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The Favorites - Super Bowl LVII Betting Trends · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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  Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time,
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  Speaker 1: to two seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit one
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  Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to
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  Speaker 1: the favorites of the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Norman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: We're kicking off the second of our Super Bowl two
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: weeks cycle previews huge show today. Before we announce our guests,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: I want to welcome in my BFF, my companion, Mike Padre,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: Professional Better, Simon Hunter, Hello swim In, Hello Chad, how
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: are you doing. I'm so good, brother. Listen for those
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: listening on AMP, we're giving away two new Favorites hoodies
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  Speaker 1: to two lucky listeners at the end of our show today,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: courtesy of the Volume Podcast Networks New Merched store find
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  Speaker 1: lots of cool stuff from the show, all the best
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: shows on the Volume, so to our live listeners, be
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: sure to stick around after the show. Also reminder, I
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: couldn't be more serious, deadly serious about this. If you're
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: listening to us on the herd feed and you like
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  Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. Go subscribe to the Favorites. Click the
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  Speaker 1: button Subscribe to the Favorites. Also a reminder coming up
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: next week next week, Next Tuesday might be the most
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: important podcast we do before the Super Bowl other than
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: this one and then when we did on Tuesday, and
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: maybe the one we do next Thursday. Chris Raybon and
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Sean Croner, who are two of the top five most
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: accurate projectionists according to Fantasy Pros. And that's a reason
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: I'm reason I'm emphasizing Fantasy Pros. We're gonna talk about
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: super Bowl Props on Tuesday, on Thursday, right before the
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: super Bowl, on our Thursday episode Best Bet Show with
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson. But today a very special episode with two
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: very special guests I mentioned Fantasy Pros joining us today.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: My former nemesis at Action Network, the man who I
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: am so sad he's still not at Action Matthew Freedman,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: now the director of Contented Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: the man who is responsible for making sure Raybon and
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Coroner are ranked. And I love that he holds no
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: animosity against these guys as former colleagues of his, and
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: he still ranks them so high. That's how credible fantasy
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: pros is. Well. Hello, Freeman, I should say hello to you.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Thanks for showing up on time. It's it's great to see.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: It's racist. He's sign with you. I don't even know
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: why Sigmon is here. He is in the bag in
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: England by Cross Continent, has some commitments to the contract,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: the hardest working man. And Jenny even asked me about
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: my trip. Do you see what I'm dealing with here, Freeman.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: We've got a selfish boss here at Action Guy, isn't
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: it asks me how my trip in england's going. He's
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: just right to the pics and the business unbelievable. Yeah,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: I know. This is one of the reasons I left
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: Chad so selfish and Chad rest assured. Even though we
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: are no longer at the same company, I am still
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: always your nemesis. It's true. A couple of things here
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: are true. Number one, I don't care about the people.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: Number two, you're my nemesis. Number three. Freedman's right. I
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: was late because I was having a very important meeting
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: with the CEO of Better Collective, the company that bought
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Action Network. He's in town from Copenhagen. It ran a
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: little long. I couldn't tell him that I had to
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: go ditch for some podcast with you know, some old
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: englishman who's half in the bag and some dude who
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: used to work with us. But he would have been
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: sad that I was keeping our next guests, Evan abrahams waiting.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Of course. Evan is a director of research, probably the
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: only beloved person by me at the company. Total genius
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: makes everything we do at Action better, and he's a
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: maestro with our bet Labs database. All of this is true.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: I listened to him on this morning's episode of my
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: face favorite podcast, the Action Network podcast with Raybond and
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: Stucky Great Q, and a episode companies super Bowl betting data.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: He gathered so much info we had to have him
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: on this one as well. It was too much good
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: stuff for just one episode. So he's here to take
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: us through some of the trends and betting nuggets he
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: has for Super Bowl fifty seven between the Chiefs and
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. Evan Abrams Hello. First of all, Chad, someone
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: needs to back you up, someone needs to say something nice.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: It's been a bit different STRD for you, So I'll
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: be here to say something nice and then probably you
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: know dendigulator. But it's okay, Well we'll start, we'll start fun.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna give you some information. So I'm gonna
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: give you three facts that I gave on the Tan
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Pod yesterday that I think we should repeat. But let
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: me go through them quickly because you should go back
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: and listen to that episode. Uh. First one, I'm gonna
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: start with this Patrick Mahomes. So this will be the
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: seventh Super Bowl to feature the league leader in regular
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: season passing yards. The previous six lost. The first was
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: Marino and four and the other five of all comes
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: since two thousand Brady Manning, Brady rich Gannon, and Kurt Warner.
