Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | October 27, 2026 | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff. What's going on, everybody?
- 0:37Speaker 2: Welcome to the, I was going to say, some week
- 0:40Speaker 2: seven cash game countdown or something. Now, this is basketball.
- 0:43Speaker 2: This is Tuesday. Four games on tap. DraftKings and FanDuel.
- 0:47Speaker 2: You can see three games locked within the 30-minute window.
- 0:50Speaker 2: And then you have a three-hour break until the last
- 0:52Speaker 2: game of the night. Yeah, prizes are good. Non-football days,
- 0:56Speaker 2: so non-Mondays and Thursdays. I guess regardless of how many
- 0:59Speaker 2: games there are, prizes will be good on both sides.
- 1:01Speaker 2: So even though it's only four games, I prefer a
- 1:03Speaker 2: little more. Pretty easy in terms of if you want
- 1:06Speaker 2: to have some fun in real life or not be
- 1:08Speaker 2: glued to your computer like last night. And you get
- 1:10Speaker 2: a lot better prizes. So I'm excited for this one.
- 1:13Speaker 2: As always, joined by my man Rio.
- 1:14Speaker 1: How we doing, Hebrew Cheetah?
- 1:17Speaker 3: I'm doing good. Last night was some pretty good games.
- 1:19Speaker 3: Some really big fantasy scores out of a lot of
- 1:22Speaker 3: different players. I think we saw like four or five
- 1:24Speaker 3: guys top 60 DK points last night. So that was
- 1:27Speaker 3: pretty good to see. But yeah, like you said, four
- 1:30Speaker 3: games late. Don't love the 8 p.m.
- 1:31Speaker 4: Start time.
- 1:33Speaker 3: Not going to complain too much about it because I'll
- 1:34Speaker 3: definitely be sitting up and watching it.
- 1:36Speaker 4: But, yeah, good prize pools.
- 1:38Speaker 3: I believe this is the first Fantasy Basketball World Championship
- 1:42Speaker 3: ticket tonight or seat tonight. So I'll be in there
- 1:45Speaker 3: hopefully looking to get one of those or take down
- 1:47Speaker 3: the main tournament.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I'd love to hear that.
- 1:51Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't love the start time either,
- 1:52Speaker 2: but you can't complain. I'm in Wisconsin right now, and
- 1:55Speaker 2: it's 10 Eastern over here. So 8 p.m., you have
- 1:58Speaker 2: it better than I do and than other people. have
- 2:01Speaker 2: it worse than us at 11 on the East Coast.
- 2:03Speaker 2: I'll be up watching the Brew crew sweep and become
- 2:06Speaker 2: World Series champs tonight, though. I know as a former
- 2:08Speaker 2: baseball player yourself, Rio, anything you want to say about,
- 2:11Speaker 2: I got to say, one of the better teams we've
- 2:13Speaker 2: seen in a long time.
- 2:14Speaker 1: Anything to say about that?
- 2:15Speaker 3: No, it's great to see. Definitely was rooting for them
- 2:18Speaker 3: mainly because of, you know, you and Nades are big
- 2:21Speaker 3: Brewers fans. But yeah, like I said last week when
- 2:24Speaker 3: I believe it was before game one, just cool that
- 2:27Speaker 3: you have two of these smaller market teams and then
- 2:29Speaker 3: I think the Brewers were kind of hands down the
- 2:31Speaker 3: best team in the MLB start to finish, so pretty
- 2:34Speaker 3: cool to see them close it out with two pretty
- 2:36Speaker 3: emphatic sweeps, potentially sweeps, over Dodgers and the Rays.
- 2:42Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been really fun to watch over here for sure.
- 2:44Speaker 2: I mean, just that fifth inning alone, it was, I
- 2:47Speaker 2: don't know, six runs or whatever with two outs. They
- 2:49Speaker 2: just play the right way. Steal, small ball, bunt them over,
- 2:52Speaker 2: get good leads. It's really cool to watch. I've got
- 2:55Speaker 2: to say hi to our man Sean Sullivan, first king,
- 2:58Speaker 2: Philly Phantom, pair of eye. Go Collect, Gang Green, I
- 3:01Speaker 2: Am Rice, Avery, Flip Flop, Marquee, Alex Hahn. Great to
- 3:05Speaker 2: see everybody. All we ask is the like button and
- 3:07Speaker 2: the subscribe button.
- 3:08Speaker 1: It helps us out a ton. In terms of injury news,
- 3:11Speaker 1: very light on this slate.
- 3:12Speaker 2: The only Q tags, Azure Thompson, Scoot Henderson, Isaiah Joe
- 3:17Speaker 2: are the main ones.
- 3:18Speaker 1: I see Brendan Carlson, too. That doesn't really mean anything.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Too much but uh yeah as you like i mentioned
- 3:24Speaker 2: earlier that three of the games are within a 30
- 3:26Speaker 2: minute window and looking at the injury reports it's scoot
- 3:29Speaker 2: henderson is really the only one in this later game
- 3:33Speaker 2: that we'll be waiting on and i don't think you
- 3:34Speaker 2: should be changing any of your lineups or doing anything
- 3:37Speaker 2: crazy to backload just because of scoot henderson so any
- 3:40Speaker 2: broad slate for you injury wise or roster construction or
- 3:43Speaker 2: anything before we go game by game.
- 3:45Speaker 3: No, I mean, I think this one is interesting because
- 3:47Speaker 3: we have a couple of teams in really good spots,
- 3:49Speaker 3: but two games that are projected to blow out the
- 3:52Speaker 3: Boston game.
- 3:52Speaker 4: I like that spot for Boston.
- 3:54Speaker 3: The Spurs are obviously in a really good spot against
- 3:56Speaker 3: a terrible Kings defense. Yeah, I wouldn't want to go
- 4:00Speaker 3: too overboard on the Boston and Nets game in particular,
- 4:03Speaker 3: just because if there is a chance that a start sits,
- 4:06Speaker 3: that really does open up a ton of value because
- 4:08Speaker 3: we saw last game a ton of minutes really condensed
- 4:11Speaker 3: for the Pistons. They basically ran an eight man rotation.
- 4:14Speaker 3: Isaiah Joe did pick up injury in that game too.
- 4:16Speaker 3: So you're going to really want to jam in a
- 4:19Speaker 3: lot of these value plays on the piston side if
- 4:21Speaker 3: Asar does miss. And then the scoot one, it's just
- 4:25Speaker 3: tough because you're not going to have a lot of
- 4:26Speaker 3: roster flexibility there. But it is pretty big just because
- 4:30Speaker 3: he's running the point guard two role essentially behind John Morant.
- 4:35Speaker 3: And if he were to miss, that's 20 minutes that
- 4:38Speaker 3: you have to spread around to guys like Drew Holiday.
- 4:41Speaker 3: Maybe he gets up to 30 minutes. you can see
- 4:42Speaker 3: job playups like 32, maybe a couple more for Dame.
- 4:45Speaker 3: So fairly interesting slate in that sense. But overall, um, yeah,
- 4:50Speaker 3: just kind of looking at these games that are going
- 4:51Speaker 3: to blow out.
- 4:52Speaker 4: I do have a lot of interest.
- 4:53Speaker 3: In those teams, but it's just tough to make the
- 4:55Speaker 3: case for them with these bigger spreads.
- 4:57Speaker 2: Yeah. And we very well might get, uh, Azure Thompson
- 5:00Speaker 2: news before that Brooklyn Boston game as well, which makes
- 5:03Speaker 2: it a little easier.
- 5:04Speaker 1: We won't highly doubt we get the scoot news. Uh,
- 5:07Speaker 1: who else we got in there? What's up? Big money.
- 5:09Speaker 2: Uh, Desba, what's going on? Beetlebane, Beetlebane, what's up, Michael W.?
- 5:14Speaker 2: Beetlebane said, open all advice, trying 20 max today. So
- 5:18Speaker 2: we do have a perfect segue over at Chippin Nation,
- 5:21Speaker 2: our beautiful new homepage. But if you go to more
- 5:24Speaker 2: and you go to DFS process 101, you will be
- 5:29Speaker 2: able to, so you click on that, you can find NFL, PGA, MLB, NBA,
- 5:35Speaker 2: and MMA. So right here for NBA, you can say,
- 5:37Speaker 2: click go to course, and then you can, Sort it
- 5:40Speaker 2: however you want.
- 5:41Speaker 1: We talk about cash games, tournaments.
- 5:43Speaker 2: We do specify, I believe we did this a year
- 5:45Speaker 2: and a half or two years ago, but not much
- 5:47Speaker 2: has really changed in the NBA streets. But two hours,
- 5:50Speaker 2: we break down everything you need for NBA. So I
- 5:53Speaker 2: think that is a great place to start. That is
- 5:55Speaker 2: a premium piece. You do have to be a member
- 5:57Speaker 2: to get access to that. And you can see a
- 5:59Speaker 2: lot of different options. You click on see plans and pricing.
