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NCAAF Week 2 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the bruins archhape? Is that what it is? I don't
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: even know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die at least
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five. The worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump series, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, Everyboddy, It's towed back with you. This is
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: better off dead. College football Week two, late night, degenerate hours, man, Curtis,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: what's up, man, Thanks for hanging out. It's late night.
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Let's get some more people in here. I usually get
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: more people in here for the football show right tomorrow night.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be the NFL Week one show late night.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I gave it a lean on the NFL
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: again tonight. I mean, it's all just ridiculous, man. Like
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: my fantasy matchup tonight. By the way, my opponent had
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey and I had Xavier Worthy, So isn't that awesome?
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: His player injured my player and they're on the same team.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: So I'm already dead in fantasy Week one because one
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: of my wide receivers got taken out like on literally
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: the first play of the game by his own teammate,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: who my fantasy opponent has. So yeah, that's just great.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: So which should have been. It was a week where
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: I was favored according to ESPN, and now I'm not
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: so zero out of a wide receiver spot, just a
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: complete hole there. There's no way that I can control
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: that hole. Hopefully you guys like my drip tonight. By
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: the way, Noah Kniga, man, let's go. I'm not gonna
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: be doing anything with his team though Eastern Michigan, they
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: do not look like a good team. We will do
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: some stuff related to the MAC though, but not not
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan. But welcome. Everybody got the three and oh days,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: including college football wins. So my college football after a
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: one and four start, I think is what it was,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: is now two and four. So we're moving in the
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: right direction. Let's keep it going. My plays this week,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I hate the board, though, I'm gonna warn you right now.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: I already warned people about this. I hate the college
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: football board this week. I don't like it at all.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: The plays that I'm gonna give out are plays that
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: are games that I just I mean, some of them
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: are huge lines. I just don't. I don't love what
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: I'm doing here. Man, It's just the situations kind of
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: lead me. I'm gonna give oout four plays. They're not
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: in particularly interesting games, but that's the way that it is.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: They're all sides. I mean, that's what I do in
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: college football. We'll get into it. I'll rehash what happened
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: tonight tomorrow morning. But we did have three wins. We
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: got the first five under was the first one that
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: came through and twins Royals. That one was a winner.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Got a little bit iffy. It was two to nothing
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Royals for a bit, I think, and then it was
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: two to one into the fifth inning, and I think
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: the Royals did have a guy on base and one
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: but maybe even in the fourth inning. Uh so it
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: looked like maybe the Royals had a chance to score
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: and push our bet, which obviously I would not have loved.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: But uh no, it hit, So we had that. We
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: hit that one. Northern Illinois College football came through. That
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: got a little bit scary towards the end of it,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: but it was I think it was a wire to
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: wire cover from them. I mean it was plus sixteen
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: and a half and Maryland only scored twenty points. So
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I'm Maryland not a good team man, not good, but
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. They were pretty much in that game. I
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: mean they were down ten nothing out of the gate,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: but then they clawed their way back in. They were
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: within four points. It was thirteen to nine in like
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: the third quarter. I was like, this is definitely gonna cover.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: And then Maryland scored a touchdown. I'm like, oh, that's
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: not good, because then it was twenty to nine. But
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: then that's what the final wound up being. So it
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: played out kind of the way that I thought. Just
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois played good enough defense, they ran the ball
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: a lot. That was pretty much the way that it went.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: So we hit on that one and the Texas Rangers
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: made everybody sweat. That looked like it was gonna be
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: a winner. Man. Texas. They fell behind one nothing really
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: early in the game. Then they had a three to
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: one lead in the eighth inning. So Houston didn't even
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: score other than the early run that they got. Texas
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: had the lead, and you get Texas's bullpen, really good
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: bullpend and they didn't play yesterday. It's a really rested,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: really good bullpend. Three to one lead, pitcher friendly park
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: in the eighth inning. It's like, yeah, that's no sweat,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: no Houston tied the game and then it went into
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: extra innings. We wound up getting a walk off win
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: with that one in the bottom of the bottom of
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: the twelfth inning. Man, so Texas, it still came through.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: And that was an action at bet where I was like,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really care who Houston is starting here because
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be Hunter Brown. So it wound up
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: being Colton Gordon. Is that who it was? I get
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: him confused with Cad Horton mcaid. Orton is on the Cubs.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: He's actually really good. Colton Gordon is not very good.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: I think it was him, and he actually I think
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: he pitched fine in the game. But still Texas did
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: outpitch Houston in the game for the majority of the game.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: So and the line shifted, by the way once Houston
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: announced that was their start of Texas. I think it
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: was minus one ten when the game went off, So
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: we beat the closing number on that too. JC. What's
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: up man, thanks for hanging out late night. This is
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: college football, man, So we're gonna dive in. I mean,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: we're gonna have the breakdown. We're going into college football.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: I mean I always talk about like the ranked matchups,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the top twenty five matchups, but the top twenty five teams.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: A lot of these teams are just playing extremely unaddressing games.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: So I think I kind of have to just start
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: skipping over a bunch of these games. I mean, I
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: will briefly talk about, Yeah, San Jose State against number
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: seven Texas. I think Texas, dude dropping from the number
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: one ranking to seven just because they lost by seven
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: points in a game they outgained Ohio State, and you're
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: gonna drop them from number one to number seven. This
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: is the thing, man, This is how as a better
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: you can like take advantage of things like this. Because
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: the rankings makers they don't know what the fuck they're doing.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: They overreact, the rankings makers, the public, they always overreact
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: to what happened. Especially this is week two in college football.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Match everybody only has one week of data, so everybody
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: overreacts to week one. So usually I'm gonna come in
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: and try to fade those overreactions. I think it's easier
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: to do in not the NFL, though. In Week two,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: like my plays I'm gonna give out here are more
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: or less just kind of situational plays that probably would
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: happen like there'd be situational plays kind of regardless of
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: the week though, so it's not really gonna be fading
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: overreactions for me. But I do think the Texas dropping
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: at number seven is just stupid. Like I think that
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: they are still probably a top few team in college
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: football right now. They have one of the best defenses.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: But I actually don't like Texas in the spot here,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: even though I was just complaining about them dropping in
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: the rankings. I think this is a spot where I
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: would take the points of San Jose stayed or not
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: play this game Texas again. They had a huge, huge
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: game to open their season, man against Ohio State. We
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: all know that it was a close game. I think
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: it was a tied game seven to seven pretty late
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: in the game. So they're coming off that huge game,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: whereas San Jose State they're coming off a completely embarrassing performance, man,
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: and maybe they were looking ahead to Texas. Although usually
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: you come out and play for your home opener, man,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: but San Jose State had a horrible game against Central Michigan.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: San Jose State was a I think they were like
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: an eighteen and a half point favorite in this game.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I don't see it here, but I'm trying to figure
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: it out. Where does ESPN put this shit now? I
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: don't know. They usually put the information about the betting somewhere.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it was an embarrassing loss for them. They
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: were a big favorite in this game. They lost the
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: game and as far as I think, they lost a
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: turnover battle pretty badly this game. Yeah, they actually outgained
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan and they lost a turnover battle three zero.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a game where San Jose State
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they were even looking ahead to this.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for this game, but
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: it's a huge spread, So we're gonna talk about some
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: other games with huge spreads, like I said, but this
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: one is kind of just a matter of like will
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: they be able to come within that number? I think
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: they can because we know Texas. They're not a great offense.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Uh so they're more they're more of a good defense.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: Their offense is kind of a work in progress, as
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: we saw with arch manning there. I think eventually they
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: will be pretty good. San Jose State doesn't play good
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: defense though, so that's a worry in this game. But
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: their offense is pretty good. I mean, they're pretty potent
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: offense over the last couple of years, and I don't
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: know how many of those guys they return, but that
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: is typically the case Texas in a game like this.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: This is week two of the season, Man, and style
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: points actually mean less in college football now because twelve
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: teams make the playoffs, So you just have to make
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: sure that you beat like your good opponents pretty much.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: So in games like this, there really isn't a reason
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: for like a team like Texas to run up the
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: score here, like they just kind of I think they
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: kind of just want to get in, get out, get
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: a win in their home opener. Yeah, they'll be excited
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: for their home opener, but I mean again, it's against
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: San Jose State. You probably want to go a bit
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: v on offense if your Texas just so you don't
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: show too much. So I think that it does line
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: up for San Jose State being the right side in
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: that game. If you want to take thirty six and
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: a half points or thirty seven with San Jose State,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: I do think that is the correct side in that game.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Texas eighty six percent of the tickets, only eighty percent
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: of the cash. I know. This is week two, Man,
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: you get all these big We're not into the the
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: weeks where you get all these big matchups. Yeah, man,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: we're getting a lot of matchups with teams facing cupcakes.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Good teams facing cupcakes. Charles, what's up man three? And
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: oh baby for t bone t bone? Yeah, Charles, that's right,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Hello to everybody. So yeah, I would lean to San
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Jose State and that one. Just I'm trying to talk
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: about some of these games quick, just games that I
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: have slight opinions on. As I kind of run through
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: this Illinois Duke, This is an interesting one, man. Illinois
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: is ranked eleventh in the country and they're only laying
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: two and a half points here. So this looks like
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: a track line to me. Man, it looks just way
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: too easy to take Illinois. This is not gonna be
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: one that I'm gonna give out as a play, just
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: because I don't really see a situation necessary to back
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: this thing up. Both teams that think are coming off
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: wins against like bullshit teams. I think in their opener,
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: let me see if this is one of the early
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: games on the schedule. This is gonna be ESPN at noon.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: It should be an interesting one. It could be a
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: good game. I mean Illinois, they're bolstering their program. They
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: have a very experienced quarterback. I forget his name, but
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: he is good. What the hell is the dude's name? Altmeyer? Yeah,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: they have him. He didn't even really have to do much.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: They beat Western Illinois last time, which is not an
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: FBS team, and Duke, I think beat an FCS teams. Yeah,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: Duke beat Elon, not Elon Musk, but Elon. I mean
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: they're in South Carolina, I think, so they kind of
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: get up for games against the Carolinas. But again, Duke,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is gonna be like their FBS season
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: home opener. I think it's gonna be a rowdy crowd
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: THEREOI isn't too familiar with playing at a stadium like this.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: And again I think this is mostly my handicap on
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: this is mostly that the oddsmakers they're not throwing away
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: money here. So why is number eleven ranked Illinois again?
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Why are they only two and a half point favorite?
