Latest / Simply Bitcoin / FORGET $94,000: The Truth Behind The Bitcoin CRASH!! (Is It Over?) | EP 1377
Transcript
- 0:00Michael Saylor was just on the national news this morning
- 0:03giving a 5 minute explanation that explains a lot of questions
- 0:09that people might be having right now.
- 0:11Is the Bitcoin run over? Will Michael Saylor be selling
- 0:14Bitcoin or buying more? Is this one you should be buying
- 0:18Bitcoin? Of course, this is not financial
- 0:20advice, but anyways, I saw this clip this morning and it was
- 0:24fascinating. Let's check it out and then of
- 0:26course, we'll talk about it. Michael Saylor is here, strategy
- 0:30founder and executive Chairman. Good morning to you.
- 0:34What do you think, 150 by the end of the year?
- 0:37What do you think's happening here?
- 0:39You know, I think we all want to go to the moon, but if you want
- 0:43to ride the rocket you got to be prepared to pull the G's.
- 0:47Over five years, bitcoins had like 6 brutal draw downs.
- 0:51If you roll the clock back 13 months, we were sitting around
- 0:5568,000. And then after the Trump
- 0:57election we had this this incredible rally from 68 to
- 1:01106,000 in five weeks. If you go back 14 months, we are
- 1:06about 55,000. And so if you'd said we're going
- 1:09to go from 55,000 and 94,000 and 14 months, that would have
- 1:13exceeded any reasonable investors expectations over five
- 1:17years, Bitcoins up about 50% a year on average for the five
- 1:21years. Gold and S&P are studying the
- 1:24cost capital to 14%. My company strategies up 71%
- 1:29equivalent to NVIDIA. There's no other stock in the
- 1:33S&P that's done any better. So I think the volatility comes
- 1:39with the territory. If you're going to be a Bitcoin
- 1:42investor, you need a four year time horizon and you need to be
- 1:46prepared to handle the volatility in this market.
- 1:49So when you when you look at the price right now and then I will
- 1:51talk about the implications for strategy.
- 1:53But when when you look at the price right now, what is the
- 1:56upside at this moment look like to you?
- 1:59And what is the downside in this moment look like to you?
- 2:02You know, I feel like we put in a pretty strong base of support
- 2:06around here. There's an incredible amount of,
- 2:09of leverage coming out of the system, a lot of liquidation, a
- 2:12lot of the OG holders were selling at the $100,000 level.
- 2:16And and so I'm, I'm fairly comfortable at this level.
- 2:21I would think that we'll build from this base and we'll rally
- 2:23from here. Obviously it's hard to make a
- 2:27forecast for the end of the year right now given given what's
- 2:31happened over the past few weeks and especially the shift in the
- 2:35macro environment. But you know, as you know, my
- 2:39view is bitcoins going to outperform gold, it's going to
- 2:42outperform the S&P. It is digital capital.
- 2:46And so if if you're a long term investor, this is the place to
- 2:50be. In in terms of the way your fund
- 2:53is structured and the debt that you've taken out to effectively
- 2:56buy a Bitcoin. What what are the trigger
- 3:00points? Just so people understand the
- 3:01full risks involved for you in terms of some of these
- 3:04preferreds and other things in terms of where where Bitcoin
- 3:08needs to needs to lie either on the low, on the low end.
- 3:12Well, I mean it's pretty important to note that we're not
- 3:15even 1.15 times levered. We're we're very fractionally
- 3:20levered and our debt that we have is 4 1/2 years out.
- 3:25So we don't really have any trigger points anytime soon.
- 3:28And if Bitcoin were to fall 80%, we're still over collateralized
- 3:32and we're fine. So, so our balance sheets pretty
- 3:35stable. The company's strategy just like
- 3:39an intelligent bank would be to build amplification for the
- 3:43common stock using preferred equity.
- 3:45So the equity number comes due, it's, it's a dividend payment
- 3:50declared by the board. It's not a coupon.
- 3:52We can't be in a default. There is no credit default
- 3:55situation from the digital credit that we're selling at
- 3:58this point. I was curious if you could
- 4:00comment on something we heard from Kathy Wood last week.
- 4:04She has a target, I think by 20-30.
- 4:06She had it at $1.5 million a coin and and recently suggested
- 4:11it might actually be closer to a 1.2, which is still pretty
- 4:15remarkable unto itself. And yet, when she explained her
- 4:19new rationale, it was actually that stable coins, the the sort
- 4:23of emergence of stable coins in the growth of those coins being
- 4:26used for transactions, she, she argued, could ultimately crowd
- 4:29out some of the use case for Bitcoin.
- 4:33What did you think when she said that?
- 4:36I think the entire digital assets economy is, is exploding
- 4:41and growing in a bunch of different dimensions right now.
- 4:44The way to think of it is that half of the economy is built
- 4:48around Bitcoin. It's digital capital.
- 4:50Bitcoin is digital gold and the and the killer application on
- 4:54top of digital capital is digital credit instruments like
- 4:58stretch STRC credit instruments that pay yield and and that's a
- 5:03very simple business. The other half of the economy is
- 5:07digital finance and it's going to be built on the proof of
- 5:10stake networks that are emerging, the Ethereum Solanas,
- 5:15the B and BS. And the killer application for
- 5:18that part of the digital assets economy is tokenized currencies
- 5:22a la stable coins, tokenized securities, tokenized real world
- 5:27assets, tokenized brands and defy in general.
- 5:31Well, that's a very complicated technical development.
- 5:35And and I'm sure that stable coins are going to go from
- 5:39hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars, but it's
- 5:43not really competing with digital capital.
- 5:46No. No rich person wants to buy the
- 5:49currency instead of an equity or a real estate or a capital
- 5:53asset. Michael, given where Bitcoin's
- 5:56trading right now, are you buying?
- 5:58We are buying, we're buying quite a lot actually.
- 6:02And we'll we'll actually report our next buys on Monday morning.
- 6:06I think people will be pleasantly surprised.
- 6:09In fact, we've been accelerating our purchases.
- 6:11Are you ever not buying Michael? No, we're always buying
- 6:16bitcoins. Always a good investment.
- 6:18But no, that's interesting though in terms of buying today
- 6:22at $95,364 versus buying two or three weeks ago, you're saying
- 6:26you're buying it at both. What's if you were looking over
- 6:30the last year sort of at your average, what do you, where you
- 6:32and do you do you weight the buying based on on trading?
- 6:36We now own nearly 3.1% of the network and we bought it on a
- 6:39blended average about 74,000 a coin.
- 6:43The, the point that I would make for any investor is if you have
- 6:47money you don't need for four years or longer, and if you
- 6:50don't trust anybody, you want no counterparties, you just want to
- 6:54own a piece of the global digital economy, you buy
- 6:58Bitcoin. It's the commodity.
- 7:00If you're an equity investor and you want to bet on digital
- 7:03credit and you want to bet on digital capital and you want
- 7:06some amplification, you buy an equity like MSTR.
- 7:10If you have money for less than four years and you're an
- 7:13investor and your time frame is 12 weeks, you should buy the
- 7:17digital credit. For example, the credit
- 7:20instruments we've created have stripped the volatility off of
- 7:23Bitcoin. Bitcoin's Vols like 45 on a
- 7:26trailing 30 day average. We have instruments at 282115
- 7:30and stretches a ball of eight. So if what you want is like a A
- 7:35series yield, you want the credit, you don't want the
- 7:38equity or the commodity. Mike, I want to thank you for
- 7:40joining us. Alright, everybody quite a big
- 7:44intro clip, but I, I felt like I needed to play the entire thing
- 7:48for you guys 'cause who else then Michael Saylor to kind of
- 7:52explain to kind of, you know, get a vibe check on what's going
- 7:56on with the market. I think that's the appropriate
- 7:58word. There's also a rumor going
- 8:01around that again, sailor Arkham Sailors strategy cuts Bitcoin
- 8:06holdings by 47,000 Bitcoin Michael Saylor follows up with
- 8:12there is no truth to this rumor. So again, 2025 has been a very
- 8:19interesting year for Bitcoin. You know what tends to happen
- 8:22the year after the having is Bitcoin has this parabolic rise.
- 8:27That obviously hasn't been the case.
