Latest / Toadstool Sports / MLB Divisional + NHL + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Thursday 10/9/25

Transcript

MLB Divisional + NHL + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Thursday 10/9/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hack Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with few as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Slumpy series, The slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? What's up everybody? It's towed back with you?
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Better off Ted Thursday, October ninth, hot streak continues. Man,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: I think we've still only had one losing day in
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the last like more than two weeks now, two and one.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Last night we did lose on the WNBA. Vegas took
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: a three to zero lead, and what I guess is
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: a seven game series. I thought I thought that it
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: was over. I thought the WNBA finals are five, But
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: I guess it's a seven game series. I mean, it
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: pretty much is over because Vegas is up three to zero.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: But I guess we'll have to handicap tomorrow's Game four,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: but probably not gonna have a play on that one.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: We were on the Cubs yesterday. That was a winner.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Cubs took a four to one lead in the first
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: inning and never scored again, but still won the game
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: four to three. You're a four to one in the
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: first inning. Man, it's like, you really should run away
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: with that game, and they were not able to do
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: that as their offense just fell completely silent. But we
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: still got the game right. I still think the handicap
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: was correct. And then we did get Calgary right. So
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: we started off NHL with a win Calgary, nice outright
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: win in a shootout. They were losing the game two
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: to nothing and they came back, sent the game into
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: overtime and one outright in a shootout, so that was
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: pretty big. That was good. We were gonna win a
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: little bit if they hit on the plus one and
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: a half puck line, but obviously you want them to
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: win the whole thing outright, man, and that is that
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: is what we got on that one. So Calgary with
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: the Yeah, with the win for us there. Jeffrey, what's
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: up man, Thanks for hanging out, Jeffrey. I think it
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: was you pointed out that Wolf. I don't know if
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: you're joking or not, but Wolf is undefeated during a
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: full moon. Although the full moon was actually Monday Tuesday,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: so it was not the full moon last night. Although
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: close the harvest, the hivest moon or whatever, but we
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: got it right on Calgary. We got a lot of
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: games today. Man, I'm not gonna break down every single
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: hockey game today. I mean, I'm just just too many
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: hockey games. But we're gonna talk about some of it.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have three plays today and they're all in hockey.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have any plays in football or baseball today. Yeah,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: it was close to a full moon then Wolf still
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: got it right. Baseball. We got two games in baseball here.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: The first one up is going to be Philadelphia and LA.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I am celebrating the fact that
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: the Yankees gonna eliminated yesterday, so I will say that
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: obviously Toronto wins the series. The other series all are continuing,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: which is crazy. Is Toronto the first team to advance
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: to the league championship series, so yeah, it's gonna be crazy.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: They're gonna face the winner of Seattle in Detroit tomorrow.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and the Dodgers are both up to one here
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: and those series are both happening today. Philadelphia is at
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: LA here and we know what the starting pitching matchup
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: this year. There was fairly light bullpen you suggest today
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: for both teams. I don't love either bullpen but the
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: usage was light. Each team us a few relief pitchers.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: The bullpens are in good shape. I mean, at least
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: as far as these bullpens are concerned. Both offense is good.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Dodgers' offense is the better one, especially at home, but
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have to contend with Christopher Sanchez, who is
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia's ace at this point two point five ERA one
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: point six WHIP this year. He was a little bit
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: worse on the road three point two ERA, still really
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: good though, had a good final month of the season
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: with a thirty one to three strikeout walk ratio one
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: point six five ERA. In the first game against the
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Dodgers in this series, he went five and two thirds innings,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: gave up two earned runs, had eight strikeouts two walks.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: They wound up losing the game, although it was a
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: pretty good start from him, but a little bit inefficient
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: with his pitches, so he didn't last too long in
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: the game. The Dodgers have been able to get to
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: him a little bit. He went seven innings the other
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: time at LA in mid September, give up four and
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: runs in that one could command numbers though six strikeouts,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: no walks, so Sanchez is still good and generally against
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, he is good and one hundred and twenty
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: three at bats, thirty two to seven strike out walk
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: ratio two forty four average a lot in six ninety
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: one ohps. So he does do pretty well against the Dodgers,
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: and the Dodgers are gonna go with Tyler glasnow three
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: point one ninety one point one win for him. He
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: had a shortened season, so he's gonna be fresh at
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: least because he didn't pitch that much this season. I
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: think the Dodgers are basically like, let's just get our
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: pitchers healthy for the playoffs once we get there, and
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: then we'll figure everything out. He was better at home
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: two point seven to seven homey ra. His last couple
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: of starts were short, but I think they did that
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: intentionally to keep him even more fresh. I had too
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: many walks in September though, eleven walks twenty five strikeouts,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: so his wildness was a little bit of a concern,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: although the Dodgers did win his last five games, including
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: the game that he pitched in this series, but he
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: actually pitched in relief earlier in this series against Philadelphia,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: so strange. His last start of the regular season, he
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: only went three innings a shutout ball against Seattle, and
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: then in this series, for whatever reason, they brought him
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: in from the bullpen, and he actually wasn't that good.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: He went one to two thirds innings. He gave up
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: two hits, two walks, and had two strike guts. He
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: got out of it without allowing a run, but he
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: put four guys on base, so that's not great. I mean,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I do still think he's good, and he's getting the
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: start here, so I'm not expecting him to be terrible here.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: But against Philly, his numbers are a little bit worse
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: than what we just saw from Sanchez in the matchup.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Sixty nine at bats, twenty four to eleven strike out,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: walker race year two, forty six average allowed, seven to
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: forty one ohps allowed. See, I still don't think he's
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: gonna do bad. But Sanchez might actually have the upper
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: hand here and the money is actually coming in towards
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia side. The Dodgers dropped from minus one thirty
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: five to minus one twenty five on the money line,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent sheuse sixty six percent of ticket sixty
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash, so the Dodgers are public here,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: public expecting him to get this done, and they really
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: do not want to have to go to a decisive
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: game five in Philadelphia. Man, I mean the Dodgers, I know,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: they won both games in Philly. Was looking like the
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: series was over, and then Philly got a monster win
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: last night. I think the final was like eight to
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: one or something, or maybe it was eight three. What
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: was it eight to two? I got it. Both of
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: those are wrong. Yeah, but the Dodgers obviously they do
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: not want to have to go to Philadelphia. Or Philadelphia
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: is a lot better. As far as the total, I mean,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: I think under in the first five innings somewhat makes
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: sense here at these two starting pitchers, they're both really good. Uh,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: seven and a half is the total in the full game,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: cash on the over, so the money kind of coming
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: in on the over, but the over is public. I
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: would lean towards an under, I mean, even the full game, maybe,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: even though I don't like the bullpends, but they're at
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: least rested here, So do with that information what you will, though.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: I actually the better way to play this is actually
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia money line here, believe it or not. I mean,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in that way. I think Sanchez
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: may very well actually be able to outpitch Glasno in
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: this one matchup. Numbers are a little bit better, but
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: it's it's slight, so I mean, I'm not gonna give
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: out a play on that. The under in the Liberty game, yeah,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: I didn't even see what happened in that game, but
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: that was my lean in that one. Yeah, I mean
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: didn't feel like it was strong. H Glasgow blew up
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: in the rain in Philly, so I don't I don't
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: even remember that. But it's not raining in La here, right,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: I would imagine it's not Priester. Yeah, Priester, he's I mean,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: he's not as good as his numbers look basically, which yeah,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I've been saying that for a while. But
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: I was trying to find like spots to actually like
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: fade him though, because I didn't necessarily want to fade
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: him either. But in that spot last night, I did,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: and he did not do well, obviously, but the Milwaukee
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: bullpen actually did pitch really well in the game and
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: we almost didn't get it. But Cubs had to lead
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: the whole game and they held on to it. And
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: speaking of that series, we have no idea who the
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers are, so it's very difficult to handicap this one.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and the Cubs, they both use a decent amount
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: of their bullpens. They're both pretty good bullpens. But we