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: And the line hasn't even moved basically, and they got
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on them, but sixty six
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Duke. So I leaned at
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Duke in this game. Illinois. I mean, I do worry
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: because Illinois does have a lot of attorney starters from
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: last year. They have some of the most returning production
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: in all of college football, so they are going to
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: have a good offense this year. And they finished last
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: season pretty well with a nice bowl win over South Carolina.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: Or I think Illinois just kind of cared about that
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: game a little bit more. They pulled off the upset
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: in that one. Duke not as good a team. I mean,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: they're not in a good conference, the ACC. I mean,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry to say, Duke. It's interesting because Duke does
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: have their quarterback as Darien Men's I think is his name.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: He was on Tulane, which it's hilarious because he gets
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: to play against Hulane next week, which is interesting. But
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be a look I had for Duke.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're facing Illinois. But mensa, he's a pretty
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: talented quarterback. He must be smart too, because his name
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: is Mensah. I don't know, I have bad jokes here, man, Mark,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Duke was tied with Elon at the half.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: That's that's good to know. Actually, So yeah, because Duke
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: was tied at the half. That's actually probably gonna motivate
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: them a little bit because so that was basically an
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: ugly game they played, your correct sir, They're actually only
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: up seven in the fourth quarter two at one point,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: So don't make me actually give out a play on Duke, man,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: although I do like it. I definitely like it. I
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: think I'm gonna oh man, I hesitate. I mean I
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: like it. It'll probably make my my pick them card.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: At least I'm in some money pick them pools. But yeah, Mark,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: that is a good point. So Duke really didn't play
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: a good game in that one, and yeah, they were
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: life and death basically for a while into the fourth
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: quarter there, So that is a good point. Like a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: game like that, when you play not too well against
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: a lesser opponent like that, you know you're gonna be
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: getting refocused throughout the week and the coach is gonna
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: be grilling you and stuff like that. So yeah, anyway,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: definitely a lean to Duke plus the points in that one,
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: and probably money line because if they cover that spread,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna win the game. So yeah, I do
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: I tend to think the Duke is gonna win that
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: game out right, Yes, sir Rangers with a dramatic extra
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: inning win. Elon's in North Carolina, all right, Oh yeah,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: so that's another reason. I mean they're gonna step it
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: up to play Duke just because it's a little brother
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: versus big brother situation. So North Carolina. So you're there
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: in North Carolina. You're in a liberal part of North Carolina.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: That sucks. Florida State, I mean, they pulled off a
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: big upset. As we know, they're ranked fourteenth. Wait is
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: that the next game I'm talking know yet? Is I'm
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: just gonna hit these briefly though, But yeah, Florida State,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: we know they pulled off the big upset over Alabama.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: That was a double digit upset. Now they get to
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: face East Texas A and M formerly Texas A and
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: M Commerce because not because they're a commerce university necessarily,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: but they actually are in Commerce, Texas. And for some
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: reason they changed their name to East Texas A and M.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know why. Maybe it's a
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: shout out to young Sheldon. If you watch that Big
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Bang Theory spin off, Sheldon went to some fake university,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: I think East Texas ACT or some shit. But Florida
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: State you gotta think they're in a letdown spot after that,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: But they just they don't really have a big game
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: up next to me, and they're playing Kent State, who is
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: just a horrific MAC team. So I don't know, Man,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: but Florida State, generally, I would say they're in a
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. So generally I would be leaning against Florida
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: State in this one. We don't even have a line
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: on that one yet because Texas A and m Commerce
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: they're not even an FBS team, So why am I
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: even talking about it? Really good game at noon as
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: well on Fox. By the way, the Syhawk Trophy is
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: what this rivalry is called, right, This is Iowa Iowa State,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: huge rivalry game. Men, this is an interesting one for sure.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Iowa States ranked sixteenth in the country and they're only
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite at home, So
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you these teams are almost even
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: as far as like the oddsmakers power ratings are concerned.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: You're basically getting Iowa State getting home field advantage and
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: nothing else basically in the number and the total is
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: very low. So this this game seems to play out
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: almost the same way every single time. Man, it's always
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: almost always very low scoring. Like it's basically if either
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: team scores twenty, they're gonna win the game. I think
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: last year it was a twenty to nineteen final with
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: Iowa State winning at Iowa. And the other interesting thing
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: is the road team has won this matchup the last
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: five times. So for some reason, the road team does
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: really well in this rivalry. And of course their fans
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: are going to travel. I mean, it's not a huge
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: travel right between Iowa City and Ames, Iowa, so you're
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: gonna get huge amounts of both teams fan bases. I mean,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: it's a big time rivalry in state rivalry, you know.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: I think the way to look in this game is
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus the points. Man, I mean Iowa State. They
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: have played an extra game. We know they had to
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: go to Dublin, so they had that big win over
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. I gave out a terrible play fading them,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: but I thought it was a great spot to fade them. Man,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: returning from Dublin facing an FCS team, and then they
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: had this huge rivalry game up next. Whatever. Man, But
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: what happened was after beating Kansas State, they won fifty
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: five to seven against South Dakota. So Iowa State they're
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: the ranked team, they're sixteenth. They look better than Iowa does.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: People tend to just overlook Iowa. Man. The public never
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: really likes Iowa because they play really solid defense and
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: they don't really have a good offense. And again that
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: is the big negative for Iowa is that they have
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: a new quarterback again. But Iowa they don't really rely
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: on quarterback play. As we know, they've been a solid
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: team with just horrendous quarterback play over the last few years.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: They got to improve that, man, But they run the ball,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: they have good fundamentals. They still have their coach there,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: Kirk Farrens, who's been there forever. Pretty sure he's still there.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: And they play really really sound defense. So that's the thing.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: So Iowa also has the better defense, and when you
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: have the better defense getting points that is almost always
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: worth considering. It's worth looking into that game, man, So
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: you do get all that. Yes, Iowa State does have
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: the more experienced quarterback with beck to there, so yes,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: they probably do have the better offense. They're in a
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: more offensive conference to some extent than Iowa is. I mean,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Big twelve. Basically, they're all offense. And no defense is
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: what I should say. But that's the other reason why
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: I like Iowa here those because Iowa State, again, they're
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: in kind of more of a finesse conference in the
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve, so facing a really physical defense like Iowa
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: they don't do that that often and that is probably
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: gonna hold Iowa State's offense and check. So Iowa State
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: laying points like this, I think it's almost always the
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: case that the underdog wise up covering. I mean, like
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: I said, the road team is one of the line
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: five matchups in this but and they're gonna be the underdog.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: But like in a game that's gonna be solow scoring,
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: I think the taking the points is the way to
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: look in this game as well. Iowa State did move
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: up a little bit on the line from three to
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: three and a half. They got sixty six percent tickets
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: only fifty the cash. Both teams are gonna show up, obviously,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: it's a huge rivalry for both teams. It should be
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a good game if you like defensive games, because I
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: think that's what it's gonna be. But I lean to
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus the points. I think that's a decent way
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: to look in that game. Baylor and SMU. This is
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent game that's gonna be on the CW baby,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: the network that carries a Buffy the Vampire Slayer or
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: some shit and whatever else they carry on that on
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: network there. But they get some football. They got Texas football,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: Eastern Texas football, I think, right because SMU, I forget where.
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: SMU is in Dallas, in the Dallas area and Baylor
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: is in Waco. Yeah, so this is a big rivalry,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: its big Texas rivalry, SMU. Even though they're ranked seventeenth,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Baylor's unranked. I think SMU kind of considers themselves to
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: be the little brother in this matchup all the time,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: even though SMU has been the somewhat better team recently.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: But maybe it'll be different this time out. Man, Baylor
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: might actually have something to say about that, because Baylor,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: I think they do know they're gonna be looking at this.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Well wait a minute, SMU is still ranked. SMU was
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs last year, so Baylor might have something
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: to say about that, might have a little bit of
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: a chip on their shoulder. Baylor did not play well
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: in their first game. They lost to Auburn. Although it
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: was a big game you're playing SEC team, you're always
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for that. So coming off that game,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: does that mean they're gonna be hungover? I'm not really sure.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I think Baylor will show up in this game. Both
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: teams will. It's a big Texas rivalry. Baylor's gonna want
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: to get their first win at the very least Baylor.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: As I said when I handicapped the Auburn game, they
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: did return their starting quarterback. He's pretty solid, So Baylor
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: they should have a pretty solid team this year. I
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: think a pretty solid offense as well. With I forget
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: their quarterbacks name there Sawyer Robertson is at his name, Yeah,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: I think some so he's back for Baylor there from
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: last year, so that's good for them. But SMU also
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: has their quarterback from last year back, I believe Jennings.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: They have some of their key offensive pieces back as well.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: Looking at the market read, the market is indicating a Baylor.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: SMU dropped from four point favorite to two and a
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: half with juice, So I think you can still get
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: a three out there if you like Baylor. I wouldn't
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: really disagree with it. I do think again, Baylor might
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: come into this game of the chip on their shoulder,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: because again SMU has kind of been the better of
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: the two teams recently, and again it almost looks too
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: easy again right to lay points with a ranks team
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: like SMU against Baylor, and SMU did get a win,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: although it was against Texas A and M Commerce East
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M whatever, so they had a cupcake
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: in their first game. Fifty eight percent of tickets on SMU.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: So the public is coming in on SMU to some
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: extent the cash on Baylor. So again, yeah, I would
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: probably agree with that and lean to Baylor there. Some
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: of these games not totally interesting. At Texas Tech a
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: massive favorite against Kent State, although I will point out
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Kent State they just finally won man. Kent State had
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: lost twenty one games in a row. They didn't win
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: any game last year on their entire schedule. I believe
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: they lost twenty one games in a row and they
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: finally won against Merrimack, who is a team that I
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: think just moved up to Division one. I don't even
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: think they were in Division one at all until recently.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: They're in FCS. Obviously, they're up in Northern Massachusetts here
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: and Merrimack almost beat Kent State at Kent State a
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Kent State was able to pull out that victory. Man,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: But does that mean they're gonna be embarrassed about that?
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, because they broke a law streak.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: But will in essence get that chip off their shoulder though,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: So I talk about that sometimes when a team has
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: a long losing streak, if they finally win a game,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: that might propel all them forward. So maybe they will,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of be propelled for it. But you're
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: talking about Texas Tech. Texas Tech, it looks like their
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: quarterback got injured Morton, but it looks like he is playing.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: But whatever, man, I mean, Texas Tech. This is one
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: of the most lopsided matchups of the week. Is Kent
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: State is so bad? Texas Tech up from forty seven
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: and a half to forty eight and a half going
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: towards forty nine. It might be the biggest line of
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: the week. Seventy six percent of tickets on them, fifty
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Kent State. Yeah, I mean,
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: I just wanted to point out that Kent State broke
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: that last streak. Man, That's about it. Texas Tech is
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: ranked They just beat Arkansas pine bloff sixty seven to seven.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. We know they have a very prolific offense, okay,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: so they're probably gonna light up Kent State here as well.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: And then it's just a matter of at what point
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: does Texas Tech call off the dogs? Man? So I
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: think that's what you're gonna get in that game. We
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: do have well Utah State, Texas A and M. I
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: don't even know if this game is really worth talking about.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: And Texas A and M. I told you UTS say
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: solid team and UTSA and an in state rivalry or
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: not really rivalry, but in state little brother situation. I
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: thought they would cover that number, and they did. They
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: got a backdoor touchdown though in that game, I think,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: which is what covered it, but it was closed for
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: a while in that game, even into the third quarter.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M got through that. But Texas A
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: and M is a huge game up next against Notre Dame.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a big game. So Texas A and M,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: it's possible to maybe even overlook Utah State a little
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: bit just because it might be a look ahead spot
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: for them, and then SEC play starts after that. Utah State.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: I mean they're under a new coach. They got Bronco
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Menden Hall up there. Now, they had a pretty lackluster
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: game in their first game at home against UTEP. This
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a big game for them. I mean,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: this is the biggest game on Utah State schedule at
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: the very least. So I guess, do with that information
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: what you will. Then line went up from twenty nine
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: and after thirty two on A and M, and it
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is actually coming in in Texas
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: A and M seventy three percent of tickets excuse me,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent the cash on them. So I guess, again,
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you will. Kent State, I mean,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know what they are. They're in the MAC.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: They're mostly known for that anti war protest where a
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: bunch of their during the Vietnam War, where a bunch
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: of their students got shot. I don't know what it
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: is now though, Man, I really don't. They have They
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: have a pretty solid basketball program right now. In their
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: football program is bad right now. A bunch of teams
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: playing copcakes. Man, you got Oregon rank six in the
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: country playing Oklahoma State. I mean Oregon, they're a huge
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: favorite here. This is another game whe It's just a
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: matter of I think at what point they're gonna call
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: off the dogs. They just thrashed Montana State. Montana State
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: is a pretty good FCS team, and Oregon took care
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: of them with no problem. Oklahoma State's kind of in
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: a rebuild situation. I think they still have Do they
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: still have Mike Gundhy there as a coach? I don't
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: even know. They had a pretty ugly I guess last
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: time out against Tennessee Martin, who was also an FCS team.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: So this game, it does look like Oregon should just
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: run away with this. But I think it's a matter
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: of is Oregon gonna just, you know, kind of show up,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: get in, get out, call off the dogs. They're twenty
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: eight point favorite, up from twenty seven and a half,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of tickets, only seventy three percent of
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: the cash, So I think might be another situation where
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Oregon just wants to get in, get out Troy and Clemson.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be one of my plays. Good luck with
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: that with you with these plays, man, So I'm gonna
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: talk about that at the end of the show. Old
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Miss Kentucky. This one is interesting with number twenty old Miss.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Of course, we know ole Miss they do not have.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: They don't have Jackson Dart anymore because he's in the NFL,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: and I forget who Oregon's quarterback is now. To Oregon,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: they lost Dylan Gabriel to the NFL Draft as well. Obviously,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: let me just check. I still have to kind of
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: acclimate myself to like who the fuck is on these teams.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: They have Dante more Yeah, that's right, that's his name.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: He's only a sophomore and he was at UCLA for
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: a bit, I guess, so I don't know. I don't
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: know what Oregon's gonna get out of that guy this year.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: It's still remains to be seen. But ole Miss they
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: do have some returning talent. They're the ranked twentieth in
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: the country. Is still a really good team even without
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Jackson Dart. This is an interesting matchup though, Man they're ranked.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is not ranked. Big SEC matchup this early in
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: the season. Ole Miss started the season by smashing Georgia State,
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: and Georgia State is an FBS team. They're in the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt, so pretty ridiculous win for ole Miss there.