- 6:02Speaker 2: You can see everything monthly, annual packages. And it gets cheaper, obviously,
- 6:07Speaker 2: the longer you're with us. Core 100, you can build
- 6:09Speaker 2: 100 teams on SaberSim. You get Discord. You get access
- 6:14Speaker 2: to QuickSwap. But I think Starter is the best deal.
- 6:17Speaker 2: You're able to build 500 teams. You get SaberSim's projections
- 6:19Speaker 2: and ownership as well as ours. You get contest flashback
- 6:23Speaker 2: to see prior contests, see what the pros are doing.
- 6:26Speaker 1: And you get late swap, which is very important.
- 6:29Speaker 2: If you're playing $ 1, 000 a week or a couple hundred
- 6:32Speaker 2: dollars a day, I do think Ultimate, trying out the Sims,
- 6:35Speaker 2: is something that's worth noting. Again, annual is cheaper than monthly.
- 6:40Speaker 2: You can see 20% with starter and core, 10% with annual.
- 6:44Speaker 2: We also do just have single sport options as well.
- 6:47Speaker 2: For monthly, less than a dollar a day, you can
- 6:49Speaker 2: get all of our NBA content. Annual, just $ 17. And
- 6:52Speaker 2: if you do want to add Saber Sim, it is
- 6:54Speaker 2: a little more than that. So best time to join
- 6:57Speaker 2: for sure, though. If you look at all of our sports,
- 6:59Speaker 2: NFL is going on, college football is going on, NBA
- 7:02Speaker 2: is going on, PGA is still going on, good prizes
- 7:05Speaker 2: on Thursday. MLB will be over tonight, but hey, that's
- 7:08Speaker 2: one sport. MMA, NASCAR, and NHL all going on as well.
- 7:12Speaker 2: So we'd love to have you and definitely do get
- 7:14Speaker 2: in the Discord if you do join. Hey, back in
- 7:17Speaker 2: Wisco for the celebrations tonight. Yeah, I'll be at home,
- 7:20Speaker 2: but I am back in Wisconsin. Yeah, I say we
- 7:23Speaker 2: get right into it, Rio. First game of the night.
- 7:25Speaker 2: Big boy favorites. Again, I guess, yeah, broad slate. 12
- 7:28Speaker 2: and a half point favorites of the Celtics. 18 and
- 7:31Speaker 2: a half point favorites are the Spurs. The other two
- 7:33Speaker 2: are less than five, so It is pretty clear where
- 7:35Speaker 2: the blowout risk is on this slate. This game, though, yeah,
- 7:39Speaker 2: Celtics 12 and a half point favorites, 222 and a
- 7:42Speaker 2: half total in this one. On the Boston side, no
- 7:45Speaker 2: injury news to note. On the Brooklyn side, also no
- 7:48Speaker 2: new injuries to note. So take it away, Boston and
- 7:51Speaker 2: the Nets.
- 7:52Speaker 3: Yeah, so clearly a pretty good spot here for Boston,
- 7:55Speaker 3: just with the way that they play offense. I know
- 7:57Speaker 3: they're going to be taking a bunch of threes, and
- 8:00Speaker 3: whether or not they make them is another thing we
- 8:01Speaker 3: saw yesterday. In the opening night, the Pistons game looked
- 8:04Speaker 3: like they were kind of on their way to routing
- 8:06Speaker 3: them and then gave a 23-0 run because they're going
- 8:08Speaker 3: to live and die by the three.
- 8:11Speaker 4: But overall, good spot here.
- 8:12Speaker 3: The Nets are bottom eight in offense, bottom five in
- 8:15Speaker 3: defense after the first week of action.
- 8:17Speaker 4: Boston's top six and top ten in those stats.
- 8:20Speaker 3: Nets are one of the– last year they were one
- 8:23Speaker 3: of the best. I believe they're actually the best team
- 8:25Speaker 3: in terms of three-point frequency allowed.
- 8:28Speaker 4: And this year they're dead last.
- 8:29Speaker 3: So they flipped entirely in Boston is going to be
- 8:32Speaker 3: firing away a ton here, top five and three point frequency.
- 8:34Speaker 3: So I think there's a clear path for them. And
- 8:37Speaker 3: that's also generally a team that likes to run a
- 8:38Speaker 3: little bit slower. Boston's been playing down pace as well.
- 8:42Speaker 3: So I wouldn't be surprised if this is a lower
- 8:44Speaker 3: scoring game. I think of choosing one of the games
- 8:46Speaker 3: to get overweight on in the players between the two blowouts,
- 8:49Speaker 3: I would probably choose that Sacramento Spurs game a little
- 8:51Speaker 3: bit more just because the minutes and usage and.
- 8:54Speaker 4: Everything is much more condensed between those two teams.
- 8:57Speaker 3: Um, So as for the Nets side of things, I
- 9:00Speaker 3: really think you're only considering three guys. That's Randall, MPJ,
- 9:03Speaker 3: and De'Ron Sharp. You can make a case for Devin
- 9:05Speaker 3: because it is a pretty solid spot for him. The
- 9:08Speaker 3: Celtics have been giving up a ton of.
- 9:09Speaker 4: Threes as well.
- 9:10Speaker 3: He's kind of a streaky shooter, but he did have
- 9:13Speaker 3: a pretty big game against Cleveland and went 5-10 from
- 9:15Speaker 3: three in that one. But all in all, if I'm
- 9:17Speaker 3: choosing one of these guys, it's going to be Randall
- 9:19Speaker 3: or MPJ if spinning up or De'Ron Sharp in the
- 9:23Speaker 3: value tier. But there are some pretty solid center values tonight.
- 9:26Speaker 3: I'm not thinking that he's a great play um he's
- 9:30Speaker 3: kind of run poorly sharp has on fouls committed this
- 9:32Speaker 3: season the Celtics don't really draw a ton of fouls
- 9:35Speaker 3: because like I said they're going to be on the
- 9:37Speaker 3: perimeter a lot more so he should be safe there
- 9:40Speaker 3: and they're going to need his size and rebounding against
- 9:42Speaker 3: Mitchell Robinson and Demias Keita tonight so I in a
- 9:45Speaker 3: close game I could see him playing 30 to 32
- 9:47Speaker 3: minutes uh Boston's not been a great rebounding team so
- 9:50Speaker 3: far this season which is surprising because that was kind
- 9:52Speaker 3: of the main reason that they got Mitchell Robinson so
- 9:56Speaker 3: overall kind of a neutral to below average spot for
- 9:59Speaker 3: sharp just could get there because he is a solid
- 10:01Speaker 3: permanent producer and I think if choosing one of Randall
- 10:04Speaker 3: or MPJ Randall definitely has the better role he has
- 10:07Speaker 3: a 33% assist percentage 11% rebound rate so Definitely a
- 10:11Speaker 3: guy that's more likely to get there off the peripheral stats,
- 10:13Speaker 3: but I think the spot is slightly better for MPJ.
- 10:17Speaker 3: The Celtics are a decently big three-point funnel this season,
- 10:19Speaker 3: and he's still held pretty strong usage. So I don't
- 10:22Speaker 3: want to go overboard on these guys because I would
- 10:24Speaker 3: want to save some spots in case Asar does miss,
- 10:27Speaker 3: and I'm probably just overall going to be a max
- 10:29Speaker 3: two of Brooklyn.
- 10:30Speaker 4: Doubt I even get that many of those guys. It's
- 10:32Speaker 4: probably going to be a max one overall.
- 10:34Speaker 3: And then the Celtics side, it sounded like early in
- 10:37Speaker 3: the day a lot of people were expecting Mitchell Robinson
- 10:40Speaker 3: and Paul George to miss because they haven't really been
- 10:42Speaker 3: playing a ton of back-to-backs recently. But both those guys
- 10:45Speaker 3: are off the injury report. Derek White's probable, so they'll
- 10:48Speaker 3: have their fully healthy team. But yeah, Tatum's just had
- 10:52Speaker 3: an amazing role this season, like we expected, starting things off.
- 10:55Speaker 3: I think he's at a career high in usage. He's
- 10:57Speaker 3: second on the team in touch time, first in assist percentage.
- 11:00Speaker 3: So just a really strong role for a guy in
- 11:02Speaker 3: a really good spot. The Nets have been giving up
- 11:04Speaker 3: a ton of pretty big stat lines to opposing power
- 11:06Speaker 3: forwards this season.
- 11:07Speaker 4: So I like his chances.
- 11:08Speaker 3: Of putting up a big game here was on his
- 11:10Speaker 3: way to a big one last night, but just lost
- 11:13Speaker 3: about 10 minutes of run due to blowout tilting.
- 11:16Speaker 4: Yeah, it was tough. It looked like he was going
- 11:18Speaker 4: to crush and just didn't really do much in the
- 11:19Speaker 4: second half. Um, Payne Pritchard.
- 11:22Speaker 3: I mean, he was awesome in that game, 28 points
- 11:24Speaker 3: in just 22 minutes. So he's definitely in play. I
- 11:28Speaker 3: think like why didn't PG are just fine for their
- 11:30Speaker 3: price tags, probably prefer.
- 11:31Speaker 4: PJ PG a little bit more.