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: saw a lot of useage yesterday. I have four relievers
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: from Milwaukee, Cubs use five, so the bullpen's not exactly
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: totally intact here. Cubs had to use some of their
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: higher leverage arms to finish the game off yesterday in
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: a close game. Milwaukee is up to one in the
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: series here. Yeah, I mean, I don't know if we
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: can even guess who the starting pitchers are gonna be
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: in this one, man, I mean, I don't know. I
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: don't know if I want to even speculate, because I
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: don't want to really handicap something that's not gonna happen.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: So it's gonna be difficult to figure this out. I mean,
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know if both teams are looking at it,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: maybe even going bullpend game here. It looks like the
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Cubs their next starter up would be Colin Ray, but
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: he's been coming out of the bullpen so very well.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe a bullpen game for the Cubs, or they'll go
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: all the way back to Matthew Boyd In this one.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: Kate Horton is out and they kind of need him
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: in this rotation man, even though he's a rookie. I
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: think he was so good this season. Not having him
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: as bad. Milwaukee also suffering with their starting pitcher rotation
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: here as well. They don't have Brandon wood Drift and
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: they kind of need him back. I don't even remember
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: them using Quintana at all. Maybe he's come out of
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: the bullpen. When does he pitches? He pitching today? He
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: did pitch. Oh, he pitched yesterday in relief. I guess
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: he came in to pitch three innings. So he's not
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: likely to get the nod here. So what the fuck
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: is Milwaukee gonna do? Are they gonna go all the
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: way back to Freddy Peralter? Are they gonna go with
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: a bullpen? Game two doesn't look good, So by the
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: looks of it, just I might take a shot on
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: the over in that game as it stands right now,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: just having no idea what the pitching is gonna look
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: like in that game, and it doesn't look that good,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: so over might make sense there. The total did go
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: up from a very low six and a half juice
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: to the under all the way up to seven juice
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: to the over. If you want the over, it's best
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: to get it over seven, so you don't have to
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: go over to the seven with the hook. But yeah,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: I think the over might make sense there. And that
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: is baseball. Man, we'll go to hockey. I'm gonna have
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: a bunch of hockey plays here. I'm gonna talk about
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: some of the games real quick, just to kind of
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: hit some of these. Chicago and Boston, both teams played already.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: In Chicago came within one of Who the hell were
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: they playing Florida, the returning champs Florida. Chicago went on
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: the road to Florida two days ago and only lost
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: three to two, although if you look at the game statistically,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: Florida dominated the game, but on the scoreboard it was close.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: So Chicago is coming off a close game against the
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: defending champs, so that was a big game for them.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: But the Bruins, My Bruins got to win last night.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I told you I did kind of like the underdog there.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: I think I kind of lead to every underdog and
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: three of the four to one last night. Two and shootouts.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: I think I think that those were kind of my
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: leans and maybe not La because La was on a
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: back to back. I don't I don't remember, but yeah,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Chicago had that big game two days ago. The Bruins
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: are on a back to back. They got the win
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: against Washington yesterday. Swayman was indeed good in the game yesterday,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Bruins with a three to one win. Bruins coming back
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: home a back to back here, so they don't have
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: any rest here. So I just don't like the spot
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: for either team in this one. And this is not
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: a play for me. Boston up for minus one forty
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixty two. I've got my Bruins hat
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: on here, trying to give them good vibes. I mean,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: they were projected to be the last place team in
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: their entire division. I think that that's going way too far.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be the last place team.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in the mix to trying
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. I mean, based on what their
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: talent level is. I just think we're totally overlooking them
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: after how bad they were last season, after everything just
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: kind of fell apart Bruins getting a you know, a
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: decent favorite price here on this one, although we know
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: Chicago's is still not that great. Sixty three percent of
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety two percent of the cash coming in on Boston,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on Boston. I don't
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: think I would want to do it, though. We don't
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: know what the goalie matchup is gonna be here either.
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: It looks like it's gonna be swimming again here, so
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's really gonna be the case
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: or not against sod or Bloom. I guess is the
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: projected matchup at least, but it's unconfirmed right now, so
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the Bruins are gonna go swim in.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, he is a grinder, so are they really
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: gonna use him two nights in a row. They might.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: We will see Rangers at Buffalo. I actually do like
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in this one. My hesitation on this is
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: that it's Buffalo's home opener. It's their first game, so
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: that could be good and it could be bad. I mean,
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: with their home opener, you know the team's gonna get
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: up for it. But I think the Rangers are being
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: undervalued here just because they've looked like ass like they
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: missed the playoffs last year, and I think they were
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: a lot better than that. They got shut out three
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: to nothing in this game against phil against Pittsburgh. Excuse me,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: So the Rangers have already played this year, but that
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: gives them a game under their belt. So that's the
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: one thing I think that sometimes is an advantage when
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: you've already played. And they played, I believe, two days ago,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: so they have a little bit of rest here. You know,
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: they're only traveling to Buffalo, which isn't much of a
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: travel spot here. Rangers probably the better team, and the
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Rangers were a huge favorite against Pittsburgh, so I think
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: the fact they lost that game it's gonna anger them.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: And this game was closer than the final score. Look, man, yeah,
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh did outshoot them a bit. Pittsburgh out face off them.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Rangers were the more physical team in the game though,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: with the hits. But it was a misleading final because
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: it was a one nothing game until very late in
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: the game. Pittsburgh actually scored two empty net goals, so
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: it was not really a three to nothing game. So
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: you got to look at those empty netters. Man that
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: skew what the final score looked like. You know, I'm
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: kind of tempting on this one. You want men to
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: give a four four hockey players, this is the one
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: that's like, it's the one that I have left off
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: my card right now, and I kind of want to
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: do it. I just don't necessarily want to go against
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Buffalo in their home opener. We'll skip it. But I
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: like the Rangers here. I think you're gonna a really
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: cheap price on them. They're down for my just one
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: fifteen to minus one ten. I think there's still clearly
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: the better team here. It looks like you're gonna get
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: just Sterk and again for the Rangers here, I mean,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: he is an elite goalie still in my opinion, So
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna have the goalie edge with with
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: the Rangers if you do play the Rangers here. They
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: got fifty two tickets ninety six percent of the cash
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: on this one. Uh So I do like the Rangers.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: I just don't necessarily want to go against a team
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: in their home opener. Man, that's just kind of my
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: my one hesitation with it. You know, Buffalo is gonna
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: get up for that game because it is still the Rangers.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: So it is a big game for Buffalo. Jaymin, what's up.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Good to see you again, Thanks for hanging out. Rangers
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: in You want them in regulation? I mean I don't
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: know what the price is fine on the on the
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: full game, right, Like I want to go regulation in regulation,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: you'll uh, you'll have to pay more of a price
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: for it, right, or no, you pay less of a price.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: It's cheaper. Right, you'll get an underdog price if you
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: want to go well with them regulation. But I don't
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: think it's too expensive. Just play them in the full game. Though.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: You want me to go for it, I'm gonna skip it.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: But we'll be we'll be mad when the Rangers wind
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: up winning the game. Yeah, so that's one of my
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: stronger leans though. In hockey, Montreal just won last night
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: at or excuse they lost last night against Toronto. But
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: if you look at what happened in this game, this
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: is a big game. I mean, these two teams, they
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: show up against each other, they hate each other. I'll
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game. This game was
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: a lot closer than the final score. Look, Montreal was
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: winning early in the second period. It was tied going
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: into the third period, and then it was a one
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: goal game until late in the game. And you got
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: two empty nets in this one as well from Toronto
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: to make it a five to two final, and it
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: was definitely closer than that final. Look, Montreal actually outshot
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Toronto in the game of the Toronto completely outface off them,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: which I'm not really surprised by that, but they out
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: hit Montreal, which kind of surprises me because I usually
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: consider Toronto to be more of a finesse team, like
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: not as physical, but they get a lot of shots off.