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: Kentucky not known as having a good offense. Kentucky really
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: struggled against Toledo, almost lost to a MAC team. Really,
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: they only beat them by eight of the Kentucky was
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: only about a nine point favorite in that game against Toledo.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: But it's ugly. I mean, the public is not gonna
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with Kentucky here seeing that, Oh,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: they barely beat this MAC team. We though Toledo is
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: one of the better MAC teams. Though Kentucky they played
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: good defense. Still, man, that's basically their thing. They're much
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: more of a defensive team than an offensive team. Eighty
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets, only seventy four percent of the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: cash on ole Miss, and they're a nine point favorite.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: So in a way, it almost looks too easy. I mean,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: you just saw ole Miss crush their opponent in the
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: first game, and Kentucky like had a really ugly low
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: scoring win. They barely scraped by against Toledo, right, even
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: though I think, yeah, Western excuse in Kentucky barely they
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: didn't cover the number. I think they failed to cover
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: the number by about a point in that game. So
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: that would you think that would have me leaned to Kentucky,
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: And I suppose it does I slightly leaned to taking
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: the points of Kentucky year. The issue I have with
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: that is I think ole Miss is gonna show up
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: in this game because of what happened last year. Ole Miss.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: They were and they have some guys back from this
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: team last year. Ole Miss. They started last year four
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: and oh and then what happened. They hosted Kentucky and
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Kentucky upset them. That was one of only three losses
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: that ole Miss had all season, man, and that was
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: a loss of kind of derailed like any playoff hopes
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: that they had. So I think ole Miss is gonna
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: be in revenge mode here. Man. They know that Kentucky
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: came into their place and beat them as fifteen and
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs last year, so I think Old
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Miss is gonna be pissed about that. So I think
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: they will potentially show up for that reason. Ole Miss
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: has actually outgained them in that game. It was a
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: close game and they lost the game. So yeah, there
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: is that little bit of revenge mode of there for
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: ole Miss. So that is what worries me about playing
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: Kentucky in that one. South Florida at Florida. It's a
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: Florida matchup Man, I would lean to Florida in this
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: game because everybody's just kind of making fun of Florida
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: right now in the SECO. Billy Napier their coach, you know.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's hasn't been that good since he's been there.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: But let me take some of my cold brew here,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: got a cafe and eate man as I do these
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: late night shows. I think Florida's getting shit on too much. Man.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: The ranked thirteenth in the country. They should be improved.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: Napier's been there for a while now, he's got a
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: system in there. Now. They got DJ Lagway there as
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: their quarterback. Man, he had, he got some experience last year.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: Their fans wanted him. He's he's the guy moving forward
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: in South Florida. They're nowhere near as good as they looked. Man,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: we saw what they did in was that Week one
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: a week zero? I don't even remember. I guess it
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: was week one, right, it was, uh, yeah, it was
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: week one. But they have extra time off, right, But
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: I think the extra time off isn't really gonna help
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: them because yeah, they played on that Thursday night game,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: but that was a national TV game. Basically everybody saw
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: it was because I had it on for a while.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: Everybody saw that game, and what did they see. They
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: saw South Florida just embarrass twenty fifth ranked Boise State Man.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a bit of a letdown spot
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: for South Florida. Even though I do have a little
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: bit of pause, I have a little bit of hesitation
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: because initially I looked at this, I was like, I
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: want to lay the points with Florida. Hear, and I
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: still somewhat lean that way. But my issue with it
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: is that South Florida. They're always going to try to
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: get up for a game against Florida. That's an in
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: state little brother situation. So that's what you have to
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: worry about. But there's no way that South Florida is
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: as good as they look. That's the issue I have.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: I think the public doesn't have the right perception of
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: this game is the issue that I have with it.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: The public. I think they think too little of Florida
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: right now, and I think they think too highly of
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: South Florida after what they just saw them do. So again,
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: that game, that was a misleading final result though Man
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Boise had at least three turnovers maybe four turnovers in
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: the game, they think they were all fumbles, and fumbles
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: are random, man, Like, when the ball hits the ground,
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: it's basically fifty to fifty as far as who recovers that.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: So the fact that Boise had all those lost fumbles
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: that didn't help. And then Boise just looked like the
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: game was basically just over and they just stopped paying attention.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: This Seuth Florida defense. I know, they help Boise to
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: seven points, but South Florida their defense is still not good. Man.
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: Their offense is pretty good. They got Brown. I think
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: it's their quarterbacks name. He's a dual threat, he's experienced,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: he came back this year. He's good. Their offense is
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: pretty good. Defense is not good. And if you watch
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: that game, it was like Boise was just refusing to
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: play offense in the second half, Like there were just
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: situations where like South Florida was just leaving guys wide
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: open and Boise, even though they have a really experienced quarterback,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: he was throwing the ball to nobody or his receivers
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: were dropping it. It was like one or the other.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what the fuck is Boise doing here? Man?
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: It made no sense, Like South Florida, if you watch
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: that game, you could tell South Florida they were not
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: defending well. On the scoreboard, it looks like their defense
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: was good. It's not. They're leaving guys like wide open, man.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: So I think Florida should be able to do damage
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: against that defense. Man on Florida. They're coming in off
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: beating Long Island University fifty five to nothing, like who
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: gives a shit? Yeah, they do have LSU up next.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: That is a big game. But I don't think they're
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: really gonna look ahead. I mean, Florida, this is still
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: they know that this little brother in their state is
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: gonna be coming after them. So that's what I have
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: to say about that high Mark. We're in the We're
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: in the what is it the room? Right? Yeah, I'm
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: cult classic man. I do like that movie. Actually, I
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: have not gone to see it live though I know
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: the live theater experience for that is crazy, where everybody
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: throws footballs around and whatever the hell else they do.
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: Oh high Mark. Anyway, LSU Louisiana Attack is gonna be
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: one of my plays, So I'll skip that to Oh,
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a long video game, man, Maybe not.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe it would be about an hour a number twelve,
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: Arizona State at Mississippi State. This one, I kind of
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: lean to Mississippi State. Man. I just think Arizona State
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: they're just kind of coasting on what they did last year. Man,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: everybody thinks Arizona State is good. I mean, people do
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: know that they lost Scataboo. They're like gimmicky running back.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if that's the best way
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: to describe him, because he was pretty good. But he's
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: on Where is he on the He's not on the Giants,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: is he? I think he Maybe he is on the
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: New York Giants. Yeah, I think he is. The Giants
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: had a wild draft, man, so they don't have Scatterby anymore,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: so they can't run some of those trick plays with them.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: They do have some of their other guys back, they
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: have their quarterback back. Whatever. Yeah, sure, Arizona State, their
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: offense should be all right. They're coming off beating Northern
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Arizona not even that impressively, but whatever doesn't really matter.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State, this is a program that's been down in
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the dumps. Man. They've been the dregs of the SEC,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: and I think at some point they will improve a
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: little bit. They were just in a total rebuild. Man,
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: I watched the Netflix SEC documentary, and they've followed around
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: like more than half of the conference. I think for
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: at least some part of last season in Mississippi State
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: was in it. I think the only teams that they
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: didn't follow around were like Alabama, Ole Miss, I think,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: and I forget who else, but Mississippi State was in it.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: Their coach, I mean, he's a somewhat experienced coach. He was.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: I think he was an offensive coordinator for both Ole
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: Miss and then Mississippi State before getting the head coaching
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: job here. If I'm not mistaken, I could be wrong
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: about that, but I do think Mississippi State there at
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: some point gonna be on their way back up a
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: little bit because this program. I mean, I don't think
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: they could stay in the drags for that long man
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: and getting points at home, and you know, Mississippi State,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: they will tend to come out and at least play
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: some decent defense. So and again, this is an SEC
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: defense against a big twelve team, and these Big twelve
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: teams more of a finesse conference. They don't see SEC
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: defenses very often, and they somewhat struggle against them at times.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: So Arizona State moved a little bit from minus seven
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: to minus six and a half. It looks like you
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: could still probably get a seven out there, because six
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: and a half is juiced still if you want. Mississippi
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: State plus seven seventy five percent of tickets eighty two
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in Mississippi State. So I'm
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: surprised that the public percentage even appears to be on
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State. Looks like more of the cash is on
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State, though, but that is the way that I
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: would lean. I think still the perception, based on what
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: we've seen in recent years, is that Arizona State should
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: be able to kind of just run away with this game,
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: and I just don't think that's gonna be the case
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: in that one A. Misissippi State, I don't even know
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: what they did in their first game. Let me see. Yeah,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, they beat Southern Miss. Southern Miss is actually
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: not that bad. Southern Miss is basically Marshall from last year,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: like the coach and half the team went over to
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss and Marshall was like a decent team in
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt last year. Yeah, that's right. I did
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: not kill her, this is fucking bullshit. Yeah, that's right.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: What was the other line? Oh my god, you're tearring
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: me apart, Lisa. Uh yeah, South Florida, good quarter of
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: Florida is definitely solid. Florida is on their way back up. Man,
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: like Florida. They I talked about that in my preview
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: show that I did for the season. Florida they want
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: to make the college football playoff. Man, They've explicitly stated
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: that that is their goal to make the playoff. Which
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: that's a lot of teams goals, but I think it's
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: a realistic goal for Florida this year is to get
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: into the college football playoff. I think if things fall
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: right for them, they could do it. You like USF
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: plus the points in the first half, I don't do
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: a whole lot with first half solthough. I I don't
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: think I would really agree with it, though I'm pretty
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: much just leaning towards Florida. I think early on in
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: that game USF they might have a little bit of
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: that hangover effect coming from that previous game and maybe
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: even be a little bit cold from having that extra
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: time off. So I wouldn't really agree with that. Yeah,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Giants is where Skataboo is now the one big matchup
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: of the day, and we only have one top twenty
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: five ranked matchup and it's the night game on primetime ABC.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: This should be a good one. Man, this is interesting.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: It's number fifteen Michigan and number eighteen Oklahoma. Yeah, this
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: is an interesting one. And the line is kind of
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: even more interesting because the public's gonna look at this.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Why is Oklahoma as the lesser ranked team? Right? They're
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: eighteen yeah against number fifteen. Why are they a favorite? Right?
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, of course some of that is because they're
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: at home. Michigan does not typically play in Norman, Oklahoma,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a little bit of like a
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: game that's out of Michigan's comfort zone. Michigan's got fifty
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: percent to take, it's fifty three percent of the cash
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: coming in on them. I lean to Oklahoma in this game, man.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think the public might have a tendency.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I think we might see these percentages move around a
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: little bit. I think the public when they see a
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: game like this with ranked teams like this and the
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: lesser ranked team is the favorite, the public is going
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: to think there's value taking the points with the team
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: that is the better ranked team right in Michigan. We
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: know they have all that name recognition. Oklahoma hasn't really
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: been that good the last couple of years, and now
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: they've moved over to the SEC. So I think the
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: recent perception is that Michigan is the better program as well.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: So I think the public is generally going to be
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: on the Michigan side here, and I generally want to
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: look to fade that sentiment. So I would lay the
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: points with Oklahoma if I was going to play this game.
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: It's not going to be a play for me. Michigan.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: They're coming up beating New Mexico and they didn't do
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: so very impressively. Man, New Mexico, they're not a good
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: team this year, I don't believe. I think they they lost.