- 11:33Speaker 3: Um, just the Nets are going to be running a
- 11:37Speaker 3: lot of traps at lead ball handlers. So you're going
- 11:39Speaker 3: to see some really open looks for these secondary scoring options.
- 11:43Speaker 3: So Paul George is a guy that I'm definitely looking
- 11:45Speaker 3: at here. Derek White is just kind.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Of, I don't know.
- 11:49Speaker 3: The role hasn't been great for him. He's not taking
- 11:50Speaker 3: a ton of shots. He's shooting better, but on pretty
- 11:52Speaker 3: limited volume. So I'm going to have to wait and
- 11:55Speaker 3: see before going there. And then Keita and Mitch Robb
- 11:58Speaker 3: are going to be splitting things again.
- 11:59Speaker 4: I probably don't. I was excited to play Keita early.
- 12:02Speaker 3: On, but now that Mitch Robinson's back, they're running a–
- 12:05Speaker 3: somewhat of a three-man center rotation. It's just really hard
- 12:08Speaker 3: for any of these guys to separate in a big way.
- 12:10Speaker 3: So I'm not really too excited about the big men
- 12:14Speaker 3: for Boston.
- 12:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I think on FanDuel, Mitch Robb makes a lot
- 12:18Speaker 1: more sense.
- 12:18Speaker 2: Obviously, with their new format over there, centers with the
- 12:22Speaker 2: stock upside. Mitch Robb only 4K, so he makes more sense.
- 12:26Speaker 2: He will be higher-owned on FanDuel as well, though, by
- 12:28Speaker 2: quite a bit. Derek Waiea also tilted me yesterday, but
- 12:33Speaker 2: I mean, it is a four-game slate, so if you
- 12:35Speaker 2: are trying to get contrarian or Jason Tatum or Paul
- 12:38Speaker 2: George to get a good amount of ownership, if they fail,
- 12:42Speaker 2: maybe it is more Derek White and he's efficient from
- 12:44Speaker 2: the field. Don't hate it just to get different on
- 12:47Speaker 2: a smaller slate, but he is a tougher click. Would
- 12:49Speaker 2: definitely group away the Cato's, the Mitrov's.
- 12:52Speaker 1: Of the world.
- 12:53Speaker 2: Really don't have too much more to add. Would you
- 12:55Speaker 2: play Randall and MPJ together on this slate?
- 12:59Speaker 4: I'd have to look at exactly how they correlate, but
- 13:02Speaker 4: Off the top of my head.
- 13:02Speaker 1: I don't think that I would.
- 13:04Speaker 2: Saberson says it's good, but if I would, you're playing
- 13:08Speaker 2: this game to stay close. I would want at least
- 13:10Speaker 2: one Boston on the other side and maybe just you're
- 13:13Speaker 2: stacking the spends and hoping to back and forth. I
- 13:16Speaker 2: wouldn't mind Tatum in that lineup as well. Then you're
- 13:19Speaker 2: starting to spend a lot of money, but there is
- 13:21Speaker 2: some value we can get to later, and it's going
- 13:23Speaker 2: to be pretty low-owned.
- 13:24Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's a good point that you made
- 13:26Speaker 3: too just in terms of roster construction because there was
- 13:28Speaker 3: a little bit of discourse this morning in the discord
- 13:32Speaker 3: just talking about like stacking in a sport like NBA
- 13:35Speaker 3: like it's not necessary but the smaller that you make
- 13:38Speaker 3: these slates the more the more open you should be
- 13:42Speaker 3: doing something like that because if that is the game
- 13:45Speaker 3: that is close if that's the game that gets you
- 13:47Speaker 3: get overtime in like you know where the points are
- 13:50Speaker 3: coming from on Brooklyn side and these prices are pretty
- 13:53Speaker 3: pretty solid for Randall and MPJ so I think that
- 13:55Speaker 3: is kind of interesting I was kind of going to
- 13:57Speaker 3: allude to that in the Sacramento and Spurs game when
- 13:59Speaker 3: we got there But, yeah, I think it's a good
- 14:01Speaker 3: point that you brought up with MPJ and Randall.
- 14:04Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 14:05Speaker 2: Four games, like last night on the bigger slate, Minnesota
- 14:08Speaker 2: went to overtime and had plenty of good scores, but
- 14:11Speaker 2: it didn't mean as much as one of these four
- 14:13Speaker 2: games go to overtime.
- 14:15Speaker 1: It definitely means more.
- 14:16Speaker 2: The only other thing I got, and it's not even
- 14:18Speaker 2: about this game, but kind of Boston, like, bro, how
- 14:21Speaker 2: weird is Jalen Brown?
- 14:24Speaker 4: Yeah, he's kind of cringey. It's just cringey, if anything.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Cringy, weird. That dude's got something going on. But, yeah,
- 14:33Speaker 1: that's all. I'll leave it there.
- 14:34Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the second game. This one's
- 14:37Speaker 2: at 7 p.m.
- 14:40Speaker 1: Eastern. No, 8 p.m.
- 14:41Speaker 2: Eastern, 7 Central Time. Biggest favorites on the slate by
- 14:45Speaker 2: a lot. The Spurs, 18.5-point favorites over the Kings. 232.5 total,
- 14:49Speaker 2: one point less than the Lakers and the Blazers. Injuries
- 14:53Speaker 2: on this one on the Spurs side. No, Tobias Harris
- 14:56Speaker 2: on the Kings side.
- 14:58Speaker 1: No Keegan Murray. That is all I got. No Q
- 15:00Speaker 1: tags in this one.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Again, a big boy spread on this one. But we
- 15:05Speaker 2: are seeing some ownership, mainly Precious. Again, I'm taking our
- 15:09Speaker 2: average of Shippen Nation and Saberson over here. But Levine,
- 15:13Speaker 2: how do we pronounce this?
- 15:15Speaker 1: The A-cuff.
- 15:16Speaker 2: Man, that dude loves to chuck the ball, and I
- 15:18Speaker 2: would hate to play with him. But, yeah, for DFS,
- 15:21Speaker 2: anyone that's going to shoot the ball 25-plus times, I
- 15:24Speaker 2: don't care what his price is, I'll have some interest.
- 15:26Speaker 2: Can he sustain that, though? before he just loses all
- 15:31Speaker 2: friends on the team. I'm curious to hear your take
- 15:32Speaker 2: on that.
- 15:34Speaker 3: I mean, it sounds like he can. Doug Christie is
- 15:36Speaker 3: encouraging him to continue to be aggressive. I think everybody
- 15:40Speaker 3: on the Kings roster right now knows that they're not
- 15:43Speaker 3: part of the long-term plan, so it's like, let's let
- 15:45Speaker 3: this younger guy develop. I don't know what and who
- 15:49Speaker 3: they would be trading Sabonis and Levine and these other
- 15:52Speaker 3: guys like Malik Monk for, but I'd imagine they're not
- 15:55Speaker 3: on the team Definitely not past this year, but I
- 15:58Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised if they get traded at some point
- 15:59Speaker 3: this season. Levine's a little bit harder to trade because
- 16:01Speaker 3: I think he has a really dumb, expensive salary right now.
- 16:06Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, everything points to Chrissy encouraging him
- 16:10Speaker 3: to continue to do it. So like you said, it's
- 16:12Speaker 3: hard to overlook somebody with that high of a usage
- 16:15Speaker 3: rate and taking that many shots. He just hasn't put
- 16:17Speaker 3: it all together yet. I mean, I don't think that
- 16:20Speaker 3: this would be the matchup for him to do it,
- 16:22Speaker 3: but I'm still going to be playing him basically every
- 16:25Speaker 3: night that we get a chance to on these main
- 16:26Speaker 3: slates just because when he does put it together, it
- 16:29Speaker 3: could look like a really, really big game.
- 16:31Speaker 4: The usage is just outrageous for him.
- 16:36Speaker 3: As far as how the matchup goes here between these
- 16:38Speaker 3: two teams, the Kings look like the worst team in
- 16:40Speaker 3: the NBA this season. They're bottom three defensive rating, bottom
- 16:43Speaker 3: five in offensive rating. Spurs have so much working in
- 16:45Speaker 3: their favor here. Kings are also bottom six in three-point defense,
- 16:49Speaker 3: bottom three pick-and-roll defense, bottom six transition defense.
- 16:52Speaker 4: So there's just.
- 16:53Speaker 3: You could pick anybody on the Spurs. They're going to
- 16:55Speaker 3: have a really good matchup here. Spurs, I think this
- 16:58Speaker 3: is a great get-right spot for them. They've been pretty
- 17:01Speaker 3: underwhelming so far this season, slightly above average defense, but
- 17:03Speaker 3: a below average offense. I'd expect the efficiency to be
- 17:06Speaker 3: there tonight, though. This is just a really good get-right
- 17:09Speaker 3: spot for 1B and Co. But yeah, the Kings side
- 17:13Speaker 3: of things, I already mentioned the 8-cup stuff, but a
- 17:16Speaker 3: lot of that applies to Sabonis and Levine as well.