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  Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens here. Eagles pass rush best
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  Speaker 1: past defense we've seen in a while. So that's number one.
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  Speaker 1: Number two, this game will feature Isaia Pachecko. This is
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  Speaker 1: a rookie running back in the Super Bowl and not
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: something we see every day. Since two thousand five, teams
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  Speaker 1: have had a rookie running back here of the Bowl
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  Speaker 1: ten plus times in the Super Bowl they are five
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  Speaker 1: no straight up in five and against the spread. Yes,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: very noisy, but a fun stat. Sony Michelle so much
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: less relevant, I know, but listen, I follow our producer
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. He this was the first note he gave
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: to me. He said he loved it. So we go
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: with it. First, Sony Michelle, does that guy now awesome?
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: That's sometimes Bernard Pierce, James Starks, Joseph and Die and
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: the great Jamal Lewis where this whole rookie running back
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: kind of thing started. Um. Third question, does having experience
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: in a Super Bowl give Mahomes and edge statistically? The
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: answer is pretty much no quarterbacks with super Bowl experience
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  Speaker 1: basing one with no experience nineteen and fifteen straight up,
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  Speaker 1: sixteen and eighteen against the spread all time. And even
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: when you look two plus super Bowl gap like my
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: home's third Super Bowl versus a quarterback with their first
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: still only twelve and eight. So I mean, when you
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: look at experience, kind of throw it out the window.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: That's that's really what I say, especially when you take
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: out Brady still only seven and five. So yeah, move on,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: find better at angles. Before we get into the deeper
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: dive conversation with a lot of these facts and stats
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: and data and anecdote, Simon, you came out pretty strong
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday in favor of the Eagles. The line was
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: at two was come down, and I want to give
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: you credit. I want to give you credit right now
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: because your narrative for the game, which you were way
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: ahead of, as the analysis is starting to come out
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: about the offensive line and the defensive line is becoming
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: a pretty strong theme as to why people our favorite
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: in the Eagles in forty hours since we last spoke,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: and I hope you're having a wonderful time being drunk
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: in England. Has anything in your mind changed? Are you
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: feeling even stronger about it? What's what's been happening? A
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: lot more noise now on the homes right as the
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: week's gonna longer. I feel like I'm hearing more whispers
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: about the Hurts thing, which I told you. I'm hoping
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Hurts was bat on those long throws because he was nervous.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: He had jitters. If his shoulder is not right, Chat,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: that's that's a big, big deal to this Eagle's team
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: in that number. So the movement we've seen is that
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: I think the rumors are swirling. So the number is
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: gonna move and the pros are gonna come. You know,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: a Chiefs team that, sure, we don't know what that,
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: we don't know if my homes is fully healthy, we
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: can say right now we feel more confident about him.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: Do you do out Hurts just because Hurts could not
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: put the ball downfield? I mean, I think you're right.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: The last show you a hundred yards passed. But again
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: they weren't asking him to do that. The run was
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: working against a four team which all week chat what
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: did we hear all weeks the four arts had the
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: best run defensive football. I guess who's not gonna say
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: anything good about the chief run defense all week? Anyone
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: that looks at the numbers. Sure they've shared up some
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: stuff as this season gone along year, but any team
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: that can dominate the run has dominated the Chiefs on
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: both side the ball. So it just feels like there's
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: people that are stuck on their ways. Right. There's people
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: that they took the Giants seven and a half, right,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: they felt they were the smartest people in the room.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: They weren't. The same people came in last week took
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: the four nineers, tried to say the public was all
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: over the Eagles, and they they were talking about Eagles
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: out easy. The Eagles were gonna win, and how they
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: were misreading that four team and the same exact score happened.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: It was a thirty eight to seven blowout. So just
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: look at this matchup with the Chiefs and it's all
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: it is my homes. You ask anyone, they would say,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: you take my homes away from the Chief's team. They're
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: probably the third best team in their own division. So
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: this Eagles team, to me, is still the most complete team.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: The nerves for me right now is just Hurts. I
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: just don't have any info and Hurt. So I would