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: They're the ones that lost Bronco menden Hall, I think
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: right to Utah State. So I think New Mexico is
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: in kind of a transition phase here, rebuilt phase. The
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: fact that Michigan at home at the Big House only
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: beat them thirty four to seventeen, that's not great, although
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: maybe it was a little bit you know, lackluster, I
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: don't know, maybe, but still it's your home opener, and
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: you gotta think Michigan wanted to get off on the
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: right foot there. Michigan has their new quarterback there, which
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: is Bryce Underwood. Michigan had kind of a quarterback issue
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: last year. They didn't know who their quarterback was going
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: to be, and they tried Orgy. They tried an orgy.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Where did I say Orgy is now UNLV Maybe I
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: forget where he's at, but he's gone. Bryce Underwood is
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: their guy now, and I think he is talented. I
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: think he will be good at some point, but not yet.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: He's still too green man. He's a bit inexperienced, and
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma they actually have more experience than this
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: this point man. And they're an SEC team now, so
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: they've gone through kind of that grind. They beat an
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: FCS team in their first game, Illinois State. I mean
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: that's just a whatever type of game there doesn't really matter.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma their quarterback is Matier. He's been around for a while.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: I think he was on Washington State and they had
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: a pretty good offense with him, although they weren't facing
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: good defenses. And yes, Michigan is definitely a good defense,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: but Matier is the more experienced quarterback here for Oklahoma.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: So I think Oklahoma right now, Oklahoma is the better offense,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: and the defenses are fairly comparable. But then again, I
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: guess if you think that this is a defensive game,
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess you could argue that means you
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: want to look towards taking the points. It is a
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: low total, so that does worry me. So yeah, that
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: fact would give me a little bit of pause and
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: laying the points of the Oklahoma. The totals dropped all
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: the way from forty seven a half to forty four
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: now and money definitely coming in on the under in
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: that game. So that does worry me somewhat, but probably
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: not enough to not enough to come in and say
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: that I don't still lean to Oklahoma. But yeah, I'm
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: definitely skipping that one. We're gonna get to my best bets.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: There are some other games that I might point out here, though.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: Let me see, I'm just looking down the schedule now
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: because I'm done with the top twenty five stuff. Right well,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: then Alabama, I mean Alabama, they should want to bounce back.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, of course, they had an embarrassing performance. Everybody
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: knows this everybody's bad mouthing Alabama. Now they got Wisconstant
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: up next. But I don't know if Alabama is really
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: gonna consider that to be a huge game. I think Alabama,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: this is kind of a get right spot for them.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: It's their home opener, it is against an FBS school,
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: at least in a very bad one in you all
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Monroe and you al Monroe started out last season, if
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: you remember I talked about it last year, You All
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: Monroe seemed to just be overperforming week after week. Early
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: in the season last year, it was like, how the
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: fuck are they doing this? They're just thriving on like
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: turnovers and shit. So yeah, I mean, I think Alabama
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: is gonna come out. This seems to me like it
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: is kind of a statement game for them. But the
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: money is coming in against them. Down from thirty seven
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: and after thirty five and have eighty one percent of
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty percent of the cash. This is one
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: where I don't know if I really agree with the market, man.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: I could see Alabama just blowing you el Monroe out
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: after that just shit performance man, and having to hear
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: all week is Alabama. I mean, they're a program that
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: expects to just be there every year and be vying
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: for the championship every year. So I think you're gonna
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: get a pissed off Alabama team in that one. That
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion in that one. And it's Debor's
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: second season with them, so I think they're sick of
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: hearing it man in Alabama. They do have an inexperienced
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: quarterback though Jo Monroe. They suck though. They're coming off
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: beating Saint Francis, PA, which I think might be the
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: only Saint Francis now that's an FCS team only beating
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: them twenty nine to nothing. That's not impressive. Believe me.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: You ow Monroe not a good team. But Alabama, I know,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: I know it's a huge spread, So it is there
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: is a chance that of Alabama's winning this game. It
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: could be a situation where they're winning the game, like
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: thirty one to nothing or something and they just decided
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: to call off the dogs. Maybe. So that's the thing
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: you have to worry about a little bit. To Swarts
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: better scout high school talent. I'm sure some do. The
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: like serious professional betters like they have like an army
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: of dudes. Like if you listen to like Billy Walters,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: like guys that are just like like the upper echelon,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: like best sports betters of all time, Billy Walters, you
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: can want. He was on Joe Rogan like a year
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: ago because he was advertising his book, which I bought.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: Billy Walters has some great stories, man, he's the man.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I love Billy Walters. And he had run ins with
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: the government as well. He had to go up against
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: the government and some legal issues as well due to
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: his the stuff that he was doing related to gambling.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: If you listened to guys like him, or like Bill Krackenberger,
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: who actually is now at wager Talk, which is the
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: site that I like to go to for listening to experts,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: and they they got the crack man. Crack is he.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: I put him on like the Mount Rushmore of sports
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: betting man Bill Krackenberger, He's been doing it for a
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: long time. He seems like he's one of those betters.
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's a guy that's like just obviously from
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: like the New York New New Jersey area. It's like
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: this guy, like you know, has that like just look
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: to him, or it's like this guy was probably in
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: the mob, you know what I mean. But that guy
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: yet both like him, Billy Waller's all these other guys,
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: they form like teams that they work with, man, where
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: they have guys that I don't know if they go
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: as far as high school, but they'll talk about how
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: they have guys that like specifically go and they read
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: all the like papers and whatever, because that's the thing
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: now Whereas in the old school you'd be reading the newspapers,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: but now in the modern day you're reading all the
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: like writers that are specific to these one schools. Like
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: you want to find these writers that only cover like
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: one really small school, and then you really get the
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: scoop on like what the fuck is going on at
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: that small school, And that can give you kind of
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: an edge if like the books don't really know, Like
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: the books aren't the books can't really do that, man.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: The books like can't go into every single detail about
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: all these small schools. So sometimes you can find an
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: edge that way. I'm just one man, so I don't
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: do that. So I'm just looking at schedules, man, and
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: what's going on with the schedule. What other games that
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: I want to talk about? There were a few other
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: interesting games. If you guys want me to talk about
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: any other game. You can shout it out and I will.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: We got to get the get monetized, man that I
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: can do super chats and you can request that I
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: talk about certain games Pitt in Central Michigan. I heard
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: this game be referenced by some of the guys that
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: I listened to, and I was like, oh, yeah, that's
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: a good point. Pitt is kind of at a sandwich
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: spot here. Pitt they're in the ACC. They're coming off
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: absolutely annihilating Duquane sixty one to nine, So they might
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: be feeling pretty good about themselves, even though I know, like,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: who cares, right, it's an FCS team that they beat. Well, yeah,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna be really satisfied with that
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: win because Dukine is a little brother in the city
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh. Ducaine is a Pittsburgh school, so Ducaine will
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: always get up to play against Pittsburgh. It's just they
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: don't have the talent in football right now to compete
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: with Pitts. So Pitt crush them and then Pitt Now
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: they have this game against this pretty bad Central Michigan team,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: and next week, who do we have up next? We
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: don't have our Western we don't have our West Virginia
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: guy in our chat right now, Matt whatever his name is,
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I dude, I'm so bad at names. Sometimes I used
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: to be really good with names and now I'm not.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: But Matt are a West Virginia loyalist. There I forget he.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I think he might be going to this game on
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: next week, and he invited me to come down and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: go to it, the backyard brawl between Pittsburgh and West Virginia,
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: which I think I'm actually doing something on that day actually,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: so I can't do it, but it would be cool
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: if I could do it. I think monetization, I think
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: I have to get to five hundred subscribers. I'm at
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: like three p thirty something right now. So pitt this
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot man. They're coming off a satisfying
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: in city win, just beating down their little brother. They
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: got this game against Central Michigan that I don't see
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: them caring too much about, and they have again against
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: West Virginia. This is a rivalry that has gone on
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: for a long time, and I think the rivalry quit
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: like it ceased to exist for a while because the
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: teams they used to both be in the they were
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: both in the Big East for a while. That was
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: when that rivalry was and then that was back when
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: that rivalry existed, they were both in the Big East,
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: and then I think they might have been both in
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: the ACC for a little while. But now West Virginia
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: is in the Big Twelve. But this rivalry is back,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: and it was a good game last year. It's the
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: backyard brawl. Man. It's a big time, big time rivalry
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: for both those schools, and it was this one's gonna
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: be at Morgantown too, so Pitt, that's a big game.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: It's just I don't quite want to do this, man,
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't quite want to fade Pitt, even
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: though I agree it's a sandwich spot because Central Michigan.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: What did they do last week? They were out on
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast and they upset San Jose State, as
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I pointed out when I talked about San Jose State,
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: So they pulled off a double digit upset and they're
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: having to fly back from the Pacific Coast. So I
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: don't love it, man, to be honest, for Central Michigan.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's a lot of travel from them having
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: across time zones, they're coming off pulling off a big upset.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: So I have to stay away from this game. I
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot for both teams. And yeah,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan has a big in state game next week
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: against big brother Michigan as well, so I don't know
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: that they're really going to look ahead to that. I mean,
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: I do think they'll still try to show up for
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: a game against Pitt that is big. But listening to
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: you know, hearing like Pitt, oh Pit is in a
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot here, Yeah they are, but this doesn't seem
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: to be one that that I would actually want to
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: actually get involved in. Both teams are in bad spots.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: The money is actually coming in on Pit a little
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: bit up from twenty one to twenty two, uh fifty
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: eight percent taket sixty percent of the cash on them.