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: But Toronto won that game kind of in misleading fashion.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: But it doesn't mean Montreal's on a back to back
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: here having to go to Detroit and it's Detroit's home opener.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: I think the crowd's going to be crazy. Detroit had
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: a down on year last year, but that's still a
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: hockey town. They're, you know, an Original six team. It's
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: a chance to hit the reset button. So yeah, I mean,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: even though Montreal had kind of a misleading result last night,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: I would play Detroit in this game. If I was
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game. Montreal is still no rest on
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the back to back, and it looks like Montreal is
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: actually not going with it's already confirmed, actually, because this
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: game is actually a noontime game. Is that right? We
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: have a lot of afternoon hockey today, Is that right? No,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: why does it say noon? This is all night I'm like, wait,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: what there's afternoon hockey? No, these are all night games.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the fuck. We're in the wrong
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: time zone here at this daily face off. Oh no,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: that was just when they confirmed. I'm my apologies. Wait
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: that makes no sense either, because it's not noon yet Eastern.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: What the fuck? I don't even know what's going on here,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: but Montreal, it's already confirmed. They're not gonna go with
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Montambon in this one. They're going with DoBeS. I don't
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: know how you pronounced his name. So they're going with
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: their backup goalie in this one. So Montreal could definitely
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: be at a goalie disadvantage in this game, although of
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: course when you do that, that means your backup goalie
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: is going to be rested, but obviously he's usually not
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: as good, so that's kind of the trade off there.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: I usually like to go against the backup goalies, although
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: sometimes they'll go against an unrested starting goalie as well,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: so those are kind of the tooth. I usually go
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: against backup goalies or unrested starting goalies. Not necessarily want
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: to jump on a arrested backup goalie, though it depends
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: who it is. But yeah, so I think it is
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: a downgrade for Montreal there. I would link to Detroit
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: in that one. We got a lot of other matchups here.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: A lot of these teams haven't played yet. Florida did play,
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: of course, they had their big banner raising ceremonies, so
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: I would probably look to go against Florida after that.
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: After they won that game, although it was a misleading result.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they dominated the game against Chicago and
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: only one three to two. They had a huge shot
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: edge in the game, I'm pretty sure, so all of
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: that kind of going on here Florida. Of course, you're
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: paying a huge price for them though. Up down for
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: my two underd to minus one ninety six seventy two
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on them.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: So even though it looks like the cash is kind
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: of coming into them, I don't really think so. Uh.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: I think there is probably a little bit of value
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: in fading them Philadelphia still kind of a proud hockey
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: city there. They're gonna step it up. I mean, they're
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for a game against Florida. I would
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: probably lead to the underdog and that one maybe grabbing
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: like a puck line or something like that, but I
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: don't want to actually do it. Obviously, Florida is still
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: the better team and coming off kind of a misleading result.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say about some
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: of these other games. Man. There are some other big matchups,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: but they're matchups between teams that both haven't played yet.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Like New Jersey and Carolina should be a good game.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Carolina is a decent sized favorite there. There's still the
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: better team the money coming in in New Jersey, though
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: New Jersey had a surprisingly good season last year. Though
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Carolina is still the better of the two teams, up
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: for minus one fifty five to minus one sixty four,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of tickets on them, sixty nine percent
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: of the cash in New Jersey. So I'm just pointing
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: that out. Minnesota Saint Louis. Saint Louis after they got Montgomery.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: After the Bruins got rid of him, he coached Saint
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: Louis to a playoff berth and they actually played pretty
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: well in the playoffs to Minnesota, also a playoff team
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: last year. So this is an interesting matchup. And I
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: actually think do these teams face each other in the playoffs?
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: Let me say this could be a revenge mode of here.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: I didn't actually really look at that, and I have
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: a revenge modive on my card. No, Saint Louis got
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: eliminated by Winnipeg, that's right, but they played Winnipeg pretty close.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I think they took him to seven games, so there's
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: no revenge modive here. But it's an interesting game. Nonetheless,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I think these teams are in the same division, if
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken too, so they it's a big game
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: for both teams. Man, the money looks like it's kind
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: of coming in a Minnesota. The Minnesota is also kind
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: of a public underdog. Sixty percent of ticket, seventy eight
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on them, Saint Louis up for minus
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: one oh six miles one twenty five on the money line,
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: So Saint Louis is getting some respect with that money
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: line price there. But it looks like some of the
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: money coming back and taking Minnesota. I mean, it is
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: possible that Saint Louis overperformed a little bit last year,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: though I thought Minnesota way overperformed last year too. I
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: thought Minnesota they were that team that had like this
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: really good record, and I'm like, they're not as good
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: as this record would tell you. So this is a
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: difficult handicap. Actually, I'm not sure which way I would
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: want to go there. Yeah, I mean, I don't know.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say about that. You
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: want the Rangers in regulation? I mean, you'll get a
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: better price if you do that minus two and a half.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: You want my Rangers minus two and a half? Wait,
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: oh Toronto regulation? Oh last night Toronto minus minus two
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: and a half in hockey is just insanity, dude, I
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: don't know why you would do that. Like teams are
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: rarely gonna like, they're rarely gonna win by that amount. Man,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: this is hockey. Buffalo wild wings. Yeah, do the blaze
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: and wings, you know, blow out your ass whatever, fail
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: to get all the the blaze and sauce off your hands,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: and then take a piss and numb your dick like
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: I did that time. Oh yeah, a talk at soever
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: you pronounced toche his first game with the Flyers. That's right.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: I forget what these different coaching scenarios are. Man Columbus
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: at Nashville. I'm just gonna point out because this is
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: an interesting uh read in this game in Nashville just
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: so underperformed last year, Man, but now the money's coming
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: in on Columbus, even though Columbus. I thought Columbus was
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: like just overperforming last year. They were one of those
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: teams that just didn't have good goals ending, but they
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: kept winning games somehow and almost made the playoffs. Seventy
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: on Columbus here, So Columbus getting some public tickets here,
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: and they're also getting the money. Nashville deaf for minus
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: one thirty seven minus one twenty so market reid looks
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: like it is on Columbus here, grabbing them as an underdog.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think some of it is based on
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: how bad Nashville was last year that I'm still not
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: sure now show is actually that bad. They still have
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: sorrows in net here. These teams haven't played yet, so
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be sorrows against Elvis for Columbus. I think
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Sorrows is still one of the better goalies in the league. Man.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: Uh So, I don't know, kind of weird Columbus getting
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of the money there, I'm gonna some of
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: the games I'm skipping here, I'm gonna give out plays,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna do that. In a second, Utah has
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: now changed from the Utah Hockey Club to the Utah Mammoth,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: so this is gonna be their first game as the Mammoth.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: It's not the worst name. I mean, it kind of
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: sounds badass in a way, the Mammoth. It also sounds
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: like fucking what's uh the dude's name, Eddie van Halen's
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: son or whatever the hell Wolfgang van Halen is at
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: his name, He's he's in a band called Mammoth. I'm
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: pretty sure they're actually pretty good. Uh but yeah, that
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: that's what it kind of reminds me of. I'm not
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: a van Halen fan, but Mammoth is actually pretty good.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Utah Mammoth. Who it used to be the
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Phoenix Coyotes or whatever, so they are still basically Phoenix
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: from a couple of years ago. They played decently in
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: their first season last year. They're going up against Colorado.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Though not easy to play at Colorado, Colorado is still good.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: Colorado already played and won pretty easily at LA, although
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: that might make them look too good here, but Colorado
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: does at least have a game under their belt. They
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: didn't play yesterday either, and this is their home opener.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Colorado up for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: seventy five. Don't see the percentages yet on this, but