- 17:19Speaker 3: We've seen there be a little bit of Coach speak
- 17:21Speaker 3: about getting Sabonis more involved in offense. Even Acuff said
- 17:24Speaker 3: that after the first or second game, and you saw
- 17:27Speaker 3: what the upset could look for him like when he
- 17:29Speaker 3: does get more involved, had the triple-double in game two,
- 17:31Speaker 3: 50 points in game one. The Portland, I think, is
- 17:35Speaker 3: a pretty solid defense as well. Maybe not as good
- 17:37Speaker 3: as the Spurs are. But yeah, if the Kings are
- 17:40Speaker 3: able to keep it close, I expect one of these
- 17:41Speaker 3: vets and maybe Acuff to be a reason why.
- 17:43Speaker 4: So that's kind of why I'm thinking about applying that
- 17:46Speaker 4: same rule.
- 17:46Speaker 3: Like if I have two of Sabonis, Acuff, or Levine
- 17:50Speaker 3: than to have one of Wemby, Castle, Fox, or Harper.
- 17:54Speaker 3: I think that those guys on the Spurs side could
- 17:57Speaker 3: get there without bringing back a Kings sub, so I
- 17:59Speaker 3: don't know. I have to see if there's enough rosters
- 18:02Speaker 3: that I have that have Wemby and no other Kings
- 18:05Speaker 3: because I don't want that to be an overlapping rule.
- 18:08Speaker 3: But yeah, I do think that if these Kings guys
- 18:10Speaker 3: get there, you're probably bringing along some of these Spurs
- 18:12Speaker 3: guys because this is a pretty appealing game overall from
- 18:16Speaker 3: a game total standpoint.
- 18:19Speaker 2: Yeah go ahead oh i would just keep going i'll
- 18:23Speaker 2: say it at the end it's just surprising i guess
- 18:25Speaker 2: that the kings are garnering like more ownership like i
- 18:28Speaker 2: don't even necessarily know if it's sorted there like if
- 18:31Speaker 2: fox is going to be higher than like levine and
- 18:33Speaker 2: acuff like three of the top four highest owned guys
- 18:36Speaker 2: in this game very well might be from the king's side.
- 18:39Speaker 3: Yeah i i don't we've had this issue before with
- 18:42Speaker 3: saverson early in the day where the ownership does skew
- 18:44Speaker 3: a little bit like there's no way that I don't
- 18:46Speaker 3: think even on four game slates, the bonus is going
- 18:48Speaker 3: to be less than 1% known. So I probably wait
- 18:50Speaker 3: to see what it looks like. But yeah, if that
- 18:52Speaker 3: is true, that doesn't feel as good. Like I wouldn't
- 18:55Speaker 3: want to be overweight on a cuff or Levine at
- 18:58Speaker 3: like 20 and 30%. It was more so if they
- 19:00Speaker 3: were going to be five to 10%, then you get
- 19:02Speaker 3: around 20%.
- 19:03Speaker 4: I think they're going to be over 20.
- 19:05Speaker 1: All right.
- 19:06Speaker 3: Then I would probably walk back on what I've been
- 19:09Speaker 3: saying about them. Cause I think that they looked a
- 19:10Speaker 3: lot better just at their projected ownership that I was
- 19:13Speaker 3: seeing earlier in the day. But if that's not going
- 19:14Speaker 3: to be true, then, I wouldn't want to be taking
- 19:17Speaker 3: an overweight stance on a team that has a lot
- 19:20Speaker 3: of ways that they can fail, and they're not even
- 19:22Speaker 3: coming in with low ownership.
- 19:24Speaker 2: But yeah, definitely do refresh. No way Sabonis is going
- 19:27Speaker 2: to be less than that. I just think it's going
- 19:30Speaker 2: to be Tatum. I think Wendy's going to be relatively
- 19:32Speaker 2: low on. I think it's going to be Tatum, and
- 19:34Speaker 2: then 6K, 5K, and then some of this mid-tier type
- 19:38Speaker 2: stuff and be a lot more balanced, which the Kings
- 19:41Speaker 2: do fit some, just straight on projection and usage.
- 19:44Speaker 1: But yeah, I could be wrong for sure.
- 19:46Speaker 4: Yeah, Yeah. So we'll see. I think Levine is fine though.
- 19:49Speaker 3: If, if the ownership is a little bit lower, just
- 19:51Speaker 3: cause he's been had a really good usage role.
- 19:54Speaker 4: I think that he probably has a little bit of
- 19:56Speaker 4: a better matchup.
- 19:56Speaker 3: I think they'll have castle on a cuff cause they
- 19:59Speaker 3: usually like to put castle on the lead ball handler.
- 20:01Speaker 4: So that probably means don't Harper on Levine. Definitely. I
- 20:05Speaker 4: Harper's a really good defender too. He's huge for a guard.
- 20:08Speaker 3: Um, but if a guy has taken 25 field goal attempts,
- 20:10Speaker 3: he's going to be playing a ton of minutes too.
- 20:12Speaker 3: Like it's hard to say that he's a bad play
- 20:15Speaker 3: at 6.5 K with that type of role. Um, and
- 20:18Speaker 3: the precious is going to be the chalk, uh, probably
- 20:21Speaker 3: the chalk is value playing the slave, but for good reason.
- 20:23Speaker 3: I mean, Doug Christie loves this guy. He wants to
- 20:25Speaker 3: play him a ton. No Keegan Murray's opening up the
- 20:27Speaker 3: door for him to play a ton. 39 minutes last game,
- 20:30Speaker 3: got a double, double been solid. in the two games
- 20:32Speaker 3: prior as well. So I'm totally fine with precious. If
- 20:35Speaker 3: he's going to be playing as much as he is,
- 20:36Speaker 3: I'd probably cut it off there though. I don't know
- 20:38Speaker 3: if there's enough, like, like maybe we run into a
- 20:41Speaker 3: good game from Malik monk, but they've been capping him
- 20:44Speaker 3: at like 12 minutes. I'm not really sure what's going
- 20:45Speaker 3: on there. I see cloud and getting a little bit
- 20:48Speaker 3: of ownership, not my type of guy.
- 20:49Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 20:52Speaker 1: Who's getting the blowout. All right.
- 20:54Speaker 2: Kings are up 25 going into the fourth quarter, 30
- 20:57Speaker 2: going into the fourth. I mean, I'm like a slate,
- 20:59Speaker 2: like yesterday, I don't even really care. But it could
- 21:02Speaker 2: get a little interesting on a four game. Who's going
- 21:04Speaker 2: to get some first half run that just will still
- 21:07Speaker 2: get like all the last eight minutes or something if
- 21:11Speaker 2: there is anybody on the Kings side. So their minutes
- 21:14Speaker 2: are clearly under projected in blowouts, but still aren't drawing
- 21:17Speaker 2: stone dead if it is a close game.
- 21:20Speaker 3: I'd have to double check, but it seems like this
- 21:22Speaker 3: Emmanuel Sharp guy is one of those guys that's playing
- 21:25Speaker 3: first and second half. And then I would say Plowden
- 21:27Speaker 3: and Mobo. But, I mean, you look back at game,
- 21:30Speaker 3: at night one, they got blown out. I think they
- 21:32Speaker 3: were down by, like, 20 or something going into the
- 21:34Speaker 3: fourth quarter against the Clippers. And then they still had
- 21:37Speaker 3: their guys out there. Like, Acuff and Levine played 36.
- 21:39Speaker 3: Savonis played 34.
- 21:40Speaker 2: They just know it's going to be a normal occasion,
- 21:44Speaker 2: so you might as well. Just another night for the Kings.
- 21:47Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 21:47Speaker 3: And you do see that a little bit more in
- 21:49Speaker 3: the beginning of the season because these teams are just,
- 21:52Speaker 3: they're still starting to learn about their team.
- 21:53Speaker 4: Like, we saw the heat down early.
- 21:56Speaker 3: What was it like 20 something against Minnesota and both
- 21:59Speaker 3: teams had their stars out there until about a minute
- 22:01Speaker 3: or two left in the game. So these teams will
- 22:03Speaker 3: probably be playing it at close to straight up early on,
- 22:06Speaker 3: maybe a little bit less so now, but yeah, I
- 22:08Speaker 3: think that the Kings have a pretty straightforward rotation.
- 22:12Speaker 1: Anything else in this one?
- 22:14Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, this first side, I think all these
- 22:16Speaker 3: guys look really good. It's going to be a max
- 22:17Speaker 3: two of Castle Fox and Harper for me. I like
- 22:19Speaker 3: all these guys a ton, just really hard to get
- 22:23Speaker 3: multiple of them separating in a big way. Um, how
- 22:27Speaker 3: I would rank the guards. It's really close, but I think,
- 22:32Speaker 3: I think I'm leaning Fox first. The issue is that
- 22:36Speaker 3: the dual positional, uh, point guard shooting guard side look
- 22:39Speaker 3: really good. So just having that flexibility will probably lean
- 22:41Speaker 3: to a little bit more Dylan Harper, but Fox has
- 22:44Speaker 3: had a pretty solid role, 40% assist percentage this season,
- 22:47Speaker 3: leading the team in touch time. If it's going to
- 22:49Speaker 3: be a cup guarding him, that's definitely a really good spot.