- 8:30Microstrategy's performance, Metaplanet's performance, a lot
- 8:33of the Bitcoin treasury companies performance earlier on
- 8:36in the cycle like 2024-2025, we're actually outperforming
- 8:41Bitcoin. That's not the case anymore.
- 8:44A lot of the treasury companies are underperforming Bitcoin.
- 8:47And if you're a treasury company and you're underperforming
- 8:50Bitcoin, then it begs the question, why should people buy
- 8:53the treasury company if they could just buy Bitcoin instead
- 8:57and end up with more Bitcoin, right?
- 8:59So, you know, it's very kind of very interesting that all of
- 9:02this is happening simultaneously.
- 9:05Of course, you have the Trump administration, the first pro
- 9:07Bitcoin administration coming into office and the ended
- 9:11Operation Choke .2 Point O. I'm at the point where I'm
- 9:15saying bring Operation Choke .2 Point O back because at least
- 9:19when Operation Choke .2 Point O was happening, at least we had
- 9:22volatility in general. There's been absolutely no
- 9:26volatility this year. Maybe a little bit when we went
- 9:28from like 100K down to like 76, then we bounced back up.
- 9:32But as a whole, if you look at Bitcoin's year to date
- 9:36performance, Bitcoin's up 2% year to date, not been that
- 9:42great. And it actually could end the
- 9:44year in the red, right? Which again, uncharted
- 9:47territory. October could have been the top.
- 9:50It could have been $126,000. But the reason I want to pay you
- 9:55that clip from Michael Saylor is there's a lot of things that he
- 9:58unpacked there. First of all, they have no
- 10:00intention of selling Bitcoin. They actually want to buy more.
- 10:03He still feels very bullish on the asset.
- 10:05He says that there is a base. I, I would agree with him.
- 10:08I think that there is a base. There's a lot of institutional
- 10:10players coming in and, you know, they obviously want to, they
- 10:16obviously don't want their bags to drop, you know that much.
- 10:20But what's really interesting too is, you know, the
- 10:23involvement of the Trump family in the whole industry, in the
- 10:27whole sector. And, you know, in the beginning
- 10:29of the year, I, I, I thought that was a positive thing.
- 10:31Like we were doing live streams. We had like over 1000 people
- 10:34watching live on YouTube. You know, we're celebrating, you
- 10:37know, this, this new, you know, this, this new administration
- 10:41and, and I, I think it's been quite lackluster.
- 10:44And it, I'm not just talking, I'm not going to get into the
- 10:46details, but I'm not just talking about, you know, the
- 10:50Bitcoin industry in general. I'm talking about, you know, the
- 10:53first year of the Trump presidency.
- 10:57It's hasn't been that great, to be honest with you, across a lot
- 11:01of fronts right now. From a policy and regulatory
- 11:04perspective, I think it's been fantastic from the Genius Act
- 11:08and the Clarity Act that has a high probability of passing.
- 11:11But you know, all the talks of the tariffs have really spooked
- 11:16the market, right? Every single time the market
- 11:19started rising, you know, you have, you have President Trump
- 11:22going on Truth Social posting about the tariffs.
- 11:25And then you had the, you have these crazy corrections that we
- 11:28had, we experienced, I think in the middle of the year.
- 11:31And then the latest one was in October, you had the largest
- 11:34liquidation event in Bitcoin slash crypto history, right?
- 11:38Just to kind of give you a perspective.
- 11:40And it all came from a Truth Social post where he was saying,
- 11:44hey, I'm going to put 100 percent, 100%, 100% tariffs on
- 11:49China. Now in Europe, it was it same
- 11:52thing happened kind of with the European Union.
- 11:55But what's really interesting about all of this is that, and
- 11:57I've had conversations with people that are much smarter
- 11:59than I am. Yeah.
- 12:00And they're talking about it's like, look, like this is market
- 12:02manipulation. Like this is Wall Street.
- 12:04This is what Wall Street does best.
- 12:05Like, they they want to scare you and bore you to death out of
- 12:09your bags, Right. And I think that is exactly what
- 12:13happened in 2025. I think with the introduction of
- 12:16the ETFs in January of 2024, I think that this is a whole
- 12:21different ball game. I think that's what people have
- 12:23to understand. But I think the silver lining in
- 12:26all of this is that now we're headed into the unknown, right?
- 12:31We could be following the four year cycle, right?
- 12:34You know, which is we peaked, maybe December we, we hit
- 12:37another peak, who knows, right? You know, it wasn't that long
- 12:41ago that Bitcoin was at all time highs, right?
- 12:43It's like a month ago, right? And it's important to keep a
- 12:45perspective sometimes, but at the same time, simultaneously,
- 12:51you know, what happens if Bitcoin just keeps going
- 12:55sideways into 2026 and you don't really have that traditional
- 13:00bear market correction. And this is kind of like the
- 13:04realization that I've been coming to, you know, really
- 13:07towards the end of the year when October didn't actually be
- 13:10October is actually the red October.
- 13:13I said like this is uncharted territory.
- 13:16Like we, we, you know, now we're midway through November again,
- 13:21you know, the price action really isn't that exciting.
- 13:23If anything, it's gone down, right?
- 13:26So, yeah, I think we are in uncharted territory.
- 13:29I think it definitely has to do with the involvement of Wall
- 13:32Street. But I will say this, I think
- 13:35that heading into next year, because it is a midterm year, I
- 13:39think that the Republicans are under a tremendous amount of
- 13:42pressure for them to perform an economic miracle or else they're
- 13:48going to lose the House. Like I'm very, very confident in
- 13:52saying that, right? So of course, that creates a a
- 13:55very big incentive for the Trump administration to do something.
- 13:59I think also Jerome Powell talking about potentially not
- 14:02lowering rates in December didn't really help the
- 14:05situation. I've been making the case that
- 14:08the Fed has been acting politically all year.
- 14:11It's not really helping the Trump presidency.
- 14:14So I, I, but again, you know, you have a new fed chair, you
- 14:17know, in the middle of next year that's going to be appointed.
- 14:21And again, the, the, the, the big announcement was the end of,
- 14:25of QT that is going to be happening December 1st.
- 14:29So like literally 15 days from now, right?
- 14:32So, you know, a couple of couple of variables coming into place,
- 14:36right? But I think it's safe to say at
- 14:38this point that even Michael Saylor, you see his face in that
- 14:43interview, Sophie, like, you know, he's he's covering up and
- 14:46he's staying positive, of course.
- 14:48But, you know, those big smiles that were present I think in the
- 14:52beginning of the year were absent this time.
- 14:56And I think rightly so. So, yeah.
- 14:58I mean, we've been living through this this entire year,
- 15:00you know, kind of going through it.
- 15:02And this year has been this year of expectations where the
- 15:05expectations weren't met and Bitcoin's volatility is just
- 15:10basically disappeared. Again, like like I said, the
- 15:12year to date performance of Bitcoin right now is we're up 2%
- 15:17year to date, which is not that great, is it?
- 15:20Well, I wouldn't say that the volatility is gone, especially
- 15:24today we're feeling a little bit.
- 15:27But you know what, at least we're feeling something.
- 15:30But yeah, when you zoom out and look at it from a year to date
- 15:33perspective, it definitely kind of sucks that we've just gone
- 15:36sideways. It definitely kind of feels like
- 15:40it is the end of the cycles. And you can tell that Michael
- 15:46Saylor might be feeling a little bit defeated, but hey, that's
- 15:50human. Like who isn't feeling that way?
- 15:53But when you look at what the man is doing, he's doubling,
- 15:59tripling, quadrupling down, and he's buying more Bitcoin.
- 16:04Like, who does that in traditional finance?
- 16:08Only someone who is a disruptor and someone who is willing to
- 16:12take the risk that Michael Saylor is taking.
- 16:15So I'm actually pretty bullish. I just actually finished writing
- 16:21an episode of Satoshi that is going to be coming out this
- 16:25afternoon talking about the the the crash.
- 16:30Are we calling it the crash? I mean, this is a crash for ants
- 16:33when it comes to bitcoiners. I.
- 16:34Don't think it's a crash. I think, you know, I think this
- 16:38is just the normal course of business.
- 16:41You know, I think volatility is good, but I think the year to
- 16:45date performance I think is is, you know, I think that is, you
- 16:51know, I think that is what caught a lot of people off guard
- 16:54in my opinion. Right.