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: say to anyone if this was a normal situation, Hurts
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: was fully healthy and he had thrown for two in
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: that game, and it wasn't even a good to fifty feet.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Was just completing passes downfield and I could see him
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: be accurate. I'd feel more confident still about the Eagles.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: I haven't put a pennymore since our show because I
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: just I'm unsure about it. Chad, So I probably saw
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: a take up a little bit the over I would say,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: me and my group came in pretty heavy on the overside.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: We moved to maybe half a point. Another really sharp
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: group came in even heavier on the over I think
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: they've moved in out full point up to fifty and
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: a half. So I took my position on that at
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. I was hoping, I told you,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I was hoping it would drop even more. It just
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: wasn't going through, so I took that position. But in
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: the end, it does feel if I get the okay
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: by my guys that are working with the Eagles about
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: hur it's like, it's not give me no bullshit either,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be real good info. If you see me
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: take the Eagles, that means I feel confident about Hurts.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: If you just see me I take a large side
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: on the Eagles, if I just make it whatever it
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: is in the app one unit, that means I'm taking
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. But it's kind of like, fuck, I don't
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: feel great about it. It's just it's one of those
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: where on on Tuesday when you talk to me, I
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: was feeling really good, and now it's two days of us.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: The hurt stuff just makes me nervous because a lot
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: of a lot of whispers about his shoulder. Have you
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: been thinking about the game very much, Chad? What are
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: you trying to insultinly, it's that's all I've been thinking
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: about for like four days. I had projections ready for
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: this game even before we have the final matchup this.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a fantastic matchup. I
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: agree with a lot of what Simon said, but I
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: disagree on the way that I'm betting this. I'm I'm
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: on the Chiefs. I I do think that you know,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: you look at He's right, it's all Mahomes. You look
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: at two through fifty three on the roster, and the
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: clear advantage is towards the Eagles. The clear advantage that
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs have is that they have Patrick Mahomes and
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: they have Andy Reid. But if you had to pick
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: just two guys in the organization to determine how his
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl is gonna play out, it would be the
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: head coach in the quarterback. And it's not as if
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs are horrible at all of their other positions.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: There's still a top five roster in general. So I
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: have this at one and a half towards the Chiefs.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: The market is around one one and a half towards
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, Like we're all in that general pick them range.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I think the real advantage is probably going to be
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: betting the Props, which, of course, as you mentioned, fantastic
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Tuesday show you will have coming up with Sean Corner.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: I'm still going to mispronounce his name till the end
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: of time. Sean Corner and Chris Raymond, I'll be great.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I'm I'm on the Chiefs here.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I will say, I think that what we have seen
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs out of the Eagles was impressive, but
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: we got to keep in context. It was against a
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Giants team that has overperformed throughout the season, and against
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: a forty Niners team that was running out a fourth
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: string quarterback for a significant portion of the game and
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: then a third string quarterback who couldn't throw. So I
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: haven't changed my perception of the Eagles all that much
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs, and also haven't changed my perception of
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs all that much in the playoffs. Yet Patrick
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: Mahomes injured for a significant portion of their first game.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes still plane, you know, miraculously better than we
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: would have anticipated given that he was injured the week before.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: But you know, injured Patrick Mahomes injured wide receivers in
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: their second game, and I would say, anyone would be
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: lying to you if they told you that entering the playoffs,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: with the exception and maybe Simon, but entering the playoffs,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: that they had the Eagles power rated ahead of the Chiefs.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: Almost everyone entering the playoffs had the Chiefs as the
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: number one, number two power rated team and the Eagles
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: maybe anywhere from number three to number six. But I
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: don't think we've seen anything to flip the idea of
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: the Eagles deservedly being power rated ahead of the Chiefs,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: and I can't I can't move from that to the
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: number that we are seeing in the market right now.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: I think this number is incorrect and overvaluing the idea