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: let's say Colorado is getting some of the actual money
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: here it seems so keep that in mind there, and
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: then I will point out Vegas at San Jose. Here.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Vegas went into a shootout last night against LA. Huge
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: game both teams. Yeah, had a really really tough game, man,
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: This is a game that was just kind of back
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: and forth. LA had the lead a couple of times
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: early in the game. Vegas caught up, actually took the
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: lead five to three, and then blew it, giving up
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: a short haded goal, lost when they give him another goal,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: went into overtime, then they wound up losing a shootout.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Just a brutal loss for Vegas here, man, and now
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: they have to turn around, no time off and go
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: on the road here. It's a bad spot for them
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: man going to face San Jose. Al though San Jose
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: is terrible, so you're getting a good underdog price if
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: you want to get San Jose here. If you're looking
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: at the what we're looking at for the goalie matchup here,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: By the way, Minnesota Saint Louis's gust of sending itast Bennington,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: same goaltending matchup that we would have had last year.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are the starters from last year as well.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: They're both decent goalies, although they've had stretches where they
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: haven't been very good. This San Jose game, though, Vegas
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: going with their backup goalie here, Aiden Hill played last night.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: They're going with Schmid tonight against Askarov. Is gonna get
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: the You can ask around about him. The Sharks, I mean,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: they just have had bad goaltending man for a while.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know how good Askarov really is here. If
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: you're gonna play this game, I mean I lean to
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: San Jose for sure, but Vegas is definitely public ninety
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: coming in on them. It is a bad spot for Vegas,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: but they're up for minus one seventy five to minus
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: one ninety three. I don't really want to touch it,
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: but you could look to the San Jose puck line
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: in this one if you want to do it. I
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: think an over is worth a look in this game too,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: although it wasn't five and a half, but it was
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: heavily juice, so really it wasn't. It's kind of been
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: sitting at six, although it's crept up a little bit.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: But I just think San Jose. I mean, the one
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: concerned about the over is that is San Jose. They
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: haven't played yet, so like is their offense gonna be
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: like ready to go? But that's the one question. You're
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: getting a backup goalie for Vegas though, and San Jose's
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: goaltending just I don't think it's very good, So an
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: over might make sense in that one, but I think
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: still it's probably the better uh, the better look is
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: probably still the San Jose side in that one. Utah
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: has to win for Charlie Kirk. Well, I don't know.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I don't know. I mean, Utah is
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: where it happened, although he's not actually from Utah, right,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. Man, Let's go to my
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: actual plays here. We'll make it the best bet segment.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: That was the breakdown whatever, and then we got to
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: talk about football. This isn't gonna be that long of
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: a video. Hey, we're efficient today. My hockey is efficient.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: I'm just not talking about every single hockey game. It's
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: just impossible. But I'm gonna have three hockey plays. First.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: One up, We're gonna go with the Islanders on the
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: money line minus one thirty. I know this is a
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: road team, but we're not fading. So we are fading
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in their home opener. Yes, but Pittsburgh is coming
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: off a huge game, man, a game that I think
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: actually means more than this home opener. The Islanders just
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: seem to be kind of under the radar quite a bit, man.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: And there's a reason why the Islanders are favorite on
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: the road. Here, the Oswegers are telling you the Islanders
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: are the better of these two teams. We could have
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: gotten a better price, maybe earlier, but hockey money line
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty I think is still a decent shot
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: on this one. They're out from minus one fifteen to
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty. Fifty five percent of tickets coming in
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: a Pittsburgh's The public, they like the Pittsburgh name. They
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: like what they just saw out of Pittsburgh of the
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: cash though, saying now we're gonna go with the Islanders.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: There's a reason again why the Islanders are favored on
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: the road. They're the better team. Although I know Pittsburgh
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: has a game under the belt, so yes, they do
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: have momentum. Yes this is their home opener, but that
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: was a huge win over the Rangers. Man, whatever, you
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: beat the Rangers like that, it's a big win. And
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: they shut them out three to nothing, and they look
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: better than they actually were in that game. As I
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: pointed out, Pittsburgh had two empty net goals at the
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: end of that game, so that game was a lot closer.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: So Pittsburgh, I think it's being I don't want to
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: say they're necessarily being overvalued in the market because they're
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: a home underdog here, but there's a reason why they're
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: a home underdog. They look better than they actually are
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: right now. They're still not that good in my opinion,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: and the public has a different opinion of it. Pittsburgh's
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: kind of in this rebuild mode now where we're kind
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: of out of that. Like Crosby, you know, whatever, the
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: Crosby phase, Crosby, Malkin whatever. Like those guys. I don't
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: even know if they're both still there, but they're both
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: so old now Pittsburgh's gonna have to enter a new
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: era here man, and I think the Rangers are flying
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: under the radar. And what makes this better is that
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: for the range, excuse the Islanders. Hold on. For the Islanders,
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: we're getting their starting goaliecause this is their first game,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: so we're getting soakan For the Islanders. Pittsburgh's going with
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: their second string goalie silovs in net because they used
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: what's his face? They used Jerry Jari last night or
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: two nights ago, excuse me. So Pittsburgh is going with
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: their other goalie here. So I think we do have
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: a goaltending edge for the Islanders as well here. I
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: like it. I think the situation is good for it.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: I think we get the benefit of the goaltending matchup here.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: Islanders will be the first play there. Gibraltar fourteen parlay.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: What are we even talking about? Who the fuck is
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Gibraltar soccer? I don't know what we're talking about. I
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: don't do anything with soccer. How does Gibraltar even have
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: any sort of sports? Team, though they're fucking they're like
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: a rock like entering the Mediterranean. It's their territory owned
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: by England, I believe. I don't fucking know. I don't
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: know what's going on there, although they're at the southern
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: tip of Spain. Next up, we're gonna go with Winnipeg
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: minus one oh four. This one's probably easier to stomach
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: because Winnipeg was really good last year. They're playing Dallas,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: and this is basically the crux of this is they're
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: gonna remember what happened last year. Man Winnipeg had the
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: best record in the Western Conference last year, and I
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: pointed out Winnipeg, they were great in the regular season,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: but remember I pointed out, I thought they were gonna
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: fall short in the playoffs, just because that's just the
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: way that it goes from them. I thought they're being
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: overvalued a little bit. Dallas was a more complete team.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna disagree that. Maybe Dallas is still the
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: more complete team, but I think this is a huge
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: game for Winnipeg. It's their home opener, and it's revenge
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: for Dallas against Dallas because as we remember, Dallas eliminated
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg from the playoffs last year in the second round
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: of the playoffs. So Winnipeg they're gonna want to get
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: back at Dallas. Man, it's one of the only types
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: of revenge that matters. When you play the team the
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: end of your season last year, you're gonna go all out.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: And Winnipeg was really good at home last year. They
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: were really really difficult to beat at home last year,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: so I think we have a pretty big home advantage
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: show though. I know because Dallas played an entire series
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: against Winnipeg last year. Yes, Dallas is used to going
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: up there. The travel isn't as bad because I know
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: it's the first game of the season for both teams.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: But I think Winnipeg's really gonna show up for this one, man,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: and we're gonna get the starting goalie matchup that makes sense.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: In this one. It's gonna be hot and dur against
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Hello Book. I don't see where it is here, but
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: we know. I mean, these are both good goaltenders, but
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I still think Hellobook is the better of the two.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: I think he's still the best goalie in the league. Man.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: In Winnipeg, they did improve their offense last year, so
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: they're a bit more of a complete team than they
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: had been in the past, or they were more like
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: goaltending defense before. Now they're kind of good on both sides.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Dallas is too, but I think the revenge mode of