- 16:55And when you're looking at it from the short term, that's
- 16:58definitely an area of concern for most investors.
- 17:01But again, if you zoom out, nothing, first of all, nothing
- 17:06about Bitcoin fundamentally has changed, right?
- 17:09This is all macro speculation, you know, big finance,
- 17:14traditional finance going in and inputting, you know, their their
- 17:21stuff right there. But.
- 17:24I I think the keyword there is strategy.
- 17:26I actually wrote it was V for V for Vendetta on X1 of the
- 17:33founders of of Bitcoin way. He had a really, he had a really
- 17:40good tweet that I really wanted to get to.
- 17:44But basically the long story I, I don't know if I can find it on
- 17:47time, but basically the Long story short is this Wall Street
- 17:52is playing Wall Street games. And it, it was, he wasn't the
- 17:56only one who is telling me that it was actually also, it was
- 18:01actually also British Huddle. And what's really interesting
- 18:04about British Hoddle, other than I'm a big fan of his content.
- 18:07I know a lot of people don't like him, but I'm a, I'm a big
- 18:09fan of British Hoddle's content. But what's really interesting
- 18:11about British Hoddle is he comes from the traditional financial
- 18:17world. And I remember I did a podcast
- 18:20with him recently and he was just basically saying, like
- 18:22Nico, like you don't understand, like they're trying to bore you
- 18:26to death. They're trying to shake you out
- 18:27of your bags. I'm extremely bullish for 2026
- 18:31and it's going to catch everyone by surprise.
- 18:34And I think that's what a lot of bitcoiners are not taking into
- 18:37account because they're buying into, you know, the four year
- 18:42cycle theory. That is the general consensus
- 18:44right now. And it could be true, right?
- 18:48Like the four year cycle is a thing until it's broken.
- 18:51So it is a thing right now, but this is what makes things
- 18:55actually exciting. Like despite the price action,
- 18:58I'm actually excited for the first time in a long time in
- 19:01Bitcoin. And the reason for that, ladies
- 19:03and gentlemen, is like, for the first time, I don't actually
- 19:07have any idea or expectation of what is going to happen.
- 19:13And most people are on that boat right now, right?
- 19:16But if you look at kind of like the macro indications, right,
- 19:20the pressure that the Trump administration is going to have
- 19:23next year to perform in order to hold the house, If you take a
- 19:27look at the language that is coming from Treasury Secretary
- 19:30Scott Besson, basically saying, like, look, 2026 is going to be
- 19:34a year that Main Street wins, right?
- 19:37Not just Wall Street, but Main Street wins.
- 19:40And that's the only feasible way that, again, the Republicans
- 19:44hold the House, right? And then, of course, Trump's own
- 19:48interest in a lot of the sector now, he could be benefiting
- 19:52tremendously from having insider knowledge.
- 19:55But at the end of the day, you know, his sons himself, like he
- 20:00has ownership stake in a lot of this.
- 20:02They're eventually going to want number to go up, right?
- 20:05So I think Wall Street is playing games, but I think it's
- 20:09an inevitability that people come to this realization that
- 20:14Bitcoin is absolutely scarce. And I think that Wall Street
- 20:18institutions, just retail has come to this conclusion, but I
- 20:22don't think the institutions have understood, fully
- 20:26understood and embraced the idea that Bitcoin is absolutely
- 20:29scarce, unlike gold. And this whole talk of like,
- 20:32Nico, the parabolas are impossible because the market
- 20:35cap is too big. I'm calling BS on that.
- 20:37SOF, like gold, had a parabola this year, right?
- 20:41Yeah. It's like a. $20 trillion market
- 20:44cap and it had a parabola, right?
- 20:46Like people were lining up outside of wherever it is you
- 20:49buy gold to buy gold, right? You know, I know, I know it took
- 20:5410 years for that to actually for, for gold to come back to
- 20:57life. But, you know, it had a parabola
- 21:00and a really interesting statistic also as well.
- 21:02Ladies and gentlemen, we've barely made all time highs in
- 21:07gold terms since 2021. And I think that is the signal.
- 21:12Like, yeah, we've made all time high in dollar terms, but you
- 21:15have to take into account the purchasing power loss of the
- 21:19dollar since 2021. That's not being talked about in
- 21:22the conversation. So like, yeah, I'll, I'll, I'll
- 21:25be honest with you. As a bitcoiner, I've been in
- 21:27this industry for for quite a bit of time now.
- 21:31You know, this year has been lackluster.
- 21:33It's been quite disappointing. I know that there's a lot of
- 21:36them are my friends, so I'm not going to name any names, but a
- 21:38lot of people are like, no, it's been fantastic.
- 21:40It's been great. I will say that 2023 and 2024
- 21:44were really good for Bitcoin. And This is why I keep making
- 21:49the joke like, you know, bring operation choke .2 point O back,
- 21:52because at least the price was pumping back then, right.
- 21:57You know, but during the Trump presidency, the reality is that,
- 22:02you know, Bitcoin hasn't, you know, done all that well, that
- 22:06that's the that's the reality, right.
- 22:08So anyhow, I want to get your take.
- 22:11So if like, you know, just about the Trump president presidency
- 22:15in general and yeah. I mean, yeah, the Trump
- 22:21presidency has been kind of a disaster.
- 22:24I'm not going to lie. I think a lot of people are
- 22:26disappointed. Obviously there is a faction
- 22:29within MAGA that, you know, has completely drifted away because
- 22:34everything that And this week has been one of the worst weeks
- 22:38for Trump, politically speaking. Let me say like between his H1B
- 22:43visas, Americans aren't talented enough Comments, you know, to
- 22:48the 50 year mortgages, to the $2000 stimulus checks.
- 22:52And ironically enough, it all has to do with the economy,
- 22:56which is the reason that so many Americans were voting for Trump
- 23:00in the 1st place. So while he's saying that, you
- 23:04know, or his son is saying rather that Bitcoin can still go
- 23:08to a million, that, you know, there's still a chance,
- 23:10whatever. I think that this is kind of
- 23:13like a Hail Mary pass for them almost.
- 23:16In trying to in what? In what regard?
- 23:21In in the sense that they know that traditional finance in the
- 23:27economy is probably not going to save the Trump administration.
- 23:31Maybe they're looking at Bitcoin as the one asset that actually
- 23:36saves them and takes them into the midterms and over a win.
- 23:44Yeah, I mean, could be, could be, I don't know.
- 23:47It's it's it's interesting. It's interesting.
- 23:50It's it, this is uncharted territory, which again makes me
- 23:53makes me excited, makes me excited again.
- 23:56You have a pro Bitcoin administration.
- 23:59But the reality is that I think 2025 has been lackluster in
- 24:02general. But I'll take the wins.
- 24:05I'll take the regulatory wins. I mean, at the end of the day,
- 24:08Bitcoin hasn't dumped that hard, right?
- 24:13So far. So far, right, so far.
- 24:16I think that's the keyword is. So far it hasn't.
- 24:19Right. But you know the way, I don't
- 24:23know, I think, I think that that I'm on your page, I'm just as
- 24:28bullish as you are. And because we have no idea
- 24:31what's going on, I think that uncertainty is brewing a storm
- 24:37for possibly for possibly a really, really, really strong
- 24:44bull market and it's just been delayed, right?
- 24:47We all had expectations and I think that's what's killing us,
- 24:50right? Like we all thought that Bitcoin
- 24:52was going to have its year in 2025 and we were wrong.
- 24:57And maybe that just means that it's going to happen a little
- 25:00bit later because the stage is set.
- 25:02I mean, at some point the Fed is going to have to print money.
- 25:07And I think that that was actually a big reason for why we
- 25:11dipped to below 95 K levels. Apparently now the confidence in
- 25:17the fact that the the Fed is going to print more money in
- 25:21December has gone down. And this the first thing that
- 25:25people that a lot of like traditional finance people are
- 25:29going to sell are assets that they view as risky, such as
- 25:33Bitcoin. You know, even though Bitcoin is
- 25:36not, in my opinion, as risky as the majority of the S&P 500,
- 25:42but. I, I would say this and I'm, I'm
- 25:45seeing some of the, I'm seeing some of the comments here,
- 25:48right? Some people are saying that we
- 25:50don't have a capitalist market. I completely agree.
- 25:53That's true. I, I completely agree.
