Latest / Sports Avenue Twisted Podcast / Episode 47 feat. Greg Zumach - Dissecting the Cubs farm, assesing the Cubs, and the rest of the NL Central
Transcript
- 0:26Welcome to another edition of the Sports Ave.
- 0:28Twisted podcast. We have a guest in here today.
- 0:32He he's known to cover the Cubs prospects and some other MLB
- 0:36prospects. Greg Zumak, welcome to the show.
- 0:40Just introduce to yourself what on what you do and everything
- 0:43else. Hey, everybody, thanks so much.
- 0:46I'm excited to kind of come and you know, I generally focus a
- 0:49little bit more on like Cubs prospects and, and the MLB
- 0:52draft. So this is a big week for me is
- 0:54the MLB draft is this Sunday and Monday, but you can find me on
- 0:58most of the social media platforms at Ivy futures.
- 1:01So that's kind of where I started my my thing.
- 1:04I started writing about the Cubs and very, very late 2020,
- 1:08believe it or not, you know, so no games were going on and, and
- 1:11just put some words online and I don't know, some people really
- 1:15liked him, some people didn't. And I'm still sticking around.
- 1:19But you know, I, I'd like to talk about Cubs prospects, the
- 1:23draft, you know, I, I know you mentioned bringing up a little
- 1:27bit of the NL Central teams, which is certainly a, a thing.
- 1:30And so are my paths going to cross with some of the other
- 1:33prospects in the division as well.
- 1:34So but yeah, just just happy to talk to baseball.
- 1:38Thanks for joining us today, man.
- 1:40We're we're we're real intrigued about the Cubs situation as a
- 1:44whole this year with them playing so well and getting off
- 1:47to a hot start and having such a great first half.
- 1:51So it's it's a perfect time actually to have you on the
- 1:54show, especially with their thrashing of the the Cardinals
- 1:58last night. So yeah, we're we're just
- 2:01excited to talk Cubs prospects with you and get to learn a
- 2:04little bit more about the NL Central as a whole.
- 2:07So thank. You happy to be here?
- 2:10All right, So the first question I want to ask you is I want to
- 2:13talk about PCA. He was acquired from the Mets a
- 2:18few years ago. I believe he was part of the
- 2:19hobby bias deal and and we knew that defensively he was elite,
- 2:26like I mean top notch elite stuff.
- 2:29And it seems like his bat has caught up to his defense as
- 2:33well. So how did you look at it in the
- 2:37beginning when you when the Cubs acquired them and then and him
- 2:42having a breakout year offensively?
- 2:45So I never thought he would do this.
- 2:48I, I'll be totally honest, if I said like, Oh yeah, no, I saw
- 2:52this coming. That would be a complete lie.
- 2:54But I thought he would be pretty good offensively.
- 2:56And the reason that I thought that is because just weirdly,
- 3:00this is just a weird timing because I was really getting
- 3:02going into talking and and writing and evaluating on the
- 3:05draft during that 2021 season. There wasn't a ton to talk about
- 3:11from a positive success on the MLB side for the Cubs that year.
- 3:15And so it it was leading into eventually trading these
- 3:18players. But I happen to be digging into
- 3:20the draft a lot. And at that time, just out of
- 3:24happenstance happened to connect to the couple met scouts and it
- 3:30we had already just been talking mostly about drafts people
- 3:34because I was picking their brains on something when that
- 3:36deal went down, I had those folks like immediately messaged
- 3:42me saying that they were kind of crushed that that PCA was
- 3:46getting traded. And the reason for that.
- 3:49And and I think some of this has has come out recently, but
- 3:52they're basically like he's he's changing his swing, like he's
- 3:56getting into more power. And they're like, I think that
- 3:59he's got some legitimate power. Now this I mean, he's on pace
- 4:03for like 40 home run. So, you know, I think that this
- 4:06is certainly on the the extreme end of outcomes.
- 4:11This is like your 90th, 95th percentile outcome, so to speak.
- 4:16That's like a way scouts kind of talk about, you know, how what's
- 4:20our range of, of paths that we could walk.
- 4:23This is on the very high end. So I never thought we'd get to
- 4:26this, but I did think he was going to get some power.
- 4:28And I I fought very hard that offseason to say I made him like
- 4:33my #2 prospect in the Cub system.
- 4:35And I got a lot of chippy comments saying that that was
- 4:39completely crazy and he's just a contact hitter.
- 4:43And that just wasn't the case. Now, it wasn't all linear.
- 4:46There were definitely a lot of steps you need to take to get to
- 4:48this point. But he really clicked with
- 4:52several of the Cubs hitting coaches.
- 4:53But I definitely want to call out in particular, like Rachel
- 4:57Folden, who's at AAA, but then also Dustin Kelly at at in the
- 5:02Major League side, who has done in some amazing work within the
- 5:05Cub system, really got PCA to make some improvements in the
- 5:10second-half of 2024. And he's caught fire this year.
- 5:15And yes, there's some issues with Chase, but I think overall
- 5:20when we look at him as as a player, even just offensively,
- 5:24what he's done has been amazing. Owen Casey, I want to talk about
- 5:29him a little bit because he's considered one of the top
- 5:31prospects in your system. He's he's a Canadian boy
- 5:36actually from, from Burlington ON, shout out to Burlington,
- 5:40which is about 20 minutes from me.
- 5:42So it's pretty cool that he's that he's thriving and doing so
- 5:46well. But yeah, with Kyle Tucker an
- 5:50impending free agent if they do not resign Kyle Tucker with the
- 5:56opio of being so stacked is is what what are the plans for Owen
- 6:00Casey? Are there plans to try and
- 6:04resign Tucker, keep them? And if they do, what do they do
- 6:08with Owen Casey? Is could they trade him or or is
- 6:12this just like kind of like a backup plan if they don't resign
- 6:16Tucker? What's the situation with Owen?
