Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / Could young voters reshape the balance of power in Congress
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hundreds of North Carolina college students marched the polls last
- 0:03Speaker 1: week as early voting kicked off in the state. The
- 0:11Speaker 1: march was in response to local officials removing on-campus polling stations.
- 0:16Speaker 1: Voting places were withdrawn from North Carolina AT & T,
- 0:20Speaker 1: America's largest historic black university, and UNC Greensboro. A Board
- 0:26Speaker 1: of Education official says they were pulled because there wasn't
- 0:29Speaker 1: enough parking. Historically, younger Americans have been less likely to
- 0:33Speaker 1: vote than older generations, but experts say the voters under
- 0:36Speaker 1: 30 years old could have a major impact this time.
- 0:38Speaker 1: That's because there are signs Gen Z is motivated to
- 0:41Speaker 1: show up to the polls. A survey of battleground states
- 0:45Speaker 1: last month by Alliance for Youth, Powerpack and YouGov found
- 0:49Speaker 1: that over 80 percent in the 18 to 29-year-old age
- 0:53Speaker 1: bracket said they probably or definitely planned to vote. Asked
- 0:58Speaker 1: for their views on President Trump, respondents in the state
- 1:01Speaker 1: after state were overwhelmingly negative. Like older voters, young Americans
- 1:05Speaker 1: say the cost of living and the economy are weighing heavily.
- 1:08Speaker 1: 43% say their financial situation has gotten worse compared to
- 1:12Speaker 1: a year ago, with only about 16% saying that it's improved.
- 1:17Speaker 1: Let's dig deeper right now with our local impact segment.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Joining us live now is April Baer, host of Stateside
- 1:24Speaker 1: Talk Show on Michigan's Public Radio, and Blaise Gainey, the
- 1:28Speaker 1: Texas State Capitol reporter for NPR's KUT News.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Thank you both for joining us.
- 1:36Speaker 1: April, let me start with you because, you know, historically
- 1:40Speaker 1: there has been a tendency, as I mentioned, to sort
- 1:42Speaker 1: of assume that younger voters are less motivated, that they
- 1:46Speaker 1: feel a little bit more disempowered to come out and vote.
- 1:48Speaker 1: That's not the case especially in midterm elections, by the way,
- 1:51Speaker 1: but that's not the case this time around at all.
- 1:54Speaker 1: Talk to us about some of the factors that are
- 1:55Speaker 1: driving the youth vote, this sort of bracket between 18
- 1:59Speaker 1: and 29, specifically in Michigan.
- 2:04Speaker 3: Zain, I would say that what you mentioned about the
- 2:06Speaker 3: economic insecurity at the moment is something that we've heard
- 2:09Speaker 3: again and again and again. In some places, there are opportunity,
- 2:16Speaker 3: but we spoke with a voter named Corey Bannock. He
- 2:18Speaker 3: came from a very small town in Michigan called Bad Axe,
- 2:22Speaker 3: and he's going to school in Detroit now. And he
- 2:24Speaker 3: was looking for an apartment, said he couldn't find one
- 2:27Speaker 3: in the area close to campus for less than $ 900.
- 2:29Speaker 3: He said he's both hopeful and anxious. And he also
- 2:34Speaker 3: had some concerns about foreign military obligations right now. It's
- 2:39Speaker 3: sort of emblematic of what you see. Michigan has a
- 2:42Speaker 3: few cities like Dearborn where youth populations are surging. And
- 2:46Speaker 3: these are also, probably not incidentally, places that went for
- 2:51Speaker 3: an uncommitted vote in the Democratic primary in 2024. They're
- 2:55Speaker 3: right back out there this year.
- 2:59Speaker 1: And Blaise, let me bring you into the conversation as well.
- 3:02Speaker 1: Is there a difference between what younger male voters are
- 3:06Speaker 1: more energized by versus younger female voters in Texas?