- 25:55I think as long as there's the Federal Reserve, you, you don't
- 25:58have a capitalist market looking at some other things, I don't
- 26:04think you can control BTC price forever.
- 26:08Maybe for yes, 100%. I think it's a really good
- 26:10comment, right? I think that like a beach ball
- 26:13that you put underwater, I think that you can hold it there for
- 26:17so long, but as soon as you let go, that thing's going to spring
- 26:19up. And then another thing that I'll
- 26:21add before we transition to the next segment, ladies and
- 26:24gentlemen, is this Bitcoin is, is Bitcoin either goes up where
- 26:32it goes to 0 it it, it, there is no in between for Bitcoin,
- 26:35right? The halvings kind of ensure
- 26:38that, right? Every four years, the amount of
- 26:42of rewards that the miners earn gets cut in half.
- 26:46So you kind of need that price to go up for a lot of these
- 26:51large mining operations to remain economically viable.
- 26:55Now, of course, you know, there's the difficulty
- 26:58adjustments, you know, a lot of the inefficient miners are just
- 27:02going to go offline. So, but I mean, you know, Max
- 27:07Keiser is the one that says this, right?
- 27:09He says that hash rate, you know, price is a lagging into
- 27:15price follows the hash rate. It's Max Keiser's words, not
- 27:19mine. And if you take a look at the
- 27:21hash rate, it's reaching all time highs like the it's
- 27:24literally a hockey stick up. And what that tells me is that
- 27:29people feel very confident deploying capital into very
- 27:33expensive mining build outs and mining infrastructure and they
- 27:41feel very confident in that. And if you didn't feel confident
- 27:44in the future Bitcoin price appreciation, you would not take
- 27:50those. You would you wouldn't do that,
- 27:52you wouldn't do that. It it just wouldn't be
- 27:54economically it it just wouldn't be sound.
- 27:56So I think the price, the way that it's behaving, all the
- 27:59rumors that are going around, we've heard multiple times that
- 28:03sovereign wealth funds, I, I saw recently too, the the Czech
- 28:08central bank, I think we reported that yesterday has
- 28:11announced that they're buying some Bitcoin.
- 28:14You have large banks, you have pension funds in the United
- 28:16States. Of course, a lot of these aren't
- 28:19buying Bitcoin through, you know, spot Bitcoin, but they are
- 28:24buying Bitcoin nonetheless. So I think overall, you know,
- 28:28I'm, I'm feeling very bullish, but again, I think the lesson
- 28:32learned of 2025 I, I things could change in December, but
- 28:36all things being said right now we have a month and a half left
- 28:39of the year. I think the lesson learned of of
- 28:422025 is don't have expectations in this industry.
- 28:46Don't have expectations in Bitcoin.
- 28:48Stay humble stock sats. I think the long term view is
- 28:51extremely bullish, but I think I think that's why I what caught a
- 28:57lot of people off guard. You know, this year the the
- 29:01silver lining is we're heading into unknown territory and I
- 29:05think that's fantastic. I'm really excited about that.
- 29:08Like I'm really excited about the fact that no TA person, no
- 29:13nobody's price prediction this year was right.
- 29:16Everyone got it completely effing wrong.
- 29:19And that's how markets work. Last cycle, the price prediction
- 29:23was actually too high to the upside.
- 29:25Everyone and their mother thought we were going to hit
- 29:27100K. We only hit 69 K this cycle.
- 29:31Something very similar happened. Everyone thought we were going
- 29:33to have a parabolic run. We didn't.
- 29:36We went sideways for the entire year.
- 29:38What does everyone thinks going to happen in 2026?
- 29:41We're going to have this massive correction.
- 29:42Like that's the general consensus.
- 29:44Could that still be the case? Possibly.
- 29:47But again, you know, if if Bitcoin has shown something is
- 29:51that it just goes against what most people are thinking
- 29:54anyways, guys, it's going to be incredible show.
- 29:56We still have a ton of of information lined up for you
- 30:00guys of content lined up for you guys.
- 30:02They discontinued the penny. So we're going to be talking
- 30:05about the loss of purchasing power of the dollar.
- 30:09What this means from a symbolic perspective and, and then during
- 30:15the news segment, we're going to be exploring again more about
- 30:19this topic, about 20, about 2026 potentially about what everyone
- 30:23is thinking again, this rumor that Sailor sold the stock, that
- 30:27rumor is not true. You heard it on Squawk Box this
- 30:30morning. He in fact, is buying more, but
- 30:34there there does seem to be some predominant Bitcoin X accounts
- 30:38or X accounts in general that are buying into this 2026 bull
- 30:42market thesis. So we're going to be looking
- 30:45into all of that data and we're going to be having a
- 30:47conversation about it. And then during the culture
- 30:50segment, I think Sophie and I are just going to go down memory
- 30:52lane of 2025, you know, and just, you know, navigating this,
- 30:57this this Bitcoin world, the Bitcoin roller coaster, which I
- 31:00think will be really good guys, you guys ever want to stay
- 31:03tuned. You know, it's going to be an
- 31:04incredible show. If you guys are enjoying it so
- 31:07far, make sure to smash that like button.
- 31:09Before we jump into it, I do want to give a very special
- 31:12shout out to our lead sponsor, the best place to build your
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- 32:01today. All right, everybody, let's get
- 32:03the show started. We have tons to talk about
- 32:05today. We're going to be right back
- 32:07just a bit. I want to give a shout out to
- 32:15our partner Stamp Seat. Is your Bitcoin and cold storage
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- 33:27All right everybody, we are back at the time of recording the
- 33:30Bitcoin price is $96,240 Block height Ninety 923,626 market cap
- 33:381.92 trillion Bitcoin versus gold market cap 6.65% and
- 33:44decline from all time high. If you're buying Bitcoin right
- 33:46now, you're getting it at a 23%, almost 24% discount from the all
- 33:52time high. So smash that like button.
- 33:54Anyways, I do want to show this video.
- 33:57I think it's very symbolic, kind of representing Sophie if you do
- 34:02wide shot representing no wide shot of us and Sophie's, by the
- 34:10way, shout out to my beautiful wife that I love extremely.
- 34:13I, I love so much she is, she's, she's controlling the mothership
- 34:17right now and she's doing such a good job.
- 34:20I'm struggling so this is really hard.
- 34:23Shout out to Opti who does this everyday.
- 34:26Shout out to Sophie because she's crushing it right now.
- 34:28Like I don't think you guys understand how many buttons
- 34:30she's pressing so. So many buttons.
- 34:34No pun intended, but anyhow. So I do want to show this.
- 34:39This is a, a, a video of Jameson Lop.
- 34:42No, it's not a video of Jameson Lopp.
- 34:43It's a video that Jameson Lopp posted.
- 34:45But it's a, it's a recording of the final penny being produced
- 34:50by the US Mint. And Jameson Lopp's comment is so
- 34:54on point. They're celebrating the
- 34:57devaluation of the dollar. So let's check out the video.
- 35:01Everybody, this is the last one. Any final?
- 35:06Words from the penny. God Bless America, God Bless
- 35:11America and we're going to save the tax.
- 35:13Forty $56 million area, which is good.
- 35:15We're going to do a countdown on this and this is the last 1321.
- 35:28So like this is like clown world essentially.
- 35:33Like this is crazy. And then like if you compare and
- 35:37contrast, like look guys, Bitcoin miners, if they don't
- 35:42mine Bitcoin cheaper than the actual spot Bitcoin price, they
- 35:47go out of business, right? The government, right?
- 35:51This is how much it cost them. This is why they stopped with
- 35:55the pennies. By the way, it cost the new the
- 35:58US Mint nearly $0.04 to produce a single penny.
- 36:03Think about that for a second. Yikes.
- 36:06Internalize that for a second. So for one penny, it cost them 4
- 36:12pennies to make one. In what world does that make
- 36:16sense? That doesn't make any sense
- 36:19whatsoever, right? And then you would say, but
- 36:22Nico, it's just a penny. It's so cheap.
- 36:24It's so this, and they're going to save so much money doing
- 36:27this. But again, it's just a, it's a
- 36:29show. It's a facade.
- 36:31It's BS. Like this is the representation
- 36:34of what is wrong with the Fiat system.
- 36:36They're celebrating this, right? This is an embarrassment.