- 6:19Yeah. So you know, a couple of things
- 6:21in there. I I think plan A is they're,
- 6:23they want to resign Kyle Tucker from immediately around that
- 6:29trade and actually even a little bit before Kyle Tucker was a guy
- 6:33that when you talk to folks kind of in the organization, you
- 6:37know, who, if anybody, the Cubs would even make sense to offer a
- 6:43mega deal. Not like who will we do or
- 6:45anything like that. Players with his type of batting
- 6:49profile, Somebody that walks more than they strike out,
- 6:52somebody that hits for power, somebody that is really
- 6:55incredible play discipline, somebody that plays more than
- 6:59just first base. You know, so you're, you're
- 7:00talking about at least like a corner outfield or a second base
- 7:04or third base type of profile. Those are the, that was the type
- 7:08of profile. And so I think from, from even
- 7:12day zero before this trade or, you know, day -25 or something
- 7:18like that, Kyle Tucker's been the type of player that they
- 7:21wanted to get. And the fact that it happened,
- 7:24the fact that everything lined up sounds like Kyle Tucker's
- 7:27really having a blast in Chicago.
- 7:29Now. Does that mean he's going to
- 7:30turn down 600 million from a team to to, you know, for less
- 7:35money from the Cubs? Probably not.
- 7:37But I think that they've put themselves in a really good spot
- 7:41and I do believe that there is some strong interest in trying
- 7:44to get it. Does that mean that's going to
- 7:46happen before he reaches free agency?
- 7:48I don't know. I, I wish I could say yes.
- 7:51I think at some point you get so close to free agency that
- 7:54there's so many factors, right? Like I've never turned down 400
- 7:58million that you, you probably just get down there and, and get
- 8:02into that opportunity. I have, I've never turned down
- 8:05400 million, but I'm open to offers.
- 8:07So you have my, you have my social media hit me up at any
- 8:11time. But it it's just one of those
- 8:13things where, yes, I think they really will try to get it.
- 8:17I actually, and so here's the weird thing about this.
- 8:19So I love Owen Casey. I followed him since the Udarvis
- 8:22trade. He was really kind of the most
- 8:24successful part of that deal, which in all fairness was a
- 8:30salary down. The Cubs ownership group had
- 8:33kind of laid it out that there's X amount of money that you need
- 8:37to figure out how to move. And what the Cubs front office
- 8:42did is decide, you know, they we could non tender Kris Bryant.
- 8:47We could not pick up Anthony Rizzo's extension option.
- 8:52We could trade you Darvish and get value back.
- 8:55And ultimately that's where they went with it.
- 8:57And they also decided to part ways of Kyle Schwarber, which is
- 8:59another contentious factor with Cub fan.
- 9:02But but you know, Owen Casey was was a big part of that deal and
- 9:08he's done extremely well. The thing is that I actually
- 9:11think the Kyle Tucker decision is independent of that.
- 9:14Now they can hold on to Owen Casey.
- 9:16They don't have to trade him even if they extend Kyle Tucker.
- 9:20But it's my understanding that he that Casey was pretty
- 9:26available in trade talks this past winter.
- 9:29And that's without Kyle Tucker being extended, obviously.
- 9:32So it's my understanding that that he will likely be a common
- 9:37name that is talked about this spring or the summer.
- 9:41And it would really not shock me to see him in a deal.
- 9:45I I think this is one of those situations where love owned
- 9:48Casey. Think he's done a lot of really
- 9:51good work. He's really leveled up even this
- 9:53year. It's not just a hot streak.
- 9:55He's made tangible improvements. I think it's one of those things
- 9:58where it's like, you know what, sometimes it's also just good
- 10:01for that player to get an opportunity somewhere and really
- 10:04run with it. We're seeing that in Chicago
- 10:07with Michael Bush, who just wasn't going to get those
- 10:10opportunities in in LA. Now that's truly blocked.
- 10:13He was blocked by like 3 Hall of Farmers and an All Star.
- 10:17Like that is right and truly blocked there.
- 10:21There's no path there, right? But now, you know, you're seeing
- 10:24what he's doing with an opportunity and I think both
- 10:26teams would would happily take the the end result of that deal.
- 10:29So, you know, you're kind of hoping for something similar
- 10:31with Casey where if that's the guy they decide to move, you
- 10:36know it. It's just good for him and good
- 10:37for the organization. Kate Horan got called up earlier
- 10:43this year. He was drafted from the Cubs
- 10:45about 3 years ago and they visioned him as a frontline
- 10:49starting pitcher. He's been having his ups and
- 10:52downs and I get it, it's his rookie year.
- 10:54Like how do you look at him as pitcher long term?
- 10:58Yeah, so he had a really rough start in Houston recently and I
- 11:02had people like, it really caught me off guard because I
- 11:07mean, that's kind of what I expect with young pitching.
- 11:10I mean, you're just going to have blow ups.
- 11:11And I think that there's this misconception probably in every
- 11:16fan base. But like I'll just just simply
- 11:18point out the one that I see the most with Cubs where it's like
- 11:21you see guys in their organization, in their division.
- 11:25Jacob Mesirowski, who actually just had a recent blow up.
- 11:29But Paul schemes is, is the guy that you kind of you see and and
- 11:33you're like, well, this guy never really has blow UPS.
- 11:35And it's like, yeah, I understand that guy is
- 11:37generational. Like that is not the same thing.
- 11:41And and you can still be a frontline guy, but I definitely
- 11:45had some folks that were like, I can't believe it, Like you got
- 11:48to send them down. And it's like, no, this is the
- 11:50the cadence. This is that is not a pun that I
- 11:53was intending with Kade and cadence.
- 11:55But like, this is what you see. These are the ups and downs of
- 11:58young pitching. I really like what I've seen.
- 12:00He's not finished trap. He's not ready completely.
- 12:04He's ready for the major leagues, but he's not like where
- 12:07he should be totally. And that's completely expected.