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: puts this over the top. We're gonna go with Winnipeg
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: their public, but money is kind of agreeing with it.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: They got ninety percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: the cash right now with these hockey reads, I mean,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: you got to kind of take the public percentage with
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit of grain of salt because even though, yeah,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: this is probably gonna be one of the bigger bet
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: hockey games because between two good teams, so it's gonna
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: have more focus than some of these other games, but
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: the ticket percentage, a lot of those tickets are professional bets.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: I mean with other plus you have other sports going on.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: You got NFL tonight, you got baseball playoffs, so hockey
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: kind of takes a back seat to those things still,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: even though I know the regular season just started, so
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: the hockey is less publicly bet than the other sports.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: So when you see ninety percent, it's not as crazy
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: as it would as it would be in like football
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: or something like you know, ninety percent of football. Oh shit,
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: that's a really public side. In hockey not quite as much.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Uh So you can find some plays where it looks
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: like you're on the public side, but it could still
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: be the correct side. I mean, I'm not saying the
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: public always wrong and like the NFL even but uh,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: I think it's better to Uh it's less good to
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: play a public team in like football, where the public
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: is just like all over it and there's just a
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: huge amount of bets on that game, whereas with hockey
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: there are fewer bets, so the percentage of tickets gets
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: skewed because a higher percentage all of those overall bets
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: are professional bets, if that makes sense. Dallas is up
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: for minus one oh six to minus one. Awight, you're
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: getting a pretty cheap price on Winnipeg here. You're getting
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: them as a basically a home underdog here against the
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: at home. Yeah, we'll go with Winnipeg in this one.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: I like it. It was soccer. Yeah, I don't do
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: anything with soccer. There's I know, there's value to be happy.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: There's just so much to pay attention to. And I
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: know you said we're hot in hockey, but uh, I'm
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: not gonna force anything in hockey. And we got one
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: win last night. We're only we're one and oh so
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think that qualifies as hot. And the final
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: play of the day is gonna be a split bet
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: on the Vancouver Can minus one and a half on
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: the puck line at plus one thirty and the money
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: line minus two hundred. And when you have a split
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: like this, you want to basically you want to make
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: your own minus one puck line on this. I talk
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: about doing this in baseball, though baseball is so close
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: that I usually just kind of split it evenly between
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: the two. But there's this calculator here where I used
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: to use a different site, but this one by johnny
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Ma who I don't know. He's probably some Asian dude,
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: some nerd. You can input all the data you want here.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: You can put the amount in that you want to
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: either win or risk. I do it my standard bet
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: sizes to win three hundred dollars, and then you put
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: in I select American odds on this, and then you
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: can put in the minus two hundred of the money line,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: the plus one thirty on the run line. It tells
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: you how to make the exact minus what amounts you
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: want to put on each half of the wage or
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: each part of the wage, or to make it an
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: exact minus one puck line. Where this is for baseball
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: run lines, but it's the same for puck lines. So
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: you can see here the amount to win on the
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: money line is gonna be exactly the same as the
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: amount to risk on the money line, and that of
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: course makes it exactly the minus one puck line in
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: this case, where if Vancouver wins by exactly one, it
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: means the BET's gonna push because it means you lost.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: You won this money line bet, which have you put
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: more money on? You won that one thirty forty four,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: but you lost the one thirty forty four on the
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half, right, So it winds up
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: being a push in that case. So this is the
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: way that I would do it. You basically wind up
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: laying They show you what the implied odds are on
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: the minus one lie that you just created. You might
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: be able to find an actual minus one puck line
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: at some of these books now too. They do it
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: like DraftKings does it with baseball with the run lines.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: But I still think you get better value maybe if
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: you do it this way, because you can find like
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: better odds at different books for each part of the bets,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: you can maybe find better odds that way. The implied
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: minus one odds on this is at minus one thirty,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: which definitely knocks the price way down. So that's what
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do here. I like Vancouver in this game.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: We don't see any of the percentages yet, but they
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: did go up from minus one eighty five to minus
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: two hundred. Were faded Calgary. Man, we were just on
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: Calgary last night. We know what they did. They had
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: a huge win against the Edmonton Oilers in a shootout.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a huge game for the Flames. Man,
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: it's their in province rival there and with the Oilers,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: Flames have taken the back seat to the Oilers for
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: a long time now in Alberta giant when the Flames
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: like seem to always get up when they play the Oilers, man,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: and they did. They were losing three to nothing in
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: that game last night. I only saw when it was
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: two to nothing and I was like, I don't even
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: want to look. And then they came all the way
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: back and they tied it early in the third period,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: sent it into overtime and wanted to shoot out. Just
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: a huge win. Man. In Calgary, they kind of got
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: out played in the game. Man. They were the more
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: physical team though, and yes they won the they did
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: win the faceoff battle, but they got outshot in the game,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: which when you're a team that was down three to
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: nothing at one point in the game, the fact that
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: you got out shot is not that good because when
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: you're down three to nothing, you're firing shots at that
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: point basically to try to catch up. So that's not
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: great that Edmonton out shot them thirty five to twenty two.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: So the game wasn't maybe as good as it looked
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: for the Flames, although they were the more physical team.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: They might be the more physical team here too against
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: the Canucks. The Flames also had some discipline problems here,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: as they had eighteen penalty minutes to Edmonton's eight. So
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: not all is good for the Flames. But now they're
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: on a back to back and they got to play
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game here, two road games in
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: two days. That's a bad spot. Man, coming off such
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: a grueling game and massive win, and this is gonna
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: be Vancouver's home opener, and they're just sitting there in wait,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: and Vancouver is the better team. I know Vancouver beat
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Calgary twice in preseason, but who the fuck cares about preseason.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Vancouver did dominate them though, But we're also gonna get
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: a second string goalie for Calgary, which I guess Calgary
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: doesn't have Vlooda anywhere. They're going with Devin Cool although
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: it's unconfirmed right now, it seems likely it's gonna be
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: him with Wolf having played last night, So I don't
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: like the goaltending setup for the Flames here either. Man.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: You're either gonna get a completely unrested Wolf coming into this,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: or you're gonna get the backup goalie Cooley year going
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: up against Vancouver's starter, which is Demco. So I think
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get a goaltending edge here with Vancouver as well.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: There's a reason why Vancouver is priced the way that
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: they are here. They're the better team. Vancouver was a
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of an undervalue team last year. I'm no
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: real fan of Vancouver. I mean, my Bruins were able
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: to win that really pretty grueling, physical Stanley Cup Final
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: back when I was in the hospital with a stroke
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: back in twenty eleven, so that it made the Bruins
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: versus Vancouver become like this much much bigger rival. And
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Vancouver was a cheap team in that series. Man, that
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: Bruins just physically punished them. And that's what you want, man,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: as a Bruins fan, you want that physical punch style
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: that the Bruins usually have played throughout their past. That
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: was a great series. That was what the Bruins did
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: in that series. But anyway, Vancouver, I do think they're
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: better than what they looked last year. I think they
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: still made the playoffs last year. To him, I'm not mistaken, right,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: I forget, but they're a better team than Calgary. They're
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: better than they kind of looked last year. It's a
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: good spot to play them. It's a bad spot for Calgary.