- 36:41And guys, you really is. You'd say, Oh my God, this is a
- 36:44this is a penny. Like, who cared?
- 36:45Look, in 1900, a penny could buy a few eggs.
- 36:51A newspaper, a quart of beer, a cup of coffee.
- 36:55Bitcoiners love talking about a cup of coffee.
- 36:57Buying Bitcoin with a cup of coffee.
- 36:59A small candy bar. It was also enough to send a
- 37:03postcard or travel a mile by rail.
- 37:07Yeah, a penny used to mean something.
- 37:09And not even that long ago. I remember when a penny used to
- 37:12mean something back in like the early 2000s, like a couple of
- 37:16cents could actually get you something, anything.
- 37:20Like, I mean, back when, you know, before cell phones, it
- 37:23could get you a phone call. It could get you a a bag of
- 37:27chips. I remember when chips were like
- 37:29$0.50 or $0.25 in in the vending machines.
- 37:33And now we're just like eliminating it because it's that
- 37:38obsolete. That's how much our currency has
- 37:41been devalued. It's very sad.
- 37:44And a lot of people will look at it, especially, you know, Gen.
- 37:48Z millennials like, oh, who cares about the penny?
- 37:50Like they might they, they don't even look at the cent value of
- 37:55something anymore. They just look at, you know, the
- 37:58dollar value and they round it to the nearest dollar.
- 38:01So it's, it's unbelievable. We haven't just changed the
- 38:07economic value of the penny, but we've changed the way that
- 38:10everybody sees the value of money altogether.
- 38:14Yeah, 100% agree with that. 100% agree with that.
- 38:17And last thing, I'll end it with this before we move on to the
- 38:20next segment. This is Andrew Torba.
- 38:23Andrew Torba is the founder of Gab, which is like kind of like
- 38:27this. It's like this like alternative
- 38:30social media platform. It's more kind of oh, I.
- 38:34Remember gab but it. Kind of leans like like heavy
- 38:37hardcore to the right, but I'm not a really big fan of the Gab
- 38:41platform. I I don't think it has like it
- 38:45just doesn't have enough users and then also like what type of
- 38:47content is on there? Not a big fan, but I am a big
- 38:50fan of Gab AI. And the reason I'm a big fan of
- 38:53Gab AI is like unlike the main, not to name any specific ones,
- 38:56but unlike the mainstream AI, you know, the LLMS Gab AI is
- 39:04unfiltered, right? So you can ask it some pretty
- 39:07good questions and you know it, it gives you some, some, some
- 39:12some pretty good answers that in the normal platforms you can
- 39:15get. It's actually surprising, like
- 39:17with the AIS, like you can actually get them to admit the
- 39:21truth, but their their default setting is to give you the to
- 39:29give you an answer based on what they perceive is the mainstream.
- 39:36It's called a lie. What they perceive is the
- 39:39mainstream institutional consensus, so they'll use legacy
- 39:42media as a source. But The thing is, I think what
- 39:45we've all learned about legacy media these last couple years is
- 39:49that, dude, legacy media leans a certain direction #1 and legacy
- 39:54media hasn't been all that accurate and reporting certain
- 39:59things. On purpose.
- 40:01Sometimes if the AI is using legacy media as a source, but
- 40:07the source is flawed or the source is a form of propaganda,
- 40:11then you're not going to get the best information.
- 40:14But it's interesting because if you use logic, eventually you
- 40:18can get the truth out of the mainstream LLMS. But and the
- 40:23thing that I love about Gab AI is that it doesn't do that.
- 40:26It just gives you, you know, the thing.
- 40:29But again, you have to verify the information every single
- 40:31time, right? Like even with ChatGPT like
- 40:35sometimes it just spits out. Garbage nonsense.
- 40:39Oh my God. It just spits out lies, right,
- 40:42straight up lies. So you do have to do a little
- 40:44bit of, of critical thinking and verifying on your end.
- 40:47But I, I, I guys go check out Gab AI.
- 40:50It's pretty cool. Uncensored AI is pretty cool
- 40:52too. I, I love using all of them, you
- 40:55know, for like different things and, and, and stuff.
- 40:58But he had he had a, a very good comment.
- 41:02And it goes along the lines of they stopped minting one of the
- 41:06physical forms of currency and also rolled out the first wave
- 41:11of digital ID this week. Probably nothing.
- 41:14And then this goes back to what I was saying the other day,
- 41:18actually on yesterday's show when we had Bitcoin been on the
- 41:20show when we were live streaming.
- 41:22Dude, I was in Dallas yesterday. I'm somehow in Miami today.
- 41:26Wow. It's been a long 24 hours, but.
- 41:28Lanes. Lots of, lots of metal tubes,
- 41:32radiated metal tubes, but we are live streaming from the floor of
- 41:37the mining disrupt summit in Irving, TX.
- 41:40And we had Bitcoin bent on the show.
- 41:42And, and one of the things that I, I, I, I noticed was OK, so
- 41:47they're discontinuing the penny. They're rolling out digital IDs
- 41:52in Europe, in the United States, Apple is introducing a digital
- 41:57ID that you'll have in your Apple wallet.
- 42:01Who's asking for this, right? Literally nobody.
- 42:05And then excited. Nobody's asking.
- 42:07For this you have Christy Lagarde like getting all excited
- 42:10about the roll out of the European CBDC like.
- 42:16Look, oh, and don't forget the UK.
- 42:19The UK is saying that you now need a digital ID in order to
- 42:22work. And they're using the excuse of,
- 42:27you know, mitigating illegal immigration, which they suddenly
- 42:31care about. And, and, but it's, it's an
- 42:34excuse. I'm saying it's an excuse,
- 42:36whether for better or for worse if they're doing that or not.
- 42:38I'm not going to be 1 to say, but they're saying that you need
- 42:43a digital ID to work. Yeah, and, and I think the, the,
- 42:48the, you know the point that you brought up, right, about
- 42:51migration, right? You know, it's interesting that
- 42:53they're using that as an excuse. I'll leave it at that.
- 42:55I'll let you guys connect the dots on your own.
- 42:57But I before we move on to the next segment, just look at
- 43:00Sophie's face. It it it speaks for itself in
- 43:05terms of yeah anyways, if you guys want to support the show
- 43:09guys, of course, you know, buy Bitcoin first, that's number
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- 43:34All this has been basically we're on the verge of selling
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- 44:16Get our latest merch really, really helps.
- 44:19Anyways, guys, let's move on to the next segment.
- 44:21We're going to be talking about 2026.
- 44:23What could possibly happen in 2026?
- 44:26I think it's a really interesting subject.
- 44:27We're going to be right back in just a bit.
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- 47:48this is the literally I'm not going to say it because it's not
- 47:51it's not going to sound as pleasurable as the way that
- 47:54Sophie said it. I can't do, I don't really have
- 47:56a good ASMR voice, but anyhow. That you you're more of the the
- 48:01enthusiastic speaking type. The yelling people love the
- 48:05yelling I'll. Take it, I'll take it.
- 48:07Yeah. They don't call me Nico Jones
- 48:08for no reason, right? But anyways, I do want to get to
- 48:12today's news bit. So here's tech dev.
- 48:16This tweet went viral and essentially he says the record
- 48:21long pre parabolic phase may finally be nearing its end.
- 48:28And it's really interesting what he did.
- 48:30So he took the Bitcoin price and then he took the business cycle
- 48:37signal. And this is kind of one of the
- 48:39theories behind why some people believe that Bitcoin will run
- 48:45into 2026, because they're saying that Bitcoin actually
- 48:48never had a four year cycle. Bitcoin actually was connected
- 48:53to the business cycle. It was connected to the business
- 48:55cycle the entire time. So, oh, Jeremy, I just got your
- 49:00order, bro. I got you, dude.
- 49:02But yeah, remind me, I have to sign a hat.
- 49:07So anyways, so and let's look at some of the the the comments.
- 49:12So plan C said record amount of people shaken out during the pre
- 49:17parabolic phase of the cycle. This is Plan C Plan C has been,
- 49:23you know, he's been one of the advocates for the Bitcoin
- 49:27quantile model that I would say has been one of the most
- 49:31accurate models so far this cycle.
- 49:36I had to look up what a quant was the other day.