- 22:51Speaker 3: I think that he probably does pick up that matchup. Um, Harper,
- 22:55Speaker 3: the usage and offense involvement has been pretty solid, but
- 22:58Speaker 3: he hasn't been adding enough of the peripheral stats to
- 23:01Speaker 3: really be a dominant DFS option just yet. Great matchup here,
- 23:05Speaker 3: so it could come tonight, and maybe this is a
- 23:07Speaker 3: spot where Fox takes a little bit of a step
- 23:09Speaker 3: back for the younger guys like Harper and Castle. Castle
- 23:13Speaker 3: is second on the team behind usage, or in usage
- 23:15Speaker 3: behind Wemby, but same thing for him. Sharing touches with
- 23:18Speaker 3: Fox and Harper have been a little bit tougher. The
- 23:21Speaker 3: one thing that I found interesting with Castle was that
- 23:24Speaker 3: He's been a lot more reliant on the jumper this season,
- 23:26Speaker 3: taking eight or more threes per game and only has
- 23:29Speaker 3: one free throw attempt so far. So I'd prefer him
- 23:32Speaker 3: to see, prefer to see him attacking the basket a
- 23:34Speaker 3: little bit more, but it seems like they're really making
- 23:36Speaker 3: a point of emphasis to develop.
- 23:38Speaker 4: The jumper from him this season. And he's been solid.
- 23:40Speaker 4: Like the three-point percentage is decent this year.
- 23:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 23:45Speaker 3: I like, I really like Wimby here. He's killed Sabonis
- 23:47Speaker 3: in the past. I was looking through some of their
- 23:49Speaker 3: matchups over the past couple of seasons. I don't think
- 23:51Speaker 3: that they faced off last year, but, I mean, he
- 23:54Speaker 3: has in the last three matchups, 80 and a half
- 23:57Speaker 3: DK points, 71 and a half, 62.8. And then he
- 24:00Speaker 3: had a dud in 41.3 at this price. That would
- 24:03Speaker 3: not be good. But those other three games look really solid.
- 24:06Speaker 3: And Savonis is a guy that I really like to attack.
- 24:08Speaker 3: So I just don't think that he's that great of
- 24:10Speaker 3: a defender. A lot of the value is coming from
- 24:12Speaker 3: the center position tonight. So Webby could really get squeezed
- 24:16Speaker 3: in a big way. I'd want to be overweight there.
- 24:17Speaker 3: I think that this is like the spot to buy
- 24:20Speaker 3: into him having.
- 24:21Speaker 1: A big game.
- 24:23Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely think Wemby gets squeezed in this one.
- 24:25Speaker 2: Would you make it a point to run any King
- 24:28Speaker 2: back with Wemby? Or no, because he can get there
- 24:32Speaker 2: in 29 minutes and get you 60-something, and still the
- 24:35Speaker 2: Kings just flop.
- 24:36Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think that you need to, because I
- 24:38Speaker 3: could definitely see a hyper-efficient game from him in like
- 24:41Speaker 3: 30 minutes.
- 24:42Speaker 4: 30 points, double-digit rebounds, handful of steals and blocks.
- 24:46Speaker 1: Makes sense.
- 24:47Speaker 2: You probably aren't going to get all three of Castle, Harper,
- 24:50Speaker 2: and Fox, but you make a rule to avoid that. Obviously,
- 24:53Speaker 2: they're all guards, so it feels wrong.
- 24:56Speaker 1: But, again, we're only talking four games.
- 24:58Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd probably be a max two of those three.
- 25:00Speaker 1: Makes sense. I got nothing else in this one. You?
- 25:04Speaker 3: No, Keldon and Champagny are definitely guys that are in
- 25:06Speaker 3: the player pool tonight. Just you're going to need some
- 25:08Speaker 3: value at the forward position. So those guys are fine.
- 25:10Speaker 3: I think Champagny's a.
- 25:11Speaker 1: Little bit better, though.
- 25:12Speaker 2: For sure, especially if you are playing Wemby, you need
- 25:14Speaker 2: some value. And they're not looking to get too much ownership.
- 25:17Speaker 1: Oh, Jake was at the game last night. All right,
- 25:19Speaker 1: all right. Good luck tonight, Jake. You'll need it. All right,
- 25:23Speaker 1: next game on the slates. We did get a quote that.
- 25:28Speaker 2: They're optimistic Thompson plays today, so I'm just going to
- 25:31Speaker 2: go based on that he's playing. Again, we might get
- 25:34Speaker 2: clarity before that 6.30 game, but I'm assuming he plays
- 25:38Speaker 2: after that quote, so don't shy away from the Brooklyn-Boston
- 25:41Speaker 2: game if you like it because.
- 25:43Speaker 1: Of Thompson news.
- 25:45Speaker 2: Four net point favorites are the Knicks over the Pistons, 219.5 total,
- 25:49Speaker 2: the lowest on the slates. In terms of injury news
- 25:51Speaker 2: for this one, no Jose Alvarado on the Knicks, and
- 25:53Speaker 2: then Isaiah Joe is questionable, as well as Thompson, but
- 25:57Speaker 2: they're optimistic about him. Obviously, Durin is going to be
- 26:00Speaker 2: out for a couple weeks. Paul Reed was– I mean,
- 26:03Speaker 2: I had 100% Paul Reed. I think it was Sunday.
- 26:06Speaker 2: He was like 84% owned. Still thought it was– he
- 26:08Speaker 2: didn't even do that great. He was on the winner, though.
- 26:10Speaker 2: I still thought 84% was too low. That kind of
- 26:13Speaker 2: just shows NBA is its own beast. Like in NFL
- 26:17Speaker 2: and MLB, NHL, there's no chance– 85% or 90% or
- 26:22Speaker 2: I'm getting 100% of players. I shouldn't say NFL, I guess.
- 26:26Speaker 2: Some of them is completely, completely mispriced. But still, NBA,
- 26:30Speaker 2: that's sometimes the right move. You're seeing a lot of ownership, though,
- 26:33Speaker 2: with Paul Reed. And I think this number is probably
- 26:36Speaker 2: higher when it's all said and done. But Pistons, Knicks,
- 26:39Speaker 2: close spread, looking to get some ownership in this one.
- 26:42Speaker 1: What do you think?
- 26:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think this is a pretty good game.
- 26:45Speaker 3: Should be at least fun from a viewing standpoint. Two
- 26:47Speaker 3: of the better teams in the East, although... The Knicks
- 26:50Speaker 3: still searching for their first win. But yeah, two defensively-minded teams.
- 26:54Speaker 3: Detroit's sixth this season so far.
- 26:55Speaker 4: Knicks are twelfth. Expect them to get better as the
- 26:58Speaker 4: season goes along.
- 26:59Speaker 3: Yeah, New York is allowing the fourth-highest three-point frequency this season.
- 27:03Speaker 3: Detroit is a team that's kind of letting teams eat
- 27:07Speaker 3: in the mid-range a little bit more, so I think
- 27:08Speaker 3: it's a fine spot for Brunson. But there's really not
- 27:11Speaker 3: a ton of huge holes defensively outside of the Knicks
- 27:13Speaker 3: being a three-point final. Detroit is not that great of
- 27:16Speaker 3: a three-point shooting team, although they did get better and
- 27:19Speaker 3: They have a couple of guys that are performing well
- 27:22Speaker 3: above expectations so far this season. They had two elite
- 27:25Speaker 3: pick-and-roll defenses this year, so not a great on-paper matchup
- 27:28Speaker 3: for these star point guards. We saw last game Paul
- 27:32Speaker 3: Reed in the starting lineup. They basically ran an eight-man rotation.
- 27:36Speaker 3: Javante Green and John Collins were kind of checking in
- 27:39Speaker 3: at that 4-5 spot behind Reed, and Reed did run
- 27:42Speaker 3: into some foul trouble. So I agree with you that
- 27:45Speaker 3: playing 100% of him was definitely the right move. Because
- 27:48Speaker 3: I don't know what he was priced at on that slate,
- 27:49Speaker 3: but even at like 5.2K, he seems undervalued or underpriced.
- 27:55Speaker 1: I can check real quick. I think he was cheaper.
- 27:58Speaker 2: He was, oh, I thought I was able to, I'll
- 28:01Speaker 2: find it when you're continuing to talk.
- 28:04Speaker 1: Regardless what it was, though, it was too cheap.
