Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Amber Athey: Spectator's Washington Editor on the upcoming debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: One pm tomorrow, New Zealand time, Biden v. Trump. They've
- 0:03Speaker 1: never done it so early, you could argue for the
- 0:05Speaker 1: incumbent has never been more important to show he has
- 0:07Speaker 1: the stamina to go to Novimba. It's the first of
- 0:09Speaker 1: two debates. And Berethy is the Washington Editor full this,
- 0:12Speaker 1: Spig Taita and is willis Amba good morning, good.
- 0:16Speaker 2: Morning as for him for us, but thanks for having me.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I can't wait. Does that make me tragic or you
- 0:22Speaker 1: as excited as I am? Oh?
- 0:25Speaker 2: Of course I'm excited. I mean I think it's going
- 0:28Speaker 2: to be a really interesting night. In addition to the
- 0:31Speaker 2: Trump v. Biden matchup, there's also going to be two
- 0:35Speaker 2: sort of side challengers as well. Bidy versus himself. There's
- 0:39Speaker 2: a lot of speculations as to whether or not he
- 0:44Speaker 2: has the mental and physical capacity to serve another four
- 0:47Speaker 2: terms as president. And then there's Trump versus the moderators,
- 0:51Speaker 2: where the Trump campaign has spent the last week really
- 0:54Speaker 2: going over the perceived bias of Jake Tapper and Dana
- 0:58Speaker 2: Bash at CMN. So those are going to be two separate,
- 1:02Speaker 2: interesting sort of dynamics to look out for tomorrow.
- 1:06Speaker 1: The rules, will it Kill the funnel.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Not it will I think diminish the fun quite a bit.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Of course. One of the things that people look forward
- 1:16Speaker 2: to during the debate is the sort of cross talk
- 1:19Speaker 2: and the little jabs that come out as the opponent
- 1:22Speaker 2: is speaking. And because the microphones are going to be
- 1:24Speaker 2: cut off, when the candidates are not given explosive speaking time,
- 1:29Speaker 2: you're not going to really get that same dynamics. And then,
- 1:32Speaker 2: of course with no audience there to cheer or boose
- 1:35Speaker 2: some of the responses, it's going to be harder to
- 1:38Speaker 2: have that lively atmosphere and also that real time reaction
- 1:42Speaker 2: to what the candidates are saying.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Exactly what's your assessment of the role of the debate
- 1:48Speaker 1: or debates in the overall scheme of things, and leading
- 1:50Speaker 1: people to sawn to who they're going to bite for.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Ultimately, the debates don't have as much way on voters
- 1:58Speaker 2: as I think pun like to believe that they have.
- 2:02Speaker 2: If you pull most voters, they typically don't say that
- 2:06Speaker 2: the debates are real deciding factor for them. What a
- 2:10Speaker 2: debate I think is showing mostly this time around, is
- 2:13Speaker 2: one who is fit to be president in terms of
- 2:17Speaker 2: again the physical and mental capacity, but really The only
- 2:20Speaker 2: debate moments that typically stick out are the really really
- 2:24Speaker 2: bad one. So as long as you can get through
- 2:26Speaker 2: it relatively successfully, then not much is going to change
- 2:31Speaker 2: in terms of where voters stand on the candidate.
- 2:33Speaker 1: The fact they're going so early is that to show
- 2:36Speaker 1: Biden's got the goods and if he doesn't, if this
- 2:39Speaker 1: blows up in his face, what are they going to do?
- 2:42Speaker 2: Right? And that's one of the areas of speculation is
- 2:45Speaker 2: if Biden does blow up, are the Democrats going to
- 2:48Speaker 2: try to replace him at the national convention in August.
- 2:53Speaker 2: The reason why the debate was scheduled so early initially
- 2:56Speaker 2: was because Trump was asking for it to happen because
- 3:00Speaker 2: of the fact that the US now has early and
- 3:03Speaker 2: mail in voting that starts a couple of months out
- 3:06Speaker 2: from the November election, So they wanted to give voters
- 3:09Speaker 2: the opportunity to see the candidate's debate well before they
- 3:12Speaker 2: started actually casting their ballots. The debate used to be
- 3:16Speaker 2: held in September and October, and then voters would go
- 3:18Speaker 2: to the polls that first Tuesday in November. That obviously
- 3:22Speaker 2: has changed, but I also think the Biden campaign has
- 3:25Speaker 2: been looking at some of the polling lately and has
- 3:27Speaker 2: real concerns. Biden is trailing Trump in five out of
- 3:31Speaker 2: six battleground states. He's losing on the top issues that
- 3:35Speaker 2: matter most to voters by double digists in terms of
- 3:38Speaker 2: voters who voters trust more to handle those issues. And
- 3:41Speaker 2: we've also seen some of Biden's bates turning away from him,
- 3:45Speaker 2: African American voters, Latino voters, and young voters tending a
- 3:49Speaker 2: little bit more towards Trump. All of these are things
- 3:52Speaker 2: that would give any campaign cause, and I think this
- 3:54Speaker 2: debate is a way for them to try to maybe
- 3:57Speaker 2: inject some life into what is looking like a dying campaign.
- 4:02Speaker 1: Amber. I appreciate your expertise and insight very much. We'll
- 4:04Speaker 1: get you on again, Amber Ethiy, who's the Spectator Washington editor,
- 4:07Speaker 1: with us for.
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