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a stay away. But I thought, you know,
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: just so you guys know what my thought processes, you know,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: get a little bit in detail of the thought process,
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: you know. Liberty in Jacksonville State's a little bit interesting
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: because it is a Conference USA conference opener and Jacksonville
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: State played UCF on the road really close last week.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: UCF was like a twenty point favorite, and Jacksonville State
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: gave them all they could handle. Man, Jacksonville State, they
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: don't have rich Rod anymore. Speaking of West Virginia, I
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: think that's where rich Rod went, So Jacksonville State has
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: some turnover there. They have a new coach, they have
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: a new system, new quarterback I think, and they were
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: still able to hold UCF that close. That's crazy, That's
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: just I don't know. That seems a bit of like
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: an outlier to me. I don't think Jacksonville State is
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: anywhere near that good. I know this is their conference
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: home opener, so it's a big game for them still,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be a hangover spot for them too,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: So I lean to Liberty in this game. Liberty is
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: the better of these two teams. This is gonna be
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: on CBS Sports. By the way, if people want to
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: watch that one, you can. It might be a good game.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean coming off that game. But I
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: don't quite want to jump in on the Liberty side
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: either though, because you're gonna have to lay points on
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: the road, and it is still Jacksonville State's home opener,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: so I am almost never gonna lay points against the team.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: In there like conference home opener, So that's you know,
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: those are just my thoughts on that game. Liberty coming
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: off beating Maine, very uninspiring performance against Maine and FCS
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: team twenty eight to seven, So I think Liberty might
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: have just not even cared about that game at all.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: Liberty now will be coming into this game, and I
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: think Liberty has more continuity. I think they have a
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: who's Liberty's quarterback here? It's Vasco so Vasco. He was
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: with Coastal Carolina, so he is an He's an experienced quarterback.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he was on Liberty at all
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: before this year or not. I remember him being on
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina. I think he might have actually been on
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: NC State briefly. You'd have to look that up. But
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: he is an experienced quarterback, at least as a college quarterback.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. I can talk about that game, Yeah, Mad
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: mad col Diggers, and yeah, that's right. It's the coal
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: mines there, baby, I'll talk about West Virginia, Ohio. Fine, there,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: that's it. Those are interesting ones. Oh thank you, you
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: get inside my butthole. Let me see here, Kansas, Missouri,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: this is an interesting one. Too. I'm just going down
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: the list and I'll and I'll talk about those and
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: I'll give you my best bets. You're betting on liberty.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: I mean I do lean to liberty. I mean, what
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: are they favored by? Let me look at the line there.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: There they are. There are six up to a six
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, so you're still getting below
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: touchdown if you want that. Seventy six percent take is
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on them. So it
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: seems like the money is agreeing with the liberty side there.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: Kansas Missouri. This is gonna be like the This is
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: the recreation of an old rivalry here. I think they
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: call this the border war between Kansas and Missouri. If
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly, this used to be a rivalry when
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: both teams are in the Big twelve. Now Missouri's in
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: the SEC. This is gonna be an ESPN two in
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: the afternoon. This is a pretty interesting game, man. Missouri
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the favorite. Missouri is coming off ridiculous
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: sixty one to six win over Central Arkansas. But Central
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Arkansas they're an FCS team. They're no good Kansas. What
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: they've done so far is actually more impressive because they
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: played in Week zero and they just housed Fresno, and
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: at least Fresno is an FBS team, man, I mean
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: Fresno they looked a bit a bit better last week
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: at least, So that's still that's a pretty impressive game,
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: really holding even though Fresno they have a new coach there,
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they have EJ. Warner now Kurt Warner's
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: son as their quarterback Kansas, but still Kansas held them
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: to seven points. I mean Kansas, they're playing some solid defense,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: and that's the thing. Man. They brought in a new
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. I think in Kansas looks like they're gonna
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: be one of the better defenses in the Big Twelve
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: because it's a conference that doesn't play defense. And they
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: did bring back their quarterback from last year, Jalen Daniels.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Not Jaden Daniels, Jalen Daniels. They got him and like
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: one of his best wide receivers, I think his back.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: So Kansas they can do some stuff offensively, but I
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: think they have the better defense against Missouri, and I
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: think people are gonna look at this and see what
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: Missouri did last week and see what these teams looked
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: like last year. Missouri was the better team last year,
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: and on Missouri they're in the SEC. I think the
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: public's gonna have a tendency to want to lay the
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: points with Missouri here, and I somewhat disagree with that.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: I think Kansas is kind of a team that could
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: sneak up on some people. I think they're kind of
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: an up and coming team. Missouri I think might be
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: on their way slightly down. Missouri did lose their quarterback
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: that they had last year, which was Brady Cook. I
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: think it was his name. He's in the NFL now.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: I forget which team has him, but he's in the NFL.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: So they have one of their other quarterbacks was there
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: last year? I think they're one of their quarterbacks was
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: there last year? Is their quarterback now? It's some dude
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: whose name Pribula, Pribula, Bo Pribula. Actually, I don't know
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: if he was with Missouri last year. And now let
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: me check. I'm just going through all this men. Oh no,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: he was at Penn State. That's right, Yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: I remember that he played a bit last year when
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: aler was heard or a lar for Penn State. So yeah, prebulah,
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: he does have some experience, but he's in a new
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: system with Missouri here, so there is more continuity with
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: the Kansas quarterback situation here. It does look like the
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: money is kind of starting to come in on Missouri,
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: but they dropped from six and a half to five
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: and a half. So I mean, to me, that seemed
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: like it was a legit move, because sometimes you'll see
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: guys like I've talked about, sometimes professional betters will come
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: in early and they'll try to set a line up
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: and actually want to take the other side, so they'll
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: come in and play at the lower limits just to
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: get the books to move the number and fake the
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: book out. They'll play like a side that they don't
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: want to get a better number, and then they'll come
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: in on the other side. But the difference between six
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: and a half and five and a half isn't very
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: sig nificant. So I don't think that's what happened here,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: because it didn't go through like a key number of
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: seven or anything like that, So I don't think that
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: that was the case. I think that was a legitimate
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: move towards Kansas. Fifty percent of tickets on Kansas, though
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash coming into Missouri. We
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: might see that kind of shift around before tomorrow afternoon.
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean to Kansas plus the points in
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: that one, but that one's not gonna be a play
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: for me. Easy schedule for the Jayhawks. I mean they're
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: gonna play a Big twelve schedule, so it'll be I
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: don't know how easy their Big twelve schedule is, but
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: it's been easy so far obviously. Uh, they played Wagner last,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: Wagner right to the valk or Is. That's an FCS team.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: They're gonna play at West Virginia to start it out.
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: That's a cupcake. And then their schedule does get more
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: difficult as it goes on though, But they do get
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: Utah at home. Uh so that's one of the Utah
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: is my favorite. Like I think Utah is gonna win
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: the Big twelve. We'll see what winds up happening, but yeah,
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: Kansas will see what happens. Let me see see Colorado Delaware,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: this one kind of interested me. This game is gonna
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: be on Fox. Colorado had a pretty big game to open,
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: and you remember, of course, Colorado doesn't have Sugar Sanders
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: anymore or Travis Hunter anymore. Deon Sanders. I thought he
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: had like cancer or some shit. But he's still there.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: He's coaching, So I don't fucking know. I guess there
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: was some issue with the clock management at the end
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: of the game. I told you I leaned to Georgia
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: Tech in that game last week because Georgia Tech they
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: had their quarterback coming back, Haines King. He's a solid quarterback. Man.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: I kind of liked that Georgia Tech team. I like
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Haines Haines King Haynes underwear, which I'm not wearing. I
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: wear Duluth Buck naked, by the way. They should sponsor me.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: And I have some Calvin Klein right now. That's the
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Toad underwear scoop. There. You get inside Toad's pants in
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: this show as well. But Colorado, I didn't see how
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: the game ended. I know Georgia Tech scored a late
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: touchdown to win that game. I don't know, But Dean Sanders,
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, things seem to be unraveling for Colorado to me, man,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: And they're coming up that game that was a big game.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing Delaware, who is in their first year
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: in FBS, so Delaware might actually be pumped, man, because
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be Delaware's first FBS game as a
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: member of the FBS. They're in Conference USA, so Delaware
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: might actually get up for this, and they get to
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: play against Dion, so they might show up. But there
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: are definitely some reasons why I hesitate here though. And
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: then Colorado does have the Big Twelve schedule starting next
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: on a short week. They're gonna play on Friday against Houston,
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: so their Big Twelve conference play starts at that point.
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: So it is kind of a sandwich ish looking spot
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: for Colorado there. And it's not their home opener because
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: they've already lost their home opener. But Delaware. I would
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: hesitate a little bit with Delaware though, just because inexperience
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: for Delaware, because they haven't done this firm. They're having
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: to play this game in elevation, man, so I do
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: worry about that. Like, Delaware is definitely not used to
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: playing elevation, so that's something they're gonna have to get
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: used to, because I think they actually play a couple
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: of teams in their conference that are in elevation. And yeah, Delaware,
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. Man. They beat Delaware State not
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: very impressively in their first game. Delaware State's still an
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: FCS team. Duluth sponsored me Man Nadell, I don't know
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: what happened in Nadeh Andrew. What's up? Man? Tyson is
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: fighting Mayweather? Is that really happening? I mean Mayweather obviously.
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: If that's actually happening, Mayweather's got to be a huge favorite.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: But it's got to be him Tyson. I mean, you
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: saw Tyson couldn't beat what was it, Jake Paul, and
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: I was telling everybody Tyson would not win. Tyson is
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: way too old, dude. He can't do this. He's like
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: sixty years old. He can't do this. Even though Mayweather's
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: somewhat old now, he's nowhere, nearears old as Tyson. Mayweather
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: will wreck him. If that's actually happened. I don't know
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: if that I don't know if you're joking or not,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Mayweather, if that fight is actually happening, Mayweather
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: will be a huge, huge favorite. Let me see, even
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: though I don't know that much about boxing, what other
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: games am I going to talk about here? I'll give you, yeah,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: your West Virginia at Ohio here. This is interesting. Yeah, well, yeah,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: Mike Tyson, he's on drugs, he's got face tattoos. He
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: needs to eat some guy's ears to try to try
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: to get his strength back. West Virginia they're coming off
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: a win over Robert Morris, Who the fuck cares? They
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: beat one single man? Who cares Robert Morris? By the way,
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: another Pittsburgh school. West Virginia going to Ohio now, and
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: they do have the backyard brawl coming up as I mentioned,
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: against pitt next week. That's a big game. So yeah,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: it is a look ahead spot for West Virginia having
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: to go to Ohio. Ohio, I know they're owing one,
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: but they played at Rutgers and they actually played pretty solid.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: But that's kind of the reason why I hesitate to
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: want to jump on Ohio in this game. I worry
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit because Ohio they gave it their all
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: against Rutgers. Man, they were like, what were they had
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: sixteen seventeen point in that game, something like that, maybe
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: even more, and they had Rutgers tied in the fourth quarter.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: I think Rutgers had like a double digit lead at
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: one point, totally took their foot off the gas, and
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: then Ohio snuck up on their ass and tied them
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter and almost won the game, I think,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: so that was a big game for Ohio. Man. So
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know that Ohio is gonna be ready for this,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: although it is their home opener so and they have
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: a big conference school coming in for their home opener,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: so I do think Ohio still will be focused. I
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: slightly lean to Ohio in this game, but I'm not
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: gonna give it out as a play, but slightly to Ohio.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: And Ohio does have Ohio State next, so that's always
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: a big game for them too, although they know they're
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: not gonna beat Ohio State, but you know, it's always
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: a game that I think they're gonna get up for.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: But I think they'll get up for this game too.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: It's just a matter of that's a tough run of games, man.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: Ohio is playing a gauntlet here in Ohio. They have
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: some guys returning from last year. They were a good
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: MAC team last year. They're still good this year. They
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: got Parker Navarro as their quarterback. I think he came
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: back from last year, so they got some continuity. The
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: West Virginia does not have continuity, so this is gonna
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: be West Virginia's first FBS game of the year with
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: rich Rod as their coach, and I don't even know
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: who the fuck they have as a quarterback. I guess
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: they have a freshman quarterback. I don't even know who
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: he is. So West Virginia they're really in rebuild mode
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: right now. Man. So that's the other thing. You're gonna
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: get the more experienced team if you If you play
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: Ohio in this game, the money is coming in on Ohio.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: You can get them at three and a half. It
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: looks like West Virginia from three to three and a
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: half fifty one percent of tickets on them, fifty nine
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Ohio. I agree with Ohio
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: in that game. It looks way too easy to play
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: West Virginia, right, because everybody knows, even though West Virginia
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good recently, everybody knows West Virginia is a
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: big conference school against a MAX school. So it looks
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: pretty Uh, it looks pretty easy to to play West
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: Virginia there, right, But nothing is that easy, right, So
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Ohio in that game. Uh. South
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Florida and Florida. I forgot to mention the market read
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: on this Florida is down from eighteen to eighteen and
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: a half to eighteen. I think there were some seventeen's
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: out there for a while. Sixty seven percent of tickets,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: only sixty four percent of the cash on Florida, so
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in against Florida. I lean to Florida
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: still in that game, though the market disagreeing with it.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: But so hopefully that Ohio breakdown was good for you, Mark,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: Mark's putting some money on some of these games, I think,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: And then he wanted me to talk about one other game,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: which I forget what it is now. There are just
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: so many games to hit man. North Carolina at Charlotte.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Everybody saw what North Carolina. Dude, North Carolina totally embarrassing
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: their first game with Bill Belichick. It's possible that Belichick's
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: girlfriend is just coaching their team now and running their
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: team now. North Carolina terrible performance, embarrassing, losing whatever it was,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: forty eight to fourteen to TCU at home, and the
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: game wasn't even as close as the final score looked.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think North Carolina got totally embarrassed. Yeah, they're