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: So go with Vancouver. Don't bet against Wolf. I mean,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know that Wolf is really that good, but
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I liked how it's set up for Calgary last night.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of Edmonton's goaltending, as you know.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: And Edmonton, I mean they blew a three nothing lead.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: You see Edmonton blow leads like that a lot. Man
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: with Skinner, I just don't think he's that good. Let's
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: go to football here. It's not gonna be a terribly
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: long video, the longer than one I've done the last
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: couple of days because there's a lot of sports here
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: to deal with Thursday, lots of hockey here, but we
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: got lots of bad conference college football. I'm not gonna
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: have any plays on these college football games. Man. These
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: are ugly, ugly fucking games. Some are in the Conference USA,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: some are in the American Louisiana Tech at Kenisas State real,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: some real epic matchups here, man. The Louisiana Tech is
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: actually pretty good. They've been pretty solid this year. I
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: believe they're four and one, yeah, and two and zero
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: in the Conference USA so far. Kanisa's playing a lot
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: better than they did last year. Man, So KNISA they're
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: on their way up. I mean, they were new to
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: FBS the last couple of years, or maybe just last year.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: They had a really bad season last year. But they're
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: definitely playing more competitively this year. Although LA Tech I
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: think it has played the more difficult schedule. They did
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: play at LSU, which was actually one of my plays
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: back in one of the early weeks. It was a
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: bad spot for LSU, and LA Tech played pretty well
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: in that game. They beat New Mexico State, who's been
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: decent in this conference. They beat Southern miss who's also
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: been pretty decent, So they have a couple of decent
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: games here. LA Tech does, but they are playing a
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: second straight road game, which is not necessarily the easiest
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: thing to do. These teams, I think both played last Saturday,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: so some of these teams are gonna have different rest
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: scenarios than other teams somewhat. Yeah, but Kennesaw, I mean,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: their wins are all really unimpressive, man. I mean, yes,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: I know they faced They did play pretty well against
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest, so against an ACC team, although one of
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: the bottom ACC teams. Although Wakes looking more competitive than
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: we expected, they got blown out by Indiana, so they
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: did play the best, probably the best team that either
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: of these teams faced. Well maybe not sorry to LSU fans,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, man, Indiana might be better than LSU.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know. So both of these teams did play
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: one really good team. But Knasaw's wins are very unimpressive. Man.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: They beat Merrimack FCS team there Arkansas State. I had
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Kennisa in that game. Arkansas State isn't very good and
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: they were in a really bad spot there, and then
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Kanasaw beat Middle Tennessee. I mean they're a really bad
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: team as well, which I think they looked pretty bad
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: last night too, right, Yeah, they lost to Missouri State
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Justin's team there only by two though, but Kanisaw their
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: resumes less impressive here. They are staying at home though.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be their fourth home game in a row,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: so the travel spot is worse for Louisiana Tech. But
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in on Louisiana Tech after they drop
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to five and a half.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Fifty five percent of tickets on Kennesaw but fifty two
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on La Tech La Tech, the resume
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: is more impressive. Like I said, they're the better team.
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you they're the better team. If
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I would probably still go
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: with that and agree with the market here. I think, yeah,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: they're the better team. They're gonna be more used to
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: playing on a Thursday night schedule like this, which I
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: don't think Kennesaw has done yet. So even though it's
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: a big game for them though it's on espn U.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is gonna be one of the first
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: times that Kennesaw gets to host one of these. I
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: don't know, maybe they did it last year and I
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: don't remember. But Kennisa is a little bit less used
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: to this, so that can kind of go both ways
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: where they can get really up for the game because
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: they don't usually get this like national TV billing like
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: this on an isolated game like this, but they're also
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: kind of not used to the scheduling shit. So I
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: don't know, slang lean to l Tech because they are
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: the better team. Better resume, although second straight road game
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit difficult there. That's at seven o'clock PM Eastern.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: We'll go in chronological order here and even though the
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: last game on the board is next, but it is
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: East Carolina and Tulane in an American Conference matchup here
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: Twulane six and a half point favorite. They've dropped a
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: little bit fifty two percent tickets on them, but the
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: money is coming in taking the points with East Carolina
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash on East Carolina. Again,
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: like I said, I don't have a good gauge on
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: any of these games. This game is actually on ESPN.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: East Carolina three and two so far, one to zero
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: in conference. The most difficult game was they hosted BYU
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: and they were pretty non competitive in that game. Although
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: I think East Carolina did have some turnovers in that game.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: I believe that made it look worse than it was.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: It was a difficult spot for BYU and East Carolina
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: didn't do that well. Yeah, they actually played pretty close statistically,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: but yeah, they're minus two in turnovers. So East Carolina
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: did actually play better in that game than it looked.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: They were able to be army even though Army was
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: gonna throw the triple option at them. So there was that.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: They played North Carolina State close in their first game too,
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: which I don't want to remember because I laid the
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: points with NC State in that one going with the
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: revenge for the Bowl angle and NC State had a
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: chance to cover that one too, so I was kind
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: of pissed about it. East Carolina played them pretty decent,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: pretty close, So East Carolina they haven't played too badly
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: this year. I'm looking at Tulane and actually I want
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: to see what the rest scenarios. I looked at all
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: this earlier, but I want to just double check. So
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: East Carolina played I guess two thursdays ago, is that right?
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: So they've had basically two weeks off. Tulane played on
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: this on that Saturday, so East Carolina has a couple
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: of extra days rest, but both teams have more than
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: a week rest here, so at that point, I don't
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: know if the rest matters that much. Tulane coming in
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: off that win over Tulsa's I mentioned that it was
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Tulsa coming off that big win
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: I think over Oklahoma State, I believe, so it was
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Tulsa. Tulane they did play Northwestern
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Duke and Old Miss, and they got blasted by Old Miss.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: So they've played some okay teams and some of the
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: better conferences, so their resume isn't unimpressive. Really. They've had
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: to play three road games so far too, and they've
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: won two of the three, so that's not unimpressive for
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: East Carolina. Though. We're gonna look at basically treat what
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: they did like a bye though, So they went into
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: the bye on a good note against Armies, so I
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: do talk about that too. When you come out of
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the bye that you went into on a good note.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: You don't have a whole lot to fix, So I
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: do think that's a little bit of a detriment to
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: East Carolina actually having that extra rest. I don't think
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: it's as helpful. But it's a big ESPN game on Thursday.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: It's a conference game, so I think both teams will
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: show up for this, and you're not gonna overlook Tulane,
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: who's sitting at four and one, and I want to
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: know in conference right now. So I think that's part
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: of the reason why the money coming in East Carolina.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't have a good gauge on that one
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: cal plus one and a half against Duke. You mean
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: I had. I did not have a good gauge on
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: that game at all. There were handicappers on both sides
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: of that game that I listened to. My initial instinct
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: on that game was Duke, and then as the money
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: kind of shifted, I kind of was like, and I
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: kind of lean the other way. And it was still
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot for Duke to go out there, but
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: it was kind of like scheduling spots seemed bad for
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: Duke having to go out to Cal. But I thought
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: that like looking at what the team's records were. I
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: thought that duke made more sense, like based on what
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: the number was versus what the records looked like like
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: the kind of the market red kind of looked more
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: like it was a duke game, So I don't know.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State at Sam Houston back to the Conference USA
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: here at on CBS Sports at eight pm. Jacksonville State
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: probably not as good as they were last year. I mean,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: they lost a rich rod over to a West Virginia.
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: They played decently though they played UCF competitive and competitively.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: In the first game, UCF was like a twenty point favorite.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Although UCF doesn't look that good right now. Jacksonville State
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: played them close, but that performance doesn't look as good now.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: They beat Liberty at home, which is starting to not
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: look that good as Liberty hasn't looked good, although I
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: think Liberty did win last night all right in that ugly,
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: low scoring game, yet nineteen to eight just disgusting. Man.