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: of all of the injuries that we've may be seen
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: at the wide receiver position for the Chiefs, maybe the
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: idea that Travis Kelsey has the banged up back and
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: won't be playing at anywhere close to But I think
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: this number in the market is wrong, and that's the
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: value CHAT is. It's Evan just told you the quarterback
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: literally does not matter. It is he. It is even
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: worse to have the best quarterback in this game historically,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: the guy who's been the best all year historically. That's
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: why I make my money where I had it one
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Eagles and I had to nins. That was my power
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: in because three was the Chiefs fours the Bengals. So
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: I told you two weeks ago, no matter what, I
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: was probably gonna be the NFC. And that for me,
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: that's why just nothing's changed. Where the only big factor
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: here is the Hurts injury. That's what I'm stick to
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: where I feel like that's the movement right now. The
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: pros were all over this Eagles team for a good reason.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: The hesitation the Paul is the reason the money has
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: come back to their way is the Hurts thing could
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: be real. That could be a real injury to his
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: shoulder right now. So it's definitely interesting here. In the
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: other perspective of being a Chief backer this year, the
• 14:47
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• 16:20
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• 16:24
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: seven seven eight Hope NY or text Hope n Y
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: in New York, Tennessee. Redline is one eight hundred eight
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: eight nine eight nine one eight hundred five to two
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming, or visit www. One eight hundred gambler
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Well, it's interesting for me.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: I want to get to Evan for a second. But honestly,
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: do I go with my bff, who I put my
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: faith in trust in, or do I go with a
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: guy who I kind of can't stand. I don't know
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: what to do here, Evan. You and I spoke Monday morning,
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: I think, and the total was at forty nine and
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: a half. I was upset because I wanted to bet
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: the under and I missed the fifty or I didn't
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: pull the trigger on the fifty. I just sort of
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: watched it. You got the fifty. I get on the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: I get on the show on Tuesday and Simon telling
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: me he's betting the over, and not only that, he's
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: gone in big on the over, moved it. I don't
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: know why I still feel good about the under, like
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: it doesn't actually play the type for me, given the
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: fact that the Eagles sack rate, the Eagles pressure rate
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: best in the league, their elite against number one receivers.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: We've got a mediocre offensive line, We've got a for
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, We've got a wide receiver group that is injured,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: and so what the Eagles are already great at is
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: focusing on the number one receiver, so now they can
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: double down on that. Uh. Their offensive line is historically great.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Their rush game is having in his work season. Why
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: am I? Why am I hearing about the over when
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: this feels like a Eagles ground and pound and Mahomes
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: not having a heart, not having an easy time staying
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: in the field. I have no idea. I seriously don't
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: I like the under, and I still do. I've bet
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: at a fifty one since it hit there recently as well.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I'm just against Simon here. Now I understand what the
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: theory is behind liking the over, Like my theory is
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: as Chiefs and the over Eagles in the under, I
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: just think that's the way it'll progress. As the game goes,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: so like you know, there's ways to play, combined parlays
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: and things like that. I just feel like that's the approach.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Whether it's pressure, their past defense, their offensive line, it's
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: just all better units on Philly's side. But the one
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: thing I will say when it comes to injuries, Simon
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: is also a hundred percent correct. I am twenty times
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: more worried about hurts than I am a homes We
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: just saw my homes play. We saw what happened, and
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: he's got two weeks. We heard all that Kelsey news
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: day of men absolutely nothing. He had seven catches, He
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: probably should have had eight or nine in the game.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: So I think from an injury point of view, I
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: am scared to death of Philly and that's why I listen.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: I bet it at minus one fifteen. I bet at
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty. That's what I got early. But right
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: now I'm with Simon, I'm not putting another dime on it.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: After all I keep hearing from everyone is that injury.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: It's it's scary. You've been digging into the bet Labs
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: database for trends on the side, trends on the totals
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: based on tickets, based on money percentages, what do we know?