- 28:08Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, so as for the Piston side of things,
- 28:12Speaker 3: with Durant out, we do see a small increase for
- 28:15Speaker 3: Cade in terms of his usage, but a slight decrease
- 28:17Speaker 3: to the assist percentage in the non-Durant minutes. Knicks have
- 28:21Speaker 3: generally been using a mixture of matchups against Cade. It's
- 28:25Speaker 3: been a little bit of Mikael Bridges, a little bit
- 28:26Speaker 3: of OG over the past couple seasons. He's done fine
- 28:29Speaker 3: against both those guys, averaging over 21 points for 75,
- 28:32Speaker 3: double-digit assists for 75, and then a really wide range
- 28:36Speaker 3: of fantasy scoring, had a high of 69 DK points
- 28:40Speaker 3: last year and a low of 27.3. I think him
- 28:43Speaker 3: at single-digit ownership is pretty solid, but definitely not a
- 28:46Speaker 3: guy that I think is much better than some of
- 28:48Speaker 3: the spend-ups around him. I'd find the salary to get
- 28:51Speaker 3: up to Luka. I think Wemby's better. Tatum is a
- 28:54Speaker 3: lot better. But yeah, he's definitely in play here. It's
- 28:57Speaker 3: just generally a pretty low over-under. Don't think I want
- 29:00Speaker 3: to go too overboard there. And then, yeah, you mentioned
- 29:03Speaker 3: that Asar, it sounds like he's going to play tonight,
- 29:05Speaker 3: so that was... taking my interest off of Dennis Jenkins
- 29:08Speaker 3: and guys like Herter and Duncan Robinson pretty much out
- 29:11Speaker 3: of play because we saw them really condense last game.
- 29:14Speaker 3: But I think with the start back, he's going to
- 29:16Speaker 3: take enough handling and minutes away from those guys. I
- 29:18Speaker 3: actually do think that Duncan is somewhat interesting just because
- 29:21Speaker 3: he's been shooting the lights out so far this season.
- 29:24Speaker 3: I think he's averaging like 19 points per game and
- 29:26Speaker 3: over five threes made per game. And nobody's going to
- 29:28Speaker 3: be playing him. You're really just hoping for a really
- 29:31Speaker 3: high scoring output game for him because he's not going
- 29:33Speaker 3: to add much else. But, yeah, he's playing a good
- 29:36Speaker 3: amount of minutes, probably getting him around like 30 minutes
- 29:39Speaker 3: a night.
- 29:39Speaker 4: I actually don't even know if a good game from
- 29:41Speaker 4: him would be enough, but I think.
- 29:43Speaker 1: I'll make sure. I'm in. I'm definitely in.
- 29:46Speaker 2: His usage over 20 each game, and when he's hot,
- 29:49Speaker 2: like that Boston game, he's the sole reason they got
- 29:51Speaker 2: back in it. He's just so good off screens, and
- 29:55Speaker 2: he's always ready.
- 29:56Speaker 1: He can draw fouls, IP.
- 29:58Speaker 2: Honestly, where we got to look, get a little contrarian,
- 30:01Speaker 2: I'll overspend for a guy that's very volatile like him
- 30:04Speaker 2: because that's how you get Wemby. That's how you can
- 30:06Speaker 2: jam Tatum chalk and all that. So, yeah, I'm in
- 30:09Speaker 2: on Duncan for sure. Does Isaiah Joe news do anything
- 30:13Speaker 2: for him?
- 30:14Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 30:14Speaker 3: I mean, I think that the back end rotation will
- 30:16Speaker 3: definitely condense a little bit more. That's probably more of
- 30:18Speaker 3: a Kevin Herter thing. I think that Herter probably steps
- 30:21Speaker 3: in for whatever minutes that they would be giving Isaiah Joe.
- 30:24Speaker 3: and maybe a little bit more of Dennis Jenkins. But, yeah,
- 30:27Speaker 3: he should be pretty safe. Like 28 is the low,
- 30:30Speaker 3: and I would say 32 is probably the high for Herter,
- 30:33Speaker 3: which is solid for him.
- 30:34Speaker 1: For Herter, you mean Duncan? Sorry, for Duncan, yeah, yeah.
- 30:37Speaker 3: He's been above 27 DK points in every game this season.
- 30:40Speaker 3: So that would be solid for him. That's almost 6X
- 30:43Speaker 3: his salary, so that's pretty good. And on the same note,
- 30:48Speaker 3: I would add in a little bit of a sprinkle
- 30:49Speaker 3: of Dennis Jenkins because they really like him. And they're
- 30:52Speaker 3: going to need some secondary handling for the non-cade minutes.
- 30:56Speaker 3: Not sure if they're going to want to give all
- 30:57Speaker 3: that to Asar coming off the injury. He's been really strong,
- 31:00Speaker 3: can really fill up the stat sheet in a big way.
- 31:03Speaker 3: I have nothing to say about Reid. I think that
- 31:05Speaker 3: he's a totally solid value play tonight. 5.2K, probably a
- 31:09Speaker 3: core play, I would say. And then Collins, I think
- 31:12Speaker 3: we're starting to get to the max price tag for him. Yeah,
- 31:16Speaker 3: I just don't know if a good game, which has
- 31:18Speaker 3: been 35.25 in his last two games is going to
- 31:21Speaker 3: be enough at his price tag.
- 31:23Speaker 1: Paul Reed was 4-2 on that slate, which is sure.
- 31:27Speaker 2: And do you agree that 45% is probably too low
- 31:30Speaker 2: even in the flagship?
- 31:32Speaker 3: Yeah, I do agree that it's going to be too low.
- 31:35Speaker 4: I'd probably end up with like 70% tonight.
- 31:37Speaker 2: You think that's miscalculating what the field's going to do too?
- 31:40Speaker 2: I'm thinking like a 57% or something.
- 31:43Speaker 1: What do you think?
- 31:44Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean there's enough cheap center options that they
- 31:47Speaker 3: might He might be safe, like Sharp and Keita are
- 31:51Speaker 3: getting a little bit.
- 31:53Speaker 4: Robert Williams for cheaper.
- 31:54Speaker 3: Collins, same team, but center position. It's probably closer to
- 31:59Speaker 3: like 55.
- 31:59Speaker 4: I would say.
- 32:00Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how I see it.
- 32:04Speaker 3: That's it for me on the Pistons side of things.
- 32:06Speaker 3: Nick's side, it's pretty much just the starters. I'm not
- 32:09Speaker 3: going to mess around with any of the bench guys.
- 32:12Speaker 3: I think we got as good of a game as
- 32:14Speaker 3: we'll ever get from Andre Drummond night one, and nobody
- 32:16Speaker 3: was playing him.
- 32:18Speaker 1: So annoying.
- 32:19Speaker 4: Yeah, that was awful.
- 32:20Speaker 2: Cat can't stay out of foul trouble.
- 32:22Speaker 1: No.
- 32:23Speaker 3: Yeah, it's always been the issue for him. But, yeah,
- 32:27Speaker 3: I mean, I like the spot for both Cat and
- 32:28Speaker 3: Brunson here. I think that Cat has a pretty solid matchup,
- 32:32Speaker 3: probably a little bit better matchup than Brunson does. Paul Reed,
- 32:35Speaker 3: fine defender, but not on the same level as Jalen Duren.
- 32:38Speaker 3: Cat's been very consistent this year, double-doubles in each of
- 32:41Speaker 3: his three games, 22 points in back-to-back games. I think
- 32:44Speaker 3: it's a fair price tag for Cat. As for Brunson,
- 32:46Speaker 3: it's just, there's a lot of really solid point guard
- 32:49Speaker 3: and point guard shooting guard options tonight that might make
- 32:51Speaker 3: him a little bit tougher to get to, but yeah,
- 32:54Speaker 3: I mean, he's struggling a bit this season, definitely not
- 32:55Speaker 3: playing as.
- 32:56Speaker 4: Good as we would expect from him.
- 32:57Speaker 3: Asar sounds like he's going to play and Asar has
- 33:01Speaker 3: done really well against Brunson in the past, held him
- 33:03Speaker 3: to under 18 points for 75, 54% true shooting. So
- 33:06Speaker 3: pretty poor numbers for Brunson. Um, Maybe Asar is a
- 33:11Speaker 3: little bit limited and you get a guy like Cade
- 33:13Speaker 3: on Brunson a little bit more or somebody else, not
- 33:15Speaker 3: sure who else they put on him, like maybe Jenkins
- 33:17Speaker 3: or Duncan or something like that. But either way, if
- 33:20Speaker 3: you get his minutes staggered away from Asar, then I
- 33:23Speaker 3: expect him to do much better because he's done really
- 33:25Speaker 3: good against Cade.
- 33:26Speaker 4: In the past.
- 33:27Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think they're going to need a big
- 33:29Speaker 3: game for one of Catt or Brunson to get their
- 33:31Speaker 3: first win. They're projected to win here at home. So
- 33:33Speaker 3: I think we get a solid game. Not sure if
- 33:35Speaker 3: it's going to be enough from either, but I would
- 33:37Speaker 3: probably lean Catt here. And then, Hart, OG, and Mikael Bridges,
- 33:41Speaker 3: kind of know what to expect from each of these guys.
- 33:42Speaker 3: I think if you're looking for upside, it's probably OG.
- 33:45Speaker 3: Hart is a little bit.
- 33:46Speaker 4: More of a floor play, not going to wow you
- 33:48Speaker 4: most nights.