- 3:13Speaker 4: I mean, I think ultimately, yes, but it all boils
- 3:15Speaker 4: down to the same. They want to eventually grow older
- 3:19Speaker 4: and maybe have a family. And right now they're looking
- 3:21Speaker 4: at the job market and looking at how the cost
- 3:24Speaker 4: of living is saying we won't be able to afford
- 3:26Speaker 4: those things. And they're upset about it. And it just
- 3:30Speaker 4: doesn't stop at the cost of living, but also when
- 3:33Speaker 4: you're talking about healthcare and looking at just building a
- 3:36Speaker 4: financially secure life over time. Usually you don't see young
- 3:40Speaker 4: voters caring this much about rent, groceries, and healthcare, but
- 3:44Speaker 4: because of the cost of living is so immense and
- 3:47Speaker 4: gas prices as well, more people are worried about it
- 3:51Speaker 4: than ever.
- 3:53Speaker 1: April, Michigan has a candidate that really does appeal to
- 4:00Speaker 1: the younger population. in Abdul El-Sayed. I mean, he is charismatic.
- 4:06Speaker 1: He's engaging. You know, social media is such an important
- 4:10Speaker 1: landscape for just energizing young people. And if a candidate
- 4:14Speaker 1: is able to not just be clear on messaging, but
- 4:17Speaker 1: really harness the power of social media to their advantage,
- 4:20Speaker 1: they can be a magnet.
- 4:21Speaker 2: In bringing out the youth vote.
- 4:23Speaker 1: How has El-Sayed actually managed to do that this time? Obviously,
- 4:26Speaker 1: we're still two weeks out, so anything could happen. But
- 4:28Speaker 1: he does have an appeal that I think that perhaps
- 4:32Speaker 1: his opponents might struggle with.
- 4:35Speaker 2: Certainly.
- 4:36Speaker 3: He's closer to a digital native than a lot of
- 4:38Speaker 3: other candidates in the race. I should mention he is
- 4:41Speaker 3: 42 years old, which may not sound very young, but
- 4:44Speaker 3: consider that his Republican opponent, Mike Rogers, is 63. El-Sayed
- 4:48Speaker 3: has had a very strong presence on social media with
- 4:51Speaker 3: his trademark V-neck black T-shirt and appearances with people like
- 4:56Speaker 3: New York Mayor Zoran Mamdani. He has repeated again and
- 5:01Speaker 3: again his relentless opposition to the Trump administration and Republican
- 5:05Speaker 3: members of Congress. And he's been able to create a
- 5:10Speaker 3: profile that has ranged from lip-syncing to Taylor Swift songs
- 5:15Speaker 3: wearing a cowboy hat to appearing at pretty decent-sized rallies
- 5:19Speaker 3: in Michigan's rural Upper Peninsula. The latest ad that shows that,
- 5:24Speaker 3: someone I was working with mentioned it looks exactly like
- 5:26Speaker 3: a Nike ad right now. And so his blitz, both
- 5:30Speaker 3: online and in late stage campaign TV spots, in addition
- 5:35Speaker 3: to those digital ads, is a lot of what's brought
- 5:37Speaker 3: into the attention of younger voters and really held their attention.
- 5:41Speaker 1: And Blaise, it's a similar thing for James Tallarico, right?
- 5:46Speaker 4: Yeah, that's correct. I mean, he's dominated social media even
- 5:50Speaker 4: before announcing he'd run in this race. And his opponent,
- 5:53Speaker 4: Ken Paxton, is, you know, no. A lot of people
- 5:56Speaker 4: know he's just really not that good at public speaking.
- 5:59Speaker 4: So he doesn't have a lot of clips that he
- 6:01Speaker 4: can necessarily go viral for in the same way that
- 6:05Speaker 4: Tallarico does. So it's definitely in the same landmark. And
- 6:08Speaker 4: the age difference beyond the two is at least 20
- 6:11Speaker 4: years plus.
- 6:13Speaker 1: You know, one of the things that I'm curious about,
- 6:15Speaker 1: and April, I'll have you answer this question, is there's
- 6:18Speaker 1: a big difference, as we've seen in previous elections, between
- 6:21Speaker 1: the stated intentions of a voter and actually what they
- 6:25Speaker 1: actually do on election day. It's one thing to say,
- 6:27Speaker 1: you know, yes, I'm going to vote. I'm so motivated.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Of course, me and my friends, we're definitely going to vote.