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: What can you tell us? So just off the top,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: which is probably the most fun stat I could offer,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: that's super Bowl favorites are thirty six and twenties straight up,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: but they're actually twenty seven seven into an absolute even
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: in Super Bowl history, which is just a fun nugget
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: heading into this game when you look at overs twenty
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: six pretty much even. The one thing I will say
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: the unders cash and four straight Super Bowls for the
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: first time since two thousand nine. Hasn't gone five straight
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: under since the seventies, So something to look out for
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: depending on the result here. But the one thing I
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: really want to talk about is the bet Labs database
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: and in game uh first half and second halves UH
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: dog ten six and two, A t s in the
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: first halves, dog ten seven and one in the second half.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: So when you're talking about like the Chiefs in this spot,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: you're probably getting a little bit extra value. If you're
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: getting a half point freed Man, you fancy yourself a
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: player prop genius. We've seen the explosion in the prop
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: market going on for a generation almost but what's interesting
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: is normally before the Super Bowl those props aren't coming
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: out for at least a week all of a sudden
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: this year, perhaps were it out Monday. Give me some
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: thoughts on the props that are tried and true that
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: will always be popular. Start with that the player props
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: that's its own general type of thing. But the team
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: prop those are the ones that are a little more
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: interesting to me. And the props that have something to
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: do like will there be a safety in the Super
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: Bowl or something like that. The props that have larger juice.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: The type of sports fan who's just coming in and like, Hey,
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: what should I bet? I don't I don't watch football,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: or I watch football, but I don't really like crunch numbers.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: That person doesn't want to lay a lot of juice.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: But sometimes there's significant value on laying the juice. You
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: shouldn't put a ton of money on it, but you
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: know you're very likely to win that bet, uh, Like
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: even more than the the implied value that you get
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: with the odds. I think for this game in particular,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I would be looking at the number of penalties. Uh.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Penalties tend to tick down a little bit in the
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: playoffs and especially the Super Bowl, Like the refs just
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: kind of tend to swallow the whistle a little bit more,
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: so there tends to be some value there. And uh,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm interested in the passing props that we
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: will see, you know, with the idea that Jay and
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Hurts is potentially more injured than what we would see
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: in the practice reports, I think we could see you know,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: significant under movement on his passing yardage prop. And it's
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: not as if the Eagles are airing it out a
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: lot anyway. Uh. And I mean they have that capacity
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: early in the year, but we haven't seen it recently.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: So whatever number you look at now, it will probably
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: be significantly lower a week from now. Sign And if
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: you're anxious about betting the sides and we're still thinking
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: about it, uh, And you're heavy on the total of
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: this on the over at this point, have you looked
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: at the sides? Have you, I mean at the props?
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: Have you thought about the props market at this point?
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Are you gonna wait and see what happens next week? Yeah?
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I took a bunch of positions, but do they're like
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: limited to even in person to fifty like the biggest
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: bet I had a bunch of guys that have a
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: bunch of different books was to fifty. Most books were
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: two on that Monday. Um, as a week has gone along,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: they've upped it. I would say some books have up
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: died a hundred bucks two hundred fifty per day. So
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: I've heard, you know, a couple of i's got a
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: thousand bucks down today. I think they're all just taking
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: positions on here set. It's the same thing of they're
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: taking unders. I mean, they worked for him last week.