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: gonna want to bounce back from that. But Charlotte, Charlotte's
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: a little brother in the state of North Carolina. Man,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: I know Charlotte hasn't been a good program recently. Some
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: of the professional guys liked Charlotte. In their first game
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: getst app State and they got blown out by app State.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: But Charlotte they might be a little bit better than
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: they looked in that game. Man, So Charlotte, I think
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: they might show up in this game, but I'd probably
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: lean too Charlotte. But the money has definitely moved quite
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: a bit. Let me see what happened in this game. Yeah.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: App State absolutely annihilated Charlotte in this game. Just the
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: stats were totally lopsided. So I don't really know what
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: the professionals are necessarily seeing in that Charlotte team there.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: I mean App State, they're coming off that weird kind
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: of shortened season that they had last year. They had
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: one game that was canceled because the hurricane ran through them,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: and it's been like their university has kind of had
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: to have been had to be rebuilt there and boon
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. So I don't know what app State is
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: going to be doing this year. But in this game,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: this is North Carolina at Charlotte. North Carolina has already
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: gone this is a huge line move man. North Carolina
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: dropped from nineteen all the way to thirteen and a half,
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: so it went through the key numbers of seventeen and fourteen.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: Just just like last week, we're seeing huge movement towards
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: the Charlotte side again as a home hunter, Dug, It's
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: crazy the professional money loves Charlotte sixty eight percent of
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty six percent of the cash. I'm not
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with it. I mean, I think it's a
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: little Brothers situation. There's such strong money on it. But
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: I think you have to get at least fourteen if
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: you want Charlotte here. Man, But this will be one
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: of their biggest games of the year against North Carolina.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: They do have to play Georgia later in the year,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: good luck with that. But yeah, I mean, this is
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be one of their biggest, like semi winnable games
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: at least North Carolina. They might be pissed though, and
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: they might show up after that. Just horrendous performance. Army.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Kansas State is an interesting one. This is an ESPN
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: game at seven pm. Kansas State. We know they already
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: played two games and they did really badly in their
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: last game against North Dakota, who is an FCS team.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: I think they were a pretty good FCS team though,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: North Dakota. But Kansas State, they were like, what were
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: they a something point favorite in this game twenty seven
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: and a half and they almost lost the game. Kansas
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: State had a double digit lead, and I think they
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas and then they almost lost.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: They fell behind in the fourth quarter and they had
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: to win basically right at the end of the game
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. But look at the spot that Kansas State
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: was in in that game. Man, they were coming back
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: from Dublin. They played that big Dublin game. They lost
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: the game. I gave out a loser on that one.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: That was unfortunate. So they were in a bad spot. Man.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: You think coming back home, even though it was their
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: home opener, it wasn't their FBS home opener. This is
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: going to be against Army. So I don't think they
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: paid attention in North Dakota. Man. So I think Kansas
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: State they know they escaped in that game and they
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: did not have full focus in that one. So I
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: think Kansas State is gonna be much more focused in
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: this game against Army and yes, you have to worry
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: about the triple option. We know Army runs a triple
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: option and that could throw teams off if they don't
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: see the triple option very often. But Army is not
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: that good this year, man, I know they've been good
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: the last few years. They're having some eternal over there
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: in Army. They're not gonna be like anywhere near as
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: good as Navy this year, though that was competitive for
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: a couple of years. I think Navy is far and
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: away the best of the the service academies this year.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: Army not very good. Air Force I don't think it's
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: very good at either right now. Army they're gonna be
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: a big underdog in this one. Army is coming off
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: of an embarrassing game themselves, though everybody saw that because
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: of that meme. Because of that like autistic dude who
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: was like giving out of play on charlotteted State plus
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: the points, like what the like? What does he even
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: see at charloted State? Charleted State won the game outright
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: against Army. So Army is coming off an embarrassing game too, man,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: And that is embarrassing. Army was winning that game twenty
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: four to ten in the fourth quarter and then they
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: blew the game and lost the game in double overtime.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous. Army was minus three and turnovers though,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: so that's basically the reason they lost the game was turnovers,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: and they outgained Charlotan State. So Army is gonna be
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: in an embarrassed mood too. I know they had to
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: play double overtime, so sometimes when the team plays multiple overtimes,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: it's gonna kind of wear them out a little bit
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: coming into the next game. Uh, but yeah, I just
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: don't see it, man. With Kansas State here, I think
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: both teams are gonna be in kind of a pissed
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: off mood. Here. It's a very low total. It's down
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: from forty nine to forty seven and a half. So
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: if you want to lay the points with Kansas State,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: you're really gonna be up against it, man, because with
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: a low total like that, just like I said with
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: my play tonight on the underdog there in Northern Illinois,
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: a low total like that, the points are all worth
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: more seventy five percent of tickets, only sixty four percent
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Kansas State. So and they're up
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: from sixteen to seventeen, So it did go through the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: key number of seventeen. But I think that that might
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: have been a setup because it looks like the professionals
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: might have come in and just said, oh, man like
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: hammered Kansas State because it was close to that key
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: number seventeen, hammered it up through the seventeen, and now
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: we're gonna come back playing the plus seventeen on our army.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: I don't want to play on either side in that game, though,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: because I think both teams are going to show up
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: in that game. So again, do with that information what
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: you will. I guess betting on the spectrum. Yeah, I
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: mean that should be me on that show. Then we
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: do Toledo. I know there were guys talking about Toledo.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: I heard some professional swirlings about oh Toledo. They played
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: Kentucky really close on the road, right, so now Toledo
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: must be in a hangover spot because they played Kentucky
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: really close. I'm not so sure about that, man, Western
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: Kentucky coming in. Everybody knows the name Western Kentucky has.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: They've been a really good offense for a while. They
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: look good so far, but they've beat nobody's They beat
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston. I know Sam Houston is an FBS team,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: but they're really new to FBS. Sam Houston's not really
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: that good of a team. They overperformed last year. I
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: think they made it to a bowl or no, they
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: didn't make it to a bowler because is there. I
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: think there's a transition period where they're not eligible for
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: bowl games yet. I forget. I know they did make
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: a bowl. I think I don't even remember. I think
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: they did make a ball. They played in one of
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: the early bowls. But Sammu Houston. They overperformed last year.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: And then Western Kentucky beating North Alabama like whatever, that's
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: not an FBS team. Now they're going on the road
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: against Toledo. It's gonna be a road game that's a
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult, kind of an unfamiliar environment there in
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. They got a new quarterback here because they
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: had Velt Camp last year. In Velt Camp. I forget
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: where he went. He's still in college somewhere. But Western
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: Kentucky think got a new Maverick, Maverick mcgiver. His great name,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: Maverick mcgiver, not mcgiver but McIvor mciv o r. Is
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: there a I mean, that's a solid name. At least
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: he's experienced, and that he's a senior. At least he
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: was at Abilene Christian and then Western Kentucky brought him
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: in solid name. I just don't know how good he
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: is at the FBS level, man, So I somewhat hesitate
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: to want to say you should fade Toledo here coming
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: off of that close game against Kentuck. What that game
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: would do is battle test to Leado a little bit,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: though its Western Kducky's not battle test. So the money's
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: actually coming in Untoledo up from five and a half
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: to seven and a half. So that's through a key
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: number of seven taking sixty three percent of the cash
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: coming in unto Ledo. So that's what's going on in
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: that game. So many games are we at the end
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: of it? Now? Oh no, you wanted me to have
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: Vandy in Virginia Tech, right, and then we'll go to
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: my plays. Man, I'm gonna be worn out and not
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: have even given out any of my plays yet. Vandy
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: and Virginia Tech. Man, Virginia Tech. Of course they played
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: kind of a spotlight game. They have extra time off
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: because they played on a Friday, so they have a
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: longer week. That was a big game against South Carolina.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: It was a tough game, so you could argue maybe
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be hung over here, But this is gonna
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: be their home opener, man, because that game wasn't at home.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: That was a neutral site game at Atlanta at the
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: Falcon Stadium, So this is gonna be their actual home opener.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, they know they're playing SEC School, so I
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: actually think Virginia Tech might get up for this game,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a bit embarrassed the
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: Vandy played nobody, they played Charleston Southern, and now they're
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: going out on the road. So yeah, I mean my
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: lean would be in Virginia Tech in that game. The
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with it. They're up from one to
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: two and a half here, seventy one percent of the
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: cash on them, fifty five percent of tickets on Vandy.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: I think Vandy's a little bit overrated. So that's the
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: other thing. I think the perception of these teams based
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: on what they did last year is wrong. Like Vandy
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: and Vandy was in that SEC They were very heavily
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: featured in the SEC Netflix documentary there and it was
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: cool to see them like they're quarterback. I don't know
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: if they still have him. Pavia. He's like this short
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: dude that they brought over from NC State or not
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: NC state, New Mexico State. Excuse in New Mexico State.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: So they brought him up to the SEC. He's like
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: a little bulldog man. He's a short dude, but he
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: can run, he could throw, you know, he can do whatever,
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: and he wants to win. And so that's the thing.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: But Vandy did overperform last year. I mean, we know
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: they almost upset Texas, they did upset Alabama. I mean
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: they overperform last year. Virginia Tech underperform. Virginia Tech does
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: still have Drones as their quarterback there, so you know,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: they at least brought him back. I don't know as
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: far as Vandy, do they still have Pavia or do
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: they not? Yeah, they do so they do still have
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: Pavia there, so they do some continuity there too. It'll
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: be an interesting game. Two kind of fun quarterbacks to watch,
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: to be honest, but slightly into Virginia Tech. You're on
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. Did you lay the points or what did
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: you do? You could go money line on it too.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: If you really want, you probably don't have to pay
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: that much of a price for it. And then I
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: will say U c l A. I kind of lean
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: to UCLA against UNLV. UCLA got absolutely embarrassed in that
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: game against Utah, and you know UCLA they're trying to
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: implement kind of a new system that they brought over. However,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: your pronounce his name Eama Malayava whatever, the quarterback. I
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: am a malie I am Aliva. I'm a believer. I
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: mean U c LA hi a Believa. Yeah, that guy,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: he's uh, he's there and now U c l A
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: and that was his first game, but he was awful.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: But Utah is good, dude, Utah is good. Uh. But
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: U c l A they're going on the road. A
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: v's un l V. This un l V team they
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: brought in Dan Mullens, who I know I was shitting
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: on last week. I don't think he's that good of
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: a coach man. I think un l V is definitely
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: the inferior team here. I know they're two and oh,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: but they beat Idaho State barely and didn't cover the
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: spread there, and then they beat Sam Houston, who cares. Uh,
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: so I don't like UNLV. I think they're definitely taking
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: a step back this year from what they did last year. Uh,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: So I do like u c l A in that
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: game as a two point road favoriting. They're a significantly
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: better team, to be honest, even though I don't even
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: think U c l A is that good. They just
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: have more talent at this point and UNLV just has
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: a like I think they have a serious lack of continuity,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: even more than UCLA does. Fifty eight percent of the
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: tickets on UNLV and then fifty three percent of the
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: cash on UCLA. So I do like UCLA there. Yeah,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: yah Yama Yama lai Va, I don't. I still don't
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: know how you pronounce his name. It's like I am Alayava.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Bad shooting joke? What what joke? My
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: joke was about the monkeys. I was singing that Monkeys
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: song man, and then yeah, I mean, I don't have
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: too much to say. I will talk about Sam Houston
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: at Hawaii though, I think it's a bad spot for
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston. I mean, they're fairly new to FBS, you know,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: they're not used to having to go out to play
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Hawaii at fucking midnight East Coast time. I mean, that's
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: gonna fuck with their biological clock. Man, a team that's
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: really not used to that at all, having to go
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: out there. I talk about these late night games fucking
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: with your biological clock, and I think that could do it.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: I mean they're going from Central time from Texas all
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: the way out there. I think that's gonna be a
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: mess for them. And they do have the University at
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Texas up next. I don't know they're really gonna look ahead.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: They do have a bye after this because they at
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: least the schedule makers were nice to them. They get
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: a bye coming back from Hawaii. But this Sam Houston team,
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: they're not that good, even though they did bring back
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: the quarterback Hunter Watson from last year was a dual threat.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: I think they overperformed last year. Like I said, I
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: think they're really up against it going to Hawaii. Man.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: Of course, Hawaii they're used to this. I mean playing
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: at home, they have some continuity there. They got other
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: fourth year coach there and Chang and they got blown
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: out at Arizona, man, so they're gonna be pissed. Arizona's
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: not very good this year. Hawaii got annihilated going to
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: the mainland and losing Arizona. But Hawaii they looked a
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: lot better in their first home game. I know it
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: was against a bad Stanford team with Frank right there now,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: and it was a close game. I liked Hawaii in
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: that game. They did get it done barely. But I
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: think Hawaii, you're gonna see them be much better at home.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: This is a very very weird spot for Sam Houston
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: having to go all the way out there, so I
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: think just what it's gonna do to Sam Houston having
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: to go out there doesn't look good to me. Hawaii
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: drop from ten to seven somehow, but they have seventy
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: three percent tickets ninety two percent of the cash on them,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if that was a setup, if
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: the professional money could swing that line to that extent,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: just to set it up and get it down to
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: a seven, I'm not sure, but the money seems to
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: be coming in on Hawaii, and it does make sense
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: to me. Uh, Spencer Cornelia used to do good videos
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: on loll coow Betters, what do you mean long cow? Though?