- 33:49Speaker 3: He definitely has the ability to fill the stat sheet,
- 33:52Speaker 3: but I think that OG is a guy that I'd
- 33:54Speaker 3: probably be looking to more for upside. Mikael, I mean,
- 33:56Speaker 3: his usage is just insanely low right now. Lost minutes
- 33:59Speaker 3: to Mikael, or to Myles McBride a few nights ago,
- 34:02Speaker 3: so tough click at 5K.
- 34:04Speaker 1: Very tough click.
- 34:05Speaker 2: 100% agree there.
- 34:08Speaker 1: I wouldn't Rio's the expert though. Yeah.
- 34:11Speaker 4: I wouldn't.
- 34:12Speaker 1: Yeah. Oh yeah. Azure Tom or Thompson. Holy cow.
- 34:17Speaker 2: That stat night one that he didn't, no one scored
- 34:20Speaker 2: on him on Boston the whole game.
- 34:22Speaker 1: That's insane. My, I still think like they're optimistic. He's
- 34:26Speaker 1: going to play. Like if he's out there, I see
- 34:27Speaker 1: him guarding Brunson. Like I'd be surprised if he did.
- 34:31Speaker 2: And so, yeah, that does lower a little interest with
- 34:33Speaker 2: that being said, there's always switches Brunson can get his,
- 34:36Speaker 2: but yeah, I, It's not a matchup I want to
- 34:39Speaker 2: pick on by any means, which just naturally leads me.
- 34:41Speaker 1: More to the cat side.
- 34:43Speaker 2: Another guy I think is under or projected lower owned
- 34:46Speaker 2: than he will come in at is OG, I think 5'7.
- 34:49Speaker 1: If he just fits so many builds, I could see
- 34:52Speaker 1: him being at least 10% higher. Yeah.
- 34:53Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the last game of
- 34:58Speaker 2: the night. Three hours later is the Portland Trailblazers and
- 35:00Speaker 2: the Los Angeles Lakers. One at-point favorites are the Lakers. 233.5 total,
- 35:05Speaker 2: the biggest on the slate. No injury news on the
- 35:07Speaker 2: Lakers side. Scoot Henderson, Brandon Carlson, questionable for Portland. Yeah,
- 35:13Speaker 2: you want to break down matchups first, but the Scoot stuff,
- 35:16Speaker 2: do you have any lean?
- 35:18Speaker 1: Are you going to build?
- 35:19Speaker 2: You play a lot of 150 and stuff. Is there
- 35:21Speaker 2: any thought of maybe 120 of your teams are going
- 35:24Speaker 2: to be normal and 30 of your teams you'll build
- 35:26Speaker 2: like Scoots out or anything like that?
- 35:30Speaker 4: No, I probably won't be building in sets.
- 35:31Speaker 3: I'm just going to kind of hope that we get
- 35:34Speaker 3: the news early enough, but I don't think we're going
- 35:36Speaker 3: to because they generally, generally been pretty bad at reporting.
- 35:40Speaker 4: Injuries and like shoot around stuff. And we don't have
- 35:42Speaker 4: anything as of now.
- 35:44Speaker 3: I'm not sure if it's like, it's not like we're
- 35:48Speaker 3: subbing out Denny for somebody cheaper. Like it's still like
- 35:50Speaker 3: a backend rotation guy. It's only playing 20 minutes. So
- 35:53Speaker 3: it's like, maybe you start with him out and you
- 35:55Speaker 3: get a little bit more of like the Dame and
- 35:58Speaker 3: jaw Denny, but it's, I don't think it's really, slate
- 36:02Speaker 3: changing as much. Drew would look really good, but I
- 36:05Speaker 3: think he's already looking like a pretty solid value play,
- 36:07Speaker 3: even with.
- 36:08Speaker 4: Scoot projected in.
- 36:10Speaker 1: Makes sense.
- 36:11Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 36:12Speaker 3: But yeah, this should be a fun one. I think
- 36:14Speaker 3: this is the highest or the second highest over-under on
- 36:16Speaker 3: the slate.
- 36:17Speaker 1: Highest. Yeah, highest.
- 36:19Speaker 3: The Spurs and Sacramento's behind that, but that's all pretty
- 36:22Speaker 3: much the Spurs are.
- 36:23Speaker 4: Holding that one up. But yeah, both the teams are undefeated.
- 36:27Speaker 3: Granted, the Blazers only play two games, but they've looked
- 36:30Speaker 3: really impressive offensively. These are the first and second ranked
- 36:34Speaker 3: offenses in the NBA so far. Portland is first in
- 36:36Speaker 3: NBA frequency. Lakers have just been getting it done on
- 36:39Speaker 3: elite efficiency, 67 and a half true shooting percentage as
- 36:42Speaker 3: a team, which is first in the NBA. Yeah, we're
- 36:46Speaker 3: seeing Denny project for a ton of ownership right now.
- 36:51Speaker 3: I think it's higher than what Sabre currently has projected
- 36:54Speaker 3: just because he fits a lot of builds at this
- 36:56Speaker 3: price tag. If it's Close to 30%, I think he's good,
- 37:00Speaker 3: but I honestly expect it to be near the 50% range,
- 37:03Speaker 3: which would maybe change my tune a little bit. The
- 37:06Speaker 3: roll has been fine for him. It's been modest usage
- 37:09Speaker 3: at 28.5%. He does lead the team there. Contributes a
- 37:12Speaker 3: little bit with the assist and rebounding as well, although
- 37:14Speaker 3: not in the same level that we've seen from him
- 37:16Speaker 3: in years past. The offense has been great with him
- 37:19Speaker 3: on the court, 130.2 offensive rating, but he should see
- 37:23Speaker 3: a familiar face defensively. Matisse Taibel, I would expect to
- 37:27Speaker 3: be the primary defender there. Yeah, great defender. I think
- 37:31Speaker 3: that was a huge pickup for the Lakers. I've been
- 37:32Speaker 3: hiding him for a really long time, but he just
- 37:35Speaker 3: was buried in Portland for a couple years.
- 37:38Speaker 2: Hiding him since Washington when they played the 2-3 zone.
- 37:41Speaker 1: He was an absolute monster.
- 37:43Speaker 3: Yeah, he's just a really good player. I think that
- 37:46Speaker 3: he provides some, just like a winning basketball player in
- 37:49Speaker 3: my eyes. Just a solid 3 and D guy. Really
- 37:51Speaker 3: good defender though. He's just always involved in deflections and
- 37:57Speaker 3: making things happen on defense. But yeah, I think this
- 37:58Speaker 3: is going to be a pretty tough spot for Denny
- 38:01Speaker 3: going up against high bowl. And even Zaire Williams has
- 38:03Speaker 3: been pretty solid defensively, but with all that being said,
- 38:07Speaker 3: like on a four game slate, I'm not really going
- 38:09Speaker 3: to be fading him for that reason, just because he
- 38:11Speaker 3: does have a pretty solid four and it's only 7.8
- 38:13Speaker 3: K with small Ford power for eligibility.
- 38:15Speaker 4: But I think I'm a little bit under on.
- 38:18Speaker 3: His projection tonight. The guards for Portland, I think are
- 38:22Speaker 3: in really good spots. So especially if, If we get
- 38:24Speaker 3: the news early on that Scoot were to miss, I
- 38:25Speaker 3: think that Dame and Ja and Drew all look good
- 38:28Speaker 3: for different reasons. But Dame, you know, struggled a little
- 38:30Speaker 3: bit last game, but looked awesome in his first game back,
- 38:33Speaker 3: fully back to full minutes as well. They've had four
- 38:36Speaker 3: days off since their last game, so they should be
- 38:37Speaker 3: really well rested. So I think this is a pretty
- 38:39Speaker 3: good spot for Dame here in primetime, 8 p.m.
- 38:42Speaker 1: In L.A.
- 38:43Speaker 4: I really like the spot for Dame. Same thing for Ja.
- 38:46Speaker 3: Probably not getting there from a scoring standpoint, but he
- 38:50Speaker 3: settled in pretty nicely to his role. leading the team
- 38:52Speaker 3: in assist percentage, second in touch time. And then if
- 38:56Speaker 3: skewer to miss, he's really the guy that has been
- 38:58Speaker 3: taken away minutes from jaw.
- 38:59Speaker 4: They only overlap for a handful of minutes.
- 39:02Speaker 3: So I think if we had job like 30 to
- 39:04Speaker 3: 32 minutes, he could really hit in a big way. Drew,
- 39:07Speaker 3: I think you're playing him regardless. I get five K
- 39:10Speaker 3: shooting guard, small four. I think that he's very strong.
- 39:13Speaker 3: Really have nothing to say there. It could only get better,
- 39:16Speaker 3: not into Camara or Klingon. Just don't think this is
- 39:19Speaker 3: a good spot for Klingon against Walker Kessler. For Kamara,
- 39:22Speaker 3: I don't know, he's just not playing as much minutes
- 39:25Speaker 3: as he was last year. Losing minutes to a guy
- 39:27Speaker 3: like Drew Holiday just doesn't feel good. so I don't
- 39:30Speaker 3: think I'm going to go there at all. I think
- 39:31Speaker 3: Robert Williams is a guy that definitely belongs in a
- 39:34Speaker 3: player pool, though. For the Lakers side of things, they're
- 39:38Speaker 3: getting a lot of ownership on these fringe value guys,
- 39:40Speaker 3: which I don't really love, but I do think Luka
- 39:43Speaker 3: and Austin Reeves are two of the better plays at
- 39:44Speaker 3: the guard positions tonight.