- 12:11Craig Counsel oversaw the development of Corbin Burns, who
- 12:16had a lot of ups and downs in his early career.
- 12:19He ever saw the development of Brandon Woodruff, Freddy
- 12:22Peralta. These guys have a lot of ups and
- 12:26downs and it's going to kind of take things locking in.
- 12:29But you can see elements of what Kate is really good at, which is
- 12:34actually showing off a really deep pitch mix that he didn't
- 12:37have a few years ago. He was very much fastball,
- 12:41slider, sweeper, slider in in when he was selected 7th overall
- 12:47in college and then when he a lot of time in the minors early
- 12:52and he's embraced the change up and he's actually done a little
- 12:56bit with the curve and he's mixed in the sinker and these
- 12:59are just weapons that he didn't completely have.
- 13:02So I really like what I've seen from Kate Horton.
- 13:04It's not finished. There's going to be probably
- 13:06some more ups and downs, but I mean, if the playoffs started
- 13:09tomorrow, I think he's starting Game 3 for me.
- 13:12Like if if I was the one making the call.
- 13:16So who would you consider the top prospect in the Cubs system?
- 13:20I believe Baseball America has Moises Ballesteros as one and
- 13:25Owen Casey is is pipelines #1 so who would you consider to be
- 13:31that that top tier prospect in your system right now?
- 13:35Yeah. So this is something that was
- 13:37like really contentious for me in the winter, but I'm still
- 13:41going to kind of carry it over, which is, you know, Moises
- 13:44Ballesteros hasn't completely locked in.
- 13:47I think that's a special bat and it takes a lot for somebody to
- 13:55be so valuable with the bat that you don't care where they hit, I
- 14:00mean, where they play defensively.
- 14:01And I think Moises has that potential.
- 14:05He's so incredibly young and we'll show you qualities that
- 14:10are incredibly rare. And so to me, Moise's Filoceros
- 14:14is still my #1 prospect. Jackson Wiggins possibly #2 I
- 14:21haven't quite locked in completely, but Jackson Wiggins,
- 14:26who is a right-handed pitcher out of Arkansas, the Cubs took
- 14:29him after he had Tommy John surgery.
- 14:33So he didn't even throw his his draft eligible year.
- 14:37But they saw him in the fall and we're like, this guy's amazing.
- 14:42And they drafted him anyway, paid him over slot in the second
- 14:46round, which surprised a lot of people.
- 14:49And it, you know, is a bit of a slow burn.
- 14:52He looks great. Like he's the guy that when you
- 14:55have other people, and I'm not huge into the rumor business,
- 14:58it's just not what I spent a lot of my time doing.
- 15:02But I have some folks that from work in the that work with other
- 15:05teams or kind of connect. Sometimes we talk about draft
- 15:08and they'll they'll mention they're like, Oh yeah, we would
- 15:10love weight. I think that's the guy that
- 15:13other teams would likely want in in deal.
- 15:16So, you know, those are the three that I would really
- 15:19highlight with, with Jefferson real house probably being the
- 15:224th. So they it's it's not as strong
- 15:25of a system as it was. That used to be kind of an
- 15:28embarrassment of riches, but you know, that's what happens.
- 15:30Since then, a few of those guys are doing pretty well at the
- 15:32Major League level. Is Jackson Wiggins the guy that
- 15:37has the command issues? But his stuff is just so damn
- 15:41good. Yeah, he's improved well.
- 15:44And so we, I mean, we have to kind of specify control versus
- 15:46command. He used to have control issues
- 15:48too. And I think he's he's taken
- 15:52steps to improve. The control is definitely
- 15:54improved. The command has taken steps to
- 15:56improvement. And yeah, this stuff is so
- 15:59lively that he can get away with it.
- 16:01He can get away with some misses, middle, middle, but he's
- 16:05having less of those. And that's a huge step for him
- 16:09because we were at a point, especially his first season in
- 16:15in college, where I mean, the misses were bad.
- 16:19The the end zone was bad pretty much every day.
- 16:22Like it was all over the place. And clearly what they saw in
- 16:27that fall beforehand was a completely different arm.
- 16:30And they were right. So I'm hoping it it keeps
- 16:33continuing. But yeah, he's definitely taking
- 16:35some big steps forward. I want to talk a bit about Kevin
- 16:40Alcantra that he's, I believe the 6th best prospect in the Cub
- 16:45system right now. He was acquired in the Anthony
- 16:49Rizzo trade a few years ago as well.
- 16:51And looking at him, he's known for hitting for power, right?
- 16:57So right now he's in, I believe in Iowa right now, right?
- 17:00So in the AAA affiliates, where did you fit in the plans of this
- 17:05team? Does he get an opportunity to
- 17:07get called up later this year if even though right now there's no
- 17:11opportunity, as you can see there's a log jam in the
- 17:13outfield? You know he can because he can
- 17:16play all three positions. He's a pretty good center
- 17:19fielder, actually. And if he was in another
- 17:23organization, which is certainly possible, he could be August
- 17:261st. But if he was in another
- 17:28organization, they'd be talking about him likely as their center
- 17:31fielder in the future with the Cubs.
- 17:33Clearly PCA is on another level. And you know, when you've got a
- 17:37guy who's on pace like in an 8 or 9 win season, like that is a
- 17:42whole other level than almost anything.
- 17:45But I, you know, they definitely, I think he'd be
- 17:49viewed differently in another organization.
- 17:50He's on a bit of a heater right now and some elements of it are
- 17:54good. But unlike Casey, I don't think
- 17:56he's taken, I don't think he's made a tangible change so much
- 18:01as he's kind of just seeing the ball really well here.
- 18:04And he's still having some issues with sliders.
- 18:08That's a book that's going to be out on him and he's going to
- 18:11need to adapt. I think Kevin O Contra in
- 18:14another organization gets 405 hundred plate appearances at the
- 18:18Major League level each year and I think by year 2 or even 3 is
- 18:23putting up above average offensive production.