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: I thought they were gonna lose that game, Liberty, but
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: my lead to the under was correct. Jacksonville State lost
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: to Georgia Southern, which is not a very impressive loss.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: They beat an FCS Murray State team and then they
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: lost to Southern Miss last week. Southern Miss is a
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: pretty good team though they're again they're Marshall from last
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: year basically, so this is gonna be a third road
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: game in four weeks Man and second straight road game
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: for Jacksonville State. So it's a little bit difficult going
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: to sam Houston, which is not as familiar an environment
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: because Sam Houston. Both these teams are pretty new actually
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: to FBS, so they're kind of like they're not as
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: as used to playing on some of these venues here.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State played last Saturday, so they have like the
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: typical amount of time off here sam Houston sitting at
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: OWN five though by the way Sam Houston, sam Houston's
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: only had a week off, so they actually played last Thursday.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: But what that does mean is that sam Houston is
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: used to playing on the Thursday schedule now, so even
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: though they have less rest, that actually might help them
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: and Sam Houston they've had a difficult schedule. Man, they
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: made a Bowl last year. I know they're not as
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: good as they looked last year, but I also don't
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: think they're as bad as they've looked this year. They're
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: OWN five, but They've had four road games against Western Kentucky,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: their home loss with c UNLV, who was over performing
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, but still, then they had to go
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: out to Hawaii, which they're not used to doing. That
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: is not an easy travel spot. They had to go
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: then to Texas, which Texas is still good man, we'll
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: talk about them for Saturday. And then they had to
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: go on the road again to New Mexico State, who's
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: not that bad either. I've been a grueling schedule, brutal schedule,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: and now they're finally back at home for the first time.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Sits August. So Sam Houston, yeah, I mean they've had
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: a really difficult schedule, so their own five record is
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit misleading. And again Jacksonville State, I mean,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: the resume is not really as impressive. Sam Houston's face
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: some more difficult schedule. So I think that's why the
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on Sam Houston. And I don't disagree
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: with that. Jacksonville State's down for May and to half
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: to seven here. If you want Sam Houston, I think
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: you got to take at least the seven there. I
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: would not want to let that go below. That's touchdown there,
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: getting a touchdown at home looks fairly enticing. Sixty one
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets surprisingly on Sam Houston, but sixty
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash also, so the money seems
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: to be coming in on that side as well. I
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: agree with that. I think that's actually probably the strongest
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: leaning out of all of these games. I know, I
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: said Sam Houston last time as well, and they did
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: not get the job done at all, But I think
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: it sets up better. Even though Jacksonville State does have
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the extra rest here and they are coming off a loss,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: but it isn't more difficult spot for them having to
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: play another road game here unfamiliar environment. Sam Houston finally
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of points here at home. Yeah, I mean,
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: even though Sam Houston they're not like last last year,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: I think you wanted to play them more as an
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: underdog last year because they ran the ball a lot more,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: but this year they're throwing the ball more. So kind
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: of remains to be seen, but yeah, I mean that's
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: the way I've been leaning there. And then Southern Miss
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Southern also at eight pm on ESPN two,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: So all these games are gonna be being played simultaneously,
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: all on different networks. Southern Miss not a bad team.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: They're sitting at three and two. They lost to Mississippi State,
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: so obviously you can give them a pass for that,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: and then they lost their only road game at LA
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: Tech and LA Tech is pretty good as well. Southern
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: Miss good game last time out, as I pointed out,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: they beat Jacksonville State, which was really maybe their best
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: wins so far, though their wins are not impressive so far.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: They beat Jackson State, who is an FCS team, which
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: is formerly where Dean Sanders coached, and then they beat
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: app Stage, who looks kind of down this year still,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: so that win doesn't look as good a though Southern
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Miss is still not a bad team. Like I said,
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: they're marshall from last year. They're going out on the
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: road though, and they haven't done well on the road
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: so far. That one road game that they have is
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: a loss. Like I said, at LA Tackle, the LA
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Tech is definitely better than Georgia Southern Southern missil on
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: kind of the normal schedule. They played last Saturday. Georgia
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Southern only two and three, and they've played a couple
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: of difficult teams. Fresno actually looks better than we expected,
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: and they played USC lost both those games on the road,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: no shame in that, and they lost another road game
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: to James Madison, who's also pretty good. Georgia Southern also
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: beat Jacksonville State, So both these teams I believe beat
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State, so kind of a wash there. People will
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: just see that both teams beat that team whatever, and
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: that Georgia State the only other wins against Maine and
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: FCS teams, So less impressive resume for Georgia Southern than
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: for US Southern Miss year. Georgia Southern. Yeah, they are
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: at home. They are coming off kind of a blowout
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: loss there to a pretty good James Madison team. They're
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: on the same schedule having played last Saturday. Difficult read
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: on this onean, the money's kind of coming into Southern Miss.
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: They are road favor here for a reason. They are
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: the better team. They're up from two and a half
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: to three, fifty nine percent tickets sixty three percent of
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: cash on them, So the money is coming in on
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: the Southern Miss side there, and it looks like the biggest,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: the strongest total read looks like it's on this game too,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: with a total dropping from a pretty high sixty and
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: a half down to fifty nine, with sixty eight percent
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over but fifty three percent of
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: cash on the under, so the money kind of coming
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: in on the under. I don't know if I would
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: want to deal with an under in a game. It
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: looks like both teams can kind of score here, but
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss is probably the right lean here with the
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: cash kind of coming in that way, they are the
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: better team with the more impressive resume. Don't have a
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: whole lot else to say about these games, but uh yeah,
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to lay the points with them,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: they're going up towards three and a half down, you'd
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: much rather lay the three obviously. I think the best
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: lean in college football is Sam Houston plus the points.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: But I don't want to get involved in any of
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: those games. Oh yeah, dirty sock, what's up? Man? Thanks
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. I didn't realize it was you until
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: you told me it was you last night. Man. Thanks
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: for hanging out again. I appreciate it all right. And
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: then we got NFL of course, to finish this off.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna give out a play in this NFL game.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: It's an interesting game. It's Eagles at the Giants tonight
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: on the Thursday night game. The Eagles up from seven
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: and a half to eight. Pretty substantial road favorite here,
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: and I don't know if it's justified. Seventy per tickets
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Eagles, so
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: the Eagles are public. The money's also coming towards the under,
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: by the way, So if you like the Giants plus
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: the points, that I think is correlated to an under,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: and the under might make sense here because the Eagles
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: offense is not actually as good as people might think.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: I know that the Super Bowl winners from last year,
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: they started out the season four and oh, but their
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: offense has some problems. Man, Their O line doesn't look good.
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts, as I pointed out, in that second half
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay, had zero completions. It looks like there
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: are some issues there with the Eagles. And they lost
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of their defense from last year too, although
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: that obviously wouldn't help an under here. But this has
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: been kind of a lackluster offense for the Eagles this year.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: Man hasn't been that impressive. They haven't been scoring that much,
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: so the under might make sense here. Uh, seventy percent
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: of ticket seventy percent of the cash on the over,
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: some money coming into the under, but it's already dropped
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: from forty three to forty and a half. Forty one
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: is a key number, one of the key numbers for totals,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: so I think forty one and forty two kind of
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: both are So I don't know, man, I mean I
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: would if you wanted under, I think you've kind of
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: missed the best numbers there to try to get. If
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: you see a forty one out there, maybe it's still
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: worth a little bit of a shot. But because the
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: money has come in towards the under, I think that
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: is indicative that the Giants are probably the right way
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: to lean as far as the side is concerned. Here.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: I don't want to make it a play. But the
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: Eagles did lose their first game of the season. It
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: was their first loss of the season to Denver, and
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: I talk about this when the team's rolling along and
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: then they take their first loss. And remember, the Eagles
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: haven't lost since who knows, like last year at some point,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: so they're not really used to losing. And when that happens,
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: sometimes you kind of get hung over into the next game, man.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: So sometimes it's not that good for you. You lose
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: that game, you have to go play another game right
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: away on short turnaround time. And then they do have
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: somewhat of I guess, kind of a bigger game maybe
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: up next against Minnesota. I think the Eagles might overlook
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: the Giants because the Eagles have dominated this series against
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: the Giants. The Giants want some sort of payback, man,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: after the Barkley trade. Barkley got his sort of payback
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: last year for the Giants getting rid of him, as
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: the Eagles won both games against the Giants last year.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, and Barkley had a great season last year.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: But Barkley hasn't been that good this year. Man, He's
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: been stoppable and the Giants. Even though the Giants run
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: defense wasn't very good last week, the Giants run defense
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: generally has actually been pretty solid. The Giants front seven
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: is act their biggest strength on that defense there, so
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: I think they might be able to slow down what
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: the Eagles are trying to do here. So the Eagles,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: you know, they're gonna try to run the ball, and
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: that kind of plays into the Giants' strength, I believe,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: So I think that might help slow the Eagles down
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: as well. It is a road game as well for
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: the Eagles on a Thursday, and sometimes it's more difficult
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: to play a road game. I mean, it is generally
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: more difficult to play on the road on Thursday. But
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: I think that doesn't matter as much because it is
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: a divisional game, so obviously these teams know each other,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be The short prep time doesn't hurt
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: the road team as much because they obviously go to
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: the Giants every year. It's short travel. They're just going
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: from Philly to New York, so it's not a big
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: deal really. But I think we're the short prep time
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: actually will be a disadvantage to the Eagles is the
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: fact that they have not seen this Jackson Dart offense yet. Man,
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: so the Eagles on short prep time, they might not
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: know what they're gonna have to prepare for because they
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: don't really know this Giants offense anymore. So usually these
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: divisional teams, they know each other, they know what to
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: prepare for. That's the case with the Giants. They know
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: what to prepare for what the Eagles are gonna throw
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: at them. The Eagles don't necessarily know what the Giants
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: are gonna do man, So I actually think that's an edge.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: I talked about that with the Sam Darnold Seattle Thursday
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: game or I thought that that was what kind of
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: put me over the edge as far as leaning to
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: Seattle there. And of course, by the way, these Thursday
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: night games, I haven't given out a play on any
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: of them yet. I don't think it. I've been correct
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: on every single one of them against the spread six
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: and oh or or five and oh or whatever. So
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: isn't that just great? But I'm not gonna give out
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: a play on this one either. But yes, I do
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: think that is a bit of an edge for the Giants,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: having this offense that's not as familiar to Philly. I
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: know the Giants looked bad last week, but I think
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: that gives us some value on the Giants, as people
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: were like, oh, the Giants are here now you know
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: Jackson Dart has arrived. Remember I gave out the Giants
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: in that game. I've been the Giants soothsayer so far really,
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: because well except week one, I was wrong against Washington. Yeah,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: but I did have the Giants against the Chargers. That
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: was a win for us on the show. Chargers were
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot. And then I had the Saints
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: last week and we got that one right as well,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: because I thought the Giants bad spot first road game
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: for Jackson Dart off that huge emotional win in his
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: first game, and then they had this game right after
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: this on a Thursday, much much bigger game and gets Philadelphia.