- 49:38I actually had no idea. So, and I want to look at one of
- 49:42the things that I'm like, I'm like doomed scrolling right now.
- 49:45But anyways. But yeah, he's been making the
- 49:49case that again, Bitcoin's following the power law.
- 49:52You know, everything's going according to plan.
- 49:55And you know, people are kind of sleeping on it a little bit,
- 49:58right? So anyhow.
- 50:01You know that now I hate the power law because ever since you
- 50:05told me that there's a bottom, I'm like, what bottom?
- 50:09No, it has. It has like, but again, like all
- 50:11models are, are, are, are, are, are, you know, are right until
- 50:15they're wrong, right like that's the.
- 50:17Dangerous. All the models are broken.
- 50:18All the all your models are broken.
- 50:20So anyways, if anyone like, here's the thing, guys like
- 50:23this, this, I want you guys to internalize what I'm about to
- 50:25say. No one on planet Earth has any
- 50:30idea where the price of Bitcoin is gonna be a year from now,
- 50:35five years from now, 10 years from now, tomorrow.
- 50:38No one has any idea. They don't know.
- 50:41No one knows. What you can know are the
- 50:45fundamentals of Bitcoin, right? It's Infinity divided by 21
- 50:48million. You could look at the macro
- 50:50environment, you could look at the political landscape and and
- 50:54you know for a fact that governments are going to
- 50:56continue to do debase their currency, right?
- 50:59So what you're saying is they don't know know, but they know.
- 51:02I think that you can. You can make a very strong
- 51:05argument as to why Bitcoin is going to go up, but no one knows
- 51:11where Bitcoin is going to be exactly from a price perspective
- 51:15tomorrow. I think that is literally
- 51:17impossible. You, you like you can't guess
- 51:20markets. I would I would argue it's
- 51:21always been impossible. And we've always had an idea and
- 51:26the, you know, basis that it will continue to go up into the
- 51:31right in the long term. But man, this cycle's just been
- 51:36different. I mean, last cycle we also
- 51:39thought we were gonna go to the moon, but.
- 51:41Like at least at least last cycle we got like a like a quick
- 51:446X right? And now we're like thinking
- 51:47about like I'll bring that back. Anyways, we did get a super
- 51:49chat. Appreciate you lost liberty
- 51:527777. Appreciate the $5 bro or or gal
- 51:57or person. Human.
- 51:59Human. Exactly.
- 52:01Human. Hopefully, right, but they said
- 52:06did UC Telecoin became the first regulated digital asset bank in
- 52:10the USA. Nebraska governor just fully
- 52:12approved and signed their charter a day ago.
- 52:15So here's the thing though, because Caitlin Long, which I
- 52:18consider a friend of the show she's been on many times, the
- 52:23thing about the banking charters is that you actually don't need
- 52:27approval just from the state. You actually need the approval
- 52:30from the Fed itself and the Fed has actually been dragging their
- 52:34feet and approving pro Bitcoin banks like the bank like
- 52:40Custodia bank from Caitlin Long and the the Kraken bank that are
- 52:44actually incorporated in Wyoming.
- 52:46For those banks to actually be competitive with the other
- 52:49banks, they need a federal banking charter.
- 52:52The only person that's able to the only institution that's able
- 52:56to issue that is the Federal Reserve itself.
- 52:58Which is it it? It begs the question.
- 53:01The institution that is quote UN quote in charge of regulating
- 53:05the banking industry also has a lot to lose if Bitcoin is
- 53:09successful. So are they?
- 53:10Should they actually be the ones that have the power to regulate
- 53:15the industry? And I think this is part of the
- 53:16reason, part of the motivation as to why the Trump
- 53:19administration actually took a lot of power away from the Fed
- 53:23in relation to regulating the, the, the crypto and Bitcoin
- 53:27industry, right? How did they do that?
- 53:30Sorry, I don't know anything about.
- 53:31That in an executive order. But anyway, so here's Joe Joe
- 53:34Carlisari and he says admit it to yourself.
- 53:37The only reason you're scared is because someone convinced me you
- 53:41that there's a mythical for your cycle.
- 53:43It's complete garbage. Free your mind.
- 53:46If we were 95 K and it was May or June like it was, you'd be
- 53:50smiling. When we make a new all time high
- 53:53sooner than you than most expect, one of the biggest myths
- 53:57in Bitcoin will disappear. So.
- 54:00Yeah, guys, time is a construct just.
- 54:04I don't know about that. Time is circular, it's totally
- 54:08abstract, and the only time that matters is the what is it, the
- 54:11hash time or some? He hash rate so so here is
- 54:19Checkmatey again, very well known analyst, very well
- 54:22respected within the Bitcoin community.
- 54:24And he says stock sats folks selling below below 100K are
- 54:29crazy, right? And here is the president's son,
- 54:33Eric Trump, on Legacy Financial Media.
- 54:36Let's check it out. You know, if, if you can't
- 54:38handle volatility, stay out of cryptocurrency and don't bother,
- 54:41but you know, go into treasuries where you're going to have 0
- 54:43volatility and you're going to click away at, you know, 3%
- 54:46returns, you know, go have a great time doing that and I'll,
- 54:49I'll, I'll see you in 10 years, right, You know.
- 54:52So yeah, I mean, I don't know guys.
- 54:54Let us know what you think in the comments.
- 54:57Let us know if you believe, you know, the cycles are a thing.
- 55:01I did release a poll on YouTube. About 330.
- 55:07Wow, a lot of people are voting. 344 people voted.
- 55:11They voted 56% of those 344 votes voted yes.
- 55:16They believe that the Bitcoin cycle is over.
- 55:19About 44% of you guys voted. Know that the Bitcoin cycle
- 55:23isn't over. So it's essentially 5050, right?
- 55:27Which is quite interesting. Anyways, if you guys are
- 55:29enjoying the show so far, we have thousands of live viewers
- 55:32across YouTube, X and Rumble. Make sure to smash that like
- 55:37button. Really, really smash the like
- 55:39button on on X, on YouTube, on Rumble.
- 55:42Rumble's blowing up. We're getting so many
- 55:44subscribers on Rumble. So shout out to the Rumble
- 55:46audience. We appreciate y'all and smash
- 55:50that like button and. And share the show with your
- 55:52friends. Share the show with your.
- 55:53Friends, when you share the show with your friends, you actually
- 55:56help us reach new viewers. So send this to your parents,
- 56:00send this to your siblings, send this to your friends who doubt
- 56:03what you're believing in. If your friends, your friends
- 56:07and family are, you know, feeling a little bit insecure
- 56:11about Bitcoin, send them a simply Bitcoin.
- 56:14We, we like to entertain you. Why you huddle like this is what
- 56:17we do. This is what we specialize in,
- 56:20right? So any of these comments are
- 56:22hilarious. Is that Opti's 6th grade picture
- 56:25on the desk? Actually, it's not.
- 56:27Sophie, could you actually talk about who this person is?
- 56:29Yes. OK, so this is Beto Carlos
- 56:34Akutis and this was a 16 year old boy who was just canonized
- 56:41as a St. very recently and he is the patron St. of social media.
- 56:47So we have him on our desk because Niko and I are Catholic
- 56:51and this is I think the youngest St. that was ever beatified.
- 56:57So we wanted to have him here blessing our our studio.
- 57:04Absolutely. 100%. Yeah.
- 57:07So, you know, that's who that person is.
- 57:09And it was a big deal. And again, I think this is one
- 57:12of the first Saints that, you know, became a St. during the
- 57:17social media age, right. And you just take a look at his
- 57:21story. It's it's, it's it's very
- 57:23heartfelt. And he, he, you know, he used
- 57:28he. Used social media, he.
- 57:29Did make miracles. Yes.
- 57:31No, he used social media to basically spread the word of God
- 57:35and talk about Catholicism. And after he passed away, people
- 57:41who, you know, were sick or, you know, just not doing well
- 57:45psychologically, having mental health issues, prayed to him and
- 57:49they got better. And there's a lot of testimony
- 57:53behind the miracles that he's performed posthumously.
- 57:56And it's, yeah, that's why he was beatified.
- 57:59Beautiful. Sorry, anyways, guys, it's gonna
- 58:04be an incredible show. We're gonna hit the culture we
- 58:06have that that would have been a perfect culture segment bit but
- 58:11you know, next time now, now we know.