- 18:26He just is a bit of a slower burn and that may or may not be
- 18:31the right place for him is within the Cubs organization so
- 18:35he would be another guy that I wouldn't be surprised if they
- 18:38traded him again. One of those like might just be
- 18:41better for the player situation, but he's definitely on a heater
- 18:45right now. I think he's a good player.
- 18:46He's certainly a top 100 caliber prospect.
- 18:50This is a guy you don't just toss into a deal.
- 18:53This is a guy that has value. But I do think it's one of those
- 18:58where like if you had to pick, I'd probably keep KC over a
- 19:01Contra. But I could see either moved,
- 19:05but also I could see how Contra at the Major League level,
- 19:07potentially PCA, I mean, knock on wood, doesn't have an injury
- 19:12or anything. But even if you just need to
- 19:14give him a little bit of a break, Kevin O Contra can play
- 19:17all three positions. So you can come up and kind of
- 19:20give all of your outfielders a little bit of a break.
- 19:24Tell us a bit about Matt Shaw and the season he's had.
- 19:26And I believe he made the roster out of spring training.
- 19:30Do you believe that that was, you know, a mistake?
- 19:32Do you believe that helped him? Do you believe they hurt him?
- 19:35Geez, just kind of had a little bit of a rough go this season,
- 19:39you know, in his rookie season. Of course there's going to be
- 19:42ups and downs, but what's his ceiling going forward And and do
- 19:46you feel that he's the third baseman of the future for the
- 19:49Cubs? You know, I still think he's the
- 19:51third baseman of the future. I, I don't think it was a
- 19:54mistake to put him on the roster in Japan because they had to
- 19:57make the decision for Japan, which was earlier.
- 19:59It was last time, it was a bit rushed, but there were some
- 20:03other qualities related to like prospect, promotion, incentive
- 20:07that needed to be taken into place.
- 20:09That needed to take be taken into account.
- 20:11I mean, and so, you know, I think with the available
- 20:14information, it was fine. In hindsight, you could probably
- 20:16say like he wasn't ready. But so here's the thing with
- 20:19Matt Shaw, he needed to make some swing changes that didn't
- 20:25unless he failed, were probably not going to be ones that he was
- 20:31going to really mentally like he would probably he's a coachable
- 20:34guy. But as far as having the like
- 20:37intention of saying yes, I need to do this, it was probably not
- 20:41going to happen unless he failed.
- 20:44And at the AAA level, he wasn't failing.
- 20:48You know, he wasn't failing last year.
- 20:50I if he's just down in AAA, just beating the bejesus out of the
- 20:55ball, I don't know, he's probably going to be like, it's
- 20:58working. I'm not changing anything.
- 21:00And so there's an element of you kind of need to let a guy fail a
- 21:05little bit to make some changes. Now defensively, holy cow, this
- 21:09guy is good. And I will eat crow on this.
- 21:12I not Pete crow, but eat crow on it.
- 21:15I was in Omaha watching him at the Big 10 Tournament.
- 21:20And I'm sorry, defensively, I wasn't convinced.
- 21:25He wasn't even an infield. He threw from a Victoria could
- 21:28only throw from a very over the top motion, which is not
- 21:33something that works very well at third base.
- 21:35It you can tolerate it at second base and it just just didn't
- 21:40look viable. I I didn't think athletic got
- 21:42for sure what he's done in the minor leagues.
- 21:46He took that to heart. I doubt he saw anything I wrote,
- 21:50but he definitely knew that feedback that there were going
- 21:52to be some challenges. He rocks at third base like holy
- 21:57cow, never thought it was possible that he would be this
- 22:00good. Thought he could maybe get there
- 22:02and stick to like this guy is an asset on the field, third base
- 22:07and that's going to help him so much.
- 22:10Because that was the thing that Craig counsel said last year
- 22:13where with Miguel Omaya, who's their catcher, he's on the
- 22:16injured list right now. And Oblique and PCA, who
- 22:19obviously we talked about is that with those young guys, he
- 22:22said, hey, you know what, just play defense and we'll sort out
- 22:26the offense later. And I think that's a big reason
- 22:29why Matt Shaw is still playing a bunch.
- 22:31At some point, there's got to be a bit of a like season on the
- 22:34line. We need to figure out the bat
- 22:37situation. But at least right now, I think
- 22:39what he's doing is adding value in some way to the team.
- 22:47I want to talk about some of the pitching depth.
- 22:49I know you talked about Jackson Wiggins already and you went
- 22:52into detail. He's a sizable guy, other guys
- 22:55that I want to talk about. And if if I'm missing names, you
- 22:57can mention about Brandon Bridsell.
- 23:00Bridsell, Bridsell, I believe, Yeah, Jack Neely was from the
- 23:04Mark Leiter trade, of course, and Ryan Gallagher.
- 23:07Those are the names that I saw that were on the list.
- 23:10If there's any other names you could talk about all the guys in
- 23:13in depth and detail. You know, I think that those are
- 23:16probably the ones that we'd really want to mention and
- 23:18Birdsell did a lot of really good work.
- 23:20He's just coming back from an injury right now and you know,
- 23:25it's probably in a tricky spot with, I believe he's going to be
- 23:28rule 5 eligible this year. But by the way, great kid.
- 23:31I've, I've interacted with him a few times.
- 23:34Fantastic, super nice. I, I think he's got a really
- 23:39bright future in the majors. He's a guy that how he builds up
- 23:45and what he does for this year will be really, really
- 23:46interesting. May not impact the Major League
- 23:48team this year, but may have MLB implications next year.
- 23:53But really solid and a good pitch mix.
- 23:57Kind of a unique delivery that works for him and his stuff kind
- 24:01of leveled up last year. And so I, you know, definitely
- 24:04put himself on on the map there. We'll see how he comes back from
- 24:08injury. But but he's throwing right now.