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: A lot of really smart guys came in really heavy
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: on Hurtes underpassing, not only because they thought the game
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: script was gonna go towards the forty niners, but they
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: had heard some rumors that he'd landed funny on it
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: and one of the tackles in that Giants game, and
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: that's why they kind of taking him out and took
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: it easy the rest of the second half against the
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Giants team. So that was one of those I was
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: looking for it. I didn't really want to believe it
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: because I feel like there wasn't enough info on it,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: and in the game there's just a couple of those
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: throws that, yeah, threw me up a little. But with
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: the over, I made the game fifty one and a half.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: That's why I just stayed to it where it's like, okay,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: that's what I made the number. The game opened above it,
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: then it moved below it, and that's where I just
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: saw the value where I think most pros and the
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: public are just going to go recently buyas I mean
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs. That's gonna be the play for the public.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: They're gonna go the simple of mahomes is a dog.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take my homes, which I can't fault them.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: It's like that's the easy thing to say and do,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: and the under is an easy bet because of what
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: have we seen this last couple of weeks. I mean,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: Evan could tell us we've just had unders like me
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: and you've been cashing every week chat since that Walker weekend,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: We've been hitting these unders pretty big and they've been
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: coming through. So that was another reason I like the
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: over in this vision of the public is usually wrong
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: and Super Bowls when the public likes unders, and they're
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: usually wrong when they think they know what the hell
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: is about to happen in games for Twize and I'll
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: always remember yelling my head off that Eagles over with
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: Nick Foles against that Patriots team Did I know that
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: was gonna be the most yards and points and that
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: uh super Bowl history. No, but it was just one
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: of the things where it's like, yeah, I agree, the
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: Eagles had a really good defense in that seventeen That
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: ship don't matter in the playoffs. You have two weeks
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: to prepare. These coaches are going to be smart. Andy
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Reid is a really smart coach, Sirianni. These blocking schemes
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: chad like watching going back and watching it. The adjustments
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: they made in the second half, that's why people want
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: to talk to about the Eagle team. The adjustments they
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: make it half time. Run blocking wise is literally poetry.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: If you're indie, watch film, Like they see like Nick
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Posta was stepping up, and they saw that he was
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: stepping up too much, like he was literally rushing up
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: the right side, so they would just leave him on block.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: In the second half, they literally just used him as
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: a decoy, brought the guard around, they would block up
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: the middle. You saw back the back fourteen twenty yard
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: runs by the Egos offense, just off a little adjustment.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Guess who doesn't have that good heart run defense. Compared
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: to the fourty niners, the Chiefs team So that's one
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: of those where I just keep going back to it
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: of it's gonna be the ultimate chess mass if you're
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: a football nerd. It's literally a dream of watch. Going
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: back and watching this film is gonna be amazing because
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: Andy Reid is so smart. A team will make an
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: adjustment in the first half and take something away, and
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Andy Reid will attack it in the second half. He'll
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: he'll find something from the nineteen eighties that no one
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: else knows because Andy is just old dog who knows
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: the old plays. And that's why I love I just
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: love this matchup so much. It's just really really good
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: coaching on coaching, and I agree Andy Reid probably is
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: the side right now for coaching just because he's been here,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: like this is what his third or fourth Super Bowl,
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: So to me, that's a big deal. That is a
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: huge event inch over Nick Siriani. So that's a lot
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: of stuff I weighed in this total of I don't
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: see either offense taking foot off the gas. Like Mahomes,
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: he will go fight for bite against this ego's team.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: Like again, the Eagles have a good defense. There's a
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: reason they haven't thanks for quarterback Like Mahomes this year,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: Mahomes is as good as it gets. So to me,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: takeaways receivers, I'm hearing whispers that Juju is actually back
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: and that he's gonna be practicing even this week. So
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: to me, I think they're gonna have enough pieces there
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: that Mahomes will put up the points. It's all about.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Can hurt to answer, because that's what it's gonna come
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: down to. You can't just run it all a game
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Mahomes just putting up points. You're gonna have to throw
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the ball. So that, to me, that's gonna be a
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: defining piece of this game. Well, everyone, go ahead, fathing,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: go ahead. Simon's point about the the over, I'm within there,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: and I think even if you know Juju, some of
