting to be that time
- 1:15:01Speaker 2: of the year. State Fair is underway and football season.
- 1:15:05Speaker 2: When is the Hall of Fame game? Is that this
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: weekend or next? Yeah? Yeah, the night we're doing the
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: podcast today. So the Packers played their first game next weekend?
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: Is Zach Reckman? Yeah, so it's uh, it's already here.
- 1:15:20Speaker 2: All right. That's it for today's podcast. Talk to you soon.
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