- 24:11He's doing fairly well. A guy to watch in the
- 24:12second-half, you know, a non prospect, but somebody that is
- 24:17also coming back from injury just to note is Javier Assad.
- 24:22He's again had some some more success in the Major League.
- 24:24That's like another depth arm. But then within the system when
- 24:27we talk about some other guys, you know, Jack Neely is reliever
- 24:31only. He came in the mark letter
- 24:34junior deal like you mentioned with with the Yankees.
- 24:39It it hasn't really clicked for him this year.
- 24:41Unfortunately. There's been some injury stuff.
- 24:43There's been just just command hasn't been successful.
- 24:49The fastball just hasn't been playable.
- 24:51So he's throwing like 60 to 70% sliders, which the slider is
- 24:54nasty, but it it it just hasn't quite clicked like I thought it
- 24:58would, to be honest. So maybe a little bit of a
- 25:00disappointing year for him with relievers.
- 25:03It only takes one thing to click and then all of a sudden a guy
- 25:07can be lights out. I mean the Cubs are seeing this
- 25:10with Daniel Palencia. Daniel Palencia was not in a
- 25:13he's talked about this. I, I would never share something
- 25:15like this if publicly, if, if it wasn't already out, but he just
- 25:19wasn't in a good headspace last year.
- 25:21And I and he talked about it and he went out of his way to take a
- 25:26lot of steps. Now he's been nasty.
- 25:28He's nasty back in the bullpen sometimes.
- 25:32And I'm not saying that Jack Neely is not a good headspace,
- 25:34but like it only takes one thing to click with some of these guys
- 25:38with nasty stuff. So, you know, Neely hasn't been
- 25:41very successful. That's unfortunate.
- 25:44Ryan Gallagher is a guy that I, I think you know, could be on
- 25:48the move this year. He was a six round draft pick
- 25:51out of UCSB, which is a college pitching group that is known for
- 25:57taking guys with, you know, some interesting stuff or whatever,
- 26:01but but very good control and command.
- 26:04And then when they get to the big, get to the pro level,
- 26:08A-Team will take their velocity up in a couple matches and all
- 26:11of a sudden, like, oh, yeah, they're really, they're really
- 26:14good. And, you know, we saw that with
- 26:16Shane Bieber. We've seen that a little bit
- 26:18with Michael Mcgreevy. You know, Tyler Bremner is
- 26:21another name that is key in the draft that teams are kind of
- 26:24having that exact conversation of, which is great control,
- 26:28great command, you know, do we get that below up a little bit?
- 26:32Do we take the stuff up a little?
- 26:33Frank Gallagher's is interesting and forces way up a couple
- 26:38levels this year. Teams are kind of asking about
- 26:42him a little bit. Not as much as Wiggins, not in
- 26:44place of Wiggins, but wouldn't shock me to see him in a in a
- 26:48deal somewhere probably. Let's talk about the rotation a
- 26:53little bit. Matt Boyd Shout out to Matt Boyd
- 26:57for his first All Star appearance at 34.
- 27:00Former Blue Jays prospect. He got the win last night
- 27:03through 5 shutout innings was great.
- 27:05He's been fantastic for you guys.
- 27:08You know, you have Jameson Tyone's kind of having a little
- 27:11bounce back season himself. Colin Ray's been great for you
- 27:16show to him and not a when he's out there.
- 27:17He's he's been great, fantastic. So you talked about Kate Horton
- 27:22already and I believe Ben Brown is in the minor leagues.
- 27:26So just tell us about some of the the the rotation pieces that
- 27:30have been great for you guys this season.
- 27:33Yeah, I mean, Matt Boyd is like almost single handedly saved
- 27:36this team. He's just absolute amazing
- 27:42signing. I I got a little grief because I
- 27:44really like that signing in in the winter.
- 27:46And I had people just railing on me online about how they were
- 27:50cheapening out. And it was just like, you know,
- 27:52I look, I'm not going to advocate that the Cubs shouldn't
- 27:56spend more money. Matt Boyd showed you last year
- 27:59that he was a playoff caliber starter, a very good one.
- 28:04His his concern or the concerns with him is the fact that he he
- 28:09didn't know how many innings he was going to be out there for at
- 28:12least at the early stages. He's looked incredible.
- 28:16And you hope that that can obviously continue.
- 28:20But at least what he's done has been awesome.
- 28:22James and Tyrone, you know, popped the calf the other day in
- 28:26the weight room. Unfortunately, this is all
- 28:27public now. And so that kind of surprised
- 28:30some folks and say he's out for about a month, but he's been
- 28:32pretty good. I mean, everything you said was
- 28:34was right. This is very recent.
- 28:36And I was getting those like messages, like I was scouting
- 28:41this high school showcase game and I'm just like, oh, no,
- 28:45that's not good. So, you know, everything you
- 28:48said is right, though. He's had a pretty quality season
- 28:51in a in a year that the Cubs definitely needed it and should
- 28:53be back. It's not an arm injury or
- 28:55anything, but something he'll need to work through.
- 28:58Shota, yeah, has looked good when he's been out there.
- 29:01That's a guy that you feel pretty, pretty good about
- 29:04starting a playoff game. Kate Horton.
- 29:06Obviously Ben Brown's an interesting dude because he'll
- 29:09show you stuff in in some outing that is unbelievable.
- 29:14And I think there was an outing, I was actually in a wedding at
- 29:17this time, so I wasn't even watching it that I had people
- 29:19message. I had to put my phone on silent
- 29:21because they're just like Ben Brown is, you know, crushing it.
- 29:25And I I think it was against the Reds and he was just dumb.
- 29:31So, you know, he'll show you the tools and the talent that is so
- 29:36tantalizing Overall, like the peripherals look really good.
- 29:40The results aren't great. Again, this is kind of one of
- 29:43those like young pitchers situations.