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: these other wide receivers don't return, they're not all that
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: big of a part of the offense anyway, and they
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: still have two weeks to be able to plan what
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: they do without those guys. So, like Simon, I'm on
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: the over part of the rationalist at you know this
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: is this is the ma home spot. Uh. You know
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Simon is on the Eagles, But I think Mahomes is
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: going to be able to have more success against a
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: very good UH secondary here a great defensive line. He
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: he thinks, you know, he probably will be pressured. But
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, at the same time, I think it is
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: fair to say that, UH, I don't hold the strength
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: of schedule thing against the Eagles, Like they did what
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: they should do against bad opponents, like they demolished them.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: So like they still look like a very good team
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: that had a software strength of schedule. But it is
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: worth pointing out that the quarterbacks who are better than
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: the average that they faced, a number of those guys
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: did do pretty well against the Eagles defense. So it's
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: a good defense. I don't know if it's like a
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: great defense to the extent that we would imagine based
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: on the raw the raw stats, like all of the sacks,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: I think that's a little bit inflated. One of the
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: biggest conversations, the points of conversation coming out of the
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: Chiefs Bengals was the officiating. UH. There was a great
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: meme going around after on social with Ron was it
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Ron Torborg was the official UH with a picture of
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: him and Mahomes trading jerseys. UM. There was a joke
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: that is the first time an official has been named
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: m V p of the a f C Title game. Uh, Freedman,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: you mentioned penalties as a prop to play. Referees tend
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: to swallow their whistle in these scenarios. Evan, tell us
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: about Carl Scheffers and what we can expect in Super
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: Bowl from an officiating point of view, because everybody knows.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Anyone who watches convinced me, which we will of course
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: have in the Super Bowl Sunday. Uh, everyone knows I'm
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: a sucker. I'm a sucker for the referee stants. So
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: what I'm gonna tell you now you've probably heard before
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: because it's literally been talked about now for a few days,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna hear it again and convince me. But
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: Cheffer's lead referee in the Super Bowl is eleven and
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: one to the under in twelve playoff games, it's going
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: under by twelve point nine points per game. Since he's
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: been the lead official in six playoff games, it's six
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: and over of the under by fourteen and a half
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: points per game. You know, referee trends. It all sounds
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: really good. I like the under as well, so it
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: even fits my narrative. Um. And in terms of actual
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: penalty calls, Yeah, I mean, I mean it fits the narrative,
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: it fits everything we're talking about. But to Freedman's point,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: actually did a little bit of research, and usually penalties
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: are down, Like when you look to the average of
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: the year and then you looked at how many penalties
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: actually occurred in the super Bowl, it usually is less.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: So to the point where we're gonna see it, I
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna happen where there's gonna be less calls. Uh.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: And I think he's right on that one. All right, Well,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: at least people has given us something right now, we
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: know that we want to bet the under in total penalties?
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: Have we seen a total penalties prop yet? If we
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: seen the number I have anyone, I don't believe it's
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: out yet. I would expect it to be around ten
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, Um, I would say, uh, this,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: this this over under thing is killing me because as
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: much as I hate Freedman, I think he's really good
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: at this, and I love Simon and he's really good
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: at this. And they're both on the both on the over,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: but I love Evan and Evan is on the under.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: And we can find any trends to fit our narrative
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: that labs. By the way, we did a story yesterday.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: They are not that labs. But on our market report,
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: we did a story yesterday that the money was coming
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: in on the over. It could have been Simon for
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: all you know, we're fulfilling the prophecy here, so that
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: one's killing me. Um, we only got a few minutes
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: left because Freeman's got a heart out. You know, it's
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: very important. Uh yeah, you you talked with your CEO.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: I have a meeting with my CEO right after this
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: is done. We're basically mirror images of each other at
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: this It's so true and it's like a dream come
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: true for me right now that we get to compare
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: ourselves to each other. Um. Evan, you got a whole
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: boatload of stats that we still have to run through, So, uh,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: what can you tell me? All I'll say is this,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: we've been talking about the over under. I just think
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: it's interesting looking at Action Network market data right this
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: second tickets around the under. Uh. The unders only received