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: Like I don't know, like guys that don't know what
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: they're doing. I mean to my one. I don't even know.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: Let's get into my plays, man, I just gave you
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: the late night special. They call that the bailout special,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: by the way, that Hawaii game at midnight Eastern because
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: it's the last game on the board and if people
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: recreational betters lose money, they're gonna be looking for something.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: Oh I'm gonna play this game. But it's not on TV, though,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: so they might go to Stanford BYU to bail themselves up.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: But Sanford's awful by use huge favorite there. Let's go
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: to my plays. Man. You guys ready, you're gonna hate
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: these best bets. I don't even like them. As I
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: talk about them, hopefully the situations will make more sense. Oh, guys,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: that faked it like faking orgasms. I don't know. First
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: play up. Like I said, I usually do not have
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: plays on games with huge spreads like this one. I
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: have two, and they're kind of similar in a way
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: because they're fading teams that played each other last week.
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: It's just this year seems a little bit different. Man.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: We had a bunch of like Week one had more
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: like top tier matchups than what I'm used to, So
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: I'm fading teams that were involved in those. First up,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Troy plus thirty one. Yeah again,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: I know, yeah, it's just kind of ridiculous to go
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: get I mean, it's a huge mismatch, obviously, it's just
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: you're hoping that we're fading Clemson in this one. And again,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: part of this is just that you're kind of hoping
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: that the favorite in this one is gonna call off
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: the dogs. But the money is once they're up by
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: enough points that they can just coast the rest of
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: the game. But the money's coming in on Troy. Eighty
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: six percent of the tickets are on Clemson. Everybody only
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: wants Clemson. Public's gonna lay Public will lay points like this,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: even with like the elite teams at least just expecting
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: a blowout, wanting to root for a blowout. But fifty
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash coming in on Troy. I
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: think this is a bad spot for Clemson. Man. Obviously,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're gonna lose the game, but plus
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: thirty one, when you do this, I still recommend just
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: putting like just a real small amount on the money line.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: It's just you can't not do it, man, you're playing
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: an underdog. I'm just like, yeah, throw like a few
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: bucks on the on the money line with the underdog,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: just see what happens. You know, Oh man, something gotten
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: on my glasses there. But you know what I mean,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: like because you feel bad if that if they actually
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: pull off that huge upset and you won't be able
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: to say you called it on the on the money
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: on the outright upset. I mean, it's not gonna happen
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: in this game, but still, you know, just for fundsies,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: but again, put put like nine ninety five percent of
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: the bet, ninety seven percent of the bet on the underdog,
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: and case where it's a huge spread like this and
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: then just a little fun money on the money line.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do for huge spreads like this.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: But I think this is a bad spot for Clemson.
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: We know what they just did. They just had a
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: huge game, top ten matchup to open the season against
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: LSU and they start acc playing next week against Georgia Tech.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: And Georgia Tech is a solid team. Man, Like I said,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: so that's a big game. That's like, that's bigger than
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: the next couple of games after that. I would say
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Syracuse is way down now without McCord, UNC looks like
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: total ass. Georgia Tech looked good in their first game,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: and they are with Haines Kings. That's gonna be a
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: big game for Clemson. Man, So I think they might
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: just get in and get out against Troy. And this
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: isn't their home opener either, because their home opener was
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: against LSU. And I know it's difficult to come in
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: and play in Death Valley, but Clemson, I think they're
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: gonna not want to show a whole lot and get
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: in and get out, man like in these games. Now
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: with again, with the twelve team playoff, Clemson their goal
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: is get to the playoff. That's their goal, win the ACC,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: get to the playoff if they If they win the ACC,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: they'll be in the playoff by default anyway. So, but
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: you don't need style points as much as you used
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: to with only a couple of teams making the playoffs.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: So week two two or early in the season, you don't.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: You don't need to come in and intentionally blow teams out,
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: even though they might be a little bit pissed off
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: of that. LSU again, that was a grind, man, That
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: was a difficult game. Yes, Clemson, of course, does have
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: the ability to blow Troy out, but I don't think
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be totally motivated to do some. Man, And
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: if they're up by enough, they might start putting in
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: their backups, because again, you don't want to get guys hurt.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: That's the other thing about this. You don't want to
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: show like all the things you might do on offense
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: later in the seasons, you might go a little bit
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: vanilla against the team where you don't need to show
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: anything crazy. But you also might put in your backups
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: and get them some experience. Man, if you're up, if
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: you're ahead by enough later in the game, you might
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: see the backups come in and then you know your
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: team might not be scoring as much. As far as
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: Troy concerned, they didn't play that well last week against Nickels.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, Troy, they're a team, they've been in bowls
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: last couple of years. They're not a terrible team in
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt on Nichols is an FCS team, and
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: Troy didn't really do well in that game. And Troy,
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: they were tied in that game in the fourth quarter,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: they were losing the game in the fourth quarter, and
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: then they wound up winning by eighteen, but they were
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: losing the game with ten minutes to go in the game.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: So Troy, I think they know they escaped in that game. Man,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: they were a big favorite. And I don't even see
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: what the line was on that game, but you know
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: they were a big favorite in this game, Troy. They
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: the game was more lopsided than it appeared on the
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: scoreboard too. Troy outgained Nickels by well over one hundred yards.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: They had the time of possession, although barely had more
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: first downs. But again, a team like that, you're coming
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: off a game like that, I think Troy might have
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: just been looking ahead. Man, I think they're gonna be
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: focused on this game. So you have a team like Clemson,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: they're basically a sandwich spot coming off a huge game.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: There was a huge effort game. They got a big
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: conference game next, and Troy coming off a game where
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: they didn't play well as the favorite. So I think
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: that's gonna refocus Troy coming into this game. I don't
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: know if Troy still has like their quarterback from last
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: year that I suppose I should figure that out. They
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: have Goose Crowder now, actually the Goose is loose Goose crowdery.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: He's not a totally experienced guy though. Let me see
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: that's a touchdown drive. I want to look at Goose
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: Goose crowd or another dude. There are so many ridiculous
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: names in college Man. One of the names is Oh
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: my god, there was one crazy name who had like
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: a game winning touchdown. Man. I'll try to figure it out.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: I wish it because I looked through all these games
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: earlier today. It was Man. It was one of the
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: guys that makes the list of the most ridiculous college
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: football player names, and he had like a crucial touchdown
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: to win the game for whichever team it was. I
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: wish I remember now Man. But Goose crowder he's the
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: quarterback here. He's been around for a long time. He's
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: a junior, but he's been in college. It's twenty twenty
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: one with West Virginia. He's been with Troy for a
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: few years now though, and he hasn't played that much,
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: but he knows the system at least, so there is
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: at least that continuity there where he played a little
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: bit each of the last few years. He had to
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: come in for injured players and whatever. So he's the guy. Now,
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: so that season, I know Clemson has a ton of continuity.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: Clemson is bringing back like basically everybody. But in a
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: game like this, you know, it's it's about the situation,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: how motivated the teams are gonna be. So Troy plus
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: thirty one there, we're gonna have three huge underdogs and
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: then one favorite. We're gonna go. Rutgers minus fourteen. They're
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: up against Miami Ohio. Rutgers up from fourteen to fourteen
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: with juice. And I know this is a really low total,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: and I usually say, don't lay favorites like this with
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: a ridiculously low total of forty five. But Miami Ohio
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: they're just pitifall on offense. Man, I told you last
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: week I thought they might just get completely blanked by Wisconsin,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: and that is what happened. Miami Ohio. This is a
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: bad offense, dude. Seventy two tickets, eighty percent of the
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on Rutgers. The money seems like it
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Rutgers, kind of pushing it through
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: the key number. And part of the reason why I
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: like this, I just think Rutgers is going to be
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: totally embarrassed after what they did last week where I
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: told you they almost lost to Ohio and Rutgers had
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: that game in hand and then they almost blew it
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: because I think they just weren't paying attention. Where the
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: fuck are they right now? They're in the afternoon. I think, yeah,
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: this game's on peacock because they have some of the
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: big ten years Rutgers. I mean, they're a decent program.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: They have their quarterback back from last year, Calia Colia Kamanas,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: however you pronounce his name. They got him back from
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: last year. He's solid. But yeah, they didn't play a
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: good game, man, But they took their foot off the gas.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: I mean they were winning this game thirty one to
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: fourteen late in the game, pretty late in the game,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: in the third quarter, they totally took their foot off
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: the gas and then all of a sudden Ohio had
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: tied them up and then Rutgers had to win with
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: the late field goal in the fourth quarter or so. Rutgers,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: they were a big favorite. They were fifteen and a half.
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: And when you see a team like that, that's the
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: better team. And they're double digit favor like that, and
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: they have a scare like that. The public isn't really
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: gonna want to bet on them the next week because
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: it's like, well, how can they cover spread like that
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: if they almost lost last week. But what it does
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: is it focuses that team. You know they're gonna be
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: grinding throughout the week, man, because that was such a
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: bad performance from Rutgers and they don't have a big
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: game next week either. They got Norfolk State. That's an
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: FCS team who cares, So you know they're gonna be
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: looking at this game like they're gonna want to play
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: better in this game. And because they just had a
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: really close call against a MAC team, I think that
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: means they're gonna take another MAC team, Miami Ohio, way
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: more seriously because it's another MAC team and Miami Miami
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: Ohio is way worse than Ohio right now, man, Man,
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: I mean Miami Ohio. They were one of the better
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: teams in the MAC the last few seasons. But Miami
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: Ohio lost everybody on the offseason. Man. They lost Blaine Gabberts,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: brother was their quarterback for a bunch of years. He's gone,
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: he graduated. Their entire offense is new man, so there's
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of growing bands there. They're facing a Rutgers
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: team that does play pretty solid defense. I don't think
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is gonna score a lot of points in
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: this game, man, Just like I said last week, they didn't.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: They just had real, real problems offensively against Wisconsin. Wisconsin's
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: not really that good right now. Rutgers is actually probably
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: better than Wisconsin right now. And you're getting a price
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: at fourteen. I think it's definitely reasonable Miami Ohio. Again,
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: I think they're really gonna struggle here, man. And yet
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: it looks like they actually played decently against Wisconsin. Oh
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: my god, wisconstantly scored seventeen against them. Well, Wisconsin lost
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: their quarterback in the game, Edwards got injured, and actually
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: their backup quarterback actually played better. But yeah, they were
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: facing a Wisconsin team that was playing their second string quarterback.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin's really not that good right now, so I wouldn't
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: put that much stock into the fact that that game
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: was close. Miami Ohigh, it was just horrific offensively, So
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: we'll go with Rutgers. I know it's a low total,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: but I'm thinking Miami is really gonna struggle again to
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: put up points in that one. Yeah, that's what you
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: get now. With the the nil stuff. The transfer portal
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: is the ridiculous amount of red shirting. Whatever you can
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: multi year red shirt. I don't know what the fucking deals,
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: but yeah, you get fifth year juniors, you get there
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: are some third year freshmen out there right now. I mean,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: it's so stupid. It's just because you don't play enough
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: to qualify, you know, your first couple of years in
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: college football. It's wild, man, it's crazy. Next up we
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: got we're gonna be an hour and a half here. Man.