- 29:46The the problem with Ben Brown is the fact the fastball kind of
- 29:49sucks and it's got velocity, but it's it's not very good.
- 29:54The knuckle curve is insane. It's one of the best pitches in
- 29:57baseball and he can throw it a bunch of times.
- 30:01The issue is, is that his fastball command isn't great in
- 30:05the fastball shape isn't good. So like the movement of it isn't
- 30:09isn't great. The other problem is that he's
- 30:12like a heavy, what we call a pronator.
- 30:14So from a pitching standpoint, you kind of, this is way
- 30:17oversimplifying, but like you pronate or supinate.
- 30:20So basically, do you get behind the ball or do you get to the
- 30:22side of the ball a little bit? And there's pros and cons on
- 30:24each one. But he is a heavy pronator, so
- 30:27he really can't get to the side of the ball.
- 30:30So I had somebody that was just like, if he was just teaching a
- 30:31sweeper and it's like buddy, they can teach him a sweeper.
- 30:35They would he doesn't really need it anyway, but at the
- 30:38knuckle curve, but it figuring out what that secret sauce for
- 30:42him is going to be. It's been tricky.
- 30:45So I think he ends up the year more in the bullpen and then you
- 30:50kind of refigure out what he looks like next year.
- 30:53You know, I don't think his days are starting are over.
- 30:55He's still starting in the in the minors right now, but he's
- 30:58just kind of one of those like they reached critical mass where
- 31:01they had to decide something and and you know, ultimately went
- 31:07with the pitchers. They got Shota and Minaga came
- 31:09back and they felt like Colin Ray was going to give them a
- 31:12better a better chance on a on a day by day basis.
- 31:16And Ray's been very good. He was a good signing.
- 31:18I didn't really like that one in the winter, but it it clicked
- 31:21and he's been been great depth. The next question I want to ask
- 31:26you is some of the prospects that were in the Cub system that
- 31:30ended up being traded to other teams to try to improve this
- 31:34team. Guys like Michael Bush was
- 31:37acquired with Yancey Almonte for Zyre Hope Jackson versus
- 31:41obviously the Tucker traded. Cam Smith was the centerpiece of
- 31:45that deal and and I think DJ Hurts was part of a deal for Yo
- 31:50Hendrik Penango. For Candelario, no candelario,
- 31:54sorry. Sorry TJ hurts for.
- 31:56Candelario, sorry, I'm getting mixed up.
- 31:59So talk about some of those players, and do you think there
- 32:04was a prospect that the Cubs regret?
- 32:10Regret probably none of the ones that you mentioned.
- 32:15So there are some people that still rail on the Zaire Hope,
- 32:20Michael Bush Jackson Paris deal. I think that deal made tons of
- 32:24sense for both teams. I0 regrets.
- 32:28It's working out beautifully. The Zaire Hope wasn't a throw
- 32:32in. People wanted to say that he
- 32:36wasn't a throw in, that he was a throw in.
- 32:38He wasn't a throw in. There were people in the Dodgers
- 32:43organization, I might be revealing too much, who they
- 32:46wanted. They were very interested in
- 32:49Zaire Hope. I'll say that in the draft.
- 32:52The Cubs drafted a little bit earlier in that round and got it
- 32:57and they rectified that mistake, that winner like they are.
- 33:01It's not a mistake, but you know, they they got it.
- 33:04They got desired Hope so Like none of them I would say were
- 33:07mistakes or miss evaluations or anything like that where I think
- 33:13you could make an argument on a couple of them.
- 33:19You know, you mentioned Penango. I think Yohandrick Penango might
- 33:24have been a missed eval when they traded him for Nate
- 33:28Pearson. That was a guy that I think
- 33:32honestly, he just didn't really click with the group, the
- 33:39development staff, and he really clicked with Toronto.
- 33:43And so maybe that's just related to that, you know, like he just
- 33:48went to a different situation and it and it really clicked.
- 33:51It's some of these like smaller pieces, Alfonso Rosario, you
- 33:56know, as a guy that he's definitely had his ups and downs
- 33:59this year in Cleveland. He went in the Eli Morgan trade.
- 34:03You know, that's probably one that some folks would would say,
- 34:07man, we maybe we shouldn't have taken that swing.
- 34:11And then I'm trying to think Ty Johnson in the Isaac Predis
- 34:17deal. So in the deal that led up to
- 34:20flipping Predis in in the Kyle Tucker trade was a secondary
- 34:29part of that deal was Ty Johnson, who is a right-handed
- 34:31pitcher. And honestly, I think the Rays
- 34:34just out scouted the Cubs internal evaluations of Ty
- 34:38Johnson. I I, I think that one's probably
- 34:41a you look back on and say, Oh yeah, we didn't evaluate him
- 34:47correctly. Maybe I'm wrong on that.
- 34:49That's me just projecting. But I would say, yeah, that one
- 34:55that when I I could see that being mistake.
- 34:57So the bigger deals, no, I actually think they've done that
- 35:00pretty well. Those deals are designed to
- 35:03hurt. A Kyle Tucker trade is supposed
- 35:05to hurt. You know, if you want to get a
- 35:09guy like Michael Bush with who is MLB ready at a position of
- 35:12need for you, that's going to kind of hurt.
- 35:14And you know, the Candelario trade was a was a buy deal and
- 35:20it's kind of going to hurt. Those buy deals hurt.
- 35:21So I, I think those things feel fine actually, but it's the
- 35:26smaller pieces that, or I shouldn't say pieces, these are
- 35:29people, but the smaller parts of deals that that maybe they've,
- 35:37you know, maybe they've missed a couple.
- 35:41So what are the farm systems in the end of Central would you say
- 35:45are the most successful when it comes to to building prospects?
- 35:50Yeah, that's a really interesting question.
- 35:53I think you have to kind of go to different aspects of it.