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: public support three times in the Super Bowl over the
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: last twenty years. I don't think the under is going
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: to close, but I think it's interesting that early in
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: the week we're seeing it and in those three games
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: there was one and two to the under. It means
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: absolutely nothing, but I think it is interesting that we
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: are we are seeing public support to the under early
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: in the week. So that's one note I'll give you
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: right now. The other note that I do think is
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: interesting is longest and shortest touchdowns. Freedman was talking about
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: like game props. The longest touchdown has gone under in
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: six of the last eight and went over last year
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: for reference. And the shortest touchdown prop has gone under
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: an eight to the last ten, three straight. So like
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: it's usually one and a half yards, and we've seen
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: one yard touchdowns in the Super Bowl. So that's one
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: note I think is really interesting that I've bet the
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: last few years. That's a really tough one. Yeah. The
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: last one I wanna give you is this one line movement.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I find this fascinating and I use this strictly in
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: the bet Labs database using one of our filters, follow
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: a line movement in the Super Bowl. Eighteen times in
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl history the line has moved one and a
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: half points or more. Right now, it's actually moved three
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: and a half points. Casey was minus two now, Phillies
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: minus one, and a half if you've followed the direction
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: of the line movement, so minus four to minus six,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: plus six to plus four and a half as examples,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: you'd be sixteen and two straight up in fourteen and
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: four against the spread in the Super Bowl. So the
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: line move is usually the right move. So the line
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: moved from Kansas City to Philly accurate, Kansas City the
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: open is the favorite. Some of us, you know, might
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: have bet Philly a plus one and a half on
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Sunday night, uh, and then minutes later that Philly that
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: get Kansas City minus plus two and a half, so
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: we might have canceled our bests out. So the line movement,
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: that's one of the most telling stats I've heard, Evan,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: is that the line movement tends to tell you which
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: side is not just going to win, but which side
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: is going to cover fourteen and four against the spread
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: the last eighteen Ah yeah, well it's only happened eighteen
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: times where it's moved one and a half points or
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: more so in those eighteen games, sixteen and two, fourteen
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: and four, So one game, everyone's everyone's moving. It tends
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: to be the right side, dude. That is a Euridica
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: stat Freeman is shaking his head. You like like that one, right,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: free That's that's a good one, Evan. Before we get
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: out of here and give us one more for the road, alright, Chad,
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: So we'll talk about ets for a second. The Chiefs
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: entered the playoffs with a six and eleven, a t
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: S record thirty five. In the fifty six year history
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: of the Super Bowl, there are just four teams that
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: have made a Super Bowl within against the spread win
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: percentage below forty percent, and the other three all lost
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: the game. Dude, it's come on, great, great info by
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Evan I and I got gotta do a plug for Evan,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: who every week puts out this article that is sort
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: of like the Primer U digging into the trans for
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: every game that's on the late must read piece. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: think there are very few people who dig in to
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: that depth and do it really well. And like Evan,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: you pull out a number of stats where I'm just like,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: I never what have you even thought to look for
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: something like this and you find it. I don't know
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: how you research in that way and then get it
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: all into that document and do it as quickly as
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: you do. But that feels like the like one of
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: those types of stats that I would look at in
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: that piece each week and just be like, man, I
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: wish I had known that before I made this betan.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: First of all, thank you. It'll be live Monday morning
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: dot com. Uh and that's that will be right at
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: the top. So that's all I gotta say. All the
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Evan wins the podcast. Um, Matthew Freedman, I love having
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: you on the podcast, even if I detest the meaning
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: of your being. I love having you on the podcast.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. Everyone should go check it out. Betting Pros.
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: Everyone should go check it out. Matthew Freeman, Director of Content,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. I miss you, buddy. I can't wait for
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: you to come back home. Come back. Oh, you can
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: detox a little bit before the game. Evan Abrahams, fantastic.
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: You nailed it with that last stat. That might make
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: me feel really good about betting the Eagles even more
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: right now. For Matt Mitchell, our producer, I am Chad Millman.
• 35:40
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• 35:44
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  Speaker 1: next Tuesday, we got the s the Super Bowl Player
• 36:11
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• 36:16
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