- 6:32Speaker 1: You know, this time we've had enough of the cost
- 6:34Speaker 1: of living. We're absolutely going to vote for Tallarico or
- 6:37Speaker 1: El Sayed. It's another thing in terms of what they
- 6:40Speaker 1: actually do on election day. What can we be sure
- 6:43Speaker 1: of at this point in time about what young voters
- 6:45Speaker 1: actually intend and will do in Michigan?
- 6:51Speaker 3: Well, it's worth noting that in 2024, Michigan beat the
- 6:54Speaker 3: national average for young voters actually going to the polls.
- 6:58Speaker 3: 58 percent of people aged 18 to 29 in Michigan
- 7:02Speaker 3: voted in 2024. And the early polling suggests, at least
- 7:06Speaker 3: at this point, that we might be in for a
- 7:08Speaker 3: similar performance this year. It's also worth noting that Michigan
- 7:11Speaker 3: has had some success engaging vote by mail. It's very
- 7:16Speaker 3: standard in some states, but this is a little bit
- 7:18Speaker 3: new in Michigan. There is some reason to believe that
- 7:22Speaker 3: between vote by mail and in-person early voting, that these
- 7:27Speaker 3: younger voters do have big opportunities that they might not
- 7:30Speaker 3: have had 10 or 20 years ago. You look at
- 7:33Speaker 3: places like East Lansing that's home to Michigan State University
- 7:37Speaker 3: or the University of Michigan. Some of these places have
- 7:41Speaker 3: really gone out of their way to make sure that
- 7:44Speaker 3: there is available space and equipment for voting, machinery for voting.
- 7:48Speaker 3: Michigan's Secretary of State has historically prioritized this in her term.
- 7:54Speaker 3: By the way, she's also a candidate who's running for
- 7:56Speaker 3: governor in our.
- 7:56Speaker 1: State this year.
- 7:59Speaker 2: And Blaise, final question to you.
- 8:01Speaker 1: One of the reasons why the youth vote has been
- 8:04Speaker 1: so hard to galvanize in previous midterm elections is that
- 8:08Speaker 1: young people sometimes feel that no party has really the
- 8:11Speaker 1: answer to their prayers. So whether it's cost of living,
- 8:15Speaker 1: whether they're dealing with economic uncertainty, sometimes it's hard to
- 8:20Speaker 1: convince younger people, because of maybe a distrust in the
- 8:23Speaker 1: political system more broadly, that any party can solve their problems.
- 8:29Speaker 2: Why is that different this time around?
- 8:32Speaker 4: I mean, honestly, I don't think it is different, but
- 8:34Speaker 4: I think a lot of people are upset with what
- 8:37Speaker 4: they see going on right now. Here in Texas, you
- 8:39Speaker 4: have to remember that there's been a 30-year reign of
- 8:42Speaker 4: Republicans ruling the state. So if you are upset with,
- 8:47Speaker 4: you know, essentially that covers the lifespan of a young voter.
- 8:51Speaker 4: So if they're upset with the system, that means they're
- 8:53Speaker 4: essentially upset with the Republican Party. Therefore, they may say, well, yeah,
- 8:58Speaker 4: my vote doesn't seem like it will change anything, but
- 9:01Speaker 4: I want to at least try and give Democrats a
- 9:03Speaker 4: chance and see what they can do because they haven't
- 9:06Speaker 4: had a chance since essentially the 2000s or in 1990s.
- 9:11Speaker 1: Yeah, because one of the issues that is really fueling
- 9:16Speaker 1: the cost of living is, of course, rising gas prices.
- 9:19Speaker 1: And a lot of that is because of the war
- 9:22Speaker 1: in Iran. And that's something that the president is in
- 9:25Speaker 1: control of, as we know.
- 9:27Speaker 2: All right. Thank you both, April and Blaise. Thank you.
- 9:31Speaker 2: We'll see what happens in two weeks, right?
- 9:33Speaker 1: Thank you both so much for joining us.
- 9:35Speaker 4: Thanks for having us.