- 35:56So like for instance, the the Brewers do an amazing job of
- 36:01taking arms that need a lot of development steps and then
- 36:06getting them to the point of being really, really good and
- 36:10adding velocity, adding stuff. And so the Brewers, to me, stand
- 36:14out for that, like really high up there.
- 36:19The Pirates do a very, you know, do a really interesting job of
- 36:22collecting some good players. And I think they've made some
- 36:28good steps with pitching development recently.
- 36:32I don't want to look at like Paul Skeens and say, see, the
- 36:35Pirates did so well. I think it's actually some of
- 36:38these other guys like Bubba Chandler Jones, you know, I feel
- 36:45like Braxton Ashcroft has been pretty good.
- 36:49They've they've had like some of these other guys.
- 36:52There was somebody that they took, oh, I wanted him in like
- 36:55the compound. Thomas Harrington.
- 36:57Do they? They took Thomas Harrington,
- 36:59right? That sound, right?
- 37:00Yeah, I got that. I got the name right then.
- 37:03But like, that's a guy that I think they've done some pretty
- 37:05good steps with. And so like the Pirates, I think
- 37:08have done really well there. And then they've taken maybe
- 37:12some hitters that maybe have had some development steps and
- 37:19they've they've been a little bit more inconsistent on that.
- 37:21But I think they've done a good job on Connor Griffin.
- 37:24And so like the Pirates, I think deserve a lot of credit.
- 37:26The Reds have done some pretty good work recently with
- 37:28pitchers. So they would probably be the
- 37:30second in the division that I would say of like maximizing
- 37:34pitch development. So I think they've done a really
- 37:38good job with that. I can't say from a hitting side
- 37:41that I've been too impressed with what they've done.
- 37:43They've had some successes, just kind of a mixed bag there.
- 37:47But there's there's not really teams that I would look at and
- 37:51say like, God, they're just bad at pitch, at development.
- 37:55Because even the Cardinals I don't think have done a great
- 37:57job, though they have brought in the right people under Heimbloom
- 38:03to make some of these good steps.
- 38:05But I think it's going to be a bit more of a slower burn over
- 38:08the next few years. And, and we might be looking at
- 38:11it, unfortunately for Cubs fans, we might be looking at this in
- 38:14two or three years going like, man, they're building that
- 38:17machine again. And so I that's kind of where I
- 38:20see the the Cardinals. So I so let me ask you this then
- 38:27we talked about the Pirates a little bit here, but I like to
- 38:30elaborate a little bit. And they haven't been to the
- 38:32playoffs during the Ben Sherington era.
- 38:35And a lot has to do with ownership, of course.
- 38:37And like you said, Paul skiing number one pick that was can't
- 38:40miss. But like they drafted Tamar
- 38:43Johnson, Hunter Barco, I think he's been struggling a little
- 38:46bit. They drafted Henry Davis, he's
- 38:47been a disappointment. Nick Gonzalez has another one.
- 38:51Like why is their philosophies not working?
- 38:53And how come they they haven't been relevant even till this
- 38:57point? You know, I, I mean, it's
- 39:01oversimplifying it, but I think it's not making investments to
- 39:04Major League level because you can live with some of these
- 39:08prospects having some securities, securities route.
- 39:13So, you know, just a top upside down, you know, in and out kind
- 39:18of routes up and down successes. You know, Nick Gonzalez made
- 39:23some major leagues in a in a draft class that frankly, if you
- 39:27look at 2020, it was a disaster. That draft class was a disaster.
- 39:32The Royals would gladly have Nick Gonzalez over ace Lacy.
- 39:39You know, and I'm not commenting that you shouldn't like expect
- 39:43more because because you should. But you know, he at least made
- 39:46it the majors. It's it's not fully clicked yet.
- 39:50Maybe the story is not completely sold.
- 39:53I think there needs to be a bigger investment.
- 39:55I actually liked the Henry Davis pick.
- 40:00And, and in many ways, you have to remember that the Henry Davis
- 40:04pick led to a guy like Bubba Chandler.
- 40:07They really loaded up in in that draft because they went under
- 40:10slot on him. Now, could they have gone under
- 40:12slot with Marcelo Meyer? Maybe I, I won't say I know all
- 40:17the answers to that, but like theoretically they could have.
- 40:20So, you know, I would say it's definitely more of a mixed bag,
- 40:23but there's there's got to be more investments to Major League
- 40:26level. I mean, yes, you signed Mitch
- 40:29Keller. I think that's good.
- 40:30But now there's already talks about, well, maybe you flip them
- 40:34and it's like, yeah, Mitch Keller is not a pretty
- 40:36affordable deal. Like let's keep Mitch Keller.
- 40:41Let's you have this guy be your #4 because you have Paul schemes
- 40:46and you know, you might have Bubba Chandler and Jared Jones.
- 40:50Injury wise, that's going to be an issue.
- 40:51But it keeps building some of those things.
- 40:54Tamar Johnson is an interesting guy.
- 40:56I was literally just talking with folks about him last night.
- 40:59And I think that that was still in an era where we were looking
- 41:03at batted ball data, the high school level, little bit
- 41:07different. Like there were talks about how
- 41:09he had this just amazing hit tool, can't miss.
- 41:14And then it's like, well, I mean, but if you look at the
- 41:15numbers, you know, he was good. Not great from a contact in his
- 41:20own perspective. Like it was good, slightly above
- 41:23average compared to his peers, but it wasn't wasn't like
- 41:26amazing. And and so it's just like a miss
- 41:30eval industry wide. I mean, this isn't like a high
- 41:33risk. This is like industry wide of
- 41:35evaluating some of those guys. And, and really he's more of
- 41:38like a power guy. And and so I think that it it's
- 41:42just kind of fitting all these pieces into different buckets.
- 41:46So, yeah, you know, he probably hasn't lived up to the
- 41:48expectations that were talked about at the time of the draft.
- 41:52I I think he ends up settling in OK when all is said and done.