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: So I thought it was a very bad spot for
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: the Giants there sandwich spot. We got it right with
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: the Saints. Giants actually played better than maybe it looks
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: in the game. They had some turnover problems in the game.
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: The Giants were winning the game early in the game.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: They actually outgained New Orleans slightly, but they had five
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. Man, So that's why they lost
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: the game minus five and turnovers. So the Giants people
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: are gonna make fun of them for losing to the Saints.
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: But it was a bad spot. It was an unfocused spot.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: Dart had a couple of bad throws. He threw two picks,
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: although he had two early touchdowns in the game too.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: So I think Dart is gonna recollect himself. He's back
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: home where I think he's gonna be a little bit better.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, he has a win at home already. I
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna get excited for this. I think he
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: might have already been looking ahead to it. The five turnovers.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: You can clean that shit up, man. So I think
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: the Giants are gonna be a little bit better here.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: I think with the Giants, they're gonna try to pound
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: it on the ground. I know Scataboo wasn't very efficient
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: in those games. I think actually it wasn't the Saints
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: game where the Giants run defense is bad. I think
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: it was the Chargers gamer. It was actually not that good.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: But whatever. Yeah, I mean Skataboo, I mean, I don't
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: know how good he really is. He was very inefficient
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: in that game, I think against the Chargers, but he
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: may be able to do something here. The Giants are
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: gonna try to keep the ball on the ground. They're
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: gonna try to keep this game within reach against Philly.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: So I do think the under and the Giants both
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: makes sense in this game. I don't want to make
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: it a play, but I would lean to the Giants
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: getting all those points there. I expect a better performance
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: out of them this time. And yes, Dart, having not
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: had this short prep time before having a plan on
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: a Thursday a little bit difficult. But I think it's
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: more difficult for Philly to try to prep for what
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: the Giants are gonna do because they haven't seen it
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: before and they don't really know what it's gonna be.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: Whereas for Dart, he's just prepping for a system he already,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: so really he just has to adapt to the schedule
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: change there. So I think that's a little bit easier
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: to do. So that would be my lean. You're on Missouri.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: I gave out Missouri as a lean already. I said,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: if you want a Missouri, you gotta get it at
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: plus three air force against UNLV. Maybe UNLV is still
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: way over over valued. Man sab yeah six and oh
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: run very nice. And Florida, Yeah, I should have given
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: up Florida as a play. I agreed with Florida, but
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: I didn't give it out as a play. I don't
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: like Bama in that one. We'll talk about that more
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: for Saturday. But the power ratings guys are on Alabama
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think the spot is really bad
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: for Alabama and the odds makers. They know the public
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: is gonna come in in Alabama, so why is the
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: line like that They're not just gonna throw money away.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: Although it came out at four, I think if you
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: want Missouri, you got to get at least plus three
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: on that one. Although I kind of think Missouri is
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game outright, which seems crazy because I
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: know I agree with the power ratings guys that Alabama
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: is probably like a top three team in all of
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: college football, in Missouri is probably like barely a top
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: twenty five team. So I don't even disagree with that.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: I just think the spot is just really bad for
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: Alabama and good for Missouri. So but the oddsmakers are
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: I guess, not giving you too much value on Missouri.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: Then yeah, I mean the number does matter, but I
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: still think Missouri is the right side there, and hopefully
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: the three is still there. That's gonna do it for me.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: Though we have all hockey today, we are on the
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: Islanders money line the Winnipeg Jets. We're playing all the
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: Jets man. Hopefully the Winnipeg Jets will be better to
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: us than the New York Jets or two and two
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: for us so far, and we're gonna go Vancouver with
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: a make your own minus one puck line on this one.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: Split bet with as you saw, it was like about
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: two thirds of the player on the the money line,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: as far as putting the money on about one third
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: on the run on the puck line. There, I almost
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: said run line. Those are gonna be the place today.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, everybody, like subscribe here on YouTube.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: I should probably change the name of the show because
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: as Dirty Sock I think was the one who pointed
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: out our SEO is terrible, which I know, so I'd
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: have to get some new graphics and stuff. But I
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: think we got to change the name of it. I
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: got to come up with a new name for the
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: for the show Man to allow more people to find it.
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: We're on audio as well. The audio numbers have been
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: ticking up a little bit, although they're real low still,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: so it helps me out if you listen on audio,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Apple and Spotify reviews help over there as well. Tell
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: people about the show. We're hot right now, man. We've
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: been doing well the last couple of weeks, so we're
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: back to like basically the break even on the years.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: I know doesn't sound good, but when we were in
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: a huge hole basically after March because March was really bad.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: We had kind of a lull in baseball as well.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: Baseball playoffs have been go over four to one and
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: one in baseball playoffs want to zero in the NHL.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: So far, We've been pretty good in football so far,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: both college and pro. So hopefully it continues and covered
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: in yuke My Ukulele channel on YouTube and Patreon dot
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: com slash Learnda Toad. You get some bonus content there
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: and I think that's about it. And I will be
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: on a Tyler Yankee show tomorrow, reuniting with the former
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: Tower Game producer. I'm gonna be on his show Libertarian
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Podcast Review or whatever the hell he calls it now,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: some different name on it maybe now. I don't know
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: what we're even gonna talk about, but I will be
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: on his show tomorrow night, eight pm Eastern. I think
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it'll be a live show or not,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: but that will be a podcast appearance that's upcoming for me.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out everybody. I appreciate it. Jeffrey Sob,
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Dirty Sock, Jamine, all the regulars. Man. Thanks for having Ben.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: Thanks for coming back. Everybody definitely appreciate it. Keep coming back, man,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we get some wins. Hopefully the hockey goes well.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: Hockey has been good for me just generally over the
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: course of since I've been doing it. I've been doing
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: it for most of the time that I've been doing this,
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: and it's been good. It was good last year. Let's
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: keep it going. It's up to my second best sport
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: over the last like three or four years. So let's
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: keep it going. That's gonna do it. Man. Happy Thursday
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: and peace.