- 58:13But anyways guys. Well, now you know.
- 58:16Now you know exactly. Now you know who that is.
- 58:18But anyways, guys, it's gonna be a great show.
- 58:21Sophie and I are gonna go down memory lane talking about 2025,
- 58:27you know, just how it's been as a bitcoiner, and it's gonna be
- 58:30great. And then we're gonna wrap it up
- 58:32for this week. Thank you guys for tuning in, by
- 58:34the way, this week, it's been a little bit crazy.
- 58:37Shout out to Luke, Mick it. Shout out to Chris Alamo.
- 58:40Shout out to Opti, shout out to Sophie.
- 58:42You know all been holding it down to make sure that you guys
- 58:45get simply Bitcoin live five days a week.
- 58:49Rain or shine. So anyways, and I'm gonna be in
- 58:52town, by the way, I don't, I don't have any conferences until
- 58:55January 31st and Plan B in El Salvador.
- 58:58So we're gonna be in the studio making content for you guys like
- 59:01always. So stay tuned.
- 59:03We're gonna be right back in just a bit.
- 59:07I want to give a shout out to our partner Hive Digital
- 59:09Technology. Why Hive in 2025?
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- 59:34They're green and clean. And they're rewriting the
- 59:37playbook on sustainable Bitcoin mining.
- 59:39You can catch the latest buzz at Hive Digital.
- 59:42Tech or at Hive digitaltech.com. I want to give a shout out to
- 59:52our partner Bitcoin Ben dot IO. If you're into freedom, Bitcoin
- 59:57and building a real community, this is for you.
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- 1:01:02freedom. All right, everybody, we are
- 1:01:09back. So if I want to talk about
- 1:01:15during the culture segment, which I think would be very
- 1:01:17useful for people watching the show, you know, what it's been
- 1:01:24like as a couple during, you know, just living on a Bitcoin
- 1:01:30standard, you know, these last 9-9 years or so.
- 1:01:36What was it like for you in the early days?
- 1:01:38And then I guess I'll I'll tell my story as well.
- 1:01:42So I think in the early days it was very painful to realize the
- 1:01:46truth of our existence, not just financially, but socially and as
- 1:01:54a society. And you know, I think that, I
- 1:01:58think that you, I think that you opened my eyes up to that
- 1:02:02through orange peeling me. OK.
- 1:02:06And but do you want to wow, that was very powerful.
- 1:02:09Do you want to elaborate a little bit on like what what
- 1:02:12what was it about orange peeling you that opened your eyes to
- 1:02:16what? And then what were you?
- 1:02:18What, like where was your headspace at before you were
- 1:02:23orange peeled? Well, I think before I was
- 1:02:25orange pilled, I didn't really have like a deep like concept of
- 1:02:33what life was, right? I was living for like short term
- 1:02:39pleasures and like wanting to go out with my friends and buy the
- 1:02:43latest trend in fashion. And I was going to college and
- 1:02:49kind of like reiterating the typical college tropes and stuff
- 1:02:54like that. And I didn't really like, I was
- 1:02:57just kind of living my life like a paper in the wind.
- 1:03:00And that was a feeling that I had, you know, throughout my
- 1:03:05entire 20s, like my early 20s before you and I started
- 1:03:09talking. And once you talk to me about
- 1:03:13Bitcoin, I well, first of all, had never seen the matrix.
- 1:03:18And once we saw the matrix, I was like, Oh my God, that's me.
- 1:03:23I'm asleep. And I started looking into not
- 1:03:28only what finances were and like the what money was, but also
- 1:03:34like, why am I believing in the things that I am believing in?
- 1:03:38Why do I care about the things that I care about?
- 1:03:42That understanding of the base layer of society led me to
- 1:03:47understand all of my other incentives and, you know, not
- 1:03:51just socially, but medically. What it led me to question a lot
- 1:03:56of, you know, the the things that are happening in medicine.
- 1:03:58It led me to question what's happening in big food
- 1:04:03industries. The like, it led me to question
- 1:04:05everything about my life from the moment I wake up to the
- 1:04:10moment I go to sleep. And I don't think that I would
- 1:04:13have ever started thinking about that stuff if it wasn't for you
- 1:04:17orange peeling me. And I had a lot of questions.
- 1:04:20I was a really difficult person to orange peel.
- 1:04:23I think I was really, really stubborn, right?
- 1:04:26And I was kind of skeptical because I just didn't want to
- 1:04:30believe that my whole life was a lie.
- 1:04:33I mean it what it wasn't, I would say it definitely wasn't a
- 1:04:36lie. It was.
- 1:04:38It was totally a lie. It was totally a manipulated
- 1:04:43reality that wasn't actually real.
- 1:04:47Yeah. I mean, I, I, I would say that,
- 1:04:50yeah. I mean, in a way, I mean, I
- 1:04:51think to kind of add to what you're saying, like I think
- 1:04:55people underestimate how much of A role money plays in your life.
- 1:05:01Correct. And what happens, what are the
- 1:05:06unintended consequences of using a broken and corrupt money?
- 1:05:11And I think that people on misunder, like they
- 1:05:15underestimate what living on a Fiat standard does to you
- 1:05:21psychologically, spiritually, physically.
- 1:05:26And I think what we all have to understand as Bitcoiners is, you
- 1:05:30know, it, it, it creates a much bigger impact on your life than
- 1:05:35than people notice. And, and I'm not talking about,
- 1:05:38oh, I'm getting rich or oh, the numbers going to go up and, and
- 1:05:42this and this and that. I'm not talking about that.
- 1:05:44Like like I'm talking about the fact that if you use Bitcoin as
- 1:05:50your unit of account, your perspective and outlook on the
- 1:05:54world will be totally different than someone who is still using
- 1:06:00Fiat as their unit of account, right?
- 1:06:03Like so true 1 you will have hope for the future and the
- 1:06:06other one I would say you're nihilistic.
- 1:06:09And if you're one of the very few that has been able to
- 1:06:12succeed in the Fiat system, they exist, right?
- 1:06:17It's still a very material and we've, we've had, we've had
- 1:06:19private conversations about this.
- 1:06:21It's still a very materialistic lifestyle.
- 1:06:24Yes, because you end up having all of this money and power, but
- 1:06:31a lot of people don't actually know what to do with it.
- 1:06:34They actually like find that their day-to-day has no real
- 1:06:38purpose or no real fundamentals. And again, that is one of the
- 1:06:44things that Bitcoin helped me realize.
- 1:06:47It's like, what do you actually care about?
- 1:06:49There's no way that you can care about going out, getting drunk,
- 1:06:54going shopping, having this, having that and live that way
- 1:06:58for the rest of your life. There has to be more to the
- 1:07:01meaning of life. And you know, for a lot of
- 1:07:04people, it's, it's God. And for me, it was just like
- 1:07:10rediscovering God through asking myself that question.
- 1:07:14It was family and, you know, deciding for us to start a
- 1:07:19family and to, you know, get off our feet and stop caring about,
- 1:07:24you know, whether we were ready or not.
- 1:07:27And, you know, finding those deeper purposes, I think lie at
- 1:07:32the center of that lies. You know, what is your
- 1:07:37conception of value? How are you storing your value?
- 1:07:40How do you value yourself? And for us, I think Bitcoin
- 1:07:44played a huge role because it's no longer getting devalued by
- 1:07:49someone else who can create it for free.
- 1:07:52Now we actually have control. And regardless of the price,
- 1:07:56like I know a lot of people are panicking today.
- 1:07:59You got to really zoom out and maybe this is the moment that
- 1:08:04newcomers to Bitcoin because in every cycle there is a newcomer
- 1:08:08there and they're paying their dues.
- 1:08:10You got to zoom out of the price and actually look at what the
- 1:08:14revolutionary aspect of Bitcoin is and what the personal
- 1:08:17revolution inside is for. You know this what when once you
- 1:08:22discover Bitcoin, so that that was kind of what it was like for
- 1:08:28me. And I've realized, like through
- 1:08:30the ups and downs, the bear markets, the bull markets, that
- 1:08:34the most important thing that Bitcoin has given me isn't
- 1:08:37necessarily anything financial, but it's more personal and
- 1:08:43spiritual. Yeah, I, I, I think and also it
- 1:08:47I've heard that story so many times with so many people,
- 1:08:50including myself, too. You don't change Bitcoin.