- 39:46Speaker 4: Luka coming off of his.
- 39:47Speaker 3: Best game of the season against my Utah Jazz Went
- 39:50Speaker 3: for 52 points in 38 minutes. I mean, just a
- 39:53Speaker 3: massive usage role. Like, there's really nothing to say there.
- 39:56Speaker 3: He does have a tougher matchup against Drew and Kamara tonight,
- 39:59Speaker 3: but I don't really think that it matters as much
- 40:01Speaker 3: when you got a guy with a 44% usage rate
- 40:04Speaker 3: this season. Yeah, I'm totally fine with Luka at 11.3K.
- 40:08Speaker 4: I think he's great. I like Reeves for a different reason.
- 40:11Speaker 3: He's just been extremely efficient as a scorer, 82% true
- 40:14Speaker 3: shooting percentage, 133.2 offensive rating while on the court. Definitely
- 40:19Speaker 3: going to have a much softer matchup than Luka. So
- 40:21Speaker 3: you get him for 3K cheaper. He's averaging 43.5 DK
- 40:26Speaker 3: points per game this season. So totally fine with either
- 40:28Speaker 3: one of those two guys. Walker Kessler is interesting because
- 40:32Speaker 3: I think that there's a really wide range of outcomes.
- 40:34Speaker 4: We saw last game.
- 40:35Speaker 3: I don't know exactly what it was, but I think
- 40:38Speaker 3: it's definitely one of his worst games of the year. Yeah, 12.25
- 40:42Speaker 3: DK points against his former team. That's definitely going to
- 40:46Speaker 3: be within the range of outcomes when you go against Luka.
- 40:48Speaker 3: a team that's better on the interior, which I guess
- 40:51Speaker 3: the Jazz really haven't been, but he wasn't getting those
- 40:53Speaker 3: same easy lob passes like he was against the Warriors
- 40:56Speaker 3: opening night. Don't think that can really happen here, but
- 40:59Speaker 3: I think that the upside case for a guy like
- 41:00Speaker 3: Walker Kessler is that the Blazers have two of the
- 41:03Speaker 3: most drive-heavy players in the NBA, in John Morant and
- 41:06Speaker 3: Denny Obdia, so that could lead to some extra blocks
- 41:09Speaker 3: and steals opportunities, but also more potential foul trouble. Klingon's
- 41:12Speaker 3: not going to really be pulling him away from the basket,
- 41:15Speaker 3: so I think that there is a shot for him
- 41:17Speaker 3: to have you know, five, six blocks. And we saw
- 41:20Speaker 3: what that looks like game two. He had 54 DK points. So, yeah,
- 41:26Speaker 3: I think he's for sure in play. These fringe guys, though,
- 41:29Speaker 3: I think aren't great. You're probably going to be getting
- 41:31Speaker 3: them just because Optos are going to be looking for
- 41:33Speaker 3: these cheaper options. But I think I'm most interested in
- 41:38Speaker 3: Tybill once again at 3.8K. Just starting playing, you know,
- 41:41Speaker 3: mid to upper 20s minutes. The guy that can fill
- 41:43Speaker 3: it up at times. I think that he looks really good.
- 41:46Speaker 3: Zaire has been given a pretty long leash in the
- 41:49Speaker 3: starting unit as well. I think the starters are the
- 41:51Speaker 3: two guys I'm most interested in. I think this is
- 41:53Speaker 3: where I would implement some rules on guys like Grimes.
- 41:57Speaker 3: I wouldn't play Grimes with Zaire. I would not play
- 41:59Speaker 3: Sandro with Walker Kessler, and I would not play more
- 42:02Speaker 3: than two of Sexton, Luka, or Reeves. Yeah, I think
- 42:06Speaker 3: Zaire is kind of– or, sorry, Matisse Tybalt is for
- 42:09Speaker 3: sure one of the best forward options for value outside
- 42:13Speaker 3: of Precious Achua.
- 42:16Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, he has the nut spot.
- 42:17Speaker 2: Just sit there in the corner, let Luka draw the attention,
- 42:20Speaker 2: and just get wide-open shots and chuck.
- 42:23Speaker 1: I like it.
- 42:23Speaker 2: And we're showing Zaire double the ownership of Thibault, so
- 42:28Speaker 2: I definitely prefer him.
- 42:32Speaker 1: Would you make a rule Robert Williams and Klingon max one?
- 42:35Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I would.
- 42:37Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't really have too much more to add
- 42:41Speaker 1: in this game.
- 42:42Speaker 2: Like, GoClock asked– if he would like constructed for late
- 42:46Speaker 2: swap in mind, I wouldn't again, it's, there's three games
- 42:49Speaker 2: early and then this one game late, but I mean,
- 42:51Speaker 2: it's games already good to get to. So naturally you
- 42:53Speaker 2: might have some flexibility, but I wouldn't change my roster,
- 42:57Speaker 2: not play someone that I like early just to get
- 43:00Speaker 2: an extra guy late for, for roster construction. Personally, I
- 43:03Speaker 2: don't really have too much more to add.
- 43:06Speaker 1: Yeah. Anything for you?
- 43:09Speaker 3: No, I think that covers it all. You got done
- 43:12Speaker 3: pretty quick tonight, only four games. So, Um, yeah, I got,
- 43:16Speaker 3: I got nothing else.
- 43:18Speaker 2: Lamar expected to play in week eight, DeForest Buckner going
- 43:22Speaker 2: to the Niners, went Nelson earlier.
- 43:24Speaker 1: So yeah.
- 43:26Speaker 3: Um, they're selling big time for sure. You think that
- 43:30Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor is going to be the next to go
- 43:32Speaker 3: or Josh Downs?
- 43:33Speaker 2: They said, I think Downs, they said earlier that management
- 43:36Speaker 2: up above wants to keep JT. So we'll see how
- 43:38Speaker 2: long that lasts though. But I do think Downs is
- 43:40Speaker 2: probably the next one to go. Chiefs are looking for, uh,
- 43:45Speaker 2: But I think they should probably find a big body
- 43:46Speaker 2: receiver first. I'm not sure that's the fit I would
- 43:49Speaker 2: go to.
- 43:50Speaker 1: Any thoughts on you?
- 43:52Speaker 3: Makes sense to keep an aging running back on a
- 43:54Speaker 3: rebuilding team.
- 43:55Speaker 4: Good idea. Brian Thomas Jr. Potential to achieve.
- 43:59Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:00Speaker 2: I would definitely be on the phone if I was
- 44:02Speaker 2: the Chiefs looking for Brian Thomas for sure.
- 44:05Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:06Speaker 2: That's yeah, that's going to do it again. Just heading
- 44:09Speaker 2: back over to our ship and nation website. If you
- 44:11Speaker 2: do want to join us, discord, a huge part of
- 44:12Speaker 2: our NBA process, see plans and pricing longer with us,
- 44:16Speaker 2: the cheaper it gets. Again, you say 20% with starter
- 44:19Speaker 2: and core from monthly. If you sign up for the
- 44:22Speaker 2: annual 10% with the ultimate package includes Saberson as well.
- 44:26Speaker 2: If you're just in the NBA streets and no other sports,
- 44:28Speaker 2: which I'd be kind of surprised NFL is going on
- 44:32Speaker 2: and almost everyone plays NFL. But if that's the case,
- 44:35Speaker 2: Monthly and annual packages over here. Less than a dollar
- 44:38Speaker 2: a day for the month. $ 17 a month for NBA annual.
- 44:43Speaker 2: And you can upgrade to get Saber Sim as well
- 44:45Speaker 2: for a couple dollars more.
- 44:47Speaker 1: Go Brewers! And good luck in your NBA contest tonight.
- 44:50Speaker 1: Final thoughts from you, Rio, before we get on out
- 44:52Speaker 1: of here.
- 44:53Speaker 4: No.
- 44:54Speaker 3: Well, we have one thing, I guess. I forgot to
- 44:55Speaker 3: mention this, and I don't even know if we've talked
- 44:57Speaker 3: about it before, but we do have a new tool
- 44:59Speaker 3: for NBA that will be going live on the site,
- 45:01Speaker 3: I believe, tomorrow. So we'll do a little walkthrough of
- 45:04Speaker 3: that if we have time. depending on how big the
- 45:05Speaker 3: slate is tomorrow.
- 45:07Speaker 1: Things you love to hear. That's going to do it
- 45:09Speaker 1: for us. Definitely tune in tomorrow to get a look
- 45:11Speaker 1: at that.
- 45:12Speaker 2: Do us a favor, hit that like, hit that subscribe
- 45:14Speaker 2: on the way out.
- 45:15Speaker 1: It helps us out a ton. For real, I'm Title Town.
- 45:18Speaker 1: Good luck. Be safe. Peace.