- 41:55But but you're right that, you know, it's not it's not looked
- 41:59completely great. I like what the Pirates are
- 42:01building from purely a player development standpoint.
- 42:05And yeah, like Paul Schemes does a lot of the heavy lifting
- 42:07there, but also they've done some good work.
- 42:09Paul Schemes like I, I think he he is generational, but it's
- 42:13been a good marriage between the Pirates organization and him
- 42:17from a player development standpoint.
- 42:20And I hope he sticks around there.
- 42:22I mean, I kind of don't from the Cubs perspective, but I hope he
- 42:25sticks. Around there, he's.
- 42:26Fun. And I and I definitely don't
- 42:28want him on the Dodgers or the Mets, so or the Yankees or
- 42:32anything. And you get to watch them pitch
- 42:33more, you know, I mean. It's.
- 42:34Yeah, I mean, it's against your team, but at least you get to
- 42:37watch them, right? Like I would take my kids to a
- 42:40Paul skins team even if they weren't playing the Cubs, right?
- 42:42Like that is a star power in its purest form.
- 42:46But also I do like what they've built on some of these other
- 42:50guys. And, and it's just it's going to
- 42:52require more investment at the Major League level, which, you
- 42:55know, it's always easier said than done, But you know, I mean,
- 42:58right now, like Brian Reynolds hasn't been great this year, but
- 43:02he's been good in previous years.
- 43:04And now it's talk of like, well, now you should move him.
- 43:06It's like, well, you know, keep building around these guys
- 43:10because I think that there's some opportunities out there.
- 43:13It is going to probably take some more successes still.
- 43:16But but hey, I think, I think it's close.
- 43:20So who are some other position players around the end of
- 43:22Central that you feel just not position players in general that
- 43:27you feel that could be really, really good with?
- 43:30With guys like He's Just Made and Cam Collier on the Reds, you
- 43:33got JJ Weatherholt, St. Louis, Jefferson Cuero.
- 43:38There's just a number of great prospects in that division.
- 43:41So who do you feel that could be really, really good down the
- 43:44road? Yeah, so I mean, I think, you
- 43:47know, a guy like Cam Collier I've loved since the draft.
- 43:51I really, really like him. I knew he was going to take a
- 43:53little bit longer to develop, but I really like and and that's
- 43:57it. That's a guy that I think we got
- 43:59to highlight here because he came out of the draft as a 17
- 44:02year old and you know, what he's shown is it's just it's going to
- 44:07be more development. But gosh, I mean, you know, I
- 44:10just really liked him. I really, really, really liked
- 44:13college. You know, Maid maid is
- 44:16interesting as well. You know, some of these some of
- 44:19these guys knew in the the thing really frustrate me with with,
- 44:24you know, everybody in the division.
- 44:26But you know, JJ Weatherholtz looks really good.
- 44:30I think he's in AAA soon, if not now, you know, soon to be or
- 44:36immediately like maybe today up in up in AAA.
- 44:39That's going to be a guy that I had in the 11 talks, you know,
- 44:44in last year's draft and and lasted to to them.
- 44:47So, you know, I think he's I think he's really awesome.
- 44:50But otherwise, there's some really talented players in in
- 44:54the the end of Central, Definitely, for sure.
- 44:58To wrap up this episode, so we're going to ask you the final
- 45:01question and like you said, the MLB draft is coming up.
- 45:04The Cubs have the 17th pick in this year's draft.
- 45:08What kind of player are the Cubs targeting if you believe that
- 45:13they have to get do? Would they go best player
- 45:16available or they would go a certain need?
- 45:20Definitely not need, but I think that they're targeting more like
- 45:23college pitching and and high school hitting just with where
- 45:26the draft might sit for them. And so, you know, definitely
- 45:31best player available like this is a this is a scouting
- 45:34department that has done that. But you know, a few guys that I
- 45:37think just kind of could be in that range could be like Tyler
- 45:41Bremner. So I was talking about him
- 45:43earlier from UCSB Catholic Xavier Nines, who's a third
- 45:48baseman out in Washington on the prep side.
- 45:51So the high school side, maybe case in Cunningham, who's like a
- 45:56middle infielder down in Texas, again, another another high
- 45:58schooler. You know, there could be some
- 46:02other guys in those mixed like those would those would be some
- 46:04names that I would kind of watch out for.
- 46:06I definitely don't think they're going to go need, but if they
- 46:09needed to do a tiebreaker, wouldn't surprise me to see
- 46:12college arm. Basically, if the right college
- 46:15arm is there, that's probably where I think they're going to
- 46:18go. But not so much need is like we
- 46:20really feel like we can develop this demograph.
- 46:24Greg, we appreciate you being here.
- 46:27I know time's been the enemy. Great insight, great
- 46:31information, especially if you want to be a Cubs friend.
- 46:34This will be a must listen episode.
- 46:36Greg, where can we find you in social media and everywhere
- 46:38else? Yeah, you can find me at Ivy
- 46:41features pretty much all the the ones Twitter X, whatever we're
- 46:44calling it Blue Sky Instagram, you know, and then I I I write
- 46:50and I connect with people at the 1060 W all sold out podcast or a
- 46:55discord. So we have a lot of fun, a lot
- 46:57of fun with that one. Thanks man for joining us today.
- 47:02Like Rocky said, lots of great information, great insight.
- 47:06We went deep on a lot of topics to do with the Cubs and and
- 47:09everything else you know, central.
- 47:11So thanks. And I know your time is precious
- 47:14right now and, and, and you got to run, but we appreciate you
- 47:17joining us. Yeah, it's my pleasure, guys.
- 47:21Thanks so much. All right, we will place the
- 47:23description below where you can find Greg Zumak, but till next
- 47:26time, take care, be kind to each other.
- 47:28Signing off for the Sports Ave. Twisted podcast on Monday, July
- 47:327th, 2025.