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: Speaking of Wisconsin, we're gonna fade them. We're gonna go
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: with Middle Tennessee State plus twenty eight and a half.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: I think this is gonna answer one of my questions
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: as far as where is this particular guy. I don't
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: like Wisconsin. Here man, Wisconsin, it seems like their injured
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: quarterback is coming back for this game Edwards after he
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: got injured in the middle of the first game. So again,
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: it's not an injured player there or anything like that,
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: because he started last game. He's gonna play again here.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: So the team's just gonna keep playing Wisconsin. Yeah, I know,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a game that wasn't that great really
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: against Miami Ohio. But they have a big game up
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: mex against Alabama. Man and Miami, Ohio that was still
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: their home opener. I just don't really trust Wisconsin here.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: Man in Alabama up next week is a huge game
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: for them. That's gonna be one of their bigger games
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: on the schedule. So I worry about that. Even though
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin I do. I believe they have a coach who's
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: now I think in his third year. There's a lot
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: of times that third year coach like he's got his
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: system in there now the team will be better like
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: with him, But Wisconsin still going through growing pains. Man.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: And on the other side, One of the main reasons
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: I like this is, look what happened in Middle Tennessee
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: last week. They lost to Austin Pee by twenty points
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: at home. That's ridiculous. But Austin P they're an in
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: state little brother Man in Tennessee. Both these teams are
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Schals and Austin P is an FCS team, and
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: Austin p showed up in that game. Man, they took
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: a pe in that game all over Middle Tennessee. Man.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee was a sixteen and a half point favorite
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: and lost the game in completely embarrassing fashion. Man, I mean,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: it's just ridiculous. So I think a game like that,
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: they got absolutely out. They got completely blown out in
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: the game. Man. They got dominated statistically too. It's just
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: unbelievable that that happened. It wasn't even a misleading final result.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: But Middle Tennessee is they were still the better team.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're still the better team as far as
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: the osmakers are concerned. Sixteen and a half point favorites there.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be totally embarrassed about that. And
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: maybe they were looking ahead because that was a team
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: against an FCS team. Maybe they didn't give a shit
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: and they were like, oh, we have Wisconsin up next.
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee does have their quarterback that they had for
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: at least some of the year last year in Vatiado.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: He is their quarterback. So he's back. That's at least something,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: So there's some content annuity there for him. I believe
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: he was the quarterback last year. And then make sure
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: of that. Where's he at here? Can we click on
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: him here? No? I don't think we can, right, I
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: gotta go to the ross. I forget. I don't know.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: I gotta go to the box score. I guess I
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: can do it, or no, I'll go to the roster
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: or whatever. But I think he was there last year
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: because I remember saying his name. So yeah, he's a senior,
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: so he's got experience. He's been at Middle Tennessee this
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: entire time too. He's an experienced guy, dude, So they
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: have some continuity there for Middle Tennessee with Vatiado there.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: But I like this Wisconsint. Their offense is not that prolific, man,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: so can they really cover? And this is one where
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: you really like to take the under Look at this
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: fucking total forty six and a half down to forty
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: four and a half, and you're asking wisconsinant to cover
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: a twenty eight and a half point spread with a
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: forty four and a half point total, Like are you
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: shitting me? So yeah, obviously the points are at a
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: premium like this, and you're getting twenty eight and a
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: half of them, Like Middle Tennessee probably won't have to
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: score that much in this game to even cover this number,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: because I don't think Wisconsin is gonna put up a
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: ton of offense. Seventy eight percent of tickets on them
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: on Wisconsin fifty five percent of the cash coming into
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee. So the money is agreeing with this on
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee. We're gonna do it. They're totally embarrassed right now. Yeah,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: they're Middle Tennessee. Got R kellyed by Austin P. That
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: should be R. Kelly's new name, Austin P. And then
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: we're gonna finish this off with the other huge underdog,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech plus thirty seven and a half. Baby, this
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a fade of LSU, man, I know,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: I know what it looks like. LSU. They're down from
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: thirty seven after thirty seven even now, so you might
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: have to take the plus thirty seven. It's not much
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: of a difference though. Fifty nine percent of tickets on
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: them seventy nine percent of the cash on Lots X,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: so the money's coming in on Lots CH. The total
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: has dropped quite a bit too, so there's a lot
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: of money coming in on the the under, even though
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: it's not really a low total necessarily fifty and a half.
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: It's not exactly high either, fifty and a half, but
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: the money season coming in in the under, which I
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: like as far as playing the underdog here. The money's
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: agree with me on the underdog here, and yeah, I
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: just don't think this is a good spot for LSU. Yeah,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: the ranked third in the country. And after that win,
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: but that was a huge win, they went into the
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: other Death Valley because both of those teams play at
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: Death Valley, and they beat Clemson, huge win, and it
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: got that monkey off their back because the whole thing.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: I even talked about it because they gave up Clemson
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: on the show Brian Kelly. The whole thing was he
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: can't win his first game. He never wins his first game.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: He had not done it with LSU in three years.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: He was zero for three in Week one and he
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: finally got over the hump. But got that done. Big win.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: And then who do they have up next after they play? Yes,
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: this is their home opener against Louisiana Tech, But I mean,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: come on, man, do you really think they're gonna pay
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: that much attention to a lot of Tech? And who
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: do they have up next? Florida? And not only is
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: it Florida, it's a huge se matchup, but Florida beat
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: LSU last year because I remember it was the dream
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: crusher scenario. After LSU lost to Alabama and that basically
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: ended LSU's playoff chance. So I was like, you gotta
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: fade LSU in the next game in the Dream Crusher
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: because they were just gonna be hung over from that
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: game against Alabama. I said, play Florida in that game.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: That was a win for me on this show last
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: year during my real hot streaking college football towards the
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: end of the season. Yeah, so that's a huge game.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: It's revenge. It's a big game anyway against an up
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: and coming Florida team. I think LSU might just get
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: in get out this game against Louisiana Tech. Man. Like
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: I said, they might just not want to show anything
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: for as far as Florida is concerned, because they have
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: them up next. They might not show what they're planning
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: on doing offensively against Florida. It's a pretty easy matchup
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: for them against Louisiana Tech. Again, they don't need style
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: points right now, this early in the season. Man, they
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: beat Clemson, they just need to beat these teams. Like,
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: they don't need to have style points. They just need
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: to make sure they don't lose. Get in, get out,
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: don't get your players hurt. You might see backups come in. Yes,
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: LSU does have nuss Meyer returning from last year, who
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: was their strong quarterback. They have a few guys returning
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: on their defense, and I guess the they have three
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: brothers now in their defense. The brothers are featured in
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: that Netflix documentary the What's Their Last Name Again? It
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: starts with the w I can't remember their last name
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: right now, but those guys, is it? Wells, maybe it's not.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: I forget whatever their name was. But their younger brother,
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: I guess, is on LSU now two and all three
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: of them are on the defense. I think the older
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: one got hurt. I don't even know, manber all three
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: of them are there. Whatever, LSU they did reload as well,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: so they are going to be better this year. I'm
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: not sure that they're quite as good as people think
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: they are after that win though, huge win, and you
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: know Louisiana tack at the very least, this is a
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: game they're gonna get up for because it's an in
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: state big brother, man, and they're coming off a game
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: against Southeast Louisiana, who are southeast from Louisiana. Whatever. Who
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: is actually playing Louisiana? Who is actually playing LSU? Next
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: week Louisiana Attack. I mean, it wasn't an impressive game, really, Louisiana.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Attack. Their quarterback's name is ku Kokkukuk. We're in
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: the ku kuk Klayan this week, Baby Trey Kukok. Let's
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: go baby. Oh man, he's a junior. I mean, he
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: doesn't have any college experience though, aside from he's only
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: played one game in college even though he's a junior.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: So I don't even know how he's a junior. And
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: I guess what did he walk on and be like, hey, yo,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: I want to play football for you. Oh my god?
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: And you know his game was mediocre in that game,
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: but whatever, We're gonna go with it. Man, Louisianattack. I
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: just think it's a game for LSU. I just think
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: they can get in, get out, not care about covering
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: the number. That's all it is. Hopefully kukock get against
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: us there the Cowboys do. I've been meaning to watch that,
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: especially because I gave out the Cowboys plus the points
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: and we got that done last night as well. So yeah,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I will watch. I'll watch that documentary. I
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: like obviously I like sports documentaries. I mean I'm an
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: older dude. At this point. All we do is watch
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: sports documentaries, history documentaries, and that one's Sports and History. Yeah,
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch it. I heard it's good. Even though
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not really a fan of the Cowboys, but they're
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: on my good side right now because they covered for
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: me last night. So I yeah, yeah, Bully Target, that's
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: gonna do it for the show Man, those are my plays.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: Let me just it's gonna really irritate me though. If
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: I don't remember who what was that guy's name? It was?
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, man, I just wish I remembered who
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: it was. There was there was a name that I
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: was looking at. I was like, oh my god, that
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: guy's name is crazy. I already knew, like I'd heard
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: the name before. And he scored a touchdown to win
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: the game for whatever team it was last week. It
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: might have been the one for Kent State. Let me
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: just look real quick because it's gonna bug me, but
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: I'll have to figure it out afterwards. If it's not
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: Kent State, I think it might have been though, uh yeah,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: there it is the realist Clark. There you go, man,
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: he was the one that won the game for them.
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: On a one hundred yard kick return where they almost
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: lost to Merrimack in the final five minutes. The realist Clark,
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: There you go, man, Yeah, I'm one of the best
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: names of college football. Obviously his last name needs to
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: be better though. Yeah, the realist Clark, there you go.
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: I'm my Boston Access coming down now. But anyway, my
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: plays this week one more time, Troy plus thirty one,
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Rutgers minus fourteen. None of these are all ugly, but
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: that's how I do it. Man. We're ugly on the show.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee State plus twenty eight and a half and
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech plus thirty seven and a half. That's the
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: one I probably like the least to be honest, but
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: that's what we're going with there. Yeah, I'm the realist.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: That's right, We're getting real in this show. Kool Aid McKinstry,
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: You know that was actually a guy's name, kool Aid McKinstry.
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: If that's what you call them cool aid people or
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: is it just or is it just because they they
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: drink kool aid? I don't know, but kool Aid McKinstry,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know where he went. I think it was
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: in the NFL for a while, but guys, thanks for
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: hanging out. I appreciate it. The Late night we got Curtis, Charles, JC, Andrew,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: Nate Mark. Did I get everybody? I don't know if
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: I got everybody, Uh, just Charles and Nate. Towards the
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: end of the show there, I think that was everybody,
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: though it seemed like it was more people in the
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: chat with us, so I think that was it. Hopefully
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: didn't forget anybody. Hopefully we get enough subscribers that I
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: can't even do that anymore and shout out everybody that's
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learned it to and I almost said
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: tower gang and learned it towed on Twitter, learned it toad, Instagram,
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: follow me everywhere, man, like, subscribe to the show. Let's
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: get this thing monetized. Better off dead on YouTube, We're
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: on the Spotify, Apple or whatever. You can give me
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: a review there. Get more people to come to the show. Man.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: Maybe people like it as autistic as I am. Hopefully
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: some of my jokes are funny here. Hopefully the information's good.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we're starting a new hot streak here and we
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: get some wins here. Don't want to slump? Yeah, and
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: then what else did I even have to say covered
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube. Uh. And
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: then I have a Patreon patroon dot com Learned Toad
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: with some bonus stuff Learned Toad. That's gonna do it, man,
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: we're keeping it the realist on this show. Yes, I'm
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: sad about the tower game. Man. Thank you, Charles. Yeah,
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: you're you're with me on here on Instagram. I appreciate it, man.
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: Even though I am an asshole to everybody, occasionally, I
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: just I get really irritated. Sometimes I get frustrated. I'm sorry, man,
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: too many people I don't know. Yeah, a lot of people. Yeah,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: just come out. I'm getting like bombarded with like replies
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: like like, oh man, anyway, thanks guys. I do appreciate it.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: It's very late. I'm gonna be up for a little while.
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: I gotta get this show out and then i'll be
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: back in the morning because we've got to talk baseball
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: for tomorrow in the morning. So we're gonna do that,
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: and we'll do basically kind of the closing line report
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: and just see how these lines are looking for college
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: football quickly. The ones that I gave out on the show,
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: at least before we finish, that's gonna do it, be
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: back with you in several hours, less than several hours.
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: Peace for now, guys. Thanks