- 1:08:53Bitcoin changes you like that line is so powerful.
- 1:08:56It's so true. And again, like your life
- 1:09:00changes once you you know, you start using a unit of account
- 1:09:04that is sounds. It puts you on an honesty
- 1:09:06standard, not just with yourself, but with others.
- 1:09:10And when your moral values are founded on honesty and reality,
- 1:09:16then you can really like, lead your life as a better person I
- 1:09:21would say. Yes, I, I do want to bring this
- 1:09:23up. I, I, the, I do want to offer a
- 1:09:26correction. So apparently lost liberty 7777.
- 1:09:30Appreciate the Super chat $5. Telecoin's charter is not the
- 1:09:33same as custodia. That was all entirely wrong.
- 1:09:35Just wanted to correct that because what you said was
- 1:09:38entirely wrong. Do your own research.
- 1:09:39OK, so let's pull up the article and talk about it because this
- 1:09:45was not on my radar and we have a pretty good news AG system, so
- 1:09:50we tend not to miss things. But let's check out the article.
- 1:09:55Sometimes we do. Telecoin Digital Asset Banks
- 1:09:58Nab's final charter approval Telecoin received final charter
- 1:10:03approval Wednesday from the Nebraska Department of Banking
- 1:10:06and Finance to launch Telecoin Telecoin digital asset bank
- 1:10:10authorizing the bank to take crypto deposits, provide crypto
- 1:10:14loans and connect to coveted Federal Reserve payment rails.
- 1:10:20So if that's true, like that's a big deal.
- 1:10:23So our charter makes history not just for Telecoin, but for the
- 1:10:27entire U.S. banking system. We're proving that a bank can
- 1:10:31issue on TAID, on change digital cash responsibly, and operate in
- 1:10:36full alignment with US regulators.
- 1:10:38EUSD brings the speed, transparency and affordability
- 1:10:41of blockchain into everyday finance in a way that anyone
- 1:10:45could use. So what I will say about this is
- 1:10:51it sounds like they got approval for a stablecoin.
- 1:10:55Just reading this article. There's no mention of Bitcoin.
- 1:10:59And again, the reason I'm I'm such a big fan of Custodia is
- 1:11:03like it. It provides a bank for
- 1:11:07bitcoiners to kind of interact with the banking system without
- 1:11:12all the cause. The way that it works now is if
- 1:11:16you want to buy Bitcoin, you either do it via ACH or you do
- 1:11:21it via wire transfer. And the process is a pain in the
- 1:11:24ass. But you can't actually buy
- 1:11:25Bitcoin within the bank and then send that Bitcoin to a self
- 1:11:30custody thing. So you have to do this like send
- 1:11:32a wire transfer to an exchange, send an ACH to an exchange, and
- 1:11:37then that that clears and then it goes to yourself custody
- 1:11:41wallet address, right? That's the process.
- 1:11:44Ideally where we want to get to is you have a pro Bitcoin bank.
- 1:11:49I don't trust any of the big banks with this, by the way.
- 1:11:51So I think we need like a new bank.
- 1:11:54That's why I trust what Caitlin is doing with Custodia and what
- 1:11:58what Kraken is doing as well. And it would be awesome to just
- 1:12:04have a checking account and then being able to buy Bitcoin as
- 1:12:08well directly from your checking account and then send that
- 1:12:11Bitcoin directly to self custody all within one platform like
- 1:12:13that would be fantastic. It sounds like from the from the
- 1:12:17Telecoin article, it sounds like what they're really talking
- 1:12:20about is a stablecoin. I mean, I think stablecoins have
- 1:12:26done amazing things for the global S They've given people
- 1:12:31access to a better form of Fiat, which again, like sounds
- 1:12:37terrible saying that as a bitcoiner.
- 1:12:39But if you're going from like 2030% inflation or 100%
- 1:12:43inflation year to date and you transition to the US dollar, you
- 1:12:47know, like that's going to make your life a whole lot better.
- 1:12:50It's giving people the ability to store their wealth in
- 1:12:53dollars, which is a privilege that, you know, maybe you and I,
- 1:12:58or Americans in general, take for granted.
- 1:13:02So lost liberty said no, they're they're able to issue stable
- 1:13:11coins. They have they already have
- 1:13:12multiple stable coins. EUSD is their dollar stable.
- 1:13:15They also have others, including an ESDR. See the The thing is
- 1:13:20got like first of all, I appreciate the Super chats.
- 1:13:23That's number one. That's number one.
- 1:13:27Also shout out to Elda Elda Elda Elda's in the house but what I
- 1:13:33will say is Ilda swaga swaga swaga dying ilda.
- 1:13:45But what I will say is la hefa. But what I will say is, well, I
- 1:13:54lost my train of thought. Ilda got in your head.
- 1:13:57Ilda got in my head. Ilda gets in my head all the
- 1:13:59time. She's a very smart lady, that.
- 1:14:02Woman, she's very, she's very wise.
- 1:14:04Buys the bottom every time. Every time.
- 1:14:07Every time. You know she's freaking out
- 1:14:09right now though, right? Ela, you should buy more.
- 1:14:12You should buy more. You should buy more.
- 1:14:15But yeah, so going back to this. By the way, Ela is my swaggadat
- 1:14:23for anyone doesn't know. And if you don't know what a
- 1:14:25swaggadat is, just. Look it up.
- 1:14:28But going back to this, going back to this.
- 1:14:33So yeah, I mean look like I I'm like if you're in the US, like
- 1:14:41stable coins don't really do a lot in in the US like the the
- 1:14:46banking system here is pretty efficient.
- 1:14:48There's so many different payment platforms like PayPal,
- 1:14:52someone in the chat, go, I'll go.
- 1:14:54There's so many payment platforms like Zelle, like
- 1:14:57PayPal, like Cash App that like Cash app just integrated Bitcoin
- 1:15:04payments for for point of sale. Like there's so many of these
- 1:15:10things, but you have to understand, like for the Global
- 1:15:12South, the banking system's atrocious.
- 1:15:16It's terrible, right? So stable coins are actually
- 1:15:18like a lifeline for the Global South.
- 1:15:20And I actually had the, the privilege and the honor of being
- 1:15:23able to interview the Tether CEO, Paolo Paolo Arduino and
- 1:15:31Lugano and he, they're Bitcoiners.
- 1:15:34The Tether guys are, are, are Bitcoiners.
- 1:15:36I, I love them in that, in that, in that regard.
- 1:15:38Well, they're doing basically what the US government should be
- 1:15:42doing, which is. I don't, I don't think, I don't
- 1:15:45think Yeah, they're buying Bitcoin too the.
- 1:15:48Tether the tether guy the tether.
- 1:15:50Guys are hardcore bitcoiners, which I I love.
- 1:15:52And one of the things that Balo said during his interview is
- 1:15:56like, look like, I think that, you know, Tether is an on ramp
- 1:16:00towards Bitcoin, right? And that's so powerful to hear
- 1:16:03that, you know, from the CEO of, like the largest stablecoin
- 1:16:07issuer on planet Earth, right? Imagine if people in the global
- 1:16:10S realize that and they not only started buying Tether, but they
- 1:16:16also started storing their wealth in this as a savings
- 1:16:20account in Bitcoin. I think one thing leads to
- 1:16:22another, I think. For sure.
- 1:16:24I think one lead one, one thing leads to another, right?
- 1:16:28So anyways, guys, thank you so much for tuning in.
- 1:16:32We appreciate you all. This was a long week, eventful
- 1:16:35week. Very long week.
- 1:16:37Many, many conferences, many plane rides, but we appreciate
- 1:16:42you all. Thank you guys for tuning in.
- 1:16:44If you guys like the show, you know, to smash the like button,
- 1:16:46consider subscribing. And of course, we'll see you on
- 1:16:49Monday. And I, I want to dedicate this
- 1:16:51show to Ilda. I see you're in the chat.
- 1:16:56So Ilda, you should smash by but not financial advice.
- 1:17:01But anyways, guys, we'll take care.
- 1:17:02Have a have an amazing weekend, enjoy the family, get some sun,
- 1:17:05touch some grass and we're back on Monday for a brand new
- 1:17:09episode of SB Live. Today's episode was brought to
- 1:17:12you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
- 1:17:16mission to enable financial independence.